WEBVTT - Bloomberg Daybreak: December 29, 2022 - Hour 2 (Radio)

0:00:01.680 --> 0:00:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day

0:00:05.160 --> 0:00:08.720
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com, the Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg

0:00:08.800 --> 0:00:18.960
<v Speaker 1>Quick Tape, She's a Bloomberg business flash and I'm Karen Moscow.

0:00:19.040 --> 0:00:22.000
<v Speaker 1>And futures are higher led by technology shares. We checked

0:00:22.040 --> 0:00:24.760
<v Speaker 1>the markets all day long year on Bloomberg SMP futures

0:00:24.800 --> 0:00:27.760
<v Speaker 1>up half percent of seventeen points down, features up two

0:00:27.800 --> 0:00:30.320
<v Speaker 1>tens of a percent or seventy four points, and nosday

0:00:30.360 --> 0:00:33.600
<v Speaker 1>futures up seven tenths of a percent or seventy five points.

0:00:33.600 --> 0:00:36.159
<v Speaker 1>The decks in Germany's up about two tenths of a percent.

0:00:36.479 --> 0:00:38.800
<v Speaker 1>Ten year treasury up one thirty second deal three point

0:00:38.800 --> 0:00:40.919
<v Speaker 1>eight seven percent. That yield on the two year four

0:00:40.960 --> 0:00:44.040
<v Speaker 1>point three six percent. NIMEX screwed oil is down one

0:00:44.080 --> 0:00:46.840
<v Speaker 1>percent on ninety four cents at seventy eight dollars two

0:00:46.840 --> 0:00:48.960
<v Speaker 1>cents of Barrel Comic School down a tenth of a

0:00:49.040 --> 0:00:52.680
<v Speaker 1>percent or two dollars fifty cents at eighteen thirteen thirty announced.

0:00:53.040 --> 0:00:55.520
<v Speaker 1>The euro one point oh six three nine against the dollar,

0:00:55.560 --> 0:00:58.120
<v Speaker 1>British pound one point two zero two six, the yen

0:00:58.200 --> 0:01:00.800
<v Speaker 1>one thirty three point seven three and bit growing up

0:01:00.840 --> 0:01:04.160
<v Speaker 1>about half percent and about sixteen thousand, six hundred dollars.

0:01:04.560 --> 0:01:07.480
<v Speaker 1>And as a Bloomberg Business flash, John all right, Karen,

0:01:07.520 --> 0:01:09.720
<v Speaker 1>thanks very much. Is now all six fifty six on

0:01:09.880 --> 0:01:11.880
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. Time to take a look at stocks, some

0:01:11.959 --> 0:01:13.520
<v Speaker 1>of the names that are moving in the pre market.

0:01:13.640 --> 0:01:15.560
<v Speaker 1>And for that we're joined by Bloomberg Radio and TV

0:01:15.680 --> 0:01:20.800
<v Speaker 1>Markets correspondent Kritty Gupta. Here's a quiz. What stock brought

0:01:20.840 --> 0:01:25.560
<v Speaker 1>a windfall of seventeen billion dollars for shorts last year

0:01:25.720 --> 0:01:30.039
<v Speaker 1>or this year? You know it's your first stock, it

0:01:30.120 --> 0:01:31.720
<v Speaker 1>is my first stock. I just wanted to make sure

0:01:31.880 --> 0:01:38.360
<v Speaker 1>that I was right. I'm just I'm just staring at stump.

0:01:38.440 --> 0:01:42.560
<v Speaker 1>The reporter Tesla is the first doc C s L

0:01:42.640 --> 0:01:45.479
<v Speaker 1>a day win the pop quiz series about four point

0:01:45.480 --> 0:01:47.560
<v Speaker 1>four percent this morning. Let's come back to you after

0:01:47.560 --> 0:01:52.200
<v Speaker 1>an analyst kind of I will say standpard approval reconfirmation.

0:01:52.240 --> 0:01:55.360
<v Speaker 1>I would say Morgan Stanley of Adam Jonas over there,

0:01:55.360 --> 0:01:58.320
<v Speaker 1>the analyst saying that he d rating in the ev

0:01:58.480 --> 0:02:01.840
<v Speaker 1>company stock has created did an opportunity. He did lower

0:02:01.880 --> 0:02:05.120
<v Speaker 1>his private price target to two fifty dollars from three

0:02:05.200 --> 0:02:07.920
<v Speaker 1>hundred and thirty, but he is sticking to his overweight rating.

0:02:07.960 --> 0:02:10.760
<v Speaker 1>Tesla shares now training about a hundred and seventeen dollars.

0:02:10.919 --> 0:02:13.600
<v Speaker 1>So basically, he's saying that those wave of analysts downgrades

0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:15.280
<v Speaker 1>that I had pressured the stock in the last couple

0:02:15.280 --> 0:02:18.320
<v Speaker 1>of days and arguably weeks, He's sticking to his guns

0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:20.680
<v Speaker 1>here and saying, well, look that is actually making it

0:02:21.040 --> 0:02:24.000
<v Speaker 1>a little bit cheaper to hop into. So nevertheless, Tesla

0:02:24.080 --> 0:02:26.360
<v Speaker 1>shares t s l A up four point four percent,

0:02:26.639 --> 0:02:29.880
<v Speaker 1>down a hundred and seventeen or excuse me, um training

0:02:29.919 --> 0:02:31.639
<v Speaker 1>around a hundred and seventeen a share. And this is

0:02:31.680 --> 0:02:36.560
<v Speaker 1>also important because it's coming after about seven days of losses.

0:02:36.800 --> 0:02:38.840
<v Speaker 1>Yesterday was its first positive day. Let see if it

0:02:38.919 --> 0:02:41.839
<v Speaker 1>holds into today. Maybe in a Tesla and a peer

0:02:41.960 --> 0:02:45.480
<v Speaker 1>to peer car sharing marketplace. I have a car sharing

0:02:45.720 --> 0:02:49.520
<v Speaker 1>um program at my house with a teenager. It doesn't work.

0:02:50.280 --> 0:02:53.519
<v Speaker 1>What's this next stock? Let's talk about the stock called

0:02:53.600 --> 0:02:56.320
<v Speaker 1>Get Around g E. T R shares are up. While

0:02:56.320 --> 0:02:58.360
<v Speaker 1>they were about three point three percent, they are now

0:02:58.440 --> 0:03:00.240
<v Speaker 1>up about one percent. This is a stock that was

0:03:00.280 --> 0:03:04.080
<v Speaker 1>initiated with an overweight rating and just a one dollar

0:03:04.240 --> 0:03:06.760
<v Speaker 1>fifty cent price target. One of those really tiny stocks

0:03:06.800 --> 0:03:09.800
<v Speaker 1>but worth remembering because it's one of the only movers

0:03:09.800 --> 0:03:12.120
<v Speaker 1>out there this morning over a Piper Sandler, they're saying

0:03:12.200 --> 0:03:14.720
<v Speaker 1>that the platform looks well positioned to provide, to your point,

0:03:14.720 --> 0:03:18.120
<v Speaker 1>pier to pier car sharing marketplace. Um. The other one

0:03:18.120 --> 0:03:20.280
<v Speaker 1>I really want to point out here is the oil story,

0:03:20.320 --> 0:03:22.600
<v Speaker 1>because you are seeing oil come down a little bit

0:03:22.840 --> 0:03:24.920
<v Speaker 1>uh this morning, and that is having a ripple effect

0:03:24.960 --> 0:03:27.600
<v Speaker 1>into Exxon and Chevron as well. X O M is

0:03:27.639 --> 0:03:30.320
<v Speaker 1>your taker DWN about seven tenths of one percent and

0:03:30.440 --> 0:03:33.080
<v Speaker 1>Chevron not far behind a cv X down eight tenths

0:03:33.080 --> 0:03:34.600
<v Speaker 1>of one percent. A lot of this has to do

0:03:34.960 --> 0:03:39.880
<v Speaker 1>with this idea of is a Chinese reopening inflationary or disinflationary? Yeah,

0:03:39.920 --> 0:03:42.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's interestion. We were talking about that today

0:03:42.120 --> 0:03:44.960
<v Speaker 1>because it's like, I'm kind of kind of confused. Second

0:03:45.000 --> 0:03:49.360
<v Speaker 1>largest economy reopens, good, right, you know, oil run, But

0:03:49.440 --> 0:03:52.880
<v Speaker 1>then you have the well we hadn't COVID spread possibly

0:03:53.040 --> 0:03:55.280
<v Speaker 1>we had an oil analyst on early edition this morning

0:03:55.520 --> 0:04:00.000
<v Speaker 1>bloomber Television actually talking about, well, look, China's domestic demand

0:04:00.040 --> 0:04:02.680
<v Speaker 1>and is going in domestic tourism is going to wrap

0:04:02.800 --> 0:04:04.600
<v Speaker 1>up from reopening, which is of course a bullish river.

0:04:04.720 --> 0:04:06.880
<v Speaker 1>But the spread of COVID, to your point, could be

0:04:06.920 --> 0:04:09.560
<v Speaker 1>a bearish one. All right, Bloomberg Radio and TV Markets

0:04:09.600 --> 0:04:12.760
<v Speaker 1>correspondent crittic Group to thank you, appreciated Critty and looking

0:04:12.800 --> 0:04:15.120
<v Speaker 1>at stocks as the whole ahead of the open SMP

0:04:15.320 --> 0:04:18.679
<v Speaker 1>futures of seventeen right now down future is up seventy

0:04:18.720 --> 0:04:21.760
<v Speaker 1>four and the state futures up seventy four. And for

0:04:21.960 --> 0:04:25.520
<v Speaker 1>Karen Moscow, I'm John Tucker. To stay with Just ahead,

0:04:25.600 --> 0:04:32.000
<v Speaker 1>you can hear Bloomberg Surveillance live from the financial capital

0:04:32.000 --> 0:04:35.880
<v Speaker 1>of the world broadcasting across below. This is w VBR

0:04:36.000 --> 0:04:45.440
<v Speaker 1>New York Bloomberg he limon Frio. I don't see any

0:04:45.480 --> 0:04:48.120
<v Speaker 1>reason for the Fed to be moving that two percent target.

0:04:48.279 --> 0:04:53.440
<v Speaker 1>We finally have come to grips with markets, headlines and

0:04:53.520 --> 0:04:56.800
<v Speaker 1>breaking news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com,

0:04:56.920 --> 0:05:00.480
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business at and at Bloomberg Quick Take, She's

0:05:00.480 --> 0:05:09.400
<v Speaker 1>a bloom Burn Business Lash and I'm Karen Monstcaw and

0:05:09.520 --> 0:05:12.880
<v Speaker 1>futures are on the rise. This morning, led by tech Shares,

0:05:12.960 --> 0:05:15.240
<v Speaker 1>we get the first word breaking news dance for today's

0:05:15.279 --> 0:05:20.880
<v Speaker 1>morning call. And here's Tatiana Darry Tatiana, good morning, Good morning, Karen,

0:05:20.960 --> 0:05:24.040
<v Speaker 1>futures are holding around the highs, with the dull contracts

0:05:24.080 --> 0:05:26.400
<v Speaker 1>up sixty two points, S and P s up sixteen

0:05:26.760 --> 0:05:29.640
<v Speaker 1>and nastacap seventy two. The U S tenure yield is

0:05:29.720 --> 0:05:32.360
<v Speaker 1>lower by one basis point to a three spot eight

0:05:32.480 --> 0:05:35.520
<v Speaker 1>seven percent. This morning. Oil is down to and the

0:05:35.600 --> 0:05:38.919
<v Speaker 1>dollar is weak or by about two tenths. Elsewhere. European

0:05:38.960 --> 0:05:42.080
<v Speaker 1>stocks are slightly higher at this hour, while Asian markets

0:05:42.120 --> 0:05:45.280
<v Speaker 1>fell overnight. Back in the US on the economic front,

0:05:45.279 --> 0:05:48.679
<v Speaker 1>today we have jobless claims at eight thirty. In early

0:05:48.760 --> 0:05:51.800
<v Speaker 1>trading this morning, Tesla on the move again, shares up

0:05:51.839 --> 0:05:55.320
<v Speaker 1>five percent after Morgan Stanley said hears are more attractive

0:05:55.440 --> 0:05:58.760
<v Speaker 1>after the recent decline, and Netflix is up one after

0:05:58.800 --> 0:06:02.839
<v Speaker 1>an upgrade at CFR eight. In other news, Get Around

0:06:02.920 --> 0:06:06.160
<v Speaker 1>was initiated with an overweight at Piper Sandler and keep

0:06:06.200 --> 0:06:08.680
<v Speaker 1>an Eye of Sketcher shares after Piper gave it a

0:06:08.720 --> 0:06:12.880
<v Speaker 1>neutral rating, calling its valuation fair. Live from the first

0:06:12.880 --> 0:06:16.760
<v Speaker 1>and breaking news task, I'm Tatiana, Daria Karen very Tatiana,

0:06:16.800 --> 0:06:19.000
<v Speaker 1>thank you and here live breaking news of your Bloomberg

0:06:19.040 --> 0:06:21.920
<v Speaker 1>type squawk on your terminal ascue you a w K

0:06:22.080 --> 0:06:24.440
<v Speaker 1>and as a Bloomberg Business Flash. Now here's Michael Barr

0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:26.760
<v Speaker 1>with more on what's going on around the world. Michael,

0:06:26.839 --> 0:06:29.000
<v Speaker 1>paren thank you very much. More than twenty three hundred

0:06:29.040 --> 0:06:32.480
<v Speaker 1>Southwest flights are already canceled today, marking the fourth strade

0:06:32.520 --> 0:06:35.840
<v Speaker 1>day of the airline has canceled more than fifty percent

0:06:36.120 --> 0:06:39.440
<v Speaker 1>of its scheduled flights, and all more than thirteen thousand

0:06:39.520 --> 0:06:42.599
<v Speaker 1>Southwest flights of the past week been canceled. The U

0:06:42.720 --> 0:06:46.599
<v Speaker 1>S is reinstating mandatory COVID nineteen testing for airline travelers

0:06:46.680 --> 0:06:49.960
<v Speaker 1>arriving from China. The CDC says the new measures follow

0:06:49.960 --> 0:06:53.440
<v Speaker 1>a surgeon infections in China and a lack of transparency

0:06:53.480 --> 0:06:57.520
<v Speaker 1>from Chinese officials. A massive fire at a Cambodian hotel

0:06:57.640 --> 0:07:01.400
<v Speaker 1>casino has killed about a dozen people. In the NBA,

0:07:01.600 --> 0:07:04.640
<v Speaker 1>the Nets won their tenth straight, the Wizards and Warriors one.

0:07:05.000 --> 0:07:08.240
<v Speaker 1>In the NHL, the Bruins Devils three one. Global news

0:07:08.320 --> 0:07:10.800
<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg

0:07:10.840 --> 0:07:14.640
<v Speaker 1>Quick Take, powered by more than journalists analysts in more

0:07:14.680 --> 0:07:17.720
<v Speaker 1>than a d twenty countries. I'm Michael Barr, and this

0:07:18.120 --> 0:07:21.840
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg. Karen you. It is six forty two on

0:07:21.880 --> 0:07:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street, and we turned to news and science and

0:07:24.000 --> 0:07:27.200
<v Speaker 1>technology now at the Bloomberg and j I. T. Stem Report,

0:07:27.320 --> 0:07:30.440
<v Speaker 1>and here's just making news and science, technology, engineering and math.

0:07:30.880 --> 0:07:33.960
<v Speaker 1>South Korea's semiconductor production in November felt by the most

0:07:34.000 --> 0:07:37.080
<v Speaker 1>since the global financial crisis, pointing to a further cooling

0:07:37.080 --> 0:07:40.600
<v Speaker 1>of overseas demand for tech components. Chip production shrank for

0:07:40.640 --> 0:07:43.760
<v Speaker 1>a fourth straight month, following fift from a year earlier,

0:07:44.040 --> 0:07:46.920
<v Speaker 1>for the largest drops ince two thousand nine. According to

0:07:47.000 --> 0:07:50.840
<v Speaker 1>data from the National Statistics Office, Lithium will get less

0:07:50.840 --> 0:07:54.400
<v Speaker 1>expensive in this according to a Chinese supplier or the

0:07:54.400 --> 0:07:58.360
<v Speaker 1>battery metal, potentially offering some relief to electric vehicle makers

0:07:58.360 --> 0:08:02.200
<v Speaker 1>sweezed by soaring costs. More supplies emerged to trim abnormally

0:08:02.280 --> 0:08:05.320
<v Speaker 1>high margins for lithium producers, according to the chairman of

0:08:05.360 --> 0:08:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Sina Mine Resource Group and the value of I P O,

0:08:08.600 --> 0:08:10.840
<v Speaker 1>S C M and as in Israel's tech industry this

0:08:10.920 --> 0:08:15.240
<v Speaker 1>year fell substantially from one levels. Rising interest rates and

0:08:15.320 --> 0:08:18.880
<v Speaker 1>economic uncertainty forced a reckoning. According to our report by

0:08:18.960 --> 0:08:21.880
<v Speaker 1>p w C found they were seventy two deals in

0:08:22.600 --> 0:08:26.160
<v Speaker 1>two down from one the previous year, with most of

0:08:26.240 --> 0:08:29.240
<v Speaker 1>transactions taking place in the first half of the year,

0:08:29.640 --> 0:08:32.480
<v Speaker 1>and as the Bloomberg and J. I. T. Stem Report, John,

0:08:32.520 --> 0:08:34.640
<v Speaker 1>all right, Karen, thanks a lot, appreciated the e is

0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:37.160
<v Speaker 1>sixty four Ound Wall Street. Time to check what's going

0:08:37.200 --> 0:08:39.559
<v Speaker 1>on in d C. Some of the top stories in

0:08:39.640 --> 0:08:44.320
<v Speaker 1>the nation's capital include what political prognosticators are facing A

0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:48.480
<v Speaker 1>mountain of unknowns for the coming year, starting with whether

0:08:48.520 --> 0:08:50.839
<v Speaker 1>President Joe Biden is going to seek a second term?

0:08:51.080 --> 0:08:54.840
<v Speaker 1>A great piece from Bloomberg Opinion. It raises all sorts

0:08:54.960 --> 0:08:58.160
<v Speaker 1>of questions for the new year. And who better to

0:08:58.200 --> 0:09:01.920
<v Speaker 1>explore these questions with this morning? Joining us is Wendy Shiller,

0:09:02.000 --> 0:09:05.959
<v Speaker 1>director of the Center for American Politics and Policy at

0:09:06.000 --> 0:09:09.400
<v Speaker 1>Brown University. Always a pleasure, Professor, Thanks for being with us.

0:09:10.320 --> 0:09:15.479
<v Speaker 1>President Biden, will you seek another term? There are other cliffhangers,

0:09:15.520 --> 0:09:19.800
<v Speaker 1>including whether former President Donald Trump will be indicted, whether

0:09:19.840 --> 0:09:23.800
<v Speaker 1>Kevin McCarthy's going to succeed in getting elected Speaker of

0:09:23.880 --> 0:09:27.400
<v Speaker 1>the House. Let's start with Joe Biden. Um, how do

0:09:27.480 --> 0:09:32.160
<v Speaker 1>we divine what his plans might be? Well, he's I mean,

0:09:32.160 --> 0:09:34.080
<v Speaker 1>he's a leader of the Democratic Party, as a leader

0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:38.240
<v Speaker 1>of quote unquote the free world. Uh, it seems you know,

0:09:38.920 --> 0:09:41.760
<v Speaker 1>very very likely that he will aside to announce that

0:09:41.800 --> 0:09:47.120
<v Speaker 1>he is seeking the presidency again, if only as a placeholder.

0:09:47.120 --> 0:09:49.240
<v Speaker 1>In other words, you know, the Democrats feel like they

0:09:49.240 --> 0:09:51.680
<v Speaker 1>came off a good year productivity and they sort of

0:09:51.800 --> 0:09:55.760
<v Speaker 1>narrowly escaped somewhat of a glooming disaster in the mid terms.

0:09:55.800 --> 0:09:58.559
<v Speaker 1>They did much better than people think. Uh, and things

0:09:58.559 --> 0:10:02.280
<v Speaker 1>in the economy seem to be dire going to three

0:10:02.360 --> 0:10:04.360
<v Speaker 1>then people saw a couple of months ago. So it

0:10:04.400 --> 0:10:07.120
<v Speaker 1>doesn't make any sense not to run. Uh, you know,

0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:10.280
<v Speaker 1>you have a whole technically a whole year file, but obviously,

0:10:10.559 --> 0:10:12.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, you want people to believe that you're still

0:10:12.480 --> 0:10:16.319
<v Speaker 1>going to be there after for anything that you want

0:10:16.360 --> 0:10:18.280
<v Speaker 1>to get done in the next two years, So it

0:10:18.320 --> 0:10:20.600
<v Speaker 1>makes sense to announce. I mean, you can always change

0:10:20.600 --> 0:10:22.360
<v Speaker 1>your mind, you can always drop out, you can always

0:10:22.280 --> 0:10:25.000
<v Speaker 1>with draw. There doesn't seem to be a very solid

0:10:25.120 --> 0:10:29.600
<v Speaker 1>Democratic backbencher that could take his place easily to lead

0:10:29.640 --> 0:10:31.640
<v Speaker 1>the party in twenty four so it makes no sense

0:10:31.679 --> 0:10:35.560
<v Speaker 1>not to run. We know he's running for president Donald Trump.

0:10:36.000 --> 0:10:39.679
<v Speaker 1>Is it going to be indicted anytime soon? You know,

0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:43.720
<v Speaker 1>I think there are two very strong looming issues for

0:10:43.800 --> 0:10:48.040
<v Speaker 1>the country in terms of literally stability in the system. Uh.

0:10:48.160 --> 0:10:49.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, we've kind of gone through the elections. We

0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:52.240
<v Speaker 1>made it through the elections, and elections seem to work

0:10:52.280 --> 0:10:54.920
<v Speaker 1>for the most part, so that element of our democracy

0:10:54.960 --> 0:10:57.080
<v Speaker 1>seems to be stable. But if you do not have

0:10:57.080 --> 0:10:59.280
<v Speaker 1>a stable speaker at the House, you can't run the

0:10:59.320 --> 0:11:01.360
<v Speaker 1>set whole coming it. If you don't have a stable

0:11:01.400 --> 0:11:04.560
<v Speaker 1>majority party, you can't run the federal government. So this

0:11:04.640 --> 0:11:07.280
<v Speaker 1>is really really important that Kevin McCarthy, if he's going

0:11:07.320 --> 0:11:10.120
<v Speaker 1>to be speaker, gets elected smoothly and that he can

0:11:10.200 --> 0:11:13.360
<v Speaker 1>can control his party. Not to mention the debt ceiling

0:11:13.400 --> 0:11:16.640
<v Speaker 1>coming up, but just for functionality, you need a functional

0:11:16.679 --> 0:11:19.559
<v Speaker 1>majority party in the House. Uh. And if you indict

0:11:19.640 --> 0:11:22.920
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump, um, that may actually push the party to

0:11:23.000 --> 0:11:27.440
<v Speaker 1>more unity. Republican Party against that effort. So it's sort

0:11:27.480 --> 0:11:30.120
<v Speaker 1>of ironic that the thing that might destabilize one part

0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:33.800
<v Speaker 1>of the sector of the country Trump supporters might actually

0:11:33.880 --> 0:11:37.360
<v Speaker 1>stabilize the leadership and the Republican Party in the House. Well,

0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:39.240
<v Speaker 1>these are the two things that I'm looking at most

0:11:39.240 --> 0:11:41.520
<v Speaker 1>of all. Uh. You also alluded to at the federal

0:11:41.520 --> 0:11:45.439
<v Speaker 1>government set to hit the borrowing limits sometime next year,

0:11:46.040 --> 0:11:50.080
<v Speaker 1>with Republicans taking control of the House. Uh, will we

0:11:50.280 --> 0:11:54.640
<v Speaker 1>default on our debt? Well, that is just an extraordinarily

0:11:54.679 --> 0:11:58.240
<v Speaker 1>important concern. Uh. You know, if McCarthy can bring which

0:11:58.280 --> 0:12:00.720
<v Speaker 1>the Speaker can do if he points to write people

0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:03.120
<v Speaker 1>to the quote unquote Rules Committee, that's the committee that

0:12:03.120 --> 0:12:05.800
<v Speaker 1>determines typically which bills can get to the House floor.

0:12:05.840 --> 0:12:07.840
<v Speaker 1>If you can get the debt ceiling to the House floor,

0:12:08.120 --> 0:12:11.000
<v Speaker 1>it'll pass because some Democrats will vote for it. They'll

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:12.760
<v Speaker 1>have to vote for it because they don't want Biden

0:12:12.760 --> 0:12:15.400
<v Speaker 1>administration to have to deal with the default. So the

0:12:15.400 --> 0:12:18.240
<v Speaker 1>Republicans know that McCarthy knows that he can lose a

0:12:18.280 --> 0:12:20.760
<v Speaker 1>good portion of his caucus if he can get the

0:12:20.800 --> 0:12:23.040
<v Speaker 1>bill and the rule approved to get get the debt

0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:24.640
<v Speaker 1>seiling to the floor of the House, he can have

0:12:24.720 --> 0:12:26.960
<v Speaker 1>most of his party vote against it, where the Democrats

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 1>are gonna face enormous pressure to vote order it just

0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:32.680
<v Speaker 1>because they want to support the Biden administration economically. And

0:12:33.440 --> 0:12:36.560
<v Speaker 1>the next question that's that's raised with the Republican House

0:12:36.679 --> 0:12:41.360
<v Speaker 1>impeached Joe Biden. See to me, I think that's an overreach.

0:12:41.480 --> 0:12:43.319
<v Speaker 1>And I think if you've if you've been watching politics

0:12:43.360 --> 0:12:45.840
<v Speaker 1>long enough, you know that new Gingridge. Eventually when he

0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:48.800
<v Speaker 1>ran the House, he overreached and it costs the Republicans

0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:51.040
<v Speaker 1>called him in particular, but it cost the Republicans. And

0:12:51.120 --> 0:12:54.120
<v Speaker 1>I think, um, I think this is something that McCarthy

0:12:54.120 --> 0:12:56.760
<v Speaker 1>has to think about. You know, will the House Republicans

0:12:56.840 --> 0:12:59.440
<v Speaker 1>care about the twenty four presidential race or they just

0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:01.120
<v Speaker 1>decide thing that they you know, they want to be

0:13:01.120 --> 0:13:02.760
<v Speaker 1>in the majority and want to stay in the majority,

0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:06.520
<v Speaker 1>and impeaching will mobilize their local base in the constituencies

0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:08.920
<v Speaker 1>that they won. But think about the conference people from

0:13:09.040 --> 0:13:12.640
<v Speaker 1>New York in particular and California, the new Republicans elected there,

0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:15.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure they are constituencies have the stomach to

0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:17.920
<v Speaker 1>go through an impeachment of Joe Biden. And if those

0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:20.040
<v Speaker 1>are the seats that gave you the majority, then you

0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:22.040
<v Speaker 1>have to wear about holding onto them. And that's going

0:13:22.120 --> 0:13:24.079
<v Speaker 1>to be the calculation Macarti is gonna have to make

0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:27.840
<v Speaker 1>odd number years when you are when the bulk of

0:13:27.920 --> 0:13:32.880
<v Speaker 1>candidate recruitment happens for a Senate and gubernatorial candidates. So

0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:35.640
<v Speaker 1>the question arises in the next minute that we have

0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 1>will Republican recruitment for these races go better than they

0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:43.760
<v Speaker 1>did this year well in trem And the big, big

0:13:43.760 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 1>problem in the Senate races, what are the people who

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.440
<v Speaker 1>were endorsed by Trump, who are election deniers, who are

0:13:48.440 --> 0:13:50.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of quote unquote living in the past. There seems

0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:53.200
<v Speaker 1>to be a lot of rhetoric coming out of Republican

0:13:53.240 --> 0:13:55.840
<v Speaker 1>Party people saying we're gonna move forward and move forward,

0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:58.120
<v Speaker 1>looking to the future. This is what positions were onto

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 1>santas governor of governor elect to being reelected in Florida.

0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:04.720
<v Speaker 1>Uh so, well going into the twenty four races, so

0:14:04.800 --> 0:14:07.240
<v Speaker 1>we'll see how that goes. That you've got George Santos

0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:10.200
<v Speaker 1>and New York who lied pretty much about everything it

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:12.520
<v Speaker 1>seems in his background, and now you've got a real

0:14:12.559 --> 0:14:15.079
<v Speaker 1>problem again, they've got a credibility problem. Is this the

0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:18.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of Republican party that Independence will support in congressional

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:21.480
<v Speaker 1>races and the presidential race? And so far we saw

0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Independence go slightly for the Democrats in two And the

0:14:24.640 --> 0:14:27.080
<v Speaker 1>only way the Republicans hold on the majority is if

0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:31.200
<v Speaker 1>they can moderate some of these uh these rhetorical issues

0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:35.400
<v Speaker 1>and also truthful issues um and hold onto those seats

0:14:35.400 --> 0:14:37.840
<v Speaker 1>they picked up. And that's the big challenge for them

0:14:37.960 --> 0:14:40.800
<v Speaker 1>and right now. You know, we have no idea how

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:43.200
<v Speaker 1>they gonna to do that. When do you always a pleasure?

0:14:43.200 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 1>When doy Show a Director's Center for American Politics and

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:53.240
<v Speaker 1>Policy at Brown University. You're listening to Bloomberg Markets, headlines

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and breaking news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg

0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 1>dot Com, the Bloomberg Business at and at Bloomberg Quicktake,

0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:09.280
<v Speaker 1>He's a Bloomburn business flash and I'm kared Moscow. You

0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 1>guys knock into X futures on their rise this morning,

0:15:11.840 --> 0:15:14.440
<v Speaker 1>led by technology shares, and we check the markets all

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:17.040
<v Speaker 1>day long here on Bloomberg s and P futures up

0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:19.760
<v Speaker 1>four tens of up percent of seventeen points and down

0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:22.360
<v Speaker 1>futures of two tens of upper cent or sixty eight points.

0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:25.160
<v Speaker 1>NASAIC future is up seven tenths of a percent, or

0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:28.200
<v Speaker 1>seventy eight points. The decks in Germany's of a tenth

0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:30.760
<v Speaker 1>of upper cent and your treasury up three thirty seconds.

0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 1>You have three point eight seven percent They yield on

0:15:32.880 --> 0:15:35.960
<v Speaker 1>the two year four point three five percent. Nine excret

0:15:36.000 --> 0:15:38.280
<v Speaker 1>oil is down one point four percent out of dollar

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 1>ten at seventy seven dollars eighty five cents of barrel

0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:43.560
<v Speaker 1>comex school down two tenths percent or three dollars ten

0:15:43.600 --> 0:15:46.840
<v Speaker 1>cents at eighteen twelve seventy announced the euro one point

0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:49.320
<v Speaker 1>oh six three three against the dollar, British found one

0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 1>point two zero to eight, then one thirty three point

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 1>seven five and Bitcoin this morning up half percent at

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:58.800
<v Speaker 1>about sixteen thousand, five hundred ninety dollars. And that's a

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:01.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg business flag show. Here's Michael Barr with more. I'm

0:16:01.800 --> 0:16:04.120
<v Speaker 1>what's going on around the world, Michael Karen, thank you

0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:06.440
<v Speaker 1>very much. Southwest is trying to recover from one of

0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:10.400
<v Speaker 1>the worst airline meltdowns in US history. Passengers are still

0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:14.160
<v Speaker 1>stranded all over the country. Another twenty three hundred Southwest

0:16:14.160 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 1>flights have been canceled for today. The US and Italy

0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:21.360
<v Speaker 1>joined an increasing number of nations requiring COVID tests for

0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:24.840
<v Speaker 1>travelers from China. Concerns are mounting over the risk of

0:16:24.880 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 1>any new variants emerging from the surgeon infections in the country.

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 1>In the NBA, the Nets one their tenth straight, the

0:16:31.640 --> 0:16:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Wizards and Warriors one. In the NHL, the Bruins beat

0:16:34.960 --> 0:16:37.720
<v Speaker 1>the Devil's three one. Global news twenty four hours a

0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 1>day on here and on Bloomberg Quick Take powered by

0:16:40.440 --> 0:16:44.040
<v Speaker 1>more than twenty seven under journalist and analyists more than

0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:47.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty countries. I'm Michael bar This is Bloomberg. Michael, thank you,

0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:50.320
<v Speaker 1>six twenty three on Wall Street. I'm John Tucker. You're

0:16:50.360 --> 0:16:53.720
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg day Break. Overnight, Russia ramped up attacks

0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:56.640
<v Speaker 1>on major cities in Ukraine. It comes as the Russian

0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 1>Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov ruled out peace talks to in

0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the war, that's in spite of major losses and sent

0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:06.399
<v Speaker 1>backs on the battlefield for Russia. The former US Defense

0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:09.440
<v Speaker 1>Secretary Market Aspert, weighing in on the conflict, he sent

0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:13.520
<v Speaker 1>down to discuss the war with Bloomberg's David Weston. Let's

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:15.640
<v Speaker 1>turn to Ukraine, which we've talked about in the past.

0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:18.359
<v Speaker 1>As you say, there was that dramatic speech from President

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:22.399
<v Speaker 1>Zelinsky before the Joint Meeting of Congress UH and I

0:17:22.440 --> 0:17:24.639
<v Speaker 1>wonder what you took away from that and whether, in

0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:28.439
<v Speaker 1>fact the United States should be perhaps changing its attitude

0:17:28.560 --> 0:17:31.480
<v Speaker 1>toward Ukraine, because certainly President Lensky was not shy but

0:17:31.640 --> 0:17:34.000
<v Speaker 1>saying he really appreciates what he's gotten, but he needed

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:36.760
<v Speaker 1>leads an a lot more things like fixed wing aircraft,

0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:40.360
<v Speaker 1>things like longer range missiles. His visit was very important,

0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:43.359
<v Speaker 1>His speech was very impressive. It sent a message to

0:17:43.440 --> 0:17:46.040
<v Speaker 1>the Russians, of course, that the United States was standing

0:17:46.320 --> 0:17:48.480
<v Speaker 1>behind them, particularly as we head into the winter months

0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:51.000
<v Speaker 1>right now. And it was a chance for Biden President

0:17:51.000 --> 0:17:53.040
<v Speaker 1>buying a message the American people and for us to

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:55.639
<v Speaker 1>message the allies. And look, I think we've done a

0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:57.440
<v Speaker 1>good job, but we could be doing so much more.

0:17:57.800 --> 0:18:01.160
<v Speaker 1>They do need fixed wing aircraft, they do need tanks. Uh,

0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:03.760
<v Speaker 1>they do need the means to conduct an offensive campaign,

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:06.760
<v Speaker 1>to do a counter offensive. That's how you break a

0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:09.359
<v Speaker 1>trench warfare type stalemate that we're kind of seeing now.

0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:13.280
<v Speaker 1>That's at the operational level. At the strategic level, they

0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:16.320
<v Speaker 1>need far more and greater air defenses. And look, the

0:18:16.400 --> 0:18:18.199
<v Speaker 1>United States has done a lot, but we need our

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:20.520
<v Speaker 1>allies to do a whole lot more. Most of our

0:18:20.560 --> 0:18:23.240
<v Speaker 1>allies have contributed less than six hundred million dollars or

0:18:23.280 --> 0:18:26.240
<v Speaker 1>so in military aid. The United States tens of billions

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:28.919
<v Speaker 1>of dollars. So if we can get more of our

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.360
<v Speaker 1>allies to do more of that, to provide those critical

0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:33.879
<v Speaker 1>arms and pieces of equipment that I just mentioned, we

0:18:33.880 --> 0:18:35.840
<v Speaker 1>can allow the Ukrainians to get on the offensive, to

0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:38.119
<v Speaker 1>push the Russians out and bring this war to a

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:40.639
<v Speaker 1>quicker conclusion than than the path that looks to be

0:18:40.680 --> 0:18:42.240
<v Speaker 1>on right now. Well, that's just what I want to

0:18:42.240 --> 0:18:44.440
<v Speaker 1>ask about going on the offensive, as you just said,

0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:46.760
<v Speaker 1>because I think in some quarters that might be thought, well,

0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:48.760
<v Speaker 1>this is turning sort of into a stalemate and this

0:18:48.800 --> 0:18:50.840
<v Speaker 1>will go on for a long time, become chronic. It

0:18:50.880 --> 0:18:53.040
<v Speaker 1>looks like perhaps that's what letter of Putin wants. If

0:18:53.080 --> 0:18:55.439
<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainies are not winning this war, are they losing

0:18:55.440 --> 0:19:00.840
<v Speaker 1>it ultimately? Now not necessarily, but again the country would

0:19:00.880 --> 0:19:03.119
<v Speaker 1>remain occupied. And what we don't want is another frozen

0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:06.720
<v Speaker 1>conflict like we have in Georgia or Moldova. So the

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:08.919
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainians have the momentum right now. We need to supply them.

0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:11.240
<v Speaker 1>And you're right, put And strategy is to weait us out.

0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:14.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's why he is. He is hammering uh

0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:20.280
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian cities, infrastructure, energy resources with ballistic missiles and drones.

0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:22.600
<v Speaker 1>He wants to break the back, break the will of

0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:25.399
<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainian people. We now see he's putting in barbo

0:19:25.480 --> 0:19:27.480
<v Speaker 1>if you will, on countries that put a price cap

0:19:27.520 --> 0:19:29.919
<v Speaker 1>on oil. He wants to freeze them out, frees us

0:19:29.920 --> 0:19:32.359
<v Speaker 1>out a little bit. Also, he is playing for time,

0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:34.720
<v Speaker 1>thinking that we will we will wobble, we will weaken,

0:19:35.000 --> 0:19:36.560
<v Speaker 1>and look, there's some truth to that in the past,

0:19:36.680 --> 0:19:38.840
<v Speaker 1>we've seen that. So it's important that we hold on.

0:19:38.920 --> 0:19:41.520
<v Speaker 1>But at the same time give Ukraine what they need

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 1>to win. They have the will, they have, the courage,

0:19:43.359 --> 0:19:46.000
<v Speaker 1>they had the resolve. They've been showing a great deal

0:19:46.040 --> 0:19:48.000
<v Speaker 1>of grit and success on the battle field. We need

0:19:48.040 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 1>to help enable that. How important our drones in this

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:53.320
<v Speaker 1>ca battle on both sides, the drone technology and of

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:56.080
<v Speaker 1>course counter drone technology as well, critically important. But you

0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:58.440
<v Speaker 1>see the Ukrainians not using them to conduct long range

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:02.159
<v Speaker 1>strikes hundreds of miles in the Russian territory to attack

0:20:02.240 --> 0:20:05.960
<v Speaker 1>air fields from which Russians are launching bombers, so they're

0:20:06.040 --> 0:20:08.239
<v Speaker 1>using the great skill. And of course the Russians are

0:20:08.280 --> 0:20:12.280
<v Speaker 1>using the Iranian drones at the pummel uh Ukrainian infrastructure,

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:14.560
<v Speaker 1>so we need to give them the means to provide

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:18.159
<v Speaker 1>adequate air defenses against those so that again we can

0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:23.160
<v Speaker 1>protect the Sivellans in Ukraine and Silvellian infrastructure and that's

0:20:23.160 --> 0:20:26.200
<v Speaker 1>form a defense secretary market Askeper is speaking to David

0:20:26.240 --> 0:20:29.640
<v Speaker 1>weston Bloomberg's Balance of Power. You can catch that show

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:33.280
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at neon Bloomberg Radio and Television. Come I up

0:20:33.280 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 1>next this morning's top stories, plus your local headlines, and

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.760
<v Speaker 1>check on the markets right now ahead of the cash

0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:44.800
<v Speaker 1>open down Futures sixties six points higher. First, let's get

0:20:44.800 --> 0:20:47.359
<v Speaker 1>a look at today's Bloomberg weather for a cast, and

0:20:47.520 --> 0:20:50.879
<v Speaker 1>to do that for us, here's Rob Caroline. Some clowning.

0:20:50.920 --> 0:20:53.080
<v Speaker 1>This will be drifting down from the north and west today,

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:55.600
<v Speaker 1>but we should see some sunshine through those clouds. Temperatures

0:20:55.640 --> 0:20:59.120
<v Speaker 1>up to fifty this afternoon, apparently cloudy over night thirty

0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:01.240
<v Speaker 1>to thirty five and the city twenties in the suburbs

0:21:01.640 --> 0:21:04.520
<v Speaker 1>partial sun close to fifty tomorrow. The outlook for Saturday

0:21:04.560 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 1>cloudy with rain late today fifty to fifty five. It

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:09.160
<v Speaker 1>looks rainy for New Year's Eve that rain. Who's out

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:12.159
<v Speaker 1>Sunday we turned partly sunny. I'm Rob Carolyn with your

0:21:12.160 --> 0:21:18.600
<v Speaker 1>weekend forecast on Bloomberg eleven three oh broadcasting live from

0:21:18.600 --> 0:21:22.399
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio in New York Bloomberg in

0:21:22.480 --> 0:21:26.440
<v Speaker 1>Living Free On to Washington, d C, Bloomberg one to Boston,

0:21:26.560 --> 0:21:30.359
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg one O six one to San Francisco, Bloomberg sixty

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:33.320
<v Speaker 1>to the country, Sirius XM H one nine ten, and

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:37.719
<v Speaker 1>around the globe, the Bloomberg Business and Bloomberg Radio dot com.

0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:46.200
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Daybreak. It's coming up on six thirty

0:21:46.320 --> 0:21:49.520
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. Good morning. I'm John Tucker and I'm Karen Moscow.

0:21:49.640 --> 0:21:52.119
<v Speaker 1>We are nearly three hours away from the open of

0:21:52.240 --> 0:21:54.280
<v Speaker 1>US trading. Time for the five Things that you need

0:21:54.320 --> 0:21:56.200
<v Speaker 1>to know to start your day, brought to you by

0:21:56.280 --> 0:22:00.119
<v Speaker 1>Innovation Refunds. Your business may be eligible to receive a

0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:04.240
<v Speaker 1>payroll tax refund. The application takes around eight minutes eight

0:22:04.280 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>minutes or less to see if you're small to medium

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:09.919
<v Speaker 1>sized business may be eligible for a refund of up

0:22:09.920 --> 0:22:13.240
<v Speaker 1>to twenty six thousand dollars per employee kept on the

0:22:13.240 --> 0:22:16.640
<v Speaker 1>payroll during the pandemic. Find out it get refunds dot

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:20.080
<v Speaker 1>com first. As COVID cases climbed in China, the US

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:23.360
<v Speaker 1>plans to require COVID testing for travelers from the country.

0:22:23.640 --> 0:22:26.679
<v Speaker 1>Officials are concerned about new variants in China's lack of

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:31.000
<v Speaker 1>transparency with COVID data. Italy will also begin testing arrivals

0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:33.760
<v Speaker 1>from China and wants other European countries to do the same.

0:22:33.840 --> 0:22:35.960
<v Speaker 1>And we have news on the war in Ukraine this morning.

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:39.240
<v Speaker 1>The Russian Foreign Ministers Sergey lam Roth says Moscow will

0:22:39.320 --> 0:22:42.520
<v Speaker 1>not enter into negotiations to end the war. This comes

0:22:42.560 --> 0:22:46.080
<v Speaker 1>as Russia launched another missile barrage of major cities in Ukraine.

0:22:46.480 --> 0:22:50.200
<v Speaker 1>The former Defense Secretary Mark Asper says the US can

0:22:50.280 --> 0:22:53.879
<v Speaker 1>and should provide further support for Ukraine. It's important that

0:22:53.880 --> 0:22:56.480
<v Speaker 1>we hold off at the same time give Ukraine what

0:22:56.560 --> 0:22:58.240
<v Speaker 1>they need to win. They have the will, they have,

0:22:58.280 --> 0:23:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the courage, they had, the resolved they and showing a

0:23:00.840 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 1>great deal of grit and success on the battlefield. We

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:06.119
<v Speaker 1>need to help enable that. Former Defense Secretary Market Asper

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:09.360
<v Speaker 1>speaking with David Weston on Bloomberg's Balance of Power. Catch

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:12.399
<v Speaker 1>the show weekdays at noon on Bloomberg Radio and Television.

0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:15.000
<v Speaker 1>Well to Ball Street Now John where layoffs are front

0:23:15.000 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 1>and center. Goldman Sax is working on a fresh round

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:20.720
<v Speaker 1>of staff cuts. CEO David Solomon made the announcement and

0:23:20.800 --> 0:23:23.360
<v Speaker 1>as you're on message to staff, saying the cuts will

0:23:23.359 --> 0:23:25.520
<v Speaker 1>be unveiled in a matter of weeks and looking at

0:23:25.560 --> 0:23:28.760
<v Speaker 1>markets right now, US futures they are higher following two

0:23:28.800 --> 0:23:32.320
<v Speaker 1>days of losses. COVID concerns out of China weighing on

0:23:32.359 --> 0:23:34.840
<v Speaker 1>some of the sentiment, but Jonathan Gollub, head of US

0:23:34.880 --> 0:23:38.760
<v Speaker 1>equity strategy at Credit sweets so steady wages can provide

0:23:38.840 --> 0:23:42.160
<v Speaker 1>some stability next year. Wages don't look like they're gonna

0:23:42.200 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 1>fall as much for the average consumer. They're going to

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:48.280
<v Speaker 1>get a stronger wage increase. The things they buy are

0:23:48.320 --> 0:23:49.960
<v Speaker 1>and we are going to go off as much as

0:23:50.000 --> 0:23:54.639
<v Speaker 1>their wages, and yet jobs are really plentiful. Jonathan Gollub

0:23:54.720 --> 0:23:57.400
<v Speaker 1>with Credit sweet says he thinks there will be positive

0:23:57.400 --> 0:24:01.280
<v Speaker 1>market movement early next year. And travel meltdown has stranded

0:24:01.320 --> 0:24:04.120
<v Speaker 1>thousands of passengers has led to more flight cancelations. John

0:24:04.119 --> 0:24:07.359
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Steve Rappaport joins US Live with more. Steve, good Morning,

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:10.560
<v Speaker 1>Good Morning, Karen, and John's Southwest blames bad weather for

0:24:10.600 --> 0:24:13.480
<v Speaker 1>its problems, but aviation experts say snow was only one

0:24:13.520 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 1>of the elements that created the perfect storm. They point

0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:18.840
<v Speaker 1>to issues like tight turnaround times, faulty phone systems, and

0:24:18.840 --> 0:24:22.760
<v Speaker 1>outdated software. Analysts and unions warned for years that Southwest

0:24:22.800 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 1>needed to invest in new technology. Those warnings proved costly,

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:28.960
<v Speaker 1>as Southwest Ground did more than twenty three dred additional

0:24:29.000 --> 0:24:31.840
<v Speaker 1>flights today, But Grace guys look to be clearing up

0:24:31.840 --> 0:24:34.560
<v Speaker 1>for the carrier. So far, Southwest only canceled a few

0:24:34.600 --> 0:24:37.280
<v Speaker 1>dozen flights for tomorrow. That's according to the flight tracking

0:24:37.280 --> 0:24:39.760
<v Speaker 1>site flight Aware Live in New York. I'm Steve Rappaport

0:24:39.800 --> 0:24:42.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Day Break. All right, Steve, thank you. That's the

0:24:42.119 --> 0:24:44.440
<v Speaker 1>five things you need to notice start your day. Brought

0:24:44.480 --> 0:24:54.320
<v Speaker 1>to you Vy Innovation refunds and this is Bloomberg. Thanks,

0:24:54.960 --> 0:24:57.160
<v Speaker 1>Wall Streets. Time to bring in Michael Barr with more

0:24:57.400 --> 0:24:59.639
<v Speaker 1>what else is going on in New York and a

0:25:00.000 --> 0:25:02.000
<v Speaker 1>on the world, John, Thank you very much. Sarah. The

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:05.120
<v Speaker 1>National Guard went door to door in parts of Buffalo

0:25:05.200 --> 0:25:07.760
<v Speaker 1>to check on people who lost power during the area

0:25:07.760 --> 0:25:11.560
<v Speaker 1>as deadly as winter storm in decades. Already, about three

0:25:11.560 --> 0:25:14.000
<v Speaker 1>dozen deaths have been reported in western New York from

0:25:14.000 --> 0:25:17.639
<v Speaker 1>the blizzard. Buffalo Mayor Byron Brown again, as you know,

0:25:17.840 --> 0:25:23.080
<v Speaker 1>this was a historic storm, probably the worst storm that

0:25:23.160 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 1>the city has seen in over fifty years, and perhaps

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:33.920
<v Speaker 1>maybe the worst storm in recorded history. UH. Since these

0:25:33.960 --> 0:25:37.560
<v Speaker 1>storms have been tracked, Mayor Brown says a travel ban

0:25:37.720 --> 0:25:41.320
<v Speaker 1>has been lifted. Congressman elect George Santos of New York

0:25:41.400 --> 0:25:45.639
<v Speaker 1>is under investigation by Long Island prosecutors. Revelation surface that

0:25:45.720 --> 0:25:49.679
<v Speaker 1>the now embattled Republican line about his heritage, education, and

0:25:49.800 --> 0:25:54.040
<v Speaker 1>professional pedigree as he campaigned for office. Nassau County District

0:25:54.040 --> 0:25:57.879
<v Speaker 1>Attorney and Donnelly, also a Republicans, said the fabrications and

0:25:57.960 --> 0:26:02.360
<v Speaker 1>inconsistencies were nothing sort of stunning. The US State Department

0:26:02.359 --> 0:26:05.920
<v Speaker 1>has approved a possible military sale to Taipei for anti

0:26:06.000 --> 0:26:10.719
<v Speaker 1>tank munition laying systems and related equipment. It's for an

0:26:10.800 --> 0:26:14.000
<v Speaker 1>estimated cost of a hundred eighty million dollars. It's opening

0:26:14.040 --> 0:26:16.840
<v Speaker 1>day to sell legal pot in New York. The first

0:26:16.880 --> 0:26:20.119
<v Speaker 1>dispensary is in Manhattan at a housing works Kinnabis company

0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:23.199
<v Speaker 1>in Greenwich Village. Attorney Michael Bass is co chair of

0:26:23.200 --> 0:26:27.120
<v Speaker 1>the Cannabis Law Group at Abram's instrument. This is the

0:26:27.200 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 1>first dispenser of a program that is still in its infancy,

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:35.679
<v Speaker 1>and I suspect the lines are going to be pretty

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:40.800
<v Speaker 1>long for some time to come. UH as this program

0:26:40.840 --> 0:26:44.120
<v Speaker 1>grows and grows attorney Michael Bass says there are limitations

0:26:44.119 --> 0:26:46.840
<v Speaker 1>in terms of grams announces to what you can purchase

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:49.320
<v Speaker 1>Global News twenty four hours a day on air and

0:26:49.400 --> 0:26:52.920
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomber Quick Take, powered by more than journalist analysts,

0:26:52.920 --> 0:26:56.560
<v Speaker 1>more than a d twenty countries. Michael bar this is Bloomberg, John, Michael,

0:26:56.560 --> 0:27:02.080
<v Speaker 1>thank you. You guys have six third three all Wall Street. Yea,

0:27:02.240 --> 0:27:04.760
<v Speaker 1>that is time for the Bloomberg Sports Report. Big brought

0:27:04.800 --> 0:27:09.920
<v Speaker 1>you by your TRN State Counties Heelers. Yeah. Thanks John.

0:27:09.920 --> 0:27:12.720
<v Speaker 1>That's the first NBA team this season to real off

0:27:12.800 --> 0:27:15.440
<v Speaker 1>ten consecutive wins. They held on in Atlanta, one of eight,

0:27:15.480 --> 0:27:17.200
<v Speaker 1>one of seven. The Hops MR game when he shot

0:27:17.200 --> 0:27:19.919
<v Speaker 1>at the Nkyrie irving twenty eight points. Kevin ran at

0:27:19.960 --> 0:27:22.960
<v Speaker 1>twenty six with sixteen rebounds. It's the Nets longest win

0:27:23.040 --> 0:27:26.560
<v Speaker 1>streak since two thousand six. Nicks are in San Antonio

0:27:26.680 --> 0:27:29.399
<v Speaker 1>tonight the Rangers visit Tampa Bay. The Devil's just lost

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:32.320
<v Speaker 1>at home to the NHL leading Bruins three to one.

0:27:32.359 --> 0:27:34.679
<v Speaker 1>College Troops St. John's lost to the Big East Xavier

0:27:34.800 --> 0:27:38.560
<v Speaker 1>Fordham's Atlantic ten opener a home lost to Davidson. Yukon

0:27:39.080 --> 0:27:41.560
<v Speaker 1>beat Villanova. The Huskies are fourteen and oh they are

0:27:41.640 --> 0:27:44.840
<v Speaker 1>ranked second in the country. Quarterback news Derek Carr benched

0:27:44.880 --> 0:27:47.359
<v Speaker 1>by the Raiders. He's been their starter for nine years

0:27:47.359 --> 0:27:51.400
<v Speaker 1>with fourteen interceptions this season. Jared Stidham will replace him,

0:27:51.400 --> 0:27:53.840
<v Speaker 1>and this figures the lead to Las Vegas moving car

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:56.359
<v Speaker 1>in the off season and Jets could be looking for QUB.

0:27:56.920 --> 0:28:00.159
<v Speaker 1>Washington is going back to Carson Wins replacing too or

0:28:00.160 --> 0:28:02.760
<v Speaker 1>Heina Key Wentz hasn't started since Week six, and the

0:28:02.760 --> 0:28:05.240
<v Speaker 1>Commanders are part of that battle for the last two

0:28:05.320 --> 0:28:07.680
<v Speaker 1>NFC wild card spots. Miami and New England in it

0:28:07.840 --> 0:28:09.840
<v Speaker 1>for one wild card in the a f C. They

0:28:09.840 --> 0:28:12.800
<v Speaker 1>placed Sunday in Foxboro. The Dolphins QB will be Teddy

0:28:12.840 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 1>Bridgewater to a Tamabaloa has his second concussion of the season.

0:28:16.600 --> 0:28:18.800
<v Speaker 1>They'll play the Pin Stripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium this

0:28:18.880 --> 0:28:22.760
<v Speaker 1>afternoon Syracuse against Minnesota. The Red Sox of st seven

0:28:22.840 --> 0:28:25.760
<v Speaker 1>year old Corey Cloobury want to Cy Young's with Cleveland.

0:28:26.000 --> 0:28:28.080
<v Speaker 1>He spent this past season with Tampa Bay through a

0:28:28.119 --> 0:28:32.320
<v Speaker 1>no hitter in the Yankees. John stash Award Sports John,

0:28:32.440 --> 0:28:34.720
<v Speaker 1>all Right, thanks John. The Bloomberg Sports Report. Brown you

0:28:34.800 --> 0:28:37.359
<v Speaker 1>buy Audie, don't let someone else drive off in the

0:28:37.359 --> 0:28:40.400
<v Speaker 1>Audi model you've always wanted. Visit your local Tri state

0:28:40.440 --> 0:28:43.280
<v Speaker 1>Audi dealer to get behind the wheel of yours today,

0:28:43.400 --> 0:28:47.480
<v Speaker 1>or visit Audie Offers dot com for more information. Right now,

0:28:47.600 --> 0:28:52.800
<v Speaker 1>SMP futures up seventeen. It's now six thirty fives on

0:28:52.920 --> 0:28:55.440
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. Bloomberg Radio is on the year from San

0:28:55.480 --> 0:28:59.040
<v Speaker 1>Francisco to New York, London to Hong Kong. Let's check

0:28:59.080 --> 0:29:00.920
<v Speaker 1>in now with our global news team for some of

0:29:00.960 --> 0:29:03.640
<v Speaker 1>the top stories heard on our three hundred at Philliget

0:29:03.800 --> 0:29:10.600
<v Speaker 1>radio stations around the world. I'm Steve Potosk. On w

0:29:11.000 --> 0:29:14.480
<v Speaker 1>h S and Louisville, We're talking about some negative online

0:29:14.480 --> 0:29:17.760
<v Speaker 1>reactions to a test run of Taco Bell's plans for

0:29:17.920 --> 0:29:22.040
<v Speaker 1>new burritos. I'm Jeff Bellinger. And on Cogo in San Diego,

0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:25.680
<v Speaker 1>I'll be talking about how Starbucks customers from California and

0:29:25.760 --> 0:29:30.040
<v Speaker 1>New York accused the coffee chain of deceptively advertising its

0:29:30.040 --> 0:29:33.440
<v Speaker 1>sprouted grain bagel and Kimberly Adams. And on w DZ

0:29:33.560 --> 0:29:36.760
<v Speaker 1>in Boston, I'll be reporting on Goldman Sachs employees facing

0:29:36.760 --> 0:29:39.680
<v Speaker 1>a new year with new job cuts. I'm Stephen Carol

0:29:39.720 --> 0:29:42.360
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg DAB Radio in London. We've been reporting on

0:29:42.400 --> 0:29:46.200
<v Speaker 1>the European countries considering more restrictions on travelers from China

0:29:46.440 --> 0:29:51.120
<v Speaker 1>as Beijing's as its COVID rules, and those are some

0:29:51.240 --> 0:29:53.840
<v Speaker 1>of these stories are twenty seven hundred Bloomberg journalists and

0:29:53.920 --> 0:29:58.160
<v Speaker 1>analysts are working on this morning around the world. It

0:29:58.480 --> 0:30:00.880
<v Speaker 1>is now six thirty seven on Wall Street. That's time

0:30:00.880 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 1>for daily Bloomberg Real Estate Report. And here with that

0:30:03.920 --> 0:30:08.320
<v Speaker 1>it's bloombergs Denys Fella Greeny. Inflation is usually pretty good

0:30:08.360 --> 0:30:11.400
<v Speaker 1>for real estate investments, but Rich Hill, head of real

0:30:11.520 --> 0:30:15.360
<v Speaker 1>estate strategy and Research at count and Steers Capital Management, says,

0:30:15.400 --> 0:30:18.440
<v Speaker 1>not this time. What is challenging for real estate stagflation.

0:30:18.520 --> 0:30:21.160
<v Speaker 1>So what is stagflation? It's it's an environment where interest

0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:24.080
<v Speaker 1>rates are rising and growth is slowing. That's exactly what

0:30:24.200 --> 0:30:26.600
<v Speaker 1>played out for most of two thousand and twenty two,

0:30:26.800 --> 0:30:29.960
<v Speaker 1>where the Fed had to raise interest rates to combat

0:30:30.000 --> 0:30:32.520
<v Speaker 1>inflation that was at its highest level since in nten eight.

0:30:32.680 --> 0:30:35.040
<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, Hill says things are looking up

0:30:35.040 --> 0:30:39.160
<v Speaker 1>for real estate returns in three because we see a

0:30:39.160 --> 0:30:42.440
<v Speaker 1>backdrop where growth is slowing still in two thousand twenty three,

0:30:42.480 --> 0:30:44.800
<v Speaker 1>but rache are beginning to come down, so we would

0:30:44.800 --> 0:30:48.120
<v Speaker 1>call that a stagnationary backdrop. As you transition from stagflation

0:30:48.160 --> 0:30:51.240
<v Speaker 1>to stagnation, that's a much better backdrop for for for

0:30:51.320 --> 0:30:54.479
<v Speaker 1>real estate in general. Economist way survey'd say housing starts

0:30:54.520 --> 0:30:57.920
<v Speaker 1>and building permits probably continue to fall in December, and

0:30:57.960 --> 0:31:00.760
<v Speaker 1>that's the Bloomberg real estate port. I'm to these pelogreny

0:31:01.680 --> 0:31:05.480
<v Speaker 1>and investors betting against Tesla are getting a big bonanza

0:31:05.640 --> 0:31:08.680
<v Speaker 1>they've been waiting for, with the electric vehicle maker center

0:31:08.680 --> 0:31:13.160
<v Speaker 1>recording its worst annual performance on record. Short sellers in

0:31:13.200 --> 0:31:16.520
<v Speaker 1>the company these are parish investors that stand again when

0:31:16.600 --> 0:31:19.480
<v Speaker 1>the price of an asset falls. Their poised to rate

0:31:19.640 --> 0:31:24.000
<v Speaker 1>market to market profits of about seventeen billion dollars, making

0:31:24.000 --> 0:31:28.000
<v Speaker 1>Tesla the most profitable short trade of the year. This

0:31:28.040 --> 0:31:32.040
<v Speaker 1>is all according to data from S three Partners. Tesla

0:31:32.120 --> 0:31:36.280
<v Speaker 1>has a tumbled more than forty two percent in December alone,

0:31:36.440 --> 0:31:40.280
<v Speaker 1>driving into a loss of sixty eight percent this year. Well,

0:31:40.280 --> 0:31:43.280
<v Speaker 1>this morning, ahead of the market opened Tesla in the

0:31:43.320 --> 0:31:47.160
<v Speaker 1>pre market right now up four point eight percent. You're

0:31:47.200 --> 0:31:54.640
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Daybreak Live from the Bloomberg in directed

0:31:54.680 --> 0:31:57.840
<v Speaker 1>Berger Studios. Is this Bloomberg Daybreak for a Thursday, December

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:02.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty nine coming up a shur new restrictions of travelers

0:32:02.200 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 1>from China and the country scales back COVID policies. Gullman

0:32:05.880 --> 0:32:08.200
<v Speaker 1>Ready for a fresh round of layoffs in the new year.

0:32:08.480 --> 0:32:11.040
<v Speaker 1>Markets look for a Santa Claus rally. It's a closed

0:32:11.040 --> 0:32:15.960
<v Speaker 1>two and Russia rules out peace talks with Ukraine. Prosecutors

0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 1>are investigating New York Congressman elect Santos after false claims

0:32:19.680 --> 0:32:22.880
<v Speaker 1>about his background. Plus the dig out continues in Buffalo.

0:32:23.200 --> 0:32:26.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm Michael Blarr More Ahead, I'm John Stash Howard Sports

0:32:26.280 --> 0:32:28.280
<v Speaker 1>make it ten straight for the Nets at one point

0:32:28.280 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 1>when Atlanta the Devil's lost to the Bruins of Big East.

0:32:31.120 --> 0:32:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Loss for st John. That's all strady Ahead on Bloomberg

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:41.840
<v Speaker 1>Daybreak on Bloomberg eleven three, on New York, Bloomberg nine one, Washington,

0:32:41.960 --> 0:32:46.120
<v Speaker 1>d C Bloomberg one oh six one, Boston, Bloomberg nine sixties,

0:32:46.120 --> 0:32:50.320
<v Speaker 1>San Francisco, Syrius Exam one nineteen, and around the world

0:32:50.400 --> 0:32:57.560
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio dot Com and via the Bloomberg Business app. Heay,

0:32:57.560 --> 0:33:00.320
<v Speaker 1>Good morning, I'm John Tucker and I'm Karen Moss. Scale

0:33:00.400 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 1>US DO index futures on the rise this morning. We

0:33:02.880 --> 0:33:04.840
<v Speaker 1>check the markets all day long here on Bloomberg with

0:33:05.000 --> 0:33:08.080
<v Speaker 1>SNP futures have four tens of upper cent or sixteen points.

0:33:08.120 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 1>Down futures have two tens of upper cent or sixty

0:33:10.400 --> 0:33:13.160
<v Speaker 1>nine points, and NAS day futures have seven tens of

0:33:13.280 --> 0:33:16.600
<v Speaker 1>upper cent or seventy six points. John and Carol, Let's

0:33:16.600 --> 0:33:20.400
<v Speaker 1>begin with new travel restrictions targeting China as COVID cases

0:33:20.400 --> 0:33:23.120
<v Speaker 1>climb of the country. The US plans to require COVID

0:33:23.120 --> 0:33:26.760
<v Speaker 1>testing for travelers coming from China. Let's get the update

0:33:26.800 --> 0:33:29.920
<v Speaker 1>in this report this morning from Bloomberg's and Baxter. The

0:33:30.000 --> 0:33:33.160
<v Speaker 1>concern comes as cases spiral upward in China and with

0:33:33.240 --> 0:33:37.600
<v Speaker 1>China not releasing data the US as transparency has disappeared.

0:33:37.920 --> 0:33:40.680
<v Speaker 1>Health officials say they are concerned about the emergence of

0:33:40.720 --> 0:33:44.200
<v Speaker 1>new variants, which tend to thrive with so many new cases.

0:33:44.440 --> 0:33:47.480
<v Speaker 1>The US announcement came after news reports of two flights

0:33:47.520 --> 0:33:50.680
<v Speaker 1>from China into Milan, Italy, where more than half the

0:33:50.720 --> 0:33:55.000
<v Speaker 1>passengers tested positive. The passengers will be required to test

0:33:55.040 --> 0:33:58.160
<v Speaker 1>two days before making their flight. The requirement goes into

0:33:58.160 --> 0:34:02.320
<v Speaker 1>effect January five, in San Francisco. I'm at Baxter Bloomberg

0:34:02.320 --> 0:34:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Gay Break. All right, and thank you well. We have

0:34:04.240 --> 0:34:07.120
<v Speaker 1>news on the war in Ukraine. This morning, Russian Foreign

0:34:07.120 --> 0:34:10.960
<v Speaker 1>Minister Sergei lav Rov says Moscow will not enter into

0:34:11.000 --> 0:34:14.080
<v Speaker 1>negotiations to end the war. The hard line stance comes

0:34:14.080 --> 0:34:17.840
<v Speaker 1>as Russia launched another missile barrage on major cities in Ukraine.

0:34:18.120 --> 0:34:21.440
<v Speaker 1>Former Defense Secretary Mark Esper tells us Moscow is digging

0:34:21.480 --> 0:34:24.000
<v Speaker 1>in for the long haul boot and strategies to wait

0:34:24.080 --> 0:34:26.480
<v Speaker 1>us out. I mean, that's why he is hammering uh

0:34:26.840 --> 0:34:31.880
<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian cities, infrastructure, energy resources with ballistic missiles and drones.

0:34:31.920 --> 0:34:34.239
<v Speaker 1>He wants to break the back, break the will of

0:34:34.280 --> 0:34:36.600
<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainian people. We now see he's putting up in

0:34:36.719 --> 0:34:38.799
<v Speaker 1>barbo if you will, on countries that put a price

0:34:38.840 --> 0:34:41.239
<v Speaker 1>cap on oil. He wants to freeze them out, free

0:34:41.400 --> 0:34:43.879
<v Speaker 1>us out a little bit. Also, he is playing for Todd,

0:34:44.000 --> 0:34:46.800
<v Speaker 1>thinking that we will wobble, we will weaken. Former Defense

0:34:46.800 --> 0:34:50.120
<v Speaker 1>Secretary Mark Esper spoke with David Weston on Bloomberg's Valance

0:34:50.160 --> 0:34:52.480
<v Speaker 1>of Power. Catch the show week days at noon on

0:34:52.520 --> 0:34:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio and Television. Yeah, let's turn to Wall Street

0:34:55.600 --> 0:34:58.640
<v Speaker 1>Now another sign of maybe an economic slowdown, Glook Golden

0:34:58.719 --> 0:35:02.040
<v Speaker 1>Sacks is work on a fresh round of staff cuts

0:35:02.320 --> 0:35:05.480
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg's. Charlie Pellett reports they're likely to come in

0:35:05.560 --> 0:35:09.280
<v Speaker 1>a matter of weeks. That word from CEO David Solomon

0:35:09.400 --> 0:35:13.480
<v Speaker 1>in his traditional year end message to staff, Solomon said, quote,

0:35:13.520 --> 0:35:17.560
<v Speaker 1>we are conducting a careful review, and while discussions are

0:35:17.560 --> 0:35:21.120
<v Speaker 1>still ongoing, we anticipate our head count reduction will take

0:35:21.160 --> 0:35:24.480
<v Speaker 1>place in the first half of January. He says there

0:35:24.520 --> 0:35:28.759
<v Speaker 1>are a variety of factors impacting the business landscape, including

0:35:28.960 --> 0:35:33.600
<v Speaker 1>tightening monetary conditions that are slowing down economic activity. Earlier

0:35:33.640 --> 0:35:36.280
<v Speaker 1>this month, sources said the firm may seek to eliminate

0:35:36.320 --> 0:35:39.239
<v Speaker 1>as much as eight percent of its workforce, or up

0:35:39.239 --> 0:35:42.880
<v Speaker 1>to four thousand jobs, to contain a slump in profit

0:35:43.040 --> 0:35:47.600
<v Speaker 1>and revenue in New York. Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Charlie,

0:35:47.600 --> 0:35:50.120
<v Speaker 1>thank you about the markets. Now, US futures are higher,

0:35:50.200 --> 0:35:53.440
<v Speaker 1>led by technology shares following two days of losses. Concerns

0:35:53.440 --> 0:35:56.239
<v Speaker 1>are servicing over the end of Chinese COVID zero policies,

0:35:56.440 --> 0:35:59.240
<v Speaker 1>But Jonathan Golub, head of US Equity strategy at Credits

0:35:59.239 --> 0:36:02.440
<v Speaker 1>Suite sees positive signs for the new year. The market

0:36:02.520 --> 0:36:05.240
<v Speaker 1>is of the belief that no matter what the FED says,

0:36:05.280 --> 0:36:08.280
<v Speaker 1>the likelihood is that the FED is going to ultimately

0:36:08.280 --> 0:36:11.960
<v Speaker 1>get closer to their inflation target. And that's a positive,

0:36:11.960 --> 0:36:15.000
<v Speaker 1>and that's what the market is ultimately fixated on. And

0:36:15.040 --> 0:36:17.680
<v Speaker 1>I think that's why stocks are gonna do pretty pretty

0:36:17.680 --> 0:36:20.640
<v Speaker 1>well over the next several months. Trying to thank Gala,

0:36:20.680 --> 0:36:23.840
<v Speaker 1>but Credit Sue says steady wages can provide some stability

0:36:23.840 --> 0:36:29.000
<v Speaker 1>in three to overseas. Stocks in Asia dropped in unison overnight.

0:36:29.280 --> 0:36:31.759
<v Speaker 1>Let's get the recap now from Bloomberg Day Breck Asia

0:36:31.800 --> 0:36:35.400
<v Speaker 1>anchor Brian Curtis. In Hong Kong, stocks in Asia tumbled

0:36:35.400 --> 0:36:38.920
<v Speaker 1>on new concerns that China's reopening would spread COVID cases

0:36:38.960 --> 0:36:41.640
<v Speaker 1>around the world. There may be a day that investors

0:36:41.640 --> 0:36:45.040
<v Speaker 1>embraced the reopening, but today was not that day. Equity

0:36:45.040 --> 0:36:48.640
<v Speaker 1>benchmarks in Japan, Hong Kong, Australia, and South Korea all

0:36:48.719 --> 0:36:52.919
<v Speaker 1>falling around one percent. Australian tenure government bond yields rose,

0:36:53.400 --> 0:36:56.320
<v Speaker 1>that Donna was weaker, and the yen put on games.

0:36:56.680 --> 0:36:59.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, Hong Kong. Brian Curtis Sploomberg day Break. All right, Brian,

0:36:59.840 --> 0:37:01.560
<v Speaker 1>thank you, But we also have news out of the

0:37:01.560 --> 0:37:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Bank of Japan this morning, the b o J announcing

0:37:04.000 --> 0:37:08.040
<v Speaker 1>two additional rounds of unscheduled bond purchase operations. The move

0:37:08.160 --> 0:37:10.399
<v Speaker 1>fights back against traders betting the b o J will

0:37:10.440 --> 0:37:13.600
<v Speaker 1>further relax it's yield curve control policy. While taking a

0:37:13.600 --> 0:37:15.640
<v Speaker 1>look at the end right now still rising against the

0:37:15.680 --> 0:37:18.480
<v Speaker 1>dollar at one thirty three point eight two I. Meanwhile,

0:37:18.520 --> 0:37:21.919
<v Speaker 1>oil is lower this morning, being time to concerns over

0:37:22.040 --> 0:37:25.279
<v Speaker 1>COVID cases surgeon in China. As we look at Brent

0:37:25.320 --> 0:37:29.160
<v Speaker 1>crew the international benchmark right now down a dollar seven

0:37:29.200 --> 0:37:33.360
<v Speaker 1>of barrel at eight two nine. Well. Travel turmoil continues

0:37:33.440 --> 0:37:36.680
<v Speaker 1>again this morning, John. The travel miltdown that's stranded thousands

0:37:36.680 --> 0:37:40.680
<v Speaker 1>of passengers has led to more flight cancelations at Southwest Ploomberg.

0:37:40.719 --> 0:37:43.720
<v Speaker 1>Steve Rappaport joins US Live with more. Steve, good morning,

0:37:43.880 --> 0:37:47.160
<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Karen and John. As Southwest grounds more than

0:37:47.200 --> 0:37:50.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty dred additional flights today, analysts and unions say this

0:37:51.040 --> 0:37:53.799
<v Speaker 1>nightmare could have been prevented. They warned for years the

0:37:53.800 --> 0:37:56.279
<v Speaker 1>carrier was playing a dangerous game by not investing in

0:37:56.320 --> 0:38:00.120
<v Speaker 1>new technology. Those prophecies proved a disaster for Southwest as

0:38:00.120 --> 0:38:03.160
<v Speaker 1>it struggles to recover from last week's storm. Rival airlines

0:38:03.200 --> 0:38:05.640
<v Speaker 1>are mostly back to normal operations. The White House and

0:38:05.719 --> 0:38:08.359
<v Speaker 1>lawmakers want to know why Southwest can't pick up the pace.

0:38:08.719 --> 0:38:11.200
<v Speaker 1>Live in New York, I'm Steve Rapp, report Bloomberg Day Break.

0:38:11.239 --> 0:38:13.200
<v Speaker 1>All right, thanks Steve, and we have a couple of

0:38:13.200 --> 0:38:16.080
<v Speaker 1>notes this morning on Elon buss companies. Let's start with Twitter,

0:38:16.239 --> 0:38:21.560
<v Speaker 1>which is restored service hours after thousands of users reported glitches.

0:38:21.600 --> 0:38:24.319
<v Speaker 1>More than nine thousand users from San Francisco to Hong

0:38:24.400 --> 0:38:30.080
<v Speaker 1>Kong reported problems accessing the service, and Elon mus telling

0:38:30.120 --> 0:38:33.840
<v Speaker 1>Tesla employees to ignore it. Stock market craziness, as he

0:38:33.920 --> 0:38:37.200
<v Speaker 1>puts it. His comments come as analysts turned bullish on

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:40.760
<v Speaker 1>the stock. Morgan Stanley this morning says d rating um

0:38:40.840 --> 0:38:45.040
<v Speaker 1>in the company stock has created a buying opportunity. Most

0:38:45.120 --> 0:38:47.759
<v Speaker 1>active in the pre market right now Tesla at four

0:38:47.800 --> 0:38:54.520
<v Speaker 1>point eight percent. This is Bloomberg and it brings us

0:38:54.560 --> 0:38:57.799
<v Speaker 1>to six or seven of Wall Street. And let's get

0:38:57.800 --> 0:39:00.600
<v Speaker 1>the news from around the world and in New York.

0:39:00.640 --> 0:39:02.760
<v Speaker 1>And for that we see good morning to Bloomberg's Michael

0:39:02.760 --> 0:39:05.600
<v Speaker 1>Barr John, thank you very much. Buffalo lifted a travel

0:39:05.680 --> 0:39:08.440
<v Speaker 1>ban just after midnight. It was put in place in

0:39:08.480 --> 0:39:11.120
<v Speaker 1>the aftermath of the Christmas weekend blizzard that left the

0:39:11.120 --> 0:39:14.240
<v Speaker 1>city buried under more than four feet of snow. Mayor

0:39:14.320 --> 0:39:18.720
<v Speaker 1>Byron Brown conditions are such that the driving band can

0:39:18.760 --> 0:39:23.640
<v Speaker 1>be lifted. We're going to keep a travel advisory in

0:39:23.760 --> 0:39:27.880
<v Speaker 1>place because there will still be heavy equipment doing work.

0:39:28.400 --> 0:39:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Dozens of Buffalo area residents died in the storm. New

0:39:32.040 --> 0:39:36.719
<v Speaker 1>York Congressman elect George Santos is under increasing scrutiny. Prosecutors

0:39:36.760 --> 0:39:39.400
<v Speaker 1>at the federal and state levels are taking a closer

0:39:39.400 --> 0:39:42.319
<v Speaker 1>look at the Republican. His lies about his past have

0:39:42.520 --> 0:39:45.880
<v Speaker 1>reportedly led to a federal probe into his finances, with

0:39:46.000 --> 0:39:49.480
<v Speaker 1>questions now servicing about seven hundred thousand dollars used to

0:39:49.520 --> 0:39:53.160
<v Speaker 1>fund his campaign. The prosecutor in Nassau County says she

0:39:53.400 --> 0:39:58.880
<v Speaker 1>is looking into numerous fabrications and inconsistencies. Nearly two years

0:39:58.920 --> 0:40:02.480
<v Speaker 1>after New York legal ees recreational marijuana, New York City's

0:40:02.560 --> 0:40:06.080
<v Speaker 1>first dispensary is opening against doors to the public today.

0:40:06.440 --> 0:40:09.560
<v Speaker 1>The Housing Works Cannabis Company in Lower Manhattan is a

0:40:09.600 --> 0:40:13.279
<v Speaker 1>nonprofit that supports the homeless. Attorney Michael Bass says to

0:40:13.360 --> 0:40:16.120
<v Speaker 1>be aware of certain restrictions under the new laws. It's

0:40:16.120 --> 0:40:19.680
<v Speaker 1>gonna be very long lives. And my concern is people

0:40:20.440 --> 0:40:23.759
<v Speaker 1>may lose patients in these lines and just go over

0:40:23.800 --> 0:40:27.400
<v Speaker 1>to New Jersey to buy cannabis products and bring it

0:40:27.440 --> 0:40:30.040
<v Speaker 1>back to New York. Well, if you do that, you've

0:40:30.040 --> 0:40:34.239
<v Speaker 1>committed a federal cry trafficking the cannabis across state lives.

0:40:34.280 --> 0:40:38.000
<v Speaker 1>So I urged folks, please don't do that. Attorney Bass

0:40:38.040 --> 0:40:41.279
<v Speaker 1>also says there are limitations in terms of Grahams Announces

0:40:41.320 --> 0:40:44.320
<v Speaker 1>to what you can purchase in New York. The fallout

0:40:44.320 --> 0:40:46.880
<v Speaker 1>continues over the crisis at the southern border. After the

0:40:46.920 --> 0:40:49.879
<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court led Title forty two stay in place for now.

0:40:50.360 --> 0:40:54.120
<v Speaker 1>People in El Paso, Texas are protesting the extension of

0:40:54.160 --> 0:40:57.799
<v Speaker 1>Title forty two. The Pandemic era policy allows the US

0:40:57.840 --> 0:41:01.400
<v Speaker 1>to expel migrants back across the order without an asylum hearing.

0:41:02.080 --> 0:41:05.879
<v Speaker 1>Bye Bye twenty twenty two. Ahead of the Big Ball

0:41:06.000 --> 0:41:09.680
<v Speaker 1>drop in New Year's Eve, Good Written's Day was held

0:41:09.680 --> 0:41:12.800
<v Speaker 1>in Times Square. Visitors could write down what they want

0:41:12.880 --> 0:41:15.560
<v Speaker 1>to leave in the past. This man is a cancer

0:41:15.560 --> 0:41:20.560
<v Speaker 1>survivor five nosed in January this year and went through

0:41:20.640 --> 0:41:25.840
<v Speaker 1>chemo radiation surgery, and many others retired of COVID Global

0:41:25.880 --> 0:41:27.800
<v Speaker 1>News twenty four hours a day on air end on

0:41:27.920 --> 0:41:30.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Take power by more than twenty seven under

0:41:30.680 --> 0:41:33.759
<v Speaker 1>journalist and analyists more than a hundred twenty countries. Michael Barr,

0:41:33.800 --> 0:41:36.399
<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg, John, Michael, thank you. It is now

0:41:36.600 --> 0:41:39.960
<v Speaker 1>six ten uh Wolves free. Yeah. I signed out for

0:41:39.960 --> 0:41:42.439
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Sports Report being brought you by your Try

0:41:42.520 --> 0:41:45.200
<v Speaker 1>State autie dealers. Let's get the ump date from John

0:41:45.200 --> 0:41:47.840
<v Speaker 1>Stashire Morning John, Good morning John, and Nets and Hawks.

0:41:47.880 --> 0:41:50.800
<v Speaker 1>We're in Atlanta Hops with without three injured starters, Nets

0:41:50.920 --> 0:41:53.439
<v Speaker 1>riding along wind streak. They had a double digit lead,

0:41:53.520 --> 0:41:58.760
<v Speaker 1>but then the Hopps rallied five the gate one four

0:42:00.760 --> 0:42:04.439
<v Speaker 1>the rand uptime moving left stop for the time head

0:42:04.480 --> 0:42:09.520
<v Speaker 1>away called for th D one O six four w

0:42:09.760 --> 0:42:12.160
<v Speaker 1>f a n Atlanta Mr shot to win it at

0:42:12.200 --> 0:42:14.400
<v Speaker 1>the buzzer and the Nets made it ten wins in

0:42:14.400 --> 0:42:17.120
<v Speaker 1>a row. It's their longest win streak in sixteen years.

0:42:17.640 --> 0:42:20.760
<v Speaker 1>One oh eight one oh seven Kyrie every twenty eight points.

0:42:20.800 --> 0:42:22.680
<v Speaker 1>Fifteen of those came in the fourth quarter for Kevin

0:42:22.719 --> 0:42:27.239
<v Speaker 1>Duran twenty six point sixteen rebounds, eight assists, Nets look

0:42:27.280 --> 0:42:30.080
<v Speaker 1>to keep the street going. Saturday at Charlotte. Knicks, coming

0:42:30.120 --> 0:42:33.799
<v Speaker 1>off that overtime lost in Dallas, played tonight in San Antonio,

0:42:33.880 --> 0:42:36.440
<v Speaker 1>and since winning seven row, the Knicks have lost their

0:42:36.520 --> 0:42:38.800
<v Speaker 1>last four. Devils beating the New Work by the NHL

0:42:38.920 --> 0:42:42.080
<v Speaker 1>leading Bruins three to one. Rangers visit Tampa Bay tonight.

0:42:42.120 --> 0:42:44.560
<v Speaker 1>The Islanders are home for Columbus St. John's hostin Xavier.

0:42:44.640 --> 0:42:47.319
<v Speaker 1>Trailed by eleventh a half, the Red Storm lost eighty

0:42:47.400 --> 0:42:49.839
<v Speaker 1>four to seventy nine and now eleven and three, one

0:42:49.880 --> 0:42:53.080
<v Speaker 1>and two in the Big East. Fordham was twelve and one,

0:42:53.160 --> 0:42:55.279
<v Speaker 1>but the Rams lost their Atlantic Tin opener at Rose

0:42:55.360 --> 0:42:59.160
<v Speaker 1>Hilda Davidson fifty seven to forty three, to only fourteen

0:42:59.200 --> 0:43:01.440
<v Speaker 1>points in the first half. There's college football in New

0:43:01.520 --> 0:43:05.160
<v Speaker 1>York this afternoon. Syracuse and Minnesota. The pin Strike Ball

0:43:05.160 --> 0:43:07.799
<v Speaker 1>at Yankee Stadium. Last night's Liberty Bowl in Memphis went

0:43:07.880 --> 0:43:13.080
<v Speaker 1>triple overtime. Kansas rally from down, but Arkansas one fifty

0:43:13.160 --> 0:43:17.600
<v Speaker 1>three National Semifinals. Saturday, Michigan TCU and Phoenix, Georgia takes

0:43:17.640 --> 0:43:20.600
<v Speaker 1>on Ohio State in Atlanta. Winners played January nine and

0:43:20.760 --> 0:43:23.480
<v Speaker 1>l A John Statar Bloomberg Sports. John all right, John,

0:43:23.560 --> 0:43:26.520
<v Speaker 1>thanks very much. The Bloomberg Sports Report brought to you

0:43:26.560 --> 0:43:28.880
<v Speaker 1>by Audie. Don't let somebody else drive off on the

0:43:28.920 --> 0:43:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Audi model that you've always wanted. Visit your local Tri

0:43:31.640 --> 0:43:35.040
<v Speaker 1>state Audie dealer, or get behind the wheel of yours today,

0:43:35.120 --> 0:43:39.440
<v Speaker 1>or visit Audi Offers dot com for more information. Head

0:43:39.480 --> 0:43:41.799
<v Speaker 1>of the cash open on Wall Street futures right now,

0:43:42.120 --> 0:43:45.080
<v Speaker 1>point to uh A higher open, Dow futures up eight,

0:43:46.040 --> 0:43:49.520
<v Speaker 1>SMP Evenate futures up twenty. This is Bloomberg Dame Break

0:43:52.920 --> 0:43:56.319
<v Speaker 1>live from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco,

0:43:56.520 --> 0:44:00.200
<v Speaker 1>Boston to Washington, d C. Nationwide on Sirius X, then

0:44:00.320 --> 0:44:03.920
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg dot Com. This is

0:44:04.000 --> 0:44:08.080
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak and good morning. I'm John Tucker. Well, we

0:44:08.120 --> 0:44:11.080
<v Speaker 1>had concerns about the spread of COVID nineteen from China,

0:44:11.280 --> 0:44:13.160
<v Speaker 1>weakening some of the risk afford site. In one of

0:44:13.200 --> 0:44:16.440
<v Speaker 1>the final trading days of the year, yesterday's session, SMP

0:44:16.480 --> 0:44:20.200
<v Speaker 1>five hundred lost one point two percent. Right now, let's

0:44:20.239 --> 0:44:22.560
<v Speaker 1>get you set up for the trading day Ahead. We

0:44:22.600 --> 0:44:27.520
<v Speaker 1>are joined by uh mak wod New Ronnie, the CEO

0:44:27.680 --> 0:44:32.000
<v Speaker 1>and co founder at quant Insight. UM. With the COVID

0:44:32.080 --> 0:44:34.359
<v Speaker 1>risk in the markets, you have a sense of well,

0:44:34.520 --> 0:44:39.160
<v Speaker 1>here we go again with with COVID HI. Good morning

0:44:39.200 --> 0:44:42.680
<v Speaker 1>from London, John. As far as COVID in in China

0:44:42.760 --> 0:44:45.520
<v Speaker 1>is concerned, all eyes are on that. But it is

0:44:45.640 --> 0:44:48.160
<v Speaker 1>really a bit of a wild card um. You know,

0:44:48.280 --> 0:44:51.759
<v Speaker 1>on the one hand you have opening up and some

0:44:51.880 --> 0:44:55.279
<v Speaker 1>sort of resumption of economic activity. On the other hand,

0:44:55.320 --> 0:44:59.279
<v Speaker 1>it's really hard to get a handle on UM you know,

0:44:59.360 --> 0:45:02.480
<v Speaker 1>the impact that it's going to have on on economic activity.

0:45:02.920 --> 0:45:05.480
<v Speaker 1>So a real wild card and that really adds to

0:45:05.520 --> 0:45:09.000
<v Speaker 1>the uncertainty going into two thousand and twenty three, and

0:45:09.000 --> 0:45:12.160
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of it. What can you pick up

0:45:12.160 --> 0:45:17.440
<v Speaker 1>for the ashes of if anything, with the risk assets

0:45:17.440 --> 0:45:20.520
<v Speaker 1>and beyond Yeah, absolutely. I mean what we do at

0:45:20.560 --> 0:45:23.160
<v Speaker 1>quantu inside is we like looking at the data, and

0:45:23.239 --> 0:45:26.279
<v Speaker 1>we gather millions of data points today and have this

0:45:26.360 --> 0:45:30.319
<v Speaker 1>big machine that basically processes it all. Looks at all

0:45:30.360 --> 0:45:34.960
<v Speaker 1>the daily little variations we see in information on GDP

0:45:35.120 --> 0:45:38.520
<v Speaker 1>and inflation and what the Fed's expected to do and

0:45:38.520 --> 0:45:41.600
<v Speaker 1>and sort of relate that asset prices to help us

0:45:41.680 --> 0:45:45.160
<v Speaker 1>understand what's really going on. And the two thousand two

0:45:45.200 --> 0:45:48.200
<v Speaker 1>story was very clear, and that was really that the

0:45:48.239 --> 0:45:51.040
<v Speaker 1>only game in town was the FED and where they

0:45:51.040 --> 0:45:53.839
<v Speaker 1>were going to stop. But what we started to see

0:45:53.840 --> 0:45:57.520
<v Speaker 1>in the last few weeks is that all the indicators

0:45:57.600 --> 0:46:01.839
<v Speaker 1>are showing that the importance of the FED is diminishing

0:46:02.520 --> 0:46:05.360
<v Speaker 1>and the importance of the real economy and the credit

0:46:05.440 --> 0:46:09.240
<v Speaker 1>cycle is increasing. Now we sort of have this weird

0:46:09.880 --> 0:46:13.760
<v Speaker 1>six month period where although the FED has been tightening

0:46:13.840 --> 0:46:17.600
<v Speaker 1>a lot and very quickly, US real GDP growth has

0:46:17.640 --> 0:46:21.960
<v Speaker 1>actually been positive. So we've we've got positive GDP growth

0:46:22.040 --> 0:46:25.680
<v Speaker 1>into three, and it looks like Q four will be positive. Uh.

0:46:25.680 --> 0:46:29.800
<v Speaker 1>And I noted with interest that Goldman's chief economists yesterday

0:46:29.880 --> 0:46:34.160
<v Speaker 1>was on LinkedIn talking about their forecast for three for

0:46:34.360 --> 0:46:37.320
<v Speaker 1>US real GDP growth and he had that as positive

0:46:37.400 --> 0:46:41.759
<v Speaker 1>one percent. In the other corner, you have, of course,

0:46:41.800 --> 0:46:44.960
<v Speaker 1>everyone talking about the inverted yield curve and how that's

0:46:44.960 --> 0:46:49.239
<v Speaker 1>a very reliable predictor of recession. Uh. And so what

0:46:49.360 --> 0:46:52.880
<v Speaker 1>it boils down to three is how's the real economy

0:46:52.920 --> 0:46:55.839
<v Speaker 1>going to do? And how is the credit cycle going

0:46:55.880 --> 0:46:59.200
<v Speaker 1>to do? And is all this tightening we've seen from

0:46:59.200 --> 0:47:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the Fed fine lead going to bite when it comes

0:47:03.000 --> 0:47:07.080
<v Speaker 1>to real GDP growth. Are we going to see unemployment rise?

0:47:07.640 --> 0:47:10.080
<v Speaker 1>That's the big question, and where we are right now

0:47:10.920 --> 0:47:12.879
<v Speaker 1>is very unclear. I mean, if you look at US

0:47:12.960 --> 0:47:17.040
<v Speaker 1>corporate bankruptcies in two thousand and twenty two, they are

0:47:17.080 --> 0:47:20.480
<v Speaker 1>at a ten year low. Um, you know, the consumer

0:47:20.760 --> 0:47:24.160
<v Speaker 1>has done way better than expected. Whether that's because they've

0:47:24.160 --> 0:47:28.480
<v Speaker 1>been spending on credit cards is an open question. Corporate

0:47:28.480 --> 0:47:30.880
<v Speaker 1>credit spreads, which give you an idea of sort of

0:47:30.960 --> 0:47:34.960
<v Speaker 1>the market expected default rate for corporate and how much

0:47:35.000 --> 0:47:39.320
<v Speaker 1>pain they see next year, is not really flashing any

0:47:39.480 --> 0:47:42.839
<v Speaker 1>red signs as yet. And so the net result is

0:47:42.880 --> 0:47:45.920
<v Speaker 1>you've got the equity market stuff between this sort of

0:47:46.000 --> 0:47:49.800
<v Speaker 1>thirty six hundred and four thousand, four thousand, one hundred

0:47:49.880 --> 0:47:53.799
<v Speaker 1>sort of zone while we see what the economy does.

0:47:54.040 --> 0:47:57.160
<v Speaker 1>And so what we're doing at QI is watching the

0:47:57.200 --> 0:48:02.279
<v Speaker 1>real economy data very very closely as enter where did

0:48:02.280 --> 0:48:07.560
<v Speaker 1>the earnings expectations fit into all of this? Well, you know,

0:48:07.719 --> 0:48:13.719
<v Speaker 1>the current earnings expectations are moderates, kind of small positive

0:48:14.080 --> 0:48:16.520
<v Speaker 1>and you have a bit of a disagreement out there

0:48:16.640 --> 0:48:20.480
<v Speaker 1>because a lot of the equity market bears are expecting

0:48:20.520 --> 0:48:25.439
<v Speaker 1>an earnings recession in three but that is based on

0:48:25.840 --> 0:48:29.040
<v Speaker 1>the view that the US economy is going to go

0:48:29.200 --> 0:48:35.080
<v Speaker 1>into recession. So again, you know, if we do get

0:48:35.080 --> 0:48:38.640
<v Speaker 1>this soft landing, and some of the pundits are right

0:48:39.600 --> 0:48:42.880
<v Speaker 1>that you get one percent positive real GDP growth in

0:48:44.320 --> 0:48:48.359
<v Speaker 1>the Fed engineers this kind of amazing soft landing where

0:48:48.360 --> 0:48:51.640
<v Speaker 1>they've managed to slow the economy down and inflation comes

0:48:51.680 --> 0:48:56.600
<v Speaker 1>down and you're still growing it around one percent. Again,

0:48:56.680 --> 0:48:59.840
<v Speaker 1>that speaks to more of a sideways type of equity

0:49:00.000 --> 0:49:03.120
<v Speaker 1>pocket and no sort of huge type of back market

0:49:03.200 --> 0:49:06.719
<v Speaker 1>that we saw this year. All right, we'll leave it there.

0:49:06.880 --> 0:49:11.120
<v Speaker 1>Mamo the Nearani, the CEO and co founder of Quanda Insight,

0:49:11.239 --> 0:49:14.720
<v Speaker 1>joining us from London this morning, appreciate your time. Ahead

0:49:14.719 --> 0:49:16.640
<v Speaker 1>of the cash open on Wall Street this morning. We

0:49:16.719 --> 0:49:19.680
<v Speaker 1>have futures for now in the green, the down futures

0:49:19.920 --> 0:49:22.279
<v Speaker 1>there's seventy points higher, that's a rise of about two

0:49:22.280 --> 0:49:24.840
<v Speaker 1>tenths of a percent. S and P evening futures of

0:49:24.920 --> 0:49:27.279
<v Speaker 1>seventeen that's up four tenths of a percent right now,

0:49:27.600 --> 0:49:31.160
<v Speaker 1>and Tech Cavy NAZAC futures seventy nine points higher. That

0:49:31.480 --> 0:49:35.760
<v Speaker 1>is a three quarters of eight percent. And look at

0:49:35.840 --> 0:49:38.759
<v Speaker 1>Nimex crewed right now. This is West Texas Intermediate, down

0:49:38.920 --> 0:49:41.960
<v Speaker 1>one and a half percent off the session laws right now,

0:49:42.160 --> 0:49:46.239
<v Speaker 1>down a dollar three a barrel at seventy seven seventy eight.

0:49:46.480 --> 0:49:48.400
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Daybreak