1 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perraultz. You guys 4 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:21,959 Speaker 2: can follow me on social ad, Sports Talk Matt and 5 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 2: This podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com. 6 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 2: Promo code Juice in the search bar activates all the 7 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 2: anniversary savings. It's fifty percent off the all the tender 8 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: file at the chicken, the pork, the seasoning, everything, deserts 9 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 2: and more in the anniversary pack available right now. Select 10 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 2: packages to get you fifty percent off with the promo 11 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 2: code Juice at Omaha Steaks dot Com. So at one 12 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 2: in one night last night, the Yankees are awful. We're 13 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 2: not betting on the Yankees anymore. Okay, the Yankees are 14 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:50,400 Speaker 2: just an awful baseball team. That was a flyer bet. 15 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:52,599 Speaker 2: Bad bet out of me over comes in. We got 16 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 2: that right, one in one down the Juice. Not a 17 00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 2: great start, but not a bad start either. For the week, 18 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 2: We've got three bets for you guys coming up to 19 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 2: in baseball in the WNBA. But before I do anything 20 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 2: with those picks, have you guys downloaded the new app? 21 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 2: We got new logos, new app a lot of new 22 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 2: stuff going on right now with O mads, with us 23 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 2: with the Daily Juice, and you guys can be a 24 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 2: part of it very very easily. Have you gone and 25 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 2: downloaded that new application yet? You should do it? All 26 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 2: new Betting Pros app is available in the iOS Store, 27 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 2: giving it a nice makeover right in time for football 28 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 2: season to give you guys a better overall experience. New 29 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,959 Speaker 2: features include community section, you get to connect with the 30 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 2: top rated betters, betters on a hot streak, and betting experts. 31 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 2: Following feed view a feed of bets from everyone you follow, 32 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 2: and get insignifications when a new BET's placed. Bet tracking 33 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 2: enjoy improved live tracking of your bets across your sports 34 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 2: books to help you monitor your performance. 35 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: And a prop bet hit rate. 36 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:56,279 Speaker 2: Sort out your prop bet cheat sheet over percentage number 37 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 2: over percentage numbers for the last fifteen games to be 38 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 2: on the right side of reaching trends. Take advantage of 39 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 2: these features in more by downloading the Betting Pros app, 40 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 2: by visiting Bettingpros dot com, slash apps, or by searching 41 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 2: Betting Pros in the app store. Today. All right, let's 42 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 2: start baseball. Then we'll get to basketball. Baseball first two 43 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: bets for you guys back to Texas and what they're 44 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 2: going to be doing here up against the Angels. All right, 45 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 2: So yesterday we came in on the team total and 46 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 2: took the Rangers team total. 47 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: This is a similar bet, and you can bet team. 48 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 2: Total if you would like on this, but I think 49 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:37,520 Speaker 2: the better play is on the overall over at eight 50 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 2: and a half. 51 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: Now here is why I like the over eight and 52 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 1: a half. 53 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 2: Now, you've got two starting pitchers who I think are 54 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 2: going to give up a lot of runs. Okay, so 55 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 2: we have an eight and a half total minus one 56 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 2: twenty to the over. You have Lucas Giledo and Jordan Montgomery. 57 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 2: These guys weren't on these rosters a month ago, but 58 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 2: they are now. Gielito has not been good since coming over. 59 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 2: He was better in his last starts, but his first 60 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 2: start he was really really bad. Gave up nine earned 61 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 2: runs in three and two thirds. He gave up three 62 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 2: earned runs in six innings against the Giants, but the 63 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 2: bullpen didn't do any favors either. They won the game 64 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 2: seven to five. The game went over. Both games have 65 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 2: gone over so far in Lucas Giulio starts Jordan Montgomery, 66 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 2: coming over from the Cardinals, equally hasn't been great left 67 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 2: handed pitcher here seven to ten three point three eight ERA. 68 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:34,360 Speaker 2: Since joining, he's given up six innings two earned runs 69 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 2: in both starts. First game he won six to two. 70 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 2: Second game, he lost two to nothing. Now, this is 71 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 2: a home game for Texas and this is a team 72 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 2: in which, look, the Angels aren't going to score a 73 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 2: lot of runs. So if you want to come in 74 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 2: here and say, Matt, I'm gonna take the team total, 75 00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 2: same bet as yesterday. Not gonna hate on it, Okay, 76 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 2: but I think after the Rangers scoring twelve yesterday getting 77 00:03:57,760 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 2: and the Angels getting shut out, think they're going to 78 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 2: I'm back here and I think they'll get hits. I 79 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 2: think they'll score a couple of runs. How many runs? 80 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 2: Need Probably three? Okay, need three. Probably a six to 81 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 2: three game, probably a six to four game, somewhere in 82 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 2: that range. 83 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: Maybe six to five game here. 84 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 2: I do think Texas wins, but I'm not positive on 85 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 2: the run line. I'm not positive except I think both 86 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 2: guys give up runs. I think both bullpens will give 87 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,640 Speaker 2: up runs here today for the Angels and the Rangers 88 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 2: going over eight and a half minus one twenty for 89 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 2: one point two units. Now, second bet, if you want 90 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 2: to fade the Yankees in this entire series, I think 91 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 2: it's probably a good idea. Yankees are gonna get just 92 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:40,680 Speaker 2: absolutely killed here in this series against the Braves. Their 93 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:43,599 Speaker 2: pitching is awful, their offense can't do anything. They lost 94 00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 2: eleven to three, and they're throwing Luis Severino. Okay, I'm 95 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:49,479 Speaker 2: gonna have two bets on this game. I'm gonna have 96 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 2: a first five bet, which is five and a half 97 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 2: to the over, and I'm gonna have a team total 98 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 2: five and a half to the over as well. 99 00:04:57,839 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 1: The juice is not that bad. 100 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 2: You can shop around here and you can find a 101 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 2: team total for the Braves should be five and a half. 102 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:07,280 Speaker 2: The juice is going to move around on you a 103 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 2: little bit that it's probably not that big of a 104 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:13,159 Speaker 2: deal as to what you're going to pay, but minus 105 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 2: one twenty five is probably a pretty good price five 106 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 2: and a half. Let's talk about Louis Severino. Remember this 107 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:21,719 Speaker 2: is a Braves team that scores six point two runs 108 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:23,720 Speaker 2: per game at home. They're the number one over team 109 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 2: in baseball at home as well. Sever Reno is on 110 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 2: the road. Unbelievable. He's even getting the start against this 111 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:34,159 Speaker 2: offense nine point eight nine ERA. He's zero to five 112 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 2: opposing batting average of three seventy three thirty seven earned 113 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 2: runs in thirty three and two thirds innings worth of work. 114 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:44,919 Speaker 2: He's given up nine home runs on the road. I 115 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 2: just I can't believe he's getting this start. He has 116 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 2: given up four five, nine, three, one seven seven since 117 00:05:54,320 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 2: July first. That is unbelievable. Thirty six earned runs seven 118 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 2: starts for Luis Severino against the Braves, who just scored 119 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 2: eleven first five over team total over. Take your pick. 120 00:06:11,480 --> 00:06:13,600 Speaker 2: I'm gonna use the bullpen for the Yankees, but hasn't 121 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:17,120 Speaker 2: been that very good. I'm going Braves team total over 122 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 2: five and a half at minus one twenty five first 123 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:23,479 Speaker 2: five over as well. I think that is a very 124 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 2: good bet to come in here. But sever Reno may 125 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 2: give up seven runs by himself here in this game. 126 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 2: We are six runs and we are good. But you 127 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 2: got Bryce Elder who's eight and four with a three 128 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 2: point six to four ERA. 129 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 1: I mean at home. 130 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 2: Bryce Elder has a three point four to four eras 131 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:41,599 Speaker 2: four and one posing batting average of two fifty three, 132 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 2: twenty six earns in sixty eightning's worth of work. He's 133 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 2: good for two or three, okay, so he's gonna give 134 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 2: up two or three. Severno gives up four. We're over 135 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 2: first five five and a half. That's over, and we're 136 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 2: well on our way to get in. The Braves team 137 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:57,600 Speaker 2: total over I'm miss jumping in with the Braves team 138 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 2: total over minus won twenty five on this DraftKings has 139 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 2: that bet as well as the over eight and a half. Actually, 140 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:08,280 Speaker 2: DraftKings has all three of these bets. Tonight minus one 141 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 2: twenty five, over five and a half runs Braves over 142 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 2: eight and a half minus one twenty Angels and the Rangers, 143 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 2: and for the third trifecta. From an over perspective, the 144 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 2: Liberty are hosting, Sorry, the Aces are hosting the Liberty Championship. 145 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 2: The Commissioner Cup Championship. Round two games tonight and tomorrow. 146 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 2: Vegas wants revenge. Game one, Vegas won ninety eight to 147 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 2: eighty one, crushed them. Game two, Liberty crushed the Aces 148 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:40,560 Speaker 2: ninety nine sixty one, Vegas sixty one season low four 149 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 2: points up against them. The average point total for Las 150 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 2: Vegas is ninety four points. Vegas has last three home games, 151 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 2: they've scored one hundred and four ninety three in one thirteen. 152 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 2: They scored ninety eight the first time against the Liberty, 153 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 2: and I think they're going to score more than the 154 00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 2: ninety one and a half that's currently the team total 155 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 2: for Vegas right now at DraftKings, Vegas team total over 156 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 2: ninety one and a half at minus one twenty now 157 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 2: the Liberty defensively they only give up one hundred. There's 158 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 2: a sorry eighty point seven points. You can bet the over 159 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 2: in this game. I don't hate the over one seventy 160 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 2: six and a half. I don't mind that play. But 161 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 2: given what happened in the second game, Vegas's ability or 162 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 2: desire to blow out New York could be. This is 163 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 2: like maybe like we kill you, you kill us, we 164 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 2: kill you type of thing might be able to blowout, 165 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 2: and in blowouts, I get concerned about the over not hitting. 166 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:40,680 Speaker 2: The first game was ninety eight eighty one, one seventy nine. 167 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 2: It barely I think it was one seventy eight. Let 168 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 2: me see what the total in that game was U 169 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 2: That total was one seventy five and a half, so 170 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 2: it just barely squeaked over one seventy seven for this 171 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:55,560 Speaker 2: game coming up tonight, one seventy six and a half 172 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 2: somewhere in that range. Don't mind betting the over. I'm 173 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 2: just going to take the Liberty out of THEA and 174 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:01,760 Speaker 2: just take Vegas at home. 175 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 1: Who's fifteen and zero at home? 176 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:07,079 Speaker 2: Sold out mickleball to arena, rocking atmosphere. 177 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 1: Great game. I can't wait to watch this game. 178 00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 2: Six pm Pacific time, nine pm Eastern time. Vegas team 179 00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:17,080 Speaker 2: total over ninety one and a half up against the 180 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 2: New York Liberty for one point two units. All right, 181 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:22,719 Speaker 2: three bets for us going here on a Tuesday, one 182 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 2: in one start to the week. Let's see if we 183 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 2: can sweep the board here all overs over five and 184 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:31,200 Speaker 2: a half team total, Braves minus one twenty five over 185 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 2: Angels Rangers over eight and a half minus one twenty 186 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 2: over ninety one and a half team total Las Vegas 187 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:41,959 Speaker 2: aces minus one twenty nearly four units on four point 188 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 2: sixty five units, so sorry, three point sixty five units 189 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 2: in play here on a Tuesday. Let's have a good start. 190 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 2: Let's get back on the winning track here today on 191 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 2: a Tuesday minus Matt parolog you guys can follow me 192 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 2: on socials at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning 193 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 2: it is the Deli Juice Podcast. Always be brought to 194 00:09:56,200 --> 00:10:03,200 Speaker 2: you by Omaha stakes dot Com Present