1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:03,600 Speaker 1: Hello friends, and welcome back to Fantasy Pros MLD. I'm 2 00:00:03,680 --> 00:00:06,560 Speaker 1: Chris Welsh, and today we're talking trades. Of course, we're 3 00:00:06,559 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: talking trades, but we're gonna do a little different. We're 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 1: gonna play a game. Would you like to play a game? 5 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: Nothing life threatening? Just trade four, trade away, don't worry 6 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 1: about it, make your guesses as we go, and at 7 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,799 Speaker 1: the end we'll even have one that you can decide on. 8 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,720 Speaker 1: But first I want to remind you that you always 9 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,599 Speaker 1: have a chance to win a premium Fantasy Pros account 10 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: on us. All you've got to do is make a 11 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 1: comment below, get access to my playbook, get in the 12 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros discord, get access to all the features. Just 13 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,599 Speaker 1: go in, get going and make a comment, and subscribe 14 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: to the channel and you might get yours. If you 15 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: don't want to wait and you want to get in now, 16 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:47,159 Speaker 1: well go to Fantasypros dot com slash premium. You might 17 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 1: not want to chance it. All right, let's get to 18 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:51,879 Speaker 1: the game. I'm gonna give you a name and you're 19 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 1: gonna have to decide pretty quick. Number one on the list. 20 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: Trade four Trade away, d back starting pitcher Zach Gallon. 21 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 1: Trade four Trade away what do you say, I say, 22 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 1: trade four? Probably no shocker there, well, one of the 23 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,520 Speaker 1: best times to poke around great pitchers. It's like right 24 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: after a blow up. And Zach Gallins was epic eight runs, 25 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 1: five earned runs, and in fact he's got an over 26 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 1: four ERA in the month of May. Reminder though in 27 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 1: April he only had one start where he gave up 28 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 1: a run. It's not going to be cheap, but a 29 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 1: worried owner might be more willing to throw Gallon out 30 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:34,320 Speaker 1: there now. But all that cy young talk is starting 31 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 1: to cool a little bit, so this is gonna go 32 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 1: on the trade four side. Number two Philadelphia Phillies DH 33 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: outfielder Kyle Schwarber, Trade four, trade away. We are trading 34 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: four Kyle Schwarber. SCHWARBZ is off to a rough start 35 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: when it comes to his batting average. He's hitting under 36 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 1: one eighty and he's hitting one twenty five in May. 37 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: Schwarber had a similar run last year, though, which makes 38 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: me feel better, where he hit under two hundred up 39 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: until June. Schwarber currently has the league's lowest babbit on 40 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: one eighty seven. Let's just call it under one ninety. 41 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 1: Pinning when you're listening to this, considering this is what 42 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 1: he does, and considering those babbit numbers will turn, and 43 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: considering his power numbers are sustaining, as he has eleven 44 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 1: on the year even with all these struggles, and in May, 45 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,919 Speaker 1: those huge struggles, he's got five in May, Schwarber might 46 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 1: be a really strong buy now candidate. So we are 47 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: trading four, number three on the list Seattle Mariners starting 48 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 1: pitcher Bryce Miller. Trade four, trade away. We are trading 49 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 1: away Bryce Miller. I got you there a little bit. 50 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: I hate to do it, but he has the third 51 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 1: highest war among all pitchers in May. It's also got 52 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 1: an under two era. Why do I hate to do it? 53 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:00,600 Speaker 1: Because I love Bryce Miller, But we are talking about 54 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 1: redraft here. We've got low strikeout rates, We've got an 55 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 1: ex fit that is actually sitting closer to over three 56 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:11,119 Speaker 1: point fifty and a babbit of one seventy two against. 57 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: That's going to change, and probably not in the best direction, 58 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 1: as is the caveat that I feel is obvious but 59 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:20,959 Speaker 1: clearly is not to many of you, which I see 60 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 1: out in the comments or in the Twitter verse. This 61 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 1: is not to say that Bryce Miller will be bad 62 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 1: or he's going to fail when this is all done, 63 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 1: you know, and he's going to be really great and 64 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:31,920 Speaker 1: then it'll be like, ah, it's I got your moment. No, 65 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: it's not saying that. What I'm saying is this might 66 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 1: be a peak value. There's some underlying stuff that doesn't 67 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 1: work necessarily in his favor with those low strikeout numbers. 68 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 1: He does have an incredible fastball, but he's still learning 69 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: the secondaries. There might be a rough stretch coming and maybe, 70 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: just maybe that's something that you want to take advantage 71 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: of in trade. So that is why we are looking 72 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: at a trade away number four Los Angeles Dodgers starting 73 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 1: pitcher Julio Urias Trade four, trade away. We are trading away. Now, see, 74 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: just when you thought you had me figured out, we're 75 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 1: trading away Julio Arias. Now, why do I say that? 76 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: Because the stats don't exactly align in this great area, 77 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 1: which that sometimes tends to be, you know, good aces 78 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: we want to buy. But it's fair to say that 79 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 1: he hasn't been great four and a half era and 80 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,799 Speaker 1: roughly about the same expected era. His walks are down, 81 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: homers are up. You could probably play this either way 82 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 1: if we're being honest, where things don't improve whatsoever, or 83 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 1: you know, his walks they stay down. The swinging strike 84 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: percentage continues to improve, but I'm going to get out. 85 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,720 Speaker 1: His fastball's getting hit up, and he's getting hit harder 86 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 1: than any previous year. The doughters in general have been 87 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 1: kind of wishy washy, and Urias might be closer to 88 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 1: an SP three or SP four this year than he 89 00:04:55,720 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: is at SP two. His costs ended up coming at five. 90 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Dodgers second baseman Miguel Vargas trade four, trade away. 91 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 1: We are trading four Miguel Vargas. That first month got 92 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,600 Speaker 1: pretty rough, but Vargas seems to found a stride. He's 93 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 1: hitting only two forty on the year with four homers, 94 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: but in May he's hit two seventy and has three 95 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 1: of those four homers. You can also see the aggressiveness 96 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 1: change as his walk percentage is dropped in favor of 97 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 1: attacking the baseball more. Yet, his k percentage has also 98 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: dropped at the same time. While he struggled to hit 99 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: at the start of the year, Vargas has a legit 100 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: shot to sit somewhere around eighty to ninety run and 101 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 1: RBI based just off of where He is currently in 102 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: the mid twenties on both of those, and that may 103 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 1: also go with around twenty homers. He may be one 104 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 1: of those guys at the end of the year where 105 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: we're surprised by how effective he was overall in fantasy 106 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: than he was in short spurts. There's no real buzz 107 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 1: on Vargas right now, so he may come at a 108 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: friendly cost. Now here's our extra Texas Rangers outfielder Adulus 109 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 1: Garcia trade four trade away you decide, comment below with 110 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: the answer. He leads the league in RBI and is 111 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:18,280 Speaker 1: a top five in homers, yet he's hitting under two 112 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 1: sixty and has a bottom twenty five percent with rate 113 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: in the league. He's improved his strikeout rate, and the 114 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 1: big reason is pitchers have actually changed their approach to him, 115 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 1: throwing him seven percent more breaking pitches. Last year he 116 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: struggled with this, hitting only one ninety nine. That's why 117 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:37,159 Speaker 1: they're throwing him more. Well, guess what, in twenty twenty three, 118 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 1: he's hitting like two seventy against breaking pitches. So there's 119 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 1: so many improvements that have been made that are telling 120 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,919 Speaker 1: this incredible story. But for many it is very hard 121 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 1: to believe that this is sustainable even though he has 122 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: done it for three straight years. So is he the 123 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 1: ultimate sell high or is the best yet to come? 124 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: You decide in the comments below. Thanks for hanging with 125 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: me through some of the trades. Now. I know I 126 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 1: put some players on the trade away. It's going to 127 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:06,200 Speaker 1: trigger some people, but let's put a reminder out there 128 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 1: again to signal a trade away on someone is also 129 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 1: not a statement that they are bad. Throughout this series, 130 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: there have been plenty of players that we've been talking 131 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:19,679 Speaker 1: about trading away that have been fine, or some who've 132 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: actually been better and completely bucked anything that I said. 133 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: Sometimes it's just about capitalizing on value. Some people love 134 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 1: Wheeland dealon some are a little bit more methodical about it. 135 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: But it's just a reminder that when approaching all of this, 136 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 1: I can't and won't always be right about everything just 137 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 1: my best guesses, and I hope plenty of you will 138 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 1: remind me that I'm not right about all of these things. 139 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 1: I hope this helped, and make sure you subscribe to 140 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 1: the channel so you're notified anytime and everything that we've 141 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 1: got going on, whether it's like the trade video, the waivers, 142 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: or it's leading off Monday through Friday at twelve thirty 143 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 1: pm Eastern with Pisapa and myself. You can find me 144 00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 1: on Twitter at is it the Welsh and I will 145 00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 1: talk to you next time right here on Fantasy Pros MLB. 146 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball Podcast. Follow 147 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 1: us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB, and subscribe to 148 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros 149 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 1: MLB