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Speaker 1: paid advertisement, all right. Instant reaction on the Rams throttling
Speaker 1: got a little close at the end due to a
Speaker 1: block punt and a secondary lapse. And the Rams defense
Speaker 1: is a bunch of kids. You can beat them deep
Speaker 1: down the field, and the Saints did late in the game.
Speaker 1: But kind of a coaching mismatch, I thought. Once the
Speaker 1: Saints went for it at the end of the half
Speaker 1: instead of pinning the Rams deep. Rams had three timeouts left,
Speaker 1: they held, march down the field, scored ten point Rams
Speaker 1: lead at half. Felt like the ballgame to me. You know,
Speaker 1: there were two games this week on the docket that
Speaker 1: I really really liked. One of them I talked about
Speaker 1: this on FS. One was the Rams tonight four three
Speaker 1: and a half against Derek Carr and the Saints. McVeigh
Speaker 1: in a short week has won six of seven games.
Speaker 1: Offensive coaches on a short week can be really really
Speaker 1: good against defensive coaches. They can do little tweaks with
Speaker 1: their quarterback and their offense. An offensive culture, I think
Speaker 1: always has a bit of an advantage on a short week,
Speaker 1: especially if you're playing at home and McVeigh is six
Speaker 1: and one in these spots now seven and one. And
Speaker 1: also I don't think Dennis Allen's a very good coach.
Speaker 1: The last two weeks I've watched McVeigh work Ron Rivera
Speaker 1: of the Commanders. Commanders late game situational football was embarrassing,
Speaker 1: and I thought Dennis Allen's halftime move right before half
Speaker 1: was a swing and a miss. So you know, I
Speaker 1: go on and on about this, but McVeigh is having
Speaker 1: an unbelievable year. If you watch all the motions and
Speaker 1: all the shifting and all the manipulation on virtually every play,
Speaker 1: Saints lineup. They don't use motion. I mean most of
Speaker 1: the time they don't use motion. They line up. They
Speaker 1: don't put the defense in conflict. It's much easier for
Speaker 1: a defense to just line up, see what you're doing,
Speaker 1: and go. The Rams are using shifts and motions and
Speaker 1: these multiple sets where you've got three receivers, jumbo sets.
Speaker 1: It puts a lot of conflict and a lot of
Speaker 1: decision making. Throw in some motion. The Niners with Kyle
Speaker 1: Shanahan lead the league in motion, along with Miami with
Speaker 1: an offensive coach, and the Rams with an offensive coach.
Speaker 1: It is checkers and chess and McVeigh McDaniel, Andy Reid, Shanahan.
Speaker 1: It's a different looking sport. I mean, it's a different
Speaker 1: looking sport. So and mcveigh's had his way two and
Speaker 1: oh against defensive coach Pete Carroll, one to oh against
Speaker 1: Ron Rivera, want to oh against Dennis Allen, two and
Speaker 1: oh against Arizona. He lost earlier in the year when
Speaker 1: the Rams were kind of beat up to Mike Tomlin
Speaker 1: the Steelers, but since Thanksgiving Matt Staff fourteen touchdowns, one
Speaker 1: pick and a passer rating of over one fourteen. And
Speaker 1: I think, you know, one of the things that jumps
Speaker 1: out to me is that McVeagh and less Need the
Speaker 1: GM really work hand in hand, and that's really really important.
Speaker 1: I remember when Jim Harball was with the Niners with
Speaker 1: Trent and Balky, and they couldn't stand each other. And
Speaker 1: there's some situations in the NFL where the gms and
Speaker 1: the coaches aren't close. Mickey Loomis and Sean Payton when
Speaker 1: they were in New Orleans were best friends. Really matters.
Speaker 1: But you know, less Need and McVeigh mcvay's got a
Speaker 1: great sense for offense. They find Puka Nakua in the
Speaker 1: fifth round, and they also go get here's a prime
Speaker 1: example of an offensive culture. So dots and the interior
Speaker 1: offensive lineman for the Rams. They pick him up in
Speaker 1: a trade on the interior the online from the Steelers.
Speaker 1: Steelers weren't going to start Dotson the guard. He's now
Speaker 1: the fourth highest readed guard in the NFL with Sean McVay.
Speaker 1: Steelers wen't going to start. And I go on and
Speaker 1: on about this, but McVeigh is the preparation, the in
Speaker 1: game management. And I think a lot of times that
Speaker 1: the media beats up on coaches for some clock stuff
Speaker 1: late in games. It's fast moving, it's fluid. Nobody's perfect.
Speaker 1: But I'll take the offensive guys over the defensive guys
Speaker 1: every time. And I also think one of the advantages
Speaker 1: the Rams have because they don't have good special teams.
Speaker 1: They're not a super Bowl team in my opinion. They're
Speaker 1: a team that can go. They'll probably end up getting
Speaker 1: into the playoffs and facing Detroit in Detroit, and I
Speaker 1: would probably take the Lions. They have more experience, they
Speaker 1: have a dominant offensive line. Jared Goff is very good
Speaker 1: at home when he gets on his spot and not rushed,
Speaker 1: and the Rams pass rush can be a little hit
Speaker 1: and miss. Their special teams aren't good, their secondaries young
Speaker 1: got torched over the top a couple of times tonight,
Speaker 1: first half and second half. That's what Rams games are.
Speaker 1: But they've scored at least twenty seven points, I think,
Speaker 1: in four straight games. And I thought they should have
Speaker 1: beaten the Ravens. It was go either way game. But
Speaker 1: we'd seen other teams in the NFC go out to Baltimore,
Speaker 1: Detroit and Seattle and get smoked. The Rams went out
Speaker 1: there and went toe to toe with Baltimore, a really
Speaker 1: good football team. So I just think you're looking at
Speaker 1: a Rams team that has made over the last six weeks.
Speaker 1: They are a completely different football team. A lot of
Speaker 1: it is on offense. The special teams weren't good early
Speaker 1: are not good now. Their secondary's okay, it's okay now.
Speaker 1: It's the offensive improvement. Guys have gotten healthy. Stafford's getting
Speaker 1: time to throw. Kyra and Williams the running back, small
Speaker 1: guy but very powerful and shifty. And mcveigh's offense is
Speaker 1: really a ball control offense. You know, you think McVeigh,
Speaker 1: you know you think these offensive coaches. You know, it's big,
Speaker 1: over the top plays, It really isn't with McVeigh. He
Speaker 1: was at his best when Gurley was in his prime,
Speaker 1: and now Williams in his prime. That's really when he's
Speaker 1: at his best when he can rely on a fifteen
Speaker 1: to eighteen carry running back. And also Cooper Cup's a
Speaker 1: big receiver. Puka Nakou is a big receiver. He uses
Speaker 1: though highly effectively. So I really like what I saw
Speaker 1: with the Rams tonight. Again, it was one of my
Speaker 1: favorite picks of the week. This and the Cowboys over
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. They get a scheduling break now. The Rams
Speaker 1: get ten days to prepare for the New York Giants,
Speaker 1: So that's an advantage the Giants because they're on Thursday.
Speaker 1: Then they go to New York. Ten days for offensive
Speaker 1: coaches is a big advantage. The Giants have a game,
Speaker 1: big underdogs to the Philadelphia Eagles who are desperate for
Speaker 1: a win, so a very physical in division game for
Speaker 1: the Giants, and then the Rams get four extra days
Speaker 1: to prep on a roll very confident. Didn't see a
Speaker 1: lot of injuries Tonpe Stafford's getting good protection, but it
Speaker 1: was a work of art over the last month. If
Speaker 1: you watch the Rams DeMarcus Robinson, there's another guy they
Speaker 1: just picked up. It took about six to eight weeks.
Speaker 1: McVeigh gets him into the system. Now he's valuable. Poka
Speaker 1: Nakua rookie. He was great from the very beginning. Cooper
Speaker 1: Cup healthy is become a very very deep receiving core.
Speaker 1: Then it was one of the primary concerns going into
Speaker 1: the season, and then you hit on Pooka and then
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, Robinson becomes a vital player. He
Speaker 1: will always a hard work where he played with Baltimore,
Speaker 1: twitchy athletic. He was very good in the first half.
Speaker 1: So it is all rolling for the Rams. Now they're hot.
Speaker 1: It was a coaching mismatch to get a scheduling break,
Speaker 1: and they feel like a playoff team. The team's on
Speaker 1: the bubble. The Saints, okay, Now the Rams have an
Speaker 1: edge over them and the Seahawks. Rams have beaten them twice,
Speaker 1: so things are very very good. One other LA note,
Speaker 1: very very interesting. Keep your eye on the Dodgers with
Speaker 1: the potential massive another massive signing tonight. Instant reaction. Let's
Speaker 1: talk to Chad Millman Sharper Square. I got a story
Speaker 1: I gotta tell you. Hello, Chad Milman, Sharper Square, I'm
Speaker 1: kind of a heater. I don't want to brag about it.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, how much of a heater?
Speaker 1: Four straight winning weeks four and one. Last week I
Speaker 1: had a little bit of an early Denver Bronco, Sean Payton,
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson September slump. But shit is rolling downhill now.
Speaker 1: I'm like McVeigh and Stafford and Puka Nakua.
Speaker 2: Here's the thing. No matter how successful you are and
Speaker 2: whatever field you're in, Yeah, when you're winning bets, it
Speaker 2: just like the whole day is brighter. And I say
Speaker 2: that like it just it doesn't matter how much you're
Speaker 2: wagering on it. You just feel good. Last week we
Speaker 2: do our podcast on Sunday nights at seven point thirty.
Speaker 2: Normally I am biting fingernails and sweating until seven twenty
Speaker 2: nine because I don't know how our day is going
Speaker 2: to end because of all the games that matter so much.
Speaker 2: Last week we were so locked in at seven o'clock.
Speaker 2: I was doing dishes because like it was like I
Speaker 2: was done, it was over, and it just it felt lovely.
Speaker 1: It does. There's nothing better. By the way, before we
Speaker 1: get into our picks. I'm not a spender.
Speaker 2: I don't.
Speaker 1: I've never had a second car. Most of my car
Speaker 1: has been used. I'm not a country club guy.
Speaker 2: Second houses, however, those are investments.
Speaker 1: But I'm not a spender. But I and my wife,
Speaker 1: So I gotta tell you a funny story. So once
Speaker 1: a year I take my wife to Beverly Hills for
Speaker 1: a couple of nights before Christmas and we go look
Speaker 1: at the lights, We have a lovely dinner, and we
Speaker 1: just have fun. It's really a neat weekend for us.
Speaker 1: And so on Friday, I said, you know, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: make an effort here. We're gonna go out tonight. I'm gonna,
Speaker 1: you know, go get a nice pair of like, you know,
Speaker 1: slacks or something. And and so I go to this
Speaker 1: store and I don't know, you know, it's it's uh,
Speaker 1: you know, it's Beverly Hills. You know there's no Target there, right,
Speaker 1: so I know.
Speaker 2: Also there's no price tags on any of the clothes.
Speaker 1: No, no, So I go buy a pair, a couple
Speaker 1: pair of jeans. And they're nice jeans. I mean they're
Speaker 1: not LEVI five oh one nice, but they're nice. Right,
Speaker 1: So I go and buy jeans, and then I buy
Speaker 1: a couple of shirts, and you know we've done well.
Speaker 1: I'm not somebody who sits at a grocery store and
Speaker 1: you know, or a restaurant counts the check. I've done well, whatever,
Speaker 1: So I put it in my pocket. You know the
Speaker 1: check salesman's great. But on my phone, like five minutes
Speaker 1: after I buy in my AMEX card, it pops up.
Speaker 1: So I'm walking across the street. I spent thirteen hundred
Speaker 1: dollars for a pair of jeans. No, bro, I haven't
Speaker 1: thrown up since I was like seven. I was convulsing
Speaker 1: at the intersection. I My wife started laughing. She thought
Speaker 1: it was the funniest thing ever. She's like, you're sick
Speaker 1: to your stomach. I'm like sick to my stomach. I
Speaker 1: can't do anything. This weekend, We're going to the waffle house.
Speaker 1: I'll fly with Lana. I'm not eating.
Speaker 2: Are they stitched in gold?
Speaker 1: I haven't taken them off. I sleep and getting every
Speaker 1: goddamn penny out of those things. I told my wife,
Speaker 1: I'm wearing those six times a week for ten years
Speaker 1: to get the money back.
Speaker 2: They're gonna be the most comfortable jeans you've ever had,
Speaker 2: even if they're terrible.
Speaker 1: So my wife looks at the tag and and my
Speaker 1: wife kind of knows this stuff, and she goes, oh
Speaker 1: Jesus blank. She calls her daughter. She goes, Colin just
Speaker 1: pair bought a pair of jeans. Guess who he bought
Speaker 1: them from? She names it, and I can hear my
Speaker 1: stepdaughter howling laughing. She's like, how much it cost?
Speaker 2: A thousand?
Speaker 1: And like, uh so there, ladies. And you know my
Speaker 1: takeaway is I'll get used out of them.
Speaker 2: I'm fine.
Speaker 1: But do you know there are people that do that
Speaker 1: every day. They go shop there every.
Speaker 2: Every day. Yeah. I once did that before, like and it.
Speaker 2: I went to Barney's. I had to go to a
Speaker 2: wedding and I knew at the wedding Barney's. I knew
Speaker 2: at the wedding. I knew at the wedding that the
Speaker 2: girl who was best friends with my girlfriend in college
Speaker 2: was going to be there. And I wanted to look
Speaker 2: as good as I could. I was gonna be with Stacy.
Speaker 2: I wanted to look as good as I could because
Speaker 2: I knew she was going to report back. So I
Speaker 2: go to Barney's. I buy this suit. It's like perfect
Speaker 2: off the rack. It was well north to thirteen hundred dollars.
Speaker 2: I had no business buying this suit because I was
Speaker 2: not making thirteen hundred dollars. And I buy it. I'm
Speaker 2: feeling good. My wife is making fun of me. She's like,
Speaker 2: you're an idiot. We get to the wedding. The my
Speaker 2: ex girlfriend's best friend bailed on the wedding, never showed up.
Speaker 2: I got this suit. I looked amazing. I never. I've
Speaker 2: decided since then, I cannot spend a lot of money
Speaker 2: on clothes.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well I don't look good in clothes. I don't,
Speaker 1: so you know stuff you don't.
Speaker 2: I wear Colin. I wear my my hoodie from the
Speaker 2: Volume podcast network. That's what I wear. That's all I
Speaker 2: need so much, And I think, but by the way,
Speaker 2: I might have gotten this for free.
Speaker 1: You and I have similarities. We've done well. We love gambling.
Speaker 1: We have both have our wives look like sisters. They're
Speaker 1: both beautiful, beautiful, beautiful, red haired, beautiful women. Tolerant women, yes,
Speaker 1: and we are adverse to big spending. Although I do
Speaker 1: look you probably like I like nice vacation. All spend
Speaker 1: I tell my kids education and experiences all tell that.
Speaker 1: You know what's not on that list?
Speaker 2: Jeans No, No, definitely not when when when my wife
Speaker 2: was an architecture school and I was working at ESPN,
Speaker 2: the magazine, and I was making not a lot of money,
Speaker 2: and we were living in New York City and we
Speaker 2: had just gotten married. And my wife, who grew up
Speaker 2: on Staten Island, her mom was a teacher, her dad
Speaker 2: was an architect. Very lovely lifestyle, but it was not
Speaker 2: like an extravagant lifestyle, right. I got the credit card
Speaker 2: after we got married, and we're spending together now and
Speaker 2: she's an architecture school and she had spent like four
Speaker 2: hundred dollars on a pair of jeans. I'm like, what
Speaker 2: is going on here? And she's like, I just needed
Speaker 2: the genes. They just they were things that I needed
Speaker 2: in that moment. Sure I could. I didn't want to
Speaker 2: argue with it because it was still early in our life.
Speaker 1: I used to be when I used to be a
Speaker 1: hoarder and kind of a financial horder, like you know
Speaker 1: x y, I would laugh. She's like, you're going to
Speaker 1: be the richest dead guy ever. And then I met Anne,
Speaker 1: and Anne has certain needs and she needed me to spend,
Speaker 1: which is fine because she's beautiful and it makes me
Speaker 1: really happy. But yeah, things have changed. All right, let's
Speaker 1: go so good week. I'm gonna give you the stuff
Speaker 1: and I almost know where you're gonna go with these
Speaker 1: I feel so I'm gonna take the Steelers plus two
Speaker 1: at the Bengals. Pittsburgh gets a second look at a
Speaker 1: backup quarterback. They're a desperate team, veteran coach, great as
Speaker 1: an underdog, they are a cornered animal. Steelers plus two
Speaker 1: Sharper square.
Speaker 2: Totally sharp. This was a two and a half. It
Speaker 2: got bumped down. Look, you have a couple of advantages.
Speaker 2: One no Jamar Chase. Two buying or selling very high
Speaker 2: in the Bengals, buying very low on the Steelers. Three
Speaker 2: no Dj Reader And that is a huge deal in
Speaker 2: the middle of the defensive line for the Bengals. Not
Speaker 2: only is he great again, it's the run. He's phenomenal
Speaker 2: against the past. So you're really going to be limiting
Speaker 2: your pass rush capabilities against Mason Rudolph. And don't think like,
Speaker 2: all right, we're going from Kenny Pikett to Mitch Trubisky
Speaker 2: to Mason Rudolph. He's been all the same. They're all
Speaker 2: the same. They're the same quarterback and then you just
Speaker 2: mentioned the most important thing. Mike Tomlin. Mike Tomlin as
Speaker 2: a dog, most profitable coach the past twenty years, Mike
Speaker 2: Tomlin as a dog at home, Mike Tomlin as a
Speaker 2: dog in the division, Mike Tomlin as a dog late
Speaker 2: in the year, Mike Tomlin as a dog off a
Speaker 2: loss of more than seven. Like every category, it starts
Speaker 2: at sixty percent and gets up to ninety percent. No
Speaker 2: joke against the spread. So yes, the wise guys, they're
Speaker 2: going to be on the steers.
Speaker 1: I'm not getting the best number at Peckham. I thought
Speaker 1: it was one of the bets of the year. I'll
Speaker 1: take Dallas plus one and a half at the Dolphins.
Speaker 1: I have a theory very good teams who are physically
Speaker 1: humiliated on big TV games come back the following week.
Speaker 1: It's not just losing, it's being humiliated, physically pushed around.
Speaker 1: And Dallas is a physical team. Miami's not.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: I do think they generate since Week five a very
Speaker 1: nice pass for us. That's a Fangio defense. But I
Speaker 1: think Dallas has something to prove. I think they were embarrassed.
Speaker 1: I think they're a good football team. I'm going to
Speaker 1: take Dallas to win by about a touchdown plus one
Speaker 1: and a half here Sharper square.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the wise guys are on the Cowboys. This opened
Speaker 2: it too. It's been bet down. There's places where it's
Speaker 2: one you mentioned pick them as well, like it would
Speaker 2: not surprise me and some of the rumblings I've heard
Speaker 2: in the market from professional betters if Dallas ended up
Speaker 2: as the favorite in this game. So I will say
Speaker 2: it's very important you get Dallas as an underdog if
Speaker 2: you like them, because the trends start to work against
Speaker 2: you if they become the favorite in terms of covering.
Speaker 2: So you want to get them at the plus number.
Speaker 2: But for all the reasons you said, like, there are
Speaker 2: a lot of trends that will back up the idea
Speaker 2: that when you are a team that has been blown
Speaker 2: out and then you are going on the road again
Speaker 2: as an underdog, you are the team that people should
Speaker 2: be backing. So in agreement so far, two for two
Speaker 2: Kyle Cowhart.
Speaker 1: The number has been bumped up. All of our odds
Speaker 1: provided by Draft Kings. I'm talking to Chad Milman CCO
Speaker 1: Action Network Patriots plus seven at the Broncos Weather could
Speaker 1: be crappy. Seven's a lot of points Denver. Can Nicholan
Speaker 1: dime you. Bailey Zappi is okay, He's not great. But
Speaker 1: my takeaway is this is a low scoring, ugly, crappy
Speaker 1: weather game. At six, I would probably stay away. At seven,
Speaker 1: I would take New England. That's a lot of points
Speaker 1: in lousy weather. We've had huge rain through southern California.
Speaker 1: It's all moving into the mountains Denver, Colorado. Over the
Speaker 1: next two to three days, Patriots plus seven sharper square sharp.
Speaker 2: Ish like, there's a lot better games on the board.
Speaker 2: There's not a huge edge with the Patriots at plus seven.
Speaker 2: The challenge for this game is that the Broncos prior
Speaker 2: to last week had been living off of turnover. Yes,
Speaker 2: that's how they were winning these games. Right, stuff always
Speaker 2: even out, It always evens out, except they're playing Bailey Zappi.
Speaker 2: So what is the formula for winning for the Broncos.
Speaker 2: They're playing bad quarterbacks and getting turnovers. So what are
Speaker 2: they getting they're getting? I would argue Bailey Zappi is
Speaker 2: not a good quarterback in bad weather, in altitude, in
Speaker 2: a hostile situation. This is Taylor made to be a
Speaker 2: turnover masterpiece for the Denver Broncos. Look at what happened
Speaker 2: last week with the Chiefs. Right, the Patriots were in
Speaker 2: position to keep that game close. They come out of
Speaker 2: the locker room. Bailey Zappi second throw, he's rolling out,
Speaker 2: throws it directly to a Chiefs defensive back like doesn't
Speaker 2: even There's not even a Patriots receiver there. And that
Speaker 2: is going to happen two or three times in a game,
Speaker 2: and a couple of those times, at least one of
Speaker 2: those times, the Broncos are going to the ball, and
Speaker 2: that's going to be the way the game changes. I
Speaker 2: would not be comfortable betting the Patriots in the spot.
Speaker 2: I would bet the under though.
Speaker 1: All Right, one more dog Ravens plus five and a
Speaker 1: half at the Niners. They're a bit beat up, but
Speaker 1: Harbaugh's an underdog. NFC teams facing for the first time
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson. Now, the Niners have excellent linebackers, Twitchy Fred Warner.
Speaker 1: They should be able to be more than competent against Lamar.
Speaker 1: But if you've never faced him and you don't have
Speaker 1: anybody in practice to duplicate it, it can be an avalanche.
Speaker 1: Five and a half is a silly number. This is
Speaker 1: a very close, physical game, hard to run on the Ravens.
Speaker 1: I'm taking the points all day here. I think it's
Speaker 1: a good game. I like the Niners. Five and a
Speaker 1: half seems almost disrespectful Sharper square.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so the wise guys are on the Ravens. Here,
Speaker 2: I will say I'm conflicted. I'm conflicted because a I've
Speaker 2: got a decent sized bet on Christian McCaffrey at twenty
Speaker 2: five to one to win the MVP. And let's face it,
Speaker 2: this is the v people, right, you got Rock Purty
Speaker 2: at about minus two hundred, you got Lamar Jackson at
Speaker 2: about three to one, and depending on the book, you've
Speaker 2: got Christian McCaffrey is the third shortest odds or Dak
Speaker 2: Prescott or Dak Prescott's third shortest, and McCaffrey is four shortest.
Speaker 2: So in my heart of hearts, what I'm hoping for
Speaker 2: is Christian McCaffrey is dominant, and that the Niners win
Speaker 2: the game, and that the next two weeks it's just
Speaker 2: a coronation for Christian McCaffrey, and I win my Christian
Speaker 2: McCaffrey twenty five to one MVP bet. The problem is
Speaker 2: that everything you just said Lamar Jackson against the NFC.
Speaker 2: That's not a sort of quirky to take sixteen and
Speaker 2: one anomaly. It's because there's nobody like Lamar Jackson that
Speaker 2: these NFC teams can prepare when they are playing him
Speaker 2: number two. There are like some concerns. I haven't seen
Speaker 2: the injury reports from today, but look, I'msted and Hargrave
Speaker 2: on the defensive line for the Niners. When they were
Speaker 2: missing last week, the Cardinals gained nearly four hundred, right,
Speaker 2: and they kept it close. So, and we also don't
Speaker 2: know about Leonore is he going to be playing in
Speaker 2: the defensive backfield. When he started to play that defensive
Speaker 2: backfield was much better. So I do think there are
Speaker 2: some concerns, but I generally think the wise guys are
Speaker 2: looking at this and saying, the public is so high
Speaker 2: in the Niners, And there are reasons to be high
Speaker 2: in the Niners. Right. They are undefeated when Deebo, Samuel
Speaker 2: and Trent Williams are playing, and they are beating teams
Speaker 2: by double digits, they are a legit team. I do
Speaker 2: believe the Niners will win the Super Bowl, and I
Speaker 2: do believe we will look back on this team and
Speaker 2: think it is historically great for the past generation with
Speaker 2: the combination of Kyle Shanahan. Who you think this? I
Speaker 2: think this. A lot of people who cover football think this.
Speaker 2: He's a brilliant coach who has had bad injury luck
Speaker 2: and not exactly the perfect people for what is an
Speaker 2: incredible system. And I think he has that. He's had
Speaker 2: luck on his side for health. But I think this
Speaker 2: week the Ravens are probably going to be the sharp side.
Speaker 1: All right, Tampa Bay, Let's go to some favorites minus
Speaker 1: one and a half. C J. Bether probably plays Jacksonville's
Speaker 1: in a funk. Trevor Lawrence is banged up. I don't
Speaker 1: think he's been healthy in three weeks. We have to
Speaker 1: be honest about this. Baker Mayfield, with weapons and reasonable protections,
Speaker 1: the best quarterback in his division. He plays with a
Speaker 1: great deal of confidence and emotion. I think he feels
Speaker 1: really good right now. Todd Bowles is letting him kind
Speaker 1: of control the offense. I knows they're a favorite. I
Speaker 1: tend to like dogs, but CJ. Bethard is an average
Speaker 1: average backup. I'm gonna take the Buck Sharper square.
Speaker 2: No real consensus on what side is the right side here.
Speaker 2: The Bucks were two and a half point underdogs when
Speaker 2: this game opened, before we had the insight on Trevor Lawrence.
Speaker 2: I will say what's interesting here. Baker Mayfield no joke.
Speaker 2: He was elite against the Green Bay Packers, like I think.
Speaker 2: He was twenty one of twenty eight north of three
Speaker 2: hundred yards, four touchdowns, and all season long, the wise
Speaker 2: guys have been backing the Bucks, and the Bucks have
Speaker 2: been one of those teams where for three quarters they're amazing,
Speaker 2: but there'll be four or five drives in the game
Speaker 2: where Mike Evans drops a ball or Baker throws a pick,
Speaker 2: and like it just puts the game a little bit
Speaker 2: out of reach for them. But they've generally played really,
Speaker 2: really well. So I can't fault you for liking Baker
Speaker 2: in this spot. It's a scary spot because you're also
Speaker 2: backing Baker after he was just as good as he's
Speaker 2: ever been, I know. But with CJ. Bether, yeah, you're
Speaker 2: taking a short home favorite.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to games. I want you to
Speaker 1: talk me into So I have two rules in life.
Speaker 1: Number one, don't do math no winners. Number two, always
Speaker 1: take a team favored by four because the odds makers
Speaker 1: are telling you, we'd rather do three. That's what we
Speaker 1: want to do. We can't. This team's better ram tonight.
Speaker 1: They're just better than the Saints. It'll be a coaching mismatch.
Speaker 1: Now it's down at three and a half. But at four,
Speaker 1: I thought it was a great bet Bears minus four
Speaker 1: to four and a half. I have been betting best
Speaker 1: quarterback in games. But I think eber Flus is coaching
Speaker 1: for his job. I don't think Arizona's guy's coaching for
Speaker 1: a job. I think Justin Field is playing for his job.
Speaker 1: This is a big game, a dome team going to
Speaker 1: crappy weather. It'll be it won't be a blizzard. The
Speaker 1: weather is kind of unseasonably mild in the Midwest. But
Speaker 1: I think the urgency and intensity here. Also remember last
Speaker 1: year how teams after they played the Niners like all lost.
Speaker 1: We're not tracking it this year as much, and the
Speaker 1: numbers aren't the same, but when you play, when you
Speaker 1: play San Francisco, there are repercussions. They're a really physical team.
Speaker 1: I think Arizona played spirited football. It's a really bad roster.
Speaker 1: The Bears aren't a bad roster. I want to take
Speaker 1: Chicago Sharper Square.
Speaker 2: Aw Square. The wise guys are on the Cardinals. The
Speaker 2: game was at four and a half, it got that
Speaker 2: down to four. I'd actually take it one step further.
Speaker 2: I don't think Ebra Fluis is playing for his job.
Speaker 2: I think he's auditioning for his next coordinator job. I
Speaker 2: think Justin Fields is auditioning for the next team he's
Speaker 2: going to play on. I think that as a Bears fan,
Speaker 2: we saw what we saw last week against the Browns
Speaker 2: in that second half where Justin Fields was like seven
Speaker 2: of nineteen for sixty yards, and that offense was not
Speaker 2: able to execute. And at some point that's on the
Speaker 2: quarterback and his inability to find the right receivers and so,
Speaker 2: and on the coach for coaching a defense that gave
Speaker 2: up the game to Joe Flacco and had a ten
Speaker 2: point lead. There's a stat that we had that we
Speaker 2: were talking about on the favorite podcast, The Bears. I
Speaker 2: think this season, or or of only the last two seasons,
Speaker 2: have had ten point leads in the fourth quarter six times.
Speaker 2: They're three and three. Everybody else in the league the
Speaker 2: past two seasons something like ninety three and one. Literally,
Speaker 2: it's like a ninety three percent win rates. So there's
Speaker 2: a lot of issues with that Bears team. I think
Speaker 2: that what we got in the Cardinals is a team
Speaker 2: that is just always going to be undervalued. And I
Speaker 2: don't think if you look at the market, there's going
Speaker 2: to be any professional better who says, oh, yeah, I'm
Speaker 2: comfortable betting the Bears as more than a field goal favorite,
Speaker 2: which is why the line moved down. Also, don't forget
Speaker 2: Kyler Murray against the spread on the road fifteen and five.
Speaker 2: So you're talking about a guy who was very good
Speaker 2: at covering the spread, and by the way, he also
Speaker 2: covered it last weekend that number was bouncing around. So
Speaker 2: I like what. I like what Kyler Murray can do here?
Speaker 2: All right?
Speaker 1: Finally, dumpster dive. What's something that I would probably be
Speaker 1: appalled with, but you think is pretty tasty. I mean
Speaker 1: you all say this, I thought about Eagles minus twelve,
Speaker 1: they're bound to win.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think look in any other scenario, you're looking
Speaker 2: at Raiders plus ten against the Chiefs, you're looking at
Speaker 2: Giants plus twelve against the Eagles. I'm not going to
Speaker 2: ask you to do those things. I'm not going to
Speaker 2: do those things this week. I think there's a lot
Speaker 2: of wonkingition in those games, and I think professional betters
Speaker 2: are sort of divided on really betting those numbers. They're
Speaker 2: not really looking to do it. Can I interest you
Speaker 2: in the Atlanta Falcons minus one? Yeah?
Speaker 1: But by the way MacIntyre's on this, he's like, that's
Speaker 1: the sharp side this week.
Speaker 2: It is. I mean, look that number I bet. I
Speaker 2: bet Atlanta at plus two and a half. And I
Speaker 2: know what I said. I said, you got to be
Speaker 2: wary of those games that bounce from the one side
Speaker 2: as the underdog is now the favorite. But the Colts
Speaker 2: are really kind of frauds. And I don't like Shane Steichen.
Speaker 2: He should be getting votes for Coach of the Year
Speaker 2: what he has done with that team, what he's done
Speaker 2: with Gardner Minshew, who I think had won two games
Speaker 2: as a starter before this season, Like he has put
Speaker 2: them in a position. But also you've got to think
Speaker 2: about the teams they've beaten during the streak that they've
Speaker 2: been on have not been very good. And now, if
Speaker 2: you want to talk about a coach who is coaching
Speaker 2: for his job, you're talking about Arthur Smith, and he's
Speaker 2: putting Taylor Heineke back in there. Also because the Colt's
Speaker 2: defense is just trash, like they can't really stop the run.
Speaker 2: They were good before Grover Stewart went on his ped suspension.
Speaker 2: They haven't been good since they're in the middle of
Speaker 2: transitioning that defense. It's just not a very good defense,
Speaker 2: so I think. And also the Falcons offensive line, which
Speaker 2: was really injured. They had many players who were out
Speaker 2: or questionable heading into the game against the Panthers back
Speaker 2: at home on turf, Arthur Smith is going to have
Speaker 2: to be as creative as he possibly can to keep
Speaker 2: this team in the hunt. I like the Falcons here.
Speaker 2: There's one more that I like, probably not worth your time.
Speaker 2: It's a corner team game. Are you ready? Tennessee Titans
Speaker 2: y plus two and a half? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Well, the way Seattle won, people fall in love with
Speaker 1: their They really have some really fun young athletes. But
Speaker 1: Vrabel at home, they're getting what three? What is it now?
Speaker 2: Two and a half? Did it move to three? I
Speaker 2: haven't even noticed? Did it?
Speaker 1: It may have moved to three.
Speaker 2: I'm checking right now. If it did, all the better
Speaker 2: then go get go get that three, because that's that's
Speaker 2: the game that the wise guys love and I know
Speaker 2: it sounds.
Speaker 1: They like Tennessee plus two and a half. That's the
Speaker 1: that's they love it, love it. Why explain love so.
Speaker 2: On the team that just had the dramatic win in
Speaker 2: prime time by the team that just had the devastating loss.
Speaker 2: Mike Vrabel as an underdog. He's twenty six and twenty
Speaker 2: eight straight up as an underdog, right Like, this is
Speaker 2: a guy who just wins when he is counted out
Speaker 2: and his team is not supposed to win, let alone
Speaker 2: in the amount of time that he covers as an underdog.
Speaker 2: Him and Tomlin are the two guys that wise guys
Speaker 2: love to cover. They love to cover in these exact spots,
Speaker 2: like to bet on in these exact spots. So yeah,
Speaker 2: the wise guys are digging themselves. Some Tennessee Titans.
Speaker 1: Chad Millman, Happy Holidays CEO Action Network ALLLDGS provided by Draftking.
Speaker 1: Great talking to you, buddy.
Speaker 2: Great seeing you too, brother. Happy Holidays to you and
Speaker 2: the entire crew.
Speaker 1: The volume