1
00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:17,320
Speaker 1: I need to tell you guys something just between us,

2
00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,000
Speaker 1: keep between us. I feel like I can confide in you.

3
00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:22,239
Speaker 1: You know you can confide in me. What I want

4
00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:26,159
Speaker 1: to tell you is, I don't know what day of

5
00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:30,320
Speaker 1: the week it is. And I can repeat this admission

6
00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:32,680
Speaker 1: and have been able to repeat this admission every day

7
00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:34,920
Speaker 1: for about the past two weeks. What we do to

8
00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:38,800
Speaker 1: ourselves in American society, not even sporting society, just American

9
00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:40,720
Speaker 1: society in the month of December.

10
00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:42,440
Speaker 2: Is festive but also cruel.

11
00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:44,800
Speaker 1: So I mean, I had a buddy of mine text

12
00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:47,319
Speaker 1: me two days ago and I asked him, you want

13
00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:48,760
Speaker 1: to go get lunch? He said, I'm at work and

14
00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:52,680
Speaker 1: I said, why, Oh, it's Friday. I don't know. I

15
00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:55,120
Speaker 1: know it's Sunday. But even now, we're starting the show early.

16
00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:57,520
Speaker 1: If you're watching the replay, that doesn't matter. But if

17
00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:00,680
Speaker 1: you're watching live, thank you, because we're on like what

18
00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:04,400
Speaker 1: colin eight hours before we normally would be. We're jampacked, Hyatapa,

19
00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:08,480
Speaker 1: still illuminated downtown Nashville, Tennessee. I've got Rose Bowl travel

20
00:01:08,520 --> 00:01:11,360
Speaker 1: coming up, so we had to shift our schedule around,

21
00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:12,640
Speaker 1: and it's already been shifted around.

22
00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:13,319
Speaker 2: So you know what.

23
00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:16,600
Speaker 1: There is no design this time of the year. It

24
00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,319
Speaker 1: just comes at you. However, it comes at you immunity.

25
00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:19,920
Speaker 2: It is the.

26
00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:26,160
Speaker 1: College Football Playoff quarter Final Prediction Special Extravaganza today. And

27
00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:28,400
Speaker 1: so I've got you Rose Bull, I've got you Fiesta,

28
00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:31,400
Speaker 1: I got you Peach, I got you what's the other one,

29
00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:33,479
Speaker 1: whatever the other one is, I've got you that one too.

30
00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,080
Speaker 1: So Sugar, we're going all four of those games. I

31
00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:39,399
Speaker 1: got several different angles that I want to go at.

32
00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:43,080
Speaker 1: I think that there are some really bright blinking red

33
00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:45,000
Speaker 1: lights that, as far as I can tell, a lot

34
00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:46,560
Speaker 1: of people are missing on these games.

35
00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:47,520
Speaker 2: So I've got you winners there.

36
00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:51,440
Speaker 1: We'll pick them against the spread, the model strongly against

37
00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,360
Speaker 1: a team that it would normally be in lockstep with,

38
00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,760
Speaker 1: almost suspiciously against that team. And if you've watched for

39
00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:00,760
Speaker 1: a long time, you probably know who that is. I

40
00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:04,160
Speaker 1: got some portal stuff. All the quarterback dominoes have fallen

41
00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:06,800
Speaker 1: at least as much as we have in the portal

42
00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:07,440
Speaker 1: right now.

43
00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,040
Speaker 2: So remember the five day rule, kids, Remember the five

44
00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:11,600
Speaker 2: day rule.

45
00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,720
Speaker 1: Just because the portal's closing doesn't mean the portal's closing.

46
00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:16,840
Speaker 1: Cam Ward opted out of the second half of a

47
00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:19,440
Speaker 1: Bowl game last night. Many of you have thoughts on it.

48
00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:22,960
Speaker 1: I have thoughts on it. Didn't really frankly plan on

49
00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:24,720
Speaker 1: talking about it on the show, but so many asked

50
00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:26,400
Speaker 1: about it that I will talk about it on the show.

51
00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:27,359
Speaker 2: We're jampacked.

52
00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:30,600
Speaker 1: They're watching us in Winston Salem, North Carolina, Lulu, Florida, Buffalo,

53
00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:35,000
Speaker 1: New York, Ocean Springs, Mississippi, where I was this past week.

54
00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:41,639
Speaker 1: Ocean Springs based Saint Louis Long Beach, Biloxi. This stretch

55
00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:43,480
Speaker 1: they don't want me talking about it, but this stretch

56
00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:47,360
Speaker 1: along the Mississippi Gulf Coast probably the most underrated stretch

57
00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:51,080
Speaker 1: of land in the United States of America outside of

58
00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:52,760
Speaker 1: a couple of places in Harris County, Georgia.

59
00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:55,880
Speaker 2: So just awesome time down there.

60
00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:58,600
Speaker 1: Appreciate those folks had a lot to eat, and we

61
00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,919
Speaker 1: are paying for it dearly now. So before I begin

62
00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:04,840
Speaker 1: the show, I've got to tell you something. As I

63
00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:06,960
Speaker 1: popped the top on this zvia, you know, this is

64
00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:10,640
Speaker 1: the only snack I have on set here, but we

65
00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:15,680
Speaker 1: had a snack on TV yesterday. I'm sipping great this morning.

66
00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:17,800
Speaker 1: By the way, For those of you watching or not

67
00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:23,600
Speaker 1: watching listening, on podcasts. I've never been prouder of Cole

68
00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:25,399
Speaker 1: Kublrick in my life, and I don't like to toss

69
00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,680
Speaker 1: around compliments to him because most time he doesn't deserve him.

70
00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:31,840
Speaker 2: But yesterday was the big day for Kublic. So I

71
00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:32,480
Speaker 2: got to tell you.

72
00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:36,480
Speaker 1: Kublick's got a wife, Kublick's got a lovely wife, kids,

73
00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:38,960
Speaker 1: He played at Auburn, He's been successful, he's got a

74
00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:42,000
Speaker 1: great career. But point blank, yesterday was the most important

75
00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:45,320
Speaker 1: day of Kole Kublick's life. I texted him and I said,

76
00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:48,720
Speaker 1: your legacy will be defined by how you handle sideline

77
00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:50,960
Speaker 1: duties in the pop Dart bowl. Don't screw this up.

78
00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:54,200
Speaker 1: That's what I told him and Cublic. The thing about

79
00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:56,560
Speaker 1: him is his sense of humor is a little bit different.

80
00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:58,640
Speaker 1: For those of you who have watched him on the show,

81
00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:00,680
Speaker 1: you know, but you've never hung out with them in person.

82
00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:03,000
Speaker 1: I'm not sure that's a flex, but I can tell

83
00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,080
Speaker 1: you I've hung out with him in person, and Cuba

84
00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:06,720
Speaker 1: has got the same look on his face if he's

85
00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,160
Speaker 1: at a Shane Gillis stand up special as he does

86
00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:10,880
Speaker 1: if he watches a guy get hit by a bus

87
00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:14,560
Speaker 1: on the street. It's just this face right here. Only

88
00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:18,279
Speaker 1: if he's laughing, it's this and this, So I don't

89
00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,239
Speaker 1: really know how he's going to handle this. He leaned

90
00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:22,320
Speaker 1: into it. I got to tell you, I've never been

91
00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:25,440
Speaker 1: more proud of our guy. I have to take some

92
00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,960
Speaker 1: credit here, obviously, because I don't think anyone can deny

93
00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:30,920
Speaker 1: that we have brought him out of his shell this

94
00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:34,640
Speaker 1: year and now it led to yesterday. And if you're watching,

95
00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,560
Speaker 1: you know, if you watch the game, you know, if

96
00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,240
Speaker 1: you're listening on podcast, I can't do this service. It's

97
00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:42,400
Speaker 1: Cublic dressed up as a pop tart. I can't do

98
00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:44,640
Speaker 1: that service. You just got to go find the replay

99
00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,800
Speaker 1: if you didn't watch. I saw Matt Berry, who I

100
00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:51,080
Speaker 1: consider a friend of the program, tweeting out I hope

101
00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:54,960
Speaker 1: all the pop tart festivities are done today, Judas. That's

102
00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,640
Speaker 1: the only person who would say something like that, Judas.

103
00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:00,840
Speaker 1: These people did really well yesterday, but cub Cublic was

104
00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,640
Speaker 1: the shining star in a galaxy of them. So we

105
00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,080
Speaker 1: are so proud of him. He called me at eleven

106
00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:08,760
Speaker 1: thirty four pm last night. I was already in bed.

107
00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,480
Speaker 1: I have no clue what he wanted. Probably a sugar high,

108
00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:14,400
Speaker 1: figuratively and literally. I doubt he's gone to sleep. I'll

109
00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:16,640
Speaker 1: talk to him at some point today, but I just

110
00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,240
Speaker 1: want to admit publicly, probably what I won't admit to

111
00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:21,599
Speaker 1: his face, and that is we're really proud of him,

112
00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:24,279
Speaker 1: one of ours, one of our own. We're really proud

113
00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:26,920
Speaker 1: of him. Okay, let's dive into the show. We got

114
00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:32,280
Speaker 1: a lot to get to. We are jam packed Oregon,

115
00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,680
Speaker 1: Ohio State the Rose Bowl. That's the game I'm going to.

116
00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:37,479
Speaker 1: We will be out in Pasadena, will be on the

117
00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:39,720
Speaker 1: sidelines for this game. Unbelievable.

118
00:05:39,880 --> 00:05:42,120
Speaker 2: I grew up in rural Georgia. I have as much

119
00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:45,000
Speaker 2: reference for the Rose Bowl venue as anybody that grew

120
00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:46,839
Speaker 2: up on the West Coast as anybody who grew up

121
00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:47,440
Speaker 2: in the Big Ten.

122
00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:49,279
Speaker 1: I just do I get it. You don't have to

123
00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:51,400
Speaker 1: explain the Rose bol to me. I understand it. I

124
00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,720
Speaker 1: understand the historical tie. This is historical Pac Ten versus

125
00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:56,640
Speaker 1: Big Ten. And even though they're in the same conference.

126
00:05:56,680 --> 00:06:00,320
Speaker 1: Now we got it. We got what we want, for

127
00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:02,719
Speaker 1: all intents and purposes, be the national title game. We

128
00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:04,760
Speaker 1: don't know that, but there is a school of thought

129
00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:06,560
Speaker 1: out there that these are the two best teams in

130
00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:09,000
Speaker 1: the country, and due to the jacked up nature of

131
00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:13,080
Speaker 1: the college football playoff format this year, at least we're

132
00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:14,320
Speaker 1: seeing them in the quarterfinals.

133
00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:16,039
Speaker 2: You know what, whatever, I'm gonna enjoy it.

134
00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:18,960
Speaker 1: So this is New Year's Day, It's in its traditional

135
00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:23,279
Speaker 1: five o'clock Eastern two o'clock Pacific kickoff. I am checking

136
00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,480
Speaker 1: the weather at Payton State. Forecast right now is we're

137
00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:30,600
Speaker 1: gonna get ourselves a nice low seventies, mostly clear day,

138
00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:34,320
Speaker 1: just enough cloud cover for a little sunset filtration.

139
00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:35,960
Speaker 2: It's great, It's wonderful.

140
00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:39,200
Speaker 1: This was a five Chalai Classic when these teams played

141
00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:41,560
Speaker 1: earlier this year. We were at that game as well.

142
00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:43,520
Speaker 1: It was in Eugene. It was awesome, and I think

143
00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:46,200
Speaker 1: thirty two to thirty one was the final. So what

144
00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,200
Speaker 1: do we see here? Well, we talk about the freeze

145
00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:52,599
Speaker 1: point a lot on the show. Of course, the freeze

146
00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:54,840
Speaker 1: point is a very familiar theme with teams like these

147
00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,400
Speaker 1: because these are to maybe the best teams in the country,

148
00:06:57,640 --> 00:06:59,800
Speaker 1: so there aren't many teams that can hang with them.

149
00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:02,520
Speaker 1: The whole concept of the freeze point is if you

150
00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:04,320
Speaker 1: can't get down to thirty two degrees, then you're not

151
00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:07,960
Speaker 1: gonna freeze, and most of these teams figuratively cannot meet

152
00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:11,200
Speaker 1: the freeze point against Ohio State and Oregon, but they

153
00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:13,600
Speaker 1: meet each other's freeze points. So you got to be

154
00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,560
Speaker 1: really careful in games like these. When you look at

155
00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:20,080
Speaker 1: Ohio State versus everyone else this year, it doesn't matter

156
00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:23,840
Speaker 1: so much, not because those games didn't happen, but because

157
00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:26,600
Speaker 1: the game against Oregon will be different, just like the

158
00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:29,320
Speaker 1: first one was different. And I don't say that disrespectfully

159
00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:32,040
Speaker 1: to Ohio State because the same thing applies to Oregon.

160
00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:35,240
Speaker 1: Ohio State and Oregon can do things to each other

161
00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:39,120
Speaker 1: that no other team in the country is probably capable

162
00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:41,440
Speaker 1: of doing to them. But it's especially a key for

163
00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:47,040
Speaker 1: Oregon because they're the only team to score seventeen plus

164
00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:50,320
Speaker 1: on Ohio State. Every other team scored seventeen or less.

165
00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:53,280
Speaker 1: Oregon hung thirty two on them the first time due

166
00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:57,400
Speaker 1: to athletes, due to matchups, and due to precision.

167
00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:00,000
Speaker 2: You remember Evan Stewart going off in this game.

168
00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:04,080
Speaker 1: Uh seven catches, one forty nine tesz Johnson and him

169
00:08:04,080 --> 00:08:07,080
Speaker 1: combined for fourteen for two twenty four two touchdowns.

170
00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:09,720
Speaker 2: They had six explosive passes in this game.

171
00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:12,680
Speaker 1: That accounts for a quarter of that stat given up

172
00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:18,440
Speaker 1: all year by Ohio State. So the precision point, the

173
00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:21,080
Speaker 1: precision piece, if you will. To me, that's the most

174
00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:24,400
Speaker 1: important because if you watch Dylan Gabriel all year, if

175
00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:26,760
Speaker 1: you watch this Oregon offense all year, but you watch them,

176
00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:31,080
Speaker 1: especially against Ohio State, very rarely is a guy just

177
00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:35,679
Speaker 1: running free. It's precision. Everything is just boom boom boom.

178
00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:39,360
Speaker 1: It's timing, it's rhythm, it's pois, it's precision. And that's

179
00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:41,840
Speaker 1: the benefit of having a guy like Dylan Gabriel. And

180
00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:43,760
Speaker 1: you can look at it going into a game in

181
00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:45,439
Speaker 1: a rematch and say, oh, we got to shut him

182
00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:48,079
Speaker 1: down foolishly, or you can look at it and say, well,

183
00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:50,680
Speaker 1: we understand you don't shut a guy like that down.

184
00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:54,480
Speaker 1: We can limit him, we can fluster him, we can

185
00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:56,920
Speaker 1: maybe make him do what we want him to do,

186
00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,800
Speaker 1: but we're not gonna We're gonna shut him down. Nor

187
00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:02,200
Speaker 1: is Oregon gonna shut down Will Howard. So that's the

188
00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:04,600
Speaker 1: other part of this. The quarterback playing this game the

189
00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:08,480
Speaker 1: first time, I think you remember Gabriel. Do you remember

190
00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:12,679
Speaker 1: Will Howard? Because up until about five minutes ago against Tennessee,

191
00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,120
Speaker 1: the only other three hundred yard passing performance he had

192
00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:19,240
Speaker 1: had this year was against Oregon. They both played exceptional ball.

193
00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:22,760
Speaker 1: Both teams may have played their best game to date

194
00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:25,160
Speaker 1: in the game they played against each other. So if

195
00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:27,480
Speaker 1: we get a repeat of that, could be another five

196
00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,400
Speaker 1: Chili classic, could be an instant classic.

197
00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:32,280
Speaker 2: But here's the real key. I don't think you'll shut

198
00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:33,040
Speaker 2: Will Howard down.

199
00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:35,840
Speaker 1: I especially think the juice that they've got to be

200
00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,440
Speaker 1: feeling as a team and as a program coming off

201
00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:40,840
Speaker 1: the Tennessee game and the way they chose to attack

202
00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:43,839
Speaker 1: Tennessee being the total antithesis of the way they went

203
00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:46,600
Speaker 1: about it against Michigan has got to have them feeling

204
00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:50,320
Speaker 1: really good. But that's not the key to me. The

205
00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,679
Speaker 1: key to me is, I know Will Howard will have

206
00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:54,880
Speaker 1: success throwing the ball.

207
00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:56,080
Speaker 2: I know that.

208
00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,480
Speaker 1: I think I know that at least if he doesn't,

209
00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:00,960
Speaker 1: it would surprise me. I'll put it that way. That

210
00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,600
Speaker 1: wasn't what cost Ohio State the first time around. What

211
00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:06,480
Speaker 1: cost Ohio State. I'm standing right there on the field

212
00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:08,280
Speaker 1: watching them run for one to twenty two in the

213
00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:11,679
Speaker 1: first half, and you think what they got really geared up,

214
00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:13,960
Speaker 1: It's going to be a downhill assault in the second

215
00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:18,120
Speaker 1: half nineteen yards rushing in the second half against Oregon.

216
00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:20,199
Speaker 1: And it's not that Oregon was up two or three

217
00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:22,040
Speaker 1: scores and they were playing catch up. This was back

218
00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,880
Speaker 1: and forth, one possession leads either way the whole game.

219
00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:29,080
Speaker 1: I've got in my hand a piece of paper that

220
00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,440
Speaker 1: tells me what teams have done against Oregon this year.

221
00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:35,720
Speaker 1: See Ohio State's been pretty shut down defensively. Outside of

222
00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:39,520
Speaker 1: playing Oregon, Oregon's giving up some points. They've faced three

223
00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:42,760
Speaker 1: college football playoff teams this year. They gave up thirty

224
00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:45,360
Speaker 1: four to Boise, thirty one to Ohio State, thirty seven

225
00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:49,600
Speaker 1: to Penn State in the Big Ten championship game. You

226
00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:51,760
Speaker 1: can call that padlock stat if you want to.

227
00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:52,240
Speaker 2: I don't.

228
00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:58,520
Speaker 1: Here is the more interesting slash concerning number rush yards

229
00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:01,480
Speaker 1: per game. In those three matchups, they gave up two

230
00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:06,079
Speaker 1: hundred and eighteen on the ground. Oregon has averaged allowing

231
00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:09,319
Speaker 1: over two hundred and fifteen rushing yards against the college

232
00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:11,880
Speaker 1: football playoff teams that they faced this year, which is

233
00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:16,160
Speaker 1: important because against all the other competition, ninety eight point five.

234
00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:19,680
Speaker 1: So when they face legitimate teams, when they face those

235
00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:22,720
Speaker 1: teams that meet the freeze point in terms of rushing attacks,

236
00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,120
Speaker 1: they really meet it against Oregon. You can run the

237
00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:27,800
Speaker 1: ball against Organ, but there's a reason Organ's undefeated because

238
00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:29,720
Speaker 1: it's not one thing and one thing only that you

239
00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:33,240
Speaker 1: have to do to beat them. Ohio State, here's the issue.

240
00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:37,000
Speaker 1: Last time, it's kind of an either or defensively, and

241
00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,000
Speaker 1: I think this will track in this game as well.

242
00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:41,680
Speaker 1: I think there's a ton of carryover from the last

243
00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:45,160
Speaker 1: game to this game. I feel like Ohio State's got

244
00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,199
Speaker 1: to get one of the other. See last game they

245
00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:50,120
Speaker 1: did not get to Gabriel, but they also didn't limit

246
00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:53,839
Speaker 1: explosive plays. You may think, okay, conventional wisdom if you've

247
00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:57,000
Speaker 1: got an elite defense is you send the house and

248
00:11:57,040 --> 00:11:59,480
Speaker 1: you may expose yourself to some big plays. But the

249
00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:02,000
Speaker 1: trade off is what the trade offs. You get to

250
00:12:02,040 --> 00:12:05,280
Speaker 1: the quarterback, so you affect him, maybe you force turnovers,

251
00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:07,320
Speaker 1: and in the end you don't care that you gave

252
00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,120
Speaker 1: up a couple of explosive plays because in the aggregate,

253
00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,000
Speaker 1: the turnovers, the pressure, the third lungs you forced, they

254
00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:15,920
Speaker 1: were enough to where with your own scoring potential it

255
00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:18,160
Speaker 1: tilted the game in your favor. Well, last time they

256
00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,840
Speaker 1: played Oregon, they didn't get to Gabriel. But also Oregon

257
00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:25,640
Speaker 1: had six scoring drives, and four of those six scoring

258
00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:29,040
Speaker 1: drives were five plays or less. So Gabriel stays clean

259
00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:32,000
Speaker 1: and they still throw the ball down the field, and

260
00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:35,000
Speaker 1: they still hit explosive plays. That's the stuff that can't happen.

261
00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:37,640
Speaker 1: You don't have to shut them down. You don't even

262
00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:40,920
Speaker 1: have to completely eliminate the explosive play. But man, you

263
00:12:41,000 --> 00:12:43,160
Speaker 1: got to get more pressure on him than you did

264
00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,800
Speaker 1: last time, or if you don't, you've got to make

265
00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,400
Speaker 1: them march down the field. Now, my assumption here, and

266
00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:50,120
Speaker 1: this is not getting in the head of Jim Knowles

267
00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:52,360
Speaker 1: a whole heck of a lot, But my assumption is

268
00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:55,400
Speaker 1: they don't look at the matchup and say, we're gonna

269
00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:57,280
Speaker 1: pressure Dyllan Gabriel. We're gonna get him on the ground

270
00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:58,800
Speaker 1: four or five times. We're gonna do to him what

271
00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:00,920
Speaker 1: George has done to Quinn you were. I don't think

272
00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:04,040
Speaker 1: they'll do that because I think they understand how tough.

273
00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:06,160
Speaker 2: A task that is. Gabriel's really elusive.

274
00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:08,760
Speaker 1: He is really good at moving in the pocket and

275
00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:12,800
Speaker 1: moving the launch point in extending plays. Your best bet

276
00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:15,200
Speaker 1: is to look across the field and say, if you're

277
00:13:15,240 --> 00:13:18,440
Speaker 1: going to score. You're gonna do it in the eight, ten,

278
00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:23,280
Speaker 1: twelve play variety instead of the three, five, six play variety.

279
00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,040
Speaker 1: And if Oregon does that, you know, if they put

280
00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:30,880
Speaker 1: together that lethal and methodical an offensive performance against you,

281
00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:32,880
Speaker 1: well they were the better team and you tip your cap.

282
00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:35,079
Speaker 2: But you're Ohio State. You got the best.

283
00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:37,080
Speaker 1: Defense in the country, so you don't think they can

284
00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:40,840
Speaker 1: do it. That's exactly how you should feel. Think about

285
00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,880
Speaker 1: the coaching staffs here said this the first time, and

286
00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:46,960
Speaker 1: I'll say it again because anybody I talked to in

287
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:51,199
Speaker 1: the coaching world about this matchup said, the first time around,

288
00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:56,920
Speaker 1: Ryan Day and Jim Knowles and Chip Kelly should be

289
00:13:56,920 --> 00:14:01,160
Speaker 1: an advantage over Dan Lanning and will Stein and Tadjhluppoy.

290
00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:04,640
Speaker 1: Now they said that the first time around, And candidly

291
00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:05,920
Speaker 1: I thought Oregon out.

292
00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:07,400
Speaker 2: Coached to Ohio State the first time around.

293
00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:09,800
Speaker 1: I always hesitate to say that because you can't really know,

294
00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:12,960
Speaker 1: so on the very surface, it felt like that the

295
00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:16,720
Speaker 1: first time around. The people behind the scenes are saying

296
00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:18,559
Speaker 1: the exact same thing the second time around. In fact,

297
00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:22,440
Speaker 1: they're going one better. They're saying, boy, if you're lucky enough,

298
00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:25,400
Speaker 1: can you imagine the audacity. If you're lucky enough to

299
00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:29,280
Speaker 1: get them one time, that even lessens your chances more

300
00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:33,080
Speaker 1: that your big three are gonna match and exceed they're

301
00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:34,840
Speaker 1: big three the second time around. By the way, the

302
00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:38,400
Speaker 1: thinking there's just experience. Coaches are pretty old school, and

303
00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:41,200
Speaker 1: they're thought about what wins in the postseason players first

304
00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:41,800
Speaker 1: and foremost.

305
00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:43,200
Speaker 2: But they both got players.

306
00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:45,680
Speaker 1: So then if you're looking at staffs and caliber and

307
00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:49,680
Speaker 1: quality of staff, there's just a whole lot more length

308
00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:52,320
Speaker 1: of tooth. As me Mal would say over on that

309
00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:54,600
Speaker 1: Ohio State sideline. I mean, Chip Kelly's been a head

310
00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:57,840
Speaker 1: coach longer than Stein and Lupoi have been coordinators by

311
00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:00,480
Speaker 1: a mile. And Dan Lanning is the even still a

312
00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:04,600
Speaker 1: relatively young coach. So here is my other wild card

313
00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:06,840
Speaker 1: before we take a look at what the model thinks.

314
00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:10,560
Speaker 1: Here's my other wild card in this game. What is

315
00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:13,760
Speaker 1: the lasting impression in our minds? You don't remember anything

316
00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,640
Speaker 1: about Oregon because it feels like nine years since Oregon's played.

317
00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:21,960
Speaker 1: Your lasting memory of Ohio State is pretty fresh, and

318
00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:24,760
Speaker 1: it's frozen because they played it in like twenty degree conditions,

319
00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:28,280
Speaker 1: And that is them bombing away on Tennessee and coming

320
00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,040
Speaker 1: off the Michigan game and how toxic it was, and

321
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:33,480
Speaker 1: they opened that offensive up, that OFFENSI up.

322
00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:34,720
Speaker 2: They let the horses run.

323
00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:36,840
Speaker 1: They threw it to Jeremiah Smith early and off, and

324
00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:38,000
Speaker 1: he took over the game.

325
00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:39,680
Speaker 2: At Buka was there for him.

326
00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:43,200
Speaker 1: Will Howard felt himself like Will Howard probably hasn't felt

327
00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:47,240
Speaker 1: all year. That's the lasting impression. I'll tell you what

328
00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:49,720
Speaker 1: the best defensive minds in the country can do. If

329
00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:54,680
Speaker 1: they're next up and you play over your skis offensively,

330
00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:57,760
Speaker 1: especially throwing the ball right before you play them. What

331
00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:02,800
Speaker 1: you'll find throughout history is sometimes you assume that that

332
00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:05,920
Speaker 1: offense will tilt on you, a little bit, tilting out

333
00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:09,600
Speaker 1: of confidence, tilting because they may be a little more

334
00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:12,320
Speaker 1: top heavy than they should be. They may lean into

335
00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:14,320
Speaker 1: the pass a little bit more than they should and

336
00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:18,680
Speaker 1: you think, to yourself, we're good enough, we're skilled enough,

337
00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:22,280
Speaker 1: and we're tactical enough to where might we want to

338
00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:24,720
Speaker 1: lay back and let them feel that way about themselves?

339
00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:27,400
Speaker 1: Might we want to let them throw on the blinders

340
00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:30,200
Speaker 1: like a horse and a horse race horse throws on

341
00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:32,320
Speaker 1: the blinders. They don't see to their left or right

342
00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,480
Speaker 1: now the horse is not supposed to see to his

343
00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 1: left or right.

344
00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:37,720
Speaker 2: People are, quarterbacks are.

345
00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:41,360
Speaker 1: But sometimes if you get that locked in and you're

346
00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,880
Speaker 1: that sure that you're going to do something well against

347
00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:48,240
Speaker 1: the defense, that defense, especially if it's.

348
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,560
Speaker 2: Got maybe like a Dan Lanning sort of mind.

349
00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:52,560
Speaker 1: To it, it can take advantage of that and you

350
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:55,240
Speaker 1: can lean and lean and lean, and you tip and

351
00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:57,720
Speaker 1: you end up playing right into their hands. I still

352
00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:00,200
Speaker 1: think the run game it's what wins the game for

353
00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:02,240
Speaker 1: Ohio State. If it does win it, they're going to

354
00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:04,320
Speaker 1: get theirs through the air. I also think they can

355
00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:06,560
Speaker 1: lose the game through the air. Let's take a look

356
00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:08,719
Speaker 1: at what the model thinks. Let's take a look at

357
00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:12,160
Speaker 1: what our friends over at FanDuel have right now. They've

358
00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:15,320
Speaker 1: got Ohio State minus two and a half. The model

359
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,520
Speaker 1: is right out of pick them, So we think there's

360
00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:23,880
Speaker 1: a little smidge of inflated value on Ohio State right now.

361
00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,639
Speaker 1: That's just a byproduct of the last game. If I

362
00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:28,920
Speaker 1: ran a sportsbook, I'd put the exact same number up,

363
00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:30,760
Speaker 1: because if I put pick them up, I would get

364
00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:34,159
Speaker 1: drowned in Ohio State money. I changed my mind on

365
00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:37,320
Speaker 1: how I think this game's going to go ironically after

366
00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:42,479
Speaker 1: the Ohio State Tennessee game. I believe that the result

367
00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,359
Speaker 1: you see in the Rose Bowl will make you look

368
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:49,719
Speaker 1: and say, how did it shift that radically? Or it

369
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 1: may make you say, how does an Ohio State team

370
00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:55,639
Speaker 1: that did what they did to Tennessee get beat? Well,

371
00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:58,720
Speaker 1: it's because you get different versions of a team every week.

372
00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:01,040
Speaker 1: But I don't think Ohio State's to play poorly at all.

373
00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:03,280
Speaker 1: I think They're going to play phenomenally. I just think

374
00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:06,359
Speaker 1: Oregon's that good. So I am slightly leaning Oregon to

375
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,360
Speaker 1: win this game. They would cover in the aggregate, and

376
00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:13,160
Speaker 1: I'm not necessarily betting it because I think there's better

377
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,560
Speaker 1: value out there. But I think Dan Lanning and Oregon,

378
00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:19,000
Speaker 1: with more weeks to prepare, are going to sit out

379
00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:22,720
Speaker 1: there bring them into Pasadena. Think one or two quarterback

380
00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,360
Speaker 1: mistakes on the side of Ohio State ends up being

381
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:26,320
Speaker 1: the difference in the game.

382
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:27,639
Speaker 2: Academy Sports and.

383
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:30,240
Speaker 1: Outdoors would like me to tell you that if you

384
00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:34,000
Speaker 1: are an Ohio State fan and you're aggravated with that pick,

385
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:38,040
Speaker 1: just forget it ever happened. And Ohio State fans need

386
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,200
Speaker 1: to know that. Even if I don't sound like your

387
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,679
Speaker 1: friend right now, our folks at Academy are still your friends.

388
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:45,720
Speaker 1: They've still got your tailgating gear.

389
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:47,159
Speaker 2: You guys ever been to Pasadena?

390
00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:50,280
Speaker 1: Actually probably most of you have because you're that blessed

391
00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:52,359
Speaker 1: a fan base. But even if you're going out there

392
00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:54,440
Speaker 1: and you've been there before, if you need to restock up,

393
00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:57,959
Speaker 1: then Academy is your place. And I would also advise

394
00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:00,880
Speaker 1: you Academy dot Com can come through pension and listen.

395
00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:02,639
Speaker 1: There may be a half decent chance I'm wrong on

396
00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,000
Speaker 1: my prediction, and there may be a half decent chance

397
00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:07,159
Speaker 1: that you guys are moving on to a semi final.

398
00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:09,160
Speaker 2: And although this read is.

399
00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:11,520
Speaker 1: Not supposed to be targeted at Ohio State, apparently it

400
00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:14,040
Speaker 1: is today. You guys can go anytime you want to

401
00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:18,320
Speaker 1: in person, which I recommend, or online Academy dot com

402
00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:21,399
Speaker 1: they have got all of the tailgating hook up. Also,

403
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,719
Speaker 1: just remember, some of you drop the ball. Let's call

404
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,359
Speaker 1: it like it is. Okay, it is now December twenty ninth.

405
00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:29,600
Speaker 1: Some of you who dropped the ball, some of you

406
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:37,400
Speaker 1: are on the outs with your relatives, family members, loved ones, friends. Formerly,

407
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,160
Speaker 1: it's nothing that a trip to Academy Sports and Outdoors

408
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:41,640
Speaker 1: can't fix.

409
00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:43,359
Speaker 2: I don't want this for you. I don't want this

410
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:44,040
Speaker 2: for you. Guys.

411
00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:47,600
Speaker 1: There's no reason that January gets ruined because you drop

412
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,560
Speaker 1: the ball in late December. Look how much Cublic redeemed

413
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:52,679
Speaker 1: himself by throwing on the pop tart outfit. You can

414
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,240
Speaker 1: do the same in your life by making up for

415
00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:59,000
Speaker 1: and atoning for your Christmas failures by going to Academy

416
00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:01,600
Speaker 1: Sports and outdoors. If you really want to be big brained,

417
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:03,359
Speaker 1: you can just go there and start gearing up for

418
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:07,000
Speaker 1: next year. That is probably a bridge too far for

419
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 1: someone like me, but for those of you who are

420
00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:11,920
Speaker 1: forward thinking, it's not the worst idea in the world.

421
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:13,080
Speaker 2: All right, let's roll on.

422
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,640
Speaker 1: How about this live audience we have on a day

423
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:19,960
Speaker 1: where we're doing the show at a totally abnormal hour,

424
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:23,000
Speaker 1: so much so that I have coffee along with the

425
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:27,360
Speaker 1: ZV I have coffee on set. Unlike the ZVA, the coffee,

426
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 1: while also zero sugar, is in a totally nondescript cup.

427
00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:36,119
Speaker 1: Listen to this. You can tell nothing about that cup

428
00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:39,000
Speaker 1: based on what it looks like or what it sounds like.

429
00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 2: But I will tell you this.

430
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 1: This next game was the one we were going to

431
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:44,399
Speaker 1: if we didn't go to the Rose Bowl. Here we

432
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:47,920
Speaker 1: go Notre Dame, Georgia, New Year's Day Sugar Bowl, eight

433
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:50,320
Speaker 1: forty five pm Eastern Time.

434
00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:52,680
Speaker 2: Kick off. A lot of you pee, Paul, I'm looking

435
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 2: at you.

436
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:56,439
Speaker 1: You'll have to watch Sports Center the next morning or

437
00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,399
Speaker 1: CBS Sports HQ the next morning to get your final score.

438
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:03,040
Speaker 1: McElroy and McDonogh on the call. Here gonna be a

439
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 1: good one, gonna be a low scoring. The total at

440
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,760
Speaker 1: FanDuel right now forty four and a half. So Notre Dame.

441
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:13,920
Speaker 1: Notre Dame is in a position where they could get

442
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 1: the biggest win under Marcus Freeman. Thus far, I feel

443
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:19,880
Speaker 1: that way about this game. I didn't feel that way

444
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:23,240
Speaker 1: about the Indiana game, although it may classify as that.

445
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 1: This right here is where you really test yourself. They

446
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:30,639
Speaker 1: run the ball, they play great defense. They are excellent

447
00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:33,240
Speaker 1: in turnover margin. I think they're third in the country,

448
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,760
Speaker 1: their first in takeaways. Georgia is like middle of the

449
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:39,560
Speaker 1: pack in those categories. And you also know, or should

450
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:43,440
Speaker 1: know by now, that Carson Beck's gone, he's hurt, he's

451
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,160
Speaker 1: done for the year. He has declared for the NFL Draft,

452
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:49,040
Speaker 1: and so it is Gunner Stockton Georgia has traded in

453
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 1: their Lamborghini for an old F one P fifty. I'm

454
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,679
Speaker 1: not making that up. That's what those guys drive, respectively.

455
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,160
Speaker 1: I have no idea what Riley Leonard drives, and it's

456
00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:02,200
Speaker 1: probably not important for the sake of a preview video.

457
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:04,800
Speaker 1: But Carson Beck is hurt and he's out, and that's

458
00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:07,439
Speaker 1: a big injury. I am of the opinion that Riley

459
00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:09,479
Speaker 1: Mills being out for Notre Dame is just as big

460
00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:12,119
Speaker 1: an injury. I had a little back and forth, a

461
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 1: little spat, if you will, with one of my Notre

462
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:17,439
Speaker 1: Dame brethren, believe it or not, of which I have several,

463
00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:19,920
Speaker 1: and I said that to him and he said, bro,

464
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 1: you're just hating on Notre Dame.

465
00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:22,399
Speaker 2: And I said, first off, you got a people.

466
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 1: People got to stop thinking that every time someone offers

467
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:27,080
Speaker 1: a critique it's hating on Notre Dame.

468
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:28,640
Speaker 2: I don't hate on Notre Dame.

469
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 1: I actually get criticized for being a Notre Dame homer

470
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,359
Speaker 1: in the South, just so you guys know. But the

471
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,119
Speaker 1: Riley Mills injury, I told him, you can't be pumping

472
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:39,119
Speaker 1: up this dude all year and rightly telling me how

473
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,639
Speaker 1: great he is only for you to discount the impact

474
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:42,760
Speaker 1: of the injury when he's gone.

475
00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 2: He said, oh, that's a fair point. No he didn't.

476
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 1: He still called me stupid, and that's why we haven't

477
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:51,760
Speaker 1: spoken since then. The quarterback dynamic here for Georgia is

478
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 1: a layered dynamic.

479
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:53,920
Speaker 2: Okay, so.

480
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 1: If you just passively watch college football like the casual

481
00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:02,000
Speaker 1: college football fan and says, Georgia was a favorite in

482
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:04,920
Speaker 1: the preseason because of why because Carson Beck came back.

483
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 2: Carson Beck was the preseason heigh has been favorite.

484
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:11,359
Speaker 1: He was the favorite to be the top overall drafted quarterback,

485
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 1: et cetera, et cetera.

486
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 2: So standard protocol.

487
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 1: If you lose a guy like that and you're in

488
00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:21,200
Speaker 1: the playoffs, you're at a big disadvantage. That's a fair

489
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 1: way to think. It may be the way to think.

490
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 1: I think it's a little more layer than that. Georgia

491
00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:30,040
Speaker 1: had become quarterback centric under Carson Beck. At no point

492
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 1: should Georgia's program be quarterback centric, because Georgia can acquire

493
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:39,200
Speaker 1: talent too well to make themselves quarterback centric. And what

494
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:42,200
Speaker 1: I mean is, unlike in the NFL, where the quarterback

495
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 1: is the entire franchise, in college football, talent acquisitions different.

496
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 1: So in college football programs like Georgia and there are

497
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,239
Speaker 1: only a few of them, can stack a whole lot

498
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:55,760
Speaker 1: more talent, even in the portal era. Then your run

499
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,480
Speaker 1: of the mill, mid tier power forward team, which means

500
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:04,720
Speaker 1: if you make your off quarterback centric, you just disproportionately

501
00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:08,199
Speaker 1: enhance the risk of one injury derailing your season. And

502
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:10,679
Speaker 1: there's no excuse for a Georgia to be in that

503
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:11,359
Speaker 1: kind of position.

504
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 2: Wake Forest.

505
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, if they get a star quarterback Miami this year

506
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 1: cam Ward without him, big difference. Georgia shouldn't be that

507
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:22,720
Speaker 1: way now, have they or will they be that way? Well,

508
00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 1: we have a very small sample size. So Carson Beck

509
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 1: goes down at halftime Georgia's trailing to Texas, and in

510
00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:31,919
Speaker 1: a very small sample size, Gunner Stockton leads Georgia in

511
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:34,400
Speaker 1: ay come from behind win against Texas.

512
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 2: What can we make of that.

513
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:41,440
Speaker 1: In terms of extrapolating his stat categories and stat line,

514
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 1: Maybe not a whole lot the intangibles. What I took

515
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,080
Speaker 1: away I strongly encourage you to go back and watch

516
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:48,880
Speaker 1: that game. Don't look at the box score. That does

517
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 1: you no good. Go back and watch the game. Watch

518
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:54,439
Speaker 1: the body language, watch the synergy, watch the energy. This

519
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:55,679
Speaker 1: is stuff you don't have to know a whole lot

520
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 1: about X's nose to pick up on. By the way,

521
00:24:57,760 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 1: I don't care if you've never watched football, if you

522
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:02,840
Speaker 1: know an interaction and you know what you feel like

523
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,120
Speaker 1: when you're around someone who fires you up and who

524
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 1: energizes you versus someone who doesn't bring that out in

525
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 1: you watch the Georgia team and how they respond to

526
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,760
Speaker 1: the second best quarterback on the roster versus how they

527
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:17,119
Speaker 1: played when the first best quarterback on the roster was

528
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:18,679
Speaker 1: on the field. It is not up to me to

529
00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:21,680
Speaker 1: diagnose that. I'm just looking at it observationally and telling

530
00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:23,760
Speaker 1: you what I see. You can't deny that. By the way,

531
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 1: if you watch that now, that doesn't mean you win.

532
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 1: Notre Dame could paste you by twenty five. But I

533
00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 1: do think it's important to note. So the thing that

534
00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:36,360
Speaker 1: we get here is the quarterback run. We certainly trade

535
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 1: off arm talent Gunnerstockton I don't think can throw the

536
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 1: ball like Carson beck Camp, and he had an ugly

537
00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 1: interception against Texas in that limited sample size.

538
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:47,400
Speaker 2: What we do gets the quarterback run.

539
00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:50,080
Speaker 1: Now, The reason I mentioned that is because I think

540
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: Georgia was at their best offensively this year.

541
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 2: When they had that element to their offense.

542
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 1: Now it was Carson Beck who did it, but the

543
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 1: Tennessee game, I don't think it's any coincidence that was

544
00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:02,680
Speaker 1: their best passing game. Number one cause Tennessee secondary leaves

545
00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,359
Speaker 1: a lot to be desired. But number two because Carson

546
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 1: Beck ran the ball that day as well. Gunner Stockton's

547
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 1: got no problem doing that, Like Gunner Stockton will run

548
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:11,359
Speaker 1: into a freight train.

549
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 2: I know because he did it.

550
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 1: It was a Texas defensive back, you know, holler and

551
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:22,880
Speaker 1: chew chew in the alley, but play action working off

552
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 1: that I think could be effective here. And I think

553
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,880
Speaker 1: a healthy Trevor Etn could be effective here. So that's

554
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 1: the Georgia offensive look like. In other words, I told

555
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:34,600
Speaker 1: you it was layered. I don't think it's nearly as

556
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: detrimental as it looks. I thought Carson Beck would struggle

557
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: against Notre Dame. There was very There was no world

558
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,080
Speaker 1: to me where Georgia was going out there and hanging

559
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:45,120
Speaker 1: thirty five on Notre Dame.

560
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 2: That was never gonna happen.

561
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:47,800
Speaker 1: So this was a game that was always going to

562
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:50,440
Speaker 1: be compacted and played in the team's twenties.

563
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:55,359
Speaker 2: Ish you know my backup quarterback theory, or if you don't.

564
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 1: In college football, unlike the NFL, sometimes you lose your

565
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 1: quarterback and an old, utra talented group of players like

566
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 1: Georgia has in the aggregate can take it upon themselves

567
00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:07,680
Speaker 1: to raise their level of play to the point where

568
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 1: the cumulative effect of that is you end up playing

569
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:13,560
Speaker 1: a better version of your ball than you did with

570
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 1: the starter in.

571
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:15,359
Speaker 2: And it makes no sense.

572
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,720
Speaker 1: It shouldn't make any sense, but it's understanding human psychology

573
00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 1: and the human nature around all of this. Now with

574
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, you don't have to be psychological. You just

575
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 1: need to know they can hit a home run on

576
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 1: the ground at any point against any one.

577
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 2: I grew up in Georgia.

578
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 1: I know my friends back home will listen to that,

579
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: and you will scoff at it, and you will say, okay,

580
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 1: so we did it against Indiana. Yeah, I saw that

581
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,320
Speaker 1: ninety eight yard run against Indiana. What do you do

582
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:44,919
Speaker 1: the rest of the day, Well, I got it on

583
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 1: a piece of paper here. The rest of the day

584
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,239
Speaker 1: day Notre Dame. If you take away the ninety eight

585
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,679
Speaker 1: yard run. It's always fun. Take away my best play.

586
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:54,760
Speaker 1: Don't take away your best, just take away my best.

587
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 1: What else did I do? Thirty four carries ninety five

588
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,879
Speaker 1: yards very pedestrian the rest of the day.

589
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:02,640
Speaker 2: You know what, you can't take away the big run.

590
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:04,120
Speaker 2: It counted.

591
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:08,640
Speaker 1: It wasn't an experimental play. They ran in the dark

592
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 1: during a commercial break. It counted, and it also impacted

593
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 1: the rest of the game. Okay, so Jeremiah Love rips

594
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:16,320
Speaker 1: off that ninety eight yard run. As it turns out,

595
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 1: that was probably bag game, even though we didn't know

596
00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:20,679
Speaker 1: it at the time. There will be a school of

597
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 1: thought that you'll just have to prove wrong if you're

598
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,879
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, and that will be Yeah, but what you

599
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:27,879
Speaker 1: did against Indiana is not going to work against Georgia.

600
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,280
Speaker 1: You won't do that against Georgia. Why won't they do

601
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 1: that against Georgia. This is what they can add in

602
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,680
Speaker 1: the hype video down in Athens. Jeremiah Love can run

603
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 1: it explosively against anyone, that includes Georgia. George's fifty ninth

604
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:45,640
Speaker 1: in the country and explosive runs allowed and break. I

605
00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:48,320
Speaker 1: just know some programs out there are very fond of

606
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 1: taking all the motivational meat that they can off the bone.

607
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,200
Speaker 1: That is our show, and I got no problem with it.

608
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 1: I'm happy to help wherever I can. Guys happy to help.

609
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:03,240
Speaker 1: Ripped some explosive runs against Georgia too. It's my point.

610
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 1: And this is not a ventage Georgia defense. It has

611
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 1: not been all year except they made Texas look foolish.

612
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 1: But there have been There have been teams moved the

613
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:14,760
Speaker 1: ball explosively on the ground and through the air against Georgia.

614
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 1: I think Notre Name can at least do one of those.

615
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 2: Georgia. What do they struggle with? Okay, this is where

616
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,120
Speaker 2: I disagree with many people.

617
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 1: In the past, We've seen Kirby Smart struggle against what

618
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 1: against running quarterbacks?

619
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:31,440
Speaker 2: Right, No, I disagree with that.

620
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 1: I haven't seen Kirby Smart in his defense at Georgia

621
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 1: or Alabama struggle against running quarterbacks. I've seen him struggle

622
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 1: against true dual threat quarterbacks. This year, they struggled against Milroe.

623
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 1: Milroe had one hundred and seventeen on the ground, but

624
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:47,960
Speaker 1: Milroe also threw the ball on him. They struggled against

625
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 1: Haines King one hundred and ten on the ground, but

626
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,600
Speaker 1: Haines King could also throw the ball on you presented

627
00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:55,120
Speaker 1: the threat to throw it. Jackson Dart had six yards

628
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:57,560
Speaker 1: per carry, but Jackson Dart could throw the ball on you.

629
00:29:57,560 --> 00:29:59,959
Speaker 1: You had to respect that. There was balance in hi

630
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 1: is game. This will all come down to Georgia and

631
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 1: whether they respect Riley Leonard's ability to throw the ball.

632
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 1: And there's really only one way to earn it, and

633
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 1: it's not being one hundred and first passing, which Notre

634
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:13,960
Speaker 1: Dame is right now. It's completing some balls down the

635
00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 1: field or even intermediate down the field early in the game.

636
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 1: Otherwise they'll just tee off on you. They'll clamp down.

637
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:24,280
Speaker 1: There is no one dimensional quarterback that beats Kirby Smart,

638
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: So you can't be one dimensional. That's the long and

639
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 1: short of that. You just can't be one dimensional. The

640
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 1: game script also is extremely important in this game. Game

641
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:35,280
Speaker 1: script I think is and do I want to say this, Yeah,

642
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:38,680
Speaker 1: game script is as important in the Georgia Notre Dame

643
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: game as it is any of these quarterfinal games, only

644
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:46,000
Speaker 1: because of how little we've watched Notre Dame trail this year.

645
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 1: It's a huge testament to the team. It's not a weakness,

646
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 1: it's a strength that they've played ahead the whole year.

647
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:54,920
Speaker 1: But what it does is it leaves this great unknown

648
00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,200
Speaker 1: like you can convince yourself, like I have, that the

649
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:01,200
Speaker 1: Northern Illinois games a distant memory and it was week

650
00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 1: two and it has nothing to do with this game. Well,

651
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 1: the only reason that I would bring that up is

652
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 1: because that's kind of the last time I watched them

653
00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 1: trail and try and catch up and they couldn't do it. So, yes,

654
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: I agree, that's ancient history. Nothing about that game will

655
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 1: impact this game. But there's a dynamic that was present

656
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 1: in that game, and it's what if Georgia gets up

657
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:25,560
Speaker 1: fourteen to three and you're forced to throw the ball,

658
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 1: which you will be, How do you play?

659
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 2: That's an open ended question. I have seen them so

660
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:32,160
Speaker 2: rarely in that spot.

661
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,520
Speaker 1: I quite literally don't know how they play in that game.

662
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 1: I'd be uncomfortable if I'm a Notre Dame fan if

663
00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 1: they're in that position, but I would not be that

664
00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 1: uncomfortable for I was Georgia. See this is why game

665
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 1: script and start is so important. Notre Dame can't play

666
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 1: from behind, at least I view the game that way. Georgia,

667
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 1: I don't care Georgia has trailed like half a dozen

668
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:57,360
Speaker 1: times at the half in games they've won this year.

669
00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:02,200
Speaker 1: Georgia's trailed constantly. They've been very bad at starting the

670
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:04,720
Speaker 1: game strong. Now they've been great. They I didn't check

671
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 1: on this. I would imagine there aren't many better second

672
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 1: half teams in the country than Georgia this year. So

673
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:12,400
Speaker 1: the trade off to that is Notre Dame looks at

674
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:14,720
Speaker 1: that and says, but if we get up on you,

675
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 1: you haven't come from behind on a defense like ours.

676
00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 1: That is probably true. That's why we're gonna play the game.

677
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,080
Speaker 1: So Colin, let's take a look at what the model thinks.

678
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:26,800
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what FanDuel thinks. Georgia right

679
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 1: now at FanDuel is favored by one and a half.

680
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:34,760
Speaker 1: The model has it at a pick. I am gonna

681
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,600
Speaker 1: pick Georgia to win this game and cover. And I

682
00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:40,040
Speaker 1: think Georgia is in a great position.

683
00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 2: To shock a lot of people.

684
00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:44,360
Speaker 1: And I think Georgia is in position to really surprise

685
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 1: a lot of people, like they're either going to wilt

686
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:49,840
Speaker 1: and gun or Stockton can't get it done, or they're

687
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:52,640
Speaker 1: gonna have kind of the cattle prod to the side

688
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 1: of the neck of college football. Because this is where

689
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:58,680
Speaker 1: George's program has to win. It is not a singular mission.

690
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 1: It is not a star laden team. It's not a

691
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:06,960
Speaker 1: quarterback or centric team anymore. It's Georgia football has to

692
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 1: go win. And that's not what you're saying about these

693
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,280
Speaker 1: other teams. You look at Oregon, oh Dylan Gabriel, Elevan Stewart.

694
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 1: You look at Ohio State, you got several names on

695
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 1: the defensive side of the ball. You got Will Howard,

696
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 1: you got Jeremiah Smith. Likewise, with Texas, that is not

697
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:24,520
Speaker 1: how you're talking about Georgia. And you either get scared

698
00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 1: by that or you adopt the mentality that I imagine

699
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:30,200
Speaker 1: Kirby Smart and the folks in that building have and

700
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: they just relish that.

701
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,320
Speaker 2: They love that, like that's the dynamic they crave.

702
00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:37,240
Speaker 1: You go recruit all these star players, but you want

703
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 1: them to blend into the overall system. Well, here's where

704
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 1: you prove it, you know, here's where you really find

705
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:45,680
Speaker 1: out what that block G stands for. You really find

706
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:49,480
Speaker 1: out what that G means in the overall landscape. Because

707
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 1: you're in a position where people are gonna doubt you.

708
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 1: You're in a position I would imagine, I don't know

709
00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 1: what the split will be. A ton of folks will

710
00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:58,840
Speaker 1: pick Notre Dame to win this game, and I am

711
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 1: on the other side gonna pick Georgia to win this game.

712
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,640
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna believe that there's still a little something

713
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 1: to that culture dynamic, because see Notre Dame's got a

714
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,960
Speaker 1: good one too, So it's it's good on good culture wise,

715
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:13,840
Speaker 1: and a lot of these a lot of these commonalities

716
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,200
Speaker 1: in the way that they go about their business are similar.

717
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:17,799
Speaker 1: That's why I love this game. It's the one we

718
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:19,839
Speaker 1: would have gone to if we weren't at the Rose Bowl.

719
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:23,319
Speaker 1: Gimme Georgia very close to win this game.

720
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:24,840
Speaker 2: Yep.

721
00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:27,879
Speaker 1: Okay, no, no, we do disagree. I'm feeling a lot

722
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 1: of disagreement in the live chat over here. I almost

723
00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:34,360
Speaker 1: never picked Georgia. John says, let me address that, Colin,

724
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 1: you know what, hold on, don't put this in the

725
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:38,759
Speaker 1: in the clip of the video. All right, here's what

726
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:42,360
Speaker 1: happens in our world. This is not a complaint. I

727
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 1: just we have no real heart out today, so I

728
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:45,760
Speaker 1: can just go as long.

729
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 2: As I want to.

730
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 1: If you ever pick games on any kind of public platform,

731
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 1: there is this lunatic fringe, as some in our business

732
00:34:56,200 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 1: with Coffin, there's this lunatic fringe who is convinced that

733
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:01,879
Speaker 1: if you picked them to lose a game, you hate

734
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:05,880
Speaker 1: them obviously, and also you have never picked them to

735
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 1: win a game. So this year, I've dealt with it

736
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:11,359
Speaker 1: with Georgia a lot. So I picked Georgia to lose

737
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:14,359
Speaker 1: the Bama game, and I got told, of course, you're

738
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:16,719
Speaker 1: going to pick against Georgia. Well, they actually lost the game,

739
00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 1: so I was right. They didn't come back and apologize.

740
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:20,879
Speaker 1: I picked them to lose to Texas and they won.

741
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:23,920
Speaker 1: I ended up picking them to lose to Ole miss

742
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:26,840
Speaker 1: and they lost. So if you're keeping track at home

743
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:30,399
Speaker 1: through those three games, that is a sixty six point

744
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:33,920
Speaker 1: seven percent win percentage. I then picked them to beat Tennessee.

745
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 1: They won, So I was three and four and yet

746
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 1: going into the SEC Championship game where I did pick Texas,

747
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 1: I will admit it.

748
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,880
Speaker 2: I picked Texas. We were bombarded, Colin, do you remember this.

749
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:46,719
Speaker 1: We were bombarded with people claiming I hated Georgia because

750
00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:48,960
Speaker 1: I'd picked against them all year. No, I had been

751
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:51,400
Speaker 1: right most of the year, and I hadn't picked against

752
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:54,080
Speaker 1: Georgia all year, but the times I had picked against them,

753
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:56,960
Speaker 1: I'd largely been right. So now I'm dealing with it

754
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 1: with Notre Dame. That's my whole point. I'm looking at

755
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,080
Speaker 1: it in a live chat. Now I'm dealing with it

756
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:05,719
Speaker 1: with Notre Dame. It's probably people who are newer to

757
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,280
Speaker 1: the show. It's gotta be because anyone who's been around

758
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:10,959
Speaker 1: for a while and who actually knows how I feel

759
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 1: about Notre Dame would know that I have had to

760
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 1: fight with torch and pitchfork in hand against allegations of

761
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 1: Notre Dame homerism on the show. That's been a long

762
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 1: standing battle. I've had to fight on multiple fronts. I've

763
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 1: had to fight it. So I don't maybe this is.

764
00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:29,360
Speaker 2: A good thing. Maybe maybe this is going to balance

765
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:30,279
Speaker 2: the scales a little bit.

766
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:34,000
Speaker 1: I went to two quick trips yesterday quick try plural

767
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 1: of quick trip, quick tripping. I went to two quick

768
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 1: trips yesterday. I was in Sarahland, Alabama. I was in Bartow, Georgia,

769
00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 1: because I had to drive back up to Nashville yesterday.

770
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 1: And I have got to tell you something. Not only

771
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:50,000
Speaker 1: has quick trip fueled the whole New Saturday tour obviously,

772
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 1: and we thank them, thank them, thank them. But the

773
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 1: cold Brew on tap I have talked about on air,

774
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,240
Speaker 1: but I don't think we had ever showed a picture.

775
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:01,000
Speaker 1: And I'm not gonna I Colin show you the picture

776
00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 1: right now. But I put a picture on Twitter yesterday

777
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 1: at Josh pat CFB because when I stopped by that

778
00:37:06,560 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 1: Quick Trip, I went in there and sure enough, there

779
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:11,279
Speaker 1: it is. They should put like better lighting on it.

780
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:14,800
Speaker 1: It's just amazing looking. Imagine all of your favorite Colbrew

781
00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:18,399
Speaker 1: and it's on tap. You literally walk up and you

782
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,279
Speaker 1: pull the tap and you hold the cup under it.

783
00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:23,280
Speaker 1: It's none of the old school press the button stuff

784
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:26,440
Speaker 1: that's still twenty twenty three. No, this is Colbrew on tap,

785
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:32,799
Speaker 1: different flavors. All the handles are carved out of rich mahogany.

786
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 2: No that's a lie.

787
00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:36,360
Speaker 1: But they look really good, really well designed, really colorful.

788
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:39,480
Speaker 1: If you don't even like Colbrew, you still want to

789
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:41,920
Speaker 1: pull it just just to watch it, just to watch

790
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:44,640
Speaker 1: it pour out. So we appreciate Quick Trip. That's not

791
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:46,200
Speaker 1: even what they want me to talk about. I mean,

792
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:48,200
Speaker 1: you know they've got gasoline out in the parking lot too.

793
00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:49,800
Speaker 1: But Oh, the coldbrew on tap.

794
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:52,040
Speaker 2: It's been great. I've been looking forward to it.

795
00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:54,560
Speaker 1: I am still petitioning them to get us one of

796
00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:57,240
Speaker 1: those taps that we can just put on set, doesn't

797
00:37:57,280 --> 00:37:59,120
Speaker 1: even have to have coffee coming out of it. I

798
00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:05,839
Speaker 1: just think it would be a nice edition. Okay, let's

799
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 1: continue to roll on. Remember if you're here. If you're here, man,

800
00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:12,479
Speaker 1: you're joining us at a time we never do the show.

801
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,280
Speaker 1: We never do the show in the morning or afternoon.

802
00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:16,400
Speaker 1: We usually always doing it to night. But I appreciate it.

803
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,319
Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe to the channel. That's all I ask,

804
00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,040
Speaker 1: and I'll probably ask that again in a second, so

805
00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 1: ignore the redundancy. Sometimes when Colin cuts the individual videos,

806
00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:27,640
Speaker 1: we find that there's a different audience that watches the

807
00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:28,480
Speaker 1: individual videos.

808
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:29,840
Speaker 2: So sometimes I have to weave.

809
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:32,600
Speaker 1: A request in there because people who don't listen to

810
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 1: the full live show would never have heard it. Okay, Now,

811
00:38:37,600 --> 00:38:41,759
Speaker 1: we got some games that everyone believes they know the

812
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:45,719
Speaker 1: answer to. You already, and I do too, and I'm

813
00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:48,879
Speaker 1: nervous about it. Texas plays Arizona State New Year's Day

814
00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:53,759
Speaker 1: at twelve pm Eastern Time high noon from Atlanta. It's

815
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:56,880
Speaker 1: the Peach Bowl it's on ESPN. I have a theory

816
00:38:56,920 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 1: that I'm working on. I'm just work shopping this theory

817
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,800
Speaker 1: in my head. Are we looking at a college football

818
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:05,040
Speaker 1: playoff look ahead game? It's not supposed to be the

819
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:08,319
Speaker 1: case in a playoff format, obviously, but Texas is coming

820
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:11,879
Speaker 1: off playing Clemson, big brand name. Texas, if they won

821
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:14,680
Speaker 1: this game, would play either Ohio State or Oregon in

822
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:18,480
Speaker 1: the next round. And they've got Arizona State in the meantime,

823
00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 1: and they're favored by twelve and a half at FanDuel.

824
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 1: I have seen nobody pick Arizona State to win the

825
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:25,480
Speaker 1: game out right. Nobody's gonna pick them to win the

826
00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:28,120
Speaker 1: game out right, at least with any money on the line.

827
00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:32,719
Speaker 1: And so it feels like a look ahead spot. It

828
00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:35,200
Speaker 1: feels like a little letdown look ahead spot. And that's

829
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 1: not supposed to exist in the playoff, and yet here

830
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 1: it is. We also get to test in this game

831
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:44,120
Speaker 1: the bye week versus the rest theory, and Texas had

832
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 1: to play against Clemson. Arizona State had the first round

833
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 1: by what's the impact of that.

834
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 2: We don't know. We're about to find out.

835
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 1: This game hinges on Quinn viewers, as it always was

836
00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:57,320
Speaker 1: going to let me break it down for you very simply.

837
00:39:57,840 --> 00:39:57,960
Speaker 2: This.

838
00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 1: If Texas plays well, this is a forty five second video.

839
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:04,759
Speaker 1: If quinn Ewers plays a minus. You know what, if

840
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 1: quinn Ewers plays B plus or better, Texas will win

841
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:11,120
Speaker 1: this game. Whether they cover or not, they will win

842
00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:13,120
Speaker 1: the game. They'll probably if he plays a minus or

843
00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,440
Speaker 1: better ball, they'll win and cover. And that's if Arizona

844
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:18,400
Speaker 1: State plays at their peak. Because Texas is better than

845
00:40:18,440 --> 00:40:20,840
Speaker 1: Arizona State. So there is something that has to go

846
00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:23,560
Speaker 1: wrong on the Texas side in conjunction with things going

847
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,040
Speaker 1: right on the Arizona State side. That's very basic. I

848
00:40:26,040 --> 00:40:28,080
Speaker 1: think most of us understand that. I think Arizona State

849
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,759
Speaker 1: understands that. So there's another way this game could go.

850
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:34,279
Speaker 1: And Texas games have done this this year with quinn

851
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:36,319
Speaker 1: Ewers a few times. And that is the kind of

852
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:40,400
Speaker 1: game where you look at the box score at halftime

853
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:44,080
Speaker 1: and Texas is looks like they're dominating, and you say

854
00:40:44,120 --> 00:40:46,759
Speaker 1: that phrase that I have said with Texas two or

855
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:50,360
Speaker 1: three times this year. Texas has dominated everywhere.

856
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 2: But the scoreboard. Have you heard yourself say that.

857
00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:55,360
Speaker 1: You look at total yards, you look at yards per carry,

858
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:57,959
Speaker 1: you look at total plays run and all of these

859
00:40:58,000 --> 00:40:59,800
Speaker 1: categories indicate a lopside.

860
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:02,240
Speaker 2: Again, then you look at the scoreboard and it's thirteen

861
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:02,640
Speaker 2: to six.

862
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:08,240
Speaker 1: What's happening here, Well, what's happening is you're somewhat limited

863
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 1: because the dynamic at quarterback is not such that you

864
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:16,280
Speaker 1: can stretch the game. And if that happens in this game,

865
00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:19,400
Speaker 1: then Arizona State could pull an upset. Arizona State, at

866
00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:22,080
Speaker 1: the very least would be in it. Arizona State's defense

867
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:24,600
Speaker 1: is top twenty five in takeaways as well, so there

868
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:28,000
Speaker 1: is that factor there. They've got a sneaky good run defense.

869
00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:30,400
Speaker 1: I don't know that they're gonna shut Texas down, but

870
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:32,759
Speaker 1: they got a sneaky good run defense. Here is the

871
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,239
Speaker 1: big concern for me, if you're trying to paint the

872
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 1: picture for the upset in Texas's losses. AKA, when they've

873
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:43,359
Speaker 1: played Georgia, Georgia has harassed Quinn Yewrs. They've sacked him

874
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 1: like a million times. Arizona State is one hundred and

875
00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:50,560
Speaker 1: twentieth in pressure rate. They do not affect the quarterback.

876
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:53,719
Speaker 1: They do not get home. It is not their bread

877
00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:56,239
Speaker 1: and butter, it's not their forte they've outscored folks this year.

878
00:41:56,239 --> 00:41:58,319
Speaker 1: That is not how they've won games, and they will

879
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:01,719
Speaker 1: not succeed if that number holds up against Texas. Too

880
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 1: many playmakers, they're too balanced offensively, and even quinn Ewers,

881
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:08,280
Speaker 1: if you give him time, will pick you apart. Arizona

882
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 1: State stars therefore have to go off here. There's no

883
00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:16,080
Speaker 1: there's no hidden factor. There's no player that's gonna come

884
00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:18,239
Speaker 1: out of the woodwork that you haven't heard of all year.

885
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:20,399
Speaker 1: It's gonna have nine catches for one hundred and twenty

886
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 1: seven yards.

887
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:21,680
Speaker 2: That won't happen.

888
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:25,080
Speaker 1: They've only faced two top thirty defenses this year, and

889
00:42:25,120 --> 00:42:27,120
Speaker 1: they score twenty eight or less both times. They're down

890
00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 1: their number one receiver. So Levitt has to do what

891
00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:35,000
Speaker 1: he's been doing. You know, Levitt's got three plus passing

892
00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:39,040
Speaker 1: touchdowns six of his last eight games. Camp Skataboo has

893
00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 1: ran for one fifty or more, well one fifty from

894
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:45,480
Speaker 1: scrimmage three plus touchdowns. He's done that in his last

895
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:47,920
Speaker 1: three games. So they've peaked at the right time. Their

896
00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:50,480
Speaker 1: big time players have made the big time plays in

897
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:55,600
Speaker 1: big time games. The old phrase they have adhered to.

898
00:42:56,280 --> 00:43:00,279
Speaker 1: So this is the biggest moment. Now, Arizona State, I

899
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:02,799
Speaker 1: think is an underdog and should be in this game.

900
00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:04,680
Speaker 1: But I'll tell you what they won't do. I'll tell

901
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:06,279
Speaker 1: you what Kenny Dillingham won't do. I'll tell you what

902
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 1: Marcus Arroyo won't do, and that is repeat the mistakes

903
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:11,759
Speaker 1: that Indy animated against Notre Dame.

904
00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:12,319
Speaker 2: See.

905
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:17,160
Speaker 1: Indiana got in a pressure, high leverage position. They were

906
00:43:17,160 --> 00:43:19,400
Speaker 1: the second best team on the field, They were the

907
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:21,919
Speaker 1: second most talented team on the field, and they tried

908
00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:25,000
Speaker 1: to play Notre Dame heads up, and they tried to

909
00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 1: play even conservatively a little bit, and they just imploded

910
00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 1: in on themselves. Like the game crushed them. The moment

911
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:36,040
Speaker 1: crushed them. Texas could crush Arizona State. Texas could win

912
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:39,480
Speaker 1: this game by thirty. It will not be because Arizona

913
00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 1: State refused to let their horses run. Kenny Dillingham will

914
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,359
Speaker 1: open the stall and he will yell, gid you up,

915
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:47,560
Speaker 1: and he'll slap him on the butt if he needs to,

916
00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:50,200
Speaker 1: probably not on air. You do that stuff in the tunnel.

917
00:43:50,600 --> 00:43:54,240
Speaker 1: But these guys will be given every chance to succeed.

918
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 1: There will be no stone left unturned, there will be

919
00:43:57,320 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 1: no risk untaken and so they will leave with chambers empty.

920
00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:04,279
Speaker 1: And if they leave chambers empty and they look up

921
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:06,360
Speaker 1: on the school board in Texas won thirty eight to twenty,

922
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:09,360
Speaker 1: then so be it. But they will not leave Mercedes

923
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 1: Benz Stadium thinking to themselves, man, we never even use this,

924
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:15,840
Speaker 1: We never even did that. We left so much in

925
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:18,799
Speaker 1: the tank. Nope, that will not be Arizona State. Let's

926
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:20,120
Speaker 1: take a look at what the model thinks.

927
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 2: Colin.

928
00:44:20,960 --> 00:44:23,719
Speaker 1: Our number at FanDuel right now is Texas minus twelve

929
00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:27,200
Speaker 1: and a half. Look at what the model thinks. The

930
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:31,480
Speaker 1: model has notoriously been drunk on Texas since its inception.

931
00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:33,000
Speaker 2: And lo and.

932
00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:36,239
Speaker 1: Behold here in well what will be the year of

933
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 1: our lower twenty twenty five. By the time this game

934
00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 1: is kicked off, the model has just punted on Texas.

935
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:45,800
Speaker 1: The model has turned over a new leaf. The model's

936
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:50,000
Speaker 1: new year's resolution is horns down. Apparently it only has

937
00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:53,000
Speaker 1: Texas winning by nine. You may be thinking to yourself, Okay,

938
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:56,000
Speaker 1: it's still got Texas winning. Yeah, that's a three and

939
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:58,840
Speaker 1: a half point deviation from the spread in a playoff

940
00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:01,319
Speaker 1: game where all all of our other numbers are right

941
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:04,080
Speaker 1: in line with fan duel. Because this time of year,

942
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:06,640
Speaker 1: there is no huge value to be found on these numbers.

943
00:45:08,520 --> 00:45:11,239
Speaker 1: So I don't know what the model thinks it knows here.

944
00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:14,319
Speaker 1: I think what it knows is what I just said.

945
00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 1: Arizona State's got some good players. Arizona State's playing really

946
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 1: hot football. I could I could see Arizona State playing

947
00:45:20,160 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 1: as loose as can be and Texas being a little

948
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:25,880
Speaker 1: tight in the second half. Could the pucker factor impact

949
00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:26,360
Speaker 1: this game?

950
00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:30,200
Speaker 2: Could? Could? We'll see. I think Arizona State will keep.

951
00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:32,600
Speaker 1: This a little bit closer than maybe Evantual thinks and

952
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:34,279
Speaker 1: maybe a lot of other folks think.

953
00:45:34,480 --> 00:45:36,399
Speaker 2: So I'll follow the model here.

954
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:40,319
Speaker 1: I'll take Arizona State to keep it within the within

955
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:43,560
Speaker 1: the number, I will take Texas to win. I don't

956
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:45,560
Speaker 1: think big upsets are going to happen in the playoffs

957
00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:48,839
Speaker 1: this year and years moving forward, Like, I just don't.

958
00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:50,759
Speaker 1: I don't think that's the way this tournament is going

959
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:53,760
Speaker 1: to work. But I'll take a chance there on Arizona

960
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:55,480
Speaker 1: State plus the points. I may even bet some money

961
00:45:55,520 --> 00:45:57,759
Speaker 1: on it. We'll see, We'll see. They're watching us in

962
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:02,359
Speaker 1: Bowling Green, Kentucky, Norfolk verge Via tuckson Arizona or As

963
00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 1: you might know it. Tucson, Arizona. Let me finish this coffee.

964
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:09,840
Speaker 1: Hold on, Yeah, I might as well.

965
00:46:09,719 --> 00:46:10,359
Speaker 2: Get that out of the way.

966
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:15,239
Speaker 1: I know it's been all predictions so far. I got

967
00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:19,520
Speaker 1: portal stuff, I've got busted predictions. I've got cam Ward

968
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 1: opting out of half of a bowl game. Yes, friends,

969
00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:25,040
Speaker 1: we will touch on all of it. Don't go anywhere.

970
00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:28,919
Speaker 1: Penn State Boise State. This is the first playoff game.

971
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,880
Speaker 1: This is New Year's Eve. This is seven thirty eastern

972
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:36,800
Speaker 1: on ESPN from the Fiesta Bowl. Uh oh, guys, uh oh.

973
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:39,360
Speaker 1: Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl.

974
00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:43,520
Speaker 2: You know what that means? Do you No?

975
00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 1: I don't know what it means. I really hope you

976
00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:47,359
Speaker 1: know what it means. Someone's got to tell me, because I.

977
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:47,840
Speaker 2: Kid you not.

978
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:51,399
Speaker 1: I have been asked that like nineteen times on every

979
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:53,880
Speaker 1: radio hit I've done. Josh, you know you know what

980
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:55,520
Speaker 1: Boise in the Fiesta Bowl means?

981
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:58,160
Speaker 2: Right? I don't know They're gonna sleep in Phoenix the

982
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 2: night before. What does it mean? Oh?

983
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:04,080
Speaker 1: Oh, you mean something that happened when these dudes were

984
00:47:04,120 --> 00:47:07,120
Speaker 1: what in first grade? Will impact this game? Is that

985
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:09,960
Speaker 1: what I'm being told? So I had much fun as

986
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:12,080
Speaker 1: the next guy watching that game. I was working in

987
00:47:12,120 --> 00:47:15,160
Speaker 1: the fabric warehouse in Columbus. Guys, when that Fiesta Bowl

988
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:19,160
Speaker 1: Boise versus Oklahoma went down, it was a seminal moment.

989
00:47:19,560 --> 00:47:20,880
Speaker 1: I don't even know how to spell seminal, but it

990
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:24,480
Speaker 1: was a seminal moment in my young college football adolescence.

991
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:27,400
Speaker 2: It was incredible. I call it the original upset.

992
00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 1: I think of that upset before app Stayed over Michigan,

993
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:34,319
Speaker 1: before Stanford over usc the Boise Stayed Oklahoma upset. That's

994
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:37,640
Speaker 1: the upset in college football because of how unexpected it was,

995
00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:40,200
Speaker 1: how ignorant we were to the dynamics of those games.

996
00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:43,800
Speaker 1: Still back then, I get what happened in the building.

997
00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:46,279
Speaker 1: I don't think it has much impact on this game.

998
00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:50,120
Speaker 1: So advantage Boise being in the Fiesta Bowl. No advantaged

999
00:47:50,120 --> 00:47:52,239
Speaker 1: Boise for not having to play last week. Maybe that's

1000
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:56,360
Speaker 1: an advantage. Either this goes really good for Boise or

1001
00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:58,560
Speaker 1: it goes really bad for Boise. It is what we

1002
00:47:58,640 --> 00:48:02,239
Speaker 1: call an either or game. Exhibit one for what I

1003
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:04,840
Speaker 1: mean by that. Boise is number two in the country

1004
00:48:04,840 --> 00:48:07,880
Speaker 1: in sacks. Sounds great, right, Heads up, Drew aller in

1005
00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:10,399
Speaker 1: for a long night. Well they're thirty first in pressure rate.

1006
00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:14,279
Speaker 1: How do you even get that? How's a team in

1007
00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 1: the thirties in pressure rate but they're number two in sacks. Well,

1008
00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:19,640
Speaker 1: the way you get that is they've got to send

1009
00:48:19,640 --> 00:48:22,600
Speaker 1: more than four a lot. And if you look at

1010
00:48:22,600 --> 00:48:26,160
Speaker 1: how Boise does get home, they get home by blitzing

1011
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:26,840
Speaker 1: extra guys.

1012
00:48:26,960 --> 00:48:29,080
Speaker 2: That's not a crazy concept. That makes sense.

1013
00:48:29,120 --> 00:48:30,560
Speaker 1: You know, we used to do an eight man football

1014
00:48:30,560 --> 00:48:32,800
Speaker 1: all the time. They do it in eleven on eleven.

1015
00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:37,360
Speaker 1: If they get home, they get home. As is evidenced

1016
00:48:37,360 --> 00:48:38,960
Speaker 1: on this piece of paper. They're number two in the

1017
00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:42,759
Speaker 1: country in sacks. Here is the problem that I think

1018
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:44,479
Speaker 1: will present itself against Penn State.

1019
00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:45,600
Speaker 2: If they don't.

1020
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:48,920
Speaker 1: Get home, they are one hundred and eleventh in explosive

1021
00:48:48,960 --> 00:48:52,400
Speaker 1: plays allowed. There's no in between. It is either or

1022
00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:54,640
Speaker 1: they either get to Drew Holler and if they do

1023
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:57,239
Speaker 1: long day for Penn State, they'll grind that offense to

1024
00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,960
Speaker 1: a halt and Boise will probably end up right there

1025
00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:03,279
Speaker 1: at the end or pulling the outright upset. Or they

1026
00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:06,120
Speaker 1: don't get home, but they try to and they lead

1027
00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:08,840
Speaker 1: their guys exposed. And the thing about Penn State's passing

1028
00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:10,960
Speaker 1: game is a lot of its tailbacks and tight ends.

1029
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:14,280
Speaker 1: It's not so much wide receivers, so those checkdowns. Drewler's

1030
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:17,239
Speaker 1: used to that stuff. He's used to not waiting for

1031
00:49:17,280 --> 00:49:19,360
Speaker 1: an out and up. He's used to not waiting for

1032
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:24,760
Speaker 1: long developing passing routes and concepts. Either you get home

1033
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 1: or you're in the one hundreds in explosive plays.

1034
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:32,000
Speaker 2: And also another key stat to just tuck away.

1035
00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:35,920
Speaker 1: Boise defensively one hundred and twenty seventh in the country

1036
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:39,600
Speaker 1: in mistackles. So that's exhibit one of how it's all

1037
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:44,320
Speaker 1: or nothing. Here's exhibit number two. Astron genty most important

1038
00:49:44,360 --> 00:49:47,440
Speaker 1: player in the game by most accounts, because there is

1039
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:49,360
Speaker 1: no world where Boise he wins the game and Astron

1040
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:52,320
Speaker 1: genty does not go off. He has had six games

1041
00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:55,040
Speaker 1: of two hundred plus yards. This year he had thirty

1042
00:49:55,200 --> 00:49:56,839
Speaker 1: I can't believe this is a real number. He had

1043
00:49:56,920 --> 00:50:00,839
Speaker 1: thirty three percent more rushing yardage than the closest guy

1044
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:03,880
Speaker 1: this year. Well, Josh, that's cause he played against G

1045
00:50:04,000 --> 00:50:07,880
Speaker 1: five competition. It's really not. Don't you don't have to,

1046
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:12,200
Speaker 1: you know, permanently disrespect guy's accomplishments just because they played at.

1047
00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:14,560
Speaker 2: The G five level. He's really good. Guys.

1048
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 1: He would be good no matter where he played this year.

1049
00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:19,520
Speaker 1: He'd be good no matter where he played in any era.

1050
00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:24,120
Speaker 1: And so you think about that, and you think that

1051
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:27,040
Speaker 1: his stat line will tell the story. His stat line

1052
00:50:27,080 --> 00:50:29,400
Speaker 1: will not tell the story. I'll give you an example.

1053
00:50:29,920 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 1: So let's pick a Numberlet's say one hundred and seventy

1054
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:33,760
Speaker 1: rushing yards.

1055
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:34,680
Speaker 2: That's a lot.

1056
00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:37,799
Speaker 1: That's a really good days. That's especially a lot against

1057
00:50:37,840 --> 00:50:41,600
Speaker 1: Penn State. So if you tell me Ashton Genty's gonna

1058
00:50:41,680 --> 00:50:43,920
Speaker 1: run for one seventy, what did we just prove? What

1059
00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:45,560
Speaker 1: did we figure out? We figured out he's going to

1060
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:48,560
Speaker 1: have a good day on the ground, But did we

1061
00:50:48,600 --> 00:50:49,960
Speaker 1: figure out how this game is going to go?

1062
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:51,440
Speaker 2: Because the first.

1063
00:50:51,280 --> 00:50:53,640
Speaker 1: Thing I would ask is not how many rushing yards

1064
00:50:53,640 --> 00:50:55,919
Speaker 1: he got. That's part one of the equation. How many

1065
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:58,759
Speaker 1: carries did it take. There's a big difference, guys. There's

1066
00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:00,680
Speaker 1: a big difference in carrying it thirty one times for

1067
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy yards versus carry it sixteen times

1068
00:51:04,320 --> 00:51:05,480
Speaker 1: for one hundred and seventy yards.

1069
00:51:05,640 --> 00:51:06,880
Speaker 2: That's the first thing I'd want to know.

1070
00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 1: Second thing i'd want to know is were there explosive

1071
00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:12,760
Speaker 1: runs there because in the sixteen carries for one hundred

1072
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:16,000
Speaker 1: and seventy version of the game, that means there were

1073
00:51:17,160 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 1: and you score on explosive runs a lot of the time.

1074
00:51:20,520 --> 00:51:24,600
Speaker 1: And why that's important is because for Boise there is

1075
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:27,880
Speaker 1: there's this weird style of game that sometimes happens in

1076
00:51:27,920 --> 00:51:32,480
Speaker 1: college football where you're actually in better position at your

1077
00:51:32,520 --> 00:51:35,120
Speaker 1: opponent's forty five yard line to score then you would

1078
00:51:35,200 --> 00:51:37,760
Speaker 1: be if you were at your opponent's fifteen yard line.

1079
00:51:38,120 --> 00:51:41,799
Speaker 1: Makes no sense unless you understand the dynamics of certain offenses.

1080
00:51:42,040 --> 00:51:45,560
Speaker 1: And if you're running back centric for example, closer you

1081
00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:47,600
Speaker 1: get down to the goal line, the more the field compacts,

1082
00:51:47,600 --> 00:51:49,560
Speaker 1: the more they don't have to honder the pass.

1083
00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:52,000
Speaker 2: It gets really tough to score down there. So if

1084
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:53,640
Speaker 2: you've got a guy that's really good.

1085
00:51:53,640 --> 00:51:56,160
Speaker 1: Like Arizona State has and like Boise has, it pop

1086
00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:58,480
Speaker 1: in explosive plays.

1087
00:51:58,520 --> 00:51:59,960
Speaker 2: Sure, you'd love to be in the red zone.

1088
00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:01,319
Speaker 1: You'd love for it to be first in goal, But

1089
00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:04,040
Speaker 1: there's also this sense when when you're in plus territory

1090
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:08,200
Speaker 1: just over the fifty, that's your go zone. That's the

1091
00:52:08,200 --> 00:52:10,960
Speaker 1: point right there where you may actually be the most dangerous.

1092
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:14,000
Speaker 1: So if they pop those, that's great. If they don't,

1093
00:52:15,320 --> 00:52:20,240
Speaker 1: then do they score when they get in the red zone?

1094
00:52:20,360 --> 00:52:24,200
Speaker 1: And also do you continue to do what you've done

1095
00:52:24,200 --> 00:52:27,040
Speaker 1: all year, and that's leading fbs and explosive runs because

1096
00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:29,200
Speaker 1: the freeze point theory is in effect here as well,

1097
00:52:29,560 --> 00:52:32,919
Speaker 1: and that is they have faced no run defense close

1098
00:52:32,960 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 1: to Penn State. That doesn't mean Penn State is impenetrable.

1099
00:52:36,440 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 1: They're just a lot tougher outfit to run on. It's

1100
00:52:38,480 --> 00:52:41,200
Speaker 1: the number seven run defense in the country. And then

1101
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:43,440
Speaker 1: you add in the fact that they probably don't have

1102
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:47,320
Speaker 1: to overly fear the pass. I mean right now Max

1103
00:52:47,440 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 1: and Mattix Max in two hundred and eight per game.

1104
00:52:50,560 --> 00:52:52,920
Speaker 1: That's what he's done through the air this year. That

1105
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:55,719
Speaker 1: pass rush for Penn State is very strong. So those

1106
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,600
Speaker 1: are two areas where I think it's all or nothing.

1107
00:52:59,239 --> 00:53:03,080
Speaker 1: And you know, Mattox Mattson actually has the probably the

1108
00:53:03,160 --> 00:53:06,160
Speaker 1: chance to be the hidden star in this game. He's

1109
00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:10,640
Speaker 1: a sixty two percent completion guy. He's throwing three picks

1110
00:53:10,640 --> 00:53:14,120
Speaker 1: this year like he's been good. But the exhibit three

1111
00:53:14,840 --> 00:53:18,600
Speaker 1: on my scale of all or nothing is if Ashton

1112
00:53:18,640 --> 00:53:22,000
Speaker 1: Genty is his usual self versus if Penn State grabs

1113
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:25,560
Speaker 1: an early lead and forces third and long because in

1114
00:53:25,600 --> 00:53:28,360
Speaker 1: the first iteration of the game, well, it's Boise in

1115
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:30,839
Speaker 1: their comfort zone. Even if it's back and forth, it's

1116
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:33,279
Speaker 1: Bois in their comfort zone. But if Boise's having to

1117
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:35,840
Speaker 1: play catch up, it's kind of the same way that

1118
00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:39,160
Speaker 1: we just talked about Notre Dame for similar reasons. If

1119
00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:43,120
Speaker 1: they're forced to play catch up. I don't love the dynamic.

1120
00:53:43,160 --> 00:53:44,920
Speaker 1: I don't love the matchup either way for Bois. And

1121
00:53:44,960 --> 00:53:47,160
Speaker 1: there's the lasting thing too, Colin. You can go ahead

1122
00:53:47,160 --> 00:53:49,279
Speaker 1: and throw the model up if you want to. Penn

1123
00:53:49,320 --> 00:53:51,359
Speaker 1: State's favored by eleven and a half in this game

1124
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:55,360
Speaker 1: right now. So I got to tell you something. I

1125
00:53:55,400 --> 00:53:57,680
Speaker 1: have a I have a theory in this game. We

1126
00:53:57,760 --> 00:54:01,279
Speaker 1: got to test this theory out in this game that

1127
00:54:01,360 --> 00:54:04,759
Speaker 1: it benefits Penn State more than it benefits Boise. I

1128
00:54:04,840 --> 00:54:09,000
Speaker 1: would rather see Penn State play Boise in Phoenix, in

1129
00:54:09,040 --> 00:54:12,400
Speaker 1: Glendale than I would in State College. I think that

1130
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:15,640
Speaker 1: cold weather affected Penn State's offense every bit as much

1131
00:54:15,640 --> 00:54:20,760
Speaker 1: as SMU. I love where Penn State's offense has been trending,

1132
00:54:21,280 --> 00:54:22,600
Speaker 1: and you saw it in the second half of the

1133
00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 1: Big Ten title game. I get to see them in

1134
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:27,520
Speaker 1: a controlled climate the rest of the way, no matter

1135
00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:30,320
Speaker 1: how many more games they play. I think that offense

1136
00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:32,839
Speaker 1: is peaking at the right time, and I think they're

1137
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:35,120
Speaker 1: gonna put a little bit of pressure on Boise here

1138
00:54:35,400 --> 00:54:38,680
Speaker 1: because I don't think it's gonna be your normal relying

1139
00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:40,680
Speaker 1: on Penn State's offense to not be able to get

1140
00:54:40,680 --> 00:54:43,080
Speaker 1: out of their own way. And even if we're not converting,

1141
00:54:43,120 --> 00:54:45,080
Speaker 1: don't worry, they won't run away from us. I think

1142
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:47,239
Speaker 1: Penn State's gonna put some pressure on Boise. I think

1143
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:49,560
Speaker 1: they're going to force Boise to score, force them to

1144
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:52,080
Speaker 1: keep up. We got Penn State minus eleven and a

1145
00:54:52,080 --> 00:54:54,520
Speaker 1: half at fan duel. The model has Penn State minus twelve.

1146
00:54:54,840 --> 00:54:57,479
Speaker 1: I think Penn State's gonna win and cover. I think

1147
00:54:57,520 --> 00:54:59,719
Speaker 1: you will see the best game Penn State plays all

1148
00:54:59,840 --> 00:55:02,960
Speaker 1: year in this game right here, which would mean they

1149
00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:03,560
Speaker 1: move on and.

1150
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:05,200
Speaker 2: Whatever they do after that's whatever they do.

1151
00:55:05,520 --> 00:55:07,600
Speaker 1: But the best game they played all year, whatever you

1152
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:09,880
Speaker 1: think that is, I think it will be topped. I

1153
00:55:09,920 --> 00:55:12,239
Speaker 1: think they will peak and play their best game here.

1154
00:55:12,560 --> 00:55:16,880
Speaker 1: Really love Penn State in that game. All right, let's go,

1155
00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:21,560
Speaker 1: let's go, and let's talk about what I got probably

1156
00:55:21,600 --> 00:55:23,719
Speaker 1: asked about one hundred and fifty or two hundred times

1157
00:55:23,800 --> 00:55:28,400
Speaker 1: last night. I'm sorry, I'm just looking over at the

1158
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:31,399
Speaker 1: live chat. There's some shock that I picked a double

1159
00:55:31,440 --> 00:55:32,600
Speaker 1: digit favorite to win a game.

1160
00:55:33,280 --> 00:55:35,680
Speaker 2: Guys, I love it.

1161
00:55:36,040 --> 00:55:38,879
Speaker 1: Upsets happened, man, I'm a believer that upsets aren't gonna

1162
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:40,320
Speaker 1: happen in this format.

1163
00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:41,400
Speaker 2: Big upsets.

1164
00:55:41,400 --> 00:55:43,719
Speaker 1: I don't mean a three point underdog winning, but big

1165
00:55:43,800 --> 00:55:45,040
Speaker 1: upsets I don't think are gonna happen.

1166
00:55:45,080 --> 00:55:46,320
Speaker 2: But we'll see.

1167
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:49,640
Speaker 1: Like Mark just said, Hey picked a favorite shocker, Mark,

1168
00:55:49,680 --> 00:55:51,600
Speaker 1: would you like me to pick the underdog that I

1169
00:55:51,600 --> 00:55:53,640
Speaker 1: think is going to lose the game for the sake

1170
00:55:53,680 --> 00:55:56,560
Speaker 1: of entertainment, I'd prefer to be right. And as we

1171
00:55:56,600 --> 00:55:58,640
Speaker 1: all know, Mark, if you're not aware of pay attention,

1172
00:55:58,680 --> 00:56:02,680
Speaker 1: this is a crazy stat, but it's true. I'm undefeated

1173
00:56:02,680 --> 00:56:09,080
Speaker 1: picking games this year. Hold on, hold on, I'm not finished. Community,

1174
00:56:09,719 --> 00:56:15,279
Speaker 1: I am undefeated picking winners this year in games that kids, coaches,

1175
00:56:15,440 --> 00:56:19,680
Speaker 1: and officials did not screw up. So when I've picked

1176
00:56:19,680 --> 00:56:23,600
Speaker 1: a winner, they've either won or they were supposed to win,

1177
00:56:23,680 --> 00:56:25,560
Speaker 1: but a kid, or a coach or an official screwed

1178
00:56:25,560 --> 00:56:28,279
Speaker 1: it up. And I'm not responsible for players or coaches

1179
00:56:28,400 --> 00:56:29,560
Speaker 1: or officials not doing their job.

1180
00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:31,520
Speaker 2: So I am undefeated this year.

1181
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:33,759
Speaker 1: Mark, So before you get all sassy over there in

1182
00:56:33,800 --> 00:56:36,400
Speaker 1: the comments, you need to recognize that you're in the

1183
00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:41,040
Speaker 1: presence of perfection with an asterisk, but basically I am

1184
00:56:41,080 --> 00:56:44,560
Speaker 1: perfect on the year. Cam Ward opted out of the

1185
00:56:44,600 --> 00:56:46,400
Speaker 1: second half of a bowl game, and a lot of

1186
00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:47,040
Speaker 1: people are up in.

1187
00:56:47,120 --> 00:56:47,719
Speaker 2: Arms about it.

1188
00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:51,200
Speaker 1: I got asked about this a bunch we were not

1189
00:56:51,239 --> 00:56:52,480
Speaker 1: going to put in the show, but not it's in

1190
00:56:52,520 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 1: the show. So cam Ward, if you're unaware of what happened,

1191
00:56:56,560 --> 00:56:58,880
Speaker 1: Cublick stole the show in the Pop Tart Bowl. But

1192
00:56:59,080 --> 00:57:03,480
Speaker 1: the solid subcontext was Iowa State came back and won

1193
00:57:03,520 --> 00:57:06,759
Speaker 1: the Pop Tarts Bowl because, in no small part cam Ward,

1194
00:57:06,880 --> 00:57:10,080
Speaker 1: Miami quarterback, played the first half, threw the ball all

1195
00:57:10,120 --> 00:57:13,400
Speaker 1: over the place, and then opted out of the second half.

1196
00:57:14,440 --> 00:57:17,640
Speaker 1: There was no immediate information available on what had happened, like,

1197
00:57:17,720 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 1: did he inform Mario coming out of the tunnel, Hey

1198
00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:21,960
Speaker 1: I'm out, here's my helmet.

1199
00:57:22,800 --> 00:57:24,520
Speaker 2: Was there a fight in the locker room? Did he

1200
00:57:24,600 --> 00:57:25,240
Speaker 2: get benched?

1201
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:29,000
Speaker 1: Probably not, There was no there was no information ahead

1202
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:31,960
Speaker 1: of time. Well I'll give you the information. This was

1203
00:57:32,040 --> 00:57:34,800
Speaker 1: planned ahead of time. This was known ahead of time.

1204
00:57:35,320 --> 00:57:37,680
Speaker 1: That shouldn't shock you, but if it does shock you,

1205
00:57:38,600 --> 00:57:40,120
Speaker 1: it was known ahead of time. This was not a

1206
00:57:40,120 --> 00:57:42,640
Speaker 1: surprise to anyone, except maybe if you were watching at home,

1207
00:57:42,680 --> 00:57:46,800
Speaker 1: because Mario Cristoball and Shannon Dawson did not have the

1208
00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:49,840
Speaker 1: foresight to let the entire public in Iowa State know

1209
00:57:49,880 --> 00:57:53,280
Speaker 1: what their game plan was. So, yeah, I've got thoughts

1210
00:57:53,280 --> 00:57:54,600
Speaker 1: on this. I will share them with you. I got

1211
00:57:54,640 --> 00:57:58,640
Speaker 1: no problem sharing these with you. The way I look

1212
00:57:58,680 --> 00:58:01,880
Speaker 1: at college football bowl games these days is I've got

1213
00:58:01,880 --> 00:58:05,800
Speaker 1: what I wish they were, which is fairytale land, and

1214
00:58:05,840 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 1: then I've got what reality is. And reality is like

1215
00:58:08,440 --> 00:58:10,480
Speaker 1: Shaw Shank, and that is college football.

1216
00:58:10,200 --> 00:58:13,560
Speaker 2: Is no fairy tale world anymore. Bowl games are no

1217
00:58:13,680 --> 00:58:14,520
Speaker 2: fairy tale world.

1218
00:58:15,120 --> 00:58:17,720
Speaker 1: And so there was an argument that was being made

1219
00:58:17,760 --> 00:58:19,600
Speaker 1: by the canals of the world yesterday. But he was

1220
00:58:19,640 --> 00:58:25,040
Speaker 1: not alone for once, and it was how could you

1221
00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:27,480
Speaker 1: go out there, play a half and then not want

1222
00:58:27,480 --> 00:58:30,120
Speaker 1: to go finish the rest of the game, especially when

1223
00:58:30,120 --> 00:58:32,360
Speaker 1: this was back and forth like this was back and

1224
00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:35,120
Speaker 1: forth down to the very end, and there was an

1225
00:58:35,160 --> 00:58:38,840
Speaker 1: ISO shot on the ESPN camera feed every other play

1226
00:58:39,160 --> 00:58:43,200
Speaker 1: of cam word helpfully just standing on the sideline.

1227
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:46,160
Speaker 2: That ate at me as well as it did anyone else.

1228
00:58:46,200 --> 00:58:48,160
Speaker 1: Before I tell you what my thoughts on this are,

1229
00:58:48,240 --> 00:58:51,040
Speaker 1: I'm telling you what my feeling was. My feeling was,

1230
00:58:51,120 --> 00:58:53,920
Speaker 1: I'm watching this and I hate this. So if you

1231
00:58:54,040 --> 00:58:56,360
Speaker 1: had a big problem with it, trust me, I get it.

1232
00:58:56,760 --> 00:58:58,920
Speaker 1: And then I saw Canal and a couple other folks

1233
00:58:58,960 --> 00:59:01,640
Speaker 1: making a valid point, which was, you know, it used

1234
00:59:01,680 --> 00:59:04,120
Speaker 1: to be that if you opted out of a bowl game,

1235
00:59:04,160 --> 00:59:08,120
Speaker 1: it was pretty pretty uncommon. But if you opted out,

1236
00:59:08,160 --> 00:59:09,240
Speaker 1: it was because you were going to be a high

1237
00:59:09,280 --> 00:59:12,760
Speaker 1: level draft pick and it was all or nothing. You know,

1238
00:59:12,840 --> 00:59:16,080
Speaker 1: even before the insurance policies you could take out. You've

1239
00:59:16,080 --> 00:59:17,760
Speaker 1: got millions of dollars on the line. What if you

1240
00:59:17,800 --> 00:59:21,520
Speaker 1: get hurt and then you cost yourself, you cost yourself

1241
00:59:21,560 --> 00:59:23,600
Speaker 1: generational value.

1242
00:59:23,800 --> 00:59:25,480
Speaker 2: Didn't like it, but I got it back then.

1243
00:59:25,520 --> 00:59:28,400
Speaker 1: But what Canel and then we're saying was you're getting

1244
00:59:28,400 --> 00:59:31,200
Speaker 1: paid seven figures to play college football now, plus they've

1245
00:59:31,240 --> 00:59:32,640
Speaker 1: got insane insurance.

1246
00:59:32,240 --> 00:59:34,360
Speaker 2: Policies, so you're double covered.

1247
00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:37,800
Speaker 1: There is a huge safety net under you even if

1248
00:59:37,840 --> 00:59:40,200
Speaker 1: you do get hurt. And also, like there's just the

1249
00:59:40,240 --> 00:59:44,200
Speaker 1: thought that if you're getting paid big money to play

1250
00:59:44,240 --> 00:59:44,960
Speaker 1: college football.

1251
00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:46,560
Speaker 2: You play college football.

1252
00:59:46,720 --> 00:59:49,600
Speaker 1: You finished, So I'm not going to call you an

1253
00:59:49,640 --> 00:59:53,520
Speaker 1: idiot if you think that way. I see that you

1254
00:59:53,640 --> 00:59:55,880
Speaker 1: asked me how I feel about this, I'll tell.

1255
00:59:55,720 --> 00:59:56,800
Speaker 2: You how I feel about it.

1256
00:59:57,280 --> 00:59:59,320
Speaker 1: The only thing I can do is tell you how

1257
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:02,080
Speaker 1: I feel, because I fully get people who had a

1258
01:00:02,080 --> 01:00:05,000
Speaker 1: problem with it. But if I'm a Miami fan, I'm

1259
01:00:05,480 --> 01:00:08,360
Speaker 1: what matters. You know, all due respect, what a sports

1260
01:00:08,360 --> 01:00:10,680
Speaker 1: writer thinks about this does not matter. What a wake

1261
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:13,240
Speaker 1: Forest fan thinks about this does not matter. What I

1262
01:00:13,240 --> 01:00:14,920
Speaker 1: think about it doesn't matter. But it's my show. So

1263
01:00:14,960 --> 01:00:16,080
Speaker 1: you asked me, so I'll tell you. If I'm a

1264
01:00:16,160 --> 01:00:20,439
Speaker 1: Miami fan, cam Ward saved my season. I probably lose

1265
01:00:20,480 --> 01:00:23,080
Speaker 1: three or four more games without that guy. So for

1266
01:00:23,120 --> 01:00:25,200
Speaker 1: everyone who looks at this as a failure, man, I

1267
01:00:25,280 --> 01:00:27,840
Speaker 1: just won double digit games for only like the second

1268
01:00:27,840 --> 01:00:30,600
Speaker 1: time in the past two decades because that guy chose

1269
01:00:30,600 --> 01:00:31,360
Speaker 1: to come to Miami.

1270
01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:32,280
Speaker 2: Did we pay him a lot?

1271
01:00:32,360 --> 01:00:34,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, a lot of other folks would have paid him

1272
01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:35,720
Speaker 1: a lot too, but he chose Miami.

1273
01:00:35,800 --> 01:00:36,640
Speaker 2: You know what else he did.

1274
01:00:36,680 --> 01:00:39,840
Speaker 1: He normalized the idea that if you're a big time quarterback,

1275
01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:42,520
Speaker 1: you can go to Miami. Vaults your own stock up

1276
01:00:42,520 --> 01:00:44,880
Speaker 1: because cam Ward was not going to be a first

1277
01:00:44,960 --> 01:00:48,840
Speaker 1: round draft pick this time last year. So Miami benefited

1278
01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:52,120
Speaker 1: from cam Ward. Cam Woard benefited from Miami. Other guys

1279
01:00:52,160 --> 01:00:54,520
Speaker 1: in the quarterback market are seeing that. So that may

1280
01:00:54,560 --> 01:00:57,240
Speaker 1: pay dividends for me down the road. But also he

1281
01:00:57,400 --> 01:00:59,400
Speaker 1: was worth three or four more wins this year for

1282
01:00:59,480 --> 01:01:02,440
Speaker 1: me in what otherwise may have been a disastrous season

1283
01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:05,320
Speaker 1: because yeah, we lost to Syracuse, Yeah we lost to

1284
01:01:05,360 --> 01:01:08,520
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. Dude, we would have lost to cow without him,

1285
01:01:08,800 --> 01:01:10,800
Speaker 1: you know, we would have lost to Virginia Tech.

1286
01:01:11,080 --> 01:01:14,480
Speaker 2: Without him. We were closed in a lot of other games.

1287
01:01:15,160 --> 01:01:18,040
Speaker 1: And he was a supreme leader, which is being lost

1288
01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:21,240
Speaker 1: because I think people's lasting impression was what kind of

1289
01:01:21,360 --> 01:01:23,120
Speaker 1: leader sits out the second half of a bowl?

1290
01:01:24,040 --> 01:01:25,640
Speaker 2: It's not a fairytale world.

1291
01:01:26,760 --> 01:01:30,200
Speaker 1: I'm not so sure that cam Ward just made that

1292
01:01:30,240 --> 01:01:32,520
Speaker 1: decision to said, oh screw it. Whatever happens in the

1293
01:01:32,560 --> 01:01:35,080
Speaker 1: second half happens, Like I'm pretty sure he sat on

1294
01:01:35,120 --> 01:01:37,959
Speaker 1: the sideline and didn't love watching that happen either.

1295
01:01:38,040 --> 01:01:40,680
Speaker 2: It was the lesser of two evils, if you will.

1296
01:01:41,040 --> 01:01:43,680
Speaker 1: He made his decision, whatever, whatever decision he made, he

1297
01:01:43,680 --> 01:01:46,320
Speaker 1: made his decision I'm telling you, as a Miami fan

1298
01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:49,800
Speaker 1: how I would feel, and I would say Bowl.

1299
01:01:49,520 --> 01:01:50,800
Speaker 2: Games are not what they used to be.

1300
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:53,560
Speaker 1: If I'm a fan, I'm looking at a Bowl game

1301
01:01:53,840 --> 01:01:56,400
Speaker 1: and it is the first version of our spring.

1302
01:01:56,640 --> 01:01:58,520
Speaker 2: That's what I view a Bowl game as.

1303
01:01:58,720 --> 01:02:01,080
Speaker 1: So if you told me the dynamic going in was

1304
01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:03,040
Speaker 1: going to be, I get cam Ward for a half,

1305
01:02:03,280 --> 01:02:05,720
Speaker 1: and then you're going to get to get really really

1306
01:02:05,760 --> 01:02:09,160
Speaker 1: good competitive film on what may be your starter next

1307
01:02:09,240 --> 01:02:11,240
Speaker 1: year in Emery Williams in the second half, I'd say

1308
01:02:11,280 --> 01:02:15,240
Speaker 1: I'll take that. I hope we win, but if we lose,

1309
01:02:15,960 --> 01:02:17,880
Speaker 1: but in the interim, we get a lot of valuable

1310
01:02:17,880 --> 01:02:19,920
Speaker 1: information that lets us know if we've got our guy

1311
01:02:20,000 --> 01:02:21,280
Speaker 1: or if we need to go to the portal to

1312
01:02:21,320 --> 01:02:24,240
Speaker 1: get another guy, then I'm okay with that. Well, that's

1313
01:02:24,240 --> 01:02:28,480
Speaker 1: what yesterday was. That's what yesterday was. So I watched

1314
01:02:28,520 --> 01:02:31,120
Speaker 1: it and did not like it. I understood it. It's

1315
01:02:31,160 --> 01:02:34,120
Speaker 1: not my business what a guy does with his bold decision.

1316
01:02:35,040 --> 01:02:39,280
Speaker 1: I wish we could go back in time, but we can't.

1317
01:02:39,440 --> 01:02:41,120
Speaker 1: There's no one who wants to go back in time

1318
01:02:41,160 --> 01:02:43,920
Speaker 1: more than me to know the way the dynamic was

1319
01:02:43,920 --> 01:02:44,760
Speaker 1: in the BCS era.

1320
01:02:44,880 --> 01:02:45,600
Speaker 2: But we can't do that.

1321
01:02:46,120 --> 01:02:48,840
Speaker 1: So if it's not a fairytale world and we recalibrate

1322
01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:51,840
Speaker 1: how we view college football in lieu of that, I

1323
01:02:51,840 --> 01:02:54,200
Speaker 1: don't know what more I could have wanted from yesterday.

1324
01:02:54,240 --> 01:02:55,640
Speaker 1: I'd love for him to play the whole game. I'd

1325
01:02:55,640 --> 01:02:57,440
Speaker 1: love to win the game. But you know what I

1326
01:02:57,520 --> 01:03:00,440
Speaker 1: did learn. I learned i'd probably I don't have my

1327
01:03:00,520 --> 01:03:03,280
Speaker 1: quarterback of twenty twenty five on the roster. That's what

1328
01:03:03,360 --> 01:03:05,240
Speaker 1: I would think if I was a Miami fan. The

1329
01:03:05,280 --> 01:03:10,560
Speaker 1: staff may feel otherwise, and then I would also think

1330
01:03:10,600 --> 01:03:13,640
Speaker 1: to myself, how quickly can we make defensive staff changes,

1331
01:03:14,160 --> 01:03:17,000
Speaker 1: because that is the last time if I'm a Miami

1332
01:03:17,040 --> 01:03:20,000
Speaker 1: fan that I'm willing to watch that happen. Like it

1333
01:03:20,080 --> 01:03:22,560
Speaker 1: was obvious early on that defense was the achilles heel

1334
01:03:22,560 --> 01:03:22,960
Speaker 1: of that team.

1335
01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:24,880
Speaker 2: But you can't do anything during the season, so you

1336
01:03:24,880 --> 01:03:25,600
Speaker 2: can do something now.

1337
01:03:26,160 --> 01:03:29,880
Speaker 1: And I'm looking at not the days or the hour's

1338
01:03:29,960 --> 01:03:31,880
Speaker 1: portion on my watch, which I'm not wearing.

1339
01:03:32,040 --> 01:03:33,439
Speaker 2: I'm looking at the minutes.

1340
01:03:33,280 --> 01:03:37,520
Speaker 1: And seconds portion before things should happen, before action is

1341
01:03:37,560 --> 01:03:38,080
Speaker 1: taken there.

1342
01:03:38,560 --> 01:03:40,920
Speaker 2: So yeah, I guess it is what it is.

1343
01:03:41,280 --> 01:03:43,720
Speaker 1: I didn't have a strong feeling about it. I'll just say,

1344
01:03:43,720 --> 01:03:46,200
Speaker 1: I didn't get up in arms about it. I don't

1345
01:03:46,200 --> 01:03:49,800
Speaker 1: think he cost himself in this draft stock. I don't

1346
01:03:49,960 --> 01:03:52,120
Speaker 1: like that that's the way it is. I accept that

1347
01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:52,960
Speaker 1: that's the way it is.

1348
01:03:53,800 --> 01:03:55,760
Speaker 2: Can't change it. That's where my mind is.

1349
01:03:56,680 --> 01:04:00,600
Speaker 1: Okay, paper Pop, I've got something important for you people.

1350
01:04:00,720 --> 01:04:04,240
Speaker 1: I'm saving you some money. Pay attention. It's playoff time.

1351
01:04:04,920 --> 01:04:07,280
Speaker 1: I know you guys need tickets. I know a lot

1352
01:04:07,320 --> 01:04:09,760
Speaker 1: of these places are unfamiliar for you. I'm telling you

1353
01:04:09,800 --> 01:04:10,720
Speaker 1: we got you a discount.

1354
01:04:10,720 --> 01:04:10,919
Speaker 2: Here.

1355
01:04:11,200 --> 01:04:13,919
Speaker 1: Go to seat geek. Use the promo code paid state

1356
01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:18,120
Speaker 1: ten at checkout. That's paate state one zero at checkout.

1357
01:04:18,400 --> 01:04:20,240
Speaker 1: I'm getting you a discount. No matter what you buy.

1358
01:04:20,440 --> 01:04:23,040
Speaker 1: You could be buying Fiestaval tickets, you could be buying

1359
01:04:23,040 --> 01:04:24,000
Speaker 1: post Malone tickets.

1360
01:04:24,040 --> 01:04:26,680
Speaker 2: I don't care. Whatever you're going to right now.

1361
01:04:27,120 --> 01:04:29,280
Speaker 1: If you're going to a concert, if you're going to

1362
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:31,960
Speaker 1: a Broadway show, if you're going to a semi final game,

1363
01:04:32,600 --> 01:04:34,640
Speaker 1: the tickets are on seat Geek, and we've got you

1364
01:04:34,680 --> 01:04:36,480
Speaker 1: a discount. And the way I look at that is

1365
01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:39,720
Speaker 1: you're going to something in all likelihood in the next

1366
01:04:39,720 --> 01:04:43,160
Speaker 1: few months. Save money on it. There's no catch. You

1367
01:04:43,200 --> 01:04:45,240
Speaker 1: don't have to sign up for anything, save money on it.

1368
01:04:45,240 --> 01:04:47,560
Speaker 1: Paid state ten at checkout and we've got you a

1369
01:04:47,600 --> 01:04:48,200
Speaker 1: discount there.

1370
01:04:48,320 --> 01:04:49,320
Speaker 2: It's as simple as that.

1371
01:04:49,640 --> 01:04:52,600
Speaker 1: Sometimes when I bring propositions to you on this show,

1372
01:04:53,200 --> 01:04:56,000
Speaker 1: it's very complicated in their layers and candidly you guys

1373
01:04:56,040 --> 01:04:56,760
Speaker 1: come through anyway.

1374
01:04:56,960 --> 01:04:58,160
Speaker 2: But this one's easy.

1375
01:04:58,600 --> 01:05:00,920
Speaker 1: You go decide what you want to do in your life,

1376
01:05:00,960 --> 01:05:02,680
Speaker 1: and then you go buy the tickets, and then you

1377
01:05:02,720 --> 01:05:04,560
Speaker 1: get to check out, and then you enter pat State

1378
01:05:04,640 --> 01:05:06,480
Speaker 1: ten and then it cost you less than it was

1379
01:05:06,520 --> 01:05:07,240
Speaker 1: going to cost you.

1380
01:05:08,080 --> 01:05:08,440
Speaker 2: Voila.

1381
01:05:09,280 --> 01:05:14,200
Speaker 1: Let's move on Transfer Portal. It's all happening Transfer Portal.

1382
01:05:14,360 --> 01:05:17,120
Speaker 1: The dominoes are starting to fall. That's the entire theme

1383
01:05:17,560 --> 01:05:20,760
Speaker 1: as we get closer to twenty twenty five. So Fernando Mendoza,

1384
01:05:21,040 --> 01:05:23,440
Speaker 1: that was the quarterback at Cal since the last time

1385
01:05:23,440 --> 01:05:26,400
Speaker 1: you and I spoke. He committed to Indiana. This is

1386
01:05:26,440 --> 01:05:30,600
Speaker 1: a big pickup for Kurt Signetti. I'm hats off to

1387
01:05:30,680 --> 01:05:32,400
Speaker 1: those guys. This is a big move for them. He

1388
01:05:32,440 --> 01:05:35,320
Speaker 1: was a sixteen touchdown six interception guy sixty five two

1389
01:05:35,320 --> 01:05:38,000
Speaker 1: twenty five. They went and got Roork out of the portal.

1390
01:05:38,040 --> 01:05:40,200
Speaker 1: They go get Fernando Mendoza for this next year out

1391
01:05:40,200 --> 01:05:42,480
Speaker 1: of the portal. Threw for over three thousand yards in

1392
01:05:42,560 --> 01:05:44,640
Speaker 1: just eleven games this past year. He's the number three

1393
01:05:44,760 --> 01:05:48,280
Speaker 1: quarterback in the portal. So Indiana got their guy. Missouri

1394
01:05:48,400 --> 01:05:52,040
Speaker 1: got their guy as well. So two big moves here.

1395
01:05:52,400 --> 01:05:56,160
Speaker 1: These are not blue blood programs. Indiana just made noise

1396
01:05:56,200 --> 01:05:59,480
Speaker 1: for the first time in most of our lifetimes. Missouri,

1397
01:06:00,320 --> 01:06:02,600
Speaker 1: they were thought to be a player this past year,

1398
01:06:02,600 --> 01:06:04,480
Speaker 1: but they got blown out on the road a couple

1399
01:06:04,480 --> 01:06:08,160
Speaker 1: of times and disappeared from sight in the playoff picture.

1400
01:06:08,640 --> 01:06:11,600
Speaker 1: Bo Prabulah, who was Drew Aler's back up at Penn

1401
01:06:11,600 --> 01:06:14,000
Speaker 1: State and who did come in and win them the

1402
01:06:14,000 --> 01:06:17,800
Speaker 1: Wisconsin game. This year, he has landed at Missouri. That

1403
01:06:17,880 --> 01:06:19,960
Speaker 1: was the number twelve quarterback in the portal. He's a

1404
01:06:19,960 --> 01:06:22,600
Speaker 1: former four star, He's a true dual threat quarterback. I

1405
01:06:22,640 --> 01:06:25,480
Speaker 1: think he lands at a really, really good fit. I

1406
01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:29,800
Speaker 1: think he understood that. So Eli Drinkwitz, Kurt Signetti. They

1407
01:06:29,840 --> 01:06:32,960
Speaker 1: pulled the levers they needed to. And now all.

1408
01:06:32,880 --> 01:06:36,080
Speaker 2: The quarterback dominos so far have fallen into place.

1409
01:06:36,160 --> 01:06:38,280
Speaker 1: Now I say so far, and I want to tell

1410
01:06:38,280 --> 01:06:40,200
Speaker 1: you what I mean in the second but we had

1411
01:06:40,240 --> 01:06:43,640
Speaker 1: twelve quarterbacks out of the top twelve.

1412
01:06:43,280 --> 01:06:44,320
Speaker 2: Now that have landed.

1413
01:06:45,160 --> 01:06:47,280
Speaker 1: All twelve of them that were highly rated and went

1414
01:06:47,280 --> 01:06:50,560
Speaker 1: into the portal have landed. Air Nolan went from Ohio

1415
01:06:50,600 --> 01:06:53,080
Speaker 1: State to South Carolina, so Shane Biemer's got his back

1416
01:06:53,120 --> 01:06:55,760
Speaker 1: up there for Leonora Sellers. Walker White just in the

1417
01:06:55,800 --> 01:06:59,479
Speaker 1: last few hours as left Auburn and we had already

1418
01:06:59,520 --> 01:07:02,160
Speaker 1: left Auburn. He landed at Baylor. So all the top

1419
01:07:02,240 --> 01:07:07,439
Speaker 1: twelve have landed. Now here's the great big yeah, but yeah,

1420
01:07:07,480 --> 01:07:11,360
Speaker 1: the top twelve have landed. But remember the five day rule.

1421
01:07:11,400 --> 01:07:13,560
Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep reminding you guys of this because no

1422
01:07:13,600 --> 01:07:16,280
Speaker 1: one really fully knows the rules right now. The five

1423
01:07:16,360 --> 01:07:19,000
Speaker 1: day rule is it is December twenty ninth, so the

1424
01:07:19,040 --> 01:07:21,640
Speaker 1: portal closed at midnight, like twelve hours ago.

1425
01:07:21,680 --> 01:07:22,400
Speaker 2: As we're doing the show.

1426
01:07:22,520 --> 01:07:25,600
Speaker 1: It closed at midnight, but it's not really closed. That

1427
01:07:25,680 --> 01:07:29,000
Speaker 1: just means you cannot enter the portal anymore if your

1428
01:07:29,120 --> 01:07:32,080
Speaker 1: season ended more than five days ago. So if you're

1429
01:07:32,080 --> 01:07:35,960
Speaker 1: a Miami Hurricane, you've still got four days to enter

1430
01:07:36,040 --> 01:07:37,680
Speaker 1: the portal. You can stay in there as long as

1431
01:07:37,720 --> 01:07:40,000
Speaker 1: you want to, you just have to be in the

1432
01:07:40,040 --> 01:07:43,600
Speaker 1: deadline was December twenty eighth, but if your game was later,

1433
01:07:43,720 --> 01:07:46,200
Speaker 1: your Bowl game was later, or maybe you're in the playoffs.

1434
01:07:46,400 --> 01:07:49,840
Speaker 1: You have five days after your season ends to go

1435
01:07:49,880 --> 01:07:52,320
Speaker 1: in the portal. You get that, and then once you

1436
01:07:52,360 --> 01:07:54,200
Speaker 1: go in the portal, there's no deadline for when you

1437
01:07:54,240 --> 01:07:56,760
Speaker 1: have to come out. It's just the academic calendar is

1438
01:07:56,800 --> 01:08:00,320
Speaker 1: basically what you're adhering to at that point. So say

1439
01:08:00,320 --> 01:08:03,120
Speaker 1: all that to say, we may not be done seeing

1440
01:08:03,160 --> 01:08:06,880
Speaker 1: quarterbacks go into the portal. And if you're not watching,

1441
01:08:06,920 --> 01:08:11,360
Speaker 1: if you're listening on podcasts, I'm winking Auburn. They went

1442
01:08:11,400 --> 01:08:14,320
Speaker 1: and got Jackson Arnold and now they are surrounding him

1443
01:08:14,640 --> 01:08:16,559
Speaker 1: with pretty good wide receiver talent. They went and got

1444
01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:18,559
Speaker 1: Eric Singleton, so he was the kid from Georgia Tech.

1445
01:08:18,560 --> 01:08:20,240
Speaker 1: He was the number one wide receiver in the portal

1446
01:08:20,280 --> 01:08:23,519
Speaker 1: five games with a forty plus yard reception. This year,

1447
01:08:23,560 --> 01:08:26,320
Speaker 1: we wondered could he land at Georgia, Could he land

1448
01:08:26,320 --> 01:08:29,000
Speaker 1: at Old Miss Auburn comes in and gets him. It's

1449
01:08:29,040 --> 01:08:31,639
Speaker 1: a big pickup because they also got Horatio Fields. He

1450
01:08:31,680 --> 01:08:34,160
Speaker 1: was the number nine receiver in the portal from wake Forest.

1451
01:08:34,640 --> 01:08:38,559
Speaker 1: Cam Coleman's there. Contrary to some false reports on the internet, yes,

1452
01:08:38,640 --> 01:08:40,920
Speaker 1: cam Coleman's still at Auburn. They've got the number four

1453
01:08:40,920 --> 01:08:43,599
Speaker 1: class right now. They were seventy fourth in points per

1454
01:08:43,600 --> 01:08:45,880
Speaker 1: game last year. They turned the ball over too much.

1455
01:08:46,640 --> 01:08:51,080
Speaker 1: So the transfer rankings right now, LSU, Texas tech, Ole,

1456
01:08:51,160 --> 01:08:54,160
Speaker 1: miss Auburn, Mississippi State, that's your top five. But Ohio

1457
01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:55,840
Speaker 1: State's been busy too. They're not going to be in

1458
01:08:55,880 --> 01:08:58,040
Speaker 1: the top ten cause they don't need as much. But

1459
01:08:58,080 --> 01:09:00,280
Speaker 1: they went and got the number one tight end and

1460
01:09:00,400 --> 01:09:05,320
Speaker 1: number four offensive tackle. The tight end is yeah, Max Claire,

1461
01:09:05,360 --> 01:09:05,880
Speaker 1: I didn't want that.

1462
01:09:05,920 --> 01:09:06,440
Speaker 2: Backwards.

1463
01:09:07,120 --> 01:09:09,599
Speaker 1: He had fifty one catches and six hundred and eighty

1464
01:09:09,600 --> 01:09:12,160
Speaker 1: five yards for Purdue this past year. That's more than

1465
01:09:12,160 --> 01:09:14,520
Speaker 1: the number two and number three options on that team combined.

1466
01:09:15,439 --> 01:09:18,519
Speaker 1: And so it's just a feeder system. Basically, Ohio State

1467
01:09:18,720 --> 01:09:21,080
Speaker 1: in their own conference goes and gets whoever they want.

1468
01:09:21,080 --> 01:09:22,679
Speaker 1: Because they went and got a sixty five, three hundred

1469
01:09:22,720 --> 01:09:26,200
Speaker 1: and fifteen pound tackle from Minnesota, not the state, the university.

1470
01:09:26,680 --> 01:09:27,320
Speaker 2: And they got CJ.

1471
01:09:27,400 --> 01:09:29,800
Speaker 1: Donaldson the running back from West Virginia as well. So

1472
01:09:29,840 --> 01:09:32,360
Speaker 1: Ohio State been making some moves that's been a little

1473
01:09:32,360 --> 01:09:34,360
Speaker 1: bit beneath the radar, be cause they've been prepping for

1474
01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:35,639
Speaker 1: the Oregon game.

1475
01:09:36,760 --> 01:09:38,840
Speaker 2: Like I said, with the five day window.

1476
01:09:38,960 --> 01:09:41,519
Speaker 1: You can never assume the portal has closed fully until

1477
01:09:41,520 --> 01:09:44,439
Speaker 1: it's five days removed from the National Championship game, and

1478
01:09:44,479 --> 01:09:47,720
Speaker 1: at that point it's closed. The only college football could

1479
01:09:47,720 --> 01:09:51,760
Speaker 1: figure out a mechanism where a thing that closes on

1480
01:09:51,800 --> 01:09:56,040
Speaker 1: December twenty eighth actually closes on January twenty fifth.

1481
01:09:56,640 --> 01:09:57,320
Speaker 2: That's where we are.

1482
01:09:59,080 --> 01:10:01,200
Speaker 1: So we have I still got something else to talk

1483
01:10:01,200 --> 01:10:04,080
Speaker 1: to you guys about, but just FYI. So we've talked

1484
01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:07,760
Speaker 1: a lot about all these semifinal games, other bowl games

1485
01:10:07,760 --> 01:10:10,799
Speaker 1: coming up. We have been proud to partner with FanDuel

1486
01:10:10,800 --> 01:10:13,280
Speaker 1: all year. They're the exclusive odds provider. I've got some

1487
01:10:13,360 --> 01:10:16,280
Speaker 1: information I'm about to give you because I've got some

1488
01:10:17,000 --> 01:10:19,880
Speaker 1: I got some numbers that are on the board that

1489
01:10:20,000 --> 01:10:22,800
Speaker 1: you can bet that are not even games yet. But

1490
01:10:22,920 --> 01:10:25,200
Speaker 1: first I do need to let you know because FanDuel

1491
01:10:25,240 --> 01:10:28,080
Speaker 1: has let me know, they are well aware that there

1492
01:10:28,080 --> 01:10:30,120
Speaker 1: are a lot of you who want to sign up

1493
01:10:30,120 --> 01:10:33,120
Speaker 1: this time of year. Okay, first rule on this show

1494
01:10:33,160 --> 01:10:35,679
Speaker 1: is do it responsibly or don't do it. Second rule

1495
01:10:35,720 --> 01:10:37,720
Speaker 1: on this show is, if you're going to sign up,

1496
01:10:37,760 --> 01:10:40,240
Speaker 1: make sure you get free money while you do it.

1497
01:10:40,560 --> 01:10:43,040
Speaker 1: There is a QR code on your screen right now.

1498
01:10:43,120 --> 01:10:45,360
Speaker 1: You can use that to sign up. You can go

1499
01:10:45,439 --> 01:10:49,360
Speaker 1: to FanDuel dot com slash CFB promotion to sign up.

1500
01:10:49,479 --> 01:10:53,040
Speaker 1: If you go through those mechanisms, they know we sent you.

1501
01:10:53,560 --> 01:10:55,200
Speaker 1: But just know, if you're a new customer and you're

1502
01:10:55,200 --> 01:10:57,559
Speaker 1: signing up right now, you pick any game. I don't

1503
01:10:57,600 --> 01:11:00,640
Speaker 1: care if it's the Milwaukee Bucks. You pick in and

1504
01:11:00,720 --> 01:11:03,599
Speaker 1: you win, you bet five dollars to win two fifty

1505
01:11:03,680 --> 01:11:06,920
Speaker 1: right now. Just free money. So make sure you take

1506
01:11:06,920 --> 01:11:10,320
Speaker 1: advantage of that firstly. Okay, now here's the information I

1507
01:11:10,320 --> 01:11:14,920
Speaker 1: want to give you. This I have found is what

1508
01:11:15,040 --> 01:11:18,840
Speaker 1: fascinates people the most, including the people who do not bet.

1509
01:11:19,439 --> 01:11:21,040
Speaker 1: So you can bet all the semi final games at

1510
01:11:21,040 --> 01:11:23,160
Speaker 1: FanDuel right now. But that's not good enough. FanDuel looked

1511
01:11:23,160 --> 01:11:25,720
Speaker 1: around and said, well, hey, this bracket, I mean it's

1512
01:11:25,720 --> 01:11:27,040
Speaker 1: pretty set, so we know.

1513
01:11:27,080 --> 01:11:28,799
Speaker 2: Hypothetically who could play.

1514
01:11:29,040 --> 01:11:31,760
Speaker 1: They've already got the lines out, guys, So I am

1515
01:11:31,920 --> 01:11:34,000
Speaker 1: holding in my hand and you're seeing on your screen

1516
01:11:34,600 --> 01:11:38,040
Speaker 1: what the line would be if Georgia plays Boise Georgia

1517
01:11:38,040 --> 01:11:40,280
Speaker 1: minus twelve and a half. Well what if Georgia plays

1518
01:11:40,280 --> 01:11:43,040
Speaker 1: Penn State Georgia minus two and a half.

1519
01:11:43,439 --> 01:11:45,320
Speaker 2: But Georgia may not win.

1520
01:11:45,439 --> 01:11:48,599
Speaker 1: Josh, what if Notre Dame beats Georgia, Notre Dame would

1521
01:11:48,600 --> 01:11:51,120
Speaker 1: be an eleven and a half point favorite against Boise.

1522
01:11:51,920 --> 01:11:53,800
Speaker 1: Notre Dame would be a one and a half point

1523
01:11:53,880 --> 01:11:55,519
Speaker 1: favorite against Penn State.

1524
01:11:56,080 --> 01:11:58,240
Speaker 2: Well, Josh, what about what about the other side of

1525
01:11:58,280 --> 01:12:00,439
Speaker 2: the bracket. I thought you would add that.

1526
01:12:01,400 --> 01:12:03,880
Speaker 1: Texas if they beat Arizona State and they go on

1527
01:12:03,920 --> 01:12:05,080
Speaker 1: to face Oregon, who.

1528
01:12:05,040 --> 01:12:05,960
Speaker 2: Do you think would be favored?

1529
01:12:06,800 --> 01:12:10,479
Speaker 1: Texas short favorite one and a half points against Oregon.

1530
01:12:11,560 --> 01:12:14,519
Speaker 1: But what if Arizona State pulls the upset and it's

1531
01:12:14,520 --> 01:12:18,200
Speaker 1: Oregon versus Arizona State. That would be Oregon minus twelve

1532
01:12:18,200 --> 01:12:22,160
Speaker 1: and a half against Arizona State. And then your other possibilities.

1533
01:12:22,360 --> 01:12:26,800
Speaker 1: If it's Ohio State versus Texas, Ohio State favored by

1534
01:12:26,840 --> 01:12:29,639
Speaker 1: one and a half against Texas. And if it's Ohio

1535
01:12:29,720 --> 01:12:32,320
Speaker 1: State versus Arizona State, that's the biggest number out of

1536
01:12:32,320 --> 01:12:35,439
Speaker 1: all these. Ohio State would be about a thirteen and

1537
01:12:35,439 --> 01:12:40,040
Speaker 1: a half point favorite against Arizona State. So notice, yes, friends,

1538
01:12:40,080 --> 01:12:42,720
Speaker 1: because the format is jacked up, the teams that had

1539
01:12:42,720 --> 01:12:45,360
Speaker 1: the first round buys are the ones who would still

1540
01:12:45,360 --> 01:12:48,040
Speaker 1: be double digit underdogs even if they went to the

1541
01:12:48,040 --> 01:12:49,799
Speaker 1: next round, that's.

1542
01:12:49,560 --> 01:12:52,760
Speaker 2: Not their fault, it just is. So there you go.

1543
01:12:52,920 --> 01:12:55,200
Speaker 2: That's information from me to you, courtesy of FanDuel.

1544
01:12:55,600 --> 01:12:59,559
Speaker 1: Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB

1545
01:12:59,640 --> 01:13:02,639
Speaker 1: promote must be twenty one plus and present in select

1546
01:13:02,720 --> 01:13:06,559
Speaker 1: states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or

1547
01:13:06,720 --> 01:13:10,800
Speaker 1: eighteen plus and present in Washington, DC. First online real

1548
01:13:10,840 --> 01:13:15,679
Speaker 1: money wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued

1549
01:13:15,680 --> 01:13:19,320
Speaker 1: is non withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt.

1550
01:13:19,960 --> 01:13:21,360
Speaker 2: Do you have a gambling problem?

1551
01:13:21,840 --> 01:13:25,120
Speaker 1: If so, call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot

1552
01:13:25,160 --> 01:13:29,240
Speaker 1: com backslash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight

1553
01:13:29,400 --> 01:13:33,400
Speaker 1: nine seven seven seven seven, or visit CCPG dot org

1554
01:13:33,560 --> 01:13:37,880
Speaker 1: backslash chat in Connecticut, or visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org

1555
01:13:37,920 --> 01:13:42,479
Speaker 1: in Maryland. Hope is here, visit gambling Heelplinema dot org

1556
01:13:42,840 --> 01:13:45,479
Speaker 1: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for

1557
01:13:45,560 --> 01:13:48,760
Speaker 1: twenty four seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight

1558
01:13:48,800 --> 01:13:52,400
Speaker 1: seven seven eight Hope, n Y. Or text h op

1559
01:13:53,240 --> 01:13:56,400
Speaker 1: E n Y in New York. What I wanted to

1560
01:13:56,520 --> 01:14:01,960
Speaker 1: leave you with this early afternoon is busted. Bold predictions busted.

1561
01:14:01,960 --> 01:14:05,280
Speaker 1: Bold predictions are a wonderful thing because I have no

1562
01:14:05,360 --> 01:14:08,000
Speaker 1: skin in the game. It was all you. You guys

1563
01:14:08,200 --> 01:14:10,719
Speaker 1: had to come to me with bold predictions. In the summer.

1564
01:14:11,120 --> 01:14:13,679
Speaker 1: We recorded all of them. I put a boldness rating

1565
01:14:13,760 --> 01:14:17,479
Speaker 1: on them, and the ones that are successful, that's great,

1566
01:14:17,640 --> 01:14:19,880
Speaker 1: but that's not fun. The ones that are fun are

1567
01:14:19,920 --> 01:14:23,840
Speaker 1: the ones that crash into the countryside and burn into oblivion,

1568
01:14:24,520 --> 01:14:26,639
Speaker 1: only to be brought back up on the show months later.

1569
01:14:26,640 --> 01:14:27,120
Speaker 2: Here we go.

1570
01:14:27,479 --> 01:14:32,719
Speaker 1: First up, this was from Jeff and Calhoun Georgia. Georgia

1571
01:14:32,720 --> 01:14:35,439
Speaker 1: and Missouri will play two times this year. Now, this

1572
01:14:35,560 --> 01:14:39,040
Speaker 1: was noteworthy because Georgia and Missouri were not on each

1573
01:14:39,080 --> 01:14:41,559
Speaker 1: other's schedules in the regular season. So what Jeff was

1574
01:14:41,600 --> 01:14:44,160
Speaker 1: saying was they're going to play in Atlanta in the

1575
01:14:44,200 --> 01:14:47,200
Speaker 1: SEC title game already bold, and then they're gonna play

1576
01:14:47,200 --> 01:14:50,519
Speaker 1: in the playoff incredibly bold. I put a nine point

1577
01:14:50,560 --> 01:14:54,000
Speaker 1: seventy five on this one. Missouri was nowhere close to

1578
01:14:54,120 --> 01:14:57,400
Speaker 1: the SEC championship game Georgia got there, so this was

1579
01:14:57,439 --> 01:15:00,200
Speaker 1: already dead on arrival. Missouri got blown out by A

1580
01:15:00,240 --> 01:15:01,680
Speaker 1: and M and Obama on the road. They lost to

1581
01:15:01,720 --> 01:15:04,519
Speaker 1: South Carolina, so they didn't go to the playoff either.

1582
01:15:04,600 --> 01:15:07,400
Speaker 2: So that's that zero for one for Jeff.

1583
01:15:07,880 --> 01:15:11,800
Speaker 1: Next up, this one I was concerned about, but as

1584
01:15:11,840 --> 01:15:14,360
Speaker 1: it turns out, I didn't need to be. Lou from Piscataway,

1585
01:15:14,400 --> 01:15:18,160
Speaker 1: New Jersey said Rutgers will make the playoff. Right now,

1586
01:15:18,200 --> 01:15:21,920
Speaker 1: that sounds crazy. It still sounded kind of crazy in

1587
01:15:21,920 --> 01:15:25,720
Speaker 1: the summer, but remember what Indiana just did. People were

1588
01:15:25,760 --> 01:15:29,640
Speaker 1: thinking Rutgers may do. So Rutgers was the team with

1589
01:15:29,760 --> 01:15:33,000
Speaker 1: no Oregon, no Ohio State, no Penn State, no Michigan,

1590
01:15:33,080 --> 01:15:37,040
Speaker 1: no Iowa, and no Indiana on the schedule. And it's

1591
01:15:37,080 --> 01:15:39,720
Speaker 1: Greg Chiano and it's another year into the program. And

1592
01:15:39,800 --> 01:15:42,120
Speaker 1: so even I looked at it and I said, this

1593
01:15:42,160 --> 01:15:44,360
Speaker 1: is a nine point seventy five on the boldness scale,

1594
01:15:44,400 --> 01:15:48,599
Speaker 1: but it's not a ten. It could happen, man. Rutgers

1595
01:15:48,640 --> 01:15:51,599
Speaker 1: still just went seven and six. They started off four

1596
01:15:51,640 --> 01:15:54,200
Speaker 1: and oh, but then they lost four in a row.

1597
01:15:54,960 --> 01:15:58,320
Speaker 1: They lost five out of their next seven. So it

1598
01:15:58,439 --> 01:16:02,519
Speaker 1: started off promising, but Indiana ended up being what folks

1599
01:16:02,560 --> 01:16:05,800
Speaker 1: thought Rutgers may be. So this one crashed and burned

1600
01:16:05,840 --> 01:16:08,880
Speaker 1: as well. Next up, I only put a nine on

1601
01:16:08,920 --> 01:16:11,479
Speaker 1: this one, and this one was.

1602
01:16:13,160 --> 01:16:13,559
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1603
01:16:13,760 --> 01:16:15,559
Speaker 1: I didn't think this was I thought it was bold,

1604
01:16:15,600 --> 01:16:18,640
Speaker 1: but not crazy. Cayden from Prattville, Alabama. There will be

1605
01:16:18,720 --> 01:16:21,160
Speaker 1: two teams that play each other three times this year.

1606
01:16:23,200 --> 01:16:25,679
Speaker 1: Ohio State really messed you up, Caden, because if Ohio

1607
01:16:25,680 --> 01:16:28,439
Speaker 1: State had made the Big Ten Championship game, this could

1608
01:16:28,439 --> 01:16:32,800
Speaker 1: have happened. So Georgia Texas is the only matchup that

1609
01:16:32,920 --> 01:16:35,280
Speaker 1: could happen three times this year. They played in the

1610
01:16:35,280 --> 01:16:37,280
Speaker 1: regular season, they played an SEC championship game.

1611
01:16:37,640 --> 01:16:39,479
Speaker 2: Ohio State. Oregon played in the regular season.

1612
01:16:40,000 --> 01:16:41,960
Speaker 1: Ohio State, had they not lost to Michigan would have

1613
01:16:41,960 --> 01:16:44,160
Speaker 1: played Oregon a second time in the Big Ten Championship game.

1614
01:16:44,200 --> 01:16:45,320
Speaker 2: They'd both be in the playoff.

1615
01:16:45,320 --> 01:16:48,320
Speaker 1: At that point, it would be basically boiling down to

1616
01:16:48,960 --> 01:16:51,520
Speaker 1: are they in each other's bracket?

1617
01:16:51,600 --> 01:16:53,040
Speaker 2: Do they have to make it to the title game?

1618
01:16:53,080 --> 01:16:55,600
Speaker 1: Because see Georgia and Texas have to make it to

1619
01:16:55,640 --> 01:16:56,280
Speaker 1: the title game.

1620
01:16:56,320 --> 01:17:01,400
Speaker 2: That's the only time that they could play. So is

1621
01:17:01,400 --> 01:17:02,080
Speaker 2: that right, Colin?

1622
01:17:02,200 --> 01:17:03,720
Speaker 1: Or maybe they yeah, they face in the title game,

1623
01:17:03,760 --> 01:17:06,639
Speaker 1: or they don't face off at all. So this one

1624
01:17:06,720 --> 01:17:08,439
Speaker 1: was a nine. I only put a nine on that.

1625
01:17:08,560 --> 01:17:10,320
Speaker 1: I really thought we were gonna have at least one

1626
01:17:11,240 --> 01:17:15,040
Speaker 1: three for in the matchups this year, and it's early.

1627
01:17:15,560 --> 01:17:18,040
Speaker 1: It's very early on. That may end up being a norm.

1628
01:17:18,080 --> 01:17:20,360
Speaker 1: Maybe it's not, but it turns out. The better prediction

1629
01:17:20,840 --> 01:17:23,559
Speaker 1: would have been we will have no teams face off

1630
01:17:23,600 --> 01:17:27,600
Speaker 1: three times, cause it was conventional knowledge. It is a

1631
01:17:27,640 --> 01:17:30,800
Speaker 1: conventional logic that that was gonna happen at least once,

1632
01:17:31,120 --> 01:17:32,559
Speaker 1: So that would have been the Boulder prediction.

1633
01:17:33,800 --> 01:17:34,679
Speaker 2: Good misses.

1634
01:17:35,160 --> 01:17:37,120
Speaker 1: We love a good miss around here, love a good

1635
01:17:37,160 --> 01:17:38,639
Speaker 1: miss all right, appreciate you guys.

1636
01:17:39,320 --> 01:17:40,800
Speaker 2: This was an earlier show than usual.

1637
01:17:40,840 --> 01:17:42,160
Speaker 1: I assume a lot of people are gonna show up

1638
01:17:42,240 --> 01:17:45,280
Speaker 1: later today and say, what's happening? Why is this replay

1639
01:17:45,320 --> 01:17:48,160
Speaker 1: six hours old? Well, we had travel. I don't know

1640
01:17:48,160 --> 01:17:49,120
Speaker 1: what to tell you. We had travel.

1641
01:17:49,160 --> 01:17:50,679
Speaker 2: I want to be out in Pasadena this week.

1642
01:17:51,520 --> 01:17:56,800
Speaker 1: I may do a podcast only. I may drop you

1643
01:17:56,840 --> 01:17:59,680
Speaker 1: a male bagtist. We're not doing another show like this

1644
01:17:59,760 --> 01:18:01,720
Speaker 1: until Thursday. We'll be back in Nashville.

1645
01:18:01,960 --> 01:18:04,280
Speaker 2: We're gonna REDI back from LA We'll be back in Nashville.

1646
01:18:04,320 --> 01:18:05,880
Speaker 2: So Thursday show normal.

1647
01:18:06,520 --> 01:18:10,040
Speaker 1: May have something extra for you during the week, no promises.

1648
01:18:10,200 --> 01:18:12,519
Speaker 1: Stay tuned. Thank you guys so much. Make sure you

1649
01:18:12,520 --> 01:18:13,960
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel on the pot. If you're not

1650
01:18:14,000 --> 01:18:16,840
Speaker 1: already for direct column producer Jesse, I'm Josh Fate take here,

1651
01:18:16,920 --> 01:18:28,799
Speaker 1: have a great start to your week and God bless.

1652
01:18:31,280 --> 01:18:35,799
Speaker 1: Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB promotion.

1653
01:18:36,120 --> 01:18:38,799
Speaker 1: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states

1654
01:18:39,040 --> 01:18:42,879
Speaker 1: for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen

1655
01:18:42,880 --> 01:18:46,760
Speaker 1: plus and present in Washington, DC. First online real money

1656
01:18:46,800 --> 01:18:51,439
Speaker 1: wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is

1657
01:18:51,560 --> 01:18:54,920
Speaker 1: non withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt.

1658
01:18:55,600 --> 01:18:58,360
Speaker 1: Do you have a gambling problem if so called one

1659
01:18:58,360 --> 01:19:02,240
Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com backslash r

1660
01:19:02,320 --> 01:19:05,639
Speaker 1: G call one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven

1661
01:19:05,760 --> 01:19:10,240
Speaker 1: seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat

1662
01:19:10,240 --> 01:19:14,240
Speaker 1: in Connecticut, or visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.

1663
01:19:14,640 --> 01:19:18,160
Speaker 1: Hope is here, visit Gambling Heelpline m A dot org

1664
01:19:18,520 --> 01:19:21,160
Speaker 1: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for

1665
01:19:21,240 --> 01:19:24,439
Speaker 1: twenty four seven support in Massachusetts, or call one eight

1666
01:19:24,479 --> 01:19:27,920
Speaker 1: seven seven eight Hope, n Y. Or text h O

1667
01:19:28,040 --> 01:19:30,599
Speaker 1: P E n Y. In New York