WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2023 NFL Week 16 Guessing Lines Show 0:00:04.480 --> 0:00:06.760 The numbers told the story they always do. It's one 0:00:06.760 --> 0:00:09.240 of those idiots who believe in the analytics. This is 0:00:09.240 --> 0:00:12.800 a numbers game with Gil Alexander gone vis in good 0:00:13.080 --> 0:00:15.080 Monday morning Tude is a numbers game at Visa d 0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:18.239 Sports Betting Network, Visa dot Com, Visa that game plus iHeartRadio, 0:00:18.280 --> 0:00:21.000 YouTube TV and of course the Draft Kings Network. It's 0:00:21.040 --> 0:00:23.840 Gill Alexander, It's Kelly Bidlittle I from bar Canada, the 0:00:23.920 --> 0:00:26.080 d Kelly fighting off a sneeze here to begin the show. 0:00:26.120 --> 0:00:27.840 That's never happened. Oh man, I had to do that 0:00:27.920 --> 0:00:30.960 the other day. Uh maybe take Kelly out of tight shot. 0:00:31.040 --> 0:00:33.520 There we go, that's looking cut. Give you a little 0:00:33.520 --> 0:00:35.479 time for for the sniffles if you need. 0:00:35.440 --> 0:00:37.199 I'll think it's gonnap it. It's not gonna have it. 0:00:37.200 --> 0:00:37.599 You can go back. 0:00:38.200 --> 0:00:41.120 I thought that after a segment like on Thursday or Friday. 0:00:41.120 --> 0:00:44.000 It's hilarious. How was your weekend, by the way, how 0:00:44.080 --> 0:00:44.239 to go? 0:00:44.320 --> 0:00:46.000 It was pretty good? It was pretty good. We're gonna 0:00:46.000 --> 0:00:49.200 get into the into the games here. Uh yes, as 0:00:49.200 --> 0:00:51.680 we always do on Monday. But uh, as you and 0:00:51.680 --> 0:00:53.560 I were talking about, man, it was it was a 0:00:53.600 --> 0:00:54.160 good weekend. 0:00:54.200 --> 0:00:56.200 But it could have been oh so great if the 0:00:56.200 --> 0:01:00.920 Atlanta Falcons cover. It's a massive weekend in dead nothing 0:01:00.960 --> 0:01:02.920 to really talk about. And as I was telling you too, 0:01:02.960 --> 0:01:03.520 thank god. 0:01:03.400 --> 0:01:05.520 The NBA is back, because as you just you just 0:01:05.560 --> 0:01:08.759 get bad beats, you know, multiple times a week essentially 0:01:08.800 --> 0:01:10.480 in the NBA. It really helps you get through some 0:01:10.520 --> 0:01:12.680 of these NFL weekends that hurts you a lot more 0:01:12.760 --> 0:01:13.520 earlier in the year. 0:01:13.680 --> 0:01:15.000 This is this is the season that could have been 0:01:15.040 --> 0:01:16.960 from me three to one and one again in the contest, 0:01:17.200 --> 0:01:19.560 me too, But it's a season that differences in the 0:01:20.040 --> 0:01:22.360 on the magapot, I'm twenty nine to fifteen in one 0:01:22.400 --> 0:01:25.119 this year. We're just crushing the NFL. But I had 0:01:25.160 --> 0:01:28.440 two oho and fives this year that destroyed the whole thing. 0:01:28.560 --> 0:01:30.160 What's your okay, So you went through one to one 0:01:30.160 --> 0:01:32.040 this week two? What'd you do week one of the quarter? 0:01:32.840 --> 0:01:35.200 Oh and five? Oh that was my second oh to 0:01:35.200 --> 0:01:37.760 five of the year. Yeah, so it just destroys everything. 0:01:37.760 --> 0:01:39.760 But anyway, we'll get into it. So if you're new 0:01:39.800 --> 0:01:42.520 to this again, only three more of these this year 0:01:42.560 --> 0:01:46.320 really before the postseason. I'm in a cocoon. I don't 0:01:46.319 --> 0:01:48.400 know the lines for week sixteen the upcoming week in 0:01:48.400 --> 0:01:51.320 the National Football League, it's called guessing lines, And in 0:01:51.360 --> 0:01:53.880 that exercise, we'll look back at everything that happened yesterday 0:01:53.920 --> 0:01:57.320 and this weekend, really Saturday and Sunday. We hope to 0:01:57.320 --> 0:02:01.600 extract value in the upcoming upcoming weekends. And this exercise 0:02:01.640 --> 0:02:05.200 has been, with the exception of a couple weeks this year, fantastic. 0:02:06.080 --> 0:02:09.080 First though, before we get into it, a look at 0:02:09.120 --> 0:02:12.880 Survivor Circus Survivor. What happened to the accent right there? 0:02:12.880 --> 0:02:17.919 For a second? Circus Survivor goes from thirteen to ten. Oh, 0:02:18.040 --> 0:02:21.320 the math is easy now, Kelly Bidlin, remaining intrinsic value 0:02:22.320 --> 0:02:25.680 theoretical of each of the remaining ten entries nine hundred 0:02:25.720 --> 0:02:29.760 twenty six thousand, seven hundred dollars nine point twenty six 0:02:29.840 --> 0:02:32.840 seven million. That makes sense, nine hundred twenty six thousand, 0:02:32.880 --> 0:02:36.400 seven hundred dollars per entry, pouring out a forty for 0:02:36.480 --> 0:02:40.120 our own Adam Burke, who was among the three eliminated. Adam, 0:02:40.200 --> 0:02:42.000 we should give a shout out to Mark Goldberg from 0:02:42.000 --> 0:02:45.440 Spooky Express who had Adam on with him, but a 0:02:45.480 --> 0:02:47.120 shout out to him. They had the Titans. They were 0:02:47.160 --> 0:02:48.840 one of two entries that had the Titans, the other 0:02:48.880 --> 0:02:53.440 one had the Packers. We are down to ten. Five 0:02:53.520 --> 0:02:56.160 had the Rams, that was the most strongly picked. Two 0:02:56.200 --> 0:02:58.959 had the Bengals, one had the Niners, one had the Saints, 0:02:58.960 --> 0:03:02.320 one had the Brownies. And I would assume, you know 0:03:02.320 --> 0:03:04.120 what they say about assuming, but I would assume there 0:03:04.120 --> 0:03:06.960 will be no chop again because the gentleman who didn't 0:03:06.960 --> 0:03:09.440 want to chop last week still alive poker player was 0:03:09.480 --> 0:03:11.200 named Sean Perry, I believe was his name, if I 0:03:11.240 --> 0:03:14.600 have that correct, So a golden boy, though it is 0:03:14.720 --> 0:03:17.800 his name, Yes, in the con still in it, so yes. 0:03:17.639 --> 0:03:19.600 I'm with you, I think, with him advancing. And you're 0:03:19.680 --> 0:03:22.160 only down to ten too, so it's not like this win. 0:03:22.520 --> 0:03:24.360 You know, the Rams would have gone down obviously it 0:03:24.440 --> 0:03:26.839 might be a different story. But down to ten, don't 0:03:26.880 --> 0:03:29.560 think we should expect to chop. And if there's anything 0:03:29.639 --> 0:03:32.120 like an announcer's curse with this, yell me on air 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:35.840 yesterday on Live Bed Sunday with Ben waxing poetically about 0:03:35.880 --> 0:03:38.040 how great it was to see Adam Burker make this 0:03:38.240 --> 0:03:41.200 run and what a great guy and all that, and then. 0:03:41.360 --> 0:03:45.160 So just so deserving. I waxed about him a couple 0:03:45.200 --> 0:03:46.560 of weeks ago that I wanted him to win, but 0:03:46.640 --> 0:03:50.280 oh well, it's tough man again. And this is the 0:03:50.280 --> 0:03:53.400 week where there's two happening before we come back on Monday. Right, 0:03:53.400 --> 0:03:57.680 it's the Christmas quote unquote week in addition to the 0:03:57.720 --> 0:03:59.840 actual So is it sixteen A and sixteen B if 0:03:59.840 --> 0:04:02.360 you will, by a circus survivor parlance? So good luck 0:04:02.360 --> 0:04:04.600 to everybody. By the way, this time last year, fourteen 0:04:04.760 --> 0:04:05.560 entries were left. 0:04:05.680 --> 0:04:09.920 Wait, so how does it work? Is it Thursday, Thursday, Saturday, Sunday? 0:04:10.000 --> 0:04:12.600 This week is one and then you have to pick Monday. 0:04:13.040 --> 0:04:15.960 There's three games whatever, the Christmas day and the one 0:04:16.040 --> 0:04:20.080 after Christmas, I believe it is. Is that correct? It's 0:04:20.080 --> 0:04:22.520 the it's the last three games, the last three games. Yeah, 0:04:22.520 --> 0:04:24.560 it's the Christmas one. I want to start this. Let's 0:04:24.560 --> 0:04:26.360 do that. There are three on Christmas. I had to Okay, 0:04:26.360 --> 0:04:29.040 three on Christmas, three on Christmas. Those are the ones. 0:04:29.120 --> 0:04:30.880 All right, guess lines, let's hit it. Hey, we have 0:04:30.920 --> 0:04:41.000 an what was coming? All right, I'm gonna started. I 0:04:41.080 --> 0:04:44.359 missed that scratching idea in there. Yeah, yeah, got that 0:04:44.400 --> 0:04:46.360 going on. I like that, all right, Thursday night, we 0:04:46.440 --> 0:04:49.279 got a thriller Saints at Rams. Well, it means something 0:04:49.560 --> 0:04:53.080 to seven and seven teams. Saints right now tied with 0:04:53.080 --> 0:04:56.160 the Bucks, although they do not lead technically the NFC 0:04:56.320 --> 0:05:02.080 South and the Rams now inside the NFC playoff picture. 0:05:02.200 --> 0:05:06.320 Is that right that the Rams are on the inside, Yes, 0:05:06.520 --> 0:05:09.320 they are. They are in the seventh hole right now 0:05:09.560 --> 0:05:15.360 in the NFC. Okay, yesterday the Saints beat the Giants, 0:05:15.839 --> 0:05:18.800 stopping the Giants train, if you will. Giants started out 0:05:18.839 --> 0:05:20.919 with a fifty six yard Randy Bullock field goal on 0:05:20.920 --> 0:05:23.320 the game's opening drive, but then he heard his hamstring 0:05:23.320 --> 0:05:26.360 on the ensuing kickoff. Then after trade of three and outs, 0:05:26.360 --> 0:05:28.520 New Orleans went sixty eight yards eleven plays card Keith 0:05:28.560 --> 0:05:31.760 Kirkwood for seven seven to three New Orleans late first quarter. 0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:33.880 The Giants would add a field goal before the end 0:05:33.880 --> 0:05:35.080 of the half, but it was seven to six New 0:05:35.120 --> 0:05:37.280 Orleans field goal by the punter, which was always Matt 0:05:37.320 --> 0:05:40.080 Brown's problem. Field goal by Jamie Gillen. That's correct, forty 0:05:40.160 --> 0:05:43.480 yard field goal. The total yards at the half one 0:05:43.640 --> 0:05:47.720 twelve to ninety nine New Orleans. Real Barnburner third quarter 0:05:47.720 --> 0:05:49.760 of New Orleans opening drive ten play sixty eight yards 0:05:49.760 --> 0:05:52.280 cartera Juwan Johnson for twenty three fourteen to six Saints. 0:05:53.240 --> 0:05:55.000 Then after a Giants three and out, group would add 0:05:54.960 --> 0:05:58.200 a fifty yard field goal seventeen to six Saints. After 0:05:58.279 --> 0:06:00.559 another Giants three and out sixty five yards and eleven 0:06:00.560 --> 0:06:02.600 plays Car to Jimmy Graham, Hey, there is from one 0:06:02.640 --> 0:06:05.400 out twenty four to six. Uh. From there on out 0:06:05.560 --> 0:06:08.120 it was really just a Giants turnover on downs twice. 0:06:08.200 --> 0:06:10.119 That would be the ballgame. Car twenty three of twenty 0:06:10.120 --> 0:06:14.440 eight for two eighteen three touchdowns, no picks and one sack. 0:06:14.520 --> 0:06:16.280 Come on, Giants, you just gotta lose a couple more 0:06:16.320 --> 0:06:19.000 and then the alternate season win total under well Cash. 0:06:19.200 --> 0:06:22.719 The Rams beat Washington yesterday to get to seven and seven. 0:06:23.440 --> 0:06:25.320 Har Sick twenty two yardfield goal to start out the 0:06:25.400 --> 0:06:27.479 festivities after a Washington three and out three to nothing 0:06:27.560 --> 0:06:30.440 Rams then this was the real story of the first half. 0:06:30.960 --> 0:06:33.800 The Rams should have blown Washington off the field, but 0:06:33.880 --> 0:06:36.880 instead Washington matriculated fourth and one at the Rams twelve 0:06:36.960 --> 0:06:40.080 Howel pass deflected and complete stopped long downs thirty six 0:06:40.120 --> 0:06:42.880 seconds left in the first quarter. Then the Rams matriculated, 0:06:42.880 --> 0:06:44.920 but first and ten at the Washington twenty one Kyron 0:06:44.960 --> 0:06:48.280 Williams tackled by Cody Bartney. Fumbles were covered by Kendall Fuller. 0:06:48.600 --> 0:06:51.080 After another Washington three and out, Rams go fifty three 0:06:51.160 --> 0:06:53.880 yards ten plays, Kyron in from one ten to nothing 0:06:53.960 --> 0:06:56.200 Rams two nineteen left in the second quarter, and then 0:06:56.200 --> 0:06:58.400 after another Washington three and out the Rams second and 0:06:58.440 --> 0:07:01.720 four at the Washington forty five Kyra fumbles again. Saint 0:07:01.800 --> 0:07:04.240 Juice Benjamin says, juiced on the hit, Cameron Curl on 0:07:04.279 --> 0:07:06.360 the recovery. Good times for those of us holding an 0:07:06.360 --> 0:07:08.400 over forty eight and a half ticket. Oh, it gets 0:07:08.400 --> 0:07:12.280 even better for you, It would get even better. Washington 0:07:12.320 --> 0:07:15.960 another three and out, terrible snap by Cameron Cheeseman Tressway. 0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:17.840 The punter couldn't handle it. Rams were set up at 0:07:17.880 --> 0:07:20.680 Washington at the Washington or deep in Washington Territor with 0:07:20.680 --> 0:07:22.760 thirty four seconds left second quarter that led to a 0:07:22.760 --> 0:07:25.000 half or six twenty seven yard field goal thirteen to 0:07:25.000 --> 0:07:27.320 nothing Rams. At the half. You should have had way 0:07:27.360 --> 0:07:30.600 more points. Rams led in total yards two forty two 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:32.160 to eighty three. At the half it was fourteen to 0:07:32.200 --> 0:07:34.840 three and first downs, but those minus two and turnovers 0:07:34.840 --> 0:07:37.920 were killing you. Rams. Second play third quarter, Stafford a 0:07:37.960 --> 0:07:41.239 cup for sixty two twenty to nothing. Rams. Later Washington 0:07:41.240 --> 0:07:43.600 short field forty eight yards, seven plays how Old a 0:07:43.640 --> 0:07:46.080 Samuel from nineteen out twenty to seven Rams six twenty 0:07:46.080 --> 0:07:48.440 four left third quarter. Then the Rams punt after taking 0:07:48.440 --> 0:07:50.840 to delay when it was fourth and three at the 0:07:50.920 --> 0:07:53.520 Washington forty two. I'm sure you love that with one 0:07:53.600 --> 0:07:55.680 fifty eight left of the third quarter, looking at it 0:07:55.720 --> 0:07:58.720 through the prism of your You're over. Then Washington three 0:07:58.720 --> 0:08:00.560 and out again, almost the most amaz and catch you'll 0:08:00.560 --> 0:08:02.680 ever see by Terry McLaurin, but not to be ruled 0:08:02.680 --> 0:08:05.240 in complete. And then the Rams five plays fifty one 0:08:05.280 --> 0:08:07.840 yard Stafford DeMarcus Robinson from twenty three out Kiren in 0:08:07.880 --> 0:08:10.640 for the two point conversion, twenty eight to seven Rams 0:08:10.680 --> 0:08:13.600 thirteen twenty five to go. The Rams were coasting and 0:08:13.640 --> 0:08:16.720 you're over. Still had a shot. First play, next drive 0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:20.640 Howell picked by John Johnson the third. Then Harsik misses 0:08:20.680 --> 0:08:24.480 a forty three yard field goal. Jacoby burseet in, Ladies 0:08:24.560 --> 0:08:27.360 and gentlemen. At that moment, Terry mclaurin's twenty twenty three 0:08:27.400 --> 0:08:28.040 season began. 0:08:28.240 --> 0:08:31.040 That's right, my guys, Jacobe were set in the game, 0:08:31.480 --> 0:08:34.720 Skins go sixty seven yards five plays, breset to McLaurin 0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:38.760 for twenty nine eighty eight to fourteen Rams seven seventeen 0:08:38.840 --> 0:08:39.120 to go. 0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:41.319 Then after a Rams three and up, breset to McLaurin 0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:45.440 for sixteen to McLaurin for forty eight sets up. Washington 0:08:45.440 --> 0:08:48.920 at the Rams won with four forty seven to go 0:08:49.000 --> 0:08:53.439 in the game. Let me repeat that down fourteen Washington 0:08:53.480 --> 0:08:56.559 set up at the RAMS one with four forty seven 0:08:56.640 --> 0:08:58.840 to go. Sure, yep, this is easy. We all know 0:08:58.840 --> 0:09:00.520 what to do here. Gil. You know how long it 0:09:00.520 --> 0:09:02.920 took him to score that touchdown at one yard like 0:09:02.960 --> 0:09:07.800 eight plays, three minutes in one second on seven plays 0:09:07.800 --> 0:09:10.080 technically really nine because there were two pis. 0:09:10.120 --> 0:09:10.640 Oh there you go. 0:09:10.720 --> 0:09:15.200 Yeah. Finally Brisset to Samuel from three out. It literally 0:09:15.240 --> 0:09:16.840 was I think I have the sequence later when we 0:09:16.840 --> 0:09:19.720 talk about Washington, but it was just this unbelievable sequence 0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:24.320 where Washington showed no urgency whatsoever. Finally they scored with 0:09:24.360 --> 0:09:27.120 one forty six to go. Now you're down eight, ladies 0:09:27.120 --> 0:09:30.880 and gentlemen. Ron Rivera breset Samuel from three out, fourth 0:09:30.920 --> 0:09:32.360 and goal, by the way, on their second set of 0:09:32.400 --> 0:09:35.400 four downs. Then Ron Rivera, who has not gotten the 0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:36.720 eight to six memo. 0:09:36.880 --> 0:09:39.839 Like, did you not just watch Monday Night Football? Like 0:09:40.160 --> 0:09:42.800 shit that you missed it a whole six days before 0:09:42.880 --> 0:09:43.320 this game. 0:09:43.400 --> 0:09:46.040 I'n Rivera doesn't watch TV. He has a guy in 0:09:46.080 --> 0:09:48.480 the eight to six analytics memo. So instead of going 0:09:48.520 --> 0:09:51.760 for two, he decides to kick the pat which for you, 0:09:51.880 --> 0:09:54.480 and you're forty eight at that point. Oh, I'm back here, cheering, 0:09:54.600 --> 0:09:58.400 way to go, row boat Rod Poetry then ensues roll 0:09:58.400 --> 0:10:01.560 out the field goal unit. Because the low snap happens, 0:10:01.880 --> 0:10:06.120 the kick is blocked total Poetry, and you're still at 0:10:06.160 --> 0:10:10.960 forty eight. Then, with all three timeouts, Ron Rivera decides, 0:10:10.960 --> 0:10:13.640 I'm gonna kick the on side kick here. You got 0:10:13.679 --> 0:10:17.200 to anyway. They never get the ball back either way. 0:10:17.240 --> 0:10:20.360 Twenty eight to twenty Rams win the unders cash you lose. 0:10:20.400 --> 0:10:25.720 You're over the total and the spread both in play. 0:10:26.280 --> 0:10:30.280 On that final sequence, Ron Rivera laiz gentlemen, by the way, 0:10:30.320 --> 0:10:32.400 people who are like, oh, he'll never it's not a 0:10:32.520 --> 0:10:35.520 it's not a hot take that Ron Rivera's gonna get fired, lates, gentlemen, 0:10:35.520 --> 0:10:38.960 anybody you hear saying that it's a hot take. Everybody 0:10:39.080 --> 0:10:41.680 knows it's already out there. The second the season ends, 0:10:41.679 --> 0:10:44.440 he's fired. It's not a thing. I love those hot takes. Yeah, 0:10:44.760 --> 0:10:47.360 it's like, okay, yeah, it's great. Everybody. Josh Harris is 0:10:47.360 --> 0:10:50.600 almost talking about it outwardly. Stafford twenty five of thirty 0:10:50.600 --> 0:10:52.240 three for two to fifty eight, two touchdowns, no picks. 0:10:52.240 --> 0:10:54.520 He was sacked three times. Kyron Williams twenty seven for 0:10:54.559 --> 0:10:57.320 one fifty touch but two fumbles, Cup eight for one 0:10:57.360 --> 0:10:59.920 eleven in a touchdown. They outgained Washington four forty five 0:11:00.320 --> 0:11:05.559 ninety seven. Puka Nakua last three games, Kelly, if he 0:11:05.720 --> 0:11:09.240 averages five and a half catches and one hundred and 0:11:09.280 --> 0:11:13.120 four yards, he sets the rookie records for both catches 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:16.000 and yards five and a half and one oh four. 0:11:16.200 --> 0:11:17.920 Oh it sounds like a Rookie of the Year candidate. 0:11:18.240 --> 0:11:22.600 Not so much, apparently. Was it Saints at Rams by four? Ding? 0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:25.400 Ding Ding nailed it? Yeah, we are four across the 0:11:25.440 --> 0:11:27.360 board of because the Saints aren't good enough to keep 0:11:27.360 --> 0:11:28.760 it to three on that it's a ram. 0:11:28.880 --> 0:11:32.040 Yeah, this is really perfect number because this is I 0:11:32.080 --> 0:11:35.440 would only be interested in the rams here, but not important. 0:11:35.480 --> 0:11:38.240 If Pooka set both records and c. J. Stroud didn't 0:11:38.240 --> 0:11:40.040 show up for the last three games. The se Stroud 0:11:40.120 --> 0:11:42.280 still there, still a rookie the year. No, I'm going 0:11:42.320 --> 0:11:45.319 to Coula then. By the way, Jamiir Gibbs also twenty one, 0:11:45.440 --> 0:11:49.480 same number as Fucus. Welcome back more guessing lines. Looking 0:11:49.600 --> 0:11:52.200 for value in week sixteen numbers game Visa the Sports 0:11:52.200 --> 0:11:58.280 Betting Network. Here are three reasons Zen is America's number 0:11:58.360 --> 0:12:01.560 one nicotine pounch. We use food grade ingredients. We have 0:12:01.600 --> 0:12:04.240 a wide selection of varieties and they all come in 0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:07.640 two strengths. Find Zen at a store near you. Warning 0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:12.480 this product contains nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical. Numbers 0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:15.840 game on Visa these sports Betting Network look at a 0:12:15.840 --> 0:12:18.440 bit smarter. The Vison has the perfect holiday gift for you. 0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:21.120 Sign up on our holiday special today and get Visa 0:12:21.120 --> 0:12:23.040 Pro access to everything we do from now through May 0:12:23.120 --> 0:12:27.160 first for only seventy nine dollars. May first sign up 0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:30.320 today get unlimited access to daily best bets, exclusive betting splits, 0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:32.800 premium analysis in twenty four to seven video, plus all 0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:35.640 our betting guides and best bets for our college bowl games, 0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:37.760 all of them the Super Bowl in March Madness. Don't 0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:40.080 miss out on this limited time holiday offer. Visit VSA 0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:43.360 dot com slash subscribe to sign up on our holiday special. Now, 0:12:43.400 --> 0:12:47.199 that's VSI n dot com slash subscribe. It's kill Alexander, 0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:48.760 It's Kelly Bidlin. Let me just ask you a question 0:12:48.800 --> 0:12:51.080 before we get back into these games. Kelly, I'm going 0:12:51.160 --> 0:12:54.679 to give you the favorite now for all seven NFL 0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:58.480 Awards categories. Okay, I don't want to know if you 0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:00.120 think they're not going to win or not. I just 0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:03.559 want you to tell me which what odds you think 0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:07.439 are the most outlanded? Okay, Purty now Rock Party minus 0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.960 one ninety for MVP. These are all DraftKings numbers. Stroud 0:13:11.080 --> 0:13:14.560 minus ten thousand Offensive Rookie the Year, Jalen Carter minus 0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:18.120 sixteen hundred Defensive Rookie of the Year. Christian McCaffrey minus 0:13:18.160 --> 0:13:21.800 won fifty for Offensive Player of the Year. Micah Parsons 0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:25.199 minus won ten Defensive Player of the Year. Dan Campbell 0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:28.680 plus two hundred two to one Coach of the Year. 0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:35.680 Damar Hamlin minus seven hundred. What is the most outlandish number? 0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:38.719 Not that they might not win, but what number do 0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:40.880 you think is the most out of whack. I still 0:13:40.920 --> 0:13:44.360 think it's Dan Campbell. It's either Campbell or Hamblin right, 0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:47.360 based on our conversation with uh, it's Campbell with shots, 0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:49.600 it's Campbell or Hamlin. Was thinking about going that way, 0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:51.400 but I didn't want to bring it up again. Yeah, 0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:54.760 it was talking about Shane Steich and by the way, 0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:57.719 and Jamago Ryans both at plus three fifty knocking at 0:13:57.720 --> 0:13:58.160 the dough. 0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:01.520 You are right, it is those two, though I don't 0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:04.200 care like that. That Lion's win was great Saturday night. 0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:06.000 We're gonna get to it. We're gonna we're gonna talk 0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:08.360 about that was awesome for us. We both had bets 0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:11.640 on it. But I still don't understand the two to 0:14:11.640 --> 0:14:13.560 one with all these with all these other guys that 0:14:13.600 --> 0:14:14.640 you could make a case for. 0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:16.600 Let's go to Sunday. What do we got? 0:14:17.240 --> 0:14:21.239 We're on to Saturday Saturday, BA, let's go on Saturday 0:14:21.280 --> 0:14:24.880 this week too. Two on Saturday, one thirty Pacific time, 0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:28.120 four to thirty Eastern Bengals at the Steelers, Oh Bengals 0:14:28.160 --> 0:14:32.400 consecutive Saturdays, Pittsburgh consecutive Saturdays, six the eight and six 0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:35.680 Bengals and the seven and seven Steelers Bengals coming off 0:14:35.720 --> 0:14:39.320 an incredible win against the Vikings on Saturday. 0:14:39.560 --> 0:14:41.440 It was seven to three Minnesota. We'll pick it up. 0:14:41.440 --> 0:14:45.400 Their second quarter, Browning misses a wide open Charlie Jones 0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:48.440 deep first missed opportunity for the Bengals right there. Minnesota 0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:51.280 then matriculated third and nine at the Cincinnati fourteen Mullins 0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:54.160 picked by Mike Hilton with four h six left in 0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:56.880 the second quarter, and then after Cincinnati punt, Minnesota matriculated 0:14:56.960 --> 0:14:59.920 again third and seven at the Cincinnati twenty two, Mullin 0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:02.880 picked by E. J. Hill. And so it's still seven 0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:05.880 to three Minnesota at the half. They led in total 0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:07.840 yards one eighty eight to one oh one, but they 0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:10.200 were minus two and turnovers. Just sounded just like the 0:15:10.200 --> 0:15:12.920 game we just described with the Rams, but in this 0:15:13.040 --> 0:15:14.920 case the Vikings couldn't hold it. By the way, it 0:15:14.960 --> 0:15:17.080 is the whole Nick Mullins experience. Right Like you were like, oh, 0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:18.640 he's pretty good, he's pretty good. Oh no, he's not 0:15:18.640 --> 0:15:21.720 good yet. Rock out right yep. Third quarter Minnesota eight plays, 0:15:21.800 --> 0:15:24.720 ninety three yards, Mullins to Addison for thirty seven. Addison 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:27.280 was everywhere in this game. Fourteen to three Vikings ten 0:15:27.400 --> 0:15:30.760 forty six left third quarter, then Cincinnati second and seven 0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:33.120 at their own forty Browning picked by a Caleb Evans 0:15:33.160 --> 0:15:36.080 that led to a Joseph field goal seventeen to three Minnesota, 0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:38.720 four thirty two left of the third quarter. All right, 0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:43.560 you're thinking Minnesota's rolling until they weren't. Cincinnati. Then Browning 0:15:43.560 --> 0:15:45.360 wakes up. Eight plays seventy five yards, Browning in the 0:15:45.440 --> 0:15:48.120 Higgins for thirteen first play the fourth quarter, seventeen to 0:15:48.120 --> 0:15:50.800 ten Minnesota, then a Minnesota three and out, then eleven 0:15:50.840 --> 0:15:53.440 plays sixty two yards for the Bengals, mixing in from 0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:55.960 one on fourth and goal. We're tied at seventeen with 0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:58.320 seven forty six to go, and then right after that 0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:01.560 second and ten at their own forty four Mullins looks 0:16:01.600 --> 0:16:04.600 like it's a pick six to Jermaine Prat, but nullified 0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:09.320 by Trey Hendrickson being offside and instead the Instead the 0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:12.480 Vikings take advantage. They matriculate Mullins to Addison from one 0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:16.200 out twenty four to seventeen, Vikings three forty eight to go. Well, 0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:17.880 it looks like the Vikings are gonna win it after all. 0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:21.200 New ten plays seventy five yard drive for the Bengals, 0:16:21.360 --> 0:16:24.440 Browning to Higgins for twenty one. What a catch, What 0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:27.880 a touchdown? Twenty four a piece, thirty nine seconds to 0:16:27.920 --> 0:16:31.720 go win this ballgame, then ot that's where it would go. 0:16:32.240 --> 0:16:37.080 Cincinnati three and out, blatant p I uncalled on third 0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:41.480 down deep intended for Higgins. Then Minnesota third and one 0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:47.320 at the Cincinnati forty one stuffed on a on a 0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:53.360 sneak attempt, and then fourth in inches Mullins stuffed again. Brutal, 0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:56.840 absolutely brutal where he like he did a Fred Flintstone 0:16:56.920 --> 0:16:59.240 thing with his legs. You know, when Fred Flintstone drives 0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:02.800 the car, we has a war bump. Remember that was 0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:05.520 it didn't get there. Cincinnati takes over six to twelve 0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:07.399 to go thirdy nine at the thrown forty three. Browning 0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:09.760 to Boyd for forty four sets up McPherson twenty nine 0:17:09.840 --> 0:17:12.399 yard field goal. Good. Bengals win it twenty seven to 0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:15.400 twenty four. That's a push for everybody, pretty much. Let 0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:17.280 me just review that game real quick. In one sentence, 0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:19.840 seventeen to three lead for the Vikings. They blow it, 0:17:20.080 --> 0:17:23.160 twenty four to seventeen lead. They blow it two quarterback 0:17:23.200 --> 0:17:26.240 sneaks to get one yard. They blow it. Total disaster. 0:17:26.480 --> 0:17:30.840 Yeah, that is rough because, like you said, Addison Man, 0:17:30.920 --> 0:17:33.280 he had a great game. Finally looked like he was 0:17:33.320 --> 0:17:35.520 coming on. You know, I was a wide receiver this year. 0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:37.840 Chaidler had a big game. Chand had a huge game. 0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:40.000 Browning ended up twenty nine to forty two for three 0:17:40.119 --> 0:17:42.919 twenty four for the Bengals, two touchdowns, one pick and 0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:46.000 sack four times Bengals in the thick of it. Steeler's 0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:48.560 not in the thick of it right now. Steelers beating 0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:50.800 the Colt six to nothing. We'll pick it up there. 0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:54.200 Boswell missed a pat that's why it's six to nothing. 0:17:54.600 --> 0:17:57.760 Then Indianapols three and out, rigobertol Sunchez Punk blocked by 0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.000 Connor Heywood, recovered by Nick Herbert g at the one 0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:02.560 after Harris lost four yards. 0:18:02.720 --> 0:18:06.160 Story of this of Nazi's career here Deontae from five out, 0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:09.760 thirteen to nothing, Steelers fourteen oh seven left second quarter 0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:13.920 and then from there Kelly all Colts big Minshew to 0:18:13.960 --> 0:18:15.959 Pittman Junior forty two yard pickup on third and five 0:18:16.000 --> 0:18:18.040 of the Pittsburgh forty nine that set up a Minshew 0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:21.000 to mos sixteen yard touchdown Bass thirteen to seven Pittsburgh 0:18:21.040 --> 0:18:23.359 eleven twenty one left second quarter, then a first and 0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:25.880 eleven for Pittsburgh at the Indie forty five trubisky picked 0:18:25.880 --> 0:18:29.960 by Nick Cross. Indianapolis matriculates, but they get stuff third 0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:32.359 and gold to one incomplete, overthrown to Ogletree and then 0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:34.760 remember fourth and goal from the one Minshew to DJ 0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:37.920 Montgomery just flats out drops it, so you're like, Okay, 0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:40.680 wait a minute, maybe the Pittsburgh Magic Beans thing is 0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:44.280 happening with Tomlin. But Pittsburgh punts, and then Indianapolis starts 0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:47.400 at their own twenty six with forty four seconds left 0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:50.959 in the half. They go seventy seven yards in twenty 0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:54.879 two seconds, three plays to Montgomery for thirty four, a 0:18:54.960 --> 0:18:58.520 twenty six yard PI incomplete to Montgomery and then incomplete 0:18:58.520 --> 0:19:02.280 and then Montgomery for fourteen touchdown, So the Colts led 0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:06.399 by one at the half. After in Indianapolis three and out, 0:19:06.440 --> 0:19:09.359 Pittsburgh first intent at their own ten nase hit by E. J. Speedy, 0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:12.040 fumbles recovered by Julian Blackman that led to a Minshew 0:19:12.080 --> 0:19:15.040 alley Cock touchdown from eighteen yards out twenty one to thirteen. 0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:17.479 Then after Pittsburgh three and out. Indianapol's fourth and one 0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:19.760 at Pittsburgh eleven. They settle. You know, this is also 0:19:19.800 --> 0:19:22.440 the difference in coaching, right, Steichen is like, Okay, we're 0:19:22.480 --> 0:19:24.800 up eight, it's fourth and one at the eleventh, let 0:19:24.840 --> 0:19:26.440 me just kick a field goal here to go, but eleven, 0:19:26.440 --> 0:19:29.240