1 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen. I had some hashtag conversations earlier today, 2 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: lengthy conversations, in depth, scoop kind of conversations, and I 3 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,120 Speaker 1: really don't think the college football public has the slightest 4 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: clue how close we are to just a cataclysmic coaching carousel, 5 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: the rare triple c. We're really close to it, Like 6 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: one or two things go sideways and it triggers a 7 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 1: domino effect the likes of which I don't think we've 8 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 1: seen in a wide open coaching market in several years. 9 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: I mean, the over under is like two and a 10 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 1: half major jobs coming open. So with that, we're jampacked. 11 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: We're high a top, a saggy turned beautiful immunity. Downtown Nashville, Tennessee, 12 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: Tuesday Night, October seventh, the Year of Our Laura twenty 13 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: twenty five. James Franklin Is he to be at Penn 14 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 1: State in twenty twenty six? Ironically, I wasn't even talking 15 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 1: about him in the intro. That's its whole separate thing, 16 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 1: and back by popular demand, we'll talk about it tonight, 17 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,400 Speaker 1: but not before we do massive game previews. It is 18 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: a preview Tuesday around here. We have got a just 19 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:20,639 Speaker 1: a monstrous, just gargantuan is a very adjective field opening 20 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: to the show slate this Saturday, and we're gonna break 21 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: down most of them tonight. We have some spillage that 22 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,399 Speaker 1: we will hit Thursday. So if the games aren't hit tonight, 23 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 1: we're gonna hit him Thursday. I got full predictions on 24 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 1: all those. I've got the Commissioner's pole tonight. We changed 25 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 1: up the order. We're gonna do JP pole Thursday night. 26 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 1: This week. At least, we're gonna do the Commissioner's poll 27 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: tonight because I thought that this week's ap pole warranted 28 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: a more immediate response from the office of the future 29 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: Commissioner of this sport. And I will do that. Got 30 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 1: all kinds of stuff woeing throughout the show tonight. It's 31 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: jam pack. They're watching us in Culman, Alabama. Myrtle Meat, 32 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 1: South Carolina, Southampton, England is tuned in, and I hope 33 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: they're team are doing okay this year. And Toledo, Ohio. 34 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 1: I gotta thank you because the other night in the 35 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 1: intro of the show, I haphazardly said, hey, subscribe to 36 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: the channel if you haven't already, and I gave you 37 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 1: a statistic, which is fact that like half the people, 38 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:16,959 Speaker 1: about fifty two percent of the people who watch the 39 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 1: channel are not subscribed. I left it at that, right Jesse. 40 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:22,239 Speaker 1: I went back and looked and we got like three 41 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: thousand subs off of that. So if we extrapa laid 42 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 1: out if I just keep saying that, we may hit 43 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 1: five hundred thousand subs way before Thanksgiving, which has been 44 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: our internal goal around here. So hey, I'm making the 45 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:37,080 Speaker 1: prayer hands. If you're listening on podcast, it doesn't cost 46 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: you a thing, it doesn't sign you up for anything. 47 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: It just helps us. It puts food on Bradley's table. 48 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:45,640 Speaker 1: And all you gotta do is subscribe. That's it. That's it. 49 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 1: Just check half of you think you are and you're not, 50 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 1: so check even if you think you're subbed, if you're not, 51 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:56,080 Speaker 1: check click the end. Let's dive into the show tonight. 52 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 1: Huge Saturday coming up in Columbia, Missouri, will be there 53 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: fueled by Quick Trip. Yes, the Fall Note Lie Tour 54 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 1: is making its way back to Missouri, the first time 55 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 1: we've been there since well, the last time we were there. Obviously, 56 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: in the last time we were there, do you know 57 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: what happened? A walk off field goal and a field storming. 58 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 1: And that's the only game I've been to at Missouri. 59 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:22,519 Speaker 1: So there's a big dynamics edge here, I think edge Missouri. 60 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,079 Speaker 1: We circled this game in the preseason when we were 61 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: doing our sleeper games of the year, and we you know, 62 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 1: we said Texas Florida, and that one panned out last week. Well, 63 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 1: I also said Alabama at Missouri. So Alabama, you know, 64 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 1: they played at Georgia, they won, then they came home. 65 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:40,839 Speaker 1: They had the big revenge spott against Vanderbilt. First time 66 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 1: that combination of words has ever come out of my mouth, 67 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: and they won that one too, And all the while 68 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: we knew Eli Drinkwitz and Missouri were just gonna be 69 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 1: sitting up there with their feet propped up, waiting on 70 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: Alabama to come to them. Missouri was on a bye 71 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 1: last week. So that's the first thing. The second thing 72 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 1: you need to know is it turns out Eli drink 73 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: Which is fairly good at what he does. His first 74 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: three seasons at Missouri seventeen and nineteen, sort of getting 75 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: things in order, sort of revenue engine a little bit, 76 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: or at least building the engine to get ready to 77 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: rev and rev he has the last two years and 78 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,159 Speaker 1: change twenty six and five. I think that's a paper 79 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 1: popper of a stat They're nailing the portal perennially underrated 80 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 1: coaching staff. If you don't believe me, Look how many 81 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: of their guys get hired away. They got guys interviewing 82 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: for jobs even as we speak. So what's Alabama going 83 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: to get defensively Saturday? I don't mean what is Caine 84 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:35,919 Speaker 1: Womack's crew going to put out on the field. I 85 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:39,719 Speaker 1: mean when Alabama lines up, what are they getting from Missouri? 86 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: Because I'm looking at this stat profile right now on 87 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 1: paper where the game is not played. But that's all 88 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: we have to go on. Missouri number two total defense, 89 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: number one run defense, number ten pass defense. Does that 90 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: sound right? If you've watched Missouri this year? Does that 91 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:03,840 Speaker 1: sound like them? It's a classic stress test. We always 92 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 1: use the damn metaphor on the show spelled dam of course, 93 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 1: kid friendly show around here. And sometimes you got cracks 94 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:14,360 Speaker 1: in the dam and they just haven't been exposed yet. 95 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 1: And in college football what that means is sometimes you've 96 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 1: got flaws on your team, sometimes you've got weaknesses. But 97 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 1: if you hadn't faced anyone built to expose them. We 98 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 1: don't know that their weaknesses. And then other times you 99 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: really are just as strong as the paper says you are. 100 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 1: So that's the first thing we got to figure out 101 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 1: about Missouri because the best team they've played is Kansas. 102 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: All due respect to Kansas. May like them against TCU 103 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 1: later this week or Texas Tech, whoever they play. But 104 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 1: if they are what they look like they are on paper, 105 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: if they pass that test, then Alabama total offense forty 106 00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 1: second in the country right now, but they're rushing numbers, 107 00:05:50,520 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: even with last weekend are still in the one hundreds. 108 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 1: Spama's still in the one hundreds in rush yards per game. Now, 109 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 1: if you're a believer that Jim Miller in that ground game, 110 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:02,279 Speaker 1: that offensive line just got gear last week. Okay, if 111 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 1: you believe that, I need to see it more than 112 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:06,119 Speaker 1: one week to think it's just going to always click 113 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:09,800 Speaker 1: that way. Can you corrupt this? So this is the 114 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 1: big question for Missouri's defense. Can you corrupt this seventeenth 115 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:19,360 Speaker 1: on third down? That's Alabama. They're fifth passing and they 116 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 1: are number one in the country in turnover margin. Now, 117 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:24,839 Speaker 1: if you get them on the road and you're building 118 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: up there, and you corrupt that little batch of stat 119 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:33,839 Speaker 1: profile for Alabama, that's how yours ends up verifying. So 120 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 1: that's the first thing I'll watch from Missouri, because it's 121 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 1: always going to be the case. When you play inferior 122 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:41,839 Speaker 1: competition to start a season, You're going to get some 123 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,159 Speaker 1: guy over in the corner yelling, well, who have they 124 00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:47,160 Speaker 1: played well? Who have they played well? I've never been 125 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:50,120 Speaker 1: a big believer of who have they played? But I 126 00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 1: am a believer in let's make sure all of this verifies. 127 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,039 Speaker 1: And the deeper you get into the season before you 128 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:57,800 Speaker 1: play a legit top ten, top fifteen caliber team, the 129 00:06:57,839 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: deeper you get in without some parts of your profile verifying. 130 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 1: So that's the first thing. The second thing is I'm 131 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 1: gonna lean in a little closer because I'm ana whisper this. 132 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:09,359 Speaker 1: I don't want everyone to hear this because this is 133 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 1: not supposed to be the case, but it is the case. 134 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 1: This game right here is a bigger test for Alabama's 135 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 1: offensive line than facing Georgia. Oh, no way way. Georgia 136 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 1: can't pressure the quarterback. Missouri can number two pressure rate 137 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:29,560 Speaker 1: in the country. Actually, So if you had fears, if 138 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:31,840 Speaker 1: you had this nightmare image in your mind as a 139 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 1: Bama fan of your team going into Sandford Stadium and 140 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: Ty Simpson constantly being under duress and that offensive line 141 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 1: being put in a blender. It didn't happen there. You 142 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 1: hope it doesn't happen again, period. But I'm just telling you, Unfortunately, 143 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 1: the more likely culprits to make that happen are the 144 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: Missouri Tigers, if what we see on paper about their 145 00:07:55,240 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: stat profile defensively verifies that offensive line at Alabama still 146 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:02,679 Speaker 1: mixing and matching. I mean, I listened to Ryan Grubb 147 00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: last week. He was asked, Hey, why do you guys 148 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: keep doing that? He said, yeah, we hadn't settled on 149 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 1: our five yet, which is pretty basic answer. I don't 150 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: think he's lying, So if he was, that have the 151 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:15,360 Speaker 1: same five trot out there. Zion Young's a really good 152 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 1: player for Missouri. Damon Wilson would be starting for Georgia 153 00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 1: right now and be one of their better players. But 154 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 1: he's there. Chris McClelland like, they've got legit sec disruption 155 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: makers up front defensively, and I see, here's the irony 156 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: of this, not irony. I'm not a Lanis Moore set 157 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 1: But here's the funny thing. I see a similar edge 158 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 1: Alabama has against Missouri that they had against Georgia. This 159 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,680 Speaker 1: is all in theory because when you looked at that 160 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: game Alabama versus Georgia, you kind of knew, hey, man, 161 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:48,199 Speaker 1: if ty Simpson's got time, he could go to work 162 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 1: against that Georgia secondary. I think the same thing here. 163 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 1: If he's got time, especially with that group of wide 164 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: outs there, he can go to work against this Missouri secondary. 165 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: I think I just am less sure that he'll have 166 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 1: a whole bunch of time in this one. Then I 167 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: was against Georgia, especially having already seen the Alabama Georgia game. 168 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 1: You gotta be really careful of game script. I'll tell 169 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 1: you why this game is so unpredictable to me, and 170 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 1: we're gonna be there because of how unpredictable it is. 171 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:19,559 Speaker 1: But the reason it's so unpredictable is because of how 172 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 1: pivotal game script is. Here. You always find yourself saying, 173 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 1: oh so and so needs a hot start, Oh so 174 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 1: and so needs to start fast. Everyone wants to start fast. 175 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 1: Some teams kind of need it. Look, Alabama got down 176 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 1: last week and they won. Missouri could get down early 177 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 1: Saturday and still win. What I'm saying is in terms 178 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 1: of game script. Look, Missouri went and got a mod 179 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: hardy out of the portal, and he's he may be 180 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 1: the best tailback in the country right now, seven point 181 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: one yards per carry. He's been one hundred or more 182 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:53,480 Speaker 1: in every game. Jamal Roberts is back up. He's good. 183 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: Bo Prabula at quarterback can run the ball as well. 184 00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:00,960 Speaker 1: I picture Alabama getting a lead in the game, and 185 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 1: I picture some of that being negated. Okay, if you 186 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 1: don't if you let Missouri grab the lead, or you 187 00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:10,560 Speaker 1: don't let them and they just forcefully grab the lead, well, 188 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: then you start to get yourself into a game script 189 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 1: that you kind of feared in some of these other 190 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: games you've had so far this year. If you're Alabama 191 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 1: and that is uh oh, we're facing the best tailback 192 00:10:19,880 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: we face so far this year. Our run defense is okay, 193 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 1: eighty eighth in the country right now, giving up one 194 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty five per game. Been some long runs 195 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 1: mixed in there. Georgia creased you a time or two. 196 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 1: Georgia got to the edge of time or eight. If 197 00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 1: that starts happening, the big fear you had against Vandy, 198 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 1: which is they consistently win third downs, chain can chains 199 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: consistently move? My offense is being kept off the field. 200 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:48,760 Speaker 1: That's a game script that Missouri can quickly get you in. 201 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:53,679 Speaker 1: And conversely, if they're playing with the lead, then all 202 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 1: of a sudden, a good pressure team in Missouri is 203 00:10:56,800 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 1: facing you in obvious passing situations. You're having to play 204 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 1: from behind, kind of like you did against Florida State. 205 00:11:03,960 --> 00:11:05,839 Speaker 1: And that's the last time that we really saw Ty 206 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: Simpson get harassed. Now, there is a strong working theory 207 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:11,679 Speaker 1: around Alabama that a lot of what you saw against 208 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 1: Florida State is ancient history. That may be the case. 209 00:11:15,720 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 1: You don't know one hundred percent until you're put in 210 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:22,600 Speaker 1: a similar position. So let's take a look at what 211 00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:26,720 Speaker 1: the model thinks on this game. Right now, Alabama's favored 212 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 1: by three and a half at FanDuel. Our model agrees 213 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:33,960 Speaker 1: nearly totally. We've got Alabama minus three, so we're right 214 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 1: down to the wire. This should be a very highly 215 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:40,600 Speaker 1: competitive game. The only thing I'm struggling with with Missouri, 216 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: because I gave you several reasons to pick them to 217 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,440 Speaker 1: win the game. The one thing I'm struggling with is 218 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 1: the scaling issue if it is an issue, because I 219 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 1: think I got a pretty good read on what Bama 220 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 1: is right now. Think I got a pretty good trust 221 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 1: in then being able to throw the ball effectively. I 222 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:58,079 Speaker 1: feel like their ground game is coming on. I feel 223 00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:01,199 Speaker 1: like they are opportunistic and really smart with what they 224 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 1: do defensively given what they have, I got a good 225 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: read on them. With Missouri, there's a lot about the 226 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 1: scalability of the production. That is a question. All that means, 227 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 1: it's a really fancy way of saying, you've played really 228 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 1: good against inferior competition. Do I think you will play 229 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:21,439 Speaker 1: equally as good against far superior competition. They're not superior 230 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 1: to you, per se, they're superior to who you've played 231 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:28,680 Speaker 1: so far. Alabama is my national champion. Okay, I need them, 232 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 1: I need them winning. Is that bias slightly? So I'm 233 00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:36,440 Speaker 1: going to very slightly lean Alabama to win the game 234 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:39,679 Speaker 1: and cover I guess we suffice it to say, we'll 235 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 1: not be putting this on the Rama Nudle Express. And 236 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 1: this is the kind of game where if Missouri wins, 237 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 1: I will have given like thirty seven reasons to kick 238 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: myself on the way home listening to this video and 239 00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: saying you almost had it. You gave so much good 240 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:58,719 Speaker 1: reasoning and then you picked Bama. I gotta go with them. 241 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:01,600 Speaker 1: That's my national champion, and I think they're a better team. 242 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 1: I think they are the better team. The dynamics are 243 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:07,240 Speaker 1: definitely against them in this game. We do not have 244 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 1: dynamics against us because we've got Quick Trip in our 245 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: back pocket, all right, so we will be fueled all 246 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: the way there and all the way back. They texted 247 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:19,199 Speaker 1: me the other day, you guys see this if you're 248 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:23,559 Speaker 1: following me on the socials at Josh pat CFB. I 249 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 1: don't know if many other partners out there do this. 250 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 1: Quick Trip Joe QTJ hit me and said, hey, you 251 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 1: haven't given away enough free gas this week. They called 252 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 1: me out for not giving away enough of their gas. 253 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 1: So I just went on Twitter and said who wants 254 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 1: free gas? And then Quick Trip came in behind and said, 255 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,959 Speaker 1: check your DMS, check your dms, check your dms. That's 256 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 1: why we partnered with them, and that is the reason 257 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 1: will be in Columbia, Missouri this Saturday, eleven am local 258 00:13:51,559 --> 00:13:55,240 Speaker 1: kick noon on the East Coast. We appreciate them now 259 00:13:55,640 --> 00:14:00,120 Speaker 1: and forever. Also, some of you have been asking I 260 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 1: keep forgetting to plug it. I was about to forget 261 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 1: there until Jesse told me the answer to your question 262 00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 1: is yes. And if you're wondering what the question is, 263 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 1: it's are you putting the updated Falldon't Lie shirts in 264 00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:14,360 Speaker 1: the peyatestatematerial dot com store. Yes, so like it's on 265 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 1: the board right here behind me. If you're watching on YouTube, 266 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,600 Speaker 1: we have a Falldon't Lie Tour shirt and then we 267 00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 1: update it with the town that we're going to. So 268 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 1: the Columbia, Missouri version. Yes, peytstatematerial dot com. It's available 269 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:35,000 Speaker 1: there right now. Thank you, Jesse. Next up, I'm getting 270 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 1: nervous looking at the piece of paper in front of me. 271 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: Red River Shootout, Texas, Oklahoma, Saturday, three point thirty Eastern 272 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: time on ABC. This game preview is presented by Academy 273 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:50,520 Speaker 1: Sports and Outdoors. I have to tell you, friends, I'm 274 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 1: very upset that we will not be here, but last 275 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,880 Speaker 1: week's results sort of had to change our plans. It's 276 00:14:56,880 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 1: not my fault. Blame it on Stark, Blame it on 277 00:15:00,160 --> 00:15:02,880 Speaker 1: Texa's not my fault. This is my favorite game in 278 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 1: college football. I said, what I said. There's no Yeah, 279 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 1: but there's no whatabouts. The Red River Shootout, known by 280 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 1: no other name on this show is my favorite game. 281 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 1: It's my favorite rivalry game. It's my favorite game to 282 00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 1: go to. I went there two years ago. You're looking 283 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 1: at b Roll Bradley's rolling it right now. That is halftime. 284 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:24,840 Speaker 1: This is halftime of the game. It's a one tunnel stadium, 285 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 1: much like the Big House in ann Arbor. And so 286 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: if you're on the field like we are for the game, 287 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 1: just run up the tunnel at halftime. Go out there, 288 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 1: grab you funnel cake. There's powdered sugar right there on 289 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 1: the black tea. I won a chicken. I secured this video, 290 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 1: which became one of my most used gifts. Look at 291 00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 1: the flip of chick. That's a much much more difficult 292 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 1: game than it looks like it is. And it looks difficult. 293 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 1: You just got spinning pots and you got a flip 294 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 1: of chicken into it. Anyway, Wow, what a world we 295 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 1: live in now? Three and two versus five and Oh Now, 296 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:58,120 Speaker 1: if I told you that in July, a lot of 297 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 1: you would have said, oh really, Oklahomas already going have 298 00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: two losses? Huh? But no, that's not the case. The case, 299 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen, is the Texas Longhorns are three and 300 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 1: two against the five and oh undefeated Oklahoma Sooners. And 301 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 1: I ask the great question that gets asked a lot 302 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:19,000 Speaker 1: around these parts, whomso of thunk it roll it? Bradley, 303 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:22,400 Speaker 1: it's not absolutely crazy to think Texas could be a 304 00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:24,520 Speaker 1: two loss team when they go into the Red River 305 00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 1: Shootout known by no other name on this show. Texas 306 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: plays Ohio State in Week one. Okay, they are a 307 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 1: three and a half point dog in that game. They 308 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:36,520 Speaker 1: also play at Florida a few weeks later. That's not 309 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:40,360 Speaker 1: a layup. Texas will be favored very slightly as it 310 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 1: stands right now in that game at Florida, that's a tough, 311 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: tough game. That's the week before they play oh you 312 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 1: by the way, Yeah, Texas could lose both of those. 313 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:50,560 Speaker 1: They could certainly win both of those. But look on 314 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 1: the Oklahoma side, Bradley, show me Oklahoma schedule right quick. 315 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:56,160 Speaker 1: So there's at least a case to be made that 316 00:16:56,280 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 1: Texas not much returning production new starting quarter. They could 317 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 1: stumble a couple of times on the road. Oklahoma will 318 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,800 Speaker 1: have not even been on the road. Ironically, by the 319 00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:09,720 Speaker 1: time they played Texas, the only road game Oklahoma will 320 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:16,399 Speaker 1: have played is Temple That was from July. Did we 321 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:19,440 Speaker 1: call it? Some say yes, Make no mistake, this is 322 00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 1: a must win for Texas. In many ways, it is 323 00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 1: a must win for Texas. John Matteir, Oklahoma quarterback, questionable. 324 00:17:28,600 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 1: According to our FanDuel sources, eighty two percent of the 325 00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 1: against the spread wagering in this game is on Oklahoma. 326 00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:40,679 Speaker 1: And yet despite all that, Texas is favored. And we 327 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 1: did confirm today that Texas minus one and a half 328 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 1: is a number that assumes John Matteer starts. If John 329 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,359 Speaker 1: Matteir is ruled out of this game. According to our 330 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,600 Speaker 1: FanDuel sources, you're looking at Texas minus about five and 331 00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 1: a half. Is that shocking to a lot of you? Yes, 332 00:17:57,600 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 1: it is. I would encourage you if you think it's 333 00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 1: a lawed number, go bet it until your heart is content. 334 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:05,480 Speaker 1: That's not a hypothetical. You could bet this number right 335 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 1: now anyway, if you're just here for the game preview, 336 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 1: What if John Mattier can't go. There is a world 337 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:14,879 Speaker 1: where I do believe. I do believe actually in the 338 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,000 Speaker 1: world we live in that he's very questionable. I do 339 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 1: believe it's going to be a game time decision. It's 340 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,439 Speaker 1: a hand It's not like he's recovering from a knee 341 00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:24,400 Speaker 1: or an ankle or whatnot, where you have a timeline 342 00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 1: that you can trust because you've been down that road 343 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,280 Speaker 1: a million times. So I do think he's a game 344 00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 1: time decision. This is not an ideal situation for Brent Venables, 345 00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:33,760 Speaker 1: but that's why you win the Michigan in Auburn games. 346 00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:37,159 Speaker 1: So you don't have to win this thing Saturday. This 347 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,679 Speaker 1: season's not over if you lose it. But if he 348 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: doesn't start and Michael Hawkins goes, I am about fourteen 349 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 1: of you watched the Oklahoma Kent State game. Okay, if 350 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:52,199 Speaker 1: Michael Hawkins has to start against Texas, Oklahoma needs a 351 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:55,160 Speaker 1: game plan where seventeen points wins them the game. And look, 352 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:57,560 Speaker 1: they could pitch a shutout against Texas, like that's in 353 00:18:57,600 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 1: the cards. I'm just saying, if Hawkins has to go, 354 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 1: oh boy, they really got to throttle it down. The 355 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:04,280 Speaker 1: whole game is gonna get throttled down. Now, if mateir 356 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: does go, is he one hundred percent? It's one thing 357 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 1: for him to take the first snap? What does he 358 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 1: look like on snap one? What does he look like 359 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:15,080 Speaker 1: on snap sixty one? Do they use a two QB system? 360 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 1: Does he go in and they fully intend to play 361 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:19,160 Speaker 1: him the whole way and he just can't do it? 362 00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 1: What does the ball look like coming out of his hand? 363 00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 1: Can he grip the ball the way he needs to? 364 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,160 Speaker 1: These are questions they're asking right now in Norman, and 365 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 1: in fact, the way I know they're asking those questions, 366 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 1: he says, we don't have to guess when you have 367 00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:36,159 Speaker 1: a network as vast as ours, when you have connections 368 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 1: as deep as ours, we don't need to wonder from 369 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: afar what's going on in Norman, because we have boots 370 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 1: on the ground. 371 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:59,440 Speaker 2: Take it away, Eddie, It's bigod Eddie Radosevich, suitor scoop 372 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 2: dot Com Day two, John Butteer Watch currently embedded in 373 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 2: one of the bushes outside. 374 00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:09,720 Speaker 3: Of Gaylord Family OK Memorial Stadium, can't breathe. It's worth 375 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,200 Speaker 3: it though, to try to give you the latest. Oh 376 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:17,160 Speaker 3: you back in the indoor today? Not surprising, little cloudy 377 00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:21,159 Speaker 3: out lots of Kim Trail's for Invitables talks about that today. 378 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:26,240 Speaker 3: Check out Suoterscoop dot com for more. 379 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,440 Speaker 1: The beautiful thing is I did not clear it with him. 380 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 1: That was Eddie Rodosovich soonerscoop dot Com, one of not 381 00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 1: just the treasures of college football, but America. I would 382 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 1: say I'd put him on Rushmore if they let me 383 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:44,640 Speaker 1: make the call. I did not tell him we were 384 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:46,639 Speaker 1: going to put that in the show. So I see 385 00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 1: the chat going crazy, and I know, good and well 386 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,159 Speaker 1: thirty seven of his friends are texting him right now 387 00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:53,639 Speaker 1: saying did you see the show? Did you see the show? Honestly, 388 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,359 Speaker 1: he should be watching live, but yeah, they don't know. 389 00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:59,240 Speaker 1: No one knows out there. Oh you've been practicing indoors 390 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:03,720 Speaker 1: pretty sure, arms security surrounding the perimeter. No one's getting 391 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:05,600 Speaker 1: a look. And then you listen to Brenton Venables press 392 00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 1: conference and he's like, John, I don't even know if 393 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:10,640 Speaker 1: he's in the build. I don't know. I'm not a doctor, guys, 394 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know. I'm not making fun 395 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:14,840 Speaker 1: of Brenton Vinibles because I would play it every bit 396 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 1: as dumb as he's played it this week. It's brilliant tactically. 397 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:21,639 Speaker 1: So that's the yes no of if John Mattier plays 398 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:24,920 Speaker 1: now the Texas dilemma. Oh Josh, you mean the arch 399 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:28,719 Speaker 1: Manning dilemma, right, No, I don't mean the arch Manning dilemma. 400 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 1: I'm not writing for the New York Times. No, I've 401 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 1: actually watched all of Texas's games, so I know it's 402 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:37,840 Speaker 1: the Texas dilemma. There are four teams. You want a 403 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 1: paper popper. There are four teams in Texas that are 404 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,920 Speaker 1: top fifty in rush yards per game, and the University 405 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 1: of Texas is not one of them. I think I 406 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 1: need to repeat it because some of you are washing 407 00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 1: dishes right now and I'm just background noise. This is 408 00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 1: so inexplicable. There are four teams in the state of 409 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:59,880 Speaker 1: Texas top fifty rushing yards per game, Texas not one 410 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:06,199 Speaker 1: of them. Big humans, endless tailbacks, top quarterback in the 411 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,960 Speaker 1: all the advantages in the world, and you can't crack 412 00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:12,080 Speaker 1: the top fifty in rushing offense. They're running backs against 413 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:17,840 Speaker 1: Florida nine carries for eleven yards in two games against 414 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:21,360 Speaker 1: Ohio State and Florida. Arch Manning was pressured in thirty 415 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:25,720 Speaker 1: five of seventy eight dropbacks, so it's not like they're 416 00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:28,959 Speaker 1: giving him ample time to throw, and his tailbacks are 417 00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:31,199 Speaker 1: churning five and a half six yards per carry, and 418 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,840 Speaker 1: he's got racehorse receivers all over the place, and he 419 00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:37,200 Speaker 1: just sucks again, contrary to what the New York Times 420 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: Twitter account would lead you to believe. Pathetic. No, No, 421 00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 1: what's happening here is it is a fumbling on multiple 422 00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:50,280 Speaker 1: fronts offensively for Texas so far. And now you get 423 00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 1: to try and get right against Oklahoma, the number five 424 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 1: run defense in the country, number four pressure rate, number 425 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 1: nine pass blitz rate. Can start bite them on that, 426 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 1: by the way. You know, you get after the quarterback 427 00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,120 Speaker 1: so much, and then you go up against a guy 428 00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,440 Speaker 1: that's willing to draw you in, draw you in, draw 429 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,919 Speaker 1: you in screen screen screen score. Wow, that's the difference 430 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:13,160 Speaker 1: in a low scoring game. Could happen. I don't feel 431 00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:15,159 Speaker 1: easy about it. I don't feel great about it, But 432 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:19,080 Speaker 1: could happen. Here's a pre padlock stat. Just something I'm 433 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,680 Speaker 1: focused on in this game. We have a stat in house. 434 00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:23,320 Speaker 1: I don't even know that we've ever talked about it 435 00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 1: on the show. It's not revolutionary. We just make up 436 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 1: our own language. Cap Buster plays. You've got the explosive plays, 437 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,440 Speaker 1: but we love cap buster plays around here because why 438 00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,080 Speaker 1: run for twenty yards when you can run for forty 439 00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:39,200 Speaker 1: plus yards. Cap busters are forty plus yard plays. Oh 440 00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:42,000 Speaker 1: you not great? One hundred and twenty fifth in the 441 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:46,400 Speaker 1: country Texas in the fifties. Does Texas have to respect 442 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,440 Speaker 1: the deep ball in this game? So, in other words, 443 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: what does John Mattier's show that he can do? Cause 444 00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:53,560 Speaker 1: if you didn't show he can do a whole lot? 445 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,919 Speaker 1: Oh you has not run the ball particularly well themselves 446 00:23:57,200 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 1: this year. And conversely, can Texas wide receivers get separation 447 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,920 Speaker 1: because we got questions about the speed in that room. 448 00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,840 Speaker 1: And so if neither of them can hit the cap buster, 449 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,760 Speaker 1: I don't trust either of them to put together sustained 450 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:14,080 Speaker 1: long drives. The total in this game is forty three 451 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:16,400 Speaker 1: and a half, and you're looking at a solid under 452 00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 1: in that case. Here's the hang up I just mentioned it. 453 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:22,919 Speaker 1: With Oklahoma or Oklahoma is looked at publicly as the 454 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,640 Speaker 1: decided favorite in this game. Most of the public is stunned. 455 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,000 Speaker 1: Most of the public thinks FanDuel is giving away free 456 00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:33,399 Speaker 1: money to offer Oklahoma plus points. Period, You think you 457 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:37,000 Speaker 1: should be laying points with ou what they're undefeated, Texas 458 00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:39,159 Speaker 1: has got two losses. It's a neutral side game. How 459 00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,440 Speaker 1: does this happen? There's no clear RB one at Oklahoma either. 460 00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:46,120 Speaker 1: Their tailbacks are averaging three point seventy five yards per attempt. 461 00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 1: Against Power four teams, it's two point seven yards per attempt. 462 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 1: So if you got a questionable quarterback and then you've 463 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,199 Speaker 1: got a ground game that's not lighting the world on 464 00:24:56,240 --> 00:25:00,320 Speaker 1: fire against a defense it's unlikely to find its way against, 465 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 1: then what are you really doing? Like, how are you 466 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 1: convincing me you're a solid favorite. You're not. That's why 467 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:09,760 Speaker 1: the point spread is what it is. Texas number eleven 468 00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:13,080 Speaker 1: run d in the country, and Texas has their backs 469 00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 1: against the wall here and let it be remembered, not known, 470 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 1: let it be remembered around here. I'm the one who 471 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 1: called them to be a two loss team going into Dallas. 472 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,879 Speaker 1: I'm the one who told you unequivocally they will lose 473 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,480 Speaker 1: against Florida last week. I'm the one who had Oklahoma 474 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,400 Speaker 1: top ten preseason. I'm the one that picked a tier 475 00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,440 Speaker 1: to win the Heisman Trophy. What I'm trying to say 476 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,960 Speaker 1: is I kind of think I'm the authority on this game. 477 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,680 Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. Models 478 00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:45,199 Speaker 1: got the same thing FanDuel does. Texas minus one and 479 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,800 Speaker 1: a half. And yet I'm telling you Texas is going 480 00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 1: to win this game. They've got to have it. Oklahoma 481 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:53,239 Speaker 1: would like to have it. Texas has got to have it. 482 00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:56,679 Speaker 1: The result will make little sense to the public. But 483 00:25:57,160 --> 00:26:00,199 Speaker 1: we are not deep enough into this season yet to 484 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,640 Speaker 1: where what you have been is just what you always 485 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:05,159 Speaker 1: will be. All Right, It is up to Texas, and 486 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: they got a very highly paid coaching staff to find 487 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 1: something this week. How do we fix this offensive line? 488 00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:16,439 Speaker 1: Play better? Your scholarship lineman at the University of Texas. Okay, 489 00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:21,280 Speaker 1: you're a seven figure position coach coordinator, multimillion dollar head 490 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 1: coach earner. You gotta find it. That's what they pay 491 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:28,399 Speaker 1: you for. That's what the money's for. Well, that scene 492 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,480 Speaker 1: and Madman was actually about Texas and their odds against Oklahoma. 493 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:36,080 Speaker 1: I think Texas is going to win this game. If 494 00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 1: I'm wrong, I'm wrong. But with these teams, I haven't 495 00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 1: been a whole lot this year. Depressing again. I keep 496 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,439 Speaker 1: depressing myself every time I look down and see what 497 00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:52,520 Speaker 1: we're about to talk about next. Hue from not nearby Newburyport, 498 00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:56,639 Speaker 1: Massachusetts said, everyone knows it's over. But how does the 499 00:26:56,720 --> 00:27:00,239 Speaker 1: James Franklin Penn State marriage actually end? Can you keep 500 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:03,520 Speaker 1: this up for just a second, Bradley Immunity. Everyone knows 501 00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,800 Speaker 1: it's over. I don't know it's over. I just know 502 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:09,840 Speaker 1: it sucks right now. I know it's terrible right now. 503 00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 1: There was a time last year everyone knew it was 504 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 1: over with Billy Napier. Well, guess who the head coach 505 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:17,920 Speaker 1: is at Florida at least for another week, A one 506 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,800 Speaker 1: William Napier. And the reason is because what you thought 507 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:23,720 Speaker 1: you knew, you didn't really know. You don't know. No 508 00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:26,600 Speaker 1: one's talked to James Franklin, who ultimately holds the cards 509 00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 1: here unless one of you feels like cobbling together fifty 510 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 1: plus million dollars to buy him out. So here's what 511 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,000 Speaker 1: I do not think you will ever see, at least 512 00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:38,399 Speaker 1: in the next year. I don't think you'll see a 513 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 1: breaking news headline Pete Nakosh reporting James Franklin has been 514 00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:48,120 Speaker 1: fired the classical way. No, because that requires a buyout 515 00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 1: that is tens and tens and tens and tens and 516 00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 1: tens of millions of dollars. And I don't think that's 517 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:55,399 Speaker 1: gonna happen. So what we arrive at and the reason 518 00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:57,960 Speaker 1: I'm not going down this road with you on everyone 519 00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:01,360 Speaker 1: just knows it's inevitable is you don't know what James 520 00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 1: Franklin thinks. It's almost one hundred percent in James Franklin's 521 00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,560 Speaker 1: court right now. It doesn't matter if one hundred percent 522 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 1: of the fans sentiment is the same. I'm on the 523 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 1: blue and white illustrated message boards just like you, guys. Okay, 524 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:17,800 Speaker 1: I hear what they're saying. I got one on my 525 00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,840 Speaker 1: own staff right now that I can barely peel off 526 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:24,280 Speaker 1: the floor. Producer Jesse is and I don't think we've 527 00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:28,199 Speaker 1: ever used this word apoplectic at the current situation with 528 00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: Penn State football, not Penn State athletics. He's looking really 529 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:33,920 Speaker 1: forward to wrestling in hockey this winter, but as for football, 530 00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 1: it's tough. It's a tough scene right now around our office. 531 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 1: So I am well aware, well aware no many people 532 00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 1: in that building. I'm well aware of how terrible it 533 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:46,000 Speaker 1: is up there right now. But it doesn't matter if 534 00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 1: one hundred percent of us look at it and say, oh, 535 00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:50,920 Speaker 1: he's got to go, or oh there's got to be 536 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 1: a big change or oh, they got to hit the 537 00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:56,320 Speaker 1: dump button. They're not hitting the dump button, first off, 538 00:28:56,440 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: because it's an expensive button to hit. And secondly, you 539 00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:03,280 Speaker 1: don't know how he feels. It would be up to 540 00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 1: James Franklin. Now, if you somehow have breaking news, if 541 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,920 Speaker 1: you somehow have insight that he also thinks it's past 542 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 1: the point of no return, well then we got a conversation, 543 00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,280 Speaker 1: because that's side B of the coin. But side b's 544 00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:19,520 Speaker 1: not going to talk about this right now. I don't 545 00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:23,440 Speaker 1: think James Franklin is really interested in peasing the media 546 00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:26,000 Speaker 1: or any fans with his thoughts about in the future 547 00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 1: of his career. Northwestern Northwestern Northwestern Nitney Nation. You know 548 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 1: the tweet. So the money's tied up in other projects, 549 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,080 Speaker 1: and it's too much money to be paying to buy 550 00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:37,680 Speaker 1: out a guy who's been winning like nine or ten 551 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:41,440 Speaker 1: games per year up until now. Anyway, But I will 552 00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,520 Speaker 1: tell you this because I was thinking about this on 553 00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 1: my drive end today. I've been thinking about this a 554 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 1: lot this week. I've been asking myself, how would I 555 00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,360 Speaker 1: feel if I were James Franklin. As close to the 556 00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,680 Speaker 1: situation as you can get, I am because I pay 557 00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 1: as much attention to Penn State football as anyone not 558 00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 1: in Penn State football can pay attention to it. So 559 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:07,200 Speaker 1: how would I feel if I were James Franklin. Here's 560 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,440 Speaker 1: how I feel if I were James Franklin. Bad. Okay, 561 00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 1: there was a reason this year had to be the year. 562 00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:16,280 Speaker 1: Remember the talk, this has got to be the year 563 00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,480 Speaker 1: because this is not a reload program. This is not 564 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,480 Speaker 1: Ohio State. Ohio State won the title last year. But 565 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:25,320 Speaker 1: you know what, if Ohio State had gotten beaten in 566 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,920 Speaker 1: the semi finals, they'd have another title caliber team this year. 567 00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 1: As you see, that is not Penn State. You've known, 568 00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,480 Speaker 1: if you're James Franklin or if you're me, you've known 569 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,800 Speaker 1: this entire year. Twenty twenty six is probably going to 570 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:43,120 Speaker 1: be a step back. I got a lot of veteran 571 00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:45,320 Speaker 1: presence on this team. I had a lot of guys return, 572 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:48,320 Speaker 1: and we all geared up for this to be the year. 573 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:50,040 Speaker 1: And I went and got Jim Knowles, and I mean, 574 00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:52,960 Speaker 1: I've got everything I've ever asked for. And I sat 575 00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:54,800 Speaker 1: there in Big ten media days and I said what 576 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,440 Speaker 1: I said about this year being the year, And I 577 00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,280 Speaker 1: said it because I meant it. I said it because 578 00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:02,960 Speaker 1: I feel it. Obviously I was wrong. Twenty twenty six 579 00:31:03,040 --> 00:31:05,400 Speaker 1: isn't going to be any better. And I know that 580 00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:08,120 Speaker 1: even better than the outsiders because I know my program. 581 00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:10,920 Speaker 1: So I got to ask myself, have we soured on 582 00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,960 Speaker 1: each other? I know the outside world may have soured 583 00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:16,560 Speaker 1: on me, But if I'm James Franklin, I know how 584 00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:19,800 Speaker 1: I feel about the outside world, there could be there 585 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:23,280 Speaker 1: could be a situation where I'm looking around and I'm saying, 586 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:25,800 Speaker 1: you know what, I've done everything I know to do. 587 00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 1: It hadn't turned out like I wanted to. But it's 588 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:30,560 Speaker 1: not for lack of effort. I mean, I've put my 589 00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:32,920 Speaker 1: heart and soul into this. I've tried as hard as 590 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:36,080 Speaker 1: I can. I've done everything I know to do. Did 591 00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:39,040 Speaker 1: it work out this year? It didn't. It didn't, but 592 00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:41,120 Speaker 1: it's not because of oversight. It's not because of lack 593 00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,760 Speaker 1: of effort. So if you guys think you can do better, 594 00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,920 Speaker 1: I don't need this anymore. Let's negotiate and reduce this 595 00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:49,880 Speaker 1: buy out and put me on a board of whatever 596 00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,680 Speaker 1: and get me vested in whatever to offset the cost, 597 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:56,160 Speaker 1: and I'll be good financially, and then I'll step away 598 00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,040 Speaker 1: for a couple of years. See, I've been waiting on 599 00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:00,600 Speaker 1: a head coach to do this. James Franklin's in his 600 00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 1: early fifties right now, and I'm telling you there's a guy, 601 00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,320 Speaker 1: whether it's James Franklin or someone else, there is going 602 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,640 Speaker 1: to be a guy in his late forties, early fifties 603 00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:12,080 Speaker 1: who steps away from the sport for a couple of 604 00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:15,000 Speaker 1: years and does something that has rarely ever been done, 605 00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:20,560 Speaker 1: takes time to recharge in the middle of his career. 606 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,479 Speaker 1: You could step away if you were James Franklin right 607 00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:25,120 Speaker 1: now for a couple of years. You could go do 608 00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:27,440 Speaker 1: TV if you wanted to. If I were James Franklin, 609 00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:30,360 Speaker 1: I'd do what I'd do. I just go travel every week. 610 00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:33,080 Speaker 1: I'd go to a game every weekend. He could tag 611 00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:34,560 Speaker 1: along with me if he wants to go to a 612 00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:37,800 Speaker 1: game every weekend. Observe as much of the country as 613 00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:41,400 Speaker 1: you can, see, as many people as you can, expose 614 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,560 Speaker 1: yourself to, as many ideas as you can. Go do 615 00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:49,239 Speaker 1: some TV. No one's stock declines in football when they 616 00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:52,480 Speaker 1: do TV. Look at what Dan Mullen did. Dan Mullen 617 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:54,800 Speaker 1: put the blueprint out there. Now he got fired, but 618 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,040 Speaker 1: Mullin put the blueprint out there, he went and sat 619 00:32:57,040 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 1: in the studio in Bristol, Connecticut on ESPN, and he 620 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:02,600 Speaker 1: sounded like a genius, because everyone who knows the game 621 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:04,440 Speaker 1: sounds like a genius when all they have to do 622 00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:08,000 Speaker 1: is talk about the game, which, by the way, convinces 623 00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 1: the future people in charge of hiring you that you're 624 00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 1: the right man for their job down the road, because 625 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,320 Speaker 1: those are athletic directors and boosters and board of trustee 626 00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:20,120 Speaker 1: members who themselves don't know football all that well. So 627 00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:22,080 Speaker 1: you sit on TV and you got all the answers, 628 00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,520 Speaker 1: and two or three years have gone by, and you've 629 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:28,239 Speaker 1: sort of rewritten the history of how the time at 630 00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:31,600 Speaker 1: Penn State came to an end, and you've also socialized 631 00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,760 Speaker 1: behind the scenes what the James Franklin two point zero 632 00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:38,440 Speaker 1: plan would be. And your stock just continues to go up, 633 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:42,000 Speaker 1: and you're sleeping eight hours a night for a couple 634 00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:45,600 Speaker 1: of years, and you're looking more and more attractive, and 635 00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,640 Speaker 1: you don't need to jump back in at the first 636 00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: job that'll take you, so you can afford to take time, 637 00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,840 Speaker 1: be selective, and then voila, there it is. Now. That's 638 00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:57,760 Speaker 1: what I do if I were James Franklin. I don't 639 00:33:57,800 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 1: know that that's what he will do. That's what I 640 00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:02,400 Speaker 1: would do. You can't possibly know where his head is at, though, 641 00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:04,880 Speaker 1: I will tell you this, I don't think they're done 642 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:08,880 Speaker 1: losing games this year. This sucks because I love James Franklin. 643 00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:10,600 Speaker 1: I love them so I wish it wasn't like this. 644 00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:14,560 Speaker 1: But I'm not in charge. This is not WWE. We 645 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:16,800 Speaker 1: don't get to right the way it goes. They've already 646 00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:18,920 Speaker 1: lost two games. They still got to go to Iowa 647 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,480 Speaker 1: night game at Kennick by the Way, at Iowa, at 648 00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 1: Ohio State Indiana at home at Michigan State Nebraska. Tony 649 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 1: Rojas is out. They have not had the depth that 650 00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:32,680 Speaker 1: most of us thought they would have on this team 651 00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:36,680 Speaker 1: in general, but specifically at linebacker, like Rojas goes out 652 00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:39,400 Speaker 1: and it just like a rudderless ship. All of a sudden, 653 00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:43,279 Speaker 1: they're twenty ninth in total defense. I would imagine they 654 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,560 Speaker 1: end the season worse than that. They're not done losing games. 655 00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:49,239 Speaker 1: I highly suspect they are two maybe three more losses coming. 656 00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,560 Speaker 1: So it's like an eight and four season at best now, 657 00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 1: and then you'll have a bunch of conversations early December. 658 00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,120 Speaker 1: We'll see where it goes. It wouldn't surprise me. It 659 00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:03,520 Speaker 1: would not surprise me if there were a mutual parting 660 00:35:03,560 --> 00:35:06,120 Speaker 1: of ways. But anyone who thinks it's a foregone conclusion 661 00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,719 Speaker 1: that dude's about to get fired, I don't think has 662 00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:12,600 Speaker 1: any idea how money actually works in this economy or 663 00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:18,360 Speaker 1: any economy. They're watching us in Calgary, Alberta, Canada, Coral Gables, Florida, 664 00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,680 Speaker 1: and Hutchinson, Kansas. Appreciate you, guys. Let's get back to previewing. 665 00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,960 Speaker 1: These games. Got a good pace right now. Some in 666 00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:26,960 Speaker 1: the building thought that it would already be eight o'clock 667 00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:28,680 Speaker 1: by the time we got to the Florida Texas A 668 00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:33,800 Speaker 1: and M game. The hater's wrong again. Florida at Texas 669 00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:35,600 Speaker 1: A and M is the underrated game of the week. 670 00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 1: It is Saturday night, seven o'clock Eastern on ESPN. Forget 671 00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:42,759 Speaker 1: the record for a second with Florida. Okay, we have 672 00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:44,920 Speaker 1: to be mature about this. I told you last week 673 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 1: they're going to beat Texas. No, no way. Have you 674 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:49,879 Speaker 1: seen how they look. Yes, that's why I picked them, 675 00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:52,239 Speaker 1: because when you look really, really bad and then you 676 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:55,080 Speaker 1: have a bye week, there's no incentive to continue doing 677 00:35:55,160 --> 00:35:58,000 Speaker 1: what you've done to look that bad. Really good coaching 678 00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:01,520 Speaker 1: staff down there, really dynamic roster. Well, they tried some 679 00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:05,279 Speaker 1: different things and it worked against Texas at home. Now 680 00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:08,040 Speaker 1: they've got to go on the road and face what 681 00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:10,640 Speaker 1: to this point this year has been a better team 682 00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 1: in Texas A and M. If what clicked for Florida 683 00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:17,440 Speaker 1: last week is what Florida is going to be the 684 00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:19,880 Speaker 1: rest of the year, forget about their record. They're like 685 00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 1: a top ten, top fifteen caliber team. This will be 686 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:25,239 Speaker 1: a war. If what they were last week is just 687 00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:27,399 Speaker 1: a one off, A and M will win this game 688 00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:30,719 Speaker 1: by double digits and Napier will probably lose his job 689 00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:33,879 Speaker 1: in the near future. That's all that's on the line here. 690 00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:37,359 Speaker 1: But it matters what you are. It does not matter 691 00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:39,520 Speaker 1: what you have been like if I'm A and M. 692 00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: This really matters when you define their strength of schedule, 693 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:48,680 Speaker 1: which the committee is very unwilling to do sometimes. I 694 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:52,880 Speaker 1: am firmly convinced that the pushback Florida gave Texas, the 695 00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:57,040 Speaker 1: effort Florida gave Texas last Saturday was equivalent to a 696 00:36:57,200 --> 00:37:00,200 Speaker 1: top ten team what you would expect from them, even 697 00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 1: though Florida has been bad so far this year. It 698 00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,600 Speaker 1: doesn't matter what a team has been if they play 699 00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:08,640 Speaker 1: with their hair on fire against you, because the resistance 700 00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:11,879 Speaker 1: you're getting from them is that of a number seven team, 701 00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:14,759 Speaker 1: a number nine team, whatever. So if Florida balanced that 702 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,839 Speaker 1: offense out, which I hope they would do, these teams 703 00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:21,400 Speaker 1: are kind of similar. It's just one's record looks a 704 00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:23,120 Speaker 1: lot better than the other. A and M has a 705 00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:26,160 Speaker 1: lot of positives here. Their top twenty five in defense, 706 00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:29,239 Speaker 1: but so is Florida. A and M's excellent as a 707 00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:32,120 Speaker 1: pressure team, but Florida's top twenty five there too. They 708 00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,839 Speaker 1: had five sacks last week. A and M good run 709 00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:39,920 Speaker 1: offense Florida. Their numbers for the year are bad, But again, 710 00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:43,120 Speaker 1: what did I see from Jaden Ball last week? I 711 00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:46,040 Speaker 1: saw him run in either twenty seven or twenty nine times. 712 00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:49,120 Speaker 1: I saw him top one hundred yards. So if that's 713 00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:51,360 Speaker 1: what they are moving forward, I don't really care what 714 00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:54,000 Speaker 1: their season totals say. I care what A and M's 715 00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:56,239 Speaker 1: going to face in this game Saturday. A and M's 716 00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:59,319 Speaker 1: top twenty and explosive plays Florida is not. But what 717 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:02,200 Speaker 1: did they do last week? They ran the Ball, which 718 00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:06,160 Speaker 1: set dj lagway up for more catbuster plays forty plus 719 00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,080 Speaker 1: yards through the air, more catbuster plays than he had 720 00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:12,880 Speaker 1: the entire year combined to that point. So yet again, 721 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,279 Speaker 1: what are we getting from Florida. Are we getting from 722 00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:17,880 Speaker 1: Florida what we saw against LSU or are we getting 723 00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:20,960 Speaker 1: from Florida what they showed against Texas Because that will 724 00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:22,560 Speaker 1: go a long way in determining whether this is a 725 00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:25,800 Speaker 1: dogfight or not. Does Florida profile as a legit offense? 726 00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,320 Speaker 1: That's really what I care about in this game, cause 727 00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:32,760 Speaker 1: or be cause. Notre Dame had some success against Texas 728 00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:34,799 Speaker 1: A and M. Texas A and M has improved defensively. 729 00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:38,399 Speaker 1: This is not like a top end, elite defensive unit. 730 00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:42,279 Speaker 1: Yet they have some elite players, but in totality, there's 731 00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:45,240 Speaker 1: still work to do here. Notre Dame had some success. 732 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:50,759 Speaker 1: Jaden Baw twenty plus, Dallas Wilson explosive last week. He 733 00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:57,319 Speaker 1: was back. Remember, look Mississippi State last week had no 734 00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:02,840 Speaker 1: success whatsoever against Texas A and M. I look at 735 00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:05,640 Speaker 1: Jaden Ball, I just look at the offensive line Florida has. 736 00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:08,520 Speaker 1: I look at the talent that Baw is. I think 737 00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:10,960 Speaker 1: that he should and they should be able to run 738 00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:14,480 Speaker 1: it to a certain extent against anyone. So like I 739 00:39:14,520 --> 00:39:17,400 Speaker 1: got full respect for A and M, they should not 740 00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,880 Speaker 1: be able to shut you down. If A and M 741 00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:22,359 Speaker 1: earns the right to rush the passer, though, because they 742 00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:25,800 Speaker 1: are limiting the run on early downs, then I'm terrified 743 00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:28,000 Speaker 1: for Florida because the last time I saw them go 744 00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:30,240 Speaker 1: on the road, they turned the ball over five times. 745 00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:34,759 Speaker 1: It was five interceptions for DJ Lagway in Tiger Stadium 746 00:39:35,040 --> 00:39:37,320 Speaker 1: against LSU. That's why it's hard to have any confidence 747 00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:39,880 Speaker 1: in Florida here. I love what I saw last week 748 00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:43,080 Speaker 1: that wasn't on the road, and it was one time. 749 00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:46,279 Speaker 1: I got a really smart staff here that gets to 750 00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:48,680 Speaker 1: watch how you played that one time, and then they 751 00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:50,960 Speaker 1: get to throw their fastball at you, and they get 752 00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,080 Speaker 1: to throw a few wrinkles at you. And this is 753 00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:56,200 Speaker 1: a very vulnerable team at their best. This Florida team's 754 00:39:56,280 --> 00:40:01,000 Speaker 1: very vulnerable right now. A and M should be able 755 00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:03,719 Speaker 1: to or let me rephrase, I hope Texas A and 756 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:05,799 Speaker 1: M can keep Marcel Reid and what I would call 757 00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:10,560 Speaker 1: honest spots this week. A and M had fifty one 758 00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:15,479 Speaker 1: carries for about three hundred yards. Last week against Mississippi, State. 759 00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:17,600 Speaker 1: So you're not gonna run it for three hundred, I 760 00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:21,759 Speaker 1: would suspect against Florida. But if you're having anywhere remotely 761 00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:25,200 Speaker 1: the kind of rushing success that you have had recently, 762 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:28,560 Speaker 1: and you should have you hoped to have ran it 763 00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:31,960 Speaker 1: for two hundred against Auburn, by the way, then everything 764 00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:33,600 Speaker 1: is set up. And at that point, I mean, that's 765 00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:35,719 Speaker 1: why you went and got Mario Craver. That's when you 766 00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,480 Speaker 1: went and got Casey concepts. You owned because you're running 767 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:40,160 Speaker 1: the ball good and of course that does what it 768 00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:42,840 Speaker 1: normally does to a defense, and then you're hitting the 769 00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:47,000 Speaker 1: cap busters instead of DJ Lagway, that should be there. 770 00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:48,879 Speaker 1: If I'm an A and M fan, that should be there. 771 00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:52,040 Speaker 1: I'm facing a really good defense, it should be there 772 00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:54,040 Speaker 1: because I think the same thing on my end that 773 00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:56,040 Speaker 1: Florida's think, and Florida's thinking, Hey, we can run it 774 00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:58,600 Speaker 1: on anyone if we do the right things. I'm thinking, 775 00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:01,120 Speaker 1: I can run and throw on anyone if I'm doing 776 00:41:01,160 --> 00:41:03,120 Speaker 1: it the right way. Keep an eye on the external 777 00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,759 Speaker 1: factors in this game. By the way, A and M 778 00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:08,480 Speaker 1: has not had to pay for being one hundred and 779 00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:11,640 Speaker 1: twenty third in the country in penalty yardage. Yet they 780 00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:16,200 Speaker 1: haven't had to pay yet Florida's fortieth, so maybe homefield 781 00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:19,520 Speaker 1: cancels that out. I don't know, we'll see. Neither of 782 00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:21,600 Speaker 1: these teams are great on third down either, so if 783 00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:24,880 Speaker 1: someone disproportionately wins third down, I would say that's a 784 00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,880 Speaker 1: pre padlock stat could be a good solid paper popper 785 00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:30,560 Speaker 1: on Sunday night. Let's take a look at what the 786 00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:34,120 Speaker 1: model thinks right now. At FanDuel A and M is 787 00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:36,879 Speaker 1: a seven and a half point favorite. The model has 788 00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:40,759 Speaker 1: A and M minus eight. There is a lot to 789 00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:45,440 Speaker 1: be said for being in desperation mode. I saw it 790 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:48,480 Speaker 1: on display last week. Ironically, with one of these teams, 791 00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:52,719 Speaker 1: it is on display again, and I am I am 792 00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:55,960 Speaker 1: telling you I was high on Florida in the preseason 793 00:41:56,560 --> 00:42:01,680 Speaker 1: and they made me look bad. Wondering, Okay, is this 794 00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:03,880 Speaker 1: gonna be one of those situations where right when I 795 00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:05,960 Speaker 1: sell all my stock they click kind of like they 796 00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:08,479 Speaker 1: did last year. So I still have some hope held 797 00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:11,520 Speaker 1: out for Florida. Remember this is a three loss team, 798 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:16,359 Speaker 1: one conference game, one conference loss, so mathematically like they're 799 00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:20,560 Speaker 1: still in everything. In relation to the SEC championship race. 800 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:25,760 Speaker 1: I think the numbers a little bit too big. I 801 00:42:25,800 --> 00:42:28,759 Speaker 1: do believe that it is a bridge a little bit 802 00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:31,200 Speaker 1: too far from me to cross to pick Florida to 803 00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:33,720 Speaker 1: win this game. Out right. I've got A and M winning, 804 00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:35,920 Speaker 1: but I've got them winning a close game. So if 805 00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:38,400 Speaker 1: I'm picking it against the number, I'm taking Florida anything 806 00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:41,520 Speaker 1: above a touchdown. I do think A and M is 807 00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:43,760 Speaker 1: gonna find a way to edge them in this game. 808 00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:50,000 Speaker 1: And that's that. I do have some big, semi breaking news. 809 00:42:50,040 --> 00:42:51,759 Speaker 1: I'm gonna ahead and tweet it out. By the way, 810 00:42:52,120 --> 00:42:55,240 Speaker 1: where is it there? It is all right. So earlier 811 00:42:55,280 --> 00:43:01,200 Speaker 1: today someone came and asked me the same thing that 812 00:43:01,239 --> 00:43:03,000 Speaker 1: a lot of people have asked me or made a 813 00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,040 Speaker 1: request that a lot of you have made, including some 814 00:43:05,160 --> 00:43:08,200 Speaker 1: in my own social circle, and that is why is 815 00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:12,359 Speaker 1: there no baby gear? Why are there no onesies at 816 00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:15,520 Speaker 1: the Pate State Store? And the reason is because I 817 00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:18,640 Speaker 1: don't think like that. Okay, I'm not an expert in 818 00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:21,640 Speaker 1: this stuff, but it has occurred to us that a 819 00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,839 Speaker 1: ton of you have newborns in your lives and you 820 00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:27,160 Speaker 1: want to support the show, and you want to use 821 00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:29,759 Speaker 1: your infants as a billboard for the show. And I'm 822 00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:32,319 Speaker 1: all about it. I'm all about it. So I'm happy 823 00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:37,120 Speaker 1: to announce that in the last about twelve hours, our 824 00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:41,080 Speaker 1: team just put an entirely new room in the store. 825 00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:44,120 Speaker 1: So the Peate State Little Frights Collection is available. Look 826 00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:46,240 Speaker 1: at that. Look at that picture of me as a child. 827 00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:49,520 Speaker 1: I don't even know where we got that. It's unbelievable. 828 00:43:50,239 --> 00:43:52,840 Speaker 1: So you can go there right now, paystatematerial dot com. 829 00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:55,160 Speaker 1: We got the onesies there. That's the Pate State litl 830 00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:59,520 Speaker 1: Frights Collection, which is its own little separate mascot. We 831 00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:01,640 Speaker 1: just been sitting on it waiting to use it. But 832 00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:03,520 Speaker 1: we got Tea's over there, we got a little crew 833 00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:07,399 Speaker 1: neck over there. It's good stuff, goods, wholesome stuff. And 834 00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,520 Speaker 1: I don't know, sorry, I didn't think about it earlier. 835 00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:14,880 Speaker 1: I'm sorry. No one in the building suggested it to me. 836 00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:17,320 Speaker 1: So I just want the credit. I don't want the blame. 837 00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:24,319 Speaker 1: I've told you guys had a million times. Let's continue 838 00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:28,680 Speaker 1: more game previews. Oh boy, we got a big game 839 00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,280 Speaker 1: in the Big Ten this week, Michigan at usc Saturday, 840 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:37,280 Speaker 1: seven thirty Eastern kick on NBC. That's four thirty Pacific stats. 841 00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:40,800 Speaker 1: And Thenfoe tells me this was an excellent game last year. 842 00:44:40,960 --> 00:44:43,279 Speaker 1: I can't remember where I was. I was not at 843 00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:45,640 Speaker 1: the game. I remember watching it on whatever field I 844 00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:49,160 Speaker 1: was on twenty seven twenty four, Michigan ends up winning it. 845 00:44:49,160 --> 00:44:51,160 Speaker 1: It was a late fourth quarter game. They ran for 846 00:44:51,200 --> 00:44:55,520 Speaker 1: two hundred and ninety yards on usc Last year they 847 00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:59,400 Speaker 1: had touchdown runs of fifty three yards and forty one yards. 848 00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:02,160 Speaker 1: They had an their sixty three yard run that set 849 00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:05,040 Speaker 1: up the game winner. So basically a copy paste of 850 00:45:05,040 --> 00:45:08,960 Speaker 1: this season. Michigan pound pound explosive. That's kind of their 851 00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:13,239 Speaker 1: ground game. So pre padlock stat here, Michigan number two 852 00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:16,640 Speaker 1: right now in runs of forty plus. They're number one 853 00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:19,919 Speaker 1: in the country in runs of fifty plus. We should 854 00:45:20,040 --> 00:45:22,920 Speaker 1: just animate Justice Haines run and left to right on 855 00:45:22,960 --> 00:45:26,279 Speaker 1: the bottom of the screen. That's what it looks like us. 856 00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:28,960 Speaker 1: He has not allowed those this year. They haven't faced 857 00:45:28,960 --> 00:45:31,160 Speaker 1: this kind of player. They haven't faced this kind of 858 00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:35,520 Speaker 1: ground game yet this year. So all that last year 859 00:45:36,080 --> 00:45:40,400 Speaker 1: happened without a legit passing threat at quarterback from Michigan. Famously, 860 00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:45,239 Speaker 1: they chose, well, they didn't choose. Nature kind of dictated 861 00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:48,399 Speaker 1: that Michigan was void of the forward pass. Last year. 862 00:45:49,360 --> 00:45:53,560 Speaker 1: They still somehow had a decent season this year. They 863 00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:56,320 Speaker 1: don't have any wide receiver depth to speak of. Okay, 864 00:45:56,320 --> 00:46:00,320 Speaker 1: they're wide receivers are It's a chronically underachieving rum for 865 00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:02,520 Speaker 1: them right now. But they got a future star at quarterback, 866 00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:04,799 Speaker 1: so Bryce Underwood at the very least, you have to 867 00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:07,480 Speaker 1: respect and you have to respect his ability to throw 868 00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:09,240 Speaker 1: the ball. So if you ran it on me last 869 00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:12,480 Speaker 1: year without a competent quarterback and now you got one 870 00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:17,680 Speaker 1: that's emerging, yeah, I folded physically against you last year. 871 00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:22,120 Speaker 1: Let's see if I've upgraded. I had a test against Illinois, 872 00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:25,200 Speaker 1: I failed it. Let's see if I passed the test 873 00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:27,560 Speaker 1: at home. You know, travel's been an issue in the 874 00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:29,360 Speaker 1: Big Ten. It's one of the things I'm banking on. 875 00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:31,680 Speaker 1: If i'm USC, you got to come all the way 876 00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:33,759 Speaker 1: over here. Do you see what happened with Penn State 877 00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:36,680 Speaker 1: last week? And then Michigan is like, please don't make 878 00:46:36,680 --> 00:46:39,880 Speaker 1: that comparison. You know that's a bad faith comparison, and 879 00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:43,520 Speaker 1: USC's like, yeah, we know, we'll see you Saturday. USC 880 00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:46,919 Speaker 1: versus a legit Big Ten defense, What do we think 881 00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:51,160 Speaker 1: does the production scale? Because jade Miov is throwing it 882 00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:54,080 Speaker 1: for over three hundred yards per game. I love him. 883 00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:56,920 Speaker 1: I think Lincoln Riley loves him about as much as 884 00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:59,839 Speaker 1: any quarterback he's had since he's been at USC. Does 885 00:46:59,880 --> 00:47:05,240 Speaker 1: the production scale though? Does it scale Michigan Number seven 886 00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:08,680 Speaker 1: versus the run? They're only fifty ninth against the past. 887 00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:12,640 Speaker 1: They faced Oklahoma Materi in Oklahoma had some success against them. 888 00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:17,239 Speaker 1: Dion Burks seven catches over one hundred yards. Look all 889 00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:20,080 Speaker 1: due respect to Dion Burks, I love that guy. USC 890 00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:22,799 Speaker 1: when they're at their best probably got two better than him. 891 00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:26,640 Speaker 1: Makai Lemon is just insane. Jacobe Lane when he's fully 892 00:47:26,640 --> 00:47:30,520 Speaker 1: able to go, also pretty good in his own right. JayR. 893 00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:33,959 Speaker 1: Hill is a really good corner from Michigan. Behind him, 894 00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:37,759 Speaker 1: I don't know that they have established guys that I 895 00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:42,040 Speaker 1: just love in one on one situations, especially if USC's 896 00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:45,480 Speaker 1: receiver corps is able to flex here. But again, that's 897 00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:49,080 Speaker 1: pending that it scales against what will be the best 898 00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:54,160 Speaker 1: competition that they have faced to date. USC can pressure 899 00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:56,719 Speaker 1: if they limit the run. They're a top twenty five 900 00:47:56,760 --> 00:48:00,800 Speaker 1: pressure rate team. Danton Lynn defensive coordinator there one of 901 00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:03,920 Speaker 1: the best hires Lincoln Riley's ever made. I'm still trying 902 00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:07,239 Speaker 1: to round out his personnel, but they could do some 903 00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:10,280 Speaker 1: things here. The only other game that Michigan's really played 904 00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:14,719 Speaker 1: like this would have been against Oklahoma, and Oklahoma got 905 00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:17,279 Speaker 1: after Bryce Underwood a little bit. They harassed him a 906 00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:20,640 Speaker 1: little bit. Look, please don't misunderstand what I just said. 907 00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:23,880 Speaker 1: What I did not say is, Hey, this USC defense 908 00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:26,439 Speaker 1: kind of like Oklahoma. I didn't say that. I said 909 00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:30,239 Speaker 1: in terms of ability to pressure you, that collection that 910 00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:35,560 Speaker 1: USC has talent wise probably topped only by Oklahoma. As 911 00:48:35,600 --> 00:48:37,160 Speaker 1: far as what you've seen so far this year, I 912 00:48:37,200 --> 00:48:42,319 Speaker 1: would say that including Nebraska. So the Michigan travel thing, 913 00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:43,799 Speaker 1: I don't know how to quantify that. That's why I'm 914 00:48:43,800 --> 00:48:46,080 Speaker 1: not talking about it a whole lot. I'm kind of 915 00:48:46,080 --> 00:48:48,440 Speaker 1: on the fence in this game. Now. If you're a 916 00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:52,040 Speaker 1: Michigan fan, you think you know what's about to happen 917 00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:57,120 Speaker 1: because you think, uh uh oh, here he goes. Is 918 00:48:57,120 --> 00:48:59,200 Speaker 1: he gonna do it again? Is he gonna do it again? 919 00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:00,319 Speaker 4: Me? 920 00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:02,879 Speaker 1: In my eyes for the first time, I can tell 921 00:49:02,960 --> 00:49:06,600 Speaker 1: you I have learned a lesson, and in this case, 922 00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:13,080 Speaker 1: I haven't forgotten it. Roll it Bradley. I had an opportunity. 923 00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:17,000 Speaker 4: I had an opportunity to learn from my mistakes, but 924 00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:20,240 Speaker 4: I just made another and I picked against Michigan again 925 00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:25,040 Speaker 4: and they proved me wrong again. So kids don't try 926 00:49:25,080 --> 00:49:29,600 Speaker 4: and make a living picking against Michigan. That was me 927 00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:31,919 Speaker 4: at Nebraska just two or three short weeks ago. 928 00:49:32,160 --> 00:49:33,759 Speaker 1: I'm not doing it. Let's take a look at what 929 00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:37,360 Speaker 1: the model thinks. Model has got USC minus one Fanduels 930 00:49:37,360 --> 00:49:39,560 Speaker 1: got USC minus two and a half. That's right. For 931 00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:43,960 Speaker 1: those of you who are unfamiliar with how betting works, 932 00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:48,120 Speaker 1: USC's favored to win this game. Not here, not here, 933 00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:50,239 Speaker 1: not until they prove it. If I'm going to be 934 00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:53,600 Speaker 1: proven wrong, I'm going to be proven wrong by the 935 00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:57,799 Speaker 1: more physical Michigan team not finding a way. I'm going 936 00:49:57,880 --> 00:50:01,680 Speaker 1: to be proven wrong by USC not being leaned on 937 00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:06,040 Speaker 1: by the Lincoln Riley attack finally working in one of 938 00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:10,960 Speaker 1: these moments. I had a lot of reasons. Guys. Look, 939 00:50:11,000 --> 00:50:12,760 Speaker 1: if you left it up to the old the JP 940 00:50:12,920 --> 00:50:15,160 Speaker 1: one point zero, I would have picked the USC in 941 00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:18,160 Speaker 1: this game. I am not one point zero anymore. I've learned. 942 00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:21,040 Speaker 1: It did something to me the last time I picked 943 00:50:21,080 --> 00:50:24,080 Speaker 1: against Michigan and I lost, for like the thirty seventh time. 944 00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:27,319 Speaker 1: I have a Michigan problem, and this is obvious. I've 945 00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:30,040 Speaker 1: gone to classes on Tuesday nights. I am taking steps 946 00:50:30,040 --> 00:50:33,560 Speaker 1: to correct my Michigan problem. I'm taking the Wolverines to win. 947 00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:38,960 Speaker 1: Do not embarrass me, Do not embarrass me. Big night here, 948 00:50:40,200 --> 00:50:42,520 Speaker 1: big night. And that is because we are not doing 949 00:50:42,719 --> 00:50:45,440 Speaker 1: the JP pole tonight. We're doing the Commissioner's poll. I 950 00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:47,759 Speaker 1: am going to tweet that out right quick. There we go, 951 00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:53,600 Speaker 1: the Commissioner's poll, suspiciously dropping on a Tuesday night. What 952 00:50:53,680 --> 00:50:57,279 Speaker 1: is the commissioner's poll? These are rankings, not to be 953 00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:59,480 Speaker 1: confused with a JP poll. No, this is not where 954 00:50:59,520 --> 00:51:01,480 Speaker 1: I sit there, and I tell you, oh, these are 955 00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:04,920 Speaker 1: power ratings. Now they are generated by flex Power. Our 956 00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:08,400 Speaker 1: friends at flex Power do generate the Commissioner's pull. But 957 00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:12,920 Speaker 1: these are rankings, ladies and gentlemen. This is actually how 958 00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:15,400 Speaker 1: I would fill out my ballot if I voted in 959 00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:21,040 Speaker 1: the AP if if this is how I would align 960 00:51:21,160 --> 00:51:23,760 Speaker 1: the teams if I were on let's say the College 961 00:51:23,800 --> 00:51:29,760 Speaker 1: Football Playoff Committee. Again, huh, but let's take a look 962 00:51:30,200 --> 00:51:33,000 Speaker 1: at number twenty five through twenty one. I've got Utah 963 00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:36,400 Speaker 1: at number twenty five. I've got Nebraska at twenty four. Now, 964 00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:41,080 Speaker 1: the AP does not have Nebraska ranked. I ask why. 965 00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:43,600 Speaker 1: It's an open ended question. Anyone could hit me up 966 00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:47,560 Speaker 1: from the AP. Why why Nebraska not ranked? I got 967 00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:52,480 Speaker 1: Arizona State twenty three, USF twenty two, in Memphis twenty one. 968 00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:56,120 Speaker 1: Now the AP still has FSU ranked at twenty fifth. 969 00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:00,000 Speaker 1: I think it's because they got back in the game, 970 00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:03,319 Speaker 1: laid against Miami and it looked closer than it was. Look, 971 00:52:03,360 --> 00:52:05,080 Speaker 1: I tapped out when it was twenty eight to three, 972 00:52:05,080 --> 00:52:08,160 Speaker 1: and I was there, so I mean, I honestly think 973 00:52:08,200 --> 00:52:10,080 Speaker 1: Miami started loading up the bus when they were up 974 00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:12,680 Speaker 1: twenty three or twenty eight to three as well. I 975 00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:15,239 Speaker 1: don't think FSU's top twenty five right now. For me, 976 00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:17,719 Speaker 1: it's not like they're fiftieth. But I don't have them 977 00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:21,880 Speaker 1: up there. But look, I did some digging. The AP 978 00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:29,000 Speaker 1: has Texas twenty seven, Penn State twenty eight, and Nebraska thirty. 979 00:52:29,160 --> 00:52:31,200 Speaker 1: I got Nebraska ranked right now. I got them at 980 00:52:31,239 --> 00:52:34,279 Speaker 1: twenty four. But even if you don't like, who in 981 00:52:34,320 --> 00:52:37,400 Speaker 1: their right mind has still not learned their lesson on 982 00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:41,760 Speaker 1: this Texas and Penn State. It is October seventh, neither 983 00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:44,160 Speaker 1: of them have a P four win. Yet what are 984 00:52:44,200 --> 00:52:48,040 Speaker 1: we doing other than drugs. What are we doing. Nebraska's 985 00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:51,920 Speaker 1: beaten Cincinnati, They've beaten Michigan State. They're only losses to 986 00:52:51,960 --> 00:52:57,480 Speaker 1: Michigan close in Nebraska. Unlike USA for Vandy or something. 987 00:52:57,520 --> 00:53:01,680 Speaker 1: The Nebraska logo actually has relevant nationally. It has a 988 00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:06,040 Speaker 1: little cachet with these people. Sad, let's go twenty through fifteen. 989 00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:10,080 Speaker 1: Gimme Iowa stayed at twenty. I know the AP dropped 990 00:53:10,080 --> 00:53:12,680 Speaker 1: them are pretty good ways. I got Cincinnati at nineteen, 991 00:53:13,320 --> 00:53:17,960 Speaker 1: Illinois at eighteen, Virginia seventeen, Michigan sixteen. Now you may 992 00:53:17,960 --> 00:53:19,759 Speaker 1: be looking at some of these teams like Brigham Young. 993 00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:23,000 Speaker 1: I don't have Brigham Young ranked right now. That's because 994 00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:26,440 Speaker 1: of who they have played. Their best wins Colorado, But 995 00:53:26,560 --> 00:53:29,439 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter because they've got everything in front of them. 996 00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:31,759 Speaker 1: So like, if they keep winning, I'll rocket them up, 997 00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:35,080 Speaker 1: like they play Arizona this weekend. Just keep winning, they'll 998 00:53:35,160 --> 00:53:39,919 Speaker 1: rock it up. Tennessee's at fifteen, and this is where 999 00:53:39,920 --> 00:53:44,439 Speaker 1: it gets a little interesting. Commissioner's poll versus ape Pole. 1000 00:53:44,800 --> 00:53:47,640 Speaker 1: I've got Vanderbilt at fourteen, but you see I had 1001 00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:51,799 Speaker 1: Vanderbilt properly ranked last week. Unlike the AP. I've not 1002 00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:54,720 Speaker 1: been looking for reasons to keep Vandy out. I've treated 1003 00:53:54,800 --> 00:53:58,200 Speaker 1: Vanderbilt the same as I would treat LSU. So I 1004 00:53:58,239 --> 00:54:00,600 Speaker 1: looked at it and said, if LSU had gone to 1005 00:54:00,680 --> 00:54:04,320 Speaker 1: Blacksburg and dominated Virginia Tech, if they went to South 1006 00:54:04,360 --> 00:54:08,920 Speaker 1: Carolina and dominated South Carolina, if they had the same 1007 00:54:09,080 --> 00:54:13,439 Speaker 1: resume that but I just switched their logo, I would 1008 00:54:13,480 --> 00:54:15,680 Speaker 1: have had Vandy top ten last week. So then what 1009 00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:18,399 Speaker 1: did they do? They went to Alabama and they lost. Well, 1010 00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:20,920 Speaker 1: the AP dropped them all the way to twenty. I 1011 00:54:21,040 --> 00:54:25,399 Speaker 1: dropped them about the same number of spots, but I've 1012 00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:27,960 Speaker 1: only got them at fourteen. I still think they fit 1013 00:54:28,040 --> 00:54:30,839 Speaker 1: in very nicely in this little group of SEC teams. 1014 00:54:30,880 --> 00:54:38,200 Speaker 1: I've got LSU thirteen, Georgia twelve, Missouri eleven Notre Dame. 1015 00:54:38,239 --> 00:54:40,560 Speaker 1: You'll notice I want to take this opportunity to say 1016 00:54:40,680 --> 00:54:44,480 Speaker 1: I don't have Notre Dame ranked. That's because Notre Dame's 1017 00:54:44,480 --> 00:54:46,680 Speaker 1: body of work is what it is. They've lost two 1018 00:54:46,680 --> 00:54:49,279 Speaker 1: games now. Those two losses are against teams that most 1019 00:54:49,280 --> 00:54:53,319 Speaker 1: of these teams would lose to. That's not my fault. 1020 00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:55,920 Speaker 1: I didn't make the schedule. I'm going off your body 1021 00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:58,319 Speaker 1: of work. I think Notre Dame. I mean their best 1022 00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:00,680 Speaker 1: win right now. They've played an art Arkansas, a team 1023 00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:04,279 Speaker 1: that fired their coach afterwards. They played Boise good Win 1024 00:55:04,400 --> 00:55:07,839 Speaker 1: last week. Same thing with Brigham Young, only Notre Dame's 1025 00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:11,719 Speaker 1: got two losses. Keep winning and you'll keep climbing. But 1026 00:55:12,440 --> 00:55:14,359 Speaker 1: I'm not putting you there because of how I would 1027 00:55:14,440 --> 00:55:16,600 Speaker 1: power rate you, because that's what the JP pole is for. 1028 00:55:16,960 --> 00:55:19,080 Speaker 1: And I'm not putting Notre Dame in here because of 1029 00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:21,600 Speaker 1: what I think they will do. This is not a projection, 1030 00:55:22,320 --> 00:55:27,600 Speaker 1: it's a reflection. Great T shirt idea, Alex. She's watching right, Jesse. 1031 00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:30,160 Speaker 1: So yeah, if you keep winning, you'll climb. I'm not 1032 00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:33,279 Speaker 1: going to preemptively bump you up. That's what got us 1033 00:55:33,280 --> 00:55:35,680 Speaker 1: in trouble in the first place. Kind of voted you 1034 00:55:35,719 --> 00:55:38,440 Speaker 1: up before you had played a game, and then, unlike 1035 00:55:38,440 --> 00:55:40,680 Speaker 1: the AP, I was a little quicker to drop you. 1036 00:55:41,040 --> 00:55:42,920 Speaker 1: But yeah, let's go top ten here. I still got 1037 00:55:42,960 --> 00:55:44,880 Speaker 1: Georgia Tech in the top ten. I've got him at 1038 00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:48,720 Speaker 1: number ten, Indiana number nine. Indiana is headed to Oregon. 1039 00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:52,520 Speaker 1: They could rocket up this thing if they beat Oregon. Okay, 1040 00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:55,239 Speaker 1: we got Alabama number eight, So you'll notice there's a 1041 00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:58,920 Speaker 1: little separation. Alabama I think is the highest rated or 1042 00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:01,640 Speaker 1: highest ranked one loss team. Yeah, so I got Bama 1043 00:56:01,680 --> 00:56:04,640 Speaker 1: at eight. Notice Bama is a little bit ahead of 1044 00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:08,759 Speaker 1: these other SEC teams like twelve, thirteen, fourteen, fifteen. So 1045 00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:12,920 Speaker 1: there's this collection of one loss SEC teams in the 1046 00:56:12,960 --> 00:56:15,920 Speaker 1: teams and Bama's a little bit ahead of them. That's 1047 00:56:15,960 --> 00:56:18,440 Speaker 1: just because Alabama has more quality wins. They got to 1048 00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:21,680 Speaker 1: win over Georgia. The Wisconsin game we didn't count so much, 1049 00:56:21,680 --> 00:56:24,040 Speaker 1: but they just beat Vandy. We had Vandy top ten 1050 00:56:24,120 --> 00:56:26,759 Speaker 1: last week. So that's two top ten wins for Alabama. 1051 00:56:27,160 --> 00:56:31,040 Speaker 1: So yes, they lost against Florida State, but their resumes 1052 00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:33,000 Speaker 1: still boost them. I think above and beyond even an 1053 00:56:33,080 --> 00:56:36,080 Speaker 1: undefeated Indiana right now, although that could change this weekend. 1054 00:56:36,480 --> 00:56:40,520 Speaker 1: Texas Tech number seven is incredible. Oklahoma six, like I 1055 00:56:40,560 --> 00:56:43,680 Speaker 1: think the top of the AP right now, I think 1056 00:56:43,719 --> 00:56:47,080 Speaker 1: we align pretty closely with I got from five to 1057 00:56:47,120 --> 00:56:51,360 Speaker 1: one Ole, miss A and m Oregon. I've got Ohio 1058 00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:54,080 Speaker 1: State number two. I've got Miami number one. I don't care. 1059 00:56:54,200 --> 00:56:55,719 Speaker 1: I'm not going to fight anyone on that. If you 1060 00:56:55,719 --> 00:56:58,600 Speaker 1: want to flip them, flip them. I just think I 1061 00:56:58,719 --> 00:57:02,240 Speaker 1: think Miami has better wins. They've beaten Notre Name, Florida, 1062 00:57:02,520 --> 00:57:05,200 Speaker 1: Florida State, and USF All of those teams have been 1063 00:57:05,280 --> 00:57:08,440 Speaker 1: ranked for US or are ranked for US right now. 1064 00:57:08,600 --> 00:57:11,920 Speaker 1: Ohio State's got the Texas win and to a lesser degree, 1065 00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:16,880 Speaker 1: the Washington win. So if you believe in the defending 1066 00:57:16,960 --> 00:57:19,480 Speaker 1: champ needing to lose before they lose the top spot, 1067 00:57:19,600 --> 00:57:22,320 Speaker 1: I'm fine with that. Put Ohio State number one. I 1068 00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:25,960 Speaker 1: got Miami number one. But I will say this, talked 1069 00:57:25,960 --> 00:57:30,240 Speaker 1: about the Little Freights collection earlier. I personally now this 1070 00:57:30,320 --> 00:57:32,760 Speaker 1: is me selfishly. I was talking to our team earlier 1071 00:57:32,800 --> 00:57:35,200 Speaker 1: today and said, why do we not have an eye 1072 00:57:35,280 --> 00:57:38,320 Speaker 1: voted shirt for the Commissioner's poll, And they made me 1073 00:57:38,360 --> 00:57:40,600 Speaker 1: one and then they put it in the store as well. 1074 00:57:41,160 --> 00:57:43,800 Speaker 1: I had this made for me, but they took the 1075 00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:45,680 Speaker 1: added step of putting it in the store. So like, 1076 00:57:45,720 --> 00:57:49,800 Speaker 1: if you want the Commissioner's pole shirt, very election season 1077 00:57:49,960 --> 00:57:54,120 Speaker 1: vibes off of it, it's there right now. Paystatemterial dot com. 1078 00:57:54,600 --> 00:57:56,360 Speaker 1: And there's the QR code. If you there, you go 1079 00:57:56,680 --> 00:57:57,880 Speaker 1: me me get out of the way if you trust 1080 00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:00,880 Speaker 1: QR codes. But that's a good looking shirt. So I've 1081 00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:03,000 Speaker 1: gotten one on the way like five actually on the 1082 00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:06,280 Speaker 1: way from myself. It's a loaded weekend. I'm about to 1083 00:58:06,320 --> 00:58:09,080 Speaker 1: get right back to predicting games. It is a loaded weekend. 1084 00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:12,440 Speaker 1: We couldn't even fit all the games in the show tonight, 1085 00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:14,720 Speaker 1: so we're gonna have to do some Thursday. If you're 1086 00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:17,240 Speaker 1: looking to go to games this weekend, many many of 1087 00:58:17,240 --> 00:58:19,600 Speaker 1: you DM me about this, So here you go. Pay attention. 1088 00:58:19,880 --> 00:58:22,200 Speaker 1: If you're going to games this weekend and you're like me, 1089 00:58:22,240 --> 00:58:25,120 Speaker 1: and you wait until last minute to buy tickets, you 1090 00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:27,600 Speaker 1: seat geek because you're gonna have to use the secondary 1091 00:58:27,640 --> 00:58:30,960 Speaker 1: market anyway. You seat geek on your on your checkout, 1092 00:58:31,280 --> 00:58:34,000 Speaker 1: make sure you enter the code paid ten pat E 1093 00:58:34,120 --> 00:58:37,040 Speaker 1: one zero. That's gonna get you twenty percent off of 1094 00:58:37,080 --> 00:58:40,560 Speaker 1: any orders two hundred dollars or less. And it's gonna 1095 00:58:40,600 --> 00:58:43,640 Speaker 1: get you twenty dollars off any order two hundred dollars 1096 00:58:43,760 --> 00:58:46,840 Speaker 1: or more. The way I look at that is, if 1097 00:58:46,880 --> 00:58:49,080 Speaker 1: you're going anyway, if you're gonna have to spend the 1098 00:58:49,160 --> 00:58:53,320 Speaker 1: money anyway, spend less of the money. Therefore keep more 1099 00:58:53,520 --> 00:58:56,360 Speaker 1: of your money. It's economics. At payt State, we make 1100 00:58:56,400 --> 00:58:59,320 Speaker 1: it very simple, very simple. I'm gonna have to moysurize 1101 00:58:59,360 --> 00:59:02,600 Speaker 1: the lips. That's not part of the sea E Creed. 1102 00:59:02,680 --> 00:59:05,600 Speaker 1: That's just I had dry lips. All right, let's continue 1103 00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:08,920 Speaker 1: another game prediction here. I got best bets coming up 1104 00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:12,000 Speaker 1: as well. We're gonna add two more rob and Noudle 1105 00:59:12,040 --> 00:59:14,920 Speaker 1: Express is hot right now, ladies and gentlemen, very hot, 1106 00:59:15,080 --> 00:59:18,600 Speaker 1: very hot. Auburn at Georgia is going to be so 1107 00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:22,200 Speaker 1: uncomfortable Saturday. It's uncomfortable for Georgia because it's a tough 1108 00:59:22,200 --> 00:59:25,160 Speaker 1: place to go into. It's uncomfortable for Auburn because they've 1109 00:59:25,200 --> 00:59:28,120 Speaker 1: already got a couple of losses and they can't afford 1110 00:59:28,160 --> 00:59:32,520 Speaker 1: to lose another one. Remember Texas Florida last week. Texas 1111 00:59:32,720 --> 00:59:35,800 Speaker 1: is going into the swamp. Florida's coming off a bye. 1112 00:59:35,920 --> 00:59:39,560 Speaker 1: It's must win mode for Florida and they did. That's 1113 00:59:39,600 --> 00:59:42,760 Speaker 1: the exact same spot Auburn's in here. It's must win mode. 1114 00:59:42,760 --> 00:59:44,840 Speaker 1: They've got to find a way. They are only a 1115 00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,919 Speaker 1: three and a half point dog, Or to put another way, 1116 00:59:48,440 --> 00:59:51,040 Speaker 1: Georgia the dogs are actually a three and a half 1117 00:59:51,040 --> 00:59:54,320 Speaker 1: point favorite. Is that line low? Is that spread low 1118 00:59:54,440 --> 00:59:57,320 Speaker 1: to you? It's gonna get really bad here if Auburn 1119 00:59:57,360 --> 01:00:00,880 Speaker 1: loses I'm just telling you I need to mask what 1120 01:00:00,920 --> 01:00:03,200 Speaker 1: I'm saying. Like it, like Hugh Freeze's jobs kind of 1121 01:00:03,200 --> 01:00:05,080 Speaker 1: on the line. In this game, it could be on 1122 01:00:05,120 --> 01:00:08,400 Speaker 1: the line. So did anything get fixed? Doesn't matter if 1123 01:00:08,400 --> 01:00:12,120 Speaker 1: you have a bye if nothing got fixed. Auburn ear 1124 01:00:12,200 --> 01:00:15,400 Speaker 1: muffs to the children down in Lee County. Auburn is 1125 01:00:15,640 --> 01:00:17,640 Speaker 1: one hundred and eighth in total yards per game. They're 1126 01:00:17,640 --> 01:00:19,680 Speaker 1: one hundred and fourteenth in pass yards per game. They're 1127 01:00:19,680 --> 01:00:22,040 Speaker 1: one hundred and eighteenth in explosive plays. There are one 1128 01:00:22,080 --> 01:00:24,040 Speaker 1: hundred and eighteenth on third down. It's like a Sarah 1129 01:00:24,040 --> 01:00:28,600 Speaker 1: MacLaughlin special on Tuesday. They're the most sacked team in FBS. 1130 01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:34,720 Speaker 1: Oh sad So Georgia is thirteenth against the run, they're 1131 01:00:34,760 --> 01:00:37,880 Speaker 1: only eighty sixth against the pass. So that goes back 1132 01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:41,800 Speaker 1: to my question, did anything get fixed? Once upon a time, 1133 01:00:41,840 --> 01:00:43,920 Speaker 1: we were out on the West Coast. We were watching 1134 01:00:44,000 --> 01:00:46,680 Speaker 1: Jackson Arnold at a lait eleven. Thought he's going to 1135 01:00:46,720 --> 01:00:50,400 Speaker 1: be the next great thing. He has played behind a 1136 01:00:50,760 --> 01:00:54,600 Speaker 1: very very poor performing offensive line. He himself has performed 1137 01:00:54,640 --> 01:00:57,680 Speaker 1: poorly this year. I don't think there's one singular culprit 1138 01:00:58,080 --> 01:01:00,640 Speaker 1: to why they're the most sacked team in college football. 1139 01:01:00,840 --> 01:01:04,920 Speaker 1: I think everyone is to blame. Did you fix anything? 1140 01:01:05,040 --> 01:01:08,320 Speaker 1: Florida used their bye week to fix things. In Florida's case, 1141 01:01:08,760 --> 01:01:12,000 Speaker 1: they looked and said, oh, wait a second, We've got 1142 01:01:12,320 --> 01:01:15,920 Speaker 1: perfectly functional parts here. We got a really good tailback. 1143 01:01:16,280 --> 01:01:20,360 Speaker 1: Let's just lean on him. In other words, Florida had 1144 01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:22,680 Speaker 1: things that would work, they just weren't using them properly. 1145 01:01:23,120 --> 01:01:27,080 Speaker 1: Does Auburn have things that'll work? That's the question, because 1146 01:01:27,120 --> 01:01:30,320 Speaker 1: if not, you don't really have anything to fix. Now, 1147 01:01:30,760 --> 01:01:34,120 Speaker 1: if you did fix something, you can have success through 1148 01:01:34,160 --> 01:01:37,840 Speaker 1: the air against Georgia. Tennessee showed that. Alabama showed that. 1149 01:01:38,520 --> 01:01:40,680 Speaker 1: I'll talk about that more in a second. Georgia's pass 1150 01:01:40,760 --> 01:01:43,960 Speaker 1: game needs to jump them right here. Georgia should never 1151 01:01:44,040 --> 01:01:45,640 Speaker 1: let this game be in doubt. Don't even let it 1152 01:01:45,680 --> 01:01:48,400 Speaker 1: get pulled into the fourth quarter. You've been there before. 1153 01:01:48,880 --> 01:01:51,280 Speaker 1: You know what this place can become. If you let 1154 01:01:51,360 --> 01:01:55,000 Speaker 1: Auburn have life in the second half, you can be 1155 01:01:55,120 --> 01:01:57,880 Speaker 1: the most well rounded offense that Auburn has faced so 1156 01:01:57,920 --> 01:02:00,440 Speaker 1: far this year. You can be that A and M 1157 01:02:00,480 --> 01:02:04,440 Speaker 1: struggled against them, so Georgia can be that. That's why 1158 01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:07,120 Speaker 1: you went to the portal that's why you overhauled this 1159 01:02:07,240 --> 01:02:10,080 Speaker 1: receiver room. You didn't overhaul this receiver room to do 1160 01:02:10,120 --> 01:02:13,040 Speaker 1: what Penn State's done, going a shell. You went and 1161 01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:16,240 Speaker 1: got them so you can use them. You went gunner 1162 01:02:16,280 --> 01:02:19,040 Speaker 1: stocked them, threw the ball well against Tennessee. So now 1163 01:02:19,080 --> 01:02:21,160 Speaker 1: you go on the road again, hostile environment. All the 1164 01:02:21,200 --> 01:02:24,360 Speaker 1: stuff in the hype videos again, use those guys. Because 1165 01:02:24,400 --> 01:02:26,960 Speaker 1: the run games back. They're nearly top twenty five in 1166 01:02:27,000 --> 01:02:29,760 Speaker 1: the country. So all the concerns about whether Georgia would 1167 01:02:29,800 --> 01:02:33,080 Speaker 1: run the ball successfully again this year, they have, and 1168 01:02:33,200 --> 01:02:36,840 Speaker 1: offensive line hadn't even been great, but they have. So 1169 01:02:37,040 --> 01:02:40,160 Speaker 1: Auburn's passed these in the eighties, you should be able 1170 01:02:40,160 --> 01:02:42,400 Speaker 1: to have success through the air against them. You know 1171 01:02:42,440 --> 01:02:46,080 Speaker 1: what quiets a crowd. Seventeen to three, That quiets a crowd. 1172 01:02:46,520 --> 01:02:48,760 Speaker 1: But I think Auburn's going to go down firing here 1173 01:02:49,600 --> 01:02:53,840 Speaker 1: because I talked about the wide receiver talent Georgia has, Buddy, 1174 01:02:53,880 --> 01:02:56,680 Speaker 1: they don't have what Auburn has. Auburn's got cam Coleman. 1175 01:02:57,800 --> 01:03:01,400 Speaker 1: And if Jackson Arnold has time, and he may, because 1176 01:03:01,400 --> 01:03:03,880 Speaker 1: George's pass rush has not gotten home a lot this year. 1177 01:03:04,360 --> 01:03:07,800 Speaker 1: It has been very much something that's been absent from 1178 01:03:07,840 --> 01:03:10,320 Speaker 1: the Georgia defensive profile. If they can't get home. If 1179 01:03:10,320 --> 01:03:13,320 Speaker 1: this is finally the moment where Jackson Arnold has given 1180 01:03:13,360 --> 01:03:16,680 Speaker 1: a little time to operate, they got to feed cam Coleman. 1181 01:03:16,800 --> 01:03:20,640 Speaker 1: He had three catches versus OU, he had four versus 1182 01:03:20,640 --> 01:03:23,160 Speaker 1: A and M. He needs to have a dozen plus 1183 01:03:23,360 --> 01:03:26,800 Speaker 1: targets in this game because he could really abuse this 1184 01:03:26,880 --> 01:03:30,320 Speaker 1: Georgia's secondary. He's not the only one they have. Singleton 1185 01:03:30,320 --> 01:03:32,400 Speaker 1: could do a lot of business here as well. Cam 1186 01:03:32,480 --> 01:03:35,920 Speaker 1: Coleman's different. Cam Coleman's the one you look at and 1187 01:03:35,960 --> 01:03:39,800 Speaker 1: you say, maybe something more than just human, maybe a 1188 01:03:39,840 --> 01:03:43,560 Speaker 1: little alien DNA mixed in there. You don't get the 1189 01:03:43,560 --> 01:03:46,200 Speaker 1: ball to it doesn't matter, So get the ball to 1190 01:03:46,280 --> 01:03:49,160 Speaker 1: him again. This is advanced stuff. I don't expect everyone 1191 01:03:49,200 --> 01:03:51,120 Speaker 1: to be able to keep up here. But when you've 1192 01:03:51,160 --> 01:03:55,360 Speaker 1: got a freak show at receiver and you got a 1193 01:03:55,400 --> 01:03:58,200 Speaker 1: secondary that's vulnerable, you just throw the ball to the 1194 01:03:58,200 --> 01:04:01,880 Speaker 1: freak show. Really good axes and no stuff here. If 1195 01:04:01,880 --> 01:04:03,240 Speaker 1: I need to slow down, let me know if I'm 1196 01:04:03,280 --> 01:04:06,800 Speaker 1: losing anyone. The environment's not gonna swallow Georgia. You gotta 1197 01:04:06,800 --> 01:04:10,480 Speaker 1: beat Georgia. You watched them against Tennessee. We were there 1198 01:04:10,760 --> 01:04:14,640 Speaker 1: when they played Tennessee zero false starts. So as much 1199 01:04:14,680 --> 01:04:18,440 Speaker 1: as I respect Jorden Hair Stadium at night, that's not 1200 01:04:18,520 --> 01:04:21,960 Speaker 1: what's gonna beat Georgia here. You got to and that 1201 01:04:22,000 --> 01:04:24,880 Speaker 1: wide receiver group for Auburn should be a huge mismatch 1202 01:04:25,160 --> 01:04:28,320 Speaker 1: against this Georgia secondary. Frankly, I think the Georgia wide 1203 01:04:28,320 --> 01:04:31,760 Speaker 1: receiver corps is a mismatch against the Auburn secondary. And 1204 01:04:31,800 --> 01:04:34,160 Speaker 1: the total is only forty five and a half. Huh. 1205 01:04:34,280 --> 01:04:36,240 Speaker 1: I'm not touching the total. I'm just saying I gave 1206 01:04:36,280 --> 01:04:40,360 Speaker 1: a good solid argument for the over there. What matters 1207 01:04:40,400 --> 01:04:42,880 Speaker 1: here doesn't matter? Does the bye week matter? Let's take 1208 01:04:42,880 --> 01:04:44,400 Speaker 1: a look at what the model thinks about this game. 1209 01:04:44,480 --> 01:04:46,680 Speaker 1: FanDuel's got Georgia minus three and a half right now. 1210 01:04:47,320 --> 01:04:50,080 Speaker 1: We think Georgia should be a bigger favorite. Some of 1211 01:04:50,120 --> 01:04:53,360 Speaker 1: these lines this week are baiting you. We don't think 1212 01:04:53,440 --> 01:04:55,360 Speaker 1: this is one of them. I don't think this is 1213 01:04:55,360 --> 01:04:58,200 Speaker 1: Florida two point zero. I don't think Auburn's gonna come 1214 01:04:58,200 --> 01:05:01,840 Speaker 1: out of the by and look totally. I think george 1215 01:05:01,880 --> 01:05:04,800 Speaker 1: is gonna win the game and cover. They're gonna be disciplined, 1216 01:05:05,280 --> 01:05:07,400 Speaker 1: they're not jumping off sides a ton, or they're not 1217 01:05:07,480 --> 01:05:09,840 Speaker 1: false starting a ton. They're not shooting themselves in the foot, 1218 01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:12,480 Speaker 1: not a ton of drops like they had last year. 1219 01:05:12,720 --> 01:05:16,640 Speaker 1: Just you gotta beat Georgia straight up. I know Auburn 1220 01:05:16,720 --> 01:05:19,360 Speaker 1: played A and M close, they played Oklahoma close. And 1221 01:05:19,400 --> 01:05:22,080 Speaker 1: by the way, if you don't understand this point spread, 1222 01:05:22,280 --> 01:05:25,439 Speaker 1: that's really what's in play here. Desperate team at home 1223 01:05:25,600 --> 01:05:28,479 Speaker 1: off of by jobs are on the line down there. 1224 01:05:29,600 --> 01:05:33,200 Speaker 1: For all of how bad Auburn's looked, you gotta remember 1225 01:05:33,360 --> 01:05:35,520 Speaker 1: they did play A and M close on the road. 1226 01:05:35,920 --> 01:05:38,960 Speaker 1: They did play Ou close on the road. You figure 1227 01:05:39,000 --> 01:05:42,200 Speaker 1: they come home desperate against the Georgia team that's already 1228 01:05:42,240 --> 01:05:45,040 Speaker 1: been beaten once and they needed forty to win in Knoxville. 1229 01:05:45,040 --> 01:05:47,680 Speaker 1: They're a vulnerable team. It's not a vintage Georgia team. 1230 01:05:47,760 --> 01:05:51,440 Speaker 1: That's why that line is so low. I think Georgia's 1231 01:05:51,520 --> 01:05:54,520 Speaker 1: fairly desperate as well here. Remember they've already got a 1232 01:05:54,520 --> 01:05:58,440 Speaker 1: conference loss under their belt too, So I think george 1233 01:05:58,520 --> 01:06:00,120 Speaker 1: is gonna find a way to win and cover here. 1234 01:06:02,040 --> 01:06:05,000 Speaker 1: If you don't, you can go over to FanDuel right now. 1235 01:06:05,200 --> 01:06:09,320 Speaker 1: That line's available. FanDuel the exclusive odds provider of this show. 1236 01:06:09,920 --> 01:06:12,520 Speaker 1: I do have big news. We're going to Missouri this weekend. 1237 01:06:13,200 --> 01:06:15,320 Speaker 1: You know who else is going to Missouri. Not this weekend, 1238 01:06:15,920 --> 01:06:21,600 Speaker 1: but December first. FanDuel available in Missouri December first, and 1239 01:06:21,680 --> 01:06:25,200 Speaker 1: so for those friends of ours in Branson and Jefferson 1240 01:06:25,280 --> 01:06:30,480 Speaker 1: City and Columbia and any other city in Missouri. I'm 1241 01:06:30,520 --> 01:06:34,600 Speaker 1: a big fan of La Plata, Missouri personally, good good 1242 01:06:34,720 --> 01:06:38,400 Speaker 1: rail watching up there. I believe the Marcelline Subdivision runs 1243 01:06:38,440 --> 01:06:41,680 Speaker 1: through there. Good stuff. And anyway, I'm losing ninety nine 1244 01:06:41,680 --> 01:06:44,480 Speaker 1: percent of the audience. If you're in the state of Missouri, 1245 01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:48,120 Speaker 1: come December first, it's on and new customers up there, 1246 01:06:48,720 --> 01:06:51,200 Speaker 1: you will find out what winning three hundred dollars in 1247 01:06:51,280 --> 01:06:54,320 Speaker 1: bonus bets is all about. Like, you'll sign up and 1248 01:06:54,360 --> 01:06:56,880 Speaker 1: this is a little ways away, but if you sign up, 1249 01:06:56,960 --> 01:06:59,440 Speaker 1: you bet five dollars, they just give you three hundred 1250 01:06:59,440 --> 01:07:02,080 Speaker 1: dollars in bone bets and in your case in Missouri, 1251 01:07:02,440 --> 01:07:05,200 Speaker 1: it won't even matter if you win or not. How 1252 01:07:05,240 --> 01:07:08,600 Speaker 1: great is that? Now? As for the rest of you, 1253 01:07:08,600 --> 01:07:12,080 Speaker 1: you also have that opportunity new sign ups FanDuel dot 1254 01:07:12,160 --> 01:07:15,640 Speaker 1: Com forward slash Josh Pate bet five dollars on anything, 1255 01:07:16,080 --> 01:07:18,160 Speaker 1: and if it hits you get a get three hundred 1256 01:07:18,200 --> 01:07:20,160 Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets. You do need to win, though, 1257 01:07:20,400 --> 01:07:23,400 Speaker 1: so make sure you win. Pick a sure thing like 1258 01:07:23,440 --> 01:07:26,480 Speaker 1: Penn State money line last week against UCLA. Pick a 1259 01:07:26,520 --> 01:07:27,240 Speaker 1: sure thing. 1260 01:07:27,320 --> 01:07:29,640 Speaker 5: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states 1261 01:07:29,680 --> 01:07:32,720 Speaker 5: for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen 1262 01:07:32,760 --> 01:07:35,720 Speaker 5: plus and present in DC. First online real money wager 1263 01:07:35,800 --> 01:07:39,040 Speaker 5: only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non 1264 01:07:39,120 --> 01:07:42,520 Speaker 5: withdrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions 1265 01:07:42,560 --> 01:07:46,360 Speaker 5: apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling 1266 01:07:46,400 --> 01:07:49,240 Speaker 5: problem call one eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot 1267 01:07:49,280 --> 01:07:51,720 Speaker 5: com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight 1268 01:07:51,800 --> 01:07:54,880 Speaker 5: nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org 1269 01:07:54,920 --> 01:07:58,280 Speaker 5: slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gambling Help dot 1270 01:07:58,360 --> 01:08:02,280 Speaker 5: org in Maryland Hope is he? Visit Gambling Helplinema dot 1271 01:08:02,360 --> 01:08:05,000 Speaker 5: org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty 1272 01:08:05,000 --> 01:08:07,400 Speaker 5: for twenty four to seven support in Massachusetts or call 1273 01:08:07,480 --> 01:08:10,200 Speaker 5: one eight seven seven eight hope NY or text hope 1274 01:08:10,280 --> 01:08:11,200 Speaker 5: N why in New York. 1275 01:08:11,440 --> 01:08:15,040 Speaker 1: Speaking of the Rominuel Express, I've got two more best 1276 01:08:15,040 --> 01:08:17,600 Speaker 1: bets to add, coming off our best weekend of the 1277 01:08:17,640 --> 01:08:20,920 Speaker 1: season so far. I do need to make one correction. 1278 01:08:21,080 --> 01:08:23,599 Speaker 1: One of you called me out on this, and shocker, 1279 01:08:23,680 --> 01:08:26,759 Speaker 1: you were right. When we were in our pre production 1280 01:08:27,640 --> 01:08:30,840 Speaker 1: pre show meeting Sunday night, Nebraska was minus four and 1281 01:08:30,840 --> 01:08:33,720 Speaker 1: a half at fanduels, so I put Nebraska minus four 1282 01:08:33,760 --> 01:08:36,160 Speaker 1: and a half on the show. But unbeknownst to me, 1283 01:08:36,880 --> 01:08:41,880 Speaker 1: the line moved before the show, so Nebraska minus five 1284 01:08:41,920 --> 01:08:44,040 Speaker 1: and a half is what was available. We still like 1285 01:08:44,120 --> 01:08:47,040 Speaker 1: it at that number, so let's go Nebraska minus five 1286 01:08:47,040 --> 01:08:49,799 Speaker 1: and a half. We won't cheat you on that. Nebraska 1287 01:08:49,880 --> 01:08:53,439 Speaker 1: minus five and a half against Maryland Northern Illinois plus 1288 01:08:53,439 --> 01:08:55,479 Speaker 1: one and a half, we were on them and that 1289 01:08:55,560 --> 01:08:59,679 Speaker 1: number was true. We are going to add two more here, 1290 01:09:00,200 --> 01:09:02,680 Speaker 1: give us Kansas State second week in a row. We're 1291 01:09:02,760 --> 01:09:05,719 Speaker 1: riding the Wildcats Kansas State plus one and a half 1292 01:09:05,880 --> 01:09:09,120 Speaker 1: versus TCU, and I think for the first time this year, 1293 01:09:09,920 --> 01:09:13,519 Speaker 1: we're gonna take real money and betted on Stanford football. 1294 01:09:14,600 --> 01:09:18,720 Speaker 1: This is not David Shaw's Cardinal. Stanford plus nineteen and 1295 01:09:18,720 --> 01:09:22,760 Speaker 1: a half ATU SMU coming off an ACC Championship game appearance. 1296 01:09:23,120 --> 01:09:25,479 Speaker 1: They haven't played many high profile games this year. Have 1297 01:09:25,520 --> 01:09:29,360 Speaker 1: you watched SMU? The model has and it thinks nineteen 1298 01:09:29,400 --> 01:09:31,920 Speaker 1: and a half a few too many points there, So 1299 01:09:32,000 --> 01:09:35,080 Speaker 1: Stanford plus nineteen and a half. There you go. Now, 1300 01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:37,720 Speaker 1: the reason the show didn't go two hours tonight is 1301 01:09:37,760 --> 01:09:39,400 Speaker 1: because we took some of the games we were gonna 1302 01:09:39,400 --> 01:09:42,920 Speaker 1: preview and we moved it to Thursday. So Thursday's show 1303 01:09:43,320 --> 01:09:46,639 Speaker 1: figures to be jam packed as well. But we let 1304 01:09:46,680 --> 01:09:51,640 Speaker 1: the staff off a little easy tonight. Guys. It's a 1305 01:09:51,720 --> 01:09:54,799 Speaker 1: very volatile time in college football right now. A lot 1306 01:09:55,000 --> 01:09:57,200 Speaker 1: is about to change for a lot of people. I'm 1307 01:09:57,240 --> 01:09:59,559 Speaker 1: telling you to strap in because it's going to get 1308 01:09:59,600 --> 01:10:02,599 Speaker 1: really The seat belt sign is on. It's gonna get 1309 01:10:02,600 --> 01:10:05,120 Speaker 1: really bumpy, and we're gonna be here for it all. 1310 01:10:05,800 --> 01:10:08,360 Speaker 1: All right, We'll be back Thursday night. Until then. For 1311 01:10:08,520 --> 01:10:12,000 Speaker 1: producer Jesse, for director Bradley, I'm Josh Bate, Take care, 1312 01:10:12,360 --> 01:10:15,240 Speaker 1: have a great middle of your week, and God bless. 1313 01:10:30,000 --> 01:10:32,320 Speaker 5: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states 1314 01:10:32,360 --> 01:10:35,439 Speaker 5: for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen 1315 01:10:35,439 --> 01:10:38,400 Speaker 5: plus and present in DC first Online Real money wager 1316 01:10:38,479 --> 01:10:41,760 Speaker 5: only five dollars first deposit required. 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Or call one 1326 01:11:10,400 --> 01:11:12,920 Speaker 5: eight seven seven eight Hope n Y. Or text Hope 1327 01:11:12,960 --> 01:11:13,880 Speaker 5: n Y. In New York