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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: The t throwing into spectator. I'm saying it's a cash stop.

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Speaker 1: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to win. God, that's incredible. Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money. All right, It's just the

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Speaker 1: ultimate kabah want to pa.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway.

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Speaker 3: What is up everybody? It is Week one.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, presented by FanDuel. I'm

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Speaker 1: your host, Chris Raybond, and I am joined by my dude,

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Speaker 1: the top ranker in the game, Sean Turner. Sean, what

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Speaker 1: is going on? How you feeling?

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Speaker 2: What's up? Man? Brand new season, brand new location. Uh

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Speaker 2: this squeaky chair, the infamous squeaky chair is gone. I

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Speaker 2: no longer stuck in a corner. I can't wait for

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Speaker 2: the season. Gave Davis is starting in two days. Are

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Speaker 2: you pumped or what?

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Speaker 1: I am?

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Speaker 3: Very very very pumped gave Davis.

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Speaker 1: You know, we'll talk about him, I'm sure every week

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Speaker 1: throughout the season and this episode, what we're gonna do

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Speaker 1: is we're gonna throw it back to you know how

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Speaker 1: we used to do these episodes, and we're gonna run

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Speaker 1: through a top five at each skill position. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: discuss the players we're high and low on at each position,

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Speaker 1: and we'll throw out a prop for each position as well.

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Speaker 1: So hopefully you guys enjoy it. And if you're looking

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Speaker 1: for some DFS content, some more in depth DFS content,

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Speaker 1: we have an episode over on the Fantasy Flex channel

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Speaker 1: where we're gonna build lineups and talk dart throws and

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Speaker 1: kind of run through the Thursday slate and the main slate,

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Speaker 1: So check that out as well. But we're gonna just

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Speaker 1: kind of go through it here. And to start off,

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Speaker 1: let's go at quarterback. Who are your top five week

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Speaker 1: one of twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 2: So number one is Josh Allen, no surprise there, But

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Speaker 2: then number two I got Jalen Hurts. I told you

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Speaker 2: I was high on him. And then number three got

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Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson. Then Justin Herbert at number four, and Pastor

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Speaker 2: Mahomes at number five.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I got the same guys a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a different order. I got Allen Mahomes, Lamar third, Hurts fourth,

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Speaker 1: and Justin Herbert fifth, So I kind of want Hurt second.

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Speaker 1: That's yeah, you gotta bump them up man. Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: love the matchup, but I like this matchup for Mahomes

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Speaker 1: as well. I'm just being down in the Cardinals cornerbacks.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you know, as if it wasn't bad enough,

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Speaker 1: Hamilton got in a cooking accident and he's gonna miss

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Speaker 1: the game, and then they just traded for Trayvon Mullen.

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Speaker 1: It's the highest over under on the slate at fifty four.

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Speaker 1: So I actually like Mahomes even without Tyreek in this game.

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Speaker 1: I think he's gonna bail out. And it's Andy Reid,

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Speaker 1: you know Week one, Yeah, week one? Oh, like yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's it's gonna be gonna be a good game for him.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Who you high and low on at quarterback this week?

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Speaker 2: Well it shouldn't be a surprise. I'm high on Jalen

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Speaker 2: Hurts for what seems to be like the twenty third

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Speaker 2: consecutive week. This week. You know, he opens up against

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Speaker 2: the Lions, so you couldn't ask for a better matchup.

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Speaker 2: Now he has a J Brown at his disposal, so

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Speaker 2: his his ceiling is just way too massive to ignore now,

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Speaker 2: so I love him obviously. He's my QB two this week.

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Speaker 2: The Lions, you know, their defense is pretty weak. They

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Speaker 2: ranked twenty ninth and d v A last season. I

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Speaker 2: think they could be slightly improved this year, but they're

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Speaker 2: still below average defense. They blitz at the seventh highest

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Speaker 2: rate last year, and Jalen Hurts actually does pretty good

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Speaker 2: against the blitz. He does better against the blitz than

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Speaker 2: you know, three or four pass rushers. So love him.

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Speaker 2: You know, I had to resist myself for making him

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Speaker 2: number one. I couldn't do it but love him as

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Speaker 2: the number two QB over all this week and then

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Speaker 2: this game, the fouls Saints game. I think this game

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Speaker 2: is a sneaky stat game. Both qbs are super cheap

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Speaker 2: on FanDuel, So I love me some Jameis Winston. You know,

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Speaker 2: heading into Week one of last season, his top three

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Speaker 2: receivers were Marcuz Callaway, Deontay Hardy. I guess at the

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Speaker 2: time it was Deontay Harris and Lil Jordan Humphrey. And

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Speaker 2: that is a far cry from who he has going

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Speaker 2: into Week one this year. He has Michael Thomas, hopefully,

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Speaker 2: Jarvis Landry, and Chris o'lave. So you know, he has

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Speaker 2: shown that he can produce low end QB one numbers

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Speaker 2: when he's surrounded by talent, and that's what he has

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Speaker 2: going from this year. He has Alvin Kamara for Week

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Speaker 2: one at least, so I love him in this matchup,

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Speaker 2: and he's like I said, he's super cheap on fanat

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Speaker 2: at sixty seven hundred and now on the other side,

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Speaker 2: Marcus Mariota. Love him this week as a cheap upside flyer.

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Speaker 2: He has that dual threat ability we love, but he

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Speaker 2: also has a ton of weapons himself and Portella Patterson,

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Speaker 2: Drake Lennon who I love, and of course Kyle Pitt.

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Speaker 2: So this game I think has a ton stacking options.

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Speaker 2: Both qbs are super cheap, so those are my two

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Speaker 2: favorite cheaper quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you stole my guy, Marcus Mariot. I mean, I'm

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Speaker 1: just gonna target these rushing quarterbacks you know when I'm

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Speaker 1: looking for fantasy value, because you know, Mariota is a

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Speaker 1: guy who he's not gonna light it up throwing the ball.

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Speaker 1: But we saw what even in the preseason, like he

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Speaker 1: goes all out like he's an injury risk.

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Speaker 3: That's actually how hard he goes. But still love him.

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Speaker 3: I have him at QB twenty and he's the oh twenty.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought I was super twenty two. Man, he

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Speaker 2: got me there, and the.

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Speaker 3: Consensus is twenty eight.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think people he's not really on anyone's radar,

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Speaker 1: but you know, two QB leagues things like that. It's

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Speaker 1: cheap DFS play. Like you said, I think he got

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Speaker 1: to target a guy like him. All right, who are

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Speaker 1: you lower than consensus on?

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty low on Aaron Rodgers this week. Right now,

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Speaker 2: he's QB thirteen, But there's there's some issues going on,

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Speaker 2: like not only did he lose DeVante Adams, everybody knows

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Speaker 2: that he also lost Marquez deal that is scantling. I

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Speaker 2: think that's gonna hurt his ceiling even more. But it

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Speaker 2: sounds like Ellenazard is now if he for week one,

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Speaker 2: and Robert Tunnian is if he. We knew that heading

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Speaker 2: into the season he's gonna be ify, So it's gonna

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Speaker 2: have to be the Romeo Dubs show. Thank god he

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Speaker 2: has Romeo Doves. But other than that, like, it's pretty shaky.

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Speaker 2: Even Christian Watson, who they drafted in the second round,

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Speaker 2: is if he for week one. So I think this offense,

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Speaker 2: at least the passing attack, could be a bit sluggish

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Speaker 2: early in the season. I think they're just gonna lean

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Speaker 2: on Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon heavily in Week one

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Speaker 2: against the Vikings. So I'm pretty low on Aaron Rodgers. Again,

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Speaker 2: he's he's sort of outside that streaming discussion and he's

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Speaker 2: seventy eight hundred on FanDuel, So he's a full fade

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Speaker 2: for me there.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Rogers like the weapons, just not the same.

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Speaker 1: You know, Devonte Adams was accounting for about a third

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Speaker 1: of his yardage, a third of his touchdowns, and that's

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Speaker 1: just not gonna you know, they're not just gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to replace that production, especially in week one.

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Speaker 3: The Packers have started slow.

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Speaker 1: Even under La Floor, they've been brilliant, but they've had

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Speaker 1: a couple of ugly ones under Mountain Floor, none uglier

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Speaker 1: than last year's thirty eight to three drubbing by the Saints.

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Speaker 1: So you know, this is this is a spot where

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Speaker 1: I think you do want to kind of tread lightly

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Speaker 1: with the Green Bay Packers. Uh So, Yeah, Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: was the guy too, but I'm name another guy who's

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Speaker 1: kind of on the I think on the brink that

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Speaker 1: even though you drafted him as a surefire starter, I

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Speaker 1: might consider benching him this week, and that's Dak Prescott

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Speaker 1: because it's kind of the same situation. Yes, we have

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Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb, but we know how valuable Tyron Smith is

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Speaker 1: to that offense.

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Speaker 3: You know, you see the splits with and without him.

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Speaker 1: You know, the yards per play, the yards per attempt,

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Speaker 1: they all go down, you know, like a half yard

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Speaker 1: or more with Smith off the field. So I think

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be an issue. They kind of adjusting on

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Speaker 1: the fly. You know, this just happened last week. And

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Speaker 1: also you only really have one viable go to guy

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Speaker 1: in Ceedee Lamb, and we have a bunch of inexperience

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Speaker 1: with Tobert and Simmi Fijoko and you know Cavante Turpin.

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Speaker 2: I mean, there's just not a U legend.

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Speaker 1: Oh I love it.

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Speaker 3: I love turping.

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Speaker 1: But you know, as far as guys that are gonna

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Speaker 1: be able to reliably get open compared to last year

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Speaker 1: when Cedric Wilson was your number four, Cedric Wilson, you

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Speaker 1: know on some teams, is a number two, you know,

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Speaker 1: number three on Miami this year. But he's a good

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Speaker 1: one of the best number fours in the league. And

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Speaker 1: to go from that to lose Cooper as well, Uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, it's just it's gonna be tough sledding, I

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Speaker 1: think for for Dak and this one against the against

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Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, who still have a pretty good defense. I

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Speaker 1: know it's a game with a high total, but and

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Speaker 1: it's because they played at a fast paced But I

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Speaker 1: think they're gonna lean on Zeke. You know, Jerry Jones

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Speaker 1: has been talking Zeke all offseason. So I think the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys are gonna have to kind of slow the game

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Speaker 1: down a little bit more, run the ball, you know,

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Speaker 1: get Tony Pollard involved. But I don't think it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a big passing game for Dak unless he gets

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Speaker 1: some some garbage time, which could happen. But yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I would have bet on it.

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Speaker 2: All.

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Speaker 1: Right, let's let's go with a quarterback prop and we'll

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Speaker 1: kind of switch it off. So this week, you could

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Speaker 1: start us off with the QB and I'll take running

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Speaker 1: back next.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so we're gonna have a contest for this, right,

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Speaker 2: So whoever has the best record there, we'll figure out

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Speaker 2: the prizes. But it's got to be something good, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm going with I have to do this. Russell Wilson

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Speaker 2: total passing yards against his former team, the Seattle Seahawks

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Speaker 2: on minor football. I mean, kudos to the NFL schedule makers.

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Speaker 2: It was probably an accident. Bou how many revenge games

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Speaker 2: we get, But this is my favorite one. So I

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Speaker 2: got to hear your your prediction on this. But I'm

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Speaker 2: going to set the line at two hundred and sixty

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Speaker 2: eight and a half passing yards. What do you got?

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Speaker 1: I'm going under I have at about two fifty five.

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Speaker 3: I think you know this is a new offense for Russ.

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Speaker 3: You know it's I don't.

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Speaker 1: I don't just think he's gonna go out there and

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Speaker 1: bomb it all over the field. I mean, he probably

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Speaker 1: wants to, but I'm just gonna kind of go with

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Speaker 1: his normal, his normal, what I think his medium.

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Speaker 2: You're not giving him the revenge game boost, which is

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Speaker 2: at least fifteen to twenty yards. You're not doing it.

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Speaker 1: If I did that, then I would land pretty much

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Speaker 1: exactly at your life.

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Speaker 3: If I do, I'm not.

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Speaker 1: I haven't done it yet. I don't think I will.

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Speaker 1: It's just really hard to quantify. Maybe I'll bump him

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Speaker 1: up a little, but I have n't be in the

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Speaker 1: mid two fifties. I just think that's kind of what

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Speaker 1: his media is going to be.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this year.

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Speaker 1: You know, that's kind of what we've seen out of RUSS.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I'll mark you down for under. Yep, that's

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Speaker 1: pretty much the story of this podcast.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I forgot. I need to stop adding yards, I

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Speaker 2: need to start taking them off. Okay, what do you

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Speaker 2: think I am? Matthew Free almost in mid season four already?

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Speaker 2: I love it.

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Speaker 1: I was going to running back. Who's your top five?

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Speaker 2: It's pretty standard. I got Jonathan Taylor number one, Christian

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Speaker 2: McCaffrey number two, welcome back, Derek Hender number three, Austin

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Speaker 2: Echer number four, and Dalvin Cook number five.

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Speaker 3: I got me some taaror number one.

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Speaker 1: I got Henry up at number two after three CMC

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Speaker 1: four and number five Alvin Kamara.

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Speaker 3: He's still here. He's still here, Sue. True, he's playing.

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Speaker 1: Right, he's playing against that the Atlanta Falcon is there.

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Speaker 1: Probably not gonna be a good.

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Speaker 2: Defense, probably not. Yeah, he just misses. He's number six

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Speaker 2: for me, he's right there between I and Dalvic. Do

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Speaker 2: you have Cook number six?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I just okay.

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Speaker 1: I think Green Bay's run defense is actually going to

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Speaker 1: be much improved. You know that was a weakness of

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Speaker 1: them last year. But I mean you look up and

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Speaker 1: down Green Bay's defense now, I mean it's just strong

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Speaker 1: all around. So, uh you know, I kind of had

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Speaker 1: to throw Kamara in a fifth spot just think, you know,

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Speaker 1: don't the matchup just kind of breaks the time? Right?

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Speaker 2: All right?

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Speaker 1: Who are you higher than consensus on?

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Speaker 2: Uh So when it comes to to fandles specifically, I

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Speaker 2: like Seguon Barkley and Antonio Gibson in this sixty eight

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Speaker 2: hundred range. You know, Seguon Barkley, he is entering the

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Speaker 2: season one hundred percent healthier. You know, we faded him

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Speaker 2: early in the season and often in the season last

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Speaker 2: year because he was hurt. But he is healthy, which

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Speaker 2: means he has top five upside, and this week they

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Speaker 2: might they might need to lean on him a bit more.

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Speaker 2: Once again, the Giants pass catchers are in shambles. You

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Speaker 2: have like four guys who were questionable and then Kane

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Speaker 2: Gallady healthy, but he's you know, he's always questionable.

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Speaker 3: You had a procedure presg Yeah you didn't hear about that?

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Speaker 2: Oh no, well, I mean it didn't show up on

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Speaker 2: the injury report.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, no, I mean he's like the I think

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Speaker 1: it was Jordan Rnnan. Oh yeah, yeah, you saw a

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Speaker 1: mannequin comment, right, yeah, exactly.

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Speaker 2: Might not be an injury report, but ye had a

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Speaker 2: procedure permanently questionable. That's what I mean by that, by Steph.

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Speaker 2: So love love Barkley hair, and I also like Antonio Gibson.

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Speaker 2: I know you're pretty low on him, but I think

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Speaker 2: this matchup suits him well because you know, it should

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Speaker 2: be a positive game script. Unfortunately, you know, Brian Robinson

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Speaker 2: is going to be out for the foreseeable future, so

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Speaker 2: Gibson's going to handle a lot more of the early

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Speaker 2: down where I don't think they're gonna just you know,

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Speaker 2: give Jonathan Williams the Brian Robinson roll right away. So

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Speaker 2: I think this is a good spot for Gibson. He

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Speaker 2: could be used more in the receiving game as well

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Speaker 2: because j D mckizic himself has been dealing with a

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Speaker 2: grown injury. So we've seen Gibson perform as a workhorse

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Speaker 2: back and you know, he should be closer to that

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Speaker 2: role this week than once Brian Robinson does return hopefully.

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Speaker 2: So love Gibson as well. He's my RB fourteen right now.

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Speaker 2: I know. Yikes, Yeah, yeah, That's that's my Monday Morning

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Speaker 2: or Tuesday Morning ranking for you right there. But I

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Speaker 2: love him this week. And then you know Damian Pierce,

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Speaker 2: you know, he's super cheap on FanDuel as well. Like

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Speaker 2: he's fifty four hundred, he's obviously gonna be highly rostered.

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Speaker 2: But I'm a big believer in him, and you know,

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Speaker 2: the ADP rise over the past few weeks is certainly warranted.

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Speaker 2: You know, I think he's gonna be the real deal.

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Speaker 2: So I'm not going to just fade him because his

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Speaker 2: roster ship's going to be high. This is the last

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Speaker 2: chance you're going to get for him to be this cheap,

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Speaker 2: so mall in on him and another guy I just

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Speaker 2: want to throw out there, he is the least sexy

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Speaker 2: running back of the week, but it's Michael Carter. I,

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Speaker 2: like everybody else, want to see Breeze Hall start from

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Speaker 2: day one, but unfortunately that doesn't appear to be the case.

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Speaker 2: So I think Michael Carter is sneaky in tournaments only

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Speaker 2: at fifty two hundred. I just think he's a nice

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Speaker 2: contrarion play where he could out touch Breese Hall this week,

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Speaker 2: and plus this could be a negative game script Joe

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Speaker 2: Flacco could be dumping it off to Michael Carter. I

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Speaker 2: think they'll use Michael Carter more than Breese Hall on

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Speaker 2: third downs at least for Week one, so I think

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Speaker 2: this would be the time to kind of sneakily play

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Speaker 2: Michael Carter. So I'm fairly high on him compared to

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Speaker 2: consensus this week. Yeah, Michael Carter will probably be like yeah, right,

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Speaker 2: I don't indeed will sneakily Michael Carter. For me, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go with Chase Edmonds. I really like him this week.

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Speaker 1: I think he's gonna be that, you know, that top

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Speaker 1: back into Miami backfield, home favorite running back as well.

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Speaker 1: New England struggled and run defense last year, and they

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Speaker 1: struggled with defense on running backs catching the ball, and

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Speaker 1: I think that's you know, that's Edmunds Forte. New England

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Speaker 1: was bottom five in DVOA in past DVA against running

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Speaker 1: backs last year. So I think Chase Edmonds is a

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Speaker 1: lot of people just kind of wonder what his role

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Speaker 1: will be. We haven't really seen him, we don't know

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Speaker 1: what this offense will look like. But I think you

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Speaker 1: got to kind of play on that uncertainty because I

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Speaker 1: don't think he'll be that highly roster because of it.

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Speaker 1: And another player I like at running back is Elijah Mitchell.

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Speaker 1: You know, we kind of talked about how you can't

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Speaker 1: draft these Canahan running backs and you're probably gonna end

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Speaker 1: up disappointed at the end of the year. They'll probably

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Speaker 1: drown in the frozen pond. But it's Week one, so

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Speaker 1: Elijah Mitchell should be healthy. They are a touchdown favorite,

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Speaker 1: they're on the road, Trey Lance's third start of his career.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna run the ball, you know, and so even

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Speaker 1: if they give you know, ty Davis Price or Jeff

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Speaker 1: Wilson Junior some carries, I still think Mitchell gets you know,

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Speaker 1: fifteen to twenty carries in his game, and as a

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Speaker 1: home favorite running back against the Bears run defense that

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Speaker 1: doesn't project to be very good, and you know it

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Speaker 1: wasn't good last year. I just think the game script

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Speaker 1: is going to be right where we want it from Mitchell.

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Speaker 1: So I have him RB seventeen and he's a census

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Speaker 1: RB twenty, so about three spots higher on Mitchell. But

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Speaker 1: I think this is the time you want.

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Speaker 2: To play on him. Yeah, love it all right?

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Speaker 3: Who you LOOA?

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Speaker 2: I'm low on JK. Dobbins this week, he's my RB

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Speaker 2: thirty eight. There's a chanting he doesn't Yeah, there's a chance, Well,

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Speaker 2: let me just get it out there. There's a chance

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Speaker 2: he doesn't even suit up, so that's very easy. But

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Speaker 2: just again, we've been warning caution on him all off season,

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Speaker 2: but especially week one. Do not play him in dfs,

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Speaker 2: do not start him in fantasy. I just want to

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Speaker 2: make that crystal clear in case you've been missing out

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Speaker 2: on some of our off season pods. But the other

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Speaker 2: guy I don't like is Josh Jacobs, at least the

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Speaker 2: beginning this season. You know, it might be tempting because

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Speaker 2: he is facing the Chargers defense, which is a run

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Speaker 2: funnel defense, but this could be a trailing game script

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Speaker 2: and this could be a frustrating two to three way committee.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Josh mcganils is coming over from the Bill

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Speaker 2: Belichick coaching tree, so he's already said that Amir Abdullah

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Speaker 2: or even like Bolden will be the James White roll,

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Speaker 2: which is going to cap Jacob's upside in the passing game.

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Speaker 2: And then Zamir White. I love Zamir White. He's certainly

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Speaker 2: going to eat into Jacob's early down work. Probably as

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Speaker 2: soon as week one, So it's just tricky to really

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Speaker 2: project out this backfield right now. So I have Jacobs

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Speaker 2: just still a little bit lower because it is murky.

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Speaker 2: So he's my RB twenty six right now, and he's

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Speaker 2: way too expensive on FanDuel at seven K, so I'm

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Speaker 2: just shying away from Jacobs this week.

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Speaker 3: Jacobs is going to be.

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Speaker 1: Such an interesting guy to watch. I mean, it's like

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Speaker 1: the opinions on him just went like just so down,

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Speaker 1: like it's it's just absurd, Like nobody wants Josh Jacobs

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Speaker 1: on their fantasy team anymore. He's still the consensus RB nineteen,

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Speaker 1: which is interesting.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I think he's good, like he he should

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Speaker 2: be the like if I was managing the team, he

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Speaker 2: would absolutely be, you know, like a low end RB one.

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Speaker 2: But just just the way they've been talking and you know,

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Speaker 2: drafting za Mere White, I'm just staying right that the

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Speaker 2: Kenyon Drake release was was helpful. I think that definitely

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Speaker 2: boosts Jacob's floor. But just week one, I'm just he's

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Speaker 2: in that st start range, so I'm just sitting him.

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Speaker 1: It's interesting, you know, to kind of play Devil's Advocate

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Speaker 1: with Josh McDaniels.

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Speaker 3: They usually like those younger backs.

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Speaker 1: Usually it takes like a year, like remember Damien Harris's

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Speaker 1: rookie year, Like we were like, oh, Damian Harris is

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Speaker 1: going to be a thing, and then he just was

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Speaker 1: like a healthy scratch most of the year, and then

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Speaker 1: year two it's like, okay, now Damien Harris is unweished.

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Speaker 1: Like I think Josh Jacobs could just be the Damien

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Speaker 1: Harris of like that role for McDaniels this year, and

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Speaker 1: then next year Zamir White just takes over. But it'll

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Speaker 1: be interesting.

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Speaker 2: Well maybe he's a mere White is like the Ramandre

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Speaker 2: Stevenson of last year. Yeah, he'll have a thirty three

396
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Speaker 2: carry game or something like that. But no, I agree.

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Speaker 2: But they're the coaching staff that drafteds near White, so

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Speaker 2: I think they do like him. They've been talking him up.

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Speaker 2: So while it's unfortunate, I mean, Josh Jacobs is still

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Speaker 2: very talented back. It's just this situation is so murky.

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Speaker 1: How many carries do you have for Jacobs, by the way.

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Speaker 2: That is a great question. I have twelve and a

403
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Speaker 2: half ooh, I think I but only two receptions. Only

404
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,159
Speaker 2: two receptions in a game like this where you know

405
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Speaker 2: they could go down. That's where I'm just kind of

406
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Speaker 2: worried about his floor. Where do you have him on

407
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Speaker 2: his rush and receptions?

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Speaker 1: Prob Yeah, I have him. I have him fourteen carries

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Speaker 1: in one and a half reception actually, so I'm kind

410
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Speaker 1: of still giving him the normal fifteen fifteen and which

411
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Speaker 1: should be a high scoring game. But I do have

412
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Speaker 1: a mirror Abdulla getting a lot of bess down work

413
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Speaker 1: and Bolded, So I have Bolden and Abdullah combining for

414
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Speaker 1: more routes than Jacobs. Right, yep, all right, guys, I

415
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Speaker 1: am low on at running back. I gotta go with

416
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Speaker 1: Brehis Hall. You know, love did guy as a talent

417
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Speaker 1: was my favorite back coming out. But again, this is

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Speaker 1: week one and the Jets have kind of said, you know,

419
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Speaker 1: Michael Carter gonna start the year in that in like

420
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Speaker 1: a fifty to fifty role. At worse, he might even

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Speaker 1: get the you know the quote unquote veteran deference and

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Speaker 1: actually get more carries in this game. Right now, I

423
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Speaker 1: have Haul and Carter splitting the snaps exactly. That's just

424
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Speaker 1: because there's a lot of uncertainty, but it could very

425
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Speaker 1: well kind of swing in Carter's direction. You kind of

426
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Speaker 1: mentioned it already that you want to roster Carter and

427
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Speaker 1: so I'll just you know, go to the opposite away.

428
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Speaker 1: I want to fade Reese Hall and another guy that's

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Speaker 1: kind of on that on that cusp this week.

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Speaker 3: Usually he's going to be higher.

431
00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:41,920
Speaker 1: But David Montgomery just a tough matchup against the forty

432
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 1: nine ers, even though they're at home, they're big underdogs.

433
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,239
Speaker 1: That forty nine or defensive line is going to give

434
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:50,719
Speaker 1: Chicago and that offensive line problems, and you know they

435
00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:54,840
Speaker 1: matched up last year. Montgomery didn't play, but Khalil Herbert

436
00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:59,560
Speaker 1: started and he got twenty five touches and gained sixty

437
00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:02,639
Speaker 1: eight yard with no touchdowns. So that just kind of

438
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,159
Speaker 1: shows you that San Francisco front not really one you

439
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 1: want to start running backs against. You know, if you're

440
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:10,480
Speaker 1: in a ten team league, maybe you have some good

441
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:13,879
Speaker 1: running back depth. It's maybe a week where you consider

442
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 1: benching Montgomery should be one of his worst weeks. But

443
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:19,720
Speaker 1: I just kind of take away and see approach. Especially

444
00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:22,679
Speaker 1: with the new coaching staff, you never know exactly how

445
00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 1: that split between him and Herbert is going to be.

446
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:27,680
Speaker 1: Even though Montgomery did, you know, play a lot of

447
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 1: snaps in that preseason tune up. I still think there's

448
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 1: just a lot of a lot of more downside and

449
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 1: upside with Montgomery this week.

450
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you said you have a Breshall ranked twenty six.

451
00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 3: Twenty six. I have them thirty second.

452
00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:42,440
Speaker 1: Oh oh wow.

453
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have him thirty six, and I don't like it,

454
00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:47,120
Speaker 2: but I like that we're kind of on the same

455
00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 2: page of this where it's it's gonna be sort of

456
00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 2: a fifty to fifty backfield. So my question for you

457
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:53,960
Speaker 2: is how many how many routes run and how many

458
00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:55,480
Speaker 2: receptions do you have for Bristol.

459
00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 1: So I have I'll give you Carter and Breese. I

460
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 1: have them both at carries and Tim catches and their routes.

461
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 1: I'm giving them thirty seven percent each, so they add

462
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:10,760
Speaker 1: up to seventy five combined. And then I have Ty

463
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:11,879
Speaker 1: Johnson getting another like.

464
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 2: We are right in line with those, right in line.

465
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:20,800
Speaker 2: I have forty routes run. Ty Johnson is out, he

466
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:24,880
Speaker 2: is out of the question. And then yeah, and then yeah,

467
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 2: ten ten carries each, ten carries each. But I mean

468
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 2: that's gonna change immediately, Like I give it. By week three,

469
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:35,120
Speaker 2: Bree's hall is going to be more of a work

470
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 2: horse back. But I think it will take them a

471
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 2: couple of games.

472
00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm thinking the line for Breese and it's

473
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:44,639
Speaker 1: not my prop, but I'm thinking that, given the consensus

474
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:48,120
Speaker 1: on Briess, books will probably post like mid to high

475
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 1: forties instead of like, I haven't at forty two yards.

476
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I'm guessing probably would look at it under.

477
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:56,399
Speaker 2: I don't know if I would touch that. I just

478
00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,800
Speaker 2: think that there's such a wide range outcomes. I'm probably

479
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:03,320
Speaker 2: going of chicking out on that. I thought I got excited.

480
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 2: I thought that that was going to be your prop.

481
00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:08,159
Speaker 1: No, so what do you got it? Come on, we

482
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 1: got to talk about Damian Pierce and really no, Yeah

483
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:16,119
Speaker 1: with Damien because I mean, he's just the hype has

484
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 1: gotten unreal. I mean, I feel like we kind of

485
00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,199
Speaker 1: watched it on fold when we were at that Rams

486
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:23,880
Speaker 1: Texans preseason game and we were like, oh my god,

487
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:26,640
Speaker 1: he's not playing. He didn't play with the first team.

488
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 1: He's still not checking in with the second team. Mac

489
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 1: is getting all these carries, Burke has getting all these carries,

490
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 1: and then we're like, wait a minute, did he get

491
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:37,680
Speaker 1: the starter treatment? Just bubble wrapped and since then, I

492
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:41,720
Speaker 1: mean it's just been taken off. So uh, week one,

493
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 1: biggest underdog on the entire slate or the Houston Texans.

494
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 1: So I am setting his rush yard over under at

495
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 1: fifty six and a half?

496
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,399
Speaker 2: What you got and did you cheat? And look at

497
00:23:55,640 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 2: my projections? Okay, good because I am right there with you.

498
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:07,200
Speaker 2: I have it at fifty six. Ooh man, we'll go yeah,

499
00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:11,200
Speaker 2: fourteen and a half. I will go under, though I

500
00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:13,960
Speaker 2: think this specific matchup he's gonna flash some of his

501
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 2: past catching ability. So I still like him, you know,

502
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,880
Speaker 2: in DFS and fantasy, but I'm gonna have to go under.

503
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 2: You got me here, like I would say his meeting right,

504
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:29,680
Speaker 2: since my projection's fifty six, his meeting is probably like

505
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,680
Speaker 2: fifty four. Usually you dock off a couple of yards

506
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,159
Speaker 2: for running back for rushing yards for a median. But

507
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:37,919
Speaker 2: you didn't give me much wiggle room or value here.

508
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:39,480
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna have to go at the under.

509
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have it.

510
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,879
Speaker 1: I have it right at at fifty six for a median.

511
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:46,520
Speaker 1: So that's why I'm kind of yeah, that's a great lie.

512
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 1: Because the Cults are number three, or were number three,

513
00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 1: I should say, last year in run defense DVOA. So

514
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 1: not an easy matchup and biggest undergoing on the suite.

515
00:24:58,960 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 3: That's that.

516
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:01,880
Speaker 2: You know, where do you think or do you think

517
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 2: Fandal's going to float for it? Like if they float,

518
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,200
Speaker 2: you know, like a sixty and a half, would you

519
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 2: go under? If they float a forty five and a half,

520
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:12,560
Speaker 2: would you go over? Or are you just staying away?

521
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,800
Speaker 1: I mean anything in the sixties, I would definitely go under. Yeah,

522
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 1: in the forties forty five and a half, I'd probably

523
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 1: go over. But I think they'll float something in the

524
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:24,640
Speaker 1: right round.

525
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, like fifty two and a half something like that,

526
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 2: and probably stay away.

527
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:30,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, anything in the fifties I probably wouldn't touch, because

528
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 1: I think that's right in the range of like you know,

529
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:36,119
Speaker 1: getting you know, tended to fourteen carries.

530
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, once we just get one week's worth of data,

531
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 2: we can start to feel a little bit more confident

532
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 2: about these numbers. But not that not that we're not

533
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:46,960
Speaker 2: confident about week one. We're about as confidence as you

534
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 2: can get about week one projections. But it's such a crapshoot.

535
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean with certain guys, I mean you just

536
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:54,159
Speaker 1: kind of have to give them that you know what

537
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 1: normal starting running back workload, Like you don't. You can't

538
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 1: really fly tune it exactly. It's we kind of see

539
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,119
Speaker 1: you know, who's running, how many routes, how many what

540
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,440
Speaker 1: percentage of carries the guys are getting? So yeah, a

541
00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 1: lot of interesting guys like that, you know, Reese Hall,

542
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:12,679
Speaker 1: Damian Pierce, all these rookies. You never know exactly how

543
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,639
Speaker 1: it's gonna look. All right, let's go to wide receiver,

544
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,120
Speaker 1: and who are who's in your top five for wide

545
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:19,680
Speaker 1: out this week?

546
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 2: I got Cooper Cup, Justin Jefferson, Davante Adams actually, and

547
00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,400
Speaker 2: then this is usually deep we deviate. I have CD

548
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:32,439
Speaker 2: Lamb number four and Jamar Chase number five. No Stefan

549
00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:37,320
Speaker 2: Diggs unfortunately excited to make it work. Yeah, fade Stefan

550
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 2: of all because Gay Davis is playing a lot more.

551
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 2: I feel you and Ramsey might be garden both, like

552
00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 2: you know, fifty percent of the time, just couldn't couldn't

553
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,119
Speaker 2: do it. Jamar Chase is too good now. I love

554
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:53,399
Speaker 2: Ceedee Lamb this week, so just Diggs just missed it.

555
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 2: He's my wide receiver sex.

556
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,160
Speaker 3: I can actually see flip flopping. I have him five

557
00:26:58,240 --> 00:26:58,479
Speaker 3: right now.

558
00:26:58,560 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 2: So I have.

559
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 1: I have Cup number one, Jamar Chase number two, Justin Jefferson,

560
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson, number three, Devonte number four, and Digs number five.

561
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 3: I might flip Adams with Jefferson if j C.

562
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,840
Speaker 1: Jackson is indeed out, which she may be, because I

563
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 1: do worry about Jaira Alexander with Jefferson. I mean, Jefferson's

564
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 1: the best top two receivers, but Jaya Alexander is probably

565
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 1: a top two corner in this league right there with

566
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 1: Jayalen Ramsey. So uh, you know that it's still a

567
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 1: tough matchup. I think Adam Thielen is an interesting pivot.

568
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 1: But you know, you make a good point about Diggs

569
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 1: and Ramsey too, So both of those guys, you know

570
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:39,840
Speaker 1: this in this given week.

571
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:41,280
Speaker 3: That's why I kind of like Chase up there.

572
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 2: Number two.

573
00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,119
Speaker 1: I mean, Cincinnati, I think they I think Chase can

574
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,639
Speaker 1: destroy that Pittsburgh secondary. It's not it's not as good

575
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: as it used to be at all. So I do

576
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,200
Speaker 1: like Chase this week, and then Devonte if jac is out.

577
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think the improved offensive line for the

578
00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:01,160
Speaker 2: Bengals will give Burrow more time. Remember watching the Super Bowl,

579
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 2: it seems like he's looking for Chase almost every play,

580
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 2: and if he's governed then it's t Higgins. But just

581
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 2: having more time to throw I think is going to

582
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:11,760
Speaker 2: help Chase out tremendously this year.

583
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:12,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't.

584
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,399
Speaker 1: I don't foresee moving off Chase at wide receiver two,

585
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:18,119
Speaker 1: so I'd be interested to see if he ends up

586
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:21,040
Speaker 1: moving up. You're bored as the week progresses.

587
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, probably. And if they were ever a week to

588
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,880
Speaker 2: have Justin Jefferson outside of the top two, I guess

589
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,400
Speaker 2: this would be it. But it's got to stop there,

590
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:30,280
Speaker 2: like next week. I don't know who they play next week,

591
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:34,119
Speaker 2: but that that's dangerous keeping keeping Jefferson out. Say, your

592
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 2: top three is uh noose small tasks, So kudos View

593
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:40,920
Speaker 2: and kudos for having an awesome number two like Jamar Chase.

594
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 2: You're starting to hear off of the bang. Yeah.

595
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,200
Speaker 1: I mean usually it's like the number five guy that's

596
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:47,920
Speaker 1: like the Yeah, I think I think it was like

597
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 1: Deebo was sneaking in there early.

598
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:53,000
Speaker 2: For me, you're in your top five before anybody else.

599
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:57,360
Speaker 2: Same thing with Debo that was the Deevo was the

600
00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 2: guy that you were ahead of last year.

601
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw out a an audible prop right now. Okay,

602
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 1: it's not the one. It doesn't it's not gonna count totals.

603
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 1: But over under week eight point five gave Davis Enters

604
00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:12,400
Speaker 1: our top five.

605
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 2: Oh, I'll just say, I'll just say under without looking

606
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 2: at the schedule and everything, I want to root for

607
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 2: the under. Yeah, I called that with Calvin. Really that

608
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:26,000
Speaker 2: I predicted what we're gonna have a week where Julio

609
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:28,480
Speaker 2: Jones and Calverrily are in our top five, and sure

610
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:31,320
Speaker 2: enough that happened by what week six? But yeah, I

611
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:33,920
Speaker 2: would say under eight and a half weeks for sure?

612
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, gab, he really does remind me of Red we.

613
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:41,600
Speaker 2: Into the touchdown upside yep, yep, all right, who are

614
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 2: high on DJ Moore? Dj Moore at sixty four hundred

615
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 2: on FanDuel that's way too cheap for the clear number

616
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 2: one target in this offense. It's a revenge game for

617
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield. He is definitely an upgrade over the trio

618
00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:59,840
Speaker 2: of Sam Darnold, Cam Newton, p J. Walker whoever they

619
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 2: out under center last year for the Panthers. So I

620
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 2: think he just has a massive floor. He probably doesn't,

621
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,800
Speaker 2: you know, he doesn't have a massive you know, touchdown upside,

622
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,640
Speaker 2: but he's perfect for cash games, so I love DJ

623
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 2: Moore in cash games. Darnell Mooney at sixty two hundred,

624
00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:20,520
Speaker 2: he's just inside my top twenty. I think he's been

625
00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 2: bouncing around like wide receiver twenty one. Because you know,

626
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 2: we still don't know if Byron Pringle or Revealis Jones

627
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:29,680
Speaker 2: are gonna play. They're both questionable. It sounds like they're

628
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,959
Speaker 2: both trending to play, but either way, they're not going

629
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,520
Speaker 2: to be you know, one hundred percent. So I just

630
00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:37,080
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a top heavy passing attack with

631
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 2: Mooney and Comet for week one and you know, for

632
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 2: the rest of the season, but especially Week one, I

633
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 2: think Mooney's gonna have a massive target share, So love

634
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 2: Mooney this week. Hunter Renfro is a guy and monitoring.

635
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,280
Speaker 2: I don't know if Darren Waller's hamstring injury was due

636
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,920
Speaker 2: to him, you know, trying to get that new contract.

637
00:30:56,120 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 2: But if if Waller is limited anyway or of miss

638
00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:04,040
Speaker 2: his game, Renfro is gonna get a huge bump in

639
00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:06,600
Speaker 2: my projection. So he's the guy monitoring at least at

640
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:10,440
Speaker 2: fifty nine hundred this week, and then way down the list.

641
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,959
Speaker 2: I kind of like one Dale Robinson this week at

642
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 2: forty seven hundred. Again the Giants have like, uh, there's

643
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 2: Tony's questionable sterling Shepherd who is actually making like a

644
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 2: Miracos come back. I thought he was gonna be out

645
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:25,880
Speaker 2: for the first like eight games.

646
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 3: He's gonna lead. The Giants are receiving him.

647
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, he believe me. What's once he's fully healthy, like

648
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 2: I love Shephard, but he's got to be somewhat limited

649
00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 2: this week. He has to be that the two fast

650
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 2: recovery in my opinion, sort of like cam Akers, right,

651
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:42,680
Speaker 2: it's Achilles tear. So I just think Robinson is going

652
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 2: to have a pretty big Week one role. They've been

653
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 2: really just moving around the formation manufacturing touches for him,

654
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:53,440
Speaker 2: so this is, you know, obviously just DFS tournament play only.

655
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 2: I think he could be sneaky if one or any

656
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:59,239
Speaker 2: of these guys ends up missing this week or if

657
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 2: they're gonna be limited. But I'm pretty high on him

658
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 2: this week.

659
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:06,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's interesting. Like this, I have no idea

660
00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:08,840
Speaker 1: like what to do with the Giants.

661
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 2: Right now, just earlier in the week, but he's someone

662
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 2: to at least monitor.

663
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:14,520
Speaker 3: Absolutely.

664
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:18,200
Speaker 1: I mean, I kind of compare him to a ronde More.

665
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna play the Isaiah McKenzie role. Hopefully

666
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 1: it's the Isaiah McKenzie roll once he started like overtaking

667
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 1: Cole Beasley. Yeah, but that that could be worthwhile. I'm

668
00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 1: gonna go with a Monra. I love a Monra. I

669
00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 1: haven't met wide receiver twenty He's wide receiver twenty nine

670
00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 1: in consensus. You know, going against the Eagles, they're gonna

671
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,959
Speaker 1: kind of play their their two shell defense. I think

672
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 1: it's conducive to whide receivers catching the ball underneath. Yes,

673
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 1: and they have a talented defense, don't get me wrong.

674
00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 1: I think they improved a lot. But let's not forget

675
00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 1: a Monro was a top two fantasy receiver over the

676
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 1: last half, you know, stretch of the season. And we

677
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 1: don't have Jamison Williams yet. Yes, we have DJ Shark,

678
00:32:59,880 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 1: but he's gonna run a lot of clearouts. And this

679
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 1: is not the defense for DJ Chark because again, they're

680
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:07,280
Speaker 1: gonna keep a lot of the two high shells. So

681
00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see a lot of a Manra

682
00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 1: and you're gonna see some T. J. Hockinson some underneath stuff,

683
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 1: as you usually do with Jared Goff. But I think

684
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 1: people have been sleeping on him. I know you are

685
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 1: low on him in season one, but I think it's

686
00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 1: a good matchup for him. I think Philly's gonna be

687
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 1: able to score on that Lion's defense, and uh, you know,

688
00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:25,800
Speaker 1: if that happens, watch out because I don't.

689
00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:27,479
Speaker 3: I don't trust that line secondary at all.

690
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 1: So I think the Lions are gonna have to put

691
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 1: up some points themselves, and that's a manra And you

692
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: know they're talking about they're still trying to get him

693
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,000
Speaker 1: the ball and on jet sweeps and things like that.

694
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:40,960
Speaker 1: So I think he's gonna keep on balling out this season.

695
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I agree. I think he has a high four.

696
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 2: The only reason I was low on him is just

697
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,560
Speaker 2: his his touchdown up side seems limited. So he He's

698
00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:51,360
Speaker 2: gonna be sort of a Dj Moore type where you

699
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 2: can't expect more than say, six or seven touchdown from him.

700
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:57,120
Speaker 1: But I still they more ever gotten six or seven.

701
00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 2: That's what I like, all right, this his ceiling.

702
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 1: First of all, why Ross Brown in his rookie season

703
00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:06,720
Speaker 1: had more touchdowns than Dj Moore ever had in the

704
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 1: season he had five dj Moore's career highest four.

705
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he he got every single one of those

706
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:16,320
Speaker 2: touchdowns when Swift and or Hawkinson were out. I'm not

707
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:19,240
Speaker 2: discounting anything he did last year. He was my favorite sleepers.

708
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 2: I'm just saying that he's a high four guy, which

709
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:25,080
Speaker 2: I love that, but that's why he was just a

710
00:34:25,120 --> 00:34:27,960
Speaker 2: little bit down my rankings. I have him wide receiver

711
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:31,359
Speaker 2: twenty five this week, so I'm head of consensus, right, yep, yeah,

712
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:34,440
Speaker 2: give me a break. Yeah. So yeah, so I'm not

713
00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,400
Speaker 2: like bearish on him, but yeah, like I don't know

714
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:39,719
Speaker 2: what the consensus is thinking this week because he was

715
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:43,640
Speaker 2: like his ADP was wide receiver twenty So I'm just

716
00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:44,920
Speaker 2: saying ADP is wrong, not me.

717
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:47,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's weird, Yeah, because you wouldn't think like the

718
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 1: eaven was just like, oh my god, I got to

719
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:50,440
Speaker 1: bump it down nine spots.

720
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:52,960
Speaker 2: But right, exactly, who are you?

721
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 1: Who are you bumping down this week?

722
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 3: Who are you?

723
00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:58,440
Speaker 2: Well, I'm bumping down Jalen Waddle. It does look like

724
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,240
Speaker 2: he's dealing with the lower body and he's gonna play obviously,

725
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,440
Speaker 2: But we've been talking about this sort of offseason, how

726
00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:07,359
Speaker 2: the you know, Tyra Kills addition is going to lower

727
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 2: his target share, and I just think that the improved

728
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:12,720
Speaker 2: offensive line is gonna lower his target share as well, because,

729
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:16,439
Speaker 2: like I said, last season, when Devonte Parker and Will

730
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 2: follower out, the offensive line was a disaster. They really

731
00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 2: had to alter this offense in a way that just

732
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:27,360
Speaker 2: got Waddle of the ball immediately. So I just consider

733
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:29,400
Speaker 2: him more of a low end wide receiver two, and

734
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:32,480
Speaker 2: he's been drafted sort of like a high end wide

735
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 2: receiver two. I remember early in the offseason he was

736
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 2: still wide receiver twelve. That was back when the ADP

737
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:40,719
Speaker 2: wasn't reacting to any news. Luckily it caught up towards

738
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,799
Speaker 2: the end. But just heading into Week one, he's he's

739
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:45,920
Speaker 2: more of a low end wide receiver two where he's

740
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:47,440
Speaker 2: part of sit sart decisions.

741
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 1: Wait, where do you have his catches in yards? He

742
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 1: averaged like six and a half catches for sixty three

743
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:54,279
Speaker 1: you last year.

744
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:55,000
Speaker 3: Where do you have it?

745
00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:55,279
Speaker 2: Oh?

746
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:55,759
Speaker 1: Won?

747
00:35:56,719 --> 00:36:00,400
Speaker 2: I have him culosure to about high fours, like point eight,

748
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 2: four point nine. Again, he's dealing with that lower body injury,

749
00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:07,280
Speaker 2: so that's going to depend on you know, practice reports

750
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:09,719
Speaker 2: and things like that. Where do you have him at you.

751
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 1: Have him five for fifty four five. I'm wondering, though,

752
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:15,399
Speaker 1: you know, because the average six and a half last year,

753
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 1: and you know, projecting a guy at five, usually the

754
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:20,279
Speaker 1: books will float like a five point five because they're

755
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:23,080
Speaker 1: not going to float a street fight. Oh right, I'm

756
00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:26,239
Speaker 1: wondering if they'll float like a juice under five and

757
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 1: a half. I'd be all over that if they did that.

758
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:30,359
Speaker 2: But yeah, like five and a half and the under

759
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 2: is better than like minus one forty, I would consider

760
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:37,239
Speaker 2: taking the under right. No, maybe like minus one thirty.

761
00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm thinking the same thing, especially for week

762
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 2: one and then Deebo Samuel I actually just I bumped

763
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 2: him down to wide receiver ten. He should be fine,

764
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:50,719
Speaker 2: he's been dealing with the knee injury. But I just

765
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 2: don't think we're going to see that, you know, massive

766
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:56,040
Speaker 2: five to eight Russia attempt sort of usage that we

767
00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 2: saw towards the end of last year. I would assume

768
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 2: to begin the year they're going to take it easy

769
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,640
Speaker 2: on into it, maybe closer to two or three rush attempts.

770
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 2: You know, there's gonna be a lower volume overall with

771
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:09,160
Speaker 2: Trey Lance under center. Trey Lance himself is going to

772
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:11,240
Speaker 2: sort of eat into the sort of goal line carries

773
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:12,839
Speaker 2: that we saw Debo get last year. So I think

774
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:15,880
Speaker 2: debos do for some touchdown regression. I still love them,

775
00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:18,200
Speaker 2: but I view more of you know, a low end

776
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:21,360
Speaker 2: wide receiver one to at least begin this season, whereas

777
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:23,920
Speaker 2: on like Fandle he's eighty four hundred. I think he's

778
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:28,240
Speaker 2: more expensive than Justin Jefferson. He's twelve hundred more expensive

779
00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 2: than Michael Pittman, who I'm projecting almost the same amount

780
00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:33,359
Speaker 2: of fangle points. So I'm just a little bit lower

781
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 2: on Debo this week at wide receiver ten.

782
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:38,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, you'll you'll get a kick out of this. I

783
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 1: had to go in exit and create a whole new

784
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:47,879
Speaker 1: model to model wide receiver carries in y plus one

785
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,920
Speaker 1: because like usually I just kind of project wide receiver carries,

786
00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:53,800
Speaker 1: you know, it's just kind of a you could just

787
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:55,720
Speaker 1: do it without using any.

788
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:57,520
Speaker 3: Kind of model. It's usually you know, some guys get

789
00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,520
Speaker 3: like half a carry or whatever.

790
00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:02,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, like ced LAMB yeah point five carries, right, Yeah, But.

791
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,200
Speaker 3: I wanted to see, like what is the actual regretsies?

792
00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:07,120
Speaker 1: So I took every receiver that had carries in two

793
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 1: consecutive years, and I sent it over the last like

794
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,200
Speaker 1: fifteen years or so, and I regressed it, and it

795
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 1: turns out you take about sixty to sixty five percent of.

796
00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:18,760
Speaker 3: The previous year carries.

797
00:38:19,160 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 1: And then you could either if you you could either

798
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:23,719
Speaker 1: do it with like a zero intercept and then you

799
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:26,160
Speaker 1: just take about sixty six percent, or you could do

800
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:29,120
Speaker 1: like a point oh four carry per game. Uh, and

801
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 1: you take about sixty two percent. And yeah, that's how

802
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 1: you get carried. So I have them projected for about

803
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:37,160
Speaker 1: two point two so more like two carries, you know,

804
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:38,480
Speaker 1: instead of like you said, his.

805
00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 2: What was it five to eight?

806
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 1: Yeah?

807
00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, and now he has a just a massive rushing

808
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:47,759
Speaker 2: quarterback with him to compete for those you know, goal

809
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 2: line touches as well. So yeah, maximum regression coming for Debo.

810
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:54,879
Speaker 2: That would have been a fun rushing prop right there,

811
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 2: Debo's rushing arns. We started doing that. We started doing

812
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:01,320
Speaker 2: that like the week that transition happened. I felt like

813
00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:04,319
Speaker 2: we were ahead of that curve. Well, you were ahead

814
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:05,880
Speaker 2: of him, ranking him in the top five, but we

815
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:08,440
Speaker 2: we definitely sniffed out that new role early on.

816
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I remember I've been on the Debo running the

817
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 1: ball because I remember when I was like searching for

818
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 1: props to bet for that Super Bowl Chiefs Niners. I

819
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:21,080
Speaker 1: remember betting like a debo rushing over, even though it

820
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:23,800
Speaker 1: made no sense because it was like it was like

821
00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: fifteen and a half or something crazy, which is super

822
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,200
Speaker 1: hidh for receiver. But I was like, every time he

823
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 1: carries the ball, he's getting like ten fifteen yards, Like

824
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 1: I'm betting the over as long as he gets. He

825
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 1: just needs two carries, and he got. I think he

826
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:38,120
Speaker 1: got over. So I've always just kind of been on

827
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 1: alert for him running the ball. And Shanahan's just ridiculous.

828
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,440
Speaker 1: I mean just well we know that his scheme is

829
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 1: just nuts, so like yeah, he just getsed this like

830
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:48,920
Speaker 1: just like with the yak, like they're getting like ten

831
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 1: yards of yak catching the ball ten yards off you.

832
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,640
Speaker 1: So and don't forget they got Ray Ray McCloud. Now

833
00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:56,800
Speaker 1: that you know the gadget guy, he can have some

834
00:39:56,920 --> 00:40:00,759
Speaker 1: fun with perving around, so maybe he takes them away too,

835
00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 1: all right, payre Long is Rashad Bateman, so he's the

836
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:09,360
Speaker 1: consensus wide receiver twenty two and nothing against her shot Bateman.

837
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 1: I think I think he's gonna be the unquestioned number

838
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 1: one receiver in Baltimore. We talked to Matt Harmon about him,

839
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 1: and he turns out he can line up as the

840
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:20,360
Speaker 1: X receiver and win against preps.

841
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 3: So is a very good receiver. But I still have

842
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:25,839
Speaker 3: him in the mid thirties. It's Week one.

843
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:29,200
Speaker 1: I don't expect Baltimore to be very pass heavy like

844
00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:33,080
Speaker 1: Baltimore was had a big outlier season last year in

845
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 1: terms of their pass rate, like because everyone in their

846
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 1: secondary got hurt, they ended up passing it nearly like

847
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:42,480
Speaker 1: a league average rate, which never happens with Baltimore. But

848
00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,600
Speaker 1: you know, now big favorite against the Jets. Yes, I

849
00:40:46,680 --> 00:40:48,840
Speaker 1: know they got some running backs banged up or Dobbins

850
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:51,920
Speaker 1: banged up, I should say, but I still think Baltimore

851
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,640
Speaker 1: is gonna go back to running the football a lot more.

852
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 1: And you know, the Jets improved that cornerback as well.

853
00:40:57,719 --> 00:41:00,439
Speaker 1: You got Gardner. You might have DJ Reid as well,

854
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 1: and he's pretty good too. So I just don't think

855
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:06,080
Speaker 1: it's like one of those weeks where Baltimore is gonna

856
00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: go super past Sevy and Mark Andrew's still gonna be

857
00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 1: the number one target there. So I think you want

858
00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:14,080
Speaker 1: to target Baltimore in games where they're facing a little

859
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 1: bit more of a challenge. You know, maybe they're an

860
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:17,799
Speaker 1: underdog or you know, shorter favorite or.

861
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:18,200
Speaker 3: Something like that.

862
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:20,440
Speaker 1: This game, I mean, they could they could get up

863
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 1: and they it might be good night for throwing the ball. Yeah,

864
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,600
Speaker 1: all right, we got for the prop.

865
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:30,000
Speaker 2: Let's go with aj Brown on his new team, the

866
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:34,720
Speaker 2: Philadelphia Eagles. Let's go with his receiving yards against the Lions.

867
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna set the line at sixty one and a half.

868
00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,800
Speaker 1: Ooh, I get to choose an over I am oh, no,

869
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:47,279
Speaker 1: I am at sixty five? Mean is about seventy? So

870
00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 1: media about what sixty five? Sixty six?

871
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 2: Jeezus, How many yards do you have Jalen Hurts throwing for?

872
00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:56,800
Speaker 3: That is a good question. I have him thrown for

873
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:57,600
Speaker 3: two thirty.

874
00:41:58,080 --> 00:41:58,360
Speaker 2: Okay.

875
00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 1: If I got Brown getting yeah, like thirty percent of

876
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:05,800
Speaker 1: the yards Rob just seventy Smith at fifty.

877
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:09,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, you just have a slightly higher you know, target

878
00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 2: share for Brown, but not too far off when it

879
00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:15,760
Speaker 2: comes to the overall yardage. Maybe I'm loving Dallas Goddard

880
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 2: a little too much, or maybe Devanta Smith. But yeah,

881
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:20,439
Speaker 2: I'm a little bit lower than you on Brown.

882
00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 3: I mean, who's covering him on the lion?

883
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:23,680
Speaker 2: Like?

884
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, Jeff Kuda like Uda.

885
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 2: He looks better. You know he still has potential.

886
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,040
Speaker 3: He did not against a J.

887
00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:35,399
Speaker 1: Brown.

888
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:38,120
Speaker 2: You don't, No, I know. I agree. That's why I

889
00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:41,240
Speaker 2: like Jalen Hurts this week. I can't believe I was hoping.

890
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 2: I was hoping that you would take the under.

891
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:47,680
Speaker 1: No, I'm not doing it, not off guard and like

892
00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:51,799
Speaker 1: he's been every training camp report, he's been balling, Yeah,

893
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:54,640
Speaker 1: killing it. Like I'm not going to be that guy. Nope,

894
00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 1: not there not this one fair enough.

895
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:58,280
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm not. I'm not I'm making the argument

896
00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:00,360
Speaker 2: against Brown. I can't do it now.

897
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 1: He's my wife's over nine this week? Do you have

898
00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:02,799
Speaker 1: him in top ten?

899
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 2: Love it?

900
00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 1: Uh?

901
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 2: Ooh that's a great question. I probably don't. No, No,

902
00:43:11,239 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 2: he's right there eleven twelve range with Kean Ellen and

903
00:43:14,680 --> 00:43:17,640
Speaker 2: t Higgins. The week is still young. Though the week

904
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 2: is still young, I could.

905
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 3: See you moving a spot or two.

906
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:22,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, probably I could see that too.

907
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:24,839
Speaker 1: I got I got his mien at four point eight

908
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:28,320
Speaker 1: for seventy with point four to nine touchdowns, So median

909
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,480
Speaker 1: is about four and a half catches for like sixty six,

910
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 1: sixty five, sixty six, So yeah, I like him this weekend.

911
00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:36,880
Speaker 1: He's one of you know, anytime in receivers getting to

912
00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:40,560
Speaker 1: like that zero point five touchdowns. That's a game model,

913
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,239
Speaker 1: you know, that doesn't happen very often. So it's a

914
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 1: good aj Brown week.

915
00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:46,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, they didn't trade all those assets and pay them

916
00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 2: all that money to be a decoy, that's for sure.

917
00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:51,759
Speaker 1: Oh no, no at all. I mean he's and he's

918
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 1: done this on before, like he's done that on a

919
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:56,839
Speaker 1: run heavy offense. His target per route run last year

920
00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:59,320
Speaker 1: was twenty nine percent, which is one of the highest.

921
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 2: I hate to say this, but if Hurts were to

922
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 2: miss time and Minshew is under center, I could see,

923
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:05,719
Speaker 2: you know, Brown being in my top five.

924
00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:07,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Brown.

925
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 1: Still hasn't had like a ridiculous season for as talented

926
00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:12,800
Speaker 1: as he is. And yeah, wells he's played like the

927
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:15,279
Speaker 1: numbers either because he gets hurt, misses a few games

928
00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:18,520
Speaker 1: or whatever. So yeah, they would, you know, hurt those

929
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:21,919
Speaker 1: scrambles and everything. Just take some of the passing yarriage away.

930
00:44:22,239 --> 00:44:24,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to tight end Top.

931
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:29,200
Speaker 2: Five, Pretty pretty straightforward. Travis Kelcey, Mark Andrews, Kyle Pitts,

932
00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 2: George Kittle, and I have Dalton Schultz tight end five.

933
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:36,680
Speaker 3: This week I have Kelsey Andrews, Waller, Kittle, Pits.

934
00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 1: I guess Waller's not going to be a popular top

935
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,040
Speaker 1: top five, but he's actually my tight end three.

936
00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:42,200
Speaker 2: Now.

937
00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:43,399
Speaker 3: If he's hurt, I'll bump.

938
00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:43,719
Speaker 2: Yeah.

939
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:47,440
Speaker 1: But like I like this game environment. I mean, you

940
00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:49,920
Speaker 1: have a total of fifty two and a half compared

941
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:52,200
Speaker 1: to Kittle, who's a you know, a home favorite with

942
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:55,600
Speaker 1: a total like what is it, low forties, and Kyle Pitts,

943
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:57,799
Speaker 1: who's a you know, low forties as well.

944
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:00,800
Speaker 3: In the Saints, there's still still a out of defense,

945
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 3: you know.

946
00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 1: I know they're going through some things, but still should

947
00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:06,759
Speaker 1: be one of the better defenses in the league. So

948
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:10,680
Speaker 1: and they've always done well against tight ends too. So yeah,

949
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 1: I actually like Waller as long as he suits up.

950
00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:16,160
Speaker 1: I think, you know, I've read something really interesting about Waller,

951
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:18,600
Speaker 1: and that was they actually have a plan for him

952
00:45:18,920 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 1: in the red zone.

953
00:45:19,760 --> 00:45:21,719
Speaker 3: McDaniels has a plan for him in the red zone.

954
00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:24,120
Speaker 1: And because Waller, I know you know this, like he

955
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 1: he hasn't scored as many touchdowns as you would expect

956
00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:28,840
Speaker 1: given the amount of targets and catches he gets and

957
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:33,640
Speaker 1: yards so and his size right exactly, So hearing that

958
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:35,959
Speaker 1: McDaniel has a plan for him in the red zone,

959
00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:38,200
Speaker 1: and you know he's going to be freed up with

960
00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 1: you know, reent fro and Adams to also content with.

961
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:43,560
Speaker 1: So I feel good about Waller this week. I mean,

962
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:45,400
Speaker 1: I just I guess I could do it with Dolphin

963
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:49,080
Speaker 1: Schultz just because, like Dak has, that's his number two target,

964
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 1: but Shelter it will be moving into my top five

965
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 1: if Waller gets Yeah, exactly, all right, who you high on?

966
00:45:56,520 --> 00:45:59,919
Speaker 2: Well, I'm high on Kyle Pitts. I have him hired.

967
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:03,480
Speaker 2: So I love that he's my tight end three this week.

968
00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:06,880
Speaker 2: Like his price point on Fando as well, he's six K.

969
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:09,640
Speaker 2: It's sort of the sweet spot this week for tight

970
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:14,840
Speaker 2: end when I was building lineups. But you know the ceiling,

971
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:17,840
Speaker 2: there is no ceiling for Kyle Pitts. He's a generational

972
00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:20,319
Speaker 2: talent entering year two. The only thing that could slow

973
00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:22,759
Speaker 2: him down this year is Marcus Mariota not being great.

974
00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:25,680
Speaker 2: But Marioda has a history of targeting his tight end

975
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:29,319
Speaker 2: remember the Delaney Walker days. So you know, I want

976
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 2: to invest in Kyle Pits early in the season, and

977
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:34,520
Speaker 2: like you said, the Saints isn't an easy matchup, but

978
00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:38,279
Speaker 2: I think Latimer will probably on Drake London for most

979
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:40,640
Speaker 2: of the games, so it could actually funnel more even

980
00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:44,400
Speaker 2: more targets to Kyle Pitts. So I just think the

981
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:46,160
Speaker 2: first week of the season is when I went to

982
00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:49,040
Speaker 2: invest on a player like Kyle Pitts. So love him

983
00:46:49,080 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 2: this week. He's my tight end three. There's no debating

984
00:46:51,560 --> 00:46:52,120
Speaker 2: it whatsoever.

985
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:54,879
Speaker 1: I'm looking at I'm looking at our projections. We both

986
00:46:54,920 --> 00:46:58,400
Speaker 1: haven't projective right around sixty yards. But you have him

987
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 1: with like ero point zero eight higher touchdowns like my

988
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 1: mom still yeah, like my model is still waiting for

989
00:47:05,960 --> 00:47:09,000
Speaker 1: him to score another touchdown before it bumps. Yeah, right now,

990
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:11,640
Speaker 1: I have him at point two touchdowns, which is still

991
00:47:12,000 --> 00:47:13,839
Speaker 1: last year, higher than last year. But it's a low

992
00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:17,400
Speaker 1: scoring game where the Falcons applied for like eighteen eighteen ish.

993
00:47:18,040 --> 00:47:18,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, low.

994
00:47:19,080 --> 00:47:20,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, So that's that's kind of why I'm a little

995
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:21,480
Speaker 3: bit lower on Pits.

996
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:24,120
Speaker 1: It's just there's not there doesn't project to be a

997
00:47:24,200 --> 00:47:25,600
Speaker 1: lot of touchdowns to go around.

998
00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:27,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, fair enough that I feel you with the he's

999
00:47:27,960 --> 00:47:28,480
Speaker 3: just a baller.

1000
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:31,440
Speaker 2: So exactly, we're kind of on reverse sides at this

1001
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,719
Speaker 2: coin because I remember heading into the season, I was saying,

1002
00:47:34,800 --> 00:47:37,040
Speaker 2: you know, the only thing I don't like about Pitts

1003
00:47:37,080 --> 00:47:40,000
Speaker 2: and Drake Lennon is the limited touch of the touchdown upside,

1004
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:42,960
Speaker 2: and here we are with me with a higher touchdown production.

1005
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:45,719
Speaker 2: The other guy I want to mention we got to

1006
00:47:45,760 --> 00:47:49,000
Speaker 2: talk about him is Isaiah Likely. I have him, I

1007
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:51,080
Speaker 2: have him tied end thirty one, but his range of

1008
00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:54,560
Speaker 2: outcomes is certainly higher than that. He has a massive

1009
00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:56,920
Speaker 2: ceiling because we don't know exactly what his role is

1010
00:47:57,040 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 2: right now. His ECR is tight end thirty six, so

1011
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 2: I love being higher on likely than the consensus, but

1012
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:06,919
Speaker 2: he looks like a potential steel in the fourth round

1013
00:48:06,960 --> 00:48:09,000
Speaker 2: by the Ravens. They have done this before with Mark

1014
00:48:09,080 --> 00:48:12,000
Speaker 2: Andrews in the third round, and they have used two

1015
00:48:12,080 --> 00:48:15,279
Speaker 2: tight ends sets before with Mark Andrews and Hayden Hurst.

1016
00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:17,320
Speaker 2: So I think they're going to try to find a

1017
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:20,400
Speaker 2: way to get likely on the field week one, just

1018
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:24,760
Speaker 2: because their wide receiver depth behind Rashaan Bateman is pretty shaky,

1019
00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 2: so I could see them carving out like a Kyle

1020
00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 2: Pitts Mike is secky type of role for Likely in

1021
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:32,120
Speaker 2: week one, and you kind of saw that in week

1022
00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:34,720
Speaker 2: three they give him the starters treatment. He was supposed

1023
00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:37,960
Speaker 2: to play. He was my favorite play in DFS, and

1024
00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:40,799
Speaker 2: then they benched him and they said, you're too You're

1025
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:43,239
Speaker 2: too valuable, you know, we consider you a starter. So

1026
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:46,360
Speaker 2: that their tea leaves have been showing Likely having a

1027
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:48,560
Speaker 2: you know, a pretty big role to start the season.

1028
00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:51,160
Speaker 2: So I like getting him week one at forty one hundred.

1029
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 2: This will be the cheapest he you know, he's ever

1030
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:56,000
Speaker 2: gonna be. His rostership might be high in DFS, I

1031
00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:58,400
Speaker 2: don't care. I love taking a flyer on him in

1032
00:48:58,520 --> 00:48:58,880
Speaker 2: week one.

1033
00:48:59,560 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 1: I have one point seven catches for twenty one yards,

1034
00:49:02,640 --> 00:49:04,920
Speaker 1: but obviously the Steelers a lot higher. I have him

1035
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 1: running about forty percent of the routes right off the bat,

1036
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:09,839
Speaker 1: so I do think they're gonna use him as kind

1037
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:14,080
Speaker 1: of that de factough you know, third wide receiver, you know,

1038
00:49:14,200 --> 00:49:15,799
Speaker 1: in this offense from from the jrump.

1039
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:16,920
Speaker 2: So I like him.

1040
00:49:16,960 --> 00:49:19,279
Speaker 1: I think he's a guy to monitor because he could

1041
00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:22,240
Speaker 1: find he could find his way into at least in DFS.

1042
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:24,319
Speaker 1: I don't think he'll be consistent even you know, if

1043
00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:27,319
Speaker 1: he plays more than we think, yeah, because I don't Again,

1044
00:49:27,360 --> 00:49:29,080
Speaker 1: I don't expect the Ravens to be as pass heavy

1045
00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:32,000
Speaker 1: as they were last year. For me, I go with

1046
00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:34,359
Speaker 1: IRV Smith here. I think he's kind of flown under

1047
00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:36,440
Speaker 1: the radar because we don't know, we don't know if

1048
00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:38,640
Speaker 1: he's gonna play. It sounds like he's on track to play,

1049
00:49:38,880 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 1: and you know, I talked about how Jaira Alexander is

1050
00:49:42,200 --> 00:49:44,279
Speaker 1: probably one of the few cornerbacks that could at least

1051
00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:49,040
Speaker 1: maybe contain Justin Jefferson on some play, So that kind

1052
00:49:49,040 --> 00:49:51,839
Speaker 1: of leeds you to look for, Okay, who else could

1053
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:54,680
Speaker 1: could kind of come up big for Minnesota? And I

1054
00:49:54,760 --> 00:49:57,800
Speaker 1: think Smith is kind of the forgotten man in that

1055
00:49:58,000 --> 00:49:59,920
Speaker 1: offense because we haven't you know, he missed the entire

1056
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:00,600
Speaker 1: year last year.

1057
00:50:00,640 --> 00:50:03,120
Speaker 3: But you know, Green Bay, I think if they.

1058
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:05,440
Speaker 1: Do end up having a weakness, and again I like

1059
00:50:05,520 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 1: their defense, it looks really good, but I think it

1060
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:10,440
Speaker 1: might end up being against the tight end. They were

1061
00:50:10,480 --> 00:50:13,759
Speaker 1: bottom five in DVOA against tight ends last season, so

1062
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:16,839
Speaker 1: it's it gets ugly quick, it gets late early at

1063
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:18,960
Speaker 1: tight end, like you got the top ten, and then

1064
00:50:19,040 --> 00:50:21,640
Speaker 1: it's just like it kind of drops off a cliff.

1065
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:24,040
Speaker 1: So I actually have Smith up at tight end twelve.

1066
00:50:24,080 --> 00:50:27,200
Speaker 1: He's tight end sixteen consensus. So if you're in a

1067
00:50:27,200 --> 00:50:30,440
Speaker 1: twelve team league or fourteen teamer, I think you actually

1068
00:50:30,520 --> 00:50:33,360
Speaker 1: give Smith some consideration because it just comes back to,

1069
00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:36,320
Speaker 1: you know, Okay, which quarterbacks do we have projected to

1070
00:50:36,920 --> 00:50:39,920
Speaker 1: throw for a decent amount of touchdowns? I have Hirt cousins,

1071
00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:43,480
Speaker 1: you know, in that one point seven range for touchdowns

1072
00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:45,560
Speaker 1: and getting a decent amount of yards too, And this

1073
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:48,560
Speaker 1: should be a close game, So give you some earth Smith.

1074
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:50,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love it, and I mean to be fair,

1075
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:53,160
Speaker 2: he's coming back from a thumb injury. You don't need

1076
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:56,320
Speaker 2: that to catch passes, right, But yeah, it would be

1077
00:50:56,400 --> 00:50:59,480
Speaker 2: more worrisome if it was his surgic repair knee. You know,

1078
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:02,440
Speaker 2: he missed last season due the meniscus tare. But the

1079
00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:04,680
Speaker 2: fact that it is a thumb injury makes me like

1080
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:07,080
Speaker 2: him week one, like he should be good to go.

1081
00:51:07,320 --> 00:51:09,880
Speaker 2: He's on track, So love him. You know, he was

1082
00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:11,759
Speaker 2: one of my favorite tight ends heading in the last year,

1083
00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:14,040
Speaker 2: so I'm super excited to finally see him as the

1084
00:51:14,080 --> 00:51:17,160
Speaker 2: starting tight end along with Dallas Goddert for Week one.

1085
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I love I love it because it's O'Connell

1086
00:51:20,280 --> 00:51:22,799
Speaker 1: and you know, coming away from the Rams, and last

1087
00:51:22,880 --> 00:51:25,440
Speaker 1: year he played Tyler Higby pretty much every snap, didn't

1088
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:27,600
Speaker 1: make him block very much. And if you're not making

1089
00:51:27,680 --> 00:51:30,239
Speaker 1: Higbee block, you're definitely not making earth Smith block.

1090
00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:33,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, they traded, they got or they didn't sign

1091
00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:36,680
Speaker 2: trade away Conklind, So there's like nobody behind IRV Smith.

1092
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:39,799
Speaker 2: So yeah, do you have him like eighty percent routes

1093
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 2: run this week? Yep?

1094
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:44,439
Speaker 1: I have him nice eighty five and then Johnny Munch

1095
00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:44,960
Speaker 1: getting the.

1096
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 2: Other the rest of them exactly the same here.

1097
00:51:49,160 --> 00:51:52,160
Speaker 1: Uh So, Yeah, three point seven catches, thirty seven yards

1098
00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:55,480
Speaker 1: and just over point about third of a touchdown for

1099
00:51:55,600 --> 00:51:57,239
Speaker 1: IRV and that's that's enough to get the tight ends?

1100
00:51:57,280 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 3: Well yep, all right, who you lo on?

1101
00:51:59,120 --> 00:52:01,440
Speaker 2: This is kind of cheap Darren Waller, just tight end

1102
00:52:01,480 --> 00:52:04,160
Speaker 2: six until we find out more about the hamstring injury.

1103
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:07,560
Speaker 2: He's seven k on FanDuel. So while I do like

1104
00:52:07,640 --> 00:52:09,200
Speaker 2: your theory about they could use them more in the

1105
00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:12,439
Speaker 2: red zone, it's gonna be have to be after week

1106
00:52:12,480 --> 00:52:14,360
Speaker 2: one for me to just see if this hamstring injury

1107
00:52:15,160 --> 00:52:17,880
Speaker 2: was a real thing or something. Shady, like you know,

1108
00:52:17,960 --> 00:52:20,520
Speaker 2: waiting for a new contract or something. But I'm a

1109
00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:22,319
Speaker 2: little bit lower on him at least to begin the week.

1110
00:52:22,360 --> 00:52:24,320
Speaker 2: And then the guy that I was really low on

1111
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:26,960
Speaker 2: heading into the season and obviously heading into Week one,

1112
00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:30,120
Speaker 2: Mike a Seki. I have him at tight end twenty

1113
00:52:30,239 --> 00:52:33,600
Speaker 2: right now. It looks like the consensus is pretty low

1114
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:36,239
Speaker 2: on him as well at tight end eighteen. But he

1115
00:52:36,320 --> 00:52:38,359
Speaker 2: could be used more as a blocker this year. They've

1116
00:52:38,400 --> 00:52:41,720
Speaker 2: been lining up in line more in this new scheme,

1117
00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:44,279
Speaker 2: more of the forty nine ers scheme, so he could

1118
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:47,200
Speaker 2: struggle at least early on where the thing we love

1119
00:52:47,200 --> 00:52:49,120
Speaker 2: about Kasecki was he just lined up in the slot

1120
00:52:49,160 --> 00:52:51,840
Speaker 2: all the time, always run a ton of routes, but

1121
00:52:52,000 --> 00:52:55,040
Speaker 2: he never had much touch on upside. So I just

1122
00:52:55,080 --> 00:52:57,160
Speaker 2: think all these factors lead me to, you know, being

1123
00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:59,239
Speaker 2: off him. I consider more of a low end tight

1124
00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:01,200
Speaker 2: end two at least entering the season.

1125
00:53:01,719 --> 00:53:02,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I could see that we have. We just have

1126
00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:05,640
Speaker 1: to kind of see what's going on with this Dolphins offense.

1127
00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:07,600
Speaker 1: You know, like you said, once you get one week

1128
00:53:07,640 --> 00:53:09,200
Speaker 1: of data, we could see, awy the routs he run,

1129
00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:12,279
Speaker 1: is it comparable to last year? Then we could kind

1130
00:53:12,320 --> 00:53:16,840
Speaker 1: of adjust for me. The guy along on his cole Comet,

1131
00:53:17,239 --> 00:53:20,160
Speaker 1: and you know, he's been flying up draft boards again

1132
00:53:20,160 --> 00:53:22,640
Speaker 1: because nobody knows what to do after the top ten

1133
00:53:22,719 --> 00:53:26,200
Speaker 1: tight ends. So Comet, I think with consensus number eleven

1134
00:53:27,040 --> 00:53:30,719
Speaker 1: on season long boards, and this week he is the

1135
00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:34,480
Speaker 1: consensus tight end number twelve, and I just think that's

1136
00:53:34,520 --> 00:53:38,160
Speaker 1: too high. Again in this matchup against the Niners, where

1137
00:53:38,239 --> 00:53:41,879
Speaker 1: the Bears are projected to score, you know, seventeen odd

1138
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:45,320
Speaker 1: points in this game, don't expect a ton of passing

1139
00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:47,240
Speaker 1: yards for justin fields.

1140
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:48,920
Speaker 3: You know, I think he's gonna do a lot with

1141
00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:49,520
Speaker 3: his legs.

1142
00:53:50,040 --> 00:53:53,920
Speaker 1: So I have Comet projected for eighty five percent of

1143
00:53:54,080 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 1: the routes, which is kind of where he topped out

1144
00:53:55,960 --> 00:53:56,399
Speaker 1: last year.

1145
00:53:57,560 --> 00:54:00,319
Speaker 3: And I still have him as my tight end seven teen.

1146
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:04,840
Speaker 1: I have him at three point seven catches thirty nine yards,

1147
00:54:05,160 --> 00:54:09,160
Speaker 1: but only point one five touchdowns because again, just you know,

1148
00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:12,000
Speaker 1: I use I kind of use my I was gonna ask,

1149
00:54:12,920 --> 00:54:15,600
Speaker 1: you know, I have the Bears projected for, yeah, seventeen points,

1150
00:54:16,160 --> 00:54:19,080
Speaker 1: so there's just not a lot of touchdowns to go around,

1151
00:54:19,680 --> 00:54:22,200
Speaker 1: and you know there's a chance step you know, they

1152
00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 1: could get a rushing score to two, So just not

1153
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:28,040
Speaker 1: a lot of passing touchdowns to go around for command.

1154
00:54:28,080 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 1: And that's really what does it at tight end is

1155
00:54:30,880 --> 00:54:33,080
Speaker 1: you know, outside of that top ten where you can

1156
00:54:33,200 --> 00:54:36,800
Speaker 1: count on the usage and the catches and yards, you

1157
00:54:36,920 --> 00:54:38,839
Speaker 1: really just need a touchdown. And I just don't think

1158
00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:40,480
Speaker 1: that is a good touchdown back this week.

1159
00:54:40,680 --> 00:54:42,920
Speaker 2: And your your model probably doesn't like the fact that

1160
00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:47,439
Speaker 2: he had zero touchdowns on ninety three targets class. Yeah.

1161
00:54:47,520 --> 00:54:49,600
Speaker 1: I actually, yeah, I go by route too, so yeah,

1162
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 1: it was even worse. It was like zero touchdowns on.

1163
00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:55,120
Speaker 2: Like yeah, but yeah, the main reason was Jimmy Graham

1164
00:54:55,320 --> 00:54:58,719
Speaker 2: just coming in, you know, running the names on turnaround,

1165
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:04,000
Speaker 2: melting stuck in, I doing things like that. But with

1166
00:55:04,200 --> 00:55:06,759
Speaker 2: Jimmy Graham, gone, don't you think that's gonna see you know,

1167
00:55:06,880 --> 00:55:08,040
Speaker 2: some more resident targets or what?

1168
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:11,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I have him regressing, you know, to

1169
00:55:11,360 --> 00:55:13,800
Speaker 1: the mean in his touchdown rate, and he's still is

1170
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:15,560
Speaker 1: not getting a lot of I mean, nobody on the

1171
00:55:15,600 --> 00:55:16,800
Speaker 1: Bears is getting a lot of touch.

1172
00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:18,760
Speaker 2: Right right, I have at five and a half percent

1173
00:55:19,440 --> 00:55:22,839
Speaker 2: his touchdown rate. So yeah, point two three touchdowns sounds

1174
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:25,520
Speaker 2: like I'm way over you. I haven't tight on eleven.

1175
00:55:25,560 --> 00:55:28,040
Speaker 2: But I get what you mean. I just consider more

1176
00:55:28,080 --> 00:55:29,480
Speaker 2: of a high floor guy than anything.

1177
00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:34,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean just just San Francisco is also top five,

1178
00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:36,560
Speaker 1: and dv AWA against Titus and he got warnerbacked. I

1179
00:55:36,600 --> 00:55:39,200
Speaker 1: know Jimmy Ward is out, but uh again, just not

1180
00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:41,279
Speaker 1: the team you really just want to go at. I

1181
00:55:41,440 --> 00:55:43,960
Speaker 1: just don't think you want to play offensive players against

1182
00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:44,680
Speaker 1: San Francisco.

1183
00:55:45,160 --> 00:55:47,320
Speaker 3: All right, let's go with the prop.

1184
00:55:47,680 --> 00:55:49,279
Speaker 1: I'm going to go with another one of these tight

1185
00:55:49,400 --> 00:55:51,360
Speaker 1: ends that it's kind of been on the cusps and

1186
00:55:52,239 --> 00:55:54,200
Speaker 1: I don't think anyone knows what to do with. But

1187
00:55:54,320 --> 00:55:57,120
Speaker 1: he's ranked number eleven this week, so right outside, he's

1188
00:55:57,160 --> 00:56:00,440
Speaker 1: a first tight end after the consensus top ten, and

1189
00:56:00,640 --> 00:56:01,799
Speaker 1: that's Pat Fryar move.

1190
00:56:02,320 --> 00:56:02,960
Speaker 2: Oh boy.

1191
00:56:04,520 --> 00:56:06,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna set the line at thirty six and

1192
00:56:06,760 --> 00:56:08,000
Speaker 1: a half receiving yards, which you.

1193
00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:11,640
Speaker 2: Got, damn it. I have it at thirty four. I'm

1194
00:56:11,680 --> 00:56:14,480
Speaker 2: gonna go with under though. I'm gonna go with under.

1195
00:56:15,040 --> 00:56:18,880
Speaker 2: I just think there's gonna be less pass attempts to

1196
00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:22,520
Speaker 2: go around than last year. Again, big Ben was slinging

1197
00:56:22,520 --> 00:56:26,000
Speaker 2: around the yard last year. I do, like George Pickett,

1198
00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:29,160
Speaker 2: I think that's going to eat into Farmoot's target share

1199
00:56:29,160 --> 00:56:32,160
Speaker 2: a bit. So while I'm very close to your projection,

1200
00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:33,960
Speaker 2: I I do like the under here.

1201
00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:36,480
Speaker 1: You like George Pickett. I like Kenny Pickens.

1202
00:56:36,719 --> 00:56:39,520
Speaker 2: Actually Kenny Pickens, he said.

1203
00:56:39,320 --> 00:56:42,319
Speaker 3: George, Oh you confined? Yeah, you combine the two.

1204
00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:46,360
Speaker 2: I was, yeah, I was definitely thinking about both players

1205
00:56:46,360 --> 00:56:48,759
Speaker 2: at the same time. There there we go mid season four.

1206
00:56:49,640 --> 00:56:52,319
Speaker 2: But yeah, George Pickens is going to be a beast

1207
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:55,359
Speaker 2: this year. So if if he didn't look as good

1208
00:56:55,360 --> 00:56:57,799
Speaker 2: as he did heading into the season, I probably would

1209
00:56:57,800 --> 00:57:00,239
Speaker 2: have taken me over. But I would say that's we've

1210
00:57:00,239 --> 00:57:02,279
Speaker 2: been tipping point for me and why I'm just a

1211
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:03,440
Speaker 2: couple of yards below you.

1212
00:57:03,960 --> 00:57:04,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got him.

1213
00:57:04,960 --> 00:57:08,600
Speaker 1: I got him right right about thirty two for a median,

1214
00:57:08,760 --> 00:57:11,640
Speaker 1: thirty five for mean and h three point nine catches,

1215
00:57:11,719 --> 00:57:13,480
Speaker 1: so but only nine yards of catch.

1216
00:57:13,920 --> 00:57:15,279
Speaker 2: Really, it's where do you have him rand?

1217
00:57:16,160 --> 00:57:16,560
Speaker 3: Thirteen?

1218
00:57:16,840 --> 00:57:18,840
Speaker 2: So yeah, I have fourteen, So we're both lower.

1219
00:57:18,960 --> 00:57:22,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just have Smith above them, and uh, I

1220
00:57:22,120 --> 00:57:24,560
Speaker 1: think I forget who else? One other guy?

1221
00:57:25,040 --> 00:57:25,080
Speaker 2: No?

1222
00:57:25,160 --> 00:57:26,440
Speaker 1: What important? It's tight end?

1223
00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:29,520
Speaker 2: Where do you have Albro? I have him ten right now?

1224
00:57:29,600 --> 00:57:30,680
Speaker 2: That's is that crazy?

1225
00:57:30,960 --> 00:57:31,760
Speaker 3: I have him fourteen?

1226
00:57:32,000 --> 00:57:33,200
Speaker 1: And maybe I should bump them up.

1227
00:57:33,560 --> 00:57:35,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have him ten, I've been.

1228
00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:37,840
Speaker 1: I've been loving me some Alberto, but just kind of.

1229
00:57:38,240 --> 00:57:39,760
Speaker 1: I heard he's dealing with some kind of injury.

1230
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:40,120
Speaker 2: I know.

1231
00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:42,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, every it seems like everyone is.

1232
00:57:42,800 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 3: But all right, Dad is going to do it.

1233
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:48,080
Speaker 1: For our week one NFL Player Projections episode of the

1234
00:57:48,160 --> 00:57:51,160
Speaker 1: Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. For more great fantasy

1235
00:57:51,240 --> 00:57:54,080
Speaker 1: content from Sean and I, check out our full Fantasy

1236
00:57:54,160 --> 00:57:58,240
Speaker 1: preview episode out now over on the Fantasy Flex podcast channel.

1237
00:57:58,600 --> 00:58:00,440
Speaker 1: And if you're into betting, we sure to check out

1238
00:58:00,800 --> 00:58:04,520
Speaker 1: my weekly betting preview episode on this channel every Thursday

1239
00:58:04,560 --> 00:58:08,720
Speaker 1: with Stucky and Actionnetwork dot Com for all of our content.

1240
00:58:09,120 --> 00:58:12,560
Speaker 1: Can also follow Sean on Twitter at the Underscore Oddsmaker

1241
00:58:12,640 --> 00:58:14,920
Speaker 1: and me at Chris Raybond, and you can find us

1242
00:58:15,200 --> 00:58:18,240
Speaker 1: at the same handles on the free, award winning Action

1243
00:58:18,520 --> 00:58:21,400
Speaker 1: Network app. Until next time, let's get this money.