WEBVTT - Gen Z Workers and America's Needed Real Estate Bust

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Opinion podcast. Catch us Saturdays

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<v Speaker 1>on demand wherever you get your podcast. Welcome to Bloomberg Opinion.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Amy Morris. This week, we take a closer look

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<v Speaker 1>at the political divisions around Donald Trump's legal complications. Plus

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to take a deep dive into the debate

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<v Speaker 1>over the abortion pill, and we're gonna look at who

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<v Speaker 1>isn't returning to the workforce post pandemic. Let's get started.

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<v Speaker 1>The Federal Reserve hiked rates for the ninth straight time.

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<v Speaker 1>FED Chair J Powell signaled their work might not be

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<v Speaker 1>done yet. We need to raise rates higher. We will,

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<v Speaker 1>I think for now, though. We as I've mentioned, we

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<v Speaker 1>see the likelihood of credit tightening, and FED Chair Powell

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<v Speaker 1>says they don't expect to cut rates at all this year,

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<v Speaker 1>despite turmoil within the banking industry. This says he assured

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<v Speaker 1>the public that regulatory action demonstrated safety in the banking

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<v Speaker 1>system and that all depositors savings are safe. Treasury Secretary

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<v Speaker 1>Janet Yellen, however, struck a different tone on Capitol Hill

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<v Speaker 1>during a Senate hearing, and it's not considered or discussed

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<v Speaker 1>anything having to do with blanket insurance or guarantees with points.

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<v Speaker 1>As Treasury Secretary Yellen says, the US is not considering

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<v Speaker 1>those blanket deposit insurance without first working with Congress. Within

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<v Speaker 1>all of this turmoil in the banking sector, the commercial

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<v Speaker 1>real estate market has come into focus as another at

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<v Speaker 1>risk sector. Let's get into this a little bit more.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg opinion columnists Connorsen, founder of Peachtree Creek Investments, joins

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<v Speaker 1>me now and Connor. You argue in your column that

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<v Speaker 1>the US could actually benefit from a real estate bust,

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<v Speaker 1>but a very specific type tell us about that, right, So,

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<v Speaker 1>if you live in a community that has seen very

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<v Speaker 1>rapid increases in home prices over the past few years

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<v Speaker 1>and has an above average meeting income, but you'd have

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of tired, old, dated sort of shopping centers

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<v Speaker 1>and office buildings from maybe thirty or forty years ago,

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<v Speaker 1>this could be maybe not a good news for the

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<v Speaker 1>owner of the property, but good news for your community

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<v Speaker 1>as these properties can finally be redeveloped. So, but it

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<v Speaker 1>takes money to redevelop and will and strength and time

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<v Speaker 1>and effort. Is there enough of that leftover in space? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>so the bottom that holding back the redevelopment a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of these cases is that the market has said there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of demand for these communities, but the owners

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<v Speaker 1>of these buildings might have held on them for the

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<v Speaker 1>variety of reasons. Maybe there were some kind of week

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<v Speaker 1>tenants who were still taying the rent. Maybe the building

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<v Speaker 1>was being financed at very low indust rates, and so

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<v Speaker 1>even if it was sort of performing mediocre, they were like, well,

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<v Speaker 1>the checks are still coming in, so it's fine. And

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<v Speaker 1>this is really the catalyst for the market saying, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>it's time for you hand over the keys. It's time

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<v Speaker 1>for somebody else to take a shot at this property,

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<v Speaker 1>and with the community to do so well, as evidenced

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<v Speaker 1>by incomes and home values, the markets saying that this

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<v Speaker 1>is a sort of right for redevelopment. Okay, let me

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<v Speaker 1>get into a couple of things here. First, for clarification

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<v Speaker 1>for the audience, what is it you mean when you

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<v Speaker 1>say commercial property? So the most obvious would be if

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<v Speaker 1>sort of a dying or dead office park with a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of surface parking, that's probably the most prime opportunity

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<v Speaker 1>for redevelopment, but also shopping centers in stunt cases as well,

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<v Speaker 1>where the shopping center could be several decades old, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>it's half full, maybe the tenants aren't so great, but

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<v Speaker 1>the surrounding community is really strong. Sort of these are

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<v Speaker 1>the sort of areas between higher interest rates and then

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<v Speaker 1>a client in the office market that are most interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>And how would a commercial property owner know when it

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<v Speaker 1>is time to let it go. Well, if the tenants

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<v Speaker 1>go away and there's no money coming in, that's a

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<v Speaker 1>good sign. Or if they have a loan coming do

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<v Speaker 1>maybe the loan on the property. If there's leverage on

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<v Speaker 1>it and it was financed during the low interest rate environment,

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<v Speaker 1>now it's a much different interest environment, and if they

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<v Speaker 1>can't afford it, or the lender says we're not interested

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<v Speaker 1>in sort of offering you this opportunity. So there's sort

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<v Speaker 1>of two forcing functions here, and I think both will

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<v Speaker 1>happen in a lot of cases. But not every place

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<v Speaker 1>is as prime for this. Not every place with a

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<v Speaker 1>vacant office building is going to be in a position

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<v Speaker 1>for redevelopment. What are some of the criteria, right, And

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<v Speaker 1>so this is sort of a bit like the mall

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<v Speaker 1>discussion ten years ago. We were talking about dying malls

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<v Speaker 1>and dead malls, and that really wasn't the case, in

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<v Speaker 1>that a lot of malls are building fine, sort of

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<v Speaker 1>class A malls still doing well. It's really a function

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<v Speaker 1>of the surrounding community. Does the community have a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people as a growing are the income strong? If so,

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<v Speaker 1>then there's always an opportunity to turn that into something

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<v Speaker 1>new or sort of a refreshed concept or redevelopment. If

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<v Speaker 1>the surrounding community isn't doing well, then it's like anything else.

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<v Speaker 1>If it's a mall goes away or an office building

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<v Speaker 1>goes away, and you're less likely to see something happen

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<v Speaker 1>on that piece of lands. Are there any communities you

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<v Speaker 1>have in mind when you are thinking of this? You

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<v Speaker 1>labeled a few in your column, right, So I'm in Atlanta,

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<v Speaker 1>so I can see it here that there was a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of population growth, in home price appreciation during the pandemic,

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<v Speaker 1>and out in the northern suburbs a lot of very old,

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<v Speaker 1>sort of uninteresting commercial real estate, and there's opportunities there.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Orange County, California, Northern New Jersey, probably in

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<v Speaker 1>northern Virginia, Dallas, just anywhere where there's been a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of sort of economic growth, but maybe an old, aging

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<v Speaker 1>commercial real estate footprint that was built thirty or forty

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<v Speaker 1>years ago. I'm going to throw you a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a curveball here. You're in Atlanta, I'm in Washington, DC.

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<v Speaker 1>DC is unique in that a lot of those empty

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<v Speaker 1>buildings you refer to, they're owned by the federal government,

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<v Speaker 1>so it's not really commercial property, it's not really private property.

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<v Speaker 1>And there is a move afoot to encourage workers to

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<v Speaker 1>return to the office at least a few days a

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<v Speaker 1>week to get those buildings up and running and populated again.

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<v Speaker 1>But is that something that the federal government could also consider,

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<v Speaker 1>is just letting those buildings go absolutely and hopefully government

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<v Speaker 1>probably works in the lag where you'll need to see

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<v Speaker 1>that movement happening in the private sector first. But there's

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<v Speaker 1>certainly a lot of interest in the sort of Washington

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<v Speaker 1>metro with increasing housing affordability and just more having in general,

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<v Speaker 1>and so hopefully that is a way to sort of

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<v Speaker 1>tie two things together and convert some of that property

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<v Speaker 1>into housing. You also talked about the home market, the

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<v Speaker 1>housing sector, and that you're seeing some optimism in the

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<v Speaker 1>housing sector. You mentioned this in one of your columns

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<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg terminal. Let's get into that a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit and how that's primed right now. It's a really

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<v Speaker 1>interesting time because with mortgage rates being so high, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of homeowners who locked in mortgage rates during the

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic at very low levels aren't interested in selling and

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<v Speaker 1>just will sit on their home their low mortgage rate.

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<v Speaker 1>And even though sort of buying demand is down because

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<v Speaker 1>of affordability issues and hire mortgage rates because there's no resilementory,

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<v Speaker 1>the resilmentory levels remains very low. It's sort of pushing

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<v Speaker 1>people into the new home market and as results, creating

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<v Speaker 1>a boom for homebuilders. And they're reporting pretty good earnings.

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<v Speaker 1>The stocks are doing well even in this environment. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think you're going to see eclished home production, even

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<v Speaker 1>with mortgage rates to seven percent, just because there's so

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<v Speaker 1>little reci elements were in the market right now. Does

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<v Speaker 1>that have anything to do with what we saw last summer?

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<v Speaker 1>Remember last summer, everybody was selling their home at the

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<v Speaker 1>asking right plus ten thousand plus twenty thousand. They were

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<v Speaker 1>getting ridiculous amounts for their homes. When they were putting

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<v Speaker 1>them on the market and they were selling before they

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<v Speaker 1>were even listed. It seemed like, is that sort of

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<v Speaker 1>a hangover from that? Yeah. That what happened was we

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<v Speaker 1>went from a really hot boom to a really cold

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<v Speaker 1>bust very quickly last year when mortgage rates went up

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<v Speaker 1>so much, and I think a lot of buyers sort

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<v Speaker 1>of took nine months off where mortgage rates had five

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<v Speaker 1>percent in the spring, they said, Okay, I'm done. I'll

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<v Speaker 1>come back next year and see what things look like.

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<v Speaker 1>And because you had nine months of the buyer demand

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<v Speaker 1>that didn't happen. They came into the market January and said, well,

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<v Speaker 1>for life reasons, I have to buy a house, and

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<v Speaker 1>there may be desperation buyers, and so they're looking at

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<v Speaker 1>what's available and they're saying, there's nothing in the resil

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<v Speaker 1>market for me. I guess that means I have to

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<v Speaker 1>go to a home builder and get something new. And

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<v Speaker 1>they might not like the price, they might not like

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<v Speaker 1>the selection, but when you need a house, you need

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<v Speaker 1>a house. In a lot of cases. I like that

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<v Speaker 1>you talked about new construction, but it seems like that's

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<v Speaker 1>a different animal only because you're having to deal with

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<v Speaker 1>labor shortages and material shortages and those are still an

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<v Speaker 1>issue or is that starting to clear up now? It's

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<v Speaker 1>starting to get better. And the home botherers have said

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<v Speaker 1>that the early stage of construction, so framing a home,

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<v Speaker 1>pouring the concrete, all that that's actually finally speeding up,

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<v Speaker 1>but the later part of the cycle, putting in finishings

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<v Speaker 1>and appliances and things like that, that's still backlogged. And

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<v Speaker 1>think if it's sort of like a pig going through

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<v Speaker 1>a python where because there was a slowdown and housing

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<v Speaker 1>starts about nine months ago, that early stage part of

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<v Speaker 1>the process has kind of cleared up, but the later

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<v Speaker 1>stage is still backlogged. But we should expect later in

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<v Speaker 1>the year that that late stage part of the process

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<v Speaker 1>will speed up as well and just really sort of

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<v Speaker 1>make things a lot easier for builders trying to build

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<v Speaker 1>and buyers trying to buy a home. Now, Connor, you've

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<v Speaker 1>been following this for quite some time, so when you

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<v Speaker 1>are looking at the commercial real estate market or even

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<v Speaker 1>the home sector, the home buying, the home building sector,

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<v Speaker 1>has it ever been quite this volatile or has this

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<v Speaker 1>sort of par for the course considering everything else the

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<v Speaker 1>economy has been going through over the past couple of years,

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<v Speaker 1>and we can all lay it at the doorstep of

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. It's a very strange environment because you have

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<v Speaker 1>the unemployment rate that's the lowest in fifty years, and

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<v Speaker 1>yet maybe the worst environment for office buildings in decade.

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<v Speaker 1>That's kind of weird. And then you have housing affordability

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<v Speaker 1>that buy a lot of measures is the worst it's

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<v Speaker 1>been in forty years. And yet home mothers are doing

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<v Speaker 1>well in this environment because we didn't build home through

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<v Speaker 1>a ten years. The sort of millennial generation isn't at

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<v Speaker 1>those years. We're buiking to buy homes, there's nothing to resell,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's pushing people into the building market. So when

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<v Speaker 1>you explain it, it it makes sense, but it just kind

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<v Speaker 1>of weird from a macro standpoint because things are all

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<v Speaker 1>out stored. I want to circle back very briefly before

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<v Speaker 1>I let you go about the real estate bust that

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<v Speaker 1>we started with, and how rebuilding and refinishing those comm

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<v Speaker 1>properties force use somewhere else, some way else could actually

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<v Speaker 1>be better for the community. Who are some of the

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<v Speaker 1>people who could benefit from that. I'm not sure if

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<v Speaker 1>they're enough developers who have the skill set and ability

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<v Speaker 1>and willingness and financing to do this. This might take

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<v Speaker 1>some time because there might be a lot more properties

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<v Speaker 1>turning over than there are developers willing to redevelop, and

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<v Speaker 1>so this process could take a while, especially if bank

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<v Speaker 1>credit is going to be tight for a bit. But

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<v Speaker 1>I think if you moved to a community, and maybe

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<v Speaker 1>you moved out there for family reasons or life reasons,

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<v Speaker 1>and you say, I love my neighborhood, I love my house,

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<v Speaker 1>but we've got to get rid of these old buildings

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<v Speaker 1>that have are underutilized and haven't been used very well

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<v Speaker 1>for decades. This is finally the opportunity for you to

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<v Speaker 1>see your community turn into what you wanted to do.

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<v Speaker 1>Connerson is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and founder of Peachtree

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<v Speaker 1>Creek Investments and coming up. The debate over the abortion

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<v Speaker 1>pill has put at least one pharmacy in a no

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<v Speaker 1>win situation. We'll look into that. You're listening to Bloomberg Opinion.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Opinion. I'm am Morris. Women's health advocates,

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<v Speaker 1>so small victory in the FDA decision to allow pharmacies

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<v Speaker 1>to dispense the abortion pill Mythopriss Stone. The day after

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<v Speaker 1>that decision, Walgreen's Boots Alliance was the first of the

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<v Speaker 1>big pharmacy owners to sign on CBS at Rite Aid

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<v Speaker 1>quickly followed, and then came the pushback. Vice President Kamala

0:11:17.440 --> 0:11:22.120
<v Speaker 1>Harris reacted to this. It is FDA approved and was

0:11:22.160 --> 0:11:25.800
<v Speaker 1>approved twenty years of goal. This is not just an

0:11:25.800 --> 0:11:29.440
<v Speaker 1>attack on women's fundamental freedoms. It is an attack on

0:11:29.480 --> 0:11:31.960
<v Speaker 1>the very foundation of our public health system. All right,

0:11:32.040 --> 0:11:34.280
<v Speaker 1>and for more on this, we bring in Bloomberg opinion

0:11:34.280 --> 0:11:38.000
<v Speaker 1>columnist Bethcoed. Now, at first glance, and you made this

0:11:38.080 --> 0:11:41.880
<v Speaker 1>point in your column. Walgreens, CBS and write Aid all

0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:46.280
<v Speaker 1>women run companies. But this got complicated quick bring us

0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:51.440
<v Speaker 1>up to speed, Yes, very quickly, got very complicated. In January,

0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:55.080
<v Speaker 1>these companies applied to get certified through this program. But

0:11:55.160 --> 0:11:59.000
<v Speaker 1>then in February they received a letter from a group

0:11:59.200 --> 0:12:03.520
<v Speaker 1>of republic In state attorneys general that basically said it

0:12:03.600 --> 0:12:06.679
<v Speaker 1>was a warning, do not distribute in our states. There

0:12:06.679 --> 0:12:12.560
<v Speaker 1>will be letical ramifications if you do. Walgreens responds and says,

0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:15.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, we don't have plans to distribute in your state,

0:12:16.320 --> 0:12:20.360
<v Speaker 1>so you know, no problem. Basically that's when they started

0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:22.480
<v Speaker 1>getting pushback from the left. So we've already got the

0:12:22.520 --> 0:12:24.320
<v Speaker 1>pushback from the right, now we have the pushback from

0:12:24.360 --> 0:12:28.600
<v Speaker 1>the left. Basically what Kamala Harris said, you know that

0:12:29.120 --> 0:12:31.800
<v Speaker 1>these drugs should be districted. It is legal that should

0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:35.920
<v Speaker 1>be distributed, and you know women need access to these pills.

0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:39.920
<v Speaker 1>Is this simply a culture war or is that an oversimplification.

0:12:40.040 --> 0:12:42.840
<v Speaker 1>Is it more complicated than that. I think the culture

0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:45.120
<v Speaker 1>wars are definitely a piece at this, but there's a

0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:47.760
<v Speaker 1>lot more going on here right We are as a

0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:52.320
<v Speaker 1>country grappling with what a post row America looks like,

0:12:52.640 --> 0:12:56.360
<v Speaker 1>and I think this is changing every day. There's lots

0:12:56.360 --> 0:12:59.839
<v Speaker 1>of legal cases going through the system right now that

0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:02.360
<v Speaker 1>we don't know how they're how they're going to resolve.

0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:06.040
<v Speaker 1>This is an issue that demands a lot of nuance.

0:13:06.080 --> 0:13:08.360
<v Speaker 1>It's very complicated, and this is all happening in a

0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:12.360
<v Speaker 1>time when nuance and you know, has got out the window.

0:13:12.440 --> 0:13:15.200
<v Speaker 1>So I do think that the culture wars are a

0:13:15.240 --> 0:13:17.760
<v Speaker 1>part of it, but this is really just a moment

0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:21.400
<v Speaker 1>of change in flux and it's super challenging to be

0:13:21.480 --> 0:13:24.880
<v Speaker 1>a company trying to navigate that. What is the biggest

0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:28.160
<v Speaker 1>challenge at this point for a company like Walgreens, because

0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:31.440
<v Speaker 1>it seems on the surface that if they just follow

0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 1>the state and federal laws, they're covered. They're fine. Just

0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:37.760
<v Speaker 1>follow the law, one would think, right, But there's a

0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:42.199
<v Speaker 1>dispute about what does compliance mean. Right, So on some levels,

0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:48.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, well, legally FDA regulates drugs, so that should

0:13:48.160 --> 0:13:52.480
<v Speaker 1>trump everything. But however, you know, a company like Walgreens

0:13:52.480 --> 0:13:55.640
<v Speaker 1>really risks putting its staff in a terrible you know,

0:13:55.640 --> 0:13:59.199
<v Speaker 1>in a terrible position here right now. So if if

0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:02.560
<v Speaker 1>it's staff very stay law in some cases, they could

0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:07.120
<v Speaker 1>risk finds moving their license, jail time. So there's there's

0:14:07.160 --> 0:14:09.800
<v Speaker 1>real ramifications here. So you know, I think I think

0:14:09.840 --> 0:14:12.360
<v Speaker 1>that is the big question. What a state law, what

0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:14.880
<v Speaker 1>a federal law? Right now? That's you know, that's at

0:14:14.920 --> 0:14:18.080
<v Speaker 1>least state laws are changing, and you know what happens

0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:21.280
<v Speaker 1>when those things don't align, which is what we're really seeing.

0:14:23.520 --> 0:14:26.920
<v Speaker 1>Have you come across this yet, We're maybe staff at

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:30.880
<v Speaker 1>Walgreens or CVS would have a moral objection to dispensing

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:34.280
<v Speaker 1>such drugs. Is that an issue that comes up. We've

0:14:34.320 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 1>definitely already seen this um and we've run into issues

0:14:37.600 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 1>and I you know, I'm not sure if this is

0:14:38.920 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 1>Walgreens specific. I think we have seen a couple examples

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:45.680
<v Speaker 1>here where you know, harmacists have said they feel uncomfortable

0:14:45.680 --> 0:14:48.440
<v Speaker 1>distributing and it goes against their morals. You know, I

0:14:48.480 --> 0:14:52.080
<v Speaker 1>think that's a different, slightly different issue because that's sort

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:55.160
<v Speaker 1>of their personal beliefs versus the law. So I do

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:59.360
<v Speaker 1>think this sort of takes it to another level here.

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:03.000
<v Speaker 1>Are there any other drugs out there that have created

0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:06.000
<v Speaker 1>this type of conflict or is it's just specifically this?

0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Are we in a whole new realm of how to

0:15:08.920 --> 0:15:13.120
<v Speaker 1>distribute pharmaceutical medication. This has really become such a hot

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 1>fun issue because fifty percent of abortions, more than fifty

0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:21.400
<v Speaker 1>percent of abortions in this country, our medication abortions to

0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:25.280
<v Speaker 1>require these puzzles a huge deal. Anti abortion activists have

0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 1>said that this is where they're going to push, This

0:15:27.880 --> 0:15:30.960
<v Speaker 1>is going to be the next frontier. I think the

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>Bidens administration has really thought and pushed to widen access

0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 1>here when when we did see the doc's decision overturned rows.

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:47.200
<v Speaker 1>So I think that this has really taken this debate

0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:51.640
<v Speaker 1>to a whole new level, a granular level, definitely, and

0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 1>it puts Walgreens in a pretty tough spot. But are

0:15:56.040 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>other pharmacies also dealing with this sort of no win situation.

0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:04.600
<v Speaker 1>They get pushed back from Republicans or Democrats, or pro

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:06.880
<v Speaker 1>life or pro choice, depending on how you want to

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:10.520
<v Speaker 1>categorize the people who are pushing So this is really

0:16:10.560 --> 0:16:14.160
<v Speaker 1>interesting that the reason that Walgreens has become central to

0:16:14.280 --> 0:16:19.400
<v Speaker 1>this is because we know that their response to the

0:16:19.560 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 1>Republican state ages became public. We don't actually know what

0:16:23.160 --> 0:16:26.400
<v Speaker 1>CBS or writing said, if anything, and they have managed

0:16:26.440 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>to stay Studiously why it obs You can't really blame

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:34.120
<v Speaker 1>them when you see what's happened to Walgreens. But what's

0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:36.800
<v Speaker 1>interesting here is if you look at this, Walgreens has

0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:42.120
<v Speaker 1>not changed its position. When it applied for the program

0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:44.480
<v Speaker 1>back in January, it said you will follow state and

0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:47.600
<v Speaker 1>federal law. I think where things have gotten messy is

0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:50.920
<v Speaker 1>actually in some of the reporting, because that even that

0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:54.000
<v Speaker 1>is a complicated issue, right, So some of the headlines

0:16:54.040 --> 0:16:59.040
<v Speaker 1>sort of said, you know, Walgreens won't distribute abortion pills

0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:01.880
<v Speaker 1>in states where they are legal, right, So technically that

0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:05.439
<v Speaker 1>is correct, okay, but it might be legal in the

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:07.280
<v Speaker 1>state of worship pills may be legal in the state,

0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:09.880
<v Speaker 1>but it might not be legal for wagerings to distribute

0:17:09.920 --> 0:17:12.640
<v Speaker 1>them in the state because there's extra regulations that require

0:17:13.359 --> 0:17:16.960
<v Speaker 1>a physician be present or that they're dispensed through a physician.

0:17:17.280 --> 0:17:21.920
<v Speaker 1>So even that is a very that even requires nuance there.

0:17:21.920 --> 0:17:25.440
<v Speaker 1>It's it's not so simple. So what might come of this.

0:17:25.640 --> 0:17:28.120
<v Speaker 1>Is this a place where a company would stand up,

0:17:28.160 --> 0:17:31.640
<v Speaker 1>take a stand, fight back or no. I think this

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:35.119
<v Speaker 1>is the eternal question, right, It's it's a really, that

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:39.800
<v Speaker 1>is a really. I think that's probably something they're debating internally. Um.

0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:43.200
<v Speaker 1>You know, they are in the spotlight right now, people

0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:46.440
<v Speaker 1>are watching what they do. Um. I do think it's

0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:50.440
<v Speaker 1>worth noting that we have seen, you know, we've seen

0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:52.679
<v Speaker 1>the drug store companies say they're going to apply for

0:17:52.720 --> 0:17:56.160
<v Speaker 1>this program. So at least they are distributing in some plan.

0:17:56.400 --> 0:17:58.960
<v Speaker 1>And also, to be clear, no one's distributing anything yet

0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:01.400
<v Speaker 1>right like they've been proved, so this is all sort

0:18:01.440 --> 0:18:04.919
<v Speaker 1>of if they are approved for this program. But the

0:18:05.080 --> 0:18:11.040
<v Speaker 1>big retailers Walmart, Albertson's, Costco, they all have pharmacy divisions

0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:14.399
<v Speaker 1>and they have not even applied for this program. So

0:18:14.440 --> 0:18:16.119
<v Speaker 1>I do think there is a little bit of a

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:20.520
<v Speaker 1>double standard here where you know, why are critics so

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:24.120
<v Speaker 1>focused on Walgreens, which is at least, you know, doing

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:26.520
<v Speaker 1>something as opposed to some of these other companies that

0:18:26.560 --> 0:18:30.640
<v Speaker 1>we haven't even seen apply yet to distribute anywhere. Well,

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:35.080
<v Speaker 1>what should those who support the program, whether it be Democrats,

0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 1>pro choices, however you want to categorize them, what should

0:18:37.640 --> 0:18:41.399
<v Speaker 1>they be doing at this point. I do think that,

0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:43.600
<v Speaker 1>and this is starting to happen, is to maybe put

0:18:43.640 --> 0:18:45.520
<v Speaker 1>some pressure on some of those companies we've not heard

0:18:45.560 --> 0:18:48.480
<v Speaker 1>from what is your plan? I think that makes it

0:18:48.560 --> 0:18:51.320
<v Speaker 1>easier for a Walgreens to not have to stand alone

0:18:51.320 --> 0:18:55.800
<v Speaker 1>on this. You know, they are really being targeted, but

0:18:55.840 --> 0:18:58.800
<v Speaker 1>we don't really know where the other the other corporations

0:18:58.920 --> 0:19:00.320
<v Speaker 1>where they are going to come out. And I do

0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 1>think um lawmakers, Democratic lawmakers really saying you know, what

0:19:05.240 --> 0:19:08.119
<v Speaker 1>is what is your plans? These other companies sort of

0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:10.560
<v Speaker 1>makes it seem a little bit less like Walgreens is

0:19:10.600 --> 0:19:12.800
<v Speaker 1>just hanging out over here, you know, on one side,

0:19:12.800 --> 0:19:16.640
<v Speaker 1>and everybody else is on on the other. Um. So

0:19:16.880 --> 0:19:19.680
<v Speaker 1>I really think that that I think that that is

0:19:19.720 --> 0:19:23.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of the next step before I let you go

0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:26.240
<v Speaker 1>how far is this going to go? I don't mean

0:19:26.359 --> 0:19:30.159
<v Speaker 1>just this particular issue, but we saw the overturner rov Wade.

0:19:30.480 --> 0:19:34.040
<v Speaker 1>We see them now concerned about the pills being distributed

0:19:34.080 --> 0:19:37.719
<v Speaker 1>through pharmacies. What what is it? What's next? What does

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 1>this end? Oh? Gosh, um, I think this is this

0:19:41.640 --> 0:19:44.320
<v Speaker 1>is the beginning. I think you're right. I think there's

0:19:44.359 --> 0:19:46.000
<v Speaker 1>a long way to go. Right now, there's a there's

0:19:46.040 --> 0:19:48.520
<v Speaker 1>a case in Texas that could actually this might all

0:19:48.560 --> 0:19:50.280
<v Speaker 1>be moved. Right there's a case going on in Texas

0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:55.600
<v Speaker 1>right now that threatens to basically overturn the distribution of

0:19:55.960 --> 0:19:59.840
<v Speaker 1>MEFO pristone nationally. Um. So again, this is just a

0:20:00.240 --> 0:20:05.440
<v Speaker 1>moving target. We just don't have a clear vision yet

0:20:05.480 --> 0:20:09.760
<v Speaker 1>of what again, the post row America looks like. And

0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:14.240
<v Speaker 1>I think that's really honestly scary for a lot of people. Okay,

0:20:14.280 --> 0:20:16.040
<v Speaker 1>Bethel to thank you for your time and thank you

0:20:16.080 --> 0:20:19.679
<v Speaker 1>for watching this issue for us. Bloomberg opinion columnist beethco

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:23.040
<v Speaker 1>It covers corporate America and don't forget We are available

0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 1>as a podcast on Apple, Spotify or your favorite podcast platform.

0:20:27.560 --> 0:20:30.880
<v Speaker 1>Now stay with us. Coming up the latest legal entanglements

0:20:30.880 --> 0:20:33.879
<v Speaker 1>for former President Donald Trump and then look at the

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:38.439
<v Speaker 1>gen Z workforce or the lack of one. This is

0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:42.679
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg opinion. This is Bloomberg opinion. I'm Amy Morris. We

0:20:42.880 --> 0:20:46.320
<v Speaker 1>continue to follow the legal entanglements of former President Donald

0:20:46.320 --> 0:20:49.680
<v Speaker 1>Trumps some issues that had cropped up, some even well

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:52.320
<v Speaker 1>before he took the oath of office. And even though

0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:55.800
<v Speaker 1>the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary are nearly

0:20:55.840 --> 0:20:59.159
<v Speaker 1>a year away, we're already seeing members of the GOP

0:20:59.400 --> 0:21:03.080
<v Speaker 1>start to who's their alliances. After President Trump encouraged his

0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:07.240
<v Speaker 1>supporters to protest his potential arrest, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy

0:21:07.280 --> 0:21:09.960
<v Speaker 1>says that's not exactly what he meant when someone says

0:21:09.960 --> 0:21:11.919
<v Speaker 1>that they can protest, he would probably be referring to

0:21:12.000 --> 0:21:15.359
<v Speaker 1>my tweet. Educate people about what's going on. He's not

0:21:15.440 --> 0:21:18.640
<v Speaker 1>talking in a harmful way, and nobody should. All. Let's

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:21.959
<v Speaker 1>bring in Bloomberg Opinion columnist Jonathan Bernstein. He focuses on

0:21:22.040 --> 0:21:25.159
<v Speaker 1>politics and policy. He joins me now, and Jonathan, I

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:28.919
<v Speaker 1>want to get into the divisions between the GOP over

0:21:29.119 --> 0:21:31.359
<v Speaker 1>Trump's legal entanglements. I want to get into all of that,

0:21:31.440 --> 0:21:35.719
<v Speaker 1>but first, it kind of almost sounds like Donald Trump

0:21:36.240 --> 0:21:38.919
<v Speaker 1>would almost welcome an indictment. And what I mean is

0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:41.880
<v Speaker 1>Senator Lindsey Graham had said that an indictment could actually

0:21:41.880 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 1>help Trump win the White House. Does he have a point?

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:50.560
<v Speaker 1>Probably not. You know, the initial reaction to an indictment

0:21:50.760 --> 0:21:56.880
<v Speaker 1>might be rallying around the party leader. But we are

0:21:56.920 --> 0:22:01.200
<v Speaker 1>as to say, months away from Iowa, away from New Hampshire,

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:06.040
<v Speaker 1>and you know, the truth is that most people who

0:22:06.080 --> 0:22:10.240
<v Speaker 1>are strong Trump supporters are going to be strong Trump supporters.

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:11.800
<v Speaker 1>They're not going to care about indictment, They're not going

0:22:11.840 --> 0:22:14.679
<v Speaker 1>to care about anything. But there's a lot of people

0:22:14.840 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 1>in the party who are not particularly strong Trump supporters.

0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:23.199
<v Speaker 1>They like him, almost all Republicans, you know, there's a

0:22:23.240 --> 0:22:26.680
<v Speaker 1>sliver who've always been never Trump, but most of them

0:22:26.880 --> 0:22:28.959
<v Speaker 1>like him. They think that he did good things as

0:22:29.000 --> 0:22:32.640
<v Speaker 1>president because he followed, you know, for the most part

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:39.239
<v Speaker 1>traditional Republicans. He did traditional Republican things and so but

0:22:39.280 --> 0:22:41.159
<v Speaker 1>they're not one hundred percent sold that he should be

0:22:41.200 --> 0:22:45.920
<v Speaker 1>their nominee again. And over time, if we are facing

0:22:46.280 --> 0:22:50.160
<v Speaker 1>an indated or most likely right now I'm multiple indicted

0:22:50.240 --> 0:22:55.800
<v Speaker 1>on different cases, Republican candidates, they may start to worry

0:22:55.800 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 1>about the general election, and well, they should, because most

0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:01.159
<v Speaker 1>Republicans are going to vote for the nominee no matter what.

0:23:01.320 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 1>We know that, whether it's Trump, whether it's whoever. But

0:23:05.880 --> 0:23:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Trump always underperformed. He he ran for president twice, and

0:23:09.560 --> 0:23:13.400
<v Speaker 1>he probably underperformed in both cases what a generic Republican

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:16.640
<v Speaker 1>would have done. And it's hard to see exactly who

0:23:16.680 --> 0:23:19.960
<v Speaker 1>the people are who said no to Trump the first

0:23:19.960 --> 0:23:22.600
<v Speaker 1>two times, and they're going to say, oh, yeah, now

0:23:22.680 --> 0:23:24.920
<v Speaker 1>that he's been indicted, now I'm going to vote for him.

0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:28.240
<v Speaker 1>So we don't know how many people he'll lose, but

0:23:28.240 --> 0:23:30.320
<v Speaker 1>if he doesn't have a whole lot of leeway to

0:23:30.320 --> 0:23:33.480
<v Speaker 1>begin with, given that he lost last time, so it

0:23:33.560 --> 0:23:36.480
<v Speaker 1>probably hurts his chances in the general election, and that

0:23:36.560 --> 0:23:40.120
<v Speaker 1>in turn probably winds up hurting his chances for the nomination.

0:23:40.560 --> 0:23:42.960
<v Speaker 1>Would it also hurt chances for folks who were on

0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:46.240
<v Speaker 1>the same ballot, those down ballot races, who maybe align

0:23:46.320 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 1>themselves with him. That's basically how the mechanism works, is

0:23:49.760 --> 0:23:52.480
<v Speaker 1>that they start worrying, you know, he's going to be

0:23:52.520 --> 0:23:55.280
<v Speaker 1>a weak candidate, and then they look for an alternative

0:23:55.640 --> 0:23:58.680
<v Speaker 1>and perhaps endorsed one of the other candidates, and that

0:23:58.840 --> 0:24:04.040
<v Speaker 1>starts to hurt is standing with voters. It's not what

0:24:04.320 --> 0:24:07.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's not a full, you know, quick assembly line.

0:24:07.680 --> 0:24:11.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, somebody endorses the Santas and voters say, oh, well,

0:24:11.480 --> 0:24:15.800
<v Speaker 1>I think I'll go that way. But it tends to matter,

0:24:16.440 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 1>and depending on the size of the of the impulse

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:24.480
<v Speaker 1>that people are hearing, it tends to hurt the candidate

0:24:24.600 --> 0:24:29.080
<v Speaker 1>during the generalation because in the nomination because absolutely those

0:24:29.119 --> 0:24:34.640
<v Speaker 1>candidates want to win and they're going to be concerned, well,

0:24:34.680 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 1>you know what's going to come out in trials? How's

0:24:36.800 --> 0:24:39.560
<v Speaker 1>it going to look. One indictment in New York might

0:24:39.600 --> 0:24:41.280
<v Speaker 1>not mean that much. But what if there's also an

0:24:41.320 --> 0:24:44.679
<v Speaker 1>indictment in Georgia. What if there's also an indictment on

0:24:44.720 --> 0:24:47.800
<v Speaker 1>the Documents case by the federal government or on January

0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:50.360
<v Speaker 1>sixth by the federal government, and we could have very

0:24:50.359 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 1>easily all of those happening. Would that then be where

0:24:54.119 --> 0:24:58.320
<v Speaker 1>these divisions within the GOP line more of a how

0:24:58.400 --> 0:25:02.439
<v Speaker 1>does this affect Mike candidacy versus a concern about the

0:25:02.480 --> 0:25:06.240
<v Speaker 1>behavior for which he is being scrutinized. Yeah, I mean

0:25:06.280 --> 0:25:10.679
<v Speaker 1>I think that anybody who really cared only about the

0:25:10.800 --> 0:25:14.959
<v Speaker 1>behavior would have been in the never Trump column long

0:25:15.200 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 1>long ago. There's not anything really really new here, certainly

0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:24.760
<v Speaker 1>not after January six, twenty twenty one. You know, one

0:25:24.760 --> 0:25:27.199
<v Speaker 1>of the reasons that it's that he still has a

0:25:27.320 --> 0:25:32.199
<v Speaker 1>chance is because unlike in the Democratic forty am the

0:25:32.200 --> 0:25:36.879
<v Speaker 1>Republican Party twenty thirty, forty years ago, where messing up

0:25:36.920 --> 0:25:41.840
<v Speaker 1>elections would have a huge cost, but the Republican aligned

0:25:41.880 --> 0:25:45.960
<v Speaker 1>media is such an important part of the party right now,

0:25:46.560 --> 0:25:51.600
<v Speaker 1>Fox News, the talk shows, etcetera, etcetera, and their centers

0:25:51.640 --> 0:25:53.960
<v Speaker 1>are a little different. They don't really They probably do

0:25:54.080 --> 0:25:56.080
<v Speaker 1>better with Joe Biden in the White House than with

0:25:57.520 --> 0:25:59.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, Desantist or Mike Pence in the White House.

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:04.520
<v Speaker 1>They may not abandon Trump as long as he's good

0:26:04.520 --> 0:26:07.840
<v Speaker 1>for rating. Still, would an indictment of Trump create a

0:26:07.920 --> 0:26:13.240
<v Speaker 1>chilling effect on future officeholders? No, the real president here

0:26:13.280 --> 0:26:17.840
<v Speaker 1>would be not to indict if assuming that the prosecutors

0:26:17.880 --> 0:26:19.520
<v Speaker 1>have the goods on him. And you know, I'm not

0:26:19.560 --> 0:26:22.280
<v Speaker 1>a lawyer, so I'm not going to have an opinion

0:26:22.320 --> 0:26:25.960
<v Speaker 1>about that. But we don't have a former president indicted,

0:26:26.320 --> 0:26:30.240
<v Speaker 1>not because there was some sort of doctrine not to

0:26:30.320 --> 0:26:35.240
<v Speaker 1>in former presidents, but because former presidents generally haven't been

0:26:35.720 --> 0:26:38.280
<v Speaker 1>crooked or if they if they were doing something illegal,

0:26:38.800 --> 0:26:41.240
<v Speaker 1>it was subtle, it was you know, not coming to

0:26:41.240 --> 0:26:46.720
<v Speaker 1>the attention of the authorities. That's just not the case

0:26:46.760 --> 0:26:51.040
<v Speaker 1>with Trump. He has very much. You know, it's something

0:26:51.080 --> 0:26:55.400
<v Speaker 1>like the documents case where he just refused to cooperate

0:26:55.600 --> 0:26:58.960
<v Speaker 1>with the law and got himself in trouble in a

0:26:59.000 --> 0:27:03.440
<v Speaker 1>way that was very difficult for the said to ignore

0:27:04.160 --> 0:27:06.760
<v Speaker 1>and got himself raided and got you found out that

0:27:06.760 --> 0:27:08.600
<v Speaker 1>he was lying to them. Well, that's the kind of

0:27:08.600 --> 0:27:12.800
<v Speaker 1>stuff that typical citizens would get indicted for and has

0:27:12.800 --> 0:27:15.560
<v Speaker 1>just never happened before in his United States. So no,

0:27:15.720 --> 0:27:18.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't think that it changes the game at all

0:27:19.240 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 1>if he's indicted. I think what would really change things

0:27:22.800 --> 0:27:25.320
<v Speaker 1>if they look at this and say, you know what,

0:27:25.640 --> 0:27:28.400
<v Speaker 1>a normal citizen would be indicted here, but we shouldn't

0:27:28.400 --> 0:27:31.960
<v Speaker 1>do it for a former president. You know, that would

0:27:32.040 --> 0:27:34.680
<v Speaker 1>let future presidents off the hook, and it might also

0:27:34.800 --> 0:27:39.840
<v Speaker 1>let other politicians off the hook. You know, if governors

0:27:39.840 --> 0:27:41.520
<v Speaker 1>are going to say, well, how come I own get

0:27:41.520 --> 0:27:44.280
<v Speaker 1>that treatment. If you didn't indicte Trump for that, why

0:27:44.280 --> 0:27:47.600
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't And we may sort of go in that direction

0:27:47.720 --> 0:27:53.480
<v Speaker 1>of saying, well, candidates, former officials. Current officials should be

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:56.679
<v Speaker 1>treated differently and held to a you know, a different

0:27:56.720 --> 0:28:00.440
<v Speaker 1>standard that they're allowed to do whatever they want. Historically

0:28:00.440 --> 0:28:04.200
<v Speaker 1>we've said higher standard, but that would be a lower one. Yeah,

0:28:04.240 --> 0:28:08.840
<v Speaker 1>and you know, foreign leaders have been indicted for former

0:28:08.920 --> 0:28:11.840
<v Speaker 1>prime ministers, former presidents, and of course, you know, like

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:14.840
<v Speaker 1>you said, you know, at the lower level, plenty of

0:28:15.359 --> 0:28:21.600
<v Speaker 1>former governors, current governors, former senators, current senators, Senate candidates

0:28:22.160 --> 0:28:26.439
<v Speaker 1>have come under legal trouble. We never had the situation

0:28:26.520 --> 0:28:30.960
<v Speaker 1>where a former president who is also a leading candidate

0:28:31.040 --> 0:28:35.159
<v Speaker 1>for the nomination for the next cycles has you know,

0:28:35.200 --> 0:28:37.160
<v Speaker 1>it's it's never come up before. You could say we're

0:28:37.160 --> 0:28:40.320
<v Speaker 1>gonna have a president either way, but the real presidents

0:28:40.400 --> 0:28:43.920
<v Speaker 1>are you prosecute people when there's when prosecutors have the

0:28:43.960 --> 0:28:47.360
<v Speaker 1>goods on them. What would it take to actually cause

0:28:47.480 --> 0:28:50.840
<v Speaker 1>more than a rift, more than a chasm? Well, I

0:28:50.880 --> 0:28:53.880
<v Speaker 1>think you know, with Trump, there's always been this problem

0:28:53.880 --> 0:28:58.600
<v Speaker 1>for Republicans that they don't believe that he is ultimately

0:28:58.680 --> 0:29:02.160
<v Speaker 1>loyal to the party. You know, it's it's impossible to

0:29:02.200 --> 0:29:09.240
<v Speaker 1>imagine Joe Biden or you know, before the Hillary Clinton

0:29:10.200 --> 0:29:11.840
<v Speaker 1>saying you know what, you're not going to nominate me,

0:29:11.920 --> 0:29:14.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna go ahead and run a third party campaign,

0:29:14.880 --> 0:29:18.960
<v Speaker 1>or I'm gonna tell my supporters to stay home, even

0:29:19.200 --> 0:29:22.360
<v Speaker 1>though I know it'll cost our party the election. Because

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:25.360
<v Speaker 1>somebody like that, even somebody like Bernie Sanders, who's not

0:29:26.040 --> 0:29:30.400
<v Speaker 1>properly even a member of the Democratic Party, he has

0:29:30.400 --> 0:29:33.720
<v Speaker 1>a strong preference, and everybody knows he has a strong

0:29:33.760 --> 0:29:38.160
<v Speaker 1>preference for Joe Biden or Hillary Clinton to beat Donald Trump.

0:29:38.320 --> 0:29:44.840
<v Speaker 1>Nobody believes that about Trump. Everybody believes that he didn't

0:29:44.880 --> 0:29:48.320
<v Speaker 1>really hear if it's not him, Does he care whether,

0:29:48.800 --> 0:29:51.680
<v Speaker 1>let's say it's Ronda Santis, whether the Santis or Biden

0:29:52.080 --> 0:29:54.760
<v Speaker 1>wins the presidential election. He may not care at all,

0:29:55.440 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 1>and so he might try to run a third party campaign.

0:29:59.360 --> 0:30:03.760
<v Speaker 1>He might just tellus supporters to stay home. We don't know,

0:30:04.200 --> 0:30:08.040
<v Speaker 1>and that makes them the kind of wildcard that makes

0:30:08.040 --> 0:30:12.520
<v Speaker 1>it very difficult for Republicans to deal with. Jonathan Bernstein

0:30:12.600 --> 0:30:15.040
<v Speaker 1>is a Bloomberg opinion columnist. Now the numbers show we

0:30:15.080 --> 0:30:18.600
<v Speaker 1>are getting back to pre pandemic labor force participation rates

0:30:18.880 --> 0:30:22.280
<v Speaker 1>well most of us. There is one group still missing.

0:30:22.320 --> 0:30:26.360
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg opinion columnists justin Fox Cover's business, and it joins us. Now,

0:30:26.920 --> 0:30:30.080
<v Speaker 1>justin what is gen Z's role in the labor force?

0:30:30.200 --> 0:30:33.920
<v Speaker 1>Where are they? If you just look by age groups

0:30:33.920 --> 0:30:36.560
<v Speaker 1>and they slice them into some pretty narrow ones, what

0:30:36.840 --> 0:30:40.120
<v Speaker 1>stands out is people over sixty five and people in

0:30:40.160 --> 0:30:43.560
<v Speaker 1>their twenties are still well short of where they were

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:47.520
<v Speaker 1>in terms of both labor force participation and employment versus

0:30:47.640 --> 0:30:51.719
<v Speaker 1>right before the pandemic. Most groups sort of between those

0:30:51.840 --> 0:30:55.600
<v Speaker 1>are pretty similar to where they were. And then teenagers,

0:30:55.720 --> 0:30:59.320
<v Speaker 1>especially younger teenagers, how much higher labor force participation for

0:30:59.360 --> 0:31:01.720
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. But it's still not that many of them

0:31:01.720 --> 0:31:04.760
<v Speaker 1>worked because that they used to decades ago, but that

0:31:05.080 --> 0:31:07.400
<v Speaker 1>their their participation in the labor of force has fallen

0:31:07.440 --> 0:31:10.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot over the years. Well, what's the hang up?

0:31:10.200 --> 0:31:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Demand for labor is high, so the jobs are there? Yeah,

0:31:13.840 --> 0:31:16.320
<v Speaker 1>you figure with the sixty five and older it's sort

0:31:16.320 --> 0:31:20.640
<v Speaker 1>of either fear continuing fear of COVID, or just this

0:31:20.800 --> 0:31:24.120
<v Speaker 1>sense that you know, I'm the eight years old, maybe

0:31:24.160 --> 0:31:27.160
<v Speaker 1>I just stopped working and for a while there a

0:31:27.160 --> 0:31:30.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of people's portfolios were growing a lot other that

0:31:30.440 --> 0:31:33.160
<v Speaker 1>than less the case lately for people in their twenties.

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:36.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, and this is something that's gotten relatively

0:31:36.160 --> 0:31:39.400
<v Speaker 1>little attention. I think the best explanation to me is

0:31:39.440 --> 0:31:42.680
<v Speaker 1>just that that's an age that's people who are just

0:31:42.800 --> 0:31:46.320
<v Speaker 1>about to go into the labor force when the pandemic hit.

0:31:46.840 --> 0:31:49.440
<v Speaker 1>They got laid off at higher rates than anybody else

0:31:49.440 --> 0:31:52.000
<v Speaker 1>because it's a more junior workers. And also lots of

0:31:52.000 --> 0:31:56.880
<v Speaker 1>them were working in service jobs in restaurants and retail

0:31:56.960 --> 0:32:01.480
<v Speaker 1>and stuff, and so they got laid off. Recruiting out

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:04.160
<v Speaker 1>of college got kind of paused for a few months there,

0:32:04.760 --> 0:32:07.080
<v Speaker 1>and I just get this sense, you know, it's it's

0:32:07.320 --> 0:32:11.080
<v Speaker 1>it's basically down by about a percentage point their labor

0:32:11.080 --> 0:32:14.480
<v Speaker 1>force participation. So it's not huge, huge numbers, but it's

0:32:14.560 --> 0:32:17.560
<v Speaker 1>a few hundred thousand people who maybe got a little

0:32:17.600 --> 0:32:20.920
<v Speaker 1>throne for a loop. O. Other things are a they

0:32:20.960 --> 0:32:22.520
<v Speaker 1>got thrown out of their jobs, but they also got

0:32:22.560 --> 0:32:24.800
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of money thrown at them early in the pandemic,

0:32:24.880 --> 0:32:27.680
<v Speaker 1>which may have changed their equation, although they're you know,

0:32:27.680 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 1>they don't have that money anymore. And another is a

0:32:32.280 --> 0:32:35.920
<v Speaker 1>lot of people in their early twenties. They might have

0:32:35.960 --> 0:32:39.760
<v Speaker 1>had to take care of younger siblings or older relatives

0:32:39.760 --> 0:32:41.920
<v Speaker 1>when their parents had to go off to work. And

0:32:42.080 --> 0:32:45.200
<v Speaker 1>schools were closed and such. What would it take to

0:32:45.240 --> 0:32:48.800
<v Speaker 1>get these groups that you talked about back into the workforce.

0:32:49.440 --> 0:32:52.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, in general, it seemed the lesson of the

0:32:52.200 --> 0:32:55.400
<v Speaker 1>past five or six years has just been a really

0:32:55.440 --> 0:32:58.080
<v Speaker 1>tight labor market. You know, a lot of demand, higher

0:32:58.080 --> 0:33:01.600
<v Speaker 1>wages pulls people back in, and so you figure, you know,

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:04.400
<v Speaker 1>a couple more years like the last couple of years,

0:33:04.440 --> 0:33:08.840
<v Speaker 1>and it would probably be all better again. But obviously

0:33:08.880 --> 0:33:11.920
<v Speaker 1>that's not exactly how things are looking right now this year.

0:33:12.360 --> 0:33:14.960
<v Speaker 1>Beyond that, I'm not sure, like, how do you go

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:19.320
<v Speaker 1>find these people who really should be getting started on

0:33:19.360 --> 0:33:23.800
<v Speaker 1>their careers and help them give them either that nudge

0:33:23.920 --> 0:33:27.120
<v Speaker 1>or that little boost to get them working. It is

0:33:27.120 --> 0:33:29.000
<v Speaker 1>a little worrisome, But I want to know from you

0:33:29.080 --> 0:33:32.400
<v Speaker 1>how worrisome is this? I mean, can we get along

0:33:32.440 --> 0:33:35.880
<v Speaker 1>just fine without this chunk of the workforce or has

0:33:35.880 --> 0:33:39.800
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic completely changed how we look at the workforce,

0:33:39.840 --> 0:33:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the face of the workforce, and how we look at work.

0:33:42.920 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think in general, we are entering this

0:33:45.960 --> 0:33:48.400
<v Speaker 1>new era where we're generally going to be short of

0:33:48.440 --> 0:33:52.560
<v Speaker 1>workers after a couple of decades where we kind of

0:33:52.600 --> 0:33:56.040
<v Speaker 1>felt like in a lot of jobs employers always had

0:33:56.080 --> 0:33:59.040
<v Speaker 1>the upper hand and it was tough, tough being a worker.

0:34:00.160 --> 0:34:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Sense that's great, and this is just because you look

0:34:02.520 --> 0:34:05.080
<v Speaker 1>at demographics and there just aren't going to be all

0:34:05.120 --> 0:34:08.359
<v Speaker 1>that many new people coming along. The baby Boomers are

0:34:08.360 --> 0:34:11.279
<v Speaker 1>pretty much easing out of the workforce now, and there

0:34:11.320 --> 0:34:13.759
<v Speaker 1>are a lot of millennials, but after them, the Gen

0:34:13.840 --> 0:34:16.320
<v Speaker 1>Z is not quite as big a group of people,

0:34:17.520 --> 0:34:21.280
<v Speaker 1>and so it looks like we're going to be generally

0:34:21.440 --> 0:34:23.920
<v Speaker 1>short on workers and going to need workers. So it

0:34:23.960 --> 0:34:26.319
<v Speaker 1>would be great if we could find a way to

0:34:26.400 --> 0:34:29.879
<v Speaker 1>persuade or help these people in their twenties get back

0:34:29.880 --> 0:34:31.520
<v Speaker 1>in the labor force or get into it for the

0:34:31.560 --> 0:34:34.880
<v Speaker 1>first time. Justin Fox is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. He

0:34:34.960 --> 0:34:38.360
<v Speaker 1>covers business and that does it for this week's Bloomberg Opinion.

0:34:38.640 --> 0:34:41.520
<v Speaker 1>We are produced by Eric Mullow. Don't forget We are

0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:45.520
<v Speaker 1>available as a podcast on Apple, Spotify or your favorite

0:34:45.520 --> 0:34:49.400
<v Speaker 1>podcast platform. Stay with us. Today's top stories and global

0:34:49.440 --> 0:34:51.960
<v Speaker 1>business headlines are coming up right now.