WEBVTT - Twitter Earnings and Tech Hiring Freezes

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where innovation, money and power collive

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Emily j I'm Emily checking San Francisco and this is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Technology. Coming up in the next hour. Twitter's tepid

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<v Speaker 1>results another blow to the company that's already fighting a

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<v Speaker 1>high profile legal battle with Elon Musk. We will talk

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<v Speaker 1>about what it tells us about the state of social media,

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<v Speaker 1>plus more and more tech companies hitting the brakes on hiring.

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<v Speaker 1>What does it signal about the future of the economy

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<v Speaker 1>and what does Silicon Valley look like when the dust

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<v Speaker 1>has settled. Polit School and finding the soulmate comes with

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<v Speaker 1>a cost, and inflation isn't helping. Singles are getting creative

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<v Speaker 1>as the dating economy suffers from picker shock. We'll dig

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<v Speaker 1>into trends in dating. All that in a moment, But

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<v Speaker 1>first Snap then Twitter dragging tech markets down, disappointing results

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<v Speaker 1>only fueling fears of a recession. I want to zoom

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<v Speaker 1>out and talk about what all these tech results so

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<v Speaker 1>far have told us about the state of the economy.

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<v Speaker 1>For that, I want to bring in wed wish Managing

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<v Speaker 1>director Dan Eyes and economy CEO David Kirkpatrick. Look, let's

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<v Speaker 1>let's let's start with Twitter because we saw you know,

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<v Speaker 1>miss miss on the top line, uh users inline? Dan,

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<v Speaker 1>is Twitter just treading water right now? I think Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>is basically training right now. Is odds are almost an

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<v Speaker 1>arbitrage on what's gonna happen in Delaware in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>eating with the must deal in terms of how that

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<v Speaker 1>plays out for me the a settlement or he ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>needs to buy Twitter based on Delaware court. But I

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<v Speaker 1>will tell you those metrics firmer than fear, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think it should, especially when you compare it as Ed

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<v Speaker 1>talked about the Snare app just absolute disaster, blaming everything

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<v Speaker 1>for the wind. I mean, Twitter holding it a bit

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<v Speaker 1>better than expected, but it is training right now on

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<v Speaker 1>what's happening in terms of October and the Delaware court case.

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<v Speaker 1>And remember it was Snap, you know, coming out and

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<v Speaker 1>revising its forecast earlier this year that sort of kick

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<v Speaker 1>started this market meltdown. David, what's your take on what

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing from Snap? Even Evan Spiegel himself saying he's

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<v Speaker 1>not happy with these results. Well, I think in the

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<v Speaker 1>digital advertising business, some companies are a lot better position

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<v Speaker 1>than others, and Snap is not at the center of

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<v Speaker 1>the industry. I think it is at risk, and it

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<v Speaker 1>showed that it's at risk of unusually strong reaction when

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<v Speaker 1>advertisers start to pull back. I don't think that's the

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<v Speaker 1>case for some of the bigger companies. UM. It is

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<v Speaker 1>interesting to me when you look at what's happening with Twitter.

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<v Speaker 1>Um it's a company that probably has gained a lot

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<v Speaker 1>from the sheer publicity around the must efforts, and they

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<v Speaker 1>are gaining users. So I agree with that it's not

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<v Speaker 1>nearly as bad as we might have expected. So here's

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<v Speaker 1>the question, Dan, how much is what's happening with Snap

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<v Speaker 1>and what we just saw with Twitter signal about the

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<v Speaker 1>state of the online ad business? What does this actually

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<v Speaker 1>mean for Meta or Alphabet for example, Dan, And there's

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<v Speaker 1>obviously a big drum roll into next week I think

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<v Speaker 1>one most pivotal week or earnings for tech and then

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<v Speaker 1>by five six years. But look, Snap, even a good

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<v Speaker 1>ecomming Snap has had a lot of difficulty getting their

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<v Speaker 1>arms around their business continuum as viewer as a paper

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<v Speaker 1>airplane and a hurricane. I still believe when it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to YouTube in terms of Google and what we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>see even pinterest in others. I think digital ad swelling,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think media holding up a bit better than feared.

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<v Speaker 1>But that's why next year to Miki, especially when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to meta streets baking in a lot of bad news.

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<v Speaker 1>But I just continue to not use snap as the

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<v Speaker 1>best barometer who it's happened the industry. That said, there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of talk now about whether the social media

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<v Speaker 1>business model is sputtering, is on the verge of failing.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, David, we're seeing Facebook, you know, pivot entirely

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<v Speaker 1>to a whole new future with meta, in part because

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure because of some of the weaknesses that they

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<v Speaker 1>see internally. I mean, do you think this is some

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<v Speaker 1>sort of what we've seen so far, whether it's just

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<v Speaker 1>the last couple of weeks or the last you know,

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<v Speaker 1>couple of quarters, a sort of indictment on the business

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<v Speaker 1>model of social media. No, I don't. In fact, I

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<v Speaker 1>think the pivot to meta in the metaverse at what

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<v Speaker 1>used to be called Facebook really has a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>other causes, and a lot of them have to do

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<v Speaker 1>with reputational management. Um, I don't think that social media

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<v Speaker 1>industry is at risk of failing in any fundamental way.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the evolution is happening faster than some would

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<v Speaker 1>have expected, uh, particularly with TikTok's extraordinary billion global user arise. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>The the incumbents aren't really prepared. They aren't a sleet

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<v Speaker 1>footed now, especially that as they're so big, particularly in

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<v Speaker 1>the case of Facebook, uh and Google to a lesser extent.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Google is the best position company of all

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<v Speaker 1>of these film myself. So you think Google has the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest upside in the tech sector, Why, Well, it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>not that it has. It's just that it's embeddedness in

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<v Speaker 1>the global economy, not the tech economy, just in the

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<v Speaker 1>global economy is so thorough, so immovable. This is not

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<v Speaker 1>true for the businesses of of meta Facebook, except for

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<v Speaker 1>possibly WhatsApp, which is a business that really does have

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<v Speaker 1>a almost impregnable global position. Um. But the Google services,

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<v Speaker 1>many of them are just inconceivable for people to live without.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think that is a huge defense mechanism for them.

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<v Speaker 1>They've put themselves in a fantastic position over decade. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a building incredibly well designed and useful businesses. Dan, what

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<v Speaker 1>tech company do you think has the biggest upside right now? Well, First,

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<v Speaker 1>I agree with David on on the Google side going

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<v Speaker 1>into next week, But to me, it's that company and

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<v Speaker 1>Cooper Tina, it's Apple because I think that's one it's

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<v Speaker 1>an underestimated demand cycle still even with a swirling macro

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of iPhone fourteen, you got a quarter of

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<v Speaker 1>the base by two not upgrade three and a half years.

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<v Speaker 1>That services business rocket Gibralton. I think that's going to

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<v Speaker 1>come through next week, and I think some of the

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<v Speaker 1>parts the Apples still a SOAKA is the two in

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<v Speaker 1>front of it. That continues to be our top technique.

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<v Speaker 1>But Dan, even Apple is cutting back on hiring, cutting

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<v Speaker 1>back on costs, cutting back on spending for various divisions.

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<v Speaker 1>What does that tell you? Look, I think that they're

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<v Speaker 1>being proven. You're seen that across the valley from Microsoft

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<v Speaker 1>to Amazon to other But but this is more prudence

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<v Speaker 1>rather than what I sort of view is just a

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<v Speaker 1>massive deceleration to tap into business. And I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>also other areas that they're looking to spend on, and

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<v Speaker 1>it comes down to what's baked into the stocks. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's a theme that we saw a play out

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<v Speaker 1>with Netflix with Tesla, and I think next week I view,

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<v Speaker 1>this is sort of better than fear in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>how it's going to play on Apple. I continue putting

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<v Speaker 1>Astrick around that front and center, along with Microsoft being

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<v Speaker 1>our court cloud name. David, would you say you're expecting

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<v Speaker 1>better than feared results next week? I think it's hard

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<v Speaker 1>to predict what's going to happen next week. But one

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<v Speaker 1>thing that I would say it was on a Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>article this week that I read that recession is almost

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<v Speaker 1>inevitable if it hasn't started already. So any of these

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<v Speaker 1>companies that were not preparing themselves by battman down the

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<v Speaker 1>hatches would be pretty poorly managed. I do agree. Apple

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<v Speaker 1>has just done another job, sort of like Google in

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<v Speaker 1>its own unique way of building businesses that just can't

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<v Speaker 1>be stopped. So I doubt if they would be slowed

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<v Speaker 1>much by even the beginnings of a recession. All Right, David,

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<v Speaker 1>you're gonna be sticking with us. We're actually gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>digging into this big hiring slow down. A bit later

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<v Speaker 1>in the show, David Kirkpatrick, thank you, and Dan ives

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<v Speaker 1>always good to have you here. Happy Friday. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>coming up, one tech company after another slowing or stopping

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<v Speaker 1>hiring is it a sign of ominous economics. Guys ahead

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<v Speaker 1>talk about that and more. Next, this is Bloomberg. Big

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<v Speaker 1>tech is hitting the brakes on hiring, from Apple and

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<v Speaker 1>Microsoft to Netflix and Amazon. Silicon Valley is cutting back

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<v Speaker 1>on growth after years of bulking up, the entire industry

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<v Speaker 1>bracing for a potential recession. Alex Brin could cover social

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<v Speaker 1>media from Bloomberg News to economies. David Kirkpatrick still with us. So, look,

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<v Speaker 1>you've got Microsoft eliminating new job openings, Google slow and

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<v Speaker 1>hiring for the rest of the year, Amazon saying they

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<v Speaker 1>overstaffed during the pandemic, now they have to cut back. Alex,

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<v Speaker 1>what are the biggest headlines you've seen in this raft

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<v Speaker 1>of news from tech companies that they're pulling back. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm saying a lot of pointing fingers at things like

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<v Speaker 1>rising inflation hitting costs UM and UH, and customers of

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<v Speaker 1>folks like Amazon who sell products pulling back spending. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>also seeing a lot of this idea of macroeconomic uncertainty

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<v Speaker 1>hitting companies that depend on advertising on their businesses. I

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<v Speaker 1>think a couple of really good examples, Emily, are in

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<v Speaker 1>the second quarter results we saw this week from the

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<v Speaker 1>likes of Twitter and from Snap. Both of them pointed

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<v Speaker 1>to this kind of macroeconomic uncertainty hitting their advertisers and

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<v Speaker 1>causing campaign budgets to go down. So that means that

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<v Speaker 1>the places that they depend on for revenue are getting smaller.

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<v Speaker 1>That advertising pie is shrinking, Snap for um for that company,

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<v Speaker 1>UM gave some hints into what a lot of these

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<v Speaker 1>companies might be thinking about. They said, Look, the pool

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<v Speaker 1>of money that we're making on the top line is

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<v Speaker 1>getting smaller, So we're actually looking across our business and

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<v Speaker 1>seeing where can we optimize um our bottom line, Where

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<v Speaker 1>can we optimize profitability, What other opportunities that were already

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<v Speaker 1>working on can we look just squeeze a bit more

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<v Speaker 1>money out of. And of course, like the rest of

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<v Speaker 1>the companies you mentioned at the top, they are being

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<v Speaker 1>really cautious when it comes to adding more headcount and

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<v Speaker 1>more costs and which investments they are picking because it

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<v Speaker 1>seems like right now we're in a bit of a

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<v Speaker 1>chopping environment. Emily, Indeed, it seems like we're getting memo

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<v Speaker 1>after memo from various ceo saying we're slowing down here,

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<v Speaker 1>we're pulling back there. I want to warn you about this, David.

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<v Speaker 1>You know some of these, you know, are companies that

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<v Speaker 1>haven't reported yet. They're gonna be reporting over the next

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<v Speaker 1>couple of weeks. But what do you think they're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>that the rest of us aren't yet. Well, I think

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<v Speaker 1>each one is a different story. I suspect that the

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<v Speaker 1>big companies aren't seeing terrible as spending results yet that

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<v Speaker 1>could easily happen in the near future. Uh. Certainly in

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<v Speaker 1>the case of Meta Facebook, there is a real possibility,

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<v Speaker 1>as the Great Alex Kendrew has pointed out in his

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<v Speaker 1>newsletter this week that Facebook Meta really could have their

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<v Speaker 1>first year over year decline in revenues. Ever. Uh So

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<v Speaker 1>that would be really a big change for a company

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<v Speaker 1>that has had a historic run of just growth after

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<v Speaker 1>growth after growth for really well over a decade. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But but these the thing about Meta too that I

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<v Speaker 1>think people may forget is that the big advertisers are

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<v Speaker 1>not their primary source of revenue. There it's very important,

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<v Speaker 1>but they're small business and media business are really where

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<v Speaker 1>their bread is buttered. And you know, at this point

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<v Speaker 1>in the economic shift, I suspect that smaller companies are

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<v Speaker 1>still willing to spend to try to stimulate business so

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<v Speaker 1>my guess is that metas results will not be shockingly bad,

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<v Speaker 1>although they even themselves predicted growth are slowing. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we saw that user growth even started to drop in

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<v Speaker 1>certain key geography. So they have problems all over the place.

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<v Speaker 1>They have an identity crisis. You know, they don't even

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<v Speaker 1>know who they are the you know, the metaverse. They're

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<v Speaker 1>predicting too soon. I'm going on. But uh, there's some

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<v Speaker 1>thoughts well, and there's an interesting question of how did

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<v Speaker 1>the social media company survivor recession when most of them

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<v Speaker 1>aren't around in two thousand eight and Facebook was only

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<v Speaker 1>four years old. I mean, I know that's when you

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<v Speaker 1>were writing your book, but you know, we don't really

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<v Speaker 1>have a lot of past experience to to to indicate

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<v Speaker 1>how social media will survive a recession. Well, that company

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<v Speaker 1>in particular has zero exper arians. The irony is, um,

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<v Speaker 1>I was writing my book in late two thousand and eight,

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<v Speaker 1>throughout all of two thousand and nine came out. So

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<v Speaker 1>this is when the economy was in terrible shape, and

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<v Speaker 1>ironically I barely noticed because at Facebook there was no

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<v Speaker 1>evidence of it. What sweve um and so there really

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<v Speaker 1>is unequivocally you can say Mark Zuckerberg has never been

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<v Speaker 1>through a real downturn, and be people who are young

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<v Speaker 1>may not realize in two thousand and eight, two thousand

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:30.880
<v Speaker 1>and nine we had a serious recession. That is something

0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:34.679
<v Speaker 1>very very new for that company in particular. Well, and

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:37.280
<v Speaker 1>obviously Mark Zuckerberg has made a lot of big acquisitions

0:13:37.280 --> 0:13:40.280
<v Speaker 1>over the years, but wasn't able to buy Snap, wasn't

0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:43.560
<v Speaker 1>able to buy Twitter if that was ever really on

0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:46.199
<v Speaker 1>the table. But Alex, do you do think could M

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:48.760
<v Speaker 1>and A be a possibility? You know, could some of

0:13:48.760 --> 0:13:52.480
<v Speaker 1>these companies buy or sell their way out of this

0:13:54.040 --> 0:13:56.200
<v Speaker 1>potentially if they feel like they have the cash to

0:13:56.240 --> 0:13:59.600
<v Speaker 1>do so. Um. For Mark Zuckerberry looking at Facebook, um,

0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:02.640
<v Speaker 1>I that they have this now existential threat of the

0:14:02.679 --> 0:14:06.320
<v Speaker 1>macroeconomic environment. He's also kind of dealing with this threat

0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:10.280
<v Speaker 1>of users wanting and experience that didn't originate on Facebook.

0:14:10.800 --> 0:14:14.679
<v Speaker 1>The TikTok size elephant in the room is something that

0:14:14.720 --> 0:14:17.360
<v Speaker 1>all of the metal platforms, from Facebook to Instagram are

0:14:17.400 --> 0:14:20.480
<v Speaker 1>also having to contend with. Right now, it looks like

0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:25.320
<v Speaker 1>that company in particular is betting on building and changing

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:28.840
<v Speaker 1>both the flagship face Facebook app and the Instagram app

0:14:28.880 --> 0:14:33.840
<v Speaker 1>to better satiate users obsession with short form videos without

0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:36.480
<v Speaker 1>trying to alienate the user base um that they have.

0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:41.280
<v Speaker 1>You saw changes with both Facebook and Instagram's core experience

0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:44.440
<v Speaker 1>this week, basically making them look more like TikTok so

0:14:44.880 --> 0:14:47.040
<v Speaker 1>um buying their way out of it. You know, I

0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:48.760
<v Speaker 1>think that would be a big question, and if I

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:50.720
<v Speaker 1>were the board of these companies, I would want to

0:14:50.720 --> 0:14:53.880
<v Speaker 1>be maybe taking a conservative view, because if you're not

0:14:53.960 --> 0:14:56.880
<v Speaker 1>putting that money toward things like head count and bringing

0:14:56.920 --> 0:15:00.160
<v Speaker 1>on people too more quickly develop things in house, I

0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>would think that those dollars would need to be spent

0:15:02.880 --> 0:15:07.000
<v Speaker 1>pretty presciently if you're looking for somebody to keep up

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:10.640
<v Speaker 1>with the times amongst these social media companies. David, I

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 1>believe you were reporting at the time of the dot

0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:17.080
<v Speaker 1>com bust. I mean, based on your own professional experience.

0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:21.040
<v Speaker 1>What's your sense of how Silicon Valley, this version of

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:26.119
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley survives a recession. Well, I don't think survival

0:15:26.200 --> 0:15:29.520
<v Speaker 1>is in question. I mean, these companies are deeply embedded,

0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:32.480
<v Speaker 1>as I said in the earlier segment in the world economy.

0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:36.840
<v Speaker 1>But but interestingly, the business at Meta that is most

0:15:36.880 --> 0:15:39.960
<v Speaker 1>embedded is the one they get essentially no revenue from

0:15:40.040 --> 0:15:43.720
<v Speaker 1>what's that UM, and I find out I rhn UM,

0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:51.400
<v Speaker 1>but I think that they really will be okay for

0:15:51.440 --> 0:15:54.440
<v Speaker 1>the short term. It's you know, I think if it's

0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:57.320
<v Speaker 1>likely a recession will be short if we have one,

0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 1>and I think they will manage their way out. Interesting. Uh, Brinka,

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:05.920
<v Speaker 1>you know what are you what are you hearing from

0:16:05.920 --> 0:16:09.760
<v Speaker 1>your sources inside these companies? Is there you know? For

0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.160
<v Speaker 1>some of my sources at Facebook, it still seems like

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 1>good times, yeah, or at least it seems like motivated times, right. Um.

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:21.280
<v Speaker 1>You have the company prioritizing things like um changes to

0:16:21.360 --> 0:16:23.920
<v Speaker 1>their feeds, like I mentioned, to keep up with with

0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:27.400
<v Speaker 1>the tik talks of the world. You also have UM

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:31.040
<v Speaker 1>you know that whole uh, not legacy business, but existing business,

0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:34.560
<v Speaker 1>the ad business on Instagram and Facebook basically funding their

0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:37.840
<v Speaker 1>new ventures into the metaverse, the bright Chinese new object

0:16:37.880 --> 0:16:40.840
<v Speaker 1>that Mark Zuckerberg has indicated is the future of where

0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:43.240
<v Speaker 1>they're going. So good times in parts of the business.

0:16:43.240 --> 0:16:46.000
<v Speaker 1>I will flag Emily with these hiring freezes and maybe

0:16:46.000 --> 0:16:49.640
<v Speaker 1>the bad pockets that we're seeing at meta UM, there's

0:16:49.680 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 1>concern around things that really matter to a lot of

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:55.600
<v Speaker 1>the people on the ground, like diverse workforces and what

0:16:55.720 --> 0:16:58.760
<v Speaker 1>happens when you're not hiring as many people and how

0:16:58.800 --> 0:17:01.680
<v Speaker 1>do they continue to contact end with UM the bubbling

0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:04.440
<v Speaker 1>up of misinformation going into the mid term, So UM,

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:06.800
<v Speaker 1>I think that you know, good times depending on what

0:17:06.880 --> 0:17:09.240
<v Speaker 1>team you're sitting on, might be the way to look

0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:11.640
<v Speaker 1>at that. Are you within the groups that are seen

0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:14.160
<v Speaker 1>as kind of the future, or you know the really

0:17:14.240 --> 0:17:17.800
<v Speaker 1>necessary changes that are instrumental to making sure that these

0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:21.520
<v Speaker 1>businesses maintain their cultural relevancy with the users that are

0:17:21.560 --> 0:17:24.359
<v Speaker 1>so important to them and advertisers, or are you in

0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 1>some of these pockets that maybe are starting to fall

0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:30.720
<v Speaker 1>below the line UM and are not seen as places

0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:33.520
<v Speaker 1>that the that their internal dollars should go UM to

0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:36.639
<v Speaker 1>kind of catapult the company into into and through a

0:17:36.720 --> 0:17:41.080
<v Speaker 1>chop your economic environment quick David Snap just shed half

0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:43.879
<v Speaker 1>its value. Evan Spiegel didn't want to sell before, but

0:17:43.960 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 1>do you think he might be more willing now or

0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:48.600
<v Speaker 1>it could Snap be a target. I think it could be.

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:52.280
<v Speaker 1>But really, with Lena Khan at the FTC, the current

0:17:52.320 --> 0:17:54.560
<v Speaker 1>mood in the US government and the EU, I don't

0:17:54.600 --> 0:17:56.399
<v Speaker 1>think it's a good time for any of these companies

0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:59.359
<v Speaker 1>to make a big acquisition um, I also think just

0:17:59.440 --> 0:18:01.640
<v Speaker 1>quickly a well to mention. You know, I do think

0:18:01.840 --> 0:18:06.000
<v Speaker 1>Facebook Metal will get through this. But Zuckerberg's comments recently

0:18:06.040 --> 0:18:09.440
<v Speaker 1>about pairing back his staff sounded very heartless. I think

0:18:09.480 --> 0:18:13.159
<v Speaker 1>they were very ill. They showed an inexperienced manager, and

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:15.840
<v Speaker 1>it could deter future hiring. It really makes it sound

0:18:15.880 --> 0:18:18.120
<v Speaker 1>like a bad place to work. If you know, we've

0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:20.119
<v Speaker 1>got a lot of deadwood, let's just get rid of it.

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:24.560
<v Speaker 1>Mm hmm. Indeed, interesting point. Okay, Damn M. Kirkpatrick's CEO

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:28.040
<v Speaker 1>of Techonomy. As always in our very own alet Sparenka,

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:39.399
<v Speaker 1>appreciate you joining a few other stories. We continue to

0:18:39.400 --> 0:18:42.200
<v Speaker 1>watch progressive groups once send a majority leader Chuck Schumer

0:18:42.240 --> 0:18:46.320
<v Speaker 1>to recuse himself from legislation targeting big tech. They say

0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:49.680
<v Speaker 1>he has a conflict of interest because his daughters or

0:18:49.760 --> 0:18:53.040
<v Speaker 1>Get Amazon and Meta. Various different groups have been advocating

0:18:53.040 --> 0:18:55.800
<v Speaker 1>for anti trust measures cracking down on tech giants. No

0:18:56.000 --> 0:19:00.960
<v Speaker 1>comment yet from Schumer himself. Commerce at Terry Jena Raimondo

0:19:01.080 --> 0:19:04.800
<v Speaker 1>says the US can't keep relying on Taiwan for semiconductors.

0:19:05.040 --> 0:19:07.920
<v Speaker 1>In a virtual speech at the Aspen Security Forum, Raimondo

0:19:08.000 --> 0:19:11.639
<v Speaker 1>said Congress needs to pass legislation to support the domestic

0:19:11.680 --> 0:19:14.439
<v Speaker 1>production of high end computer chips. She also called the

0:19:14.440 --> 0:19:25.720
<v Speaker 1>fifty billion dollar package quote a spot Nick moment for America.

0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Apple has changed its tune in Washington. New lobby disclosure

0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 1>figures reviewed by Bloomberg show that Apple has been spending

0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:38.359
<v Speaker 1>more money than ever before. Apple even going as far

0:19:38.400 --> 0:19:41.960
<v Speaker 1>as deploying Tim Cook himself to work the halls of Congress.

0:19:42.000 --> 0:19:43.840
<v Speaker 1>This as the tech giant is fighting the package of

0:19:43.880 --> 0:19:46.960
<v Speaker 1>antitrust bills that might get a vote next week. Bloomberg

0:19:46.960 --> 0:19:50.440
<v Speaker 1>Smart German joins us now for more So, Mark, it's

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:53.560
<v Speaker 1>understandable that Tim Cook might have more sway if he

0:19:53.680 --> 0:19:56.840
<v Speaker 1>visits Washington personally than if he sends in a team

0:19:57.080 --> 0:19:59.960
<v Speaker 1>of lobbyists. But what do we know about how app

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:04.400
<v Speaker 1>poll is change in tact. It seems like this is episodic.

0:20:04.560 --> 0:20:07.320
<v Speaker 1>Right now. It's a very challenging time, not only for Apple,

0:20:07.359 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of the big tech companies where they

0:20:09.320 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 1>really need to up their lobbying efforts to fight against

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:15.360
<v Speaker 1>some bills and some circumstances that could really up end

0:20:15.440 --> 0:20:17.720
<v Speaker 1>some of their business models. Right so, it makes sense

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:20.320
<v Speaker 1>to me that Tim Cook would be there personally talking

0:20:20.400 --> 0:20:24.560
<v Speaker 1>to lawmakers, meeting with people on Capitol Hill, and voicing

0:20:24.600 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 1>Apple's concerns with some of these bills surrounding anti trust measures.

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Tim Cook also has wanted to float new privacy laws,

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:33.640
<v Speaker 1>and him, along with some executives from other companies, are

0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 1>trying to put push new privacy laws there as well.

0:20:36.480 --> 0:20:39.360
<v Speaker 1>Cook has been making the argument that Apple's privacy centric

0:20:39.400 --> 0:20:42.680
<v Speaker 1>approach to its products not only is good for the consumers,

0:20:42.840 --> 0:20:44.719
<v Speaker 1>but means they really shouldn't have to take on these

0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:47.240
<v Speaker 1>new anti trust bills because they do it in order

0:20:47.280 --> 0:20:50.200
<v Speaker 1>to make the devices more private. Now, that doesn't make

0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:51.879
<v Speaker 1>a ton of sense to me and a lot of people,

0:20:51.880 --> 0:20:54.080
<v Speaker 1>but that is Apple's argument there, and that is what

0:20:54.160 --> 0:20:58.400
<v Speaker 1>he has been pushing. So here's a question. Is it working.

0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:02.160
<v Speaker 1>Is Tim Cook himself of going to Washington making these

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:07.399
<v Speaker 1>um pushes, Are our our lawmakers hearing it. There have

0:21:07.520 --> 0:21:09.560
<v Speaker 1>been some changes to some of the bills, some of

0:21:09.560 --> 0:21:12.480
<v Speaker 1>the language there that will make the anti trust bills

0:21:12.520 --> 0:21:15.000
<v Speaker 1>less difficult on Apple in terms of needing to change

0:21:15.000 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 1>things right, particularly with that privacy argument. It has been

0:21:18.040 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 1>working in some respects. Obviously, the efforts won't fully work

0:21:21.880 --> 0:21:24.840
<v Speaker 1>unless these nentry trust bills don't pass, and Apple doesn't

0:21:24.840 --> 0:21:27.159
<v Speaker 1>have to make widespread changes to its products. But of

0:21:27.160 --> 0:21:29.680
<v Speaker 1>course it's not only the US where Apple is doing

0:21:29.720 --> 0:21:32.480
<v Speaker 1>its lobbying efforts. One big fundamental change that the company

0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:34.520
<v Speaker 1>is making next year is changing the port on the

0:21:34.560 --> 0:21:37.160
<v Speaker 1>iPhone from Lightning, which has existed for the last ten

0:21:37.200 --> 0:21:40.240
<v Speaker 1>eleven years, to USBC, And that's in part due to

0:21:40.320 --> 0:21:43.840
<v Speaker 1>some changes that lawmakers abroad have pushed. So Apple really

0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:46.200
<v Speaker 1>is taking it from all angles here and that is

0:21:46.200 --> 0:21:49.760
<v Speaker 1>why they're upping these lobbying spends. So this package of

0:21:49.800 --> 0:21:53.200
<v Speaker 1>tech bills that would potentially curb some of the power

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:56.679
<v Speaker 1>of these companies were expected to see potentially some movement

0:21:56.720 --> 0:21:59.760
<v Speaker 1>on them next week. Any likelihood any of this will

0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:03.080
<v Speaker 1>pass us, you know, I think it's you know, truly

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:05.800
<v Speaker 1>to tell there has been some momentum on Capitol Hill

0:22:05.840 --> 0:22:07.720
<v Speaker 1>for these bills. If I were to, you know, tell

0:22:07.720 --> 0:22:09.680
<v Speaker 1>you one way or another, I would just be speculating.

0:22:09.800 --> 0:22:12.720
<v Speaker 1>I personally think that major changes are coming to Apple's

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:16.720
<v Speaker 1>platforms in either way. Right, there's obviously the Digital Markets Act,

0:22:16.880 --> 0:22:18.680
<v Speaker 1>there's the acts that you have been talking about. There

0:22:18.720 --> 0:22:21.200
<v Speaker 1>are the different laws that have been pushed from lawmakers

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:23.760
<v Speaker 1>abroad in here at home in the US. Right, So

0:22:23.800 --> 0:22:26.479
<v Speaker 1>I do think we're going to see fundamental changes either way.

0:22:26.600 --> 0:22:28.239
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's about if, but I think it's

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:30.240
<v Speaker 1>about when. Whether that's this year, next year, or the

0:22:30.280 --> 0:22:34.200
<v Speaker 1>year after, there will be a fundamental shift. And how

0:22:34.240 --> 0:22:36.080
<v Speaker 1>does what Apple's doing compared to what other big tech

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:38.720
<v Speaker 1>companies are doing on the hill, whether it is Meta

0:22:38.880 --> 0:22:41.680
<v Speaker 1>or Alphabet or Amazon. I mean, they all have huge

0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 1>lobbying arms, right, I mean I think that you can

0:22:44.720 --> 0:22:46.520
<v Speaker 1>take a look at the lab being spent and some

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 1>of these other companies are doing. Apple spent a few

0:22:49.000 --> 0:22:51.919
<v Speaker 1>hundred million dollars. So sorry, let me step back. A

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 1>few million dollars, not a few hundred million dollars. I

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 1>know that's a big difference this year on lobbying. That

0:22:57.720 --> 0:23:00.920
<v Speaker 1>is an increase for Apple over some prior years, right,

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:03.160
<v Speaker 1>But that is about half of what you're seeing maybe

0:23:03.160 --> 0:23:06.240
<v Speaker 1>from Amazon or Microsoft. But still this is noteworthy because

0:23:06.240 --> 0:23:08.960
<v Speaker 1>it's an increased for Apple. Just because Apple is doing

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:11.240
<v Speaker 1>less or even as much as what those other companies

0:23:11.240 --> 0:23:13.359
<v Speaker 1>have been doing now for the first time, it doesn't

0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:15.400
<v Speaker 1>mean it's not a big change for them. So certainly

0:23:15.600 --> 0:23:17.359
<v Speaker 1>we are seeing a Sea change. Here we are seeing

0:23:17.359 --> 0:23:20.440
<v Speaker 1>Apple taking DC in the need for lobbying very seriously.

0:23:20.960 --> 0:23:23.560
<v Speaker 1>What has been pretty interesting to me is how different

0:23:23.680 --> 0:23:26.840
<v Speaker 1>the Apple relationship appears to be with the Biden administration

0:23:26.880 --> 0:23:29.400
<v Speaker 1>that it has been with the Trump administration. I feel

0:23:29.440 --> 0:23:32.719
<v Speaker 1>like when Trump was around in office, you saw, you know,

0:23:32.760 --> 0:23:36.560
<v Speaker 1>Tim Cook meeting with Donald Trump very frequently talking about him.

0:23:36.560 --> 0:23:39.240
<v Speaker 1>You saw Trump talking about Cook often. But in terms

0:23:39.240 --> 0:23:42.280
<v Speaker 1>of the Apple relationship with Biden, that has been very different.

0:23:42.359 --> 0:23:44.439
<v Speaker 1>The last time we saw the Biden say anything related

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:46.920
<v Speaker 1>to Apple, he had to do with unionization and Apple

0:23:46.960 --> 0:23:50.560
<v Speaker 1>retail stores. Tim Cook participated in a Biden administration meeting

0:23:50.880 --> 0:23:53.560
<v Speaker 1>regarding cybersecurity. But you have not seen the type of

0:23:53.600 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 1>lobbying that Tim Cook did with Donald Trump that you're

0:23:56.520 --> 0:23:58.760
<v Speaker 1>seeing now with Tim Cook Doom with Joe Biden. It

0:23:58.840 --> 0:24:01.919
<v Speaker 1>is much different. It seems like the relationship is definitely

0:24:02.000 --> 0:24:05.240
<v Speaker 1>not as close. Interesting all right, much to continue to

0:24:05.280 --> 0:24:09.080
<v Speaker 1>follow Bloomberg, Smart German, thank you for your reporting their

0:24:09.200 --> 0:24:12.800
<v Speaker 1>meantime back to inflation. On top of surging gas and

0:24:13.000 --> 0:24:16.520
<v Speaker 1>grocery prices, single people are finding another aspect of life

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:20.840
<v Speaker 1>is getting more expensive. Dating and as costs balloons. Some

0:24:21.040 --> 0:24:24.200
<v Speaker 1>datas are scaling back and being more selective about the

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:26.800
<v Speaker 1>dates they're going on. This according to data from dating

0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:31.200
<v Speaker 1>apps themselves. Bloomberg's Pauline Kuchero wrote about this and joins us, now,

0:24:31.480 --> 0:24:35.119
<v Speaker 1>so what are we learning about how the dating market

0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:39.720
<v Speaker 1>has changed? Pauline? Yeah, so, you know, I think that

0:24:39.760 --> 0:24:42.720
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing that, as you mentioned, with the cost staying

0:24:42.760 --> 0:24:45.520
<v Speaker 1>on the rise. You know, people really have the love

0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:48.760
<v Speaker 1>and money the top mind when they're looking for a partner.

0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:53.000
<v Speaker 1>That's changing the dating game entirely. Tensions are rising over

0:24:53.119 --> 0:24:56.880
<v Speaker 1>house to fulfill um and people, as I mentioned, people

0:24:56.920 --> 0:24:59.920
<v Speaker 1>are scaling back and being more selective dates they're going

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:03.640
<v Speaker 1>because they're finding that they're dating costs have doubled. One

0:25:03.640 --> 0:25:06.200
<v Speaker 1>woman I talked to said she spent on average, about

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:09.080
<v Speaker 1>two hundred dollars a month on dating. Now she's spending

0:25:09.119 --> 0:25:12.800
<v Speaker 1>about four hundred. So, you know, people are just being

0:25:12.800 --> 0:25:15.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot more intentional about who they're dating and what

0:25:15.880 --> 0:25:18.600
<v Speaker 1>they're looking for, and they're finding, you know, that they

0:25:18.640 --> 0:25:21.800
<v Speaker 1>want to be with a person who is financially savvy

0:25:22.040 --> 0:25:25.720
<v Speaker 1>and offer some kind of financial stability as well. How

0:25:25.800 --> 0:25:28.760
<v Speaker 1>is this impacting the dating apps themselves? I mean, you know,

0:25:28.960 --> 0:25:31.520
<v Speaker 1>I hear a lot from single friends. You know, these

0:25:31.560 --> 0:25:34.199
<v Speaker 1>apps are already kind of expensive and you don't know

0:25:34.240 --> 0:25:36.240
<v Speaker 1>for sure if you're going to get that payoff. Are

0:25:36.280 --> 0:25:38.760
<v Speaker 1>the costs of a subscription to you know, see those

0:25:38.800 --> 0:25:42.199
<v Speaker 1>extra profiles or get that extra information? Is that going up?

0:25:42.200 --> 0:25:44.919
<v Speaker 1>And are people paying up or is this, you know,

0:25:45.000 --> 0:25:48.440
<v Speaker 1>something that's discretionary, something that they're cutting off given that

0:25:48.480 --> 0:25:52.480
<v Speaker 1>they're under pressure across the board. When it comes to prices, well,

0:25:52.560 --> 0:25:55.960
<v Speaker 1>I can't say too much about the subscription prices on

0:25:56.080 --> 0:25:59.919
<v Speaker 1>dating apps specifically, but when we talk to the dating apps,

0:26:00.040 --> 0:26:03.160
<v Speaker 1>he said, although that some people are being more selective

0:26:03.200 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 1>about their dates, they're not necessarily stopping their love life entirely.

0:26:07.960 --> 0:26:13.480
<v Speaker 1>Some small, select few people are. They are just looking

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:16.119
<v Speaker 1>for certain partners instead of you know, going on a

0:26:16.160 --> 0:26:20.200
<v Speaker 1>more spontaneous state. They're making sure that they're being upfront

0:26:20.240 --> 0:26:22.440
<v Speaker 1>with what they want. Um, you know, in the early

0:26:22.520 --> 0:26:25.159
<v Speaker 1>courting phase of dating, which is an extension of the

0:26:25.200 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 1>stating trend called hardballing, and if someone doesn't really fit

0:26:28.640 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 1>the bill, um, they're not willing to take a chance

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:33.399
<v Speaker 1>on that person. Um. You know. Dating apps are also

0:26:33.480 --> 0:26:36.080
<v Speaker 1>finding that people are being a little bit more creative

0:26:36.119 --> 0:26:38.240
<v Speaker 1>about the dates that they're going on. You know, instead

0:26:38.240 --> 0:26:41.280
<v Speaker 1>of maybe going on taking someone out to a really

0:26:41.359 --> 0:26:45.159
<v Speaker 1>nice dinner, maybe they're going to a picnic instead, or

0:26:45.200 --> 0:26:49.040
<v Speaker 1>they're maybe going to a museum or going to a

0:26:49.080 --> 0:26:52.120
<v Speaker 1>farmers market and making a home crew feel I love

0:26:52.200 --> 0:26:56.000
<v Speaker 1>farmers markets, Nothing wrong with that. Are people changing what

0:26:56.080 --> 0:26:59.320
<v Speaker 1>they're looking for? Um? Do do do these apps say

0:26:59.359 --> 0:27:02.880
<v Speaker 1>that that is a alving at all? Yeah, we're definitely

0:27:02.920 --> 0:27:06.800
<v Speaker 1>seeing that evolve. Um. You know, as you mentioned, Americans

0:27:06.800 --> 0:27:09.679
<v Speaker 1>are feeling the pinch from inflation, so finding a person

0:27:09.680 --> 0:27:13.800
<v Speaker 1>who is financially savvy is an increasingly attractive quality. Okay,

0:27:13.880 --> 0:27:16.119
<v Speaker 1>keep the daters who said they keep a budget have

0:27:16.200 --> 0:27:19.520
<v Speaker 1>received sixteen percent more matches and seven percent more likes

0:27:19.560 --> 0:27:21.879
<v Speaker 1>over the past three months than people who said they didn't,

0:27:22.240 --> 0:27:24.480
<v Speaker 1>and nearly half of date years on the A also

0:27:24.520 --> 0:27:26.400
<v Speaker 1>so that they would love to find a partner who

0:27:26.440 --> 0:27:29.199
<v Speaker 1>earns more money than them. So I think you're just

0:27:29.240 --> 0:27:33.200
<v Speaker 1>seeing that, you know, people are looking for a person

0:27:33.240 --> 0:27:35.680
<v Speaker 1>that they know that they can weather a recession with,

0:27:35.720 --> 0:27:37.959
<v Speaker 1>who they know that they can rely on. Um, you know,

0:27:38.080 --> 0:27:44.280
<v Speaker 1>both emotionally and you know, financially as well. All right, interesting, Paul,

0:27:44.359 --> 0:27:47.600
<v Speaker 1>Nick at Chero, thanks for bringing us that Story's more

0:27:47.600 --> 0:27:51.840
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com. Okay, coming up, the etherory emerged

0:27:51.960 --> 0:27:54.040
<v Speaker 1>now as a date, we're gonna talk about just how

0:27:54.160 --> 0:27:57.119
<v Speaker 1>massive the impact could be on the crypto industry. Next,

0:27:57.400 --> 0:28:12.200
<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg. It's time now for our crypto report.

0:28:12.200 --> 0:28:14.119
<v Speaker 1>And there are new developments in that story of the

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:18.320
<v Speaker 1>former coin based product manager who was arrested for alleged

0:28:18.320 --> 0:28:22.480
<v Speaker 1>insider trading, and coin bas is now pushing back against

0:28:22.480 --> 0:28:26.320
<v Speaker 1>these allegations are crypto Contributortionale Bossik is here with the

0:28:26.440 --> 0:28:31.280
<v Speaker 1>latest So is coin based defending this former product manager.

0:28:31.359 --> 0:28:33.520
<v Speaker 1>There's really a lot of nuance here, Emily, and really

0:28:33.520 --> 0:28:36.880
<v Speaker 1>the question at stake here is what is a security

0:28:37.000 --> 0:28:39.920
<v Speaker 1>and our digital assets securities. So you take a look

0:28:39.920 --> 0:28:41.760
<v Speaker 1>at this inside your trading case, and you have coin

0:28:41.800 --> 0:28:45.560
<v Speaker 1>Bases chief legal officer Paul grier Wall talking about how

0:28:45.600 --> 0:28:48.520
<v Speaker 1>illicit behavior is something they take super seriously. Obviously coin

0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:52.600
<v Speaker 1>based did cooperate with this investigation. But the thing that's

0:28:52.600 --> 0:28:55.880
<v Speaker 1>really in question here is that definition of securities itself

0:28:55.920 --> 0:28:59.280
<v Speaker 1>and whether this is securities fraud. So, for example, we

0:28:59.320 --> 0:29:01.720
<v Speaker 1>have Paul Paul where while talking about in a blog

0:29:01.760 --> 0:29:04.680
<v Speaker 1>post the idea here that seven of the nine assets

0:29:04.720 --> 0:29:07.640
<v Speaker 1>included in the SEC's charges are listed on coin Basis

0:29:07.680 --> 0:29:10.880
<v Speaker 1>platform and none of these assets are securities. You have

0:29:10.920 --> 0:29:16.000
<v Speaker 1>different regulators here coming in and different definitions here, and

0:29:16.160 --> 0:29:18.520
<v Speaker 1>he to go on. Paul grow Wealth has also said

0:29:18.520 --> 0:29:20.800
<v Speaker 1>that coin base has a rigorous process to analyze and

0:29:20.840 --> 0:29:24.640
<v Speaker 1>review each digital asset before making it available on the exchange,

0:29:24.960 --> 0:29:27.920
<v Speaker 1>a process that the SEC itself has reviewed. Now, if

0:29:27.920 --> 0:29:29.440
<v Speaker 1>you go on to read more of the blog post,

0:29:29.640 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 1>he talks about and cites the CFTC Commissioner talking about

0:29:33.680 --> 0:29:36.920
<v Speaker 1>how this is a striking example of regulation by enforcement here.

0:29:37.200 --> 0:29:40.280
<v Speaker 1>So you do see some differential between not just the agencies,

0:29:40.320 --> 0:29:42.400
<v Speaker 1>but also in the way that coin base is interacting

0:29:42.400 --> 0:29:48.040
<v Speaker 1>with those agencies as they comply with this investigation of

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:54.000
<v Speaker 1>an issue here where certain securities were traded before certain

0:29:54.040 --> 0:29:57.320
<v Speaker 1>tokens were listed. But again, are tokens just tokens or

0:29:57.360 --> 0:30:00.440
<v Speaker 1>are they securities on Emily and they yet play out?

0:30:01.240 --> 0:30:04.760
<v Speaker 1>That is the question time indeed, Okay, stay with us.

0:30:04.800 --> 0:30:07.640
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk a little bit more about Ethereum's

0:30:07.800 --> 0:30:11.360
<v Speaker 1>next chapter, the highly anticipated merge. A date has now

0:30:11.400 --> 0:30:13.719
<v Speaker 1>been set and if everything goes to plan, we should

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:18.280
<v Speaker 1>expect Ethereum's final merge to happen the second week of September.

0:30:18.360 --> 0:30:21.480
<v Speaker 1>More specifically, I want to bring in our next guest,

0:30:21.520 --> 0:30:25.080
<v Speaker 1>Matt Hogan, c IO a bit Wise Asset Management UM. Matt,

0:30:25.400 --> 0:30:29.560
<v Speaker 1>So curious what you're thinking is around the merge and

0:30:29.680 --> 0:30:33.400
<v Speaker 1>just how impactful it would be it will be on

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:36.720
<v Speaker 1>the broader industry. Yeah, this is a massive piece of

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:39.840
<v Speaker 1>news for Ethereum and for crypto more broadly. I think

0:30:39.880 --> 0:30:42.760
<v Speaker 1>this is the biggest development in the crypto space since

0:30:42.800 --> 0:30:45.960
<v Speaker 1>the launch of the DeFi summer in. It's going to

0:30:46.040 --> 0:30:50.480
<v Speaker 1>transform Ethereum into an asset that institutional investors UH feel

0:30:50.520 --> 0:30:53.920
<v Speaker 1>increasingly attracted to, maybe even compelled to own, and it

0:30:54.000 --> 0:30:57.680
<v Speaker 1>could be the marker that represents part of the bottoming

0:30:57.720 --> 0:30:59.960
<v Speaker 1>process we're going through in crypto. We may look back

0:31:00.120 --> 0:31:02.120
<v Speaker 1>on this merge, or the announcement of the data the

0:31:02.160 --> 0:31:05.640
<v Speaker 1>merge as a signal market that single moment that turned

0:31:05.720 --> 0:31:08.400
<v Speaker 1>us from sort of the crypto winner UH into at

0:31:08.480 --> 0:31:10.960
<v Speaker 1>least a sideways move before we go to the next

0:31:10.960 --> 0:31:15.360
<v Speaker 1>big up move. Now. We recently interviewed the co founder

0:31:15.520 --> 0:31:20.160
<v Speaker 1>of Tezos, Kathleen Brightman, who didn't have nice things to

0:31:20.200 --> 0:31:22.680
<v Speaker 1>say about Ethereum. Take who quick listen to what she

0:31:22.720 --> 0:31:25.960
<v Speaker 1>had to say. In reality, it's really no different than

0:31:26.320 --> 0:31:28.320
<v Speaker 1>something like hex which is which is kind of a

0:31:28.360 --> 0:31:31.840
<v Speaker 1>Ponzi scheme that's crashed and lust you weeks, which is

0:31:31.880 --> 0:31:33.959
<v Speaker 1>just a token that Big Sleep pays you for freezing at.

0:31:33.960 --> 0:31:36.680
<v Speaker 1>The longer you've reason, the more you receive. It's just

0:31:36.760 --> 0:31:41.080
<v Speaker 1>it's a equation. Obviously, we know, Matt this is very

0:31:41.160 --> 0:31:45.360
<v Speaker 1>tribalistic industry, but she kind of likened Ethereum to a

0:31:45.440 --> 0:31:49.240
<v Speaker 1>Ponzi scheme. Yeah, I don't see that analogy. Ethereum is

0:31:49.240 --> 0:31:52.360
<v Speaker 1>the new infrastructure on which decentralized finance n f t

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:55.160
<v Speaker 1>s and stable coins are being built. Teos is an

0:31:55.160 --> 0:31:58.320
<v Speaker 1>interesting project that's trying to compete with Ethereum, but it's

0:31:58.360 --> 0:32:00.400
<v Speaker 1>a tiny fraction of the size. It has a tiny

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:03.440
<v Speaker 1>fraction of the developer community. What she was speaking about

0:32:03.640 --> 0:32:06.600
<v Speaker 1>was part of the merge is going to incentivize long

0:32:06.720 --> 0:32:10.040
<v Speaker 1>term investors in Ethereum to lock up their eath, to

0:32:10.240 --> 0:32:13.240
<v Speaker 1>stake their eath, which allows them to earn a yield

0:32:13.360 --> 0:32:16.560
<v Speaker 1>on their investment, which takes some out of the market

0:32:16.800 --> 0:32:19.480
<v Speaker 1>and should be a creative to prices. I would put

0:32:19.480 --> 0:32:22.080
<v Speaker 1>a more positive frame on it. As a long term investor,

0:32:22.120 --> 0:32:24.480
<v Speaker 1>you're going to be able to access what amounts to

0:32:24.520 --> 0:32:28.560
<v Speaker 1>almost adventure capital style investment, one with huge potential payoff,

0:32:28.840 --> 0:32:30.640
<v Speaker 1>but one where you can earn a yield that could

0:32:30.640 --> 0:32:33.920
<v Speaker 1>be eight, nine or ten or more. I don't think

0:32:33.920 --> 0:32:36.880
<v Speaker 1>it's a Ponzi scheme. I think it's the new Internet

0:32:36.960 --> 0:32:40.720
<v Speaker 1>of finance and we're just at the beginning of that transition. Well,

0:32:40.760 --> 0:32:43.640
<v Speaker 1>speaking of that transition and tribal ism here, what does

0:32:43.640 --> 0:32:46.160
<v Speaker 1>it mean for bitcoin and do you think one wins

0:32:46.160 --> 0:32:48.840
<v Speaker 1>out of the other, especially when you look at how

0:32:48.960 --> 0:32:53.400
<v Speaker 1>nascent a etherium is in terms of valuation compared to bitcoin.

0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:57.880
<v Speaker 1>It's it's a great question. Uh. You know, on one hand, yes,

0:32:57.920 --> 0:33:00.520
<v Speaker 1>ethereum will win out marginally over big coin. By that,

0:33:00.600 --> 0:33:04.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean that today institutional investors have only been in

0:33:04.120 --> 0:33:07.280
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin primarily, and in the future of crypto, they're going

0:33:07.360 --> 0:33:10.040
<v Speaker 1>to be in bitcoin ethereum, and I would argue a

0:33:10.080 --> 0:33:12.280
<v Speaker 1>wide array of assets. That's one of the reasons why

0:33:12.280 --> 0:33:15.440
<v Speaker 1>bit wise creates crypto index funds. So it is going

0:33:15.480 --> 0:33:19.840
<v Speaker 1>to force institutional investors to diversify their holdings. But more

0:33:19.880 --> 0:33:22.440
<v Speaker 1>than that, this is going to be a rising tide

0:33:22.440 --> 0:33:25.640
<v Speaker 1>that lifts all boats again. What's happening in ethereum will

0:33:25.680 --> 0:33:30.000
<v Speaker 1>catalyze new interesting crypto, new opportunities in crypto, and I

0:33:30.040 --> 0:33:33.280
<v Speaker 1>suspect Bitcoin and ethereum will rise side by side. I

0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:37.160
<v Speaker 1>think ethereum share of the crypto market could increase substantially

0:33:37.200 --> 0:33:40.040
<v Speaker 1>compared to Bitcoin. But I suspect that both of them

0:33:40.040 --> 0:33:42.120
<v Speaker 1>are going to be heading up over the next few years.

0:33:42.400 --> 0:33:44.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, there's a lot of questions about state ethereum

0:33:44.600 --> 0:33:46.640
<v Speaker 1>and ethereum, and there's still a bit of a balance

0:33:46.680 --> 0:33:49.720
<v Speaker 1>if you look at kind of the liquidity pools. I'm wondering,

0:33:49.880 --> 0:33:52.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, this is a grand test of time when

0:33:52.280 --> 0:33:55.920
<v Speaker 1>it comes to decentralized finance. There's so much debate about

0:33:55.920 --> 0:33:58.400
<v Speaker 1>whether DeFi will win in the end given the issues

0:33:58.400 --> 0:34:01.480
<v Speaker 1>that we see and in centralized finances in crypto, But

0:34:01.960 --> 0:34:04.680
<v Speaker 1>how do you know what the issues will be moving

0:34:04.720 --> 0:34:08.000
<v Speaker 1>forward as this industry goes Yeah, well you don't know.

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Of course, that's the risk that you take. There is

0:34:10.120 --> 0:34:13.440
<v Speaker 1>no risk free reward in investing, and there's certainly a

0:34:13.440 --> 0:34:15.920
<v Speaker 1>lot of risks in the crypto market. But if you

0:34:15.920 --> 0:34:18.239
<v Speaker 1>look at what took place over the last cycle, we

0:34:18.239 --> 0:34:21.120
<v Speaker 1>saw the rapid emergence of Defy, We saw the rapid

0:34:21.120 --> 0:34:23.360
<v Speaker 1>emergence of n f t s. We saw a hundred

0:34:23.360 --> 0:34:26.560
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars plus flow into stable coins, all built on

0:34:26.840 --> 0:34:30.960
<v Speaker 1>programmable blockchains like Ethereum. As we get through this crypto

0:34:30.960 --> 0:34:33.920
<v Speaker 1>window and start thinking about what are the new products

0:34:33.920 --> 0:34:35.960
<v Speaker 1>that we're going to see in the future, we're gonna

0:34:36.000 --> 0:34:38.000
<v Speaker 1>see growth and defy in n f t s, and

0:34:38.040 --> 0:34:41.000
<v Speaker 1>stable coins will also see huge growth and things like

0:34:41.360 --> 0:34:47.200
<v Speaker 1>web three interactions, gaming, digital identity. I think the market cycle,

0:34:47.280 --> 0:34:49.360
<v Speaker 1>the next market cycle we're moving to, is going to

0:34:49.400 --> 0:34:52.160
<v Speaker 1>be orders of magnitude larger than the last cycle, and

0:34:52.200 --> 0:34:54.600
<v Speaker 1>that was really just a proof of concept phase. This

0:34:54.760 --> 0:34:57.640
<v Speaker 1>next few years is when crypto goes mainstream. So that's

0:34:57.640 --> 0:35:00.320
<v Speaker 1>what we expect from Ethereum and the broader crypto into street.

0:35:00.920 --> 0:35:03.560
<v Speaker 1>So tease that out for me a bit. How how

0:35:03.640 --> 0:35:07.440
<v Speaker 1>much bigger do you think the cycle will be? Oh?

0:35:07.520 --> 0:35:10.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it's I think it's you know, many, multiple

0:35:10.520 --> 0:35:13.680
<v Speaker 1>times bigger. Is the answer to that. Again, we saw

0:35:14.120 --> 0:35:17.080
<v Speaker 1>if you think about cryptos returns, what drives cryptos returns?

0:35:17.520 --> 0:35:20.880
<v Speaker 1>Crypto booms when it develops products that people want. It

0:35:21.000 --> 0:35:24.520
<v Speaker 1>boomed in the early when people develop Bitcoin, which was

0:35:24.560 --> 0:35:28.400
<v Speaker 1>this interesting non monetary ast, non sovereign monetary asset. It

0:35:28.480 --> 0:35:32.120
<v Speaker 1>boomed in when we in the THEORYUM and I c

0:35:32.280 --> 0:35:34.279
<v Speaker 1>O S. The most recent boom was when we had

0:35:34.360 --> 0:35:37.359
<v Speaker 1>n f t s and we had stable coins UH

0:35:37.600 --> 0:35:40.480
<v Speaker 1>and we had defied, but that just penetrated one percent

0:35:40.520 --> 0:35:43.200
<v Speaker 1>in the market. I think the market opportunity for all

0:35:43.239 --> 0:35:45.439
<v Speaker 1>of those are ten x. I think there are five

0:35:45.560 --> 0:35:48.000
<v Speaker 1>or six other killer products that will see in the

0:35:48.040 --> 0:35:51.120
<v Speaker 1>next market cycle. So I really think that the next

0:35:51.160 --> 0:35:54.400
<v Speaker 1>boom could be five ten times bigger than the prior boom.

0:35:54.440 --> 0:35:56.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it will be the moment that crypto goes

0:35:56.560 --> 0:35:59.520
<v Speaker 1>mainstream and your friends, your uncle's, your cousins are all

0:35:59.560 --> 0:36:03.520
<v Speaker 1>interact thing with the crypto market via through gaming, digital identity, music,

0:36:03.640 --> 0:36:06.719
<v Speaker 1>n f t S, ticketing, defy traditional n f t

0:36:06.880 --> 0:36:09.160
<v Speaker 1>s or stable points for payments. I do think it

0:36:09.239 --> 0:36:12.000
<v Speaker 1>is borders of magnitude larger. It's probably still a year

0:36:12.080 --> 0:36:14.960
<v Speaker 1>or two off, but you can see it clearly on

0:36:15.000 --> 0:36:18.640
<v Speaker 1>the horizon, and then we're getting closer to it every day. Matt,

0:36:18.680 --> 0:36:21.480
<v Speaker 1>how can always good to have you CEO of bit

0:36:21.480 --> 0:36:25.840
<v Speaker 1>Wise Asset Management, appreciate it and our very own have

0:36:25.920 --> 0:36:37.279
<v Speaker 1>a great weekend. After a few years of complaints from

0:36:37.280 --> 0:36:40.520
<v Speaker 1>pro users looking to unlock the full potential of their

0:36:40.520 --> 0:36:44.440
<v Speaker 1>iPad pro and it's speedy new chips, Apple recently launch

0:36:44.440 --> 0:36:48.680
<v Speaker 1>Stage Manager, a brand new multitasking system. The feature let's

0:36:48.760 --> 0:36:51.560
<v Speaker 1>iPad users run multiple app windows at the same time,

0:36:51.920 --> 0:36:54.399
<v Speaker 1>and it even works far better than before with large

0:36:54.400 --> 0:36:58.400
<v Speaker 1>external monitors. The features exclusive to the latest iPads with

0:36:58.560 --> 0:37:01.839
<v Speaker 1>M one chips and also works on computers running Mac

0:37:01.840 --> 0:37:05.400
<v Speaker 1>os Ntura. Users can click through their recent apps on

0:37:05.440 --> 0:37:07.960
<v Speaker 1>the left side of their display and then quickly pop

0:37:08.000 --> 0:37:12.000
<v Speaker 1>any of those programs or workspaces into the foreground. But

0:37:12.080 --> 0:37:14.520
<v Speaker 1>I don't think that this new multitasking system really fully

0:37:14.520 --> 0:37:18.760
<v Speaker 1>cuts it. It's often confusing and sometimes hides key controls

0:37:18.800 --> 0:37:21.920
<v Speaker 1>behind extra menus. It seems like Apple came up with

0:37:21.960 --> 0:37:25.280
<v Speaker 1>a solution that dances around the most obvious one, bringing

0:37:25.320 --> 0:37:29.640
<v Speaker 1>full Mac os like multitasking to the iPad. The iPad

0:37:29.680 --> 0:37:32.680
<v Speaker 1>now has big eleven inch and nearly thirteen inch displays

0:37:32.719 --> 0:37:34.920
<v Speaker 1>in the same M one chip that powers the Mac

0:37:34.920 --> 0:37:37.799
<v Speaker 1>Book are and the iMac. It can handle and should

0:37:37.880 --> 0:37:40.960
<v Speaker 1>be able to make good use of core Mac multitasking

0:37:41.000 --> 0:37:45.120
<v Speaker 1>features like xpos A and mission control pro users like

0:37:45.160 --> 0:37:48.600
<v Speaker 1>myself want that full flexibility to run as many windows

0:37:48.640 --> 0:37:52.200
<v Speaker 1>as possible at one time and quickly clicked between several

0:37:52.239 --> 0:37:56.520
<v Speaker 1>tasks simultaneously. The good news is is that stage Manager

0:37:56.840 --> 0:38:00.000
<v Speaker 1>builds in new technologies for the iPad, like multi window

0:38:00.080 --> 0:38:04.239
<v Speaker 1>support and rescalable and resizeable windows. That means that some

0:38:04.280 --> 0:38:07.280
<v Speaker 1>of the underlying technology that would be needed to eventually

0:38:07.280 --> 0:38:10.920
<v Speaker 1>implement full Mac like multitasking is now built into iPad

0:38:10.920 --> 0:38:14.080
<v Speaker 1>O S sixteen. Only time will tell if Apple will

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<v Speaker 1>eventually fully unlocked the iPad. The good news is is

0:38:17.280 --> 0:38:20.680
<v Speaker 1>that stage Manager today is optional, so it appears that

0:38:20.719 --> 0:38:23.160
<v Speaker 1>even Apple knows that one day it will need a

0:38:23.200 --> 0:38:26.840
<v Speaker 1>brand new solution for all iPad users. I'm Mark German.

0:38:27.239 --> 0:38:32.640
<v Speaker 1>This is power On, Don't Forget. You can subscribe to

0:38:32.680 --> 0:38:37.160
<v Speaker 1>Mark's weekly power On newsletter at Bloomberg dot com. Meantime,

0:38:37.200 --> 0:38:39.200
<v Speaker 1>there is a new social media app in town, and

0:38:39.320 --> 0:38:43.080
<v Speaker 1>it's being dubbed the anti Instagram. The app requires users

0:38:43.080 --> 0:38:46.160
<v Speaker 1>to take a photo within a two minute window every day,

0:38:46.560 --> 0:38:49.799
<v Speaker 1>and it has soared in popularity over the last few

0:38:49.800 --> 0:38:53.719
<v Speaker 1>weeks in spite of complaints that it crashes at a

0:38:53.760 --> 0:38:56.560
<v Speaker 1>critical moment. It's called be real, and it took the

0:38:56.560 --> 0:38:59.960
<v Speaker 1>top spot in the US in Apple's app store three

0:39:00.080 --> 0:39:03.480
<v Speaker 1>days this week with one point seven million installs the

0:39:03.560 --> 0:39:07.560
<v Speaker 1>week of July eleven and a Friday kicker. If you

0:39:07.640 --> 0:39:11.040
<v Speaker 1>love vintage Apple products, this is the holy Grail. Steve

0:39:11.160 --> 0:39:14.960
<v Speaker 1>Jobs prototype for the first Apple desktop computer is up

0:39:14.960 --> 0:39:18.480
<v Speaker 1>for auction. It was handbuilt by co founder Steve Wozniak

0:39:18.560 --> 0:39:21.560
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen seventy six and it is one of two

0:39:21.920 --> 0:39:25.200
<v Speaker 1>hundred different models right now, it's going for about two

0:39:25.400 --> 0:39:29.239
<v Speaker 1>d thirty thousand dollars and Apple one prototype was sold

0:39:29.680 --> 0:39:33.800
<v Speaker 1>for four hundred seventy thousand dollars. And that does it

0:39:33.920 --> 0:39:36.480
<v Speaker 1>for the edition of Bloomberg Technology. We've got a huge

0:39:36.520 --> 0:39:40.080
<v Speaker 1>week of tech earnings coming up. Meta Alphabet, Apple, Amazon

0:39:40.200 --> 0:39:43.759
<v Speaker 1>and more. We will be across it all, and don't

0:39:43.760 --> 0:39:47.000
<v Speaker 1>forget to check out our podcast anywhere you get your podcasts.

0:39:47.040 --> 0:39:49.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm Emily Chang in San Francisco. Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

0:39:50.400 --> 0:39:51.560
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg