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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt. We are being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by our friends at DraftKings. Okay, I'm still

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Speaker 1: in the hostage video situation going on here in New Hampshire.

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Speaker 1: It's cold. In case you haven't noticed, my attire is

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Speaker 1: different than what I normally wear in Vegas. However, the

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Speaker 1: bets today have been somewhat hot. It's currently twenty seven

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Speaker 1: to nothing BYU over Colorado. All right, so the two

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Speaker 1: best bets we've made so far in the bowl season,

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Speaker 1: the Holiday Bowl over and the Pop Tart Bowl over.

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Speaker 1: Both those games wound up with over eighty points being scored,

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Speaker 1: so easy covers on the over place. There we come

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Speaker 1: in with the Bengals in a ridiculous, gut wrenching roller

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Speaker 1: coaster ride cover, who win the game in overtime by six.

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Speaker 1: Could have pushed instead go to ot then miss a

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Speaker 1: field goal in overtime, only to turn around and score

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Speaker 1: a touchdown for us to get the three point cover.

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Speaker 1: So we get the over in the pop Dark Powl,

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Speaker 1: we get the over we cover with the Bengals, we

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Speaker 1: have BYU who is currently thumping Colorado, so three and

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Speaker 1: oh is most likely going to be the number as

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Speaker 1: we had head to the second half between the Rams

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Speaker 1: and the Cardinals. It's currently ten nothing. We laid six

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Speaker 1: and a half ten nothing with the Rams, so if

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Speaker 1: the Rams come in, we go in a four and

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Speaker 1: oh mark and we are up nicely for the week.

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Speaker 1: We're pretty much I can't remember. I gotta go do

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Speaker 1: some When you travel, everything's out a lot of whack,

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Speaker 1: so I can't remember. I know we won yesterday, I

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Speaker 1: can't remember what happened the day before yesterday. It was

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Speaker 1: two and one, two and one, I think the last

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Speaker 1: two days, but I'm not positive. I gotta go check

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Speaker 1: on that. But a four and oh day will make

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Speaker 1: us very much up for this final week of twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty four. So that will be great as we head

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Speaker 1: towards the final Sunday of the twenty twenty four year

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Speaker 1: and head to twenty twenty five with Monday night pending

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Speaker 1: for Week seventeen of the NFL. I've got three plays

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Speaker 1: for us here today, and I'll tell you here that

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Speaker 1: I will put NFL player props on the Betting pros app.

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Speaker 1: There is no live stream for me today, so I'm on,

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Speaker 1: I'm all over the place, so we will do it

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Speaker 1: on the Betting pros app. You guys can go and

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Speaker 1: download the app for free and search at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: If you'd like to track and you know see how

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Speaker 1: I do NFL pre prop wise, go ahead and do that.

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Speaker 1: Let's see my record in twenty twenty four in the

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Speaker 1: NFL prop betting market is currently sixty five and fifty

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Speaker 1: one up six point one units and we only bet

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Speaker 1: quarter units there, so you know when you're up fourteen

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Speaker 1: picks over five hundred hitting it over a fifty six

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Speaker 1: percent clip in twenty four for the NFL prop market,

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Speaker 1: we've done pretty well with props. So hopefully for our

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Speaker 1: final prop betting opportunity here for twenty twenty four, will

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Speaker 1: hop in and do well for you as well. Coming

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Speaker 1: up here later today, NFL prop bets on the Betting

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Speaker 1: pros app by searching at Sports Talk Matt. This podcast

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by DraftKings and the new Pick

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Speaker 1: six credits. I will put one of those up before

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Speaker 1: kickoff on the Betting Pros Discord channel Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash chat. I'll tell you what I'm gonna play here

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Speaker 1: for the DraftKings pick six. If you'd like to trail

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Speaker 1: Connecticut eighteen plus in most eligible jurisdictions. With other age

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Speaker 1: and eligibility restrictions may have apply only in jurisdixs were

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Speaker 1: DraftKings Pick six operates. Pick six not available everywhere, including

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Speaker 1: prohibited four terms go to Pick six dot DraftKings dot

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Speaker 1: Com slash promos. Okay, let's start with the Red hot

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Speaker 1: Ats Carolina Panthers. And yes, you heard that correctly, the

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Speaker 1: Red Hot Ats Carolina Panthers. They are now nine point

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Speaker 1: dogs on the road up against Baker Mayfield and the Bucks.

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Speaker 1: How about this the Panthers Since the first of November,

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Speaker 1: they are six and one ats. Bryce Young, when he

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Speaker 1: took on teams that were over five hundred was oz

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Speaker 1: in six and one ATS. But now after the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: and the Eagles, he is two six and one ats.

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Speaker 1: He's won back to back games, but as an underdog

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Speaker 1: of five points or more. Bryce Shung is six and

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Speaker 1: one ATS this year, with the only loss coming by

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Speaker 1: one point ATS wise to the Broncos. We know about

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Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield. We've talked about Baker Mayfield, about how Baker

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Speaker 1: is simply just horrible as a big favorite. He has

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Speaker 1: not covered often at all. He wins these games. In fact,

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Speaker 1: he's four now straight up against Carolina. Okay, that's just tremendous.

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Speaker 1: Baker has won all four games by nine points or less. However,

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Speaker 1: that's what this number is. This number is nine Baker

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Speaker 1: twenty and thirty one ATS after a game in which

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Speaker 1: he covered the week before. That's the third worst mark

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Speaker 1: of any quarterbacks in two thousand and three. After he

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Speaker 1: fails to cover the spread, though, he's twenty six twenty

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Speaker 1: and one. Look, we know Mike Evans will be a

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Speaker 1: major factor. We know he'll be a major problem here.

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Speaker 1: But I'm just going to come in and take this team.

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Speaker 1: In Carolina, they won against Arizona at home, they lost

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Speaker 1: by sixteen against Dallas, but on the road against Philadelphia

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Speaker 1: against this same Tampa Bay Bucks team, when they were

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Speaker 1: at home, they were six and a half point dogs.

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Speaker 1: They lost by three. They're now on the road. I

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Speaker 1: know Tampa needs this game. Tampa lost to Dallas last week.

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Speaker 1: I didn't like what I saw out of them at all.

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Speaker 1: Here they're laying four and a half. Now they're laying nine.

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Speaker 1: They were You know, this is the biggest spread. This

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Speaker 1: is the biggest number of the year for the Bucks

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Speaker 1: so far. They've been six point six and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorite. That was the biggest line. Six against Denver.

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Speaker 1: That didn't cover, six and a half, against Carolina, that

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Speaker 1: didn't cover six and a half. Against Vegas they did cover.

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Speaker 1: But I just don't trust them. I think they win

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Speaker 1: the game by seven or less. I think Tampa wins,

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Speaker 1: But give me the nine points. We're gonna go plus

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Speaker 1: nine for the Panthers for one point one units. Let's

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Speaker 1: go to Sunday night. This is a very short and

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Speaker 1: small windows or schedule because of what we have seen

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Speaker 1: here with the with the Christmas and Thursday night games,

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Speaker 1: four games taking up the board, the three games on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: This is a tiny Sunday slate. It's just sticking with

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Speaker 1: the trend of Sunday night unders here with the Commanders,

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Speaker 1: who look, we're fortunate to win the game last week

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Speaker 1: against the Eagles with five turnovers. Teams that were in

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Speaker 1: that spot three and two hundred and one straight up

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Speaker 1: over the last twenty years. If you go to ATS wise,

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Speaker 1: only six of those teams covered in those games in

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Speaker 1: which they had five turnovers. Normally you get killed. But

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Speaker 1: Washington was fortunate and the game went over thirty six

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Speaker 1: thirty three. But that was going to be a dead under.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't. For the fourth quarter on the route against

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Speaker 1: New Orleans, it was forty five and a half, the

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Speaker 1: game went under. They won the game twenty to nineteen.

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Speaker 1: Up against Philadelphia. You know quality teams, teams that have

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks that are you know, someone decent. Dallas, no Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: no New Orleans, no Philadelphia. Yes, the game did go over,

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Speaker 1: but I just think Atlanta's offense. They scored thirty four

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Speaker 1: points last week against the Giants. First road start here

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Speaker 1: for Michael Pennix. Eh, normally that's a dead fade, but

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Speaker 1: I'm I don't like the number three and a half

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Speaker 1: or four. I don't like the hook here. It worries me.

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Speaker 1: I prefer the under forty six and a half. I

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Speaker 1: just think this is going to be It's a game

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Speaker 1: that Atlanta needs, that Washington need a lot of playoff

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Speaker 1: implications going here into this game. I think both defenses

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Speaker 1: come to play. I think both offenses are going to

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Speaker 1: struggle to score a ton of points here. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: keep with that generalized trend of Sunday night unders under

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Speaker 1: forty six and a half for Atlanta at Washington here

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Speaker 1: for one point one units, and then we go to

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Speaker 1: the teaser and the teaser this week again small window,

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Speaker 1: but this is going to be a fun week to

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Speaker 1: watch these games if you want to tease them, because

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Speaker 1: the Colts need to win for playoff positioning, and they're

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Speaker 1: going to start Joe Flacco Anthey Risian's out, So with

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Speaker 1: him being out, the number has dropped down to seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, went from eight to seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Let's pull this thing all the way down to one

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Speaker 1: and a half. Why because the Giants need We'll meant

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Speaker 1: a lot, but gotta keep losing for the number one

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Speaker 1: pick overall, they got to keep losing. So you pull

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Speaker 1: this down for the Colts minus one and a half here,

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Speaker 1: I like Flacco's chances to get at this w for

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Speaker 1: the Colts to keep them in line for a playoff opportunity.

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Speaker 1: They have to win to keep any assemblance of a

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Speaker 1: opportunity to win the game alive. And then I'm going

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Speaker 1: to go to the game of the day, Vikings and

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Speaker 1: the Packers love against Darnold. I think we have got

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Speaker 1: the Packers in a great spot to tease them over

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Speaker 1: six and a half or over seven and a half

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Speaker 1: with a six point teaser. The Packers have covered five

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Speaker 1: straight games. They've scored thirty and more in all five

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Speaker 1: of those games. They have not thrown a pick. In

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Speaker 1: all five of those games, the Vikings have won eight

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Speaker 1: in a row. It's their second eight games straight up

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Speaker 1: winning streak since two thousand. It happen all that often. Overall,

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Speaker 1: teams with an eight plus game streak are thirty eight

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Speaker 1: to sixty and two ats since twenty ten. That's not

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Speaker 1: great obviously, Minnesota if they beat the Packers and then

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Speaker 1: in week eighteen in Detroit will be for the division

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Speaker 1: and the potential number one seed. Overall, They've got to

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Speaker 1: win this football game. However, Matt Lafleur in December has

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Speaker 1: been a wizard, and Matt Lafleur in revenge games Vikings

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Speaker 1: lost to the Packers back in week four thirty one

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Speaker 1: to twenty nine, Matt Lafour is twenty seven and eleven

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Speaker 1: straight up and twenty five and thirteen in the in

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Speaker 1: the revenge game, in the game out in the second

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Speaker 1: matchup after losing the first matchup, I'm gonna tease this

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Speaker 1: up and give the Packers seven and a half points

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Speaker 1: Packers plus seven and a half here in the game

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Speaker 1: of the day, all right, so light slate here on

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Speaker 1: a Sunday, hopefully we're coming off of a four and

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Speaker 1: oh Saturday Panthers plus nine for one point one units

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Speaker 1: the under on Sunday Night football of forty six and

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Speaker 1: a half between Washington and Atlanta and the Colts and

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Speaker 1: the Packers Colts minus one and a half and the

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Speaker 1: Packers plus seven and a half here for minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty one point two units down on that NFL player

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Speaker 1: props of at least two of them on the Betting

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Speaker 1: pros app by going and searching at Sports Talk Matt. Again,

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Speaker 1: no live stream for me today here in week number seventeen.

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Speaker 1: I think they are still doing it, but I'm just

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Speaker 1: not going to be a part of it because I'm

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Speaker 1: on the East Coast obviously on vacation. So enjoy it.

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Speaker 1: Best of luck in your place on a Sunday, and

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Speaker 1: we're back for Monday Night coming up tomorrow. Mine is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolgic. Guys following across all my socials at sports

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Speaker 1: doock map. Every morning it's the Dale Juice Podcast presented

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Speaker 1: by DraftKings