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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: Better than Most, Better than Most, Better than.

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Speaker 3: Most, Winna trick your down, you got real telling, don't

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Speaker 3: concentrate on golf.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the Golf Edition. This

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Speaker 4: is your host, Colin Wilson. Your regular hosts of Jason

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Speaker 4: Soble and Justin Ray are both out this week for

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Speaker 4: our Rocket Mortgage Classic Betting preview, So instead you get

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Speaker 4: a little bit of me and you get Action Network

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Speaker 4: contributor Joshua Perry, one of the sharpest golf betters in

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Speaker 4: the world, but you know, inside the Action Network slack

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Speaker 4: we kind ofly refer to him as Corn Ferry Tour

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Speaker 4: as Corn Perry because he hands out so much winners

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Speaker 4: and free money for us. Josh, how's it going tonight?

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Speaker 5: It's going good. I can't believe they would take Rocket

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Speaker 5: Mortgage week off with this field. Everything's loaded.

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Speaker 4: Let's go, yeah, And who doesn't want to play a

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Speaker 4: Donald Ross course with forgiving ob right? I mean it's like,

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Speaker 4: I mean this, I think this is the shortest rough

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Speaker 4: I've ever read is going on at Detroit Golf Club.

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Speaker 4: We'll get into that. As a reminder, all odds on

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Speaker 4: today's show are courtesy of bet MGM, the official odds

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Speaker 4: provider of the Action Network podcast. Before we get to

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Speaker 4: the leaderboard, I think it's worth talking about Detroit Golf

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Speaker 4: Club itself. This is the third time the tour will

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Speaker 4: come through, with Nate Lashley posting a minus twenty five

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Speaker 4: and twenty nineteen. Bryson d Chambeau last year a minus

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Speaker 4: twenty three. The course measures just over seventy three hundred yards.

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Speaker 4: It is a Donald Ross design, and if you're new

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Speaker 4: to that term, like what does that mean? Small angled

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Speaker 4: elevated greens, you're gonna hear terms used such as volcano

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Speaker 4: par threes, switchbacks, which screws shitty golfers up like myself,

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Speaker 4: who can only move a ball from left to right.

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Speaker 4: A switchback is where the faraway will go left and

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Speaker 4: right or right and left. But when you also have

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Speaker 4: an apex that goes over like one hundred feet, you

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Speaker 4: can just smash the ball and go over all the trees.

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Speaker 4: So the overall feel is that the bomber's bomb away

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Speaker 4: here because the rough is essentially not rough. But Josh,

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Speaker 4: would you agree that? Like Nate Lashley post of minus

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Speaker 4: twenty five, Bryson posts of minus twenty three, there really

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Speaker 4: isn't a characteristic here to center on.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, No, it's just kind of whoever catches a hot putter.

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Speaker 5: You got to figure somebody's going to need to make

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Speaker 5: probably twenty five thirty birdies this week, so you can

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Speaker 5: kind of eliminate some of those ball strikers we fall

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Speaker 5: in love with who just never make putts because you

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Speaker 5: really trust it's finding there on course just where you

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Speaker 5: can go like ten, twelve, fifteen hunder, but you really

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Speaker 5: trust them to make twenty five buts this week, it's like,

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Speaker 5: I don't know, so kind of just go with the

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Speaker 5: super elite drivers and that skill set, or you just

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Speaker 5: back of hot putter and hope they maybe find me.

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Speaker 4: Irons this week, I feel like you're subtweeting Will zeal Taurus,

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Speaker 4: a guy that can rock it with his irons, and

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Speaker 4: I think his putter. I'm not sure if he's actually

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Speaker 4: using a putter on the green anymore. It's a part

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Speaker 4: of his game that I know that he's got to

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Speaker 4: get back to work on. Let's start at the top

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Speaker 4: of the betting board from bet MGM Bryson plus seven

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Speaker 4: to fifty, Patrick Reid fourteen to one, Headecki and Websenson

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Speaker 4: eighteen to one. Let's start with the elephant on the

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Speaker 4: tea box, that is Bryson d. Chambeau. His betting and

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Speaker 4: DFS prices are deserved after what happened last year. But

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Speaker 4: how do you feel about how Bryson is heading into

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Speaker 4: Detroit this year versus how he was heading into it

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Speaker 4: last year in twenty twenty.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, his form was a little better last year. He's

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Speaker 5: coming off three straight top tens heading end this year.

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Speaker 5: He hasn't really been in contention much outside the US Open.

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Speaker 5: He was where he was leading with like nine holes left,

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Speaker 5: so I mean the form's not as good, but still

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Speaker 5: with how he sets up here, if he's just gonna

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Speaker 5: go and bomb, and if the putter's good, then he's

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Speaker 5: obviously fine and seven fit. Like I don't bet favorites,

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Speaker 5: but if somebody just dropped the hammer on Bryce and

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Speaker 5: I would understand, Like, it's not my style, but some

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Speaker 5: people out there makes that play. And this is one

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Speaker 5: of those few weeks where I think you might be

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Speaker 5: able to get away with it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree, And I think it's because of the

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Speaker 4: course forgiveness, especially if you're gonna do, you know, act

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Speaker 4: like Hulk smash, and you're just gonna smash everything over

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Speaker 4: every tree line, and you're gonna not you know, you're

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Speaker 4: gonna get relief in some of the rough and the

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Speaker 4: first second third cuts. You know, Bryce is just going

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Speaker 4: to continue to float over these bunkers and these traps

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Speaker 4: that Donald Ross had designed. So you know, I can't

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Speaker 4: justify the price. I don't think I've ever layed a

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Speaker 4: golf price like that, But I think one golfer we

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Speaker 4: need to talk about because there's just there's this negative

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Speaker 4: reaction to Webb Simpson right now. He's listed it eighteen

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Speaker 4: to one. You know, an interesting name here. He's considered

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Speaker 4: one of those Donald Ross specialists, like a brand snetecker.

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Speaker 4: But Webb's been hurt as of late, and I'm torn

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Speaker 4: on whether is he continuing to play hurt or is

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Speaker 4: he playing himself back into form. Do you have an

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Speaker 4: opinion on him?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I usually just stay away from guys

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Speaker 5: when they've been hurt if they don't have anything to

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Speaker 5: really any sort of sign. I haven't seen anything from Web.

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Speaker 5: He hasn't really been playing. I think he's only played

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Speaker 5: like twice in the last two or three months, so

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Speaker 5: without I'm not going to lay. It's tough for me.

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Speaker 5: I have to see something to really dip into that

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Speaker 5: start part of the card. Like for me to risk

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Speaker 5: it on eighteen to one on a guy I don't

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Speaker 5: even know if he's healthy, Like, if something goes wrong,

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Speaker 5: he's gonna pull out against he withdrew for well Hollow already,

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Speaker 5: and that's one of his hometown spots. So it's just

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Speaker 5: it's really tough for me to get back anyone in

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Speaker 5: the eighteen to one range just in general. That's not

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Speaker 5: really where I start my card in most weeks. And

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Speaker 5: so for just to risk it on an injured guy,

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Speaker 5: it's like, it's just not something I'm looking to do.

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Speaker 5: I don't really want to go in your web. If

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Speaker 5: he wins it all, I mean, he's good enough to like,

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Speaker 5: if the game is fine, then sure, there's nothing wrong

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Speaker 5: with the course, there's nothing wrong with how he sets

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Speaker 5: up here. It's just there's just no reason for me

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Speaker 5: to risk it at that price.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and I think that you know, if you're any

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Speaker 4: kind of golf or whatsoever, if a part of you

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Speaker 4: is hurting, whether it's neck or it's knees or it's hips,

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Speaker 4: your swing change is just a little bit, and it's

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Speaker 4: hard to bet on somebody, especially this price. I remember

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Speaker 4: we we had such love for Ricky Fowler a year

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Speaker 4: ago and he was having a little change in his swing.

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Speaker 4: We're going to get to Ricky here a little bit

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Speaker 4: because he had a lot of cold water thrown on

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Speaker 4: him last week after everybody I think had a ticket

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Speaker 4: on him. But if we look at some of the

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Speaker 4: mid tier guys, we'll talk about Jason Kokraak, Walkie Neeman,

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Speaker 4: Matthew Wolf. They're all at twenty five to one. Wolf

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Speaker 4: had some success here before. I think the wheels had

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Speaker 4: kind of fallen off the last few weeks with his game.

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Speaker 4: Jason Day at twenty eight to one. We don't know

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Speaker 4: the health status. That's been the same for most of it,

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Speaker 4: seems like most of his recent career, all of his career.

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Speaker 4: And Kevin Kissner is in at thirty three to one

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Speaker 4: out of that group. I'm a huge Kissinger fan. He's

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Speaker 4: coming in hot from recent form. He finished third last

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Speaker 4: time here at Detroit Golf Club. Do you have any

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Speaker 4: names in that range that are worth mentioning?

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Speaker 5: I and kind of steering clear of this range too,

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Speaker 5: but yeah, I like Kisner coming in and then thirty

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Speaker 5: three to one just wasn't what I was looking for.

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Speaker 5: I just kind of remember like he was eighties nineties,

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Speaker 5: like three four weeks ago, and then he has one

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Speaker 5: good week at Travelers, comes into this place with all

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Speaker 5: the eyes gone, the number just completely crashes. So that

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Speaker 5: was I was kind of hoping he would slip through

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Speaker 5: the cracks, maybe be in that fifty sixty six to

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Speaker 5: one range kind of with guys like the Seawoopkins or

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Speaker 5: the Grillos of the world, and it just didn't didn't happen,

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Speaker 5: so they were they kind of took the fun away there.

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Speaker 5: Jason Day potentially, I mean, he's kind of showed some

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Speaker 5: glimpses finally it's been a while, that's probably, and he's

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Speaker 5: another guy he hits it a long way when he's helped,

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Speaker 5: and he puts it really well when he's going, So

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Speaker 5: he's kind of one of the guys who could potentially

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Speaker 5: fill that Bomber Putter sort of combo that's worked out

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Speaker 5: last year.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and I think we're all kind of waiting on that.

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Speaker 4: And that number for Jason Day is always going to

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Speaker 4: float like from forty to twenty five to one, because

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Speaker 4: you never clearly know the health status even mid round, right,

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Speaker 4: I mean, he could be leading and then all of

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Speaker 4: a sudden he's in the pine needles stretching. You never know.

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Speaker 4: So will z Altaurus is a name that at least

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Speaker 4: I was pretty hot on for a while. But the putter,

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Speaker 4: you know, he's the putter has to be working to

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Speaker 4: keep up with the scoring here. So I'm going to

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Speaker 4: go farther down the board. Ricky Fowler fifty to one, Higgo,

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Speaker 4: Garret Higgo at sixty to one, and the ultimate f

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Speaker 4: bomb Goat, Harold Varner the third comes in at eighty

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Speaker 4: to one. Even at this price, fifty to one on Ricky.

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Speaker 4: I don't know where I started buying on him, because

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Speaker 4: it just seems like time after time, once some things

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Speaker 4: get put together, he gets, you know, astronomically priced, the

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Speaker 4: public gets behind him, and then you know, we have

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Speaker 4: what we had last week at the Travelers. So is

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Speaker 4: there a name in this group that you can get behind?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, you kind of mentioned a good chunk of my card.

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Speaker 5: Higgo is the only guy I really bet him up there.

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Speaker 5: He opened at sixty is down fifty forty range now

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Speaker 5: in most places. But I didn't understand that number at all, Like,

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Speaker 5: I mean, he won a couple of weeks ago. He's

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Speaker 5: been on a heater in Europe. He's won three times

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Speaker 5: in last year, like the dude wins tournaments, and he's

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Speaker 5: We've been backing him since back in the South Africa

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Speaker 5: days we won the Sunshine Door Championship, Like we hit

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Speaker 5: him back there like this, he's got on a three

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Speaker 5: continent run here now over the last two years. Like

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Speaker 5: I don't get the pricing in this field because he

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Speaker 5: was he was less. Like there were books that opened

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Speaker 5: with him at thirty three to one when he woned Palmetto,

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Speaker 5: Like that's why I didn't write him up, like I

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Speaker 5: liked him there, but it was just like thirty three

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Speaker 5: forty to one wasn't my wasn't my cup of tea

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Speaker 5: that week, And so for him to win that event

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Speaker 5: and then come in here with a bigger number, I mean, yeah,

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Speaker 5: he missed the cut last week at Travelers, but that's

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Speaker 5: really a shorter course and he's a price and light

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Speaker 5: where he just hits them all three fifty and puts

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Speaker 5: them really, really well. He's one of the best putters

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Speaker 5: in Europe, and so he kind of fits that mold

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Speaker 5: that we've seen and for that price. Like I said,

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Speaker 5: he missed the cut at Travelers. For the reason was

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Speaker 5: because he lost like four strokes around the game on

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Speaker 5: the round the greens. He gained on approach, He gained

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Speaker 5: them with the driver, and he gained with the putter.

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Speaker 5: So for him to just plummet it's it made no sense.

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Speaker 5: It was the one number that suck out. It's like,

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Speaker 5: I mean, I could bet Grillo who's got one win

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Speaker 5: in five years, or I could bet Higgo who's got

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Speaker 5: one win in five events, like they're the same price.

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Speaker 5: Like it just didn't it makes sense to me. And

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Speaker 5: then you also mentioned Barner's on my card randomly. He

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Speaker 5: doesn't really fit the mold of what I'm looking for,

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Speaker 5: but he just always pops up in the numbers I'm

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Speaker 5: looking at. It's kind of the guy who shows up

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Speaker 5: like every week something like really dialed in. He gains

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Speaker 5: like four strokes with approach one week, and then the

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Speaker 5: next week it's like four strokes with the driver, and

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Speaker 5: it's like, oh, he gained five strokes putting this week,

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Speaker 5: and it's like, just just put it together like one week.

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Speaker 5: If he ever does it he's gonna win by like five.

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Speaker 5: I think it's probably gonna happen like once or twice

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Speaker 5: in his career where he just everything just aligns and

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Speaker 5: then he wins like this type of event, whether it's

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Speaker 5: this one or something in the fall swing or something

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Speaker 5: about like five shots, and so that's kind of how

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Speaker 5: I view him. So, yeah, he's on my card this

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Speaker 5: week too. Again, I don't mind backing him in these

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Speaker 5: weaker fields at like eighty to one hundred to one range,

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Speaker 5: like and try to catch lightning in a bottle, because

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Speaker 5: I know everything's kind of there on some days, and

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Speaker 5: so it's really just like waiting for everything to line

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Speaker 5: up for Harold.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and I'm gonna back up Garrek hego here. I

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Speaker 4: really like that number because what's his you know, in

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Speaker 4: long term end and recent form, if you look at him,

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Speaker 4: the one thing that he struggles with is driving accuracy

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Speaker 4: doesn't matter here, right, I mean you mentioned it's kind

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Speaker 4: of like, you know, Bryson Lighter, the poor man's Bryson

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Speaker 4: here with the number, and what he has been good

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Speaker 4: at is if you look at all of the guys

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Speaker 4: long term form, Strokes gained approach out of everybody in

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Speaker 4: this field. He ranked sixth right now, So I mean

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Speaker 4: there's You're right, the names of Grio up there, Hideki

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Speaker 4: Matsiyama and will z al Taurus or some other guys

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Speaker 4: in strokes gained approach that are better than Garret Higo.

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Speaker 4: But Higo, I mean absolutely this number should be played

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Speaker 4: and and BETTEMGM is offering sixty to one on that,

256
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Speaker 4: So that's a good one to go with. We're going

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Speaker 4: to go to a tier that's a little bit more

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Speaker 4: outside of that. You know, we have Doug Gimmon, Kramer

259
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Speaker 4: Hiccock at eighty to one. We have Sepstraka Chez Reevey

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Speaker 4: at one hundred to one. Personally, I'm a fan of

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Speaker 4: fading golfers the week after they lose a playoff, especially

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Speaker 4: in matchups, and especially when you lose an eight hole playoff.

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Speaker 4: So Kramer Hiccock matchups that he's in, I've you know,

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Speaker 4: been going through books and taking the other side of

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Speaker 4: him in certain matchups. Is there a name in this

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Speaker 4: range that you might see any kind of value on?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I bet a couple of those guys I have

268
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Speaker 5: reve and substrac Substoc was one of the guys I

269
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Speaker 5: was kind of hoping for a bigger number than one

270
00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:20,920
Speaker 5: hundred because he just hasn't been playing that great lately.

271
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Speaker 5: But then he popped up at the Travelers. I think

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Speaker 5: he finished like tenth, and then he also has an

273
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Speaker 5: eighth and eleventh here, so he's like the one guy

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Speaker 5: in this range who's like coming in playing all right,

275
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Speaker 5: and also has played well here both times. So he's

276
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Speaker 5: going to be super popular, whether it's like DFS or

277
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Speaker 5: betting or anything like that, just because anybody who looks

278
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Speaker 5: at the course form is going to bet him, anybody

279
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Speaker 5: who looks at like last week's numbers, because he was

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Speaker 5: one of the top five or six guys I think

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Speaker 5: an approach, he was really high up there, so and

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Speaker 5: that's what a lot of people like to look at.

283
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Speaker 5: So he's gonna be very popular and one hundred to one,

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Speaker 5: like I was kind of hoping, like I figured he

285
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Speaker 5: would open maybe at like one p fifty if we're lucky,

286
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Speaker 5: and eventually get bet down into the seventy five or

287
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Speaker 5: in just because everyone would tack him on as a

288
00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:06,120
Speaker 5: long shot, and they just kind of opened within there,

289
00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:07,679
Speaker 5: which kind of took a little of the fun out

290
00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:11,200
Speaker 5: of it. But yeah, sepstrac Is. I mean, he's not

291
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Speaker 5: very often he's on my car, but we'll we'll we'll

292
00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:15,680
Speaker 5: try to go back to back with the with the

293
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Speaker 5: Georgia Bulldogs after Harris English one last week and then

294
00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:21,840
Speaker 5: and then we'll I also have a chance with you

295
00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:23,920
Speaker 5: do they mentioned there. I just kind of looked at

296
00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:26,360
Speaker 5: the leaderboards there, and like we mentioned Nate Lashley, We've

297
00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:28,079
Speaker 5: also seen kids and he play well here. We've seen

298
00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:31,120
Speaker 5: Adam Habrain play working all here, and and Chez is

299
00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:34,120
Speaker 5: that same type of golfer where it's he's just accurate

300
00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:37,360
Speaker 5: off the tee, just kind of puts the ball in play,

301
00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:40,800
Speaker 5: hits the irons well, and then randomly he catches hot putter,

302
00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:42,160
Speaker 5: Like you know, he's gonna find a lot of the

303
00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,920
Speaker 5: dreens usually, and if that putter gets going, then he

304
00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:46,400
Speaker 5: can lap a field. We saw it a couple of

305
00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:48,200
Speaker 5: years ago at the Travelers where he just ran away

306
00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:50,840
Speaker 5: one by five. Doesn't happen often for him, but but

307
00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:53,000
Speaker 5: when it does, he can win a field like this

308
00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:55,600
Speaker 5: where there's just no one's really here. It's just a

309
00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:57,960
Speaker 5: few big guys at the top, and then a bunch

310
00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:00,000
Speaker 5: of the rest of these guys are all pretty similar

311
00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,400
Speaker 5: to each other, so I take a shot with him

312
00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:02,800
Speaker 5: as well.

313
00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, And I think what we need to mention is,

314
00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,160
Speaker 4: like some of the guys in this range, you need

315
00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:09,720
Speaker 4: to look if you're from a DFS perspective, you always

316
00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:11,880
Speaker 4: want to have in the back of your mind ownership.

317
00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:14,360
Speaker 4: If you can look at a name like Grio or

318
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:18,240
Speaker 4: Fantasy Labs, projected ownership is, you know, sixteen percent, that's

319
00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:22,080
Speaker 4: very very high. Straka four percent of lineups are going.

320
00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:22,480
Speaker 5: To own it.

321
00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:25,400
Speaker 4: So you know, you want to avoid guys, you know,

322
00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:28,080
Speaker 4: if you're building a DFS lineup that have mass ownership,

323
00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:31,360
Speaker 4: because when they score well, everybody else scores well, right,

324
00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:33,440
Speaker 4: So you want to get somebody that may not be

325
00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:36,560
Speaker 4: known in some of these lineups. And I think Straca

326
00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:39,760
Speaker 4: kind of fits the bill there. We're gonna move We're

327
00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:41,680
Speaker 4: gonna move on from the long shot odds, and we're

328
00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,480
Speaker 4: going to go with a first round leader. Bet. I

329
00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,920
Speaker 4: think it's important to mention the weather Detroit is basically

330
00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:51,960
Speaker 4: a flood zone right now. Thursday is just rain expected

331
00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:55,840
Speaker 4: all day, double digit wins. I mean that gives me

332
00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:57,560
Speaker 4: a little bit of pause here because when I look

333
00:14:57,640 --> 00:14:59,360
Speaker 4: at the first round from the last two years, I

334
00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:02,360
Speaker 4: think sixty f sixty five were the maybe the winning numbers,

335
00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:05,440
Speaker 4: but I mean were really low numbers, and you're gonna

336
00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:07,800
Speaker 4: have to score that much to win this tournament. I

337
00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:10,720
Speaker 4: think if there's any rain coming down, I think that

338
00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:13,520
Speaker 4: favors the guys that are able to go straight at

339
00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:16,680
Speaker 4: the flagstick with their irons and maybe not so worried

340
00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,440
Speaker 4: worry about the guys with bad putters at the very beginning,

341
00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:21,520
Speaker 4: because you know, they can go straight at the flagstick

342
00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:23,520
Speaker 4: and not have to worry about it bouncing off of

343
00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:26,320
Speaker 4: Donald Ross green that's like the size of a living

344
00:15:26,400 --> 00:15:30,080
Speaker 4: room a rug and rolling off the back. So you know,

345
00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:32,160
Speaker 4: is there anything from a first round leader bet that.

346
00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:35,760
Speaker 5: You have not really? I mean the guy I tend

347
00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:37,360
Speaker 5: to just look at early tea times. I mean, you

348
00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:39,920
Speaker 5: usually get better greens, you're usually and unless there's like

349
00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:43,040
Speaker 5: a big weather draw, which I didn't see too much

350
00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:44,720
Speaker 5: over look, like the wind was probably gonna pick up

351
00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:46,720
Speaker 5: a little bit in the afternoon, but nothing that was

352
00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:50,160
Speaker 5: devastating to the draw, But just kind of looking early

353
00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:52,600
Speaker 5: I was looking at Patrick Rodgers, who seemed to have

354
00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:56,400
Speaker 5: some The irons are in better shape than they usually are.

355
00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:58,720
Speaker 5: And he's one of those guys who just puts it

356
00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:00,920
Speaker 5: really well all the time, it seems like so. And

357
00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,120
Speaker 5: he's played well up in this area too. I know

358
00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,280
Speaker 5: he's had some good success at the John Deere at times,

359
00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,200
Speaker 5: So just kind of one of those Upper Midwest. He's

360
00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:10,680
Speaker 5: a California guy, but he's had some good results up

361
00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,520
Speaker 5: in this kind of part of the country. And again,

362
00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:15,360
Speaker 5: early tea times, I think he's in that hundred to

363
00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,440
Speaker 5: one range, and that's what always the guys that kind

364
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,760
Speaker 5: of get drawn to just early tea times, hopefully they

365
00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:21,880
Speaker 5: catch a hot round and we can kind of see

366
00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:22,760
Speaker 5: what happens from them.

367
00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:26,120
Speaker 4: Yeah. Absolutely, you want to take guys in morning rounds,

368
00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:28,880
Speaker 4: especially if you can find matchups where you can get

369
00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:31,200
Speaker 4: somebody in the morning versus somebody in the afternoon, because

370
00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:33,840
Speaker 4: you always want a clean green, a clean fairway. You

371
00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:36,440
Speaker 4: don't want, you know, chunks missing out of everywhere you're

372
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,600
Speaker 4: hitting out of. For me, I'm gonna go with Kevin Kissner.

373
00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:41,640
Speaker 4: This is a guy that finished third last year in

374
00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:43,640
Speaker 4: this tournament. He's coming into this hot. He shot around

375
00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:47,600
Speaker 4: one sixty five the year before, he shot around one

376
00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:50,880
Speaker 4: sixty six, So you know, I think at the number

377
00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:52,840
Speaker 4: that he's being listed at. There's definitely some value for

378
00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:55,360
Speaker 4: first round leader on Kevin Kissner.

379
00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:00,640
Speaker 2: This is Action Network podcast producer Matt Mitchell here to

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408
00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:23,000
Speaker 2: for listening. Now back to the show.

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00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:26,840
Speaker 4: All right, now, it's time for us to build our

410
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:28,600
Speaker 4: weekly DFS lineup.

411
00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:33,320
Speaker 1: We want to be a DFS millionaire. You're just one

412
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:34,200
Speaker 1: lineup away.

413
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 3: We're gonna go Nosinos with him, and you're gonna play

414
00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:38,440
Speaker 3: better than you ever dreamed of.

415
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 2: God dell it, that's what I have, Marin of you.

416
00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:43,320
Speaker 1: So let's get drafting.

417
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,679
Speaker 4: So Josh, you being the expert, and basically when you

418
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,520
Speaker 4: start talking about Harris English and Georgia golfers. I want

419
00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:54,240
Speaker 4: to go and bet SEC football pretty badly. I'm gonna

420
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:57,240
Speaker 4: let you go last. I'm gonna go first to dfscas.

421
00:18:57,680 --> 00:18:59,800
Speaker 4: I'm gonna let you anchor us, and I'm not gonna

422
00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,400
Speaker 4: spend the whole lot of money. I don't. I mean,

423
00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:03,680
Speaker 4: the Bryson number is just I think out of control.

424
00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:06,880
Speaker 4: His ownership is going to be over twenty percent in DFS.

425
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:08,840
Speaker 4: I think it's a name that you've absolutely got to avoid,

426
00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:10,560
Speaker 4: even though he might win it. I mean, you can

427
00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:12,960
Speaker 4: win a DFS pot by taking the guys that finished

428
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,760
Speaker 4: second through seventh. I mean you don't necessarily have to

429
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:17,520
Speaker 4: back Bryson here, and I think with his ownership, you

430
00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:19,960
Speaker 4: got to stay away from him. I'm going to start

431
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:23,000
Speaker 4: off with bow Hostler. He's coming into this tenth off

432
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:26,280
Speaker 4: of the Travelers, nineteenth off of Palmetto. His game is,

433
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:28,240
Speaker 4: you know, playing well at the right time, and he

434
00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,720
Speaker 4: kind of, you know, fills the need we of what

435
00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,119
Speaker 4: we're looking for here. There's nothing really bad about his

436
00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,679
Speaker 4: game lately. His scramble percentages, his putts per round, his

437
00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:39,320
Speaker 4: driving accuracy is driving distance has been over three hundred.

438
00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:41,520
Speaker 4: He was at an average distance of three twenty fourth

439
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:45,440
Speaker 4: of palmetto. His GIR percentage has been above sixty five

440
00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:48,840
Speaker 4: percent the last few times he's played, So you can

441
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,760
Speaker 4: start me off with a cheap play and probably a

442
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:53,200
Speaker 4: low owned bow hostler.

443
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:56,639
Speaker 5: Yeah, you got to take everything I do DFS with

444
00:19:56,680 --> 00:19:59,560
Speaker 5: a grain of salt out here in Arizona for eagerly

445
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:02,040
Speaker 5: waiting for September to roll around and all that stuff's

446
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:05,280
Speaker 5: supposed to be unleashed before the football season gets here.

447
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,200
Speaker 5: But yeah, it's kind of what I'm seeing there. If

448
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:11,200
Speaker 5: you don't want to go to Shambo at the top,

449
00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:14,000
Speaker 5: I'd probably dip down to maybe like the walking Namon area.

450
00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:18,840
Speaker 5: He's like ninety eight hundred again, bass striker. Is he

451
00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:21,400
Speaker 5: gonna catch a hot powder? We'll see soft greens. Maybe

452
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:23,440
Speaker 5: he's just dialed in this week it's everything to five

453
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:25,679
Speaker 5: feet and makes a few of them, but he usually,

454
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 5: I mean he's only missed one cut all year long.

455
00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 5: Like he's a very safe play for the most part,

456
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:35,120
Speaker 5: and with a weaker field, and in an event where

457
00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,159
Speaker 5: he can kind of just dial it in, then I

458
00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:40,000
Speaker 5: could see him having some value over some of those

459
00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:41,800
Speaker 5: other guys ahead of him, like I don't see why

460
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,720
Speaker 5: he would be behind will Z aalet Taurus. I don't

461
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,480
Speaker 5: see why he'd be any worse than Web Simpson if

462
00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:49,359
Speaker 5: Simpson's not healthy. And then he's in that same range

463
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 5: with some JM who's really been struggling. So I mean,

464
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:55,840
Speaker 5: in that sort of mid nine mid nine thousands, low

465
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,399
Speaker 5: ten thousands range, I could see him being a pretty

466
00:20:58,400 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 5: solid play.

467
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna stay back and I'm going to go

468
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:03,480
Speaker 4: with who we talked about. I'm going to take Garrett Higgo,

469
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:07,720
Speaker 4: and I just like the price that we're getting for

470
00:21:07,840 --> 00:21:10,159
Speaker 4: a player that is, you know, gonna try to do

471
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 4: what Bryson does. And except this is a guy that

472
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:14,800
Speaker 4: has is coming in, you know, hot, It doesn't matter

473
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 4: what continent he's playing on. He's hot right now, and

474
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:20,560
Speaker 4: he's coming into this to win it. And I don't

475
00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 4: care about his driving accuracy because you can make mistakes

476
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:26,040
Speaker 4: here and easily recover from them. So you can count

477
00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,320
Speaker 4: me in at Garrett Higgo being in our DFS lineup.

478
00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, And then I'm going to go kind of back

479
00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,199
Speaker 5: where you were looking with Kidsner at eighty five hundred.

480
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:35,879
Speaker 5: Just in that mid play, he seems like this course

481
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 5: he's coming in off a good week at the Travelers,

482
00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:39,600
Speaker 5: like everything's just kind of lying up. They'll probably be

483
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:43,239
Speaker 5: popular in that range, but he's usually a pretty safe guy,

484
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 5: especially in these lower tier events where there's where it's

485
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:49,920
Speaker 5: not a long course that requires distance. Yeah, the bombers

486
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:51,240
Speaker 5: love it here because they can just kind of go

487
00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 5: at it, but it's not a course where you have

488
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,200
Speaker 5: to vombit to be successful, as we've seen in the past.

489
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 5: So it's a place he sets up fine and he's

490
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 5: playing well. So and then that price range there where

491
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,840
Speaker 5: he's kind of in between guys like Max Homa who's

492
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 5: been hit and miss and Gary Woodland who's been all

493
00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 5: over the place. He's cheaper than Ricky Fowler, who's been

494
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 5: all over the place. I think he's a pretty safe

495
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:11,600
Speaker 5: play in that range.

496
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 4: Okay, so we're in our last picks. This is the

497
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:17,200
Speaker 4: fifth pick for our DFS lineup, and I'm going to

498
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,239
Speaker 4: take a name further on down the board who I

499
00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 4: love because he is one of these guys that can,

500
00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 4: you know, drive it three hundred. His driving accuracy not

501
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 4: as good as you know most others, but he's hot

502
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,359
Speaker 4: right now and that's shamous power. This is somebody that

503
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:33,200
Speaker 4: finished twelfth here at this tournament last year Detroit Golf Club,

504
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:37,400
Speaker 4: and he comes into this nineteenth at the Travelers nineteenth

505
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,360
Speaker 4: at the Palmeadow ninth at the Byron Nelson. I mean,

506
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,880
Speaker 4: there's what's not to like about Seamus Power another guy

507
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 4: that was you know, corn Ferry Tour. I think I

508
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,000
Speaker 4: believe I laid a little bit of money on him

509
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:52,119
Speaker 4: throughout his career. So I mean, is that said, what

510
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 4: do you think about Shamus Power at probably I'm not

511
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:56,640
Speaker 4: even sure if he's going to be owned by even

512
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:57,240
Speaker 4: two percent.

513
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, he's he was a late as he got in

514
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 5: I think it was today or yesterday, so he's he's

515
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 5: he wasn't originally in the field, so that could help

516
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:10,280
Speaker 5: a little bit. Some of the models may not have

517
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 5: him populating in there because of that, so he could

518
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 5: fly unto the radar a little bit. But yeah, like

519
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:19,880
Speaker 5: you're saying, those those lesser tier events where the big

520
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 5: names aren't there, he's been popping up with top twenties,

521
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 5: so at that price, you could potentially see him show

522
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:29,120
Speaker 5: up again. Yeah, Powers, Powers another guy who's it's kind

523
00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:32,399
Speaker 5: of he isn't for the name, He's not actually like

524
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 5: a bomber type, but he have the irons going a

525
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,640
Speaker 5: little bit and he tends to catch a hot potter randomly.

526
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:42,119
Speaker 5: So again he sets up line he should if everything

527
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 5: is kind of good. It's it's kind of tough downe

528
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 5: in this strange but he's playing as well as any

529
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 5: of these guys are, so it's worth a stab.

530
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 4: And what we've done here is like, yeah, and Power

531
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:54,360
Speaker 4: is playing well. But what we've done here is take

532
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 4: a guy that has almost no ownership, a guy that's

533
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 4: finished twelve year before. He's hot right now. It fits

534
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 4: the profile of what we want. And at the same time,

535
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:05,919
Speaker 4: this leaves around nine thousand on the table for you

536
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:06,879
Speaker 4: to make our last pick.

537
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 5: Never, I don't really love any of these top tier

538
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 5: guys up here. I might end up just leaving to

539
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:14,440
Speaker 5: cash on the table here and just picking my boy Stepstraca,

540
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,400
Speaker 5: because I think he plays his horse better than any

541
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 5: of these guys, and he's coming in with at least

542
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:21,959
Speaker 5: a little bit of form. It's either him or if

543
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:23,840
Speaker 5: you want to go up high, you can probably go

544
00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 5: with like a Jason Day and see how that works out.

545
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 5: It's just I just don't like Jason David for the

546
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 5: most part. So yeah, I would probably just leave money

547
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,680
Speaker 5: on the table, take Stepstraca, make sure there's no duplicate

548
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,359
Speaker 5: line up there, probably leaving about a thousand bucks on

549
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:41,240
Speaker 5: the table, which should be enough to differentiate yourself from

550
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 5: what's out there. And hopefully with no Bryson and a

551
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 5: thousand bucks on the table, you at least got a

552
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:47,640
Speaker 5: que line up some sort.

553
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, you'll have one of the lowest ooned lineups and

554
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 4: all out there, and probably a very competitive one. And

555
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 4: you know you wouldn't want at the nine thousand range.

556
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:59,080
Speaker 4: You don't know about Jason Day's health, Charlie Hoffman is

557
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:02,360
Speaker 4: out with an injury, Ricky Fowler absolutely cannot be trusted.

558
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 4: You know, there's a lot of question marks in a

559
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:08,640
Speaker 4: lot of places where I think maybe the other one

560
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 4: that I would throw out there, but it's still a

561
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 4: thousand off, would be Trinali. So you know, I think

562
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,359
Speaker 4: that's good. We're gonna go Stepstraca, and that's gonna get

563
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:19,360
Speaker 4: us our DFS win. We're gonna go with Bo Hoastler,

564
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:27,600
Speaker 4: Garrick Higgo, Kevin Kissner, Shamous Power, Sepstraca, Joaque Mehman. I

565
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 4: think that's the lineup that's gonna win, especially with leaveing

566
00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 4: a thousand dollars on the table. That'll do it. For

567
00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,520
Speaker 4: this edition of the Action Network podcast, our host Jason

568
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:37,680
Speaker 4: Sobel and Justin Ray will return next week for the

569
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,439
Speaker 4: John Deere Classic. Plus our NBA crew will release a

570
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:44,080
Speaker 4: very special NBA Finals betting preview episode as well, so

571
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:46,439
Speaker 4: look out for that. Thanks to Josh for joining me,

572
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 4: thanks to everyone for listening, and here's hoping you hit

573
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 4: the greens

574
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:00,520
Speaker 2: With finished talking