WEBVTT - SHARP NFL Week 8 Bets and NBA Betting Scandal Reaction 

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Bett. We

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<v Speaker 1>are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the

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<v Speaker 1>show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise

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<v Speaker 1>guys pay attention. I am Chad Milman and I am

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<v Speaker 1>joined as always by my co host, my companion Mike

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<v Speaker 1>and padre My BFF professional Better Signment Hunter.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello, So I'm in Chad. What's going on?

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<v Speaker 1>This morning? The FBI, the US Attorney from the Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>District announced a sweeping set of indictments against many people,

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<v Speaker 1>including members of three families of the Mafia, LaCOSA and Nostra,

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<v Speaker 1>including Portland Trailblazers head coach Chauncey Billups, including Damon Jones,

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<v Speaker 1>former Cleveland Cavalier and assistant coach Terry Rozier. Two separate indictments.

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<v Speaker 1>I will set the stage here to indictment thirty four

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<v Speaker 1>different people involved. One indictment is for illegal poker rooms

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<v Speaker 1>and swindling unsuspecting players in those poker rooms. That's what

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<v Speaker 1>Chauncey Billups is involved in and Damon Jones is involved in.

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<v Speaker 1>The US attorney in the press conference referred to Chauncey

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<v Speaker 1>Billups and Damon Jones as the face cards of the operation,

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<v Speaker 1>meaning they were the famous people who brought in the rich,

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<v Speaker 1>unsuspecting fish into the games who were then taken. And

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<v Speaker 1>then another indictment in which they're overlapping people is the

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<v Speaker 1>one in which Tera Rozier has been indicted for the

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<v Speaker 1>sports betting sharing of information that also is tied to

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<v Speaker 1>Johntay Porter, who famously was banned. This is involving player

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<v Speaker 1>props and Terry Razier player props. Crazy story, definitely. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>the stakes keep getting higher on the gambling scandals since legalization,

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<v Speaker 1>and last a couple of years ago there was the

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<v Speaker 1>Otani interpreter scandal. Now this is front page news. This

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<v Speaker 1>has been blown up all morning since the arrest at

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<v Speaker 1>six o'clock in the morning, both in Portland and in

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<v Speaker 1>Orlando where Terry Razier was after the Heat game last night.

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<v Speaker 1>He did not play last night, and now there was

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<v Speaker 1>a press conference that was all over the news. Looks

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<v Speaker 1>it's a weird thing. We do a show on betting.

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<v Speaker 1>We have a good time. We talk about betting on

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<v Speaker 1>the games, We talk about where the opportunities are. That's

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<v Speaker 1>the primary focus of what we do. But you and

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<v Speaker 1>I are also very much in this world. We know

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<v Speaker 1>a lot about the poker rooms. We know a lot

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<v Speaker 1>about what's happening in the sports betting space beyond what

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<v Speaker 1>we talk about on the show. I'm in the middle

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<v Speaker 1>of working on a book about this world of sports

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<v Speaker 1>betting that will come out, you know in the next say,

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<v Speaker 1>twelve to twenty four months. You obviously ad are professional better.

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<v Speaker 1>There's going to be a lot of conversation about legalization

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<v Speaker 1>being the cause and these scandals being the effect. I

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<v Speaker 1>got a lot of thoughts on that, but let's break

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<v Speaker 1>down the news for a second. You're seeing this, what

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<v Speaker 1>are your thoughts?

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<v Speaker 3>Sadly, never shocked, just because, like you said, I am

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<v Speaker 3>in this world and we've talked all the time. I'm

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<v Speaker 3>someone that I love poker, I love Texas hold them,

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<v Speaker 3>and I play a lot of house games in the offseason.

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<v Speaker 3>I do a lot of casino games, a lot of tournaments.

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<v Speaker 3>But there's always gonna be house games, right. But you

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<v Speaker 3>hear of these games with dirty tables and fixed games,

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<v Speaker 3>and you might get away with it on one or

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<v Speaker 3>two millionaires. Not all millionaires are dumb that look into it, right.

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<v Speaker 3>We've all met guys who you're like, Okay, he was

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<v Speaker 3>born into it, or he found a right niche.

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<v Speaker 2>This guy's not that smart.

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<v Speaker 3>Some guys are brilliant and they are incredibly smart with people,

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<v Speaker 3>and they can see things that normal people can't see.

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<v Speaker 2>That's how they made all their money.

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<v Speaker 3>All it takes is one of them to get into

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<v Speaker 3>that game and they can tell right away something's off,

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<v Speaker 3>something's fixed. Then they go again and if the same

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<v Speaker 3>thing happens again, they're gonna notice it again. So it's

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<v Speaker 3>really about the names, right, It's huge names we all know.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean Chauncey Billups. He's one of my favorite players ever.

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<v Speaker 3>Like he played in Detroit Nuggets and then he came

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<v Speaker 3>to Philly and I love them like I love Chauncey Bills.

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<v Speaker 2>I think I have a Chauncey Billups Sixers Jersey. No joke.

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<v Speaker 3>So sad because you know how much money this man

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<v Speaker 3>has made in his career, and it wasn't enough. He

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<v Speaker 3>wasn't Like when when you hear people doing stuff like this,

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<v Speaker 3>they could say they did it for the money and

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<v Speaker 3>their family, whatever they want to say.

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<v Speaker 2>It's like Walter White and breaking Bad. You did it

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<v Speaker 2>for you.

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<v Speaker 3>You didn't do this for anything other than yourself and crazy,

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<v Speaker 3>crazy story. Like you said, it's the tip of the

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<v Speaker 3>iceberg a lot of times, right, So much more stuff

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<v Speaker 3>is going to come out as it's unfold.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's a really interesting story. I'm excited to follow.

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<v Speaker 3>And you know, people like you said, they think it's

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<v Speaker 3>bad the legalization of gamelin. This is why it's good

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<v Speaker 3>because before this would be handled off the radar, this

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<v Speaker 3>would not be handled in the public eye. I promise

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<v Speaker 3>you that. So things are just changed now and it's

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<v Speaker 3>a good thing. These guys should the light a day.

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<v Speaker 3>And like you just said, all the laves it's going

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<v Speaker 3>to affect. This must be a huge, multi million dollar operation,

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<v Speaker 3>and like I said, it's it's gonna be really interesting

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<v Speaker 3>these next couple of months, all the information that's going

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<v Speaker 3>to come out.

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<v Speaker 1>Some of the details from the press conference that the

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<v Speaker 1>US Attorney and the FBI had this morning in New

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<v Speaker 1>York were that the tables at these illegal poker games

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<v Speaker 1>included X ray technology that allowed site individuals to see

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<v Speaker 1>the face down cards of the players at the table

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<v Speaker 1>and then relay that information to other people at the table.

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<v Speaker 1>There were contact lenses and glasses that were able to

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<v Speaker 1>read watermarks, on pre marked cards at the table. There

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<v Speaker 1>were mini cameras inside the card trays that a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of the players had at their table, so the cameras

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<v Speaker 1>were able to read what cards people had and again

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<v Speaker 1>relay all that to off site operators who were then

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<v Speaker 1>able to share that with other people at the table.

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<v Speaker 1>I know a lot about these card rooms, like I've

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<v Speaker 1>spoken to a lot of professional poker players about it,

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<v Speaker 1>and a lot of people who are playing for high

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<v Speaker 1>stakes games. This is how a lot of professional poker players,

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<v Speaker 1>not games like these that are fixed, but a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of professional poker players even at the World Series of Poker,

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<v Speaker 1>these are the games that are going on. These are

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<v Speaker 1>the games where the cash is being traded, where you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's one million, two million, three million, ten million on

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<v Speaker 1>the table at the World Series of Poker, because these

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<v Speaker 1>games go on all night and that's where the real

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<v Speaker 1>action is happening. And they've been at the center of

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<v Speaker 1>this gambling controversy that started with Jean de Porter and

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<v Speaker 1>so the marriage of these things, and it was also

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<v Speaker 1>I think a part of the Otani stuff, the marriage

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<v Speaker 1>of these things and how these things take place between

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<v Speaker 1>just very wealthy people across the board is where I

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<v Speaker 1>think sort of the real intriguing sort of narrative is

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<v Speaker 1>taking place. Just like you're in these poker rooms. You

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<v Speaker 1>like to play poker, you just said that, Like when

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<v Speaker 1>you're inside there, what does it feel like?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's fun, honestly, It's all about how you

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<v Speaker 3>viewed money though, like these people view money the same

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<v Speaker 3>way I do. That It's just it's something to have

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<v Speaker 3>fun with. It's not so much you know, like again,

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<v Speaker 3>you can have rough nights. No one wants to lose money.

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<v Speaker 3>But it's not like in Sopranos, right where the guys like, yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>I got one hundred and fifty K, and I owe

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<v Speaker 3>this this casino room. It doesn't really work that way, right,

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<v Speaker 3>It's you're spoken for. You're not going into debt selling

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<v Speaker 3>your business to play in these casino rooms.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's what interesting part of this though.

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<v Speaker 3>This is like way above my levels, Like I've played

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<v Speaker 3>in some games I shouldn't have been in, and I

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<v Speaker 3>literally play super tight and I'm literally just there to build.

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<v Speaker 2>Relationships in the conversation, I honestly aim there.

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<v Speaker 3>If I can get up ten k, great, If I

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<v Speaker 3>lose ten k, okay, I'll walk away. But I'll never

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<v Speaker 3>go all in unless I have the nuts, and guys

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<v Speaker 3>in that room will know that. So if I do push,

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<v Speaker 3>they almost always fold, So I can bluff myself into

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<v Speaker 3>some nice spots. But I play super super tight in

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<v Speaker 3>those games. There's guys who sit down and they will

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<v Speaker 3>go all in every three or four hands. They just

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<v Speaker 3>like the action and they're there for the drinks, the cigars,

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<v Speaker 3>the fun.

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<v Speaker 2>It's it's all different. Everyone's there for different reasons.

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<v Speaker 3>So this one, like you said from the top, Chauncey Billups,

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<v Speaker 3>if someone said you want to come to this pooker game,

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<v Speaker 3>you can beat Chauncey Billups.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm a sucker.

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<v Speaker 3>I would have been there so him be them putting

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<v Speaker 3>him out there and being like he was running this

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<v Speaker 3>thing and he knew that he could get people in

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<v Speaker 3>there because of who he was. I believe that right

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<v Speaker 3>from the top. So yeah, again, American reporting people keep

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<v Speaker 3>saying it's dying, Chad's it's not dead yet. It's not

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<v Speaker 3>dead yet, and the stories are pretty incredible when they

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<v Speaker 3>do get broken. So yeah, I don't know if it's

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<v Speaker 3>gonna be Pablo Torrey finds out, but you know, that's

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<v Speaker 3>the greatest fear I think at all sports media right

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<v Speaker 3>now is you do not want to know if Pablo

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<v Speaker 3>toy is looking into you. I would love a Poblo

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<v Speaker 3>breakdown a show about this one, because, like we said,

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<v Speaker 3>we're just getting the layers here.

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<v Speaker 2>Man, you think it just stops at Terry Rosier.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, this tea might get really juicing in the

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<v Speaker 3>NBA not I don't want to say it's the most

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<v Speaker 3>corrupt league or whatever, but between the the owners, the players,

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<v Speaker 3>no other leagues have these type of scandals right now.

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<v Speaker 3>This is really really wild that every sport has their

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<v Speaker 3>own little scandals. I hope this is where it ends

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<v Speaker 3>for the.

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<v Speaker 2>NBA because between what's going on the Clippers now what's

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<v Speaker 2>going on with players in the league.

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<v Speaker 3>They need this to stop. You need this to stop

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<v Speaker 3>the NBA. This is such a bad look.

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<v Speaker 1>Well look, the the player prop problem is the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>challenge for the NBA. And Adam Silver was on Pat

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<v Speaker 1>McAfee thirty six hours ago, forty eight hours ago talking

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<v Speaker 1>about working with the operators to try to limit certain

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<v Speaker 1>player prop markets, and I will tell you right now,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't believe legalization is the cause of these issues.

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<v Speaker 1>I think legalization is part of why we are learning

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<v Speaker 1>more and more about these issues. There are so many

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<v Speaker 1>people that are involved in the chain that have so

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<v Speaker 1>much to lose financially. And I don't mean individuals, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean huge corporations and these leagues. It is in their

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<v Speaker 1>best interest as much as it is a bad look

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<v Speaker 1>when this happens, to root out every single one of

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<v Speaker 1>these instances, because you can't have bad actors, and there

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<v Speaker 1>are always going to be bad actors. And we've talked

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<v Speaker 1>about this on this show. Literally the National League was

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<v Speaker 1>formed in something like eighteen seventy six. In eighteen seventy seven,

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<v Speaker 1>there was a scandal about players who were fixing baseball games.

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<v Speaker 1>It is going to happen. It is time immemorium. It

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<v Speaker 1>is not going to stop people from betting. The amount

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<v Speaker 1>of money that is wagered every year gets bigger and bigger.

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<v Speaker 1>Only now we have a much better understanding of what

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<v Speaker 1>that money is and where that money is going to realize.

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<v Speaker 2>We're catching check because these are done through legal books.

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<v Speaker 2>We're not talking offshore.

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<v Speaker 1>Well that's what I mean.

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<v Speaker 2>Really, that's why you need these legal books.

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<v Speaker 3>Like Chad saying here, it's like without it, we wouldn't

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<v Speaker 3>catch these people, maybe it'd all be offshore like it

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<v Speaker 3>used to be, and there'd be no stories in the

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<v Speaker 3>news like your naive if you think this is something

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<v Speaker 3>new is what I think we're both saying, RIGHTO.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, And but I don't want to turn this into

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<v Speaker 1>like advocacy for sports betting, because we are both sort

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<v Speaker 1>of shills in that regard. But I do think that

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<v Speaker 1>back to the player props, that's the biggest challenge. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned a guy is making so much money, why

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<v Speaker 1>would he do it while he's doing it for him?

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know what Terror Razier's financial situation is. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know who he was doing this for, why he

0:12:45.800 --> 0:12:48.880
<v Speaker 1>was doing it, what the situation was in any capacity.

0:12:49.640 --> 0:12:52.520
<v Speaker 1>I do know that Terror Razier is in the last

0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:55.760
<v Speaker 1>year of a four year, ninety six million dollar contract. Yeah, right,

0:12:56.120 --> 0:12:59.080
<v Speaker 1>And so he's not Jante Porter. He's not the guy

0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:01.000
<v Speaker 1>who's on a two way at the end of the bench,

0:13:01.080 --> 0:13:05.200
<v Speaker 1>is bouncing around between the G League and the NBA

0:13:05.720 --> 0:13:10.000
<v Speaker 1>and maybe fifty thousand dollars as a quick amount of

0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:12.920
<v Speaker 1>cash means something to him. So we don't know what

0:13:12.960 --> 0:13:15.520
<v Speaker 1>it is with Terry Razier. But the premise has always

0:13:15.559 --> 0:13:19.839
<v Speaker 1>been that a lot of these leagues are protected from

0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:22.280
<v Speaker 1>fixing scandals because the amount of money for the people

0:13:22.320 --> 0:13:26.320
<v Speaker 1>who can impact the actual game is so high that

0:13:26.400 --> 0:13:28.000
<v Speaker 1>it won't be worth it for them to get caught

0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:30.880
<v Speaker 1>up in this. But the props change that. The props

0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:34.920
<v Speaker 1>change everything, and I think specifically in the NBA more

0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:38.560
<v Speaker 1>than any other league, it's harder for a running back

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.320
<v Speaker 1>to always be in control of his own destiny because

0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:44.240
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't know how many times he's going to get

0:13:44.280 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 1>the ball right. That's determined on the situation in the

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:51.800
<v Speaker 1>flow of the game. Same with baseball, it's really only

0:13:51.840 --> 0:13:54.160
<v Speaker 1>controlled by the pitcher. And we've already seen in the

0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:56.520
<v Speaker 1>case of the Guardians' pitchers who have been suspended under

0:13:56.600 --> 0:14:01.080
<v Speaker 1>under investigation how that can be figured out. Because it

0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:05.559
<v Speaker 1>is so egregious that there are monitoring agencies and the

0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:08.320
<v Speaker 1>operators in the leagues that are working together say we've

0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:13.160
<v Speaker 1>got some weird activity. We got to flag this. The NBA, anybody,

0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:16.359
<v Speaker 1>any individual player, with all the markets that are available,

0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:18.840
<v Speaker 1>as much as they are trying to limit the markets

0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:23.320
<v Speaker 1>that are allowable, especially for end of bench players, that's

0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:28.200
<v Speaker 1>an impossible scenario to police. That changes the argument about

0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:30.400
<v Speaker 1>whether or not there is an amount of money that

0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:32.440
<v Speaker 1>would keep people from fixing a game, because it's not

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:34.880
<v Speaker 1>about the game anymore. It's just about your individual performance.

0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:37.960
<v Speaker 1>And even then, it's not about always doing badly. It's

0:14:38.000 --> 0:14:42.880
<v Speaker 1>about just doing badly enough to make it look like

0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:46.280
<v Speaker 1>it's not suspicious. That's the real and city is dangerous.

0:14:46.280 --> 0:14:49.600
<v Speaker 1>Part of what we're talking about here is that prop market,

0:14:49.960 --> 0:14:53.080
<v Speaker 1>especially for the NBA. I don't know. I don't know

0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:53.720
<v Speaker 1>how they fix it.

0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 3>I don't know either, but they've been trying for years.

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.160
<v Speaker 3>I mean, let's face it, the NBA, this isn't new.

0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:03.720
<v Speaker 3>We never talk about it, like the ref between the

0:15:03.760 --> 0:15:06.760
<v Speaker 3>ref scandals, the player scandals. It's it's been there in

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:09.840
<v Speaker 3>this league for a long time. I mean, the greatest

0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 3>player in NBA history had a gambling scandal.

0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:16.479
<v Speaker 2>So you know, they're in a really.

0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:19.640
<v Speaker 3>Tough spot where whatever it is that nature that it

0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:22.200
<v Speaker 3>goes handing in every sport has its degenerates. I mean,

0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:24.720
<v Speaker 3>we had a guy on talking about Pete Rose, some

0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:26.080
<v Speaker 3>amazing stories, but.

0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:29.160
<v Speaker 2>It just feels like, as we're going along.

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:30.800
<v Speaker 3>Here chat, it's just of all the leagues I have

0:15:31.200 --> 0:15:35.160
<v Speaker 3>the least amount of trust in right now, obviously air hockey,

0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:39.760
<v Speaker 3>you know that whole scandal and all that stuff. Badminton,

0:15:40.040 --> 0:15:41.760
<v Speaker 3>we're not talking about. We're talking about the major sports,

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:45.200
<v Speaker 3>NBA of the major sports right now it has My

0:15:45.680 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 3>eyes are definitely fixed on it, and I have I

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:50.600
<v Speaker 3>just hope this is it. I hope this is the

0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:54.160
<v Speaker 3>end of it, because it's just this could get really bad.

0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:56.560
<v Speaker 3>Like we've talked about. We haven't really talked about, but

0:15:56.640 --> 0:15:59.240
<v Speaker 3>it's it's coming pared to a lot of people that

0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:03.080
<v Speaker 3>the NBA hit its peak with Lebron in Golden State

0:16:03.200 --> 0:16:04.600
<v Speaker 3>against Steph Curry, right, that.

0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:07.040
<v Speaker 2>Was the ratings galore.

0:16:07.800 --> 0:16:10.720
<v Speaker 3>The MLB has a real opening here because it's like

0:16:10.760 --> 0:16:14.000
<v Speaker 3>a romantic sadrenal. MB has had a nice re substance

0:16:14.080 --> 0:16:17.720
<v Speaker 3>of coming back to being a major sport. It's biggest

0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 3>scandal with its biggest player. It looks like they avoided it,

0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:23.840
<v Speaker 3>and it's I don't know about you, but like Otani,

0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 3>he's the greatest player I've ever seen in my lifetime.

0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:30.080
<v Speaker 3>So it's like, I get why they found a way out.

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:33.080
<v Speaker 3>They move bridges to make that work, and like we

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 3>always joke, he's one of us.

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:35.320
<v Speaker 2>Like it makes me love.

0:16:35.200 --> 0:16:37.640
<v Speaker 3>Them even more knowing the guy's a gambler. But the

0:16:37.880 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 3>based stuff, it's not funny, it's not cute. This is

0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:44.960
<v Speaker 3>scary stuff. It's within its league with its big players.

0:16:45.000 --> 0:16:47.480
<v Speaker 3>Like Chad just said, I didn't know Terry made a

0:16:47.520 --> 0:16:50.200
<v Speaker 3>ninety million That's that's insane amount of money.

0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:52.160
<v Speaker 1>Four year, ninety six million dollar deal.

0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:56.720
<v Speaker 3>So yeah, it's I'm sure you're gonna get a ton

0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 3>of calls over the next week, you'll get more infun of.

0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:00.920
<v Speaker 1>But as we said it right now is literally I

0:17:01.040 --> 0:17:05.680
<v Speaker 1>just checked it. It's like NonStop texting right now from

0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:08.480
<v Speaker 1>people in the industry, from people who are just waking

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:16.920
<v Speaker 1>up to this. Uh, they're truly astonished. They're blown away. Look,

0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:22.439
<v Speaker 1>last I'm a massive NBA fan. I watched League Pass constantly.

0:17:22.560 --> 0:17:26.080
<v Speaker 1>I was on lead Pass last night. I started with

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:29.639
<v Speaker 1>the Calves and the Knicks. Then I went over to

0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:33.160
<v Speaker 1>the Bulls. I'm watching the Bulls and the Pistons and

0:17:33.280 --> 0:17:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Adam Amine and Stacy King who are the Bulls play

0:17:36.760 --> 0:17:41.200
<v Speaker 1>by play and color commentary. They're brilliant. I love them together.

0:17:41.359 --> 0:17:42.919
<v Speaker 1>It's It's one of my favorite things is when the

0:17:42.920 --> 0:17:47.000
<v Speaker 1>season starts, it's like it's I did see VJ. Edgecomb

0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:50.320
<v Speaker 1>and dominate it and Tyrese Maxi go for forty. But

0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 1>and but here, here's my point is, Adam Amine is

0:17:56.600 --> 0:18:00.560
<v Speaker 1>a brilliant play by play guy. And we've seen that season.

0:18:00.600 --> 0:18:03.720
<v Speaker 1>He did that fifteen innings Mariner's game, he does NFL,

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:06.919
<v Speaker 1>he does the Bulls play by play. Last night they

0:18:06.920 --> 0:18:08.840
<v Speaker 1>were playing the Pistons and they were talking about Ducan

0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:11.880
<v Speaker 1>Robinson and Duncan Robinson has replaced as a three point

0:18:11.920 --> 0:18:14.760
<v Speaker 1>threat Malik Beasley. Malik Beasley, who had a record setting

0:18:14.800 --> 0:18:17.840
<v Speaker 1>year last year, had gotten a new contract from the

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:22.600
<v Speaker 1>Pistons and then he was part of a gambling investigation

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:26.960
<v Speaker 1>and that contract was pulled and he's still on the

0:18:27.000 --> 0:18:33.680
<v Speaker 1>street because the investigation is still happening. And you know,

0:18:34.040 --> 0:18:36.280
<v Speaker 1>Adam Amine was doing a brilliant job of explaining what

0:18:36.320 --> 0:18:40.720
<v Speaker 1>it is and perfectly threading the needle, not being accusatory,

0:18:41.400 --> 0:18:44.920
<v Speaker 1>not saying anything that was sort of a stretch about

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:48.159
<v Speaker 1>where the investigation is, but being specific that this was

0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:53.879
<v Speaker 1>about prop betting, right, and Malik Beasley no joke. Thirty

0:18:53.880 --> 0:18:59.280
<v Speaker 1>seconds after he's done an in game promo for the

0:18:59.320 --> 0:19:02.840
<v Speaker 1>betting spot, answer of the Chicago Bulls in the game

0:19:03.320 --> 0:19:07.400
<v Speaker 1>comes up all about live player props. You can be

0:19:07.400 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 1>betting in the middle of that game. And Adam Amine,

0:19:10.520 --> 0:19:13.640
<v Speaker 1>to his credit, did not skip a beat. He did

0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:18.200
<v Speaker 1>not try to gloss over it. He acknowledged the irony.

0:19:18.800 --> 0:19:23.000
<v Speaker 1>He noticed the He called out his producer. He's like,

0:19:23.480 --> 0:19:27.120
<v Speaker 1>I can't believe you're doing this right now. It was brilliant.

0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:30.760
<v Speaker 1>I kind of feel like that's us right now. There's

0:19:30.800 --> 0:19:33.320
<v Speaker 1>a very serious thing happening, and we obviously have to

0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:35.920
<v Speaker 1>talk about it. And you and I have both been

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 1>very lucky and very successful in this particular industry for many,

0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:45.359
<v Speaker 1>many years, both with the show and way beyond this show,

0:19:46.880 --> 0:19:49.560
<v Speaker 1>and we're gonna have a good time talking about these

0:19:49.640 --> 0:19:53.840
<v Speaker 1>NFL games, but it's hard not to acknowledge the serious

0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 1>nature of what's happening and the ramifications on the industry.

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 1>So that's why we're going to keep talking about it

0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:06.399
<v Speaker 1>and keep filing up on what's happening with this investigation.

0:20:06.480 --> 0:20:12.199
<v Speaker 1>It's crazy. Chauncey Billups terror ra Zero arrested by the

0:20:12.280 --> 0:20:16.720
<v Speaker 1>FBI as part of the legal gambling investigations. Two days

0:20:16.760 --> 0:20:21.119
<v Speaker 1>ago or yesterday, the NCBULA passed the law allowing college

0:20:21.160 --> 0:20:24.359
<v Speaker 1>athletes to brett to bet on pro Sports with one

0:20:24.400 --> 0:20:26.200
<v Speaker 1>of the guys who was on the committee that allowed

0:20:26.200 --> 0:20:28.919
<v Speaker 1>it basically saying, we got to acknowledge the universe we

0:20:28.960 --> 0:20:31.720
<v Speaker 1>live in and this is happening, which is how we

0:20:31.840 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 1>ended up with legalized betting to begin with. And the

0:20:35.119 --> 0:20:38.159
<v Speaker 1>NHL signed deals with multiple prediction market platforms which have

0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:43.000
<v Speaker 1>zero regulation. So here's where we are. People are going

0:20:43.080 --> 0:20:45.159
<v Speaker 1>to say there needs to be regulation. People are going

0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:47.160
<v Speaker 1>to sign deals with prediction markets who want to pay

0:20:47.160 --> 0:20:49.879
<v Speaker 1>them a boatload of money that have no regulation. This

0:20:50.000 --> 0:20:53.320
<v Speaker 1>is the state the sports betting world that we live in.

0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:58.080
<v Speaker 1>The NFL chugs on and we're going to have to

0:20:58.080 --> 0:21:01.320
<v Speaker 1>figure out how we are telling our audience and what

0:21:01.560 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 1>we like in an upcoming weekend that for our Thursday,

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:10.359
<v Speaker 1>Week eight episode, we need to narrow down the options

0:21:10.960 --> 0:21:13.200
<v Speaker 1>on our questifying five picks that we can agree on.

0:21:13.560 --> 0:21:18.400
<v Speaker 1>And I think it's hard because meanwhile, all this head twisting,

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 1>mind bending, the Pandora's box is wide freaking open. News

0:21:22.160 --> 0:21:24.639
<v Speaker 1>is happening. And this may be the strangest week for

0:21:24.680 --> 0:21:26.600
<v Speaker 1>betting so far this NFL season because we've got the

0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:28.840
<v Speaker 1>buy to get in, so we don't have a ton

0:21:28.880 --> 0:21:32.000
<v Speaker 1>of games, and the games that are being played. There's

0:21:32.040 --> 0:21:36.240
<v Speaker 1>been like half point movements at the most on the

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:38.439
<v Speaker 1>games being played except for one of them. The Chiefs

0:21:38.640 --> 0:21:40.159
<v Speaker 1>have moved two points from ten and a half to

0:21:40.200 --> 0:21:43.159
<v Speaker 1>twelve and a half against the Washington Commanders off of

0:21:43.200 --> 0:21:49.520
<v Speaker 1>the confirmation of Jade Daniels. So, man, you know reminder

0:21:50.240 --> 0:21:54.520
<v Speaker 1>subscribe to Sharper Square on YouTube, Apple Pods, Spotify. It

0:21:54.560 --> 0:22:01.240
<v Speaker 1>all sounds silly, ah, Listen every week, Simon. Every week

0:22:02.160 --> 0:22:05.240
<v Speaker 1>we give out our picks, and every single week your

0:22:05.320 --> 0:22:08.840
<v Speaker 1>fellow pro gamblers call to yell at you or compliment

0:22:08.920 --> 0:22:13.760
<v Speaker 1>you about the conversations we're having. We're having because we

0:22:13.840 --> 0:22:16.000
<v Speaker 1>know the wise guys are paying attention. It's time to

0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:19.600
<v Speaker 1>summarize those opinions. It's time for sharp calls.

0:22:21.920 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 3>Hal to answer this phone, all right, rain range, telephone range.

0:22:28.920 --> 0:22:31.760
<v Speaker 1>Somebody said, maybe want you do man?

0:22:33.320 --> 0:22:35.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? And interesting week. I know you didn't love it.

0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:37.120
<v Speaker 2>I'm on the other side.

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:39.120
<v Speaker 3>I love these kind of weeks, Like there just feels

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:41.399
<v Speaker 3>like it's people view it AS's gonna be a boring

0:22:41.520 --> 0:22:43.840
<v Speaker 3>by the book type of week, And all I can

0:22:43.920 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 3>just see is there's there could be a lot of

0:22:45.760 --> 0:22:48.440
<v Speaker 3>madness and a lot of teams that need this week

0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:53.600
<v Speaker 3>to get right and when we talked about I still

0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:56.360
<v Speaker 3>love the Panthers, but I'm surprised there are some real

0:22:56.440 --> 0:23:01.040
<v Speaker 3>smart pros coming in on that Bill's side, and I'll

0:23:01.080 --> 0:23:04.040
<v Speaker 3>read some stats, some trends. I still think people are

0:23:04.040 --> 0:23:07.560
<v Speaker 3>overlooking on this Panthers team. But it seems like the

0:23:07.600 --> 0:23:11.280
<v Speaker 3>pros I talk to want to fade anytime they can.

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:14.960
<v Speaker 3>And Andy Dolton start, they just think he is absolutely finished.

0:23:15.359 --> 0:23:17.120
<v Speaker 3>No idea how he's still in this league with a job.

0:23:17.200 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 3>So that's a game we'll break down. But I can

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:22.399
<v Speaker 3>tell you I know some really smart money on the Bills,

0:23:22.440 --> 0:23:25.000
<v Speaker 3>and they'll end up in our money one round Robin.

0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:27.119
<v Speaker 3>I'm not too upset about that now, knowing there's so

0:23:27.200 --> 0:23:29.320
<v Speaker 3>much love there. It's actually a great spot for Josh

0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:33.399
<v Speaker 3>Allen to win out right the Bears. Some real smart

0:23:33.400 --> 0:23:36.960
<v Speaker 3>pros on the Bears here as wow. Yeah, And it's

0:23:37.480 --> 0:23:40.280
<v Speaker 3>they just are not buying Lamar's right, And they're also

0:23:40.359 --> 0:23:43.480
<v Speaker 3>not buying this Ravens team. They don't think it matters

0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:45.600
<v Speaker 3>they're getting all these guys back healthy, that this team

0:23:45.720 --> 0:23:47.960
<v Speaker 3>is just not as good as people perceive.

0:23:48.920 --> 0:23:50.000
<v Speaker 2>I still think they're.

0:23:49.840 --> 0:23:53.080
<v Speaker 3>Overlooking how hard of a schedule with this team had like, yeah,

0:23:53.119 --> 0:23:55.119
<v Speaker 3>they lost the Lions at home, they lost to the

0:23:55.119 --> 0:23:55.880
<v Speaker 3>Eagles at home.

0:23:56.480 --> 0:23:58.360
<v Speaker 2>That might be the two of the best teams the NFC.

0:23:58.520 --> 0:24:01.439
<v Speaker 3>Like I just I think the Raimis have just had

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:04.119
<v Speaker 3>a really brutal start to the year and professionals are

0:24:04.119 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 3>still holding against them and they just are a namer

0:24:06.600 --> 0:24:09.320
<v Speaker 3>With this Bears team, who have is a four straight covers,

0:24:09.359 --> 0:24:12.000
<v Speaker 3>they might have like they just been cashing for them.

0:24:12.119 --> 0:24:12.760
<v Speaker 2>They love them.

0:24:13.880 --> 0:24:16.880
<v Speaker 3>It's a Rams team that can't stop the run going

0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:19.800
<v Speaker 3>against a really really well run team in the Bears

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:22.439
<v Speaker 3>who had running the ball. So interesting game. We'll have

0:24:22.440 --> 0:24:24.880
<v Speaker 3>to break down some more. Got a lot of love

0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:26.280
<v Speaker 3>for my Houston picked but I knew that was gonna

0:24:26.280 --> 0:24:28.360
<v Speaker 3>be the pro side and we'll get into that one.

0:24:28.400 --> 0:24:31.160
<v Speaker 3>It's just historically a horrible spot for the forty nine ers.

0:24:31.160 --> 0:24:33.280
<v Speaker 3>They tend to lose those type of games.

0:24:34.720 --> 0:24:37.520
<v Speaker 2>The Jets. Tons of love for the Jets.

0:24:37.600 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 3>Love that we had on the Jets money line, but

0:24:40.160 --> 0:24:42.160
<v Speaker 3>like we joked, not a shocker every week.

0:24:42.200 --> 0:24:43.760
<v Speaker 2>The pros are gonna bet them.

0:24:43.960 --> 0:24:45.919
<v Speaker 3>Got a bunch of calls about the Giants, the pros

0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:48.760
<v Speaker 3>they're gonna bet the Giants every week. Not shocked at all.

0:24:48.800 --> 0:24:52.840
<v Speaker 3>It's it's a money maker for them. So Chat was

0:24:52.840 --> 0:24:55.040
<v Speaker 3>spot on about his call about the Saints. He said,

0:24:55.040 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 3>it's just gonna be a team that pros are enamored with.

0:24:57.200 --> 0:24:59.199
<v Speaker 3>We are like every probably talk to. They're in the

0:24:59.200 --> 0:25:01.560
<v Speaker 3>same boat as me. But again, I think it's a

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:04.320
<v Speaker 3>game we'll get into more about why we like them.

0:25:04.320 --> 0:25:08.560
<v Speaker 3>And yeah, for sure, surprisingly has not been good for

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:10.359
<v Speaker 3>the Saints to be at home. I couldn't believe that

0:25:10.440 --> 0:25:12.880
<v Speaker 3>diving into their record at home, they just there is

0:25:12.960 --> 0:25:15.640
<v Speaker 3>Like you said, you're right, there is no true home

0:25:15.680 --> 0:25:18.720
<v Speaker 3>field advantage for this Saints team like there used to be.

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:22.720
<v Speaker 2>And the last two two games, we love.

0:25:22.880 --> 0:25:26.720
<v Speaker 3>Pros love Denver, The pros love the Steelers. I told

0:25:26.720 --> 0:25:29.479
<v Speaker 3>you there are some pros on Green Bay. It's not

0:25:29.520 --> 0:25:30.800
<v Speaker 3>as much as I thought it was going to be

0:25:30.960 --> 0:25:33.760
<v Speaker 3>earlier in the week. I think their early love didn't

0:25:33.760 --> 0:25:36.359
<v Speaker 3>make sense. But the more pros I talked, it seems

0:25:36.359 --> 0:25:39.320
<v Speaker 3>like the more they're on Pittsburgh and that that Dallas

0:25:39.320 --> 0:25:42.120
<v Speaker 3>game does have some pros on it, but it's very,

0:25:42.240 --> 0:25:44.800
<v Speaker 3>very more so the public on the Cowboys, and it's

0:25:44.840 --> 0:25:47.359
<v Speaker 3>the pros for the most part on that Denver side.

0:25:47.400 --> 0:25:51.280
<v Speaker 2>So a lot of games that go through I know,

0:25:51.480 --> 0:25:55.520
<v Speaker 2>like Chad said, there's three bye weeks. Surprisingly amount of

0:25:55.560 --> 0:25:56.120
<v Speaker 2>love for.

0:25:56.040 --> 0:25:58.119
<v Speaker 3>The favorites this week from some professional I've talked to you.

0:25:58.280 --> 0:26:00.480
<v Speaker 3>So yeah, very interesting week for this lineup.

0:26:01.400 --> 0:26:04.760
<v Speaker 1>All right, well let's get into it, and let's start

0:26:05.080 --> 0:26:10.320
<v Speaker 1>right away with Chicago. At Baltimore that number was at

0:26:10.320 --> 0:26:13.920
<v Speaker 1>six and a half. It is down to six at

0:26:13.920 --> 0:26:16.800
<v Speaker 1>hard Rock Bet. I thought by now it would have

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:21.760
<v Speaker 1>gone in the other direction, but simon, the Baltimore Ravens

0:26:22.119 --> 0:26:28.000
<v Speaker 1>are going to be our balls better the week presented

0:26:28.440 --> 0:26:30.720
<v Speaker 1>by hard Rock Bet.

0:26:30.920 --> 0:26:35.600
<v Speaker 2>You know what it takes, brass balls.

0:26:36.320 --> 0:26:40.359
<v Speaker 1>We think today is crazy with news yesterday. The first

0:26:40.400 --> 0:26:44.240
<v Speaker 1>text I see in the morning is from a buddy

0:26:44.560 --> 0:26:49.959
<v Speaker 1>in the Chicago text group that sent it overnight a

0:26:50.080 --> 0:26:56.760
<v Speaker 1>video of Lamar Jackson allegedly at a late night hot

0:26:56.760 --> 0:27:03.399
<v Speaker 1>food truck in Baltimore, ordering loads and loads of food, food,

0:27:04.200 --> 0:27:10.719
<v Speaker 1>not looking like he's connected to the conscious world. And

0:27:11.840 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 1>because you know of the world we live in today,

0:27:16.480 --> 0:27:20.199
<v Speaker 1>I immediately thought, well, this is weird, and of course

0:27:21.880 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>by the end of the day Lamar had said that

0:27:25.200 --> 0:27:31.320
<v Speaker 1>wasn't true. It was an AI video and you know, like,

0:27:32.200 --> 0:27:34.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if that had an impact on the

0:27:34.080 --> 0:27:39.719
<v Speaker 1>move at all. But meanwhile, he did not practice yesterday

0:27:39.760 --> 0:27:41.560
<v Speaker 1>and it was limited in practice. It was a walk through.

0:27:41.600 --> 0:27:45.960
<v Speaker 1>He was taking the third string snaps. And I got

0:27:45.960 --> 0:27:48.760
<v Speaker 1>a text in the middle of the day from my

0:27:48.840 --> 0:27:52.320
<v Speaker 1>buddy Mark Silverman, who's better known as Sylvie. He hosts

0:27:52.359 --> 0:27:57.080
<v Speaker 1>the very popular show Wattle and Sylvie on ESPN Radio

0:27:57.320 --> 0:28:01.000
<v Speaker 1>in Chicago, and ask me what the line would be

0:28:01.000 --> 0:28:05.320
<v Speaker 1>if Lamar wasn't playing, And it hadn't occurred to me

0:28:05.359 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 1>that he wouldn't be playing. So that's when I went

0:28:06.840 --> 0:28:08.919
<v Speaker 1>to check, like what's happening with the practice reports and

0:28:08.960 --> 0:28:13.040
<v Speaker 1>saw I think, if Lamar Jackson's not playing, it's pick

0:28:13.480 --> 0:28:14.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe the Bears are minus one.

0:28:14.880 --> 0:28:17.880
<v Speaker 2>Did you see what Houston did to the Ravens two

0:28:17.920 --> 0:28:18.560
<v Speaker 2>weeks ago?

0:28:20.040 --> 0:28:20.360
<v Speaker 1>I did.

0:28:20.720 --> 0:28:24.080
<v Speaker 3>They got embarrassed by Houston team that's we can both agree,

0:28:24.160 --> 0:28:25.679
<v Speaker 3>not the greatest team in the world.

0:28:25.720 --> 0:28:27.760
<v Speaker 2>They beat them by like thirty points. I mean, what

0:28:27.800 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 2>are we doing here?

0:28:28.680 --> 0:28:31.199
<v Speaker 1>Like, well, I'm assuming that the Ravens are going to

0:28:31.240 --> 0:28:34.160
<v Speaker 1>be significantly more healthy on defense, and as they did

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:37.320
<v Speaker 1>last year in the second half of the year, they

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:41.240
<v Speaker 1>gave Zach Orr tremendous amount of help to figure out

0:28:41.280 --> 0:28:44.560
<v Speaker 1>how to fix that freaking defense, and they got better

0:28:44.600 --> 0:28:47.080
<v Speaker 1>at it. I'm banking on a little bit of press

0:28:47.280 --> 0:28:51.080
<v Speaker 1>president here in a little bit of health. But here's

0:28:51.120 --> 0:28:55.480
<v Speaker 1>the bigger question. Lamar is playing the lines down to six.

0:28:55.520 --> 0:28:57.360
<v Speaker 1>We've made it our brass Balls bet of the week.

0:28:58.040 --> 0:29:00.880
<v Speaker 1>Here's a stat from our friend John Ing, who tweeted

0:29:00.880 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 1>this yesterday. You ready, this is good for us, put

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:08.600
<v Speaker 1>us back together. Since two thousand and three, teams that

0:29:08.640 --> 0:29:11.880
<v Speaker 1>have won twenty percent or fewer of their games. So

0:29:11.920 --> 0:29:16.520
<v Speaker 1>the Baltimore Ravens and our favorites against an opponent with

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:23.920
<v Speaker 1>a winning record fifty six percent against the spread. I

0:29:24.000 --> 0:29:25.959
<v Speaker 1>just think this is a great spot for the Ravens

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:28.400
<v Speaker 1>if Lamar is playing and he's healthy, and you know,

0:29:28.440 --> 0:29:30.400
<v Speaker 1>I think we're hoping that he is. That's why we

0:29:30.440 --> 0:29:32.520
<v Speaker 1>made it the brass Balls. The brass balls part here

0:29:32.560 --> 0:29:34.080
<v Speaker 1>is betting on the fact that Lamar is going to

0:29:34.120 --> 0:29:36.480
<v Speaker 1>be playing and thinking we're getting the Ravens at less

0:29:36.520 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 1>than a touchdown because I do think they'll fix some

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:40.920
<v Speaker 1>of the issues on defense. I think they've gotten healthier

0:29:41.200 --> 0:29:44.520
<v Speaker 1>and I think that the Bears defense is going to

0:29:44.560 --> 0:29:47.760
<v Speaker 1>have real issues against this rushing offense.

0:29:48.560 --> 0:29:49.720
<v Speaker 2>You need to give out the best part of that

0:29:49.800 --> 0:29:50.920
<v Speaker 2>stat as a favorite.

0:29:50.920 --> 0:29:52.760
<v Speaker 3>So that exact team you just talked about, a team

0:29:52.760 --> 0:29:56.000
<v Speaker 3>with twenty percent fewer wins as a favorite of three

0:29:56.040 --> 0:29:59.960
<v Speaker 3>points or more in this spot, those teams thirty and four,

0:30:00.120 --> 0:30:02.120
<v Speaker 3>team sixty eight against the spread.

0:30:02.200 --> 0:30:05.000
<v Speaker 1>That's right, that's right. I forgot that. I mean, I

0:30:05.200 --> 0:30:05.640
<v Speaker 1>forget that.

0:30:05.720 --> 0:30:10.360
<v Speaker 2>It's it's a raven spot. You know, historically.

0:30:11.280 --> 0:30:13.840
<v Speaker 3>We've seen after Bie weeks hardball has done well. I

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:16.520
<v Speaker 3>think he's ten and seven ats after his bie a week,

0:30:16.560 --> 0:30:20.960
<v Speaker 3>and you know, we're fading a Bears team that they're

0:30:20.960 --> 0:30:22.920
<v Speaker 3>on our role right now. Like we were talking, I

0:30:22.960 --> 0:30:24.640
<v Speaker 3>don't know if that was you know, on the shore

0:30:24.680 --> 0:30:26.720
<v Speaker 3>before the show, but they're four they've covered.

0:30:26.480 --> 0:30:31.680
<v Speaker 2>In one four straight games. Yeah, like this is normally

0:30:31.680 --> 0:30:33.960
<v Speaker 2>a team we try to avoid because they are so high.

0:30:34.000 --> 0:30:35.880
<v Speaker 3>Right now, they're playing so well and the books keep

0:30:35.960 --> 0:30:39.080
<v Speaker 3>undervaluing them and the pros are joining. I mean, like

0:30:39.120 --> 0:30:40.600
<v Speaker 3>you just said, this is down to six a hard

0:30:40.640 --> 0:30:43.960
<v Speaker 3>rock because there is so much unknown about what's what's

0:30:44.040 --> 0:30:46.480
<v Speaker 3>up a little more, But I am banking on it

0:30:46.520 --> 0:30:48.880
<v Speaker 3>all being smoke screens and him being a total difference

0:30:49.000 --> 0:30:52.000
<v Speaker 3>maker of this team, even if he is missing.

0:30:51.640 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 2>That half a step.

0:30:53.320 --> 0:30:56.320
<v Speaker 3>Him pushing the ball downfield like they got Isaiah likely

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:58.000
<v Speaker 3>back as well, which I think is gonna be huge

0:30:58.040 --> 0:31:00.920
<v Speaker 3>for them. But that's what's been last Like Cooper Rush

0:31:00.920 --> 0:31:03.560
<v Speaker 3>can't put the ball downfield and there's no threat to run,

0:31:03.920 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 3>so Derek Henry's just had a stack box and they've

0:31:06.400 --> 0:31:08.800
<v Speaker 3>been able to just put one on one on the outside.

0:31:08.840 --> 0:31:11.480
<v Speaker 3>So well, Mark changes everything. There's a reason every year

0:31:11.520 --> 0:31:14.920
<v Speaker 3>is then in it for MVP me and you are

0:31:15.160 --> 0:31:17.200
<v Speaker 3>simply betting on unknown here, which is scary.

0:31:17.840 --> 0:31:18.840
<v Speaker 2>Well, we have to take the value.

0:31:18.920 --> 0:31:22.160
<v Speaker 3>This is a great number, a great line for a

0:31:22.240 --> 0:31:25.080
<v Speaker 3>Ravens team that everything we've seen, they should be healthy

0:31:25.160 --> 0:31:27.320
<v Speaker 3>in a get right spot here against the Bears, and

0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:29.760
<v Speaker 3>like we said, the trends that love this spot as

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:31.480
<v Speaker 3>well for this this Ravens team.

0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:35.120
<v Speaker 1>Baltimore Ravens minus six at hard Rock Bet right now.

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Unfortunately I bet him at six and a half, but

0:31:37.040 --> 0:31:38.840
<v Speaker 1>we are on them. We are on the Ravens. That

0:31:39.000 --> 0:31:41.239
<v Speaker 1>is our brass Balls Better of the Week sponsored by

0:31:41.240 --> 0:31:44.080
<v Speaker 1>hard Rep Bet. I have the New York Giants plus

0:31:44.160 --> 0:31:48.360
<v Speaker 1>seven and a half at Philly they are actually three touchdown,

0:31:48.480 --> 0:31:51.400
<v Speaker 1>four touchdown games that I thought about putting in here.

0:31:51.800 --> 0:31:56.480
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned the Carolina Panthers are seven and a half

0:31:56.960 --> 0:32:00.360
<v Speaker 1>at the bill with the hosting the Bills. Miami is

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:03.640
<v Speaker 1>seven and a half at Atlanta. Cleveland is seven at

0:32:03.680 --> 0:32:09.080
<v Speaker 1>New England. You brought up the Panthers in Sharp Calls.

0:32:09.440 --> 0:32:12.560
<v Speaker 1>I went with this one because it feels like the

0:32:12.600 --> 0:32:17.320
<v Speaker 1>best combination of pointspread value, getting the hook, situational value

0:32:17.360 --> 0:32:21.720
<v Speaker 1>because it's the divisional game, and matchup value. I don't

0:32:21.720 --> 0:32:25.360
<v Speaker 1>have a strong opinion on any of them anymore, to

0:32:25.480 --> 0:32:28.560
<v Speaker 1>be honest, so I would like a little bit of clarity.

0:32:30.320 --> 0:32:32.000
<v Speaker 2>What do you mean, like, why are the pros betting

0:32:32.000 --> 0:32:33.480
<v Speaker 2>the Giants? No?

0:32:33.480 --> 0:32:35.400
<v Speaker 1>No, no, no. I mean like, if we were to

0:32:35.440 --> 0:32:38.960
<v Speaker 1>have to include one of these four in our final five,

0:32:40.000 --> 0:32:43.920
<v Speaker 1>I lean to the Giants. I think I'm off the

0:32:43.960 --> 0:32:46.440
<v Speaker 1>Panthers for the same reason the wise guys that you

0:32:46.480 --> 0:32:48.720
<v Speaker 1>said in the Sharp Calls, and we hadn't discussed this.

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:53.280
<v Speaker 1>I just don't trust Andy Dalton. This is a really

0:32:53.320 --> 0:32:55.360
<v Speaker 1>good running team, and I think it's a really good

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:57.760
<v Speaker 1>running team because of the things Bryce Young can do

0:32:57.800 --> 0:33:00.480
<v Speaker 1>in the pocket and Andy Young, Andy Dalt and can't

0:33:00.480 --> 0:33:04.360
<v Speaker 1>do those things, so and a little bit concerned that

0:33:04.440 --> 0:33:06.960
<v Speaker 1>the Bills are getting some key players back or haven't

0:33:07.000 --> 0:33:09.200
<v Speaker 1>been with them all season on the defensive side of

0:33:09.240 --> 0:33:12.600
<v Speaker 1>the ball who could help with the rush. So I

0:33:12.640 --> 0:33:16.560
<v Speaker 1>walked away from that one, and I think I'm most

0:33:16.680 --> 0:33:18.360
<v Speaker 1>leaning into the Giants at seven and a half.

0:33:19.320 --> 0:33:21.239
<v Speaker 3>Okay, I got some good stats for that Bill's game.

0:33:21.240 --> 0:33:22.760
<v Speaker 3>We can talk about this Giants game for now. I

0:33:23.520 --> 0:33:25.680
<v Speaker 3>probably come around more to the Giants side here and

0:33:25.720 --> 0:33:30.000
<v Speaker 3>why guys are pitching it. I'm finally just simply having

0:33:30.000 --> 0:33:32.120
<v Speaker 3>the Eagles and my money line round Robin and I

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:33.680
<v Speaker 3>can eat that seven and just get a seven and

0:33:33.720 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 3>a half by one of the Giants. You're right, it's

0:33:35.480 --> 0:33:39.280
<v Speaker 3>probably still too inflative of a number in a matchup

0:33:39.320 --> 0:33:42.280
<v Speaker 3>that the Eagles just haven't proven they can close teams out.

0:33:42.280 --> 0:33:44.720
<v Speaker 2>They haven't played two good halfs of football this year.

0:33:44.880 --> 0:33:49.960
<v Speaker 3>They just it's been there Achilles Hill all season, no doubt.

0:33:51.720 --> 0:33:54.840
<v Speaker 3>Could they beat this Giants team by twenty Yes, this

0:33:54.880 --> 0:33:57.640
<v Speaker 3>is a Giants team that lost their number one receiver,

0:33:57.960 --> 0:34:01.680
<v Speaker 3>and as dominant as their power shruss has been, you

0:34:01.720 --> 0:34:03.760
<v Speaker 3>would think the Eagles with that offensive line to be

0:34:03.800 --> 0:34:06.280
<v Speaker 3>able to get some stops against those guys, but it

0:34:06.400 --> 0:34:08.799
<v Speaker 3>egles Line's hurt, like we've talked about that. Also, Line

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:11.640
<v Speaker 3>is just injured. Yeah, the main reason Saquon can't get going.

0:34:11.719 --> 0:34:15.800
<v Speaker 3>So I agree Giants and of all those guys, I

0:34:16.440 --> 0:34:18.399
<v Speaker 3>agree with you, that's probably the best one.

0:34:18.440 --> 0:34:21.360
<v Speaker 2>But it's also just be cautious.

0:34:21.400 --> 0:34:26.880
<v Speaker 3>It's like, it's, uh, this Giants team, we saw what

0:34:26.880 --> 0:34:28.799
<v Speaker 3>can happen with them, right like in that Saints game,

0:34:28.880 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 3>what was a five straight turnovers? We know we're been into.

0:34:31.680 --> 0:34:33.840
<v Speaker 3>We've been into a rookie quarterback on the road in

0:34:33.840 --> 0:34:39.480
<v Speaker 3>a divisional game with an offense that he's making it work.

0:34:39.640 --> 0:34:41.839
<v Speaker 3>But like we said, they're they're just they're not real

0:34:41.880 --> 0:34:45.360
<v Speaker 3>weapons on the outside. So yeah, there's there is some

0:34:45.440 --> 0:34:49.800
<v Speaker 3>hesitation for me. But game wide value.

0:34:49.800 --> 0:34:51.959
<v Speaker 1>Of those four games that I mentioned that are all

0:34:52.320 --> 0:34:56.839
<v Speaker 1>seven to seven and a half, Giants, Eagles, Bill's Panthers,

0:34:58.080 --> 0:35:04.440
<v Speaker 1>Brown's New England, and Miami at Atlanta, if we had

0:35:04.480 --> 0:35:07.360
<v Speaker 1>to put one of those in, I'm worried. We're like,

0:35:07.400 --> 0:35:10.200
<v Speaker 1>I think we have four games we love and I

0:35:10.200 --> 0:35:13.040
<v Speaker 1>think we're struggling to find a fifth of those four games.

0:35:13.040 --> 0:35:14.399
<v Speaker 1>Would you put any of those in?

0:35:15.840 --> 0:35:18.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I like, like I talk of the Patriots

0:35:18.560 --> 0:35:21.000
<v Speaker 3>is a horrible spot. I having a crazy stat about

0:35:21.040 --> 0:35:23.000
<v Speaker 3>that game too. It's the trap of traps. I still

0:35:23.040 --> 0:35:25.959
<v Speaker 3>like the Patriots. I just I can't find I can't

0:35:26.000 --> 0:35:29.000
<v Speaker 3>find the points for the rounds. So that's a game

0:35:29.040 --> 0:35:31.920
<v Speaker 3>we're definitely gonna put in and lose, no doubt about Patriots.

0:35:33.719 --> 0:35:36.359
<v Speaker 1>But for the record, I haven't bet any of these

0:35:36.400 --> 0:35:36.839
<v Speaker 1>games yet.

0:35:36.880 --> 0:35:38.319
<v Speaker 2>So if we want to take your renny, you want

0:35:38.360 --> 0:35:40.320
<v Speaker 2>to give you my stat for that Panthers.

0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:41.799
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, give it to me. Yeah.

0:35:41.880 --> 0:35:45.319
<v Speaker 3>It's what we've been talking about at nauseum about these

0:35:45.360 --> 0:35:48.800
<v Speaker 3>home dogs early in the year. When it crosses seven,

0:35:48.960 --> 0:35:52.479
<v Speaker 3>it's you can say it's lazy, and we just keep

0:35:52.520 --> 0:35:53.200
<v Speaker 3>cashing it.

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:53.960
<v Speaker 2>It keeps hitting.

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:56.800
<v Speaker 3>It's just it is what it is with the trend,

0:35:56.960 --> 0:35:59.560
<v Speaker 3>and it's all about the spot where these home teams

0:35:59.560 --> 0:36:02.040
<v Speaker 3>are under valued. There's a road favorite like the Bills

0:36:02.080 --> 0:36:04.279
<v Speaker 3>that are being priced like there were last year. Now

0:36:05.800 --> 0:36:08.359
<v Speaker 3>let's just dive into the trend. So in the first

0:36:08.480 --> 0:36:11.239
<v Speaker 3>nine games of the year, Okay, what are we in chat?

0:36:11.360 --> 0:36:11.919
<v Speaker 2>Is Week eight?

0:36:12.360 --> 0:36:16.480
<v Speaker 3>Yes, they fit this home teams seven plus points seven

0:36:16.520 --> 0:36:21.160
<v Speaker 3>points or more, forty and eleven against the spread at home.

0:36:21.400 --> 0:36:24.280
<v Speaker 3>So we've hit this a bunch of times already this season.

0:36:24.280 --> 0:36:27.920
<v Speaker 3>It's worked for us. We did the Giants. What was

0:36:27.920 --> 0:36:30.160
<v Speaker 3>that two weeks ago against the Eagles on that Thursday game?

0:36:30.520 --> 0:36:32.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? Was that?

0:36:33.560 --> 0:36:35.239
<v Speaker 3>No, I don't know if the Bengals were home. Was

0:36:35.239 --> 0:36:38.400
<v Speaker 3>that Bengals game in Green Bay? I forget with Flacco,

0:36:38.520 --> 0:36:39.880
<v Speaker 3>but they were like a ten point dog.

0:36:40.400 --> 0:36:43.640
<v Speaker 1>That might have been the Bengals game was I can't remember.

0:36:43.760 --> 0:36:45.319
<v Speaker 3>I think it was the only time we've lost this

0:36:45.400 --> 0:36:49.120
<v Speaker 3>bet is with Tennessee. So that's how good it's been

0:36:49.239 --> 0:36:51.600
<v Speaker 3>where we bet these bad teams. It comes through now.

0:36:52.880 --> 0:36:56.279
<v Speaker 3>I looked in these stats Josh Josh Allen after a

0:36:56.320 --> 0:37:01.160
<v Speaker 3>bye week in his career eight and no up, So

0:37:01.239 --> 0:37:02.640
<v Speaker 3>this is a no brainer going to be in our

0:37:02.680 --> 0:37:08.239
<v Speaker 3>money on round robin all the auto spot for Alan. Historically,

0:37:09.120 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 3>he's performed really well in these type of matchups, and

0:37:13.320 --> 0:37:15.560
<v Speaker 3>I thought it was interesting the stat from our guys

0:37:15.600 --> 0:37:20.400
<v Speaker 3>at bet Labs, and this also includes our Broncos. Panthers

0:37:20.400 --> 0:37:23.840
<v Speaker 3>and Broncos both won three straight games by seven points

0:37:23.880 --> 0:37:27.520
<v Speaker 3>or less over the last decade. Teams that fit that

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:32.080
<v Speaker 3>description thirty and forty six against the spreads of forty percent. Okay,

0:37:32.120 --> 0:37:35.919
<v Speaker 3>not egregious, but when they're listed as an underdog, which

0:37:35.920 --> 0:37:39.120
<v Speaker 3>our Panthers are here, they are ten and twenty six

0:37:39.160 --> 0:37:41.760
<v Speaker 3>straight up, twelve twenty three and one against the spread.

0:37:42.239 --> 0:37:43.920
<v Speaker 2>So that's bad exactly.

0:37:43.920 --> 0:37:45.640
<v Speaker 1>Those are both bad things for.

0:37:45.680 --> 0:37:48.080
<v Speaker 3>Us, well, mainly for the Panthers, a little bit for

0:37:48.080 --> 0:37:49.880
<v Speaker 3>the Broncos, but really for the Panthers. Where it's like,

0:37:50.320 --> 0:37:51.960
<v Speaker 3>I've been trying to find ways for me to stay

0:37:52.000 --> 0:37:55.200
<v Speaker 3>away from this one, and like anything, any.

0:37:55.120 --> 0:37:56.800
<v Speaker 2>Lazy static I had a buddy sent me a stat.

0:37:56.840 --> 0:37:58.640
<v Speaker 2>It was like, yeah, the Bills.

0:37:58.320 --> 0:38:01.520
<v Speaker 3>Franchise history three you o spreading straight up against this

0:38:01.600 --> 0:38:04.120
<v Speaker 3>Panthers team. Again, useless stat, but I love it because

0:38:04.120 --> 0:38:06.640
<v Speaker 3>it's like, Okay, maybe I can avoid this game. So,

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:09.279
<v Speaker 3>like you said, Bills are getting a bunch of guys

0:38:09.320 --> 0:38:09.880
<v Speaker 3>back healthy.

0:38:10.760 --> 0:38:12.080
<v Speaker 2>I was going to all to play this one.

0:38:12.120 --> 0:38:15.200
<v Speaker 3>But Andy Dalton one in five ats is a backup

0:38:15.239 --> 0:38:18.520
<v Speaker 3>coming in and being a starter is one win one

0:38:18.600 --> 0:38:21.879
<v Speaker 3>cover Chad probably against the Raiders they like won by

0:38:21.920 --> 0:38:23.839
<v Speaker 3>like twenty points on this horrible Panthers team.

0:38:23.880 --> 0:38:25.240
<v Speaker 2>Then he lost four straight.

0:38:25.520 --> 0:38:26.239
<v Speaker 1>So that's right.

0:38:27.000 --> 0:38:30.160
<v Speaker 3>I'm glad we can avoid this one. Uh, We'll have

0:38:30.160 --> 0:38:32.920
<v Speaker 3>the Bills and our money line around Robin It maybe

0:38:32.920 --> 0:38:35.480
<v Speaker 3>throwing a couple of teasers, but yeah, this is uh

0:38:35.600 --> 0:38:38.040
<v Speaker 3>I thought was a panther spot. Thought the trends liked

0:38:38.080 --> 0:38:40.400
<v Speaker 3>it more I read into it. It's it's it's become

0:38:40.400 --> 0:38:41.239
<v Speaker 3>more of a bill spot.

0:38:42.200 --> 0:38:45.879
<v Speaker 1>Let's let's talk about a game that we know we're

0:38:45.920 --> 0:38:49.359
<v Speaker 1>gonna like San Francisco at Houston. Houston is a one

0:38:49.360 --> 0:38:52.240
<v Speaker 1>point favorite at hard Rock bat. This was Simon says.

0:38:52.600 --> 0:38:54.000
<v Speaker 1>I hope people got it because of a lot of

0:38:54.000 --> 0:38:56.440
<v Speaker 1>other places. It's moved to one and a half and

0:38:57.239 --> 0:39:00.000
<v Speaker 1>the Niners had even more injuries on defense on Sunday.

0:39:00.120 --> 0:39:03.759
<v Speaker 1>On Sunday and brutal. I think they're having a really

0:39:03.800 --> 0:39:07.600
<v Speaker 1>hard time getting pressure without Bosa and that has been

0:39:07.640 --> 0:39:09.880
<v Speaker 1>the biggest prop for CJ. Stroud. We saw a lot

0:39:09.960 --> 0:39:13.000
<v Speaker 1>of that against the Seahawks. So I'm feeling more and

0:39:13.040 --> 0:39:15.720
<v Speaker 1>more comfortable, even though we've got a flipped line here

0:39:16.800 --> 0:39:19.640
<v Speaker 1>just for a moment on the Texans, and as you

0:39:19.719 --> 0:39:24.120
<v Speaker 1>mentioned in sharp Calls, so give me your take on

0:39:24.120 --> 0:39:25.360
<v Speaker 1>why we're still feel uncomfortable.

0:39:25.640 --> 0:39:27.279
<v Speaker 2>I don't think you but this is something real crazy there.

0:39:27.400 --> 0:39:27.759
<v Speaker 2>H Yeah.

0:39:27.880 --> 0:39:30.919
<v Speaker 1>For so I'm walking away well.

0:39:30.840 --> 0:39:31.560
<v Speaker 2>It's always funny.

0:39:31.560 --> 0:39:33.520
<v Speaker 3>Like I'm out about and I ran into a couple

0:39:33.520 --> 0:39:36.320
<v Speaker 3>of buddies who do listen to our show, and they're like, like, dude,

0:39:36.320 --> 0:39:38.759
<v Speaker 3>are you the sucker for taking a two and four

0:39:38.800 --> 0:39:41.440
<v Speaker 3>Houston team against a five or two Foreigners team in

0:39:41.480 --> 0:39:44.360
<v Speaker 3>their favorite Like isn't this an easy bet on the

0:39:44.360 --> 0:39:45.960
<v Speaker 3>fort I'm like, when you say something like that to me,

0:39:45.960 --> 0:39:48.120
<v Speaker 3>makes me be more confident on Houston where it's like

0:39:48.360 --> 0:39:51.359
<v Speaker 3>I'm hoping more people think like he is, where they're

0:39:51.400 --> 0:39:53.960
<v Speaker 3>overlooking a lot of underlying stuff with his Foreigners team,

0:39:53.960 --> 0:39:55.560
<v Speaker 3>and like you said, the injuries are the biggest one.

0:39:56.160 --> 0:40:00.000
<v Speaker 3>But to me, it's the trends Shanahan, whatever it is

0:40:00.560 --> 0:40:02.840
<v Speaker 3>he's moving in this era that he's his teams just

0:40:02.880 --> 0:40:06.359
<v Speaker 3>don't get up for games after wins since twenty twenty three.

0:40:06.480 --> 0:40:09.000
<v Speaker 3>So like late December twenty twenty three, forty nine ers

0:40:10.000 --> 0:40:13.520
<v Speaker 3>one and thirteen against the spread after a straight up win,

0:40:14.000 --> 0:40:16.680
<v Speaker 3>and they're failing to cover those spreads by seven and

0:40:16.719 --> 0:40:17.840
<v Speaker 3>a half points.

0:40:18.120 --> 0:40:19.399
<v Speaker 2>So that's that's not just a.

0:40:19.320 --> 0:40:23.520
<v Speaker 3>Little little bit of data that's over two years now,

0:40:23.560 --> 0:40:25.879
<v Speaker 3>Like twenty twenty three December, that was a long time ago,

0:40:26.480 --> 0:40:28.960
<v Speaker 3>just a different team after these wins in the sense

0:40:29.000 --> 0:40:34.040
<v Speaker 3>that they just don't cover. Like the fact that they

0:40:34.120 --> 0:40:36.520
<v Speaker 3>get over valued by the general public after wins just

0:40:36.560 --> 0:40:38.720
<v Speaker 3>shows that's happening time and time again in the market.

0:40:38.840 --> 0:40:42.480
<v Speaker 3>So I really like that stat for Houston, and I

0:40:42.680 --> 0:40:45.719
<v Speaker 3>immediately thought to myself, Okay, well, let's dive into what

0:40:45.800 --> 0:40:50.839
<v Speaker 3>Chad talked about, right the defense. How are they been

0:40:50.920 --> 0:40:54.400
<v Speaker 3>and how how's the fortyin ers offense against really good defenses?

0:40:54.600 --> 0:40:58.399
<v Speaker 3>And you know, their last nine games against defenses again,

0:40:58.480 --> 0:41:01.760
<v Speaker 3>this is a Shanan stat again, defense that allowed seventeen

0:41:01.760 --> 0:41:04.840
<v Speaker 3>points or less per game, which is that's the Houston's

0:41:04.840 --> 0:41:05.600
<v Speaker 3>bread and butter right now.

0:41:05.600 --> 0:41:06.799
<v Speaker 2>They're a great defensive team.

0:41:07.200 --> 0:41:10.040
<v Speaker 3>Shane hands one to eight against the spread on the

0:41:10.120 --> 0:41:13.240
<v Speaker 3>road or neutral sites since twenty twenty two. He's actually

0:41:13.239 --> 0:41:16.920
<v Speaker 3>lost five straight in this exact spot. So already kind

0:41:16.920 --> 0:41:19.080
<v Speaker 3>of loved Houston here because what Chad talked about, there's

0:41:19.080 --> 0:41:20.560
<v Speaker 3>a ton of injuries this forign ires team, and I

0:41:20.600 --> 0:41:23.000
<v Speaker 3>felt like this was a get right spot for Houston

0:41:23.080 --> 0:41:25.480
<v Speaker 3>that just got embarrassed on a short week. This is

0:41:25.520 --> 0:41:27.000
<v Speaker 3>kind of the perfect recipe of them to get that

0:41:27.040 --> 0:41:29.319
<v Speaker 3>taste out of their mouth. Move on to the next week,

0:41:29.320 --> 0:41:32.040
<v Speaker 3>and this Foreign hours team now with all the unknown

0:41:32.080 --> 0:41:34.520
<v Speaker 3>of Purty and a bank dub mac Jones, and we

0:41:34.520 --> 0:41:36.760
<v Speaker 3>still we don't know who the quarterback is for this week.

0:41:37.440 --> 0:41:39.640
<v Speaker 3>I just think there's so much going on now, this

0:41:39.680 --> 0:41:42.520
<v Speaker 3>Foreign Inners team them getting to be them being five

0:41:42.560 --> 0:41:44.359
<v Speaker 3>and three with all they've gone through, that makes more

0:41:44.480 --> 0:41:48.439
<v Speaker 3>sense than this Houston team totally laying another egg at

0:41:48.480 --> 0:41:51.000
<v Speaker 3>home here and the forty andres moved to six and two.

0:41:51.080 --> 0:41:53.160
<v Speaker 3>This feels like a bad spot plus four and I

0:41:53.280 --> 0:41:56.319
<v Speaker 3>ers team. On the flip side, Houston their defense, this

0:41:56.440 --> 0:41:58.759
<v Speaker 3>should be a great match for them in the sense

0:41:58.800 --> 0:42:02.319
<v Speaker 3>that they have two limited quarterbacks. They have two really

0:42:02.320 --> 0:42:04.920
<v Speaker 3>good ed rushers on their team, and like we said

0:42:04.920 --> 0:42:06.960
<v Speaker 3>that that defense they put them in the spot to

0:42:07.000 --> 0:42:09.000
<v Speaker 3>win against the Seahawks. The CJ just screwed us over

0:42:09.040 --> 0:42:11.919
<v Speaker 3>and chat talked about it. CJ has no pass rush fear.

0:42:12.320 --> 0:42:15.200
<v Speaker 3>That tends to be when he shines. So I'm glad

0:42:15.200 --> 0:42:17.200
<v Speaker 3>you've come around this texta team. I know it feels gross.

0:42:17.560 --> 0:42:19.480
<v Speaker 3>I get one on Tuesday. You were like, I hate this,

0:42:19.640 --> 0:42:21.600
<v Speaker 3>but it just feels like it's a number you have

0:42:21.640 --> 0:42:23.040
<v Speaker 3>to play in a spot we have to bet.

0:42:23.280 --> 0:42:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean that's you know, like none of us

0:42:25.400 --> 0:42:28.600
<v Speaker 1>are immune in recency bias and so tough. It takes

0:42:28.640 --> 0:42:31.880
<v Speaker 1>a minute. It takes a minute, especially four hours, you know,

0:42:32.040 --> 0:42:35.719
<v Speaker 1>I know it's really hard. Yeah, speaking really hard. New

0:42:35.800 --> 0:42:38.520
<v Speaker 1>York Jets plus six and a half at Cincinnati. I've

0:42:38.560 --> 0:42:42.960
<v Speaker 1>been trying to avoid this one. I mean, like, we're

0:42:42.960 --> 0:42:45.040
<v Speaker 1>gonna have to find five bests that we love. And

0:42:45.120 --> 0:42:47.239
<v Speaker 1>it makes no sense that the Bengals are six and

0:42:47.239 --> 0:42:51.160
<v Speaker 1>a half point favorites over anyone. If we know Tyrad

0:42:51.200 --> 0:42:53.399
<v Speaker 1>Taylor is starting on Sunday and we still have forty

0:42:53.400 --> 0:42:56.480
<v Speaker 1>eight hours to truly understand if he is, it feels

0:42:56.520 --> 0:42:58.239
<v Speaker 1>like it might have to make it into one of

0:42:58.239 --> 0:43:02.160
<v Speaker 1>our favorites. Five weeks of the year, the Jets played

0:43:02.200 --> 0:43:06.600
<v Speaker 1>struggling or bad defenses. In the Steelers, Cowboys, Dolphins, Bucks,

0:43:06.600 --> 0:43:09.560
<v Speaker 1>and Bills average twenty three points a game. The Bengals

0:43:09.560 --> 0:43:12.800
<v Speaker 1>have allowed fewer than twenty seven points once this season.

0:43:13.120 --> 0:43:16.719
<v Speaker 1>It is just a dreadful, dreadful, dreadful defense. It's the

0:43:16.800 --> 0:43:19.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of defense that might be Aaron Aaron Glenn and

0:43:19.760 --> 0:43:22.279
<v Speaker 1>Jets proof, you know what I mean. And so.

0:43:24.400 --> 0:43:25.920
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, I'm not gonna waste people's time on it.

0:43:25.960 --> 0:43:27.919
<v Speaker 3>But if if you want to, just if you don't

0:43:27.960 --> 0:43:29.239
<v Speaker 3>like any of our other bets and you were like,

0:43:29.239 --> 0:43:31.359
<v Speaker 3>what's the grossest bet that I have to bet this week?

0:43:31.400 --> 0:43:34.279
<v Speaker 3>Because it's a long term winner. This Jets is a

0:43:34.320 --> 0:43:36.640
<v Speaker 3>long term winner. I know doesn't feel like it, but

0:43:36.680 --> 0:43:39.920
<v Speaker 3>it's a unique spot. It's I mean, there's tons of stats,

0:43:39.920 --> 0:43:41.319
<v Speaker 3>like teams that are owned for like they are and

0:43:41.360 --> 0:43:42.839
<v Speaker 3>they go on the road, they tend to cover these

0:43:42.840 --> 0:43:45.319
<v Speaker 3>exact games. It's only the only other team owned four

0:43:45.400 --> 0:43:48.200
<v Speaker 3>this year that's gone on the road and covered was

0:43:48.239 --> 0:43:50.440
<v Speaker 3>the Titans. The Titans did it, So that's what I mean, Like,

0:43:50.440 --> 0:43:53.319
<v Speaker 3>it's usually a spot for these teams. So I mean

0:43:53.320 --> 0:43:55.840
<v Speaker 3>the Titans could do it. Goddamn Jets, you gotta do

0:43:55.880 --> 0:43:56.359
<v Speaker 3>it as well.

0:43:56.400 --> 0:43:57.160
<v Speaker 2>But I'm with you.

0:43:57.239 --> 0:43:59.000
<v Speaker 3>I'm not going to force this into our contest. I'm

0:43:59.000 --> 0:44:01.799
<v Speaker 3>not gonna make people bet this, but yes, I will

0:44:01.800 --> 0:44:03.879
<v Speaker 3>be on the Jets. We will put them on money

0:44:03.880 --> 0:44:07.160
<v Speaker 3>line round robin and yeah, I hate it, two people,

0:44:07.239 --> 0:44:07.840
<v Speaker 3>that's gross.

0:44:08.080 --> 0:44:12.680
<v Speaker 1>We're just gonna do it where it's just I feel

0:44:12.760 --> 0:44:14.799
<v Speaker 1>like it's happening. I feel like we can't avoid it.

0:44:14.840 --> 0:44:18.400
<v Speaker 1>I feel like it's the beacon that is drawing us

0:44:18.440 --> 0:44:21.759
<v Speaker 1>in Tampa Bay at New Orleans. You mentioned this in

0:44:21.840 --> 0:44:24.040
<v Speaker 1>sharp Calls that number is down to three and a

0:44:24.080 --> 0:44:27.560
<v Speaker 1>half at hard Rock beat and half. So's it's gone

0:44:27.600 --> 0:44:32.560
<v Speaker 1>down two full points now. And wow, look you mentioned

0:44:32.560 --> 0:44:34.799
<v Speaker 1>Baker is a little bit banged up. We know Mike

0:44:34.840 --> 0:44:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Evans is out Godwin a Mecca Buca was not at

0:44:39.040 --> 0:44:43.000
<v Speaker 1>full speed in that game the other night. I just

0:44:43.040 --> 0:44:45.760
<v Speaker 1>don't trust the Saints. I feel like everyone is trying

0:44:45.800 --> 0:44:48.000
<v Speaker 1>to force the Saints down my throat, like we have

0:44:48.040 --> 0:44:49.720
<v Speaker 1>to be betting on the Saints and they're a wise

0:44:49.719 --> 0:44:53.600
<v Speaker 1>guy team, and like I hear it all. Spencer isn't

0:44:53.600 --> 0:44:56.120
<v Speaker 1>as bad as a record, and he's really good against pressure,

0:44:56.160 --> 0:44:59.759
<v Speaker 1>and he hasn't made turnover worthy plays. They're really unlucky.

0:45:00.080 --> 0:45:02.719
<v Speaker 1>I hear it all. And like we see the imbalance

0:45:02.800 --> 0:45:05.640
<v Speaker 1>between the bets and the money. The Bucks are getting

0:45:06.280 --> 0:45:10.280
<v Speaker 1>seventy percent of the bets and the Saints are getting

0:45:10.360 --> 0:45:14.160
<v Speaker 1>seventy percent of the money. Like it is one the

0:45:14.160 --> 0:45:17.919
<v Speaker 1>sharp side the Saints. We've seen the activity. We've seen

0:45:17.960 --> 0:45:22.360
<v Speaker 1>the number move huge reverse line movement, meaning that the

0:45:22.760 --> 0:45:24.800
<v Speaker 1>bets are coming in on the box and the money

0:45:24.840 --> 0:45:30.280
<v Speaker 1>and the line is moving in the direction of the Saints. Fishy.

0:45:31.560 --> 0:45:33.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, again, it doesn't mean it's the right side just

0:45:33.200 --> 0:45:35.680
<v Speaker 2>because the pros are on it. But it's like I said,

0:45:36.120 --> 0:45:37.759
<v Speaker 2>you should have grabbed the four and after to grab

0:45:37.800 --> 0:45:39.120
<v Speaker 2>the five and a half. Yes, that was going to

0:45:39.160 --> 0:45:41.280
<v Speaker 2>be the pro side, just because it's.

0:45:41.960 --> 0:45:46.320
<v Speaker 3>A number that is inflated, and just because of the injuries,

0:45:46.360 --> 0:45:49.920
<v Speaker 3>like you Chad said it, God no, Godwin, no Mike Evans,

0:45:49.920 --> 0:45:53.320
<v Speaker 3>no Bucky Irving, like Meccha Buka is not full strength.

0:45:53.360 --> 0:45:56.319
<v Speaker 3>That's a big deal. Like those things do matter. The

0:45:56.360 --> 0:45:59.000
<v Speaker 3>thing you can hang your head on. It's it's Baker

0:45:59.120 --> 0:46:02.040
<v Speaker 3>versus Spencer rat and rather and the Saints team. They

0:46:02.080 --> 0:46:04.560
<v Speaker 3>have not been good at home, Like even this year,

0:46:04.600 --> 0:46:06.040
<v Speaker 3>they have not really been covered. You know, I thought

0:46:06.080 --> 0:46:08.640
<v Speaker 3>they played well at home. Surprisingly they have not been

0:46:08.680 --> 0:46:13.160
<v Speaker 3>covering at home. So you're right, probably overvalued by professionals.

0:46:14.520 --> 0:46:16.400
<v Speaker 3>I talked a little bit about it, like how weird

0:46:16.400 --> 0:46:20.319
<v Speaker 3>of this Bucks team is like minus one point differential,

0:46:20.600 --> 0:46:22.920
<v Speaker 3>and Evan Admers had an amazing stat about it. Basically,

0:46:24.040 --> 0:46:28.440
<v Speaker 3>they're the first team since twenty twenty two to be

0:46:28.600 --> 0:46:30.880
<v Speaker 3>eight games in with a winning percentage like that and

0:46:30.880 --> 0:46:33.480
<v Speaker 3>a negative point differential the other two teams where the

0:46:33.480 --> 0:46:36.080
<v Speaker 3>Browns and the Bills, neither of them end up covering

0:46:36.120 --> 0:46:38.360
<v Speaker 3>in this exact spot in this week, because it's like

0:46:39.320 --> 0:46:42.560
<v Speaker 3>it's just simply a team that plays close under overvalued

0:46:42.560 --> 0:46:46.560
<v Speaker 3>by the market. That makes sense Baker's career. I've talked

0:46:46.560 --> 0:46:50.120
<v Speaker 3>about it, like them as a dog. Always feel better

0:46:50.239 --> 0:46:53.320
<v Speaker 3>taking Baker as a dog. Yeah, really hate taking Baker

0:46:53.320 --> 0:46:56.160
<v Speaker 3>as a favorite, let alone a favorite against the visional opponents.

0:46:56.160 --> 0:46:59.799
<v Speaker 3>In his career, he's played twenty one games against the

0:47:00.239 --> 0:47:03.600
<v Speaker 3>opponents as a favorite. He is seven and fourteen against

0:47:03.600 --> 0:47:06.919
<v Speaker 3>the spread. So since he's been drafted, of the eighty

0:47:06.960 --> 0:47:09.960
<v Speaker 3>two starters in the league, he is the worst win

0:47:10.040 --> 0:47:14.680
<v Speaker 3>percentage against divisional foes as a favorite. So just understand

0:47:14.719 --> 0:47:16.160
<v Speaker 3>what you're betting in two year. If you are taking

0:47:16.160 --> 0:47:18.000
<v Speaker 3>the buck side, it's not a good number. It's not

0:47:18.000 --> 0:47:20.719
<v Speaker 3>a good side. Like Chad saying, this Saints team, no

0:47:20.719 --> 0:47:22.960
<v Speaker 3>one's gonna feel good betting them, right, they have not

0:47:23.320 --> 0:47:26.120
<v Speaker 3>Probably You're probably right. They do not deserve to be

0:47:26.200 --> 0:47:28.120
<v Speaker 3>getting this much line movement. It is now down to

0:47:28.120 --> 0:47:30.200
<v Speaker 3>three and a half at hard Rock. I'm not going

0:47:30.239 --> 0:47:32.520
<v Speaker 3>to force that in like to me four and a half,

0:47:32.520 --> 0:47:35.080
<v Speaker 3>five and a half. I felt confident there. I won't

0:47:35.160 --> 0:47:35.920
<v Speaker 3>chase this number.

0:47:35.920 --> 0:47:37.680
<v Speaker 2>But I still think if you want to bet this,

0:47:38.120 --> 0:47:40.479
<v Speaker 2>I don't think it's moved enough. I have it at three.

0:47:40.600 --> 0:47:42.840
<v Speaker 3>You're still getting a good number technically on this this

0:47:42.920 --> 0:47:46.880
<v Speaker 3>Saints team, but I need every point. I need every

0:47:46.920 --> 0:47:49.840
<v Speaker 3>point if I'm gonna bet Spencer Rattler. And it was

0:47:49.840 --> 0:47:51.600
<v Speaker 3>the same reason last week I didn't force them in

0:47:51.640 --> 0:47:55.239
<v Speaker 3>with us against that Bears team because it's like it's

0:47:55.360 --> 0:47:57.799
<v Speaker 3>it was Spencer Ratler outdoors in the elements. I'm just

0:47:57.880 --> 0:47:58.680
<v Speaker 3>not gonna get there.

0:47:58.760 --> 0:48:02.880
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, it's it's not great for Baker and make

0:48:02.920 --> 0:48:05.560
<v Speaker 2>a sure career with the books as a favorite on

0:48:05.600 --> 0:48:06.000
<v Speaker 2>the road.

0:48:06.080 --> 0:48:09.960
<v Speaker 3>He's four and five against the spread, So it's it's

0:48:09.960 --> 0:48:11.279
<v Speaker 3>not a good bigger spot. That's what I'm trying to

0:48:11.280 --> 0:48:13.200
<v Speaker 3>get people understanding. You just don't don't force us one

0:48:13.280 --> 0:48:15.200
<v Speaker 3>in this week. We said it's a short week, not

0:48:15.280 --> 0:48:17.719
<v Speaker 3>many options. Either play the Saints or don't play this

0:48:17.800 --> 0:48:18.359
<v Speaker 3>number at all.

0:48:18.440 --> 0:48:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor,

0:48:21.520 --> 0:48:24.280
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0:48:27.840 --> 0:48:30.520
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<v Speaker 1>more against NFC North opponents in four straight games. His

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<v Speaker 1>in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, WI, or is the Ohio, Tennessee

0:50:01.239 --> 0:50:03.040
<v Speaker 1>or Virginia.

0:50:03.760 --> 0:50:05.920
<v Speaker 2>Do you want to doubt that Patriots Browns game?

0:50:06.000 --> 0:50:07.680
<v Speaker 1>Or No, I don't know what to do with it

0:50:07.719 --> 0:50:10.080
<v Speaker 1>because it feels like the spot where we should be

0:50:10.160 --> 0:50:14.600
<v Speaker 1>completely walking away if we know better from from the Browns,

0:50:14.640 --> 0:50:19.279
<v Speaker 1>because it's not where they are. It's like we found

0:50:19.320 --> 0:50:20.040
<v Speaker 1>a winning formula.

0:50:20.080 --> 0:50:21.600
<v Speaker 2>No, No, I'm on New England, aren't you on New England?

0:50:21.600 --> 0:50:21.759
<v Speaker 3>With me.

0:50:21.840 --> 0:50:24.880
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, yeah, totally. So I am on New England.

0:50:25.920 --> 0:50:27.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't know how the Browns are getting any points.

0:50:27.920 --> 0:50:30.759
<v Speaker 1>Like Dylan Garabidel is not an NFL quarterback. That's it.

0:50:32.560 --> 0:50:35.280
<v Speaker 3>I saw this amazing statu. It goes to the Patriots

0:50:35.280 --> 0:50:37.920
<v Speaker 3>and the Bears, and it's basically about these teams in

0:50:38.000 --> 0:50:41.239
<v Speaker 3>these four plus game ats win streaks like straight up

0:50:41.239 --> 0:50:44.799
<v Speaker 3>and against the spread. So those teams that didn't This

0:50:44.840 --> 0:50:47.920
<v Speaker 3>is again Evan Abrams amazing stat These are those the

0:50:47.960 --> 0:50:50.319
<v Speaker 3>exact teams that didn't make the playoffs last year and

0:50:50.360 --> 0:50:52.840
<v Speaker 3>now they're on four plus game winning streaks straight up

0:50:52.840 --> 0:50:55.880
<v Speaker 3>and against the spread, and this exact spot they are

0:50:56.000 --> 0:50:59.799
<v Speaker 3>fourteen twenty six and one against the spread. Since twenty

0:50:59.840 --> 0:51:03.480
<v Speaker 3>two twenty two, they are one in fourteen against the

0:51:03.520 --> 0:51:08.080
<v Speaker 3>spread in the spot. So it is like, I know

0:51:08.160 --> 0:51:10.919
<v Speaker 3>exactly we're walking into betting this Patriots team.

0:51:11.080 --> 0:51:13.759
<v Speaker 1>We're stepping into it, and like to be clear, so

0:51:14.120 --> 0:51:17.600
<v Speaker 1>like I shouldn't say I bet it. I have not

0:51:17.760 --> 0:51:18.680
<v Speaker 1>other than the Panthers.

0:51:18.800 --> 0:51:20.319
<v Speaker 2>I took that six and they were six and a half.

0:51:20.360 --> 0:51:21.399
<v Speaker 2>A couple of books I took you.

0:51:21.400 --> 0:51:26.160
<v Speaker 1>That I like, I have not bet the Falcons. I

0:51:26.239 --> 0:51:30.240
<v Speaker 1>have not bet the Giants, and I have not bet

0:51:30.800 --> 0:51:33.360
<v Speaker 1>the Patriots, and I'm not sure that I will. The

0:51:33.440 --> 0:51:35.640
<v Speaker 1>only bet you just said to make you feel better, then

0:51:36.120 --> 0:51:37.919
<v Speaker 1>well hold on. The only the only game I've bet

0:51:37.920 --> 0:51:40.319
<v Speaker 1>of those four seven to seven and a half point

0:51:40.360 --> 0:51:43.399
<v Speaker 1>spreads is the Panthers, and that's only because I bet

0:51:43.440 --> 0:51:45.439
<v Speaker 1>it in the summer when I thought the line would

0:51:45.440 --> 0:51:47.000
<v Speaker 1>be much shorter, because I was so in on the

0:51:47.040 --> 0:51:48.200
<v Speaker 1>Panthers go ahead.

0:51:48.560 --> 0:51:51.760
<v Speaker 3>So just this year, this feels like a Vrabel stat

0:51:51.960 --> 0:51:54.320
<v Speaker 3>the Patriots when they grew up by a touchdown remorse

0:51:54.320 --> 0:51:56.800
<v Speaker 3>of six plus points. They are five and oh straight

0:51:56.840 --> 0:51:58.440
<v Speaker 3>up and against the spread this season.

0:52:00.680 --> 0:52:03.320
<v Speaker 1>In this way, I bet you bet Vrabel exactly.

0:52:03.400 --> 0:52:05.040
<v Speaker 3>That's why I'm like thinking this game, I'm trying to

0:52:05.040 --> 0:52:07.200
<v Speaker 3>throw it all the numbers where it's like that that

0:52:07.280 --> 0:52:09.120
<v Speaker 3>sums up the veryble type of team he's going to

0:52:09.200 --> 0:52:11.960
<v Speaker 3>be this year, where it's like, if if he gets

0:52:12.040 --> 0:52:13.800
<v Speaker 3>up a lead in this game, I just how do

0:52:13.880 --> 0:52:14.919
<v Speaker 3>the Browns come back?

0:52:14.960 --> 0:52:17.920
<v Speaker 2>So Chad's right, we should try to avoid this one.

0:52:17.920 --> 0:52:19.000
<v Speaker 2>I don't think I'm gonna be able to.

0:52:19.239 --> 0:52:21.080
<v Speaker 3>I will be shocked come Sunday morning, like I'm gonna

0:52:21.080 --> 0:52:24.880
<v Speaker 3>probably bett in the Patriots my seven. I just I

0:52:24.920 --> 0:52:27.960
<v Speaker 3>can't get over how to how different this Browns team

0:52:28.000 --> 0:52:29.480
<v Speaker 3>is on the road and how bad of a spot

0:52:29.560 --> 0:52:34.000
<v Speaker 3>is for their quarterback. So yeah, I just it's it's

0:52:34.040 --> 0:52:36.560
<v Speaker 3>interesting those those trends pointing to it being a bad

0:52:36.560 --> 0:52:38.960
<v Speaker 3>spot for the Patriots, but they feel a little bit

0:52:39.000 --> 0:52:40.000
<v Speaker 3>like a unicorn here.

0:52:40.440 --> 0:52:44.759
<v Speaker 1>Terrible Dallas at Denver, Denver, MINEUS three. Now, this was

0:52:44.840 --> 0:52:48.520
<v Speaker 1>Chad's choice when it was three and a half. It

0:52:48.560 --> 0:52:55.000
<v Speaker 1>moved in my direction basically because I move lines and

0:52:55.040 --> 0:52:59.600
<v Speaker 1>so nothing really moving me off of this pick other

0:52:59.719 --> 0:53:07.960
<v Speaker 1>than nightmares of bow knicks throwing into empty spots in

0:53:07.960 --> 0:53:10.080
<v Speaker 1>the middle of his own which he is not as

0:53:10.080 --> 0:53:13.440
<v Speaker 1>good as he is against man to man and unfortunately,

0:53:13.960 --> 0:53:18.279
<v Speaker 1>Matt Iberflus loves to play zone, except for last week

0:53:18.320 --> 0:53:21.040
<v Speaker 1>when he played Mando man against third and fourth string receivers.

0:53:21.480 --> 0:53:25.719
<v Speaker 1>So I liked when you said the wise guys were

0:53:25.760 --> 0:53:32.040
<v Speaker 1>on this because I very much wanted to be a

0:53:32.040 --> 0:53:32.919
<v Speaker 1>Broncos game.

0:53:34.560 --> 0:53:36.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I was really confident.

0:53:36.960 --> 0:53:39.719
<v Speaker 1>I misspoke. I misspoke. I'm sorry. I bet this at three,

0:53:39.920 --> 0:53:41.640
<v Speaker 1>it moved up to three and a half, and now

0:53:41.640 --> 0:53:45.200
<v Speaker 1>it's back down to three. At hard Rock. Bet I apologize.

0:53:45.320 --> 0:53:45.719
<v Speaker 1>I moved on.

0:53:46.120 --> 0:53:48.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, when we talk to you guys, really coughm this one.

0:53:48.160 --> 0:53:52.960
<v Speaker 2>Really loved Denver here, Thanky not the best.

0:53:53.680 --> 0:53:58.360
<v Speaker 3>Just because Chad's talked about we're backing bow Knicks, who

0:53:59.640 --> 0:54:04.080
<v Speaker 3>as good he's been this year with all these crazy

0:54:04.120 --> 0:54:07.560
<v Speaker 3>comfort behind wins, we're telling people to take him at

0:54:07.560 --> 0:54:09.880
<v Speaker 3>minus three, minus three and a half as a favorite,

0:54:09.920 --> 0:54:12.160
<v Speaker 3>Like that's not ideal for a quarterback that seems like

0:54:12.239 --> 0:54:14.760
<v Speaker 3>he can't roll these teams, Like we need him to

0:54:14.880 --> 0:54:17.239
<v Speaker 3>roll Dallas because Dak's gonna get his We already talked

0:54:17.280 --> 0:54:20.640
<v Speaker 3>about Dak is one of the few quarterbacks I can

0:54:20.760 --> 0:54:23.960
<v Speaker 3>remember that is on an incredible run with a terrible defense.

0:54:23.960 --> 0:54:25.840
<v Speaker 3>When he's not turning the ball over, he's just playing

0:54:25.920 --> 0:54:28.879
<v Speaker 3>so smart. Like the biggest thing we could take away

0:54:28.920 --> 0:54:30.920
<v Speaker 3>from Dak is hoping for three and outs and we

0:54:30.960 --> 0:54:31.279
<v Speaker 3>have that.

0:54:31.320 --> 0:54:32.080
<v Speaker 2>We've talked about it.

0:54:32.120 --> 0:54:35.960
<v Speaker 3>This Broncos front should give them real problems and you know,

0:54:37.000 --> 0:54:39.279
<v Speaker 3>historical data. I talked to a lot of old, older

0:54:39.360 --> 0:54:42.120
<v Speaker 3>guys who talked about you know, this is a unique

0:54:42.120 --> 0:54:45.080
<v Speaker 3>spot where the Broncos tend to always own this Cowboys team.

0:54:45.080 --> 0:54:47.200
<v Speaker 3>Doesn't matter who the quarterbacks are, who the coaches are

0:54:47.760 --> 0:54:49.200
<v Speaker 3>you can go way back, And I was like, all right,

0:54:49.280 --> 0:54:49.759
<v Speaker 3>is that true?

0:54:49.760 --> 0:54:50.080
<v Speaker 2>And I did.

0:54:50.200 --> 0:54:54.160
<v Speaker 3>Look, last time Dallas beat Denver was with Troy Aikman.

0:54:54.320 --> 0:54:58.200
<v Speaker 3>So it's been a rough go for Dallas historically against

0:54:58.200 --> 0:55:00.839
<v Speaker 3>this Denver team. And I think me and you are

0:55:00.880 --> 0:55:04.319
<v Speaker 3>really banking on the defense. I know, Bo Nicks, we're

0:55:04.320 --> 0:55:05.680
<v Speaker 3>gonna need to move the ball, We're gonna need even

0:55:05.719 --> 0:55:08.239
<v Speaker 3>a score. But I like to think Sean Payne can

0:55:08.280 --> 0:55:11.360
<v Speaker 3>scheme it around this terrible Dallas defense. There's gonna be

0:55:11.400 --> 0:55:14.319
<v Speaker 3>plenty of options and holes. We just can't have him

0:55:14.440 --> 0:55:16.279
<v Speaker 3>do what he's been doing, which is slow starts like

0:55:16.320 --> 0:55:18.799
<v Speaker 3>he gets he puts himselves in these holes, and then

0:55:18.840 --> 0:55:20.680
<v Speaker 3>we're asking bo Nicks to throw us out of these holes,

0:55:20.680 --> 0:55:24.000
<v Speaker 3>which is not a specially want to be in. So yeah,

0:55:24.080 --> 0:55:26.720
<v Speaker 3>I know, I've had a couple people send me those trends.

0:55:27.280 --> 0:55:30.799
<v Speaker 3>Teams that basically come from behind like they did, it's

0:55:30.880 --> 0:55:33.279
<v Speaker 3>horrible for them historically the following game, right, they tend

0:55:33.280 --> 0:55:33.759
<v Speaker 3>to not cover.

0:55:33.880 --> 0:55:37.719
<v Speaker 2>But me and Chad always say, there's a six percent chain.

0:55:38.120 --> 0:55:41.279
<v Speaker 3>It's stat on the other side of that trend, So

0:55:41.840 --> 0:55:44.080
<v Speaker 3>we're just oping Bo's that thirty six percent we just

0:55:44.120 --> 0:55:47.040
<v Speaker 3>need him to show up here. And it really is

0:55:47.040 --> 0:55:49.160
<v Speaker 3>a bet though on that Broncos front, Like if we

0:55:49.200 --> 0:55:52.920
<v Speaker 3>get pressure on Dak Tax due to have a letdown game,

0:55:52.960 --> 0:55:54.239
<v Speaker 3>he's been so flawless.

0:55:56.200 --> 0:55:58.040
<v Speaker 2>They you know the weapons they.

0:55:57.920 --> 0:56:01.720
<v Speaker 3>Have Dallas, this this historically should be a bad matchup

0:56:01.719 --> 0:56:04.400
<v Speaker 3>for them, So pretty unique spot right. The total I

0:56:04.400 --> 0:56:08.279
<v Speaker 3>believe in this one's fifty as well. Bow Knicks his

0:56:08.320 --> 0:56:11.000
<v Speaker 3>career totals above forty five as a favorite.

0:56:11.040 --> 0:56:13.440
<v Speaker 2>He's one three straight up and against the spread.

0:56:13.520 --> 0:56:16.040
<v Speaker 3>So to prove it game for Bonnicks, you're getting a

0:56:16.080 --> 0:56:18.600
<v Speaker 3>bad defense, you need to put up points. This is

0:56:18.640 --> 0:56:20.600
<v Speaker 3>not going to be the type of game you're going

0:56:20.640 --> 0:56:22.160
<v Speaker 3>to be able to win twenty to ten, right, I

0:56:22.160 --> 0:56:25.640
<v Speaker 3>think that's going to get his So we we're betting

0:56:25.680 --> 0:56:27.960
<v Speaker 3>on Bonex here, Chab, I will stay with you. I

0:56:27.960 --> 0:56:30.600
<v Speaker 3>will still back this Brocks team, especially it minus three.

0:56:30.640 --> 0:56:31.720
<v Speaker 3>I think that's a great number.

0:56:32.800 --> 0:56:34.960
<v Speaker 1>It makes me nervous. I'm not gonna lie, but come in.

0:56:35.160 --> 0:56:38.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm totally in Green Bay. At Pittsburgh the last game

0:56:38.640 --> 0:56:42.040
<v Speaker 1>we're discussing purely a play, purely a play. It's Pittsburgh

0:56:42.040 --> 0:56:45.040
<v Speaker 1>plus three, purely a play on the Steelers as dogs

0:56:45.120 --> 0:56:47.920
<v Speaker 1>at home. We do like what we've seen from Pittsburgh

0:56:47.920 --> 0:56:50.120
<v Speaker 1>as a defense now that everyone has returned from injury,

0:56:50.239 --> 0:56:53.279
<v Speaker 1>especially Alex Heighsmith. Why do you like me?

0:56:53.480 --> 0:56:55.319
<v Speaker 2>We know what happened last year against the Bengals, but

0:56:55.520 --> 0:56:55.799
<v Speaker 2>you know.

0:56:56.400 --> 0:57:00.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but generally, generally, I also know that's.

0:57:00.600 --> 0:57:01.920
<v Speaker 2>What the people are gonna be, Like, what the hell

0:57:01.960 --> 0:57:02.880
<v Speaker 2>is this guy talking about?

0:57:03.000 --> 0:57:06.919
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, like people like when we said, like when when

0:57:06.920 --> 0:57:09.640
<v Speaker 1>we said the Bears would be eleven point favorites on

0:57:09.680 --> 0:57:14.520
<v Speaker 1>the road with an eighteen point swing. I'm not a

0:57:14.560 --> 0:57:17.160
<v Speaker 1>buyer of this Packers team. Like, they just don't seem

0:57:17.200 --> 0:57:21.040
<v Speaker 1>to be able to be as great as their individual

0:57:21.080 --> 0:57:22.959
<v Speaker 1>talent right now. I don't know what's going on there,

0:57:23.360 --> 0:57:26.400
<v Speaker 1>but this is the Robert mc thomlins spot. That's it.

0:57:26.520 --> 0:57:27.800
<v Speaker 1>That's all we're betting here.

0:57:29.400 --> 0:57:32.680
<v Speaker 2>Again, one of us watched the Ravens play Houston. All

0:57:32.720 --> 0:57:34.000
<v Speaker 2>of us were out apple pickers.

0:57:34.040 --> 0:57:37.680
<v Speaker 3>Oh my god, oh why they they're gallibant and it's

0:57:37.760 --> 0:57:41.360
<v Speaker 3>very bizarre. Yeah, no brainer. We're never gonna avoid this game.

0:57:41.920 --> 0:57:45.280
<v Speaker 3>We're gonna get burned by it, but historically we won't

0:57:45.320 --> 0:57:45.880
<v Speaker 3>like long.

0:57:45.760 --> 0:57:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Term burned by everything.

0:57:46.960 --> 0:57:49.680
<v Speaker 2>This week, well, it just feels like it feels too easy.

0:57:49.680 --> 0:57:51.320
<v Speaker 3>I don't know to you, but it's like, I can't

0:57:51.320 --> 0:57:53.080
<v Speaker 3>believe I'm still able to get Pittsburgh here at three

0:57:53.120 --> 0:57:53.640
<v Speaker 3>and a half.

0:57:54.280 --> 0:57:55.360
<v Speaker 2>It just feels bizarre.

0:57:55.400 --> 0:57:57.400
<v Speaker 3>I don't know who's betting in Green Bay mins three

0:57:57.400 --> 0:58:00.760
<v Speaker 3>and a half other than smart professionals, because the public,

0:58:00.760 --> 0:58:03.320
<v Speaker 3>they're taking the threes. They're happy to take the minus threes,

0:58:03.400 --> 0:58:05.840
<v Speaker 3>and on this Packers team. So what we really have

0:58:05.920 --> 0:58:08.400
<v Speaker 3>to dive into is just what we talked a little

0:58:08.440 --> 0:58:12.360
<v Speaker 3>bit about with Tomlin. After his defense gets embarrassed, he

0:58:12.440 --> 0:58:15.560
<v Speaker 3>bounces back. You know, the numbers prove that out after

0:58:15.640 --> 0:58:19.480
<v Speaker 3>allowing thirty plus points Tomlin's defenses twenty nine twelve and

0:58:19.560 --> 0:58:21.320
<v Speaker 3>one against the spreads seventy one percent.

0:58:22.160 --> 0:58:24.920
<v Speaker 2>That's insane. Let the greatest of all time look at

0:58:24.960 --> 0:58:27.600
<v Speaker 2>you work when they're at home after a bad defensive

0:58:27.640 --> 0:58:28.880
<v Speaker 2>a performance.

0:58:28.400 --> 0:58:32.320
<v Speaker 3>Like that twenty one eight and one seventy two percent

0:58:32.480 --> 0:58:34.080
<v Speaker 3>under Tomlin and against the spread.

0:58:34.160 --> 0:58:37.120
<v Speaker 2>So it's like, all right, those are stats who are

0:58:37.120 --> 0:58:38.160
<v Speaker 2>looking for that.

0:58:38.160 --> 0:58:40.320
<v Speaker 3>That proves out our point that he gets his defenses

0:58:40.400 --> 0:58:43.040
<v Speaker 3>up after those type of games. And a lot of

0:58:43.080 --> 0:58:46.320
<v Speaker 3>it's being made in the media about Rogers playing against

0:58:46.360 --> 0:58:49.720
<v Speaker 3>his former team. The trends actually don't point to that

0:58:49.760 --> 0:58:53.680
<v Speaker 3>being a good spot. Basically every quarterback that's played their

0:58:53.720 --> 0:58:57.840
<v Speaker 3>former team failed to cover except Drew Brees, who covered

0:58:57.960 --> 0:59:01.560
<v Speaker 3>and beat the Chargers. So I guess historically it shows

0:59:01.560 --> 0:59:04.000
<v Speaker 3>that these guys getting their own heads. It's a a

0:59:04.000 --> 0:59:06.360
<v Speaker 3>big moment, and it's tough for them to just play

0:59:06.440 --> 0:59:09.640
<v Speaker 3>the game, not overthink things and get emotional playing their

0:59:09.640 --> 0:59:13.240
<v Speaker 3>former team. But we also have some nice historical stuff

0:59:13.280 --> 0:59:16.840
<v Speaker 3>on our side. The Packers just aren't good in Pittsburgh.

0:59:16.880 --> 0:59:20.480
<v Speaker 3>Their last six games are owned six the last fifty years,

0:59:20.560 --> 0:59:25.160
<v Speaker 3>So last time they won was in nineteen seventy. And

0:59:25.480 --> 0:59:29.240
<v Speaker 3>you know, it's crazy to think Pittsburgh the last time

0:59:29.280 --> 0:59:32.520
<v Speaker 3>they started that run a beating green Bay at home,

0:59:33.480 --> 0:59:38.439
<v Speaker 3>it was Terry Bradshaw beating you know, a Bart star

0:59:38.600 --> 0:59:39.080
<v Speaker 3>led team.

0:59:39.240 --> 0:59:41.400
<v Speaker 2>So it's been a long time.

0:59:41.440 --> 0:59:44.000
<v Speaker 3>You're being green Bay, you're betting on something that hasn't

0:59:44.000 --> 0:59:45.120
<v Speaker 3>happened in fifty years.

0:59:45.120 --> 0:59:45.440
<v Speaker 2>People.

0:59:45.560 --> 0:59:47.800
<v Speaker 3>So I love all those trends at point to Tomlin,

0:59:48.280 --> 0:59:50.040
<v Speaker 3>I love that we talked about with the defense, they

0:59:50.040 --> 0:59:52.480
<v Speaker 3>seem to get right in these exact spots, and I

0:59:52.520 --> 0:59:54.640
<v Speaker 3>just think our view of Green Bay is right that

0:59:54.680 --> 0:59:58.280
<v Speaker 3>they're just something's wrong with them. They're not fully formed either.

0:59:58.320 --> 1:00:00.560
<v Speaker 3>The offense is just a little off. They're defense still

1:00:00.600 --> 1:00:01.040
<v Speaker 3>isn't right.

1:00:01.760 --> 1:00:03.800
<v Speaker 2>I think we're getting a good value here on this

1:00:03.800 --> 1:00:05.360
<v Speaker 2>Pittsburgh team that we talked about.

1:00:05.360 --> 1:00:08.560
<v Speaker 3>They got embarrassed last week. Their defense got embarrassed. Tomlin

1:00:08.640 --> 1:00:10.920
<v Speaker 3>usually has those guys bounced back on the spot. So

1:00:11.880 --> 1:00:15.440
<v Speaker 3>trends love it. We love it, can't avoid it. Gonna

1:00:15.440 --> 1:00:17.120
<v Speaker 3>hammer this one probably be one of my bigger beats

1:00:17.160 --> 1:00:17.560
<v Speaker 3>this week.

1:00:17.800 --> 1:00:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Well, let's talk about that. I will review where we

1:00:20.360 --> 1:00:22.280
<v Speaker 1>stand heading into Sunday at the end of the show.

1:00:22.360 --> 1:00:25.800
<v Speaker 1>But you're bringing up your biggest bets. What are Simon's

1:00:25.800 --> 1:00:26.720
<v Speaker 1>biggest bets?

1:00:27.080 --> 1:00:29.240
<v Speaker 2>Pull up bose pants and be a man.

1:00:30.360 --> 1:00:32.880
<v Speaker 3>Honestly, I'm not going too crazy yet this week because

1:00:32.880 --> 1:00:35.720
<v Speaker 3>of all the unknowns with injuries and stuff, like, they're

1:00:35.720 --> 1:00:37.920
<v Speaker 3>going a pretty big position in Houston. Just because I

1:00:37.960 --> 1:00:39.400
<v Speaker 3>was worried that numbers is gonna shoot up to two

1:00:39.400 --> 1:00:41.880
<v Speaker 3>and a half, it really is held pretty strong at

1:00:41.920 --> 1:00:42.440
<v Speaker 3>its point.

1:00:43.480 --> 1:00:44.000
<v Speaker 2>I'll get there.

1:00:44.000 --> 1:00:46.960
<v Speaker 3>On Pittsburgh, I'm really gonna be doing these moneyline favorites,

1:00:47.040 --> 1:00:50.959
<v Speaker 3>like I just don't see a world where the Patriots loose.

1:00:51.120 --> 1:00:53.200
<v Speaker 2>I don't see a world where the Bills lose to

1:00:53.280 --> 1:00:57.080
<v Speaker 2>Andy Dolton, Like the Bills are super desperate.

1:00:57.200 --> 1:00:59.840
<v Speaker 3>So this week, just like last week I talked about

1:01:00.000 --> 1:01:02.040
<v Speaker 3>through all out of those favorites together, I think we

1:01:02.080 --> 1:01:03.760
<v Speaker 3>went five to one or four and one on the

1:01:03.760 --> 1:01:06.200
<v Speaker 3>favorite money line. Like it's just it's how it is

1:01:06.280 --> 1:01:09.960
<v Speaker 3>right now. People like you can say we're getting lucky, Like, yeah,

1:01:09.960 --> 1:01:11.640
<v Speaker 3>I did. I feel like I got lucky with Denver's

1:01:11.680 --> 1:01:14.680
<v Speaker 3>money line. Yeah, green Bay's money line, Like that game

1:01:14.720 --> 1:01:16.720
<v Speaker 3>came down to a fourth and two where green Bay

1:01:16.760 --> 1:01:18.520
<v Speaker 3>went for and they got it and scored a touchdown.

1:01:18.600 --> 1:01:21.520
<v Speaker 3>Like I know, it's just the way the league is now.

1:01:21.560 --> 1:01:25.400
<v Speaker 3>The chalk keeps winning. So I get why you don't

1:01:25.400 --> 1:01:27.080
<v Speaker 3>love the spreads this week. To me, it just feels

1:01:27.120 --> 1:01:30.040
<v Speaker 3>like the books have gotten really sharp with these lines.

1:01:30.120 --> 1:01:33.080
<v Speaker 3>So you know, Denver minus three, I'm gonna take a

1:01:33.080 --> 1:01:34.800
<v Speaker 3>position on it will be one of my bigger bets now.

1:01:34.800 --> 1:01:37.200
<v Speaker 3>I much rather have a ton of money on Hurt's

1:01:37.400 --> 1:01:40.800
<v Speaker 3>money line and Josh Allen's money line than Boone Nicks

1:01:40.880 --> 1:01:42.880
<v Speaker 3>on the spread. So it is a tough week with

1:01:42.960 --> 1:01:45.120
<v Speaker 3>that where it's like I just I don't trust some

1:01:45.120 --> 1:01:46.760
<v Speaker 3>of these guys, and I'm having to take positions on

1:01:46.800 --> 1:01:49.320
<v Speaker 3>them just because the number is right. But to me,

1:01:50.120 --> 1:01:54.200
<v Speaker 3>you know, that Ravens game, if Lamar is cleared, I'm

1:01:54.200 --> 1:01:56.080
<v Speaker 3>probably gonna take I know, Chack can't believe. I think

1:01:56.080 --> 1:01:58.000
<v Speaker 3>it's a fourteen point swing, but I'm telling you, Cooper

1:01:58.080 --> 1:02:00.200
<v Speaker 3>Rush is that bad. I think the more or is

1:02:00.240 --> 1:02:03.200
<v Speaker 3>that big of an improvement that offense. And even if

1:02:03.240 --> 1:02:05.479
<v Speaker 3>his legs aren't fully back, his arm is good enough.

1:02:05.520 --> 1:02:09.680
<v Speaker 3>Now say Flowers, Isaiah likely all those pieces there. I

1:02:09.720 --> 1:02:11.800
<v Speaker 3>think it's a It's a great matchup for this Ravens

1:02:11.800 --> 1:02:15.280
<v Speaker 3>team against a Bears team that you know, incredible round

1:02:15.280 --> 1:02:17.160
<v Speaker 3>by this Bears team, But eventually it's gonna catch them.

1:02:17.160 --> 1:02:19.439
<v Speaker 3>They just can't keep covering these games, can they chat?

1:02:19.520 --> 1:02:21.480
<v Speaker 3>So I I hate that we've missed that. I know

1:02:21.560 --> 1:02:24.320
<v Speaker 3>it's your team, but I have to sell the Bears

1:02:24.320 --> 1:02:24.800
<v Speaker 3>at some point.

1:02:24.840 --> 1:02:29.240
<v Speaker 1>I feel like, oh, I'm there, I'm totally there. All right,

1:02:29.280 --> 1:02:31.280
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about our before we get to the favorite. Probably,

1:02:31.360 --> 1:02:39.920
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about our underdog parlay. My dog blocks your dog,

1:02:40.200 --> 1:02:42.160
<v Speaker 1>Your dog blocks my dog.

1:02:43.640 --> 1:02:47.240
<v Speaker 2>Steelers, Steelers, Jets.

1:02:47.320 --> 1:02:51.600
<v Speaker 1>Jets get the Saints.

1:02:52.520 --> 1:02:53.439
<v Speaker 2>This is where it gets tough.

1:02:53.640 --> 1:02:55.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, this is where it gets a little tricky.

1:02:55.880 --> 1:02:59.160
<v Speaker 2>I mean, of course once seven and oh on Thursday

1:02:59.240 --> 1:03:02.800
<v Speaker 2>night games? Did you see that stupid stat? Oh? Really, yeah,

1:03:02.800 --> 1:03:03.560
<v Speaker 2>it's incredible.

1:03:05.000 --> 1:03:07.000
<v Speaker 1>I don't love doing a Thursday night game like people

1:03:07.080 --> 1:03:08.720
<v Speaker 1>can't true it is plus one.

1:03:09.320 --> 1:03:10.880
<v Speaker 2>I want to get a little taste of that one.

1:03:11.840 --> 1:03:14.160
<v Speaker 1>How about the Giants, I can't.

1:03:13.960 --> 1:03:15.840
<v Speaker 2>See it, but I'll take the value. Right, it's plus

1:03:15.880 --> 1:03:17.160
<v Speaker 2>three thirty. That's a good number.

1:03:17.960 --> 1:03:20.200
<v Speaker 3>I don't think they've beaten Eagles and back to back,

1:03:20.960 --> 1:03:22.960
<v Speaker 3>so beat him twice in a season since two thousand

1:03:23.000 --> 1:03:23.320
<v Speaker 3>and seven.

1:03:24.720 --> 1:03:27.240
<v Speaker 1>Carolina can't get there.

1:03:28.240 --> 1:03:28.840
<v Speaker 2>I just can't.

1:03:29.040 --> 1:03:32.720
<v Speaker 3>I mean, for we're being honest, we should put the

1:03:32.760 --> 1:03:34.400
<v Speaker 3>Bears in case Lamar doesn't play.

1:03:34.600 --> 1:03:35.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's a good idea.

1:03:36.040 --> 1:03:38.160
<v Speaker 3>Okay, Like again, I have nothing on their number, but

1:03:38.200 --> 1:03:40.880
<v Speaker 3>at plus two thirty, if it comes out like people,

1:03:41.200 --> 1:03:43.080
<v Speaker 3>Chad thinks it's crazy people in the showm I think

1:03:43.080 --> 1:03:43.479
<v Speaker 3>it's crazy.

1:03:43.520 --> 1:03:45.000
<v Speaker 2>I just that's how low I am.

1:03:45.040 --> 1:03:47.120
<v Speaker 3>A Cooper Rush I just could not get over how

1:03:47.200 --> 1:03:49.880
<v Speaker 3>horrible his film has been since he's been a raven.

1:03:50.040 --> 1:03:52.080
<v Speaker 3>So if I was at I just took the other backup.

1:03:52.160 --> 1:03:55.760
<v Speaker 3>Like just he is doing zero for their offense. He's

1:03:55.840 --> 1:03:59.840
<v Speaker 3>just horrible. So yeah, that's that's that, Like could easily

1:04:00.000 --> 1:04:03.919
<v Speaker 3>flip if it's not. Lamar could easily see that become

1:04:03.960 --> 1:04:06.960
<v Speaker 3>a plus plus three plus three and a half Ravens.

1:04:06.560 --> 1:04:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Line favorites parlay Patriots Bills, Chiefs.

1:04:15.520 --> 1:04:17.960
<v Speaker 3>Take the Chiefs down to minus five and a half

1:04:18.000 --> 1:04:21.520
<v Speaker 3>or minus six and a half, Colts take the Colts

1:04:21.560 --> 1:04:23.240
<v Speaker 3>down to minus five and a half minus six and

1:04:23.280 --> 1:04:28.560
<v Speaker 3>a half. Gotta put Denver in we both believe in them.

1:04:28.800 --> 1:04:34.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so okay, Pats Bills, Chiefs that are not line

1:04:34.680 --> 1:04:36.960
<v Speaker 1>of five and a half six and a half, Colts

1:04:36.960 --> 1:04:39.240
<v Speaker 1>that are not lining outline of five and a half

1:04:39.680 --> 1:04:42.520
<v Speaker 1>six and a half, and then Denver. That is our favorites.

1:04:42.640 --> 1:04:49.960
<v Speaker 1>Parlay again the underdog parlay Steelers Jets, Saints Giants. No,

1:04:50.040 --> 1:04:53.280
<v Speaker 1>who do we say Steelers Jets? Do we say Giants?

1:04:54.280 --> 1:04:57.600
<v Speaker 2>No? We did put Giants in the plus three thirty.

1:04:57.480 --> 1:04:59.440
<v Speaker 1>Steelers jetge Saints Giants.

1:05:00.200 --> 1:05:05.120
<v Speaker 3>And then for survivor, don't hate Patriots this week, don't.

1:05:05.480 --> 1:05:08.240
<v Speaker 3>I'm just I'm not gonna do it personally just because

1:05:08.720 --> 1:05:11.240
<v Speaker 3>for my contest, I still have the Colts, and I

1:05:11.280 --> 1:05:13.200
<v Speaker 3>just I'm trying to go super safe, so survivor.

1:05:13.680 --> 1:05:19.720
<v Speaker 2>I am going Colts. Don't hate Patriots. And you know, obviously, if.

1:05:19.600 --> 1:05:23.400
<v Speaker 3>You're a wild child, you could do Cincinnati Bengals and

1:05:23.440 --> 1:05:23.880
<v Speaker 3>the Flacco.

1:05:24.040 --> 1:05:25.640
<v Speaker 2>But I just I can't get there.

1:05:25.720 --> 1:05:27.800
<v Speaker 3>I know some pros that are doing it because they're like,

1:05:27.800 --> 1:05:29.400
<v Speaker 3>what am I gonna use the Bengals again? I just

1:05:30.520 --> 1:05:32.640
<v Speaker 3>I can't. I cannot do it. I cannot trust Flacco.

1:05:33.560 --> 1:05:35.080
<v Speaker 1>Who are you doing for Sharper Square?

1:05:37.200 --> 1:05:43.080
<v Speaker 2>Uh? I mean, I guess I gotta do. I gotta

1:05:43.120 --> 1:05:45.160
<v Speaker 2>take Pittsburgh.

1:05:45.440 --> 1:05:47.600
<v Speaker 3>Give me the Steelers plus three or three and a half,

1:05:47.680 --> 1:05:49.000
<v Speaker 3>whatever I can get, all.

1:05:49.000 --> 1:05:53.160
<v Speaker 1>Right, So Steelers for you there. I am going to

1:05:53.280 --> 1:06:01.439
<v Speaker 1>take a ton of options here an ugly week.

1:06:02.160 --> 1:06:04.200
<v Speaker 2>I love it, though it's so.

1:06:04.480 --> 1:06:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Ugly, like I might have to double up. I think

1:06:08.840 --> 1:06:09.760
<v Speaker 1>I have to go with Denver.

1:06:11.040 --> 1:06:14.880
<v Speaker 2>Don't do that. Don't put your eggs on one basket.

1:06:14.880 --> 1:06:16.439
<v Speaker 2>Why don't you do the Giants? You like them? Seven

1:06:16.480 --> 1:06:23.919
<v Speaker 2>and a half? All right, let me double down, don't

1:06:23.960 --> 1:06:24.280
<v Speaker 2>do it.

1:06:24.600 --> 1:06:30.480
<v Speaker 1>You know what I'm gonna do. It's crazy, but I'm

1:06:30.480 --> 1:06:31.200
<v Speaker 1>feeling lucky.

1:06:31.680 --> 1:06:36.600
<v Speaker 2>Okay, New York Jets taking the Jets six and a half.

1:06:37.000 --> 1:06:37.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm doing it.

1:06:38.120 --> 1:06:38.800
<v Speaker 2>I love it.

1:06:38.920 --> 1:06:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Look at you New York Jets Sharp versus Square, and

1:06:41.760 --> 1:06:43.600
<v Speaker 1>You're taking the Steelers at three and a half. I'm

1:06:43.600 --> 1:06:46.000
<v Speaker 1>taking the Jets at six and a half. That's how

1:06:46.080 --> 1:06:51.840
<v Speaker 1>we roll on this show. What a crazy, crazy day.

1:06:52.240 --> 1:06:55.120
<v Speaker 1>This has been Sharper Square, part of the Volume podcast Network.

1:06:55.160 --> 1:06:58.160
<v Speaker 1>We will be back on Sharper Square YouTube on Sunday morning.

1:06:58.240 --> 1:07:00.800
<v Speaker 1>Lease drop on an intimate conversation between me and Simon

1:07:00.840 --> 1:07:04.120
<v Speaker 1>as we make utterly human decisions and regret the rest

1:07:04.120 --> 1:07:05.959
<v Speaker 1>of the day. We will be back on Sharper Square

1:07:06.000 --> 1:07:09.400
<v Speaker 1>YouTube Sunday night, seven thirty pm Eastern to recap all

1:07:09.440 --> 1:07:12.480
<v Speaker 1>that misery. Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square

1:07:12.520 --> 1:07:14.880
<v Speaker 1>like this video, subscribe to the channel. Also download us

1:07:14.920 --> 1:07:18.240
<v Speaker 1>some Spotify Apple Pods wherever you get your pods, rate review, subscribe,

1:07:18.360 --> 1:07:21.320
<v Speaker 1>use five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift.

1:07:21.480 --> 1:07:25.240
<v Speaker 1>Until next time, Love you,