WEBVTT - Contract Year Runners 0:00:00.880 --> 0:00:04.600 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.720 --> 0:00:10.080 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.360 --> 0:00:14.760 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.880 --> 0:00:18.480 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.520 --> 0:00:26.000 here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am 0:00:26.040 --> 0:00:29.040 Paul Charge and my co host today is Matt Harrison 0:00:29.080 --> 0:00:32.640 Explosive Output on Twitter. Hi Matt hi Charge. This is 0:00:32.680 --> 0:00:37.640 a very dynasty and Empire oriented podcast this week on 0:00:37.720 --> 0:00:41.400 Fantasy Football Weekly and UM. Now for those who don't know, 0:00:41.840 --> 0:00:43.640 I don't want to be freaking out our Empire leagues. 0:00:43.640 --> 0:00:45.440 A lot of our listeners don't know what Empire leagues are. 0:00:45.479 --> 0:00:47.560 Give people to quick rundown on Empire leagues and White 0:00:47.680 --> 0:00:50.600 runs in tandem with dynasty. I am an Empire League 0:00:50.680 --> 0:00:52.919 is a dynasty league. It's just got a couple of 0:00:52.960 --> 0:00:56.240 special little uh tricks that are that's up at sleeve 0:00:56.800 --> 0:01:00.960 uh the Empire League. UH. When you win in a 0:01:01.000 --> 0:01:04.919 given year, you cannot make trades the following year because 0:01:04.920 --> 0:01:07.679 if you win in that subsequent year two years in 0:01:07.720 --> 0:01:13.200 a row, you win the Empire Dynasty Rolling Pot, where 0:01:13.280 --> 0:01:16.479 each year we put about half of the pot aside 0:01:16.800 --> 0:01:20.600 for the Empire Pot, I think we're in one that. Uh, 0:01:20.720 --> 0:01:22.759 we're in the oldest, we're in the original Empire. Yeah, 0:01:22.800 --> 0:01:25.479 I think we're in year seven. Are our Empire Pot 0:01:25.560 --> 0:01:28.400 has I believe nine thousand dollars in it right now? 0:01:28.840 --> 0:01:32.919 Could and it's a one fifty dollar entry into that league. 0:01:32.959 --> 0:01:35.760 So we're we're each contributing seventy five dollars of our 0:01:35.840 --> 0:01:38.360 entry fee of this Empire Pot every year. So we're 0:01:38.400 --> 0:01:42.080 we're nine grand in and uh, if I think it's 0:01:42.160 --> 0:01:44.640 Christian Peterson who won it last year, If C wins 0:01:44.720 --> 0:01:47.200 this year, the whole thing's over and he wins the pot, 0:01:47.280 --> 0:01:49.640 he wins the nine thousand dollars, he wins the nine grant, 0:01:49.680 --> 0:01:51.720 he wins that year's pay out, and the league ends 0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:53.919 and the league ends. I love the fact that it's 0:01:53.960 --> 0:01:57.120 a format in which a league ends. That's the Empire League. 0:01:57.120 --> 0:01:58.760 But it's still a dynasty league. And so all the 0:01:58.760 --> 0:02:00.720 stuff that we're talking about really we're for both here, 0:02:00.920 --> 0:02:03.800 and we're going to focus our attention on contract year 0:02:04.080 --> 0:02:07.400 running backs. I think next week will do the contract 0:02:07.480 --> 0:02:11.400 year past catchers and um and so we're gonna contract 0:02:11.520 --> 0:02:15.560 look at the players that are in the contract here 0:02:15.560 --> 0:02:17.480 and whether or not and we're just gonna look really 0:02:17.520 --> 0:02:19.440 a heady year, and you know, whether or not we 0:02:19.440 --> 0:02:23.200 think they're gonna stay put, what their value is gonna 0:02:23.200 --> 0:02:25.520 go down after this year for those people are already 0:02:25.560 --> 0:02:28.360 starting to think about one um in the league in 0:02:28.360 --> 0:02:32.680 which you're describing, I had been a good not great 0:02:32.720 --> 0:02:35.000 team for many years, and I just bottomed out last year. 0:02:35.080 --> 0:02:37.680 You sold all my assets, and and I know you're 0:02:37.680 --> 0:02:39.440 in the same spot. You and I are just total 0:02:39.520 --> 0:02:42.000 rebuilding mode in the league. And and so you know 0:02:42.000 --> 0:02:44.480 a lot of my attention is and it might be 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:47.040 my year in that that league because I have three 0:02:47.040 --> 0:02:49.600 picks in the top six. So I'm feeling I'm feeling 0:02:49.639 --> 0:02:52.079 like I can I can maybe make a jump this year. 0:02:52.120 --> 0:02:55.799 I think you probably can. But to frame this conversation, UM, 0:02:56.040 --> 0:03:00.760 I want to start by saying that in one I've 0:03:00.760 --> 0:03:04.400 got about fifteen teams in the NFL that could be 0:03:04.520 --> 0:03:07.440 looking for running back next year, and I got about 0:03:07.560 --> 0:03:11.200 ten really solid running backs who are set to hit 0:03:11.200 --> 0:03:14.800 free agency this year. So the runners may have some 0:03:14.800 --> 0:03:17.400 some power here. There may be a few landing spots 0:03:17.440 --> 0:03:20.480 for these guys. But I also wanted to mention um 0:03:20.520 --> 0:03:23.959 as we frame this conversation, there's currently only five running 0:03:23.960 --> 0:03:26.600 backs in the NFL that make more than ten million 0:03:26.639 --> 0:03:29.520 dollars per year, and a lot of those teams regret 0:03:29.560 --> 0:03:31.840 those deals. I mean, you know, look at David Johnson 0:03:31.960 --> 0:03:35.320 getting chipped off and that's one, UM, So there's two 0:03:35.360 --> 0:03:37.400 that there's two that I think are really regretting these 0:03:38.200 --> 0:03:43.480 David Johnson regret for sure. Ezekiel Elliott is in that mix. 0:03:43.640 --> 0:03:47.400 Christian mccaffers and McKay just recently signed, and and Derrick Henry, 0:03:47.480 --> 0:03:49.680 who will be in this conversation which was on a 0:03:49.680 --> 0:03:53.840 franchise tach Um. There's another five running backs and there's 0:03:53.880 --> 0:03:57.440 only five that make between six million and nine million 0:03:57.560 --> 0:04:00.880 per season, and this list is super interesting. Another guy 0:04:00.880 --> 0:04:03.200 who's going to be in this conversation later Kenyan Drake 0:04:03.520 --> 0:04:06.000 making eight point four. He's the six highest paid running 0:04:06.040 --> 0:04:09.320 back in the league right now. Uh, Melvin Gordon at 0:04:09.360 --> 0:04:12.120 eight million, se Kwon Barkley on his rookie deal at 0:04:12.160 --> 0:04:15.080 seven point eight, Leonard four Net at six point eight, 0:04:15.120 --> 0:04:18.360 and Austin Ekeler at six point one. So there's a 0:04:18.360 --> 0:04:21.880 lot of talent that's sitting on a rookie deal right now, 0:04:21.880 --> 0:04:24.040 and we're going to dive into those guys pretty quickly. 0:04:24.080 --> 0:04:26.560 All right, Let's begin with Dalvin Cook. He was running 0:04:26.560 --> 0:04:29.640 back three last year in points per game. He missed 0:04:29.680 --> 0:04:30.920 a couple of games at the end of the year, 0:04:31.240 --> 0:04:33.960 has never played a full season, and I think in 0:04:34.200 --> 0:04:37.400 the esteem of many he uh he wore down at 0:04:37.400 --> 0:04:40.600 the end of uh. We mentioned word. I think, very 0:04:40.600 --> 0:04:43.159 good player, but I think there's a lot of question 0:04:43.200 --> 0:04:45.880 about whether or not he will remain a Viking. Vikings 0:04:45.960 --> 0:04:49.039 are in okay shape against the cap, but I got 0:04:49.040 --> 0:04:52.039 that they have twenty nine million and estimated cap space 0:04:52.080 --> 0:04:55.680 in season. That's twenty three in the league, so they're 0:04:55.680 --> 0:05:00.920 on the lower end um. The current backup under contract 0:05:00.960 --> 0:05:03.760 is really Alexander Madison, and he's the only guy. He's 0:05:03.760 --> 0:05:07.000 signed through twenty two for under one million each season. 0:05:07.360 --> 0:05:10.200 So by all accounts, the Vikings love d Alvin and 0:05:10.240 --> 0:05:13.200 I think that we've we've heard that from them a lot. However, 0:05:13.240 --> 0:05:15.160 he has been injured in every season in his pro 0:05:15.279 --> 0:05:17.960 career and he might be do the most money out 0:05:17.960 --> 0:05:21.240 of all of these guys. So the Vikings may be 0:05:21.320 --> 0:05:23.440 in a weird spot too. It might be a year 0:05:23.480 --> 0:05:25.880 next year where they're like, is it time to kind 0:05:25.880 --> 0:05:29.080 of rebuild and reload and and and reset this roster. 0:05:29.560 --> 0:05:33.919 So in my mind, Dalvin is not in a particularly 0:05:33.960 --> 0:05:37.360 good bye low or sell high moment, but alex Alexander 0:05:37.400 --> 0:05:41.000 Madison is in an excellent spot to buy right before 0:05:41.480 --> 0:05:44.840 he may become the lead dog in this offense. Alexander 0:05:44.880 --> 0:05:47.160 Madison will cost you almost nothing right now, correct and 0:05:47.160 --> 0:05:50.159 in some in some dynasty leagues, he may be even available. 0:05:50.279 --> 0:05:53.120 That's true now, So he cost you nothing and you've 0:05:53.160 --> 0:05:56.560 got a what do you think about a thirty percent 0:05:56.720 --> 0:06:00.400 chance that he inherits the starting job next year. I 0:06:00.440 --> 0:06:03.479 think it's I think it's closer to I mean, they're 0:06:03.480 --> 0:06:05.640 gonna have to sign Dalvin to more than ten million 0:06:05.680 --> 0:06:07.719 dollars a year, make him a top five paid running 0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:09.919 back in the league to keep him, and they have 0:06:09.960 --> 0:06:12.440 a lot of guys that they had to jettison off 0:06:12.520 --> 0:06:14.840 this year. I think it's gonna be really difficult for 0:06:14.920 --> 0:06:18.400 the Vikings to pallet signing Dalvin Cook to that big deal. 0:06:18.480 --> 0:06:21.320 So Alexander Madison is another guy that they really like, 0:06:21.800 --> 0:06:24.000 and I think there's a good shot that he could 0:06:24.000 --> 0:06:26.640 be the lead dog there next year and stylistically similar 0:06:26.680 --> 0:06:28.520 to Dalvin Cook, so they don't have to up end 0:06:28.640 --> 0:06:31.839 their offensive scheme exactly to end up helping him, which 0:06:31.880 --> 0:06:35.159 is a factor as well. All right, let's go to 0:06:35.560 --> 0:06:41.120 Alvin Kamara next. He was running back fifteen in points 0:06:41.160 --> 0:06:44.520 per game last year, and uh I had in a 0:06:44.600 --> 0:06:48.560 normally bad year, as most people remember, until Week sixteen. 0:06:48.720 --> 0:06:53.120 He had scored in one game last year, one game 0:06:53.200 --> 0:06:57.640 until Week sixteen, and then he exploded in sixteen and seventeen. Saints, 0:06:57.640 --> 0:07:00.480 What's I think fascinating about Alvin Kamara? Matt Saints are 0:07:00.520 --> 0:07:03.920 totally cash strapped season there in cap hell. They are 0:07:04.080 --> 0:07:07.400 thirty four million over the cap over the cap right now. 0:07:07.480 --> 0:07:09.600 The one that I just saw it said thirty six 0:07:09.640 --> 0:07:12.480 million over the cap next year. Guess who's contracting is 0:07:12.520 --> 0:07:19.000 exactly thirty six million next season, Drew Brees. Drew Brees. Okay, 0:07:19.200 --> 0:07:23.320 so if Drew Brees decides to stay one more year, 0:07:23.760 --> 0:07:26.080 they have to pay him the thirty six million. If 0:07:26.120 --> 0:07:29.320 he decides to leave, it's a dead cap hit of 0:07:29.400 --> 0:07:34.360 twenty two million, so they would be still twenty two 0:07:34.400 --> 0:07:37.440 million in the hole and in need of a quarterback 0:07:37.520 --> 0:07:41.080 because jamis Winston's only signed for one year, so they 0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:45.480 would have to find a quarterback and somehow figure out 0:07:45.480 --> 0:07:48.440 a way to resign Alvin Kamara. Alvin Camara is not 0:07:48.560 --> 0:07:51.000 a Saint next year. Think you're right. So the only 0:07:51.040 --> 0:07:54.840 backup there is Lettavius Murray. He's signed through the two 0:07:54.920 --> 0:07:59.080 season for around three million per year. So however, his 0:07:59.280 --> 0:08:02.760 dead cap after this season is only one point seven, 0:08:03.160 --> 0:08:05.760 so he could be a there's a really good chance 0:08:05.800 --> 0:08:08.160 that he's a cap casualty after this year as well. 0:08:08.480 --> 0:08:10.600 I think the Saints are looking at a completely new 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:14.800 backfield one So if you don't, if you're not recommending 0:08:14.800 --> 0:08:17.840 that we double down on Latavius Murray as a possible 0:08:17.840 --> 0:08:19.640 starter next year, and we agree that Alvin Camara is 0:08:19.680 --> 0:08:22.600 gonna be gone, Uh, that would mean that they're gonna 0:08:22.680 --> 0:08:25.920 hit the draft. They're going to hit the running back. 0:08:26.040 --> 0:08:29.880 There's five or six like blue chip ish running backs 0:08:29.920 --> 0:08:32.199 that are coming out next year, and I'll probably talk 0:08:32.240 --> 0:08:33.760 about them a little bit at the end of the show. 0:08:33.880 --> 0:08:35.920 So what do we do about Alvin Camara? If you're 0:08:35.920 --> 0:08:39.320 a Camaro owner right now, are you unloading him now? 0:08:40.160 --> 0:08:43.959 Figuring that wherever he goes next probably won't be as 0:08:43.960 --> 0:08:45.880 good as of an offense. Is what he's enjoyed to 0:08:45.960 --> 0:08:50.000 this point? Or are you holding and just saying, you 0:08:50.000 --> 0:08:52.280 know what, I'm gonna enjoy Alvin Kamara for this year. 0:08:52.400 --> 0:08:54.160 Are you gonna go try to acquire him? What's your 0:08:54.200 --> 0:08:58.439 what's your recommendation? It's so tough. I I think I'm 0:08:58.480 --> 0:09:01.680 probably in cell mode on Alvin right now, just because 0:09:03.160 --> 0:09:07.360 the the uncertainty is the thing that is terrible. If Tampa, 0:09:07.400 --> 0:09:09.720 for instance, doesn't have a guy step up, If Keyshawn 0:09:09.840 --> 0:09:12.559 Vaughan or Ronald Jones don't step up and Tom Brady's 0:09:12.640 --> 0:09:14.760 roll in one more year, Tampa's got a lot of 0:09:14.800 --> 0:09:16.920 cap space next year, and Tampa could be like the 0:09:16.960 --> 0:09:18.760 team that's just like, you know what, We're gonna go 0:09:18.760 --> 0:09:22.199 get Alvin Kamara, like whoa all of a sudden, That 0:09:22.240 --> 0:09:26.160 would be just absolutely crazy. So uh, or alternately goes 0:09:26.200 --> 0:09:30.800 to Jacksonville, he replaces Leonard four Nett and dies a 0:09:30.800 --> 0:09:33.280 miserable a miserable tie. I have a list of the 0:09:33.320 --> 0:09:36.559 teams that would you know, might be in search of 0:09:36.600 --> 0:09:38.440 a running back next year. We can go over that 0:09:38.480 --> 0:09:40.840 at the end of the show too. But but overall, 0:09:40.880 --> 0:09:43.599 you're you're saying, I think it's probably a seller a 0:09:43.679 --> 0:09:46.400 sell high moment. I don't think he's gonna dip that much, 0:09:46.800 --> 0:09:49.200 but I think the value is at a peak right now, 0:09:49.600 --> 0:09:52.680 and I think that you can get you could sell 0:09:52.760 --> 0:09:54.760 him and maybe try to acquire him back for a 0:09:54.760 --> 0:09:57.560 little bit less in the future. That's Alvin Camara. Let's 0:09:57.559 --> 0:09:59.840 go to Joel Mixon. He was running back sixteen in 0:10:00.000 --> 0:10:02.640 it points per game, coming off a tough season with 0:10:02.679 --> 0:10:05.120 all the bad quarterbacking that they had and the changes 0:10:05.160 --> 0:10:07.800 a quarterback, terrible offensive line play, and the offensive line 0:10:07.800 --> 0:10:10.800 by the way, still not great. But Bengals are eighty 0:10:10.920 --> 0:10:14.920 million dollars under the cap for the fifth most cap space, 0:10:15.000 --> 0:10:17.360 so they clearly can sign him if they want to. 0:10:17.480 --> 0:10:20.480 And there's no apparent there's no apparent air apparent, no 0:10:20.920 --> 0:10:24.280 apparent air apparent on the roster in Cincinnati. So what 0:10:24.320 --> 0:10:26.760 are your thoughts on Joe Mixon and what should Dynasty 0:10:26.760 --> 0:10:29.800 owners do with him? Um, I think he's gonna probably 0:10:29.880 --> 0:10:33.360 hold out through this camp for a contract extension. I 0:10:33.360 --> 0:10:38.080 think he's gonna try to go the route of up 0:10:38.120 --> 0:10:41.120 in his face, and since he's kind of a weird 0:10:41.200 --> 0:10:45.360 organization and they they played hardball with Carson Palmer. Yeah, 0:10:45.800 --> 0:10:48.920 so I don't know. I I think it's an interesting spot. 0:10:48.960 --> 0:10:51.120 They obviously have the money to pay him, and and 0:10:51.240 --> 0:10:53.440 Mixing could be a guy who holds out. I don't 0:10:53.440 --> 0:10:55.880 think that they want to put their brand new number 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:58.920 one overall pick rookie quarterback in a weird spot where 0:10:58.920 --> 0:11:01.280 he doesn't have a good running back in the backfield. Too, 0:11:01.440 --> 0:11:03.079 So I could see I'm getting a deal done with 0:11:03.200 --> 0:11:06.760 Joe Mixon before the season starts. This might be something 0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:10.400 that uh just doesn't doesn't even matter. But I think 0:11:10.440 --> 0:11:13.559 if anybody in your league owns Mixing and is scared 0:11:13.600 --> 0:11:17.160 in the slightest that he might hold out or he 0:11:17.240 --> 0:11:19.920 might not start the season, I think that this is 0:11:19.960 --> 0:11:22.600 an opportune time to try to buy him because I 0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:25.640 like that offense this year, like it better next year 0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:27.920 a little bit more. I'm gonna like it better next year. 0:11:27.960 --> 0:11:31.559 And even if Mixon does leave since e He's probably 0:11:31.600 --> 0:11:34.800 gonna end up in a spot that's comparable or maybe better. Yeah, 0:11:35.200 --> 0:11:36.880 it would. It's not hard to get a lot better 0:11:36.960 --> 0:11:40.959 than where Cincinnati is. Mixon was was decent last year 0:11:41.200 --> 0:11:43.440 with all the all the problems that they had. You 0:11:43.559 --> 0:11:46.600 figure Joe Burrow this year, gets will be even better 0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:49.400 next year. Now he's gonna drop, potentially lose a bunch 0:11:49.440 --> 0:11:51.480 of his receivers. Te Higgins will be there. But a 0:11:51.600 --> 0:11:54.040 j Green last year his deal, John Ross last year 0:11:54.080 --> 0:11:56.439 his deal, Tyler Boyd last year of his deal. No 0:11:56.520 --> 0:11:59.160 Tyler Boyds under CONR. Sorry, you know we made that 0:11:59.240 --> 0:12:01.480 mistake like a uple episodes ago, which is why it 0:12:01.520 --> 0:12:03.800 was still That's why I remember all right, so well, 0:12:03.880 --> 0:12:06.520 you know I think, um, I think it makes sense 0:12:06.559 --> 0:12:08.800 to assume that a good passing game will only help 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:11.480 Joe Mixon. I like your by Low angle on Joe Mixon. 0:12:11.600 --> 0:12:14.360 Let's go to Derrick Henry. We've alluded to him earlier. 0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:17.920 Last year he was running back too in points per 0:12:17.960 --> 0:12:21.120 game for non PPR. He was running back five even 0:12:21.120 --> 0:12:23.000 in PPR, despite the fact that on we caught like 0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:25.959 twenty passes all year. Obviously coming off a monster year 0:12:25.960 --> 0:12:30.520 of eighteen total touchdowns franchise tagged this year. What do 0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:32.800 you think about Derrick Henry going forward? As you look 0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:34.880 into the crystal ball and are you it's I don't 0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:37.280 know that you can. So there's no by Low on 0:12:37.360 --> 0:12:40.160 Derrick Henry at right now there. I think. I think 0:12:40.160 --> 0:12:42.959 it's a hold on Derrick Henry. But do you I 0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:46.120 seem to think that the Titans can play this the 0:12:46.200 --> 0:12:48.319 right way. They have cap space. They have forty three 0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:50.480 million in cap space next year. That's right about the 0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:53.240 middle of the league. They're paying him ten point two 0:12:53.240 --> 0:12:56.640 million this year. If they franchise him again next year, 0:12:56.920 --> 0:12:58.559 it would go up a little bit. And if they 0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:01.400 franchise him again to fall him then it like doubles. Yeah, 0:13:01.480 --> 0:13:04.000 that it goes up quite a bit. But they can 0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:06.520 play this out and go a year to year deal 0:13:06.920 --> 0:13:08.959 paying him good money that he's not going to turn 0:13:09.000 --> 0:13:10.679 away because it's gonna be tough for him to get 0:13:10.679 --> 0:13:12.800 a long term deal. It's just tough for any of 0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:14.680 these running backs to get a long term deal. But 0:13:14.720 --> 0:13:16.880 he's the fifth highest paid running back in the league 0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:19.640 right now. I don't know why he wouldn't just continue 0:13:19.679 --> 0:13:22.480 to play under the franchise tag. They want the security 0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:25.000 and the guaranteed money, so they all do. Nobody wants 0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:28.000 the franchise tag because you don't get a signing bonus 0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:30.719 that's based on you playing five years. Sure, So the 0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:33.880 the other option here is Darnton Evans, who is a 0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:36.920 third round pick from Appalachian State. He's on his rookie 0:13:36.960 --> 0:13:40.120 deal through three. The only other running backs who will 0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:42.520 be on roster next year are three guys I've never 0:13:42.559 --> 0:13:48.240 heard of, Dalen Dawkins, Sean Wilson, and Cameron Scarlett. I 0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:50.000 don't know who any of those guys are, but they're 0:13:50.240 --> 0:13:55.439 under contract through one. So um, I think Darrenton Evans. 0:13:55.480 --> 0:13:58.679 If you want a real deep, speculative ad, maybe Derrick 0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:01.440 Henry gets hurt this year and they go, you know what, 0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:03.800 We're not going to resign him and we're gonna let 0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:06.800 him hit the pavement. Darnton Evans, I think, is the 0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:09.160 only guy on that roster that you could pick up 0:14:09.240 --> 0:14:12.880 and maybe have as a as a possible replacement. Paul 0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:15.240 Charchy and Matt Harrison with you. We're talking about contract 0:14:15.280 --> 0:14:18.000 year runners. These are the guys in the final years 0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:21.240 of their deal running backs and the fantasy landscape for 0:14:21.280 --> 0:14:24.000 twenty and beyond for each one of these will take 0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:27.160 a break. When we come back. Aaron Jones and several 0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:30.200 other notable running backs that will be free agents will 0:14:30.200 --> 0:14:34.920 break those down in just a moment. Welcome back to 0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:37.480 Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchy and Matt Harrison with you. 0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:41.200 We encourage you to follow Matt at Matt sorry, Matt 0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:45.600 explosive output on Twitter. Nobody can sell Matt with one t. Well, 0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:49.000 there's that too. I am at Paul Charchy and your 0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:55.760 Empire Dynasty League cheat sheet is available via your Twitter 0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:58.040 account as well. Yeah, it's the pin post on my 0:14:58.400 --> 0:15:01.000 Twitter page right now. And it's a trade value charts. 0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:03.480 So I actually give a trade value to every a 0:15:03.600 --> 0:15:06.560 number a number of value, so you can go ahead 0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:11.080 and see, Hey, Christian McCaffrey is hundred in value. Who 0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:14.640 could I trade him for? Yeah, Christian McCaffrey, add will 0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:20.280 cost me a Mark Andrews and a Kenyan Drake as 0:15:20.320 --> 0:15:22.600 one example. Oh, man, I don't think I do that 0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:25.960 for which side on the McCaffrey side. I think I 0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:27.840 got gotta bump McCaffrey up a few times. I would 0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:30.000 want to be on the other side. Really, Yeah, there 0:15:30.000 --> 0:15:33.120 we go. That's right, but maybe it's right. Yeah, we 0:15:33.160 --> 0:15:35.000 should probably make this deal if you can give me 0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.680 Mark Andrews is arguably one of the three best young 0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:40.800 tight ends in the league, and Kenyan Drake, who looks 0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:42.240 like he's going to be a functional running back. For 0:15:42.240 --> 0:15:45.120 several years now, I'm interested. Okay, okay, that's what the 0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:48.080 trade value charts all about. Yes, giving you some guidance 0:15:48.080 --> 0:15:50.360 on that. All right, Let's return to the running backs 0:15:50.440 --> 0:15:53.560 under contract this year. Are sorry, the last year of 0:15:53.600 --> 0:15:57.120 their contract this year. Aaron Jones in the last year 0:15:57.120 --> 0:15:59.000 of his deal for Green Bay. He was running back 0:15:59.040 --> 0:16:01.560 four and points per game him last year in PPR leagues. 0:16:01.920 --> 0:16:05.040 Packers are forty million under the cap next year, which 0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:11.800 puts them somewhere in the ballparking like the twenty second team. Now, 0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:14.000 unlike some of the other guys we've talked about, there 0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:16.880 were real threats on that pack or roster. Matt Yeah, 0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:20.240 um a J. Dillon, who's the second round pick. I 0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:23.400 don't think he supplants Aaron Jones as the guy who 0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:26.160 carries the ball the most times. He's not going to 0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:28.360 be a bell cow or anything like that. But he 0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:31.680 may supplant him near the goal line because A. J. 0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:34.920 Dillon is just a big dudel uh And And that's 0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:38.720 the thing that worries me about Aaron Jones this year, 0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:41.120 because that could be this year. So I think his 0:16:41.280 --> 0:16:45.400 value is at a peak. And think about it this way. 0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:47.760 So what if they start handing the ball to A. J. 0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:50.920 Dillon at the goal line and his his numbers dip 0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:54.400 quite a bit, Maybe Aaron Jones Naron Jones numbers dip 0:16:54.760 --> 0:16:57.280 quite a bit. Maybe the Packers are doing this in 0:16:57.280 --> 0:17:01.280 a way to lessen his number and try to keep 0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:04.560 him his Aaron Jones leverage. Yeah, so, hey, you weren't 0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:06.840 really as good last year and we got this other guy, 0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:09.600 so you can sign a team friendly deal for six 0:17:09.640 --> 0:17:14.320 million dollars and and continue to play here. But yeah, 0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:16.879 it's a tough one. I think he's at peak value 0:17:16.960 --> 0:17:19.160 right now. So I think I'm selling on Aaron Jones 0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:22.199 if I'm owning him right now, and I'm probably buying 0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:25.840 shares of a J. Dillon just in case. Next year 0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:29.679 Aaron Jones out of his contract and Jamal Williams is 0:17:29.760 --> 0:17:33.359 leaving his contract too. So here's I'll be contrarian a 0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:36.080 little on this. Here's why I think Aaron Jones is 0:17:36.119 --> 0:17:38.520 more interesting to me next year than he is this year. 0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:42.440 This year, who's got the crowded backfield this year? Uh? Packers, 0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:44.440 both of the previous head coaching and the current head 0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:47.480 coaching never seemed to use him as as the workhorse 0:17:47.520 --> 0:17:49.600 back that we think he deserves to be because he's 0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:52.320 so good and because that he's like mileage, he really 0:17:52.359 --> 0:17:54.760 hasn't had that much abuse for this stage of his 0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:57.960 his his career, and he could go someplace where he's 0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:04.280 the workhorse back, where he's the number one and that too. Yeah. Um, 0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:06.479 and I think there's a decent chance that that happens. 0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:09.440 I think you know the reason you take you blow 0:18:09.480 --> 0:18:12.960 a second rounder for the Packers this year because you 0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:15.920 think that guy's gonna be a starter next year. What 0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:17.760 what did they do with their first round pick? Again? 0:18:18.359 --> 0:18:22.760 They went with a quarterback? Yeah, trade it up for one. Yeah, 0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:27.159 that's a baffling. Okay, So there's Aaron Jones. I'm I 0:18:27.680 --> 0:18:30.600 think you're right that his value is it's really high 0:18:30.680 --> 0:18:32.520 right now. There's a lot of threats on that roster, 0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:35.719 and it's I understand why this might be an opportunity 0:18:35.760 --> 0:18:38.960 to sell. Uh, But man, I think I'm gonna like 0:18:39.119 --> 0:18:43.040 him more in twenties possible. Let's go to Kenyan Drake. 0:18:43.119 --> 0:18:46.159 He got the transition tag this year that ended up 0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:48.040 paying him quite well. He was running back eighteen in 0:18:48.119 --> 0:18:51.080 PPR last year. But it's kind of a goofy running 0:18:51.119 --> 0:18:53.840 back eighteen because he was active for a lot of 0:18:53.880 --> 0:18:56.399 games but didn't wasn't a big part of a lot 0:18:56.440 --> 0:18:59.760 of games games script until really the middle ladder like 0:19:00.200 --> 0:19:04.880 to the year and almost all came in three games. Yeah, 0:19:04.920 --> 0:19:09.320 that's a concern. UM current backups. There's two who are 0:19:09.320 --> 0:19:12.720 going to be under contract in Chase Edmonds, who I 0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:15.000 think is a guy that a lot of people like. Um, 0:19:15.040 --> 0:19:18.240 he's under contract through one. He's only making eight sixty 0:19:18.240 --> 0:19:21.200 thousand next year. And Eno Benjamin who is the seventh 0:19:21.280 --> 0:19:23.639 round pick who people really seem to like going into 0:19:23.640 --> 0:19:27.320 the draft, yet he fell to the seventh round. Um, 0:19:27.400 --> 0:19:31.040 he'll be on his rookie deal that could last through UM. 0:19:31.080 --> 0:19:34.520 The Cardinals do have fifty eight million in estimated cap 0:19:34.600 --> 0:19:37.280 space next year. That's the tenth most in the league. 0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:40.320 So they certainly could pay Kenyan Drake if they wanted to. 0:19:40.480 --> 0:19:42.600 They could franchise him too, But they might have some 0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:46.120 holes that they take a lot of holes in Arizona, 0:19:46.200 --> 0:19:50.080 especially like defense, the whole defense. So um, if if 0:19:50.080 --> 0:19:52.640 they want to be a real contender in this league, 0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:55.359 and especially in probably the toughest division in football, the 0:19:55.440 --> 0:19:58.359 NFC West, Uh, they're gonna have to fill those holes 0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:01.159 in different ways, and I think Kenyan Drake could be 0:20:01.200 --> 0:20:04.040 a cap casualty next year. I wouldn't be surprised. Let's 0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:06.000 go to Todd Gurley, who's now in Atlanta. He was 0:20:06.080 --> 0:20:09.440 running back thirteen in pp UP in points per game 0:20:09.920 --> 0:20:14.080 in PPR leagues. Falcons UM. I don't actually don't have 0:20:14.160 --> 0:20:16.520 Falcons cap number for next year, but I think it's 0:20:16.560 --> 0:20:19.000 not great. But they're in a bad They're at the cap. 0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:22.120 They're like they're almost dead on the cap. They're negative 0:20:22.160 --> 0:20:24.800 two point nine million in camp space next year. That's 0:20:24.840 --> 0:20:28.280 the third worst number u UH. Gurley is only on 0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:32.320 a one year, five point five contract they signed in March. Um. 0:20:32.440 --> 0:20:36.000 The backups there right now are nobody Edo Smith who's 0:20:36.040 --> 0:20:41.119 under contract and Kadre Allison. Brian Hills not under contract 0:20:41.200 --> 0:20:43.479 next year, so he's under this year, but I got 0:20:43.560 --> 0:20:45.760