1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 3 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today. 4 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:18,760 Speaker 3: Karen, the Global Sella follows the announcement that Wall Street 5 00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 3: and the world had been waiting for four weeks. President 6 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 3: Trump is raising tariffs around the world on a day 7 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 3: he is dubbed Liberation Day for America. 8 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:32,319 Speaker 4: April second, twenty twenty five will forever be remembered as 9 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:38,480 Speaker 4: today American industry was reborn, the day America's destiny was reclaimed, 10 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 4: and the day that we began to make America wealthy again. 11 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 3: In remarks from the White House Rose Garden heard here 12 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:50,559 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg, the President announced at least a ten percent 13 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 3: tariff on all exporters to the US. About sixty nations 14 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 3: will see even higher duties. The biggest target of all 15 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 3: is China. The President says, Beijing charges the US an 16 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 3: effective sixty seven percent rate. 17 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 4: So sixty seven percent, so we're going to be charging 18 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 4: a discounted reciprocal tariff of thirty four percent. 19 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: I think. 20 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 4: In other words, they charge us we judge m chuge mls. 21 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 4: So how could anybody be upset? 22 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 3: President Trump is also slapping higher duties on the European Union, Japan, Vietnam, 23 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 3: and more. All together, Bloomberg Economics estimates the effective tax 24 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 3: rate on more than three trillion dollars in imported goods 25 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,320 Speaker 3: could rise to about twenty three percent. That is the 26 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 3: highest in more than a century. 27 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 2: Well iven, President Trump's tariffs have drawn a sharp reaction 28 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 2: on Capitol Hill. House Minority Leader Hankem Jeffries spoke out 29 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 2: even before the president's announcement, this is not liberation Day, 30 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 2: It's recession day. 31 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 5: In the United States of America. 32 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 6: That's what the Trump tariffs are going to do, crash 33 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 6: the economy. 34 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 2: How's Minority Leader Hankem Jeffries. Republicans are mostly standing behind 35 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 2: the president. Ashley Davis is a GEOP. He's strategist and 36 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 2: partner at S three Group. 37 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 7: He's ran on this for the last four years. 38 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 2: Really is that he needs to make sure that the 39 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 2: other countries are paying what they deserve Republicans strategist Ashley Davis. 40 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 2: But not every Republican is on board. Kentucky Senator Ran 41 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:18,679 Speaker 2: Paul says tariffs are just another tax on Americans. 42 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 4: Republicans used to be in Conservatives and particularly used to 43 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 4: be against new taxes. I don't think it's going to 44 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 4: be good for us politically, but it's not good for 45 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 4: the country either. 46 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 2: Senator Ran Paul and three other Republicans joined with Democrats 47 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 2: on a bill opposing President Trump's tariffs on Canada. The 48 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 2: bill is not likely to pass in the House. 49 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 3: Well, Karen, President Trump's historic action risks inducing a worldwide 50 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 3: trade war marked by tit for tax strikes. We spoke 51 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 3: with Treasury Secretary Scott Besson, who urged other countries not 52 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 3: to fight back. 53 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 6: I would advise none of the countries to panic. I 54 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 6: wouldn't try to retaliate because as long as you don't retaliate, 55 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 6: this is the high end of the number, and I 56 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 6: think there could have certainty that this is the number 57 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 6: barring retaliation. 58 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 3: Treasury Secretary Scott Besson went on to leave the door 59 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 3: open to negotiations, telling Bloomberg quote, We'll see with regard 60 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 3: to further talks. You can hear the full interview with 61 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 3: Scott Besant on the Bloomberg Talks podcast and watch it 62 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,800 Speaker 3: on the Bloomberg podcast page on YouTube. 63 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:22,799 Speaker 2: So, Nathan, let's get the reaction from other countries around 64 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 2: the world. Our first stop brings US to Asia, where 65 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:28,960 Speaker 2: China has been the biggest target of Trump tariffs, and 66 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 2: Bloomberg deal Desis joins US from Hong Kong with more Jill. 67 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 7: Yes, well, I think it's a lot to really digest 68 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 7: here out of Asia. On the one hand, you do 69 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 7: see those really high tariffs on China. This thirty four 70 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 7: percent increase that Trump is now putting on China. If 71 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 7: you were to take that into tality with all of 72 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 7: the other levees that Trump has put on China that 73 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 7: the US has put on China over the last several 74 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 7: months years, you're looking at somewhere in the neighborhood of 75 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 7: the average US tariff on Chinese goods being at least 76 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 7: sixty five percent according to some economists. Bloomberg Economics estimates 77 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 7: that as a result, that could lead to a one 78 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 7: to two percentage point loss to growth in China. So 79 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 7: certainly a big metric there that you're really looking at. 80 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 7: Of course, we haven't really heard from China yet what 81 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:18,479 Speaker 7: their definitive actions will be to counter these tariffs. The 82 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 7: Ministry of Foreign Affairs has said that there are going 83 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:23,040 Speaker 7: to be measures coming, we're just waiting to see them. 84 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 7: But I would draw your attention, Karen too, elsewhere in 85 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 7: Asia where you're also seeing incredibly high rates and likely 86 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 7: even you know, higher economic shocks. Vietnam, for example, they 87 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 7: were hit with a forty six percent tariff in this 88 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 7: latest round. I mean, this is a country that you 89 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:41,719 Speaker 7: know is incredibly export dependent. They're among the world's most 90 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 7: trade dependent nations. Or exports were equivalent to nearly ninety 91 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,679 Speaker 7: percent of economic output. I think that's why you're seeing 92 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 7: such a big market reaction in that particular country today. So, 93 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 7: you know, just a couple of examples there, but obviously 94 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:56,279 Speaker 7: all across Asia, we're seeing a lot of different economic shocks, 95 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 7: just as nations respond to these tariffs that just been announced. 96 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 3: Jill desis with the reaction from Hong Kong. Jill, thank you. 97 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 3: Now let's head to Europe get the reaction there. Bloomberg Daybreak, 98 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 3: you're a banker. Caroline Hepger is in London with the latest. 99 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:12,919 Speaker 3: Good morning, Caroline, good morning, Nathan and Karen. 100 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:16,039 Speaker 8: President Trump called the EU pathetic again and that the 101 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 8: block rips off the US, as he imposed twenty percent 102 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 8: tariffs on EU goods exported to America. The EU argues 103 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:26,839 Speaker 8: that America exports plenty of its services to the block 104 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 8: and that it is the biggest single market in the 105 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 8: world now. EU trade ministers are due to meet on 106 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:35,480 Speaker 8: Monday to discuss their response. Meanwhile, in the early hours 107 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:39,279 Speaker 8: this morning, Commissioned President as to Leavondeline warned that US 108 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 8: actions would deal a blow to the global economy, and 109 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,799 Speaker 8: she urged further negotiations. 110 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 9: We have always been ready to negotiate with the United 111 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 9: States to remove the remaining barriers to transatlantic trade. At 112 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:56,480 Speaker 9: the same time, we are prepared to respond. We are 113 00:05:56,640 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 9: already finalizing the first package of countermeasures in response to 114 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 9: tariff's on steel, and we're now preparing for further countermeasures 115 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 9: to protect our interests and our businesses. 116 00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 8: If negotiations fails, Vonderline speaking there the tariffs could wipe 117 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 8: out the growth forecast by the ECB for this year 118 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 8: and in twenty twenty six. Markets now see another rate 119 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 8: cut in April as likely. Bloomberg Economics sees the tariffs 120 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 8: cutting EU goods exports to the US by half in 121 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 8: the medium term. By comparison, here in the UK, we 122 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:34,839 Speaker 8: were dealt with a bit more leniently, a ten percent tariff. 123 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 8: Some including business lobby see it as a benefit from 124 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,799 Speaker 8: Prime Minister Keir Starmer's pragmatic approach to the White House. 125 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 8: The UK Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds has told Bloomberg just 126 00:06:44,800 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 8: this morning that Britain is still confident that tariffs will 127 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:52,039 Speaker 8: come off, and yet the US is inflicting pain on 128 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 8: some of its closest allies. All told, it's more than 129 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:56,960 Speaker 8: just an economic shock. 130 00:06:57,120 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 2: All right, Caroline, thank you well early Trump to targets 131 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 2: hitded On in Mexico escaped the new round of tariff announcements. 132 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 2: We spoke with Ontario Premier Doug Ford. 133 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 1: I would highly recommend to the Prime Minister not the 134 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 1: retaliate and let's carry on a strong relationship. Let's build 135 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 1: the aim can fortress American Canadian fortress around both countries 136 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: and be the wealthiestmans, prosperous, safest two countries in the world. 137 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 2: Ontario Premier Doug Ford, speaking of the Bloomberg's Balance of power. 138 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 2: While no new tariffs were announced to other levies Trump 139 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 2: has already imposed on Canadian and Mexican goods remain intact. 140 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 3: And Karen Well stocks are selling off around the world. 141 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 3: The US has been the hardest hit so far. Let's 142 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 3: continue our coverage now with Bloomberg's John Tucker. 143 00:07:43,360 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 10: John, all right, Nathan, Let's do the biggest losers in 144 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 10: the US. These are the companies most exposed in that 145 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 10: source a lot of their products from Asia, such as 146 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 10: Apple and some of its magnificent seven cohorts of the 147 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 10: new tariffs will reach thirty four percent for China. Apple 148 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 10: still produces the mudjority of its US OL devices in 149 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 10: Chinese factories. India, where Apple's increasingly building iPhones and air pods, 150 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 10: that's getting a twenty six percent TEARFF. And then there's Vietnam, 151 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 10: where the company now makes air pods, iPads, Apple watches, 152 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 10: and max that'll be hit with a forty six percent tax. 153 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 11: Now. 154 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 10: Apple shares this morning in the pre market down close 155 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:24,920 Speaker 10: to seven percent. Then there's in Vidia. In Vidia the 156 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 10: most actively traded pre market. It relies on China for 157 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:32,079 Speaker 10: AI Chip sales of those shares right now down three 158 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 10: point three percent. Let's move on to the world's largest 159 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 10: footwear and apparel companies also facing a shock to their 160 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 10: supply chains. Nike makes many of its sneakers in Vietnam, 161 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:46,320 Speaker 10: and Nike shares pre market they are down eight point 162 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:50,199 Speaker 10: four percent. Lululemon Athletico, which makes forty percent of its 163 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:54,880 Speaker 10: products in Vietnam seventeen percent in Cambodia, tumbled almost ten 164 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 10: percent in late trading. Shares of Abercrombie and Fitch, they 165 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 10: get thirty five percent of their merchandise from Vietnam A 166 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:04,839 Speaker 10: fell seven point seven percent. And then Gap, which buys 167 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:08,240 Speaker 10: twenty seven percent of its goods from Vietnamese factories at 168 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 10: nineteen percent from Indonesia. That's slid about eleven percent. You 169 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 10: know you yor income, John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. 170 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 2: All right, John, thank you well. Shortly after midnight, US 171 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 2: auto import tariffs went into effect. Meanwhile, one industry was 172 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 2: spared for now, and Bloomberg Lisa Matteo joins us with 173 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 2: the very latest Lisa, Hey there, Karen. 174 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:29,200 Speaker 12: So let's start with the most recent chain, the twenty 175 00:09:29,200 --> 00:09:32,959 Speaker 12: five percent tariff on US auto imports. Now, it's expected 176 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 12: to increase costs and disrupt industry supply chains. But what's 177 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 12: more certain auto parts will also be hit with a 178 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:42,200 Speaker 12: similar level no later than May third. And this morning 179 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:45,079 Speaker 12: you already have Volkswagen already announcing it plans to add 180 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:48,040 Speaker 12: import fees to the sticker prices of its vehicles that 181 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:51,080 Speaker 12: are shipped into the US. Now, Volkswagen shares down about 182 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 12: half a percent. In Germany, you have Ford off about 183 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 12: half a percent, General Motors down one percent, Tesla is 184 00:09:57,040 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 12: lower by three percent. Chrysler Parents still land. It was 185 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:03,079 Speaker 12: down nearly two percent yesterday. This morning it's up about 186 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 12: three tens of percent before the belt. The only good 187 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 12: news is at imported cards and parts, will they escape 188 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 12: the so called reciprocal tariffs? And speaking of being spared, 189 00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 12: you have the pharmaceutical sector and won this reprieve from 190 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 12: sweeping tariffs. But here's the thing, it may not last long. 191 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 12: Sources saying the White House plans to launch an investigation 192 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:24,559 Speaker 12: into the drug industry other sectors, and that includes semiconductors 193 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 12: and potentially critical minerals, and that could lead to tariffs 194 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 12: under the Trade Expansion Act. Now, if we take a 195 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:32,480 Speaker 12: look at chairs A Pfizer, they're down about two tens 196 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 12: of percent. Eli Lilly off about two percent. Lisa Matteo, Bloomberg. 197 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:38,280 Speaker 3: Radio, Lisa, thank you all. In all, it is an 198 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,959 Speaker 3: aggressive suite of tariffs from President Trump, and it will 199 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 3: significantly complicate the federal reserves job as it struggles to 200 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 3: question inflation and avoid an economic downturn. This morning, Morgan 201 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,079 Speaker 3: Stanley pushed back. It's called for the next FED rate 202 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 3: cut to next year. The firm's analysts cite inflation risks 203 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 3: arising from tariffs. FED Governor Adriana Kougler says it's appropriate 204 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:04,080 Speaker 3: to keep in restraints unchanged until upside risks to inflation abate. 205 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 13: I will support maintaining the current policy BRAID for as 206 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:14,119 Speaker 13: long as this upside race to inflation continue, while economic 207 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:17,719 Speaker 13: activity unemployment remain the stay. 208 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:20,839 Speaker 3: No, it was FED Governor Adriana Kugler. The Fed's next 209 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:22,440 Speaker 3: meeting May seventh. 210 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 5: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 211 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 5: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 212 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:35,199 Speaker 5: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 213 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 2: Good morning. I'm Karen Moscow alongside Nathan Hager, and we 214 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 2: continue our coverage on tariffs with a conversation with US 215 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,599 Speaker 2: Treasury Secretary Scott Messant. He spoke with the Bloomberg Televisions 216 00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 2: and Marie hor Dern shortly after the tariffs were announced, 217 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 2: urging other economies against taking retaliatory steps against the new 218 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,640 Speaker 2: set of America's retaliatory tariffs. Let's listen in. 219 00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:01,600 Speaker 6: What I would say and Marie, I would advise none 220 00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 6: of the countries to panic. I wouldn't try to retaliate 221 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 6: because as long as you don't retaliate, this is the 222 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,720 Speaker 6: high end of the number, and I think the market 223 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:17,199 Speaker 6: could have certainty that this is the number barring retaliation. 224 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:21,199 Speaker 6: So we've got a ceiling and then we can see 225 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:22,400 Speaker 6: if there's a different floor. 226 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:25,280 Speaker 14: So you sound like you're ready for a negotiation. A 227 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:28,559 Speaker 14: number of these partners. Has the European Union, has China? 228 00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 14: Has India? Have these countries reached out? 229 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 6: Well, they've all reached out, but it's going to be 230 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 6: up to President Trump to see what he wants to do. 231 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,680 Speaker 6: I think the mindset might be to let things settle 232 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 6: for a while. Their terrifts or non tariff barriers have 233 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:45,960 Speaker 6: been on a long time, so we'll see where it 234 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:46,680 Speaker 6: goes from here. 235 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:49,120 Speaker 14: When it comes to China, they have a much higher 236 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 14: rate on this list. On top of that, there's still 237 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 14: that twenty percent fentanyl tariff rate. Is all of this 238 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 14: coming together to be more than a fifty percent tariff 239 00:12:57,920 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 14: rate for Beijing? 240 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 6: Well, yes, I think it is, and I think it's 241 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:05,960 Speaker 6: a combination of things. And you know again that I 242 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:10,440 Speaker 6: think China said today that solving the fentanyl crisis depends 243 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 6: on taking off the fentanyl tariffs, and I'm pretty sure 244 00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 6: that's not the way the sequencing is going to work. 245 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:21,960 Speaker 6: They're exporting the precursor chemicals, and every every day, every week, 246 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,040 Speaker 6: every month, Americans are dying and it's going to have 247 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 6: to stop. 248 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:26,839 Speaker 14: When it comes to places like China, the President has 249 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 14: mentioned he's willing to even look at things like TikTok 250 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 14: to potentially do a negotiation with them. When it comes 251 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 14: to tariffs, I'm sure you're looking at things like the 252 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,320 Speaker 14: u Wan. What's on the table when it comes to 253 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 14: this trade realignment between Beijing and Washington. 254 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 6: Well, we have, we haven't started anything yet. We've been 255 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 6: busy with the with the tariffs. I've been busy, as 256 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 6: we talked about it earlier. The tax bills going very well. 257 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 6: So I think that we will move toward the bilateral 258 00:13:54,440 --> 00:14:00,080 Speaker 6: relationship with China now that we've done the multilateral tariffs. 259 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 14: Plan for conversations or a trip to Beijing. Nothing eminent 260 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 14: when it comes to this negotiation. April ninth, these tariffs 261 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 14: come in place, do you plan on having negotiations before 262 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 14: that date? 263 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:17,560 Speaker 6: Again, I'm not part of the negotiation, so you know, 264 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:21,040 Speaker 6: we'll see. I am sure that there's going to be 265 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 6: a lot of calls. I just don't know if they're 266 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 6: going to be negotiations. 267 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 2: And that was US Treasury Secretary's god Besson speaking with 268 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg TVs and Marie hord Durn after President Trump's 269 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 2: tariff announcement. You can hear the full interview on the 270 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Talks podcast page and watch it on the Bloomberg 271 00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 2: podcast page on YouTube. 272 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 3: Nathan Karen, we continue our coverage of these tariffs. We 273 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 3: are joined now by Bloomberg News Global Trades are Brendan 274 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:49,760 Speaker 3: Murray and Terry Haynes, the founder of Pangaea Policy, for 275 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 3: a roundtable this morning after the announcement. Great to speak 276 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:54,960 Speaker 3: with both of you, and I'll start with you, Brendan, 277 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 3: because even as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessett is framing this 278 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 3: as a negotiation, this seems like a really huge start 279 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 3: to what could be coming. 280 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 5: Good morning, Yeah, exactly. He said, you know, let's let 281 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 5: this paraphrasing, he said, let's let this settle in for 282 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 5: a while, so that you know, that doesn't seem like 283 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 5: you know, a window for negotiating over the next four 284 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 5: or five days. So these tariffs are going to take 285 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 5: effect by early next week and countries are going to 286 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:24,960 Speaker 5: be scrambling to figure out do we want to retaliate, 287 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:28,320 Speaker 5: ratchet up the ratchet up the pressure, or do we 288 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 5: want to you know, take a you know, a more 289 00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:35,240 Speaker 5: negotiating posture and try to work this out. Either way, 290 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 5: marcuts don't like it, and economists are marking down their 291 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 5: outlook for growth and marking up their outlook for inflation. 292 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 5: And you know the aftermath of it here even though 293 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 5: President Trump said this is simple, reciprocity is about as 294 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:52,360 Speaker 5: simple as it gets, this still creates a lot of confusion. 295 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:56,080 Speaker 3: Terry, How does the negotiation go when the president is 296 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 3: starting with this onslaught. 297 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 11: Warning, Nathan, you know, the negotiations in a lot of 298 00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 11: ways have already started. My understanding in a lot of 299 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:09,880 Speaker 11: places is that Secretary of Commerce is the Lutnix team 300 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 11: had already been giving wish lists, both tariffs and barriers 301 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 11: to different countries who were already kind of parsing that 302 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 11: and trying to figure out how they might respond to it, 303 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:27,520 Speaker 11: and a lot of countries, I mean major countries, both 304 00:16:27,560 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 11: allies and non aligned, are going to have to frankly 305 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,440 Speaker 11: work through with their own industries there, whether it be 306 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:38,320 Speaker 11: agriculture or machine industries, to figure out exactly what they 307 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:40,040 Speaker 11: want to do and how they want to do it. So, 308 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 11: you know, I think it's it's correct to say this 309 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 11: is not going to magically disappear or be mitigated in 310 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 11: the next few days. But all countries have had an 311 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 11: advanced warning of what the United States might want and 312 00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 11: what the kind of the parameters for negotiations will be. 313 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 11: So you know the number one, there's that number two. 314 00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 11: You've seen encouraging responses by a lot of countries. It 315 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:09,199 Speaker 11: was encouraged. I mean Canada of course got singled out 316 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 11: for special treatment, but you had Premiere Ford on your 317 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:16,560 Speaker 11: air last night and he was urging Carneie not to 318 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:20,119 Speaker 11: retaliate it all. So you know, you'll have a lot 319 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:21,320 Speaker 11: of those kind of responses. 320 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 3: Notwithstanding Canada and Mexico being spared at least this round, Brendan, 321 00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 3: just about every other country in the world, even some 322 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 3: very very small ones, are being targeted in this long 323 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 3: list that President Trump showed at the Rose Garden last night. 324 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 3: What could the potential impact be for this kind of 325 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:42,880 Speaker 3: country by country tariff announcement. 326 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,119 Speaker 5: Well, one of the hardest hit regions was South Asia. 327 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:52,119 Speaker 5: Countries like Vietnam, Malaysia, Cambodia. These are places where a 328 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:55,680 Speaker 5: lot of the sort of lower skilled manufacturing has migrated 329 00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:59,320 Speaker 5: from China over the past several years. And you know 330 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,800 Speaker 5: those are places is where you know, close clothes and 331 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:05,640 Speaker 5: shoes are made. And so you know, there are stories 332 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:09,119 Speaker 5: that we're reporting today about how you know, Nike, you know, 333 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:10,960 Speaker 5: you know, Nike tennis shoes and those kinds of things 334 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 5: that are made in South Asia, you know are going 335 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:15,720 Speaker 5: to be more expensive. The other the other issue is 336 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 5: you know electronics, Apple is starting to produce a lot 337 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:23,400 Speaker 5: more of their phones in India. India you know, got 338 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:25,720 Speaker 5: hit with a tariff in the twenty five percent range, 339 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 5: I think, and so you know, if these can't be 340 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 5: resolved by negotiation, you know, anytime soon, then you know, 341 00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:40,360 Speaker 5: consumer prices could conceivably go up. Interestingly, Switzerland was singled out, 342 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 5: got a bigger got a bigger tariff level than the 343 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 5: rest of the than than the European Union around it. 344 00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:49,239 Speaker 5: So you know, Rolex watches come next week are going 345 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:51,280 Speaker 5: to be about thirty one percent more expensive than they 346 00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:52,040 Speaker 5: otherwise would be. 347 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:57,200 Speaker 3: Terry, we haven't heard much Republican reaction on Capitol Hill 348 00:18:57,280 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 3: besides the four Republicans who voted with Democrats against Canada tariffs. 349 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:05,199 Speaker 3: What do you think the Republican reaction is going to 350 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 3: be as these tariffs take a fact. 351 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:12,720 Speaker 11: I think there'll be two things that happened, David, One 352 00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:15,800 Speaker 11: above board, one below board. The above board will be 353 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:21,119 Speaker 11: that there will be some concerns from Republicans from based 354 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:26,440 Speaker 11: on the situation in their own states, about making sure 355 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:32,719 Speaker 11: that they push Trump to resolve these issues lower tariffs, 356 00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:36,479 Speaker 11: engage in the negotiations, do whatever they can, and frankly, 357 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 11: you know, work with the other the other country as well. 358 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:43,280 Speaker 11: That's number one. Number two. I think another impact here 359 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 11: is that it lights an additional hotfoot under the administration's 360 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 11: broader economic agenda. And you can hear this from a 361 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:54,399 Speaker 11: lot of senators. You can also hear from Secretary Vessant, 362 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 11: who continues to push the idea that the tax cuts 363 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 11: may show up as soon as July or August or 364 00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 11: September something like that. Now I've got it at eighty 365 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:07,959 Speaker 11: percent by the end of the calendar year. But there's 366 00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:11,600 Speaker 11: an opportunity should everyone wish on the Republican side to 367 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:16,199 Speaker 11: move these things along faster, and Besson will also be 368 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,920 Speaker 11: focusing on that. He has said that he's going to 369 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 11: spend a lot of time pushing exactly that that agenda. 370 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:27,640 Speaker 11: Think of Bess and broadly, as in twenty twenty five, 371 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 11: as Gary Cohne was in twenty seventeen, the guy who's 372 00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 11: constantly up there goosing things along, trying to make it 373 00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 11: go as fast as he can. 374 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg day Break, your morning podcast and the 375 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 2: stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 376 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 3: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 377 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 3: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 378 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 379 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 2: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 380 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:58,480 Speaker 2: in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 381 00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:02,960 Speaker 2: Bloomberg ninety two nine Boston, and nationwide on serious XM 382 00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:04,240 Speaker 2: Channel one twenty one. 383 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:07,399 Speaker 3: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app. 384 00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:10,640 Speaker 3: Now with Apple CarPlay and Android auto interfaces, and. 385 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 2: Don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. 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