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Speaker 1: All right, here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 1: thirty five toy coenty five fifty and the kick is

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Speaker 1: black the college football world stunner.

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Speaker 2: Oh my godness, he's stumble the the lateral turn, the.

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Speaker 1: Corner of the ud.

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Speaker 2: Don't you the lay came them off the veil the night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the size of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 1: It's the size of the fight in the dog. Welcome

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Speaker 1: back to the Big Bets on Campus podcasts Our G

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Speaker 1: five Deep Dive. In this week it is the G

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Speaker 1: five Bowl Extravaganza. We're gonna touch them all, to use

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Speaker 1: a baseball phrase here getting into every single game. For

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Speaker 1: those of you watching on YouTube, you can see the

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Speaker 1: mini helm let's have assembled behind me, A good indication

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Speaker 1: that I'm taking this seriously. A quicker reminder for our audience.

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Speaker 1: We are covering every single G Fight Bowl game. So

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Speaker 1: if you're thinking yourself, guys, just shut up and give

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Speaker 1: me that famous Idaho Potato Bowl pick, don't worry. We

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Speaker 1: have you covered on that front. You're going to go

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Speaker 1: to the episode description. There's going to be a time

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Speaker 1: marker for every single game, so you can skip ahead,

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Speaker 1: move back, jump forward, anything you need to do to

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Speaker 1: be able to get those previews in those bite sized

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Speaker 1: chunks you're looking for. I this is my favorite time

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Speaker 1: of the year. I absolutely love these games. The more

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Speaker 1: obscure the ball sponsor, the more obscure the matchup the

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Speaker 1: six and six teams. I love when those five and

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Speaker 1: seven teams used to sneak in with their APR score

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Speaker 1: ratings or credit ratings, whatever they need to do to

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Speaker 1: get in there. I love this time of year because

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Speaker 1: these games mean a lot to me as a gambler,

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Speaker 1: and for some schools they mean a lot, and for

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Speaker 1: others it's kind of a letdown. It's fun to try

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Speaker 1: to play a little bit of you know, bench coach

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Speaker 1: psychologists and try to get in the minds of the

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Speaker 1: players and the coaching staff. So I just want to

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Speaker 1: throw it to you, what does bullseason mean to you?

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Speaker 1: This time of year the.

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Speaker 2: Best time of the year. There's no such thing as

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Speaker 2: a bad bowl game. It's a combination of First of all,

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Speaker 2: it's nice that you know, if you haven't done your

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Speaker 2: taxes yet, you learn plenty of options of great sites

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Speaker 2: to do them. Because that seems like that's most of

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Speaker 2: the sponsors or some sort of text related operation. Having

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Speaker 2: these weekday games start at eleven am is just the best.

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Speaker 2: There's nothing better than you know, you go into work,

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Speaker 2: do work for like three hours, and then at eleven

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Speaker 2: am or new and there's a bowl game kicking off,

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Speaker 2: and you're like, I'm not especially Christmas, Like, no one's

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Speaker 2: doing work anyway. I actually have the whole week off

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Speaker 2: between Christmas and New Years. So having bowl games start

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Speaker 2: at news just could not be more idea.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's help our listeners get into a cushy spot

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Speaker 1: like you're in where you can just take you a

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Speaker 1: week off in Q four No problem for Ianlo.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So first, real quick, I just want to throw

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Speaker 2: out a little caveat to all of our viewers and

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Speaker 2: listeners before you bet any of these games go. Look

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Speaker 2: at Stuckey has a tremendous running piece on the Action

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Speaker 2: Network website where he is tracking all of the opt out,

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Speaker 2: all the coaching changes, all the new because that is

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Speaker 2: super important this time of year. Now, what's nice about

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Speaker 2: these first couple of bowls is it probably doesn't matter

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Speaker 2: because all of these players are going pro in something

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Speaker 2: other than sports.

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Speaker 1: Let's start, as you mentioned, weekday bowl games starting at

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Speaker 1: noon Friday, September seventeenth, Middle Tennessee against Toledo in the

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Speaker 1: Bahamas Bowls being played at Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium

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Speaker 1: down in Nassau. This one's a noon kickoff. Toledo is

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Speaker 1: a ten point favorite, fifty one and a half for

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Speaker 1: the total. Do you have a play on this first

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Speaker 1: game on the board.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking Toledo minus ten. I'll lay the points there.

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Speaker 2: I think Toledo had a weird year. They were the

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Speaker 2: favorites to win the MAC coming in, struggled early on

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Speaker 2: when they were doing that two quarterback day with Bradley

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Speaker 2: and Finn settled on, Finn really really settled out when

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Speaker 2: you look at this Toledo like lineup. Okay, they led

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Speaker 2: the MAC in points per game on offense and also

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Speaker 2: in the fewest points er game on defense, so they

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Speaker 2: have the best offense, best scoring defense. Object is to

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Speaker 2: score more than your opponent. Yet they somehow win just

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Speaker 2: seven and five and five and three in MAC play.

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Speaker 2: So it's kind of a weird year. I don't believe

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Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee. You know they're on their fourth quarterback. They're

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Speaker 2: starting either Fred. I don't know who a star is

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Speaker 2: h Mattaio or Mike de Leo or you know freshman

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Speaker 2: sophomore quarterbacks. They combined for six touchdowns seven interceptions. Middle

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is just ninety second in rushing success on defense.

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Speaker 2: So and midl Tennsee is a weird team too, where

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Speaker 2: there their margin of games win or lose was twenty

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Speaker 2: point six, so they either win by a lot or

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Speaker 2: lose by a lot. So you're in the ten with Toledo.

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Speaker 2: Averages will tell you Middle Tennessee is either going to

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Speaker 2: win by twenty or lose by twenty. So I'll lay

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Speaker 2: the ten.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's when you bring up Middle Tennessee. You have

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Speaker 1: those teams in about October that they get on Bowl

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Speaker 1: Eligibility Watch and they needed everything to go right down

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Speaker 1: the stretch. But here's the thing. Their last four games

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Speaker 1: that they won came against opponents with the combined record

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Speaker 1: of ten and thirty eight. They beat one and eleven FIU,

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Speaker 1: They beat a decent five and seven FAU team, three

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Speaker 1: and nine Southern Miss and one and eleven Ukon. Toledo

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Speaker 1: is not in those two teams classes whatsoever. And you

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Speaker 1: brought up to Kwan Finn the average over three hundred

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Speaker 1: totally yards per game in his last four wall, counting

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Speaker 1: for thirteen total touchdowns. I think Toledo is going to

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Speaker 1: outclass them. And just a little historical nugget about the

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Speaker 1: Bahamas Bowl. This is always a big game for the favorite.

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Speaker 1: They're five and one straight up in the six Bahamas Bowls,

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Speaker 1: so I'm going to go ahead with the Rockets here.

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Speaker 1: This is one of my favorite plays of all of

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Speaker 1: bowl season, which usually I like to you know, hold

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Speaker 1: out for those big confidence point you know, moves in

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Speaker 1: those pools that you get into. But I think right

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Speaker 1: away Toledo is going to outclass Middle Tennessee, who will

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Speaker 1: probably play two quarterbacks as you mentioned, so I think

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Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee is in a bit of trouble here. All right,

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Speaker 1: We're going to move on to the second game of Friday,

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Speaker 1: September seventeenth at six pm to kickoff between Northern Illinois

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Speaker 1: and Coastal Carolina. They're playing that one at Exploria Stadium

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Speaker 1: down in Orlando. Coastal Carolina at ten and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorite with a total of sixty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: This is a team that's you know, drawing your eye

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Speaker 1: or to say the least Northern Illinois has been a

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Speaker 1: team that has It's been the opposite snake bit. They've

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Speaker 1: been in so many close games, found a way to

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Speaker 1: win and really playing their best football coming in. But

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Speaker 1: I think there's a reason why this game is handicapped,

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Speaker 1: you know, in the double digits. And it's an interesting

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Speaker 1: fact here. The MAC champion in the last nine bowl

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Speaker 1: games is one in eight straight up. They just keep

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Speaker 1: losing in these spots and Coastal Carolina obviously has built

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Speaker 1: up a national reputation seemingly overnight. But I still think

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Speaker 1: they're riding a little bit of last year's coattails in

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Speaker 1: terms of their overall performance. You know, they go forward

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Speaker 1: two down the stretch, they get Grayce and McCall back,

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Speaker 1: but they were in a one possession game with Troy.

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Speaker 1: They need to go to overtime against South Alabama. So

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Speaker 1: I think there's some vulnerability here. I'm actually gonna call

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Speaker 1: my shot. You got to have a diversified bowl portfolio,

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Speaker 1: and by that, I mean you got to take a

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Speaker 1: lot of underdogs and you got to take some big

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Speaker 1: underdogs to win outright, because seemingly it happens every single

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Speaker 1: bowl season. So the fact that I can get close

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Speaker 1: to plus three point fifty on my money, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to take a Northern Illinois team that's playing really well.

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Speaker 1: And here's the last piece of it for me. Last year,

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Speaker 1: Coastal was so dynamic on offense with the run in

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Speaker 1: the pass, but it's really their defense that kept them

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Speaker 1: in every single game that they played and gave them

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Speaker 1: a chance to slow down dynamic offenses. They're just not

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Speaker 1: the same against the run this year as they were

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Speaker 1: last year. And when you look at Northern Illinois top

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Speaker 1: five in rushing yards per game, they're the number one

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Speaker 1: big play rushing offense in the country with more thirty

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Speaker 1: plus yard runs than any other team. And all this

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Speaker 1: has led to a MAC championship in a nine to

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Speaker 1: four overall record, and they did it despite horrible turnover

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Speaker 1: look ninety fourth and turnover margin. So in a small

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Speaker 1: sample size in one game, I think if they get

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Speaker 1: a few bounces go their way, I think they're a

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Speaker 1: live dog here. So I'm gonna take North Illinois. What

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Speaker 1: do you think about this team that is led by

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Speaker 1: Rocky Lombardi, one of your favorites. Are you going to

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Speaker 1: finally give him his due or are you going to

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Speaker 1: set this one out.

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Speaker 2: There's zero points, zero chance. I bet this game because

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Speaker 2: I mean, first of all, you have to make sure

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Speaker 2: you know is McCall gonna play, is likely going to play.

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Speaker 2: You got to make sure the big guys for Coastal

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Speaker 2: are actually playing this game. I mean, I haven't aready

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Speaker 2: met they're not, so I assume they are big thing.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you know how I feel about Northern Illinois.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Coastal Carolina is tenth in the country in

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Speaker 2: rushing success, they are ninth in line yards. Northern Illinois

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Speaker 2: is one hundred and twenty sixth in rush defense and

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty eighth in lineyards. Coastal Carolina should

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Speaker 2: blow the doors off of this team, but every team

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Speaker 2: that Northern Illinois played should have blown the doors off them.

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Speaker 2: So I like the money line play, and I told

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Speaker 2: you this yesterday. I actually, if you're gonna bet it,

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Speaker 2: I would bet Coastal Carolina minus ten and also Northern

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Speaker 2: Illinois money line, because I think you're guaranteed that one

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Speaker 2: of those two happens. I think Coastal either blows the

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Speaker 2: door off them or Northern Illinois wins. I think you

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Speaker 2: know you try to play psychologists Coast Carolina. Pretty disappointing

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Speaker 2: year for them, I would say about their standards. You know,

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Speaker 2: they were in the New Year six discussion last year.

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Speaker 2: You know they they love to Louisiana, and then I

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Speaker 2: think they dropped that one to Georgia's state without without

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Speaker 2: McCall right, so you know, kind of you know, they

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Speaker 2: expected to be I think they were the favorites to

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Speaker 2: win the sum out coming into the year. If not,

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Speaker 2: they were definitely up in the discussion. So, you know,

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Speaker 2: by their standards, pre disappointing for Coastal Northern Illinois. Just

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Speaker 2: you know, they've been so lucky all year, and I

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Speaker 2: guess you know they're good. I'll just I'll finally met.

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Speaker 2: They're a good team because they create their own luck

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Speaker 2: and they've It's only if you keep getting lucky over

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Speaker 2: and over again, at some point you're probably just a

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Speaker 2: good team. So I still think Coastal should blow them off,

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Speaker 2: the doors off them, but I don't know that they will.

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Speaker 2: So I like I like the Northern Northern Illinois moneyline

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Speaker 2: play because I think it's almost just as likely as

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Speaker 2: I'm covering, so take the shot.

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Speaker 1: It reminds me a little bit of that step that

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Speaker 1: it's thrown around in baseball with teams with really good bullpens,

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Speaker 1: where it's what your what is your record in one

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Speaker 1: run games? I think it was the Orioles maybe six

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Speaker 1: or seven years ago when they went to the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: but they won like eighty percent of their one run games,

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Speaker 1: and that was the difference to get into the postseason.

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Speaker 1: And when the sample size is big enough, to your point,

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Speaker 1: it's not just random luck, it's they have confidence when

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Speaker 1: they get in those situations. And I think Northern Illinois

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Speaker 1: is ready for a battle. They're ready for a tight

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Speaker 1: game in the fourth quarter, and clearly this is a

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Speaker 1: game that's going to matter to them. Where Coastal went

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Speaker 1: from a dream season last year, we're in their bowl game.

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Speaker 1: They had a chance to put together a perfect season

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Speaker 1: to say to themselves, you know, let's put a banner

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Speaker 1: I'll la UCF on the outside of our stadium, undefeated

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Speaker 1: national champs, and they fumbled the bag. And what was

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Speaker 1: a really good game against Liberty. This feels like a

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Speaker 1: step down. So for those reasons, I think there's a

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Speaker 1: little bit of an emotional edge for Northern Illinois in

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Speaker 1: this game. All right. Now, turning to Saturday, December eighteenth,

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Speaker 1: the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers the Pride of the Commonwealth. Oh no, no,

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Speaker 1: hell no, oh no, hell no. We got Western Kentucky

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Speaker 1: against Appalachian State, two programs that lost in their conference

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Speaker 1: title games. This is the Roofclaim dot Com Boca Ratan Bowl.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be played in fau Stadium in Book Raton.

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Speaker 1: It's an eleven am kickoff. App State is a three

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Speaker 1: point favorite with a total of sixty eight. These are

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Speaker 1: two teams that we've talked a lot about throughout the season. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: fire up your zapp guns. This is an opportunity for

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Speaker 1: Bailey Zappi to go down in the NCAA record books

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Speaker 1: as the goat. I believe he needs five touchdown passes

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Speaker 1: and over three hundred yards to accomplish some major statistical feats.

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Speaker 1: You can get into the specifics on that one. How

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Speaker 1: are you playing this one? And is it time to

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Speaker 1: ride one more time with the Toppers?

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Speaker 2: Yep. Absolutely. I actually went back and forth here between

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Speaker 2: taking Western Kentucky plus three, which I like, and if

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Speaker 2: you're betting the side or you're in a conference pool,

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Speaker 2: like I would take Western Kentuck. I think this is

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Speaker 2: an outright I would take them to win, but I

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Speaker 2: actually think my favorite play here is on the over

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Speaker 2: sixty seven. You know, Zach Kitley took the OC job,

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Speaker 2: which is kind of funny. We talked about, you know,

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Speaker 2: the coordinators that could be on the move. We mentioned

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Speaker 2: kit Lee gets a job by two days later, but

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Speaker 2: he is expected to remain and coach this bowl game.

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Speaker 2: So having Kittley it's all on the sidelines is big.

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Speaker 2: And I mentioned he's at fifty six touchdowns. He needs

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Speaker 2: two touchdowns to tie G five hero of with Cope

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Speaker 2: Brennan and for second in collegeable history, and needs four

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Speaker 2: to tie Joe Burrow. So five, you know, to pass

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Speaker 2: bro I guarantee everyone in that stadium knows he needs five,

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Speaker 2: and no matter what the score is, they're going for five.

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Speaker 2: You know, if they're up big, he's throwing the ball,

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Speaker 2: they want to get him five. Another big thing for

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Speaker 2: this is Mitchell Tinsley, their second leading receiver is in

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Speaker 2: the portal but apparently still playing in the bowl game,

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Speaker 2: which I didn't even know was allowed. But the report

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Speaker 2: to say he's still planning to play even though he's

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Speaker 2: in the portal. I don't know that that's legal.

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Speaker 1: I think it's kind of a Michael Scott the Office

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Speaker 1: situation where just because he, yell, I declared bankruptcy doesn't

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Speaker 1: mean that you're actually filing for bankruptcy. So yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think he's just giving verbal indications that he is portal headed.

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Speaker 2: Well, good for him. Then maybe he's looking to show

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Speaker 2: out for his new team. I guess my one hesitate.

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Speaker 2: My one concern with you over is appsttes leading receiver

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Speaker 2: Corey Sutton is not playing. He had surgery. But I

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Speaker 2: think most app State success comes on the ground. Cameron

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Speaker 2: People's Nate Nowell. I think they're gonna run all over

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Speaker 2: this Western Kentucky defense. We saw some seer McCormick do

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Speaker 2: it last week. Western Kentucky's ninety eighth and rush success

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Speaker 2: eighty eighth in line yards and defense. And the other

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Speaker 2: thing I like about this game is, you know, trap

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Speaker 2: Chase Bryce is very boom or bust he either. You know,

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Speaker 2: he'll throw touchdowns, but he'll also throw picks, and its

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Speaker 2: Western Kentucky defense is very good at turning the ball over.

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Speaker 2: So betting the over here or betting West Kentucky, it

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Speaker 2: kind of helps us where if Bryce throws a pick.

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Speaker 2: It may actually benefit us because it'll give West Kentucky,

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Speaker 2: you know, hopefully a short field. They're good at turning

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Speaker 2: the ball over. Sap State defense is very good against

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Speaker 2: the run. If they're elite against the run, they're they're

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Speaker 2: good against the past two, but they're they're way better

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Speaker 2: against the run. And I'm just you know, you know

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Speaker 2: jap he can throw on anyone. Zapp he could throw

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Speaker 2: on the eighty five Bears. So I'm not exactly worried

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Speaker 2: about that ap State defense as much.

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Speaker 1: So I like the over.

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Speaker 2: I think sixty seven you're getting kind of a discount

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Speaker 2: on the Zappi number usually because Absoute defense is so good.

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Speaker 2: I guess that I think they run it up to

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Speaker 2: try to get that five touchdown game for Zapdog.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you on this one. I had this pencil

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Speaker 1: in at seventy three and a half, so any number

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00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:14,240
Speaker 1: sub seventy I really like. I also think this is

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00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:16,400
Speaker 1: a spot where if there's a slow first quarter, hit

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Speaker 1: a live total over, because you know, Western showed I

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00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:22,600
Speaker 1: think it was about three games ago against Marshall they

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00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:24,360
Speaker 1: kind of were slow out of the gate against a

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00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:27,320
Speaker 1: pretty decent Martiall defense. And then it just exploded. I

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00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:29,240
Speaker 1: think they scored forty plus in the second half, So

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Speaker 1: there's no reason.

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Speaker 2: For getting against Yousa. They did against Yousa. They're a

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Speaker 2: second half comeback, Nate. I mean throwing what four touchdowns

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Speaker 2: the second half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so just go ahead and mark that down. Somebody

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Speaker 1: keep your eye on particularly. It's the first game of

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Speaker 1: the day, so you don't have those competing interests where

319
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Speaker 1: you're switching between games. Just you know, kind of ride

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Speaker 1: that out and see if there's some value in that

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Speaker 1: live total. All right. Sticking with Saturday, December eighteenth, we

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Speaker 1: have UTEP against Fresno State in the PUBG Mobile New

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Speaker 1: Mexico Bowl, and that game is going to be played

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Speaker 1: at University Stadium and Albuquerque at two fifteen pm Eastern.

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Speaker 1: Fresno State in eleven and a half point favorite. The

326
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Speaker 1: total here is at fifty one. And I'm going to

327
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Speaker 1: jump in quickly on this one. This is a team

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Speaker 1: I followed all season in UTEP.

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Speaker 2: We're talking minor nation out in the West Texan town

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Speaker 2: of l Past Soldier picks up.

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Speaker 1: I like under. I like under in this game. For

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Speaker 1: a couple of reasons. We're going to start with the

333
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Speaker 1: fact that Fresno has the potential to mail this one in.

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Speaker 1: Klen Debor leaves for Washington. Then their quarterback Ja Kyneer

335
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Speaker 1: is like, Okay, cool, I'll follow you to Washington where

336
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Speaker 1: I started my career. Then the compliance office or something

337
00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,880
Speaker 1: happens and he was in eligible and now he's back,

338
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Speaker 1: which is a little bit of a weird energy to

339
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Speaker 1: walk back into your locker room. But then on top

340
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Speaker 1: of it, there's something a little bit wrong with their

341
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Speaker 1: passing attack that was so dynamic in September, and when

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Speaker 1: you dig into the numbers Jalen Cropper, it has clearly

343
00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:53,000
Speaker 1: been banged up because the first five games of the

344
00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:56,080
Speaker 1: year eight receptions ninety one yards per game with nine

345
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Speaker 1: total touchdowns. His final six games down to five receptions

346
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Speaker 1: per game, fifty yards and three total touchdowns. And he

347
00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:05,040
Speaker 1: was someone who was giving them a true top wide

348
00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:07,720
Speaker 1: receiver elements and it was helping them, you know, prove

349
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Speaker 1: themselves against Oregon and UCLA is one of the most

350
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Speaker 1: dynamic offenses.

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Speaker 2: They still had some.

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Speaker 1: Good games down the stretch, but I feel like they're

353
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Speaker 1: going up against a utep defense that really, particularly when

354
00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:20,360
Speaker 1: the balls in the air is going to give them

355
00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:23,120
Speaker 1: some problems. When you look at the final metrics for this,

356
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Speaker 1: you know, paveto coach defense, I'm always going to give

357
00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:27,920
Speaker 1: him love. Got to drop his name in there. In

358
00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:31,200
Speaker 1: total d top twenty five, third down defense, red zone defense,

359
00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:34,080
Speaker 1: yards per pass attempt, total passing yards allowed, all of

360
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Speaker 1: it top twenty five, and what it translated to was

361
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Speaker 1: them being sixteenth in the country in time of possession.

362
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Speaker 1: And that's where I see this game being played out.

363
00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:44,200
Speaker 1: UTEP wants to muck it up. They want to play

364
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Speaker 1: keep away and it may seem like a low number

365
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:48,640
Speaker 1: with the Fresment State team involved at fifty one, but

366
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Speaker 1: I like under here for a game that UTEP's clearly

367
00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:53,720
Speaker 1: fired up to play in where Fresno at the end

368
00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:56,040
Speaker 1: of September they looked like a team that maybe, if

369
00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:58,920
Speaker 1: everything went right, they could be the G five team

370
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:00,920
Speaker 1: to get the you know, new or six bowl games.

371
00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:03,240
Speaker 1: So this is a letdown for them, without a doubt.

372
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Speaker 1: And I'll throw one more thing in here for UTEP

373
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Speaker 1: and their fans. They're gonna come out because they are

374
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Speaker 1: zero to six straight up and against the spread in

375
00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:12,720
Speaker 1: their last six bowl games dating back to eighty eight.

376
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,240
Speaker 1: They haven't won a bowl game or covered in a

377
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Speaker 1: bowl game since nineteen sixty seven, So you know what

378
00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:21,760
Speaker 1: time is now, go get it, Minor Nation. I feel

379
00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:23,680
Speaker 1: like they're gonna play a good game, and by their

380
00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,200
Speaker 1: definition of a good game, muck it up, win a

381
00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:28,960
Speaker 1: twenty four to twenty kind of battle, and I think

382
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:30,560
Speaker 1: they can get it done with the personnel that they have.

383
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Speaker 1: What do you think about this one?

384
00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:35,760
Speaker 2: I agree with absolutely everything you said, which is why

385
00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:38,800
Speaker 2: I like UTEP plus eleven. This game opened at fourteen

386
00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:40,960
Speaker 2: and a half. It's now dropped down to eleven. I

387
00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:44,160
Speaker 2: still like it anything over ten, just so, he said,

388
00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:46,360
Speaker 2: give me the answer. A. Kalen de Bor's gone. Offensive

389
00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:48,879
Speaker 2: coordinator Ryan Grubb is also going to Washington. They are

390
00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 2: not coaching this game. Heinrye. He said he did the

391
00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:54,920
Speaker 2: Michael Scott snip snapsip snap in the portal out. Is

392
00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,760
Speaker 2: he definitely playing because I haven't. I haven't seen like that.

393
00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:00,879
Speaker 2: He's definitely playing. I know he's back, and I'm curious too.

394
00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,719
Speaker 2: Presno State students hung a Jake Hayner is a trader

395
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:05,879
Speaker 2: from their goalpost. Do you know if that if that

396
00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,040
Speaker 2: bet sheet's still up there or you know, did someone

397
00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 2: have to run up and get it after he you know,

398
00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,040
Speaker 2: with his name from the portal. A little awkwardness there.

399
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,760
Speaker 2: Like you said, Propert hasn't looked the same. Ronnie River

400
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:16,840
Speaker 2: is another one that never you know, we talked early

401
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:18,399
Speaker 2: on this team. We kept we kept saying, oh, this

402
00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:20,240
Speaker 2: is the Ronnie Rivers game, this is the Ronnie and

403
00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:22,640
Speaker 2: it really never was. So I agree with you everything

404
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,560
Speaker 2: you said about Utip's defense. You know, we love Gavin

405
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:26,680
Speaker 2: Hardison on this on this podcast and talked about him

406
00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:29,679
Speaker 2: a bunch. UTEP hasn't won a bowl game since nineteen

407
00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:31,960
Speaker 2: sixty seven. They haven't even played in a bowl game

408
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,560
Speaker 2: since twenty fourteen. This is a big deal with them.

409
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 2: This Their fans will be excited. They will they will

410
00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:38,480
Speaker 2: want to go to this game. By the way, I'll

411
00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:40,159
Speaker 2: give you I'll vemi right now. If you can tell

412
00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:41,960
Speaker 2: me what PUBG Mobile is.

413
00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:47,080
Speaker 1: I'm going to say they're a cell phone carrier. Okay,

414
00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:49,080
Speaker 1: video game. There we go. You know, good for us

415
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:51,399
Speaker 1: for doing the deep dive on that one. All right,

416
00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:54,920
Speaker 1: I'm going to transition now to another bowl game on Saturday,

417
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:59,000
Speaker 1: December eighteenth. This is UA B against b YU in

418
00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:03,600
Speaker 1: the Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl played in Shreveport, Louisiana, at

419
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:07,280
Speaker 1: Independent Stadium. BYU open it up as a seven point favorite.

420
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:09,280
Speaker 1: Fifty four and a half is the total. It kicks

421
00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:12,560
Speaker 1: off at three point thirty on ABC. This one was

422
00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:14,520
Speaker 1: a little bit difficult for me. It didn't pop off

423
00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:16,480
Speaker 1: the page as one team I was rushing to the

424
00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:20,360
Speaker 1: betting window to throw some money down on because BYU,

425
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,560
Speaker 1: for everything that they've accomplished this season, they played a

426
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:27,240
Speaker 1: rigorous schedule that involved a lot of Pac twelve teams,

427
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:29,280
Speaker 1: I still feel like this is a little bit of

428
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:31,719
Speaker 1: a letdown for them. I know what they are offensively,

429
00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:35,080
Speaker 1: but up against a UAB team that I really couldn't

430
00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:37,399
Speaker 1: get a handle on this season. I thought their defense

431
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:39,320
Speaker 1: was going to be better. I thought there was going

432
00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:40,879
Speaker 1: to be some games where they were out of class,

433
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:43,440
Speaker 1: so they ended up actually sticking around. So this is

434
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:45,280
Speaker 1: a stay away game for me and one that I

435
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 1: have a very low confidence point total in my pool

436
00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:51,360
Speaker 1: picks between the Blazers and the Cougars. Is there any

437
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:54,320
Speaker 1: one side or total or prop bet that pops out

438
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:54,480
Speaker 1: to you.

439
00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:58,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you. I haven't bet this, you know

440
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:01,040
Speaker 2: right now? I don't have a full pick, but I

441
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,159
Speaker 2: definitely have a lean and only that makes me a

442
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:04,800
Speaker 2: little nervous, is you know when you put the Action

443
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:07,359
Speaker 2: Network app and you can kind of see where whether

444
00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:09,280
Speaker 2: it's the experts or people you follow, and I follow

445
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:12,840
Speaker 2: obviously a lot of our writers stuck. He's on UAB.

446
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:17,080
Speaker 2: BJ Cunningham is on UAB, you know Pete, Pete Ruddins

447
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:19,159
Speaker 2: on UAB. So there's a lot of guys on u

448
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 2: A B, I Leen b YU. I just think they're

449
00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 2: a really good team. I think, you know, everyone expected

450
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 2: them to take a huge step back losing Zach Wilson.

451
00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 2: They lost a ton just to graduation, and they were

452
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:32,840
Speaker 2: just really good. You know, they're a team that, like

453
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 2: I feel like, never gets talked about. I think I've

454
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 2: maybe watched one or two of their games, like they're

455
00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:39,919
Speaker 2: just kind of there. And they went ten to two.

456
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:42,439
Speaker 2: They're five and zero into back twelve. If they beat Utahs,

457
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 2: they probably should be in the back to the champ

458
00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 2: They're only lost were Boise State and then at Baylor,

459
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 2: so they lost the two pretty you know, decent teams.

460
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:54,040
Speaker 2: Jaren Hall was really good. All your Tyler Algeier is awesome.

461
00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:56,199
Speaker 2: You know, the country with twenty touchdowns. You know, had

462
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 2: one hundred and seventeen yards per game. And b YU

463
00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:02,840
Speaker 2: just signed Colonne Sataki to a fat new extension, which

464
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 2: I think, you know, probably gives them a little bit juice,

465
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,160
Speaker 2: a little bit of life, you know, having him sticking around.

466
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,360
Speaker 2: I think he's an awesome coach that the guys love.

467
00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:12,959
Speaker 2: And you have to wonder if this is a letdown

468
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 2: spot for UAB. You know, they lost to Youtsa. It

469
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,880
Speaker 2: cost them the Conference USA title game for the first

470
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 2: time in since twenty seventeen. You know, they're used to

471
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:23,119
Speaker 2: being in that spotlight and they weren't. And you know,

472
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,600
Speaker 2: Lean Rusher Dayne McBride, he hurt in the final game,

473
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:26,960
Speaker 2: so I don't I don't know if he's playing it.

474
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:30,080
Speaker 2: If he's out, that's huge because this team runs the

475
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:34,200
Speaker 2: ball the eleventh most in the country, and I don't

476
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 2: know that I trust their quarterback to throw it all

477
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:40,080
Speaker 2: over BYU here, So like I said, I'm I'm not

478
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 2: playing it, but I lean byu I think they're really good,

479
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:44,880
Speaker 2: so I would probably play them.

480
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:51,080
Speaker 1: Moving on December eighteenth, we have Eastern Michigan against Liberty

481
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:54,359
Speaker 1: and the Lending Tree Bowl being played in Hancock Whitney

482
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:58,080
Speaker 1: Stadium and Mobile, Alabama. This game's kicking off at five

483
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,280
Speaker 1: forty five pm Eastern. Liberal just about a ten point

484
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 1: favorite in this one, nine and a half and most books,

485
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 1: and fifty eight and a half for the total. Let

486
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:08,119
Speaker 1: me go ahead and see this one up for you.

487
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 1: Is this an opportunity for you to send an emotional

488
00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: message to all those draft knicks who love Malik Willis

489
00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:16,680
Speaker 1: and think he's the second coming against the maxim that

490
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,440
Speaker 1: we've talked about a lot. They've been impressive with Ben

491
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 1: Bryant at quarterback. Is this a spot where you like

492
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,560
Speaker 1: the Eagles plus the points or to spring the outright upst.

493
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,840
Speaker 2: Milke Willis thinks, I actually, I know it's gonna sound

494
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 2: crazy because I think he's thinks I actually lean the

495
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:35,679
Speaker 2: over in this spot because you know, first of all,

496
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 2: you know I said, Millie wills Is getting comparisons to

497
00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 2: you know, Lamar Jackson and stuff like that. Like if

498
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 2: you watch Lamar Jackson in college, like Lamar Jackson throw

499
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,920
Speaker 2: the ball very very well, Millie Willis cannot throw the football.

500
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,199
Speaker 2: He just can't. He thinks at it. He finished year

501
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:53,160
Speaker 2: with three touchdowns in six interceptions in his last three

502
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 2: games against Ole Miss. I guess, but not great competition.

503
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:01,040
Speaker 2: I'll give him credit. He is awesome with his legs,

504
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,840
Speaker 2: and Eastern Michigan cannot stop the run. They're one hundred

505
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,160
Speaker 2: and twenty seventh in rushing success. They give up big

506
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 2: plays on the ground, and I think Wilson will be

507
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,879
Speaker 2: able to get big plays. I also think, you know,

508
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 2: he does need to have a very good game because

509
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,320
Speaker 2: he needs to improve his draft stock. He needs to

510
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 2: ball out. And Eastern Michigan, you know, kind of puts

511
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,479
Speaker 2: up points on everyone. They're one of my favorite over teams.

512
00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 2: Two back Ben Bryant's been awesome. Liberty's offense is our

513
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 2: defense is a lot worse against the run in the past.

514
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 2: So I do like the over here because I think

515
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan will move the ball and I don't think

516
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,240
Speaker 2: their defense is very good. And I think milk Willis

517
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 2: will be able to, you know, be dynamic with his legs,

518
00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 2: maybe his arm here and there. The biggest thing that's

519
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 2: kind of tripping up me with the side is you

520
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:51,879
Speaker 2: have the combination of Liberty on one hand got absolutely

521
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 2: shit pumped in their last three games. Ole Miss Louisiana

522
00:23:56,480 --> 00:24:00,480
Speaker 2: Army crush them. So you have this like, Okay, pissed

523
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,960
Speaker 2: off and coming and motivated, or they deflated because they

524
00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:06,919
Speaker 2: just got crushed. What's Liberty's motivation in this game other

525
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,920
Speaker 2: than Malik Willis's draft stock. But on the flip side,

526
00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 2: Hugh Freeze is four and one in bowl games, and

527
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:15,239
Speaker 2: traditionally his teams have played very well. So that kind

528
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,359
Speaker 2: of dynamic scares me away. It's like he's going to

529
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 2: these bowl games, but they're playing terrible. So I don't

530
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:21,920
Speaker 2: really want to tack the side because I don't know

531
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 2: what their motivation will be. Instead, I'll take the over

532
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 2: because I think if they play well, obviously it's gonna

533
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 2: be Willis balling out. But I still think Eastern michigan

534
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 2: Is offense is good enough to get there, and their

535
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 2: defense is bad enough, but they'll allow Liberty to move

536
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 2: the ball. So I'll take over fifty eight and a half.

537
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 2: I think this is kind of a low number.

538
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 1: He brought it up earlier in the Upstate game against

539
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:45,040
Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. But Chase Bryce is somebody who can hit

540
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,720
Speaker 1: big plays with a nice receiving corps or also have

541
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 1: explosive plays go in the opposite direction by turning the

542
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 1: ball over. And I think Milake willis what we've noticed

543
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 1: from him. Beyond what he can do with his legs,

544
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:58,120
Speaker 1: he is that guy who puts together a tremendous sizzle

545
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,639
Speaker 1: reel where he can make some throw that obviously grabbed

546
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 1: the attention of the casual NFL fan, where you know,

547
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:09,359
Speaker 1: off balance throwing on the sideline, deep deep downfield so

548
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 1: he can make those quick strike plays happen. He could

549
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 1: also throw four picks in this game that you don't

550
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 1: have to really squint at his box scores to be

551
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 1: able to pick those out, you know, those those spots

552
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: where he's been really sloppy with the football. So for

553
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:23,639
Speaker 1: that reason, I agree, if I'm going to play this,

554
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead with the over. Saturday, December eighteenth,

555
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:30,040
Speaker 1: Utah State playing Oregon State in the Jimmy Kimmel LA

556
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 1: Bowl presented by Stifle. This is at SOFI Stadium in Englewood, California.

557
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 1: The kickoff is at seven point thirty Eastern Oregon State

558
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:41,120
Speaker 1: a touchdown favorite here, and the total is sixty seven

559
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 1: and a half. Right away, I was a little bit

560
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:45,160
Speaker 1: surprised Utah State has been in Darling for US their

561
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 1: ten win team. I thought that Blake Anderson was robbed

562
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:50,720
Speaker 1: in terms of the Coach of the Year voting. He's

563
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:52,480
Speaker 1: somebody who took a one to five team to a

564
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,320
Speaker 1: Mountain West champion. Here they are sitting at ten and

565
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,919
Speaker 1: three against Oregon State team who has made some incremental improvements.

566
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,080
Speaker 1: They've certainly played better under Jonathan Smith. But I'm a

567
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:03,880
Speaker 1: little bit surprised. This is all the way up seven.

568
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,159
Speaker 1: My power rankings culture to be at three. So I

569
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 1: think I'll lean Utah State catching the seven here. Is

570
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 1: there any indication for you to go with Oregon State

571
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 1: or is this an underdog play?

572
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,440
Speaker 2: Yeah? This is another stay away from me. If I

573
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,080
Speaker 2: was gonna play it, I would play Utah State just

574
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 2: like you know, I would take the seven. But since

575
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,159
Speaker 2: you know, we are the G five pod, and like

576
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:26,879
Speaker 2: you said, they're not getting enough love, So I just

577
00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 2: want to take a second and really shine some light

578
00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:31,840
Speaker 2: on this Utah State team. Like you mentioned, they went

579
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 2: one in five last season, and it's not just they

580
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,159
Speaker 2: went one in five. They went one in five in

581
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,640
Speaker 2: complete disarray, and they refused to play their last game

582
00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 2: because players were protesting the school administration. So this was

583
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:48,160
Speaker 2: just a program in absolute shambles. Blake Anderson comes over,

584
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:50,679
Speaker 2: who he left Arkansas State, where he had a lot

585
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:53,640
Speaker 2: of success at because he wanted a fresh start after

586
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 2: his wife passed away from breast cancer. And that team, really,

587
00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:58,959
Speaker 2: Arkansas State, you know, was so good at him going

588
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:01,160
Speaker 2: when his wife was going through treatment, she was sick,

589
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 2: and they really rallied around him. And that was if

590
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:05,120
Speaker 2: you remember, when he told the team he was leaving,

591
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:07,399
Speaker 2: was super emotional, but he needed a fresh start for

592
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 2: him and his family. All the respect in the world

593
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 2: and for him to go there and complete to this

594
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:14,440
Speaker 2: program round. He he brings Logan barn with him and

595
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 2: they go on and they just they they were counted

596
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 2: out all season. They went five and two, not only

597
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 2: ats five and two straight up as an underdog, so

598
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:26,960
Speaker 2: they were just always got the dog. I mean San

599
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:30,800
Speaker 2: Diego State ever, you know, Utah State crushed San Diego State.

600
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:34,159
Speaker 2: That was never close. So I just think this team is,

601
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:36,119
Speaker 2: you know, is such a good story. I do think

602
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 2: Oregon State's pretty good story too. You know, this is

603
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 2: their first Bowl game in like forever. But I'm gonna

604
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:44,480
Speaker 2: take eat Us State here just because their defense has

605
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 2: always kind of been their issue, but they're much better

606
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:48,439
Speaker 2: against the run in the past, and running the ball

607
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:50,760
Speaker 2: is kind of Oregon straight strength. That's what they do.

608
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,479
Speaker 2: BJ Baylor obviously the Pac twelve and rushing he's awesome,

609
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:56,400
Speaker 2: and Oregon States defense is just sixty seventh against the past.

610
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:58,880
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and second at defending big plays. State

611
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:00,800
Speaker 2: picks up a lot of big play through the air,

612
00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 2: so I would lean Uta State plus seven. I haven't

613
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 2: played yet. I may talk myself into it as I'm

614
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 2: doing it, but I more just wanted to China Light

615
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 2: and what an awesome story this has been for Utah

616
00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 2: State and Blake Anderson.

617
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:15,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I see this as momentum carrying over for UTA

618
00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:18,119
Speaker 1: State and Logan Bonner in particular. It's someone that I've

619
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 1: kept an eye on because he's had games where he's

620
00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:22,120
Speaker 1: been knocked out, he's had games where he's had limp offs.

621
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 1: Getting that you know, two week plus period to really

622
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 1: rest up and be healthy to take advantage of that,

623
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:31,760
Speaker 1: you know, Devin Tompkins connection. I think UTA State it's

624
00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 1: a live dog in this one. So I'll probably sprinkle

625
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 1: on the money line as my only play here and

626
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,840
Speaker 1: really an emotional play for us, because we did put

627
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 1: a lot of work into watching some at you know,

628
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:44,680
Speaker 1: first blush. Kind of an ugly season for Utah State,

629
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 1: that's how it started. It looked as though it was

630
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 1: going to be deja vu all over again, and then

631
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 1: they just started reeling off wins, beating teams are not

632
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 1: supposed to beat, And outside of that clunker against Wyoming

633
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 1: down the stretch, they've either won or been competitive in

634
00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,320
Speaker 1: every single game for just about two months. So I

635
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 1: don't think there's any reason to be scared away by

636
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:03,760
Speaker 1: an Oregon State team that is seven and five. They're

637
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:06,880
Speaker 1: a decent Power five team, but certainly not one that

638
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 1: I'm scared away from in a spot like this, all right.

639
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 1: The final game on Saturday, December eighteenth, is between Louisiana

640
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,920
Speaker 1: and Marshall in the RL Carriers New Orleans Bowl, played

641
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 1: in Caesar's Super Dome down in Nolan's. This game kicks

642
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 1: off at nine to fifteen pm, the last game of

643
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,000
Speaker 1: the night. Louisiana is a five point favorite, coming in

644
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 1: with a total of fifty five. And I mean, really,

645
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,200
Speaker 1: this is just a question of do you believe the

646
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 1: team is distracted by Billy Napier taking his scared money,

647
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 1: don't make no money over to Gainesville scared money, don't

648
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 1: make money. You know they've already put it on their

649
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 1: social media page and that Florida Gators fonts and colors.

650
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 1: Has he taken the swag with them because otherwise this

651
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,360
Speaker 1: is a team that's only lost two games in two years.

652
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:55,200
Speaker 1: They have a super defined identity. They want to run

653
00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 1: the football. Levi Lewis is someone who's a game manager,

654
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: but certainly someone who's played in a lot of close

655
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 1: games throughout the course of his career. Against the Marshall

656
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 1: team that was just up and down all season, you know,

657
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 1: their defense at times looked very good. Other times they

658
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 1: got you know, boat raced by a team like Western Kentucky.

659
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 1: Grant Wells and Rashin al Lee looked like one of

660
00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:16,000
Speaker 1: the best backfields in Conference USA. But they had some

661
00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:18,080
Speaker 1: games where you know, they weren't as productive as they

662
00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 1: probably should have been. So this one is difficult for

663
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:25,280
Speaker 1: me to really get in on, but I will say

664
00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:27,520
Speaker 1: the fact that it's less than that key number of

665
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 1: a touchdown has me leaning with the rage and Cajun's

666
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,960
Speaker 1: here for a team. As I mentioned, just so much

667
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 1: experience up and down. They're too deep. I think they're

668
00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 1: the better team here. I'll probably play them on the

669
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:40,440
Speaker 1: money line. I'm certainly going to play them in the twenties,

670
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,120
Speaker 1: maybe all the way up into the thirties for my

671
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 1: confidence pool for a Marshall team that I still think

672
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 1: they're missing a little bit of that consistency to really

673
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,880
Speaker 1: give me a feel, because I want to look at

674
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 1: this Bowle menu and pick out some underdogs to win outright,

675
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 1: and they're just not quite there for me. Is this

676
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: a team that you're considering on the money line or

677
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:00,240
Speaker 1: do you think the better team here's Luisian.

678
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 2: Well, Mike, if you want to take a team on

679
00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 2: the money line and underdog the next Bowl game, they

680
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 2: have that on the menu for you. But instead, I'm

681
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 2: actually gonna fade another former Penn State assistant coach in

682
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 2: this spot. I'm gonna do. I think Louisiana is a

683
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 2: much better team. Napier's not coaching. I'm not that worried

684
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 2: about it. They promoted their DC to head coach, so

685
00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:21,640
Speaker 2: that should be a very smooth transition, you know, after

686
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 2: you know the continue he's still there. I mean they

687
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:26,440
Speaker 2: lost the taxas week one and then rolled twelve twelve

688
00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:28,360
Speaker 2: straight games. You know, be app State for a second

689
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 2: time in the conference title. Grant Well's super frustrating because

690
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 2: he's talented, but he's so inconsistent. He got hurt against

691
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 2: Western Kentucky, didn't finish the game. He's he says he's playing,

692
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,200
Speaker 2: he's supposed to play in this game, but how how

693
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:44,120
Speaker 2: healthy will he be? And Louisiana's fifteenth in passing success

694
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:46,640
Speaker 2: on defense, defending the past is what their best at.

695
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 2: And the other thing that's frustrating and kind of surprising

696
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:52,000
Speaker 2: with Marshall two is like you said, Grandwell's super inconsistent

697
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 2: and Ali is awesome. He's one of the best running

698
00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:58,800
Speaker 2: backs in the conference. Yet Marshall's one hundred and thirteenth

699
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,800
Speaker 2: in rushing rate. Their head coach is a former running

700
00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 2: backs coach who you know, coach Naji Harras, Saquon Barkley,

701
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 2: Miles Sanders. And they just don't run the ball ever,

702
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:10,600
Speaker 2: So that's kind of a weird dynamic they have. I

703
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:13,120
Speaker 2: hope they fix that next year. But I said, Louisiana's

704
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:15,960
Speaker 2: best at stopping the pass. And on the other side,

705
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 2: Marshall is just eightieth against the run. They're eighty third

706
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 2: in lineyard, so I expect Montreal Johnson and Chris Smith

707
00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 2: should have plenty of success on the ground for Louisiana.

708
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,320
Speaker 2: I think this is a veteran team. I think it's

709
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 2: a better team. Five a short number. Like you said,

710
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 2: it's under a touchdown. It's basically a home game in

711
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 2: New Orleans, so I'll take the occasions here.

712
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:36,480
Speaker 1: One of the crazy things too, is that Marshall has

713
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 1: decided to join the Sun Belt, And I think this

714
00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 1: is a future rivalry being built up because these are

715
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:45,800
Speaker 1: two really really good football programs, you know, communities that

716
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:48,479
Speaker 1: care deeply about their football teams. And I think it's

717
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 1: a great indication that the Sun Belt could quickly move

718
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 1: into that spot vacated by the AAC because they've been

719
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:59,240
Speaker 1: raided during conference re alignment. And what the Sun Belt's

720
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 1: been doing is they're looking at not necessarily those big

721
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 1: TV markets or those splashy, you know, metro areas, They're

722
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 1: just looking for really good football team. So I'm looking for,

723
00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 1: you know, to bring up a James Madison as they

724
00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 1: did with app State, you know, from the FCS ranks

725
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:16,719
Speaker 1: and just adding programs and schools that care about football

726
00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 1: number one and Marshall coming in. I think this is

727
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,160
Speaker 1: going to be a little preview of what's going to

728
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 1: be a great rivalry in the Sun Belt. So I'm

729
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 1: just excited to see that the fan bases meet on

730
00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:28,920
Speaker 1: Bourbon Street and maybe gets a proper introduction. All right,

731
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:33,320
Speaker 1: Our next game the standalone game on Monday, December twentieth

732
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:37,520
Speaker 1: between Old Dominion and Tulsa in the Myrtle Beach Bowl

733
00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 1: presented by tax Acts. They're playing at at Brook Stadium

734
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 1: in Conway, South Carolina. It is kicking off at two

735
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:47,000
Speaker 1: thirty in Monday afternoon. Game Tulsa nine and a half

736
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:51,960
Speaker 1: point favorites, fifty two points as the total. Here, I'm

737
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 1: going to go ahead and get out of your way

738
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 1: because I know, I mean, this ballgame is presented by

739
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 1: tax Act. You have the receipts on why Old Dominion

740
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:00,360
Speaker 1: is a great play in the spot.

741
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 2: Hey, I was listening to a podcast that I will

742
00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:05,800
Speaker 2: not name names and say which podcast this was. It's

743
00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 2: definitely not one on our own channel that said no

744
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,279
Speaker 2: one's talking about this Old Dominion team. We've been talking

745
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:13,120
Speaker 2: about it for a month and a half because they

746
00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:16,360
Speaker 2: are the oddest team in college football. You guys know

747
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:18,480
Speaker 2: if you listen every week. But they won their final

748
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:20,520
Speaker 2: five games. I'm pretty sure we were on them four

749
00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:23,399
Speaker 2: of those five games after opting out last year, which

750
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:25,560
Speaker 2: to me makes it's so much more impressive. Ricky Ronnie,

751
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:28,000
Speaker 2: what he's done with this team is been awesome. All

752
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:30,840
Speaker 2: those wins correspond pretty much directly with the switch to

753
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,280
Speaker 2: Hayden Wolfe at quarterback. He has totally changed his offense.

754
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:35,880
Speaker 2: He's you know, he's not asked to do He's not

755
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:39,400
Speaker 2: Bailey Zappy, but using his arm has really opened up

756
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:41,680
Speaker 2: Blake Watson, who has been I think he's got over

757
00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:43,640
Speaker 2: one hundred yards and six of the last seven games.

758
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 2: How about Ali Jennings the game he had last week

759
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,839
Speaker 2: when we had him and they pumped Charlotte to finish year.

760
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:51,320
Speaker 2: Nine catches, two hundred and fifty two yards, three touchdowns.

761
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:53,920
Speaker 2: The tolls the defensive coordinator left for TCU, so they

762
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 2: don't have him. Their offensive line coaches off to USC

763
00:34:56,800 --> 00:34:59,880
Speaker 2: The old Dominion defense was excellent down the stretch. Tulsa

764
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 2: ranks one hundred and seventh in rushing success, ninety fourth

765
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:06,279
Speaker 2: in past success. This offense kind of thinks I'll just

766
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:09,520
Speaker 2: say it. Davis Brinn finished the year with sixteen touchdowns

767
00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 2: six interceptions. He is just there, basically Old Dominion nine

768
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 2: and three against the spread this year six and two

769
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:20,520
Speaker 2: ats as an underdog. I already bet Old Dominion plus points.

770
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 2: I actually was an idiot and bet them immediately. So

771
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 2: I bet them when the line came out at seven

772
00:35:24,520 --> 00:35:26,040
Speaker 2: and a half and I took it, and now it's

773
00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:27,879
Speaker 2: up to nine and a half. But I also bet

774
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,000
Speaker 2: them on the money line. Because Old Dominion is winning

775
00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:33,320
Speaker 2: this football game, they get the standalone treatment as they deserve.

776
00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 2: Primetime Monarchs. Give me the nine and a half, give

777
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,120
Speaker 2: me the money line. Ricky Ronnie and the boys going

778
00:35:40,120 --> 00:35:41,799
Speaker 2: down to Myrtle Beach coming home with a dub.

779
00:35:43,239 --> 00:35:47,480
Speaker 1: This is a classic know your personnel game, and clearly

780
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:50,240
Speaker 1: you know their personnel. You know what the quarterback changement

781
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:52,640
Speaker 1: to this program, so you can kind of throw out

782
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 1: the stats, you know, in the early part of the

783
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 1: season when he was not leading them. Old Dominion's fan base,

784
00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,040
Speaker 1: they don't get to go to that many bowl games.

785
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:01,239
Speaker 1: It's just not that far. Get down to Conway. I

786
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:03,319
Speaker 1: think they're going to have a nice fan presence here.

787
00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:05,960
Speaker 1: It's gonna matter to them. This is a Tulsa's team

788
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 1: that was a lot better last year, certainly on the

789
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 1: defensive side of the ball, and because of that, I think,

790
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 1: you know, there's additional letdown factor for Tulsa team traveling

791
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:19,360
Speaker 1: halfway across the country. Everything here is trending with the Monarchs.

792
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:20,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and play them on the money

793
00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:24,480
Speaker 1: line too. We're gonna have our hands hands across the podcast.

794
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:27,960
Speaker 1: You know, we're hopefully gonna cash this one. We'll sprinkle

795
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 1: on the money line, not a sprinkle, which is a

796
00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:31,960
Speaker 1: full doll up on the money line. And I think

797
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:34,359
Speaker 1: you're right. I think this is an opportunity to play

798
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:37,680
Speaker 1: them plus the points on the money line. Why stop

799
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 1: this and ODU team that's been good to us all

800
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:40,080
Speaker 1: season long?

801
00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 2: Money line Monarchs Babe.

802
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:46,840
Speaker 1: Tuesday, December twenty first, Kent State taking on Wyoming in

803
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,759
Speaker 1: the famous Idaho Potato Bowl. That games being played at

804
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 1: Albertson Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Kickoff is at three point

805
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,000
Speaker 1: thirty and Wyoming is opened as a field goal favorite

806
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:58,440
Speaker 1: with a total of fifty nine set on this one.

807
00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 1: These are two teams that have been Jekyll and Hyde.

808
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:04,759
Speaker 1: The entire year, Wyoming has looked really bad offensively at times,

809
00:37:04,840 --> 00:37:07,279
Speaker 1: but they scored a late season big win over a

810
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 1: ten win Utah State team where Kent State offensively just

811
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 1: absolutely put up huge points, played in a lot of

812
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,279
Speaker 1: high scoring games, played their way into the MAC championship game.

813
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,000
Speaker 1: They end up getting beat up by Northern Illinois game.

814
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 1: They did not play well, and it's difficult to get

815
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 1: a read on this one. And as a rule, I

816
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:27,600
Speaker 1: generally like fading teams that are losers in the conference

817
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 1: championship games, but I'm not sure where my heart lies

818
00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:32,720
Speaker 1: with this one. Give me a little helpier, Immelo.

819
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:35,439
Speaker 2: I'm pretty down on Wyoming. I just I really don't

820
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:37,800
Speaker 2: think they're good. Like their offense is so bad and

821
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 2: you expect of their strength to be the defense, but

822
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:42,640
Speaker 2: it really hasn't been as good as you think. You

823
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:45,840
Speaker 2: know Chad Muma, yeah, yeah, so he's awesome, but the

824
00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:47,960
Speaker 2: rest of the defense is not very good. They're sixty

825
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 2: second in rushing success, They're ninety third in line yards.

826
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 2: They allowed one hundred and seventy rushing yards per game,

827
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 2: that is ninety second in the country. And this Kent

828
00:37:56,840 --> 00:38:00,800
Speaker 2: State strength is running the football with Marcus Cooper, David Williams,

829
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 2: and Dustin Crumb. They were six in the country in

830
00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:05,520
Speaker 2: rush success, sixth in line yards. So I think Kent

831
00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 2: State will move the ball on Wyoming. That fast class

832
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:09,719
Speaker 2: offense is so hard to deal with these kind of,

833
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:11,840
Speaker 2: you know, two totally different styles. My own thing is

834
00:38:12,000 --> 00:38:15,719
Speaker 2: so slow, Kent State is so fast. I don't know

835
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:17,920
Speaker 2: that Wyoming can keep up with Kent State. And then,

836
00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 2: like you mentioned, the issue with Kent State has been

837
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:25,520
Speaker 2: their defense, but Wyoming's offense stinks, so I don't know

838
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:27,359
Speaker 2: that they're good enough to take advantage of it. They're

839
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:30,920
Speaker 2: ninety ninth in scoring, eightieth in yards per play. They

840
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:33,560
Speaker 2: can't throw the ball at all. They don't generate any

841
00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:36,799
Speaker 2: explosives except that one play against Boise State, the back

842
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 2: door cover. But other than that, you know, and we

843
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:41,799
Speaker 2: talked about last week a big reason we were kind

844
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,319
Speaker 2: of scared of Kent State is they're so bad at

845
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:46,680
Speaker 2: special teams. There are one hundred and tenth in the

846
00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 2: country and special teams per sp plus well, Wyoming's one

847
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:53,440
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty fifth, so they're even worse. So they

848
00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:57,400
Speaker 2: kind of balance out that Kent state weakness throwing the

849
00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:00,800
Speaker 2: fact that, I mean, it's so hard right now to

850
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 2: keep track of eligibility. But Dustin Crumb still has a

851
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,759
Speaker 2: chance to be drafted this spring if he doesn't come back.

852
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:08,560
Speaker 2: I don't know if he can or not, but you know,

853
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:11,120
Speaker 2: he was the guy coming easy I thought could be

854
00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:13,600
Speaker 2: an NFL quarterback. I still think he has a chance

855
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:16,880
Speaker 2: if he plays well and tests well at the combine

856
00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:19,799
Speaker 2: and stuff like that. So all in Kent State plus three,

857
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,279
Speaker 2: I just think this offense can put up points, and

858
00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 2: I don't know that Wyoming's can, so I'll take the flashes.

859
00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:30,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, this game has a bunch of units that potentially

860
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:32,440
Speaker 1: are pretty bad on paper, but there's no such thing

861
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:34,120
Speaker 1: as a bad bowl game. It's like there's no such

862
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:36,080
Speaker 1: thing as a bad sunset. You know. I want to

863
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:39,160
Speaker 1: watch as many as I can in both departments as

864
00:39:39,200 --> 00:39:41,799
Speaker 1: I can before you know, I check out from this earth,

865
00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 1: and the famous Idaho Potato Bowl is one of them.

866
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:46,160
Speaker 1: So I'm going to go ahead and just lean into

867
00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 1: my favorite trend of the year, which is Kent State overs.

868
00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:51,319
Speaker 1: I know we didn't get there in the MAC Championship game,

869
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:54,280
Speaker 1: but they played a lot of eighty five plus scoring

870
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:58,799
Speaker 1: games down the stretch, and if they're able to set

871
00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:01,320
Speaker 1: the tempo, if they're able to jump out and speed

872
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:03,840
Speaker 1: Wyoming up even a little bit, I think there's a

873
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:05,920
Speaker 1: chance for this game to blow past the fifty nine

874
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,759
Speaker 1: number Wyoming if they're able to do anything, if their

875
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 1: offense is clicking in the right way, it's going to

876
00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:13,040
Speaker 1: be a big portion of that on the ground. And

877
00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 1: Kent States can't stop anybody on the ground, doesn't matter

878
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:18,320
Speaker 1: how many people they put in the box, stunts, whatever,

879
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 1: They've not been able to stop the run all season long.

880
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:22,719
Speaker 1: So I'll go ahead with an over. And why not.

881
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 1: It's a game that we don't exactly have a lean

882
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:27,600
Speaker 1: or a strong feel on, so why not score, you know,

883
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,640
Speaker 1: reach for some points here and root at home all right? Tuesday,

884
00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:36,279
Speaker 1: December twenty first UTSA playing against San Diego States in

885
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:39,640
Speaker 1: the Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl. It's gonna be played

886
00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 1: in Toyota Stadium down in Frisco, Texas. Game kicks off

887
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:44,399
Speaker 1: at seven thirty. Road Runners two and a half point

888
00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 1: favorite here, the over under forty nine and a half.

889
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:50,239
Speaker 1: Interesting game here, you got a twelve to one team

890
00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:53,759
Speaker 1: against an eleven and two team utsa team that you know,

891
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:55,520
Speaker 1: looked like they were leaking a bit of oil there

892
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:57,960
Speaker 1: down the stretch, but they end up getting it together

893
00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 1: in the Conference USA title game. They held down Bailey's

894
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:02,719
Speaker 1: Appy as best as they could and that was enough

895
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:05,439
Speaker 1: for them, you know, to capture that title. San Diego State,

896
00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:09,600
Speaker 1: on the other hand, they're one sided team. It's all defense.

897
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:12,040
Speaker 1: It's all the punk God matter Riza with field position.

898
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,879
Speaker 1: Their offense has been so difficult to watch this year

899
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:17,280
Speaker 1: and ends up fighting them in the Mountain West Conference

900
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:20,359
Speaker 1: championship game. Another spot here where I potentially get fade

901
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,200
Speaker 1: a team that lost in their conference title game. So

902
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:24,240
Speaker 1: I'll go ahead with the Roadrunners. I like a minus

903
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:26,359
Speaker 1: two and a half in this spot. I think they'll

904
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:28,520
Speaker 1: be healthier. Frank Harris was a little bit bangs up.

905
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:30,960
Speaker 1: Those concerns aren't on the table here. What are your

906
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,200
Speaker 1: thoughts on this game between the Roadrunners and the Estecs.

907
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:36,200
Speaker 2: Why would you even ask me? Why do you even

908
00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:38,960
Speaker 2: need to ask me? You already know me. Meet all

909
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:41,560
Speaker 2: the way UTSA minus two and a half. I love

910
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:45,680
Speaker 2: the Roadrunners here, Youts says, what's their biggest weakness? It's

911
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:49,239
Speaker 2: it's defending the pass. San Diego State can't pass at all.

912
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:51,799
Speaker 2: They are one hundred and thirteenth in past success. They're

913
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:54,319
Speaker 2: one hundred first at creating big plays. They can't throw

914
00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 2: the ball, and that's really you say, is the only weakness.

915
00:41:57,640 --> 00:42:00,120
Speaker 2: And yeah, San Diego State is great against the one

916
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:05,080
Speaker 2: but UTSA defense is thirty fourth in rushing success, so

917
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 2: on defense, so I think you just say, can stop

918
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 2: the San Diego State rushing attack, which is really all

919
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:13,480
Speaker 2: they have. And yes, the San Diego State defense is

920
00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 2: very good, but we just saw Utah State light them up,

921
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:19,600
Speaker 2: and I think you just say, just has so many weapons.

922
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:22,440
Speaker 2: If San Diego State has been very good against one

923
00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:25,720
Speaker 2: dimensional teams because they're very good at kind of honing

924
00:42:25,800 --> 00:42:28,920
Speaker 2: in and taking away that one dimension, you just say

925
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:31,120
Speaker 2: has too many weapons. You know, Frank Harris and Sina

926
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 2: McCormick Toakari Franklin, Joshua sifense. They can be you from anyway,

927
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:37,560
Speaker 2: any direction, any style. They can run it down your throat,

928
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:39,960
Speaker 2: they can throw it over the top. So I just

929
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:42,000
Speaker 2: think they're too good and you just say the offense.

930
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:44,960
Speaker 2: They scored thirty seven point eight points per game this year.

931
00:42:45,040 --> 00:42:47,560
Speaker 2: They put up at least thirty and nine of their

932
00:42:47,600 --> 00:42:52,920
Speaker 2: twelve games. Can San Diego State score thirty? They haven't

933
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:55,279
Speaker 2: an eight straight game, so I don't know that they can.

934
00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:58,120
Speaker 2: And yes, we love the punt God. I think we're

935
00:42:58,120 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 2: gonna see a lot of Punk God because I don't

936
00:42:59,560 --> 00:43:01,279
Speaker 2: think you State's going to move the ball very much

937
00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 2: because they haven't all year. To me this, I don't

938
00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:04,600
Speaker 2: even think it's close. I think I trust you to

939
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,200
Speaker 2: say way more than San Diego State. So give me

940
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:07,800
Speaker 2: the road runners.

941
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:10,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's keep it simple. All due respect to the

942
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:13,960
Speaker 1: punk God and the long snapper punk God's mom on Twitter.

943
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:16,120
Speaker 2: Let me get out on the record. I am pointing

944
00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 2: for him. I hope we see him a ton. I

945
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:20,440
Speaker 2: hope fourteen times.

946
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:22,400
Speaker 1: That was a very political answer. I feel like it

947
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:25,840
Speaker 1: actually tied together perfectly with your narrative. Now for a

948
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:30,600
Speaker 1: standalone game. On Wednesday, December twenty second, Miszoo playing against

949
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 1: Army in the Locky Martin Armed Forces Bowl. This game

950
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:37,080
Speaker 1: is going to be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium

951
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:40,120
Speaker 1: in Fort Worth. Kickoff is an eight pm. Army list

952
00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 1: is a three and a half point favorite. The number

953
00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:44,840
Speaker 1: here fifty eight and a half you're someone who is

954
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:47,759
Speaker 1: very passionate on the bird app when it comes to

955
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:51,200
Speaker 1: service academy unders is this number too high for you?

956
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:52,120
Speaker 1: At fifty eight and a half?

957
00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:55,359
Speaker 2: It's free money? I mean, well, first of all, that's

958
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 2: between two service academies. I don't like to total here

959
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,360
Speaker 2: because I think Army runs it all over them. And

960
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,279
Speaker 2: really this game comes down to just you know, how

961
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 2: big do you think the talent gap is in the

962
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 2: SEC compared to the other leagues? And and is that enough?

963
00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:15,520
Speaker 2: Because Armies should run the ball down their throat? You know,

964
00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:19,760
Speaker 2: the Army is I believe they're first in the country

965
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:23,319
Speaker 2: in success rate, and it's in the reason. Success rate

966
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:25,040
Speaker 2: is the stat we like to use here and is

967
00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:29,719
Speaker 2: very key because sometimes like yards per game is misleading

968
00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:33,640
Speaker 2: because Army only runs the ball. So yes, they're gonna

969
00:44:33,680 --> 00:44:37,239
Speaker 2: pick up a lot of yards, because that's all they

970
00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,239
Speaker 2: do is run the ball. But they are other second,

971
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,680
Speaker 2: Air Force first, their second in the country in rushing

972
00:44:42,840 --> 00:44:46,240
Speaker 2: success which means gaining the yards you should be gaining.

973
00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:48,120
Speaker 2: I believe, I don't remember the number, it's so what

974
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:53,279
Speaker 2: it's seventy five or fifty first down, seventy five on

975
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:55,799
Speaker 2: second down and one hundred on third and fourth down

976
00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:58,759
Speaker 2: yards needed to get a first down. Army does that.

977
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,440
Speaker 2: They pick up the yards they need. They move the

978
00:45:01,560 --> 00:45:05,400
Speaker 2: ball consistently well. Missouri's defense is one hundred and fifteenth

979
00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:09,080
Speaker 2: in success rates stopping the run and ninetieth in line yards.

980
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 2: They are eighty fourth in tackling. And we talk about

981
00:45:12,320 --> 00:45:15,960
Speaker 2: motivations in bowl games. I can't think of anything I

982
00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:19,279
Speaker 2: would be less motivated to do in the middle of

983
00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:22,719
Speaker 2: December then get my legs cut out from underneath me

984
00:45:23,640 --> 00:45:26,360
Speaker 2: all game on. So Army is six and three in

985
00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:29,200
Speaker 2: bowl games. They are three and one under Jeff Monkin.

986
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:32,000
Speaker 2: You look at the Missouri you know, Eli Drinkwitz actually

987
00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:34,560
Speaker 2: said there could be a quarterback competition between Connor Bez,

988
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 2: like Basic might not be the starter, which is weird

989
00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:39,440
Speaker 2: because he was so good last year Connor strug of

990
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:43,320
Speaker 2: this year. Their entire offense is basically Tyler battye is he?

991
00:45:43,680 --> 00:45:45,520
Speaker 2: I mean, he's got to play. But will he get

992
00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 2: a full workload or they gotta run him thirty five times?

993
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:50,759
Speaker 2: I don't know. So I think Army. It's just a

994
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:53,839
Speaker 2: really really good matchup for Army. Missouri cannot stop the run.

995
00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:56,239
Speaker 2: I'll lay the three and a half with Army here.

996
00:45:57,120 --> 00:45:59,520
Speaker 1: It's as simple for me as the bowl game that

997
00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:04,240
Speaker 1: Army was selected in. It's a weapons manufacturer, Lockeed Martin.

998
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:07,000
Speaker 1: You know, in the Armed Forces Bowl, it's probably gonna

999
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:09,279
Speaker 1: be a helicopter on the sideline. Yeah, go ahead, give

1000
00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:12,320
Speaker 1: me the US Army in this one. Gimme monkin. I

1001
00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:16,440
Speaker 1: think their team that can certainly run the football against

1002
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:19,759
Speaker 1: this Missoon team. I don't care that they have SEC athletes.

1003
00:46:19,960 --> 00:46:22,040
Speaker 1: I don't care that they have exposure. They have exposure

1004
00:46:22,040 --> 00:46:24,600
Speaker 1: getting run all over by just about everybody in the SEC.

1005
00:46:25,160 --> 00:46:27,000
Speaker 1: So I know what I'm getting with Army. I'll go

1006
00:46:27,040 --> 00:46:30,080
Speaker 1: ahead and lay the three and a half year with you. Thursday,

1007
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:33,400
Speaker 1: December twenty third, North Texas playing Miami of Ohio in

1008
00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:36,320
Speaker 1: not the first, but second bowl game in Frisco, Texas.

1009
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:40,200
Speaker 1: This is the Frisco Football Classic played at Toyota Stadium.

1010
00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 1: Game kicks off at three point thirty. Miami of Ohio

1011
00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:45,480
Speaker 1: is opened as a three point favorite, total sitting at

1012
00:46:45,600 --> 00:46:48,240
Speaker 1: fifty four. What's your take on this game? In North Texas?

1013
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:51,759
Speaker 1: Team that actually shocked UTSA Roadrunners down the stretch and

1014
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:53,960
Speaker 1: helped them get to that six and six, Mark and

1015
00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 1: sneak in the bowl season.

1016
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:57,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, this is one of those. This is

1017
00:46:57,400 --> 00:47:00,239
Speaker 2: the fate game that was added to BCO. Not even

1018
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 2: a bowl game. It's a football classic. It's not the

1019
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:06,120
Speaker 2: Frisco Football Bowl. I like North Texas here. I like

1020
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:08,800
Speaker 2: them getting the three. They're another team, you know, not

1021
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 2: quite old Dominion, but they did win five straight to

1022
00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:13,000
Speaker 2: finish the year at six and six, and they're playing

1023
00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:15,680
Speaker 2: very good. And Miami's a weird team where they finished

1024
00:47:15,719 --> 00:47:18,239
Speaker 2: six and six, but they lost to finally gave me

1025
00:47:18,280 --> 00:47:20,239
Speaker 2: the year to Kent State, which cost them a trip

1026
00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:23,400
Speaker 2: to the MAC title. And Tom Fernelli actually had a

1027
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:26,520
Speaker 2: phenomenal line about this. He goes, only in the MAC

1028
00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:29,719
Speaker 2: can you nearly win the conference and also barely reach

1029
00:47:29,800 --> 00:47:32,800
Speaker 2: a bowl game. It's like it's they went six and

1030
00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:34,960
Speaker 2: six and they were almost in the conference title. And

1031
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:37,160
Speaker 2: you know, Frisco Texas is like a half an hour

1032
00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:39,839
Speaker 2: from North Texas campus. This is basically a home game.

1033
00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:42,480
Speaker 2: Who who in Miami, Ohio was driving down in Texas

1034
00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:46,080
Speaker 2: for the Frisco Football Classic. Nobody? So North Texas gonna

1035
00:47:46,080 --> 00:47:48,000
Speaker 2: have a home game. They went nine to two and

1036
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:49,960
Speaker 2: one against the spread this year, they are the third

1037
00:47:50,040 --> 00:47:52,760
Speaker 2: best cover rate in the country. Only Michigan and Oklahoma

1038
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:55,719
Speaker 2: State covered more than North Texas. They're offense led by

1039
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:59,400
Speaker 2: DeAndre Tory, whoever just twenty carries per game. All they

1040
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:02,800
Speaker 2: do is run the football get twelve hundred yards thirteen touchdowns.

1041
00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:05,239
Speaker 2: They also have true freshman backs they use as well,

1042
00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:08,759
Speaker 2: who average over five yards per carry, meaning Green is

1043
00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:11,600
Speaker 2: twenty ninth in rushed success. They're twenty seventh in line yards.

1044
00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:14,040
Speaker 2: They should be able to move the ball all over

1045
00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 2: this Miami defense. And then Miami does not run the

1046
00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:19,320
Speaker 2: ball well, and they were like mostly on Brett Gabert,

1047
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:23,320
Speaker 2: who's been very inconsistent, very up and down. And you

1048
00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:26,000
Speaker 2: know during the five game road winning streak, North Texas

1049
00:48:26,040 --> 00:48:28,680
Speaker 2: allowed just seventeen points per game. Their defense is really

1050
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:32,200
Speaker 2: clamped down. They're running the ball well. So you know,

1051
00:48:32,320 --> 00:48:34,480
Speaker 2: we saw them basically fight to save their season, they

1052
00:48:34,520 --> 00:48:38,319
Speaker 2: fought to save their coaches job, and you know, they

1053
00:48:38,400 --> 00:48:40,600
Speaker 2: reached this bowl game. I think they're excited to be here. It's,

1054
00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:42,960
Speaker 2: like I said, basically a home game. So I'll take

1055
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:44,960
Speaker 2: North Texas plus three. I just think I don't think Miami,

1056
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 2: Ohio is good at all, So I'll take the mean green.

1057
00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 1: I'll also throw in, you know, some people out there

1058
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,840
Speaker 1: with the college football fantasy for the bowl season. DeAndre

1059
00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:56,920
Speaker 1: Torri five touchdowns in those last two games. As you mentioned,

1060
00:48:57,120 --> 00:48:59,680
Speaker 1: you know, his average carries per game. He's the workhorse.

1061
00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:02,399
Speaker 1: You know, he's an exciting back. I think he checks

1062
00:49:02,440 --> 00:49:04,600
Speaker 1: in at five to seven, you know in his cleats.

1063
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:07,320
Speaker 1: So he's going to be one of those heroes of

1064
00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:10,000
Speaker 1: bull season, at least for my money. He's someone that

1065
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,440
Speaker 1: is not gaining a lot of national notoriety, but he

1066
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:15,520
Speaker 1: should put on a show here. And it's really the

1067
00:49:15,560 --> 00:49:18,640
Speaker 1: standalone game in the afternoon slot on December twenty third,

1068
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 1: So I think some folks will be starving for some

1069
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:23,760
Speaker 1: football and I'm excited to see him run for aboutwo

1070
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:24,600
Speaker 1: hundre yards in this game.

1071
00:49:25,400 --> 00:49:27,160
Speaker 2: He is another going to like you said, your fill

1072
00:49:27,200 --> 00:49:29,360
Speaker 2: out conference Bools is up and you want to, you know,

1073
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:32,239
Speaker 2: maybe take a stab at a dog like these kind

1074
00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:33,800
Speaker 2: of plus three like this is this is one I

1075
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,200
Speaker 2: would definitely I would definitely take them to win.

1076
00:49:37,760 --> 00:49:41,239
Speaker 1: December twenty third, you seef against Florida in an in

1077
00:49:41,440 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 1: state battle the Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl played at

1078
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,279
Speaker 1: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. This game kicks off at

1079
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:51,560
Speaker 1: seven pm Eastern Florida just under a touchdown six and

1080
00:49:51,600 --> 00:49:54,080
Speaker 1: a half point favorites fifty five and a half as

1081
00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:56,879
Speaker 1: the total here. This one's filled with intrigue. You see

1082
00:49:57,040 --> 00:49:59,120
Speaker 1: f you know in a spot where they turned down

1083
00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:01,560
Speaker 1: that all offer to play almost every game in the

1084
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:04,120
Speaker 1: series at the Swamp they said they didn't want to

1085
00:50:04,160 --> 00:50:06,480
Speaker 1: do it. Now they're paired up. These two teams that

1086
00:50:06,920 --> 00:50:08,879
Speaker 1: have off and on been in the year six Bowl

1087
00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:11,439
Speaker 1: games the last you know, ten years, but now meeting

1088
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:15,040
Speaker 1: in the gas Garwa Bowl. It's this is a hard

1089
00:50:15,080 --> 00:50:17,600
Speaker 1: one to gauge because you have Florida with a new

1090
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 1: coach coming in, so it's kind of an audition for

1091
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:22,920
Speaker 1: the players. UCF finished eight and four this year, but

1092
00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:25,799
Speaker 1: losing Dylan Gabriel and now in the transfer portal. Their

1093
00:50:25,840 --> 00:50:28,680
Speaker 1: offense is clearly not as been not has not been

1094
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:31,560
Speaker 1: as dynamic as years past, So a lot to prove

1095
00:50:31,960 --> 00:50:34,560
Speaker 1: for the Knights. But Florida as a team, you know

1096
00:50:34,680 --> 00:50:36,960
Speaker 1: you mentioned earlier in the podcast where you want to

1097
00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 1: take a you know, either the underdog or a big number.

1098
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:42,759
Speaker 1: I see Florida either winning this by north of two

1099
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:46,640
Speaker 1: touchdowns or getting upset outright, I may utilize your strategy

1100
00:50:46,680 --> 00:50:49,719
Speaker 1: in the spot between the Gators and the Knights one hundred.

1101
00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:52,640
Speaker 2: This This is one of the hardest ones to kind

1102
00:50:52,680 --> 00:50:57,600
Speaker 2: of guess motivation because on one hand, Florida clearly quit,

1103
00:50:57,800 --> 00:51:00,360
Speaker 2: you know, they finished three to nine against Spread. They

1104
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:04,360
Speaker 2: have not covered to Spread since October ninth. But I

1105
00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:08,560
Speaker 2: also do think, you know, Dan Mullen is clearly not

1106
00:51:08,680 --> 00:51:11,400
Speaker 2: a likable person. If you've ever watched like one of

1107
00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:14,200
Speaker 2: his press conferences, the whole time you're just like, what

1108
00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 2: a douche, So him being gone may be a good

1109
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,160
Speaker 2: thing that may motivate the players. I think, you know,

1110
00:51:20,280 --> 00:51:22,680
Speaker 2: Billy Napier coming and he is, you know, scared money,

1111
00:51:22,719 --> 00:51:24,880
Speaker 2: don't make money. He is a raw rock guy. So

1112
00:51:25,440 --> 00:51:29,000
Speaker 2: maybe Dan Mullen being gone fires up Florida. But it's

1113
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:30,680
Speaker 2: kind of hard to guess. And then you also have to,

1114
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:33,560
Speaker 2: like you said, you have the whole fact of, you know,

1115
00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 2: UCF was dodging the big schools while also calling them out.

1116
00:51:38,680 --> 00:51:41,040
Speaker 2: You know, like the players used to say that Florida,

1117
00:51:41,080 --> 00:51:44,320
Speaker 2: Florida State, Miami were too scared to play them. So

1118
00:51:44,520 --> 00:51:46,120
Speaker 2: it's like all right, now you get your chance. So

1119
00:51:46,360 --> 00:51:50,560
Speaker 2: is UCF super motivated to beat the big dog or

1120
00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:53,200
Speaker 2: is the big dog motivated to put little brother in

1121
00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:57,000
Speaker 2: its place? The motivation side angle here has me staying

1122
00:51:57,000 --> 00:52:01,000
Speaker 2: away from this completely. I do say Isaiah Bowser has

1123
00:52:01,040 --> 00:52:05,400
Speaker 2: been hurt. If if he plays, that may make me

1124
00:52:05,520 --> 00:52:08,799
Speaker 2: lean you CEF, because we've seen Florida cannot stop the run.

1125
00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:11,600
Speaker 2: They're they're horrible against the run. I don't trust Mikey

1126
00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:13,400
Speaker 2: Keane to just throw the ball over the place. So

1127
00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:16,799
Speaker 2: if Bowser is able to go and this number can

1128
00:52:16,840 --> 00:52:19,719
Speaker 2: get back to seven seven and a half, I may

1129
00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:22,080
Speaker 2: take UCF. But for now it's a total stay away

1130
00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 2: from me because I have no idea who wants this more.

1131
00:52:25,880 --> 00:52:28,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, as a taping, it doesn't seem like Bowser is

1132
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:31,960
Speaker 1: gonna play, So I'll certainly tease this up, you know,

1133
00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:34,520
Speaker 1: give the extra touchdown on the alternate line. See if

1134
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 1: I can get north of two to one for a

1135
00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:38,960
Speaker 1: Florida run away. Because you did you did mention earlier

1136
00:52:39,040 --> 00:52:41,319
Speaker 1: that Nazoo Army game where it's like, how does army

1137
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:44,719
Speaker 1: respond to sec talent? The Zoo defense doesn't really have

1138
00:52:44,840 --> 00:52:47,520
Speaker 1: it in name only, but the Florida offense. They have

1139
00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:50,640
Speaker 1: a lot of pieces to like. They certainly have you know,

1140
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:52,879
Speaker 1: quarterback play that's been boom or bust. But when it's

1141
00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:55,000
Speaker 1: all been working, I mean you saw early.

1142
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:57,279
Speaker 2: Anthony Richardson's out. Anthony Rigdson is out, so that is

1143
00:52:57,440 --> 00:53:00,719
Speaker 2: that's tough for Florida too, because he is there playmaker guy.

1144
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:04,799
Speaker 1: But even Emery Jones has had his moments this year.

1145
00:53:05,600 --> 00:53:09,400
Speaker 1: So yeah, this is a game high volatility, high variants,

1146
00:53:09,960 --> 00:53:12,879
Speaker 1: and that's the way I'm going to play it. Christmas Eve,

1147
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:16,200
Speaker 1: December twenty fourth, Memphis traveling out to the Big Island

1148
00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:19,920
Speaker 1: to play Hawaii in the Easy Post Hawaii Bowl, not

1149
00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:22,359
Speaker 1: to be played at Pro Player Stadium that I believe

1150
00:53:22,440 --> 00:53:26,480
Speaker 1: is still under renovations, but Clarence TC Ching Athletics Complex

1151
00:53:26,840 --> 00:53:30,080
Speaker 1: there in Honolulu. The kickoff is at eight pm. Memphis

1152
00:53:30,200 --> 00:53:32,960
Speaker 1: a touchdown favorite here with a total of fifty eight

1153
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:36,200
Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, this is so hard to peg.

1154
00:53:36,360 --> 00:53:38,840
Speaker 1: You got Memphis, who's best player. Calvin Austin has now

1155
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,279
Speaker 1: declared for the NFL Draft. He's not playing, and this

1156
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:43,600
Speaker 1: Memphis team clearly did not have the pop when he

1157
00:53:43,719 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 1: wasn't on the field, and Hawaii is embroiled in a

1158
00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:49,759
Speaker 1: potential team mutiny. At this point, Todd Graham people are

1159
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:52,799
Speaker 1: leaking going to the media saying that he's stripped their

1160
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 1: desire and love of football right out of them. That's

1161
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:58,600
Speaker 1: how bad he's been. He had some players enter the

1162
00:53:58,680 --> 00:54:03,560
Speaker 1: portal still, all of that being said, playing in a

1163
00:54:03,719 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 1: practice facility stadium more or less, this game another high variance,

1164
00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:11,120
Speaker 1: weird one in my opinion, and seven seems like a

1165
00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:13,480
Speaker 1: lot of points for a Memphis team that early on

1166
00:54:13,560 --> 00:54:15,960
Speaker 1: in this season looks like it was really coming together.

1167
00:54:16,120 --> 00:54:19,160
Speaker 1: They had some nice, you know, backfield play, headlined by

1168
00:54:19,160 --> 00:54:22,360
Speaker 1: Seth Hennigan, eighteen year old starting quarterback, but he played

1169
00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:24,680
Speaker 1: like a freshman in a lot of spots and taking

1170
00:54:24,760 --> 00:54:27,400
Speaker 1: away Austin. Even though Hawaii's not going to have Day

1171
00:54:27,480 --> 00:54:31,239
Speaker 1: Day Hunter in this one. There's just too much uncertainty

1172
00:54:31,400 --> 00:54:34,480
Speaker 1: with motivation on the table and also the fact that

1173
00:54:34,520 --> 00:54:36,479
Speaker 1: you're playing on Christmas Eve. This has been a weird

1174
00:54:36,520 --> 00:54:39,040
Speaker 1: Bowl game over the years. I'm going to go ahead

1175
00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:41,640
Speaker 1: and just say under fifty eight and a half that

1176
00:54:41,680 --> 00:54:44,160
Speaker 1: would be my lean, But the side and the money

1177
00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:45,640
Speaker 1: line that this one scares me away.

1178
00:54:47,320 --> 00:54:50,120
Speaker 2: I actually don't hate the under did the Austin you

1179
00:54:50,200 --> 00:54:52,439
Speaker 2: just come out yesterday or something. I actually didn't see

1180
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 2: that earlier. But I love Memphis here. I think Memphis

1181
00:54:55,640 --> 00:54:57,200
Speaker 2: croshes them. I think they're running up on them. I

1182
00:54:57,239 --> 00:55:00,280
Speaker 2: think Hawaii kind of thinks they actually have a losing record.

1183
00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:02,840
Speaker 2: They're six and seven. This was basically the reason they

1184
00:55:02,880 --> 00:55:05,120
Speaker 2: had to make up that fake ball game that we

1185
00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:08,120
Speaker 2: just talked about was because Hawaii had their weird schedule

1186
00:55:08,160 --> 00:55:10,800
Speaker 2: where they played New Mexico State twice this year, so

1187
00:55:10,840 --> 00:55:13,560
Speaker 2: they had thirteen regular season games. So they have a

1188
00:55:13,600 --> 00:55:16,800
Speaker 2: ball despite a losing record. And as you mentioned, you

1189
00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:19,960
Speaker 2: know they're in disarray right now. Todd Graham, like you said,

1190
00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:24,280
Speaker 2: accused of verbal abuse and quote killing their love of football.

1191
00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:27,600
Speaker 2: That's not a good signce Ca. When you talk about motivation,

1192
00:55:28,120 --> 00:55:30,279
Speaker 2: players are openly mini they don't love football anymore because

1193
00:55:30,280 --> 00:55:33,239
Speaker 2: their head coach. So that says all the motivation I need.

1194
00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:37,080
Speaker 2: Cordero's out, he's in the portal, Daty Hunter's in the portal,

1195
00:55:37,520 --> 00:55:40,160
Speaker 2: and you look at both of them missed games this year,

1196
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:43,480
Speaker 2: so we actually kind of have a sample size without them. Well,

1197
00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:47,480
Speaker 2: when Braden Schrager played for Cordero, he played four games,

1198
00:55:47,640 --> 00:55:50,560
Speaker 2: he had two touchdowns and five interceptions. He averaged one

1199
00:55:50,640 --> 00:55:54,480
Speaker 2: hundred and two yards passing per game. Dante Hunter missed

1200
00:55:54,560 --> 00:55:56,360
Speaker 2: three games with injury, and then he had you know,

1201
00:55:56,440 --> 00:55:58,400
Speaker 2: he got her early in one game, and then the

1202
00:55:58,680 --> 00:56:01,360
Speaker 2: first game back he clearly her. He had like six carries.

1203
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:03,759
Speaker 2: So in those five games when he was out or

1204
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:08,120
Speaker 2: clearly still injured, Hawaii went one in four. They were

1205
00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:10,480
Speaker 2: just their offense could not move the ball without Hunter,

1206
00:56:11,000 --> 00:56:14,560
Speaker 2: and they can't move the ball without Cordero either. And

1207
00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:16,960
Speaker 2: then on the flip side, the Hawaii defense is ninety

1208
00:56:17,040 --> 00:56:20,040
Speaker 2: seventh in passing success in one hundred and eleventh in

1209
00:56:20,160 --> 00:56:23,719
Speaker 2: coverage grade. Colvin Austin being out definitely hurts. I did

1210
00:56:23,760 --> 00:56:26,880
Speaker 2: not know that ahead of time. That sucks. But I

1211
00:56:27,080 --> 00:56:29,600
Speaker 2: still like Memphis seth Henigan. I think he's gonna throw

1212
00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:32,080
Speaker 2: it all over the yard here. I actually bet the

1213
00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:34,160
Speaker 2: set minus three and a half, so I got a

1214
00:56:34,200 --> 00:56:36,000
Speaker 2: pretty good number on it. It's now up to six

1215
00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:38,759
Speaker 2: and a half seven. This is a spot. I may

1216
00:56:38,880 --> 00:56:40,920
Speaker 2: look at an alternate line, like like you love doing,

1217
00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:43,279
Speaker 2: I may take I may take Memphis minus ten, I

1218
00:56:43,360 --> 00:56:46,359
Speaker 2: may take Memphis minus fourteen. I think there's a really

1219
00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:49,520
Speaker 2: good chance. Memphis absolutely houses them. You also have to

1220
00:56:49,560 --> 00:56:52,400
Speaker 2: throw them. Like you mentioned, it's games in Hawaiian. So

1221
00:56:52,640 --> 00:56:56,200
Speaker 2: at least Memphis gets, you know, the they get to

1222
00:56:56,280 --> 00:56:58,640
Speaker 2: go to Hawaii for Christmas Eve. They get the vacation,

1223
00:56:58,880 --> 00:57:01,439
Speaker 2: and I'm not looking at it as you know, they'll

1224
00:57:01,480 --> 00:57:03,399
Speaker 2: be tired or hungover or whatever. It's like now they're

1225
00:57:03,440 --> 00:57:05,840
Speaker 2: going to be excited to be in Hawaii. It's Hawaii.

1226
00:57:06,600 --> 00:57:10,240
Speaker 2: Whereas for Hawaii, they're playing this game at their practice facility,

1227
00:57:10,880 --> 00:57:13,080
Speaker 2: you know. So it's like one team's getting a trip

1228
00:57:13,120 --> 00:57:16,200
Speaker 2: to Hawaii, the other team's going to their practice facility.

1229
00:57:16,920 --> 00:57:19,000
Speaker 2: I think Memphis is going to be more excited to

1230
00:57:19,040 --> 00:57:22,120
Speaker 2: be there, so I think they absolutely crushed them.

1231
00:57:23,720 --> 00:57:26,880
Speaker 1: Saturday, December twenty fifth, Christmas Day, we finally have a

1232
00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:30,080
Speaker 1: bowl game on Christmas Day again. Georgia State ball State

1233
00:57:30,160 --> 00:57:32,720
Speaker 1: in the Tax Act Chamellia Bowl. It's going to be

1234
00:57:32,760 --> 00:57:36,560
Speaker 1: played in Crampton Bowl down in Montgomery, Alabama. Kicks off

1235
00:57:36,680 --> 00:57:39,720
Speaker 1: at two thirty in the afternoon Eastern time. Georgia State

1236
00:57:39,720 --> 00:57:41,760
Speaker 1: at four and a half point favorite in this spot

1237
00:57:41,920 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 1: with a total being listed at fifty. These are two

1238
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:47,600
Speaker 1: teams that I had higher hopes in the preseason. Georgia

1239
00:57:47,600 --> 00:57:49,640
Speaker 1: State did get it together, finished with seven wins on

1240
00:57:49,760 --> 00:57:52,960
Speaker 1: the season. They had been such a pesky team in

1241
00:57:53,080 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 1: twenty twenty in the Sun Belt and kind of got

1242
00:57:55,360 --> 00:57:57,440
Speaker 1: off to a slow start, you know, to this season

1243
00:57:57,560 --> 00:58:01,720
Speaker 1: this fall Ball State similarly, having been the defending MAC champions,

1244
00:58:01,760 --> 00:58:04,160
Speaker 1: they finished at six and six, and they had long

1245
00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:07,400
Speaker 1: stretches of the season where they seemed lost offensively, they

1246
00:58:07,440 --> 00:58:10,280
Speaker 1: got it together in the middle. Drew Plitt ended up

1247
00:58:10,320 --> 00:58:13,400
Speaker 1: putting it together. Kind of an underwhelming performance, you know,

1248
00:58:13,520 --> 00:58:16,000
Speaker 1: over the course of the season under twenty three hundred yards,

1249
00:58:16,040 --> 00:58:19,360
Speaker 1: passing only seventeen touchdowns. So this game is a little

1250
00:58:19,400 --> 00:58:22,360
Speaker 1: bit confusing to me in terms of which side I'm on.

1251
00:58:22,920 --> 00:58:26,360
Speaker 1: But the number of fifty I like over in this spot.

1252
00:58:26,400 --> 00:58:30,080
Speaker 1: That's my lean. These are two offenses that at times

1253
00:58:30,120 --> 00:58:31,880
Speaker 1: have been able to get it together, so at least

1254
00:58:31,920 --> 00:58:34,720
Speaker 1: on their high ends of their potential, I see certainly

1255
00:58:34,800 --> 00:58:37,840
Speaker 1: north of fifty. The weather as well, shouldn't be a

1256
00:58:37,880 --> 00:58:40,280
Speaker 1: big concern down in Alabama this time of year, even

1257
00:58:40,280 --> 00:58:42,200
Speaker 1: though it is an outdoor game. What are your thoughts

1258
00:58:42,200 --> 00:58:43,960
Speaker 1: on this game between the Panthers and the Cardinals.

1259
00:58:45,200 --> 00:58:47,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I should I really like Georgia State here, I think,

1260
00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:50,120
Speaker 2: you know, like you said, it's in Alabama, so it's

1261
00:58:50,120 --> 00:58:51,960
Speaker 2: a lot closer for Georgia State, which I think is

1262
00:58:52,000 --> 00:58:54,720
Speaker 2: big on Christmas Day. I don't know how many people

1263
00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:57,000
Speaker 2: from Ball State are going down to this game. Georgia

1264
00:58:57,040 --> 00:58:59,080
Speaker 2: State's the other team that got hot late. You know,

1265
00:58:59,120 --> 00:59:01,040
Speaker 2: they won six of their five A seven games, And

1266
00:59:01,120 --> 00:59:04,600
Speaker 2: similar to ODU, it kind of corresponds with the quarterback change.

1267
00:59:04,640 --> 00:59:07,080
Speaker 2: They bench Quad Brown, who was actually one of the

1268
00:59:07,160 --> 00:59:10,200
Speaker 2: more exciting quarterbacks I thought coming into the year, he's

1269
00:59:10,320 --> 00:59:12,880
Speaker 2: very good. Last year switched it up for Darren Granger.

1270
00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:17,200
Speaker 2: He tost sixteen touchdowns four interceptions. But Georgia State, you know,

1271
00:59:17,280 --> 00:59:18,919
Speaker 2: they want to run the ball there. I think they're

1272
00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:21,400
Speaker 2: like only, like, really, the Service academies run the ball

1273
00:59:21,440 --> 00:59:23,160
Speaker 2: more than them. They're sixth in the country and rush

1274
00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:27,040
Speaker 2: rate led by Tucker Greg Jemias Williams and then Granger

1275
00:59:27,120 --> 00:59:29,640
Speaker 2: of course, and Jamias Williams is actually a very cool story.

1276
00:59:30,240 --> 00:59:33,600
Speaker 2: He actually started his career at South Carolina as a cornerback.

1277
00:59:33,960 --> 00:59:36,440
Speaker 2: He was named to the SEC All Freshman Team as

1278
00:59:36,480 --> 00:59:40,080
Speaker 2: a corner in twenty seventeen. Sent three seasons at South Carolina,

1279
00:59:40,080 --> 00:59:41,680
Speaker 2: I like played a lot. I think he started his

1280
00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:46,080
Speaker 2: third year there and then transferred to Georgia State last year,

1281
00:59:46,160 --> 00:59:48,320
Speaker 2: and halfway through last year made the switch to running

1282
00:59:48,360 --> 00:59:50,680
Speaker 2: back and he's don't pretty good. Him and Greg both

1283
00:59:50,720 --> 00:59:52,520
Speaker 2: have nine touchdowns this year. So it's kind of a

1284
00:59:52,560 --> 00:59:56,080
Speaker 2: cool story sec Corner playing playing running back now. But

1285
00:59:56,160 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 2: the balls A defense really struggles against the run. Their

1286
00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:00,640
Speaker 2: ninety seventh and rushed success on defense their ninety fifth

1287
01:00:00,680 --> 01:00:02,840
Speaker 2: in line yard. So Georgia State shoul run all over then,

1288
01:00:03,280 --> 01:00:05,840
Speaker 2: and as you mentioned, Plitt was not the same this year.

1289
01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:08,400
Speaker 2: He really struggled. They can't run the ball at all.

1290
01:00:08,800 --> 01:00:11,400
Speaker 2: The ball State offense had just three hundred and thirty

1291
01:00:11,440 --> 01:00:14,720
Speaker 2: five yards per game and five point zero yards per play.

1292
01:00:15,360 --> 01:00:18,920
Speaker 2: Those were both eleventh in the MAC, worse than Akron.

1293
01:00:19,200 --> 01:00:23,000
Speaker 2: So anytime you have any stat in the world worse

1294
01:00:23,080 --> 01:00:26,760
Speaker 2: than Akron, it's not the best sign. So I'll take

1295
01:00:26,800 --> 01:00:28,920
Speaker 2: Georgia State here. They have like they're a little bit closer.

1296
01:00:28,960 --> 01:00:30,640
Speaker 2: I think they'll have more fans there. I think they

1297
01:00:30,680 --> 01:00:32,840
Speaker 2: can run the ball in ball State, And like you said,

1298
01:00:33,320 --> 01:00:35,040
Speaker 2: did you play it kind of up and down year.

1299
01:00:35,280 --> 01:00:36,400
Speaker 2: I think continues one more.

1300
01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:40,480
Speaker 1: Game December twenty seventh, Western Michigan at Nevada in the

1301
01:00:40,560 --> 01:00:43,360
Speaker 1: Quick Lane Bowl played at Ford Field. They're in Detroit, Michigan.

1302
01:00:43,440 --> 01:00:46,160
Speaker 1: Kicks off at eleven a m on that Monday morning.

1303
01:00:46,440 --> 01:00:48,560
Speaker 1: Western Michigan opened in as a three and a half

1304
01:00:48,640 --> 01:00:51,640
Speaker 1: point favorite with a total at fifty nine. The total

1305
01:00:51,800 --> 01:00:53,360
Speaker 1: is where I'm zeroed in here. This is one of

1306
01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:56,200
Speaker 1: my favorite plays of Bowl season. I like over fifty

1307
01:00:56,280 --> 01:00:59,440
Speaker 1: nine and listen. Western Michigan was a borderline top ten

1308
01:00:59,520 --> 01:01:01,720
Speaker 1: team in total offense this year, but they got snink

1309
01:01:01,760 --> 01:01:04,840
Speaker 1: bit by turnovers and red zone scoring. So in a

1310
01:01:04,880 --> 01:01:06,800
Speaker 1: small sample size in a single game, if they can

1311
01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:08,760
Speaker 1: get that cleaned up, they're able to move the ball

1312
01:01:08,840 --> 01:01:10,800
Speaker 1: up and down the field. They have balanced between the

1313
01:01:10,840 --> 01:01:14,040
Speaker 1: run and the pass. Nevada waltzes in with a top

1314
01:01:14,080 --> 01:01:17,720
Speaker 1: five passing attack led by Carson Strong and while Western

1315
01:01:17,880 --> 01:01:20,840
Speaker 1: was very good statistically against the pass throughout the season,

1316
01:01:21,160 --> 01:01:23,600
Speaker 1: and they're super disruptive on their defensive line. Ninth, that's

1317
01:01:23,600 --> 01:01:26,360
Speaker 1: stack rate. They played three top thirty in terms of

1318
01:01:26,400 --> 01:01:30,080
Speaker 1: PDR quarterbacks throughout the season, Kenny Pickett, Kaye McNamara and

1319
01:01:30,160 --> 01:01:33,280
Speaker 1: Dustin Crumb. They gave up over forty points per game

1320
01:01:33,360 --> 01:01:36,240
Speaker 1: in those three games, So I'm looking at that sample,

1321
01:01:36,320 --> 01:01:38,960
Speaker 1: I'm looking at them playing against dynamic passing offenses or

1322
01:01:39,000 --> 01:01:41,520
Speaker 1: at least strong offenses, and they got lit up. And

1323
01:01:41,600 --> 01:01:44,720
Speaker 1: then a little historical nugget. The last seven times the

1324
01:01:44,800 --> 01:01:48,120
Speaker 1: Quicklane Slash Little Caesars Bowl has featured a MAC team,

1325
01:01:48,240 --> 01:01:50,040
Speaker 1: five of those seven have gone over the total. So

1326
01:01:50,080 --> 01:01:52,040
Speaker 1: I'm going to go ahead over fifty nine here as

1327
01:01:52,080 --> 01:01:53,640
Speaker 1: one of my top players of full season. What are

1328
01:01:53,640 --> 01:01:54,200
Speaker 1: your thoughts there?

1329
01:01:54,600 --> 01:01:56,680
Speaker 2: Western Michigan beat Can you picket in it? By the way,

1330
01:01:56,720 --> 01:01:59,800
Speaker 2: which we were on, So this is maybe one of

1331
01:01:59,840 --> 01:02:02,960
Speaker 2: the hardest games to handicap. Given all the uncertainty with Nevada,

1332
01:02:03,360 --> 01:02:05,760
Speaker 2: this game had the biggest line movement we've seen so

1333
01:02:05,880 --> 01:02:09,200
Speaker 2: far ball season. This game actually opened Nevada minus six

1334
01:02:09,520 --> 01:02:11,600
Speaker 2: and has swung all the way to minus three and

1335
01:02:11,600 --> 01:02:13,520
Speaker 2: a half Western Michigan. Last I looked, I don't know

1336
01:02:13,520 --> 01:02:14,680
Speaker 2: if it's still three and a half. That's what it

1337
01:02:14,720 --> 01:02:17,880
Speaker 2: was last when I wrote this down. So for your overplay,

1338
01:02:18,080 --> 01:02:21,520
Speaker 2: I actually don't hate that because my pick is Western

1339
01:02:21,600 --> 01:02:23,800
Speaker 2: Michigan minus three and a half, and I think if

1340
01:02:23,840 --> 01:02:26,080
Speaker 2: you played both of our picks, you have a very

1341
01:02:26,120 --> 01:02:28,800
Speaker 2: strong chance of winning at least one because part of

1342
01:02:28,840 --> 01:02:31,360
Speaker 2: the reason I like Western Michigan minus three and a half.

1343
01:02:32,000 --> 01:02:33,760
Speaker 2: I don't know that Carson Strong plays, and I think

1344
01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:36,320
Speaker 2: that's what this line movement's telling you. Nevada head coach

1345
01:02:36,400 --> 01:02:39,720
Speaker 2: Jane Novella left for Colorado State, the defensive coordinator left

1346
01:02:39,720 --> 01:02:43,520
Speaker 2: for Washington State. The offensive coordinator. People think he's gonna

1347
01:02:43,520 --> 01:02:44,960
Speaker 2: go to Colorado State too. I don't know that's been

1348
01:02:45,000 --> 01:02:48,920
Speaker 2: officially announced, So who knows who's coaching this game. We

1349
01:02:49,000 --> 01:02:52,080
Speaker 2: already had Cole Turner opt out for the game. He's

1350
01:02:52,160 --> 01:02:57,120
Speaker 2: going pro and wide receivers Tory Horton Stovall, and Justin Lockhart,

1351
01:02:57,520 --> 01:03:00,120
Speaker 2: their second, third, and fourth leading receivers, are all in

1352
01:03:00,160 --> 01:03:04,120
Speaker 2: the transfer portal. So Carson Strong has openly said he

1353
01:03:04,240 --> 01:03:06,280
Speaker 2: does not know if he's playing. He's seeing a doctor

1354
01:03:06,360 --> 01:03:08,800
Speaker 2: in LA to have his knee checked out and decide

1355
01:03:08,880 --> 01:03:11,960
Speaker 2: what's best for him. He may be a first round pick,

1356
01:03:12,280 --> 01:03:15,440
Speaker 2: so I don't care what his knee looks like. How

1357
01:03:15,600 --> 01:03:18,160
Speaker 2: is playing this game best for him or good for him?

1358
01:03:18,280 --> 01:03:19,760
Speaker 2: You know, I mean, unless he wants to go torch

1359
01:03:19,800 --> 01:03:22,800
Speaker 2: Western Michigan, which he may, But that's again kind of

1360
01:03:22,880 --> 01:03:26,280
Speaker 2: why I like playing both of them, because the Western

1361
01:03:26,320 --> 01:03:28,640
Speaker 2: Michigan offense is very good. We love them, We've been

1362
01:03:28,640 --> 01:03:30,520
Speaker 2: on them a lot this year. Calebell will be skymore.

1363
01:03:30,560 --> 01:03:32,440
Speaker 2: You know, Sean Tyler their twenty eighth in past success,

1364
01:03:32,480 --> 01:03:35,680
Speaker 2: one hundred or fifteenth in rush success. And this amount

1365
01:03:35,680 --> 01:03:37,479
Speaker 2: of defense to struggle. There's seventy thirty against the pass,

1366
01:03:37,480 --> 01:03:40,040
Speaker 2: one hundred and twelve against the run. So I think

1367
01:03:40,080 --> 01:03:42,480
Speaker 2: you have kind of a good combination of If Strong

1368
01:03:42,720 --> 01:03:45,800
Speaker 2: and Dubbs play, you're over should hit easily, and if

1369
01:03:45,840 --> 01:03:48,360
Speaker 2: they don't play, Western Michigan should win easily. So I

1370
01:03:48,400 --> 01:03:50,120
Speaker 2: think if you play both, you're kind of hedging the

1371
01:03:50,160 --> 01:03:53,520
Speaker 2: strong factor. But I'm going with Western Michigan. I don't

1372
01:03:53,520 --> 01:03:55,680
Speaker 2: think strong plays, I don't think Dubs plays. We've seen

1373
01:03:55,680 --> 01:03:57,760
Speaker 2: everyone else opt out. It's you know, it's hard for

1374
01:03:57,800 --> 01:03:59,160
Speaker 2: Sewan to put up big numbers when none of his

1375
01:03:59,280 --> 01:04:01,720
Speaker 2: receivers are play playing. And the other thing too. We'll

1376
01:04:01,720 --> 01:04:05,640
Speaker 2: talk about motivation. This game's in Detroit. This is this

1377
01:04:05,840 --> 01:04:10,320
Speaker 2: is Mac Country. Every MAC team starts their season with

1378
01:04:10,480 --> 01:04:14,400
Speaker 2: the dream of reaching Ford Field. Now, granted it's probably

1379
01:04:14,400 --> 01:04:17,880
Speaker 2: a few weeks after Western Michigan would have liked, but this,

1380
01:04:18,200 --> 01:04:21,800
Speaker 2: this is Mac country. Give me the MAC team Western Michigan.

1381
01:04:21,560 --> 01:04:24,520
Speaker 1: Here, And that's a great reminder. This is the time

1382
01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:26,880
Speaker 1: of year with the opt outs and the transfer portal.

1383
01:04:26,960 --> 01:04:29,840
Speaker 1: You want to wait probably until the morning of and

1384
01:04:29,960 --> 01:04:32,960
Speaker 1: make sure you get the latest intel on this. Twitter's

1385
01:04:33,240 --> 01:04:35,480
Speaker 1: obviously a great resource to be able to tap into

1386
01:04:35,520 --> 01:04:38,320
Speaker 1: some of those local beat writers. Just go through search

1387
01:04:38,440 --> 01:04:41,800
Speaker 1: Carson Strong, search Romeo Doubes. Make sure that there are

1388
01:04:42,040 --> 01:04:44,400
Speaker 1: as much full strength as they can be with some

1389
01:04:44,480 --> 01:04:47,240
Speaker 1: of this news already out there in the market, but

1390
01:04:47,320 --> 01:04:50,480
Speaker 1: a few plays, it's still the strongest recommendation I can

1391
01:04:50,520 --> 01:04:52,640
Speaker 1: give on the over and I do like what you're

1392
01:04:52,840 --> 01:04:55,240
Speaker 1: you're pitching there in terms of the spread and the

1393
01:04:55,320 --> 01:04:56,840
Speaker 1: fact that Western Michigan is going to have a lot

1394
01:04:56,880 --> 01:05:00,400
Speaker 1: of fans in Ford Field. Monday, December twenty seventh, Boston

1395
01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:04,440
Speaker 1: College against East Carolina and the Military Bowl presented by Paraiton.

1396
01:05:04,920 --> 01:05:09,200
Speaker 1: It's at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis. Kickoff

1397
01:05:09,280 --> 01:05:12,280
Speaker 1: is at two thirty PMBC. A field goal favorite fifty

1398
01:05:12,360 --> 01:05:15,800
Speaker 1: one and a half as the total. I just like

1399
01:05:15,920 --> 01:05:18,720
Speaker 1: the upside of East Carolina when I look at this game.

1400
01:05:18,800 --> 01:05:22,520
Speaker 1: Okhold Nailer's Keyton Mitchell snead out on the perimeter. They

1401
01:05:22,600 --> 01:05:25,600
Speaker 1: have playmakers. They played up at times this year. This

1402
01:05:25,760 --> 01:05:28,240
Speaker 1: is a fan base that, if you're on social media

1403
01:05:28,440 --> 01:05:31,320
Speaker 1: at least in G five lands, that's very passionate about

1404
01:05:31,320 --> 01:05:33,040
Speaker 1: their team. They're gonna have a lot of fans at

1405
01:05:33,080 --> 01:05:35,920
Speaker 1: this game. They're excited about what Mike Houston is building.

1406
01:05:36,400 --> 01:05:39,200
Speaker 1: And it's a Boston College team that has been banged

1407
01:05:39,280 --> 01:05:41,840
Speaker 1: up throughout the season. They've kind of, you know, kept

1408
01:05:41,880 --> 01:05:44,720
Speaker 1: their offense together with you scotch tape and super glue.

1409
01:05:45,400 --> 01:05:48,520
Speaker 1: I'm looking at this number. You know, usually when you

1410
01:05:48,640 --> 01:05:50,880
Speaker 1: have a power team playing against a G five team,

1411
01:05:51,400 --> 01:05:53,400
Speaker 1: just you know by virtue of that, you're going to

1412
01:05:53,480 --> 01:05:55,640
Speaker 1: have it closer to a seven point spread. The fact

1413
01:05:55,680 --> 01:05:57,600
Speaker 1: that it's three here, I think there is respect for

1414
01:05:57,680 --> 01:06:00,240
Speaker 1: the Pirates in an underdog spot. I'm gonna pay them

1415
01:06:00,280 --> 01:06:02,240
Speaker 1: on the money line. What are your thoughts on East

1416
01:06:02,280 --> 01:06:04,440
Speaker 1: Carolina in a game that clearly is going to be

1417
01:06:04,960 --> 01:06:07,760
Speaker 1: more meaningful to them For a Boston College team that

1418
01:06:08,120 --> 01:06:10,600
Speaker 1: early in the season, they were an acc sleeper before

1419
01:06:10,640 --> 01:06:13,200
Speaker 1: that injury at quarterback. You know the issues that they

1420
01:06:13,320 --> 01:06:17,680
Speaker 1: dealt with with Kovic. They had high aspirations in a

1421
01:06:17,720 --> 01:06:20,360
Speaker 1: wide open acc So there's a lot, at least in

1422
01:06:20,440 --> 01:06:23,440
Speaker 1: my opinion, trending towards who cares about this game. Down

1423
01:06:23,480 --> 01:06:25,800
Speaker 1: at the Naval Academy, we're on the ECU side. This

1424
01:06:25,840 --> 01:06:28,480
Speaker 1: could be a launching pads of bigger things in the AAC.

1425
01:06:28,640 --> 01:06:29,240
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts?

1426
01:06:30,880 --> 01:06:32,640
Speaker 2: This is a hard one for me. I have no

1427
01:06:32,760 --> 01:06:34,800
Speaker 2: picking this. I've actually I'm going to play it. I

1428
01:06:34,920 --> 01:06:38,000
Speaker 2: just haven't decided how. I've gone back and forth between.

1429
01:06:39,200 --> 01:06:41,480
Speaker 2: I like Boston College. I think I've gone back and

1430
01:06:41,520 --> 01:06:45,280
Speaker 2: for between Boston College and the over And first of all,

1431
01:06:45,280 --> 01:06:48,040
Speaker 2: I actually disagree with you. I think I think motivation

1432
01:06:48,120 --> 01:06:50,720
Speaker 2: will not be an issue at all for either team,

1433
01:06:50,880 --> 01:06:53,560
Speaker 2: and a big reason is Jeff Hathley and Mike Houston

1434
01:06:53,640 --> 01:06:56,160
Speaker 2: are two of my favorite coaches in college football. They

1435
01:06:56,200 --> 01:06:58,600
Speaker 2: are two coaches I think do an extremely good job

1436
01:06:59,440 --> 01:07:02,040
Speaker 2: of working with less getting their players ready to go.

1437
01:07:03,360 --> 01:07:05,480
Speaker 2: I think both teams will be very into this, just

1438
01:07:05,640 --> 01:07:08,280
Speaker 2: based on the kind of the culture that their coaches,

1439
01:07:08,400 --> 01:07:10,880
Speaker 2: which honestly, I'm a little surprised either one of them

1440
01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:13,560
Speaker 2: got a better job. They were both kind of They're

1441
01:07:13,600 --> 01:07:16,640
Speaker 2: both names I think will move up, you know, the

1442
01:07:16,720 --> 01:07:19,960
Speaker 2: next year or two. So I'm not worried about motivation.

1443
01:07:20,080 --> 01:07:23,040
Speaker 2: I also think they both have the added injection of

1444
01:07:24,000 --> 01:07:27,520
Speaker 2: dack Kovic and Holan Ayler is announcing that their returning

1445
01:07:27,560 --> 01:07:29,640
Speaker 2: next year. I know that seems stunning because it feels

1446
01:07:29,640 --> 01:07:31,880
Speaker 2: like Alers has been there for you know, seven years,

1447
01:07:31,960 --> 01:07:34,400
Speaker 2: but apparently he's still has eligibility. I think he's thirty

1448
01:07:34,440 --> 01:07:37,520
Speaker 2: at this point. But I also think the time off

1449
01:07:37,640 --> 01:07:40,440
Speaker 2: you mentioned the Boston College, they are a hard team

1450
01:07:40,480 --> 01:07:42,640
Speaker 2: to read because you can't really go off any of

1451
01:07:42,720 --> 01:07:46,120
Speaker 2: their statistics or numbers because most of them without Dakovic,

1452
01:07:46,440 --> 01:07:49,040
Speaker 2: who came into this year, as you know it, projected

1453
01:07:49,080 --> 01:07:50,640
Speaker 2: to be one of the top quarterbacks. You know, he's

1454
01:07:50,640 --> 01:07:52,919
Speaker 2: already being looked at as a first round pick next year.

1455
01:07:53,480 --> 01:07:55,360
Speaker 2: He had that risk surgery after the second game of

1456
01:07:55,400 --> 01:07:57,440
Speaker 2: the year. He missed six games. When he returned, he

1457
01:07:57,560 --> 01:07:59,400
Speaker 2: just he did not look like himself. He was not

1458
01:07:59,520 --> 01:08:03,000
Speaker 2: the same Charlotte to regain his form. Four touchdowns, four picks.

1459
01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:05,640
Speaker 2: Now he's had like a month to rest, and I

1460
01:08:05,760 --> 01:08:08,440
Speaker 2: do think he comes out and looks more like we

1461
01:08:08,560 --> 01:08:11,960
Speaker 2: would expect him. You know. The one concerned with BC

1462
01:08:12,120 --> 01:08:14,320
Speaker 2: tens to be that they rely on Zave Flowers probably

1463
01:08:14,320 --> 01:08:16,240
Speaker 2: a little too much. But at the same time, Dave

1464
01:08:16,320 --> 01:08:18,760
Speaker 2: Flowers is awesome and he's tamble of taking over a game.

1465
01:08:19,479 --> 01:08:21,200
Speaker 2: ECU is kind of a weird team, where like you said,

1466
01:08:21,200 --> 01:08:23,560
Speaker 2: I love Alers. They have two really good backs with

1467
01:08:23,600 --> 01:08:27,000
Speaker 2: Keaton Mitchell and Roger Harris, but they their offensive line

1468
01:08:27,080 --> 01:08:30,240
Speaker 2: is really bad, so they don't run the ball as

1469
01:08:30,280 --> 01:08:33,240
Speaker 2: consistently as you think based on how good their backs are.

1470
01:08:33,560 --> 01:08:36,000
Speaker 2: They're just eighty seventh in rushing success one hundred and

1471
01:08:36,040 --> 01:08:38,519
Speaker 2: eighteenth in line yards, so you think theyt run the

1472
01:08:38,520 --> 01:08:40,479
Speaker 2: ball better, but they kind of have him and then

1473
01:08:41,280 --> 01:08:44,400
Speaker 2: Aylers is awesome. But this Boston College secondary is really good.

1474
01:08:44,479 --> 01:08:47,599
Speaker 2: They're thirty first against the pass. They're eleventh in coverage grade.

1475
01:08:47,760 --> 01:08:50,799
Speaker 2: The cornerbacks Elijah Jones and Josh Deaberry are both excellent.

1476
01:08:50,840 --> 01:08:54,040
Speaker 2: They've allowed over three hundred yards just once passing all year,

1477
01:08:54,320 --> 01:08:57,439
Speaker 2: and it was three hundred and three to Missouri in overtime.

1478
01:08:57,920 --> 01:09:00,160
Speaker 2: Other than that, they have not allowed over four over

1479
01:09:00,240 --> 01:09:02,559
Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty one passing yards all season except

1480
01:09:02,600 --> 01:09:06,320
Speaker 2: that one game. So that aspect of it makes me

1481
01:09:06,479 --> 01:09:10,200
Speaker 2: lean Boston College because of how good their secondary is. Well,

1482
01:09:10,320 --> 01:09:12,599
Speaker 2: I still really like the East Carolina offense and think

1483
01:09:12,760 --> 01:09:15,840
Speaker 2: you know, they can get in the twenties. And I

1484
01:09:15,920 --> 01:09:20,719
Speaker 2: also think Boston College can, So you know, I probably

1485
01:09:20,840 --> 01:09:22,960
Speaker 2: lean over here. You know, I'm thinking this is gonna

1486
01:09:23,040 --> 01:09:26,320
Speaker 2: be you know, I don't know at twenty eight, twenty

1487
01:09:26,400 --> 01:09:30,960
Speaker 2: four Boston College type of type of game, so I

1488
01:09:31,160 --> 01:09:33,160
Speaker 2: kind of leaned b C any over. Haven't decided yet

1489
01:09:33,160 --> 01:09:34,160
Speaker 2: which one I want to play though.

1490
01:09:35,120 --> 01:09:38,599
Speaker 1: Tuesday, December twenty eighth, Houston against Auburn in the Ticket

1491
01:09:38,680 --> 01:09:42,800
Speaker 1: Smarter Birmingham Bowl, played in Protective Stadium. Kickoff is at noon.

1492
01:09:43,439 --> 01:09:45,720
Speaker 1: Alburn has opened as a three point favorite with a

1493
01:09:45,760 --> 01:09:48,640
Speaker 1: total of fifty one and a half. And this is

1494
01:09:48,640 --> 01:09:52,479
Speaker 1: another one of my favorites here for totals. I love

1495
01:09:52,600 --> 01:09:56,639
Speaker 1: under here, no tank for Auburn. Alburn has lost four

1496
01:09:56,680 --> 01:09:59,400
Speaker 1: straight games while averaging only nineteen points per game, and

1497
01:09:59,439 --> 01:10:02,680
Speaker 1: their defense just held Alabama down for about fifty eight

1498
01:10:02,680 --> 01:10:04,840
Speaker 1: and a half minutes in the Iron Bowl. Now you

1499
01:10:04,920 --> 01:10:07,360
Speaker 1: look at the Houston team, They've held nine opponents this

1500
01:10:07,400 --> 01:10:09,840
Speaker 1: season to twenty four points or fewer. Their pass defense

1501
01:10:09,960 --> 01:10:12,479
Speaker 1: was great top ten sacrate, limited the big play six

1502
01:10:12,560 --> 01:10:15,120
Speaker 1: point seven yards per attempt. They take the ball away

1503
01:10:15,200 --> 01:10:17,440
Speaker 1: when the ball's in the air. They got a superstar

1504
01:10:17,600 --> 01:10:20,080
Speaker 1: in Marcus Jones. This is an award that I really

1505
01:10:20,160 --> 01:10:21,840
Speaker 1: love that. I don't think it's the national pub that

1506
01:10:21,920 --> 01:10:25,160
Speaker 1: it should. He won the Paul HORNEG Horning Award, given

1507
01:10:25,200 --> 01:10:28,360
Speaker 1: to Nasen's most versatile player. So the fact that he's

1508
01:10:28,680 --> 01:10:31,760
Speaker 1: back for this Bowl game, Doug Belk just became the

1509
01:10:32,040 --> 01:10:35,400
Speaker 1: top paid assistant in all of G five football. He's

1510
01:10:35,439 --> 01:10:37,840
Speaker 1: now a million dollars assistant on the defensive side of

1511
01:10:37,880 --> 01:10:41,719
Speaker 1: the ball, a huge, huge contract and clearly Houston spending

1512
01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:44,639
Speaker 1: money like they're already in the Big twelve. And here's

1513
01:10:44,640 --> 01:10:47,240
Speaker 1: the thing. When Houston plays, they play great against P

1514
01:10:47,360 --> 01:10:49,960
Speaker 1: five teams and bowls, you know Power five teams. They

1515
01:10:50,080 --> 01:10:51,920
Speaker 1: get up for those games. They're four to one against

1516
01:10:51,920 --> 01:10:54,559
Speaker 1: the spread in the last five with three straight upsets

1517
01:10:54,600 --> 01:10:56,400
Speaker 1: in those bowl games. So I think they're going to

1518
01:10:56,439 --> 01:10:59,120
Speaker 1: come to play here against an Auburn team that they're

1519
01:10:59,200 --> 01:11:01,599
Speaker 1: leaking oil, the broken down, they don't have their tank.

1520
01:11:02,080 --> 01:11:05,479
Speaker 1: I love Houston in this spot and I love under.

1521
01:11:05,680 --> 01:11:07,559
Speaker 1: So I'm going under fifty one and a half as

1522
01:11:07,680 --> 01:11:10,640
Speaker 1: my second favorite pick of bowl season. What do you

1523
01:11:10,680 --> 01:11:11,320
Speaker 1: think about this one?

1524
01:11:12,200 --> 01:11:15,360
Speaker 2: I totally agree. I actually wrote down I lean Houston

1525
01:11:15,400 --> 01:11:17,759
Speaker 2: plus three, but now that you're mentioning it, I probably

1526
01:11:17,800 --> 01:11:20,040
Speaker 2: like the under more I would. I would really hope

1527
01:11:20,200 --> 01:11:24,040
Speaker 2: Roger McCurry plays in this game because Auburn has been

1528
01:11:24,120 --> 01:11:25,840
Speaker 2: kind of bad against the pass or ninety ninth and

1529
01:11:25,880 --> 01:11:28,560
Speaker 2: pass success on defense. Granted that is against SEC, so

1530
01:11:28,640 --> 01:11:30,640
Speaker 2: maybe it's you know, they're not at that bad to

1531
01:11:30,800 --> 01:11:33,400
Speaker 2: definitely want, you know, Roger McCurry in that lineup for

1532
01:11:33,560 --> 01:11:36,280
Speaker 2: Auburn to kind of keep Clayton to and at Bay.

1533
01:11:37,080 --> 01:11:39,560
Speaker 2: And I lean Houston plus three for everything you just

1534
01:11:39,600 --> 01:11:41,719
Speaker 2: said is I think they care a lot more than Auburn.

1535
01:11:41,760 --> 01:11:44,080
Speaker 2: Auburn's kind of tanking. You know, you have Bo nicks

1536
01:11:44,120 --> 01:11:47,400
Speaker 2: Is transferring, you have Tank Bigsby's, you know, in and

1537
01:11:47,479 --> 01:11:50,880
Speaker 2: out of the portal. Essentially it reports that you know,

1538
01:11:50,920 --> 01:11:54,519
Speaker 2: Brian Harson is not doing the best job there. They're

1539
01:11:54,560 --> 01:11:56,600
Speaker 2: one they fired OC Mike Bobo. The one reason I

1540
01:11:56,680 --> 01:11:59,840
Speaker 2: haven't pulled the trigger on Houston is Dane Holgerson is

1541
01:12:00,120 --> 01:12:02,799
Speaker 2: and six in bowl games, one in seven against the spread.

1542
01:12:02,920 --> 01:12:06,240
Speaker 2: He very much treats Bowl games. Ever, he's been as

1543
01:12:07,240 --> 01:12:09,439
Speaker 2: spring practice for next season. You know, he plays young

1544
01:12:09,479 --> 01:12:12,120
Speaker 2: guys he's trying new stuff to get ready for the

1545
01:12:12,200 --> 01:12:15,040
Speaker 2: next year. He really doesn't care about balls and punts them.

1546
01:12:15,960 --> 01:12:17,760
Speaker 2: That's kind of why I'm staying away from Houston, although

1547
01:12:17,760 --> 01:12:19,920
Speaker 2: I would lean that way, but I definitely now that

1548
01:12:19,960 --> 01:12:22,000
Speaker 2: you're mentioning it, I do like the under a lot

1549
01:12:22,040 --> 01:12:23,960
Speaker 2: more because I don't think Auburn cares and I think

1550
01:12:24,360 --> 01:12:25,680
Speaker 2: the Houston defense is pretty good.

1551
01:12:26,600 --> 01:12:30,280
Speaker 1: Tuesday, December twenty eighth Air Force against Louisville and the

1552
01:12:30,360 --> 01:12:33,360
Speaker 1: SERB Pro First Responder Bowl played at Gerald J. Ford

1553
01:12:33,439 --> 01:12:36,320
Speaker 1: Stadium down in Dallas, Texas. This game kicks off at

1554
01:12:36,320 --> 01:12:38,880
Speaker 1: three fifteen PM and Louisville is opened as a one

1555
01:12:38,920 --> 01:12:41,160
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in total sitting at fifty

1556
01:12:41,240 --> 01:12:43,720
Speaker 1: five and a half. Another service academy playing in the

1557
01:12:43,760 --> 01:12:46,479
Speaker 1: Great State of Texas. I think air Force is the

1558
01:12:46,560 --> 01:12:49,920
Speaker 1: play here, but that is you know, just from a

1559
01:12:50,040 --> 01:12:53,160
Speaker 1: perspective of having watched air Force be a real pest

1560
01:12:53,400 --> 01:12:56,280
Speaker 1: through Mountain West play playing up in a lot of spots.

1561
01:12:56,360 --> 01:12:58,720
Speaker 1: They had some nice upset wins this season against a

1562
01:12:58,720 --> 01:13:01,080
Speaker 1: Louisville team that has been and you know what their

1563
01:13:01,120 --> 01:13:05,080
Speaker 1: record would indicate. Six and six is the absolute definition

1564
01:13:05,240 --> 01:13:08,880
Speaker 1: of mediocre. Malik Cunningham has bowled out, had some incredible

1565
01:13:09,080 --> 01:13:11,920
Speaker 1: performances this season, but also mailed in a few. So

1566
01:13:12,080 --> 01:13:14,280
Speaker 1: where are you coming down on the Cardinals and the Falcons.

1567
01:13:15,040 --> 01:13:17,880
Speaker 2: I to agree. I like air Force here very similar

1568
01:13:17,880 --> 01:13:21,639
Speaker 2: to Army their first and rushing success, Louisville's one hundred

1569
01:13:21,680 --> 01:13:24,120
Speaker 2: and first and Garden defending the run on defense one

1570
01:13:24,200 --> 01:13:26,479
Speaker 2: hundred and tenth in line yards. Kind of same thing.

1571
01:13:26,560 --> 01:13:28,640
Speaker 2: With the motivation aspect, I agree with you. I love

1572
01:13:28,680 --> 01:13:32,600
Speaker 2: only Malik Conyham is basically what Leek Will wants to be.

1573
01:13:33,640 --> 01:13:36,120
Speaker 2: Knyam's awesome. He's He's also coming back next year, which

1574
01:13:36,120 --> 01:13:38,800
Speaker 2: is pretty good for for Louisville and you come. You know,

1575
01:13:38,960 --> 01:13:41,920
Speaker 2: the motivation factor is the service academies. They always they

1576
01:13:41,960 --> 01:13:45,400
Speaker 2: always want to be in these bowl games and Louisville, Louisville.

1577
01:13:45,520 --> 01:13:49,000
Speaker 2: Whenever you are reading reports in like local papers that

1578
01:13:49,120 --> 01:13:52,880
Speaker 2: say report Scott Saderfield will return next season, that's not

1579
01:13:52,960 --> 01:13:56,920
Speaker 2: a good sign if it's news that your coach is returning.

1580
01:13:57,000 --> 01:13:59,320
Speaker 2: To Imagine if one day your boss just walked in

1581
01:13:59,439 --> 01:14:01,640
Speaker 2: it was like hey, Mike, me and management talked it

1582
01:14:01,720 --> 01:14:03,320
Speaker 2: over and we decided we're going to bring you back

1583
01:14:03,439 --> 01:14:07,040
Speaker 2: next year. You would be like, uh, what, like that

1584
01:14:07,080 --> 01:14:10,320
Speaker 2: would make you nervous, So I don't That's not never

1585
01:14:10,439 --> 01:14:13,080
Speaker 2: a good sign if you have to confirm your coach

1586
01:14:13,160 --> 01:14:15,679
Speaker 2: is going to continue doing the job that you're paying

1587
01:14:15,760 --> 01:14:18,479
Speaker 2: him to due. So I like everyone's I think this

1588
01:14:18,600 --> 01:14:21,200
Speaker 2: number was air Force plus one, So I'll take arison

1589
01:14:21,280 --> 01:14:24,360
Speaker 2: the money line. You know, Lee believe the leading receivers

1590
01:14:24,400 --> 01:14:27,400
Speaker 2: not playing. He's in the portal Jordan Walkins, so Airforce

1591
01:14:27,400 --> 01:14:29,160
Speaker 2: should be able to run all over Louisville. And Millie

1592
01:14:29,200 --> 01:14:32,000
Speaker 2: Conniham's awesome, but he's kind of their entire team.

1593
01:14:33,080 --> 01:14:37,320
Speaker 1: Wednesday, December twenty ninth, SMU against Virginia and the Wasabi

1594
01:14:37,880 --> 01:14:41,200
Speaker 1: Fenway Bowl played at Fenway Park in Boston, Mass eleven

1595
01:14:41,240 --> 01:14:44,400
Speaker 1: am kickoff. Virginia is opened as a two point favorite

1596
01:14:44,439 --> 01:14:46,680
Speaker 1: seventy one, as the total should be one of the

1597
01:14:46,720 --> 01:14:49,439
Speaker 1: highest scoring Bowl games of the season. But these are

1598
01:14:49,520 --> 01:14:53,560
Speaker 1: two programs with substitute teachers as their head coaches. It

1599
01:14:53,680 --> 01:14:57,599
Speaker 1: comes down to me, for and I know that losing

1600
01:14:57,680 --> 01:15:00,120
Speaker 1: a skill position player or player on the perimeter on

1601
01:15:00,240 --> 01:15:02,800
Speaker 1: defense shouldn't impact the line all that much. The fact

1602
01:15:02,840 --> 01:15:04,720
Speaker 1: that Danny Gray is not playing. I watched a lot

1603
01:15:04,760 --> 01:15:08,560
Speaker 1: of SMU football this year, Tanner Mordecai was incredible, but

1604
01:15:08,720 --> 01:15:12,479
Speaker 1: he needs his big play guy otherwise there's without a

1605
01:15:12,520 --> 01:15:14,880
Speaker 1: player to take the top off the defense, They're going

1606
01:15:14,920 --> 01:15:16,599
Speaker 1: to go dink and dunk, and I don't think they're

1607
01:15:16,600 --> 01:15:18,240
Speaker 1: gonna be able to keep up with the Virginia team

1608
01:15:18,320 --> 01:15:21,640
Speaker 1: led by Brendan Armstrong. This kid's incredible And just to

1609
01:15:21,720 --> 01:15:24,240
Speaker 1: give you a feel for how incredible he's been, the

1610
01:15:24,360 --> 01:15:27,720
Speaker 1: College Fantasy Football site, which has been featured on the

1611
01:15:27,800 --> 01:15:30,200
Speaker 1: Action Network, they go ahead and they put together rankings

1612
01:15:30,240 --> 01:15:33,240
Speaker 1: of every single player at every position for fantasy perspective.

1613
01:15:33,280 --> 01:15:36,080
Speaker 1: He's the number one quarterback of bowl season. He is

1614
01:15:36,200 --> 01:15:38,960
Speaker 1: set to light up this SMU defense and I think

1615
01:15:38,960 --> 01:15:41,880
Speaker 1: he's going to do it. I like Virginia. My power

1616
01:15:41,960 --> 01:15:44,840
Speaker 1: rankings actually call this as Virginia minus seven. So the

1617
01:15:44,880 --> 01:15:47,280
Speaker 1: fact that I'm under two key numbers of the touchdown

1618
01:15:47,360 --> 01:15:49,920
Speaker 1: and the field goal, the who's playing just two in

1619
01:15:50,040 --> 01:15:52,640
Speaker 1: the spot? I like him. Are you going back to

1620
01:15:52,720 --> 01:15:55,320
Speaker 1: the G five well here and back in a sunny

1621
01:15:55,400 --> 01:15:58,560
Speaker 1: Dyke lists SMU squad or do you think Virginia is

1622
01:15:58,840 --> 01:15:59,479
Speaker 1: the team to go with?

1623
01:16:00,640 --> 01:16:03,880
Speaker 2: Sorrdy about Virginia. I'm actually going to this game with

1624
01:16:04,000 --> 01:16:06,320
Speaker 2: my brother up in Boston, so it should be exciting one.

1625
01:16:06,400 --> 01:16:08,280
Speaker 2: Like you said seventy two and a half, I'll probably

1626
01:16:08,320 --> 01:16:10,439
Speaker 2: bet the over eventually, ages because I'll be there and

1627
01:16:10,439 --> 01:16:13,120
Speaker 2: it's fun. But I haven't taken it yet just because

1628
01:16:13,400 --> 01:16:16,160
Speaker 2: games at Fenway Park. He'll be outside in Boston on

1629
01:16:16,240 --> 01:16:18,759
Speaker 2: December twenty ninth, so Lord only knows what the weather's

1630
01:16:18,760 --> 01:16:21,559
Speaker 2: gonna be. Could be snowing, could be rainy, could be windy.

1631
01:16:22,000 --> 01:16:23,519
Speaker 2: So I haven't bet it yet, but I'll probably take

1632
01:16:23,520 --> 01:16:25,960
Speaker 2: the over because I'll be there. But I like Virginia

1633
01:16:25,960 --> 01:16:29,120
Speaker 2: because you mentioned the substitute teacher thing, only one team

1634
01:16:29,160 --> 01:16:32,240
Speaker 2: has a substitute teacher. Because Bronco mendon Hall is coaching

1635
01:16:32,320 --> 01:16:34,920
Speaker 2: this game and it's his final game at Virginia, he

1636
01:16:34,960 --> 01:16:38,439
Speaker 2: announced he's stepping down, and kind of, you know, I

1637
01:16:38,520 --> 01:16:41,120
Speaker 2: think a lot of people respected, Hey, Bronco has always

1638
01:16:41,120 --> 01:16:43,760
Speaker 2: been that guy that's kind of you know, he's kind

1639
01:16:43,760 --> 01:16:45,559
Speaker 2: of admitted that he doesn't want to do this forever,

1640
01:16:45,680 --> 01:16:47,680
Speaker 2: and I think I think his players respect that He's Like,

1641
01:16:47,720 --> 01:16:49,720
Speaker 2: I've doneen in this for thirty five years. I just

1642
01:16:49,800 --> 01:16:51,160
Speaker 2: want to take a step back and spend some time

1643
01:16:51,200 --> 01:16:53,880
Speaker 2: with my family. I think Bronco is a likable guy.

1644
01:16:53,880 --> 01:16:55,760
Speaker 2: I think his players like him. I think they'll want

1645
01:16:55,800 --> 01:16:57,160
Speaker 2: to play for him and sand him off for the

1646
01:16:57,360 --> 01:16:59,799
Speaker 2: can't you just picture like this is all about storylines?

1647
01:17:00,200 --> 01:17:02,040
Speaker 2: Line of Bronco getting carried off the field after his

1648
01:17:02,080 --> 01:17:04,920
Speaker 2: final game just makes too much sense. As you mentioned,

1649
01:17:05,120 --> 01:17:08,719
Speaker 2: Sanny Dyke's TCU, the offensive coordinator went with him. Simu's

1650
01:17:08,840 --> 01:17:12,120
Speaker 2: top two receivers, Danny Gray and Reggie Roverson opted out

1651
01:17:12,200 --> 01:17:15,160
Speaker 2: for this game, so this is a great quarterback matchup.

1652
01:17:15,200 --> 01:17:17,760
Speaker 2: Brendan Armstrong was second in passing yards, Mordecai was ninth.

1653
01:17:18,200 --> 01:17:21,519
Speaker 2: Both these defenses are pretty bad, but I just like

1654
01:17:21,680 --> 01:17:24,719
Speaker 2: Armstrong in this offense more. And I think Virginia plays

1655
01:17:25,000 --> 01:17:28,599
Speaker 2: harder for their team because they want to send Bronco

1656
01:17:28,680 --> 01:17:30,160
Speaker 2: out with a win and a big thing too. I

1657
01:17:30,240 --> 01:17:33,760
Speaker 2: mentioned the weather December twenty ninth. I looked up something

1658
01:17:33,760 --> 01:17:35,679
Speaker 2: to think about if it does snow, if it is cold,

1659
01:17:35,720 --> 01:17:39,839
Speaker 2: if it is windy. Brandon Armstrong's from Ohio, Kanner Morrichai

1660
01:17:39,960 --> 01:17:42,840
Speaker 2: is from Texas. Who's going to be more comfortable playing

1661
01:17:42,880 --> 01:17:44,640
Speaker 2: in the snow the kid from Ohio or the kid

1662
01:17:44,720 --> 01:17:48,080
Speaker 2: from Texas. So I'll take Virginia. Here they send Bronco

1663
01:17:48,120 --> 01:17:48,599
Speaker 2: out with a win.

1664
01:17:50,040 --> 01:17:52,599
Speaker 1: Speaking of spicy Bowl games, we go from the Wassabi

1665
01:17:52,680 --> 01:17:57,320
Speaker 1: Fenway Bowl to December thirty first, New Year's Eve, Central

1666
01:17:57,400 --> 01:18:02,040
Speaker 1: Michigan against Boise State in the inaugural Barstools Sports Arizona

1667
01:18:02,120 --> 01:18:05,519
Speaker 1: Bowl played at Arizona Stadium in Tucson. This game kicks

1668
01:18:05,560 --> 01:18:07,280
Speaker 1: off at two pm. Boise State to seven and a

1669
01:18:07,280 --> 01:18:10,360
Speaker 1: half point favorite. That total set at fifty five, and

1670
01:18:10,479 --> 01:18:13,840
Speaker 1: you can already see the hot take personalities, big cat

1671
01:18:13,960 --> 01:18:16,880
Speaker 1: PFT comments are on the sideline. I'm hoping they bring

1672
01:18:17,080 --> 01:18:20,160
Speaker 1: everybody out. There's no personality too small that I wouldn't

1673
01:18:20,160 --> 01:18:21,760
Speaker 1: like to see in the end zone. Maybe you know,

1674
01:18:21,920 --> 01:18:25,280
Speaker 1: Rhea and Fran help choreograph a touchdown celebration in the

1675
01:18:25,360 --> 01:18:27,599
Speaker 1: end zone. Whatever whatever it takes to make this fun,

1676
01:18:27,760 --> 01:18:30,680
Speaker 1: I'm hoping that it's fun. Bull Seasons supposed to be

1677
01:18:30,760 --> 01:18:34,280
Speaker 1: fun and silly and ridiculous, and this game in particular,

1678
01:18:34,439 --> 01:18:37,200
Speaker 1: I view it as a game that will feature a

1679
01:18:37,280 --> 01:18:39,840
Speaker 1: lot of craziness, and over fifty five is the way

1680
01:18:39,880 --> 01:18:42,519
Speaker 1: to engage with that craziness. Who Nichols the third is

1681
01:18:42,560 --> 01:18:46,080
Speaker 1: an awesome running back. Boise State is a good but

1682
01:18:46,280 --> 01:18:48,720
Speaker 1: not great run defense. So I think there's an opportunity

1683
01:18:48,880 --> 01:18:51,160
Speaker 1: for Central Michigan to move the football. They actually had

1684
01:18:51,200 --> 01:18:53,920
Speaker 1: a nice balance offensively this year. When you look at

1685
01:18:54,080 --> 01:18:56,960
Speaker 1: Boise State when they played really good rushing teams, when

1686
01:18:56,960 --> 01:18:58,680
Speaker 1: they played UCF when they were at full strength, and

1687
01:18:58,720 --> 01:19:01,800
Speaker 1: they played Oklahoma State Withalen Warren when they played Air Force,

1688
01:19:01,840 --> 01:19:03,599
Speaker 1: they gave up over two hundred and forty five yards

1689
01:19:03,680 --> 01:19:05,719
Speaker 1: rushing in each of those games. So and there's teams

1690
01:19:05,960 --> 01:19:08,599
Speaker 1: that will tie their fate to a rushing attack, they've

1691
01:19:08,680 --> 01:19:11,280
Speaker 1: been more than happy to allow them to run the

1692
01:19:11,320 --> 01:19:13,320
Speaker 1: ball all over them. And then when you look at

1693
01:19:13,360 --> 01:19:15,479
Speaker 1: what Poise State brings to the table, they're up against

1694
01:19:15,760 --> 01:19:18,840
Speaker 1: a Chips defense that's absolutely awful against the past. They're

1695
01:19:18,920 --> 01:19:21,800
Speaker 1: triple digits in the national rankings and passing yards allowed,

1696
01:19:21,880 --> 01:19:25,120
Speaker 1: yards per attempt ZACH rate, interception rate. Hank Bachmeier, I

1697
01:19:25,160 --> 01:19:26,800
Speaker 1: think is going to have a great game. He's been

1698
01:19:26,840 --> 01:19:29,759
Speaker 1: efficient but not dynamic in the second half of the season.

1699
01:19:29,920 --> 01:19:31,240
Speaker 1: I think you're going to see a big game out

1700
01:19:31,280 --> 01:19:32,760
Speaker 1: of him, and I think this will just be one

1701
01:19:32,760 --> 01:19:34,679
Speaker 1: of those fun, high scoring games out in the desert.

1702
01:19:34,800 --> 01:19:36,519
Speaker 1: So I'm going to go ahead. It with over fifty five.

1703
01:19:36,800 --> 01:19:39,559
Speaker 1: What's your take on the Barstool Sports Arizona Hole.

1704
01:19:40,439 --> 01:19:41,720
Speaker 2: I agree with you, and this game is going to

1705
01:19:41,760 --> 01:19:45,000
Speaker 2: be much must watch strictly because Creed is seeing in

1706
01:19:45,040 --> 01:19:47,519
Speaker 2: the halftime show, so I agree that I hope they

1707
01:19:47,600 --> 01:19:49,599
Speaker 2: bring out all the stops, all the craziness. I think

1708
01:19:49,720 --> 01:19:51,679
Speaker 2: this game will be a ton of fun. And what's

1709
01:19:51,720 --> 01:19:53,920
Speaker 2: more fun than battan over? You know, I actually I

1710
01:19:54,120 --> 01:19:56,320
Speaker 2: like Central Michigan as well in the spot, but I

1711
01:19:56,439 --> 01:19:58,720
Speaker 2: do like the over two. I think there's another one,

1712
01:19:58,840 --> 01:20:02,799
Speaker 2: you know, very similar still where I feel like Boise States.

1713
01:20:02,920 --> 01:20:04,680
Speaker 2: I disappointed with the year. They went seven to five,

1714
01:20:04,720 --> 01:20:06,160
Speaker 2: and they were a team that's expected to compete for

1715
01:20:06,200 --> 01:20:10,000
Speaker 2: the Mountain West every year, So what's their motivation being here?

1716
01:20:10,840 --> 01:20:13,680
Speaker 2: You know, Bachmeyer is inconsistent, but so he is, you know,

1717
01:20:13,880 --> 01:20:16,800
Speaker 2: kind of boom or Bus. I'd make sure Jakiir is playing.

1718
01:20:17,000 --> 01:20:19,080
Speaker 2: He's another one that could potentially opt out because he

1719
01:20:19,439 --> 01:20:22,400
Speaker 2: probably is an NFL guy, so you definitely would want

1720
01:20:22,439 --> 01:20:25,479
Speaker 2: him if you're taking the over, and we've talked about it,

1721
01:20:25,560 --> 01:20:27,880
Speaker 2: I always talk about I love Central Michigan. I love

1722
01:20:28,000 --> 01:20:31,160
Speaker 2: Daniel Richardson. He is my favorite little bowling ball he's

1723
01:20:31,280 --> 01:20:34,240
Speaker 2: so awesome. Their their receivers are so good. Pimbleton, Dixon,

1724
01:20:34,280 --> 01:20:37,000
Speaker 2: Sullivan and then Lou Nichols led the entire country in

1725
01:20:37,080 --> 01:20:39,920
Speaker 2: rushing yards, Yet somehow isn't an All American running back

1726
01:20:40,080 --> 01:20:42,439
Speaker 2: or you know, getting dog Walker talking even though he's

1727
01:20:42,800 --> 01:20:45,160
Speaker 2: leading the country and rushing whatever. He's at least one

1728
01:20:45,200 --> 01:20:48,360
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty yards in five straight games. So I

1729
01:20:48,520 --> 01:20:52,439
Speaker 2: do think Central Michigan could you know, keep his close,

1730
01:20:52,520 --> 01:20:54,439
Speaker 2: if not win this game. But I also like the

1731
01:20:54,479 --> 01:20:56,360
Speaker 2: over here, so I might I might be a little

1732
01:20:56,360 --> 01:20:58,439
Speaker 2: two for one special where I take Central Michigan and

1733
01:20:58,560 --> 01:20:59,080
Speaker 2: the over.

1734
01:21:00,080 --> 01:21:03,840
Speaker 1: New Year's Eve in the college football playoffs, Cincinnati against

1735
01:21:03,920 --> 01:21:06,760
Speaker 1: Alabama at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic at AT and

1736
01:21:06,800 --> 01:21:09,960
Speaker 1: T Stadium kicks off at three point thirty. Alabama thirteen

1737
01:21:09,960 --> 01:21:12,479
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, the total sitting at fifty eight,

1738
01:21:13,160 --> 01:21:15,840
Speaker 1: and I'm going big. I'm swinging with the G five

1739
01:21:16,120 --> 01:21:19,080
Speaker 1: Darling plus three point eighty on the money line. Here

1740
01:21:19,160 --> 01:21:22,800
Speaker 1: we go. Here's the recipe. Step one, limit the Alabama

1741
01:21:22,920 --> 01:21:26,080
Speaker 1: running game. Crimson Tider's seventy ninth inn yards per rush.

1742
01:21:26,720 --> 01:21:30,240
Speaker 1: Their depth chart is incredibly thin due to injuries and

1743
01:21:30,320 --> 01:21:32,680
Speaker 1: according to Pro Football Focus. They're only fifty second in

1744
01:21:32,760 --> 01:21:35,760
Speaker 1: the nation in run blocking. Cincinnati steps in with the

1745
01:21:35,880 --> 01:21:38,800
Speaker 1: ninth rated run defense according to Pro Football Focus, and

1746
01:21:38,840 --> 01:21:41,759
Speaker 1: they backed it out up with stats beyond that, namely

1747
01:21:41,800 --> 01:21:44,439
Speaker 1: the yards per carry loud three point four yards per

1748
01:21:44,520 --> 01:21:48,120
Speaker 1: rush that's twelfth nationally. They're incredibly disruptive. They finished with

1749
01:21:48,240 --> 01:21:50,519
Speaker 1: ninety five tackles for lost in the season, that's eighth

1750
01:21:50,560 --> 01:21:52,920
Speaker 1: in the country. So they create negative plays, they get

1751
01:21:52,960 --> 01:21:56,200
Speaker 1: you behind the sticks, and then it's time for the

1752
01:21:56,280 --> 01:21:58,599
Speaker 1: Heisman Trophy winner to pick them apart, or at least

1753
01:21:58,600 --> 01:22:00,479
Speaker 1: that's what they're going to go for, you know John

1754
01:22:00,560 --> 01:22:04,000
Speaker 1: Metchi in this game, which allows them to strategize how

1755
01:22:04,040 --> 01:22:06,320
Speaker 1: to stop the big play from Jamison Williams. They have

1756
01:22:06,400 --> 01:22:08,559
Speaker 1: two choices. They either got Sauce Gardner to line up

1757
01:22:08,600 --> 01:22:10,599
Speaker 1: with them, who's going to be potentially a top fifteen

1758
01:22:10,680 --> 01:22:12,920
Speaker 1: NFL draft pick, or Kobe Bryant, who just won the

1759
01:22:12,960 --> 01:22:15,599
Speaker 1: Thorpe Award. So I really see this as a strength

1760
01:22:15,720 --> 01:22:18,519
Speaker 1: if they can make Alabama one dimensional. If you want

1761
01:22:18,560 --> 01:22:22,160
Speaker 1: to go historical here, how about Heisman quarterbacks in either

1762
01:22:22,200 --> 01:22:26,000
Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff or in national championship games of

1763
01:22:26,360 --> 01:22:30,000
Speaker 1: the last twelve at least by my scorecard. Three of

1764
01:22:30,120 --> 01:22:33,640
Speaker 1: balled out. That's Joe Burrow, Mariota, Matt Lioner. Six have

1765
01:22:33,760 --> 01:22:37,360
Speaker 1: had at absolute stinkers. That's Cam Newton. Almost fumbled the

1766
01:22:37,400 --> 01:22:40,519
Speaker 1: game away in the National Championship game against Oregon. Sam

1767
01:22:40,600 --> 01:22:44,000
Speaker 1: Bradford got worked by that Florida defense. Troy Smith looked

1768
01:22:44,000 --> 01:22:48,920
Speaker 1: awful against the Florida defense. Jason White, Eric Crouch winky.

1769
01:22:49,200 --> 01:22:51,559
Speaker 1: Like these guys all did not play well. And then

1770
01:22:51,600 --> 01:22:54,240
Speaker 1: you have three that were like they were fine. Kyler

1771
01:22:54,320 --> 01:22:56,280
Speaker 1: Murray was fine. He had a slow start. It wasn't

1772
01:22:56,360 --> 01:22:58,799
Speaker 1: enough to get back in. In the semifinals against Alabama,

1773
01:22:59,000 --> 01:23:01,600
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield in a very high scoring game, was not

1774
01:23:01,720 --> 01:23:05,120
Speaker 1: the focus. Game Against Georgia, they end up losing in overtime.

1775
01:23:05,280 --> 01:23:07,839
Speaker 1: And Jameis Winston played an awful first half against Auburn,

1776
01:23:07,880 --> 01:23:09,559
Speaker 1: got it together down in the stretch, So I'll give

1777
01:23:09,600 --> 01:23:13,120
Speaker 1: him a pass in that one. Historically, Heisman winners usually

1778
01:23:13,160 --> 01:23:15,680
Speaker 1: struggle in moments like this, and finally it comes down

1779
01:23:15,720 --> 01:23:18,040
Speaker 1: to Desmond Ritter. Kids got to play well. If the

1780
01:23:18,120 --> 01:23:20,840
Speaker 1: defense does their job and holds Alabama, let's say thirty

1781
01:23:20,880 --> 01:23:23,720
Speaker 1: one points, they hold him to thirty one points, can Ritter,

1782
01:23:23,880 --> 01:23:26,599
Speaker 1: go out and get them those touchdowns to win this game.

1783
01:23:27,000 --> 01:23:29,120
Speaker 1: He's played two ranked opponents in twenty twenty one in

1784
01:23:29,200 --> 01:23:31,920
Speaker 1: Notre Dame in Houston's QPR. In those two games, respectively,

1785
01:23:32,080 --> 01:23:35,400
Speaker 1: eighty nine and eighty three point two, six total touchdowns,

1786
01:23:35,880 --> 01:23:38,000
Speaker 1: zero interceptions. You want to go back to last year,

1787
01:23:38,040 --> 01:23:40,439
Speaker 1: when they essentially had the same roster, they played four

1788
01:23:40,520 --> 01:23:44,400
Speaker 1: ranked opponents, ten total touchdowns, one interception. This kid's not

1789
01:23:44,439 --> 01:23:46,080
Speaker 1: going to be lights out, but the lights are not

1790
01:23:46,160 --> 01:23:48,240
Speaker 1: going to be too bright for him. I've seen enough

1791
01:23:48,280 --> 01:23:51,320
Speaker 1: of Desmond over the course of his career. I trust him.

1792
01:23:51,560 --> 01:23:54,080
Speaker 1: I put this as my threshold. I needed a three

1793
01:23:54,160 --> 01:23:56,160
Speaker 1: to one on the money line to get interested. Plus

1794
01:23:56,200 --> 01:23:58,640
Speaker 1: three eighty I think that's too generous. I think Cincinnati's

1795
01:23:58,640 --> 01:23:59,519
Speaker 1: a live dog in this one.

1796
01:24:00,640 --> 01:24:02,160
Speaker 2: I hate to do this because we're the G five

1797
01:24:02,240 --> 01:24:04,400
Speaker 2: guys and we're supposed to We've been right. We rather

1798
01:24:04,560 --> 01:24:06,439
Speaker 2: die with the little guys. We've been doing that all year.

1799
01:24:06,920 --> 01:24:08,840
Speaker 2: And I want to make this very clear. No matter

1800
01:24:08,920 --> 01:24:12,280
Speaker 2: what happens in this game, Cincinnati deserves to be in

1801
01:24:12,320 --> 01:24:15,360
Speaker 2: the playoffs. Like the people that do the you know afterwards,

1802
01:24:15,479 --> 01:24:17,280
Speaker 2: vision is history. This is where they shouldn't have been

1803
01:24:17,360 --> 01:24:19,720
Speaker 2: in Cincinnati deserves to be in this playoffs. They are

1804
01:24:20,200 --> 01:24:22,680
Speaker 2: very clearly, and in my opinion, you cannot argue the

1805
01:24:22,760 --> 01:24:25,559
Speaker 2: fact they are a top four team in college football.

1806
01:24:26,200 --> 01:24:30,360
Speaker 2: That being said, I think the distance between Alabama and

1807
01:24:30,439 --> 01:24:32,439
Speaker 2: the number four team in the country is a lot

1808
01:24:32,479 --> 01:24:36,040
Speaker 2: bigger than fourteen points, and I think Alabama crushes them

1809
01:24:36,640 --> 01:24:39,759
Speaker 2: looking back at you want to talk about historical stats.

1810
01:24:39,920 --> 01:24:44,080
Speaker 2: Twenty fifteen thirty eight nothing against Michigan State, twenty sixteen,

1811
01:24:44,200 --> 01:24:47,439
Speaker 2: twenty four to seven against Washington, twenty seventeen, twenty four

1812
01:24:47,479 --> 01:24:51,479
Speaker 2: to six against Clemson, twenty eighteen, forty five, thirty four

1813
01:24:51,520 --> 01:24:55,479
Speaker 2: against Oklahoma. Last year thirty one to fourteen against Notre Dame?

1814
01:24:55,840 --> 01:24:58,479
Speaker 2: Is Cincinnati better than this? Is last year's Notre Dame team?

1815
01:24:58,640 --> 01:25:00,960
Speaker 2: You know, sincinnta better than last year's No team. I mean,

1816
01:25:01,120 --> 01:25:05,559
Speaker 2: Alabama just crushed Georgia. So I just think the gap

1817
01:25:05,640 --> 01:25:07,640
Speaker 2: here is too big. It's way more than thirteen and

1818
01:25:07,680 --> 01:25:13,679
Speaker 2: a half. How many players alan Cincinnati's roster would play

1819
01:25:13,720 --> 01:25:19,200
Speaker 2: at Bama? Obviously Bryant and Gardner would, maybe Sanders, would

1820
01:25:19,280 --> 01:25:21,920
Speaker 2: anybody else play on this team? I mean, Jerome Ford

1821
01:25:22,000 --> 01:25:26,040
Speaker 2: has been a star at Cincinnati. He's been phenomenal for them.

1822
01:25:26,320 --> 01:25:29,280
Speaker 2: He's got twelve hundred yards and nineteen touchdowns. Well, he

1823
01:25:29,400 --> 01:25:32,280
Speaker 2: played at Alabama for two years. He had thirty one carries.

1824
01:25:32,520 --> 01:25:36,120
Speaker 2: He was fourth on Albama's depth chart. So I actually

1825
01:25:36,160 --> 01:25:39,479
Speaker 2: looked back. I couldn't transfers. I couldn't find the transfer stats,

1826
01:25:39,520 --> 01:25:41,960
Speaker 2: so I'm not counting transfer I'm talking about guys who

1827
01:25:42,040 --> 01:25:45,240
Speaker 2: committed to Cincinnati out of high school that are currently

1828
01:25:45,320 --> 01:25:50,880
Speaker 2: on Cincinnati's roster. Three of them were offered scholarships by Bama.

1829
01:25:51,120 --> 01:25:53,080
Speaker 2: There are three players on the team that Bama was like,

1830
01:25:53,120 --> 01:25:56,840
Speaker 2: we would like them. That's it. I just think this

1831
01:25:57,040 --> 01:26:00,240
Speaker 2: is such a mismatch. I think Alabama crushes them. And again,

1832
01:26:00,320 --> 01:26:02,800
Speaker 2: just ASN's credit, I think Albama will crush anyone they played.

1833
01:26:02,800 --> 01:26:04,200
Speaker 2: I think if it was you know, not their name,

1834
01:26:04,640 --> 01:26:06,720
Speaker 2: oh missed obviously, they crushed all miss already you know

1835
01:26:06,920 --> 01:26:09,720
Speaker 2: last textas A and M. No matter who you put here,

1836
01:26:10,320 --> 01:26:13,760
Speaker 2: I think Alabama is twenty points better than every team

1837
01:26:13,800 --> 01:26:17,519
Speaker 2: in the country, sept maybe Georgia, you know, maybe Ohio State,

1838
01:26:17,600 --> 01:26:20,880
Speaker 2: just because of the way they play. But I love Cincinnati,

1839
01:26:21,920 --> 01:26:23,479
Speaker 2: I have them crushed them. I just think at the

1840
01:26:23,560 --> 01:26:26,439
Speaker 2: end of the day, you're gonna wake up New Year's Eve.

1841
01:26:26,960 --> 01:26:28,760
Speaker 2: And I'm not gonna be the one waking up New

1842
01:26:28,840 --> 01:26:31,040
Speaker 2: Year's Eve saying I can't believe I bet against Alabama.

1843
01:26:31,080 --> 01:26:32,960
Speaker 2: I'm not doing it. This is why, don't be a dummy.

1844
01:26:33,080 --> 01:26:33,760
Speaker 2: Don't overthink it.

1845
01:26:33,920 --> 01:26:34,120
Speaker 1: Bet.

1846
01:26:34,479 --> 01:26:37,040
Speaker 2: This is Alabama. As listen, what Alabama does. I bet

1847
01:26:37,120 --> 01:26:38,800
Speaker 2: Georgia last week and I was the dummy, and I'm

1848
01:26:38,800 --> 01:26:40,639
Speaker 2: not being the dummy again. So give me Alabama. They're

1849
01:26:40,640 --> 01:26:42,400
Speaker 2: gonna cush them because the always do, because they're Alabama.

1850
01:26:43,200 --> 01:26:45,080
Speaker 1: This is the same Alabama team that was in a

1851
01:26:45,160 --> 01:26:47,960
Speaker 1: one position game with Florida and lost to A and M.

1852
01:26:48,720 --> 01:26:52,080
Speaker 1: That should have lost to Auburn, who's in just a

1853
01:26:52,200 --> 01:26:56,680
Speaker 1: death spiral right now, particularly offensively. And it's interesting you

1854
01:26:56,800 --> 01:26:58,920
Speaker 1: listened off all of those seventy final years. You skip

1855
01:26:59,000 --> 01:27:00,800
Speaker 1: the one year that we played a team from the

1856
01:27:00,800 --> 01:27:03,240
Speaker 1: state of Ohio in the national semifinals. I believe they

1857
01:27:03,320 --> 01:27:06,400
Speaker 1: lost that one to Ohio State. I mean, listen, if

1858
01:27:06,439 --> 01:27:07,960
Speaker 1: you want to be that guy who roots for the

1859
01:27:08,040 --> 01:27:10,760
Speaker 1: death Star or roots for the Aliens and Independence Day like,

1860
01:27:10,840 --> 01:27:13,920
Speaker 1: that's fine. You know it's it's there's nothing wrong with

1861
01:27:14,080 --> 01:27:17,360
Speaker 1: going with the sure thing and this year, you know,

1862
01:27:17,520 --> 01:27:19,439
Speaker 1: we wanted to give you all the insight we could

1863
01:27:19,720 --> 01:27:22,120
Speaker 1: in you know, G five land, give you all these

1864
01:27:22,160 --> 01:27:24,400
Speaker 1: great picks throughout the year. A part of it. We

1865
01:27:24,479 --> 01:27:26,679
Speaker 1: started eleven to zero in the season, and it started

1866
01:27:26,720 --> 01:27:29,080
Speaker 1: with being gutsy. So we're going to end with being gutsy,

1867
01:27:29,240 --> 01:27:31,880
Speaker 1: go with Cincinnati plus three eighty on the money line.

1868
01:27:32,080 --> 01:27:34,320
Speaker 1: But we really want to thank you listeners. You made

1869
01:27:34,320 --> 01:27:38,480
Speaker 1: it all happen this year. I believe what's the NBA expression,

1870
01:27:38,600 --> 01:27:40,240
Speaker 1: you know, a two way contract. We had to have

1871
01:27:40,360 --> 01:27:43,000
Speaker 1: some situation where we needed to be extended. I think

1872
01:27:43,040 --> 01:27:45,960
Speaker 1: we did enough. We brought in enough listeners. You guys

1873
01:27:46,000 --> 01:27:48,240
Speaker 1: did a great job interacting with us on social media

1874
01:27:48,520 --> 01:27:51,000
Speaker 1: and in the comments sections and all the reviews you left.

1875
01:27:51,200 --> 01:27:53,320
Speaker 1: So we really do appreciate you going along for the

1876
01:27:53,479 --> 01:27:55,960
Speaker 1: ride with us. I know, why don't you throw out

1877
01:27:56,080 --> 01:27:59,720
Speaker 1: one final holiday well wishing to our audience, and then

1878
01:27:59,760 --> 01:28:00,639
Speaker 1: we can wrap the show.

1879
01:28:01,080 --> 01:28:02,640
Speaker 2: I just want to say, you know, obviously this has

1880
01:28:02,680 --> 01:28:04,760
Speaker 2: been an awesome year. It's a fun year. I hope

1881
01:28:04,880 --> 01:28:07,439
Speaker 2: our listeners, you know that listened to the whole year,

1882
01:28:07,600 --> 01:28:09,920
Speaker 2: kind of had the same ups and downs with us.

1883
01:28:10,200 --> 01:28:12,559
Speaker 2: And you know fell in love with the bailey Zappies

1884
01:28:12,600 --> 01:28:15,600
Speaker 2: and the etsas, and you know the Matter Rises and

1885
01:28:15,640 --> 01:28:17,479
Speaker 2: the guys that that we did as well, and you

1886
01:28:17,520 --> 01:28:19,439
Speaker 2: know went back to the same wall as we did.

1887
01:28:19,960 --> 01:28:21,360
Speaker 2: And I want to just end because I you know,

1888
01:28:21,439 --> 01:28:24,080
Speaker 2: I maybe ended a little negative about our beloved G five.

1889
01:28:24,479 --> 01:28:28,200
Speaker 2: I just want to say, you know, assuming this is

1890
01:28:28,240 --> 01:28:32,000
Speaker 2: our last podcast of the year, there would be nothing,

1891
01:28:32,920 --> 01:28:36,160
Speaker 2: nothing that would make me happier than doing an emergency

1892
01:28:36,240 --> 01:28:40,920
Speaker 2: podcast with you on New Year's Eve previewing Cincinnati, Georgia.

1893
01:28:41,560 --> 01:28:44,800
Speaker 2: So I hope, I hope more than anything that I

1894
01:28:44,960 --> 01:28:48,640
Speaker 2: see you again in early January to preview the Cincinnati

1895
01:28:48,760 --> 01:28:51,479
Speaker 2: National Title Game. I don't think I will so have

1896
01:28:51,560 --> 01:28:53,600
Speaker 2: a good, have a good, have a good spring, but

1897
01:28:54,880 --> 01:28:56,639
Speaker 2: it would make me so happy to see you again

1898
01:28:56,680 --> 01:29:01,240
Speaker 2: and talk about Cincinnati in the Natty So Overcats. I

1899
01:29:01,280 --> 01:29:03,639
Speaker 2: think I'll mem to quote.

1900
01:29:03,479 --> 01:29:05,360
Speaker 1: Chris Cooper from the town, I'm going to see it,

1901
01:29:05,479 --> 01:29:07,280
Speaker 1: you know, either way this side or the other. Brother.

1902
01:29:07,520 --> 01:29:11,200
Speaker 1: So hopefully it is to preview a Cincinni National championship.

1903
01:29:11,240 --> 01:29:14,360
Speaker 1: If not, we'll touch base again in August and introduce

1904
01:29:14,400 --> 01:29:17,439
Speaker 1: you to all the new Bailey's appeys. Of the G

1905
01:29:17,680 --> 01:29:20,120
Speaker 1: five world. So thanks again for listening. This has been

1906
01:29:20,160 --> 01:29:23,000
Speaker 1: the Big Bets on Campus podcast, the G five Deep Dive,

1907
01:29:23,040 --> 01:29:25,680
Speaker 1: the G five Bowl Extravaganza. If you want to go

1908
01:29:25,760 --> 01:29:28,960
Speaker 1: back and listen into any particular bowl games that Lending

1909
01:29:29,000 --> 01:29:31,720
Speaker 1: Tree Bowl, all of them have been timestamped in the

1910
01:29:31,800 --> 01:29:34,680
Speaker 1: episode description for Mike I Know on Mike Calabrey's This

1911
01:29:34,760 --> 01:29:36,360
Speaker 1: has been an Action Network production