WEBVTT - Marta Norton on Direct Indexing and Investments

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<v Speaker 1>This is Mesters in Business with Very Results on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest.

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<v Speaker 1>Martha Norton is the chief Investment Officer for morning Star

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<v Speaker 1>Investment Management. They advise or directly manage about two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and fifty billion dollars in client assets. She has a

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<v Speaker 1>fascinating career, starting at BLS, working a way up as

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<v Speaker 1>an analyst and eventually head of outcome based Strategies for

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<v Speaker 1>morning Star, eventually rising from that position and portfolio manager

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<v Speaker 1>to chief investment officer. We talk about everything from when

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<v Speaker 1>do you think about risk, how do you diversify a portfolio?

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<v Speaker 1>At what point do you really have to rethink the

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<v Speaker 1>fundamentals of what's going on in the economy and the marketplace.

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<v Speaker 1>I found this conversation to be absolutely fascinating, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think you will also with no further ado my conversation

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<v Speaker 1>with morning Stars Marta Norton, so BLS economist, how did

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<v Speaker 1>that happen? Tell us about that opening gig? Right, So

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<v Speaker 1>it's a pretty heavy title, maybe a generous title for

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<v Speaker 1>a twenty three year old. Bills recruits just like all

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<v Speaker 1>other organizations, recruits at college campuses. So there are a

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<v Speaker 1>number of us heading in out of college into the BLS,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course b allst home to the Consumer Price Index,

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<v Speaker 1>which we're all watching so closely. I was on the

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<v Speaker 1>Producer Price Index, so the sister index, focusing on the

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<v Speaker 1>prices that produces that's right. So I was on the

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<v Speaker 1>research team, so putting together research. I wrote a scintillating

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<v Speaker 1>piece on beef and cattle prices that's right, which you

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<v Speaker 1>can find in the monthly Labor Review. And I spent

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of time working with folks, helping with contract escalation,

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<v Speaker 1>identifying the right index for them. And actually I was

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<v Speaker 1>at the p p I. Most people may not remember this,

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<v Speaker 1>but in two thousand four, the p p I was

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<v Speaker 1>a month and a half late. So sometimes that process

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<v Speaker 1>my mind today when people are watching the cp I,

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<v Speaker 1>I can't imagine how people would react. Why was it

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<v Speaker 1>a month and a half late? No, for so, we

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<v Speaker 1>were converting from the Standard Industrial Classification system to the

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<v Speaker 1>North American Industrial Classification System, so taking potatoes from one area,

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<v Speaker 1>moving them into another area, making sure everything was in

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<v Speaker 1>its right place, and like all things, it took longer,

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<v Speaker 1>was more complex. Why wouldn't use the old model until

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<v Speaker 1>the new model is ready to you would think you

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<v Speaker 1>would think. I think it was just a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>poor planning more than anything. No, you know that that

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<v Speaker 1>can happen, and it's funny. I had my first brush

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<v Speaker 1>with you media as a professional at that time. The journalists,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, we're calling in. Folks were calling in, where's

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<v Speaker 1>our PPI? Conspiracy theories abounded, and a journalist, I think,

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<v Speaker 1>could how I was mostly a child and was trying

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<v Speaker 1>to get the dirt out of me, and I said

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<v Speaker 1>something like, we have no idea when the PPI is

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<v Speaker 1>coming out, And that's the quote that I got into

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<v Speaker 1>the papers. Let's it would change in model. You got

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<v Speaker 1>to give it a couple of weeks, you know, sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>the movers late. That's very funny. Show from Bureau of

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<v Speaker 1>Labor Statistics. How did you transition over to Morning Star? Right?

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<v Speaker 1>So I leave the Beer of Labor Statistics and I

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<v Speaker 1>move into economic consulting. And this is distinct from management consulting,

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<v Speaker 1>which I think a lot of people are pretty familiar with.

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<v Speaker 1>With econ consulting, at least at the firm I was at,

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<v Speaker 1>it was a lot of expert witness testimony, so litigation

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<v Speaker 1>around unfair competition or the like. A company would pull

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<v Speaker 1>in our expert witness, and I was part of the

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<v Speaker 1>team to put together the case to explain the market

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<v Speaker 1>size or the market share or what have you. And

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<v Speaker 1>it was interesting work. It was demanding, work, was pretty grueling.

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<v Speaker 1>But the career paths from there were either kind of

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<v Speaker 1>the PhD route or the legal routes, and those weren't passed.

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<v Speaker 1>I was necessarily interested in pursuing right then, So I thought, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>let's stop trying to apply the major directly to the

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<v Speaker 1>career and maybe have a little bit broader perspective. And

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<v Speaker 1>I loved research. I knew finance had a close corollary

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<v Speaker 1>to kN I was in Chicago, morning Star being the

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<v Speaker 1>research firms, so I applied and was hired as an

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<v Speaker 1>ec F analyst in two thousand five. They were actually

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<v Speaker 1>relatively nascent, but they were back then. You were there

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<v Speaker 1>really as they exploded, oh eight or nine, more or

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<v Speaker 1>less after the crisis, right, that's right, And so morning

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<v Speaker 1>Star coverage was really just getting started on e t

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<v Speaker 1>f s right in the two thousand five period. And

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<v Speaker 1>of course now it's a very robust coverage. It's sophisticated,

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<v Speaker 1>it has a philosophy, but then we were still feeling

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<v Speaker 1>our way and so there was a lot of need

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<v Speaker 1>on the active mutual fund fronts, and so my coverage

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<v Speaker 1>list it kind of converted over time to focus more

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<v Speaker 1>on mutual funds, to focus on five to nine plans

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<v Speaker 1>college savings. I was getting my c f A charter

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<v Speaker 1>around that time, so it was a period of I

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<v Speaker 1>guess I would call it intense study, intense focus on

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<v Speaker 1>understanding different investment strategies. What makes a good investment strategy.

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of people think of morning Star,

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<v Speaker 1>and rightly so for the Star ratings, which are performance measurements,

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<v Speaker 1>But morning Star spends a lot of time actually doing

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<v Speaker 1>fun to mental work analysis on what makes a good

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<v Speaker 1>mutual funds? You know, the people, the process in that work.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's where I was spending my time as an analyst.

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<v Speaker 1>So how do you find your way from economists to

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<v Speaker 1>analysts to asset manager? How did that transition happen? So

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<v Speaker 1>in two thousand eight, I I just perceived my c

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<v Speaker 1>F A charter and I was beginning to look around

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<v Speaker 1>and think about, you know, where else would I want

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<v Speaker 1>to go in this company or or outside the company.

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<v Speaker 1>And at that time, the morning Star managed portfolio's team,

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<v Speaker 1>which as you mentioned, as a subsidia, morning Star had

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<v Speaker 1>an opening, and so I tossed my hat in the

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<v Speaker 1>ring and moved over in October. Oh, so that's some

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<v Speaker 1>timing right in the storm. I know, I want to

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<v Speaker 1>run assets. Let me let me catch the falling night here.

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<v Speaker 1>No here, So you're about to start the worst six

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<v Speaker 1>months in a long time. What was experience like beginning

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<v Speaker 1>in asset management in the eye of the hurricane. I've

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<v Speaker 1>read that investors are really marked by the environment in

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<v Speaker 1>which they kind of of age. Um. And so I

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<v Speaker 1>came of age in the global financial crisis, and I

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<v Speaker 1>mean there were so many lessons learns that maybe I

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<v Speaker 1>had to process over time. One of them was very smart,

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<v Speaker 1>very credible, people with very good backgrounds and experience can

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<v Speaker 1>be very very wrong. Um. And I saw that firsthand

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<v Speaker 1>with some of the analysis that was done at that time.

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<v Speaker 1>I saw how personal money is. Let me give you

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<v Speaker 1>some background on morning Start managed portfolios. These are portfolios

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<v Speaker 1>that we're creating, whether their individual stocks or whether they're

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<v Speaker 1>multi asset portfolios, that we offer to financial advisors, who

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<v Speaker 1>in turn offer them to their clients. So these are stocks, bonds, ETFs,

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<v Speaker 1>mutual funds. They can be, yeah, they can be kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a varied collection, varied instruments that were implementing that

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<v Speaker 1>the views in and so our customer bases financial advisors

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<v Speaker 1>and their underlying clients, and so over that period, we

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<v Speaker 1>were having maybe bi weekly weekly calls with finance to advisors,

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<v Speaker 1>just opening up the doors and having a conversation. We're

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<v Speaker 1>doing the same with clients. And I can remember one

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<v Speaker 1>client on one of our calls. I was sitting in

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<v Speaker 1>a room nine oh one that I still sit in today, um,

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<v Speaker 1>and he was saying, just go to cash, Please, just

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<v Speaker 1>go to cash. And you know, it really struck home

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<v Speaker 1>with me that money is very personal, that it's closely

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<v Speaker 1>tied to security, and when we look at price movements

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<v Speaker 1>on a chart, sometimes we forget what it feels like

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<v Speaker 1>to be at those different points on the chart. And

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<v Speaker 1>it just stuck with me this idea that this is

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<v Speaker 1>a very serious matter when you're managing folks assets, it's

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<v Speaker 1>personal in all sorts of ways. It's not just their security.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of people look at their portfolio values and

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<v Speaker 1>it impacts their sense of self worth, their confidence, how

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<v Speaker 1>they view the world. I mean, if you begin as

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<v Speaker 1>a trader or a portfolio manager, you kind of learn

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<v Speaker 1>like a surgeon. You have to compartmental opposite. You can't

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<v Speaker 1>wear it on your sleeve. But that's not how individuals perceived.

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<v Speaker 1>It's this role in real right, and I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>why there's so much importance. And this is something that

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<v Speaker 1>I think is close to the heart of Morning Star.

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<v Speaker 1>But there's so much importance in the purpose of education

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<v Speaker 1>and telling people what to look at, because that's what

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<v Speaker 1>I benefited from going to morning Star learning investing through

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<v Speaker 1>morning Stars lens. You don't necessarily need to take your

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<v Speaker 1>signals from recent market performance. There are other things that

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<v Speaker 1>should be your signals in terms of how you're doing

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<v Speaker 1>as an investor. So, so you as an investor, began

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<v Speaker 1>as an economist, then you're an analyst, then you're an

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<v Speaker 1>investment manager, then your portfolio manager, now you're in chief

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<v Speaker 1>investment officer. Each of those steps is a very different role,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're looking at different things and experiencing different things

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<v Speaker 1>throughout that progression. What really stands out, um, because that's

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<v Speaker 1>really interesting career path. Yeah, you know, I look at

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<v Speaker 1>my career and kind of three chunks there's the pre

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<v Speaker 1>Morning Star chunk of being an economist working in econ consulting,

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<v Speaker 1>and I see a lot of value in that UM,

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<v Speaker 1>in part because I think if you're with the same

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<v Speaker 1>company your entire career, you can sometimes fall into the

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<v Speaker 1>fallacy that grass is greener somewhere else. And so I

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<v Speaker 1>was able to have some career experience from that UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and then I have the period where I was with

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<v Speaker 1>Morning Start Inc. Doing research and just soaking things up,

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<v Speaker 1>and then I move into the money management UM part

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<v Speaker 1>of my career, and I would say that there was

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<v Speaker 1>a stretch from two thousand eight to call it two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and fifteen where I was managing a ton of

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<v Speaker 1>different types of mandates. I was on the road with

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<v Speaker 1>clients and financial advisors sometimes once a week, understanding who

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<v Speaker 1>they were, what they were looking for from us, and

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<v Speaker 1>there was just a very rich development period, which I

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<v Speaker 1>think at the time, I don't know if I fully

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<v Speaker 1>appreciate it. I'm someone who likes to see change like

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<v Speaker 1>sncy development, and so it required a you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>bit of patience over that stretch, but it was I

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<v Speaker 1>think a very foundational period for me to just have

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<v Speaker 1>build that experience in the markets. So how do these

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<v Speaker 1>differences between being an economist and a researcher versus someone

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<v Speaker 1>who has to execute on theory. How do the difference

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<v Speaker 1>is manifest in your day to day You know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a great question. I think the first thing that would

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<v Speaker 1>come to mind there is that I think when you

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<v Speaker 1>are a researcher or a theorist or an analyst, and

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<v Speaker 1>you're not putting money to work, it's a lot easier

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<v Speaker 1>to be an ideologue. And when you are an investor,

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<v Speaker 1>you have to learn how to have a philosophy but

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<v Speaker 1>remain flexible, be willing to be proven wrong in real

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<v Speaker 1>time and know when you're actually proven wrong um, and

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<v Speaker 1>being willing to know when you're not being proven wrong

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<v Speaker 1>and when the payoff is still coming, and to not

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<v Speaker 1>be so dogmatic. And I think that's a lesson that

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<v Speaker 1>value investors have learned repeatedly over the past. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>really since the global financial crisis on, I think there

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<v Speaker 1>was an assumption that value is always is going to

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<v Speaker 1>come back any second now, and I think people have

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<v Speaker 1>had to reevaluate how they think about things. Huh. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I like that description. The feedback loop is so much

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<v Speaker 1>more rapid in practice. In theory you never are bitten

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<v Speaker 1>by the seeds that you plant, but in actual practice

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<v Speaker 1>you find out very quickly. Are you right wrong? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, Barry, I've been spending a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>time reading about decision making. So I think a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of folks have read Anti Duke book on on Thinking

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<v Speaker 1>and Bets, and I think that perspective of don't evaluate

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<v Speaker 1>the outcome, evaluate how you're making your decision the process.

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<v Speaker 1>That's something I've learned as a practitioner, not so much

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<v Speaker 1>as a as a theorist. She starts the book, if

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<v Speaker 1>I remember, with the story of do you go for

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<v Speaker 1>it on fourth down? And loves that story. That was

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<v Speaker 1>a very It's such a perfiximation of good process, bad outcome.

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<v Speaker 1>Over time that wins, but you lost that one game

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<v Speaker 1>that people can't get past that. So let's talk a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit about morning Stars history. They're in Chicago. I

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<v Speaker 1>know of them from their mutual fund reading business. Tell

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<v Speaker 1>us a bit about your association with the firm so

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<v Speaker 1>Um morning Star actually has a really rich history. And

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<v Speaker 1>to hear Joe and Suada our founder hell it Um,

0:12:09.840 --> 0:12:11.160
<v Speaker 1>there was a bit of you know, kind of an

0:12:11.240 --> 0:12:15.040
<v Speaker 1>entrepreneurial spirit. He wanted to be an entrepreneurial UM. He

0:12:15.240 --> 0:12:19.040
<v Speaker 1>was in the investing world and he was intrigued by

0:12:19.160 --> 0:12:23.199
<v Speaker 1>Warren Buffett, and he was looking for kind of that

0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:27.720
<v Speaker 1>market opportunity and he found it in the mutual fund space. Now,

0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:30.840
<v Speaker 1>as he tells it, the mutual funds space was a

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:33.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty nascent space in the early nineteen eighties. It's not

0:12:34.000 --> 0:12:36.960
<v Speaker 1>like it is today where mutual funds are ubiquitous, and

0:12:37.000 --> 0:12:40.480
<v Speaker 1>he saw it as a really positive good thing for

0:12:40.520 --> 0:12:45.559
<v Speaker 1>the individual investor to have access to these top money managers. UM.

0:12:45.559 --> 0:12:48.080
<v Speaker 1>But he found that morning Star was making a lot

0:12:48.120 --> 0:12:51.240
<v Speaker 1>of or excuse me, individual investors were making decisions based

0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:53.840
<v Speaker 1>solely on on trailing returns, which is we all know

0:12:53.920 --> 0:12:57.760
<v Speaker 1>it's not a good investing strategy. So he founds the

0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:01.680
<v Speaker 1>company in the early nineteen eighties. His focus is on

0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:07.280
<v Speaker 1>mutual funds, providing data, providing analysis, and generally helping individual

0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 1>investors have better outcomes. And so that general sense of

0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 1>empowering investor success is the same mentality that Morningstar has

0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:18.640
<v Speaker 1>now taken and its research to e t s, to

0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:24.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, individual stocks, to credits. UM, it's software, it's data,

0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:27.000
<v Speaker 1>and of course it's Investment management group. When did the

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:30.439
<v Speaker 1>investment management saw to the business begin. There's different kind

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:33.119
<v Speaker 1>of histories to different parts of it. The managed portfolio

0:13:33.160 --> 0:13:36.880
<v Speaker 1>business began in two thousand one, but we've had consulting arms.

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:40.319
<v Speaker 1>We acquired Ibbotson, which has its own rich history, and

0:13:40.360 --> 0:13:43.600
<v Speaker 1>then we also have global groups UM outside the U

0:13:43.720 --> 0:13:46.240
<v Speaker 1>S And Sydney and London and in other places that

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:49.320
<v Speaker 1>we've added to the mix over the years. So about

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:53.760
<v Speaker 1>halfway through the history, really full bore asset management that's

0:13:54.280 --> 0:13:57.280
<v Speaker 1>is introduced, which kind of answers the question, Hey, why

0:13:57.320 --> 0:14:00.160
<v Speaker 1>would a research from new to CEE? I Oh, but

0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 1>really it's much more than a research front, that's right.

0:14:02.520 --> 0:14:04.880
<v Speaker 1>That's right. So it's for the asset management business. And

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:07.880
<v Speaker 1>in fact, there are four CIOs in the business. There's

0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:11.120
<v Speaker 1>one there's one for each region. So I sit in Chicago,

0:14:11.600 --> 0:14:14.800
<v Speaker 1>I have a colleague in London and one in Asia

0:14:14.840 --> 0:14:17.199
<v Speaker 1>pac Um, and then we have a global c IO

0:14:17.320 --> 0:14:20.800
<v Speaker 1>who we report into, who sits in London. So when

0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:24.720
<v Speaker 1>did Morning Star acquire Ibbotson? Because I interviewed Roger Ibbotson,

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:30.920
<v Speaker 1>I want to say something like that. So two, yeah,

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 1>I didn't realize that Associates was part of morning Star

0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:36.760
<v Speaker 1>at the time, right, so now it's all kind of

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:39.080
<v Speaker 1>folded together. What we what we did is we had

0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:41.720
<v Speaker 1>these separate strands, these separate capabilities, and there was an

0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:43.720
<v Speaker 1>effort to think about what do we want to look

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:46.600
<v Speaker 1>like globally as one cohesive unit. And so we've pulled

0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:50.880
<v Speaker 1>together as an asset manager. Huh. So you do mutual funds,

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:55.440
<v Speaker 1>traditional neutral funds, you do uh, E t fs? What

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:58.720
<v Speaker 1>about bonds and fixed income? So what we do is

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:02.400
<v Speaker 1>we have the individ dual security portfolios. We have our

0:15:02.440 --> 0:15:05.640
<v Speaker 1>own mutual funds that we use within our model portfolios,

0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:07.760
<v Speaker 1>and then we have model portfolios that rely on e

0:15:07.880 --> 0:15:10.520
<v Speaker 1>t f s from third parties UM, and we mixed

0:15:10.520 --> 0:15:12.880
<v Speaker 1>the two together as well as kind of an active

0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:17.120
<v Speaker 1>passive approach. Our fixed income exposure right now is through

0:15:17.480 --> 0:15:19.840
<v Speaker 1>third parties, so we'll buy e t f s or

0:15:19.880 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 1>we will use subadvisors. So if someone else is doing it,

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 1>it's an expensive Why do you want to recreate that wheel?

0:15:26.800 --> 0:15:29.920
<v Speaker 1>What we're actually focused on is these model portfolios that

0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:33.880
<v Speaker 1>we're managing, these multi asset financial solutions UM. And you know,

0:15:33.920 --> 0:15:35.960
<v Speaker 1>this is an area of expertise something that we've been

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:37.920
<v Speaker 1>doing for more than twenty years, and what we're doing

0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:40.600
<v Speaker 1>now is thinking about how do we want to power

0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:43.800
<v Speaker 1>those model portfolios, and so that's where the mutual funds

0:15:43.840 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 1>come in. In In fact, for a long time we used

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:49.000
<v Speaker 1>third party mutual funds. It's an area of expertise for Morning,

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:51.400
<v Speaker 1>so are selecting those mutual funds and when we found that,

0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:54.040
<v Speaker 1>we just wanted to try to reduce the layers of costs.

0:15:54.120 --> 0:15:55.840
<v Speaker 1>When you're owning a bunch of mutual funds, you have

0:15:55.880 --> 0:15:59.400
<v Speaker 1>all the ancillary expenses built into those expense ratios. So

0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:01.240
<v Speaker 1>if we could take what we thought were best to

0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:04.360
<v Speaker 1>breed thinkers and put them within our mutual funds, we

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:06.480
<v Speaker 1>could cut down on the layers of costs, and that's

0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>in fact what we did. So if you guys are

0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:12.320
<v Speaker 1>driving the creation and exactly what these funds look like,

0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:15.880
<v Speaker 1>how involved have you gotten in thematic investing? Is that

0:16:16.000 --> 0:16:19.040
<v Speaker 1>something that's significant. So a big part of who we

0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:23.120
<v Speaker 1>are is our global research platform where we're covering you know,

0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:26.160
<v Speaker 1>equities any which way you can slice them globally in

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:28.600
<v Speaker 1>the same thing on the fixed income side. So what

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:32.720
<v Speaker 1>our Capital Markets i P really is is looking at

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:35.960
<v Speaker 1>what are the fundamental drivers of these asset classes and

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:38.720
<v Speaker 1>how do we think about them from evaluation perspective? What

0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 1>do we think of them on a prospective basis, and

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:43.000
<v Speaker 1>so you can think of that maybe I guess as

0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>thematic we're sometimes focused on very narrow areas like a

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:50.080
<v Speaker 1>country or a sector. UM. We also have the ability

0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:53.960
<v Speaker 1>within our mutual funds to create UM equity sleeves, so

0:16:54.040 --> 0:16:57.520
<v Speaker 1>individual stocks that represent the opportunity and we would do

0:16:57.600 --> 0:16:59.080
<v Speaker 1>that when we think the e t F is too

0:16:59.120 --> 0:17:01.720
<v Speaker 1>expensive or we think the e t F isn't actually

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:04.679
<v Speaker 1>capturing what we think is the opportunity UM, So we

0:17:04.760 --> 0:17:07.439
<v Speaker 1>have that embedded in our mutual fense as well. The

0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 1>past two decades has seen a giant rise in alternatives.

0:17:11.960 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 1>What do you look at in that space? How do

0:17:13.640 --> 0:17:17.040
<v Speaker 1>you think about private equity, venture capital, or even head

0:17:17.080 --> 0:17:21.119
<v Speaker 1>funds within alternatives. We actually have a pretty rich history

0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:24.199
<v Speaker 1>there and we've been managing an absolute return portfolio for

0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:28.159
<v Speaker 1>a long time, but our focus and alternatives UM, we

0:17:28.240 --> 0:17:29.639
<v Speaker 1>spent a lot of time thinking about what do we

0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:31.840
<v Speaker 1>want to do with this space? What you know, what's

0:17:31.880 --> 0:17:34.919
<v Speaker 1>different that we could get with alternatives from stocks and

0:17:34.960 --> 0:17:37.760
<v Speaker 1>from bonds, And what we landed on was a focus

0:17:37.800 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>on identifying strategies that are not driven by the same

0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:44.960
<v Speaker 1>factors that drive equity returns or you know, bond markets,

0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:48.520
<v Speaker 1>and focusing on strategies that have had limited draw down.

0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:51.600
<v Speaker 1>So our focus has been selecting these third party strategies

0:17:51.920 --> 0:17:54.679
<v Speaker 1>that we think are somewhat predictable so that we can

0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:58.000
<v Speaker 1>use them have a role in portfolio and also um

0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:01.000
<v Speaker 1>an alternative to what we have with and fixed income

0:18:01.000 --> 0:18:04.520
<v Speaker 1>and equities. So we have a merger arbitrage strategy, we

0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 1>have a convertible arbitrage strategy. We have a strategy would

0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:10.399
<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't necessarily classified as global macro. It's kind of

0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:13.199
<v Speaker 1>a fund of funds approach with different models embedded in it.

0:18:13.680 --> 0:18:17.480
<v Speaker 1>And actually that that's suite. That collection of strategies, which

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:20.320
<v Speaker 1>is in the morning Star Alternatives fund, is where a

0:18:20.320 --> 0:18:23.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of our portfolio managers were turning to at the

0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:25.639
<v Speaker 1>end of last year when you know, fixed income is

0:18:25.680 --> 0:18:30.119
<v Speaker 1>so poor on a prospective basis, equity valuations are really high,

0:18:30.440 --> 0:18:33.520
<v Speaker 1>and so alternatives are alternatives haven't been positive, but they

0:18:33.560 --> 0:18:36.440
<v Speaker 1>have lost a lot less than even short data bonds,

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.520
<v Speaker 1>So it's been a good ballast for us in this environment. Yeah,

0:18:39.560 --> 0:18:43.080
<v Speaker 1>down five percent is better than down right, that's a

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:45.720
<v Speaker 1>that's a huge difference. So let me stay with the

0:18:45.760 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 1>concept of not quite alternatives, but different way of thinking

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:54.680
<v Speaker 1>about investing. What are your thoughts on things like personalization

0:18:54.760 --> 0:18:59.560
<v Speaker 1>and direct index in Yeah, so personalization is portfolio managers,

0:18:59.560 --> 0:19:01.360
<v Speaker 1>and I was a portfolio manager for a long time.

0:19:01.400 --> 0:19:03.920
<v Speaker 1>You really have your head down, your focus on your strategies.

0:19:04.200 --> 0:19:06.080
<v Speaker 1>So I put my head up as a c I oh,

0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:08.000
<v Speaker 1>I get a vision of the broader picture, and I

0:19:08.040 --> 0:19:10.560
<v Speaker 1>start hearing a lot about personalization, and I don't know

0:19:10.600 --> 0:19:13.320
<v Speaker 1>what people are talking about, frankly, um, and I ended

0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:16.000
<v Speaker 1>up presenting on this at the morning Star conference this spring,

0:19:16.000 --> 0:19:17.359
<v Speaker 1>and so I spent a lot of time trying to

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:19.879
<v Speaker 1>understand it. And if you don't mind, let me give

0:19:19.920 --> 0:19:22.040
<v Speaker 1>you my understanding how I came about to how I

0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:25.439
<v Speaker 1>see it. Um. If you were like me and you

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:30.040
<v Speaker 1>spent your high school wandering Blockbuster looking for something that

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:32.359
<v Speaker 1>you wanted to see that was in stock, you found

0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:34.720
<v Speaker 1>yourself in a much different situation in the pandemic where

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:38.080
<v Speaker 1>you're sprawled on your couch and you're just streaming content

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:43.280
<v Speaker 1>through Netflix that is yes, and it's algorithmically chosen, just

0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:46.199
<v Speaker 1>for you or um If you have the privilege of

0:19:46.280 --> 0:19:49.680
<v Speaker 1>driving a Tesla, you don't have the indignity of your

0:19:49.720 --> 0:19:52.280
<v Speaker 1>husband messing with your mirror and your seat. You can

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:55.240
<v Speaker 1>just create a drive out profile and it recognizes you.

0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:58.640
<v Speaker 1>So personalization is not just a marketing message where it's

0:19:58.680 --> 0:20:02.480
<v Speaker 1>dear Martha, you know whatever. It's actually products that are

0:20:02.520 --> 0:20:06.439
<v Speaker 1>built and adjusted for you. And it began outside of

0:20:06.440 --> 0:20:09.480
<v Speaker 1>financial services. Now, when I start to think about financial

0:20:09.520 --> 0:20:12.760
<v Speaker 1>advisory work, I can't think of a place where personalization

0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 1>isn't already something that advisors are wrestling with. They want

0:20:15.640 --> 0:20:18.159
<v Speaker 1>to know their clients, they want to invest according to

0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:20.640
<v Speaker 1>what their clients need, but it's been a hard thing

0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:24.440
<v Speaker 1>to do at scale. The technology just hasn't been there

0:20:24.480 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 1>to be able to customize the way you want, from

0:20:27.040 --> 0:20:31.800
<v Speaker 1>profiling the clients to creating the right strategy, managing that strategy,

0:20:31.840 --> 0:20:35.200
<v Speaker 1>and then you know, a decumulation phase. It really hasn't

0:20:35.200 --> 0:20:38.320
<v Speaker 1>been there for the mass market. And the technology has

0:20:38.359 --> 0:20:40.800
<v Speaker 1>now advanced to the point where a lot of those

0:20:40.840 --> 0:20:44.560
<v Speaker 1>capabilities can be available to a lot of different advisors,

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:48.640
<v Speaker 1>so they can personalize and create customized experiences for clients,

0:20:48.640 --> 0:20:51.680
<v Speaker 1>and that customized experience can be through client profiling, where

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:55.520
<v Speaker 1>the profiling was far more iterative and behaviorally, you know,

0:20:55.800 --> 0:20:59.480
<v Speaker 1>infused with behavioral finance insights. Or it could be the

0:20:59.520 --> 0:21:03.600
<v Speaker 1>actual portfolio where you're taking to standard portfolios smashing them together,

0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:07.240
<v Speaker 1>where you're doing direct indexing. UM. So there's a whole

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:12.439
<v Speaker 1>range of products and developments that are maybe changing the

0:21:12.480 --> 0:21:15.760
<v Speaker 1>way financial advisors can interact with their clients and improving it.

0:21:15.960 --> 0:21:18.840
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk a little bit about what's going on

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:21.879
<v Speaker 1>with mutual funds and ETFs. We talked a little bit

0:21:21.920 --> 0:21:25.440
<v Speaker 1>about starting managing assets in the middle of the financial crisis.

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:28.119
<v Speaker 1>It seems that's kind of the line in the sand.

0:21:28.200 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 1>After that, we saw a pretty robust appreciation for both

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:36.480
<v Speaker 1>passive investing and E t F. Tell us a little

0:21:36.480 --> 0:21:39.520
<v Speaker 1>bit about what you've seen from from morning Star. Yeah, so,

0:21:40.000 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 1>I guess to kick things off, I listened to the

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 1>conversation you had with Eric but tunis the Vanguard Effect,

0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:48.800
<v Speaker 1>and I hadn't read the book, and I enjoyed that conversation.

0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:50.760
<v Speaker 1>I resonated with a lot of the insights, and as

0:21:50.800 --> 0:21:53.560
<v Speaker 1>I think about it from my perspective, I think back

0:21:53.560 --> 0:21:55.480
<v Speaker 1>to a book I read when I started Morning Star

0:21:55.640 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 1>called Piece of the Action by Joe no sarah Um

0:22:00.320 --> 0:22:04.960
<v Speaker 1>and he talks about how the middle class became part

0:22:05.040 --> 0:22:08.320
<v Speaker 1>of the investing class, and he outlines credit cards, and

0:22:08.359 --> 0:22:12.720
<v Speaker 1>he outlines mutual funds and money market funds and retirement accounts.

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:15.080
<v Speaker 1>And the book I read, its version was in the

0:22:15.160 --> 0:22:18.440
<v Speaker 1>nineteen nineties. I think if he had continued it or

0:22:18.520 --> 0:22:20.440
<v Speaker 1>the book were written today, if I were writing the book,

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 1>I would add passive investing and e t F s

0:22:24.119 --> 0:22:28.439
<v Speaker 1>onto those milestones or mile markers where we're really seeing

0:22:28.720 --> 0:22:33.119
<v Speaker 1>great improvement for the average investor. And that's largely because

0:22:33.119 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 1>of the huge impact that passive investing has had on

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:40.720
<v Speaker 1>fees um just giving people a much better um outcome.

0:22:40.800 --> 0:22:43.360
<v Speaker 1>So morning Star Ink research has shown time and time

0:22:43.359 --> 0:22:46.000
<v Speaker 1>again that fees are one of the few very reliable

0:22:46.000 --> 0:22:48.800
<v Speaker 1>predictors of future performance. And I think that's just a

0:22:48.840 --> 0:22:52.320
<v Speaker 1>mathematical reality, right that you just have more if you

0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:55.840
<v Speaker 1>didn't take out a lot at the beginning. So I

0:22:55.840 --> 0:22:59.359
<v Speaker 1>think there's a real benefit to the past of investing

0:22:59.480 --> 0:23:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the ET trend. In terms of kind of what this

0:23:02.600 --> 0:23:05.280
<v Speaker 1>means for active and passive I think there's a lot

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:06.920
<v Speaker 1>to that. I don't know if it's a one for

0:23:07.080 --> 0:23:10.359
<v Speaker 1>one question. But as as an active investor, I can

0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 1>say I'm a big fan of passive investing. So you

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:16.360
<v Speaker 1>brought up something that I have to give Morning Star

0:23:16.440 --> 0:23:19.920
<v Speaker 1>a ton of credit for. Ross Kinnel writes a piece.

0:23:19.960 --> 0:23:25.040
<v Speaker 1>I think it was um about how expense ratios and

0:23:25.119 --> 0:23:29.879
<v Speaker 1>star ratings predict success. And it's a pretty thorough analysis.

0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:33.879
<v Speaker 1>But the too long, didn't read version is, hey, if

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:36.439
<v Speaker 1>you could look at nothing else, just look at expense

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:40.239
<v Speaker 1>ratios and buy the cheapest one. And really, for a

0:23:40.280 --> 0:23:44.840
<v Speaker 1>company that built its reputation on the star rating, that

0:23:45.000 --> 0:23:49.280
<v Speaker 1>was a pretty um risky thing for not only morning

0:23:49.320 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 1>started release, but stand behind and keep it on the

0:23:52.880 --> 0:23:56.080
<v Speaker 1>site for a decade later. A lot of companies would

0:23:56.080 --> 0:23:58.840
<v Speaker 1>have would have buried that. So Morning Star has been

0:23:58.880 --> 0:24:01.639
<v Speaker 1>Morning Star Larify. The research side of Working Star has

0:24:01.680 --> 0:24:04.880
<v Speaker 1>been very clear on that expense case. So there's Russ's Peace,

0:24:04.920 --> 0:24:07.320
<v Speaker 1>and there's many other pieces throughout time that have said,

0:24:07.359 --> 0:24:10.400
<v Speaker 1>as we look at what we think predicts future outcomes,

0:24:10.400 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 1>those expenses are key. It's interesting on the star rating side. Now,

0:24:14.440 --> 0:24:16.680
<v Speaker 1>just for background, at a very high level, the star

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:21.840
<v Speaker 1>rating is looking at risk adjusted returns, right, big difference

0:24:21.840 --> 0:24:25.120
<v Speaker 1>from just returns and relative to category peers. Star rating

0:24:25.200 --> 0:24:27.840
<v Speaker 1>launched very early on around and it's gone through a

0:24:27.880 --> 0:24:31.159
<v Speaker 1>lot of methodology updates over time, and it's a really

0:24:31.240 --> 0:24:35.639
<v Speaker 1>elegant measure of performance and a great starting point. But

0:24:35.760 --> 0:24:38.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't think there's an analyst on the research side

0:24:38.160 --> 0:24:40.080
<v Speaker 1>of the house who would say, look, you have the

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 1>star rating and you're all done. I mean, there's so

0:24:42.560 --> 0:24:44.760
<v Speaker 1>many of them who are spending so much of their

0:24:44.800 --> 0:24:47.679
<v Speaker 1>time analyzing the people in the process and how the

0:24:47.680 --> 0:24:50.720
<v Speaker 1>performance relates to that in the price. There's a lot

0:24:50.800 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 1>more that goes into picking a mutual fund or a

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:56.760
<v Speaker 1>strategy than just taking a look at its historical track record,

0:24:56.760 --> 0:24:59.320
<v Speaker 1>and that to the very least. So let's talk a

0:24:59.359 --> 0:25:02.560
<v Speaker 1>little bit more. Are about active fund managers. One of

0:25:02.600 --> 0:25:06.720
<v Speaker 1>the criticisms that have been leveled by both other active

0:25:06.760 --> 0:25:10.080
<v Speaker 1>managers and academics is, hey, a lot of this is

0:25:10.119 --> 0:25:13.800
<v Speaker 1>just expensive closet indexing. How do you look at that

0:25:13.840 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 1>when you're thinking about either a portfolio you're analyzing or

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:22.080
<v Speaker 1>creating your own portfolio. Within Morningstar Investment management, we are

0:25:22.200 --> 0:25:27.560
<v Speaker 1>very much high conviction investors, probably concentrated. Concentrated portfolios are

0:25:27.560 --> 0:25:30.480
<v Speaker 1>willing to stick our next out and look different than

0:25:30.560 --> 0:25:33.680
<v Speaker 1>a benchmark. And we've learned some hard lessons that way. Um,

0:25:34.000 --> 0:25:35.680
<v Speaker 1>you know is you can imagine we're not going to

0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:38.240
<v Speaker 1>get every call right and that at times can be costly,

0:25:38.560 --> 0:25:40.760
<v Speaker 1>and so we've put more thought on how you size

0:25:40.760 --> 0:25:43.960
<v Speaker 1>into positions or not. But I think closet indexing was

0:25:44.000 --> 0:25:46.359
<v Speaker 1>a big topic when I was in research, and there

0:25:46.400 --> 0:25:48.959
<v Speaker 1>was a lot of work around active share and the like.

0:25:49.160 --> 0:25:51.520
<v Speaker 1>And I think it's still it's always, I think, going

0:25:51.560 --> 0:25:55.720
<v Speaker 1>to be embedded in the community because when you're wrong

0:25:55.840 --> 0:25:58.720
<v Speaker 1>and you weren't close to the benchmark, it's incredibly costly.

0:25:58.760 --> 0:26:01.520
<v Speaker 1>I think Jeremy Grantham caused a career risks or you

0:26:01.520 --> 0:26:03.399
<v Speaker 1>know that kind of thing. So I think it's always

0:26:03.400 --> 0:26:06.880
<v Speaker 1>going to be part of human nature. Um. I wonder,

0:26:06.920 --> 0:26:09.000
<v Speaker 1>and I haven't done any research on this, but I

0:26:09.080 --> 0:26:11.879
<v Speaker 1>wonder if it's been harder over the past few years

0:26:11.920 --> 0:26:15.280
<v Speaker 1>to be a closet index or successfully you know, pretending

0:26:15.359 --> 0:26:18.159
<v Speaker 1>to be active but making the benchmark because of how big,

0:26:18.640 --> 0:26:21.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, the big six companies in the US have been.

0:26:21.200 --> 0:26:23.439
<v Speaker 1>It's been very hard to own them without becoming a

0:26:23.480 --> 0:26:26.680
<v Speaker 1>non diversified mutual fund at index weight. So I wonder

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:28.879
<v Speaker 1>if it's been harder to play that game lately. And

0:26:29.119 --> 0:26:32.800
<v Speaker 1>you talked earlier about how software and technology has progressed.

0:26:32.840 --> 0:26:37.200
<v Speaker 1>It's so easy today to look at concentrated risk active

0:26:37.240 --> 0:26:40.080
<v Speaker 1>share and how different you are from the benchmark, and

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:45.400
<v Speaker 1>whether that difference leads to outperformance or just expensive differences.

0:26:45.520 --> 0:26:48.240
<v Speaker 1>That's so, you're a long term investor, you work with

0:26:48.320 --> 0:26:52.280
<v Speaker 1>clients who themselves have clients that are long term investors.

0:26:52.600 --> 0:26:54.840
<v Speaker 1>What are some of the things you're doing now in

0:26:54.920 --> 0:26:59.600
<v Speaker 1>terms of portfolio construction. How are you thinking about changes

0:26:59.640 --> 0:27:02.960
<v Speaker 1>to be made and opportunities that are either available or

0:27:03.040 --> 0:27:06.720
<v Speaker 1>might have been missed over the past year. So you know,

0:27:06.760 --> 0:27:08.560
<v Speaker 1>as I think about a long term investor, and when

0:27:08.560 --> 0:27:10.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking about a long term investor, I'm thinking of

0:27:10.480 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 1>anyone who doesn't have a need for their assets in

0:27:13.040 --> 0:27:15.240
<v Speaker 1>the next few years. So maybe we're talking about five

0:27:15.320 --> 0:27:18.040
<v Speaker 1>years and out. And you look at this investment climate

0:27:18.080 --> 0:27:21.239
<v Speaker 1>that we've been in, and when we were looking at

0:27:21.240 --> 0:27:24.720
<v Speaker 1>the markets at the end of both US equities and

0:27:24.840 --> 0:27:28.439
<v Speaker 1>US fixed income struck US as extremely expensive. I mentioned

0:27:28.440 --> 0:27:31.040
<v Speaker 1>that we'd put more assets and alternatives than we typically

0:27:31.080 --> 0:27:34.640
<v Speaker 1>had um At this point, markets are a lot more

0:27:34.760 --> 0:27:37.239
<v Speaker 1>attractively priced. I mean, there's a lot of nuance to that,

0:27:37.280 --> 0:27:39.239
<v Speaker 1>but they are more attractively priced. So if I'm a

0:27:39.280 --> 0:27:42.600
<v Speaker 1>long term investor and I'm thinking about what opportunities is

0:27:42.640 --> 0:27:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the market serving up today, my impulse, all else held equal,

0:27:47.160 --> 0:27:50.800
<v Speaker 1>should be to add back to exposures in the portfolio,

0:27:50.880 --> 0:27:54.440
<v Speaker 1>whether that's dollar cost averaging new money, or whether that's

0:27:54.520 --> 0:27:58.240
<v Speaker 1>looking at areas that have held up or been quite defensive,

0:27:58.280 --> 0:27:59.800
<v Speaker 1>which you know, it's hard to find those areas, but

0:27:59.840 --> 0:28:02.080
<v Speaker 1>they are out there, and adding back to more of

0:28:02.119 --> 0:28:05.679
<v Speaker 1>the risky areas. But the caveat there is that I

0:28:05.720 --> 0:28:08.160
<v Speaker 1>think that at least from our vantage point, markets are

0:28:08.200 --> 0:28:11.560
<v Speaker 1>closer to fairly valued than extremely cheap. So it feels

0:28:11.560 --> 0:28:13.880
<v Speaker 1>more like a dollar cost average market to us than

0:28:14.000 --> 0:28:16.720
<v Speaker 1>than anything else. Not picking a bottom quite yet, that's right,

0:28:17.680 --> 0:28:20.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm right there with you. So let's talk a little

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:23.919
<v Speaker 1>bit about the state of today's markets. You said earlier

0:28:24.080 --> 0:28:29.159
<v Speaker 1>valuations were historically high, both stocks and bonds. Late right

0:28:29.200 --> 0:28:32.080
<v Speaker 1>about now, what are we twenty five year average for

0:28:32.160 --> 0:28:36.920
<v Speaker 1>the SMP International stocks look kind of cheap, small cap

0:28:37.000 --> 0:28:40.720
<v Speaker 1>and value were interesting. Just for a little context, we're

0:28:40.720 --> 0:28:44.280
<v Speaker 1>recording this mid October we really we haven't gotten the

0:28:44.360 --> 0:28:46.600
<v Speaker 1>latest pp I. We don't know what earnings look like

0:28:46.720 --> 0:28:51.240
<v Speaker 1>quite just yet, so we're still dealing with the worst

0:28:51.240 --> 0:28:55.520
<v Speaker 1>of and not knowing when the smoke clears, tell us

0:28:55.560 --> 0:28:58.280
<v Speaker 1>what you think about the current environment, what looks intriguing.

0:28:58.600 --> 0:29:01.600
<v Speaker 1>So there are a lot of nuance to today's market.

0:29:01.680 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 1>If we have proprietary models that we you know, update

0:29:05.440 --> 0:29:08.320
<v Speaker 1>with our insight to give us a sense what valuations

0:29:08.360 --> 0:29:11.080
<v Speaker 1>are you know, around the world here at home, and

0:29:11.120 --> 0:29:13.280
<v Speaker 1>when we look at the broad US bond market, the

0:29:13.280 --> 0:29:15.720
<v Speaker 1>broad US stock market there is as attractive as they've

0:29:15.760 --> 0:29:18.800
<v Speaker 1>been since we've been running this program, um since you

0:29:18.800 --> 0:29:23.880
<v Speaker 1>know about time frame. So that's good, but it's not great.

0:29:24.240 --> 0:29:27.680
<v Speaker 1>It's not as though they're pricing in armageddon or anything

0:29:27.720 --> 0:29:33.560
<v Speaker 1>along those lines. So we are still somewhat cautious. We're

0:29:33.600 --> 0:29:36.280
<v Speaker 1>adding back to US equities. That depends on the portfolio,

0:29:36.320 --> 0:29:38.840
<v Speaker 1>of course, but we're adding back to US equities, especially

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:42.640
<v Speaker 1>where we were severely underweight that area. We are interested

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:44.520
<v Speaker 1>in fixed income. But I think a lot of times

0:29:44.520 --> 0:29:47.600
<v Speaker 1>when people talk about valuations, they act almost as if

0:29:47.600 --> 0:29:50.040
<v Speaker 1>someone is in cash and equities, But if you're in

0:29:50.040 --> 0:29:52.720
<v Speaker 1>a multi asset portfolio, and your fixed income is also

0:29:52.800 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 1>getting a lot cheaper. That makes the calculus a little

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:57.800
<v Speaker 1>bit trickier. Um, so maybe you want to be adding

0:29:57.840 --> 0:29:59.800
<v Speaker 1>to your fixed income as well, and that's something that

0:29:59.800 --> 0:30:02.920
<v Speaker 1>we're weighing a bit too. Where is the better opportunity

0:30:03.080 --> 0:30:06.120
<v Speaker 1>versus equities versus fixed income? And I wanted to follow

0:30:06.200 --> 0:30:08.400
<v Speaker 1>up on the point that you made about international because

0:30:08.440 --> 0:30:12.680
<v Speaker 1>those are meaningful positions for us. They've been relatively cheap

0:30:12.880 --> 0:30:15.239
<v Speaker 1>for a long time, but now through our models they

0:30:15.240 --> 0:30:18.520
<v Speaker 1>are looking absolutely cheap, and that means that they're cheap

0:30:18.560 --> 0:30:21.280
<v Speaker 1>relative to the fair value that we've identified for them.

0:30:21.280 --> 0:30:24.160
<v Speaker 1>And so I'm talking about really the nasty stuff here.

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:26.719
<v Speaker 1>I'm talking about China and all the concerns that are

0:30:26.760 --> 0:30:29.080
<v Speaker 1>around it and the sell off that it's had. Talking

0:30:29.120 --> 0:30:31.640
<v Speaker 1>about Germany and it's you know, close and epicent our

0:30:31.760 --> 0:30:35.200
<v Speaker 1>nature to the European energy crisis and the impact that

0:30:35.240 --> 0:30:37.360
<v Speaker 1>the war has had on it. I'm talking about UK

0:30:38.440 --> 0:30:40.800
<v Speaker 1>and the troubles that it has. These are markets that

0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:43.560
<v Speaker 1>are under pressure, and I so wish that markets could

0:30:43.560 --> 0:30:48.320
<v Speaker 1>be absolutely cheap and not be in trouble, But oftentimes

0:30:48.520 --> 0:30:52.560
<v Speaker 1>it's the fact that yes, you're not gonna get stuff

0:30:52.600 --> 0:30:56.400
<v Speaker 1>absolutely cheap unless something at the something went wrong. So

0:30:56.440 --> 0:30:59.240
<v Speaker 1>what we're we're weighing is how much is priced in

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:02.960
<v Speaker 1>it else could go wrong, And so we're sizing very

0:31:03.040 --> 0:31:05.680
<v Speaker 1>carefully in these opportunities, but we can't deny that there's

0:31:05.680 --> 0:31:09.120
<v Speaker 1>a valuation opportunity in them. So things are attractive, but

0:31:09.200 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 1>it's not dirt cheap. And this is why you mentioned

0:31:12.120 --> 0:31:15.600
<v Speaker 1>dollar cost averaging is an attractive strategy. We may not

0:31:15.680 --> 0:31:18.360
<v Speaker 1>be at the bottom, but we're close enough that hey,

0:31:18.400 --> 0:31:20.200
<v Speaker 1>maybe we're a few months earlier, and if we keep

0:31:20.280 --> 0:31:23.200
<v Speaker 1>d c A ing over the next year, you'll catch

0:31:23.760 --> 0:31:27.520
<v Speaker 1>early bottom recovery and then that's whatever the next cycle.

0:31:27.560 --> 0:31:30.640
<v Speaker 1>That's right, I mean as as a as a fundamental investor,

0:31:31.000 --> 0:31:32.800
<v Speaker 1>we're never going to call at the bottom. I know

0:31:32.840 --> 0:31:35.280
<v Speaker 1>a few people who can do that consistently. But what

0:31:35.320 --> 0:31:38.080
<v Speaker 1>we can do is have the right impulse as markets

0:31:38.080 --> 0:31:40.800
<v Speaker 1>are moving, as they're selling off. In general, the right

0:31:40.840 --> 0:31:44.440
<v Speaker 1>impulse should be to add. We know that um as

0:31:44.520 --> 0:31:47.640
<v Speaker 1>markets are rising, the impulse should be maybe holds tighter

0:31:47.760 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 1>or maybe you know, not the adding. And so we're

0:31:50.520 --> 0:31:54.400
<v Speaker 1>trying to find that behavioral discipline you mentioned you're looking

0:31:54.440 --> 0:31:57.680
<v Speaker 1>at fixed income as more attractive than it was. Not

0:31:57.800 --> 0:32:02.160
<v Speaker 1>only has fixed income fallen double digits, pretty substantial, but

0:32:02.320 --> 0:32:06.640
<v Speaker 1>you're now actually being paid when you're a fixed income buyer.

0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:09.640
<v Speaker 1>When we're recording this, the ten year is not too

0:32:09.720 --> 0:32:13.760
<v Speaker 1>far off from ten percent. There's some high quality corporates

0:32:13.800 --> 0:32:17.160
<v Speaker 1>that are about five percent, and you could look around

0:32:17.160 --> 0:32:21.280
<v Speaker 1>and find Muni's running a tax equivalent in the fours

0:32:21.520 --> 0:32:25.600
<v Speaker 1>or higher. Is there now an alternative? Can we no

0:32:25.640 --> 0:32:29.120
<v Speaker 1>longer say it's Tina and it's equities or nothing. I've

0:32:29.120 --> 0:32:32.560
<v Speaker 1>heard it's Tina, it's Tara, and it's Cindy. Um, so

0:32:32.640 --> 0:32:35.400
<v Speaker 1>let's go for so Tina. There is no alternative. Okay,

0:32:35.600 --> 0:32:40.240
<v Speaker 1>there's Tina, there is Tara. There are reasonable alternatives, and

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:44.680
<v Speaker 1>then there is Cindy. Credit is now delivering yield to

0:32:44.760 --> 0:32:48.160
<v Speaker 1>the three sisters, the three sisters of fixed income. So

0:32:48.200 --> 0:32:50.880
<v Speaker 1>the era of you have no choice of but equity

0:32:50.920 --> 0:32:53.520
<v Speaker 1>or nothing is over. The era is over. But the

0:32:53.520 --> 0:32:57.800
<v Speaker 1>bottom line is there is yield in fixed income. And

0:32:57.880 --> 0:33:00.680
<v Speaker 1>even though it's below the most re and cp I,

0:33:00.880 --> 0:33:05.320
<v Speaker 1>the expectation is inflation is going to come down eventually,

0:33:05.800 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 1>and if you're buying a four, you're locked in above inflation.

0:33:09.880 --> 0:33:13.640
<v Speaker 1>Hopefully three percent or maybe even a two handle. So

0:33:13.680 --> 0:33:16.000
<v Speaker 1>as we look at the fixed income landscape, I think

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:19.120
<v Speaker 1>what you're seeing, you're getting paid at the shorter end

0:33:19.160 --> 0:33:21.760
<v Speaker 1>of the curve much more attractively than you had. You're

0:33:21.800 --> 0:33:24.400
<v Speaker 1>not taking on enormous amounts of risk in that area.

0:33:24.480 --> 0:33:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Either from our credit or a rate perspective, we are

0:33:27.320 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 1>looking at high yield. We are looking at areas like

0:33:29.480 --> 0:33:32.920
<v Speaker 1>emerging market debt. The yields are much more attractive, but

0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:36.520
<v Speaker 1>we haven't seen a whole big pickup in defaults, and

0:33:36.640 --> 0:33:39.880
<v Speaker 1>emerging market debt has its own concerns in this type

0:33:39.880 --> 0:33:43.880
<v Speaker 1>of environment, so we're interested. But I think if we're

0:33:43.920 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 1>looking at where is the net dollar going today, I

0:33:46.880 --> 0:33:49.240
<v Speaker 1>think it's going to some of those higher quality segments

0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:51.920
<v Speaker 1>of the fixed income market. End tips. Of course, tips

0:33:51.960 --> 0:33:55.080
<v Speaker 1>have been a disappointment. I think, I right, you would

0:33:55.080 --> 0:33:58.840
<v Speaker 1>think inflation screaming tips are like, yeah, you know, they're

0:33:58.840 --> 0:34:00.480
<v Speaker 1>actually lost a little bit of that. Yeah, and they're

0:34:00.480 --> 0:34:03.600
<v Speaker 1>really showing kind of their sensitivity to real rates. But

0:34:04.080 --> 0:34:07.320
<v Speaker 1>because they've lost ground and because inflation expectations have come

0:34:07.360 --> 0:34:09.359
<v Speaker 1>back down, it's not a bad time to be thinking

0:34:09.360 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 1>about tips for a portfolio. What else can a fund

0:34:13.000 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 1>manager or adviser do to protect a portfolio in the

0:34:16.680 --> 0:34:20.440
<v Speaker 1>face of let's say transitory turns out to be wrong

0:34:20.960 --> 0:34:24.080
<v Speaker 1>and that inflation is persistent for another couple of years.

0:34:24.360 --> 0:34:26.880
<v Speaker 1>What should investors be thinking about the big struggle? And

0:34:26.920 --> 0:34:29.719
<v Speaker 1>so we've been working on that analysis. In fact, we

0:34:29.800 --> 0:34:33.160
<v Speaker 1>originally started analyzing our portfolios for inflation. What we do

0:34:33.360 --> 0:34:35.880
<v Speaker 1>We have our research platform, which is basically defining the

0:34:35.880 --> 0:34:38.920
<v Speaker 1>opportunity set for us based on kind of our viewpoints,

0:34:39.160 --> 0:34:41.560
<v Speaker 1>and then as portfolio managers we get together and we think,

0:34:41.560 --> 0:34:43.120
<v Speaker 1>how do we size this? What do we do with

0:34:43.160 --> 0:34:47.359
<v Speaker 1>this information in a portfolio? And so back in April one,

0:34:47.360 --> 0:34:49.920
<v Speaker 1>we started to think about what would inflation If inflation

0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:52.440
<v Speaker 1>isn't transitory, what would that mean for our portfolios? And

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:54.719
<v Speaker 1>we started running a lot of scenario tests and we

0:34:54.840 --> 0:34:57.680
<v Speaker 1>found that with this value lean that we have the

0:34:57.800 --> 0:35:01.080
<v Speaker 1>energy exposure that we had on a relative basis, our

0:35:01.120 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 1>portfolios should hold up, you know, to the sixties of

0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:07.840
<v Speaker 1>the world. Um. And now what we're thinking about is

0:35:08.520 --> 0:35:12.080
<v Speaker 1>what's going to happen to financial assets of for inflation persists.

0:35:12.280 --> 0:35:15.160
<v Speaker 1>What's going to happen in a stagflationary environment? How do

0:35:15.200 --> 0:35:17.759
<v Speaker 1>you think about these things and how do you size them?

0:35:17.800 --> 0:35:21.319
<v Speaker 1>And you know, in a stagflationary environment, for example, when

0:35:21.320 --> 0:35:23.720
<v Speaker 1>we look at this, we're obviously looking at that nineteen

0:35:23.719 --> 0:35:27.040
<v Speaker 1>seventies nineteen eighties period. There were a few places to

0:35:27.120 --> 0:35:30.879
<v Speaker 1>hide in that environment, commodities energy related being one of them,

0:35:30.880 --> 0:35:32.960
<v Speaker 1>and tips weren't around back then, but you can kind

0:35:32.960 --> 0:35:36.480
<v Speaker 1>of simulate the experience of stagflation those held up. So

0:35:36.560 --> 0:35:38.520
<v Speaker 1>those are the types of assets. Energy has been a

0:35:38.560 --> 0:35:41.200
<v Speaker 1>long time holding for us. It's no longer attractive from

0:35:41.239 --> 0:35:44.359
<v Speaker 1>our valuation, but last a year ago it looked cheap.

0:35:44.480 --> 0:35:46.360
<v Speaker 1>There ago it looked dirt cheap, and so it's paid

0:35:46.400 --> 0:35:50.480
<v Speaker 1>off handsomely and we are slowly edging out of it

0:35:50.640 --> 0:35:54.120
<v Speaker 1>because we're thinking about this range of outcomes, these different environments,

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:56.719
<v Speaker 1>and what can protect in these different the day the

0:35:56.760 --> 0:36:01.440
<v Speaker 1>war in Ukrainians see oil prices get that's right, So

0:36:01.480 --> 0:36:04.560
<v Speaker 1>you don't want to be at peak position size. But

0:36:04.680 --> 0:36:07.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, people have been wondering when does this come

0:36:07.280 --> 0:36:09.839
<v Speaker 1>to an end? Now? For this has gone on much

0:36:09.880 --> 0:36:12.080
<v Speaker 1>longer than people expect, and it looks like it's going

0:36:12.120 --> 0:36:15.640
<v Speaker 1>to go on much longer from here. So that's quite

0:36:15.640 --> 0:36:20.480
<v Speaker 1>a challenge you mentioned value. I feel like value investors

0:36:20.520 --> 0:36:24.200
<v Speaker 1>are the dog that keeps getting kicked. Everybody has been, well,

0:36:24.280 --> 0:36:27.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's been ten years. When does value start

0:36:27.360 --> 0:36:31.319
<v Speaker 1>to outperform growth? The past year, it certainly has done better.

0:36:31.440 --> 0:36:35.279
<v Speaker 1>How are you looking at value as an asset class? Yeah? So,

0:36:35.440 --> 0:36:38.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, when I was in research, there were a

0:36:38.719 --> 0:36:42.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of articles at that time that wrote how superior

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:45.560
<v Speaker 1>value investing was to growth investing um and how it

0:36:45.600 --> 0:36:47.880
<v Speaker 1>always wins out. If you look at over history, value

0:36:47.880 --> 0:36:51.239
<v Speaker 1>always dominates and that should have been a flag that

0:36:51.320 --> 0:36:54.360
<v Speaker 1>maybe values time is done and certainly it has a

0:36:54.400 --> 0:36:56.960
<v Speaker 1>weight chest. Pounding is not a good look from from

0:36:57.239 --> 0:37:00.239
<v Speaker 1>fun managers and researchers. I'm gonna make an know to

0:37:00.320 --> 0:37:03.320
<v Speaker 1>that that's right. And so since then, growth has been dominant.

0:37:03.400 --> 0:37:05.400
<v Speaker 1>I think it's caused a lot of value investors to

0:37:05.440 --> 0:37:07.880
<v Speaker 1>do a lot of introspection. And I think one of

0:37:07.920 --> 0:37:10.799
<v Speaker 1>the takeaways that value investors have had is that valuation

0:37:10.880 --> 0:37:14.400
<v Speaker 1>itself is not a timing indicator. We've had our own

0:37:14.520 --> 0:37:18.520
<v Speaker 1>you know ltc M moment I guess as value investors.

0:37:18.520 --> 0:37:21.560
<v Speaker 1>But I think the very fact that we're talking about

0:37:21.640 --> 0:37:25.520
<v Speaker 1>value investing being dead in the water is really reminiscent

0:37:25.600 --> 0:37:28.239
<v Speaker 1>of the period when value investors were saying growth was

0:37:28.280 --> 0:37:31.399
<v Speaker 1>dead in the water. Um. I think these things run

0:37:31.400 --> 0:37:34.320
<v Speaker 1>in cycles, and I think paying attention to the price

0:37:34.400 --> 0:37:38.680
<v Speaker 1>that you're paying is a valuable strategy, whether you're buying

0:37:38.719 --> 0:37:42.200
<v Speaker 1>a growth company or a value company. David Einhorn was

0:37:42.280 --> 0:37:47.640
<v Speaker 1>speaking at the Robin Hood Investor Conference, and quote he says,

0:37:47.800 --> 0:37:51.279
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if value investing ever comes back. So

0:37:51.360 --> 0:37:54.920
<v Speaker 1>if you're looting for the opposite of value, is always

0:37:54.960 --> 0:37:58.719
<v Speaker 1>going to outperform growth. Well, here's the other side of

0:37:58.760 --> 0:38:00.920
<v Speaker 1>that in an argument. And I I think, and this

0:38:01.000 --> 0:38:04.200
<v Speaker 1>is something we've talked about a lot, the value growth

0:38:04.600 --> 0:38:08.360
<v Speaker 1>fight or narrative value versus growth. I think it's a

0:38:08.400 --> 0:38:10.319
<v Speaker 1>bit of a false narrative. I think you can be

0:38:10.360 --> 0:38:12.440
<v Speaker 1>a growth investor or you can be a value investor

0:38:12.480 --> 0:38:14.839
<v Speaker 1>and care about the price that you're paying for your asset. Hey,

0:38:14.920 --> 0:38:17.040
<v Speaker 1>isn't that what growth at a reasonable price was all

0:38:17.080 --> 0:38:20.400
<v Speaker 1>of the Yeah, yeah, you know, I think the I

0:38:20.400 --> 0:38:23.640
<v Speaker 1>think both strategies have value. It's just a matter of

0:38:23.640 --> 0:38:26.520
<v Speaker 1>whether you're doing fundamental work around the price that you're

0:38:26.520 --> 0:38:28.719
<v Speaker 1>paying or whether you're not. And I don't think that

0:38:28.800 --> 0:38:32.359
<v Speaker 1>belongs to one or the other. Alright, So two last

0:38:32.440 --> 0:38:35.920
<v Speaker 1>questions before I get to my favorite question, and the

0:38:36.000 --> 0:38:39.239
<v Speaker 1>first is, since you began at BLS and worked on

0:38:39.719 --> 0:38:44.360
<v Speaker 1>inflation data, I have to ask about the data dependent FED.

0:38:44.760 --> 0:38:47.440
<v Speaker 1>How does that affect you as a chief investment officer.

0:38:48.000 --> 0:38:53.680
<v Speaker 1>It seems like everybody is hanging on every CPI, margin report, earnings,

0:38:53.719 --> 0:38:57.080
<v Speaker 1>non farm payroll. Everything seems to take on extra weight.

0:38:57.800 --> 0:39:01.920
<v Speaker 1>How do you these days? You with a FED that

0:39:02.080 --> 0:39:04.880
<v Speaker 1>says we're gonna keep hiking until we see the white

0:39:05.000 --> 0:39:09.800
<v Speaker 1>of inflations eyes? You know? Um? I think the one

0:39:10.239 --> 0:39:13.040
<v Speaker 1>takeaway that you can have from this type of environment

0:39:13.480 --> 0:39:16.440
<v Speaker 1>is that it's certainly creating a ton of opportunities, right,

0:39:16.480 --> 0:39:19.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this type of volatility is where you can

0:39:19.520 --> 0:39:22.960
<v Speaker 1>start to make money and markets if you are careful

0:39:23.000 --> 0:39:25.640
<v Speaker 1>and if you're a thoughtful investor. Of course, I have

0:39:25.680 --> 0:39:28.279
<v Speaker 1>opinions on the FED. I think everybody has opinions on

0:39:28.320 --> 0:39:31.480
<v Speaker 1>the FED. Everybody has opinions on the macro environment, and

0:39:31.560 --> 0:39:34.080
<v Speaker 1>it's so tempting to want to just blast them all

0:39:34.080 --> 0:39:38.040
<v Speaker 1>out there. But the reality, right, But the reality is

0:39:38.040 --> 0:39:39.759
<v Speaker 1>it's not going to matter even if I was right,

0:39:39.760 --> 0:39:41.880
<v Speaker 1>which I wouldn't be what do I do about it

0:39:41.920 --> 0:39:44.600
<v Speaker 1>in a portfolio? And so what we're really focusing on

0:39:44.719 --> 0:39:47.920
<v Speaker 1>is that range of outcomes for our investors um and

0:39:47.960 --> 0:39:51.040
<v Speaker 1>thinking about if this then that, or is this priced

0:39:51.040 --> 0:39:53.279
<v Speaker 1>in or is it close enough to being priced in?

0:39:53.360 --> 0:39:56.120
<v Speaker 1>What's the margin of safety? And I think not getting

0:39:56.160 --> 0:39:58.319
<v Speaker 1>wedded to a worldview, and I think that can be

0:39:58.360 --> 0:40:01.400
<v Speaker 1>the danger with a laser focus on the FED and

0:40:01.480 --> 0:40:04.080
<v Speaker 1>on this macro data can be a real destruction. But

0:40:04.200 --> 0:40:07.240
<v Speaker 1>that being said, of course we're watching how inflation develops.

0:40:07.280 --> 0:40:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Of course we're watching how rates develop and and how companies,

0:40:10.719 --> 0:40:14.120
<v Speaker 1>how their fundamentals respond, and getting a sense for how

0:40:14.160 --> 0:40:17.160
<v Speaker 1>pervasive is this environment going to be. I asked you

0:40:17.200 --> 0:40:22.480
<v Speaker 1>earlier about personalization. One of the bigger new innovations that

0:40:22.719 --> 0:40:26.520
<v Speaker 1>made possible by technology is direct indexing. How do you

0:40:26.560 --> 0:40:30.799
<v Speaker 1>guys look at that sort of style of investing. What

0:40:30.840 --> 0:40:34.520
<v Speaker 1>do you think of its role within portfolios or people

0:40:35.000 --> 0:40:38.640
<v Speaker 1>who really want to get very fine tuning in terms

0:40:38.640 --> 0:40:41.920
<v Speaker 1>of tilting towards value or away, tilting to a specific

0:40:42.520 --> 0:40:44.640
<v Speaker 1>UH sector, or being able to work in all the

0:40:44.719 --> 0:40:48.640
<v Speaker 1>various E S G and other thematic screens that you

0:40:48.680 --> 0:40:50.640
<v Speaker 1>can build in too. Direct indow that's right. And so

0:40:50.719 --> 0:40:52.440
<v Speaker 1>for the folks who are a little slow on the

0:40:52.520 --> 0:40:54.400
<v Speaker 1>uptake like I am, and have their heads down in

0:40:54.440 --> 0:40:56.680
<v Speaker 1>their own work, let me offer a definition of direct

0:40:56.680 --> 0:41:00.239
<v Speaker 1>indexing because I certainly needed it. Um direct the next

0:41:00.239 --> 0:41:01.640
<v Speaker 1>thing is something that's been around for a long time.

0:41:01.680 --> 0:41:03.399
<v Speaker 1>It's it's been around in the kind of high net

0:41:03.400 --> 0:41:05.839
<v Speaker 1>worth area of the world. And what it is is

0:41:06.000 --> 0:41:08.160
<v Speaker 1>you have your index, you have your e t F,

0:41:08.640 --> 0:41:11.600
<v Speaker 1>but instead of buying an index fund or an ATF,

0:41:11.760 --> 0:41:14.680
<v Speaker 1>instead you buy a basket of security is optimized to

0:41:15.000 --> 0:41:18.640
<v Speaker 1>track that particular market. And when you own the underlying securities,

0:41:18.640 --> 0:41:21.000
<v Speaker 1>you can as to your point and bed your preferences.

0:41:21.320 --> 0:41:24.160
<v Speaker 1>And you can also do tax management and improve your

0:41:24.160 --> 0:41:27.680
<v Speaker 1>outcomes after tax UM and as you think about we

0:41:27.680 --> 0:41:32.160
<v Speaker 1>were talking about the development the rise of passive investing UM,

0:41:32.200 --> 0:41:34.080
<v Speaker 1>and I was talking about the piece of the action

0:41:34.120 --> 0:41:37.000
<v Speaker 1>and these markers and time where we've seen middle class

0:41:37.400 --> 0:41:40.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, get a big win. I think direct indexing

0:41:40.600 --> 0:41:43.720
<v Speaker 1>is another mile marker on that journey because it's another

0:41:43.840 --> 0:41:47.200
<v Speaker 1>way to substantially or I guess maybe to say, to

0:41:47.360 --> 0:41:51.520
<v Speaker 1>quantitatively tangibly improve outcomes for investors. When we run our

0:41:51.560 --> 0:41:55.160
<v Speaker 1>own tax alpha study, at morning Star Investment Management, we

0:41:55.280 --> 0:41:57.480
<v Speaker 1>found that the tax alpha that could be added on

0:41:57.520 --> 0:42:00.640
<v Speaker 1>an annualized basis, of course it ranges based on environment,

0:42:00.680 --> 0:42:03.520
<v Speaker 1>but was anywhere from forty basis points to somewhere around

0:42:03.560 --> 0:42:06.240
<v Speaker 1>three hundred. I mean, when we think about the huge

0:42:06.320 --> 0:42:09.120
<v Speaker 1>we think about especially if if you're sitting on things

0:42:09.200 --> 0:42:13.920
<v Speaker 1>like founder stock or low cost inherited stock joint. It

0:42:14.200 --> 0:42:16.400
<v Speaker 1>makes the difference. I mean, think about the obsession we

0:42:16.440 --> 0:42:19.319
<v Speaker 1>have expense ratios. It's ten basis points cheaper, sign me up.

0:42:20.960 --> 0:42:24.239
<v Speaker 1>And what's also really interesting about the spaces to the

0:42:24.280 --> 0:42:26.560
<v Speaker 1>point that you raise a lot of folks will have

0:42:26.600 --> 0:42:29.520
<v Speaker 1>these bizarre portfolios. Where have this company's stock, I inherited it,

0:42:29.560 --> 0:42:30.759
<v Speaker 1>this thing. I don't know what to do with it,

0:42:30.800 --> 0:42:33.320
<v Speaker 1>but I know it's sound a good portfolio. Direct indexing

0:42:33.320 --> 0:42:36.320
<v Speaker 1>allows you to smartly, you know, from a tax per sspective,

0:42:36.360 --> 0:42:39.120
<v Speaker 1>transition that into a more well rounded portfolio. So I

0:42:39.120 --> 0:42:41.560
<v Speaker 1>think it's really powerful. It's not for everyone, it's not

0:42:41.680 --> 0:42:44.480
<v Speaker 1>for every dollar size, but it's much more available to

0:42:44.520 --> 0:42:47.359
<v Speaker 1>the mass market than it is that the folks over

0:42:47.440 --> 0:42:50.000
<v Speaker 1>to oh shown us in asset management did a study

0:42:50.239 --> 0:42:55.200
<v Speaker 1>and found in because you had this thirt woosh down

0:42:55.280 --> 0:42:59.279
<v Speaker 1>during the pandemic and then a very quick recovery. They

0:42:59.320 --> 0:43:04.000
<v Speaker 1>were seeing direct index portfolios that we're doing four hundred

0:43:04.000 --> 0:43:07.000
<v Speaker 1>and five hundred basis points of tax less harvesting, which

0:43:07.040 --> 0:43:08.880
<v Speaker 1>is just astonishing. I mean, I love it, and I

0:43:08.880 --> 0:43:11.200
<v Speaker 1>think about a market environment like this, and I know

0:43:11.360 --> 0:43:14.719
<v Speaker 1>you're interested in behavioral finance. We are as well. And

0:43:14.760 --> 0:43:16.719
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that I think can really engender

0:43:16.800 --> 0:43:19.960
<v Speaker 1>good behaviors if you have dual mandates, so your focus

0:43:20.000 --> 0:43:23.719
<v Speaker 1>isn't just my opically total return, but indirect indexing world.

0:43:23.719 --> 0:43:26.480
<v Speaker 1>It's yeah, I want this exposure, but I'm also getting

0:43:26.480 --> 0:43:29.120
<v Speaker 1>all these tax benefits when the market sells off. So

0:43:29.160 --> 0:43:30.959
<v Speaker 1>you have this, it will pick me up when things

0:43:30.960 --> 0:43:33.080
<v Speaker 1>are going in the wrong direction. Listen to a year

0:43:33.160 --> 0:43:37.680
<v Speaker 1>like two. If you have other appreciated stock that you

0:43:37.680 --> 0:43:39.880
<v Speaker 1>want to sell, you should be killing it on the

0:43:39.920 --> 0:43:43.520
<v Speaker 1>tax tax less harvesting, even if you're not doing directing.

0:43:43.640 --> 0:43:46.279
<v Speaker 1>That's right, but that just makes it even even better.

0:43:46.560 --> 0:43:48.439
<v Speaker 1>So I know I only have you for a limited

0:43:48.440 --> 0:43:51.600
<v Speaker 1>amount of time. Let me jump to my favorite questions

0:43:51.600 --> 0:43:55.359
<v Speaker 1>that I ask all my guests, starting with tell us,

0:43:55.400 --> 0:43:57.839
<v Speaker 1>what's been keeping you entertaining these days? What were you

0:43:58.040 --> 0:44:01.319
<v Speaker 1>streaming during lockdown? Yes, so you know this is the thing.

0:44:01.360 --> 0:44:04.879
<v Speaker 1>With all the content, Barry, I have become really hard

0:44:04.920 --> 0:44:07.840
<v Speaker 1>to please. So I'll be watching a show imagine Ozarks

0:44:07.920 --> 0:44:11.160
<v Speaker 1>or imagine recently House of Dragons. As soon as it

0:44:11.160 --> 0:44:14.000
<v Speaker 1>starts to lag, I'm gone. I have no patience for

0:44:14.120 --> 0:44:15.839
<v Speaker 1>shows and constant the way us doe. But I am

0:44:15.920 --> 0:44:18.440
<v Speaker 1>watching and I haven't yet turned on. It is a

0:44:18.440 --> 0:44:22.440
<v Speaker 1>show called Endeavor. It's a British detective show. It's not

0:44:22.520 --> 0:44:24.600
<v Speaker 1>quite as grizzly. I don't think anything's grizzly with a

0:44:24.640 --> 0:44:27.440
<v Speaker 1>British accent. So I enjoyed myself. It keeps me on

0:44:27.520 --> 0:44:30.600
<v Speaker 1>my toes. So that's what I'm watching. That sounds really interesting.

0:44:30.600 --> 0:44:33.000
<v Speaker 1>In fact, I know everybody kind of went through all

0:44:33.040 --> 0:44:35.239
<v Speaker 1>the big ones like the Crown and whatever you but

0:44:35.360 --> 0:44:38.279
<v Speaker 1>I found myself during lockdown working my way through a

0:44:38.320 --> 0:44:42.000
<v Speaker 1>bunch of French, a bunch of British shows for that

0:44:42.040 --> 0:44:44.680
<v Speaker 1>exact reason. It's like, you have to work, you have

0:44:44.680 --> 0:44:46.560
<v Speaker 1>to pay attention, you have to pay attention, and that's

0:44:46.560 --> 0:44:48.560
<v Speaker 1>a good thing. The thing with all the streaming is

0:44:48.600 --> 0:44:51.040
<v Speaker 1>I'll have it on in the background and ten minutes

0:44:51.080 --> 0:44:55.480
<v Speaker 1>later I not know, right, I totally get that. Tell

0:44:55.560 --> 0:44:59.280
<v Speaker 1>us about your mentors who helped to shape your career. Okay,

0:44:59.280 --> 0:45:02.160
<v Speaker 1>So I say the US, knowing that she will hate

0:45:02.320 --> 0:45:04.759
<v Speaker 1>that I'm raising her name, but um, and I don't

0:45:04.760 --> 0:45:06.479
<v Speaker 1>even know if she knows that this was the case

0:45:06.520 --> 0:45:08.279
<v Speaker 1>for me. But when I joined the research group, I

0:45:08.320 --> 0:45:10.560
<v Speaker 1>was of course new to finance. I was new to investing,

0:45:11.000 --> 0:45:14.719
<v Speaker 1>and I was you know, I'm a very very deliberate,

0:45:14.840 --> 0:45:17.160
<v Speaker 1>diligent person. So I'm working nights and weekends trying to

0:45:17.200 --> 0:45:20.360
<v Speaker 1>discover the morning Star voice, which is where you explain

0:45:20.520 --> 0:45:24.080
<v Speaker 1>complex things and very simple and accessible ways, and also

0:45:24.239 --> 0:45:26.200
<v Speaker 1>just learning how to tell a good fund from a

0:45:26.239 --> 0:45:29.680
<v Speaker 1>bad friend. And Christine Benz, who is a big name

0:45:29.719 --> 0:45:32.280
<v Speaker 1>at morning Star, was on that team, a senior team member,

0:45:32.320 --> 0:45:34.760
<v Speaker 1>and the edits that she would give me were so

0:45:35.760 --> 0:45:38.319
<v Speaker 1>robust and helpful. I would get pages of edits, which

0:45:38.320 --> 0:45:40.040
<v Speaker 1>of course doesn't sound like a good thing, but it

0:45:40.160 --> 0:45:42.480
<v Speaker 1>was a really good thing because it it helps me

0:45:42.560 --> 0:45:45.759
<v Speaker 1>understand things so much better. And she she had a

0:45:45.840 --> 0:45:48.640
<v Speaker 1>number of standing slots on on TV shows, and when

0:45:48.680 --> 0:45:50.439
<v Speaker 1>she wouldn't be able to make it, she would ask

0:45:50.440 --> 0:45:52.120
<v Speaker 1>if I would want to do it in her place,

0:45:52.160 --> 0:45:54.480
<v Speaker 1>and it was just just the kind of endorsement and

0:45:54.560 --> 0:45:57.880
<v Speaker 1>encouragement that I needed. And I think that's kind of

0:45:57.920 --> 0:46:01.240
<v Speaker 1>a special thing about morning Star, this idea that nobody's

0:46:01.280 --> 0:46:05.480
<v Speaker 1>too big to help someone else grow in their career. Huh.

0:46:05.520 --> 0:46:07.680
<v Speaker 1>I love that answer, And I'm gonna do something I

0:46:07.680 --> 0:46:11.360
<v Speaker 1>don't normally do in this section, which is a follow

0:46:11.440 --> 0:46:15.360
<v Speaker 1>up question. We were talking earlier before we started recording.

0:46:15.960 --> 0:46:19.759
<v Speaker 1>We did the sound test. You said your voice was

0:46:19.760 --> 0:46:23.600
<v Speaker 1>your being, of your existence, your soft voice, and that

0:46:23.719 --> 0:46:27.359
<v Speaker 1>led to a whole other discussion. Tell us a little

0:46:27.360 --> 0:46:31.359
<v Speaker 1>bit about working with Christine and other women at morning Star,

0:46:31.800 --> 0:46:35.360
<v Speaker 1>and why is the soft voice so difficult in a

0:46:35.400 --> 0:46:37.840
<v Speaker 1>field like finance for a woman. I think one of

0:46:37.880 --> 0:46:40.040
<v Speaker 1>the things people look at. And maybe this is broadly

0:46:40.080 --> 0:46:42.600
<v Speaker 1>in business, and maybe it's you know, specific to finance.

0:46:42.640 --> 0:46:44.879
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. I'd imagine it's broader, but a very

0:46:44.960 --> 0:46:49.560
<v Speaker 1>commanding presence. I think the visualization and the audio of

0:46:49.600 --> 0:46:53.600
<v Speaker 1>a commanding presence is what captures attention. And as a woman,

0:46:53.680 --> 0:46:56.480
<v Speaker 1>I have a softer voice. I'm a smaller person. You're

0:46:56.520 --> 0:47:00.279
<v Speaker 1>relatively sure, that's right, So I don't have that that

0:47:00.640 --> 0:47:04.759
<v Speaker 1>commanding kind of leader of a clan um looked to

0:47:04.800 --> 0:47:07.440
<v Speaker 1>me and um, I think that might not be an

0:47:07.440 --> 0:47:09.640
<v Speaker 1>issue for other people, but it certainly can get in

0:47:09.719 --> 0:47:11.440
<v Speaker 1>my head from time to time. And I think what

0:47:11.600 --> 0:47:14.560
<v Speaker 1>was so what has been powerful about morning Stars? There

0:47:14.560 --> 0:47:17.120
<v Speaker 1>have been a lot of women at morning Star who

0:47:17.160 --> 0:47:20.279
<v Speaker 1>have had a lot of influence who don't necessarily fit

0:47:20.320 --> 0:47:23.120
<v Speaker 1>a profile UM. And I think, actually, as I think

0:47:23.160 --> 0:47:25.000
<v Speaker 1>back to my days and research, there are a number

0:47:25.000 --> 0:47:30.880
<v Speaker 1>of women who, um, we're really substantive, thoughtful people who um,

0:47:30.920 --> 0:47:33.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, looked like me or had features that I had,

0:47:33.640 --> 0:47:35.880
<v Speaker 1>And I think that was a real source of encouragement.

0:47:35.920 --> 0:47:37.920
<v Speaker 1>Now as you move into the investing world, there tends

0:47:37.920 --> 0:47:40.520
<v Speaker 1>to be fewer women, and that's something that of course

0:47:40.560 --> 0:47:43.480
<v Speaker 1>everyone's wrestling with. How do we kind of make people

0:47:43.560 --> 0:47:47.120
<v Speaker 1>feel like, um, they are welcome to climb any invisible

0:47:47.120 --> 0:47:50.320
<v Speaker 1>barrier that they might see because their voices is valued.

0:47:50.920 --> 0:47:56.879
<v Speaker 1>It's changing, although it takes a generation really have substantial

0:47:56.880 --> 0:48:00.000
<v Speaker 1>invisible change. But there's no doubt that there are more

0:48:00.000 --> 0:48:03.520
<v Speaker 1>women and senior listen your chief investment officers at morning Store.

0:48:03.560 --> 0:48:07.080
<v Speaker 1>There are lots of other very senior women at at

0:48:07.160 --> 0:48:11.320
<v Speaker 1>very large firms. I don't think women are as visible

0:48:11.360 --> 0:48:15.680
<v Speaker 1>as men. But it's clearly there's there's certainly momentum, and

0:48:15.880 --> 0:48:18.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's not a thing on its own, but

0:48:18.160 --> 0:48:19.880
<v Speaker 1>we do want to make sure that we're getting the

0:48:19.960 --> 0:48:24.120
<v Speaker 1>very best from the whole cross section of populations. Diversity

0:48:24.120 --> 0:48:27.560
<v Speaker 1>of thought leads to better no doubt about that. Let's

0:48:27.680 --> 0:48:30.879
<v Speaker 1>go to everybody's favorite question, talk about books. What are

0:48:30.920 --> 0:48:34.040
<v Speaker 1>some of your favorite and what are you reading right now? Okay,

0:48:34.040 --> 0:48:37.600
<v Speaker 1>so favorite books? And I'm thinking explicitly. I'm a big reader,

0:48:37.640 --> 0:48:40.280
<v Speaker 1>I think, but I'm thinking explicitly from an investment standpoint.

0:48:40.480 --> 0:48:42.800
<v Speaker 1>I think one of the books that I really loved

0:48:43.040 --> 0:48:46.600
<v Speaker 1>was Missing to Leads Fooled by Randomness. I love that

0:48:46.600 --> 0:48:49.040
<v Speaker 1>book partly because not I read it. I don't know,

0:48:49.080 --> 0:48:51.839
<v Speaker 1>maybe five six, seven years ago. And at the time,

0:48:51.880 --> 0:48:54.279
<v Speaker 1>I've been writing a lot of commentary where I'd say

0:48:54.360 --> 0:48:56.280
<v Speaker 1>what happened in the markets that month or that quarter,

0:48:56.680 --> 0:48:59.080
<v Speaker 1>and then I would think, I'm reading everyone else's commentary

0:48:59.120 --> 0:49:00.680
<v Speaker 1>and they said, and this has because of X, Y

0:49:00.680 --> 0:49:02.440
<v Speaker 1>and Z, and I would think it is I mean,

0:49:02.480 --> 0:49:05.440
<v Speaker 1>those things both happened. The market did that, and that happened,

0:49:05.440 --> 0:49:08.879
<v Speaker 1>but did one cause that? And they seemed as such

0:49:08.920 --> 0:49:12.319
<v Speaker 1>a brilliant job of clarifying the fact that a lot

0:49:12.360 --> 0:49:14.879
<v Speaker 1>of the things that we build narratives out of are

0:49:15.040 --> 0:49:17.840
<v Speaker 1>just noise. And I think that's a really important and

0:49:18.280 --> 0:49:19.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, the kind of truth that we should hold

0:49:19.960 --> 0:49:22.239
<v Speaker 1>on to a specialized active investors and we look for

0:49:22.239 --> 0:49:24.960
<v Speaker 1>those stories. Um that a lot of it is actually

0:49:25.000 --> 0:49:27.640
<v Speaker 1>quite frankly noise. So I love that answer. What other

0:49:27.680 --> 0:49:30.319
<v Speaker 1>books are you? Okay, so I'm reading right now, I'm

0:49:30.320 --> 0:49:33.680
<v Speaker 1>reading The Bond King. I'm reading a book called UM,

0:49:33.800 --> 0:49:36.279
<v Speaker 1>How to Have a Good Day, which is about how

0:49:36.360 --> 0:49:40.040
<v Speaker 1>to prioritize and and organize your day so you get

0:49:40.040 --> 0:49:43.160
<v Speaker 1>that satisfaction out of it that you long for. Um.

0:49:43.200 --> 0:49:46.160
<v Speaker 1>It's by a woman named Caroline Webb. Is it a

0:49:46.760 --> 0:49:50.759
<v Speaker 1>organizational tool or I do love checking those things? Well,

0:49:50.760 --> 0:49:53.480
<v Speaker 1>that's that's the kind of thing that is very satisfied.

0:49:53.520 --> 0:49:57.040
<v Speaker 1>That's the kind of thing she talks about. She talks about, uh,

0:49:57.239 --> 0:50:00.479
<v Speaker 1>just kind of the behavioral elements that that come into play.

0:50:00.560 --> 0:50:04.280
<v Speaker 1>So as a prioritization standpoint, planning your day ahead of time,

0:50:04.360 --> 0:50:06.680
<v Speaker 1>knowing what those key things are that you need to

0:50:06.760 --> 0:50:09.799
<v Speaker 1>do and not the other things. She talks about making focus,

0:50:10.080 --> 0:50:13.680
<v Speaker 1>putting your activities into blocks. So this is my email block,

0:50:13.800 --> 0:50:16.360
<v Speaker 1>this is my deep think block, so some really common

0:50:16.480 --> 0:50:19.640
<v Speaker 1>sense and it's just one practical piece of advice after another.

0:50:19.840 --> 0:50:22.240
<v Speaker 1>And then the last book that I just finished recently

0:50:22.360 --> 0:50:25.560
<v Speaker 1>was called Bowling Alone. It's by Robert Putnam. It was

0:50:25.560 --> 0:50:28.000
<v Speaker 1>written in two thousand and it's about the rise and

0:50:28.040 --> 0:50:31.160
<v Speaker 1>then decline of social capital. So social capital being kind

0:50:31.160 --> 0:50:34.759
<v Speaker 1>of the trust that we have in our community and

0:50:34.800 --> 0:50:38.000
<v Speaker 1>our neighbors and our peers um and it's it's tracing

0:50:38.040 --> 0:50:41.840
<v Speaker 1>that arc. And it was fascinating because obviously of COVID

0:50:41.880 --> 0:50:43.960
<v Speaker 1>and lockdowns and the way we were so separate from

0:50:43.960 --> 0:50:46.239
<v Speaker 1>one another and now we're coming back together. And it

0:50:46.320 --> 0:50:49.120
<v Speaker 1>just got me thinking about the value of social capital

0:50:49.160 --> 0:50:51.759
<v Speaker 1>and what that can mean for a country. What sort

0:50:51.760 --> 0:50:54.400
<v Speaker 1>of advice would you give to a recent college grad

0:50:54.480 --> 0:50:58.440
<v Speaker 1>who was interested in a career in either and for you,

0:50:58.520 --> 0:51:04.080
<v Speaker 1>this is a long list, economics analysis, fund management, or

0:51:04.440 --> 0:51:07.319
<v Speaker 1>being a chief investment officer. You know, one thing that

0:51:07.840 --> 0:51:11.200
<v Speaker 1>I was not good at in college. I'm a present

0:51:11.200 --> 0:51:14.760
<v Speaker 1>oriented person and I wasn't good at envisioning a career,

0:51:14.840 --> 0:51:17.040
<v Speaker 1>and so I had just very general careers. Well, I

0:51:17.080 --> 0:51:19.200
<v Speaker 1>could go into medicine, or I could be a lawyer.

0:51:19.480 --> 0:51:22.640
<v Speaker 1>It didn't really think about the wide array of careers

0:51:22.680 --> 0:51:25.000
<v Speaker 1>that are out there, and so I don't You don't

0:51:25.040 --> 0:51:27.279
<v Speaker 1>want someone to become a little professional at age of

0:51:27.360 --> 0:51:30.160
<v Speaker 1>nineteen and have some sort of you know, envision of

0:51:30.200 --> 0:51:32.040
<v Speaker 1>their future in mind. But you do want people to

0:51:32.160 --> 0:51:35.560
<v Speaker 1>know of the enormous amounts of variety that there is

0:51:35.600 --> 0:51:38.760
<v Speaker 1>in professional life, and so I would I would suggest

0:51:38.760 --> 0:51:41.520
<v Speaker 1>that people really pursue that really get a sense for

0:51:41.560 --> 0:51:45.439
<v Speaker 1>the variety, whether that's taking random internships or whether that's

0:51:45.600 --> 0:51:49.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, going to networking events in random things, just

0:51:49.120 --> 0:51:51.279
<v Speaker 1>that you get a sampling you kind of date the

0:51:51.560 --> 0:51:54.600
<v Speaker 1>investment market or the broader career market and get a

0:51:54.600 --> 0:51:57.760
<v Speaker 1>sense for what's actually a fit for you. Really interesting.

0:51:58.040 --> 0:52:00.879
<v Speaker 1>And our final question, what do know about the world

0:52:00.960 --> 0:52:04.640
<v Speaker 1>of investing today that you wish you knew twenty five

0:52:04.760 --> 0:52:07.319
<v Speaker 1>or so years ago when you were first getting started. Yeah.

0:52:07.360 --> 0:52:09.279
<v Speaker 1>So there's a few things I mentioned um at the

0:52:09.320 --> 0:52:13.040
<v Speaker 1>beginning of our conversation that during the global financial crisis,

0:52:13.080 --> 0:52:16.280
<v Speaker 1>I learned that a lot of very credible, experienced people

0:52:16.400 --> 0:52:19.239
<v Speaker 1>could be very very wrong. And the thing that I

0:52:19.239 --> 0:52:22.200
<v Speaker 1>would tell myself is that it's okay to ask the

0:52:22.280 --> 0:52:25.840
<v Speaker 1>dumb question. The dumb question is probably something that a

0:52:25.840 --> 0:52:29.359
<v Speaker 1>lot of people don't fully understand, and you need to have,

0:52:29.520 --> 0:52:31.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, the confidence and the willingness to put yourself

0:52:31.640 --> 0:52:33.759
<v Speaker 1>out there and be like, I don't get the subprime thing.

0:52:33.880 --> 0:52:36.400
<v Speaker 1>You know, I don't get these trunches, or you know,

0:52:36.440 --> 0:52:38.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't understand why we should be trading off of

0:52:38.920 --> 0:52:42.399
<v Speaker 1>CPI prints every month. Ask those questions. I think those

0:52:42.520 --> 0:52:47.680
<v Speaker 1>questions are way more profounds than people think, really really interesting.

0:52:48.440 --> 0:52:51.960
<v Speaker 1>We have been speaking with Marta Norton. She is c

0:52:52.160 --> 0:52:56.840
<v Speaker 1>i O of Morning Star Investment Management. If you enjoy

0:52:56.920 --> 0:52:59.759
<v Speaker 1>these conversations, well be sure and check out any of

0:52:59.800 --> 0:53:02.880
<v Speaker 1>the previous I don't know four hundred and twenty seven

0:53:02.880 --> 0:53:05.840
<v Speaker 1>we've done over the past eight years. You can find

0:53:05.880 --> 0:53:11.240
<v Speaker 1>those at Bloomberg, Spotify, iTunes and now YouTube or wherever

0:53:11.560 --> 0:53:15.480
<v Speaker 1>you fill your podcast uh fix. We love your comments,

0:53:15.480 --> 0:53:18.880
<v Speaker 1>feedback and suggestions right to us at m IB podcast

0:53:18.920 --> 0:53:22.440
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot net. Sign up for my daily reading

0:53:22.480 --> 0:53:25.200
<v Speaker 1>list at Bloomberg dot com. Follow me on Twitter at

0:53:25.280 --> 0:53:27.640
<v Speaker 1>rid Halts. I would be remiss if I did not

0:53:27.760 --> 0:53:30.640
<v Speaker 1>thank the correct team that helps put these conversations together

0:53:30.719 --> 0:53:35.200
<v Speaker 1>each week. Sarah Livesey is my audio engineer. Attica val

0:53:35.239 --> 0:53:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Bron is my project manager. Our producer is Paris Wald.

0:53:39.160 --> 0:53:42.840
<v Speaker 1>Our head of research is Sean Russo. I'm Barry Hults.

0:53:43.040 --> 0:53:46.640
<v Speaker 1>You've been listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio.