1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: Obviously some of this will aggress to the mean in 2 00:00:03,720 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: a positive way. These guys are going to hit. They've 3 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:13,040 Speaker 1: hit their whole careers. Welcome everyone into the Monday edition 4 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 1: of Fair Territory. As always, we have plenty to discuss. 5 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: A major injury, a surprising turn of events in the 6 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: NL West, and even a fan ripping a ball out 7 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: of a SuperStar's glove. All that and more, as well 8 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:31,319 Speaker 1: as inside my manager's column that is published today. But 9 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 1: let's start off with the injury that I previously mentioned, 10 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: the one to Justin Steele. He is out for the season, 11 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 1: the Cub's left hander, and it's an elbow injury. It's 12 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:43,920 Speaker 1: an elbow operation. We don't know exactly the specifics yet. 13 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 1: Will it be a Tommy John surgery, Will it be 14 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: an internal brace procedure. It doesn't matter. He's out for 15 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: the year. Actually it does matter long term, but in 16 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 1: terms of this season, no, he is out and that 17 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,959 Speaker 1: is going to seriously effect. Of course, the Cub's chances. 18 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: Steel is there. He is a bulldog. He is a 19 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:04,959 Speaker 1: guy you want out there, someone who has kind of 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,119 Speaker 1: come out of nowhere in recent years to become one 21 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 1: of the game's better left handed pitchers. But I am 22 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: here to suggest that this is hardly disastrous for the Cubs, 23 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: and I'm going to show you why by looking at 24 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 1: their rotation as it currently exists and as it might 25 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: exist as the season goes forward. As it currently exists, 26 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: it's still pretty good even without Justin Steele. You see 27 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 1: show to im Naga, Jamison Tyone, Matthew Boyd, the emerging 28 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: Ben Brown, and Colin Ray who can hold down a 29 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 1: rotation spot until perhaps, as you see there on the 30 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 1: additional options, Javier assad is ready to come back. And 31 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,400 Speaker 1: they also have Jordan Wicks at Iowa and Kate Horton. 32 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: Those two guys maybe later in the season. The other 33 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: thing about the Cubs, and really the most surprising thing 34 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 1: about the Cubs so far in this young season, is 35 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: their offense. Their offense leads the major leagues in runs 36 00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: per game. And yes, they put up sixteen on the 37 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 1: Dodgers Saturday night, and that's one reason they're in the 38 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 1: top spot. But even if you take out those sixteen runs, 39 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 1: they would be second in the major leagues in runs 40 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 1: per games. So the Cubs, yes, this definitely is a 41 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 1: major setback. You'd never want to lose your ace, but 42 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: they still have a very good team. Kyle Tucker is 43 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: performing at an MVP level. There's still going to be 44 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 1: quite an interesting team to watch all summer long. For 45 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: more on the Steel injury fallout, North Side Territory covers 46 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 1: where the Cubs go from here The Athletics. Patrick Moody 47 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 1: and Sahadev Sharma host Stay in the No with the 48 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: latest episode out now, subscribe and rate five stars to 49 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:41,680 Speaker 1: the entire Foul Territory Network. Now in the NL West, 50 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,959 Speaker 1: I mentioned the surprising turn of events and why is 51 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 1: it surprising because everyone's favorite super team, the team that 52 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: was ruining the sport, the team that could not be beat. 53 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, they were eight to no. They were 54 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: never going to lose again. They're three and six. Since 55 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: they're eight no start and I'm referring, of course, to 56 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Dodgers. This is a team with a 57 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 1: run differential right now of zero. Well that's because of 58 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: Saturday sixteen. Nothing lost, but a team not without problems. 59 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 1: Migul Rojas pitched two innings in that game on Saturday night. 60 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 1: That's just one of those freak things that occurs during 61 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:20,079 Speaker 1: the course of the season. But here we are, I 62 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 1: don't know. Two weeks into the season. The Dodgers already 63 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 1: are scrambling for starters, with Blake Snell joining Clayton Kershaw 64 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: on the injured list as well as Tony Gonsolin and 65 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: with Shoheyo Tani not yet ready to start this season. 66 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: They also have some issues at the bottom of the order. 67 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: So what is going on here in the rest of 68 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: the division, That is what is really interesting. Let's look 69 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 1: at the National League West standings right now, because they're 70 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 1: quite surprising. San Diego Padres top of the division thirteen 71 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 1: and three, San Francisco Giants second place eleven and four. 72 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 1: Then you have the Dodgers at eleven and six, the 73 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: Diamondbacks at nine and seven, and the Rockies at three 74 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 1: and twelve. Now, Padres certainly qualify as a bit of 75 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: a surprise simply based on their off season and the 76 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: fact that they lost the lone and didn't really gain 77 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 1: a lot. This is a team that we talked about 78 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: all off season as one that might trade potential free 79 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: agents such as Dylan Ceces and Michael King and Luisa Rise. 80 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:21,760 Speaker 1: They did nothing of the sort, but at the same time, 81 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,520 Speaker 1: their additions were for the most part relatively modest. I 82 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 1: want to show you what they lost and what they gained. 83 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 1: What they lost was significant Profar and Kim Higashioka, who 84 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:34,360 Speaker 1: had a lot of home runs for them last year. 85 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: Two really good bench players Solano and Peralta. What they 86 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 1: gained Nick Pavetta, that was their biggest addition. Then they 87 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: got Jason Hayward and Connor Joe on one million dollar 88 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:49,600 Speaker 1: one year deals, Elias Diaz a catcher okay, and then 89 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 1: four minor league contracts Gavin Sheets, who has been a 90 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 1: major surprise for them, Martin Maldonado, Juli Uriel, and Jose Iglesias. 91 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: What this team has done so far is pitch really well. 92 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: And I know they played the Rockies this weekend and 93 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 1: they had those shutouts, but my goodness, they've been outstanding 94 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:10,720 Speaker 1: even without you, Darvish. Michael King looks like a legitimate ace, 95 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: Randy Vasquez has been really good, and their bullpen, especially 96 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: the back end, has been lights out. So the Padres 97 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 1: I wouldn't say they're a better team than we thought, 98 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 1: necessarily because they were really good at the end of 99 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 1: last year. But with the Dodgers doing so much this offseason, 100 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: with the Giants doing at least some significant things. You 101 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 1: didn't really see the Padres necessarily in the same light 102 00:05:33,200 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 1: as before, and yet here they are with Tatis playing 103 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 1: at an MVP level and early in the season a 104 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 1: team just emerging as a real force. The Giants are 105 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:46,600 Speaker 1: the biggest surprise. Now, the Giants didn't really do much 106 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: in the offseason, did they. Yes, they added really Adamis. 107 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:53,760 Speaker 1: He hasn't done much in the early going. Justin Verlander, 108 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,720 Speaker 1: He's been just okay so far as well. Yet this 109 00:05:56,760 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 1: team has gone from far anxiety as the head of 110 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:03,239 Speaker 1: their base barber to buster Posey. Jung Houley is healthy, 111 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: he's playing like an MVP candidate too, and they just 112 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 1: have a different way about them. They've pitched well, They're 113 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 1: back into the bullpen, has settled in nicely. They are 114 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: a team that is obviously better than we all thought, 115 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 1: and it's going to be really interesting to track them 116 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:22,159 Speaker 1: this year and to see if this holds up, because 117 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:25,359 Speaker 1: what has happened here is, yes, a different culture that 118 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: has emerged, less of a laboratory experiment, if you want 119 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: to call it that, more of a baseball pure kind 120 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 1: of environment. Now I'm not ripping far anxiety. I'm just 121 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: saying this is a different approach. They have been very 122 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: adamant under Posy about being much more stable in their lineup, 123 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 1: much more stable with their roster. This is a team, 124 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: this will surprise you, that has not made a single 125 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 1: roster move so far this season. Not one. Now, that's 126 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:53,479 Speaker 1: partly due to luck, of course with injuries. But it's 127 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: interesting too that they are settling in in this fashion. 128 00:06:57,080 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 1: So the Giants and the Padres emerging as at least 129 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:03,680 Speaker 1: in the early season, legitimate threats to the Dodger. And oh, 130 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 1: I don't think the sport is collapsing just yet because 131 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 1: the Dodgers are spending all of that money. We'll be 132 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 1: back after a quick word from our friends at foul Territory. 133 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 2: Hair thinning is very common, very frustrating problem that many 134 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 2: men deal with, from stress and nutrition to hormones to lifestyle. 135 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 2: So many internal factors affect what you see on the outside. 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Neutrofold dot com spelled 151 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 4: nut r a f o L dot com promo code foul. 152 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 1: And finally, this weekend, a play that occurred in Houston, 153 00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 1: A play that bore resemblance to Mooky Betts catch in 154 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 1: the World Series last year at Yankee Stadium when he 155 00:08:22,920 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: was basically nearly assaulted by two Yankee fans. This one 156 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 1: was much more mild in the way it was executed, 157 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 1: but Mike Trout, playing right field, went into the stands 158 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 1: to catch a ball, a foul ball, and a fan 159 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,080 Speaker 1: basically took the ball out of his glove. Now, the 160 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 1: difference here to me from other plays of this nature 161 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 1: is that Trout caught the ball. Now, I know the 162 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: rule is once you go into the stands, it's fair game. 163 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 1: Fan can do whatever they want, and if you catch 164 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 1: the ball, you catch it. If you don't, you don't. 165 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:59,319 Speaker 1: But Trout caught the ball and the fan clearly took 166 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 1: it out of his glove. In this particular situation, in 167 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 1: my opinion, common sense should have applied. That battle was out, 168 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: should have been out, and obviously at that point you 169 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 1: have a different scenario. Now, the inning proceeded the same way, 170 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 1: nothing changed. The batter made out was a third out 171 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 1: of the inning. All good. And what was really interesting 172 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: was the fan's reaction to Trout. That fan immediately knew 173 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:26,319 Speaker 1: he had done something that was not great. He immediately 174 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 1: started apologizing. He almost similarly wanted to give the ball back. 175 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 1: And then after the game, Trout and the fan had 176 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 1: this encounter. So here's Mike Trout talking to the fan, 177 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: shaking his hand, meeting his son, and what Trout said, 178 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: we don't have the audio here, but what he said 179 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:44,200 Speaker 1: was Hey, what you guys did or Dad did in 180 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 1: reacting and apologizing, that was what it was all about. 181 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: That was really cool to Mike Trout, and for that reason, 182 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: Trout had no problem with anything the fan said to Trout. Hey, 183 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: I'm glad the game wasn't affected in any way. It 184 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: just spoke really well, in my opinion, of Mike Trout 185 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:04,400 Speaker 1: to react as classically as he did to the whole scenario. 186 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:07,559 Speaker 1: We've seen players react in different ways to these kinds 187 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 1: of plays over the years. Now in this case, the 188 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:14,959 Speaker 1: fan did not physically endanger Trout in any way, did 189 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: not pull on his arm or hit him or anything 190 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:20,080 Speaker 1: like that, so that was a little bit different, of course, 191 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:24,319 Speaker 1: but the fans reaction Trout's reaction, that all was good. 192 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 1: We need to figure out a way though to call 193 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 1: that play an out. 194 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 4: Well well, well. 195 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: Time now for the inside Dish, the part of the 196 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 1: show where I talk about maybe something I've written, a 197 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 1: trend going on in the game, something else entirely, And 198 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: today I want to take readers back on a little 199 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 1: journey to memory Lane. And I've written before about the 200 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 1: Curse of Samuel Joseph. Samuel Joseph is my son. He 201 00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:55,679 Speaker 1: was born on May twenty first, nineteen ninety one, and 202 00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: faithful readers will know I've written about this before that 203 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 1: on the first three days of Sam's life, May twenty first, 204 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 1: twenty second, and twenty third, a big league manager was fired. 205 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:09,840 Speaker 1: First it was John Watthat in Kansas City. Then it 206 00:11:09,880 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 1: was Don Zimmer in Chicago, and then it was Frank 207 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 1: Robinson in Baltimore. At a time when I was covering 208 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:19,559 Speaker 1: the Orioles, now Jerome Holtzman of the Chicago Tribune, the 209 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 1: late great Jerome Holtzman, wrote a column about this whole scenario, 210 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,000 Speaker 1: and he called it the Curse of Samuel Joseph, and 211 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 1: he led the column by saying, every day of his life, 212 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 1: a big league manager has been fired. Sam at that 213 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: point was then immortalized in Baltimore Magazine as this kid 214 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:40,880 Speaker 1: with these unusual mystical powers. And then over the years 215 00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:45,120 Speaker 1: in the nineties and the two thousands, even the twenty tens, 216 00:11:45,760 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 1: around May twentieth, about a quarterway into the season, you'd 217 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:51,840 Speaker 1: start to see managers getting fired. That was just the 218 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:55,439 Speaker 1: kind of timing that would go on. Enough games have 219 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:57,839 Speaker 1: been played, in the opinions of most teams to make 220 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: a change if they thought a change was warranted. Sam's 221 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:04,080 Speaker 1: going to be thirty four next month. And times have 222 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: changed in baseball today. We live in sort of an 223 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 1: age of collaboration where the front offices and statistical analysts 224 00:12:11,400 --> 00:12:14,079 Speaker 1: have a lot of say in the shaping of rosters, 225 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 1: in in game decisions, not in the moment necessarily, but 226 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 1: just in the way lineups are structured. It's a collaborative 227 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:25,320 Speaker 1: process in many cases. So what has changed is that 228 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:30,199 Speaker 1: you don't often see firings early in the season. Basically, 229 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: teams are deliberate and trying to remove motion from their 230 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 1: decision making. They don't want to be reactionary. They want 231 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 1: to be deliberate. As I said, they want to be 232 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:42,559 Speaker 1: thorough in their processes. We hear this all the time, 233 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:45,960 Speaker 1: so teams generally don't make a move until after the 234 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 1: All Star break, if they make a move at all 235 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:50,960 Speaker 1: during the season. It's been the trend in the game 236 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 1: in recent years. And I wrote about this whole scenario 237 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:57,000 Speaker 1: today in my column and The Athletic and I listed 238 00:12:57,080 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: nine managers who by the end of the season could 239 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 1: be in jeopardy. Derek Shelton is one of them. You 240 00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 1: see him there there is a whole list I've got 241 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 1: in there. Rock Oball Delhi is on that list, Ali 242 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:10,080 Speaker 1: Marmel and I can go through the whole thing, but 243 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 1: better you read the column than me. Just go through 244 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:16,000 Speaker 1: it here. Now, this is not a story that I 245 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:19,440 Speaker 1: particularly relish writing. I know all of these managers, I 246 00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 1: know all the gms. Of course, it's my job to 247 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 1: know these people, and I have relationships with all of them. 248 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 1: But the reality of the game is that managers get fired, 249 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 1: gms get fired, and in our work at the Athletic, 250 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:35,319 Speaker 1: in my work, in all of our work, we try 251 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 1: to give context to things that are going on, and 252 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 1: we try to give insight into stories that could develop 253 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 1: in many cases before they happen. We want people not 254 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 1: to be surprised, our readers, We don't want them to 255 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,960 Speaker 1: be surprised by something that might take place now that 256 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 1: is impossible to achieve. At all times. The game on 257 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:58,319 Speaker 1: the field is particularly full of wonder and twist and 258 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: turns that are unexpected. Off the field, it's often that 259 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 1: way as well. But the context in this day and age, 260 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:09,720 Speaker 1: especially when you don't have a lot of context out there, 261 00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: in my opinion, that's really important. It's important to give 262 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: before something might occur, and it's important to give really 263 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 1: important to give after something might occur. So that is 264 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 1: why I write this story from time to time. Usually 265 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 1: I write it maybe at the beginning of the season, 266 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:28,960 Speaker 1: and I'll write one toward the end as well. Sometimes 267 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 1: I'll do gms, sometimes I'll do managers. Much more often managers, though, 268 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: because gms do not get fired as frequently, and it's 269 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 1: a column that obviously will get a lot of commentary, 270 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: and people obviously are going to have a lot of 271 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 1: opinions about the managers of their favorite teams. But I 272 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 1: often find that fans don't necessarily judge a manager for 273 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 1: the right reasons. What fans dwell on often and what 274 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 1: we do too in the media are in game decisions. 275 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: Did this decision work out? Did it not? Classic example, 276 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 1: Nestra Cortez Junior coming in in the World Series last 277 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 1: year in Game one, that was a decision that actually 278 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: could be second guests at the time, first guest at 279 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: the time and did not work out. Had it worked out, 280 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 1: we wouldn't be talking about it today. But for the 281 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 1: most part, in game decisions are not how you judge 282 00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:23,880 Speaker 1: a manager. They can go either way, and that's why 283 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:27,400 Speaker 1: they're not a great basis for looking at someone and 284 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: evaluating them. What I look at, and when I think 285 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 1: people in the game look at for the most part, 286 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 1: are the way the team is performing. Is the team 287 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 1: playing hard for its manager? Is it playing fundamentally sound. 288 00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 1: Last year, one of the biggest criticisms of Aaron Boone 289 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:45,720 Speaker 1: was that the Yankees were not playing fundamentally sound, and 290 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:49,520 Speaker 1: in some ways that is partly a reflection of the manager. 291 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 1: But of course when we look at these guys now, 292 00:15:52,720 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: there are so many things to take into consideration as well. 293 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 1: How much influence does the front office have. That's a 294 00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:01,320 Speaker 1: pretty big question, and we don't ever seem to know 295 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 1: the answers because there's a lot going on behind the scenes, 296 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:10,360 Speaker 1: and also the different circumstances that managers face at each 297 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 1: particular moment of their careers. For instance, Roco Baldelli in 298 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 1: the Twins situation, Roca Baldelli's team collapsed at the end 299 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,960 Speaker 1: of last year, finished twelve and twenty seven. That's what 300 00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 1: they were down the stretch, twelve and twenty seven. So 301 00:16:24,480 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: coming off that year when they were probably the most 302 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,960 Speaker 1: talented team in the Al Central and when they missed 303 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:33,480 Speaker 1: the playoffs. You would have wanted them to start strongly. 304 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: They have not done that. That malaise from the end 305 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 1: of last season has sort of extended into this season, 306 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 1: and that's why Roco Baldelli right now is under some scrutiny. 307 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 1: There's a lot of other things going on with the Twins, 308 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 1: the usual injury questions, but Baldelli is going to come 309 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 1: into focus. Ali Marmel and Saint louis entirely different situation. 310 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 1: He is under scrutiny not just because of the team's 311 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 1: performance last year, necessarily, but really because they are undergoing 312 00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 1: a transition, a transition from John Mozelock as the head 313 00:17:06,119 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 1: of baseball operations to HEINM. Bloom. And generally speaking, when 314 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,639 Speaker 1: a new man takes over as Bloom will at the 315 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:16,320 Speaker 1: end of the season, that new man wants his own manager. 316 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:19,879 Speaker 1: That's just an dydynamic that always takes place, frankly, in 317 00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 1: all walks of life and all businesses. New boss comes 318 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:26,879 Speaker 1: in wants his or her own people. So those are 319 00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,159 Speaker 1: two different dynamics. And I also get into Shelton, then 320 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 1: I get into some others, and again you never know 321 00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 1: exactly how these things are going to turn out. We're 322 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:39,200 Speaker 1: early in the season. Maybe the Twins turn it around. 323 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 1: Maybe Ali Marmel shows Heim Bloom. You know what, I 324 00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 1: should be the guy here, even with Albert Poohols and 325 00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:50,440 Speaker 1: Yadi air Ballina and Skip Schumacher all looming as potential replacements. 326 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:55,200 Speaker 1: The season will progress, storylines will develop, managers will either 327 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,679 Speaker 1: succeed or fail according to the results of their team. 328 00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 1: But again, this was that I wanted to look at. 329 00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:04,359 Speaker 1: It's something that is always interesting to talk about, and 330 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:07,280 Speaker 1: it's something that cannot be discussed. I'll repeat this cannot 331 00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:12,479 Speaker 1: be discussed without trying to understand the fuller contexts. In 332 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:15,639 Speaker 1: each case. There are different contexts and in each case 333 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:19,679 Speaker 1: different circumstances, and we'll see again how it all plays 334 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 1: out as the season progresses. Time now for grilling Ken. 335 00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:25,960 Speaker 1: Let's get to your questions. First question comes from Ian, 336 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:29,760 Speaker 1: who asks what kind of contract is Kyle Schwarber looking at? 337 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:33,080 Speaker 1: Given his power and age. Ian, this is one that 338 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 1: is going to be a talking point all season and 339 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:38,600 Speaker 1: into the off season. Kyle Schwarber is one of the 340 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 1: elite home run hitters in the game. Yet Kyle Schwarber 341 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 1: next season is thirty three, so a three year deal 342 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 1: would cover his ages thirty three, thirty four, and thirty 343 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:50,879 Speaker 1: five seasons. You go to four years that covers his 344 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:55,480 Speaker 1: age thirty six season. I tried to find comps looking 345 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:58,520 Speaker 1: back a few years last night and considering this, and 346 00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:01,440 Speaker 1: the one I came up with is Tayo Hernandez. Now, 347 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:05,719 Speaker 1: Tayo Hernandez, unlike Schwarber, is not a DH. He's an outfielder. 348 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:09,359 Speaker 1: He's not I would say an above average outfielder, but 349 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:13,600 Speaker 1: he does give you some defensive value. Tasker Hernandez over 350 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,880 Speaker 1: the offseason was a free agent and received a three 351 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,480 Speaker 1: year deal for sixty six million. He's a year younger 352 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,199 Speaker 1: than Schorber would be entering free agency, so he was 353 00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 1: entering his age thirty two year as a free agent 354 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:29,679 Speaker 1: Schoorber entering his age thirty three. Tasker Hernandez over the 355 00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:32,880 Speaker 1: past three seasons had a higher war than Shworber did, 356 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,760 Speaker 1: mostly because he offered some defensive value and also was 357 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:40,679 Speaker 1: really good as an offensive performer. So that to me 358 00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:43,480 Speaker 1: is kind of the range that Schorber should be looking at. 359 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 1: He's got a twenty million dollar average annual value in 360 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:49,439 Speaker 1: his current deal, which was four years, seventy nine million. 361 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 1: That to me would seem to be reasonable going forward. 362 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:54,600 Speaker 1: He certainly doesn't deserve a pay cut. He's had really 363 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 1: good years for the Phillies. So I'm guessing three years, 364 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:01,120 Speaker 1: sixty five seventy million somewhere along those lines. I could 365 00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,480 Speaker 1: be wrong, could be less than that. Maybe the Phillies 366 00:20:03,520 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 1: don't want to go even to three years, but that 367 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 1: to me would seem to be the range. We'll be 368 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:11,680 Speaker 1: back after a quick word from our friends at foul 369 00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 1: Territory Top Father. 370 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,159 Speaker 4: I'm looking for premium clothes at an affordable price. I 371 00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:18,960 Speaker 4: wanted to fit nice. I wanted to make all the 372 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 4: features that we want to point out look nice. And 373 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 4: I want softness. Yes, what do I do? 374 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,480 Speaker 5: You hit up True Classic. 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And whether 384 00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 5: you're bundling up for the cold or you're getting ready 385 00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 5: for spring, you can level up your style with clothes 386 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:57,400 Speaker 5: that actually fit right. 387 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 4: Just go to the ft exclusive link. That's True Classic 388 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:05,119 Speaker 4: dot Com slash foul to save True Classic dot Com 389 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 4: slash Foul. Shop now and elevate your wardrobe today with 390 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:11,919 Speaker 4: True Classic dot Com slash Foul. 391 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,920 Speaker 1: Next question, and this one comes from Matteo, who asks 392 00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 1: why can't the Rangers hit at all? Matteo, the Rangers 393 00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:24,240 Speaker 1: themselves are asking that question. They're asking that question because 394 00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:27,679 Speaker 1: during the off season they brought in two guys that 395 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,960 Speaker 1: they thought would help transform their offense, Jock Peterson and 396 00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:34,399 Speaker 1: Jake Berger. They also had Josh Young coming back. Evan 397 00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 1: Carter to some degree was going to be expected to 398 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 1: do some things as well. They had Corey Seeger and 399 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:43,120 Speaker 1: Marcus Simeon, and they also signed Kyle Lagashioka to help 400 00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 1: their offense. Hasn't happened. Right now, This team is twenty 401 00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,439 Speaker 1: eighth in the Major leagues in runs, behind even the 402 00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,200 Speaker 1: Chicago White Sox. That's right, the White Sox are averaging 403 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:57,119 Speaker 1: more runs per game than the Texas Rangers, and I 404 00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 1: want to show you just why this is happening, because 405 00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 1: some of those I just mentioned are not performing well 406 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 1: at all. We can start with Jack Peterson, the Big 407 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:11,200 Speaker 1: Free Asian edition, batting zero seven, zero seventy with a 408 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,159 Speaker 1: two seventy seven OPS that would be more like what 409 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:16,960 Speaker 1: he would want is batting average to be. Simeon not 410 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:20,920 Speaker 1: doing much at all, hitting one twenty three, Tavaris two 411 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:24,320 Speaker 1: five batting average for eighty two OPS, Jake Berger one 412 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:28,280 Speaker 1: fifty one batting average for eighty four OPS, Higashioka, and 413 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:34,679 Speaker 1: even Corey Seger also performing well below their usual career norms. Obviously, 414 00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:37,679 Speaker 1: some of this will regress to the mean in a 415 00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:40,280 Speaker 1: positive way. These guys are going to hit. They've hit 416 00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:43,560 Speaker 1: their whole careers. But when you ask why can't they hit, 417 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 1: I'm not sure the answer there. But I can tell 418 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 1: you what is happening so far, and it's simply that 419 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 1: most of the players on this team are not performing 420 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:55,680 Speaker 1: to their usual levels. And finally, the last question comes 421 00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:59,440 Speaker 1: from Bob Vanaman, who asked, I hope I pronounced that right, Bob, 422 00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:02,440 Speaker 1: of all the celebrities you've met, who was the most 423 00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:06,199 Speaker 1: baseball savvy now, Bob. In truth, I haven't met that 424 00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:08,880 Speaker 1: many celebrities, but from time to time I will run 425 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,400 Speaker 1: into one or two. I'll give you two from rock 426 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,440 Speaker 1: and roll and one from Hollywood. The two from rock 427 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:18,040 Speaker 1: and Roll are Jack White and Eddie Vedder. Jack White 428 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 1: is the part owner of a back company. He is 429 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 1: a huge baseball fan. He's from Detroit. He is someone 430 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 1: who follows the game pretty seriously. And Eddie Vedder, you 431 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:30,199 Speaker 1: guys know, when the Cubs were really good in the 432 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:33,360 Speaker 1: mid twenty tens, he'd often be hanging out in Joe 433 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,520 Speaker 1: Madden's office, sitting on the floor. He's a huge Cubs fan. 434 00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 1: He has been that way for a long time, very 435 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 1: passionate about baseball. And the actor I'll give you is 436 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 1: Rob Low. Rob Low last year during the World Series, 437 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:51,520 Speaker 1: was seated kind of near where I was positioned for Fox, 438 00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 1: and he would come over and yeah, he knows a 439 00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 1: lot about the game and was quite excited and passionate 440 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:59,240 Speaker 1: about what he was seeing from the Dodgers. So those 441 00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:01,800 Speaker 1: are three that I've met. I haven't met, like I said, 442 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 1: a whole lot more, But there are a lot of 443 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:07,320 Speaker 1: people who are not even celebrities, as well as celebrities 444 00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 1: who are quite passionate about baseball in this country. That's 445 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,679 Speaker 1: why it's the national pastime, well, even if it's not 446 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,840 Speaker 1: quite as popular as it used to be. I want 447 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 1: to thank you everyone for their questions, thank you for watching, 448 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:21,320 Speaker 1: for listening. You know where to find us YouTube, Apple, Spotify. 449 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:24,720 Speaker 1: We will be back Thursday at our usual time, twelve 450 00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:28,960 Speaker 1: thirty Eastern Live show, myself hosting with Alana Rizzo. Have 451 00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:30,879 Speaker 1: a great week everyone, We'll see you. 452 00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 6: Then, let's shout out the BETMGM first bet fifteen hundred 453 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,440 Speaker 6: dollars offer when you use the bonus code foul. 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