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Speaker 1: Happy Friday, Boys and girls, Welcome in to another episode

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you every single morning here on our YouTube channel,

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel, and wherever you get your audio podcasts.

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Speaker 1: After an zero to three night, yes we show up

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Speaker 1: when we go three and oh, yes we show up,

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Speaker 1: we go two and one, and yes we show up

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Speaker 1: when we go one and two. Last night we took

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Speaker 1: a five and four mark and make it five and seven.

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Speaker 1: We took a winning week and we turned it into

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Speaker 1: a losing week. But we've got Friday, Saturday, Sunday. We're

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Speaker 1: not dead yet with UFC two ninety nine, and we've

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Speaker 1: got NASCAR and golf in NBA basketball, although the NBA

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Speaker 1: undertrain has ended. No more that that was fun books

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Speaker 1: cut up to that. Even the Brooklyn Nets went over

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Speaker 1: last night. You guys, if you bet just my plays,

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Speaker 1: I went oh and three. We had the Missouri State

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Speaker 1: under or in the craziest of crazy games. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what happened to Missouri State. More on that here

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Speaker 1: in just one second, but that game went under. So

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Speaker 1: I was like, Okay, we're off to a good start.

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Speaker 1: And then oh and three after that for me, if

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Speaker 1: you throw in the Celtics under, I went oh and

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Speaker 1: four there. So it was a really bad night for

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Speaker 1: me in terms of I think I wind up going

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Speaker 1: two and seven I think yesterday. So I got hit

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Speaker 1: pretty hard yesterday. Not a good day. Oh and three

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Speaker 1: on the official plays and not a good day at all.

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Speaker 1: So let's try to have a bounce back day. Sometimes

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Speaker 1: this happens, right, bad day, good bounce back. So let's

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Speaker 1: see if we can do that again here today I

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Speaker 1: got three college basketball plays and it is a Friday.

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Speaker 1: That means NBA player props, either two or four NBA

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Speaker 1: player props will be coming your way later today on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. If you are not involved on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel, come on in. It's a lot of fun.

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com slash Chat is the free invitation to

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Speaker 1: become part of the discord. When you go on that discord,

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Speaker 1: look for the Daily Juice channel and that is where

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Speaker 1: I post the very fun player props. You guys love

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Speaker 1: the player props on Friday. NBA player props on Friday

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Speaker 1: a good little change up for us here with the

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Speaker 1: NBA coming at you every Friday. Here with the Daily Juice,

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Speaker 1: which is being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot

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Speaker 1: Com slash Juice. That url takes you directly to Omaha Steaks,

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Speaker 1: where you guys can go and subscribe in your first

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Speaker 1: order gets ten percent off and free burgers for life

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Speaker 1: there by going to Omaha Steaks dot com slash Juice.

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Speaker 1: All right back to the Valley. There is a theory.

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Speaker 1: I have multiple theories and how to bet this tournament.

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Speaker 1: I've been betting this tournament for a long time. You

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Speaker 1: wouldn't have known it. Yesterday I went one in the

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Speaker 1: but I have been betting the Valley Tournament for a

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Speaker 1: long time arch madness. The theory is this the team

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Speaker 1: who plays in Game one under in Game one that

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Speaker 1: hit only thing I got right yesterday. But the theory

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Speaker 1: is the team that wins Game one, you then bet

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Speaker 1: them in the first half in their next game the

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Speaker 1: next day, so Thursday to Friday. Because they play the

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Speaker 1: number one seed, they know they have a tough task

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Speaker 1: ahead of themselves, number one seed coming in. They haven't

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Speaker 1: played yet on that court. The team that won last night,

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Speaker 1: the one the game did. They're also used to playing

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Speaker 1: in a dead atmosphere because if you're the one seed,

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Speaker 1: your fans don't show up till the weekend because sorry,

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Speaker 1: because they assume you're gonna win on Friday morning or

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Speaker 1: Friday afternoon for noon one o'clock Eastern. They just assume it, okay,

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Speaker 1: So they say, okay, look, we're gonna travel on Friday,

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Speaker 1: we'll listen to the game, watch the game, and then

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Speaker 1: we'll be there for Saturday and Sunday because everyone wants

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Speaker 1: to be there when they win the championship. So it's

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Speaker 1: kind of an unassumed victory. So yes, there will be

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Speaker 1: some fans there for the Sycamores, but not a ton.

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Speaker 1: Here's the problem with the theory and why I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to bet it, and why I think you should

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Speaker 1: be a little bit careful with betting it. So I

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Speaker 1: don't know if you watched the game or not yesterday,

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Speaker 1: but Murray State, that was an all timer in terms

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Speaker 1: of just being horrific. Missouri's Murray State was favored in

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Speaker 1: that game, and Murray State lost sixty to thirty five.

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Speaker 1: Murray State was down twenty seven fourteen at the break.

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Speaker 1: They scored fourteen points in the first half. They scored

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Speaker 1: thirty five points for the game, sixty to thirty five.

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Speaker 1: They lost. The game went way under the one forty

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Speaker 1: that I bet. But you look at this new overall

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Speaker 1: shooting for Murray State. They went twelve for fifty seven,

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Speaker 1: that's twenty one percent. They went two for twenty from

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Speaker 1: behind the arc at ten percent, and they shot nine

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Speaker 1: as sixteen from the foul line at fifty six percent. Now,

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Speaker 1: what did Missouri State do? They didn't do very much.

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Speaker 1: They shot forty four percent from the floor. That's not awesome,

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Speaker 1: it's good enough to win. But six of twenty from

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Speaker 1: three thirty percent and twelve of fifteen from the foul line.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they had eleven turnovers in this game. Murray State.

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Speaker 1: Missouri State didn't play well. Missouri State just you know,

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Speaker 1: caught Murray State on an all time horrific game, horrific day.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna do this. I am not gonna

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Speaker 1: You know what, you might go out, you said bet

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Speaker 1: the first half because I assumed that Murray State would win.

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Speaker 1: I assumed that the team that people thought was gonna

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Speaker 1: win would win, just because I mean, I just assumed

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Speaker 1: that it was going to be a better of the

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Speaker 1: two teams. No, not what happened. What I am betting.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the nine and a half here with

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Speaker 1: Indiana State. I think they're gonna kill them. I don't

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Speaker 1: think this is going to be a close game. I

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Speaker 1: don't recommend the first half bet on the road. This year,

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Speaker 1: Indiana State was eight and nine, Missouri State was nine

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Speaker 1: eight and one. But when Indiana State played Missouri State

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Speaker 1: at home, they're laying twelve and a half. They won

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Speaker 1: by twenty two points. In the second game, they were

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Speaker 1: laying seven and a half on the road and they

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Speaker 1: won by two. Yes, it's hard to beat a team

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Speaker 1: three times. Blah blah blah blah blah. Indiana State knows

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Speaker 1: it's go time for them. They've got to win Arch

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Speaker 1: Madness to make the Dance. They're not getting at large bid.

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Speaker 1: They know it. Everyone knows it. They played Alabama, they

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Speaker 1: lost by twenty two points. They played Pepperdine and beat them,

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Speaker 1: but they really don't have anything on their resume. Michigan

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Speaker 1: State they lost by twelve. There's nothing that screams you know,

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Speaker 1: quad one win type thing and get them in a

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Speaker 1: large bid. This is a one big league for the

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Speaker 1: Missouri Valley and Indiana State wants it. I think they

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Speaker 1: go and get off to a hot start here. I

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Speaker 1: think they take down Missouri State. I'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: eight and a half said nine a half eight and

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Speaker 1: a half points FanDuel eight and a half points Indiana

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Speaker 1: State minus eight and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Fandel has that number summer at Draftings is at nine

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Speaker 1: and a half. Indiana State's at eight and a half

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Speaker 1: at Fandel Fanguel eight and a half one point one

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Speaker 1: units Indiana State minus eight and a half bet number two.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna buy the streak. Belmont is red hot. They're laying.

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Speaker 1: You might be able to find a decent price in this, okay,

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Speaker 1: because the number opened up where Northern Iowa is favored.

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Speaker 1: By the time I got to it, it had already

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Speaker 1: flipped and it went directly to Belmont being favored. Does

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Speaker 1: DraftKings still have the plus one? Let me just check

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Speaker 1: this real quick, because I I bet the said Fandle.

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Speaker 1: But I think you can get they said DraftKings. I

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Speaker 1: can't bet DraftKings this quickly. I gotta jump some hoops

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Speaker 1: to get DraftKings down. But FanDuel. Let me see, yeah,

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Speaker 1: plus one take it DraftKings plus one, Belmont plus one. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's flipped at FANDLE. It's minus one at FANDLE, which

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Speaker 1: is really or minus a half a point at FANDLE.

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Speaker 1: That's really interesting. You normally don't see that. They normally

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Speaker 1: are pretty consistent. I love when the books are different.

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Speaker 1: That's great. Take an opinion, different level of action, different

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Speaker 1: people betting it. That's that's tremendous. I love that. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: let's take the plus one here for Belmont at plus one.

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Speaker 1: So why Belmont maybe the hottest team in the mid

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Speaker 1: major ranks at the moment Bemont. Bellmont's won and covered

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Speaker 1: four straight games. They have one eight of nine. They

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Speaker 1: have only lost one game going back in the month

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Speaker 1: of February. They've lost Since the third of February. They've

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Speaker 1: only lost two games overall. That was to Drake on

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Speaker 1: the road. They beat Valpol yesterday by twenty five points.

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Speaker 1: They whipped them Evansville seventeen points, Murray State twenty two points,

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Speaker 1: Missouri State fifteen points. Lost to Drake, but beat Illino

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Speaker 1: Chicago by fifteen, beat Southern Illinois by fourteen, beat Valpol

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Speaker 1: by eighteen beat Murray State by five. Red hot. Now.

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Speaker 1: I love Ben Jacobson, I love Northern Iowa, but here's

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Speaker 1: the problem when it comes to Northern Iowa and Belmont.

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Speaker 1: So these teams played back on the seventeenth of January,

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Speaker 1: and Northern one by eleven on the road. When they

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Speaker 1: were at home and they played Belmont, they were eight

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Speaker 1: point favorites and they lost by twenty. Rubber match. Here,

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Speaker 1: Belmont is red hot. Belmont could win the whole thing

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Speaker 1: right now. They're eight and two ats over their last

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Speaker 1: ten games and on the road away from home. For Belmont,

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Speaker 1: they're now eight and ten, but they're thirteen to eight

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Speaker 1: in conference. They've won four games in a row, four

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Speaker 1: out of the last five, eight out of the last ten,

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Speaker 1: and Northern's been decent, not bad. They've won three in

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Speaker 1: a row. They beat Drake, they drilled Drake, they beat Valpo,

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Speaker 1: they beat Southern, they lost to Illinois State, they beat Bradley,

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Speaker 1: and Valpo lost to Illinois Chicago on the road. The

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Speaker 1: tight game, it's gonna be a right down to the wire.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna take the better team here. I think

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Speaker 1: Belmont's the better team. They're the hotter team. They're playing better.

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Speaker 1: Belmont might just steal a bid here from Indiana State

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Speaker 1: Belmont plus one for one point one units. And finally,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go to Vegas. We're gonna come out here

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Speaker 1: to the West Coast Conference tournament and take a look

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Speaker 1: at a team that stunned some people yesterday with what

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Speaker 1: they did in the first half of their win, which

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Speaker 1: people were literally checking the score going, wait, is that right?

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Speaker 1: Is that right? How is it possible they destroyed Pacific?

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Speaker 1: You want to talk about dead cat bounces. So the

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Speaker 1: Pepperdine team found out that their head coach is fired

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Speaker 1: at the end of the year. The lorenz Romar is

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Speaker 1: fired at the end of the year. So what did

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Speaker 1: they do. They went out and played really hard for

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Speaker 1: their coach, and they whipped Pacific by fifty nine points.

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Speaker 1: Fifty nine they covered by forty nine and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Now we're turning right around, same building, new opponent. It's

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Speaker 1: San Diego. Remember how this tournament is built. It's all

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Speaker 1: built for the one in the two seed to play

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Speaker 1: in the final. They don't play it on next Monday. Okay,

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Speaker 1: think about that. Gonzaga and Saint Mary's don't play it

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Speaker 1: on Monday, that the tournament's off on Sunday. Then they

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Speaker 1: play on Monday, and then Tuesday is the final. It's

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Speaker 1: a really wonky tournament, the West Coast Conference tournament here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. But I think Pacific's got a real good

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Speaker 1: shot here now I know. I sorry, Pepperdin's got a

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Speaker 1: really good shot here to beat San Diego State. So

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Speaker 1: San Diego, sorry, there is a one and a half

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Speaker 1: point number up. This number opened at let's see, it

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Speaker 1: opened at one and a half, so we're at the

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Speaker 1: same number Orleans Arena here in Las Vegas. Similar situation.

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Speaker 1: First game for San Diego Pepperdine played yesterday. Pepperdine likes

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Speaker 1: the Rim obviously because the Drim's soft and nice, and

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Speaker 1: they ripped, ripped in their first game. The numbers aren't pretty,

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Speaker 1: but I think the firing of their head coach changes

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Speaker 1: everything for Pepperdine, and I think they're gonna go out

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Speaker 1: there and play really hard. They're laying one and a half.

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Speaker 1: Ken Palm has this as a two point win for

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Speaker 1: Pepperdine against San Diego, who had a three game win

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Speaker 1: streak snapped against Pacific for Senior Day. They were laying

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Speaker 1: ten and a half and they won by twelve. They

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Speaker 1: beat Pacific for their last two or last three wins.

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Speaker 1: Pacific Portland in Pacific were the last teams at home

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Speaker 1: at home against Portland and on the road against Pacific.

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Speaker 1: But when these teams played, they beat Pepperdine by two

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Speaker 1: back on the twenty seventh of January, and they lost

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Speaker 1: at home to Pepperdine by six, catching one and a half.

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Speaker 1: I think Pepperdine give me the dead cat bounce in

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Speaker 1: the dead cat run here for Pepperdine laying one and

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Speaker 1: a half. It's like Major League, right, what's left to do?

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Speaker 1: Just go win the whole bleeping thing right until they're

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Speaker 1: running to Saint Mary's or Gonzaga. I think it's smart

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Speaker 1: to ride Pepperdine here and see how deep people run

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Speaker 1: they can make in the West Coast Conference Tournament. Pepperdine

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Speaker 1: minus one and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: All right, So NBA player props either two or four

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Speaker 1: will be joining this card later today. Bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: slash Chat Indiana State minus eight and a half one

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Speaker 1: point one units, Belmont plus one one point one units,

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Speaker 1: Pepperdine minus one and a half one point one units

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Speaker 1: for us here on a Friday min is, Matt Parolt

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Speaker 1: joined me across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: This podcast every morning, the Daily Juice, being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by Omaha Steaks dot com