WEBVTT - Colin Cowherd Podcast - TNF Reaction, McVay’s Coaching Mismatch, Sharp or Square 0:00:01.520 --> 0:00:07.440 The volume. Listen. We've all had fender benders in our life. 0:00:07.520 --> 0:00:10.680 Sometimes it's even more serious. People between the ages of 0:00:10.760 --> 0:00:14.240 twenty five and thirty four, in fact, have the highest 0:00:14.400 --> 0:00:19.079 amount of drivers involved in car crashes. Be careful, but 0:00:19.160 --> 0:00:21.800 even if it's somebody else's mistake, you can lean on 0:00:21.960 --> 0:00:26.080 Morgan and Morgan. If you've ever been injured, check out 0:00:26.239 --> 0:00:30.520 Morgan and Morgan. It's the nation's largest injury law firm, 0:00:30.960 --> 0:00:34.800 one hundred offices and over eight hundred lawyers with over 0:00:35.159 --> 0:00:39.080 fifteen billion that to be billion dollars recovered with over 0:00:39.120 --> 0:00:42.000 three hundred thousand clients. 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Instant reaction on the Rams throttling 0:01:24.440 --> 0:01:26.000 got a little close at the end due to a 0:01:26.040 --> 0:01:30.360 block punt and a secondary lapse. And the Rams defense 0:01:30.440 --> 0:01:32.280 is a bunch of kids. You can beat them deep 0:01:32.319 --> 0:01:34.440 down the field, and the Saints did late in the game. 0:01:35.040 --> 0:01:37.679 But kind of a coaching mismatch, I thought. Once the 0:01:37.720 --> 0:01:40.199 Saints went for it at the end of the half 0:01:40.240 --> 0:01:43.240 instead of pinning the Rams deep. Rams had three timeouts left, 0:01:44.080 --> 0:01:48.160 they held, march down the field, scored ten point Rams 0:01:48.240 --> 0:01:51.960 lead at half. Felt like the ballgame to me. You know, 0:01:52.920 --> 0:01:54.840 there were two games this week on the docket that 0:01:54.880 --> 0:01:57.240 I really really liked. One of them I talked about 0:01:57.280 --> 0:02:02.120 this on FS. One was the Rams tonight four three 0:02:02.200 --> 0:02:05.960 and a half against Derek Carr and the Saints. McVeigh 0:02:06.000 --> 0:02:08.560 in a short week has won six of seven games. 0:02:08.600 --> 0:02:11.400 Offensive coaches on a short week can be really really 0:02:11.400 --> 0:02:16.200 good against defensive coaches. They can do little tweaks with 0:02:16.280 --> 0:02:19.799 their quarterback and their offense. An offensive culture, I think 0:02:19.800 --> 0:02:23.080 always has a bit of an advantage on a short week, 0:02:23.480 --> 0:02:25.520 especially if you're playing at home and McVeigh is six 0:02:25.600 --> 0:02:28.720 and one in these spots now seven and one. And 0:02:28.760 --> 0:02:30.640 also I don't think Dennis Allen's a very good coach. 0:02:30.840 --> 0:02:35.400 The last two weeks I've watched McVeigh work Ron Rivera 0:02:35.480 --> 0:02:39.560 of the Commanders. Commanders late game situational football was embarrassing, 0:02:40.000 --> 0:02:42.880 and I thought Dennis Allen's halftime move right before half 0:02:43.240 --> 0:02:47.520 was a swing and a miss. So you know, I 0:02:47.600 --> 0:02:50.639 go on and on about this, but McVeigh is having 0:02:50.639 --> 0:02:53.120 an unbelievable year. If you watch all the motions and 0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:57.520 all the shifting and all the manipulation on virtually every play, 0:02:57.800 --> 0:03:00.920 Saints lineup. They don't use motion. I mean most of 0:03:00.919 --> 0:03:03.560 the time they don't use motion. They line up. They 0:03:03.600 --> 0:03:07.160 don't put the defense in conflict. It's much easier for 0:03:07.240 --> 0:03:09.960 a defense to just line up, see what you're doing, 0:03:10.040 --> 0:03:14.840 and go. The Rams are using shifts and motions and 0:03:15.600 --> 0:03:20.480 these multiple sets where you've got three receivers, jumbo sets. 0:03:20.560 --> 0:03:22.680 It puts a lot of conflict and a lot of 0:03:22.720 --> 0:03:27.280 decision making. Throw in some motion. The Niners with Kyle 0:03:27.320 --> 0:03:30.440 Shanahan lead the league in motion, along with Miami with 0:03:30.480 --> 0:03:33.280 an offensive coach, and the Rams with an offensive coach. 0:03:33.440 --> 0:03:40.320 It is checkers and chess and McVeigh McDaniel, Andy Reid, Shanahan. 0:03:40.480 --> 0:03:43.400 It's a different looking sport. I mean, it's a different 0:03:43.440 --> 0:03:46.640 looking sport. So and mcveigh's had his way two and 0:03:46.680 --> 0:03:49.480 oh against defensive coach Pete Carroll, one to oh against 0:03:49.560 --> 0:03:51.840 Ron Rivera, want to oh against Dennis Allen, two and 0:03:51.880 --> 0:03:54.080 oh against Arizona. He lost earlier in the year when 0:03:54.120 --> 0:03:57.120 the Rams were kind of beat up to Mike Tomlin 0:03:57.200 --> 0:04:01.880 the Steelers, but since Thanksgiving Matt Staff fourteen touchdowns, one 0:04:02.000 --> 0:04:05.520 pick and a passer rating of over one fourteen. And 0:04:05.560 --> 0:04:07.600 I think, you know, one of the things that jumps 0:04:07.600 --> 0:04:11.280 out to me is that McVeagh and less Need the 0:04:11.320 --> 0:04:14.480 GM really work hand in hand, and that's really really important. 0:04:14.520 --> 0:04:16.400 I remember when Jim Harball was with the Niners with 0:04:16.480 --> 0:04:18.560 Trent and Balky, and they couldn't stand each other. And 0:04:18.600 --> 0:04:21.840 there's some situations in the NFL where the gms and 0:04:21.880 --> 0:04:25.080 the coaches aren't close. Mickey Loomis and Sean Payton when 0:04:25.080 --> 0:04:28.080 they were in New Orleans were best friends. Really matters. 0:04:28.600 --> 0:04:33.279 But you know, less Need and McVeigh mcvay's got a 0:04:33.279 --> 0:04:36.960 great sense for offense. They find Puka Nakua in the 0:04:37.000 --> 0:04:40.280 fifth round, and they also go get here's a prime 0:04:40.320 --> 0:04:43.680 example of an offensive culture. So dots and the interior 0:04:43.720 --> 0:04:46.520 offensive lineman for the Rams. They pick him up in 0:04:46.560 --> 0:04:50.120 a trade on the interior the online from the Steelers. 0:04:50.760 --> 0:04:55.760 Steelers weren't going to start Dotson the guard. He's now 0:04:55.800 --> 0:04:58.679 the fourth highest readed guard in the NFL with Sean McVay. 0:04:59.080 --> 0:05:02.279 Steelers wen't going to start. And I go on and 0:05:02.320 --> 0:05:07.320 on about this, but McVeigh is the preparation, the in 0:05:07.520 --> 0:05:10.000 game management. And I think a lot of times that 0:05:10.120 --> 0:05:12.719 the media beats up on coaches for some clock stuff 0:05:12.800 --> 0:05:16.640 late in games. It's fast moving, it's fluid. Nobody's perfect. 0:05:17.160 --> 0:05:20.800 But I'll take the offensive guys over the defensive guys 0:05:20.839 --> 0:05:23.240 every time. And I also think one of the advantages 0:05:23.279 --> 0:05:25.880 the Rams have because they don't have good special teams. 0:05:25.920 --> 0:05:28.080 They're not a super Bowl team in my opinion. They're 0:05:28.120 --> 0:05:32.000 a team that can go. They'll probably end up getting 0:05:32.000 --> 0:05:34.440 into the playoffs and facing Detroit in Detroit, and I 0:05:34.480 --> 0:05:37.479 would probably take the Lions. They have more experience, they 0:05:37.520 --> 0:05:40.040 have a dominant offensive line. Jared Goff is very good 0:05:40.080 --> 0:05:42.479 at home when he gets on his spot and not rushed, 0:05:42.720 --> 0:05:44.480 and the Rams pass rush can be a little hit 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:48.159 and miss. Their special teams aren't good, their secondaries young 0:05:48.360 --> 0:05:50.600 got torched over the top a couple of times tonight, 0:05:50.640 --> 0:05:53.360 first half and second half. That's what Rams games are. 0:05:53.360 --> 0:05:56.039 But they've scored at least twenty seven points, I think, 0:05:56.040 --> 0:05:57.760 in four straight games. And I thought they should have 0:05:57.760 --> 0:06:00.320 beaten the Ravens. It was go either way game. But 0:06:00.400 --> 0:06:03.720 we'd seen other teams in the NFC go out to Baltimore, 0:06:03.760 --> 0:06:06.440 Detroit and Seattle and get smoked. The Rams went out 0:06:06.440 --> 0:06:08.520 there and went toe to toe with Baltimore, a really 0:06:08.560 --> 0:06:11.719 good football team. So I just think you're looking at 0:06:11.760 --> 0:06:15.520 a Rams team that has made over the last six weeks. 0:06:15.600 --> 0:06:18.520 They are a completely different football team. A lot of 0:06:18.560 --> 0:06:20.599 it is on offense. The special teams weren't good early 0:06:20.720 --> 0:06:23.800 are not good now. Their secondary's okay, it's okay now. 0:06:23.920 --> 0:06:27.600 It's the offensive improvement. Guys have gotten healthy. Stafford's getting 0:06:27.640 --> 0:06:30.960 time to throw. Kyra and Williams the running back, small 0:06:31.000 --> 0:06:35.680 guy but very powerful and shifty. And mcveigh's offense is 0:06:35.720 --> 0:06:39.560 really a ball control offense. You know, you think McVeigh, 0:06:39.720 --> 0:06:43.159 you know you think these offensive coaches. You know, it's big, 0:06:43.200 --> 0:06:45.919 over the top plays, It really isn't with McVeigh. He 0:06:45.960 --> 0:06:47.960 was at his best when Gurley was in his prime, 0:06:48.120 --> 0:06:50.680 and now Williams in his prime. That's really when he's 0:06:50.680 --> 0:06:53.160 at his best when he can rely on a fifteen 0:06:53.200 --> 0:06:57.080 to eighteen carry running back. And also Cooper Cup's a 0:06:57.080 --> 0:06:59.799 big receiver. Puka Nakou is a big receiver. He uses 0:06:59.839 --> 0:07:03.560 though highly effectively. So I really like what I saw 0:07:03.600 --> 0:07:05.120 with the Rams tonight. Again, it was one of my 0:07:05.120 --> 0:07:07.240 favorite picks of the week. This and the Cowboys over 0:07:07.279 --> 0:07:11.240 the Dolphins. They get a scheduling break now. The Rams 0:07:11.680 --> 0:07:14.680 get ten days to prepare for the New York Giants, 0:07:15.080 --> 0:07:17.760 So that's an advantage the Giants because they're on Thursday. 0:07:17.960 --> 0:07:20.480 Then they go to New York. Ten days for offensive 0:07:20.480 --> 0:07:25.640 coaches is a big advantage. The Giants have a game, 0:07:25.840 --> 0:07:28.600 big underdogs to the Philadelphia Eagles who are desperate for 0:07:28.640 --> 0:07:31.800 a win, so a very physical in division game for 0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:35.200 the Giants, and then the Rams get four extra days 0:07:35.240 --> 0:07:40.040 to prep on a roll very confident. Didn't see a 0:07:40.080 --> 0:07:43.680 lot of injuries Tonpe Stafford's getting good protection, but it 0:07:43.720 --> 0:07:45.720 was a work of art over the last month. If 0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:49.800 you watch the Rams DeMarcus Robinson, there's another guy they 0:07:49.880 --> 0:07:52.320 just picked up. It took about six to eight weeks. 0:07:52.920 --> 0:07:56.160 McVeigh gets him into the system. Now he's valuable. Poka 0:07:56.200 --> 0:07:58.720 Nakua rookie. He was great from the very beginning. Cooper 0:07:58.760 --> 0:08:05.360 Cup healthy is become a very very deep receiving core. 0:08:05.480 --> 0:08:07.880 Then it was one of the primary concerns going into 0:08:07.920 --> 0:08:10.480 the season, and then you hit on Pooka and then 0:08:10.560 --> 0:08:13.120 all of a sudden, Robinson becomes a vital player. He 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:15.840 will always a hard work where he played with Baltimore, 0:08:16.040 --> 0:08:18.679 twitchy athletic. He was very good in the first half. 0:08:19.000 --> 0:08:22.240 So it is all rolling for the Rams. Now they're hot. 0:08:22.400 --> 0:08:24.840 It was a coaching mismatch to get a scheduling break, 0:08:25.120 --> 0:08:27.000 and they feel like a playoff team. The team's on 0:08:27.040 --> 0:08:31.000 the bubble. The Saints, okay, Now the Rams have an 0:08:31.080 --> 0:08:33.720 edge over them and the Seahawks. Rams have beaten them twice, 0:08:34.240 --> 0:08:38.040 so things are very very good. One other LA note, 0:08:38.480 --> 0:08:42.160 very very interesting. Keep your eye on the Dodgers with 0:08:42.280 --> 0:08:49.520 the potential massive another massive signing tonight. Instant reaction. Let's 0:08:49.559 --> 0:08:52.120 talk to Chad Millman Sharper Square. I got a story 0:08:52.160 --> 0:09:02.400 I gotta tell you. Hello, Chad Milman, Sharper Square, I'm 0:09:02.480 --> 0:09:04.640 kind of a heater. I don't want to brag about it. 0:09:04.920 --> 0:09:06.280 Oh yeah, how much of a heater? 0:09:07.760 --> 0:09:10.679 Four straight winning weeks four and one. Last week I 0:09:10.720 --> 0:09:14.120 had a little bit of an early Denver Bronco, Sean Payton, 0:09:14.200 --> 0:09:17.920 Russell Wilson September slump. But shit is rolling downhill now. 0:09:17.960 --> 0:09:20.480 I'm like McVeigh and Stafford and Puka Nakua. 0:09:20.640 --> 0:09:25.800 Here's the thing. No matter how successful you are and 0:09:25.840 --> 0:09:30.880 whatever field you're in, Yeah, when you're winning bets, it 0:09:31.160 --> 0:09:34.640 just like the whole day is brighter. And I say 0:09:34.640 --> 0:09:37.640 that like it just it doesn't matter how much you're 0:09:37.920 --> 0:09:42.760 wagering on it. You just feel good. Last week we 0:09:43.240 --> 0:09:46.080 do our podcast on Sunday nights at seven point thirty. 0:09:46.440 --> 0:09:50.880 Normally I am biting fingernails and sweating until seven twenty 0:09:50.960 --> 0:09:53.120 nine because I don't know how our day is going 0:09:53.200 --> 0:09:55.720 to end because of all the games that matter so much. 0:09:56.440 --> 0:09:59.840 Last week we were so locked in at seven o'clock. 0:10:00.080 --> 0:10:03.040 I was doing dishes because like it was like I 0:10:03.120 --> 0:10:06.400 was done, it was over, and it just it felt lovely. 0:10:07.000 --> 0:10:09.280 It does. There's nothing better. By the way, before we 0:10:09.320 --> 0:10:11.240 get into our picks. I'm not a spender. 0:10:11.440 --> 0:10:11.720 I don't. 0:10:11.760 --> 0:10:14.200 I've never had a second car. Most of my car 0:10:14.280 --> 0:10:16.480 has been used. I'm not a country club guy. 0:10:16.840 --> 0:10:20.360 Second houses, however, those are investments. 0:10:22.400 --> 0:10:26.520 But I'm not a spender. But I and my wife, 0:10:26.960 --> 0:10:30.000 So I gotta tell you a funny story. So once 0:10:30.040 --> 0:10:33.959 a year I take my wife to Beverly Hills for 0:10:33.960 --> 0:10:36.199 a couple of nights before Christmas and we go look 0:10:36.200 --> 0:10:38.640 at the lights, We have a lovely dinner, and we 0:10:38.720 --> 0:10:41.520 just have fun. It's really a neat weekend for us. 0:10:42.720 --> 0:10:47.280 And so on Friday, I said, you know, I'm gonna 0:10:47.280 --> 0:10:49.079 make an effort here. We're gonna go out tonight. I'm gonna, 0:10:49.120 --> 0:10:51.960 you know, go get a nice pair of like, you know, 0:10:52.200 --> 0:10:55.160 slacks or something. And and so I go to this 0:10:55.280 --> 0:10:57.960 store and I don't know, you know, it's it's uh, 0:10:58.120 --> 0:11:03.280 you know, it's Beverly Hills. You know there's no Target there, right, 0:11:03.360 --> 0:11:03.800 so I know. 0:11:04.000 --> 0:11:06.480 Also there's no price tags on any of the clothes. 0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:09.800 No, no, So I go buy a pair, a couple 0:11:09.800 --> 0:11:13.559 pair of jeans. And they're nice jeans. I mean they're 0:11:13.600 --> 0:11:15.760 not LEVI five oh one nice, but they're nice. Right, 0:11:15.840 --> 0:11:18.120 So I go and buy jeans, and then I buy 0:11:18.160 --> 0:11:20.480 a couple of shirts, and you know we've done well. 0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:22.640 I'm not somebody who sits at a grocery store and 0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:26.120 you know, or a restaurant counts the check. I've done well, whatever, 0:11:27.440 --> 0:11:31.320 So I put it in my pocket. You know the 0:11:31.400 --> 0:11:36.960 check salesman's great. But on my phone, like five minutes 0:11:37.000 --> 0:11:39.360 after I buy in my AMEX card, it pops up. 0:11:40.760 --> 0:11:44.640 So I'm walking across the street. I spent thirteen hundred 0:11:44.679 --> 0:11:52.199 dollars for a pair of jeans. No, bro, I haven't 0:11:52.200 --> 0:11:56.559 thrown up since I was like seven. I was convulsing 0:11:56.640 --> 0:11:59.760 at the intersection. I My wife started laughing. She thought 0:11:59.760 --> 0:12:01.920 it was the funniest thing ever. She's like, you're sick 0:12:01.960 --> 0:12:04.280 to your stomach. I'm like sick to my stomach. I 0:12:04.320 --> 0:12:07.000 can't do anything. This weekend, We're going to the waffle house. 0:12:07.000 --> 0:12:08.840 I'll fly with Lana. I'm not eating. 0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:12.079 Are they stitched in gold? 0:12:12.800 --> 0:12:15.120 I haven't taken them off. I sleep and getting every 0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:18.079 goddamn penny out of those things. I told my wife, 0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:20.920 I'm wearing those six times a week for ten years 0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:21.800 to get the money back. 0:12:22.240 --> 0:12:24.800 They're gonna be the most comfortable jeans you've ever had, 0:12:24.880 --> 0:12:26.160 even if they're terrible. 0:12:26.679 --> 0:12:28.920 So my wife looks at the tag and and my 0:12:28.960 --> 0:12:32.320 wife kind of knows this stuff, and she goes, oh 0:12:32.440 --> 0:12:36.600 Jesus blank. She calls her daughter. She goes, Colin just 0:12:36.640 --> 0:12:41.600 pair bought a pair of jeans. Guess who he bought 0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:44.320 them from? She names it, and I can hear my 0:12:44.400 --> 0:12:47.920 stepdaughter howling laughing. She's like, how much it cost? 0:12:48.040 --> 0:12:48.800 A thousand? 0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:53.840 And like, uh so there, ladies. And you know my 0:12:53.920 --> 0:12:55.960 takeaway is I'll get used out of them. 0:12:55.960 --> 0:12:56.480 I'm fine. 0:12:56.960 --> 0:12:58.360 But do you know there are people that do that 0:12:58.440 --> 0:13:00.760 every day. They go shop there every. 0:13:01.760 --> 0:13:08.600 Every day. Yeah. I once did that before, like and it. 0:13:09.120 --> 0:13:11.440 I went to Barney's. I had to go to a 0:13:11.480 --> 0:13:15.480 wedding and I knew at the wedding Barney's. I knew 0:13:15.520 --> 0:13:19.120 at the wedding. I knew at the wedding that the 0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:21.840 girl who was best friends with my girlfriend in college 0:13:21.880 --> 0:13:24.800 was going to be there. And I wanted to look 0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:26.520 as good as I could. I was gonna be with Stacy. 0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:27.840 I wanted to look as good as I could because 0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:30.040 I knew she was going to report back. So I 0:13:30.559 --> 0:13:35.520 go to Barney's. I buy this suit. It's like perfect 0:13:35.760 --> 0:13:40.160 off the rack. It was well north to thirteen hundred dollars. 0:13:40.200 --> 0:13:43.960 I had no business buying this suit because I was 0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:49.160 not making thirteen hundred dollars. And I buy it. I'm 0:13:49.240 --> 0:13:51.439 feeling good. My wife is making fun of me. She's like, 0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:56.000 you're an idiot. We get to the wedding. The my 0:13:56.160 --> 0:14:00.880 ex girlfriend's best friend bailed on the wedding, never showed up. 0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:05.520 I got this suit. I looked amazing. I never. I've 0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:07.840 decided since then, I cannot spend a lot of money 0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:08.360 on clothes. 0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:11.880 Yeah, well I don't look good in clothes. I don't, 0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:14.840 so you know stuff you don't. 0:14:14.880 --> 0:14:18.680 I wear Colin. I wear my my hoodie from the 0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:23.360 Volume podcast network. That's what I wear. That's all I 0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:25.920 need so much, And I think, but by the way, 0:14:25.920 --> 0:14:27.120 I might have gotten this for free. 0:14:27.560 --> 0:14:31.440 You and I have similarities. We've done well. We love gambling. 0:14:31.960 --> 0:14:34.840 We have both have our wives look like sisters. They're 0:14:34.880 --> 0:14:41.840 both beautiful, beautiful, beautiful, red haired, beautiful women. Tolerant women, yes, 0:14:41.880 --> 0:14:47.280 and we are adverse to big spending. Although I do 0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:50.840 look you probably like I like nice vacation. All spend 0:14:50.840 --> 0:14:54.240 I tell my kids education and experiences all tell that. 0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:56.720 You know what's not on that list? 0:14:57.120 --> 0:15:04.120 Jeans No, No, definitely not when when when my wife 0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:08.400 was an architecture school and I was working at ESPN, 0:15:08.480 --> 0:15:13.720 the magazine, and I was making not a lot of money, 0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:15.440 and we were living in New York City and we 0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:18.800 had just gotten married. And my wife, who grew up 0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:21.080 on Staten Island, her mom was a teacher, her dad 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:24.080 was an architect. Very lovely lifestyle, but it was not 0:15:24.120 --> 0:15:28.120 like an extravagant lifestyle, right. I got the credit card 0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:30.480 after we got married, and we're spending together now and 0:15:30.520 --> 0:15:34.640 she's an architecture school and she had spent like four 0:15:34.720 --> 0:15:37.680 hundred dollars on a pair of jeans. I'm like, what 0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:42.680 is going on here? And she's like, I just needed 0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:46.000 the genes. They just they were things that I needed 0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:49.240 in that moment. Sure I could. I didn't want to 0:15:49.280 --> 0:15:51.240 argue with it because it was still early in our life. 0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:54.200 I used to be when I used to be a 0:15:54.240 --> 0:15:59.000 hoarder and kind of a financial horder, like you know 0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:01.840 x y, I would laugh. She's like, you're going to 0:16:01.880 --> 0:16:04.640 be the richest dead guy ever. And then I met Anne, 0:16:05.480 --> 0:16:10.200 and Anne has certain needs and she needed me to spend, 0:16:13.160 --> 0:16:15.440 which is fine because she's beautiful and it makes me 0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:18.800 really happy. But yeah, things have changed. All right, let's 0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:21.400 go so good week. I'm gonna give you the stuff 0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:25.040 and I almost know where you're gonna go with these 0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:27.040 I feel so I'm gonna take the Steelers plus two 0:16:27.080 --> 0:16:30.520 at the Bengals. Pittsburgh gets a second look at a 0:16:30.520 --> 0:16:35.320 backup quarterback. They're a desperate team, veteran coach, great as 0:16:35.360 --> 0:16:38.840 an underdog, they are a cornered animal. Steelers plus two 0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:39.920 Sharper square. 0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:42.280 Totally sharp. This was a two and a half. It 0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:45.000 got bumped down. Look, you have a couple of advantages. 0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:50.280 One no Jamar Chase. Two buying or selling very high 0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:53.080 in the Bengals, buying very low on the Steelers. Three 0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:56.520 no Dj Reader And that is a huge deal in 0:16:56.560 --> 0:16:59.080 the middle of the defensive line for the Bengals. Not 0:16:59.120 --> 0:17:02.119 only is he great again, it's the run. He's phenomenal 0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:05.040 against the past. So you're really going to be limiting 0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:08.280 your pass rush capabilities against Mason Rudolph. And don't think like, 0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:11.200 all right, we're going from Kenny Pikett to Mitch Trubisky 0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:14.280 to Mason Rudolph. He's been all the same. They're all 0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:17.439 the same. They're the same quarterback and then you just 0:17:17.480 --> 0:17:21.119 mentioned the most important thing. Mike Tomlin. Mike Tomlin as 0:17:21.160 --> 0:17:24.280 a dog, most profitable coach the past twenty years, Mike 0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:27.199 Tomlin as a dog at home, Mike Tomlin as a 0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:29.800 dog in the division, Mike Tomlin as a dog late 0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:32.040 in the year, Mike Tomlin as a dog off a 0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:35.679 loss of more than seven. Like every category, it starts 0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:38.520 at sixty percent and gets up to ninety percent. No 0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:43.040 joke against the spread. So yes, the wise guys, they're 0:17:43.040 --> 0:17:44.000 going to be on the steers. 0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:46.960 I'm not getting the best number at Peckham. I thought 0:17:46.960 --> 0:17:48.680 it was one of the bets of the year. I'll 0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:51.200 take Dallas plus one and a half at the Dolphins. 0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:54.720 I have a theory very good teams who are physically 0:17:54.800 --> 0:17:58.760 humiliated on big TV games come back the following week. 0:17:58.800 --> 0:18:03.719 It's not just losing, it's being humiliated, physically pushed around. 0:18:03.760 --> 0:18:06.639 And Dallas is a physical team. Miami's not. 0:18:07.320 --> 0:18:07.439 Now. 0:18:07.480 --> 0:18:09.840 I do think they generate since Week five a very 0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:12.879 nice pass for us. That's a Fangio defense. But I 0:18:12.920 --> 0:18:15.800 think Dallas has something to prove. I think they were embarrassed. 0:18:15.880 --> 0:18:18.560 I think they're a good football team. I'm going to 0:18:18.600 --> 0:18:20.679 take Dallas to win by about a touchdown plus one 0:18:20.680 --> 0:18:22.000 and a half here Sharper square. 0:18:22.200 --> 0:18:24.119 Yeah, the wise guys are on the Cowboys. This opened 0:18:24.119 --> 0:18:27.840 it too. It's been bet down. There's places where it's 0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:31.639 one you mentioned pick them as well, like it would 0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:34.440 not surprise me and some of the rumblings I've heard 0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:37.320 in the market from professional betters if Dallas ended up 0:18:37.359 --> 0:18:40.159 as the favorite in this game. So I will say 0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:42.520 it's very important you get Dallas as an underdog if 0:18:42.520 --> 0:18:44.720 you like them, because the trends start to work against 0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:47.679 you if they become the favorite in terms of covering. 0:18:47.720 --> 0:18:50.040 So you want to get them at the plus number. 0:18:50.440 --> 0:18:52.280 But for all the reasons you said, like, there are 0:18:52.280 --> 0:18:54.280 a lot of trends that will back up the idea 0:18:54.320 --> 0:18:56.639 that when you are a team that has been blown 0:18:56.680 --> 0:18:58.880 out and then you are going on the road again 0:18:59.119 --> 0:19:02.719 as an underdog, you are the team that people should 0:19:02.720 --> 0:19:06.800 be backing. So in agreement so far, two for two 0:19:06.920 --> 0:19:07.640 Kyle Cowhart. 0:19:08.840 --> 0:19:10.840 The number has been bumped up. All of our odds 0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:13.680 provided by Draft Kings. I'm talking to Chad Milman CCO 0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:16.600 Action Network Patriots plus seven at the Broncos Weather could 0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:19.520 be crappy. Seven's a lot of points Denver. Can Nicholan 0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:25.000 dime you. Bailey Zappi is okay, He's not great. But 0:19:25.240 --> 0:19:28.360 my takeaway is this is a low scoring, ugly, crappy 0:19:28.400 --> 0:19:31.160 weather game. At six, I would probably stay away. At seven, 0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:33.600 I would take New England. That's a lot of points 0:19:33.600 --> 0:19:37.280 in lousy weather. We've had huge rain through southern California. 0:19:37.359 --> 0:19:40.399 It's all moving into the mountains Denver, Colorado. Over the 0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:45.600 next two to three days, Patriots plus seven sharper square sharp. 0:19:45.720 --> 0:19:49.800 Ish like, there's a lot better games on the board. 0:19:49.880 --> 0:19:53.200 There's not a huge edge with the Patriots at plus seven. 0:19:54.320 --> 0:19:59.159 The challenge for this game is that the Broncos prior 0:19:59.200 --> 0:20:02.880 to last week had been living off of turnover. Yes, 0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:06.439 that's how they were winning these games. Right, stuff always 0:20:06.480 --> 0:20:10.399 even out, It always evens out, except they're playing Bailey Zappi. 0:20:10.880 --> 0:20:14.159 So what is the formula for winning for the Broncos. 0:20:14.400 --> 0:20:18.119 They're playing bad quarterbacks and getting turnovers. So what are 0:20:18.119 --> 0:20:21.199 they getting they're getting? I would argue Bailey Zappi is 0:20:21.200 --> 0:20:26.639 not a good quarterback in bad weather, in altitude, in 0:20:26.680 --> 0:20:31.760 a hostile situation. This is Taylor made to be a 0:20:31.800 --> 0:20:35.800 turnover masterpiece for the Denver Broncos. Look at what happened 0:20:35.840 --> 0:20:39.560 last week with the Chiefs. Right, the Patriots were in 0:20:39.680 --> 0:20:42.760 position to keep that game close. They come out of 0:20:42.760 --> 0:20:46.840 the locker room. Bailey Zappi second throw, he's rolling out, 0:20:47.160 --> 0:20:50.879 throws it directly to a Chiefs defensive back like doesn't 0:20:50.920 --> 0:20:54.439 even There's not even a Patriots receiver there. And that 0:20:54.600 --> 0:20:56.800 is going to happen two or three times in a game, 0:20:57.200 --> 0:20:58.879 and a couple of those times, at least one of 0:20:58.880 --> 0:21:00.919 those times, the Broncos are going to the ball, and 0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:02.960 that's going to be the way the game changes. I 0:21:03.000 --> 0:21:05.320 would not be comfortable betting the Patriots in the spot. 0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:06.680 I would bet the under though. 0:21:07.960 --> 0:21:10.520 All Right, one more dog Ravens plus five and a 0:21:10.560 --> 0:21:12.439 half at the Niners. They're a bit beat up, but 0:21:12.520 --> 0:21:17.160 Harbaugh's an underdog. NFC teams facing for the first time 0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:21.560 Lamar Jackson. Now, the Niners have excellent linebackers, Twitchy Fred Warner. 0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:27.159 They should be able to be more than competent against Lamar. 0:21:27.320 --> 0:21:29.159 But if you've never faced him and you don't have 0:21:29.240 --> 0:21:32.320 anybody in practice to duplicate it, it can be an avalanche. 0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:34.480 Five and a half is a silly number. This is 0:21:34.480 --> 0:21:38.040 a very close, physical game, hard to run on the Ravens. 0:21:38.280 --> 0:21:40.120 I'm taking the points all day here. I think it's 0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:42.080 a good game. I like the Niners. Five and a 0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:44.600 half seems almost disrespectful Sharper square. 0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:47.440 Yeah, so the wise guys are on the Ravens. Here, 0:21:47.800 --> 0:21:51.960 I will say I'm conflicted. I'm conflicted because a I've 0:21:51.960 --> 0:21:55.600 got a decent sized bet on Christian McCaffrey at twenty 0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:58.840 five to one to win the MVP. And let's face it, 0:21:58.960 --> 0:22:01.919 this is the v people, right, you got Rock Purty 0:22:02.200 --> 0:22:04.800 at about minus two hundred, you got Lamar Jackson at 0:22:04.840 --> 0:22:07.640 about three to one, and depending on the book, you've 0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:10.720 got Christian McCaffrey is the third shortest odds or Dak 0:22:10.760 --> 0:22:14.840