WEBVTT - Wednesday Best Bets | MLB Betting Picks & Top Player Props

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<v Speaker 1>Good Wednesday morning, everybody. How are you welcome into a

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<v Speaker 1>new episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Perultz. You guys can follow me across all of

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<v Speaker 1>my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back. It's

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<v Speaker 1>been a ping pong week, back and forth, back and forth,

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<v Speaker 1>winning day. Yesterday, we go to in one. We get

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<v Speaker 1>the Red Sox easily, Brandon marsh easily as well. Bryce

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<v Speaker 1>Terrang got a hit, but that's it. He got a

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<v Speaker 1>single infield single. That's all he got, So we did

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<v Speaker 1>not go over one and a half for that. Hits

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<v Speaker 1>runs and RBIs for him. If he had scored a run,

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<v Speaker 1>that would have been great, but he didn't. So we

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<v Speaker 1>go down there for Bryce Terrang and it's a point

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<v Speaker 1>nine type day for us. So basically one unit we

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<v Speaker 1>have lost, two point four we've won one point eight,

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<v Speaker 1>so half a unit down for the week. That's just

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<v Speaker 1>kind of how we have gone. But when you're two

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<v Speaker 1>and two, or you're one in one, or you're pingponging

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<v Speaker 1>back and forth, you know we've had I guess we've

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<v Speaker 1>had two because Monday was off, so I guess you

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<v Speaker 1>could say that was that was a day we didn't

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<v Speaker 1>bet that was Sunday that we did well, but you

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<v Speaker 1>know what I mean. So we've been kind of going

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<v Speaker 1>back and forth on days that we've been playing. So

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<v Speaker 1>let's see if we can turn the corner here on Wednesday.

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<v Speaker 1>But just to FYI, I am traveling today, so the

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<v Speaker 1>Daily Juice most likely will be taped overnight. I got

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<v Speaker 1>to see what time I get to Vegas. Okay, so

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<v Speaker 1>if I get to Vegas, I'm supposed to land at eight.

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<v Speaker 1>If everything is okay, but the President is going to

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<v Speaker 1>Vegas or is in Vegas, I can't remember which one

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<v Speaker 1>it is, but there could be some travel issues. Hopefully

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<v Speaker 1>there's no concerns with the airport in Las Vegas and

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<v Speaker 1>we get in and I'm able to get my rental

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<v Speaker 1>car and everything goes smoothly, and we're there to the

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<v Speaker 1>hotel somewhere around like nine o'clock Pacific, and if that

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<v Speaker 1>all works out or ten o'clock specific If that all

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<v Speaker 1>works out, I'll tape the podcast. It'll be an overnight

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<v Speaker 1>podcast for you guys who are on the West coast,

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<v Speaker 1>East coast people, it'll be there when you get up

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<v Speaker 1>for tomorrow. The same thing will happen on Thursday night,

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<v Speaker 1>although there could be a taping during the day. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to Vegas for what is called Bette Bash. It

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<v Speaker 1>is a sports gambling conference. It happens at circa every year,

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<v Speaker 1>and I don't know. I got a lot of things scheduled.

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<v Speaker 1>I got a busy day on Thursday, so I don't

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<v Speaker 1>exactly know when I'll be able to tape.

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<v Speaker 2>It might be really late at night. I don't know.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm supposed to go to a concert. I'm going to

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<v Speaker 1>dinner and then going to a concert, so I don't know.

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<v Speaker 1>It's gonna be a whole thing. Friday will be taped

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<v Speaker 1>because I'm on a red eye on Friday night. Same

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<v Speaker 1>thing Friday into Saturday. There'll be probably an overnight taping

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<v Speaker 1>or maybe even our favorite airport recording of the Daily

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<v Speaker 1>Juice potentially happening. I land at like five am East

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<v Speaker 1>Coast time, so I don't think I'm going to be

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<v Speaker 1>in the mood to tape anything coming up on Saturday

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<v Speaker 1>morning for the podcast on Saturday, and then once we

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<v Speaker 1>get back to Sunday, we'll be on and there won't

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<v Speaker 1>be any disruptions until I go back to Vegas. The

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<v Speaker 1>last week of August to go, do a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>shows from Circa. So a lot of things going on

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<v Speaker 1>in the month of August. It's going to be a

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<v Speaker 1>busy month. It's gonna be a fun month as we march.

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<v Speaker 1>It right down to the start of college football and

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<v Speaker 1>nine to nine, which is the start of the NFL.

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<v Speaker 1>It is right around the corner. If you would guy

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<v Speaker 1>you guys would like to win a subscription to Betting

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<v Speaker 1>Pros Premium. You can do so by being a subscriber

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<v Speaker 1>to this channel and leave me a comment on this

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<v Speaker 1>video and at the end of the month, we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>give away a one year subscription to Betting Pros Premium,

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<v Speaker 1>where you can access a lot of the information that

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<v Speaker 1>I used yesterday on the prop bet cheat cheat. You

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<v Speaker 1>can use it for the home run prop and other

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<v Speaker 1>tools that are available for you with our data team

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<v Speaker 1>that can give you access to all sorts of interesting

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<v Speaker 1>information and winning plays this coming football season. Great time

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<v Speaker 1>to sign up, but Betting Pros Premium will give you

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<v Speaker 1>Premium Okay, three bets and a hard rock bet of

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<v Speaker 1>the day to give you guys. Coming up for today,

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<v Speaker 1>Let's start with the prop bet in Jurdon Alvarez up

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<v Speaker 1>against Jamison tie On.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay. So here's the thing.

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<v Speaker 1>I when the prop bet cheat sheet is jumping up

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<v Speaker 1>and down and going okay, we're projecting Urdon Alvarez three

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<v Speaker 1>point four total bases for the prop bet cheat sheet.

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<v Speaker 1>And you're talking about a guy who is in the

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<v Speaker 1>running for the Triple Crown.

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<v Speaker 2>I pay attention.

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<v Speaker 1>This is one of the top player props for the

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<v Speaker 1>night tonight on the prop bet cheat sheet, and Alvarez

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<v Speaker 1>has not done this in the first two games of

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<v Speaker 1>this series.

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<v Speaker 2>He's been a little bit cold. Okay.

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<v Speaker 1>So now we're getting Jamison tie On in his first

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<v Speaker 1>start for the Blue Jays up against Hunter Brown for

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<v Speaker 1>the Astros. Jamison this year's two and six with a

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<v Speaker 1>five point nine to two ERA. When pitching with the

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<v Speaker 1>Cubs last two times out, he gave up six and

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<v Speaker 1>five hits in four innings.

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<v Speaker 2>In four and a third, he.

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<v Speaker 1>Gave up eleven earned runs in eight in a third

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<v Speaker 1>eight and a third inning, so so far in the

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<v Speaker 1>month of July, that is an eleven point eight to

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<v Speaker 1>eight ERA for Jamison tie On. Look, I like a

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<v Speaker 1>win here today for the Astros, but you know, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>at a price that you don't really want to get

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<v Speaker 1>involved with here with Houston because should be a high

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<v Speaker 1>scoring game. I think the Astros do get a bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of runs today, but all we need is your Don

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<v Speaker 1>Alvarez to go after it. I mean we're talking. If

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<v Speaker 1>you don't want to lay the one seventy juice on

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<v Speaker 1>the Astros today one day of a one way approaching,

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<v Speaker 1>this is your Don Alvarez. The Astros right against right

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<v Speaker 1>handed pitching have a seven to fifty OPS that's forty

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<v Speaker 1>six points higher than when they face lefties. So they

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<v Speaker 1>rake against right eight and Alvarez obviously a guy who

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<v Speaker 1>can rake Righty's. Astros at home are fifty nine and

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<v Speaker 1>fifty six. I like Jordon Alvarez to go over one

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<v Speaker 1>and a half total bases and it's only minus one

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<v Speaker 1>oh five today. Yard On Alvarez mice one oh five

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<v Speaker 1>for one point zero five units. Let's continue that talk

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<v Speaker 1>about pitchers who aren't very good read Debt Merse for

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<v Speaker 1>the Angels. The Angels have lost every single game started

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<v Speaker 1>by read Debt Merse in the month of July. That

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<v Speaker 1>would be five of them three to two, one nothing,

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<v Speaker 1>two to one, seven, six, five to two. Not really

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<v Speaker 1>his fault, right, He hasn't been awful. Four point six

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<v Speaker 1>to two ERA in the month isn't great. He has

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<v Speaker 1>a four ERA overall for the year three and seven.

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<v Speaker 1>But he hasn't been awful. Is that last three starts

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<v Speaker 1>he's giving up zero, one and two earned runs. It's

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<v Speaker 1>just the bullpen and everything else with the Angels is

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<v Speaker 1>an absolute dumpster fire. And we got Trevor Rodgers on

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<v Speaker 1>the mound for the Orioles, a guy that I have

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<v Speaker 1>liked to back.

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<v Speaker 2>This is a very public play. Everyone is on this.

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<v Speaker 1>The Orioles are at home with Trevor Rodgers on the mound.

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<v Speaker 1>The Orioles have now won fough six of their last

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<v Speaker 1>seven starts with him on the mound. He was bad

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<v Speaker 1>in his last start. He gave up he was six innings,

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<v Speaker 1>eight hits, four earned runs. Not great in a ten

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<v Speaker 1>to nine win over the Tigers in extra innings. The

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<v Speaker 1>last three games, by the way, for Trevor Rodgers have

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<v Speaker 1>gone to extra innings. So let's cut this out because

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<v Speaker 1>I have not done well in extra innings in the

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<v Speaker 1>month of July. It's burned me consistently. Let's not have

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<v Speaker 1>this game go to extra innings. But Orioles at home

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<v Speaker 1>this year with Trevor Rodgers on the mound, he's three

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<v Speaker 1>and five with a four point four to three ERA.

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<v Speaker 1>Not outstanding, but sixty five innings worth of work he's

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<v Speaker 1>given up thirty two earned runs. The team just finds

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<v Speaker 1>ways to win here, and with the Angels being awful

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<v Speaker 1>on the East Coast with Ree Debtmers on the mound,

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<v Speaker 1>there are some professionals who are taking shots here with

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<v Speaker 1>the Angels just because as it's baseball and the volatility

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<v Speaker 1>of it. But the Angels lost three to one last

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<v Speaker 1>night to the Angels. That snapped the Orioles two game

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<v Speaker 1>losing streak where they lost two of three to the

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<v Speaker 1>Phillies at home right around the trade deadline.

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<v Speaker 2>But I like the Orioles here to get a win.

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<v Speaker 1>Coming up for tonight, Orioles with Trevor Rodgers at minus

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<v Speaker 1>one twenty seven for one point to seven units.

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<v Speaker 2>Third bet for.

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<v Speaker 1>Us we go to the Pirates game, and the Pirates

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<v Speaker 1>and the Brewers, so the Brewers win. Last night, the

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<v Speaker 1>Pirates won the first game rubber match. Coming up here

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<v Speaker 1>for today, it is Paul Skeen's day. I have been

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<v Speaker 1>fading Paul Skins most of the year, and then I

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<v Speaker 1>tried to try to kind of go the other way

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<v Speaker 1>and take Paul Skins, and that hasn't worked. Paul Skins.

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<v Speaker 1>There's just something up with this guy at the moment. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>five urn runs against the Reds, five and runs against

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<v Speaker 1>the Cubs. Red was on the road, Cubs was at home.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know if he's hurt. I don't know if

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<v Speaker 1>the arm is a problem. I'm not sure what's up

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<v Speaker 1>with Paul Skeins. But he's nine to nine with a

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<v Speaker 1>three point nine ERA. His ERA in July was six

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<v Speaker 1>point two five. Okay, this is his first start. In

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<v Speaker 1>the month of August. The team went three and three

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<v Speaker 1>in games started by Paul Skens. But the Pirates need

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<v Speaker 1>this guy to be an ace, and he has not

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<v Speaker 1>been anywhere close to being an ace. The Pirates are

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<v Speaker 1>twenty eight and thirty on the road this year, while

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<v Speaker 1>the Brewers are a whopping thirty seven and twenty one

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<v Speaker 1>at home, and Kyle Harrison is pitching on the other side.

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<v Speaker 1>Kyle Harrison's five to one with a one point five

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<v Speaker 1>to three ERA at home, opposing batting average of one

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<v Speaker 1>ninety two, just four home runs given up in eight

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<v Speaker 1>earned runs in forty seven innings worth of work.

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<v Speaker 2>And I know the.

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<v Speaker 1>Brewers have lost three of the last four starts with

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<v Speaker 1>Kyle Harrison on the mound. That is somewhat surprising. He

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<v Speaker 1>has not been good in July. He was not good.

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<v Speaker 1>He was banged up though, and the All Star break.

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<v Speaker 1>He's coming off the il, which isn't great. But I

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<v Speaker 1>think this is a guy who we can back today

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<v Speaker 1>because of Paul Skins, because of the Brewers offense, and

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<v Speaker 1>because Kyle Harrison I think got tired and just needed

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<v Speaker 1>a break.

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<v Speaker 2>He got the break. He has not pitched since the

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<v Speaker 2>eighth of July.

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<v Speaker 1>It's almost had a month off here, So a chance

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<v Speaker 1>to come back after being absolutely nails for the entire

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<v Speaker 1>year for this pitching staff eight and two with a

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<v Speaker 1>three point zero one ERA. Let's continue back in Kyle Harrison.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's fade Paul Skan some more and take the Brewers

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<v Speaker 1>on the money line at minus one thirty. The Daily

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<v Speaker 1>Juice podcast is being brought to you by hard Rock Bet.

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<v Speaker 1>Some sports fans think this is the slow period because

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<v Speaker 1>So grab your bat, swing for the fences all all

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<v Speaker 1>agains long during hard Rock Bets ten cents Summer Sale

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<v Speaker 1>down on the hard Rock Bet app today and roll

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<v Speaker 1>with us. The hard Rock Bet of the day goes

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<v Speaker 1>to a player prop and let's look at the Reds

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<v Speaker 1>home at home against the Athletics. The Reds Ellie Daily

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<v Speaker 1>Cruz Hits Ron's and RBIs we are right back into

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<v Speaker 1>our favorite betting pros prop bet cheat sheet market. For

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<v Speaker 1>the last five games, Ellie daily Cruz has gone way

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<v Speaker 1>over this. The prop bet cheat sheet is projecting this

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<v Speaker 1>to go to three hits, runs and RBIs for Ellie

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<v Speaker 1>Daly Cruz. You have a one and a half line consensus.

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<v Speaker 1>The juice is somewhere between one forty nine and one

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<v Speaker 1>p fifty nine, somewhere in that range at the moment,

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<v Speaker 1>so it's a little juicy on this, but it is

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<v Speaker 1>a five star play on the prop bet cheat sheet

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<v Speaker 1>for Elie de la Cruz. And when you're looking at

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<v Speaker 1>the A's, you're looking at just the pitching staff and

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<v Speaker 1>what we've seen here it's Jacob Lopez going for the A's.

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<v Speaker 1>Jacob Lopez. The team has lost five of the six

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<v Speaker 1>games that he has pitched. He's going to go anywhere

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<v Speaker 1>from one inning to six innings, depending on what they

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<v Speaker 1>want to wind up doing.

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<v Speaker 2>He has a three point twenty six ERA in the

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<v Speaker 2>month of July.

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<v Speaker 1>He wrapped up a month where the team went one

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<v Speaker 1>in four in those games, So you're going to get

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<v Speaker 1>into the A's bullpen consistently. It is Cincinnati, so it

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<v Speaker 1>is somewhat of a launching pad of a ballpark and

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<v Speaker 1>a chance to get going offensively. And you've got Ellie

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<v Speaker 1>de la Cruz who has gone over this mark consistently.

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<v Speaker 1>The Reds are averaging five point four runs over their

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<v Speaker 1>last five games, that's about thirty percent above their average.

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<v Speaker 1>The A's have lost six of their last seven over all,

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<v Speaker 1>and we've got an offense that is hitting left handed

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<v Speaker 1>pitching pretty well. They're starting a lefty in Jacob Lopez,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we'll get into the bullpen obviously to see

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<v Speaker 1>how we wind up going. But a seven to sixty

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<v Speaker 1>ops for Cincinnati against left haended pitching. That's sixty eight

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<v Speaker 1>points better than when they face righty's, so they can

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<v Speaker 1>rake against lefties from a lineup perspective. But we just

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<v Speaker 1>need La Da La Cruz to come in here. Five

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<v Speaker 1>star play are hard rock bet of the Day. We

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<v Speaker 1>are going with Ellie day La Cruz over one and

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<v Speaker 1>a half hits runs and RBIs at minus one forty

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<v Speaker 1>nine for one point four to nine units, So plays

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<v Speaker 1>for today La daya Cruz over one and a half

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<v Speaker 1>hitch runs and RBIs for the hard rock bet of

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<v Speaker 1>the day. Brewers on the money line Orioles on the

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<v Speaker 1>money and you're Don Alvarez over one and a half

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<v Speaker 1>total basis coming up here for today on a Wednesday.

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<v Speaker 1>My name is Matt Parolet. You guys can follow me

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<v Speaker 1>across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt. Whenever you

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<v Speaker 1>guys get your podcasts, even when we travel, we get

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<v Speaker 1>a little lunky.

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<v Speaker 2>It is the Daily Juice.