Speaker 1: Good Wednesday morning, everybody. How are you welcome into a
Speaker 1: new episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is
Speaker 1: Matt Perultz. You guys can follow me across all of
Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back. It's
Speaker 1: been a ping pong week, back and forth, back and forth,
Speaker 1: winning day. Yesterday, we go to in one. We get
Speaker 1: the Red Sox easily, Brandon marsh easily as well. Bryce
Speaker 1: Terrang got a hit, but that's it. He got a
Speaker 1: single infield single. That's all he got, So we did
Speaker 1: not go over one and a half for that. Hits
Speaker 1: runs and RBIs for him. If he had scored a run,
Speaker 1: that would have been great, but he didn't. So we
Speaker 1: go down there for Bryce Terrang and it's a point
Speaker 1: nine type day for us. So basically one unit we
Speaker 1: have lost, two point four we've won one point eight,
Speaker 1: so half a unit down for the week. That's just
Speaker 1: kind of how we have gone. But when you're two
Speaker 1: and two, or you're one in one, or you're pingponging
Speaker 1: back and forth, you know we've had I guess we've
Speaker 1: had two because Monday was off, so I guess you
Speaker 1: could say that was that was a day we didn't
Speaker 1: bet that was Sunday that we did well, but you
Speaker 1: know what I mean. So we've been kind of going
Speaker 1: back and forth on days that we've been playing. So
Speaker 1: let's see if we can turn the corner here on Wednesday.
Speaker 1: But just to FYI, I am traveling today, so the
Speaker 1: Daily Juice most likely will be taped overnight. I got
Speaker 1: to see what time I get to Vegas. Okay, so
Speaker 1: if I get to Vegas, I'm supposed to land at eight.
Speaker 1: If everything is okay, but the President is going to
Speaker 1: Vegas or is in Vegas, I can't remember which one
Speaker 1: it is, but there could be some travel issues. Hopefully
Speaker 1: there's no concerns with the airport in Las Vegas and
Speaker 1: we get in and I'm able to get my rental
Speaker 1: car and everything goes smoothly, and we're there to the
Speaker 1: hotel somewhere around like nine o'clock Pacific, and if that
Speaker 1: all works out or ten o'clock specific If that all
Speaker 1: works out, I'll tape the podcast. It'll be an overnight
Speaker 1: podcast for you guys who are on the West coast,
Speaker 1: East coast people, it'll be there when you get up
Speaker 1: for tomorrow. The same thing will happen on Thursday night,
Speaker 1: although there could be a taping during the day. I'm
Speaker 1: going to Vegas for what is called Bette Bash. It
Speaker 1: is a sports gambling conference. It happens at circa every year,
Speaker 1: and I don't know. I got a lot of things scheduled.
Speaker 1: I got a busy day on Thursday, so I don't
Speaker 1: exactly know when I'll be able to tape.
Speaker 2: It might be really late at night. I don't know.
Speaker 1: I'm supposed to go to a concert. I'm going to
Speaker 1: dinner and then going to a concert, so I don't know.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a whole thing. Friday will be taped
Speaker 1: because I'm on a red eye on Friday night. Same
Speaker 1: thing Friday into Saturday. There'll be probably an overnight taping
Speaker 1: or maybe even our favorite airport recording of the Daily
Speaker 1: Juice potentially happening. I land at like five am East
Speaker 1: Coast time, so I don't think I'm going to be
Speaker 1: in the mood to tape anything coming up on Saturday
Speaker 1: morning for the podcast on Saturday, and then once we
Speaker 1: get back to Sunday, we'll be on and there won't
Speaker 1: be any disruptions until I go back to Vegas. The
Speaker 1: last week of August to go, do a couple of
Speaker 1: shows from Circa. So a lot of things going on
Speaker 1: in the month of August. It's going to be a
Speaker 1: busy month. It's gonna be a fun month as we march.
Speaker 1: It right down to the start of college football and
Speaker 1: nine to nine, which is the start of the NFL.
Speaker 1: It is right around the corner. If you would guy
Speaker 1: you guys would like to win a subscription to Betting
Speaker 1: Pros Premium. You can do so by being a subscriber
Speaker 1: to this channel and leave me a comment on this
Speaker 1: video and at the end of the month, we're gonna
Speaker 1: give away a one year subscription to Betting Pros Premium,
Speaker 1: where you can access a lot of the information that
Speaker 1: I used yesterday on the prop bet cheat cheat. You
Speaker 1: can use it for the home run prop and other
Speaker 1: tools that are available for you with our data team
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Speaker 1: will give you a subscription a year, two betting pros
Speaker 1: Premium Okay, three bets and a hard rock bet of
Speaker 1: the day to give you guys. Coming up for today,
Speaker 1: Let's start with the prop bet in Jurdon Alvarez up
Speaker 1: against Jamison tie On.
Speaker 2: Okay. So here's the thing.
Speaker 1: I when the prop bet cheat sheet is jumping up
Speaker 1: and down and going okay, we're projecting Urdon Alvarez three
Speaker 1: point four total bases for the prop bet cheat sheet.
Speaker 1: And you're talking about a guy who is in the
Speaker 1: running for the Triple Crown.
Speaker 2: I pay attention.
Speaker 1: This is one of the top player props for the
Speaker 1: night tonight on the prop bet cheat sheet, and Alvarez
Speaker 1: has not done this in the first two games of
Speaker 1: this series.
Speaker 2: He's been a little bit cold. Okay.
Speaker 1: So now we're getting Jamison tie On in his first
Speaker 1: start for the Blue Jays up against Hunter Brown for
Speaker 1: the Astros. Jamison this year's two and six with a
Speaker 1: five point nine to two ERA. When pitching with the
Speaker 1: Cubs last two times out, he gave up six and
Speaker 1: five hits in four innings.
Speaker 2: In four and a third, he.
Speaker 1: Gave up eleven earned runs in eight in a third
Speaker 1: eight and a third inning, so so far in the
Speaker 1: month of July, that is an eleven point eight to
Speaker 1: eight ERA for Jamison tie On. Look, I like a
Speaker 1: win here today for the Astros, but you know, maybe
Speaker 1: at a price that you don't really want to get
Speaker 1: involved with here with Houston because should be a high
Speaker 1: scoring game. I think the Astros do get a bunch
Speaker 1: of runs today, but all we need is your Don
Speaker 1: Alvarez to go after it. I mean we're talking. If
Speaker 1: you don't want to lay the one seventy juice on
Speaker 1: the Astros today one day of a one way approaching,
Speaker 1: this is your Don Alvarez. The Astros right against right
Speaker 1: handed pitching have a seven to fifty OPS that's forty
Speaker 1: six points higher than when they face lefties. So they
Speaker 1: rake against right eight and Alvarez obviously a guy who
Speaker 1: can rake Righty's. Astros at home are fifty nine and
Speaker 1: fifty six. I like Jordon Alvarez to go over one
Speaker 1: and a half total bases and it's only minus one
Speaker 1: oh five today. Yard On Alvarez mice one oh five
Speaker 1: for one point zero five units. Let's continue that talk
Speaker 1: about pitchers who aren't very good read Debt Merse for
Speaker 1: the Angels. The Angels have lost every single game started
Speaker 1: by read Debt Merse in the month of July. That
Speaker 1: would be five of them three to two, one nothing,
Speaker 1: two to one, seven, six, five to two. Not really
Speaker 1: his fault, right, He hasn't been awful. Four point six
Speaker 1: to two ERA in the month isn't great. He has
Speaker 1: a four ERA overall for the year three and seven.
Speaker 1: But he hasn't been awful. Is that last three starts
Speaker 1: he's giving up zero, one and two earned runs. It's
Speaker 1: just the bullpen and everything else with the Angels is
Speaker 1: an absolute dumpster fire. And we got Trevor Rodgers on
Speaker 1: the mound for the Orioles, a guy that I have
Speaker 1: liked to back.
Speaker 2: This is a very public play. Everyone is on this.
Speaker 1: The Orioles are at home with Trevor Rodgers on the mound.
Speaker 1: The Orioles have now won fough six of their last
Speaker 1: seven starts with him on the mound. He was bad
Speaker 1: in his last start. He gave up he was six innings,
Speaker 1: eight hits, four earned runs. Not great in a ten
Speaker 1: to nine win over the Tigers in extra innings. The
Speaker 1: last three games, by the way, for Trevor Rodgers have
Speaker 1: gone to extra innings. So let's cut this out because
Speaker 1: I have not done well in extra innings in the
Speaker 1: month of July. It's burned me consistently. Let's not have
Speaker 1: this game go to extra innings. But Orioles at home
Speaker 1: this year with Trevor Rodgers on the mound, he's three
Speaker 1: and five with a four point four to three ERA.
Speaker 1: Not outstanding, but sixty five innings worth of work he's
Speaker 1: given up thirty two earned runs. The team just finds
Speaker 1: ways to win here, and with the Angels being awful
Speaker 1: on the East Coast with Ree Debtmers on the mound,
Speaker 1: there are some professionals who are taking shots here with
Speaker 1: the Angels just because as it's baseball and the volatility
Speaker 1: of it. But the Angels lost three to one last
Speaker 1: night to the Angels. That snapped the Orioles two game
Speaker 1: losing streak where they lost two of three to the
Speaker 1: Phillies at home right around the trade deadline.
Speaker 2: But I like the Orioles here to get a win.
Speaker 1: Coming up for tonight, Orioles with Trevor Rodgers at minus
Speaker 1: one twenty seven for one point to seven units.
Speaker 2: Third bet for.
Speaker 1: Us we go to the Pirates game, and the Pirates
Speaker 1: and the Brewers, so the Brewers win. Last night, the
Speaker 1: Pirates won the first game rubber match. Coming up here
Speaker 1: for today, it is Paul Skeen's day. I have been
Speaker 1: fading Paul Skins most of the year, and then I
Speaker 1: tried to try to kind of go the other way
Speaker 1: and take Paul Skins, and that hasn't worked. Paul Skins.
Speaker 1: There's just something up with this guy at the moment. Okay,
Speaker 1: five urn runs against the Reds, five and runs against
Speaker 1: the Cubs. Red was on the road, Cubs was at home.
Speaker 1: I don't know if he's hurt. I don't know if
Speaker 1: the arm is a problem. I'm not sure what's up
Speaker 1: with Paul Skeins. But he's nine to nine with a
Speaker 1: three point nine ERA. His ERA in July was six
Speaker 1: point two five. Okay, this is his first start. In
Speaker 1: the month of August. The team went three and three
Speaker 1: in games started by Paul Skens. But the Pirates need
Speaker 1: this guy to be an ace, and he has not
Speaker 1: been anywhere close to being an ace. The Pirates are
Speaker 1: twenty eight and thirty on the road this year, while
Speaker 1: the Brewers are a whopping thirty seven and twenty one
Speaker 1: at home, and Kyle Harrison is pitching on the other side.
Speaker 1: Kyle Harrison's five to one with a one point five
Speaker 1: to three ERA at home, opposing batting average of one
Speaker 1: ninety two, just four home runs given up in eight
Speaker 1: earned runs in forty seven innings worth of work.
Speaker 2: And I know the.
Speaker 1: Brewers have lost three of the last four starts with
Speaker 1: Kyle Harrison on the mound. That is somewhat surprising. He
Speaker 1: has not been good in July. He was not good.
Speaker 1: He was banged up though, and the All Star break.
Speaker 1: He's coming off the il, which isn't great. But I
Speaker 1: think this is a guy who we can back today
Speaker 1: because of Paul Skins, because of the Brewers offense, and
Speaker 1: because Kyle Harrison I think got tired and just needed
Speaker 1: a break.
Speaker 2: He got the break. He has not pitched since the
Speaker 2: eighth of July.
Speaker 1: It's almost had a month off here, So a chance
Speaker 1: to come back after being absolutely nails for the entire
Speaker 1: year for this pitching staff eight and two with a
Speaker 1: three point zero one ERA. Let's continue back in Kyle Harrison.
Speaker 1: Let's fade Paul Skan some more and take the Brewers
Speaker 1: on the money line at minus one thirty. The Daily
Speaker 1: Juice podcast is being brought to you by hard Rock Bet.
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Speaker 1: down on the hard Rock Bet app today and roll
Speaker 1: with us. The hard Rock Bet of the day goes
Speaker 1: to a player prop and let's look at the Reds
Speaker 1: home at home against the Athletics. The Reds Ellie Daily
Speaker 1: Cruz Hits Ron's and RBIs we are right back into
Speaker 1: our favorite betting pros prop bet cheat sheet market. For
Speaker 1: the last five games, Ellie daily Cruz has gone way
Speaker 1: over this. The prop bet cheat sheet is projecting this
Speaker 1: to go to three hits, runs and RBIs for Ellie
Speaker 1: Daly Cruz. You have a one and a half line consensus.
Speaker 1: The juice is somewhere between one forty nine and one
Speaker 1: p fifty nine, somewhere in that range at the moment,
Speaker 1: so it's a little juicy on this, but it is
Speaker 1: a five star play on the prop bet cheat sheet
Speaker 1: for Elie de la Cruz. And when you're looking at
Speaker 1: the A's, you're looking at just the pitching staff and
Speaker 1: what we've seen here it's Jacob Lopez going for the A's.
Speaker 1: Jacob Lopez. The team has lost five of the six
Speaker 1: games that he has pitched. He's going to go anywhere
Speaker 1: from one inning to six innings, depending on what they
Speaker 1: want to wind up doing.
Speaker 2: He has a three point twenty six ERA in the
Speaker 2: month of July.
Speaker 1: He wrapped up a month where the team went one
Speaker 1: in four in those games, So you're going to get
Speaker 1: into the A's bullpen consistently. It is Cincinnati, so it
Speaker 1: is somewhat of a launching pad of a ballpark and
Speaker 1: a chance to get going offensively. And you've got Ellie
Speaker 1: de la Cruz who has gone over this mark consistently.
Speaker 1: The Reds are averaging five point four runs over their
Speaker 1: last five games, that's about thirty percent above their average.
Speaker 1: The A's have lost six of their last seven over all,
Speaker 1: and we've got an offense that is hitting left handed
Speaker 1: pitching pretty well. They're starting a lefty in Jacob Lopez,
Speaker 1: and then we'll get into the bullpen obviously to see
Speaker 1: how we wind up going. But a seven to sixty
Speaker 1: ops for Cincinnati against left haended pitching. That's sixty eight
Speaker 1: points better than when they face righty's, so they can
Speaker 1: rake against lefties from a lineup perspective. But we just
Speaker 1: need La Da La Cruz to come in here. Five
Speaker 1: star play are hard rock bet of the Day. We
Speaker 1: are going with Ellie day La Cruz over one and
Speaker 1: a half hits runs and RBIs at minus one forty
Speaker 1: nine for one point four to nine units, So plays
Speaker 1: for today La daya Cruz over one and a half
Speaker 1: hitch runs and RBIs for the hard rock bet of
Speaker 1: the day. Brewers on the money line Orioles on the
Speaker 1: money and you're Don Alvarez over one and a half
Speaker 1: total basis coming up here for today on a Wednesday.
Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolet. You guys can follow me
Speaker 1: across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt. Whenever you
Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts, even when we travel, we get
Speaker 1: a little lunky.
Speaker 2: It is the Daily Juice.