1
00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:10,639
Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre.

2
00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:17,279
Speaker 2: Up Straight Firefam, It's me Jason McIntyre, Straight Fire for Friday,

3
00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:22,560
Speaker 2: October twentieth. Great, great podcast to take you into the weekend.

4
00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:26,200
Speaker 2: We have an outstanding interview with Teddy Covers. If you've

5
00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:28,320
Speaker 2: been in the gambling space, or you read about it

6
00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:30,400
Speaker 2: or you follow it online, you know this guy is

7
00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:34,240
Speaker 2: a longtime Vegas fixture. Breaking down week Holy hell is

8
00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:36,839
Speaker 2: this week seven? Yes, Week seven already in the NFL.

9
00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:39,240
Speaker 2: Nine minutes worth of best bets at the end of

10
00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:43,320
Speaker 2: the podcast, But first we've got to tackle Thursday night football.

11
00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:45,680
Speaker 2: I cannot believe the New Orleans Saints send up on

12
00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:48,240
Speaker 2: the losing side thirty one to twenty four. So much

13
00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:51,640
Speaker 2: for primetime unders. Huh, Primetime unders were fourteen and six

14
00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,320
Speaker 2: this year. And we got an explosion of points, just

15
00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:59,400
Speaker 2: an orgy of points, and the Jags hold on, hold on,

16
00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:03,760
Speaker 2: yes they do, for an ugly win New Orleans. I

17
00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:05,680
Speaker 2: think New Orleans comes out of this the bigger story,

18
00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:08,120
Speaker 2: like the Jags with Trevor Lawrence. Trevor Lawrence are good.

19
00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:12,880
Speaker 2: So much for k me not good concerns, bulky brace

20
00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:15,959
Speaker 2: didn't matter. Trevor Lawrence ran well, passed, well, moved in

21
00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:18,960
Speaker 2: the pocket. A good performance from Trevor Lawrence. My guy

22
00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,479
Speaker 2: Travis Etn helping me in fantasy. I do believe though,

23
00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:23,240
Speaker 2: this is more about the New Orleans Saints.

24
00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:23,440
Speaker 3: Now.

25
00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:27,040
Speaker 2: Everybody is gonna spend well spend last night and all

26
00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:32,119
Speaker 2: of Friday today just hammering Derek Carr. Okay, he wasn't great.

27
00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:35,520
Speaker 2: The pick six. Shannon forced it into a tight window there,

28
00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:40,160
Speaker 2: tipped and then run back by the linebacker or safety whoever,

29
00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:44,160
Speaker 2: whoever that was. Listen, it's not gonna be popular. I'm

30
00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,920
Speaker 2: gonna defend the Saints for a second. Yes, that's an

31
00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:51,480
Speaker 2: ugly bad loss for New Orleans. The end of the

32
00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:55,640
Speaker 2: game scenario, like it's like third and ten, Foster Moro

33
00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,800
Speaker 2: drops a touchdown, literally dropped the game tying touchdown pass

34
00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,120
Speaker 2: in the end zone. I mean he dropped it, and

35
00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:03,200
Speaker 2: then they don't call a time out and then they

36
00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:06,080
Speaker 2: just throw like a fade to Olave and it was

37
00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,880
Speaker 2: a terrible underthrow by car It's like whoa, whoa is

38
00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:14,480
Speaker 2: A what's the rush? What are we doing? And B Like, guys,

39
00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:16,639
Speaker 2: can we dial up some creativity in the red zone?

40
00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:20,320
Speaker 2: They were abysmal in the red zone. I mean, folks, listen,

41
00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:22,880
Speaker 2: this is gonna sound crazy. They rang up over three

42
00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,239
Speaker 2: hundred yards of offense. Derek Carr threw the ball fifty

43
00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:27,880
Speaker 2: five times, which is listen, anytime your quarterback throws the

44
00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,840
Speaker 2: ball fifty five times, probably losing the game. It's a

45
00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,120
Speaker 2: sign of weakness that you can't run the football all

46
00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:35,680
Speaker 2: you can do is throw. The offensive line is banged up,

47
00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:40,320
Speaker 2: but that's no excuse in the red zone. Saints two

48
00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:44,480
Speaker 2: for five, Jacksonville two for two, two for five in

49
00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,080
Speaker 2: the red zone. That doesn't cut it on any level.

50
00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,880
Speaker 2: We've seen red zone ineptitude be a major issue, especially

51
00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:54,200
Speaker 2: last week. But here's where I'll defend the Saints as

52
00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:56,040
Speaker 2: long as they can have some sort of come to

53
00:02:56,160 --> 00:03:00,400
Speaker 2: Jesus moment with their offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael, who's treating

54
00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,000
Speaker 2: this Saint's team like Drew Brees is the quarterback, and

55
00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:06,639
Speaker 2: everything is like quick right over the middle, Let's get

56
00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:08,720
Speaker 2: the ball out quickly. Right, everything's in the middle of

57
00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,080
Speaker 2: the field. Everything, I mean, the defense Stones was coming.

58
00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:12,760
Speaker 2: I can sit on my couch and see what's coming.

59
00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,960
Speaker 2: It's ugly. So as long as they can get things

60
00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:17,840
Speaker 2: right with Pete Carmichael. Hey, bro, we need to open

61
00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:21,280
Speaker 2: up the playbook. We are extremely predictable. This is why

62
00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:23,600
Speaker 2: the Saints still have a shot at the division and

63
00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:26,960
Speaker 2: the playoffs. Okay, and it's one reason. It's the schedule, folks.

64
00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:30,320
Speaker 2: This schedule is the easiest left in football. Here is

65
00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:34,440
Speaker 2: who they are playing in the next three weeks. Okay,

66
00:03:34,600 --> 00:03:36,320
Speaker 2: two losses in a row. They've lost four or five

67
00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:39,240
Speaker 2: since the two and zero seven. Next up at Gardner

68
00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:43,960
Speaker 2: Minshew and the Colts. After that versus maybe the kid

69
00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:46,200
Speaker 2: Badgant and the Bears. I don't know if Justin Fields

70
00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,120
Speaker 2: is gonna be back. Reportedly he can't grip a football

71
00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,600
Speaker 2: after that at Kirk Cousins in Minnesota. No, Justin Jefferson

72
00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:54,440
Speaker 2: in that one. So like they could win those games,

73
00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,480
Speaker 2: why couldn't they? And then they get to buy And

74
00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,680
Speaker 2: then it's Atlanta Desmond Ritter Detroit, which is really the

75
00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:02,520
Speaker 2: toughest game left on their schedule, and they get him

76
00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:07,400
Speaker 2: at home. Bryce Young, Daniel Jones, Matt Stafford could be

77
00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:09,480
Speaker 2: a tough one. We'll see what the state of football

78
00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:11,440
Speaker 2: the Rams are in at that point. If Stafford's still

79
00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:16,880
Speaker 2: upright at Tampa varsus Atlanta, folks, who's the best team

80
00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,320
Speaker 2: left on their schedule outside of Detroit. I'm not even kidding.

81
00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,840
Speaker 2: I know they look ugly, they can't move the football, unimaginative.

82
00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:27,880
Speaker 2: Fifty five passes and Olave barely did anything. I mean,

83
00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:31,480
Speaker 2: it's Alvin Kamara is gonna set records for running back

84
00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,720
Speaker 2: receptions and then minuscule amount of yards. I think at

85
00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:37,239
Speaker 2: one point he had ten catches for seventy five yards.

86
00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:42,400
Speaker 2: He ended up Kamara did with they whopping twelve catches

87
00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:46,200
Speaker 2: for ninety one yards. They had one explosive play all

88
00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:47,599
Speaker 2: game long, and it was a dump off to Alvin

89
00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:51,200
Speaker 2: Kamara for twenty one yards. That doesn't work in the NFL. Now,

90
00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:53,159
Speaker 2: you can tell me that the offensive line needs to

91
00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,719
Speaker 2: get healthy and they need to give car time. That's fine, Okay,

92
00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:00,599
Speaker 2: could we get Olave in some more motion? He's fast.

93
00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,719
Speaker 2: Can we get Rashid Shahed in some motion like these

94
00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,960
Speaker 2: guys can get separation the way the Dolphins do. It's

95
00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:10,080
Speaker 2: just a lack of creativity. I'm not selling the stains.

96
00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:14,120
Speaker 2: Everybody's gonna hammer them cars rightfully getting battered. But remember

97
00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:16,680
Speaker 2: he had that issue last week with Carmichael how to

98
00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:20,120
Speaker 2: apologize for it. I think at some point Carmichael is

99
00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:21,280
Speaker 2: going to have to step up and own it and

100
00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:24,000
Speaker 2: be like, hey, you know, maybe I'm not the guy

101
00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:27,080
Speaker 2: because he has been awful and there were reports that

102
00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:30,800
Speaker 2: he wasn't that keen on returning to the Saints in

103
00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:33,599
Speaker 2: the offseason. So let's see what happens at offensive coordator

104
00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,159
Speaker 2: b Dennis Alan better write this ship because right now

105
00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:37,479
Speaker 2: three and four it ain't pretty.

106
00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:40,720
Speaker 4: Rob Yeah, it's not looking pretty at all, and it

107
00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:42,520
Speaker 4: hurts my heart for two reasons. One of them, I

108
00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:44,359
Speaker 4: picked them to win the division before the season. I

109
00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:46,200
Speaker 4: even almost picked them to make a run of the

110
00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:49,480
Speaker 4: number one seed, if you recall, and I'm something of

111
00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:52,640
Speaker 4: like I'm something of a Derek Carr defender, you know,

112
00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:54,279
Speaker 4: going back to the Raiders. I think he got a

113
00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:56,320
Speaker 4: bad rap. I think that he's had a lot of changeover,

114
00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:58,960
Speaker 4: and most guys in his position, when they have that

115
00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,480
Speaker 4: many different coaches in that any different offensive coordinators usually

116
00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:03,640
Speaker 4: washed out of the NFL by like year four or five.

117
00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,400
Speaker 4: So you know, me personally, it kind of hurts. But

118
00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:07,880
Speaker 4: I'm glad you brought up the motion thing because we

119
00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:09,800
Speaker 4: didn't even talk about this but I had this note

120
00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:14,600
Speaker 4: written down before we started recording. Coming into Thursday Night football,

121
00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:17,400
Speaker 4: the New Orleans Saints were twenty ninth in the NFL.

122
00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:22,520
Speaker 4: It's snap motion offense smack dab in between the Carolina

123
00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:25,880
Speaker 4: Panthers and my Las Vegas Raiders. Neither one of those

124
00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:27,480
Speaker 4: teams known for offense.

125
00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:27,839
Speaker 5: Right.

126
00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:32,760
Speaker 4: And then as it relates to actual you know, motion

127
00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:35,680
Speaker 4: before the snap, just moving guys around, shifting things of

128
00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:39,400
Speaker 4: that sort, there are only two teams in the NFL

129
00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:43,800
Speaker 4: who use motion on less than thirty percent of their snaps,

130
00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:47,360
Speaker 4: the New Orleans Saints being one, the Philadelphia Eagles being

131
00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:50,119
Speaker 4: the other. And the difference obviously between those two teams

132
00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:51,800
Speaker 4: that the Eagles can run the ball down your throat,

133
00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:54,560
Speaker 4: it doesn't matter if they run in motion. The Saints

134
00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:55,520
Speaker 4: don't have that luxury.

135
00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:55,760
Speaker 5: Right.

136
00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:58,320
Speaker 4: The offensive line isn't any good. Alvin Kamara, I know

137
00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:00,000
Speaker 4: he had a lot of catches. It doesn't looked very exploded.

138
00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:05,679
Speaker 4: If I'm really worried about this team, because it feels

139
00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:08,880
Speaker 4: to me like they are going to implode here in

140
00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,440
Speaker 4: a week or two. The vibes, I know this is

141
00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:14,160
Speaker 4: not you know, real analytical, but the vibes are bad

142
00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:16,080
Speaker 4: in New Orleans. There were so many times they cut

143
00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:19,160
Speaker 4: to the sidelines. Derek Carr is yelling at Chris Olave,

144
00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:21,360
Speaker 4: Derek Carr is getting into it with the offensive coordinator,

145
00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:24,600
Speaker 4: car Michael, and then you start to see even when

146
00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:26,880
Speaker 4: guys are not yelling, when they show the sidelines of

147
00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:30,200
Speaker 4: what's going on between plays, You're starting to see splits

148
00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:34,840
Speaker 4: in faction on the offensive players. You're seeing Derek Carr,

149
00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:38,520
Speaker 4: Avin Kamara, Michael, Thomas, Foster Rowe who dropped the game

150
00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:40,080
Speaker 4: time touchdown, We're gonna talk about it.

151
00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:42,800
Speaker 2: Former Raid guys are and yeah, former Raiders.

152
00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:45,240
Speaker 4: You're to see those guys in one huddle and you

153
00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,520
Speaker 4: see Olave and Shaheed and some other guys in the

154
00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:51,840
Speaker 4: other huddle like they're they're crumbling before our eyes. And

155
00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:53,840
Speaker 4: if they weren't able to steal that win last night,

156
00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,280
Speaker 4: that would have been huge for them. Since they didn't

157
00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:58,520
Speaker 4: and the way that they lost, I'm really worried that

158
00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:00,000
Speaker 4: things are going to combust in New Orleans.

159
00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:00,760
Speaker 5: Sack.

160
00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:03,640
Speaker 2: Let me tell you this, Rob, If if I told

161
00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,560
Speaker 2: you that Trevor Lawrence would have one touchdown pass Calvin

162
00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:10,040
Speaker 2: Ridley would have one catch for five yards, Saints are

163
00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,840
Speaker 2: probably winning that game. No one catch for five yards.

164
00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:13,600
Speaker 2: I think that a lot of that.

165
00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:13,800
Speaker 3: Now.

166
00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:16,480
Speaker 2: I don't know the exact matchups yet, but I believe

167
00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:20,080
Speaker 2: Marshaw and Lattimore spent a lot of the evening shadowing

168
00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:23,480
Speaker 2: Calvin Ridley. He did nothing, so they bottle up. Ridley etn.

169
00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:28,000
Speaker 2: Only had fifty three yards rushing. Like the Saints defense

170
00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,600
Speaker 2: did a fairly decent job after the opening drive, and

171
00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:33,920
Speaker 2: I'm like, how do they not win this game? Something's

172
00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:36,280
Speaker 2: missing her up. It just something feels off with the Saints.

173
00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:37,839
Speaker 2: I think they'll fix it. It's still early.

174
00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:40,800
Speaker 4: I mean, I hope so for the sake of my guy,

175
00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:42,679
Speaker 4: because look, if you just look ahead, I don't want

176
00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,559
Speaker 4: to get too far ahead of ourselves because, like you said,

177
00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:46,480
Speaker 4: their schedule lightens up in a big way, so they

178
00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:50,720
Speaker 4: should hopefully be able to get back on track entering

179
00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:54,920
Speaker 4: next season. Though they're already eighty eight million dollars above

180
00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:58,760
Speaker 4: the salary cap in twenty twenty four, wow, with only

181
00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:03,560
Speaker 4: forty eight play under contract. And for anybody who's already saying, hey,

182
00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:05,560
Speaker 4: we gotta cut Derek Carr, we gotta trade Derek Carr,

183
00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:09,640
Speaker 4: He's not the guy, obviously, overpaid him realistically similar to

184
00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,120
Speaker 4: the Russell Wilson situation. Unless you're gonna take like a

185
00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:16,320
Speaker 4: seventy million dollar cap pit bath. They don't have a

186
00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:19,160
Speaker 4: reel out until after the twenty twenty five season, so

187
00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:22,240
Speaker 4: just make yourselves very comfortable New Orleans.

188
00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:25,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, Well, without further ado, let's get to

189
00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:29,120
Speaker 2: our guest. He is a gambling maven in Vegas. Teddy

190
00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:33,880
Speaker 2: covers the NFL season is going strong, and DraftKings' sportsbook

191
00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:36,520
Speaker 2: is hooking new customers up with an offer that's even stronger.

192
00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:39,080
Speaker 2: Bet five bucks on any game this week to score

193
00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,800
Speaker 2: two hundred dollars instantly in bonus betts, and DraftKings isn't

194
00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:46,079
Speaker 2: stopping there. All customers can take advantage of a sweetener

195
00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:50,560
Speaker 2: offer every game day this October. For instance, I would

196
00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:53,560
Speaker 2: take a close, close look at a big favorite this week,

197
00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:57,640
Speaker 2: the Seattle Seahawks. This is a mismatch against an Arizona

198
00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:02,400
Speaker 2: secondary that's horrendous. Seattle's should have Metcalf and Lockett running wild.

199
00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:05,199
Speaker 2: I think Arizona's running out of gas. They are outscored

200
00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:07,439
Speaker 2: more than anyone else in the fourth quarter. They're getting

201
00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:10,880
Speaker 2: obliterated in second halfs I think Seattle rolls them get

202
00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:13,559
Speaker 2: in on the game day greatness. Download the DraftKings sports

203
00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:16,880
Speaker 2: Book gap now in use code straight fire. New customers

204
00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:20,000
Speaker 2: can score two hundred dollars instantly in bonus bets when

205
00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:23,000
Speaker 2: you bet five on the NFL. That's code straight Fire

206
00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,680
Speaker 2: only on DraftKings Sportsbook and official sports betting partner of

207
00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:30,400
Speaker 2: the NFL. The Crown is Yours gambling problem called one

208
00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:33,959
Speaker 2: eight hundred gambler or visit www dot one eight hundred

209
00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:36,520
Speaker 2: gambler dot net. In New York call eight seven seven

210
00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:39,000
Speaker 2: eight Hope n Y or text Hope n Y four

211
00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:42,600
Speaker 2: sixty seven three sixty nine. In Connecticut. Help is available

212
00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:45,959
Speaker 2: for problem gambling called eight eight eight seven eight nine

213
00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:50,520
Speaker 2: seven seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org. Please

214
00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:54,040
Speaker 2: play responsibly on behalf of boot Hill Casino and Resort

215
00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:58,800
Speaker 2: licensee partner Golden Nugget, Lake Charles twenty one and up.

216
00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:03,560
Speaker 2: Age varies by your diction void in Ontario. Bonus bets

217
00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:08,199
Speaker 2: expire one hundred sixty eight hours after issuance. Se Sportsbook

218
00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:11,560
Speaker 2: dot DraftKings dot com, slash football terms for eligibility and

219
00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:15,480
Speaker 2: deposit restrictions, terms and responsible gaming resources.

220
00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:18,280
Speaker 5: You know a guy.

221
00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:21,559
Speaker 1: Jason likes to think he knows everything when it comes

222
00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:22,440
Speaker 1: to sports.

223
00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:24,480
Speaker 2: I know what sports fans want.

224
00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,480
Speaker 1: But for everything he doesn't. He knows a guy who does.

225
00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:29,319
Speaker 2: Let's just say I know.

226
00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:32,680
Speaker 5: A guy who knows a guy who knows another guy.

227
00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:34,560
Speaker 2: All right, let's welcome into straight fire.

228
00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:35,160
Speaker 5: You know him.

229
00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:39,640
Speaker 2: One of Vegas's finest gamblers. Teddy Covers, is the nickname Teddy.

230
00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:40,280
Speaker 2: How are you, man?

231
00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:42,240
Speaker 5: I'm doing great? How are you today?

232
00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:43,600
Speaker 1: You know?

233
00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:47,480
Speaker 2: Listen, I irrationally like this weekend's NFL games five and oh

234
00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:49,760
Speaker 2: two weeks ago, two and three last week. But I

235
00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:52,000
Speaker 2: look at the card this week, Teddy, I don't know,

236
00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:54,600
Speaker 2: it feels like a good one. I don't know what's

237
00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:57,080
Speaker 2: your overarching theme here? We are, what six weeks end

238
00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:57,880
Speaker 2: of the season.

239
00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:02,000
Speaker 5: So we're talking about overarchie. It's the same any week

240
00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:02,520
Speaker 5: of the season.

241
00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:06,319
Speaker 3: It doesn't matter what team is underbounded in the betting marketplace,

242
00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:08,920
Speaker 3: what team is overvalue in the betting market yep. And

243
00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,520
Speaker 3: that's the concept I'm looking for. So when you have

244
00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:15,720
Speaker 3: a team that's playing, you know, a plus football every week,

245
00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:18,840
Speaker 3: like let's say San Francisco was doing last week, or

246
00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:23,959
Speaker 3: Philadelphia was doing last week. That doesn't happen every week

247
00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:30,000
Speaker 3: all season long, so we do expect some variants, some randomness,

248
00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:33,400
Speaker 3: sometimes some upsets to happen. But the bottom line right

249
00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:36,080
Speaker 3: now is that we're still feeling out which are the

250
00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:37,640
Speaker 3: best teams, which are.

251
00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:38,440
Speaker 5: The worst teams.

252
00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:40,520
Speaker 3: Who can we make the most money betting on who

253
00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:42,719
Speaker 3: can make the most money betting against it. Frankly, when

254
00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:44,880
Speaker 3: you talk about the first six weeks of the season,

255
00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:49,160
Speaker 3: that sets the stage, that's the you know, that's the sizzle, right,

256
00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:50,280
Speaker 3: here's the stake coming up?

257
00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:54,160
Speaker 2: Well, I mean, it does feel like scoring is down.

258
00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:56,800
Speaker 2: Some of the numbers are crazy. Last week is with

259
00:12:56,920 --> 00:12:59,679
Speaker 2: a record setting week for unders. There's a lot of

260
00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,760
Speaker 2: compleats about offensive line injuries, offensive line play, a lot

261
00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:05,280
Speaker 2: of bad quarterbacks. It feels like the upper crust of

262
00:13:05,280 --> 00:13:07,280
Speaker 2: the league. We know that there's four or five, maybe

263
00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:09,680
Speaker 2: six good teams, and then the middle class is like

264
00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:13,880
Speaker 2: eighteen teams and there's the bottom feeders, the drek. I

265
00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:16,640
Speaker 2: am curious you said, you know San Francisco and Philly

266
00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:20,400
Speaker 2: lost last week. To me, that often is a bat

267
00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:22,640
Speaker 2: signal to that they're going to be undervalue to the market.

268
00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:26,120
Speaker 2: Because the common gambler out there is gonna say, ooh, Eagles,

269
00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:28,520
Speaker 2: I don't like it. Niners, No, I don't know. Injuries,

270
00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:31,400
Speaker 2: and they just happened to be both playing teams that

271
00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:34,800
Speaker 2: covered last week. So maybe there is value on the

272
00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,000
Speaker 2: Niners and Eagles. I'm looking at taking them in the circle.

273
00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:39,360
Speaker 2: I've already bet them personally. Do you either of those

274
00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:40,400
Speaker 2: games do anything for you?

275
00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:46,280
Speaker 3: So let me talk conceptually first, because going into last

276
00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:48,920
Speaker 3: week we're talking about San Fran was certainly the highest.

277
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:49,880
Speaker 5: Power rated team in the NFL.

278
00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:52,040
Speaker 3: My numbers had them a field goal better than number

279
00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:55,199
Speaker 3: two teams, and Philadelphia was certainly.

280
00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:55,360
Speaker 5: The top five.

281
00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:56,960
Speaker 3: I don't remember exactly where I had a couple points

282
00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:59,720
Speaker 3: behind San Fran, but two teams that were power rated

283
00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:03,600
Speaker 3: at the very top of the league. One loss doesn't

284
00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:07,120
Speaker 3: change that. Two losses don't change that. It would take

285
00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:11,040
Speaker 3: an extended streak of losing for either of those teams

286
00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:14,520
Speaker 3: to have quote unquote value. You know, week in week

287
00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:18,079
Speaker 3: out moving forward? You said something else, and again, it's

288
00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:19,600
Speaker 3: my job, Jase, I hope you don't mind. I'm going

289
00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:20,440
Speaker 3: to push back on stuff.

290
00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,400
Speaker 2: No, no, what you do that makes it way better?

291
00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:25,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, but you're like, well, the public the public.

292
00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:28,920
Speaker 3: The public had zero influence on any NFL line, any

293
00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:29,720
Speaker 3: line in any sport.

294
00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:32,200
Speaker 5: Lines are not designed to beat the public.

295
00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:36,480
Speaker 3: Lines are designed to beat sharp betters, the wise guys,

296
00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:38,760
Speaker 3: the guys who are betting one hundred grand, not twenty bucks.

297
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:43,840
Speaker 3: So every line, for every game point spread total first

298
00:14:43,840 --> 00:14:47,400
Speaker 3: half that they could the books. I'm not gonna say

299
00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:49,800
Speaker 3: they don't care because obviously you have a bad week,

300
00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,000
Speaker 3: and then the books are on all these shows whining

301
00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:54,280
Speaker 3: about how they had a bad week.

302
00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:55,960
Speaker 5: But the books don't care about the public.

303
00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:58,480
Speaker 3: When all said and done, at the end of the year,

304
00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:01,280
Speaker 3: books going to make a profit from the p that's all. Yeah,

305
00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:06,640
Speaker 3: their influence on the points spread minimal. Maybe on a

306
00:15:06,680 --> 00:15:08,640
Speaker 3: Monday night game where the best team that evere wants

307
00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:10,120
Speaker 3: to bet on is playing the worst team that all

308
00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,240
Speaker 3: wants to bet on. Yeah, maybe the publicans was worth

309
00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:15,600
Speaker 3: a half point in that instance. But honestly, lines are

310
00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:18,480
Speaker 3: the public has nothing to do with it. It's all about

311
00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:23,600
Speaker 3: sharp money, the biggest betters, and the books protecting themselves

312
00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:25,360
Speaker 3: from the biggest betters in the world.

313
00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, we've had guys, come on here, jeez, this week last,

314
00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:31,520
Speaker 2: I mean all season saying like you know, it's interesting

315
00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:34,880
Speaker 2: the public is eighty five percent on this team depending

316
00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,960
Speaker 2: on what number I'm going to go the other way,

317
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,680
Speaker 2: and you know the eighty twenty rule. Everybody has their

318
00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:44,880
Speaker 2: own theory. But when when I mentioned like sanfran I

319
00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:46,400
Speaker 2: think their line is six and a half? Is it

320
00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:47,800
Speaker 2: or is it up to seven? I haven't seen the

321
00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,400
Speaker 2: very latest right before we jumped on. But the Eagles

322
00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:53,720
Speaker 2: line is a little more interesting because it's pinged around.

323
00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:56,160
Speaker 2: It was two and a half. I saw down to one.

324
00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:57,960
Speaker 2: Now it's back up to two and a half. Obviously,

325
00:15:58,040 --> 00:16:00,160
Speaker 2: neither of them is the key number of three. So

326
00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:02,360
Speaker 2: none of those games really interest you or do you

327
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:03,600
Speaker 2: have anything on either of those yet.

328
00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:06,880
Speaker 3: So Philly Miami's a fascinating game, all right, It really is,

329
00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:10,560
Speaker 3: because I look at Philadelphia as being a vulnerable team

330
00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:14,240
Speaker 3: right now. Certainly when you look at the cluster injuries

331
00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:18,240
Speaker 3: in the secondary, that's not what you want going against Miami.

332
00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:20,280
Speaker 3: It's not close to what you want going against Miami

333
00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,720
Speaker 3: has potential to be a real disaster for Philadelphia on

334
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:27,040
Speaker 3: the defensive side of the ball. That said, we look

335
00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,480
Speaker 3: at Miami season, all right, we're all talking to oh

336
00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:32,000
Speaker 3: my god, the Dolphins at the offense. You can't stop

337
00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:37,080
Speaker 3: this team. Look at who they played, because at this

338
00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,560
Speaker 3: stage of the campaign, straight the schedule matters a lot.

339
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:44,160
Speaker 3: To me, Miami has feasted on the week they played

340
00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:45,560
Speaker 3: one good team, Buffalo.

341
00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:48,960
Speaker 5: You remember the game. I watched the game. Miami had

342
00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 5: no chance in that game, and certainly on the second half.

343
00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:52,320
Speaker 3: You know, they traded points for a little while it

344
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:56,960
Speaker 3: didn't work. Buffalo was the better team by far during

345
00:16:57,000 --> 00:16:59,200
Speaker 3: crunch time in that ballgame, and that may well be

346
00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:02,240
Speaker 3: the situation Miami's going in this week, stepping up in

347
00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:05,400
Speaker 3: class a team that is power rated through the roof

348
00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:08,680
Speaker 3: right now because their offense numbers are litterly ridiculous. I'm

349
00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,280
Speaker 3: not going to rush to step in front of Miami,

350
00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:12,680
Speaker 3: but if I had to play the game, I probably

351
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:13,720
Speaker 3: look at Philadelphia size.

352
00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:16,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'm wondering how do you handle that with

353
00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:19,560
Speaker 2: your clients? Like earlier in the week line not as

354
00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:21,840
Speaker 2: favorable to Philly. Then it dips down to one. Are

355
00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,119
Speaker 2: you able to if you like the Eagles? Are you

356
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:26,919
Speaker 2: able to jump on that and then give out the

357
00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,480
Speaker 2: Eagles that say one? And then it moves. If the

358
00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:31,199
Speaker 2: guy didn't open the email in time, and then the

359
00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:33,280
Speaker 2: line is is is able to ping up to two

360
00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:35,600
Speaker 2: to two and a half? I don't know, how do

361
00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:37,119
Speaker 2: you how do you handle that one? Something like that

362
00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:37,560
Speaker 2: with the each.

363
00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:39,280
Speaker 5: Absolutely, I mean conceptually.

364
00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:41,040
Speaker 3: I mean one of the advantages that you have is

365
00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:43,639
Speaker 3: a better and there's a lot of Look, betters have

366
00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:45,640
Speaker 3: so many advantage over the book maker that we don't

367
00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,040
Speaker 3: talk about. Betters get to choose the books book I

368
00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:50,399
Speaker 3: have to go to a line on every game line total,

369
00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:53,200
Speaker 3: first half, second half. We get to pick and choose

370
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,240
Speaker 3: which ones we want to bet, all right, So that's

371
00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:56,800
Speaker 3: one big advantage is it better?

372
00:17:57,359 --> 00:17:59,080
Speaker 5: Another big advantage that.

373
00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:01,280
Speaker 3: You have as better is exactly what you were just

374
00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:05,000
Speaker 3: talking about, Jason, where.

375
00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 5: It's yeah right.

376
00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:11,960
Speaker 2: Buddy, little sneezing, Yeah, yeah, yeah.

377
00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:15,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah. I've been you know, I was a little

378
00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,879
Speaker 3: bit under weather on Monday. And you know what when

379
00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:20,800
Speaker 3: you when you miss one day, when you're down for

380
00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,800
Speaker 3: one day.

381
00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:24,199
Speaker 2: I'm not going I never go down. I don't think

382
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:26,199
Speaker 2: I've taken a sick day in the seven years i've

383
00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 2: been at FS one, never taken one. I just fight

384
00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:31,359
Speaker 2: through your due. No, hey, hey, what are you playing

385
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:33,399
Speaker 2: roulette with red and black? Here? Come on, I'm not

386
00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 2: due for a sick day. I don't I don't take them.

387
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 3: I'm being facetious. I lost, I lost my train of thought.

388
00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:40,440
Speaker 3: Where were where.

389
00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:42,200
Speaker 2: We eagles and giving out a line to your clients?

390
00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:43,200
Speaker 5: Yeah? Sure, yeah.

391
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,960
Speaker 3: So another advener is do you have the better you

392
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:47,560
Speaker 3: get the better early in the week, you get to

393
00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,320
Speaker 3: bet when the line's first open, you get the bet

394
00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:52,040
Speaker 3: later in the week. For me, that was the biggest

395
00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:54,360
Speaker 3: difference round. I moved to Las Vegas in nineteen ninety eight.

396
00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:59,640
Speaker 3: I was and casual better, an amateur better back in Michigan,

397
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:02,720
Speaker 3: and the options you had were, well, you call your

398
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 3: booking on Sunday morning, and that's when you get your

399
00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:08,560
Speaker 3: bets down. When you live in the modern world of

400
00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:12,440
Speaker 3: sports betting, I make bets Sunday night, I make bets

401
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,199
Speaker 3: Monday morning. I can make a bet on Tuesday at

402
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:16,040
Speaker 3: the lines one. I can tell my advise my clients

403
00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:18,560
Speaker 3: to do the same throughout the course of the week,

404
00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,119
Speaker 3: so you have the opportunity to take advantage of the

405
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 3: lines that aren't.

406
00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:22,879
Speaker 5: There for long.

407
00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:25,360
Speaker 3: There's lots of games where you talk about that one

408
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 3: didn't open one, not going to close one. But if

409
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:31,400
Speaker 3: you were there at the right time, you were able

410
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:33,280
Speaker 3: to take advantage of that. And that's when you do

411
00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 3: this full time. Those are the type of bets that

412
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,359
Speaker 3: get in your pocket as opposed to when you're doing

413
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:39,199
Speaker 3: a part time and it's much harder to.

414
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:42,360
Speaker 5: And flow with getting the best.

415
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:42,560
Speaker 3: Of the number.

416
00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:45,680
Speaker 2: And listen, let's be real, right they move the extra

417
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 2: point back a little while ago. You've got some extra

418
00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:50,399
Speaker 2: conservative coaches out there who were just taking the threes.

419
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,479
Speaker 2: I mean, hell, you know, Atlanta, you definitely can't lay

420
00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:55,479
Speaker 2: numbers with them. They're winning games by one to two.

421
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:58,640
Speaker 2: They don't mind being conservative with their young quarterback River.

422
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:01,240
Speaker 2: Let me move to an game that's right around a

423
00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:04,760
Speaker 2: key number, the Seattle Seahawks. I was stunned that this

424
00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:07,080
Speaker 2: actually dipped back down to seven from seven and a half.

425
00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,360
Speaker 2: I think it was up to eight. Seahawks hosting Arizona.

426
00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:11,280
Speaker 2: This was my first bet of the week Sunday night.

427
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:15,679
Speaker 2: Arizona just seems to be trending poorly. I know it's

428
00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,440
Speaker 2: a divisional matchup, but we've seen them just fall apart

429
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:20,520
Speaker 2: in the second half. They don't have any depth, the

430
00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:23,160
Speaker 2: Connor injury, it's just a bad matchup.

431
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:23,360
Speaker 5: There.

432
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 2: They're horrendous secondary against you know, these three good wide

433
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:31,199
Speaker 2: outs in Seattle. I don't know Seattle Arizona is that

434
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:32,199
Speaker 2: to do anything for you?

435
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:37,639
Speaker 3: So my good reaction there is I'm not laying more

436
00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:40,720
Speaker 3: than a touchdown with Seattle, all right. I bet against Arizona,

437
00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:42,720
Speaker 3: had a winning bet against Arizona last week. I thought

438
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:46,080
Speaker 3: they were cheaply priced in LA against a RAMS team

439
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:47,560
Speaker 3: that was going to be focused, and we got that

440
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 3: and all of a sudden, you know, and even though

441
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:51,720
Speaker 3: the first half of that game was dicey, that was

442
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:54,840
Speaker 3: a sweat and half early on. LA ended up prevailing

443
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 3: and Arizona played that was probably the worst game of

444
00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:59,200
Speaker 3: the year last week. You know, Arizona did not play well.

445
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 3: When it comes to taking ugly underdogs, the number one

446
00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:10,480
Speaker 3: thing I'm looking for is a team that fights, and

447
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,159
Speaker 3: Arizona has shown me all year they're gonna fights. You know,

448
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,480
Speaker 3: they're down two touchdowns, they're not laying down. They continue

449
00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 3: to you know, and that is meaningful when you talk

450
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 3: about the psychology of the game. Yeah, we know Arizona.

451
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:27,680
Speaker 3: We coming in season, Arizona was lined at four and

452
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,920
Speaker 3: a half weeks. They were the lowest power rated team

453
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:32,119
Speaker 3: in the league, and they played better than expected. The

454
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 3: first few weeks, had that big upset over Dallas, and

455
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,560
Speaker 3: next thing, you know, Arizona's power rated too high. The

456
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 3: last couple of weeks, we've seen the market kind of

457
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:42,040
Speaker 3: crash on the Cardinals, and I think it's a good

458
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 3: Bilo sign for a team that I expect to give

459
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:45,959
Speaker 3: a good effort in just the Seahawks, team that I

460
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,399
Speaker 3: do not trust laying more than seven.

461
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 5: Points in the divisional matchup. Just don't like Seattle in

462
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:51,120
Speaker 5: that favorite role.

463
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,359
Speaker 2: I think I tried that with Carolina on the road

464
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 2: and Andy Dalton was pretty tremendous. He had like three

465
00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 2: hundred fifty yards passing and I'm waiting, I'm waiting, and

466
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,439
Speaker 2: Seattle just they didn't stop scoring. They don't take their

467
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,399
Speaker 2: foot off the gas. The run game is strong. I

468
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 2: think Arizona's been scored outscored like sixty to seven in

469
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,520
Speaker 2: the fourth court, some insane number. But you got a

470
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:12,120
Speaker 2: great point there.

471
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:12,440
Speaker 5: Listen.

472
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:15,439
Speaker 2: You know teams that fight, they qualify. Is there a

473
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:17,840
Speaker 2: team you haven't seen any fight from, you know, that's

474
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:19,920
Speaker 2: actually playing this week as opposed to say a Carolina,

475
00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 2: What about say the New York Giants. Interesting line, they're

476
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 2: underdogs at home. To Sam Howell, I last checked and

477
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:32,920
Speaker 2: this was it's is it a three two and a half,

478
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 2: but looking like at at at Chris and Super Book,

479
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:38,400
Speaker 2: it looks like it's a juiced two and a half.

480
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 5: Out there.

481
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:46,679
Speaker 2: So essentially Sam Howells laying points on the road like

482
00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 2: if you just do a hard stop at that sentence,

483
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:52,359
Speaker 2: I think it's is it instantly New York Giants are

484
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:52,879
Speaker 2: passed for you?

485
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:55,119
Speaker 3: Oh no, no, no, I want no part of this.

486
00:22:55,200 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 3: So when you talk so there are multiple this game.

487
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,639
Speaker 3: Let's start with this. Home field advantage in the NFL

488
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,400
Speaker 3: this season has been worth pretty close to zero. All right,

489
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:11,960
Speaker 3: if you're playing road teams and unders you cast sixty

490
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 3: percent plus in both categories so far. All right, So

491
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,120
Speaker 3: we talked about, oh the Giants here at home? Okay,

492
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:18,800
Speaker 3: who cares? Makes no difference?

493
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 5: All right?

494
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 3: Washington Atlanta. Washington lost at home in Chicago and then

495
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 3: one on the road last week. It's not anything about

496
00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:27,040
Speaker 3: the home field, and in fact, in general, I'm looking

497
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 3: to take road teams before home teams.

498
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:34,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, Howell, I think cashed in Denver. Did not know

499
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:37,280
Speaker 2: that Chicago game was at home and then he cashed

500
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,600
Speaker 2: in Atlanta. Oh interesting, Yeah, so Howell's actually played decently

501
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 2: on the road. I hadn't even considered that.

502
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 5: Well, So there's also a funaments matches the line of

503
00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:49,320
Speaker 5: scrimmage in this bog major. I mean, why are the

504
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 5: Giants train wreck? Simple?

505
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 3: The offensive line hasn't been able to do anything. And

506
00:23:56,440 --> 00:24:00,320
Speaker 3: when your offensive line can't open holes for the running

507
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 3: game and they can't protect the quarterback from anyone blitzing

508
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 3: or any kind of pass rush, guess what your offense

509
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 3: stinks and your team loses. Well, what's the strength of

510
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 3: the Commanders is that defensive front? So you have Washington's

511
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 3: defensive front, which four former first round draft poist depicts

512
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,960
Speaker 3: people at dominating a game. I guess the team that

513
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,639
Speaker 3: has no offensive line, I can lay less than a

514
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 3: field goal on that spot. I can without question or pause.

515
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,439
Speaker 3: Interesting and especially, I mean the Giants game everything they

516
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 3: had against Buffalo and should have had a beaten, found

517
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 3: a way to lose the game. Sometimes teams bounce back

518
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:42,800
Speaker 3: strong off of those demoralizing losses, surprisingly strong.

519
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:45,840
Speaker 5: I'm not gonna convince that's gonna be the case for

520
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 5: the Chief.

521
00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 2: Okay, sounds like you like Washington. Listen all the stuff

522
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 2: we're saying obviously we know is baked into the line

523
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 2: and Wig Martindales loves to blitz, and Sam Howell has

524
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:57,600
Speaker 2: been a disaster under pressure of the season. I just teddy,

525
00:24:57,640 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 2: I pulled up the Giants schedule, So here are there

526
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:04,880
Speaker 2: offensive outputs last three games. Buffalo zero touchdowns, Miami zero

527
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:10,480
Speaker 2: offensive touchdowns, Seattle zero offensive touchdowns, and San Francisco which

528
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 2: September twenty first, was one offensive touchdown. So they've had

529
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,680
Speaker 2: They've haven't been able to do anything in the last

530
00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:21,119
Speaker 2: three weeks offensively. And I just saw the injury report.

531
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,320
Speaker 2: They're starting five offensive linemen from the beginning of the season.

532
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:26,160
Speaker 2: All of them are on the injury report. It doesn't

533
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 2: look like they'll go. And Tyrod Taylor is slated to

534
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:31,359
Speaker 2: play now. I know, you know some people are like, well,

535
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:33,959
Speaker 2: Daniel Jones kills Washington. JA did you see the numbers?

536
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:36,159
Speaker 2: Five win and one against the spread? He runs all

537
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:38,600
Speaker 2: over him. I don't know that Daniel Jones is gonna

538
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 2: play any thoughts on like Brian Dable coming off the

539
00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:46,240
Speaker 2: emotional game in Buffalo where he was extremely frustrated with

540
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 2: Taylor at the end of the half, end of the game,

541
00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:50,639
Speaker 2: they come up short. We know he was heavily invested

542
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:52,960
Speaker 2: against his former team. You know, I know this is

543
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,320
Speaker 2: a divisional matchup against Washington, but how does that factor

544
00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 2: in at all? If anything?

545
00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 3: I mean, one of the thing that people like to

546
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:05,280
Speaker 3: do is try to come up with rationale for whatever

547
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,800
Speaker 3: side they like, so like, oh, this team doesn't care

548
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 3: about this game, or oh they're supermotive, And the reality

549
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 3: is that when you watch teams down the field, it

550
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:16,560
Speaker 3: rarely plays out like the pundits, like the talking heads

551
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,720
Speaker 3: like us say oh yeah, yeah, well that team wasn't

552
00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:22,679
Speaker 3: motivated or so. I mean, a lot of it is

553
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:25,880
Speaker 3: just it's just fodder. You know, there's lots of podcasts

554
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 3: out there. Everyone's got to have stuff to say, Oh,

555
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 3: this team doesn't care, that team not. I talk with

556
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:36,199
Speaker 3: Brandon Marshall, the former Broncos line back. Okay, I won

557
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:37,680
Speaker 3: a Super Bowl tell and I asked him about tank.

558
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 3: You know, what do you do with the bad teams team?

559
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:42,119
Speaker 3: He's like, there's not a player on any team, not

560
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 3: one that's interested in tanking. Everyone's fighting for their job.

561
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 3: Nobody wants to think about what the you know, nobody

562
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:49,680
Speaker 3: wants to get our higher draft choice. There's a better

563
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,320
Speaker 3: rookie coming in to take your position. So the players,

564
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 3: the effort's gonna be there. Largely, we game week out.

565
00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 3: Sometimes you just have a bad team. And Brian foll

566
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,640
Speaker 3: last year the Giants Overchiefs and I love them over

567
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 3: cheasing at an overchieve and had a season win bet

568
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,520
Speaker 3: on the Giants over there win total. I thought the

569
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,560
Speaker 3: ball was gonna come in there and have an instant impact.

570
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:12,440
Speaker 3: And I thought, Danny Dimes is playing for one hundred

571
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:13,360
Speaker 3: million dollar contract.

572
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:15,680
Speaker 5: He's a smart kid. This is the one year he's

573
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:17,679
Speaker 5: gonna be good. And he was.

574
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:19,879
Speaker 3: They were good enough, and they stole a bunch of games.

575
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,720
Speaker 3: But everyone coming into this year expected regression from the time.

576
00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:23,720
Speaker 5: It's just everyone.

577
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 3: Every one of the sharp betterers that I talked to

578
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:29,639
Speaker 3: in Vegas who I respect, expected regression from the Giants.

579
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:31,960
Speaker 3: They were a lucky team last year. This year so far,

580
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,879
Speaker 3: they've been un lucky. But when your offensive line is

581
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:38,159
Speaker 3: a sieve, it doesn't matter. Any other position on the

582
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 3: field doesn't matter. If your offsive line is a sieve,

583
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,040
Speaker 3: your season's over. And that's the story for the g

584
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,040
Speaker 3: Men right now. So I don't care if Danny Dimes

585
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 3: plays or if Tyron Tailor plays, makes no difference to me. Yeah,

586
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:51,800
Speaker 3: they're both in the same quarterback this week because they're

587
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 3: playing behind an offsive line.

588
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 2: They can't This Cleveland Indianapolis game is kind of sort

589
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:02,639
Speaker 2: of fascinating. So the deshow on Watson aspect of it.

590
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,639
Speaker 2: He came back to practice on Thursday and is throwing

591
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 2: the line bumps up to three Cleveland favorite on the road.

592
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,880
Speaker 2: Cleveland off a massive win. They won the Super Bowl

593
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:12,399
Speaker 2: beating the Niners. I don't know if you heard with

594
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 2: you know, what's his name? Ford and whoever the quarterback was,

595
00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:20,240
Speaker 2: I'm spacing on him, but he's PJ. Yeah. So they

596
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,880
Speaker 2: take down mighty San Francisco. You're number one power rated team,

597
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 2: everybody's number one team, and now they got to go

598
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:27,040
Speaker 2: on the road to face Gardner Minshew, who vomited all

599
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:29,680
Speaker 2: over himself. Of course, I had Minshew in the Colts

600
00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 2: last week. I hit them in Baltimore, one of my

601
00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:34,159
Speaker 2: better wins of the season, and I was on him

602
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:37,719
Speaker 2: last week and I watched that came closely Teddy. It's

603
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 2: impossible to get into the mindset, but when it was

604
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 2: basically determined Richardson's gonna be done for the season. Like

605
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 2: the day before the game, I was like, damn it,

606
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 2: I'm on the wrong side. Now. The pressure's on Gardner.

607
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 2: Minshew's not just a relief pitcher here. He's their guy

608
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 2: the rest of the way. And it looked like he

609
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 2: was out there trying to prove something. And he had

610
00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:58,440
Speaker 2: so many overthrows that were horrible interceptions. It's not like

611
00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 2: the Jags were making plays like Minshew is overthrowing guys

612
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 2: by four yards and it's like right into the safety's

613
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 2: bread basket fumbled. It was brutal. Colts is disappointing. I

614
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:13,080
Speaker 2: just wonder Shane Stik and Minshew against the best defense

615
00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 2: in the league that's allowed the fewest yards in the

616
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 2: last sixty years through six games or whatever it is.

617
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 2: Is there a case for the culture at Home getting points?

618
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, sure, there's a case for the cults. The case

619
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:26,640
Speaker 3: is so there's there's a triple case for the cults, right,

620
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 3: gonna make three favorable points for Indy.

621
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 5: First, Cleveland's power rated wrong right now.

622
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:37,920
Speaker 3: Their defensive numbers are off the charts good, they're not sustainable,

623
00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:40,760
Speaker 3: they're not realistic. You know they won last week as

624
00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 3: a miss field goal. You know that's how they won

625
00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 3: the game. They but Cleveland's defensive numbers have created that. Again,

626
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 3: what are the wise guys looking at. They're looking at

627
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:53,600
Speaker 3: these defensive status think the Browns of the best defense

628
00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 3: in the NFL and is not close And I say,

629
00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:58,720
Speaker 3: you know, tap to break through.

630
00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 5: Cleveland has a good defense, a very good defense.

631
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 3: I may have the best defense in the league, but

632
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 3: it's not head and shoulders ahead of every other team.

633
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 3: But that's what the numbers say right now. So that's

634
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:09,520
Speaker 3: why they're laying the field goal on the road. So

635
00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 3: I think Cleveland's power rated roun number two. PJ Walker

636
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 3: cannot lay points on the road. Okay, everything about PJ Walker,

637
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 3: every interview you read about him, every coach is quarterback.

638
00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 5: Everybody loves PJ. Walker.

639
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 3: Okay, he is a high character individual. He is a

640
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 3: benefit to a locker room. But PJ Walker is not

641
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:38,680
Speaker 3: an NFL starting quarterback. PJ Walker on a list of backups,

642
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,960
Speaker 3: in my mind, would be adder near the bottom. He's

643
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 3: just not capable of making quick decision throws downfield. It's

644
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 3: all gonna be dank and dunk with PJ. Walker, And

645
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 3: that's not where I want to lay. Again, a field

646
00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:56,680
Speaker 3: goal win doesn't do any good. You gotta win by

647
00:30:56,920 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 3: more than a field goal to cover this number.

648
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 5: So there's another case. So you make a case for Indy.

649
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 3: And of course you're getting into you talked about what

650
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 3: happened last week, right, here's Cleveland coming off a huge win.

651
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:08,360
Speaker 5: Here's Indy coming off a pretty ugly loss.

652
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 3: You know, somehow in a week where every game cashed

653
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 3: unders and in a season where it's sixty one for

654
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:17,160
Speaker 3: cent or sixty two undred so far, you lost a

655
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 3: bet in that game. I lost an under bet in

656
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 3: that game in a large part because Minshew was overthrowing

657
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 3: everyone and throwing after pick. You know, between them, they

658
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:26,520
Speaker 3: didn't have six hundred yards of offense and they finished

659
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 3: with fifty seven points. So but the bottom line is,

660
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 3: from a spot standpoint, in general, in the NFL, you

661
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 3: want to bet on the team that lost and against

662
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 3: the team that won, unless the team that won is elite,

663
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 3: and unless the team that lost is a bottom feeder,

664
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:44,479
Speaker 3: unless he just strenks you're riding. I don't look at

665
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,000
Speaker 3: Indy as a true bottom feeder, and I don't look

666
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 3: at Cleveland as elite in general. When you look at

667
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 3: the teams in the middle, you only betting on the

668
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 3: teams off a loss and against the teams off a win.

669
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 3: And that's the case you have for any now Yeah, no, no,

670
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 3: I mean I'm not actually betting Indy, right, I don't

671
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:03,520
Speaker 3: trust me, trust him. It's a good defense. There's a

672
00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 3: case to be made for Indianapolis.

673
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:06,800
Speaker 2: So maybe you just take the under and then turn

674
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 2: the turn the game off. You don't have to watch

675
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 2: that drek if it's if it is PJ.

676
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:14,160
Speaker 5: Walker, I wouldn't talk yet of it.

677
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 2: So so let me ask you, though, what's the psychology

678
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,560
Speaker 2: between with the line moving from two and a half

679
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 2: to three? Is your guest that big money came in

680
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 2: with the Watson practicing report and we got to get

681
00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 2: to three? And are people just grabbing the eye? Gotta

682
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 2: grab two and a half in case Watson place, the

683
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,239
Speaker 2: defense might be able to get me there. But if

684
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 2: Watson plays, I got to be on this and and

685
00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 2: basically somebody bet it, and every every book moved to three.

686
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:40,640
Speaker 2: What's your best guess as to what happened there?

687
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 3: So I don't want to promote myself on your show.

688
00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 3: But I do a podcast their Monday morning called the

689
00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:47,120
Speaker 3: Opening line Man. If I opening lineuport yep or the

690
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 3: way you're talking, If i'll opening line report, I talk

691
00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 3: about where the lines are and where they're likely to

692
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:54,479
Speaker 3: move and why they're likely to move there you can

693
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 3: get a sense, if you've been doing this for a

694
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 3: long time, as to what the EBB and flow of

695
00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:01,040
Speaker 3: the markets are. We talk about this going from two

696
00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 3: and a half to three, and again there were books

697
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:04,960
Speaker 3: that opened three, there were books that opened one and

698
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 3: a half. The markets settled at two and a half,

699
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 3: and then there was a market move where they took

700
00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:12,560
Speaker 3: out all the you know, the one group or another

701
00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 3: took out all the two and a halfs and pushed

702
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,280
Speaker 3: it up to three. What could that be? It could

703
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 3: be as simple as something as simple as well, my

704
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 3: algo says that the line should be three and a half.

705
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 3: So let's take all the two.

706
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:24,120
Speaker 5: And a halfs out.

707
00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 3: Doesn't have to be any great giant reason.

708
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 5: It just could be.

709
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 3: This is what that program, you know, their particular algorithm

710
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 3: for what they're betting on, spit out a three and

711
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:35,240
Speaker 3: a half and the line was two and a half. Boom,

712
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 3: They'll take out all the two and a halfs in

713
00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 3: that regard, because when you've been doing this at that level,

714
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:43,080
Speaker 3: when you're betting at a professional level, you trust your

715
00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 3: numbers for real. So I can't tell you exactly why

716
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:50,760
Speaker 3: it moved, but oftentimes just moves because that's that's the

717
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 3: way the wise guys like, or this particular group of wise.

718
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:54,160
Speaker 5: Guys liked it.

719
00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:57,760
Speaker 2: Probably the grossest bet that and I haven't been able

720
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,560
Speaker 2: to pull the trigger yet just because they sickened me

721
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 2: to my core. But I was on Mac Jones and

722
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 2: the Patriots last week as well. He takes that safety,

723
00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 2: it goes from two and a half to four and

724
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:10,480
Speaker 2: a half, four, and you know the cover is blown

725
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:13,840
Speaker 2: in the final ninety seconds. Very frustrating. They are getting

726
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,800
Speaker 2: eight and a half at home. I saw this crazy stat.

727
00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:19,080
Speaker 2: This is the most points they've gotten at home since

728
00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:21,880
Speaker 2: Tom Brady's home opener back in like, you know, whenever

729
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:24,840
Speaker 2: the Stone Age, when Tom Brady was a quarterback. I

730
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:26,800
Speaker 2: don't know, Teddy, I see eight and a half. I'm like,

731
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 2: Josh Allen's got like a throwing shoulder thing. It's weird

732
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,200
Speaker 2: that the Bills have been pretty open about it. The

733
00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:37,200
Speaker 2: Bill's defense has a myriad of injuries. Something seems off

734
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,279
Speaker 2: about Buffalo. I said there this summer their Super Bowl

735
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,320
Speaker 2: window would be closing, and like, basically I was banned

736
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:46,080
Speaker 2: from going to the city. I don't know. It just

737
00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:48,520
Speaker 2: feels like maybe this is the spot for the Patriots.

738
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 2: Now we've been hearing that. A bunch of people were like, oh,

739
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 2: it's a spot against the Saints. Come on, Derek Carr

740
00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 2: in a beltic. No, that was wrong. Cowboys, that was

741
00:34:55,880 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 2: very wrong. And the Raiders now also wrong. It's gonna

742
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,480
Speaker 2: take a lot of intestinal fortitude to back mac Jones here.

743
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:05,560
Speaker 2: But it is eight and a half big enough for you, say,

744
00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:07,560
Speaker 2: you to give out to your clients.

745
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:13,560
Speaker 3: Nope, sure, So New England might be the worst team

746
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 3: in the league, all right, it's.

747
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:16,920
Speaker 5: Very hard Carolina.

748
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:20,359
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, if you're great at the personnel, it's not close.

749
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:23,319
Speaker 3: New England has a weaker personnel than Carolina, you know,

750
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 3: I mean, there's a there's.

751
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 5: Look at that. So.

752
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 3: One of the things that was so great about the

753
00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:32,840
Speaker 3: Patriots for so long was every year there's seventh rounders

754
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 3: were better than other teams second rounders. You look at

755
00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:39,920
Speaker 3: the Patriots last five, six, seven years worth of drafts.

756
00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 5: There's nothing.

757
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 3: There's not an impact player year after year after year. Yeah,

758
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,080
Speaker 3: that organization is devoid of talent. And I have a

759
00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 3: hard time trying to make money with the very worst teams.

760
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,400
Speaker 3: It's hard to make money with the very worst teams.

761
00:35:56,600 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 3: They're banned and they're used to and the other it

762
00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 3: happens is that they're so used to the other shoe dropping.

763
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,200
Speaker 3: You know what happened last week. It was a good punt.

764
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,880
Speaker 3: They pinned them deep, other than the other shoe drops.

765
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:09,759
Speaker 3: So well, take the safety and I will try an

766
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 3: on side punt, you know, and there's your cover. Oh sorry,

767
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:17,320
Speaker 3: Patriots are going on on the field and expecting to

768
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 3: lose these days.

769
00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:20,080
Speaker 2: You're right.

770
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:24,480
Speaker 5: The Raiders is terrible. The Raiders are definitely not a

771
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:24,960
Speaker 5: good team.

772
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 3: Uh. And the fact that New England, you know again was.

773
00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 5: I mean, they were competitive in the game, kind of

774
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:36,360
Speaker 5: they got a little large.

775
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:39,279
Speaker 3: The game they weren't. The first half was ugly. I

776
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 3: don't want the Patriots. It's not enough points, especially with

777
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:42,000
Speaker 3: Buffalo coming.

778
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 5: Off a loss.

779
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, Buffalo coming off a loss field well, a non cover,

780
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 2: You're right, it feels like a bit of a good spot,

781
00:36:50,120 --> 00:36:51,880
Speaker 2: all right. Teddy, Well, I guess we could wrap up

782
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:55,320
Speaker 2: like obviously you're you're you know, selling picks to clients,

783
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:57,440
Speaker 2: so you don't we don't have to reveal anything you

784
00:36:57,440 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 2: don't want to. But is there anything you've given out

785
00:36:59,600 --> 00:37:03,880
Speaker 2: that is moved that you don't mind sharing or whether

786
00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:06,360
Speaker 2: side or total. Obviously our group like sides. We have

787
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 2: a lot of people who entered the Circa contest who

788
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:11,319
Speaker 2: listen to this and the super Book one as well,

789
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,240
Speaker 2: so they would love to hear your thoughts.

790
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:16,719
Speaker 3: Sure, and look, the bottom line is when I come

791
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:18,640
Speaker 3: on a podcast like I'll give you everything I got,

792
00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:26,040
Speaker 3: I appreciate the opportunity and clients don't love it when

793
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:29,480
Speaker 3: you give out your card, but sometimes life happens.

794
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:31,680
Speaker 5: So certainly, a couple of games that I'm looking at.

795
00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 3: I talked about Washington, you know Washington game that I'm

796
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 3: looking at absolutely this week I'm looking at a LANDA

797
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 3: plus the points in Tampa.

798
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:39,880
Speaker 2: Interesting.

799
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:43,719
Speaker 3: I do like that Falcons defense a lot. B Jeon

800
00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:46,919
Speaker 3: Robinson over twenty four and a half receiving yards. There's

801
00:37:46,920 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 3: your probit this week.

802
00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:54,280
Speaker 2: Okay, let me ask Atlanta on the road in Tampa.

803
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:56,800
Speaker 2: I know it's not like inclement weather or anything. Ritter

804
00:37:56,960 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 2: has been a house of horrors away from home. Baker

805
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:04,480
Speaker 2: Mayfield and company off a loss. But you you like

806
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:07,600
Speaker 2: the Tampa def or the Atlanta defense here against Baker.

807
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:11,520
Speaker 3: Sure, I don't think Tampa's not a team uncomfortable laying

808
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 3: points with, all right, and I certainly look at the

809
00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:23,160
Speaker 3: Atlanta side in that ball game. And again, Ritter, how

810
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:24,280
Speaker 3: do we phrase this politely?

811
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:30,600
Speaker 5: I don't. Yeah, he's so, he's he's on a list

812
00:38:30,600 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 5: of your your your quarterbacks.

813
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 3: You're excited about Baking dismon Ritters not there in a

814
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:36,319
Speaker 3: way that you know.

815
00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 5: I don't know the Baker Mayfield is there either, but.

816
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 3: Atlanta is very much So there's urgency in Atlanta. Let's

817
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 3: start with that, all right. Arthur Smith don't keep his

818
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:49,719
Speaker 3: job if that team doesn't have a winning record this year.

819
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:52,000
Speaker 3: There's urgency from the front office that there's the coach.

820
00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:54,359
Speaker 3: Every win they made this off sea, every move they

821
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 3: made this off this beast offseason was win now, win

822
00:38:57,320 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 3: this year, et cetera, et cetera. They have the schedule

823
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:04,120
Speaker 3: to do it. And Tampa, their defense is decent, They're

824
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:07,880
Speaker 3: not anywhere close to being an elite team. And at

825
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:08,400
Speaker 3: two and a half, we.

826
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:09,800
Speaker 5: Could see threes by kickoff.

827
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 3: But I'm comfortable with that landa plus doing with them

828
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:14,279
Speaker 3: on the money line, I think they win the game.

829
00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:18,399
Speaker 2: I don't hate that. Yeah. Anything on Detroit Baltimore, which

830
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:21,359
Speaker 2: is crazily like one of the better games. I see

831
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:23,800
Speaker 2: this massive divide among you know, random people I follow

832
00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 2: who I consider insightful and and smart, A lot of

833
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:29,719
Speaker 2: them like Baltimore here. Now we got to see the

834
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 2: Lions injury report. You know, they didn't have a run

835
00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:34,759
Speaker 2: game without Montgomery. He's basically not gonna play. We don't

836
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:38,000
Speaker 2: know about Gibbs, GoF outdoors. It looks like there could

837
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,840
Speaker 2: be some win, but not you know, terrible weather. A

838
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 2: lot of people on Baltimore here, I'm I haven't. This

839
00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,400
Speaker 2: will definitely be the toughest opponent the Ravens have played.

840
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 2: They haven't played anybody, really. I mean, look, you look

841
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,960
Speaker 2: at weak schedules and opposing quarterbacks. I mean, they faced

842
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 2: two rookies, including Stroud in his debut, Like they faced

843
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 2: some bad quarter a half of Malik What's willis last week?

844
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 2: Like they face ghastly quarterbacks. Anything on Lions Ravens.

845
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 3: So in mind is a hard game and I'm not

846
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 3: gonna play it. So let me start there smart Yep, Yeah,

847
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:12,280
Speaker 3: I mean it really is. I heard, I'm so reported

848
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:14,560
Speaker 3: they think Jamiir Gibbs is gonna go and be good

849
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:16,400
Speaker 3: to go, so they'll have a running back. But you know,

850
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:19,200
Speaker 3: I mean the NFL is none of all the injuries

851
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:21,719
Speaker 3: that don't matter, running back is.

852
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:22,880
Speaker 5: The injury that doesn't matter is.

853
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 3: The least and honest, like, oh, they're down in their

854
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 3: third string running back. Who cares? They're thirstring running back

855
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:29,520
Speaker 3: you know, ran for eight yards of carrying college and

856
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:33,000
Speaker 3: is everything. You know, maybe half a step slower around

857
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:35,480
Speaker 3: one hundred yard dash than the than the first string back.

858
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 3: But it's not like you can't play and you can't block.

859
00:40:37,120 --> 00:40:40,000
Speaker 3: So of all we talk about injuries that don't matter

860
00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:43,480
Speaker 3: in this league, running back injuries, you know, addre near

861
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:50,080
Speaker 3: the top of the list that said it feels like

862
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:52,759
Speaker 3: Detroit has been under. It feels like they've been under

863
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:56,319
Speaker 3: out of commodity to the tune of five and one

864
00:40:56,360 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 3: ats this year twenty eight and well against the spread

865
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:05,720
Speaker 3: in the Dan Campbell era. And you can ask fifty

866
00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:07,719
Speaker 3: people at the bar, Hey, who's the best points bread

867
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 3: coach in football since twenty twenty one.

868
00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:13,800
Speaker 5: You're not gonna get a whole lot of Dan Campbell's

869
00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:14,800
Speaker 5: as the answer.

870
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 3: But Detroit's been the undevowed commodity in the league for

871
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,640
Speaker 3: three seasons running now, so there's something to be said

872
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:28,080
Speaker 3: for that. But Goff is one QB who does have

873
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:32,080
Speaker 3: a home road dichotomy, and it's very clear every year

874
00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:35,040
Speaker 3: has been in Detroit, his QB are twenty five points

875
00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:37,359
Speaker 3: lower on the road than it is at home. This

876
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:41,120
Speaker 3: is a real defense Detroit's facing. They struggle against a

877
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:45,480
Speaker 3: real defense little bit last week, and Baltimore is not

878
00:41:45,520 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 3: a team that I'm in a big rush to step

879
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 3: in front of right now. So it's just for me,

880
00:41:51,640 --> 00:41:55,600
Speaker 3: the line is right. I'm kind of hoping the Ravens win.

881
00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,239
Speaker 3: In fact, I love the Ravens to kill him. That

882
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:01,600
Speaker 3: might be my best case scenario. I think there's money

883
00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 3: to be made back in Detroit. We look at the

884
00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:07,320
Speaker 3: packing order in the NFC at San fran Dallas, Philly

885
00:42:08,560 --> 00:42:11,279
Speaker 3: and then what and I think Detroit deserves to be.

886
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:14,279
Speaker 2: Detroit or Detroit ter Dallas. Who are you backing on

887
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:17,040
Speaker 2: a neutral right now? Well, maybe not right now, given

888
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:21,880
Speaker 2: the injuries to the Lions backfield, but I would probably

889
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:24,600
Speaker 2: lean Detroit at the right number. Dallas would be favored obviously.

890
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:27,160
Speaker 3: So I spent you know again, I spent the better

891
00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 3: part of a decade in Michigan, and when the Lions

892
00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:31,360
Speaker 3: get in the playoffs, we're not back in the lines.

893
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:36,080
Speaker 2: I still remember the Stafford questionable. Was it a pi

894
00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:39,359
Speaker 2: or an interception? Against the Cowboys? Got to be eight

895
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:42,200
Speaker 2: seven eight? Ten years ago and that costs me money.

896
00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 2: I was on the Lions, very frustrating. I remember the

897
00:42:44,480 --> 00:42:46,600
Speaker 2: losses more than the wins. The wins I just expect

898
00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:49,080
Speaker 2: all the time. The losses stick with me, you know, yeah,

899
00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:49,960
Speaker 2: I know.

900
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:53,319
Speaker 3: Yeah. Look I can give you beats. I can give

901
00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 3: you one beat after another. I can go back twenty

902
00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:57,439
Speaker 3: years worth of beats. And you say, okay, what about

903
00:42:57,440 --> 00:42:58,920
Speaker 3: the big wins. I'm like, well, I think I had

904
00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:03,839
Speaker 3: one once, you know. Yeah, the losses the seer their

905
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:06,000
Speaker 3: way in your memory. You know, people still talk about

906
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:08,719
Speaker 3: the Belk Bowl. You know, I still remember it.

907
00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:09,279
Speaker 5: Was this kay?

908
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 3: Wow?

909
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 2: Was that the Duke Belk Bowl?

910
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:11,719
Speaker 5: Yes?

911
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 3: Yes, that was the Duke Cincinnati Belt Bowl where Duke

912
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 3: is driving in Duke plus eight and a half is

913
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:17,640
Speaker 3: driving in for the game winning touchdown with under two

914
00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 3: to play and failed to cover. Yes, that's the one

915
00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:21,520
Speaker 3: that we still talk about.

916
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:25,000
Speaker 2: Staggering. All right, great stuff, Teddy covers. You could you

917
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 2: want to give out like you got a newsletter. People

918
00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:30,040
Speaker 2: to sign up for your service podcast. Whatever, Teddy, you

919
00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:30,800
Speaker 2: love your stuff?

920
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:32,320
Speaker 5: Man, Sure, man, you're visit me.

921
00:43:32,560 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 3: The website is wagertalk dot com. You can follow me

922
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:37,440
Speaker 3: on Twitter at Teddy Underscore Covers.

923
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 2: Awesome man, Thanks a lot, Teddy, good luck this weekend.

924
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 5: Pleasures mine man, thanks for having me. Enjoyed it very much.

925
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:47,400
Speaker 2: Football is back. No more preseason games. The regular season

926
00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 2: is here. While we all love watching our favorite teams

927
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:53,239
Speaker 2: on television, there is nothing better than being at a

928
00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:55,600
Speaker 2: game live and in person. And the best way to

929
00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 2: get tickets to any of these games is on game Time,

930
00:43:58,320 --> 00:44:02,240
Speaker 2: the fastest growing ticketing app in the US, for last minute,

931
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:06,080
Speaker 2: amazing deals on tickets to see your favorite football teams.

932
00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:09,240
Speaker 2: This September, download game Time. And it's not just football.

933
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 2: Game Time has tickets to baseball games, concerts, and comedy

934
00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:16,400
Speaker 2: shows across the country. Download the game Time app and

935
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:20,400
Speaker 2: redeem code Jmack for twenty dollars off your first purchase

936
00:44:20,719 --> 00:44:24,000
Speaker 2: terms apply again. Download the game Time app and enter

937
00:44:24,040 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 2: code Jmack. That's Jmac for twenty dollars off. No matter

938
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:31,239
Speaker 2: where you live, get out and have some fun this week.

939
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:35,600
Speaker 2: Download game Time Today, last minute tickets, lowest price guaranteed.

940
00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:40,640
Speaker 1: The only thing better than sitting on your couch watching

941
00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:44,840
Speaker 1: the games is making money while you do it. Here's

942
00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 1: your best bet.

943
00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:52,680
Speaker 2: Good stuff from Teddy Savranski aka Teddy Covers, longtime Vegas guy.

944
00:44:53,320 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 2: It's weird. We're aligned on a lot of games, but

945
00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:57,359
Speaker 2: it doesn't seem like he likes him as much as

946
00:44:57,400 --> 00:45:00,720
Speaker 2: I do. Best Bet will be obviously condemned this week.

947
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 2: Listen here. Here's the tough part about you know, doing

948
00:45:04,640 --> 00:45:06,600
Speaker 2: this on Friday, and if you just tuned in Friday

949
00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:10,280
Speaker 2: for the picks and you're not listening on Monday, Tuesday,

950
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:13,080
Speaker 2: ondnes all every other day, some of the lines are

951
00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 2: no longer there. Philadelphia Eagles, I mean, if you guys,

952
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:17,560
Speaker 2: that's one of my favorite sides of the weekend. I

953
00:45:17,560 --> 00:45:19,360
Speaker 2: don't know how you can take the Dolphins in the

954
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 2: spot everything for me lines up Eagles obviously, the only

955
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:24,920
Speaker 2: two negatives would be Lane Johnson and the Eagles cluster

956
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 2: injuries in the secondary. But this is just gonna be

957
00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:31,799
Speaker 2: a bully fest in Philadelphia running the football. You know

958
00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:34,800
Speaker 2: the tendencies of Vic Fangio's defense. He doesn't want to

959
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 2: give you anything deep. He'll give you the underneath stuff.

960
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:39,600
Speaker 2: Well guess what, Eagles are fine taking the underneath stuff. Obviously,

961
00:45:39,640 --> 00:45:42,479
Speaker 2: the Vonta Smith injury could be significant, but I don't

962
00:45:42,480 --> 00:45:46,719
Speaker 2: see Miami stopping the run. Philadelphia at home Sunday night.

963
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:49,319
Speaker 2: You know, you got the Phillies on the cusp of

964
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:51,319
Speaker 2: the World Series. You've got the Eagles, one of the

965
00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:53,600
Speaker 2: best teams in the NFC, coming off a Super Bowl.

966
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:57,360
Speaker 2: Like everything's It's a very exciting time right now if

967
00:45:57,400 --> 00:46:00,479
Speaker 2: you're a Philadelphia sports fan, except the six of course,

968
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:03,360
Speaker 2: with the James Harden situation. But I can see this

969
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:06,279
Speaker 2: crowd really juiced up, probably in the forties. It looks like,

970
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:08,359
Speaker 2: according to the weather, this will be Miami's coldest game.

971
00:46:08,480 --> 00:46:12,120
Speaker 2: And think about this, anybody who's ever played any level

972
00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:14,760
Speaker 2: of sports, Right, you play two of the worst teams

973
00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:17,400
Speaker 2: in the league back to back, Giants and Carolina, and

974
00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:19,759
Speaker 2: I'm talking these are two of the four worst teams

975
00:46:19,760 --> 00:46:22,200
Speaker 2: in the league back to back. Then you got to

976
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,120
Speaker 2: and that was at home, by the way, and then

977
00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:27,280
Speaker 2: you gotta go on the road into Philly hostile territory

978
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:29,560
Speaker 2: to take on one of the toughest teams in the league.

979
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:32,799
Speaker 2: That will definitely be the best defense you've seen. And

980
00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:36,200
Speaker 2: it's like, this is gonna be a massive, massive challenge

981
00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:38,480
Speaker 2: for Miami and Mike McDaniel. I like McDaniel a lot,

982
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:41,720
Speaker 2: but Eagles are definitely aside. They will lead my card

983
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:45,840
Speaker 2: for the contest. Number two in the contest, but overall

984
00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:47,759
Speaker 2: it was a number one pick. Obviously. If you guys

985
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:50,320
Speaker 2: have been around this week, Seattle Seahawks, here's what stinks.

986
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:52,479
Speaker 2: Of course, I love the Seahawks. Earlier in the week,

987
00:46:52,640 --> 00:46:55,239
Speaker 2: took them at eight. The line goes down. Now, a

988
00:46:55,280 --> 00:46:58,560
Speaker 2: lot of that was due to Seattle Seahawks injuries on

989
00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:02,160
Speaker 2: the injury report. I'm calling that up now. And this

990
00:47:02,200 --> 00:47:05,480
Speaker 2: is where it gets odd. It's like, okay, so Wednesday,

991
00:47:05,760 --> 00:47:09,040
Speaker 2: Seattle offensive lineman missed time, Zach Charbonnay, the backup running

992
00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:12,200
Speaker 2: back DK Metcalf sat out. Metcalf was out again Thursday.

993
00:47:12,520 --> 00:47:14,920
Speaker 2: The center's out and it's like, oh, what's going on? Well,

994
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:18,560
Speaker 2: Charles cross back at practice. Locket's fine, and you just

995
00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:21,600
Speaker 2: wonder how many of these Seahawks guys are gonna go

996
00:47:22,640 --> 00:47:25,280
Speaker 2: the game against since he was obviously physical, but Metcalf

997
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:29,640
Speaker 2: never misses time, he doesn't miss and is Arizona's defensive

998
00:47:29,640 --> 00:47:32,000
Speaker 2: line even gonna be able to take advantage of a

999
00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 2: potential offensive line injury or two to Seattle? Now the

1000
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:38,920
Speaker 2: divisional matchup scares me, but you know, just from my

1001
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:40,919
Speaker 2: point of view, I feel like this is a big

1002
00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:43,840
Speaker 2: time Seattle spot. We're seeing Arizona tail off. As I

1003
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:46,799
Speaker 2: said in the Teddy interview, So Seahawks and Eagles for sure.

1004
00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:51,640
Speaker 2: Lions Ravens. I'm split. I did I looked hard at

1005
00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:55,439
Speaker 2: the Lions. You know, I don't want to give away

1006
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:58,960
Speaker 2: too much, but I did. You know, when the producers

1007
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:00,560
Speaker 2: for the Herd are like, hey, for headlines, who do

1008
00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:03,560
Speaker 2: you want? I said, Lions on Wednesday? And the more

1009
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:04,880
Speaker 2: and more I think, I'm like, jeez, do I need

1010
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:06,560
Speaker 2: to go Ravens. But the world seems to be on

1011
00:48:06,600 --> 00:48:11,120
Speaker 2: the Ravens. You know, you look online and everybody's like, oh, Ravens, Ravens,

1012
00:48:11,120 --> 00:48:14,960
Speaker 2: come on, Ravens, and I just you look at who

1013
00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:16,960
Speaker 2: you look at who Baltimore's played, and this will be

1014
00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 2: their toughest test by far. You know, it's one thing

1015
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:23,799
Speaker 2: to face dtr And Gardner Minshew and Ryan Tannehills slash

1016
00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:26,600
Speaker 2: Malik Willis well Jared Goff has arguably the best offensive

1017
00:48:26,600 --> 00:48:30,000
Speaker 2: coordinator in the league. And Ben Johnson. Listen, you are

1018
00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:31,719
Speaker 2: buying at the top of the market. You know, it's

1019
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:36,120
Speaker 2: like you're buying a stock. And after one of the

1020
00:48:36,160 --> 00:48:38,520
Speaker 2: greatest monthly reports that it's ever had, you know, it's

1021
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:41,319
Speaker 2: on a like I saw Netflix this week since they

1022
00:48:41,520 --> 00:48:44,600
Speaker 2: stopped the password sharing, they got like eight million new

1023
00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 2: subscribers in a quarter, the best quarter. So that would

1024
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:49,440
Speaker 2: be like going and buying Netflix stock. That's equivalent of

1025
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:51,520
Speaker 2: taking the Lions here. The only difference is the Lions

1026
00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:55,040
Speaker 2: are getting three points. Is Baltimore that much better? Is

1027
00:48:55,080 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 2: the win going to impact this game? Does that take

1028
00:48:57,239 --> 00:48:59,720
Speaker 2: away the Justin Tucker factor? I have him in fantasy,

1029
00:48:59,800 --> 00:49:02,000
Speaker 2: So obviously I'm looking at nerdy stuff like when but

1030
00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:05,600
Speaker 2: just I grabbed the Lions at three, I can see

1031
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 2: you taking Ravens at three. It doesn't seem like either

1032
00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:11,759
Speaker 2: way there's a ton of value. It's a fascinating game.

1033
00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:15,040
Speaker 2: There's every window has one really awesome game this week,

1034
00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:17,400
Speaker 2: and Lions Ravens at one pm is great. And I

1035
00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:19,640
Speaker 2: am stoked because I looked at my kid's soccer schedule

1036
00:49:20,040 --> 00:49:21,839
Speaker 2: and like two of the last three Sundays we've had

1037
00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:25,440
Speaker 2: soccer games. And let's say it ain't great when you're

1038
00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 2: at a soccer game and you're trying to watch what's

1039
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 2: happening on Red Zone and obviously you can't jump online

1040
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:33,640
Speaker 2: and make commentary or see what other games are happening

1041
00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:36,160
Speaker 2: because you're on Red Zone, can't check your fantasy and

1042
00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:38,399
Speaker 2: you're trying to watch your kid play soccer and talking

1043
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:41,200
Speaker 2: to parents and stuff. So no soccer this weekend. I

1044
00:49:41,239 --> 00:49:45,200
Speaker 2: will be locked in Red Zone and the local games

1045
00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 2: and the local games. I don't know. Ram Steelers is

1046
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:50,680
Speaker 2: kind of sneaky good. I'm staying away from this one.

1047
00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:56,600
Speaker 2: My play would be would be Jacksonville. I'm not jack Sorry,

1048
00:49:56,680 --> 00:50:00,080
Speaker 2: not Jacksonville. My play in this one would be, and

1049
00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:02,560
Speaker 2: I say would be, would be the Pittsburgh Steelers. The

1050
00:50:02,600 --> 00:50:04,360
Speaker 2: problem is it burned me a couple times a season.

1051
00:50:04,400 --> 00:50:07,320
Speaker 2: Now they're getting healthier with Deontay Johnson. Obviously that's massive.

1052
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:10,920
Speaker 2: I love Deontay Johnson as a receiver. He'll open up

1053
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 2: things for Pickens. Pickens has been facing number one receivers.

1054
00:50:13,480 --> 00:50:15,279
Speaker 2: Well now I'm sorry number one cornerback, So now the

1055
00:50:15,360 --> 00:50:18,520
Speaker 2: number one corner has to shift to Deontay Johnson. Pittsburgh

1056
00:50:18,520 --> 00:50:20,279
Speaker 2: coming off the bye, I think I saw stat that

1057
00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:24,040
Speaker 2: Tomlin has won his last six off of bye. And again,

1058
00:50:24,360 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 2: who knows what that's where Tomlin is an underdog. We've

1059
00:50:26,520 --> 00:50:29,759
Speaker 2: seen that narrative. It just feels like Pittsburgh could be

1060
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:33,600
Speaker 2: the side. I just I this Rams team doesn't quit.

1061
00:50:33,760 --> 00:50:35,719
Speaker 2: So again, this is another one that's three, and I'm

1062
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:39,439
Speaker 2: probably gonna have to to dodge it. I did take

1063
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:41,960
Speaker 2: the Cleveland Browns at minus minus two and a half.

1064
00:50:41,960 --> 00:50:45,919
Speaker 2: It's a little juiced. Mostly it's three now because what's

1065
00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:50,640
Speaker 2: his face? Deshaun Watson may return to the starting lineup. Listen,

1066
00:50:51,040 --> 00:50:52,839
Speaker 2: you never want to take the Browns off a big

1067
00:50:52,880 --> 00:50:56,759
Speaker 2: win like this. They're Cleveland like historically, this is what

1068
00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 2: the Browns do. They fail, fall flat on their face

1069
00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:04,360
Speaker 2: in a spot like this. I don't know. Contest contest

1070
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:08,000
Speaker 2: line is three, you know, I don't know. Can I

1071
00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:12,080
Speaker 2: do that? Does it make any sense? This is a

1072
00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:15,160
Speaker 2: tough week. I like the games and I feel confident

1073
00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:16,800
Speaker 2: in the sides, but when it comes to this contest,

1074
00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:19,400
Speaker 2: guys like some of these lines like three, Come on,

1075
00:51:20,360 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 2: what's the value in taking three when you ultimately it's

1076
00:51:23,120 --> 00:51:25,600
Speaker 2: probably gonna end up on three, the most common number

1077
00:51:25,600 --> 00:51:29,120
Speaker 2: in the NFL for landing, and you get to tie.

1078
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:31,279
Speaker 2: You know, I off a two and three week, I

1079
00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:35,200
Speaker 2: need to deliver, so I may I may try some

1080
00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:38,080
Speaker 2: wackiness and go Patriots, you know, getting eight and a half,

1081
00:51:38,120 --> 00:51:40,320
Speaker 2: which I don't know that I could stomach those scrubs.

1082
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 2: It's just so annoying to back them. You saw last

1083
00:51:42,640 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 2: week with the Raiders total disaster. I kind of want

1084
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:48,280
Speaker 2: Kansas City. If you guys remember the interview with Rufus

1085
00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:53,439
Speaker 2: this week, he had Kansas City his numbers say nine?

1086
00:51:54,080 --> 00:51:57,120
Speaker 2: Why is it five and a half? Divisional matchup? Always

1087
00:51:57,120 --> 00:51:59,400
Speaker 2: take the dog, blah blah blah. But I don't know.

1088
00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:01,400
Speaker 2: I'm kind of a kind of sort of leaning a

1089
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 2: little bit toward Kansas City. But a big favorite, like

1090
00:52:05,280 --> 00:52:07,719
Speaker 2: we know Mahomes doesn't really cover, is a huge favorite.

1091
00:52:09,520 --> 00:52:12,040
Speaker 2: It's a tough one. I do like Washington at the Giants.

1092
00:52:12,080 --> 00:52:13,759
Speaker 2: You heard me and Teddy go back and forth on

1093
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:17,160
Speaker 2: that one, and I did not end up submitting the

1094
00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:20,520
Speaker 2: Saints in the contest. Uh, so you know I dodged

1095
00:52:20,560 --> 00:52:22,120
Speaker 2: one there. But now I gotta find three more picks

1096
00:52:22,160 --> 00:52:26,440
Speaker 2: after the Seahawks and Eagles. So it's gonna be an

1097
00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:29,920
Speaker 2: interesting weekend for sure. I'll tell you this, I cannot

1098
00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:33,000
Speaker 2: imagine backing the Bear like Bears Raiders is like a

1099
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:35,960
Speaker 2: fun game, Like I think the Bears probably wouldn't that, Like,

1100
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,759
Speaker 2: why is Brian Hoyer favored by three on the road, Well,

1101
00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:42,040
Speaker 2: he's facing someone named Tyson Badgent whoever, whoever the heck

1102
00:52:42,080 --> 00:52:46,239
Speaker 2: that is. I can't imagine taking that game. And then

1103
00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:48,120
Speaker 2: and then we want to we look hard at Atlanta.

1104
00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:51,120
Speaker 2: Teddy Covers had some interesting comments on Atlanta, and I

1105
00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 2: kind of want to take them. But Ritter Away from

1106
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 2: Home has been just extremely putrid. So every game has

1107
00:52:57,600 --> 00:52:59,680
Speaker 2: some wartz except for the ones I like. And I'll

1108
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:01,239
Speaker 2: tell you the last one that I'm probably gonna end

1109
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:03,479
Speaker 2: up on in the contest that nobody's gonna like Big

1110
00:53:03,520 --> 00:53:08,680
Speaker 2: favorite San Francisco Monday Night Football. It sounds like McCaffrey's Okay,

1111
00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:11,600
Speaker 2: I just I cannot imagine them playing him. I heard

1112
00:53:11,600 --> 00:53:15,040
Speaker 2: something fascinating from Albert Breer this week about how the

1113
00:53:15,160 --> 00:53:18,120
Speaker 2: turf at Minnesota is like one of three turf fields left,

1114
00:53:18,160 --> 00:53:20,799
Speaker 2: and we know turf injuries are way higher than they

1115
00:53:20,800 --> 00:53:24,520
Speaker 2: are with grass injuries. Is there a chance the Niners, say,

1116
00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:27,040
Speaker 2: debo Ce mac, let's power down. We'll get out of

1117
00:53:27,080 --> 00:53:28,719
Speaker 2: here with the win. We should be able to handle

1118
00:53:28,800 --> 00:53:31,920
Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins and company. Let's not risk anything. And then

1119
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:35,200
Speaker 2: it's like, ooh, can they get margin without their superstars?

1120
00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:38,280
Speaker 2: We'll see. I just like Shanahan off, a loss feels automatic,

1121
00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:41,600
Speaker 2: so I'll probably almost certainly take the Niners. All right, everybody,

1122
00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:44,680
Speaker 2: have a great weekend. We'll be back on Monday. Should

1123
00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:47,319
Speaker 2: be a monster week. NBA tips off next week. Talk

1124
00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:47,680
Speaker 2: to you then,