WEBVTT - U.S. Insurrection Clearing the Way for Coups

0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:02.920
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

0:00:02.920 --> 0:00:05.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanobek. We're here every day bringing

0:00:05.760 --> 0:00:08.280
<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world's of business and finance,

0:00:08.320 --> 0:00:12.120
<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all harnessing the power of Business

0:00:12.119 --> 0:00:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

0:00:15.640 --> 0:00:18.080
<v Speaker 1>analyst in more than one and twenty countries. You can

0:00:18.120 --> 0:00:21.720
<v Speaker 1>download Bloomberg Business Week on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com.

0:00:21.880 --> 0:00:23.600
<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

0:00:23.640 --> 0:00:26.319
<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

0:00:26.360 --> 0:00:31.440
<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News Listen. We've already talked about

0:00:31.440 --> 0:00:33.400
<v Speaker 1>it a lot, and rightfully so, because this too is

0:00:33.520 --> 0:00:36.320
<v Speaker 1>among our most right on the Bloomberg. It's all over

0:00:36.400 --> 0:00:39.559
<v Speaker 1>social media as well, and we're talking about bitcoin. We're

0:00:39.560 --> 0:00:42.560
<v Speaker 1>talking about Elon Musk, and Tim we're talking about Tesla.

0:00:42.640 --> 0:00:46.520
<v Speaker 1>It's been hovering out about ten percent higher all day today.

0:00:46.680 --> 0:00:48.680
<v Speaker 1>Since about seven thirty this morning, when we learned that

0:00:48.720 --> 0:00:50.760
<v Speaker 1>Tesla had make it at one point five billion dollar

0:00:50.800 --> 0:00:53.040
<v Speaker 1>investment in bitcoin and also said, hey, we're going to

0:00:53.080 --> 0:00:56.720
<v Speaker 1>start accepting bitcoin for Tesla's caught our attention. To right

0:00:56.760 --> 0:00:59.360
<v Speaker 1>in the news room. Hey, let's get into it with

0:00:59.560 --> 0:01:01.840
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News Markets editor Joe Wise and all co host

0:01:01.840 --> 0:01:03.880
<v Speaker 1>of Big Amiss, Coming your Way at four thirty pm

0:01:03.920 --> 0:01:07.319
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street Time on Bloomberg TV. Joe is socially distanced

0:01:07.319 --> 0:01:09.759
<v Speaker 1>on the phone in our New York here. Hey, Joe

0:01:09.760 --> 0:01:11.720
<v Speaker 1>was in thought. Good to have you here. I mean,

0:01:12.080 --> 0:01:14.800
<v Speaker 1>it's a Bitcoin story, but it's also a testless story.

0:01:14.840 --> 0:01:16.440
<v Speaker 1>How do you see this? Like when you heard the

0:01:16.440 --> 0:01:19.679
<v Speaker 1>news this morning, I mean I wasn't really surprised. It's

0:01:19.800 --> 0:01:24.440
<v Speaker 1>interesting because I feel like in this market environment, Tesla

0:01:24.720 --> 0:01:28.119
<v Speaker 1>and Bitcoin have been like coleinked, even when they weren't

0:01:28.160 --> 0:01:30.600
<v Speaker 1>officially linked, if you know what I mean. It's like

0:01:30.840 --> 0:01:35.039
<v Speaker 1>their charts look similar, the stories look similar, something that

0:01:35.120 --> 0:01:40.319
<v Speaker 1>seems completely different than the sort of mainstream, sort of iconoclastic.

0:01:40.920 --> 0:01:44.000
<v Speaker 1>So I feel like there was something like inevitable, like

0:01:44.120 --> 0:01:46.600
<v Speaker 1>only a matter of time. But I'm sure like be

0:01:46.720 --> 0:01:50.800
<v Speaker 1>like the crossover of like Bitcoin holders and Elon fanboys

0:01:51.000 --> 0:01:53.080
<v Speaker 1>is a you know, it was a Venn diagram would

0:01:53.080 --> 0:01:55.440
<v Speaker 1>be very close to a circle, and so it almost

0:01:55.440 --> 0:01:57.680
<v Speaker 1>feels like perfect now that like this makes it a

0:01:58.000 --> 0:02:01.080
<v Speaker 1>this makes the marriage official. Well, you said something really

0:02:01.120 --> 0:02:05.080
<v Speaker 1>interesting on our Quick Take livestream this morning, um that

0:02:05.160 --> 0:02:07.240
<v Speaker 1>I hadn't thought of, but it was this idea when

0:02:07.280 --> 0:02:10.720
<v Speaker 1>a company starts to accept bitcoin, like Tesla announced today,

0:02:10.720 --> 0:02:13.880
<v Speaker 1>it's actually not that big of a deal. Why is that?

0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:17.240
<v Speaker 1>I think? You know, like in the end, it's like

0:02:17.720 --> 0:02:20.800
<v Speaker 1>when when when Tesla is telling a car for like

0:02:20.880 --> 0:02:24.359
<v Speaker 1>forty dollars, say, or fifty dollars as you can buy

0:02:24.360 --> 0:02:27.560
<v Speaker 1>this in bitcoin. All that's really happening is they're letting

0:02:27.560 --> 0:02:30.519
<v Speaker 1>you enter in money into a sort of like bitcoin

0:02:30.639 --> 0:02:35.200
<v Speaker 1>transaction processor then converted into dollars or vice versa, or

0:02:35.200 --> 0:02:38.120
<v Speaker 1>the other way around. So it's as if they're saying, okay,

0:02:38.160 --> 0:02:40.920
<v Speaker 1>we accepted in euros and then somewhere in the background

0:02:40.960 --> 0:02:45.040
<v Speaker 1>they do a conversion. I thought, really that powerful. What's

0:02:45.120 --> 0:02:48.160
<v Speaker 1>powerful in fury and we haven't seen this is when

0:02:48.160 --> 0:02:52.840
<v Speaker 1>we started to see transactions that are really denominated in bitcoin.

0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:55.000
<v Speaker 1>And so in other words of a company like say

0:02:55.040 --> 0:02:57.600
<v Speaker 1>Tesla word to say, here's our car and for the

0:02:57.680 --> 0:03:00.239
<v Speaker 1>next year is going to be priced one bit coin

0:03:00.280 --> 0:03:03.160
<v Speaker 1>each or two bitcoin each, and then if the price

0:03:03.200 --> 0:03:07.400
<v Speaker 1>of bitcoin fluctuates, it's still priceding that bitcoin. And so

0:03:07.440 --> 0:03:10.080
<v Speaker 1>that Therefore, let's say even bigcoin were to fall in half,

0:03:10.280 --> 0:03:13.120
<v Speaker 1>which is very possible because if very volatile, then you

0:03:13.160 --> 0:03:14.920
<v Speaker 1>would still be able to buy it for one bitcoin.

0:03:15.320 --> 0:03:19.839
<v Speaker 1>Then you start to see a system of uh um

0:03:19.880 --> 0:03:23.760
<v Speaker 1>obligations and payments that are truly denominated in bitcoin as

0:03:23.800 --> 0:03:26.919
<v Speaker 1>it is. It's more like a dollar transaction that's converted.

0:03:26.960 --> 0:03:29.520
<v Speaker 1>So it's kind of cool, it's kind of fun, but

0:03:29.600 --> 0:03:32.080
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't really mean that the item is priced in

0:03:32.120 --> 0:03:34.639
<v Speaker 1>bigcoin as such. Bitcoin. Is it really then a unit

0:03:34.680 --> 0:03:36.360
<v Speaker 1>of account? All right, Joe, but you can and you

0:03:36.440 --> 0:03:39.200
<v Speaker 1>can buy other things in bitcoin. We know that. But

0:03:40.120 --> 0:03:43.800
<v Speaker 1>it's Elon musk and and and it's Tesla doing it.

0:03:43.280 --> 0:03:45.600
<v Speaker 1>Because is there something we should read into it in

0:03:45.720 --> 0:03:47.840
<v Speaker 1>terms of the company that's doing it in the brand?

0:03:47.880 --> 0:03:50.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I would say this, Why would think if

0:03:50.320 --> 0:03:52.600
<v Speaker 1>you look at a lot of like bitcoin holders, they're

0:03:52.720 --> 0:03:55.000
<v Speaker 1>very reluctant to spend their bitcoin because they all think

0:03:55.040 --> 0:03:58.400
<v Speaker 1>it's gonna go way higher in the future, and so

0:03:58.480 --> 0:04:01.240
<v Speaker 1>no matter what it is, even if it's available, they're

0:04:01.240 --> 0:04:03.240
<v Speaker 1>probably not going to do it. On the other hand,

0:04:03.400 --> 0:04:06.280
<v Speaker 1>they might make an exception for Tesla because Elen is cool,

0:04:06.400 --> 0:04:08.640
<v Speaker 1>because he's made a point of putting some of the

0:04:08.680 --> 0:04:13.920
<v Speaker 1>company's treasury into um into bitcoin itself, then that could

0:04:13.960 --> 0:04:15.640
<v Speaker 1>be the kind of thing where it's like I could

0:04:15.680 --> 0:04:19.080
<v Speaker 1>imagine some small subset of the bitcoin holding population that's like,

0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:20.840
<v Speaker 1>you know what, I always said, I wasn't going to

0:04:20.880 --> 0:04:23.800
<v Speaker 1>spend my bitcoin until you know, bitcoin was the new

0:04:24.040 --> 0:04:26.720
<v Speaker 1>global unit of account, or until bitcoin is worth more

0:04:26.720 --> 0:04:29.800
<v Speaker 1>than gold. But for Elan in this case, because I

0:04:29.839 --> 0:04:32.160
<v Speaker 1>get to be part of the story, because I get

0:04:32.200 --> 0:04:34.640
<v Speaker 1>to be part of validating someone who's, you know, the

0:04:34.720 --> 0:04:37.400
<v Speaker 1>richest guy in the world, maybe I'll buy a bitcoin

0:04:37.520 --> 0:04:40.599
<v Speaker 1>with my Tesla and I suspect some people will do that,

0:04:40.680 --> 0:04:43.160
<v Speaker 1>even if they sort of don't really feel like they

0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:46.039
<v Speaker 1>should be spending it. A billion and a half dollars.

0:04:46.080 --> 0:04:49.680
<v Speaker 1>It's it's not actually that much money for Tesla or

0:04:49.720 --> 0:04:52.200
<v Speaker 1>of course Elon Musk either. What do you make of

0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the figure that they announced this morning. I mean, that's

0:04:54.960 --> 0:04:57.120
<v Speaker 1>the thing, it's not like even that much really, so like,

0:04:57.440 --> 0:05:00.760
<v Speaker 1>given Tesla's market cab, given that Elan the richest person

0:05:00.800 --> 0:05:03.200
<v Speaker 1>in the world, UM, it's not that much. On the

0:05:03.240 --> 0:05:05.760
<v Speaker 1>other hand, you know, it's like as big as Big

0:05:05.760 --> 0:05:07.720
<v Speaker 1>Point is, and I think like the total value is

0:05:07.800 --> 0:05:10.200
<v Speaker 1>something like three quarters of a trillion dollars. You know,

0:05:10.240 --> 0:05:14.200
<v Speaker 1>you still can't make that big purchases without making waves. So,

0:05:14.600 --> 0:05:16.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think it's like, I think what I

0:05:16.360 --> 0:05:18.720
<v Speaker 1>said this morning is like, I think Ellen is having

0:05:18.720 --> 0:05:21.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of fun right now, and I think when

0:05:21.040 --> 0:05:24.680
<v Speaker 1>it's not exactly so we're in the stage. We're part

0:05:24.680 --> 0:05:26.920
<v Speaker 1>of having fun. If you're like a rich billionaire is

0:05:26.960 --> 0:05:29.520
<v Speaker 1>having fun with like cryptocurrencies, and this is his way

0:05:29.520 --> 0:05:32.719
<v Speaker 1>of doing it. It's not a huge risk for Tesla's

0:05:32.720 --> 0:05:35.480
<v Speaker 1>balance sheet one way or another, but it's kind of

0:05:35.520 --> 0:05:38.039
<v Speaker 1>like him being part of the story. And Tesla has

0:05:38.080 --> 0:05:41.880
<v Speaker 1>got cars, and he's got rockets, and now he's got cryptocurrencies,

0:05:41.920 --> 0:05:43.520
<v Speaker 1>and it's all part of the it's all part of

0:05:43.520 --> 0:05:45.600
<v Speaker 1>the fun. Having said that, you know, and we've been

0:05:45.600 --> 0:05:48.039
<v Speaker 1>talking with you about bitcoin for a while and several years,

0:05:48.080 --> 0:05:50.080
<v Speaker 1>I feel like at this point, but is there something

0:05:50.120 --> 0:05:53.359
<v Speaker 1>different about kind of the conversation and the stories that

0:05:53.360 --> 0:05:55.719
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing surrounding bitcoin at this point, does it feel

0:05:55.720 --> 0:05:58.160
<v Speaker 1>like it's becoming a little bit more legit? I think so.

0:05:58.400 --> 0:06:02.360
<v Speaker 1>I think so. I mean, look, you definitely have institutions

0:06:02.360 --> 0:06:04.960
<v Speaker 1>that are willing to put at least some small allocation

0:06:05.279 --> 0:06:07.599
<v Speaker 1>of their wealth into it. We think a lot of

0:06:07.600 --> 0:06:11.840
<v Speaker 1>the story of was this idea of like bitcoin emerging

0:06:12.000 --> 0:06:14.880
<v Speaker 1>as a as a store of wealth. And that's sort

0:06:14.880 --> 0:06:17.680
<v Speaker 1>of like the new meme, which is that it's a

0:06:17.760 --> 0:06:21.200
<v Speaker 1>savings vehicle, kind of like gold is. It's like, yes,

0:06:21.279 --> 0:06:23.600
<v Speaker 1>it's not really great for spending, but just like goal

0:06:23.720 --> 0:06:26.360
<v Speaker 1>is not great for spending. But bitcoin kind of is

0:06:26.400 --> 0:06:29.400
<v Speaker 1>a sort of, uh, you know, a save sort of

0:06:29.400 --> 0:06:32.280
<v Speaker 1>wealth type of vehicle. So then naturally you have a

0:06:32.320 --> 0:06:36.560
<v Speaker 1>few institutions at ultimately very small levels like dipping their

0:06:36.600 --> 0:06:40.320
<v Speaker 1>toe in from that perspective, Alright, good stuff, always good,

0:06:40.360 --> 0:06:41.960
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much. And you've got a busy day,

0:06:41.960 --> 0:06:44.960
<v Speaker 1>busy afternoon. Joe Wizenthal markets that are at Bloomberg News,

0:06:45.000 --> 0:06:46.600
<v Speaker 1>co host of which miss come in your way at

0:06:46.600 --> 0:06:48.680
<v Speaker 1>four thirty pm Wall Street Tom on Bloomberg TV. So

0:06:48.720 --> 0:06:51.240
<v Speaker 1>be sure to check him out. He's always got smartcast,

0:06:51.240 --> 0:06:54.000
<v Speaker 1>smart conversations. Uh, and you've got to I always read

0:06:54.000 --> 0:06:55.839
<v Speaker 1>this Five things to read that You've got to know.

0:06:56.000 --> 0:06:58.400
<v Speaker 1>Who does the morning? I know, right, it's just like bam,

0:06:58.400 --> 0:07:01.280
<v Speaker 1>bam bam everything I need to know. This is Bloomberg

0:07:01.320 --> 0:07:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick takes Tim

0:07:05.040 --> 0:07:08.560
<v Speaker 1>Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. So a bunch of things going

0:07:08.560 --> 0:07:10.640
<v Speaker 1>on when it comes to the virus and vaccine too.

0:07:10.720 --> 0:07:15.760
<v Speaker 1>Mentioned about Astra Zenica South Africa temporary halting the rollout there.

0:07:15.880 --> 0:07:18.400
<v Speaker 1>New York City indoor dining is going to resume on Friday,

0:07:18.400 --> 0:07:21.120
<v Speaker 1>two days earlier than plan. And we are seeing tim

0:07:21.160 --> 0:07:24.560
<v Speaker 1>coronavirus infections continuing to slow across the globe. India though,

0:07:25.120 --> 0:07:27.760
<v Speaker 1>um some good news reporting fewer than a hundred fatalities

0:07:27.800 --> 0:07:28.960
<v Speaker 1>for the third day in a row, and I know

0:07:28.960 --> 0:07:31.840
<v Speaker 1>they've been struggling. Yeah, and even more locally here in

0:07:31.840 --> 0:07:35.800
<v Speaker 1>New York. Indoor dining is going to resume Friday at capacity.

0:07:35.800 --> 0:07:38.600
<v Speaker 1>In middle schools are going to reopen on February, which

0:07:38.640 --> 0:07:40.240
<v Speaker 1>is really really good. I know a lot of parents

0:07:40.240 --> 0:07:42.600
<v Speaker 1>have been hoping kids could get back to school. Global

0:07:42.640 --> 0:07:46.000
<v Speaker 1>cases though exceeding a hundred and six million deaths, passing

0:07:46.040 --> 0:07:48.560
<v Speaker 1>two point three million, more than a hundred and thirty

0:07:48.560 --> 0:07:50.679
<v Speaker 1>one million shots that have been given around the globe.

0:07:50.720 --> 0:07:53.360
<v Speaker 1>Let's get back to UH. A guest, someone who has

0:07:53.400 --> 0:07:56.000
<v Speaker 1>come to us several times throughout the pandemic is dr

0:07:56.040 --> 0:07:58.920
<v Speaker 1>Iman Abuse ag is CEO and co founder at Incredible

0:07:58.920 --> 0:08:02.080
<v Speaker 1>Health h and her company, Just a Reminder, connects hospitals

0:08:02.080 --> 0:08:04.280
<v Speaker 1>with nurses and other healthcare worker. She is with us

0:08:04.320 --> 0:08:08.080
<v Speaker 1>once again on the phone in San Francisco. Doctor abuzaid,

0:08:08.440 --> 0:08:11.320
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you back here on Bloomberg. How are you?

0:08:11.360 --> 0:08:13.680
<v Speaker 1>And tell me what you're seeing from day to day

0:08:13.680 --> 0:08:17.600
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the virus and cases and hospitalizations,

0:08:17.720 --> 0:08:19.880
<v Speaker 1>and then what you're seeing in terms of the vaccine rollout.

0:08:19.960 --> 0:08:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Have have most of the folks UM that you've seen

0:08:23.520 --> 0:08:28.200
<v Speaker 1>that our healthcare workers gotten vaccinated? Yeah? I'm doing well.

0:08:28.240 --> 0:08:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for having me. Yeah. So what

0:08:32.040 --> 0:08:35.120
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing in our in our data and with you know,

0:08:35.160 --> 0:08:37.920
<v Speaker 1>interacting with our customers. Uh. You know, over three hundred

0:08:37.960 --> 0:08:40.440
<v Speaker 1>hospitals and health systems use our software to hire nurses

0:08:40.480 --> 0:08:44.480
<v Speaker 1>and permanent roles UM across the country. And what we

0:08:44.600 --> 0:08:46.960
<v Speaker 1>seem is actually the majority over seventy you know, over

0:08:47.000 --> 0:08:50.720
<v Speaker 1>seventy of the nurses in these permanent roles have already

0:08:50.720 --> 0:08:54.440
<v Speaker 1>been vaccinated, which is great news. But the real question

0:08:54.480 --> 0:08:57.160
<v Speaker 1>is like, how come I haven't been yet? Right, Because

0:08:57.160 --> 0:08:59.400
<v Speaker 1>that's what we really need to get to UM, and

0:08:59.440 --> 0:09:03.080
<v Speaker 1>it's me two factors. One is a supply shortage that

0:09:03.200 --> 0:09:07.160
<v Speaker 1>your team has already had has just mentioned. The second factor,

0:09:07.160 --> 0:09:10.800
<v Speaker 1>which is a little bit more um nuanced, is there

0:09:10.880 --> 0:09:13.400
<v Speaker 1>is still some fear among healthcare workers about taking the

0:09:13.480 --> 0:09:16.480
<v Speaker 1>vaccine UM. A lot of that has to has to

0:09:16.520 --> 0:09:19.080
<v Speaker 1>do with you know, quite a quite a lot of

0:09:19.120 --> 0:09:22.439
<v Speaker 1>distrust has built up between healthcare workers and their employers

0:09:22.440 --> 0:09:24.600
<v Speaker 1>and healthcare workers in the government when it comes to

0:09:25.120 --> 0:09:28.680
<v Speaker 1>management of the pandemic. Um there's still a subset of

0:09:28.720 --> 0:09:32.840
<v Speaker 1>workers that are pretty resistant to mandates and um there's

0:09:32.880 --> 0:09:35.520
<v Speaker 1>just some distrust out there. And so I think probably

0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:37.480
<v Speaker 1>the biggest factor we can do over the next few

0:09:37.520 --> 0:09:42.360
<v Speaker 1>weeks is explaining clearly the research behind the vaccine um,

0:09:42.440 --> 0:09:44.480
<v Speaker 1>just kind of just a little bit more detail on

0:09:44.520 --> 0:09:47.080
<v Speaker 1>it to get more healthcare workers comfortable with it so

0:09:47.120 --> 0:09:51.079
<v Speaker 1>we can get to be of them vaccinated. How are

0:09:51.080 --> 0:09:54.320
<v Speaker 1>the nurses doing in terms of of workload? And we

0:09:54.440 --> 0:09:57.360
<v Speaker 1>heard so much early on in the pandemic about so

0:09:57.400 --> 0:10:00.440
<v Speaker 1>many of these health care workers just being over worked

0:10:00.520 --> 0:10:03.240
<v Speaker 1>and exhausted, and there were so many stories about that.

0:10:03.520 --> 0:10:07.120
<v Speaker 1>Has that eased up as as hospitals have, I don't

0:10:07.120 --> 0:10:09.720
<v Speaker 1>want to say, you know, gotten better, because in different

0:10:09.720 --> 0:10:12.160
<v Speaker 1>parts of the country. At any given moment, different hospitals

0:10:12.160 --> 0:10:18.520
<v Speaker 1>are experiencing different things. But as the pandemic has worn on, Yeah, no, unfortunately,

0:10:18.559 --> 0:10:23.520
<v Speaker 1>that has not gotten better anything more widespread throughout the country. UM.

0:10:23.559 --> 0:10:26.439
<v Speaker 1>In the beginning of the pandemic, you know, March last year,

0:10:26.920 --> 0:10:29.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, the emphasis was really on the on the northeast.

0:10:29.840 --> 0:10:32.720
<v Speaker 1>But now at this point, you know, we're talking February,

0:10:33.360 --> 0:10:36.680
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic is widespread throughout many states, and so every

0:10:36.679 --> 0:10:39.360
<v Speaker 1>single hospital and help us and we work with is

0:10:39.760 --> 0:10:44.600
<v Speaker 1>reporting staff shortages that your staff shortages, difficulties and getting

0:10:44.679 --> 0:10:47.839
<v Speaker 1>enough staff um to fill these units because you know,

0:10:47.880 --> 0:10:50.600
<v Speaker 1>there's a high, very high patient demand that's been caused

0:10:50.600 --> 0:10:53.760
<v Speaker 1>by the pandemic. Uh. And then what nurses are reporting

0:10:53.840 --> 0:10:55.840
<v Speaker 1>is like you know, over two thirds of them are

0:10:55.880 --> 0:10:59.400
<v Speaker 1>reporting high anxiety, high stress related to the pandemic and

0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:03.079
<v Speaker 1>related to being overworked. UM. So unfortunately, and it has

0:11:03.120 --> 0:11:06.199
<v Speaker 1>not eased up yet. But hopefully have cases go down

0:11:06.240 --> 0:11:08.560
<v Speaker 1>and a number of hostilizations go down over the next

0:11:08.640 --> 0:11:10.960
<v Speaker 1>few months. You know, we're hopeful that things will get

0:11:10.960 --> 0:11:12.840
<v Speaker 1>a little bit better. Are you feeling just kind about

0:11:12.840 --> 0:11:15.400
<v Speaker 1>twenty five seconds left that you are you feeling like

0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:20.000
<v Speaker 1>maybe by summer things start to feel quote unquote more normal. UM.

0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:23.400
<v Speaker 1>That really that really just depends on how the you know,

0:11:23.480 --> 0:11:26.959
<v Speaker 1>community um reacts to the vaccine and and and how

0:11:27.040 --> 0:11:30.440
<v Speaker 1>quickly the vaccine rollout can be UM. Right now, there

0:11:30.520 --> 0:11:33.079
<v Speaker 1>is a lot of frustration from healthcare workers towards their

0:11:33.120 --> 0:11:38.400
<v Speaker 1>local communities who are not necessarily following guidelines, UM, you know, mandates, maths,

0:11:38.920 --> 0:11:41.480
<v Speaker 1>so on, and it's just putting more healthcare workers at risk.

0:11:41.800 --> 0:11:44.800
<v Speaker 1>So hopefully the public health messaging will get better and

0:11:44.840 --> 0:11:47.520
<v Speaker 1>we'll be accepted by by communities. And that's really what

0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:49.160
<v Speaker 1>this is going to hinge on. All right, Gon, I'll

0:11:49.200 --> 0:11:51.040
<v Speaker 1>leave it on that note. Hey, Emon, nice to have

0:11:51.120 --> 0:11:53.480
<v Speaker 1>you back with us. Dr Iman Abuse, aid CEO and

0:11:53.480 --> 0:11:56.199
<v Speaker 1>co founder at Incredible Health joining us on the phone

0:11:56.280 --> 0:11:58.559
<v Speaker 1>from San Francisco. You know, it definitely feels like we're

0:11:58.559 --> 0:12:00.880
<v Speaker 1>making progress and but yeah, it was really surprising for

0:12:00.880 --> 0:12:03.559
<v Speaker 1>me to hear that it hasn't the workload hasn't het

0:12:03.640 --> 0:12:05.840
<v Speaker 1>up heased up for these healthcare workers. Yeah, it's still

0:12:05.880 --> 0:12:09.240
<v Speaker 1>pretty tough on them. This is Bloomberg Business Week with

0:12:09.320 --> 0:12:14.040
<v Speaker 1>Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio.

0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:18.959
<v Speaker 1>It's a real world illustration of a venture capitalist fantasy

0:12:18.960 --> 0:12:21.840
<v Speaker 1>about the future of media. We're talking about the tiny

0:12:21.920 --> 0:12:26.040
<v Speaker 1>tech startups sub stack that's reaching existential scale in the

0:12:26.040 --> 0:12:29.480
<v Speaker 1>media industry. So writes Ellen Hewett. This story is really interesting.

0:12:29.520 --> 0:12:31.679
<v Speaker 1>I didn't know about them, You didn't know about it.

0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:34.160
<v Speaker 1>It's it's We're gonna let Ellen and Joel talk about it.

0:12:34.160 --> 0:12:36.320
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, it's mind blowing. How much some of these

0:12:36.320 --> 0:12:39.520
<v Speaker 1>writers make over a million dollars a year. Pretty remarkable.

0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:41.920
<v Speaker 1>So she writes about it for Bloomberg business Week. Let's

0:12:41.960 --> 0:12:45.040
<v Speaker 1>get into her story. She has startups reporter Ellen Hewett

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:46.880
<v Speaker 1>on the phone in San Francisco, along a Bloomberg Business

0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Week nitor Jill Weber on the access line in Brooklyn.

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:51.880
<v Speaker 1>First of all, how did I mean, how did this

0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:53.520
<v Speaker 1>come to your attention or how did you guys think

0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:56.480
<v Speaker 1>about you wanted to put this in the magazine. Well,

0:12:56.640 --> 0:12:59.920
<v Speaker 1>it's been a business that has really caught a lot

0:13:00.000 --> 0:13:04.160
<v Speaker 1>of people, a lot of people's attention very quickly. Um

0:13:04.200 --> 0:13:06.360
<v Speaker 1>in part because of those numbers that you just mentioned,

0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:12.000
<v Speaker 1>because of the disruptive potential. Um And this is you

0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:14.120
<v Speaker 1>know what I like love about it? Is that it's

0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:17.720
<v Speaker 1>this company that's effectively invisible UM. And that was one

0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:20.199
<v Speaker 1>that we sort of just asked Ellen to kind of

0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:22.959
<v Speaker 1>take a look at, and her, she being the amazing

0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:24.760
<v Speaker 1>reporter that she has, like came back to us with

0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:26.640
<v Speaker 1>like a fully realized idea. You know, which is the

0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:29.680
<v Speaker 1>best part about working with people like Ellen and Bloomberg UM.

0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:32.160
<v Speaker 1>But the thing that you know has really struck everyone

0:13:32.240 --> 0:13:34.240
<v Speaker 1>with it is like, you know, this invisible company that

0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:38.040
<v Speaker 1>is basically taking over the software that generates a lot

0:13:38.040 --> 0:13:42.080
<v Speaker 1>of the emails that you probably receive UM without even

0:13:42.120 --> 0:13:47.040
<v Speaker 1>realizing that they're really the company underpinning at all. Uh So,

0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:49.599
<v Speaker 1>so Ellen like rewind the clock. What was the opportunity

0:13:49.679 --> 0:13:54.680
<v Speaker 1>that that sub stack saw and and set out to capture. Yeah,

0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 1>they launched in seen and it's been actually kind of

0:13:58.559 --> 0:14:01.760
<v Speaker 1>a really slow growth until I would say early twenty

0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:05.480
<v Speaker 1>or EGN mid They did exactly what you were explaining.

0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:08.760
<v Speaker 1>They saw that there were some a few independent writers

0:14:08.760 --> 0:14:10.880
<v Speaker 1>out there, including a guy named Ben Thompson runs a

0:14:10.960 --> 0:14:15.320
<v Speaker 1>very popular UM tech strategy analysis blog, who were doing

0:14:15.360 --> 0:14:18.320
<v Speaker 1>writing UM independently, and they had an audience as people

0:14:18.320 --> 0:14:21.840
<v Speaker 1>who were willing to pay for access to you know

0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:25.480
<v Speaker 1>this writing, so really prescribing to individual rather writers rather

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:27.800
<v Speaker 1>than subscribing to like the Washington Post or to Bloomberg.

0:14:28.240 --> 0:14:30.840
<v Speaker 1>And they thought, okay, well, if we just make the

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>tools to build these sorts of individual independent writer mini businesses, UM,

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:38.440
<v Speaker 1>we can make it easier for any writer to make

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:40.800
<v Speaker 1>that jump, and then we'll just take ten percent. So

0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:43.120
<v Speaker 1>it's really simple. And then basically what they've had to

0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:46.200
<v Speaker 1>do since then it's recruiting. They've been, um, in some

0:14:46.240 --> 0:14:50.720
<v Speaker 1>cases aggressively recruiting some of these top writers who have um,

0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:53.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, kind of distinct and very engaged followings and

0:14:54.160 --> 0:14:56.520
<v Speaker 1>trying to convince them, hey, you should leave your cushy

0:14:56.600 --> 0:15:00.320
<v Speaker 1>magazine job and come right for subject for your own boss,

0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:03.200
<v Speaker 1>run your own newsletter, and and you can make a

0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:05.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of money, and in some cases from these writers

0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:08.440
<v Speaker 1>are doing so, although in my estimation many are also

0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:11.040
<v Speaker 1>not going to make that much money doing it. But

0:15:11.040 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 1>but it is this very interesting kind of unbundling of writers,

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 1>individual writers and bylines that you might follow away from

0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:21.120
<v Speaker 1>the legacy publications that they might work at. So Ellen,

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:25.000
<v Speaker 1>as you note in your story, uh, other companies have

0:15:25.040 --> 0:15:27.480
<v Speaker 1>taken note of of sub stack and are trying to

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:32.920
<v Speaker 1>do what sub stack is doing. Twitter bought Review recently.

0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:37.120
<v Speaker 1>We learned recently that Facebook is working on newsletter tools.

0:15:37.120 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 1>According to the New York Times, can substack survive that

0:15:40.600 --> 0:15:44.360
<v Speaker 1>kind of competition, Well, it's a great question. And and yes,

0:15:44.400 --> 0:15:46.560
<v Speaker 1>there were even rumors in the fall that Twitter was

0:15:46.560 --> 0:15:48.720
<v Speaker 1>maybe going to buy a sub stack, and substack co

0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:50.480
<v Speaker 1>founders were like, that's not true at all, and then

0:15:50.520 --> 0:15:53.760
<v Speaker 1>of course they bought the competitor, and and as mentioned,

0:15:53.800 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Facebook looking into this and and look, this this isn't

0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:00.560
<v Speaker 1>um this isn't that hard to wrap. Okay, Like what

0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:03.920
<v Speaker 1>substact is selling is the convenience. They're saying, basically, just

0:16:04.000 --> 0:16:05.640
<v Speaker 1>come to us, give us ten percent, but we'll make

0:16:05.640 --> 0:16:07.880
<v Speaker 1>it so easy for you to set this up and

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:11.520
<v Speaker 1>maybe we'll send you know, some new readers your way.

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 1>But that that part hasn't really been realized yet. So

0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:16.080
<v Speaker 1>they're big concern as I imagine they think about all

0:16:16.080 --> 0:16:18.160
<v Speaker 1>the time, is that if you run a news letter

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:20.560
<v Speaker 1>on sub stack and you have, you know, tons of

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:22.280
<v Speaker 1>followers who are paying you money, at some point you're

0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:24.880
<v Speaker 1>gonna stop and think, like, man, there are three versions

0:16:24.920 --> 0:16:26.960
<v Speaker 1>of this out there that require more work to set up,

0:16:27.200 --> 0:16:29.120
<v Speaker 1>then I would get that last ten percent for myself

0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:31.520
<v Speaker 1>rather than handing it over to a platform. So they're

0:16:31.520 --> 0:16:33.360
<v Speaker 1>going to have to make sure that they make it

0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:35.440
<v Speaker 1>valuable enough that people are going to stay, especially when

0:16:35.440 --> 0:16:39.320
<v Speaker 1>their following is get really big. So what what's what

0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:42.000
<v Speaker 1>to me is most interesting about the sub stect story

0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:46.800
<v Speaker 1>is not only you know, suddenly it was like a

0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:49.000
<v Speaker 1>business model that like was in the right place at

0:16:49.000 --> 0:16:50.880
<v Speaker 1>the exact right time, and here we are in the

0:16:50.920 --> 0:16:55.320
<v Speaker 1>pandemic and and they're able to monetize and scale really quickly.

0:16:55.680 --> 0:16:58.240
<v Speaker 1>But also I mean it's a little bit of a

0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:02.840
<v Speaker 1>throwback we're talking about mel and newsletters, like is email

0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:06.360
<v Speaker 1>really the future of media? Because that's effectively what sub

0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:10.680
<v Speaker 1>spects that is. Yeah, and they have this very interesting

0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:12.440
<v Speaker 1>take on all this, which is there if you look

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:16.439
<v Speaker 1>at the way that they present their business, they're very

0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:20.359
<v Speaker 1>anti engagement. They feel like the reason that we have

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:26.320
<v Speaker 1>all this horrible like misinformation polarization, um like like horrible

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:29.840
<v Speaker 1>strift division in our country from you know that's expanded

0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:33.440
<v Speaker 1>on the internet is because of the social network desire

0:17:33.480 --> 0:17:35.679
<v Speaker 1>for engagement that they're always looking for people who are

0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Speaker 1>going to engage more with content and that most engaging

0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>content is divisive or misleading or anything like that. And

0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:45.040
<v Speaker 1>they're like, look, we're kind of like the Zen Quiet alternative,

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:47.879
<v Speaker 1>like you just pay for quality. No part of our

0:17:47.920 --> 0:17:50.600
<v Speaker 1>algorithm that's based on engagement. You're just signing up for

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:53.879
<v Speaker 1>these writers. And so so I think they would probably

0:17:53.880 --> 0:17:56.080
<v Speaker 1>embrace this idea that they're going back to something older,

0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:58.920
<v Speaker 1>because in many ways they're trying to position themselves as

0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 1>different from what has led, um, you know, what has

0:18:02.400 --> 0:18:04.600
<v Speaker 1>led to our our current climate. So when they said,

0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:07.119
<v Speaker 1>when they saw that Facebook and Twitter, we're dipping their

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:09.240
<v Speaker 1>toes into the newsletter business. Um. You know, one of

0:18:09.240 --> 0:18:12.600
<v Speaker 1>the co founders, Hamish Mackenzie, who we kind of profile

0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:15.400
<v Speaker 1>in the story, he said, you know, this is kind

0:18:15.400 --> 0:18:17.520
<v Speaker 1>of like Shell trying to say that they're going to

0:18:17.640 --> 0:18:21.320
<v Speaker 1>build um, you know, like renewable energy plants, or they're

0:18:21.359 --> 0:18:23.359
<v Speaker 1>just saying he's just trying to say that it's not

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:26.720
<v Speaker 1>in their DNA to build something that's doesn't rely on engagement.

0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:29.119
<v Speaker 1>And so so my guess is they would actually kind

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:31.400
<v Speaker 1>of embrace, embrace sex characterization. I don't know if people

0:18:31.440 --> 0:18:34.920
<v Speaker 1>are ready to have their inbox the the place where

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:37.320
<v Speaker 1>they're getting all this news and in fact, um my

0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:39.640
<v Speaker 1>understanding is that one of the features that people really

0:18:39.640 --> 0:18:42.199
<v Speaker 1>want from subtext is actually a way to read your

0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:44.680
<v Speaker 1>sub sect newsletters not in your inbox because you're used

0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:47.000
<v Speaker 1>to using your inbox for like to do items and

0:18:47.040 --> 0:18:48.920
<v Speaker 1>annoying emails that you don't want to look at. Maybe

0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:54.480
<v Speaker 1>a bundle of a publication. That's what I love about.

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:56.560
<v Speaker 1>Just one of the people I interviewed, there's a woman

0:18:56.600 --> 0:18:59.840
<v Speaker 1>named Anne Helen Peterson, very mus writer, and she just

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:03.280
<v Speaker 1>this is going to end up looking at like because

0:19:03.280 --> 0:19:06.480
<v Speaker 1>I want to hire him an editor and so old

0:19:06.600 --> 0:19:10.719
<v Speaker 1>media of them good stuff. As always, Ellen Hewittt, thank

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:13.159
<v Speaker 1>you so much startups. Reporter of Bloomberg News, Del Weber,

0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:15.480
<v Speaker 1>or thanks to you as well, editor of Bloomberg Business

0:19:15.520 --> 0:19:19.600
<v Speaker 1>Week as well. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:19:19.680 --> 0:19:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio

0:19:24.240 --> 0:19:26.399
<v Speaker 1>earlier today. Red sticky, as we like to refer to

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:29.320
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg when an important headline crosses the Bloomberg well.

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:32.600
<v Speaker 1>That happened earlier this morning when me and Moore imposed

0:19:32.640 --> 0:19:35.440
<v Speaker 1>martial law in its biggest cities following a third day

0:19:35.440 --> 0:19:39.720
<v Speaker 1>of massive street protests opposing the February one military coup.

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:42.920
<v Speaker 1>So that just happened about a week ago. So we're

0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 1>continuing to watch this situation, as does Bloomberg New Economy

0:19:45.720 --> 0:19:48.960
<v Speaker 1>editorial director Andy Brown, who in his weekly column writes

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:52.879
<v Speaker 1>that after insurrectionists stormed the US capital, it shouldn't be

0:19:52.920 --> 0:19:55.480
<v Speaker 1>a surprise at the General's and me and Moore decided

0:19:55.520 --> 0:19:57.800
<v Speaker 1>to stage a coup. Let's bring in Andy for more,

0:19:57.840 --> 0:20:00.600
<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone in New Hamps. You're Andy,

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:05.320
<v Speaker 1>happy Monday. Nice to have you here. Make the connection, um,

0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:07.960
<v Speaker 1>because I know you say it's not a causal link,

0:20:08.040 --> 0:20:10.600
<v Speaker 1>but nonetheless, what were you thinking about when you put

0:20:10.600 --> 0:20:13.159
<v Speaker 1>this column together? And what was the connection here between

0:20:13.200 --> 0:20:17.119
<v Speaker 1>what happened in the capital and what what happened in Myanmar. Yes, so,

0:20:17.160 --> 0:20:20.439
<v Speaker 1>as I say that there is no causal link, the

0:20:20.480 --> 0:20:25.040
<v Speaker 1>connection is that democracy all over the world is in

0:20:25.359 --> 0:20:29.639
<v Speaker 1>full retreat. Last year was just a shocking year for

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:34.679
<v Speaker 1>democracy everywhere, and hardly it's because of the way the

0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:39.640
<v Speaker 1>government's responded to the coronavirus pandemic UM using high tech

0:20:39.880 --> 0:20:45.280
<v Speaker 1>surveillance techniques UM limiting travel, basically poking and prodding around

0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:48.800
<v Speaker 1>into the personal lives of their citizens, which is you

0:20:48.840 --> 0:20:53.439
<v Speaker 1>know what authoritarian regimes have been doing in response to

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:57.760
<v Speaker 1>public health crisis now, um, for hundreds of years. Uh.

0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:00.879
<v Speaker 1>It's not the high tech bit, but certainly UM, the

0:21:01.000 --> 0:21:05.480
<v Speaker 1>power of the state advances with epidemics. UM. There is

0:21:05.480 --> 0:21:08.680
<v Speaker 1>a link between those two. And you know, as I

0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:11.880
<v Speaker 1>say so, so the the the the coup in in

0:21:11.880 --> 0:21:14.600
<v Speaker 1>in Myanma didn't come out of nowhere. We're seeing this

0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:17.719
<v Speaker 1>in the Middle East, We're seeing it in Africa, and

0:21:17.760 --> 0:21:20.480
<v Speaker 1>of course we're seeing it in in Western countries which

0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:24.479
<v Speaker 1>pride themselves as being these bastions of of of liberal

0:21:24.520 --> 0:21:28.960
<v Speaker 1>democracy and freedoms. That's kind of a dismal thing to

0:21:29.040 --> 0:21:34.480
<v Speaker 1>hear that over the last year we've seen democracies in retreat.

0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:37.320
<v Speaker 1>Is this the direction that things will continue or or

0:21:37.440 --> 0:21:43.520
<v Speaker 1>are there indications that this can be reversed? Um? Look,

0:21:43.600 --> 0:21:46.919
<v Speaker 1>this is the the Economist Intelligence unit which comes up

0:21:46.960 --> 0:21:51.639
<v Speaker 1>with this Democracy Index has been tracking UM the advance

0:21:51.680 --> 0:21:55.560
<v Speaker 1>of authoritarianism and the retreat of democracy since two thousand

0:21:55.640 --> 0:21:59.080
<v Speaker 1>and six, and last year was the worst year on record.

0:21:59.440 --> 0:22:03.000
<v Speaker 1>Only eight point four percent of the global population, they say,

0:22:03.040 --> 0:22:06.879
<v Speaker 1>now live in what they call a full fledged democracy,

0:22:06.920 --> 0:22:13.320
<v Speaker 1>about one third living authoritarian regimes. The US is deemed

0:22:13.400 --> 0:22:18.040
<v Speaker 1>under this index a flawed democracy. And the worst of

0:22:18.080 --> 0:22:21.440
<v Speaker 1>it is, they don't really see a way back to

0:22:21.600 --> 0:22:25.480
<v Speaker 1>full democracy because of the way that society has fragmented.

0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:28.919
<v Speaker 1>They don't see the social solidarity there that is necessary

0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:32.720
<v Speaker 1>to rebuild a full democracy in the United States. Well,

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 1>and that's what complicates it, right Andy, because you know,

0:22:35.920 --> 0:22:38.800
<v Speaker 1>the US, you know, it's hard to be an arbiter

0:22:38.880 --> 0:22:41.560
<v Speaker 1>of good democracy when your own democracy is flawed, right

0:22:41.840 --> 0:22:44.760
<v Speaker 1>and if you're trying to kind of help other places

0:22:44.760 --> 0:22:47.439
<v Speaker 1>around the world that are struggling with democracy, it doesn't

0:22:47.480 --> 0:22:50.680
<v Speaker 1>put the US in a great leadership role right now. Well,

0:22:50.720 --> 0:22:54.960
<v Speaker 1>that's exactly right. So, you know, President Biden has has

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:58.960
<v Speaker 1>of course denounced the coup has Um, demanded a return

0:22:59.040 --> 0:23:01.600
<v Speaker 1>to democracy, and has said that he wants to work

0:23:01.680 --> 0:23:04.800
<v Speaker 1>with like minded democracies around the world to put pressure

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:10.080
<v Speaker 1>on the two leaders in Myanmar to uh to reverse themselves. Well,

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:12.560
<v Speaker 1>the problem, the problem is that right now the United

0:23:12.600 --> 0:23:16.399
<v Speaker 1>States is not in a position, um to lead a

0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:21.000
<v Speaker 1>a a democratic comeback in Myama, given that its own

0:23:21.080 --> 0:23:26.040
<v Speaker 1>democracy is right now so so flawed. Um, you know,

0:23:26.160 --> 0:23:30.879
<v Speaker 1>so the the you know, the the generals in Myanmar

0:23:31.960 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 1>essentially taking all this in their in their stride and

0:23:35.600 --> 0:23:38.680
<v Speaker 1>and you know, have every reason to believe that they're

0:23:38.680 --> 0:23:40.520
<v Speaker 1>going to get away with it. And to the extent

0:23:40.720 --> 0:23:45.040
<v Speaker 1>that that Biden and allies managed to punish the generals,

0:23:45.080 --> 0:23:48.040
<v Speaker 1>it will only push them further into into the arms

0:23:48.119 --> 0:23:53.360
<v Speaker 1>of of of China, thus advancing China's great strategy, which

0:23:53.359 --> 0:23:55.520
<v Speaker 1>of course is to make the world safe for the

0:23:55.600 --> 0:23:59.679
<v Speaker 1>kind of authoritarian regime that it is very much become.

0:24:00.160 --> 0:24:03.800
<v Speaker 1>And as you were reporting on this story, what has

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>to change the United States? For what did you learn

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:08.560
<v Speaker 1>about what has to change in the United States? For

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:12.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, the social cohesion here needed to get closer

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:17.760
<v Speaker 1>to a full democracy and not a flawed democracy. Yeah,

0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:21.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, um, the the the the the the prescriptions

0:24:22.720 --> 0:24:27.919
<v Speaker 1>uh from at least from from the index, um really

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:32.160
<v Speaker 1>are quite nebulous on on what America has to do. Um.

0:24:32.640 --> 0:24:37.919
<v Speaker 1>The the real focus is, you know, the consequences of

0:24:38.200 --> 0:24:41.800
<v Speaker 1>failure to revive a full democracy, which is that the

0:24:41.880 --> 0:24:45.560
<v Speaker 1>United States won't be able to you know, be the

0:24:45.640 --> 0:24:48.720
<v Speaker 1>shining beacon on the hill as it you know, the

0:24:48.760 --> 0:24:52.280
<v Speaker 1>shining city on the hill, the beacon of democracy that

0:24:52.320 --> 0:24:56.119
<v Speaker 1>has dolvanized democratic forces all over the world. And East

0:24:56.160 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Asia of course, is where liberal democracy as advanced by

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:03.320
<v Speaker 1>the United States its World War two has recorded some

0:25:03.400 --> 0:25:08.320
<v Speaker 1>of its greatest successes, from the Philippines to Indonesia, and

0:25:08.359 --> 0:25:12.199
<v Speaker 1>of course South Korea, Japan and and and and so on.

0:25:12.240 --> 0:25:15.720
<v Speaker 1>And it's really tragic to see the United States position

0:25:15.760 --> 0:25:19.480
<v Speaker 1>now in these countries so much, very much in in

0:25:19.480 --> 0:25:22.400
<v Speaker 1>in retreat. Yeah, and it just you also get into

0:25:22.520 --> 0:25:26.520
<v Speaker 1>just the difficult positions that whether it's Tokyo, whether it's Singapore,

0:25:26.560 --> 0:25:29.160
<v Speaker 1>whether it's India, it's just gotten a lot more complicated

0:25:29.840 --> 0:25:33.040
<v Speaker 1>as um. You know, these countries have gotten involved two

0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:37.040
<v Speaker 1>more in uh ME and more so it's it's interesting, Andy, Um,

0:25:37.080 --> 0:25:38.760
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. I think this is an important

0:25:38.760 --> 0:25:41.000
<v Speaker 1>story that we've got to keep a watch on uh

0:25:41.040 --> 0:25:43.800
<v Speaker 1>in terms of what's going on there and what might

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:48.080
<v Speaker 1>happen next. Andy Brown is editorial director at Bloomberg New Economy.

0:25:48.240 --> 0:25:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Check out all of their work in Andy's work at

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:54.119
<v Speaker 1>new econ Forum that you can find on Twitter, and

0:25:54.160 --> 0:25:57.000
<v Speaker 1>of course Andy joining us on the phone from New

0:25:57.040 --> 0:26:05.479
<v Speaker 1>Hampshire Road Journal. Yeah, but you let me drive, no, no, no,

0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:09.520
<v Speaker 1>who's going drug home. Honey, please, I'll do the riding

0:26:09.600 --> 0:26:16.880
<v Speaker 1>revel lets me. I want to drive, just drive baby,

0:26:19.000 --> 0:26:30.160
<v Speaker 1>question try this is the drive to the globe. Comm thanks,

0:26:30.160 --> 0:26:33.640
<v Speaker 1>we'll drying us Dawn on Bloomberg Radio ALR. I get

0:26:33.720 --> 0:26:36.720
<v Speaker 1>ready to wrap up the first trading day of the week.

0:26:37.040 --> 0:26:39.440
<v Speaker 1>Let's get to the drive to the close. Larry Pittkowski

0:26:39.600 --> 0:26:42.159
<v Speaker 1>is back with us co founder, or i should say,

0:26:42.200 --> 0:26:46.360
<v Speaker 1>managing partner in portfolio manager good Haven Capital Management. They've

0:26:46.400 --> 0:26:49.240
<v Speaker 1>got roughly a hundred and sixty million in assets under management,

0:26:49.280 --> 0:26:51.480
<v Speaker 1>based in Milburn, New Jersey, and that's where we find

0:26:51.840 --> 0:26:54.800
<v Speaker 1>Larry on this Monday. Good to have you here. How

0:26:54.840 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>are you, Carol? I'm doing okay. How are you doing

0:26:58.080 --> 0:27:01.880
<v Speaker 1>all right? Hanging in there. It's a little cold, there's

0:27:01.880 --> 0:27:04.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot of snow on the ground, but yeah, it's

0:27:04.200 --> 0:27:07.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of snow. Um. I don't know, how do

0:27:07.560 --> 0:27:11.159
<v Speaker 1>you feel about this market environment right now? You know, Carol,

0:27:11.480 --> 0:27:13.920
<v Speaker 1>I think it's very important in investing to know where

0:27:13.920 --> 0:27:16.640
<v Speaker 1>your circle of competence begins and ends. And I don't

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:21.359
<v Speaker 1>think you know, making macro predictions or you know, having

0:27:21.359 --> 0:27:24.520
<v Speaker 1>a strongly held view about the level of the market

0:27:24.600 --> 0:27:27.399
<v Speaker 1>and where it's going is within mind. But you know,

0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:30.480
<v Speaker 1>clearly we have pockets of a lot of speculation. You

0:27:30.520 --> 0:27:35.040
<v Speaker 1>have the market's overall selling it, uh, you know, higher

0:27:35.040 --> 0:27:38.960
<v Speaker 1>than average multiples, and you know, but you can either

0:27:39.000 --> 0:27:42.960
<v Speaker 1>sit around and and philosophies about that all day, or

0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:46.719
<v Speaker 1>as I said recently in writing to uh, you know,

0:27:46.800 --> 0:27:48.879
<v Speaker 1>to my investors, I can get up a little earlier

0:27:48.880 --> 0:27:50.639
<v Speaker 1>and go to bed a little bit later in search

0:27:50.680 --> 0:27:53.960
<v Speaker 1>of mispriced securities for us, rather than sitting around and

0:27:54.040 --> 0:27:57.040
<v Speaker 1>ranting about what are obvious excesses in certain areas. And

0:27:57.080 --> 0:27:59.000
<v Speaker 1>so that's how I choose to spend the day. Okay,

0:27:59.000 --> 0:28:00.680
<v Speaker 1>so what are some of those miss of securities that

0:28:00.720 --> 0:28:05.200
<v Speaker 1>you're finding? Well, a couple of a couple of areas

0:28:05.240 --> 0:28:09.119
<v Speaker 1>that we have found as of late. Uh. First of all,

0:28:09.200 --> 0:28:11.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, I also recently wrote a bit over the

0:28:11.800 --> 0:28:13.960
<v Speaker 1>last year or so about how I've I think the

0:28:14.080 --> 0:28:17.520
<v Speaker 1>terms valuing growth and value investing have been somewhat misused,

0:28:17.520 --> 0:28:19.720
<v Speaker 1>and so I've over the last year or so wrote

0:28:19.720 --> 0:28:22.840
<v Speaker 1>a bit about how being a value investor, UH, does

0:28:22.880 --> 0:28:25.600
<v Speaker 1>not mean you can't own good quality, growing companies. It

0:28:25.680 --> 0:28:27.879
<v Speaker 1>does not mean you have to have a draconian negative

0:28:27.920 --> 0:28:30.800
<v Speaker 1>view of the future, and it does not mean you

0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:34.600
<v Speaker 1>need to own crummy, shrinking businesses and those things. And

0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:36.679
<v Speaker 1>I think growth is a part of value, and I

0:28:36.680 --> 0:28:41.000
<v Speaker 1>think that's all gone a little bit uh misused from

0:28:41.040 --> 0:28:43.680
<v Speaker 1>a nomenclature standpoint in the past, and I've tried to

0:28:43.720 --> 0:28:47.200
<v Speaker 1>address it, and you know, I think it's important. In

0:28:47.320 --> 0:28:51.000
<v Speaker 1>the past, I have written about how I thought there

0:28:51.000 --> 0:28:55.120
<v Speaker 1>were some interesting opportunities in the property and casualty insurance area,

0:28:55.160 --> 0:28:58.760
<v Speaker 1>which was a sector that I thought had some tail winds.

0:28:58.800 --> 0:29:01.400
<v Speaker 1>You know, there aren't that many advantages to not being

0:29:01.440 --> 0:29:03.840
<v Speaker 1>twenty five years old, but one of them is you've

0:29:03.840 --> 0:29:06.080
<v Speaker 1>seen a bunch of different cycles and this to me

0:29:06.280 --> 0:29:09.440
<v Speaker 1>looks like one of those periods in property and casual

0:29:09.520 --> 0:29:12.280
<v Speaker 1>the insurance where it's a hard market. As they say,

0:29:12.880 --> 0:29:18.520
<v Speaker 1>prices and terms are rising to favor the insurance and

0:29:18.600 --> 0:29:22.040
<v Speaker 1>I think that vodes well for well run companies in

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:25.240
<v Speaker 1>that sector. And so we have some exposure there and

0:29:25.280 --> 0:29:28.560
<v Speaker 1>we recently added chub, which has been well run by

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Evan Greenberg for many years and had some very solid

0:29:32.640 --> 0:29:35.200
<v Speaker 1>earnings recently, and I think they should benefit from what

0:29:35.320 --> 0:29:39.720
<v Speaker 1>looks like a healthy environment for the next couple of years.

0:29:39.760 --> 0:29:42.760
<v Speaker 1>So you know, when in the context of of property

0:29:42.760 --> 0:29:44.520
<v Speaker 1>and casualty insurance, a lot of people like to talk

0:29:44.560 --> 0:29:47.760
<v Speaker 1>about the disruptor Lemonade um is that do you see

0:29:47.800 --> 0:29:52.320
<v Speaker 1>that as competition to chub or or you know in

0:29:52.320 --> 0:29:55.040
<v Speaker 1>that sense, I think it's important. You know, I have

0:29:55.080 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 1>read the Lemonade stuff. I think it is important to

0:29:57.080 --> 0:29:59.560
<v Speaker 1>look at some of the new companies which have in

0:29:59.600 --> 0:30:02.800
<v Speaker 1>many as is. You know, there's there's often an underlying

0:30:03.080 --> 0:30:08.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, reinsurance company underneath the surface who's taking on

0:30:08.320 --> 0:30:11.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the risk. But I think digitization is

0:30:11.680 --> 0:30:15.600
<v Speaker 1>important in especially you know insurance and you know the

0:30:15.640 --> 0:30:18.480
<v Speaker 1>primaries who faced the consumer. I think it's very important.

0:30:18.480 --> 0:30:22.160
<v Speaker 1>Another holding we have in the sector's Progressive insurance, which

0:30:22.160 --> 0:30:24.840
<v Speaker 1>has been one of the you know, I think leaders

0:30:24.840 --> 0:30:28.520
<v Speaker 1>and using big data to price well and auto insurance.

0:30:28.560 --> 0:30:32.960
<v Speaker 1>Those auto insurance is seeing not seeing the same positive

0:30:33.000 --> 0:30:34.920
<v Speaker 1>pricing momentum you're seeing in a lot of other lines

0:30:34.960 --> 0:30:38.240
<v Speaker 1>of property and casualty insurance. But I think it's important

0:30:38.280 --> 0:30:41.640
<v Speaker 1>to pay attention. If you're a business analyst like I

0:30:41.680 --> 0:30:45.360
<v Speaker 1>consider myself to any new entrant in any new form

0:30:45.400 --> 0:30:48.440
<v Speaker 1>of technology and decide if you think it could be

0:30:48.520 --> 0:30:51.880
<v Speaker 1>materially disruptive or if you think the companies that you're

0:30:51.880 --> 0:30:54.920
<v Speaker 1>invested in can also harness technology to their benefits. So

0:30:55.000 --> 0:30:59.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm comfortable with our companies and how they're awake to

0:30:59.440 --> 0:31:02.280
<v Speaker 1>some of the friends that are changing. But I'm always

0:31:02.320 --> 0:31:04.680
<v Speaker 1>looking at everybody, knew, who shows up that I am

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:09.240
<v Speaker 1>aware of. Yeah, interesting, Um, I know. And like you said,

0:31:09.280 --> 0:31:11.520
<v Speaker 1>I think the price increases is a key right because

0:31:11.560 --> 0:31:15.200
<v Speaker 1>there's been year after year of kind of fierce industry

0:31:15.240 --> 0:31:19.880
<v Speaker 1>wide price competition. So if that's changing that that fundamentally

0:31:19.920 --> 0:31:23.280
<v Speaker 1>then maybe changes the prospect and outlook for CHAP. Correct.

0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:25.960
<v Speaker 1>I think it does, and I think, you know, we'll

0:31:25.960 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 1>see how long it lasts. But I think you are seeing,

0:31:29.000 --> 0:31:30.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, you look at the results from you know,

0:31:30.800 --> 0:31:35.440
<v Speaker 1>across UH that sector, and you're seeing much better results

0:31:35.600 --> 0:31:37.720
<v Speaker 1>than you've seen over the last couple of years. That

0:31:37.760 --> 0:31:40.240
<v Speaker 1>they still have claims to deal with from you know,

0:31:40.320 --> 0:31:43.400
<v Speaker 1>natural disasters and the COVID claims. But I think the

0:31:43.440 --> 0:31:45.640
<v Speaker 1>well run ones, which are the ones that we own,

0:31:45.720 --> 0:31:47.680
<v Speaker 1>should be able to do just fine for a while,

0:31:47.920 --> 0:31:50.560
<v Speaker 1>to say the least. Okay, so you guys recently bought

0:31:50.560 --> 0:31:52.840
<v Speaker 1>p G and E, which is a surprising thing for

0:31:52.840 --> 0:31:56.480
<v Speaker 1>for me to read. Um, it's filed Chapter eleven bankruptcy

0:31:56.560 --> 0:32:01.640
<v Speaker 1>twice because of exposure to wildfire uh abilities. Um, what's

0:32:01.640 --> 0:32:07.960
<v Speaker 1>the argument there, T. G and E is I think

0:32:08.000 --> 0:32:11.400
<v Speaker 1>a remade company now that it has come out of bankruptcy,

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:15.760
<v Speaker 1>there is a wildfire fund. They have articulated they think

0:32:15.760 --> 0:32:17.480
<v Speaker 1>earnings are going to be about a buck and then

0:32:17.480 --> 0:32:19.120
<v Speaker 1>grow back ten per cent a year on a go

0:32:19.160 --> 0:32:23.120
<v Speaker 1>forward basis. I think there had been terrible mismanagement in

0:32:23.160 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 1>the past from a standpoint of how to think about safety,

0:32:27.120 --> 0:32:29.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think they have done their best to try

0:32:29.600 --> 0:32:32.800
<v Speaker 1>and wipe the slate clean and start over with some

0:32:32.840 --> 0:32:36.720
<v Speaker 1>real protection from a liability perspective and with a go

0:32:36.920 --> 0:32:40.080
<v Speaker 1>forward earnings growth profile that looks decent, and with a

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:44.560
<v Speaker 1>share price most importantly that looked very undervalued compared to

0:32:44.600 --> 0:32:47.840
<v Speaker 1>where the peers trade. And they were also searching at

0:32:47.840 --> 0:32:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the time that we bought it for new management. And

0:32:50.680 --> 0:32:54.000
<v Speaker 1>it turns out they hired the very well respected Patty

0:32:54.040 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 1>Poppy who came from CMS Energy, and then just recently

0:32:57.280 --> 0:33:01.000
<v Speaker 1>hired Adam right Away from Berkshire Hathaway Energies. Those are

0:33:01.000 --> 0:33:05.120
<v Speaker 1>really credible and impressive leaders that should be able to

0:33:05.440 --> 0:33:09.360
<v Speaker 1>I hope, over time return the company to really good

0:33:09.400 --> 0:33:12.320
<v Speaker 1>standing in the growth profile over in your term looks

0:33:12.360 --> 0:33:14.959
<v Speaker 1>above average and the share price looks much cheaper than

0:33:15.000 --> 0:33:18.040
<v Speaker 1>the peers. Yeah, a whole new risk modeling and fire

0:33:18.080 --> 0:33:21.840
<v Speaker 1>spread technology that they've been deploying and laying out to

0:33:21.960 --> 0:33:25.400
<v Speaker 1>further reduce wildfire risk, among other things. Um, Larry good

0:33:25.600 --> 0:33:28.800
<v Speaker 1>to check in with you. Stay, stay warm and take care.

0:33:28.920 --> 0:33:32.600
<v Speaker 1>Larry Pitkowski, he's managing partner portfolio manager at good Haven

0:33:32.640 --> 0:33:41.360
<v Speaker 1>Capital Management. On the phone from Bilbourg, New Jersey. Thanks

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:45.280
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:33:45.400 --> 0:33:47.560
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:33:47.560 --> 0:33:50.160
<v Speaker 1>our radio show at two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio

0:33:50.280 --> 0:33:53.040
<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube. Search to Bloomberg Global News