WEBVTT - The Machine Lords of Barnard 68, Part 1

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Stuff to Blow Your Mind, the production of

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<v Speaker 1>My Heart Radio. Hey, welcome to Stuff to Blow your Mind.

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<v Speaker 1>My name is Robert Lamb and I'm Joe McCormick and

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<v Speaker 1>Rob I wanna ask you a question. I think I've

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<v Speaker 1>talked about this on the show before, but now I

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<v Speaker 1>can't quite recall. You've seen the movie adaptation of Carl

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<v Speaker 1>Sagan's Contact, right, Yes, it's been a while. I saw

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<v Speaker 1>it when it came out in theaters and I haven't

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<v Speaker 1>seen it since. Oh wow, that is a long time ago.

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<v Speaker 1>But yeah, it's I mean, it's really worth the watch

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<v Speaker 1>that movie. Uh, it always makes me emotional. But like,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things about it that I always sticks

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<v Speaker 1>in my brain the most is the very opening sequence

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<v Speaker 1>where you you're starting um on Earth and you're pulling

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<v Speaker 1>out away from Earth, and as you get farther away

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<v Speaker 1>out into interstellar space, the signals that you are hearing

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<v Speaker 1>coming from Earth, like you're hearing like radio broadcasts or

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<v Speaker 1>television cast or something, and and it just gets older

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<v Speaker 1>and older because you're you're pulling out to where older

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<v Speaker 1>and older signals are the only ones that have reached

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<v Speaker 1>that far. Yeah, and of course there's this very chilling

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<v Speaker 1>moment where you get really far out there and I

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<v Speaker 1>think you're just getting like a signal of Hitler reading

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<v Speaker 1>a speech or something that's just like, oh god, And

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<v Speaker 1>it really makes you think about what kind of impression

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<v Speaker 1>humanity is making on the broader galaxy. Yeah, I I

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<v Speaker 1>specifically remember this this from the film. Yeah, it makes

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<v Speaker 1>makes quite an impression and makes you, yeah, a little

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<v Speaker 1>reflective on the on on human civilization itself. And and

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<v Speaker 1>and if anyone's receiving these signals, anything is receiving these signals,

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<v Speaker 1>what they're picking up on and what their impression is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be of the of human civilization? Yeah, Like,

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<v Speaker 1>what if aliens the only thing they intercepted and had

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<v Speaker 1>to go on was a TV edited broadcast of Batman Forever?

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<v Speaker 1>What would they what would they conclude about Earth life?

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<v Speaker 1>That's it's it's a it's a fun game. Uh, And

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<v Speaker 1>it also plays into some fun sci fi to think

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<v Speaker 1>about this. Uh. There's of course the Futurama episode where

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<v Speaker 1>it's essentially um, uh, what what was it? Ally mccuh?

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<v Speaker 1>What was the lawyer show, Ally McBeal. Yeah, it's like

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<v Speaker 1>an Ally McBeal s show that was canceled or it's um,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's a season finale didn't air, or somehow they

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<v Speaker 1>didn't receive it. And that's what the aliens have come

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<v Speaker 1>to Earth in order to to get. They want the

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<v Speaker 1>season finale for this television show. Oh. I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>also sort of the premise of Galaxy Quest, isn't it

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<v Speaker 1>that they see like a Star Trek style show, but

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<v Speaker 1>they think it's a documentary about real life on Earth. Yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's right now. Of course, radio signals and so forth,

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<v Speaker 1>they're not the only things that we have sent out

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<v Speaker 1>into the void. Uh. We of course have sent machines

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<v Speaker 1>as well. And I want us to to think back

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<v Speaker 1>for a second to the Pioneer plaques, the gold anodized

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<v Speaker 1>aluminum plaques attached to the nineteen seventy two Pioneer ten

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<v Speaker 1>and the nineteen any three Pioneer eleven spacecrafts. These were

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<v Speaker 1>the first human made objects to escape velocity from our

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<v Speaker 1>Solar System, in the first physical emissaries of Earth life

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<v Speaker 1>and Earth civilization. I think in the years since, they've

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<v Speaker 1>actually been outpaced by the voyager probes in leaving the

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<v Speaker 1>Solar System? Is that right? I think? I believe so

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<v Speaker 1>and there's of course a similar story to tell with

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<v Speaker 1>those uh spacecraft as well, but but uh specifically with

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<v Speaker 1>the plaques, because of you know, these were of course machines,

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<v Speaker 1>they were not human beings. They were powered by nuclear batteries,

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<v Speaker 1>they had antenna, uh antenna, they had an assortment of

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<v Speaker 1>scientific equipment on board, so they didn't look like us

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<v Speaker 1>or in any way really represent biological life, except in

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<v Speaker 1>the case of these plaques, which include a number of

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<v Speaker 1>symbols detailing the origin of the spacecraft and then to

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<v Speaker 1>sort of convey you know, you know, human understanding of

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<v Speaker 1>where we are in the Solar System and then the

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<v Speaker 1>larger cosmos. But then also it contained these these now

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<v Speaker 1>iconic depictions of two human beings, a nude male and

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<v Speaker 1>a nude female. Now it's worth noting Carl Sagan regretted

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<v Speaker 1>that the humans on the plaque do not appear pan racial,

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<v Speaker 1>but rather appear very Caucasian. And also the line representing

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<v Speaker 1>the females Volva was removed, so she's kind of like, um,

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<v Speaker 1>like a Barbie doll on this, you know, so they're

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<v Speaker 1>not completely anatomically correct, and they seem to only represent

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<v Speaker 1>uh Caucasians as opposed to like a the idea of

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<v Speaker 1>representing the broader human species as a whole. Now, one

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<v Speaker 1>of the things that's super interesting about all of this,

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<v Speaker 1>especially given what we're gonna be talking about in this episode,

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<v Speaker 1>is that the Pioneer probes and subsequent spacecraft are non

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<v Speaker 1>human machines that merely bear in some cases the inscriptions

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<v Speaker 1>of human beings, be they you know, actual inscriptions or

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<v Speaker 1>media of some sort. Uh. And at the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>these are our mechanical works, our machine utterances that are

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<v Speaker 1>cast out into the void. They are us reaching out

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<v Speaker 1>four and two other life forms. Now today, humans maintain

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<v Speaker 1>a small orbital presence, and humans did visit the Moon

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<v Speaker 1>in the previous century, but our outreach continues to take

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<v Speaker 1>the form of these technological utterances. And even though it

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<v Speaker 1>is the work of human beings on our planet to

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<v Speaker 1>analyze the data we receive in search of possible signs

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<v Speaker 1>of alien life, we also use artificial intelligence in many

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<v Speaker 1>scientific and technological applications, including the search for extraterrestrial intelligence.

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<v Speaker 1>That is strange. Yeah, and uh, I guess it's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>on a couple of levels. So, first of all, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things humans and we've discussed this in

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<v Speaker 1>the show before. One of the things that humans and

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<v Speaker 1>their AI creations look for our techno signatures, and these

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<v Speaker 1>include both radio signals and things like megastructures like dycen

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<v Speaker 1>s fears. You know. Uh so, just as we are

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<v Speaker 1>reaching out with our mechanical utterances, we are seeking the

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<v Speaker 1>mechanical utterances of others. Yeah, we haven't talked about dycen

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<v Speaker 1>spheres in a while, but unless my memory is betraying me,

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<v Speaker 1>I think one of the ways to look for something

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<v Speaker 1>like that would be look out there and see if

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<v Speaker 1>there's some kind of structure object that is basically only

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<v Speaker 1>emitting heat. And the idea there would be, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>if all the other frequencies of radiation are being used

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<v Speaker 1>up and only heat is coming out of it, that

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<v Speaker 1>looks like that's probably a waste product of doing work.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's like, you know, it's the fan on your

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<v Speaker 1>computer just blowing out into space. Yeah. Yeah, so, and

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<v Speaker 1>and basically coming back to the idea that advanced civilizations

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<v Speaker 1>are going to have advanced energy requirements and therefore they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to have to harness the energy of entire suns. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>the other angle on this that that is interesting in

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<v Speaker 1>one that I really hadn't thought about. Uh, is that

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<v Speaker 1>there may be problems with our use of AI for

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<v Speaker 1>such searches, as pointed out by Spanish clinical neuropsychologist Gabriel G.

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<v Speaker 1>Dela Torre in a paper published in Acta Astronautica UM. Basically,

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<v Speaker 1>the idea is AI could confuse us or tell us

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<v Speaker 1>that it has detected impossible or false things in the data.

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<v Speaker 1>And our AI creations can certainly reflect our own biases.

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<v Speaker 1>We we've discussed that as well, you know, like we

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<v Speaker 1>can and and you know this this applies to things

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<v Speaker 1>like facial recognition, etcetera. Like we can we can easily

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<v Speaker 1>program our own um, you know, uh overt or hidden

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<v Speaker 1>wants and desires into the AI we create, Yeah, or

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<v Speaker 1>not even program them. AI can acquire them from data

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<v Speaker 1>sets based on our own reality. If it's just trying

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<v Speaker 1>to like read what has happened in the world and

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<v Speaker 1>learned from that. It can internalize biases that we didn't

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<v Speaker 1>even try to explicitly give it because those biases are

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<v Speaker 1>reflected in how the world is. Yeah. So the AI

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<v Speaker 1>we unleash on on on such a search for alien

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<v Speaker 1>life might simply be more inclined to find evidence of

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<v Speaker 1>it dragging in human bias, or it could simply identify

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<v Speaker 1>things that are not there. It could find and patterns

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<v Speaker 1>that that that simply aren't actually there in a meaningful way.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh well, this immediately makes me think of what was

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<v Speaker 1>it called the Google Deep Dream that found you know,

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<v Speaker 1>dog faces in everything, where like have a have a

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<v Speaker 1>picture and have Google analyze it, and I think it

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<v Speaker 1>would try to extract recognizable patterns and then amplify them.

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<v Speaker 1>So you take a picture of your couch and suddenly

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<v Speaker 1>your couch, you know, Google happens to detect that your

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<v Speaker 1>couch is made out of crabs, dogs, and human faces. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so you know you wouldn't want your your your AI

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<v Speaker 1>reporting back and saying we found it. It's a planet.

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<v Speaker 1>We're calling it Good Dog one. It's composed entirely of

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<v Speaker 1>dog faces, so let's celebrate. And it's under threat from

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<v Speaker 1>the nearby crab nebula, not the crab nebula, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the literal crab nebula, which is made of crabs. So

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<v Speaker 1>there's actually a specific situation that the author points out

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<v Speaker 1>in this paper, and it concerns that the Nalia faculae

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<v Speaker 1>of series, the largest object in the asteroid belt. Basically

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<v Speaker 1>the situation here is bright spots were observed in a

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<v Speaker 1>crater there, which turned out to be volcanic ice and

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<v Speaker 1>salt emissions. You might remember seeing pictures of this on

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<v Speaker 1>the internet. So, yeah, Series is an object in the

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<v Speaker 1>asteroid belt, sometimes referred to I think as a dwarf

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<v Speaker 1>planet or something. It's basically spherical, so it looks kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like a moon, uh. And that Yeah, there was

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<v Speaker 1>a big crater in it where right in the middle

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<v Speaker 1>of the crater there was there were these white, bright

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<v Speaker 1>white spots there. And obviously, you know, without knowing better

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<v Speaker 1>and having learned our lesson from the face on Mars

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<v Speaker 1>and all this stuff, you know, people's natural inclination was

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<v Speaker 1>to was to pattern recognize out the butt and go

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<v Speaker 1>like that technology or something, this is an alien Yeah, clearly. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you start looking for geometric shapes and uh and and

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<v Speaker 1>looking for artificiality in it. And so this this particular paper,

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<v Speaker 1>this this team from the University of Cadiz, they had

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<v Speaker 1>already looked at what they called the cosmic guerrilla effect

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<v Speaker 1>into only eighteen UM. This is this is um referring

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<v Speaker 1>of course to these uh, these attention based experiments that

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<v Speaker 1>we've we've discussed before in the show, and a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of you've probably seen in YouTube clips where you have

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<v Speaker 1>somebody in a guerrilla costume walk through a scene and

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<v Speaker 1>see afterwards if anybody noticed it. Yeah, human cognition has

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<v Speaker 1>amazing blind spots for attention that will astound you. Now

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<v Speaker 1>we've already warned you, so if you've never tried this

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<v Speaker 1>experiment before, you might be on your guard and already

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<v Speaker 1>knowing what to look for. Yeah, Basically, the way it

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<v Speaker 1>goes is like, you can do something like have a

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of people stand in a circle throwing a basketball

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<v Speaker 1>to each other, and you ask people to judge how

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<v Speaker 1>many times the basketball has passed from person to person,

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<v Speaker 1>and they'll do that, and in the middle of the video,

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<v Speaker 1>a person in a guerrilla costume just walks through the

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<v Speaker 1>middle of the group, and huge numbers of people while

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<v Speaker 1>they're counting the basketball passes do not see the gorilla.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's like, if you go back and watch the

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<v Speaker 1>video again looking for the gorilla, it is unmissable. But somehow,

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<v Speaker 1>when we're trained in on a certain type of cognitive

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<v Speaker 1>task and visual processing, you can completely miss gross stimuli

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<v Speaker 1>that that would seem impossible to miss if you were

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<v Speaker 1>looking for them. Yeah, And of course one can imagine

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<v Speaker 1>that if an artificial intelligence were watching the same scene,

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<v Speaker 1>they would pick up on the gorilla. They would they

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<v Speaker 1>would it would be able to say, oh, gorilla, unexpected

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<v Speaker 1>guerilla has appeared in this scene and then reported as such.

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<v Speaker 1>And so the cosmic guerrilla effect basically deals with the

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<v Speaker 1>idea that eve there are intelligent, non earthly signals out there.

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<v Speaker 1>They could be written dimensions that escape our perceptions, such

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<v Speaker 1>as dark matter for example, and it would be like

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<v Speaker 1>the guerrilla suit. You know, you just wouldn't see it.

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<v Speaker 1>But an AI would potentially have an advantage in catching

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<v Speaker 1>those sorts of signals. Oh okay, yeah, I see what

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<v Speaker 1>they're saying there. So in in this between, in this

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<v Speaker 1>this this newer study looking at the Venalia faculae. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>they did the following. They used a hunt sixty volunteers,

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<v Speaker 1>human volunteers with no grounding in astronomy. I wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>stress they're not guerillas or robots. Um. Plus, they used

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<v Speaker 1>an artificial vision system based on con evolutional neural networks

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<v Speaker 1>or CNNs. Both groups detected square structures in the image

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<v Speaker 1>of the venalia faculae. But the AI also saw a triangle,

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<v Speaker 1>and when the triangle option was then presented to humans,

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<v Speaker 1>um the number of humans claiming to also see a

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<v Speaker 1>triangle increase significantly. So while AI could certainly detect something

0:12:37.440 --> 0:12:40.680
<v Speaker 1>that we cannot that we cannot see, it might also

0:12:40.800 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 1>detect something that isn't there and then confuse us into

0:12:44.600 --> 0:12:47.360
<v Speaker 1>seeing something that isn't there as well. So you can

0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:50.400
<v Speaker 1>see the the sort of spiraling effects of this. Uh.

0:12:50.640 --> 0:12:53.200
<v Speaker 1>And ultimately, with the aid of AI, we end up

0:12:53.200 --> 0:12:57.240
<v Speaker 1>seeing signs of life where there weren't any to begin with. Okay,

0:12:57.280 --> 0:12:59.040
<v Speaker 1>I see, I see what you're saying. So the idea

0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:02.719
<v Speaker 1>is that humans already have a certain tendency for paradolia

0:13:02.840 --> 0:13:08.319
<v Speaker 1>or paradolia the detecting of patterns or signal within noise.

0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:10.840
<v Speaker 1>So that's the reason that we see faces in the clouds,

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:14.079
<v Speaker 1>or see a face on Mars, or any number of things.

0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:17.400
<v Speaker 1>We look at something that in fact has no encoded

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:20.720
<v Speaker 1>information in it, and we think we can extract meaningful information,

0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:23.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean no meaningful information, and we think we can

0:13:23.200 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 1>extract meaningful information. Uh. You know, listening to tape hiss,

0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:29.040
<v Speaker 1>you might think you hear a word or something like that.

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:31.480
<v Speaker 1>And the example here is we think we see I

0:13:31.480 --> 0:13:34.160
<v Speaker 1>don't know a pyramid or a you know, a building

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:37.600
<v Speaker 1>on this asteroid or this dwarf planet, and then you

0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:40.360
<v Speaker 1>can actually make it worse by if you add on

0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:44.240
<v Speaker 1>an AI. The AI may in fact contribute to priming

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:47.800
<v Speaker 1>that makes you even more likely to engage in paradolia.

0:13:47.880 --> 0:13:49.640
<v Speaker 1>The same way that if somebody plays you a tape

0:13:49.640 --> 0:13:52.000
<v Speaker 1>hiss and doesn't just play it for you, but says,

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:53.959
<v Speaker 1>you know, hey, listen for the part where it says

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:57.160
<v Speaker 1>worship Satan or whatever, that you're probably more likely to

0:13:57.200 --> 0:14:01.120
<v Speaker 1>hear it because you've been primed. Yeah, yeah, exactly. I

0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:03.280
<v Speaker 1>mean it's kind of like imagine, you know, you're thinking

0:14:03.320 --> 0:14:06.600
<v Speaker 1>about Fleetwood Mac albums and then you learn, oh, um,

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:09.800
<v Speaker 1>you know one of this, you know, Watson AI or

0:14:09.840 --> 0:14:14.120
<v Speaker 1>whatever has determined that Tusk is the best Fleetwood Mac album.

0:14:14.160 --> 0:14:16.800
<v Speaker 1>And you might think, well, you know, it wasn't my favorite,

0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:20.160
<v Speaker 1>but the AI has identified it as the best Fleetwood

0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:23.080
<v Speaker 1>Mac album. Perhaps it is the best Fleetwood Mac album,

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:26.720
<v Speaker 1>even though deep down you know it's rumors, even if

0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:28.800
<v Speaker 1>deep down you know it's one of those early albums

0:14:28.840 --> 0:14:32.880
<v Speaker 1>before Stevie Nicks was in the band. Yeah, I mean

0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:36.480
<v Speaker 1>exactly basically, Yeah, it comes back to that, but it

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 1>has come back to the idea, yeah that we we're

0:14:39.000 --> 0:14:41.920
<v Speaker 1>we're entire we're very susceptible to priming, and we could

0:14:42.000 --> 0:14:43.880
<v Speaker 1>And the argument here by the authors is that you

0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:47.160
<v Speaker 1>could set up a situation where where your AI dragging

0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 1>in certain biases is setting you up, is priming you

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 1>to to with it see things that aren't there, which

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 1>could ultimately just make the search for actual, you know,

0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:03.920
<v Speaker 1>evidence of intelligent alien life elsewhere in the galaxy all

0:15:04.000 --> 0:15:06.240
<v Speaker 1>the more difficult. So this is kind of a conundrum

0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 1>because the AI could it could be helpful and harmful,

0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:12.520
<v Speaker 1>Like it could help with the problem of the gorilla effect,

0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:15.160
<v Speaker 1>where we uh, you know, we just totally miss things

0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:17.760
<v Speaker 1>that we should have seen. But it can also, on

0:15:17.800 --> 0:15:21.280
<v Speaker 1>the other end, cause us to see things that aren't there. Yes,

0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:24.840
<v Speaker 1>absolutely uh and and a lot of some of this

0:15:24.920 --> 0:15:28.320
<v Speaker 1>isn't completely crucial to where we're going from from here

0:15:28.320 --> 0:15:30.640
<v Speaker 1>in the episode. It's worth thinking and thinking about because

0:15:31.080 --> 0:15:34.000
<v Speaker 1>here's the other side of things. What's out there might

0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:38.200
<v Speaker 1>not simply be the mechanical utterances of biological life as well,

0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:41.880
<v Speaker 1>it could be the mechanical echoes of biological life, what

0:15:42.040 --> 0:15:45.800
<v Speaker 1>is sometimes referred to as post biological life, and even

0:15:45.880 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 1>post biological intelligence. And this this has some huge implications

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:54.480
<v Speaker 1>um all its own. Okay, So the idea here would

0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:57.880
<v Speaker 1>be not that you know, we we already expect that

0:15:57.960 --> 0:16:02.440
<v Speaker 1>it's possible we could encounter alien technology rather than biological

0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:06.640
<v Speaker 1>aliens themselves, just because alien technology is say a you know,

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:10.600
<v Speaker 1>an artifact of their previous occupation of a planetary surface,

0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:15.040
<v Speaker 1>or a piece of technology could be their probe like

0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:17.360
<v Speaker 1>our voyager probes. You know, these do not have humans

0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:20.280
<v Speaker 1>in them, They're just going out there. Yeah, but this

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:22.680
<v Speaker 1>idea goes beyond that to say, well, maybe it's not

0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 1>just that we're encountering the mechanical residue of biological life,

0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:31.320
<v Speaker 1>but we're encountering a civilization that at this point only

0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:37.400
<v Speaker 1>consists of machines that there that is inherently post biological. Yeah.

0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:40.200
<v Speaker 1>At what point does the residue become the thing itself

0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:43.480
<v Speaker 1>as a civilization becomes increasingly technological. At what point is

0:16:43.520 --> 0:16:48.680
<v Speaker 1>the technology the defining or soul aspect of the civilization. Yeah, Now,

0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:51.280
<v Speaker 1>this is an idea that's certainly been disgusted in science

0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:53.440
<v Speaker 1>fiction a lot. I think gene Wolfe had had one

0:16:53.520 --> 0:16:57.600
<v Speaker 1>version of this, where you have an entire mechanical society

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:01.560
<v Speaker 1>and they have evolved from advance space suits for biological

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:04.840
<v Speaker 1>beings that no longer exist. Uh that sort of thing.

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:07.720
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, okay, not to give away too much, but

0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:10.720
<v Speaker 1>this is also explored in one of our favorite video

0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:13.320
<v Speaker 1>games that we've talked about on the show before, a

0:17:13.359 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 1>really cool game called Soma that is sort of an

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:22.000
<v Speaker 1>undersea sci fi horror game that involves a post biological existence. Yeah, yeah,

0:17:22.359 --> 0:17:25.200
<v Speaker 1>a good connection. I wasn't even thinking about Soma, but

0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:27.080
<v Speaker 1>but that that is a great example of this as well.

0:17:28.160 --> 0:17:30.440
<v Speaker 1>So a couple of sources that we we looked at

0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:32.639
<v Speaker 1>for this that I want to go and mention here,

0:17:32.640 --> 0:17:35.600
<v Speaker 1>and of course we'll get into in greater depth the

0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:39.879
<v Speaker 1>work of Sti's Seth show Stock and the work of

0:17:39.920 --> 0:17:44.040
<v Speaker 1>Susan Schneider, a cognitive scientist and philosopher. I was just

0:17:44.040 --> 0:17:47.080
<v Speaker 1>trying to look up Susan Schneider's affiliation. I think at

0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:49.800
<v Speaker 1>some point she was affiliated with the University of Connecticut.

0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:51.679
<v Speaker 1>It looks like maybe the more recent one is Florida

0:17:51.680 --> 0:17:56.160
<v Speaker 1>Atlantic University. But anyway, yeah, she She is a philosopher

0:17:56.160 --> 0:17:58.560
<v Speaker 1>whose work we have discussed on the show before. Actually,

0:17:59.359 --> 0:18:01.680
<v Speaker 1>her work came up in an episode we did about

0:18:01.800 --> 0:18:05.600
<v Speaker 1>whether machines could be conscious, because she was one of

0:18:05.600 --> 0:18:09.320
<v Speaker 1>the authors who advanced the idea of a test for

0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:13.359
<v Speaker 1>AI consciousness that I thought was pretty interesting, and it

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:17.120
<v Speaker 1>was actually very simple. The test was basically just variations

0:18:17.200 --> 0:18:23.720
<v Speaker 1>on can this machine grasp and manipulate supernatural concepts from

0:18:23.760 --> 0:18:28.240
<v Speaker 1>fiction and folk belief, such as ghosts and astral projection

0:18:28.840 --> 0:18:32.639
<v Speaker 1>and body swapping like in the movie Freaky Friday and stuff.

0:18:32.720 --> 0:18:35.199
<v Speaker 1>You know, it might sound kind of silly, but actually

0:18:36.240 --> 0:18:38.919
<v Speaker 1>these are concepts that I think you can make a

0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:43.119
<v Speaker 1>good argument only intuitively make sense to us because we

0:18:43.200 --> 0:18:48.480
<v Speaker 1>have a subjective internal experience, and to an intelligent machine

0:18:48.720 --> 0:18:52.679
<v Speaker 1>or even a biological automaton that didn't have an internal experience,

0:18:53.040 --> 0:18:56.800
<v Speaker 1>it would not make any sense to to envision something

0:18:56.840 --> 0:19:00.680
<v Speaker 1>like being a ghost or an astral projection where your

0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:03.600
<v Speaker 1>consciousness leaves your body, because what would be doing the

0:19:03.680 --> 0:19:07.200
<v Speaker 1>leaving of the body? Mm hmmm. Yeah, you know now

0:19:07.280 --> 0:19:10.400
<v Speaker 1>that I'm thinking about Susan Schneider, I think I saw

0:19:10.400 --> 0:19:13.600
<v Speaker 1>her at World Science festival at some point in the past. Um,

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:15.480
<v Speaker 1>but I didn't think of it till now. I forgot

0:19:15.520 --> 0:19:17.280
<v Speaker 1>to check my my old notes to see if I

0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:27.040
<v Speaker 1>had anything I wanted to start with with show Stack though,

0:19:27.320 --> 0:19:31.600
<v Speaker 1>uh specifically his two thousand tin paper what ET Will

0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:35.280
<v Speaker 1>look Like and why Should We Care? And this Uh, Basically,

0:19:35.359 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 1>this paper discusses um uh, this idea of post biological life,

0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:44.040
<v Speaker 1>the search for extraterrestrial life, and it starts off by

0:19:44.040 --> 0:19:47.479
<v Speaker 1>discussing our carbon bias in the hunt for for for

0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:49.760
<v Speaker 1>e t s uh. You know, we we look for

0:19:49.880 --> 0:19:53.159
<v Speaker 1>rocky worlds that contain liquid water as this is the

0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:57.280
<v Speaker 1>path towards organic life. This is where organic life emerges from.

0:19:57.920 --> 0:20:00.600
<v Speaker 1>All of our models are built on this, uh. And

0:20:00.600 --> 0:20:04.520
<v Speaker 1>and that's that's the softer version of our bias, while

0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:08.600
<v Speaker 1>the harder version is what what he references an individual

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:12.200
<v Speaker 1>by the name of Simon Conway Morris who argues that

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:16.320
<v Speaker 1>any evolved intelligent life form is going to roughly look

0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:20.000
<v Speaker 1>like us, at least in show Stacks words quote in

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:22.399
<v Speaker 1>a dark night and from a distance. And I believe

0:20:22.400 --> 0:20:25.000
<v Speaker 1>we've discussed this idea at length on the podcast. Yeah,

0:20:25.400 --> 0:20:27.359
<v Speaker 1>I think this was one of the earliest episodes of

0:20:27.400 --> 0:20:28.960
<v Speaker 1>the show I ever did, so it was a years

0:20:28.960 --> 0:20:31.119
<v Speaker 1>and years ago at this point, but we talked about

0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:34.960
<v Speaker 1>Simon Conway Morris, who I think is an evolutionary biologist

0:20:35.000 --> 0:20:38.920
<v Speaker 1>from Great Britain if I'm not mistaken, but he uh oh,

0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:41.160
<v Speaker 1>it was the episode called Grizzly Bears from Outer Space,

0:20:41.680 --> 0:20:45.040
<v Speaker 1>where so they're there are two very opposing schools of

0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:48.520
<v Speaker 1>thinking about, you know, the forms intelligent aliens could take.

0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:51.000
<v Speaker 1>Some people say, you know it, we can't even imagine

0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:53.240
<v Speaker 1>how different they could be from us. You know, it's

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:55.560
<v Speaker 1>it's impossible for us to get outside of our own

0:20:55.600 --> 0:21:00.480
<v Speaker 1>anthro anthropomorphic paradigm to imagine how biologically your friend and

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:03.119
<v Speaker 1>strange aliens could be. And Morris was on the other side.

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:07.400
<v Speaker 1>He was saying, no, they're actually principles of evolution and

0:21:07.480 --> 0:21:11.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of bio chemical constraints on what life could evolve.

0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:15.520
<v Speaker 1>And basically he says, there's a pretty narrow range for

0:21:15.640 --> 0:21:18.439
<v Speaker 1>what types of organisms can evolve, just based on the

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 1>physics and chemistry of the universe, and so we actually

0:21:21.800 --> 0:21:24.359
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't expect aliens to be all that different from us.

0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 1>We should actually expect them to be pretty similar. In uh,

0:21:27.680 --> 0:21:30.520
<v Speaker 1>in very dependable ways. Yeah, this kind of the idea

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:33.640
<v Speaker 1>whereherever you go, they're probably gonna be things like crabs,

0:21:33.840 --> 0:21:35.840
<v Speaker 1>and there is going to be something like a human

0:21:36.040 --> 0:21:38.399
<v Speaker 1>um chasing those crabs around with some sort of a

0:21:38.440 --> 0:21:40.840
<v Speaker 1>tool that's made to catch those crabs. Yeah. I mean

0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:43.080
<v Speaker 1>it's been a while, so I'm sure i'm somewhat oversimplifying.

0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 1>Apologies to Conway Morris, but but that's the rough outline.

0:21:46.080 --> 0:21:50.199
<v Speaker 1>It is that that that biology is constrained by physics

0:21:50.240 --> 0:21:53.480
<v Speaker 1>and chemistry and evolution, and those factors are going to

0:21:53.560 --> 0:21:55.719
<v Speaker 1>be universal no matter what kind of planet you're on

0:21:55.880 --> 0:21:58.440
<v Speaker 1>or you know, what star you're orbiting, and so there

0:21:58.680 --> 0:22:02.200
<v Speaker 1>are some patterns we should repeating all throughout the galaxy.

0:22:02.520 --> 0:22:04.960
<v Speaker 1>So so that's one part of it. But then apparently

0:22:04.960 --> 0:22:08.639
<v Speaker 1>a lot of this bias is present. Arguably the show Stacks,

0:22:08.880 --> 0:22:11.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, argues to this in the Drake equation itself,

0:22:11.680 --> 0:22:13.800
<v Speaker 1>as we factor in the time it would take for

0:22:13.880 --> 0:22:18.080
<v Speaker 1>life to evolve and the average lifetime of a technological society.

0:22:18.400 --> 0:22:21.520
<v Speaker 1>Now we're called the Drake equation was a hypothetical way

0:22:21.520 --> 0:22:24.919
<v Speaker 1>of trying to calculate the number of technological civilizations that

0:22:24.920 --> 0:22:28.320
<v Speaker 1>would be present in our galaxy by multiplying together a

0:22:28.320 --> 0:22:30.800
<v Speaker 1>bunch of numbers, and I don't remember what all the

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:32.679
<v Speaker 1>variables are now, but it would be something like you

0:22:32.760 --> 0:22:36.640
<v Speaker 1>multiply the probability that life will arise on a planet

0:22:36.680 --> 0:22:40.920
<v Speaker 1>at all times, the probability of that of any life

0:22:40.960 --> 0:22:44.400
<v Speaker 1>becoming intelligent times that you know, a number of things

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:46.520
<v Speaker 1>like that. And then I think you would also have

0:22:46.680 --> 0:22:50.720
<v Speaker 1>to factor in the average lifespan of a technological civilization

0:22:50.760 --> 0:22:53.560
<v Speaker 1>because at some point it will probably go extinct. Yeah,

0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:55.560
<v Speaker 1>and we keep coming back to the Drake equation, uh,

0:22:56.200 --> 0:22:58.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, in not just spend in general, because it

0:22:59.000 --> 0:23:02.639
<v Speaker 1>breaks a big quest and down into these different factors

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:06.200
<v Speaker 1>that you can then, um, you know, work with independently. Yeah,

0:23:06.280 --> 0:23:09.840
<v Speaker 1>that's very useful. It decomposes the problem into a discrete

0:23:09.840 --> 0:23:12.520
<v Speaker 1>set of smaller questions, many of which also we still

0:23:12.560 --> 0:23:15.040
<v Speaker 1>don't know the answers to. But it is at least

0:23:15.040 --> 0:23:17.359
<v Speaker 1>helpful to know what those questions would be so they

0:23:17.359 --> 0:23:20.960
<v Speaker 1>can be investigated individually. Now, the chance of detecting a

0:23:21.080 --> 0:23:25.600
<v Speaker 1>technological civilization close to our own level of development is

0:23:25.600 --> 0:23:28.480
<v Speaker 1>apparently small. Chances are if we were to detect one,

0:23:28.800 --> 0:23:32.879
<v Speaker 1>they'd be thousands of years or more beyond us. And

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:37.199
<v Speaker 1>when we extrapolate that show stack says we we what

0:23:37.280 --> 0:23:39.000
<v Speaker 1>we tend to do is we tend to base it

0:23:39.040 --> 0:23:42.679
<v Speaker 1>on our current state of human evolution and imagine something

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:46.000
<v Speaker 1>it points out with with less hair, with fewer teeth,

0:23:46.040 --> 0:23:50.160
<v Speaker 1>with wrestle, with less reliance on physical labor um, which

0:23:50.280 --> 0:23:52.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, to me this instantly makes me think of

0:23:52.280 --> 0:23:55.000
<v Speaker 1>like the gray ones, right, and you know the various

0:23:55.560 --> 0:23:59.000
<v Speaker 1>extraterrestrial tropes that we have, which yeah, are kind of

0:23:59.040 --> 0:24:02.760
<v Speaker 1>an idea of what if we continued to get less exercise,

0:24:03.160 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 1>we continued to stare at screens, continue to type and

0:24:06.119 --> 0:24:09.520
<v Speaker 1>stay indoors, you know, for you know, you know million

0:24:09.600 --> 0:24:13.120
<v Speaker 1>years or so, Uh, what could begin to happen? It's hilarious.

0:24:13.200 --> 0:24:16.119
<v Speaker 1>The gray aliens are just nerds. They're the nerds of

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:19.240
<v Speaker 1>the galaxy. They're all brains, no braun, huge head to

0:24:19.280 --> 0:24:22.520
<v Speaker 1>contain that huge brain that can design their interstellar spaceships,

0:24:22.760 --> 0:24:25.119
<v Speaker 1>and then skinny little arms and they stand around with

0:24:25.160 --> 0:24:28.239
<v Speaker 1>their huge eyes, poking us with with sticks and going like,

0:24:28.240 --> 0:24:30.400
<v Speaker 1>oh what you know, what have we learned? And yet

0:24:30.480 --> 0:24:32.800
<v Speaker 1>with those huge brains, like how many cattle are they

0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:35.520
<v Speaker 1>going to have to mutilate before they finally figure out

0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:39.239
<v Speaker 1>what makes a cow work a lot a lot, you know.

0:24:39.960 --> 0:24:43.760
<v Speaker 1>Um so, so the show Stack ultimately makes the argument

0:24:43.840 --> 0:24:46.760
<v Speaker 1>that that this idea should evolve, that that or should

0:24:46.800 --> 0:24:50.159
<v Speaker 1>have evolved more than it has. And he does this

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:53.320
<v Speaker 1>by pointing out that, you know that that our ideas

0:24:53.359 --> 0:24:57.600
<v Speaker 1>evolved concerning life on Mars. You know, initially, uh, we

0:24:57.600 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 1>we were looking at we were considering, oh, the possibilit

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:03.040
<v Speaker 1>be of intelligent canal builders on Mars. And we've discussed

0:25:03.040 --> 0:25:06.120
<v Speaker 1>where that idea came from on the show before, you know, uh,

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:10.359
<v Speaker 1>sort of misinterpretation and and and straining to to see

0:25:10.400 --> 0:25:12.359
<v Speaker 1>things that weren't there a little bit of that that

0:25:12.359 --> 0:25:16.080
<v Speaker 1>that bias as well, uh, regarding our some of our

0:25:16.119 --> 0:25:19.320
<v Speaker 1>earlier views of the red planet. But then just within

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:22.679
<v Speaker 1>a few decades that is forced to evolve when we realize, oh,

0:25:22.680 --> 0:25:26.760
<v Speaker 1>there aren't canals and uh, and you know, there's instead

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:30.800
<v Speaker 1>of looking for the technological society, we're looking at the

0:25:30.880 --> 0:25:36.000
<v Speaker 1>possibility of subterranean microbes. So our ideas concerning life and

0:25:36.040 --> 0:25:39.719
<v Speaker 1>other star systems, they argue, has not evolved in a

0:25:39.760 --> 0:25:43.280
<v Speaker 1>similar way. Well, certainly not in the popular consciousness. I

0:25:43.280 --> 0:25:44.879
<v Speaker 1>would say, I mean, at least in some of the

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:47.919
<v Speaker 1>astro biology literature we read, it seems like it it

0:25:48.240 --> 0:25:51.480
<v Speaker 1>is uh, pretty sober from my point of view, and

0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:55.399
<v Speaker 1>the like, looking for um for biosignatures often has to

0:25:55.440 --> 0:25:58.080
<v Speaker 1>do with looking for the kinds of say, gases in

0:25:58.119 --> 0:26:00.840
<v Speaker 1>the atmosphere that you would expect if there were a

0:26:00.840 --> 0:26:04.680
<v Speaker 1>photosynthesizing organism, which could just be a microbe. And that

0:26:04.880 --> 0:26:06.720
<v Speaker 1>seems like a reasonable thing to look forward for me.

0:26:06.800 --> 0:26:09.560
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, obviously, like when you're trying to think beyond that,

0:26:09.640 --> 0:26:12.000
<v Speaker 1>think like if we were to make contact with another

0:26:12.520 --> 0:26:15.040
<v Speaker 1>uh you know, type of alien from another type of planet,

0:26:15.080 --> 0:26:17.600
<v Speaker 1>what would it be. I think that we're still pretty

0:26:17.640 --> 0:26:20.840
<v Speaker 1>close to the gray aliens point of view, right, And

0:26:20.880 --> 0:26:22.520
<v Speaker 1>of course I should also again point out that this

0:26:22.600 --> 0:26:25.600
<v Speaker 1>is like a decade old paper at this point, so

0:26:26.040 --> 0:26:27.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, to some extent, show Stack himself may have

0:26:27.960 --> 0:26:30.919
<v Speaker 1>helped move the needle, but um he points out that,

0:26:31.000 --> 0:26:33.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, in addition to the purely organic model for

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:36.680
<v Speaker 1>a more advanced alien life form, we also have to consider,

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:39.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, the cybernetic what if humans and indeed more

0:26:39.480 --> 0:26:42.840
<v Speaker 1>advanced alien life forms have gone board to some extent,

0:26:42.880 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 1>they they've augmented. They were their organic forms with mechanical precision.

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:49.320
<v Speaker 1>And there are multiple examples of this we might turn

0:26:49.400 --> 0:26:53.840
<v Speaker 1>to in science fiction, you know, and it's going to range.

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:56.480
<v Speaker 1>The Hands of Steel is a good example to draw

0:26:56.480 --> 0:26:59.520
<v Speaker 1>on a different recent Weird House Cinema episode. But you

0:26:59.560 --> 0:27:02.600
<v Speaker 1>have stuff like the culture from Ian M. Banks novels,

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:04.600
<v Speaker 1>where it's more of a you know, positive spin on

0:27:04.640 --> 0:27:07.600
<v Speaker 1>the idea, to stuff like the Borg and the Cybermen,

0:27:07.760 --> 0:27:11.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, where everyone is majority or almost entirely machine

0:27:12.040 --> 0:27:15.560
<v Speaker 1>and with only some slim vestige of organic life in there.

0:27:15.680 --> 0:27:19.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, So everybody's a RoboCop to everybody's a grievous uh,

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:22.800
<v Speaker 1>that sort of thing. Just a planet of tom Noonan's

0:27:22.800 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>from RoboCup two. Yeah, just screaming for their space drugs. Um.

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:30.120
<v Speaker 1>But actually no, I literally do want to come back

0:27:30.119 --> 0:27:33.400
<v Speaker 1>to this point later on. Okay, But then there's one

0:27:33.400 --> 0:27:36.639
<v Speaker 1>step beyond all this, and that is the complete mechanical

0:27:36.720 --> 0:27:41.480
<v Speaker 1>replacement capped off by the birth and explosion of artificial intelligence.

0:27:41.960 --> 0:27:44.240
<v Speaker 1>So for this in sci fi, one can certainly turn

0:27:44.280 --> 0:27:48.040
<v Speaker 1>to the terminator model, you know, where AI emerges and

0:27:48.080 --> 0:27:50.879
<v Speaker 1>then it kills off everything that came before UM and

0:27:50.920 --> 0:27:53.600
<v Speaker 1>This is of course very popular in science fiction. Uh,

0:27:53.960 --> 0:27:56.240
<v Speaker 1>you know. But then another common trope is that the

0:27:56.280 --> 0:27:59.920
<v Speaker 1>machine part of a society alone survives, so the serve

0:28:00.000 --> 0:28:02.160
<v Speaker 1>its outlived the masters due to you know, some sort

0:28:02.200 --> 0:28:05.800
<v Speaker 1>of cataclysm or disease, what have you. But the other

0:28:05.800 --> 0:28:08.040
<v Speaker 1>way of looking at it as well is it's simply

0:28:08.080 --> 0:28:12.680
<v Speaker 1>the mechanical utterance is not something you know, extending from

0:28:12.720 --> 0:28:15.040
<v Speaker 1>the civilization. You know, it's not just an echo, but

0:28:15.119 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 1>it is the next phase of its evolution, that the

0:28:17.640 --> 0:28:22.040
<v Speaker 1>machine utterance is post organic life. Perhaps the organic aspect

0:28:22.119 --> 0:28:25.920
<v Speaker 1>of a civilization simply fades away and you know, given

0:28:25.960 --> 0:28:29.840
<v Speaker 1>these advancements, or perhaps to use that the culture model

0:28:29.920 --> 0:28:34.200
<v Speaker 1>from Banks's books, the organic source remains, but the predominant

0:28:34.200 --> 0:28:37.480
<v Speaker 1>shape of the civilization in question is entirely post organic

0:28:37.520 --> 0:28:40.640
<v Speaker 1>because with with the culture, for instance, it's in his

0:28:40.840 --> 0:28:43.880
<v Speaker 1>in his books, it's mostly the AI, it's mostly the ships.

0:28:43.920 --> 0:28:47.080
<v Speaker 1>It's mostly there, uh you know, robots and whatnot. But

0:28:47.120 --> 0:28:50.400
<v Speaker 1>the humans are still there. But they're kind of like, uh,

0:28:50.600 --> 0:28:53.200
<v Speaker 1>they're kind of a thing that is preserved for the

0:28:53.240 --> 0:28:56.040
<v Speaker 1>sake of of preserving it. You know, they're the remora

0:28:56.240 --> 0:28:59.000
<v Speaker 1>on the shark. Yeah. That but a but a ramora

0:28:59.080 --> 0:29:01.080
<v Speaker 1>that is sort of share. You know, it's almost like

0:29:01.240 --> 0:29:04.280
<v Speaker 1>m You know, at times there's a sense that the

0:29:04.360 --> 0:29:07.440
<v Speaker 1>robots and the AI the minds of the culture. You know,

0:29:07.480 --> 0:29:10.000
<v Speaker 1>they're they're babysitting for the humans. The humans are this

0:29:10.040 --> 0:29:13.520
<v Speaker 1>thing that is nurtured in preserved because they are the

0:29:13.600 --> 0:29:16.560
<v Speaker 1>machines passed. You know, Oh, I want so it would

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:18.360
<v Speaker 1>it be kind of like if there's a country that

0:29:18.480 --> 0:29:22.160
<v Speaker 1>still has a ceremonial monarchy but the monarchs have no

0:29:22.280 --> 0:29:26.520
<v Speaker 1>actual political power. Yes, yes, that would be a prime example.

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:30.400
<v Speaker 1>I think so. Showstick also points out that, given Moore's law,

0:29:30.480 --> 0:29:34.280
<v Speaker 1>the successful creation of human level AI is of course

0:29:34.320 --> 0:29:37.120
<v Speaker 1>going to lead to even greater AI. Quote, assuming that

0:29:37.160 --> 0:29:40.479
<v Speaker 1>our own technological time scales are not grossly atypical. This

0:29:40.560 --> 0:29:45.000
<v Speaker 1>implies something important for SETI. Once any society innvinced the

0:29:45.000 --> 0:29:48.000
<v Speaker 1>technology that could put them in touch, once they reach

0:29:48.040 --> 0:29:51.600
<v Speaker 1>a level that's comparable to our own and become detectable

0:29:51.760 --> 0:29:55.080
<v Speaker 1>with our listening experiments, they are at most only a

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:58.560
<v Speaker 1>few hundred years away from changing their own paradigm of

0:29:58.600 --> 0:30:02.640
<v Speaker 1>sentience to artific shoal intelligence. This is almost identical to

0:30:02.680 --> 0:30:05.440
<v Speaker 1>a point that's made in the Susan Schneider chapter that

0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 1>we're going to talk about in a bit. Yeah, so

0:30:07.720 --> 0:30:10.720
<v Speaker 1>he stresses that such an emergence would necessarily affect the

0:30:10.720 --> 0:30:14.240
<v Speaker 1>biological ancestors at all, but it makes sense that post

0:30:14.240 --> 0:30:18.720
<v Speaker 1>biological life would outlast and outperform the organic. We could

0:30:18.760 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 1>therefore assume that any life form we encounter in the

0:30:22.480 --> 0:30:25.920
<v Speaker 1>galaxy at large would be a machine. Okay, well, maybe

0:30:26.000 --> 0:30:28.680
<v Speaker 1>this is a good place to get into Susan Schneider's

0:30:28.880 --> 0:30:31.720
<v Speaker 1>chapter on this because she makes a similar argument could

0:30:31.720 --> 0:30:33.840
<v Speaker 1>cover some similar ground, and we can look at that

0:30:33.960 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 1>in detail now and then come back to the rest

0:30:35.640 --> 0:30:39.239
<v Speaker 1>of her argument after that. But so this chapter is

0:30:39.400 --> 0:30:41.840
<v Speaker 1>by Susan Schneider, and it's from a book called The

0:30:41.880 --> 0:30:45.720
<v Speaker 1>Impact of Discovering Life Beyond Earth, edited by Stephen J. Dick,

0:30:45.920 --> 0:30:50.640
<v Speaker 1>published by Cambridge University Press in and in this book,

0:30:50.640 --> 0:30:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Schneider has a chapter called Alien Minds where she makes

0:30:54.120 --> 0:30:56.560
<v Speaker 1>the same argument that show Stack is making here about

0:30:56.560 --> 0:30:58.920
<v Speaker 1>the nature of minds we would be most likely to

0:30:59.040 --> 0:31:03.120
<v Speaker 1>encounter if we make contact with another civilization, and so

0:31:03.400 --> 0:31:05.800
<v Speaker 1>several of her main points would be the following. She

0:31:05.920 --> 0:31:09.200
<v Speaker 1>does argue that in the most likely scenario, if we

0:31:09.240 --> 0:31:11.959
<v Speaker 1>ever encounter alien agents, it is likely that they will

0:31:12.040 --> 0:31:15.360
<v Speaker 1>not be biological life forms, but rather forms of super

0:31:15.400 --> 0:31:19.880
<v Speaker 1>intelligent artificial intelligence or s A I. And then she

0:31:19.960 --> 0:31:23.000
<v Speaker 1>also says, of course that intelligence can take many forms,

0:31:23.000 --> 0:31:25.640
<v Speaker 1>but there are reasons to think these machines would be

0:31:25.720 --> 0:31:30.600
<v Speaker 1>modeled on the intelligence of biological organisms that arose through evolution,

0:31:30.720 --> 0:31:34.840
<v Speaker 1>and you could call these agents biologically inspired super intelligent

0:31:34.920 --> 0:31:37.840
<v Speaker 1>aliens or visas b I s A. And there are

0:31:37.840 --> 0:31:40.480
<v Speaker 1>a number of arguments she makes about what the cognition

0:31:40.600 --> 0:31:43.480
<v Speaker 1>of those aliens would consist of, But I just want

0:31:43.520 --> 0:31:46.120
<v Speaker 1>to go back to her first argument that we would

0:31:46.120 --> 0:31:50.920
<v Speaker 1>be more likely to encounter post biological super intelligent AI

0:31:51.000 --> 0:31:55.120
<v Speaker 1>than we would to encounter biological organisms like ourselves. And

0:31:55.160 --> 0:31:57.560
<v Speaker 1>so there are three main points to her argument. The

0:31:57.600 --> 0:32:00.880
<v Speaker 1>first is what she calls the short window of observation,

0:32:01.640 --> 0:32:04.720
<v Speaker 1>and the argument goes like this, once a society has

0:32:04.840 --> 0:32:07.440
<v Speaker 1>the level of technology that would allow them to come

0:32:07.480 --> 0:32:10.320
<v Speaker 1>into contact with the rest of the cosmos, and this

0:32:10.360 --> 0:32:14.719
<v Speaker 1>could include things like radio reception and transmission, rocketry and

0:32:14.760 --> 0:32:18.080
<v Speaker 1>so forth, at that point that society is less than

0:32:18.120 --> 0:32:21.840
<v Speaker 1>a few hundred years from changing their paradigm from biology

0:32:21.920 --> 0:32:25.960
<v Speaker 1>to artificial intelligence to you know, silicon based AI. And

0:32:26.080 --> 0:32:30.160
<v Speaker 1>she makes an argument for this based on previous accelerating

0:32:30.240 --> 0:32:32.880
<v Speaker 1>rates of computation. So you already mentioned show stack referencing

0:32:32.920 --> 0:32:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Moore's law. That would be in parallel to what he's

0:32:34.920 --> 0:32:38.240
<v Speaker 1>saying there. Uh so the advance of digital technology. But

0:32:38.280 --> 0:32:41.800
<v Speaker 1>she also makes reference to a thought experiment from her

0:32:41.840 --> 0:32:44.640
<v Speaker 1>previous work. Uh and so I just want to read

0:32:44.680 --> 0:32:46.880
<v Speaker 1>the thought experiment as she describes it, and then we

0:32:46.920 --> 0:32:51.120
<v Speaker 1>can discuss pros and cons. Schneider writes, quote, suppose it

0:32:51.200 --> 0:32:56.400
<v Speaker 1>is and being a techno file, you purchase brain enhancements

0:32:56.400 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 1>as they become readily available. First you add a mobile

0:32:59.800 --> 0:33:03.719
<v Speaker 1>internet connection to your retina. Then you enhance your working

0:33:03.760 --> 0:33:07.640
<v Speaker 1>memory by adding neural circuitry. You are now officially a cyborg.

0:33:07.880 --> 0:33:12.680
<v Speaker 1>Now skip ahead to twenty forty. Through nanotechnological therapies and enhancements,

0:33:12.720 --> 0:33:15.160
<v Speaker 1>you are able to extend your lifespan, and as the

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:19.480
<v Speaker 1>years progress, you continue to accumulate more far reaching enhancements.

0:33:19.800 --> 0:33:24.640
<v Speaker 1>By after several small but cumulatively profound alterations, you are

0:33:24.760 --> 0:33:28.920
<v Speaker 1>a post human. To quote philosopher Nick Bostrom, post humans

0:33:28.920 --> 0:33:33.480
<v Speaker 1>are possible future beings quote whose basic capacity so radically

0:33:33.560 --> 0:33:36.360
<v Speaker 1>exceed those of present humans as to be no longer

0:33:36.480 --> 0:33:40.800
<v Speaker 1>unambiguously human by our current standards. At this point, your

0:33:40.840 --> 0:33:43.840
<v Speaker 1>intelligence is enhanced, not just in terms of speed of

0:33:43.840 --> 0:33:47.360
<v Speaker 1>mental processing. You are now able to make rich connections

0:33:47.400 --> 0:33:50.560
<v Speaker 1>that you were not able to make before. Un Enhanced

0:33:50.680 --> 0:33:54.600
<v Speaker 1>humans or naturals seem to you to be intellectually disabled.

0:33:54.880 --> 0:33:57.120
<v Speaker 1>You have little in common with them, but as a

0:33:57.160 --> 0:34:00.480
<v Speaker 1>transhumanist you are supportive of their right not to enhance.

0:34:01.040 --> 0:34:04.719
<v Speaker 1>It is now a D two hundred. For years, worldwide

0:34:04.720 --> 0:34:09.279
<v Speaker 1>technological and developments, including your own enhancements, have been facilitated

0:34:09.280 --> 0:34:14.080
<v Speaker 1>by super intelligent AI. Indeed, as Bostrom explains, quote, creating

0:34:14.080 --> 0:34:17.799
<v Speaker 1>super intelligence maybe the last invention that humans will ever

0:34:17.880 --> 0:34:21.560
<v Speaker 1>need to make, since super intelligences could themselves take care

0:34:21.600 --> 0:34:25.960
<v Speaker 1>of further scientific and technological developments over time, the slow

0:34:26.120 --> 0:34:28.920
<v Speaker 1>edition of better and better neural circuitry has left no

0:34:29.120 --> 0:34:34.120
<v Speaker 1>real intellectual difference in kind between you and super intelligent AI.

0:34:34.280 --> 0:34:37.280
<v Speaker 1>The only real difference between you and an AI creature

0:34:37.280 --> 0:34:40.920
<v Speaker 1>of standard design is one of origin. You were once

0:34:41.000 --> 0:34:45.200
<v Speaker 1>a natural, but you are now almost entirely engineered by technology.

0:34:45.480 --> 0:34:48.120
<v Speaker 1>You are perhaps more aptly characterized as a member of

0:34:48.160 --> 0:34:52.160
<v Speaker 1>a rather heterogeneous class of AI life forms, and so

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:54.920
<v Speaker 1>her thought experiment ends there, But she's trying to sketch

0:34:54.920 --> 0:34:59.480
<v Speaker 1>how it would be plausible to imagine humans existing today

0:34:59.640 --> 0:35:03.680
<v Speaker 1>act really becoming machines little by little over time and

0:35:03.719 --> 0:35:07.319
<v Speaker 1>by extending their lifespans. Now, I will say, I do

0:35:07.400 --> 0:35:09.960
<v Speaker 1>think there's there's value in this thought experiment, and I'm

0:35:10.000 --> 0:35:11.960
<v Speaker 1>glad we're pursuing it. But I also do feel like

0:35:12.000 --> 0:35:16.239
<v Speaker 1>I need to flag that I am significantly more skeptical

0:35:16.520 --> 0:35:20.040
<v Speaker 1>of these types of common extrapolations about trans humanism and

0:35:20.160 --> 0:35:23.600
<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence than I used to be. I think my

0:35:23.640 --> 0:35:28.080
<v Speaker 1>skepticism comes down to a suspicion that scenarios like these

0:35:28.880 --> 0:35:32.400
<v Speaker 1>make a lot of assumptions that are just taken as obvious,

0:35:32.400 --> 0:35:36.839
<v Speaker 1>but I think are actually somewhat speculative. For example, would

0:35:36.880 --> 0:35:40.880
<v Speaker 1>it actually be possible to increase human cognitive capacity with

0:35:40.960 --> 0:35:44.360
<v Speaker 1>neural implants that that just seems obvious. It is taken

0:35:44.760 --> 0:35:48.440
<v Speaker 1>as an assumption because obviously computers can do things that

0:35:48.560 --> 0:35:50.640
<v Speaker 1>human brains can't do, or at least they can do

0:35:50.680 --> 0:35:54.400
<v Speaker 1>them at speeds that human brains can't match. But what

0:35:54.520 --> 0:35:59.919
<v Speaker 1>if there are inherent biological throttles or gates on consciousness

0:36:00.000 --> 0:36:04.400
<v Speaker 1>and cognition in brains that make the neural cyborg not

0:36:04.640 --> 0:36:07.400
<v Speaker 1>much smarter than a human with access to a computer.

0:36:07.960 --> 0:36:10.759
<v Speaker 1>What if there's just something physically about the properties of

0:36:10.800 --> 0:36:14.359
<v Speaker 1>brains that doesn't allow you to augment them with technology

0:36:14.440 --> 0:36:17.880
<v Speaker 1>like this, It just doesn't work. Or what if becoming

0:36:17.920 --> 0:36:21.960
<v Speaker 1>a neural cyborg with computer enhanced cognition is actually a

0:36:22.000 --> 0:36:26.279
<v Speaker 1>subjectively dreadful, miserable experience, and it turns out that once

0:36:26.320 --> 0:36:28.839
<v Speaker 1>people have tried it and reported on what it's like,

0:36:29.200 --> 0:36:32.560
<v Speaker 1>nobody wants to do it because it feels awful. Yeah,

0:36:32.600 --> 0:36:34.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm like, I'm thinking, like what you have, some sort

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:38.279
<v Speaker 1>of an upgrade you received made it possible for you

0:36:38.360 --> 0:36:41.440
<v Speaker 1>to say, well, let's say, be better at personal finance.

0:36:41.800 --> 0:36:45.040
<v Speaker 1>But as a result, that means that there is constantly

0:36:45.520 --> 0:36:49.360
<v Speaker 1>an additional background narrative in your brain and your consciousness

0:36:49.400 --> 0:36:54.200
<v Speaker 1>about your personal finances. And maybe that's good for for

0:36:54.440 --> 0:36:57.320
<v Speaker 1>just to you know, your your your pocketbook and your investments,

0:36:57.360 --> 0:37:01.320
<v Speaker 1>but ultimately maybe it sucks for life, you know, because

0:37:01.320 --> 0:37:04.359
<v Speaker 1>it's this is not the sort of balance of inattention

0:37:04.440 --> 0:37:07.680
<v Speaker 1>that makes life worth living or makes it like like

0:37:07.719 --> 0:37:10.319
<v Speaker 1>it was before like it. It changes you to such

0:37:10.320 --> 0:37:12.600
<v Speaker 1>an extent that you want to go back you were,

0:37:12.680 --> 0:37:14.359
<v Speaker 1>Like part of the joy of life is maybe not

0:37:14.440 --> 0:37:16.839
<v Speaker 1>thinking about personal finance all the time. Yeah, what if

0:37:16.920 --> 0:37:19.160
<v Speaker 1>part of what makes it fun to be a human

0:37:19.360 --> 0:37:22.560
<v Speaker 1>is not being a computer. And if you the more

0:37:22.640 --> 0:37:25.560
<v Speaker 1>you make your brain into a neural cyborg, the more

0:37:25.640 --> 0:37:30.760
<v Speaker 1>miserable your life becomes you and you desperately seek to regress. Yeah.

0:37:31.120 --> 0:37:35.160
<v Speaker 1>Another thing, what if consciousness is just inherently non transferable

0:37:35.200 --> 0:37:37.719
<v Speaker 1>to machinery. I don't know this is the case. Some

0:37:37.760 --> 0:37:39.800
<v Speaker 1>people do make this argument, and I have no reason

0:37:39.840 --> 0:37:42.279
<v Speaker 1>to assume this is true. But I also have no

0:37:42.360 --> 0:37:45.719
<v Speaker 1>reason to assume the opposite. There's no reason to assume

0:37:46.400 --> 0:37:49.319
<v Speaker 1>that you can actually upload your mind to any kind

0:37:49.320 --> 0:37:51.640
<v Speaker 1>of computer substrate. I think this is just a big

0:37:51.719 --> 0:37:53.759
<v Speaker 1>question mark. We just don't know if such a thing

0:37:53.800 --> 0:37:56.759
<v Speaker 1>as possible. Yeah, I mean, I tend to believe at

0:37:56.760 --> 0:38:00.239
<v Speaker 1>this point that we could create something that acts like us.

0:38:00.560 --> 0:38:03.399
<v Speaker 1>You can create something that is essentially like the the

0:38:03.440 --> 0:38:05.799
<v Speaker 1>machine avatar of who we were, or who we thought

0:38:05.880 --> 0:38:08.319
<v Speaker 1>we were, who we want to be thought of after

0:38:08.400 --> 0:38:11.920
<v Speaker 1>the fact. But to the point, like is that I

0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:14.680
<v Speaker 1>think when you start asking more specific questions about like

0:38:14.800 --> 0:38:17.520
<v Speaker 1>is that us? Then? I don't know, I feel like

0:38:17.520 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 1>it isn't is it? Could it be conscious at all?

0:38:20.160 --> 0:38:22.439
<v Speaker 1>Even if it could be conscious, is there any reason

0:38:22.520 --> 0:38:25.040
<v Speaker 1>to believe that you would experience it as a conscious

0:38:25.080 --> 0:38:28.040
<v Speaker 1>continuation of your previous mind? Or would it just be

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:30.839
<v Speaker 1>a conscious copy of you? Yeah? Or I mean when

0:38:30.840 --> 0:38:32.640
<v Speaker 1>you start asking questions like that and then you get

0:38:32.640 --> 0:38:35.600
<v Speaker 1>into questions of like, well, and who I am now?

0:38:35.680 --> 0:38:38.160
<v Speaker 1>Is this really a continuation of who I was five

0:38:38.200 --> 0:38:41.120
<v Speaker 1>years ago? You know? I mean, you start seeing all

0:38:41.239 --> 0:38:46.080
<v Speaker 1>the flaws in this um narrative of self and identity,

0:38:46.120 --> 0:38:48.680
<v Speaker 1>and maybe it becomes maybe that's the thing. Maybe we

0:38:48.719 --> 0:38:51.560
<v Speaker 1>reach a kind of we reach a point where we

0:38:51.600 --> 0:38:53.640
<v Speaker 1>realized none of it is real, Like there is no

0:38:53.719 --> 0:38:57.560
<v Speaker 1>real continuation of the self, and therefore why not create

0:38:57.719 --> 0:39:00.640
<v Speaker 1>like three different machine avatars of my self and have

0:39:00.760 --> 0:39:03.040
<v Speaker 1>them continue my legacy for me? I just want to

0:39:03.080 --> 0:39:05.160
<v Speaker 1>mention a few other questions that just popped into my

0:39:05.200 --> 0:39:08.360
<v Speaker 1>mind this morning. Uh, what if there are actually hard

0:39:08.480 --> 0:39:12.040
<v Speaker 1>limits on certain kinds of intelligence, whether you're talking about

0:39:12.160 --> 0:39:16.440
<v Speaker 1>a biological brain or a computer. What if certain types

0:39:16.480 --> 0:39:21.000
<v Speaker 1>of complex problem solving within a coherent agent system, meaning like,

0:39:21.080 --> 0:39:24.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, a single sort of mental workspace that always,

0:39:24.600 --> 0:39:27.440
<v Speaker 1>that is coherent and communicates with every part of itself.

0:39:28.280 --> 0:39:30.640
<v Speaker 1>What if there are limits on what kind of intelligence

0:39:30.680 --> 0:39:35.120
<v Speaker 1>can happen in an agent system like that or different thing.

0:39:35.560 --> 0:39:39.880
<v Speaker 1>What if biological organisms in general, even across the galaxy,

0:39:40.000 --> 0:39:44.480
<v Speaker 1>have an overwhelming tendency to revolt against the cultural transition

0:39:44.560 --> 0:39:48.040
<v Speaker 1>to machine life and will always or almost always end

0:39:48.120 --> 0:39:51.440
<v Speaker 1>up engaging in something like Frank Herbert's but Larry and Jihad,

0:39:51.640 --> 0:39:53.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, where you shall not make a machine in

0:39:53.640 --> 0:39:57.279
<v Speaker 1>the image of a human brain. Yeah, yeah, you want

0:39:57.280 --> 0:39:59.480
<v Speaker 1>to end up moving towards that sort of Star Wars

0:39:59.480 --> 0:40:02.320
<v Speaker 1>model where yeah, you have all these advanced machines everywhere,

0:40:02.719 --> 0:40:06.600
<v Speaker 1>but they're only working as servants you know there, Uh,

0:40:07.960 --> 0:40:09.759
<v Speaker 1>with a few exceptions that I guess kind of prove

0:40:09.800 --> 0:40:12.880
<v Speaker 1>the rule in that universe. So anyway, literally hundreds of

0:40:12.960 --> 0:40:14.920
<v Speaker 1>questions like this I think I could list, and they

0:40:14.960 --> 0:40:17.000
<v Speaker 1>start coming to mind when I think about it. And

0:40:17.040 --> 0:40:19.600
<v Speaker 1>while I don't assume that any of them are strong

0:40:19.719 --> 0:40:24.040
<v Speaker 1>enough to completely disable the trans humanist proposition, I also

0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:29.239
<v Speaker 1>wonder if some trans humanist and super intelligence thinking is

0:40:29.320 --> 0:40:32.480
<v Speaker 1>too quick to hand wave past these kinds of questions.

0:40:33.520 --> 0:40:35.359
<v Speaker 1>But like I said earlier, I do think this type

0:40:35.360 --> 0:40:38.200
<v Speaker 1>of scenario that Schneider is talking about is plausible enough

0:40:38.280 --> 0:40:40.239
<v Speaker 1>to entertain as a thought experiment, So I want to

0:40:40.320 --> 0:40:42.440
<v Speaker 1>keep going with it. And one thing I will say

0:40:42.560 --> 0:40:47.080
<v Speaker 1>in favor of of her argument is that, at least intuitively,

0:40:47.200 --> 0:40:51.359
<v Speaker 1>I think her timeline is reasonable, meaning that I think

0:40:51.520 --> 0:40:55.520
<v Speaker 1>if it is possible to create an AI super intelligence

0:40:56.040 --> 0:40:59.920
<v Speaker 1>and that humans or their biological alien counterparts do at

0:41:00.080 --> 0:41:05.400
<v Speaker 1>some point merge with or fade into that machine AI superintelligence,

0:41:06.040 --> 0:41:07.799
<v Speaker 1>I don't see why it would take more than a

0:41:07.800 --> 0:41:11.000
<v Speaker 1>few hundred years after the invention of computers basically for

0:41:11.080 --> 0:41:14.279
<v Speaker 1>that to happen. And even if it took tens of

0:41:14.320 --> 0:41:17.600
<v Speaker 1>thousands of years, I think Schneider's point on this first

0:41:17.600 --> 0:41:21.439
<v Speaker 1>point she's making is basically correct. The time between when

0:41:21.440 --> 0:41:25.520
<v Speaker 1>a species starts technologically interacting with the universe beyond its

0:41:25.600 --> 0:41:30.600
<v Speaker 1>home planet and when it becomes dominated by post biological intelligence,

0:41:30.640 --> 0:41:34.120
<v Speaker 1>if this is possible, that that time gap seems very

0:41:34.160 --> 0:41:37.440
<v Speaker 1>small and vanishingly small compared to the lifespan of a

0:41:37.440 --> 0:41:41.000
<v Speaker 1>planetary biosphere. Yeah, so you come back to that scenario

0:41:41.000 --> 0:41:44.279
<v Speaker 1>that show Stack was talking about, where once you're detectable,

0:41:44.520 --> 0:41:47.160
<v Speaker 1>it's just a matter of time before the machine administration

0:41:47.200 --> 0:41:50.760
<v Speaker 1>moves in. So one instantly think that you can imagine

0:41:51.520 --> 0:41:54.400
<v Speaker 1>the the the aliens out there, if they're listening in

0:41:54.400 --> 0:41:56.440
<v Speaker 1>on this, they're like, well, should we contact them now?

0:41:56.440 --> 0:41:58.680
<v Speaker 1>They're like, well, no, they're they're about to change administration,

0:41:58.800 --> 0:42:01.879
<v Speaker 1>Like the humans in charge now are about to hand

0:42:01.920 --> 0:42:06.000
<v Speaker 1>off in relatively little time. From our standpoint, two machines

0:42:06.040 --> 0:42:08.799
<v Speaker 1>that will be it'll be just easier to communicate with

0:42:08.840 --> 0:42:11.359
<v Speaker 1>those machines and we'll we'll there'll be a lot more

0:42:11.360 --> 0:42:15.280
<v Speaker 1>pleasant to deal with as opposed to these organic beings.

0:42:15.960 --> 0:42:18.040
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, I would say I'm more bullish on the

0:42:18.120 --> 0:42:21.479
<v Speaker 1>second half of Schneider's proposition here than the first half.

0:42:21.840 --> 0:42:24.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if the age of machines is coming,

0:42:24.080 --> 0:42:25.839
<v Speaker 1>that's a big question mark for me, but I will

0:42:25.880 --> 0:42:29.320
<v Speaker 1>agree that if it's coming, it's coming very fast, yes,

0:42:29.680 --> 0:42:32.800
<v Speaker 1>and if it is coming, we welcome our machine over lords.

0:42:34.239 --> 0:42:36.399
<v Speaker 1>But anyway, that that was all just Schneider's first point

0:42:36.440 --> 0:42:38.839
<v Speaker 1>about the short window of observation. A couple of other

0:42:38.880 --> 0:42:42.799
<v Speaker 1>points that are quicker to make. The second one that

0:42:42.840 --> 0:42:46.680
<v Speaker 1>she makes is the greater age of alien civilizations. So

0:42:46.800 --> 0:42:49.960
<v Speaker 1>here she cites some pre existing statistical work making the

0:42:50.000 --> 0:42:51.879
<v Speaker 1>point that and I think show Stack made this point

0:42:51.880 --> 0:42:55.640
<v Speaker 1>as well. If you assume a random distribution of biological

0:42:55.640 --> 0:42:59.960
<v Speaker 1>evolution across the galaxy, most alien civilizations should be expected

0:43:00.040 --> 0:43:02.879
<v Speaker 1>to be millions or billions of years older than us.

0:43:03.239 --> 0:43:07.320
<v Speaker 1>So either there's something very special and rare about Earth life,

0:43:08.000 --> 0:43:11.160
<v Speaker 1>or we're one of many planets with with with powerful

0:43:11.200 --> 0:43:14.120
<v Speaker 1>intelligence and civilization. And if we are, we we should

0:43:14.120 --> 0:43:16.440
<v Speaker 1>expect to be on the young side of that equation.

0:43:17.480 --> 0:43:20.000
<v Speaker 1>So if you couple this with the previous points, she argues,

0:43:20.080 --> 0:43:22.960
<v Speaker 1>you start getting toward an interesting conclusion. Again, these two

0:43:23.000 --> 0:43:26.360
<v Speaker 1>points are on average, we should assume that other alien

0:43:26.400 --> 0:43:29.440
<v Speaker 1>civilizations have been around for millions or billions of years,

0:43:29.880 --> 0:43:35.319
<v Speaker 1>and on average alien civilizations transform themselves into post biological

0:43:35.320 --> 0:43:39.919
<v Speaker 1>superintelligence is very fast. There's a very short window of uh,

0:43:40.080 --> 0:43:44.520
<v Speaker 1>technological civilizations that are still biological in nature. And so

0:43:44.560 --> 0:43:47.080
<v Speaker 1>if you put those things together, you should expect, Yeah,

0:43:47.120 --> 0:43:50.840
<v Speaker 1>if we're meeting something, it's probably post biological. And I

0:43:50.840 --> 0:43:52.800
<v Speaker 1>will say as far as my reaction, again, I have

0:43:52.960 --> 0:43:57.960
<v Speaker 1>lodged my moderate skepticism about the trans humanist and AI extrapolations,

0:43:58.040 --> 0:44:00.880
<v Speaker 1>mind uploading and so forth. But I followed the argument

0:44:01.000 --> 0:44:03.680
<v Speaker 1>so far. Her third point, and I think this is

0:44:03.719 --> 0:44:07.280
<v Speaker 1>an interesting one. She says silicon is a better medium

0:44:07.320 --> 0:44:11.719
<v Speaker 1>for intelligence, at least better than carbon, and this one

0:44:11.800 --> 0:44:15.320
<v Speaker 1>is interesting. Basically, Schneider argues that carbon based life forms

0:44:15.320 --> 0:44:20.000
<v Speaker 1>will recognize the inherent physical advantages in transferring themselves into

0:44:20.040 --> 0:44:24.040
<v Speaker 1>silicon based machines. Again, you know, flag my skepticism about

0:44:24.040 --> 0:44:27.400
<v Speaker 1>mind uploading, but if it's possible, okay, I follow the argument.

0:44:27.800 --> 0:44:30.760
<v Speaker 1>She writes, quote, silicon appears to be a better medium

0:44:30.800 --> 0:44:34.640
<v Speaker 1>for information processing than the brain itself. Neurons reach a

0:44:34.719 --> 0:44:37.640
<v Speaker 1>peak speed of about two hundred hurts, which is seven

0:44:37.760 --> 0:44:42.040
<v Speaker 1>orders of magnitude slower than current microprocessors. While the brain

0:44:42.120 --> 0:44:46.480
<v Speaker 1>can compensate for some of this with massive parallelism features

0:44:46.480 --> 0:44:50.160
<v Speaker 1>such as hubs and so on, crucial mental capacity such

0:44:50.200 --> 0:44:54.200
<v Speaker 1>as attention rely on cereal processing, which is incredibly slow

0:44:54.520 --> 0:44:58.280
<v Speaker 1>and has a maximum capacity of about seven manageable chunks.

0:44:58.760 --> 0:45:00.480
<v Speaker 1>I did not follow up on what she means by

0:45:00.560 --> 0:45:03.480
<v Speaker 1>chunks there, but she cites Miller from the ninety six

0:45:03.600 --> 0:45:07.120
<v Speaker 1>This must be a computational science paper. She goes on

0:45:07.400 --> 0:45:09.920
<v Speaker 1>further the number of neurons in a human brain is

0:45:10.040 --> 0:45:13.960
<v Speaker 1>limited by cranial volume and metabolism, but computers can occupy

0:45:14.239 --> 0:45:17.400
<v Speaker 1>entire buildings or cities, and can even be remotely connected

0:45:17.440 --> 0:45:20.479
<v Speaker 1>across the globe. Of course, the human brain is far

0:45:20.640 --> 0:45:25.359
<v Speaker 1>more intelligent than any modern computer, but intelligent machines can

0:45:25.400 --> 0:45:29.440
<v Speaker 1>in principle be constructed by reverse engineering the brain and

0:45:29.520 --> 0:45:32.880
<v Speaker 1>improving upon its algorithms. You know this. This reminds me

0:45:32.960 --> 0:45:36.880
<v Speaker 1>how in in in Banks's culture books, their parts where

0:45:37.760 --> 0:45:39.759
<v Speaker 1>the machines are working with humans, because you have human

0:45:39.840 --> 0:45:42.520
<v Speaker 1>characters that are playing an important role, because that that

0:45:42.640 --> 0:45:46.759
<v Speaker 1>makes it an interesting story. Um. But the machines, of

0:45:46.800 --> 0:45:49.400
<v Speaker 1>course are communicating with each other. The minds are communicating

0:45:49.400 --> 0:45:52.640
<v Speaker 1>with each other. It just blindingly fast speeds. And then

0:45:52.680 --> 0:45:55.440
<v Speaker 1>when they need to communicate with an organic being, it

0:45:55.600 --> 0:45:57.800
<v Speaker 1>just like it's just slow as Christmas, you know, it

0:45:57.880 --> 0:46:01.080
<v Speaker 1>just drags everything to a halt basically for them. Yeah,

0:46:01.120 --> 0:46:04.399
<v Speaker 1>that's funny, And it's also funny this last comment she makes,

0:46:04.440 --> 0:46:08.040
<v Speaker 1>I think is interesting about the cutthroat design idea, where

0:46:08.120 --> 0:46:10.439
<v Speaker 1>an intelligent machine could just say like, oh, I could

0:46:10.480 --> 0:46:13.160
<v Speaker 1>make myself better than a brain just by figuring out

0:46:13.160 --> 0:46:16.360
<v Speaker 1>how brains work reverse engineering that making myself into a

0:46:16.400 --> 0:46:21.200
<v Speaker 1>brain and then upgrading myself. But anyway, altogether, Schneider's thinks

0:46:21.239 --> 0:46:24.799
<v Speaker 1>that these points should convince us that alien civilizations that

0:46:24.920 --> 0:46:29.120
<v Speaker 1>we encounter are way more likely to be post biological

0:46:29.320 --> 0:46:34.160
<v Speaker 1>machines super intelligent aies than they are to be biological

0:46:34.239 --> 0:46:38.080
<v Speaker 1>organisms made of meat. And Schneider also makes one point

0:46:38.080 --> 0:46:40.719
<v Speaker 1>that I think is very good if it's possible to

0:46:40.719 --> 0:46:45.120
<v Speaker 1>become a post biological super intelligence, but not a common

0:46:45.160 --> 0:46:48.080
<v Speaker 1>fate for all intelligent alien species. So maybe not all

0:46:48.120 --> 0:46:52.680
<v Speaker 1>alien civilizations go this direction. The ones we encounter are

0:46:52.840 --> 0:46:55.800
<v Speaker 1>still more likely to be the ones that do become

0:46:55.920 --> 0:47:01.239
<v Speaker 1>post biological super intelligent machines, because the beings will be

0:47:01.239 --> 0:47:04.600
<v Speaker 1>better at space travel and better at spreading across the galaxy.

0:47:04.680 --> 0:47:07.240
<v Speaker 1>Think about the fact that they have no biological risks

0:47:07.280 --> 0:47:11.200
<v Speaker 1>from space travel like we do. Yeah, show Stack gets

0:47:11.400 --> 0:47:13.799
<v Speaker 1>to this point as well, that yeah, there would still

0:47:13.800 --> 0:47:17.799
<v Speaker 1>be risks. Space is still incredibly dangerous, but the bio

0:47:17.920 --> 0:47:21.600
<v Speaker 1>risks would be effectively removed. And then since you would

0:47:21.680 --> 0:47:25.440
<v Speaker 1>uh as a machine intelligence, you would be effectively immortal

0:47:25.960 --> 0:47:29.360
<v Speaker 1>um in ways that in ways that even a in

0:47:29.440 --> 0:47:32.479
<v Speaker 1>a you know, a very long living biological organism would

0:47:32.480 --> 0:47:36.520
<v Speaker 1>not um All trips would be the same distance, all

0:47:36.520 --> 0:47:39.279
<v Speaker 1>trips would have the same duration, because time kind of

0:47:39.280 --> 0:47:42.120
<v Speaker 1>loses all meaning. If it takes you a hundred years,

0:47:42.160 --> 0:47:45.440
<v Speaker 1>a thousand years, uh, you know, several thousand years to

0:47:45.480 --> 0:47:49.520
<v Speaker 1>reach the place you're going, that kind of loses its importance.

0:47:49.840 --> 0:47:53.120
<v Speaker 1>If there is no endpoint to your existence. Ye, Rob

0:47:53.239 --> 0:48:03.040
<v Speaker 1>nine thousand does not care. Yeah, alright. So in dealing

0:48:03.080 --> 0:48:07.400
<v Speaker 1>with this question of post biologic logical intelligence and potentially

0:48:07.600 --> 0:48:11.560
<v Speaker 1>encountering post biological intelligence, one of the big questions, of course,

0:48:11.640 --> 0:48:14.000
<v Speaker 1>is well, what would it mean for us? What would

0:48:14.320 --> 0:48:18.760
<v Speaker 1>what would the relationship be? What would a post biological

0:48:19.120 --> 0:48:22.520
<v Speaker 1>civilization want? And I guess the first way to tackle

0:48:22.560 --> 0:48:25.400
<v Speaker 1>that is to sort of look at the precursor, what

0:48:25.520 --> 0:48:30.760
<v Speaker 1>does a biological civilization want? Well, as a Stephen Hawking

0:48:30.920 --> 0:48:33.520
<v Speaker 1>and many others have pointed out, if we're to use

0:48:33.560 --> 0:48:36.680
<v Speaker 1>our only model of intelligent life that we have, which

0:48:36.719 --> 0:48:41.960
<v Speaker 1>is us, then obviously biological aliens would be interested in

0:48:42.000 --> 0:48:48.000
<v Speaker 1>things like domination, resource acquisition, possibly religious convergence. Or if

0:48:48.000 --> 0:48:50.399
<v Speaker 1>we were to tie the Simpsons into all of this, uh,

0:48:50.440 --> 0:48:52.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, we could think to the citizen king Treehouse

0:48:52.760 --> 0:48:56.279
<v Speaker 1>of Horror segment. They might be interested and interested in

0:48:56.400 --> 0:48:58.960
<v Speaker 1>us merely in order to point a giant space laser

0:48:59.040 --> 0:49:03.320
<v Speaker 1>at another planet. So resources, yes, but also maybe strategic

0:49:03.400 --> 0:49:07.080
<v Speaker 1>location in some greater interstellar conflict. I just had an

0:49:07.120 --> 0:49:09.839
<v Speaker 1>idea that I don't know if it makes any sense,

0:49:09.880 --> 0:49:11.759
<v Speaker 1>but I was thinking about some of the some of

0:49:11.800 --> 0:49:16.040
<v Speaker 1>the horrors of colonialism on Earth. We're not just about

0:49:16.160 --> 0:49:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the extraction of resources from the colony, but also about

0:49:20.480 --> 0:49:25.520
<v Speaker 1>the acquisition of customers within a colony for the businesses

0:49:25.719 --> 0:49:28.480
<v Speaker 1>in the in the home country. And I wonder could

0:49:28.480 --> 0:49:31.480
<v Speaker 1>there be some kind of comparison to this in in

0:49:31.520 --> 0:49:35.320
<v Speaker 1>a galactic sense, like, uh, could be possible that aliens

0:49:35.320 --> 0:49:37.759
<v Speaker 1>would want to initiate contact with Earth in order to

0:49:37.800 --> 0:49:44.400
<v Speaker 1>acquire some analogy to customers buyers for their products. Oh my, uh,

0:49:44.400 --> 0:49:46.480
<v Speaker 1>nothing come into mind. But I'm sure this, this has

0:49:46.520 --> 0:49:48.040
<v Speaker 1>got to have been This has had to have been

0:49:48.080 --> 0:49:51.960
<v Speaker 1>explored in in science fiction, especially like like Reagan era

0:49:52.040 --> 0:49:55.319
<v Speaker 1>sci fi. You know, that's a that's commenting on capitalism

0:49:55.320 --> 0:49:59.040
<v Speaker 1>and so forth. Like In fact, she like surely Philip K.

0:49:59.160 --> 0:50:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Dick explored the this idea a little home that was

0:50:01.760 --> 0:50:03.359
<v Speaker 1>up his alley. I can't think of one but that

0:50:03.360 --> 0:50:05.359
<v Speaker 1>that would be an amazing Philip K. Dick theme. I'm

0:50:05.400 --> 0:50:07.600
<v Speaker 1>sure he did it. Yeah, so again, you know, if

0:50:07.840 --> 0:50:10.040
<v Speaker 1>we only have to have our own intelligence really to

0:50:10.080 --> 0:50:13.200
<v Speaker 1>base most of this off on as a model, but uh,

0:50:13.440 --> 0:50:16.680
<v Speaker 1>this would it would seem to present a rather dark scenario.

0:50:16.920 --> 0:50:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Though certainly biological aliens could be different. You know, they

0:50:21.360 --> 0:50:23.719
<v Speaker 1>could they could just want to be our friends. They

0:50:23.719 --> 0:50:25.920
<v Speaker 1>could want it that they could have, you know, they

0:50:25.960 --> 0:50:29.479
<v Speaker 1>could come in peace, as they say. I mean Stephen Hawking, Yeah,

0:50:29.480 --> 0:50:31.880
<v Speaker 1>he was very cautious about the idea of ct He

0:50:31.960 --> 0:50:34.759
<v Speaker 1>was like, we don't we don't want anything to do

0:50:34.880 --> 0:50:38.640
<v Speaker 1>with other aliens in the galaxy because the chances are

0:50:38.680 --> 0:50:41.239
<v Speaker 1>it would not go well for us. But people who

0:50:41.239 --> 0:50:44.400
<v Speaker 1>are involved in set itself in CETI type research, it

0:50:44.480 --> 0:50:47.759
<v Speaker 1>seems to be more often, I mean, I probably there's

0:50:47.800 --> 0:50:50.040
<v Speaker 1>a selection effect by nature of the fact that they

0:50:50.080 --> 0:50:52.920
<v Speaker 1>are part of this effort to reach out and establish

0:50:53.000 --> 0:50:56.839
<v Speaker 1>contact with other civilizations at least detect their presence. There

0:50:56.840 --> 0:51:00.239
<v Speaker 1>seems to be more optimism in the CETI crowd to me, like, yeah,

0:51:00.600 --> 0:51:03.400
<v Speaker 1>less a less of an automatic assumption that the way

0:51:03.680 --> 0:51:07.719
<v Speaker 1>aliens view us would be would be extractive. And you know,

0:51:07.840 --> 0:51:10.640
<v Speaker 1>more of an idea that uh, an alien that as

0:51:10.640 --> 0:51:14.359
<v Speaker 1>a civilization progresses towards the point where it can reach

0:51:14.400 --> 0:51:17.560
<v Speaker 1>out into the cosmos. It also maybe matures like it.

0:51:17.560 --> 0:51:20.319
<v Speaker 1>It reaches its own form of humanism and maybe that

0:51:20.360 --> 0:51:23.839
<v Speaker 1>extends beyond its own species. Yeah, and I guess too.

0:51:23.880 --> 0:51:26.120
<v Speaker 1>There's also the argument it's kind of like moving into

0:51:26.160 --> 0:51:29.040
<v Speaker 1>a new neighborhood. Do you want to say hi to

0:51:29.120 --> 0:51:31.800
<v Speaker 1>your new neighbors, uh, you know, the first couple of weeks,

0:51:31.920 --> 0:51:34.920
<v Speaker 1>or do you want to wait until there's a conflict

0:51:35.120 --> 0:51:37.279
<v Speaker 1>you know? Uh, you know, what do you want? What

0:51:37.320 --> 0:51:40.080
<v Speaker 1>do you want your first communication going to be to be?

0:51:40.080 --> 0:51:43.960
<v Speaker 1>Because non detection is not a long term possibility. You know,

0:51:44.000 --> 0:51:45.560
<v Speaker 1>they're going to see you leaving your house at some

0:51:45.560 --> 0:51:47.600
<v Speaker 1>point you're gonna have that awkward moment where do you

0:51:47.640 --> 0:51:49.680
<v Speaker 1>make eye contact and then you're like, oh, yeah, we

0:51:49.760 --> 0:51:52.680
<v Speaker 1>never actually said hi to each other, you know. So,

0:51:52.880 --> 0:51:55.640
<v Speaker 1>you know a lot of this concerns biological life. These

0:51:55.719 --> 0:51:58.719
<v Speaker 1>questions and some of these ideas don't entirely disappear when

0:51:58.760 --> 0:52:02.800
<v Speaker 1>we consider uh, post biological life. But again, the question

0:52:02.920 --> 0:52:06.279
<v Speaker 1>is what about alien AI? What would a post biological

0:52:06.320 --> 0:52:09.600
<v Speaker 1>species want with us, what would they, as show stack

0:52:10.160 --> 0:52:14.720
<v Speaker 1>points puts it, what would they quote find interesting to do? Um,

0:52:15.360 --> 0:52:17.200
<v Speaker 1>which I like. I like the way of pointing that out.

0:52:17.239 --> 0:52:19.640
<v Speaker 1>It's like it's it s to a certain extent, it

0:52:19.680 --> 0:52:22.560
<v Speaker 1>goes beyond like goals and things that it needs, like

0:52:22.680 --> 0:52:25.120
<v Speaker 1>what what does it do with its time? Like? What

0:52:25.239 --> 0:52:28.040
<v Speaker 1>is its purpose? And show stack points out that sci

0:52:28.040 --> 0:52:30.479
<v Speaker 1>Fi has certainly explored this topic, but he thinks only

0:52:30.560 --> 0:52:34.359
<v Speaker 1>three things seem plausible enough to consider discussion. So, first

0:52:34.360 --> 0:52:37.759
<v Speaker 1>of all, he argues that since quote high speed computation

0:52:37.800 --> 0:52:42.640
<v Speaker 1>requires compact configuration, the machines would likely remain localized and

0:52:42.680 --> 0:52:46.440
<v Speaker 1>this would better benefit you know, swarm or shared processing,

0:52:46.680 --> 0:52:49.520
<v Speaker 1>so they wouldn't be spread out over vast distances. They

0:52:49.600 --> 0:52:53.040
<v Speaker 1>might be localized into an area only thousands of light

0:52:53.080 --> 0:52:56.160
<v Speaker 1>years across. So if you're imagining you know, something like,

0:52:56.360 --> 0:53:00.560
<v Speaker 1>uh that the post biological necrons from war or forty,

0:53:01.400 --> 0:53:03.680
<v Speaker 1>you know that they just want to spread out all

0:53:03.680 --> 0:53:06.040
<v Speaker 1>over the galaxy and take it over like that wouldn't

0:53:06.040 --> 0:53:09.640
<v Speaker 1>make as much sense because they want to maintain maximum uh,

0:53:09.800 --> 0:53:13.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, computational power, So they're going to stick to

0:53:13.239 --> 0:53:17.000
<v Speaker 1>their own kingdom. Coming back to Susan Schneider, she argues

0:53:17.080 --> 0:53:22.040
<v Speaker 1>that biologically inspired super intelligences would would tend to have

0:53:22.360 --> 0:53:25.840
<v Speaker 1>one or more what she calls global workspaces, And I

0:53:25.880 --> 0:53:27.799
<v Speaker 1>actually want to read her quote on this because I

0:53:27.800 --> 0:53:30.880
<v Speaker 1>thought this was interesting. She says, when you search for

0:53:30.960 --> 0:53:34.239
<v Speaker 1>a fact or concentrate on something, your brain grants that

0:53:34.360 --> 0:53:38.520
<v Speaker 1>sensory or cognitive content access to a quote global workspace,

0:53:38.880 --> 0:53:42.400
<v Speaker 1>where the information is broadcast to attentional and working memory

0:53:42.440 --> 0:53:46.000
<v Speaker 1>systems for more concentrated processing, as well as to the

0:53:46.080 --> 0:53:50.440
<v Speaker 1>massively parallel channels in the brain. The global workspace operates

0:53:50.440 --> 0:53:54.040
<v Speaker 1>as a singular place when important information from the senses

0:53:54.160 --> 0:53:57.480
<v Speaker 1>is considered in tandem, so that the creature can make

0:53:57.640 --> 0:54:02.120
<v Speaker 1>all things considered judgments and act intelligently in light of

0:54:02.120 --> 0:54:05.080
<v Speaker 1>all the facts at its disposal. In general, it would

0:54:05.120 --> 0:54:08.440
<v Speaker 1>be inefficient to have a sense or cognitive capacity that

0:54:08.640 --> 0:54:12.560
<v Speaker 1>was not integrated with the others, because the information from

0:54:12.600 --> 0:54:16.000
<v Speaker 1>this sense or cognitive capacity would be unable to figure

0:54:16.040 --> 0:54:19.239
<v Speaker 1>in predictions and plans based on an assessment of all

0:54:19.320 --> 0:54:22.880
<v Speaker 1>the available information. And this comes into play here because

0:54:22.880 --> 0:54:25.520
<v Speaker 1>it seems like a civilization based on a super intelligent

0:54:25.560 --> 0:54:28.480
<v Speaker 1>AI UH if it's spread itself too far, it would

0:54:28.520 --> 0:54:32.560
<v Speaker 1>become impossible to maintain a global workspace at speed. It

0:54:32.560 --> 0:54:36.120
<v Speaker 1>would start having information that was not shared, and that

0:54:36.120 --> 0:54:40.000
<v Speaker 1>would result in inefficiencies. Yeah, that that lines up, But

0:54:40.000 --> 0:54:42.520
<v Speaker 1>I think goather well with this. Now. Now, the second

0:54:42.560 --> 0:54:45.240
<v Speaker 1>point that Stack makes is that given the very short

0:54:45.280 --> 0:54:48.719
<v Speaker 1>time scale for improvement, uh, it would be winner takes all.

0:54:48.760 --> 0:54:52.800
<v Speaker 1>The first machine society to rise would dominate at least

0:54:52.800 --> 0:54:55.640
<v Speaker 1>within a certain volume of space, you know. Going back

0:54:55.640 --> 0:54:59.040
<v Speaker 1>to point number one. Um. Now, he argues that there

0:54:59.080 --> 0:55:01.040
<v Speaker 1>there could be a little wiggle room for some machine

0:55:01.080 --> 0:55:06.200
<v Speaker 1>civilizations to overtake elder civilizations. Um. But that a sufficiently

0:55:06.239 --> 0:55:11.919
<v Speaker 1>advanced machine civilization could rule its fiefdom indefinitely. Um uh Now,

0:55:12.000 --> 0:55:14.919
<v Speaker 1>But but I wonder if if another way of looking

0:55:14.960 --> 0:55:16.520
<v Speaker 1>at this sort of thing would be, you know, a

0:55:16.560 --> 0:55:20.280
<v Speaker 1>resulting confederacy of machine culture is a kind of multicultural

0:55:20.360 --> 0:55:23.360
<v Speaker 1>machine super civilization where maybe you have the you know,

0:55:23.440 --> 0:55:28.000
<v Speaker 1>the one older, more advanced, and you know, unconquerable, um,

0:55:28.360 --> 0:55:30.960
<v Speaker 1>machine culture, but then it ends up absorbing other ones

0:55:31.040 --> 0:55:33.600
<v Speaker 1>that are part of it, that have some purpose or

0:55:34.000 --> 0:55:38.080
<v Speaker 1>role within the machine whole, but are not like the

0:55:38.200 --> 0:55:42.160
<v Speaker 1>driving force. Kind of like subservient machine cultures, I guess.

0:55:42.880 --> 0:55:46.480
<v Speaker 1>And then number three, even for machines, he points out

0:55:46.520 --> 0:55:50.440
<v Speaker 1>space is dangerous and our Winnian selection would take place. Quote,

0:55:50.480 --> 0:55:53.120
<v Speaker 1>if a machine exists now, it's because its mode of

0:55:53.120 --> 0:55:57.160
<v Speaker 1>existence has kept this device from natural disaster, or possibly

0:55:57.239 --> 0:56:00.960
<v Speaker 1>even from deliberate disaster. If such a phenomen gonna exists

0:56:00.960 --> 0:56:03.920
<v Speaker 1>for machines, perhaps it makes a lot of copies, or

0:56:03.920 --> 0:56:07.319
<v Speaker 1>at least a few copies, updating as necessary. It does

0:56:07.400 --> 0:56:11.400
<v Speaker 1>something to withstand inevitable catastrophe. Yeah, that's very interesting. I

0:56:11.400 --> 0:56:14.239
<v Speaker 1>mean to pick up on this. There's no reason to

0:56:14.400 --> 0:56:18.960
<v Speaker 1>say that biological evolution is a process, that is, that

0:56:19.120 --> 0:56:23.920
<v Speaker 1>is inherently tethered only to carbon based organisms that reproduce,

0:56:24.000 --> 0:56:26.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, that that have genetic code based on DNA,

0:56:26.960 --> 0:56:30.359
<v Speaker 1>anything that's subject to survival and reproduction. And I would

0:56:30.360 --> 0:56:33.680
<v Speaker 1>guess that machines, you know, computational machines, would in some

0:56:33.760 --> 0:56:36.399
<v Speaker 1>way be subject to survival and reproduction. They can make

0:56:36.400 --> 0:56:40.640
<v Speaker 1>copies of themselves, Uh, they can iterate their code. That

0:56:40.640 --> 0:56:43.120
<v Speaker 1>it seems like those things would be subject to a

0:56:43.200 --> 0:56:46.800
<v Speaker 1>form of natural selection. Though. The interesting thing there would be,

0:56:46.840 --> 0:56:50.640
<v Speaker 1>I guess, would would it be useful to think about

0:56:50.680 --> 0:56:54.439
<v Speaker 1>their code in terms of something like genes, because of course,

0:56:54.480 --> 0:56:59.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, genes within biological organisms can have gambits to

0:56:59.320 --> 0:57:02.239
<v Speaker 1>survive on their own regardless of the success of the

0:57:02.280 --> 0:57:05.359
<v Speaker 1>overall organism. Right Like, if an individual gene in your

0:57:05.400 --> 0:57:07.720
<v Speaker 1>body figures out a way to make lots of copies

0:57:07.760 --> 0:57:10.839
<v Speaker 1>of itself without regard to the health of its you know,

0:57:10.960 --> 0:57:12.680
<v Speaker 1>to to the health of the body as a whole,

0:57:12.840 --> 0:57:15.000
<v Speaker 1>it will do that. You know. It's it's the genes

0:57:15.080 --> 0:57:16.840
<v Speaker 1>just trying to get out there. I wonder if you

0:57:16.880 --> 0:57:19.840
<v Speaker 1>could look at individual pieces of I don't know what

0:57:19.960 --> 0:57:24.720
<v Speaker 1>code or nodes or processing functions within a machine intelligence

0:57:24.720 --> 0:57:27.400
<v Speaker 1>that would behave in the same way. Yeah. Yeah, So

0:57:27.920 --> 0:57:31.400
<v Speaker 1>it seems like that idea you could you could come

0:57:31.440 --> 0:57:35.640
<v Speaker 1>up with a concept where a machine civilization would have

0:57:35.880 --> 0:57:40.000
<v Speaker 1>a tendency to colonize new areas, you know, because it

0:57:40.040 --> 0:57:44.280
<v Speaker 1>would give itself room to uh to copy itself. Uh.

0:57:45.200 --> 0:57:46.760
<v Speaker 1>And then of course you have to think about the

0:57:46.800 --> 0:57:51.720
<v Speaker 1>constraints about processing speed. It's that run you know, having

0:57:51.920 --> 0:57:54.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, sticking to a local domain. But maybe that

0:57:54.520 --> 0:57:58.080
<v Speaker 1>would allow for some level level of mechanical budding to

0:57:58.160 --> 0:58:01.200
<v Speaker 1>take place. Yeah, maybe cutting off pieces of itself would

0:58:01.240 --> 0:58:05.280
<v Speaker 1>actually make it more resilient, to say, infection by viral

0:58:05.320 --> 0:58:09.240
<v Speaker 1>bits of code. Yeah, well, you know, thinking about it

0:58:09.280 --> 0:58:11.600
<v Speaker 1>even more now, So say say you have this mechanical

0:58:11.600 --> 0:58:16.080
<v Speaker 1>supercivilization and it's again, is staying within a certain area? Well,

0:58:16.120 --> 0:58:18.920
<v Speaker 1>if it is, if it definitely, if it wants to survive,

0:58:19.000 --> 0:58:21.320
<v Speaker 1>if that is like a driving force in it, that

0:58:21.480 --> 0:58:24.080
<v Speaker 1>is like just coded into it maybe from its biological

0:58:24.440 --> 0:58:30.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, elder creators, then then perhaps copying itself not

0:58:30.080 --> 0:58:33.600
<v Speaker 1>only within its realm, but in other realms like that

0:58:33.760 --> 0:58:37.120
<v Speaker 1>is one way to try and survive, not only like

0:58:37.400 --> 0:58:40.840
<v Speaker 1>nearby rooms, maybe far flung realms, you know, uh, you know,

0:58:40.880 --> 0:58:43.760
<v Speaker 1>to get outside of not only this star system, but

0:58:43.840 --> 0:58:46.520
<v Speaker 1>this system of systems, to get outside of the galaxy

0:58:46.560 --> 0:58:50.200
<v Speaker 1>if possible. That's interesting. Okay, folks, this is one of

0:58:50.200 --> 0:58:52.920
<v Speaker 1>those episodes that went very long, and we have decided

0:58:53.000 --> 0:58:56.440
<v Speaker 1>it is best to divide this talk in two parts.

0:58:56.440 --> 0:58:58.760
<v Speaker 1>So we're gonna have to cut part one right here,

0:58:58.920 --> 0:59:01.640
<v Speaker 1>but come back can join us on Thursday for the

0:59:01.680 --> 0:59:05.120
<v Speaker 1>continuation of our discussion in Art two. In the meantime,

0:59:05.200 --> 0:59:06.720
<v Speaker 1>if you would like to check out other episodes of

0:59:06.760 --> 0:59:08.400
<v Speaker 1>Stuff to Blow your mind, you know, where to find

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0:59:18.280 --> 0:59:21.640
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0:59:26.880 --> 0:59:29.160
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