WEBVTT - Tech Selloff Continues and Bitcoin Goes Below $31K

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where innovation, money and power. CALLI

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Emily Jay. I'm Caroline Hide in New York game for

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<v Speaker 1>Emily Chang and this is Bloomberg Technology coming up in

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<v Speaker 1>the next hour. The sell off and continues across the board.

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<v Speaker 1>Tech is in the crosshairs. Is fears Lingo over the

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<v Speaker 1>fensibility to tackle inflation. Then as that one well now

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<v Speaker 1>down in the last three training days plus Crypto not

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<v Speaker 1>spared in this sell off. Bitcoin slipping down below thirty two,

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<v Speaker 1>down more than from its all time high. My conversation

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<v Speaker 1>with Galaxy Digitals Michael Novegratz about where he thinks the

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<v Speaker 1>bottom might be, and look out below how the slide

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<v Speaker 1>inequities is affecting the once hot I p O market.

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<v Speaker 1>Will talk to one textio who says, with the traditional

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<v Speaker 1>IPO press, it's actually a scam kicking things off. Victoria Green,

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<v Speaker 1>she's a chief investment officer. I'm fanning partner over at

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<v Speaker 1>g squad. Victoria perfect to have your voice, because what

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<v Speaker 1>do you make of whether we're going to see capitulation

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<v Speaker 1>in the market sometime soon, whether the correlations are all

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<v Speaker 1>sort of working against the tech investor right now. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think it's going to capitulate yet. You know the

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<v Speaker 1>number one invested adage right now, if don't fight the FED,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think the FED is going up, they're gonna hike,

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<v Speaker 1>They're gonna tighten. And that's a little bit tough on

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<v Speaker 1>on tech and growth right now. And honestly, and not

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<v Speaker 1>all stocks are created equal. Right now, I'm kind of

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<v Speaker 1>staying out with the new and in with the old.

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<v Speaker 1>Are of the new stuff, the pandemic darlings that are

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<v Speaker 1>now pandemic duds are not really performing the same as

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<v Speaker 1>some of the old tech. You look at your IBM,

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<v Speaker 1>your Cisco, your broad cooms and and and more of

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<v Speaker 1>the value text. So right now, we really do think

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<v Speaker 1>you want to be owning companies that are giving you

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<v Speaker 1>the earnings now, that have a sustainable path forward on

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<v Speaker 1>how they're going to grow their earning, not just on

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<v Speaker 1>a wing in a prayer and what they hope will happen.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I think you see a lot of these

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<v Speaker 1>stocks getting punished. I mean, Amazon down thirty three percent

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<v Speaker 1>since the end of March, and that company obviously prints

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<v Speaker 1>billions upon billions of cash. But I think investors are

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<v Speaker 1>looking where are we going to find growths? How are

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<v Speaker 1>you going to grow your earnings? Why is Microsoft off

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<v Speaker 1>one of the four percent? People questioning the growth of

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<v Speaker 1>that sort of a business as well? Or is this

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<v Speaker 1>the sort of at the moment everything the baby goes

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<v Speaker 1>out with a baffof it's a following tide following all boats.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, that's a horrible way of putting it. But

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<v Speaker 1>at baby and bathwater. Absolutely there's nowhere to hide right now.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're looking for green on the screen, it is

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<v Speaker 1>very minimal, especially in the tech sector. I don't think

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<v Speaker 1>there's anything wrong with earning Microsoft. They had great earning

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<v Speaker 1>uh and obviously they've got a good potential, but I

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<v Speaker 1>think they're getting dragged down with everyone else. You're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>this correlation with with bitcoin, with tech stocks, with the

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<v Speaker 1>arc funds, and we actually con termed about the Holy trinity,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're seeing that correlation live up to it. It's

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<v Speaker 1>it's billing right now because you really can't see one

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<v Speaker 1>move without the other one. And you're not seeing bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>be aheads at all. You're seeing it not in head inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're seeing it more and more developed into a

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<v Speaker 1>tradeable stock type investment that has no earning, so you

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<v Speaker 1>know what it is. I think we're finding out a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit more what it is. When you're chief investment officer,

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<v Speaker 1>are you looking at well, either is this a by

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<v Speaker 1>the dip moment and you know when everyone else is

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<v Speaker 1>fearful be greedy, or is there something that you need

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<v Speaker 1>to see some sort of bottom, some sort of clearing

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<v Speaker 1>of the deck by the Federal Reserve, some sort of

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<v Speaker 1>sign of of peak inflation before you start thinking, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>now is a safe moment to be allocating cash. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not quite buyed yet of the tech sector. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's a little early. I don't think we think

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<v Speaker 1>of situation yet. The sad's not going to rescue us here.

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<v Speaker 1>I think there are some people holding out, some hope

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<v Speaker 1>that maybe they won't be as hawkish because look at

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<v Speaker 1>how bad the markets then. But we're holding tight. We've

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<v Speaker 1>been looking more at value. I think with tech, you

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<v Speaker 1>know there are some selective names. You look at some

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<v Speaker 1>of the semis that have sold off or cybersecurity that

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<v Speaker 1>there are very good companies you're seeing it just it

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't matter who you are, you're going down. I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's early to come in, and if you look at

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<v Speaker 1>the technicals, we're kind of in the middle ground right now,

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<v Speaker 1>and and I think that means there's more to ball.

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<v Speaker 1>There's nothing to rescue us really soon. What is the

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<v Speaker 1>sign of capitulation for you, Victoria, I mean, I think

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<v Speaker 1>we need a Billy show nine percent down there. I

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<v Speaker 1>think we need to sign some support and some putting

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<v Speaker 1>on the technical side. And I think, obviously, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>have we reached Pete Pocket said, I don't think so.

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<v Speaker 1>I think they're going to run off their balance sheet.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think maybe this summer we can see it

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<v Speaker 1>move around. You know, I don't see us avoiding a second.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm not moving very fast right now because I

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<v Speaker 1>see a little bit more pain in the cards, especially

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<v Speaker 1>for the sector. Meanwhile, forty five pm New York time,

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<v Speaker 1>it was announced by Grinder that it is going to

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<v Speaker 1>go public through a Tiger's back at two point one

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<v Speaker 1>billions on evaluation. I mean, I've seen headline after headline,

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<v Speaker 1>Bank of America, Goldman City, all these banks backing away

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<v Speaker 1>from being exposed to special purpose acquisition companies. They're worried

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<v Speaker 1>about the regulation effect right about being in some way

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<v Speaker 1>affected by it, do this companies still coming to the market.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you see still spacks but purchasing companies. I think

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<v Speaker 1>stacks work when they have a target in mind and

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<v Speaker 1>they can acquire it. You know, it's just kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a backdoor I p O. I think what they're trying

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<v Speaker 1>to limit is a spack raising capital on hopes and

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<v Speaker 1>dreams and not really having a set target. And you

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<v Speaker 1>saw a lot of SPACs fail and the banks got rich,

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<v Speaker 1>the sponsors got rich, and the underlying clients tended to

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<v Speaker 1>not do well. So obviously the SEC stepping in uh

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<v Speaker 1>really made people back off the similar to other I

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<v Speaker 1>p O s, I think the fact is not going

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<v Speaker 1>to be dead, but I think it's going to go

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<v Speaker 1>back to doing what it was supposed to do, which

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<v Speaker 1>was kind of bring a company to market with a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit of a backdoor. But then it became open

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<v Speaker 1>season and everybody was just raising all this money to

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<v Speaker 1>eventually go buy something, and there aren't enough targets, and

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<v Speaker 1>you saw multiple SPACs fail, and you know you have

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<v Speaker 1>to wonder. Obviously, with Bumble and everything else, this is

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<v Speaker 1>a crowded space. But the Grinder has put a pretty

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<v Speaker 1>decent niche in their market, and it is a is

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<v Speaker 1>a viable product. Um. I think they're really targeting the

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<v Speaker 1>facts that that didn't really have a target, and investors

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<v Speaker 1>really got hurt by putting the money with This person

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<v Speaker 1>knows what they're doing. They're going to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>find this company for me and then eventually not finding

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<v Speaker 1>what they wanted. There's a global element to this, of course, Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>we're very fearful of the FED of inflation of very

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<v Speaker 1>close to home things, but of course this is also

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<v Speaker 1>the perfect year political storm. This is an inflationary pressure

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<v Speaker 1>that is worldwide. This is also a story of slowdown,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly in China. How much you're looking at those global

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<v Speaker 1>effects from that at the moment, Victoria, are you very

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<v Speaker 1>much focused on what's affecting the US economy? Well, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean the supply chain issue in China is going to

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<v Speaker 1>affect us greatly. You know, we we barely got out

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<v Speaker 1>of COVID and we kind of ductap together this recovery.

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<v Speaker 1>We weren't really on that pilt of a footing, even

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<v Speaker 1>though the market had this tremendous rally off that mark,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we look around and you see what's happening

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<v Speaker 1>in Shanghai. The zero COVID policies in China and the

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<v Speaker 1>supply chain back up. We're still very vulnerable to that

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<v Speaker 1>supply chain back up, you know, moving a factory and

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<v Speaker 1>actually shoring up your supply chain from maybe we have

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<v Speaker 1>some other options and people are sitting on some more inventory.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not easy to build. You can't build a factory

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<v Speaker 1>and get it going in a year. So our supply

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<v Speaker 1>chains better. No, you have pressure coming from the war

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<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine. You're cutting rushed out of the market. You

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<v Speaker 1>have China shutting down, Shanghai shutting down. You see all

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<v Speaker 1>of those chips backed up at the Shanghai port, very

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<v Speaker 1>revenuscent of what was happening outside of the port of

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<v Speaker 1>l A and you're already putting pressure on on what

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<v Speaker 1>wasn't really a great supply chain to begin with. So

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<v Speaker 1>the world is getting smaller. And when the world gets smaller,

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<v Speaker 1>you know we cut out Russia. China's shutting down a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit. How are you going to find your growth

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<v Speaker 1>right now? If you have less trading partners and you're

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<v Speaker 1>paying more. So I think there's a lot of pain

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<v Speaker 1>still to be had. I'm not uber bear. I think

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<v Speaker 1>we can find footing. I don't think this is an

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<v Speaker 1>o A, but I think you need to be very

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<v Speaker 1>aware of what you own right now and how how

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<v Speaker 1>at risk you are to your earnings holding up. Are

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<v Speaker 1>they sustainable? You know? And then you look at a

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<v Speaker 1>Netflix and realize that, hey, some of these these high

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<v Speaker 1>fire megacaps. You know, it takes one or two bad

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<v Speaker 1>earnings for Booker a Netflix and suddenly they lose value.

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<v Speaker 1>Victoria Green can talk all afternoon to you. Thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much, Chief investment officer for g squared. Fascinating discussion,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, coming from what is a boutique independent advisory

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<v Speaker 1>fun Meanwhile, coming up more on the text sell off

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<v Speaker 1>what that means for the I p O landscape. We're

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<v Speaker 1>just talking about it with Victoria. We'll discuss all this

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<v Speaker 1>and more with mobile analytics company Amplitude as net. This

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<v Speaker 1>is a bloomberg. We're seeing the end of a long

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<v Speaker 1>era of free money that our economy, in the global

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<v Speaker 1>economy has been in, you know, going back all the

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<v Speaker 1>way to September eleven. Well, it's a bit of a

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<v Speaker 1>blood bath out there. So companies that were already in

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<v Speaker 1>the ip O window hoping to go public this year,

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<v Speaker 1>that window is shut late stage growth companies are pulling back.

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<v Speaker 1>Early stage companies are not getting rounds done. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a real venture chill afoot. Unfortunately, it's certainly a

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<v Speaker 1>tough market out there, as you acknowledge. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time at DoorDash, we're focused on the fundermentals,

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<v Speaker 1>and the fundomentals for doordesh are incredibly strong. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not happy about obviously what's been happening with tech

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<v Speaker 1>stocks or our stock, but at the same time, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>new world that we're entering, and I just think about

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<v Speaker 1>the fundamental value proposition that Toyot provides, you know, to

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<v Speaker 1>our customers. You know, we just keep our eye on

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<v Speaker 1>the ball, which is serving our customers, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's what a lot of companies are are probably just

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<v Speaker 1>doing there in this time. A few tech executives there

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<v Speaker 1>that we've been having across the Blue Bow Technology Show

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<v Speaker 1>in the last week or so, reacting to the tech

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<v Speaker 1>sell off. We want to talk to another CEO, Amplitudes.

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<v Speaker 1>Spencer Skates is with us company joined the public market

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<v Speaker 1>and or a direct listing less than a year ago

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<v Speaker 1>back in September, and you go to the Heady Heights

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<v Speaker 1>of about a ten billion dollar market cap and and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm afraid it's a lot less than that now, Spencer,

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<v Speaker 1>And of course, I'm sure you're gonna say, look, I

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<v Speaker 1>on the prize, keep focused on the business, But what

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<v Speaker 1>do you do when your investors must be a little

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<v Speaker 1>shell shopped? Yeah, and again, I think we delivered a

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<v Speaker 1>phenomenal Q one result on our last earnings call. We're

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<v Speaker 1>really excited about being out in the public markets. One

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<v Speaker 1>of the number one things I had to emphasize with

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<v Speaker 1>the team is that short term market volatility is just

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<v Speaker 1>not in your control. You can still deliver everything you

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<v Speaker 1>commit to as a company. You can grow the business.

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<v Speaker 1>We had one of our most phenomenal growth years last year,

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<v Speaker 1>being up sixty every year, and you can still get

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<v Speaker 1>hit in the public markets because of things outside of

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<v Speaker 1>your control. And so we're seeing that happened very broadly

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<v Speaker 1>across the sector. You know, even companies that meet or

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<v Speaker 1>exceed earnings expectations get hit um and so it really

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<v Speaker 1>tests what c e O s and what teams are

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<v Speaker 1>in it for the long term versus short. Yeah, well

0:10:53.080 --> 0:10:54.760
<v Speaker 1>said on that, and I'm interested is to how you

0:10:54.800 --> 0:10:57.760
<v Speaker 1>make sure that your talent remains in the long term,

0:10:57.800 --> 0:11:00.760
<v Speaker 1>because when you've had an exit moment, when you've of

0:11:00.800 --> 0:11:03.200
<v Speaker 1>course people got a lot of money exposed to the

0:11:03.240 --> 0:11:06.720
<v Speaker 1>share price. Now, how do you ensure that people remain

0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:09.760
<v Speaker 1>as focused on the long term as you are. Well,

0:11:09.800 --> 0:11:13.280
<v Speaker 1>we actually brought the entire company through a whole exercise

0:11:13.280 --> 0:11:15.960
<v Speaker 1>where we actually pretended we were a public before we

0:11:16.000 --> 0:11:18.800
<v Speaker 1>went out into the markets, where we simulated a stock

0:11:18.840 --> 0:11:20.920
<v Speaker 1>price for the company, and we hadn't go way up,

0:11:21.240 --> 0:11:23.480
<v Speaker 1>and then we had to go way down, um, and

0:11:23.480 --> 0:11:25.480
<v Speaker 1>then we had to come back to the middle. And

0:11:25.520 --> 0:11:28.360
<v Speaker 1>the key thing for everyone to understand and take away

0:11:28.520 --> 0:11:31.400
<v Speaker 1>was that even if they delivered the results, even if

0:11:31.440 --> 0:11:34.040
<v Speaker 1>they achieved their goals, even if they were successful as

0:11:34.040 --> 0:11:37.760
<v Speaker 1>a company, that the stock price could have tremendous volatility.

0:11:38.160 --> 0:11:41.280
<v Speaker 1>And so the only thing that we could control was

0:11:41.360 --> 0:11:44.040
<v Speaker 1>whether we hit our goals, whether we ship products, whether

0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:47.960
<v Speaker 1>we make customers happy, um. And to stay focused on that,

0:11:48.000 --> 0:11:50.440
<v Speaker 1>and if you stay focused on that, that will result

0:11:50.720 --> 0:11:53.160
<v Speaker 1>in success in the long term. Some of the best

0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:57.000
<v Speaker 1>tech companies got started during down terms and recessions. Sales

0:11:57.080 --> 0:11:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Force started in the early two thousand's, uh, you know,

0:11:59.720 --> 0:12:02.440
<v Speaker 1>face books started around then as well. Lots of great

0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:05.480
<v Speaker 1>companies like Airbnb started during the financial crisis in two

0:12:05.520 --> 0:12:08.040
<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight UM and so it's really now is

0:12:08.080 --> 0:12:10.240
<v Speaker 1>that is one of the best times to build and

0:12:10.280 --> 0:12:13.680
<v Speaker 1>grow a large tech company. And so this is where

0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:15.960
<v Speaker 1>you see a lot of noise being removed from the market,

0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:18.320
<v Speaker 1>where companies who are not as good will have to

0:12:18.360 --> 0:12:21.120
<v Speaker 1>go through layoffs, will have to kind of pull back

0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:24.439
<v Speaker 1>their investments as money isn't available and as free as

0:12:24.440 --> 0:12:25.880
<v Speaker 1>it is now as it was in the past. And

0:12:25.920 --> 0:12:28.920
<v Speaker 1>it's really for those who have robust, durable businesses that

0:12:28.960 --> 0:12:31.400
<v Speaker 1>will be able to weather the next few years. And

0:12:31.440 --> 0:12:33.280
<v Speaker 1>so that's something that we've always done very well here

0:12:33.280 --> 0:12:36.800
<v Speaker 1>at Amplitude. And the robustness of your business is also

0:12:36.920 --> 0:12:41.360
<v Speaker 1>put determined by the demand and by companies willing to

0:12:41.400 --> 0:12:43.920
<v Speaker 1>spend on products such as ourselves. Do you feel like

0:12:44.480 --> 0:12:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the sentiment is there, that the confidence is there for

0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:50.280
<v Speaker 1>people to be buying Amplitude services. Oh yeah, we had,

0:12:50.559 --> 0:12:52.439
<v Speaker 1>you know, That's why we were very proud of the

0:12:52.520 --> 0:12:54.760
<v Speaker 1>Q one results that we had. We had a lot

0:12:54.800 --> 0:12:57.839
<v Speaker 1>of great companies decided to either come on to Amplitude

0:12:57.840 --> 0:13:00.439
<v Speaker 1>for the first time, companies like Barnes and Noble or

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:03.120
<v Speaker 1>brain Security. We had a lot of companies expand on

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:06.160
<v Speaker 1>us in a big way. PayPal was a big uh

0:13:06.960 --> 0:13:09.760
<v Speaker 1>as a big expansion growth this quarter. We had Square,

0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:12.160
<v Speaker 1>we had Okay, Cupid, we had IBM, we had the

0:13:12.200 --> 0:13:15.240
<v Speaker 1>weather channels. So tons and tons of companies out there

0:13:15.240 --> 0:13:17.960
<v Speaker 1>really willing to make investments with Amplitude, and that goes

0:13:18.000 --> 0:13:21.880
<v Speaker 1>back to the rising power of the product organization. So

0:13:22.200 --> 0:13:23.920
<v Speaker 1>you know what we do here at Amplitude is we

0:13:23.960 --> 0:13:27.040
<v Speaker 1>help companies build data driven products UM. And so what

0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:30.520
<v Speaker 1>Adobe is for marketing and salesforces, for sales team, Amplitude

0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:33.599
<v Speaker 1>is for product teams and so all the same megatrends

0:13:33.640 --> 0:13:37.600
<v Speaker 1>around people driving growth through products. So product like growth,

0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:41.920
<v Speaker 1>people needing data DRIM products UM, digital optimization being the

0:13:41.920 --> 0:13:45.360
<v Speaker 1>next wave after digital transformation, all of those data points

0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:48.240
<v Speaker 1>are still very much ringing, ringing true today. Okay, And

0:13:48.600 --> 0:13:52.440
<v Speaker 1>do you have what is it that continues to perhaps

0:13:52.840 --> 0:13:54.720
<v Speaker 1>be a limitation to you? Of course? Does it? Is

0:13:54.720 --> 0:13:57.400
<v Speaker 1>it talent? I feel that everyone's talking about how facely

0:13:57.440 --> 0:13:59.319
<v Speaker 1>everyone is fighting for at the moment, how having to

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:01.480
<v Speaker 1>pay up for the information rey pressures. That is that

0:14:01.520 --> 0:14:04.840
<v Speaker 1>something you feel confident in a way you currently stand spensive. Yeah,

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:07.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, talent is always a challenge for every company

0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:09.920
<v Speaker 1>and it's no different here at Amplitude. And that's honestly

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:12.360
<v Speaker 1>my number one concern before we went out into the

0:14:12.360 --> 0:14:14.280
<v Speaker 1>public markets. People ask me, hey, what do you think

0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:16.800
<v Speaker 1>the biggest risk to Amplitude is UM and I kept

0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:19.840
<v Speaker 1>going back to talent and our ability to make them successful.

0:14:19.880 --> 0:14:22.720
<v Speaker 1>Here in Amplitude. We're really confident UM in the market

0:14:22.760 --> 0:14:25.480
<v Speaker 1>opportunity here, you know, thirty seven billion dollars of total

0:14:25.560 --> 0:14:28.440
<v Speaker 1>adjustable market for what we do. We're really confident and

0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:30.520
<v Speaker 1>that we have a best in class product. We had

0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:33.000
<v Speaker 1>a number of awards that continue to come out about

0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:36.480
<v Speaker 1>cementing Amplitude as the number one product analytics platform in

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 1>the space UM. And so it really comes down to

0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 1>our ability to execute on that and that's that's the

0:14:41.480 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 1>talent Now. I think in the sessiony environment, you know,

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:47.120
<v Speaker 1>a lot of ways, talent becomes cheaper and more accessible

0:14:47.120 --> 0:14:49.320
<v Speaker 1>because there's less opportunities out there. So it's a it's

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:51.880
<v Speaker 1>a really great opportunity for us and to go play offense.

0:14:51.880 --> 0:14:54.720
<v Speaker 1>We have this really strong balance sheet here at Amplitude,

0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 1>and you know, we are continuing to make investments in

0:14:57.240 --> 0:15:09.360
<v Speaker 1>talent across the board, Spencer, Skates, Applitude CEO Mata. Of course,

0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:12.760
<v Speaker 1>parent company of Facebook, is opening its first physical store

0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:15.720
<v Speaker 1>and it's a brick and mortar bed on the metaverse

0:15:16.000 --> 0:15:19.360
<v Speaker 1>Matter hopes giving consumers chance to try out the VR,

0:15:19.440 --> 0:15:21.960
<v Speaker 1>the a R hardware, while the little boost interest in

0:15:22.000 --> 0:15:25.200
<v Speaker 1>the future of digital interactions. Companies had a meta store.

0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:29.120
<v Speaker 1>That's Martin Gilliad spoke to take a listen. What we

0:15:29.240 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 1>learned from this store will definitely go into how we

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:34.480
<v Speaker 1>build the product and where we actually continue to sell it.

0:15:34.840 --> 0:15:38.440
<v Speaker 1>Why Burling Game and not San Francisco or New York

0:15:38.520 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 1>City or London. Yeah, this great question. So Burling Game

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 1>is the headquarters of Reality ants, and we felt that

0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:48.520
<v Speaker 1>it was important to have the customer experience that we're

0:15:48.520 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 1>creating very closely. Where we're creating a product. We want

0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:53.080
<v Speaker 1>that to be senator to how we continue to build

0:15:53.160 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 1>innovation in the future, and so this felt like the

0:15:55.600 --> 0:16:00.400
<v Speaker 1>perfect place to put our very first experience. I've been

0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:03.840
<v Speaker 1>in a few different situations where you see a product

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.600
<v Speaker 1>in pop up format, right, you're in a mall, you're

0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:11.000
<v Speaker 1>walking perhaps in some kind of outlets area. Could you

0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:13.400
<v Speaker 1>guys look at pop ups maybe you know, doing temporary

0:16:13.400 --> 0:16:16.920
<v Speaker 1>pop ups in different cities around the world. Well, I

0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 1>think what we will learn from this experience is where

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:21.760
<v Speaker 1>we should be in the kind of experiences we should create.

0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:25.200
<v Speaker 1>A lot of the experiences that we've built in Browning

0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:27.800
<v Speaker 1>Game Store are unique. It's the first time some of

0:16:27.800 --> 0:16:30.760
<v Speaker 1>these have actually existed anywhere. And I'm sure as you

0:16:30.800 --> 0:16:34.120
<v Speaker 1>saw from our our quest to a demo UM, and

0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:36.200
<v Speaker 1>as we learn more, we'll decide where and how those

0:16:36.200 --> 0:16:40.560
<v Speaker 1>who show up around the world. Is this a luxury experience?

0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Do you want it to be a luxury experience? We

0:16:44.480 --> 0:16:47.320
<v Speaker 1>actually wanted to be an approachable experience. We want people

0:16:47.360 --> 0:16:50.440
<v Speaker 1>to feel comfortable asking questions. We've built it so that

0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:52.200
<v Speaker 1>people can pick up the products and they can test

0:16:52.240 --> 0:16:54.360
<v Speaker 1>it out, and we have these great associates so you

0:16:54.400 --> 0:16:57.560
<v Speaker 1>can ask questions, UM, and it can be so much

0:16:57.600 --> 0:17:00.440
<v Speaker 1>more um than what people read about. This one of

0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:02.000
<v Speaker 1>those things where you have to experience. And that's what

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.760
<v Speaker 1>stores built around. Told me what it's like going into

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:08.000
<v Speaker 1>the stool, What am I going to touch? Feel? Experience?

0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:12.919
<v Speaker 1>While I'm that Yeah, so there's a couple of things. Um. Obviously,

0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:15.560
<v Speaker 1>we have our products here around our reband stories where

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:19.520
<v Speaker 1>you can try glasses on that offer the ability to

0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 1>take pictures and video, which I personally appreciated having intended

0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:24.920
<v Speaker 1>a wedding last week where I was able to actually

0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:26.960
<v Speaker 1>be at the wedding while I was actually sharing it

0:17:27.000 --> 0:17:29.680
<v Speaker 1>with other people. We have portal which actually I'm speaking

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:32.199
<v Speaker 1>to you on today, UM, that allows you to have

0:17:32.280 --> 0:17:34.919
<v Speaker 1>these conversations not just for work, but even with family.

0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:37.720
<v Speaker 1>And I think about the pandemic when my my son

0:17:37.800 --> 0:17:40.440
<v Speaker 1>had an opportunity to reach stories to his grandmother every night,

0:17:40.600 --> 0:17:43.720
<v Speaker 1>which was amazing. And then obviously, UM, probably the most

0:17:43.760 --> 0:17:45.680
<v Speaker 1>exciting thing that people say when they walk into store

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:49.520
<v Speaker 1>is a mixed reality screen with Quest two that allows

0:17:49.560 --> 0:17:51.920
<v Speaker 1>them to actually not just try the product, but allow

0:17:52.000 --> 0:17:55.040
<v Speaker 1>everyone who's with them to see how they are experiencing

0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:58.240
<v Speaker 1>the game as well. And that experience allows it to

0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:01.000
<v Speaker 1>be and one that is shared with many, even though

0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:05.040
<v Speaker 1>it's experienced by a few. Martin, are you open to

0:18:05.040 --> 0:18:08.800
<v Speaker 1>the idea that the store experiment might not work the

0:18:08.960 --> 0:18:12.720
<v Speaker 1>actually the best way for Meta to grow its hardware

0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:17.560
<v Speaker 1>reach virtual reality reach is online. Well, the store is

0:18:17.560 --> 0:18:20.360
<v Speaker 1>not an experiment, it is it is a continued investment

0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 1>from us to make sure that we can get um

0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 1>feedback from our consumers, but also an opportunity for us

0:18:26.080 --> 0:18:27.919
<v Speaker 1>to keep building and make sure the seas at the

0:18:27.920 --> 0:18:32.040
<v Speaker 1>center of what people are experiencing with our hardware. And

0:18:32.080 --> 0:18:34.000
<v Speaker 1>you're the head of Meta Store, so I'll ask you

0:18:34.040 --> 0:18:36.720
<v Speaker 1>again you want to open some more stores and where

0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:41.119
<v Speaker 1>I think as we learn more about how people are

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:43.960
<v Speaker 1>experiencing this will will be able to communicate with that

0:18:44.000 --> 0:18:47.119
<v Speaker 1>means later. Right now, we're focused on what we are

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:49.680
<v Speaker 1>creating and growing gaming the experiences that people will have here.

0:18:51.720 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 1>Martin gilliad that of course hand a Meta Store talking

0:18:54.880 --> 0:19:05.600
<v Speaker 1>to our own ed Ludlow. Welcome back to Bluemberg Technology.

0:19:05.640 --> 0:19:07.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm Caroline Hyde in New York. Let's get back to

0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:10.240
<v Speaker 1>the markets, because well we've all been so focused on

0:19:10.280 --> 0:19:11.919
<v Speaker 1>it for the day, for the last three days, and

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:13.640
<v Speaker 1>of course the shares a ribban I want to watch.

0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 1>The ev maker saw its biggest drop on record after

0:19:16.760 --> 0:19:19.000
<v Speaker 1>a lock up on its shares expired on Sunday night.

0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:22.880
<v Speaker 1>Ed Ludlow is here with the details. Remind us what

0:19:22.880 --> 0:19:25.720
<v Speaker 1>what happened with the lock up expiry. This of course

0:19:25.720 --> 0:19:28.640
<v Speaker 1>didn't go too well for Rivian Right. So, Ribban had

0:19:28.680 --> 0:19:31.400
<v Speaker 1>this huge ip O in November, and as is often

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:33.359
<v Speaker 1>the case when they have an I p O, some

0:19:33.440 --> 0:19:37.280
<v Speaker 1>of the biggest investors and insiders and employees are restricted

0:19:37.280 --> 0:19:39.560
<v Speaker 1>in what they can do with their shares. Initially, the

0:19:39.640 --> 0:19:43.000
<v Speaker 1>lock up on Sunday night basically meant that seven hundred

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:46.199
<v Speaker 1>and twenty million shares of Ribban suddenly became available for

0:19:46.240 --> 0:19:48.960
<v Speaker 1>public trading. They could be sold, and we had news

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:51.000
<v Speaker 1>reports over the weekend that Ford, which is one of

0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 1>the biggest Ribbean investors, had sold a block of eight

0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:56.760
<v Speaker 1>million shares at a discount from Friday's close, and it's

0:19:56.760 --> 0:19:58.840
<v Speaker 1>it's just not good for sentiment. You know, when one

0:19:58.880 --> 0:20:02.359
<v Speaker 1>of your biggest shareholder does trade when the lock up lifts,

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:04.639
<v Speaker 1>it kind of sends jitters throughout the market. And you

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:08.159
<v Speaker 1>look at how Rivian shares have performed since that post

0:20:08.200 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 1>i p O peak, where they were at hundred and

0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:12.480
<v Speaker 1>seventy two dollars a share. We're now down below twenty

0:20:12.480 --> 0:20:15.200
<v Speaker 1>five dollars a share, the stocks fall at seven percent,

0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 1>and all things considered, when we come to lock ops

0:20:18.320 --> 0:20:20.240
<v Speaker 1>it it went as badly as it possibly could have

0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:24.120
<v Speaker 1>gone badly as possibly could have gone. Meanwhile, of course

0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:28.400
<v Speaker 1>there is one person or andy, one investor that's not selling, right. Yeah,

0:20:28.400 --> 0:20:32.080
<v Speaker 1>So Abdulla Teacher Meil is a big Saudi family conglomerate.

0:20:32.119 --> 0:20:36.040
<v Speaker 1>They are the third biggest shareholder in Rivian, behind tro Price,

0:20:36.080 --> 0:20:38.880
<v Speaker 1>a big name on Wall Street of course, and Amazon,

0:20:38.920 --> 0:20:41.200
<v Speaker 1>which is another big investor in customer Ribban. And they

0:20:41.240 --> 0:20:43.520
<v Speaker 1>told me we have no intention to sell down our

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:45.840
<v Speaker 1>stake to sell the shares, and they gave a very

0:20:45.880 --> 0:20:49.840
<v Speaker 1>public backing of Rivian's management. But we didn't have the

0:20:49.920 --> 0:20:53.719
<v Speaker 1>same explicit backing from Amazon. For example, Amazon said they

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:56.560
<v Speaker 1>were committed to working with Rivian, but they didn't comment

0:20:56.600 --> 0:20:59.080
<v Speaker 1>on a rule out selling the shares at a later date,

0:20:59.119 --> 0:21:02.000
<v Speaker 1>And so there's a lot psychology around this. What's really

0:21:02.000 --> 0:21:04.480
<v Speaker 1>interesting though is throughout the day Monday, there's lots of

0:21:04.560 --> 0:21:07.600
<v Speaker 1>data suggest retail investors are now looking at ribbyan right,

0:21:07.640 --> 0:21:10.800
<v Speaker 1>it's cheaper option. They were oversubscribed in the I p O,

0:21:10.800 --> 0:21:13.160
<v Speaker 1>A lot of retail investors missed out, so there could

0:21:13.160 --> 0:21:16.119
<v Speaker 1>be some upward trajectory from here. But it was just

0:21:16.160 --> 0:21:19.320
<v Speaker 1>a really rough day, biggest drop on record, rough day

0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:22.000
<v Speaker 1>for Ribban, rough day for many ed We thank you

0:21:22.040 --> 0:21:25.120
<v Speaker 1>so much. Let's talk about more of that roughness shall

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:27.439
<v Speaker 1>we call it, and the text sell off happening right here,

0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:29.040
<v Speaker 1>right now? What does it mean in the public markets?

0:21:29.080 --> 0:21:31.200
<v Speaker 1>What does that spin over affect to the private markets?

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:33.840
<v Speaker 1>Want to bring in Race Capital partner Edith Young for

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:37.240
<v Speaker 1>more on this. Of course, early stage Silicon Valley venture

0:21:37.240 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 1>capital funds so not unaware of what's happening in the

0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:42.560
<v Speaker 1>public markets and the and the race to enter those

0:21:42.600 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 1>public markets. What do you make of currently let's talk

0:21:45.520 --> 0:21:48.760
<v Speaker 1>stocks first. How much are we seeing this ripple effect

0:21:48.800 --> 0:21:52.359
<v Speaker 1>affecting valuations in the private markets and people's desire to

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:57.480
<v Speaker 1>build right here right now? Yeah, I think, as Caroline

0:21:57.520 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 1>as an investor that really focused on early stage infrastructure software,

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:05.440
<v Speaker 1>the market is brutal and it's certainly will impact a

0:22:05.520 --> 0:22:08.920
<v Speaker 1>lot of evaluation in the private market. Um But having

0:22:08.920 --> 0:22:11.320
<v Speaker 1>said that, I think the particular in the world of

0:22:11.320 --> 0:22:14.600
<v Speaker 1>Web three and Web two infrastructure software just there's still

0:22:14.720 --> 0:22:18.080
<v Speaker 1>so much more to be built, um Like for us

0:22:18.119 --> 0:22:21.200
<v Speaker 1>particular at the early stage, I think valuation is not

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:26.080
<v Speaker 1>particular impact us yet. But at the same time, I'm

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:28.439
<v Speaker 1>still really really bullish on some of the companies that

0:22:28.480 --> 0:22:31.560
<v Speaker 1>we invested in, Still you know, Salana. Obviously a little

0:22:31.560 --> 0:22:33.600
<v Speaker 1>bit more on the crypto side. Ft X is a

0:22:33.600 --> 0:22:36.560
<v Speaker 1>little bit you still private I'm so bullish on while

0:22:36.560 --> 0:22:40.160
<v Speaker 1>they're building, but early stage is still missing a lot

0:22:40.200 --> 0:22:44.199
<v Speaker 1>of building block. So I'm excited about Bundler, which is

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:47.119
<v Speaker 1>sort of storage for Web three, notified, which is like

0:22:47.600 --> 0:22:49.840
<v Speaker 1>communication of Web three. There's still so much more to

0:22:49.920 --> 0:22:53.040
<v Speaker 1>be built, but we need to just hang tight um

0:22:53.080 --> 0:22:56.080
<v Speaker 1>and not get too scared with what's going on. Okay,

0:22:56.160 --> 0:22:58.720
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about the crypto market, because you mentioned to

0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 1>companies very exposed basing themselves on one three in the future.

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:08.280
<v Speaker 1>Thereof when you see the biggest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin getting hammered

0:23:08.320 --> 0:23:10.840
<v Speaker 1>so much, when you see the spillover effects of a

0:23:10.960 --> 0:23:13.520
<v Speaker 1>VC money that's been placed into these sorts of businesses

0:23:13.560 --> 0:23:15.760
<v Speaker 1>and and now a pullback and perhaps that sort of

0:23:15.840 --> 0:23:20.040
<v Speaker 1>risk tolerance. Does that mean that people are going to

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:22.080
<v Speaker 1>be worrying about the rest of the crypto space. How

0:23:22.080 --> 0:23:24.600
<v Speaker 1>do how does the spillover effect happen? Well, I think

0:23:24.640 --> 0:23:27.359
<v Speaker 1>crypto and the Web three space is not purely just

0:23:27.440 --> 0:23:31.000
<v Speaker 1>about bitcoin prices or talking prices. It's really about the

0:23:31.119 --> 0:23:34.680
<v Speaker 1>technology sire things in my head. You know, in many

0:23:34.720 --> 0:23:38.879
<v Speaker 1>in many cases, SLANA is basically building the AWS and

0:23:38.920 --> 0:23:42.359
<v Speaker 1>the Web three infrastructure, and not that along that there's

0:23:42.359 --> 0:23:46.600
<v Speaker 1>still back up recovery, communication storage. It's still not there yet.

0:23:47.040 --> 0:23:49.360
<v Speaker 1>I think if we look at the crypto market, if

0:23:49.359 --> 0:23:53.000
<v Speaker 1>you're purely just looking exchanges, obviously it's a little bit crazy.

0:23:53.119 --> 0:23:56.160
<v Speaker 1>But you know, three years ago or even five years ago,

0:23:56.160 --> 0:23:58.880
<v Speaker 1>when I first got into it, bitcoin prices with three

0:23:58.920 --> 0:24:03.159
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars. Today is still ten x um. And you

0:24:03.200 --> 0:24:05.720
<v Speaker 1>know three three or four years ago, come by market

0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:08.680
<v Speaker 1>ab about four billion, but today is so over I

0:24:08.720 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 1>think one point three one point five trillion. So in

0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that sense, overall market is not going away, but we

0:24:14.960 --> 0:24:17.520
<v Speaker 1>definitely will see some ripple effect of what's going on.

0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:20.840
<v Speaker 1>But I'm so super bullish because there's so much more

0:24:21.080 --> 0:24:24.120
<v Speaker 1>things and the fundamental for the technology, which is not

0:24:24.320 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 1>about crazy trading, it's about founders often and I think,

0:24:28.320 --> 0:24:30.359
<v Speaker 1>of course when you mentioned Solano, when you mentioned f

0:24:30.440 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 1>t X thing as Sam Bankman Free SPF have been

0:24:32.520 --> 0:24:36.200
<v Speaker 1>on a podcast of Bloomberg's recently Odd Lots by my Alcohegue,

0:24:36.240 --> 0:24:40.120
<v Speaker 1>Joe's Wisenthal and a healthy dose of cynicism coming from

0:24:40.440 --> 0:24:43.120
<v Speaker 1>SPF when it came to well, what's happening in terms

0:24:43.119 --> 0:24:45.760
<v Speaker 1>of VC money, in terms of far yield farming, in

0:24:45.880 --> 0:24:48.480
<v Speaker 1>terms of you know, what's been built, in terms of

0:24:49.080 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 1>in terms of I know, the lunars of this world.

0:24:52.280 --> 0:24:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Do you think this is a healthy sort of rebalancing

0:24:55.400 --> 0:24:57.560
<v Speaker 1>in the market that will stop seeing just money, that

0:24:57.640 --> 0:25:01.720
<v Speaker 1>these sort of momentum trades that are happening within crypto. Yeah, Carolina.

0:25:01.840 --> 0:25:04.920
<v Speaker 1>When I spoke with Emily and in December about what's

0:25:04.920 --> 0:25:08.439
<v Speaker 1>going to happen in twenty two, I predicted that, you know,

0:25:08.640 --> 0:25:11.600
<v Speaker 1>crypto prices usually dropped in the beginning of the year,

0:25:11.960 --> 0:25:14.680
<v Speaker 1>and there's certainly half and you know, I think for

0:25:14.760 --> 0:25:17.960
<v Speaker 1>us that with SPF and I'm really really thankful that

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:20.639
<v Speaker 1>got to invest in f t X pretty much early

0:25:20.680 --> 0:25:24.560
<v Speaker 1>on in I think like the key thing is really about,

0:25:24.840 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, making sure that we do that we don't

0:25:27.080 --> 0:25:30.440
<v Speaker 1>do crazy things. I think, you know, investors is no

0:25:30.480 --> 0:25:34.320
<v Speaker 1>longer just about investing, is really about helping our founders

0:25:34.359 --> 0:25:37.360
<v Speaker 1>to build, to make sure that we're compliance, to make

0:25:37.400 --> 0:25:40.400
<v Speaker 1>sure that you know, operating wise, you know, we're here

0:25:40.440 --> 0:25:43.920
<v Speaker 1>to help them and we for many many um as

0:25:43.960 --> 0:25:46.840
<v Speaker 1>you just talk about Ravan and with the lock up.

0:25:46.880 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 1>A lot of the investor just sell off right after

0:25:49.280 --> 0:25:52.280
<v Speaker 1>the six months lock up for many many of our companies.

0:25:52.800 --> 0:25:56.040
<v Speaker 1>For Salana, I've been holding since eighteen. I still will hold.

0:25:56.359 --> 0:25:58.399
<v Speaker 1>It's all about being long term and not being a

0:25:58.480 --> 0:26:00.959
<v Speaker 1>short term investor. I mean, at the end of the day,

0:26:01.000 --> 0:26:02.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm not a hedge fund. I'm not here to tray

0:26:02.840 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 1>and make sure term money. It's really about like long

0:26:05.640 --> 0:26:09.639
<v Speaker 1>term holding, supporting the ecosystem. The ecosystem needs to be

0:26:09.640 --> 0:26:12.080
<v Speaker 1>supported with the regulation as well, and of course FTX

0:26:12.119 --> 0:26:14.280
<v Speaker 1>front and central with the proposal that's going through at

0:26:14.280 --> 0:26:16.800
<v Speaker 1>the moment in terms of you know, the future of

0:26:17.080 --> 0:26:21.440
<v Speaker 1>options or derivatives and and intermediation within that. I was

0:26:21.440 --> 0:26:23.879
<v Speaker 1>suppoke to the new chairman of this a CFTC a

0:26:23.920 --> 0:26:26.879
<v Speaker 1>little bit earlier and how do you feel regulation is

0:26:26.880 --> 0:26:30.520
<v Speaker 1>getting to grips with this new ecosystem. I think I think,

0:26:30.960 --> 0:26:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, coming from the White House for for a

0:26:33.080 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 1>few more. I think too about two or three months ago,

0:26:35.800 --> 0:26:40.760
<v Speaker 1>having the executive order to basically indicated the President Brighten

0:26:40.920 --> 0:26:44.280
<v Speaker 1>really wanted to support, you know, regulate is a good

0:26:44.359 --> 0:26:48.440
<v Speaker 1>sign for the ecosystem long term, and particularly with st X,

0:26:48.640 --> 0:26:51.600
<v Speaker 1>the ft T token is not available for US market.

0:26:52.040 --> 0:26:54.760
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, they make a really really conscious

0:26:54.840 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>choice to move headquarters to the Bahamas, which I went

0:26:58.119 --> 0:27:00.639
<v Speaker 1>two weeks ago with the fts on front, which is

0:27:00.680 --> 0:27:05.240
<v Speaker 1>amazingly successful and having a very clear line being drawn

0:27:05.640 --> 0:27:08.560
<v Speaker 1>what's being offered to the U S customers versus the

0:27:08.560 --> 0:27:11.160
<v Speaker 1>rest of the world is very, very different. In addition

0:27:11.160 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 1>to ft X, you know, coin Based, which already gone public,

0:27:14.600 --> 0:27:17.320
<v Speaker 1>is making a huge effort to make sure that we

0:27:17.440 --> 0:27:21.400
<v Speaker 1>all regulate k y C a m L no compliance.

0:27:21.760 --> 0:27:24.200
<v Speaker 1>This is a really really good thing for the crypto

0:27:24.280 --> 0:27:26.960
<v Speaker 1>market long term, and we are raised Capital are here

0:27:27.000 --> 0:27:30.120
<v Speaker 1>to support all these initiatives, Edith. So it's great catching

0:27:30.200 --> 0:27:33.040
<v Speaker 1>up with the Race Capital planner, Edith Young, stay well,

0:27:33.040 --> 0:27:35.840
<v Speaker 1>thank you very much. Indeed, meanwhile, coming up while bitcoins,

0:27:35.880 --> 0:27:37.760
<v Speaker 1>we're just talking about it slumping at a level that

0:27:37.800 --> 0:27:41.080
<v Speaker 1>was last seen in July. We're here from Galaxy Digitals.

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Mike demograds on that very fact as a brim bag

0:28:01.800 --> 0:28:04.359
<v Speaker 1>time for our crypto report now with Bitcoin of courls

0:28:04.400 --> 0:28:08.000
<v Speaker 1>extending losses, even dropping below almost thirty thousand at one

0:28:08.000 --> 0:28:10.960
<v Speaker 1>point on Monday, this is the first time it goes

0:28:11.000 --> 0:28:14.520
<v Speaker 1>a slow since back in July. It's declined from a

0:28:14.560 --> 0:28:19.560
<v Speaker 1>November record high. Crypto contributor Shnani Bassak is hey with

0:28:19.680 --> 0:28:23.480
<v Speaker 1>more brutal setting pressure, brutal, brutal, brutal solid pressure. And

0:28:23.480 --> 0:28:25.199
<v Speaker 1>you take a look over here at Caroline, we've been

0:28:25.240 --> 0:28:29.000
<v Speaker 1>talking about this one year merry go round, the crypto

0:28:29.040 --> 0:28:31.800
<v Speaker 1>investors have really gone through, and Bitcoin being the brunt

0:28:31.840 --> 0:28:34.160
<v Speaker 1>of that, the biggest cryptocurrency here. And you look at

0:28:34.200 --> 0:28:36.760
<v Speaker 1>where we've gone more than ten percent lower over the

0:28:36.840 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 1>last couple of days, now getting a little bit of

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:42.240
<v Speaker 1>lift about thirty one thousand. Again. You and I have

0:28:42.280 --> 0:28:44.400
<v Speaker 1>talked to novgrads a little bit earlier today with a

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 1>real worry that they could fall below thirty thousand if

0:28:47.120 --> 0:28:50.200
<v Speaker 1>the NASDAC also continued to decline. That is a low

0:28:50.280 --> 0:28:52.920
<v Speaker 1>that he expects. Listen, but it's not just Bitcoin that

0:28:52.960 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>we want to talk about, although that there is a

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:57.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of momentum in that downward pressure there you see

0:28:57.400 --> 0:29:00.840
<v Speaker 1>over the last couple of days. Let's talk about a cryptocurrencies,

0:29:00.880 --> 0:29:04.080
<v Speaker 1>even stable coins. A lot of worry that you see

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:07.360
<v Speaker 1>over there with ust being unpegged to the dollar. I

0:29:07.400 --> 0:29:10.560
<v Speaker 1>want to pull up this tweet from investor Jim Bianco

0:29:10.640 --> 0:29:13.800
<v Speaker 1>of Bianco Research, and the worry that USC down more

0:29:13.800 --> 0:29:16.440
<v Speaker 1>than four percent and under ninety cents at one point,

0:29:16.680 --> 0:29:19.760
<v Speaker 1>the worry that a downward move in a stable coin

0:29:19.840 --> 0:29:24.040
<v Speaker 1>like that can qualify bitcoin backed by bitcoin exactly the

0:29:24.040 --> 0:29:26.560
<v Speaker 1>most important part there is there a more selling that

0:29:26.640 --> 0:29:30.120
<v Speaker 1>needs to be done to peg that stable coin to

0:29:30.440 --> 0:29:32.960
<v Speaker 1>the dollars. So there's a lot of worries here about

0:29:32.960 --> 0:29:36.440
<v Speaker 1>how one asset will correlate to another asset. And let's

0:29:36.440 --> 0:29:38.200
<v Speaker 1>take a listen to here of what Nobs had to

0:29:38.200 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 1>say about the selling pressure when we were forty thousand

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:45.120
<v Speaker 1>literally just a week ago. And so the pace of

0:29:45.160 --> 0:29:48.280
<v Speaker 1>this move has been severe, Right, it's correlated with the

0:29:48.360 --> 0:29:50.600
<v Speaker 1>risk off that you're seeing all assets, right, the rise

0:29:50.640 --> 0:29:55.400
<v Speaker 1>of the dollar um. And so I still think thirty

0:29:55.840 --> 0:29:58.640
<v Speaker 1>should hold. Right, We'll see if twelve thousand holds the

0:29:58.680 --> 0:30:01.560
<v Speaker 1>NASDAC and we bounce uh in the next few days.

0:30:02.200 --> 0:30:05.320
<v Speaker 1>Uh that I think you'll see Bitcoin thirty thirty thousand

0:30:05.360 --> 0:30:08.760
<v Speaker 1>will hold. If the Nasdaq falls and we head towards

0:30:08.800 --> 0:30:12.200
<v Speaker 1>eleven thousand, you know there's a shot that thirty thousand goes.

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:15.640
<v Speaker 1>I would tell you getting away from price, which is

0:30:15.640 --> 0:30:17.360
<v Speaker 1>hard to do it today, when the markets down ten

0:30:17.400 --> 0:30:21.920
<v Speaker 1>percent um, it's really interesting if you just look back

0:30:21.960 --> 0:30:24.520
<v Speaker 1>at all the adoption that's happened this year. I mean

0:30:24.560 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 1>the first quarter, loan venture funds have put fourteen billion

0:30:27.800 --> 0:30:33.880
<v Speaker 1>dollars into the ecosystem. And so this is a an

0:30:33.880 --> 0:30:38.560
<v Speaker 1>asset class, right blockchain, digital assets, Bitcoin that is getting

0:30:38.560 --> 0:30:42.920
<v Speaker 1>tremendous investment, tremendous interest. And so while the short term

0:30:42.960 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, outlook is painful and it's and it's gonna be,

0:30:45.680 --> 0:30:47.800
<v Speaker 1>like I said, volatable with the rest of assets, has

0:30:47.840 --> 0:30:53.400
<v Speaker 1>the FED adjusts from free money to to normalize conditions, Um,

0:30:53.400 --> 0:30:56.880
<v Speaker 1>my medium term conviction hasn't wavered. I really do still

0:30:56.920 --> 0:31:01.040
<v Speaker 1>see this as a very excit aiding asset class with

0:31:01.080 --> 0:31:04.120
<v Speaker 1>a lot of momentum. And my infracorrelation because I think

0:31:04.200 --> 0:31:06.520
<v Speaker 1>that was the main hope, the prayer this saying that

0:31:06.680 --> 0:31:09.080
<v Speaker 1>was going to these institution investors that have come into

0:31:09.120 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 1>crypto is that this is a non correlated asset. But

0:31:11.760 --> 0:31:14.080
<v Speaker 1>thus far it's very correlated in a large part, probably

0:31:14.080 --> 0:31:16.160
<v Speaker 1>because more institutional players have come in and they're having

0:31:16.160 --> 0:31:18.280
<v Speaker 1>to sell as they seen the NASCA go down. Listen,

0:31:18.320 --> 0:31:22.440
<v Speaker 1>it had less correlation until there was free money forever. Right.

0:31:22.680 --> 0:31:27.480
<v Speaker 1>The correlation increased dramatically after COVID because every central bank

0:31:27.520 --> 0:31:31.000
<v Speaker 1>took a fire hose of liquidity and sprayed on the tarmac,

0:31:31.040 --> 0:31:33.080
<v Speaker 1>and so it made all assets. You can look at

0:31:33.080 --> 0:31:36.440
<v Speaker 1>the correlation of you know, fine wines or baseball cards

0:31:36.560 --> 0:31:40.680
<v Speaker 1>or any collectible to the NASDAC to assets, and so

0:31:41.560 --> 0:31:45.480
<v Speaker 1>we're unwinding this era of free money, and so it's

0:31:45.480 --> 0:31:47.600
<v Speaker 1>not surprising to me that Bickmin, which was ahead of

0:31:47.720 --> 0:31:50.960
<v Speaker 1>its free money, is selling off. I do think those

0:31:51.000 --> 0:31:54.520
<v Speaker 1>correlations will break down or will lessen the moment we

0:31:54.600 --> 0:31:58.000
<v Speaker 1>find some stability in the market. But right now, if

0:31:58.000 --> 0:32:02.440
<v Speaker 1>your investor, you've got hundred fires to put out, did

0:32:02.440 --> 0:32:05.200
<v Speaker 1>you over commit to venture? Do you have enough liquidity

0:32:05.240 --> 0:32:07.760
<v Speaker 1>to pay your private equity commitments? Oh my goodness. I

0:32:07.840 --> 0:32:09.640
<v Speaker 1>used to be in risk parity and that doesn't seem

0:32:09.640 --> 0:32:13.280
<v Speaker 1>to be working at all anymore. And so very few

0:32:13.320 --> 0:32:16.480
<v Speaker 1>people want to put on new risk in a moment

0:32:16.520 --> 0:32:18.920
<v Speaker 1>of this kind of tumult. And so I think once

0:32:19.000 --> 0:32:22.960
<v Speaker 1>the tumult stops, I think that's a word, tumult um.

0:32:23.080 --> 0:32:25.960
<v Speaker 1>Once the chaos stops, then I think you're going to

0:32:26.000 --> 0:32:29.360
<v Speaker 1>see the allocators who have been doing all their homework. Listen,

0:32:29.360 --> 0:32:31.600
<v Speaker 1>I just went around the country and to a bunch

0:32:31.640 --> 0:32:36.160
<v Speaker 1>of conferences. Is I am wildly convicted that there's infrastructure

0:32:36.160 --> 0:32:38.680
<v Speaker 1>being put in place to bring lots of capital into

0:32:38.680 --> 0:32:44.120
<v Speaker 1>the space. So again it's it's it's surviving this this

0:32:44.320 --> 0:32:48.480
<v Speaker 1>unwigned that investors have to to manage. When you talk

0:32:48.480 --> 0:32:50.560
<v Speaker 1>about the unmined, though, Mike, you seem to be talking

0:32:50.600 --> 0:32:52.600
<v Speaker 1>about a lot of people that maybe just saw the

0:32:52.600 --> 0:32:55.480
<v Speaker 1>opportunity here. These weren't sort of the early adopters, weren't

0:32:55.480 --> 0:32:58.440
<v Speaker 1>necessarily the crypto faithful, if you will, at least not

0:32:58.480 --> 0:33:01.480
<v Speaker 1>in the traditional sense here. For those crypto faithful out

0:33:01.480 --> 0:33:03.800
<v Speaker 1>there here, do they look at this type of market

0:33:03.840 --> 0:33:07.080
<v Speaker 1>and think you add to positions, you buy into this dip,

0:33:07.320 --> 0:33:09.160
<v Speaker 1>or do you just kind of stay the course and

0:33:09.200 --> 0:33:12.800
<v Speaker 1>wait for whatever shakeout is happening to end. Listen, for

0:33:12.840 --> 0:33:14.600
<v Speaker 1>the guys who have been in cryptal a long time,

0:33:14.640 --> 0:33:17.840
<v Speaker 1>longer than me, this is par for the course. Um,

0:33:18.000 --> 0:33:20.880
<v Speaker 1>for most people who manage institutional money or manage lots

0:33:20.920 --> 0:33:23.560
<v Speaker 1>of money, this is unbelievably painful, and so you use

0:33:23.640 --> 0:33:26.800
<v Speaker 1>the same kind of risk analysis you do when you're

0:33:26.840 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 1>training other assets. Right, I would tell you though that

0:33:31.320 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 1>the new institutional players that are coming in are coming

0:33:34.600 --> 0:33:38.000
<v Speaker 1>in with a very long term focus. I mean, and

0:33:38.080 --> 0:33:41.840
<v Speaker 1>you can put black Rock and black Stone and Citadel

0:33:42.160 --> 0:33:45.280
<v Speaker 1>and Apollo into that bucket, right, those are four of

0:33:45.320 --> 0:33:49.800
<v Speaker 1>the biggest names and investing and that they're getting in right,

0:33:49.920 --> 0:33:53.160
<v Speaker 1>They're they're working on infrastructure and trying to help create

0:33:53.520 --> 0:33:56.760
<v Speaker 1>institutional frameworks to bring their clients in. And so I

0:33:56.760 --> 0:33:59.400
<v Speaker 1>don't think this asset class is going away because we've

0:33:59.440 --> 0:34:03.120
<v Speaker 1>had all your clients, your analysts today, I've been asking

0:34:03.120 --> 0:34:06.240
<v Speaker 1>you about the recession probabilities and how you prepare for that.

0:34:06.520 --> 0:34:09.400
<v Speaker 1>How do you prepare for that? So I think we

0:34:09.440 --> 0:34:11.640
<v Speaker 1>are going to go into a recession in some ways

0:34:11.719 --> 0:34:14.040
<v Speaker 1>that will be good for crypto because it will finally

0:34:14.760 --> 0:34:18.680
<v Speaker 1>get interest rates calm and down again. Like I'm sure

0:34:18.719 --> 0:34:22.440
<v Speaker 1>we'll have crypto adoption both from investors. We're already seeing

0:34:22.440 --> 0:34:26.680
<v Speaker 1>it with companies, right. So, But as a classes always

0:34:26.719 --> 0:34:29.600
<v Speaker 1>get prices, always get ahead of where the actual you know,

0:34:29.680 --> 0:34:33.480
<v Speaker 1>building of a company is. Right, Testa wasn't even you know,

0:34:33.560 --> 0:34:36.799
<v Speaker 1>selling cars, and they had a decent market cap, and

0:34:36.880 --> 0:34:40.360
<v Speaker 1>so you gotta got to keep the story up until

0:34:40.400 --> 0:34:44.359
<v Speaker 1>you can build product that then generates the revenue. That's

0:34:44.400 --> 0:34:47.880
<v Speaker 1>the process that's happening in crypto, and so what crypto

0:34:48.000 --> 0:34:51.960
<v Speaker 1>needs is stability and the non crypto markets at that point,

0:34:51.960 --> 0:34:55.280
<v Speaker 1>you'll see stability in crypto and you'll see fast adoption

0:34:57.320 --> 0:35:00.239
<v Speaker 1>and Caroline that was of course Galaxy Digitals, my over

0:35:00.239 --> 0:35:03.879
<v Speaker 1>Grads Galaxy Digital micro Strategy. Both of these companies dropped

0:35:03.880 --> 0:35:06.600
<v Speaker 1>more than today in the market. So you see that

0:35:06.719 --> 0:35:10.279
<v Speaker 1>crypto decline actually exacerbated a lot more in those firms

0:35:10.280 --> 0:35:13.279
<v Speaker 1>exposed to cryptocurrencies. Talk to us about exacerbating. Do you

0:35:13.320 --> 0:35:15.960
<v Speaker 1>think that the pressure with Luda and the fact that

0:35:16.719 --> 0:35:20.319
<v Speaker 1>a bitcoin backed stable coin means that you have more

0:35:20.360 --> 0:35:23.560
<v Speaker 1>setting pressure on people on the you know, on the treasury.

0:35:23.840 --> 0:35:26.040
<v Speaker 1>Is this going to be a really ugly feedback loop.

0:35:26.320 --> 0:35:29.160
<v Speaker 1>That's a big concern here that there could be ripple

0:35:29.160 --> 0:35:32.960
<v Speaker 1>of ripple effects across de five markets. The question is

0:35:33.000 --> 0:35:35.200
<v Speaker 1>how low does that peg have to go, how much

0:35:35.280 --> 0:35:36.960
<v Speaker 1>decoupling does it have to be, and how long does

0:35:36.960 --> 0:35:40.399
<v Speaker 1>it have to last for the Lunar Foundation for us

0:35:40.440 --> 0:35:43.560
<v Speaker 1>t to keep on having to sell bitcoin into that decline.

0:35:44.440 --> 0:35:46.600
<v Speaker 1>Hine always so smart when it comes to crypto. We

0:35:46.680 --> 0:35:48.239
<v Speaker 1>thank you for that and and D the interview with

0:35:48.320 --> 0:35:58.200
<v Speaker 1>Mike Novel Grads, Let's get back to the set off

0:35:58.200 --> 0:36:01.320
<v Speaker 1>that we've seen across well every asset cast today basically

0:36:01.400 --> 0:36:04.560
<v Speaker 1>apart from bonds, stocks tumbling to a new thirteen months

0:36:04.600 --> 0:36:06.759
<v Speaker 1>LOWD Michael Antonellie's with us a bout joining us to

0:36:06.800 --> 0:36:09.840
<v Speaker 1>discuss the tech side of this, in particular because it

0:36:09.880 --> 0:36:11.960
<v Speaker 1>was the NASDA then I was one hundred now basically

0:36:12.000 --> 0:36:14.600
<v Speaker 1>in in correction mode, down ten percent in the last

0:36:14.600 --> 0:36:19.719
<v Speaker 1>three days. How much further do we fall before capitulation? Well,

0:36:19.760 --> 0:36:21.040
<v Speaker 1>you don't have to go very far to look for

0:36:21.080 --> 0:36:23.480
<v Speaker 1>superlatives about how bad it's been for the NASDAC. You're

0:36:23.520 --> 0:36:26.640
<v Speaker 1>talking about about a drop year today, which is the

0:36:26.680 --> 0:36:29.680
<v Speaker 1>worst year. You'rest starter year on record by a lot.

0:36:30.160 --> 0:36:32.680
<v Speaker 1>The next closest is nineteen seventy three, which was down

0:36:32.680 --> 0:36:35.680
<v Speaker 1>about seventeen percent. So, uh, you know, not only that,

0:36:36.040 --> 0:36:39.480
<v Speaker 1>my friend Luke Kawa Bloomberg alumni, he said, uh, he said,

0:36:39.520 --> 0:36:41.759
<v Speaker 1>this is the biggest non recessionary six month contraction the

0:36:41.800 --> 0:36:45.520
<v Speaker 1>NASA one forward pe uh in history. So this, this

0:36:45.520 --> 0:36:48.840
<v Speaker 1>this repricing just been vicious, very vicious, and very rapid.

0:36:48.920 --> 0:36:51.680
<v Speaker 1>But when you think about the last few years. Maybe

0:36:51.680 --> 0:36:53.279
<v Speaker 1>this starting to make a little bit of a sense.

0:36:53.320 --> 0:36:55.440
<v Speaker 1>If you look at the past, say from twenty nineteen,

0:36:55.440 --> 0:36:57.759
<v Speaker 1>at the end of one the Nasdaq is up about

0:36:57.760 --> 0:37:00.520
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and six and that's like one hundred annualizing

0:37:00.560 --> 0:37:02.359
<v Speaker 1>it about thirty eight percent a year for three years.

0:37:02.360 --> 0:37:04.839
<v Speaker 1>That's that's a lot. That's a lot. You know, when

0:37:04.880 --> 0:37:07.520
<v Speaker 1>you look at this pullback, it makes sense from the

0:37:07.560 --> 0:37:10.080
<v Speaker 1>perspective of the fantas hiking rates. We're trying to take

0:37:10.080 --> 0:37:12.600
<v Speaker 1>some steam out of the markets, were trying to tighten

0:37:12.680 --> 0:37:15.160
<v Speaker 1>financial conditions. Mike, why didn't you tell us about this

0:37:15.239 --> 0:37:17.480
<v Speaker 1>at the start of this year? Well, using valuations is

0:37:17.480 --> 0:37:21.120
<v Speaker 1>a very very difficult tool. It's proven to be historically difficult,

0:37:21.560 --> 0:37:24.920
<v Speaker 1>historically difficult. But what sort of depths we plumbed in

0:37:25.000 --> 0:37:27.120
<v Speaker 1>terms of valuations visa v the rest of the years?

0:37:27.160 --> 0:37:31.279
<v Speaker 1>And and indeed, why is company I can understand the

0:37:31.280 --> 0:37:33.400
<v Speaker 1>thesis of like get out of companies that don't have

0:37:33.440 --> 0:37:36.360
<v Speaker 1>any E in their PAYE, but what about companies that

0:37:36.440 --> 0:37:40.000
<v Speaker 1>really do, like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Why are they sort

0:37:40.000 --> 0:37:43.240
<v Speaker 1>of being thrown out? I mean they those are certainly

0:37:43.280 --> 0:37:44.960
<v Speaker 1>the largest holders and the ones that we watched the

0:37:45.000 --> 0:37:47.759
<v Speaker 1>most because of those cracked. That really pretends a very

0:37:47.800 --> 0:37:49.560
<v Speaker 1>bad market. If you look at some of these really

0:37:49.560 --> 0:37:51.399
<v Speaker 1>big names, you know, one of one of the things

0:37:51.400 --> 0:37:53.280
<v Speaker 1>I was looking at today is the fact that most

0:37:53.280 --> 0:37:55.120
<v Speaker 1>of their big draw downs, okay, the things like a

0:37:55.120 --> 0:37:56.840
<v Speaker 1>couple here, just throw a couple of like Facebook and

0:37:56.880 --> 0:37:59.400
<v Speaker 1>Apple and n Video their biggest draw downs recently. We're

0:37:59.400 --> 0:38:02.239
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty nine, not during COVID, so they were

0:38:02.320 --> 0:38:06.359
<v Speaker 1>during this pandemic crash. They were about rate heights, same

0:38:06.360 --> 0:38:10.520
<v Speaker 1>thing back there. So it's very very similar. Multiple compression.

0:38:10.560 --> 0:38:13.320
<v Speaker 1>The FED just takes these multiples out of the system,

0:38:13.320 --> 0:38:15.120
<v Speaker 1>and if you look at some of the high fires,

0:38:15.160 --> 0:38:18.080
<v Speaker 1>you noticed that all of their COVID multiple expansions completely gone,

0:38:18.160 --> 0:38:21.399
<v Speaker 1>earnings are actually doing okay. So it's all this FED

0:38:21.480 --> 0:38:24.080
<v Speaker 1>driven multiple compression. Where can it go to? I mean,

0:38:24.160 --> 0:38:26.360
<v Speaker 1>right now, I looked at and Video and Adobe and

0:38:26.400 --> 0:38:28.800
<v Speaker 1>they're both at roughly the same four p E as Clorox.

0:38:29.280 --> 0:38:32.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't know what that says a pretty well today, Michael,

0:38:33.640 --> 0:38:34.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't know whether that. I don't know where the

0:38:34.840 --> 0:38:37.480
<v Speaker 1>all three of those are too expensive, but Clorox, Adobe

0:38:37.520 --> 0:38:40.720
<v Speaker 1>and Video kind of have the same formerd PU right now, Okay,

0:38:40.960 --> 0:38:44.000
<v Speaker 1>is there any technical lines, any any assets that you're

0:38:44.040 --> 0:38:46.719
<v Speaker 1>looking at, Because it was interesting today correlation started to

0:38:46.719 --> 0:38:48.920
<v Speaker 1>work in a different way. We actually saw commodities get

0:38:48.960 --> 0:38:51.440
<v Speaker 1>caught up in this setting. We saw bonds finally becomes

0:38:51.440 --> 0:38:53.879
<v Speaker 1>a sort of haven trade. What are you looking for

0:38:53.920 --> 0:38:57.120
<v Speaker 1>in terms of where to catch shop where tomorrow's trade

0:38:57.160 --> 0:38:59.279
<v Speaker 1>is going to go. I thought that was important to

0:38:59.360 --> 0:39:01.000
<v Speaker 1>I really did. I watching the five year note when

0:39:01.000 --> 0:39:02.279
<v Speaker 1>I woke up, because I just kind of view that

0:39:02.320 --> 0:39:04.200
<v Speaker 1>as a good proxy for the terminal rate. And it

0:39:04.239 --> 0:39:05.759
<v Speaker 1>was up to three ten and then it's just the

0:39:05.840 --> 0:39:08.879
<v Speaker 1>yield started plumbing down to two. Like that. That's maybe

0:39:08.920 --> 0:39:10.839
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of flight to safety, which we haven't

0:39:10.840 --> 0:39:13.000
<v Speaker 1>seen for a while. You see that oil trade down,

0:39:13.040 --> 0:39:15.080
<v Speaker 1>that means maybe people are having to sell their winners,

0:39:15.239 --> 0:39:17.319
<v Speaker 1>having to sell the things that have been doing well

0:39:17.320 --> 0:39:20.560
<v Speaker 1>this year. That's important that that's a little capitulatory to me.

0:39:20.760 --> 0:39:22.239
<v Speaker 1>I look at two things, like I said that five

0:39:22.320 --> 0:39:25.120
<v Speaker 1>year note, I want to know that the terminal rates

0:39:25.120 --> 0:39:27.920
<v Speaker 1>at three or less. I need that stabilize. And then

0:39:27.920 --> 0:39:30.400
<v Speaker 1>I look at something called discretionary or staples, and I

0:39:30.440 --> 0:39:32.759
<v Speaker 1>equal weight them to kind of take out Amazon UH

0:39:32.800 --> 0:39:35.239
<v Speaker 1>and Tesla. So I equal weight them. And that's what

0:39:35.280 --> 0:39:36.879
<v Speaker 1>my friends of fatigue is called one of the best

0:39:37.120 --> 0:39:38.880
<v Speaker 1>strategists in the world. It's kind of a look at

0:39:39.080 --> 0:39:40.960
<v Speaker 1>risk on risk off. So I want I'm watching that.

0:39:41.000 --> 0:39:43.000
<v Speaker 1>I need that to make a low. It hasn't. It

0:39:43.040 --> 0:39:46.319
<v Speaker 1>has not yet. So discretionary overstables equal way that there's

0:39:46.360 --> 0:39:48.479
<v Speaker 1>a good proxy for risk on risk off. I need

0:39:48.520 --> 0:39:51.120
<v Speaker 1>that to to to find the bottom too. Michael, I

0:39:51.200 --> 0:39:53.760
<v Speaker 1>love how you push us forward. We thank you, Michael Antonani.

0:39:53.800 --> 0:39:56.560
<v Speaker 1>Of course a bad meanwhile. That does it for this

0:39:56.719 --> 0:39:59.560
<v Speaker 1>edition of a Bag Technology, But we'll continue to follow

0:39:59.560 --> 0:40:01.640
<v Speaker 1>this own gu going sell off and the impact it's

0:40:01.680 --> 0:40:04.239
<v Speaker 1>having across the board. We're back here tomorrow trying buy

0:40:04.239 --> 0:40:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Tony Fidel of course, he's got his new book, Build

0:40:07.000 --> 0:40:11.120
<v Speaker 1>and Unorthodox Guide to Making Things Worth Making, as well

0:40:11.200 --> 0:40:13.399
<v Speaker 1>as get his thoughts on the tech markets. Will also

0:40:13.440 --> 0:40:16.359
<v Speaker 1>be joined by Falconector's head of institutional coverage, cause from

0:40:16.360 --> 0:40:18.120
<v Speaker 1>Talking Crypto this is a Bloomberg