1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:11,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: Daybreak Europe podcast. Good morning, It's Monday, the twenty seventh 3 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 1: of October. I'm Stephen Carroll in London. Coming up today, 4 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 1: Top trade negotiators for the US and China tea up 5 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: a sweeping trade deal ahead of a meeting between Trump 6 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: and she a one point one billion dollar hit. HSBC 7 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:32,920 Speaker 1: joins other lenders and tallying the ballooning costs tied to 8 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: Bernie Madoff's Ponzi scheme. Plus why golds bumper returns are 9 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: delivering glittering pay packets for specialist traders amid a growing 10 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: talent war. Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. 11 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:50,160 Speaker 1: Trade negotiators from China and the United States have reached 12 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:54,279 Speaker 1: a series of agreements covering tariffs, shipping fees, fentanyl, and 13 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: export controls. The deals, concluded after two days of talks 14 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 1: in Malaysia, represent a significant easing of tensions following US 15 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 1: threats to impose one hundred percent tariffs on Chinese export 16 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:10,479 Speaker 1: controls on rare earth minerals. US Treasury Secretary Scott Besson 17 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: told NBC's Meet the Press that Trump's tariff threats had 18 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: been key to securing the terms. 19 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:20,559 Speaker 2: President Trump gave me a great deal of negotiating leverage 20 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 2: with the threat of the one hundred percent tariffs on 21 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 2: November first, and I believe we've reached some very substantial 22 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:32,319 Speaker 2: framework that will avoid that and allow us to discuss 23 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 2: many other things with the Chinese. 24 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: Scott Beson's speaking to NBC's Meet the Press with President. 25 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: She and Trump now expected to sign off on the 26 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 1: agreements later this week when they meet in South Korea. 27 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 1: It will be the first in person meeting between the 28 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: two leaders since Donald Trump returned to the White House, 29 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: and Donald Trump's been speaking in the past few minutes 30 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: aboard Air Force One, saying that nothing has been agreed 31 00:01:56,040 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: yet on China, but feel good is how the President 32 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 1: is describing his sentiment as he approaches that meeting later 33 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: in the week toward the news Now, HSBC is setting 34 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:11,080 Speaker 1: aside more than a billion dollars to cover legal costs 35 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 1: related to fraud claims dating back to two thousand and nine. 36 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 1: The bank joins other global firms which have been unexpectedly 37 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: hit recently with ballooning costs over decades old litigation. Bloomberg's 38 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 1: Tea out of Bio as More. 39 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 3: When financier Bernie Madoff's infamous Ponzi scheme fell apart in 40 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 3: two thousand and nine, customer statements reflected about sixty five 41 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 3: billion dollars in non existent investments. To this day, multiple 42 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 3: banks are still defending against litigation related to the case, 43 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 3: including HSBC. The firm has announced it will set aside 44 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 3: one point one billion dollars to cover litigation by investors 45 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:50,560 Speaker 3: who lost money in the fraud. According to a statement 46 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 3: from the lender, the amount will have an impact on 47 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 3: the firm's capital reserves. In London t Bloomberg. 48 00:02:57,320 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 1: Radio, the UK's Deputy Prime Minister, David lamb Me says 49 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 1: a convicted sex offender who came into the country illegally 50 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 1: will be deported this week. The asylum seeker Hadouj Kabatu, 51 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 1: was accidentally released from prison on Friday, sparking a manhunt. 52 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: He was re arrested on Sunday, but David Lammy says 53 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:16,239 Speaker 1: there will be lessons learned. 54 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 4: We need to get to the bottom of how this 55 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 4: happened and why it happened. Of course, on behalf of 56 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:25,239 Speaker 4: the public, I want to be reassured that it won't 57 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,079 Speaker 4: continue to happen, and that the systems that we put 58 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 4: in place, the checks and balances, are there to reassure 59 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:32,360 Speaker 4: the public. 60 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: Lammie will speak in Parliament later today on the issue. 61 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: The incident has embarrassed the government as it tries to 62 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: show it can control migration with tougher border policies. A 63 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: former Bank of England governor says the Labor government lacks 64 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 1: a coherent economic strategy. Reverend King was asked by Sky 65 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 1: News if he could identify a Labor's economic plan. 66 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 5: No, I can't, and that's what worries me. And this 67 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 5: is true across a wide range of government policies. What 68 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 5: happens is the be our producers just before the budget 69 00:04:02,680 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 5: a number one number, and then they look round for 70 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 5: you know what, ideas almost written on the back of 71 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 5: a fat packet about how you can raise an extra 72 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 5: few billionaire or a few billion there. That is not 73 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 5: coherent tax strategy and you could do a great deal 74 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 5: by thinking it through first. 75 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 1: Mervin King was Governor of the UK Central Bank from 76 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 1: two thousand and three to twenty thirteen. He also took 77 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: aim at decades of what he described as tinkering with 78 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: the tax system. This as the Chancellor is preparing her 79 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 1: November budget, with businesses and the wealthy bracing for higher taxes. 80 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 1: In Argentina, President Hamlay's party is one mid term elections 81 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 1: and a major comeback for the libertarian leader. With more 82 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:46,480 Speaker 1: than ninety percent of ballots counted, La Libertada Vansa has 83 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: over forty percent of the vote, well ahead of the 84 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: main opposition party. The victory follows a landslide defeat in 85 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:55,720 Speaker 1: last month's local elections in Buenos Aires. That loss had 86 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: sparked concerns over Malay's political strength, triggering a sell off 87 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 1: in the peso and leading the United States to extend 88 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:06,279 Speaker 1: a twenty billion dollar swap line to support the currency. 89 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:10,039 Speaker 1: Addressing supporters, Malay said voters have now rejected what he 90 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 1: called the model of failure. 91 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 6: Argentinians showed that they don't want to return to the 92 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:19,840 Speaker 6: model of failure, to the model of inflation, to the 93 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 6: model of monetary issuance, to the model of the useless state, 94 00:05:23,800 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 6: to the model of insecurity. Argentinians told populism to stop 95 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 6: populism never again. 96 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: President have Emla there speaking via a translator, and in 97 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,799 Speaker 1: the midterm results secure enough seats for him to preserve 98 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 1: his veto power and advance plans for sweeping economic reforms. 99 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: French authorities have arrested several people over the heist at 100 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 1: the Louver Museum in Paris. The city's prosecutor says one 101 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 1: of those detained was planning to free the country. According 102 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:56,919 Speaker 1: to local media reports, two of the suspects are experienced 103 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 1: burglars and they have been acting on orders. Police van 104 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: hunt for four people who broke into the Louver in 105 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 1: broad daylight just over a week ago. They stole eight 106 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,600 Speaker 1: pieces of jewelry, including necklaces, trs and earrings. It remains 107 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:12,040 Speaker 1: unclear if the stolen jewels have been recovered. And those 108 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: are our top stories on the markets. The MSCIASA Pacific 109 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:17,359 Speaker 1: Index up by one and a half percent. Eurostocks fifty 110 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 1: features are six tents higher this morning. The tenure treasury 111 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 1: yield up three and a half basis points now to 112 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:27,159 Speaker 1: four point zero four percent. Gold prices are sliding seven 113 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:30,280 Speaker 1: tents this morning four eighty three dollars a barrel. Copper 114 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:32,799 Speaker 1: futures though by one point eight percent, and oil prices 115 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 1: have been rising as well on the back of those 116 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 1: latest US China headlines. Just looking at the latest that 117 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: we're hearing from the US President talking about he's going 118 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: to have a great talk with she saying he thinks 119 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: they'll have a successful transaction with the Chinese president and 120 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 1: we might sign a final deal on TikTok on Thursday. 121 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: Those are some of the latest comments we've had out 122 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 1: of the US President. Now, in a moment, we'll bring 123 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: you up to date on the US China trade, plus 124 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:02,360 Speaker 1: tell you how the recent spike in the price of 125 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 1: gold is also driving a hiring spree for traders in 126 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:08,840 Speaker 1: the precious metal. But another story we've been reading this 127 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 1: morning about how housekeeper salaries in the US are now 128 00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 1: topping one hundred thousand dollars as luxury furniture booms. So 129 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 1: James Army from Bloomberg Pursuits have been writing about this 130 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: and speaking to some of these top tier people and 131 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: what it takes to get to their level. One of 132 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 1: them Gina, telling him that you need to know at 133 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:28,240 Speaker 1: art and design because some of the items that you're 134 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,560 Speaker 1: cleaning could be irreplaceable. So she says the value of 135 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 1: the pieces has increased greatly, even if it's not the 136 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 1: most well known artists, and that high end houses have 137 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: crazy prices and almost everything, So it's not just the 138 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: complexity of the materials themselves. It could be mixes of 139 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 1: metals or woods or glass, or a variety of synthetics, 140 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 1: and she says she has to research everything before she 141 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 1: touches it as well. This is also meaning that some 142 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:55,080 Speaker 1: of the specialist companies in this area are also finding 143 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: their services in high demand. James spoke to Charles McPherson 144 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 1: in Toronto, who trains in places staff in households around 145 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 1: the world. He offers a five week training course on 146 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: everything from communication to security. This, of course, of the 147 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: value of some of these precious furniture items have risen 148 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 1: as well, so the salaries of the people employed to maintain 149 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: them are going up to It's a great insight into 150 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 1: this industry. You can read the piece on Bloomberg dot 151 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 1: com and we'll put a link to it in our 152 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 1: poscast show notes as well. 153 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:22,160 Speaker 4: Well. 154 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 1: Let's bring you some more now in those latest to 155 00:08:23,840 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 1: US China trade talks, after negotiators reached agreements on a 156 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: range of issues ahead of the meetings of President Trump 157 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 1: and She later this week. A little earlier, I spoke 158 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg' Jenny marsh who leads our team covering China's 159 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 1: economy and government, and I started by asking her for 160 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: the details of what was agreed over the weekend. So 161 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 1: the details of. 162 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 7: The moment are very vague. What we do know is 163 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 7: that both sides they had these two days of talks 164 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:50,319 Speaker 7: in Malaysia actually sort of much shorter in length and 165 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:52,560 Speaker 7: mostne and other rounds, so they seem to have come 166 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 7: to the conclusions quite quickly. But they came out say 167 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 7: that they come to terms basically on a range of 168 00:08:56,960 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 7: contentious points, and so this covered export controls, fentanel, shipping levees, 169 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 7: and they also talked about sort of agricultural purgators as well, 170 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:10,680 Speaker 7: and said that the final details of the TikTok deal 171 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 7: had also been sort of on the negotiating table, so 172 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:18,959 Speaker 7: it was a very wide ranging sort of group of topics. 173 00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 7: They didn't give as many sort of specifics other than 174 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 7: scot Percent did say after the talks rapped that the 175 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:28,439 Speaker 7: Chinese said on their latest rare earth curbs, which have 176 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:32,679 Speaker 7: been so controversial, they had pledged to defer those by 177 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:36,280 Speaker 7: one year. So that's a fairly big concession there from 178 00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 7: the Chinese, as revealed by the US side, We don't 179 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 7: have confirmation from Beijing. 180 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: How does this set us up then for the meeting 181 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 1: between Presidents Trump and She is the conciliatory tone being 182 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 1: matched on both sides. 183 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 7: It is it is. I think this sets us up 184 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 7: very well for the meeting between the two leaders. We 185 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 7: now sort of know what they're going to be talking about. 186 00:09:58,080 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 7: They're kind of just going to be signing off on 187 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,680 Speaker 7: these areas, you know. And even the People's Daily, which 188 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:06,960 Speaker 7: is the Communist Party's mouthpiece, had a commentary this morning 189 00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 7: which was very dubbish in tone and really sort of 190 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:12,160 Speaker 7: talking about how successful it is when the two sides 191 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 7: come together to use this sort of trade talks mechanism 192 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 7: they've set up, and calling on the US to sort 193 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:21,120 Speaker 7: of jointly safeguard these hard won achievements and saying they 194 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:24,440 Speaker 7: should be cherished. The context there, of course, is that 195 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:27,319 Speaker 7: after previous roundst of trade talks, you know, they've both 196 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:29,560 Speaker 7: gone back to their respective countries feeling like everything was 197 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 7: sorted out, and then the US Commerce Department has sort 198 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 7: of announced export controls and that's really angered the Chinese 199 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 7: over the last few months because that these sort of 200 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:44,240 Speaker 7: extra controls have been outside the scope of these talks, 201 00:10:44,280 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 7: and what China really wants is for everything they are 202 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:49,720 Speaker 7: talking about in terms of trade now to run through 203 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 7: this mechanism and to be able to manage it that 204 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 7: way so they're not caught by surprise by sort of 205 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:56,600 Speaker 7: additional measures. 206 00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 1: So where do we watch for the key air is 207 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 1: now that where further developments could happen as we count 208 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:06,240 Speaker 1: down to that meeting. Are there subjects which could derail 209 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: the progress that has been made over the weekend? 210 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 7: I mean, never say never, right And you've got Trump, 211 00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 7: percent and Marco Rubio all in the region right now 212 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 7: for Asian and APEC meetings, so they're all going to 213 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 7: be talking to the press and briefing, and I think, 214 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 7: you know, if any of them come out and say 215 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 7: anything particularly offensive towards the Chinese, that would be bad. 216 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 7: I think if if US Commerce Department this week, you know, 217 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 7: if Lutnick, Sydney and Washington decides to sort of Recabot 218 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 7: by rolling out some more sort of curves on Huawei 219 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 7: or something, that would be very very bad. That potentially 220 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:43,560 Speaker 7: has even derailed the meeting between Trump and She. I 221 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 7: think at this point that isn't going to happen. And 222 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 7: everyone sort of worked very hard to get to where 223 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:50,600 Speaker 7: they are now, and it looks like we're sort of 224 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 7: going to be reasonably smooth saling going into that meeting 225 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 7: on Thursday that Spinberks. 226 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: Jennie marshallely is our team covering China's economy and government. 227 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:03,160 Speaker 1: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Daybreak Europe coming up 228 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:06,920 Speaker 1: after this. Now, trading houses, hedge funds, and banks are 229 00:12:06,920 --> 00:12:10,320 Speaker 1: on a hiring spree for specialist gold traders as interest 230 00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,199 Speaker 1: in the metal source. It's creating a battle for talents 231 00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 1: that's driving up pay packages and what has traditionally been 232 00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:19,440 Speaker 1: a niche market our metals and mining reporters. Sobella grows 233 00:12:19,520 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 1: joins us now for more. It's great to talk to you. 234 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 1: Is this surgeon hiring them all down to the surge 235 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:27,240 Speaker 1: in gold prices. 236 00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:31,080 Speaker 8: Partly, it's been an unprecedent year in gold and all 237 00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:33,720 Speaker 8: of the other precious metals really, and I've been speaking 238 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:36,720 Speaker 8: to traders and they've been telling me they've been seeing 239 00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:40,200 Speaker 8: unprecedented demand from clients new clients have never really dealt 240 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:44,480 Speaker 8: with before, including large corporations and multiple family offices. And 241 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:46,920 Speaker 8: he said, just the level event one of the traders 242 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 8: I spoke with the other day, so it's just far 243 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:53,959 Speaker 8: from normal. But on the other hand, what the trading 244 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:57,520 Speaker 8: houses and hedge funds are really looking to exploit I 245 00:12:57,520 --> 00:12:59,560 Speaker 8: think in the current market is the fact that we've 246 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 8: seen huge priced dislocations on several occasions this year between 247 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 8: key trading hubs, which opens up very lucrative arbitrage opportunities. Obviously, 248 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:13,960 Speaker 8: the beginning of the year, traders were very worried that 249 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 8: precious metals would be hit with US tariffs. Some of 250 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:20,840 Speaker 8: those fears are still in the market for silver, platinum, palladium. 251 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:24,640 Speaker 8: But basically what we're seeing is huge arbitrage opportunities open up, 252 00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 8: and that's why all of these big physical trading houses 253 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:30,840 Speaker 8: and the hedgephones want to come in and exploit those opportunities. 254 00:13:31,440 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 1: So how easy or difficult is it then to hire 255 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:34,920 Speaker 1: gold traders? 256 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 8: I guess historically the market's been really dominated by a 257 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,960 Speaker 8: small handful of banks. Probably the two most well known 258 00:13:41,960 --> 00:13:46,800 Speaker 8: ones are JP Morgan and HSBC. I think in previous years. 259 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:51,200 Speaker 8: You know, I've been talking to traders who've been in 260 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 8: the market a long time, and they've kind of expressed 261 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:58,520 Speaker 8: sort of sentiments along the lines of banks have sort 262 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 8: of stepped away from the market underinvested in their team, 263 00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 8: so effectively, what we're looking at today is a lot 264 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 8: of these banks have been operating with quite lean teams 265 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 8: and that's left us with a not very deep pool 266 00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 8: of talent. Now that prices have saw this year, as 267 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 8: you rightly pointed out at the beginning, you know, new 268 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:20,560 Speaker 8: participates want to take opportunities to break into the sector, 269 00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:23,640 Speaker 8: but there aren't that many people to draw upon. So 270 00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 8: to give you a sense of how much the backup 271 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 8: really has changed, my colleague Jack Ryan wrote in a 272 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:32,320 Speaker 8: story earlier this month, you know, an average of nearly 273 00:14:32,360 --> 00:14:35,200 Speaker 8: six hundred billion dollars worth of spot gold has been 274 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:38,720 Speaker 8: traded each week in London in recent months. That's more 275 00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 8: than a threefold increase since twenty twenty one. The other 276 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 8: point I would just make is, you know what the 277 00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 8: physical trading houses and hedge funds really want people who 278 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 8: understand the macro force, its forces that really steer what's 279 00:14:55,320 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 8: happening in precious metals prices, but also just the practicalities 280 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 8: of moving the metal around, because that's really where the 281 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:06,760 Speaker 8: probably the biggest opportunity is, like exploiting those charge windows. 282 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: So for those people who are already in this area 283 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 1: and skilled, are they rubbing their hands with glee? What 284 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 1: does it mean in terms of the sort of incentives 285 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:18,640 Speaker 1: that they can attract in this area. 286 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 8: Yeah, that's a great question. A lot of the traders 287 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 8: I've spoken to have been saying, you know, they're being 288 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 8: hit up on a weekly or you know, monthly basis, 289 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 8: even from other participants in the market who are keen 290 00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:34,760 Speaker 8: to poach them. So I guess, you know, the world's 291 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:37,440 Speaker 8: their oyster. They've they've got a lot of opportunities. I 292 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 8: guess the most obvious incentive here is, you know, bonuses. 293 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 8: Trading houses and hedgepunts are more willing to pay more. 294 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:51,520 Speaker 8: One of my colleagues spoke with a commodities hedge headhunter, 295 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 8: and you know he mentioned that basically physical trading houses 296 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 8: can get bonuses that are two to three higher times 297 00:15:58,040 --> 00:16:01,360 Speaker 8: higher than banks. So you're seeing a huge amount of 298 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:05,120 Speaker 8: turnover at all sorts of levels, and I guess traders 299 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 8: can move around if they don't feel like they're being 300 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 8: properly incentivized. 301 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 302 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 1: stories making news from London. To Wall Street and beyond. 303 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 9: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 304 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:21,880 Speaker 9: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 305 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 306 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 307 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 9: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 308 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 9: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 309 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 9: I'm Caroline Hipka and. 310 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 311 00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:41,880 Speaker 1: the news you need to start your day right here 312 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe