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See Sportsbook dot DraftKings dot com, 26 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 2: slash Football terms for eligibility and deposit restrictions, terms and 27 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 2: responsible gaming resources. 28 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: This week on Prime Cuts, Baby, Chad Millman, Sharper Square, 29 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:09,359 Speaker 1: John Middlikoff on Bill Belichick's potential breakup with Mac Jones 30 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 1: and the Patriots, and my top takes of the week. 31 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 1: The game of the weekend is the Dallas Cowboys going 32 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 1: on the road to the San Francisco forty nine Ers. 33 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 1: San Francisco has got a better roster, Dallas has a 34 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: better offensive line, although I don't think it's as dominant 35 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 1: as it's been in recent years. I think Dallas, you know, 36 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: I think Dak. The assumption and the feeling is it's 37 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 1: been in a lot of big games, so he'll be 38 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: better than Brock pretty here. But there's a lot of 39 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 1: a lot of areas I really like San Francisco. I 40 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:43,080 Speaker 1: think they have far better weapons. Brandon Ayuk's become a one, Deebo, 41 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: Samuel Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Brock pretty moves pretty well, 42 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 1: certainly better than Garoppolo. So I have a coach advantage, 43 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: I have a weapons advantage, and the real difference in 44 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 1: the game to me is San Francisco is a tremendous 45 00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: red zone team and Dallas isn't. And one of the 46 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 1: reasons Dallas isn't Tony Palter's a good back, He's not 47 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: a star. You can shade over roll your coverage over 48 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: a CD Lamb. They're not getting Dalton Schultz production at 49 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: tight end because he's now part of the Houston Texans. 50 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 1: So I just don't think Dallas has that much offensive talent. 51 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:18,239 Speaker 1: They paid for Stefan Gilmour, Micah Parsons. I think a 52 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: lot of their better players are on the defensive side. 53 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb. I think is really really exposed, explosive. But 54 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: I mean, I think we've seen this before, is that 55 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: when you get into the red zone, you know teams 56 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: in the red zone that are very good. Buffalo why 57 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: Josh Allen Baltimore. Why Lamar Jackson. You usually need in 58 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 1: a cluttered space, a dominating back, a dominating physical presence. 59 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: Nobody can defend Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen. Dak is 60 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 1: not as mobile as he used to be because of 61 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: you know, lower extremity injuries. They have now one great 62 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: receiver and that's it. Not a ton of tight end production. 63 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: Backs are okay, not special, and the line and his 64 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 1: injury riddled though it on PFF is ranking better than 65 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 1: you'd think. Look at what Kyle Shanahan has to work 66 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: with the best running back arguably in the league, Christian McCaffrey, 67 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: who's also the best receiving running back in the league. 68 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 1: A top two to three tight end in George Kittle. 69 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:17,479 Speaker 1: Brandon Ayuk is now a one. He is a bona 70 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: fide one. Deebo Samuel is the ultimate Swiss army knife 71 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 1: in the NFL. And Shanahan does a better job at 72 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: disguising his run plays than anybody I've ever seen, all 73 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 1: the coaches, So I think the game is going to 74 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 1: come down to red zone efficiency, and I just think 75 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 1: San Francisco's got more weapons, a better offensive coach, and 76 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:39,480 Speaker 1: I think, you know, the thing about Mike McCarthy. As 77 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: you know Mike McCarthy, we talk about players that get underdrafted. 78 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 1: Dak was underdrafted. He was better than a fourth round pick. 79 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: Brock Purty is a seventh round pick, was underdrafted. I 80 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: think Mike McCarthy has a weakness. I don't think he's 81 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:57,080 Speaker 1: a great situational coach and red zone offensive situational. But 82 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 1: I don't think Mike McCarthy's a bad coach. I just 83 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:01,920 Speaker 1: don't trust him in key spots. By the way, when 84 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: Andy Reid was in Philadelphia, that was the knock on 85 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 1: Andy Reid. He wasn't great with a clock, he wasn't 86 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 1: great in certain situations in the red zone. Well, he 87 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 1: had Donovan McNabb. Now he's got Patrick Mahomes and Travis 88 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:16,799 Speaker 1: Kelcey and the checko and you know he's got better players. 89 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:19,600 Speaker 1: I mean, last year in the Super Bowl, how good 90 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 1: was Philadelphia on those zigzag motion plays? So they're just 91 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 1: I mean, a reality of the red zone is who's 92 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 1: your quarterback, who's your tight end, how many weapons do 93 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: you have? And are you a great situational coach. Sean 94 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: Paton has usually been very good in the red zone. 95 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:40,920 Speaker 1: Good situational coach Kyle Shanahan Sean McVeigh doesn't mean they're 96 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 1: perfect coaches. So I think the hole in Mike McCarthy's 97 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 1: game is situational football. That's red zone football. Now you 98 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:51,360 Speaker 1: could get away with it. Aaron Rodgers in your prime, 99 00:05:51,760 --> 00:05:54,039 Speaker 1: probably get away with it more when you had Zeke 100 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: the best O line in football, and Dak in his prime. 101 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 1: But I don't think this is one of those situations. 102 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 1: They've been in the red on nineteen times this year, 103 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 1: the Cowboys only seven touchdowns. I think that's what they're 104 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: going to be. I think against good defenses to very good. 105 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 1: I think San Francisco's very good. They're not great yet 106 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: in their Steve Wilkes took over for Demico Ryans. I 107 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:17,719 Speaker 1: don't think the Niners are a great defense, situational defense. 108 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 1: I just think they have great talent and great units. 109 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:22,840 Speaker 1: But I think Mike McCarthy's not a bad coach, but 110 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: I just don't love him in matchups like this. I 111 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:29,160 Speaker 1: think he's going to get out coached. And as you know, 112 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 1: I tend to be more of an offensive coach sportscaster 113 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:35,239 Speaker 1: than a defensive coach. These guys are both offensive coaches. 114 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: This situation, this game is going to come down to 115 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:42,360 Speaker 1: a series of plays around the goal line. And that's 116 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:45,080 Speaker 1: why I like San Francisco. I think the number is right. 117 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 1: I think three and a half is the right number. 118 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 1: I think it's twenty four to twenty one, twenty four 119 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 1: to twenty San Francisco. But I can't wait to watch it. 120 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 1: Here's Chad Melman Sharper Square. Listen. We've all had fender 121 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 1: benders in our life. Sometimes it's even more serious. People 122 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 1: between the eight of twenty five and thirty four, in fact, 123 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:07,720 Speaker 1: have the highest amount of drivers involved in car crashes. 124 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 1: Be careful, but even if it's somebody else's mistake, you 125 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 1: can lean on Morgan and Morgan. 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If you're ever injured, check out 135 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan. Their fee is free unless they win. 136 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 1: For more information, go forthpeople dot com slash Colin or 137 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 1: dial pound law that's pound five to nine from your 138 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 1: cell phone. That's or the people dot com slash Colin 139 00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: or pound law five to two nine from your cell 140 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: This is a paid advertisement. Time for another addition, A 141 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:13,800 Speaker 1: happy edition of Sharper Square Chad Milman CEO Action Network 142 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:17,560 Speaker 1: All odds provided by DraftKings. So not only did I 143 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 1: go four and one two other games I would have 144 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: bet won. So it was that rare week outside of 145 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: the Patriots Cowboys play Chad, where I was on the 146 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: right side of almost every game. I've hit seven out 147 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 1: of my last ten picks out of a dreadful let's 148 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 1: just say this, I hit it in the weeds week one. 149 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: It happens. 150 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 3: Okay, whatever, Listen, you know what you did. You put 151 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 3: on your big boy pants and you rally. And that's 152 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 3: what professionals do. You don't dwell, that's you don't dwell 153 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 3: on the weeds. You don't dwell on the bad times, 154 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 3: you look for the opportunities. What I will tell you, 155 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 3: I don't want to make you feel bad about this. 156 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 3: I went five and o last week, and the two 157 00:08:58,679 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 3: games that I didn't choose would have been winners as well. 158 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 3: And so we need to continue to work on listening 159 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:10,680 Speaker 3: to Chad to get you over that hump. I feel 160 00:09:10,679 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 3: like the last few weeks I was more aggressive telling 161 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 3: you to listen. 162 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:16,440 Speaker 1: Well, you also talked me out of the Rams game, 163 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: which I didn't love. But I don't hold grudges. Snow, 164 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 1: big deal, did I? 165 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:21,959 Speaker 3: I don't even remember what I don't remember what happened 166 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 3: in that game. 167 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: You know what, You're just like my wife, you forget 168 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 1: all this. I'll remind her of stuff. She's like, I 169 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: don't remember it, and I'm like, that's kind of a shaky. 170 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 4: Yeah. 171 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,439 Speaker 3: I don't know, Colin, I don't know what you're talking about. 172 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 3: All I know is what I know. 173 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:41,320 Speaker 1: So I don't I feel last week I had some 174 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 1: games I really really felt strongly about. This week, I 175 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 1: have leans. I don't think the numbers are as good, 176 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:47,840 Speaker 1: but I have leans. I'll give you a lean. I 177 00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 1: like Bingals. I saw it two and a half Let's 178 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 1: say it's minus three on the road at Arizona, so 179 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 1: the word is out. Arizona's pretty sneaky good. Nobody now 180 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 1: is going to Arizona thinking they're getting a w Okay, 181 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,239 Speaker 1: they beat the crap out of the Cowboys, so everybody 182 00:10:03,280 --> 00:10:09,319 Speaker 1: knows this is a work trip. Bengals lose ugly, embarrassing, 183 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 1: huge urgency, and now Burrow appears to be as healthy 184 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:17,559 Speaker 1: as he's been very rarely are you going to get 185 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 1: a Joe Burrow against a backup? And all I got 186 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:23,319 Speaker 1: to give up two and a half to three points. 187 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,520 Speaker 1: Arizona is sneaky good, but now everybody knows it. You 188 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:28,719 Speaker 1: don't have a locker room here. It's like it's Arizona. 189 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 1: They got to win this football game. Like Baltimore's winning. 190 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:35,439 Speaker 1: They have to win this football game. Cleveland's good. Cincinnati 191 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:38,440 Speaker 1: minus three on the road, I think it's a sharp 192 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:40,599 Speaker 1: sharper square it. 193 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 3: No, it's not. If it's a two and a half, 194 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:47,120 Speaker 3: I think you're gonna get some support. But the reason 195 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 3: it's gotten to two and a half, Colin is because 196 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 3: the wise guys keep coming in on Arizona. Right. So 197 00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:56,839 Speaker 3: this game opened on Sunday night, at Arizona plus six 198 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 3: within the first hour from seven thirty to eight thirty 199 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:03,960 Speaker 3: on Sunday night Eastern Time, it moved from six to 200 00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 3: five and a half to five. By the next day 201 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 3: it was at four and a half, and then by 202 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:09,960 Speaker 3: the middle of the week it was at three. Right, 203 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 3: So now all of a sudden, it's Thursday and you're 204 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 3: starting to see two and a half. That telling what's 205 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 3: that telling you is that the wise guys are continuing 206 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 3: to bet on Arizona. And there's a couple of reasons 207 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:22,840 Speaker 3: why Number one Arizona is just a better team than 208 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:25,240 Speaker 3: people expected. And I think you're seeing this with both 209 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:30,200 Speaker 3: Arizona and the Colts, and with Philadelphia in that the 210 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 3: Eagles they're still great because they have incredible players and 211 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 3: Nick Siriani is a really good coach, but they're struggling 212 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 3: with new coordinators because the coordinators they have are were 213 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:41,440 Speaker 3: so good last year, and now those guys are running 214 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 3: the Colts and the Cardinals, and those teams are both overperforming. 215 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,439 Speaker 3: Cardinals sixteenth in DVOA, which you don't have to look 216 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 3: it up. It's just a fancy way of taking every 217 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:54,079 Speaker 3: metric that exists in football competitively and putting it in 218 00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:57,040 Speaker 3: a one, and it basically says the Cardinals at sixteen 219 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 3: the Bengals at twenty six. I feel like after four 220 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 3: games you might say Joe Burrow is healthy, Joe Burrow 221 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 3: can't throw the ball downfield right now, and I think 222 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 3: you have enough of a sample size to say, Okay, 223 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 3: this isn't just a quirk that needs a tweak. This 224 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 3: is an issue that they need to get over. And 225 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 3: I don't think it gets solved in a week between games. 226 00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:20,079 Speaker 3: They need a buy week to sort of get everybody 227 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 3: healthy and on the same page again, all right. 228 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: I like the Steelers plus four and a half at 229 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 1: home against the Ravens. Ravens are a little overvalued because 230 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: they beat a backup quarterback, a backup quarterback who's not 231 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:33,480 Speaker 1: very good, wasn't great even in college, but had a 232 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: nice preseason where nobody plays, no starters play anymore. The 233 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 1: Steelers were humiliated. Go look at Tomlin after humiliation or 234 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: ugly wins. Go look at good foundational programs after ugly wins. 235 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:45,959 Speaker 1: Four and a half is outrageous. It should be a 236 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:49,199 Speaker 1: field goal at max game, maybe less. Sharper square Steelers 237 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 1: plus four and a half at home. 238 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:52,559 Speaker 3: Sharp as a knife. My friend and I had to 239 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 3: put on my glasses because I have so many stats 240 00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 3: to tell you about why this is a sharp play. 241 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 3: It is frightening just about Tomlin right fifty five thirty 242 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 3: one and four against the spread as an underdog, the 243 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:08,800 Speaker 3: most profitable coach as an underdog the past twenty years 244 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:13,079 Speaker 3: as a home dog seventeen five and three, a dog 245 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 3: in the AFC North twenty two, eight and two. Now, 246 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:19,560 Speaker 3: let's talk about this series, right, the underdog in this 247 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,840 Speaker 3: series when the line is three and more since three 248 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 3: and more since two thousand and five when Tomlin became 249 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:28,320 Speaker 3: head coach, the underdog is twenty one to three and three. 250 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:34,959 Speaker 3: The underdog has covered eleven straight in this rivalry. The 251 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 3: underdog is fifteen one and one against the spread in 252 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 3: this rivalry since twenty fifteen. So I'm telling you right now, 253 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 3: the Steelers are the right side here. It's a little 254 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 3: bit scarier. And also there's a whole boatloaded data that 255 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 3: will tell you Lamar Jackson as an underdog is just 256 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:58,000 Speaker 3: significantly better than he as a favorite. We've seen in 257 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 3: the past two weeks, right, like what they did against 258 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 3: the Colts and then what they did last week. He 259 00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 3: was an underdog. Last week, he was a favorite the 260 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:07,240 Speaker 3: week before. They played different, they act different. He is 261 00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:10,319 Speaker 3: a favorite this week on the road. The Wise guys 262 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:11,839 Speaker 3: like it. They liked it. It four and a half. They 263 00:14:11,920 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 3: liked it four, got that down to three, then it 264 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:17,079 Speaker 3: went back up because the public came in on Baltimore. 265 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:18,559 Speaker 3: Wise guys like this play. 266 00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 1: I like Jets plus two and a half at Denver. 267 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 1: And here's why Chicago's defense is not great. I do 268 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 1: think Russell Wilson and Sean Payton have become They've kind 269 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,520 Speaker 1: of solved. They are what they are. There's not a 270 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 1: lot of juice to it, but the numbers tell you 271 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 1: he's back to being a B quarterback. He didn't have 272 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:41,760 Speaker 1: the juice that made him an AA minus quarterback, but 273 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 1: he's moving the chains. This defense is awful. I mean, 274 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 1: Chicago marched. Chicago can't move the ball against anybody marched. 275 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 1: So the Jets. I don't think Kansas City was an outlier. 276 00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:56,880 Speaker 1: I think they're really really good defensively, and I think 277 00:14:56,960 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 1: Robert sala is such a passionate person that he can 278 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:03,680 Speaker 1: that game is an easy game to sell. Sean Payton 279 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: told me something once and I've never forgotten this. The 280 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: best You know, the best weeks are when you it's 281 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 1: easier to coach players when they lose, they listen. The 282 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 1: perfect week is when they play like crap and win. 283 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:22,040 Speaker 1: So the Jets didn't, but they played really well and lost, 284 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 1: and in that locker room it means something. I think 285 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: Denver is going to struggle offensively, and I think the 286 00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 1: run game and you can run against Denver is something here, 287 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 1: Like I think Kansas City's defense this is the best 288 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 1: Mahomes ever had. They moved the ball. They moved the ball. 289 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:41,200 Speaker 1: The difference in that game was a seven and a 290 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 1: half minute drive that Kansas City took the ball away. 291 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 1: It was the defense that let the Jets down. I 292 00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 1: cannot give Denver points against arguably a top five or 293 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 1: six defense. I'm taking the I know it's crazy, Zach Wilson, 294 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 1: I'm going to take the Jets plus two and a 295 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 1: half Sharper square. 296 00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 3: So it's a little bit square. Look, I don't think 297 00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 3: it's crazy. I took the Jets and Zach Wilson as 298 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 3: ten point underdogs last week against Kansas City. Right like, 299 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 3: there are times where you're going to take a really 300 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 3: big favorite. I think with this number, and what you've 301 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 3: seen is the wise guys, the money is coming in 302 00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 3: on Denver this line. The public bet this line down 303 00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 3: from Denver minus two to Denver minus one and a half, 304 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,280 Speaker 3: and when it got to one and a half today Colin, 305 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 3: it got bet back up immediately, and the money on 306 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 3: Denver was so strong it went all the way from 307 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 3: one and a half to two to two and a half. 308 00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 3: I think everybody agews with you as wise guys. They're thinking, 309 00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 3: all right, Russell Wilson isn't the problem on this team 310 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 3: right now. The problem on this team is the defense, 311 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 3: and so they're making a bet that this defense can 312 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 3: perform a little bit better against Zach Wilson, who so 313 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 3: overperformed last week that you're never going to get higher 314 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 3: value on Zach Wilson and the Jets than you are 315 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 3: right now. So they're betting against the value of Zach Wilson. 316 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:06,560 Speaker 1: An interesting game. I would have taken the Patriots. The 317 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:08,640 Speaker 1: number wouldn't have been the same. I would have taken 318 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:13,240 Speaker 1: the Patriots minus one and a half had the Saints lost, 319 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:17,440 Speaker 1: but had the Saints won, but the Saints looked awful 320 00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 1: and it's like, Okay, the Saints have better personnel, some 321 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 1: really interesting offensive skilled people, the better quarterback in this game, 322 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 1: and they're getting points. Listen, when New England goes back 323 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 1: and acquires J. C. Jackson, they couldn't get him out 324 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:33,720 Speaker 1: of town fast enough. This is a desperate team. The 325 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 1: number one pass rushers gone, their number one corners gone. 326 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:42,639 Speaker 1: New Orleans again. Had they won, I could see if 327 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 1: there's a division game New Orleans. I don't know if 328 00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 1: they'll play that bad the rest of the season. I 329 00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 1: think they'll be engaged. They have a coaching deficit, but 330 00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:55,040 Speaker 1: almost a credit across the board on everything. I'm going 331 00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:57,160 Speaker 1: to take the Saints plus one and a half sharper. 332 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,920 Speaker 3: Square, totally sharp. In fact, this sharp's had been coming 333 00:17:59,920 --> 00:18:02,080 Speaker 3: in this game so much. The lines moving in the 334 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,160 Speaker 3: Saints direction, they're going to be favors if they aren't 335 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:07,400 Speaker 3: already in a lot of different places. And a lot 336 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:10,439 Speaker 3: of what you said is why it's a lot of 337 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 3: guys would have bet on the Patriots if Matthew Judon 338 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:17,919 Speaker 3: and Christian Gonzales, the defensive lineman and the cornerback for 339 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:21,400 Speaker 3: the Patriots, were not out. Because they feel like Bill 340 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 3: Belichick is such a good defensive play caller and schemer 341 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 3: that he would figure out how to do something with 342 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:34,400 Speaker 3: a hampered New Orleans Saints team in a heavyweight outsized 343 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 3: coaching mismatch, right, Like Dennis Allen cannot coach on the 344 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 3: same field as Bill Belichick. Right, So that was why 345 00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 3: they were leaning to the Patriots. But with these guys 346 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:47,600 Speaker 3: out and the fact that mac Jones is just terrible, 347 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:51,119 Speaker 3: like he has not looked good in any capacity, in 348 00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 3: any situation, and I think the wise guys early in 349 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 3: the year were giving him a little bit of the 350 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:58,600 Speaker 3: benefit of the doubt. I was, I was, everybody was right, 351 00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 3: like he was playing in a monsoon, he was playing 352 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 3: against great defenses. But look, he just can't make the plays. 353 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 3: And you're seeing that week after week after week now. 354 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 3: And so I think the wise guys the bloom is 355 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 3: off the rows a little bit for sort of thinking 356 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 3: that Bill O'Brien was going to be able to do 357 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 3: something with mac Jones. And so they've come in on 358 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 3: the Saints pretty heavy. 359 00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:21,920 Speaker 1: You know, I like underdogs. I'm gonna throw a couple 360 00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 1: favorites at you. I like Philly minus four against the Rams. 361 00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 1: I don't know, how they block them. I also think 362 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:33,359 Speaker 1: Matt Stafford's beat up. I think the Cooper Cup news 363 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 1: is overvalued because the truth is he's coming to practice. 364 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:42,120 Speaker 1: There's no timing at all. The Rams are right now 365 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 1: a better story than a team mcveys having a wonderful 366 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:49,360 Speaker 1: year coaching. They gave the Cincinnati game away, but there 367 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:52,479 Speaker 1: were signs in Philadelphia. Greg Cosell talked about it on 368 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:54,920 Speaker 1: my show this week. You can see stuff clicking. They 369 00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 1: lost Shane Steichen. There were times when I watched that 370 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:02,240 Speaker 1: game and thought, Okay, they look like Philadelphia. This is 371 00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:06,560 Speaker 1: a better team, significantly better O and D line play. 372 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 1: It's going to be a home game for Philadelphia. Sixty 373 00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:12,920 Speaker 1: five to thirty five crowd four is one of those numbers. 374 00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:16,359 Speaker 1: When I see it, I'm a sucker for the four. 375 00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:21,399 Speaker 1: That's when I take favorites. Philly is a significantly not 376 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:26,479 Speaker 1: only better Chad a veteran older roster. They got a 377 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:28,720 Speaker 1: lot of dudes, there's a lot of Hall of famers. 378 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:33,399 Speaker 1: Rams defense is Aaron Donald and children. I think Jalen 379 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:35,680 Speaker 1: Hurtz is a tough assignment. I'm going to take Philly 380 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 1: minus four Sharper square. 381 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 3: It's pretty sharp and it's getting it's sharp at four. 382 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,240 Speaker 3: The wise guys were on the Rams at five and 383 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,119 Speaker 3: a half. They were on the Rams at five, on 384 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,200 Speaker 3: the Rams at four and a half. At four. You're 385 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 3: starting to see money coming in on Philadelphia and your 386 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:53,119 Speaker 3: analysis is spot on. I have this conversation with my 387 00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:57,160 Speaker 3: bff Simon Hunter today and we're talking about this game 388 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,480 Speaker 3: and why people like betting the Rams at four and 389 00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,880 Speaker 3: a half. Right, they're undefeated against the spread. Matthew Stafford 390 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 3: has been playing incredibly well, even without Cooper Cup. You've 391 00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:12,879 Speaker 3: found some talent in Nikua and Kyen Williams. The defense 392 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:16,520 Speaker 3: has been good, Aaron Donald's been rejuvenated right, and McVeigh 393 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:18,920 Speaker 3: has been coaching a great game. I've been coaching great 394 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,199 Speaker 3: all season except for that one game against the Bengals. 395 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 3: My retort to that was the Eagles to me, feel 396 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:35,359 Speaker 3: like the mid two thousands Patriots, where they're so talented 397 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 3: at every level. They can be undefeated while working stuff out, 398 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:44,200 Speaker 3: and they are so confident and not over confident in 399 00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:46,840 Speaker 3: a brash away, but confident in their ability to win 400 00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:50,640 Speaker 3: the games they need to win. That Covering the four, 401 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,680 Speaker 3: to me, feels like you're getting value on the Eagles 402 00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:56,359 Speaker 3: at this number because of how good they are, and 403 00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,240 Speaker 3: I agree with you, like what we've started to see 404 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 3: from them. Jalen Hurst has become I'm a little more 405 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,840 Speaker 3: comfortable with the new offensive coroinary they coordinated, They've opened 406 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,119 Speaker 3: the offense up a little bit more. I think the 407 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,840 Speaker 3: one thing that wise guys are worried about right now 408 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,680 Speaker 3: is the fact that the Eagle secondary is pretty banged 409 00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 3: up and Matthew Stafford has been a bit the heater. 410 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 3: So I think that's why the number moved at four. 411 00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:20,200 Speaker 3: You're going to see that point of resistance where wise 412 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 3: guys will probably be on your side. 413 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:26,720 Speaker 1: All right, Packers Raiders. I don't love favorites, but it's 414 00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:28,920 Speaker 1: a small number. Minus one and a half, green Bay 415 00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:32,920 Speaker 1: extra time to prepare. Raiders got beat up against the Chargers. 416 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:37,680 Speaker 1: Their offensive line was literally completely overwhelmed. It's banged up. 417 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,359 Speaker 1: I think they're going to play a backup. If not, 418 00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 1: Garoppolo will have not practiced more than a single day. 419 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:48,120 Speaker 1: I actually think Detroit is one of the most underwritted 420 00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:50,960 Speaker 1: teams in the league. So when you get dominated by Detroit, 421 00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:54,119 Speaker 1: my takeaway is Aaron Rodgers last year was dominated by Detroit. 422 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,400 Speaker 1: That is really really good. So I don't think Green 423 00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 1: Bay's as bad as we think. Extra time very good, coach. 424 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,040 Speaker 1: I think I'd take the Packers minus one and a half. 425 00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 1: I think the Raiders off that Charger emotional. That's a 426 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:09,479 Speaker 1: big rivalry game that nobody appreciates out East. The Chargers 427 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:13,120 Speaker 1: and Raiders have been in wild games in the last 428 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:17,639 Speaker 1: several years. They're wildly emotional the crowd. I'm going to 429 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:19,000 Speaker 1: take Green Bay minus one and a half. 430 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 3: Sharper square last several years, Colin, last several decades, they've 431 00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 3: been in these wild, crazy games. 432 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:29,159 Speaker 1: You and I are the best rivalry in the NFL 433 00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:30,359 Speaker 1: that nobody talks about. 434 00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:33,119 Speaker 3: Dude, you and I are old enough to remember, like 435 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 3: dick Enberg in the late afternoon game on Sundays from 436 00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:42,080 Speaker 3: Oakland Alamedia Colisseum or Jack Murphy Stadium, where these two 437 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,200 Speaker 3: teams were lighting it up and trying to kill each 438 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:47,480 Speaker 3: other during the eighties, Like it's a great, great rivalry. 439 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:50,280 Speaker 3: You're kind of wrong on this. The wise guys have 440 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 3: been all over the Raiders so much so that the 441 00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 3: line is actually moving far in their direction. They'll be 442 00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:58,280 Speaker 3: favorites by the time this game kicks off if they 443 00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:02,400 Speaker 3: aren't already depending on where you're looking right. So last 444 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:06,080 Speaker 3: week they played the Chargers. They actually outplayed the Chargers 445 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,679 Speaker 3: in the game, like they gave the Chargers multiple short fields, 446 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 3: Aidan O'Connell. I thought he looked really good. Unfortunately, he 447 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:15,600 Speaker 3: played like a rookie right. He held the ball too long, 448 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 3: didn't get rid of it downfield, had many fumbles, made 449 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,640 Speaker 3: that really bad interception when they were about to tie 450 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 3: it on the Chargers three yard line, and he made 451 00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:26,919 Speaker 3: a bad play. He just had. It was a miscommunication 452 00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 3: between him and his receiver. The receiver didn't go all 453 00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,840 Speaker 3: the way out and he threw it to the corner 454 00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:36,760 Speaker 3: of the goal line and the guy the Chargers intercepted 455 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,560 Speaker 3: it and he sat down right, And so they had 456 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,400 Speaker 3: every chance to win that game, even with all the mistakes. 457 00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,560 Speaker 3: So they were in that game, and look the Packers. 458 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:47,840 Speaker 3: There's been a lot of love for Jordan love and 459 00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,120 Speaker 3: appropriately so because they played well early in the year. 460 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 3: But I think the last two weeks he's been a 461 00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 3: little bit exposed and wise guys are pulling back a 462 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,160 Speaker 3: little bit. Like if you're talking about quarterbacks that were 463 00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,600 Speaker 3: starting for the first time, I'm people are much more 464 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 3: excited about c. J. Strout, They're much more excited about 465 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,960 Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson. They are less and less excited about Jordan Love, 466 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,280 Speaker 3: whose completion percentage is not very good. He's made some 467 00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,919 Speaker 3: good throws and he's shown the willingness to make throws, 468 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,440 Speaker 3: but he hasn't been accurate. So going on the road 469 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,440 Speaker 3: as a favorite is not a place where the wise 470 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:20,480 Speaker 3: guys are going to put their money. 471 00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go back, so I don't I don't love favorites. 472 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:27,920 Speaker 1: We always play a game. There's a game I ask 473 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:30,399 Speaker 1: you that you can talk me into, which you usually do. 474 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:32,639 Speaker 1: Last week it was Titans Bengals. You talked me into it. 475 00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:34,880 Speaker 1: I put it on Friday morning into the Blazing five, 476 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:37,199 Speaker 1: the latest I've ever put a game into the Blazing 477 00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 1: five an hour before Blazing five. And it was a 478 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:43,920 Speaker 1: big winner. So let's pivot to that. The game I'm 479 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 1: going to ask you about Jacksonville Buffalo. So I don't 480 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:54,680 Speaker 1: like favorites. I'm worried that Buffalo beating a rival badly 481 00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:59,320 Speaker 1: comes a little bit back down to Earth. Jaguars are 482 00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 1: very comfort in London, they've played there. This will be 483 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:06,240 Speaker 1: the eleventh of the twelfth time. Maybe the eleventh favorites 484 00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:08,920 Speaker 1: usually win this game. In fact, I think they're twenty 485 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:12,719 Speaker 1: two to nine. Yep, Jacksonville can keep it close. I 486 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:16,199 Speaker 1: did think against Atlanta from the very early stages of 487 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,520 Speaker 1: the game, they had a plan, they executed it. That 488 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,760 Speaker 1: was a big game for Atlanta. I think I would 489 00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:28,160 Speaker 1: take the points with Jacksonville off of Buffalo dominating home win. 490 00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:31,439 Speaker 1: This is the game I'm going to ask you about. 491 00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:34,320 Speaker 1: Did I where would you lean? Talk me into it. 492 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:40,440 Speaker 3: I would lean Jacks because of some of the things 493 00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:44,040 Speaker 3: you said. I will tell you in all the conversations 494 00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 3: that we've had this week and every analyst I've spoken to, 495 00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:53,800 Speaker 3: everything I've read, nobody's really interested in this game. Okay, 496 00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 3: it feels like, yeah, you should take the Jags, but 497 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:01,440 Speaker 3: Buffalo is also playing at such an elite level, and 498 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:05,760 Speaker 3: the Jags really haven't played at an elite level that 499 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 3: game against the Falcons. If you played that game one 500 00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:12,880 Speaker 3: hundred other times, you would need everything to go exactly 501 00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:16,600 Speaker 3: the way it went for the Jaguars to win that game. 502 00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 3: The Falcons actually played really well, and we've talked about 503 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 3: this on the show. Before we do this thing called 504 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:25,359 Speaker 3: the luck rankings. This was the number one game in 505 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:29,080 Speaker 3: terms of discrepancy between good luck and bad luck in 506 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,399 Speaker 3: Week four, meaning the Falcons easily could have won that 507 00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:37,000 Speaker 3: game if not for a couple of really bad circumstances 508 00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,720 Speaker 3: that always regress. Right, So the Jags have not been 509 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,159 Speaker 3: a very good team this year, so a lot of 510 00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,359 Speaker 3: wise guys are sort of taking a pass on this one. 511 00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,600 Speaker 3: London also makes it a little bit of a different circumstance. 512 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:50,760 Speaker 3: You're kind of playing a funky number. You're not getting 513 00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:52,359 Speaker 3: a seven that you might get if the Bills are 514 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,040 Speaker 3: playing at home. You're not getting like a plus four 515 00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:57,919 Speaker 3: if you had the Jags at home. So it's kind 516 00:27:57,960 --> 00:27:59,919 Speaker 3: of a no man's land. Then no one's really interested, 517 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:00,600 Speaker 3: to be honest. 518 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 1: All right, Now we do the part of the game 519 00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:08,040 Speaker 1: where it's usually an ugly game, you know, aesthetically, I 520 00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:10,840 Speaker 1: like beauty. I'm surrounded by it. I just love it. 521 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,520 Speaker 1: So talk me in. What did I miss? I'm gonna 522 00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,000 Speaker 1: guess this can I guess? 523 00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:16,639 Speaker 3: Sure? 524 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 1: Of course everybody's trying to talk me into Atlanta this week. 525 00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:23,639 Speaker 1: I've lost more money. I lost as much money on 526 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:27,479 Speaker 1: the Falcons the last decade as Tom Brady lost on 527 00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:37,800 Speaker 1: Bitcoin and NFT. The Falcons are my They're my whole. 528 00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:41,400 Speaker 1: They're my whole. I have lost, so I just avoid 529 00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:46,160 Speaker 1: the Falcons. Everybody loves them. This week? Is that your game? Yes? 530 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 2: God, I knew it. 531 00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:51,960 Speaker 3: Totally my game. The Falcons are my jam man. I 532 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:53,920 Speaker 3: don't want to bet on them either. There have been 533 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:55,880 Speaker 3: times this year where I've bet on them and then 534 00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 3: I'd wake up Monday morning, I'm like, why did I 535 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:02,040 Speaker 3: bet on the Falcons? What? What? What compelled me to 536 00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 3: pursue that choice in life. But Arthur Smith, I think, 537 00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 3: is a great coach, and I think what happens with 538 00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,959 Speaker 3: the wise guys. They love his run scheme. It is 539 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:15,560 Speaker 3: so interesting. And the truth is, I do this thing 540 00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:17,640 Speaker 3: every week where we do a film room right, and 541 00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,200 Speaker 3: I'll break down a play with Simon Hunter that we 542 00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 3: think is going to influence our bet And it just 543 00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,400 Speaker 3: so happens that this week the play that I chose 544 00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:30,239 Speaker 3: was a running play. Two different running plays that the 545 00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:35,240 Speaker 3: Falcons use running to the right because their right side 546 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 3: of the offensive line is as dominant as any right 547 00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:42,440 Speaker 3: side in the NFL. They have the fourth highest success 548 00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:46,680 Speaker 3: rate running to the right. Their center Drew Dollman is 549 00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,160 Speaker 3: grading out as one of the best centers in the league. 550 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,640 Speaker 3: Their right guard, Chris Lynstrom is grading out as the 551 00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:54,640 Speaker 3: best guard in the league. They are Kayleb McGarry, their 552 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,840 Speaker 3: right tackle grading out is one of the best run 553 00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 3: blockers in the league. And you could see it, not again, 554 00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:01,520 Speaker 3: not last week where they were playing from behind over 555 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:04,560 Speaker 3: almost from the beginning, but against the Packers the week before, 556 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:09,239 Speaker 3: they were just road grading people, running Bijon outside and 557 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 3: running Tyler Algier's inside. And as much as we love 558 00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:15,760 Speaker 3: what CJ. Stroud has been doing and he will, you 559 00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:17,240 Speaker 3: know he's on the path to being Rookie of the 560 00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:20,480 Speaker 3: Year Offensive Rookie of the Year, the Texans don't have 561 00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 3: anybody who can stop the Falcons run game. Theaters are 562 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 3: not built for that. So you give me the Falcons 563 00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:30,280 Speaker 3: as very short home favorites with that running game, and 564 00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 3: at Texans team that I think is overvalued right now 565 00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:36,000 Speaker 3: because of what they did last week and how competitive CJ. 566 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,120 Speaker 3: Stroud has been. I gotta do it. I got to 567 00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 3: pull the trigger. Calin I don't want to do it either. 568 00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:43,600 Speaker 3: I love beauty too, but I will tell you there 569 00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 3: is beauty in this run game. That is unlike a 570 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,120 Speaker 3: lot of things that we've seen in the NFL, because 571 00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:50,720 Speaker 3: we're a very pass happy bunch. 572 00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:56,640 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk Patriots Cowboys. So Zach Wilson can struggle, 573 00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:02,719 Speaker 1: Justin Fields can struggle, but I never doubt they have talent. 574 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:07,520 Speaker 1: They both move and controw. Today Mac Jones looked untalented, 575 00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 1: looked overwhelmed. So here's what we know to be true. 576 00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,600 Speaker 1: The Patriot coaches. I've been told this and it's been written, 577 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:19,360 Speaker 1: we're furious with him last year, like just didn't like 578 00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 1: him as a player, you know, McEnroe, Jones, Brady, the 579 00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:27,840 Speaker 1: cheap shots. It just looked bad for the culture. And 580 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:32,240 Speaker 1: so we know that's documented. Belichick was furious with him. 581 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 1: We also know he's had several of these moments. And 582 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 1: I've been told last year he was called out by 583 00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 1: one of his offensive linemen. He's had several of these moments. 584 00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:45,080 Speaker 1: You know, chippy hitting, guys kicking. That doesn't play well 585 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:47,560 Speaker 1: in pro sports because what players think is if you're 586 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,320 Speaker 1: doing that to them, they can do that to us. 587 00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 1: So that doesn't play in a locker room at all. 588 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:55,040 Speaker 1: This chippy stuff, the Grace and Allen stuff, doesn't play, 589 00:31:55,600 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 1: and then today completely listless, no energy, completely overwhelmed, with 590 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:09,080 Speaker 1: Trayvon Diggs out, Micah Parsons hurt. Briefly, I thought it 591 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,000 Speaker 1: was one of those I wrote this down. Is that 592 00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:15,120 Speaker 1: I think there's five. I think there's ten teams that 593 00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:18,560 Speaker 1: are going to draft quarterbacks. Some of them I think Atlanta, 594 00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:24,640 Speaker 1: you know, Vegas, Tampa very early, and then probably you 595 00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:28,560 Speaker 1: know Rams, Green Bay, Minnesota, maybe a little later. I 596 00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:31,960 Speaker 1: put down ten teams, and I put New England in 597 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,760 Speaker 1: the sooner than later. Like, he's not popular in the 598 00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:40,840 Speaker 1: locker room. He looks overwhelmed and untalented, the Braddy cheap 599 00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:44,480 Speaker 1: shot stuff. I don't know where his alliances are in 600 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:49,680 Speaker 1: the organization. I don't know justin fields. Those guys still 601 00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:53,520 Speaker 1: in that locker room, I think they like him. Zach Wilson. 602 00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:56,240 Speaker 1: You can see his teammates, his receivers come to him. 603 00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:01,800 Speaker 1: Watch Mac Jones on the sideline. Who's an ally in 604 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:02,720 Speaker 1: that locker room. 605 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,320 Speaker 4: My thought coming into training camp, once we knew all 606 00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:09,280 Speaker 4: the AFC rosters is that Max Jones was inevitably gonna 607 00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:12,120 Speaker 4: get in Bill Belichick's career. Now, I hate to say 608 00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:14,440 Speaker 4: get him fired because it sounds like, you know, Joe 609 00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,160 Speaker 4: Judge gets fired. You know if coaches like that get fired. 610 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,360 Speaker 4: I don't know how this ends mutual departation. It's over 611 00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,680 Speaker 4: like this. This team's terrible and it starts. Their quarterback 612 00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:26,920 Speaker 4: play is horrendous. Like you said, he's not talented enough. 613 00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:29,680 Speaker 4: I remember when Kyle Shanahan liked him, and I thought 614 00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 4: it is insane. No player of this talent has ever 615 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 4: been drafted this high. In my opinion, he's more even 616 00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 4: based going back to college. More third fourth round pick. 617 00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:42,400 Speaker 4: That's where guys of Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, those guys 618 00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,800 Speaker 4: go in the third fourth round. And unlike those guys, 619 00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 4: his floor he can't reach it right now because he's 620 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:54,640 Speaker 4: so mistake prone. His turnovers are outrageous. I mean they 621 00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 4: and they never ends. It's pick sixes. He could have 622 00:33:57,440 --> 00:34:00,080 Speaker 4: thrown multiple pick six at a as a fumble. He 623 00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:03,560 Speaker 4: just feels like most lopsided game and loss of Bill 624 00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:06,880 Speaker 4: Belichick's career. I mean the Cowboys they're not bad. I 625 00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 4: mean they're solid, twelve win team, thirty eight to three. 626 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:13,480 Speaker 4: I mean that was a full that was a bloodbath 627 00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:15,959 Speaker 4: in Belichick. There was the one when he was going 628 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:16,239 Speaker 4: like this. 629 00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:16,719 Speaker 2: On his head. 630 00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 4: What's his other pitch? It's not like, well I just 631 00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 4: throw a change up. Now what does he do? You 632 00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,120 Speaker 4: can't go to the bullpens. It's like Zappie's any good. 633 00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:26,600 Speaker 4: They're screwed. And listen, they missed the playoffs last year. 634 00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:30,280 Speaker 4: This team feels worse. Judon got hurt. Now it's starting 635 00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:32,960 Speaker 4: to unravel a little bit, and it's clearly not well 636 00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:34,759 Speaker 4: it's Matt Patricia calling the place. No, they got a 637 00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 4: grown up call in the place. I mean, this team looks. 638 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 4: I know he's an all time great coach and I 639 00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:43,080 Speaker 4: believe that, but this individual team, even with him five 640 00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:45,759 Speaker 4: six wins. I mean, look how hard the division is, 641 00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:48,040 Speaker 4: let alone just how they play in general. 642 00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:51,680 Speaker 1: You know what's interesting too, he's regressed. So when he 643 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:56,040 Speaker 1: first gets to New England his rookie year, again, you 644 00:34:56,120 --> 00:35:00,120 Speaker 1: haven't lived with him long. You haven't traveled with him much, right, 645 00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,440 Speaker 1: you haven't been through crisis with him. He had a 646 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:03,439 Speaker 1: pretty good rookie year. 647 00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 4: He made the playoffs. 648 00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:07,600 Speaker 1: Just like when you're a coworker, you're an employee. The 649 00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:10,560 Speaker 1: first year you win some games, you're like I kind 650 00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:12,600 Speaker 1: of like Bob, and then you work with him a 651 00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 1: second year. You travel with him, multiple camps with him, 652 00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:20,520 Speaker 1: practices with him. Have you noticed he seems less popular today, 653 00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:24,680 Speaker 1: he has less allies today, He's he's one of those players. 654 00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:29,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I had I had somebody who I respect, 655 00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:35,719 Speaker 1: a former Patriot recently out east, use the word brat like. 656 00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:40,680 Speaker 1: He's bratty like and you know, I think you told 657 00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:43,359 Speaker 1: me this last week or the week before. As long 658 00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:46,520 Speaker 1: as you're loved in the room, nobody cares outside of 659 00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:50,680 Speaker 1: the room. I do not think I think the coaches 660 00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:54,120 Speaker 1: have tolerated him. I think I mean today, I know 661 00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:57,200 Speaker 1: it's it's it feels like I'm being hyperbolic here. It 662 00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:59,200 Speaker 1: feels like today was a tipping point, like the coaches 663 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,440 Speaker 1: are just like, all right, they have to go to 664 00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:03,600 Speaker 1: craft and say, what do you, Bob, we have to 665 00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:04,440 Speaker 1: draft the quarterback. 666 00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:07,399 Speaker 4: Do you think that if this thing gets really ugly? 667 00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,560 Speaker 4: And it's true, headed that way, they win six games. 668 00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:14,080 Speaker 4: Bill's always been a little prickly with Robert, but he's 669 00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:16,200 Speaker 4: making him so much money. They're winning so big. You 670 00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,719 Speaker 4: deal with it. Now, this back to back years, Let's 671 00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:20,800 Speaker 4: say they win thirteen games over a two year span. 672 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 4: Maybe they just go, it's time for a change, does Bill, 673 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:25,520 Speaker 4: Because I was thinking about this, like if you're the 674 00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:27,319 Speaker 4: Charger or some of these other teams, or is he 675 00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 4: just too old and too crimugeny. He's kind of fascinating, 676 00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:34,000 Speaker 4: right because his resume is unprecedented. I mean yeah, but 677 00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,320 Speaker 4: it's like, you know, this is he's not a spring chicken. 678 00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:38,400 Speaker 4: He's not mister get along with everybody. 679 00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:40,520 Speaker 1: Here's the other thing. We always thought they were just 680 00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:43,000 Speaker 1: such a smart football team. They make the same mistakes 681 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:47,240 Speaker 1: as everybody post Brady, they'll not make they make special 682 00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:50,839 Speaker 1: teams blunders. So you know, Brady covered up a lot 683 00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,480 Speaker 1: of issues with this team. He was so good pre snap. 684 00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:56,000 Speaker 1: He got you out of trouble. It's like a good boss. 685 00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:58,839 Speaker 1: You don't really know the trouble you would have been in. 686 00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,319 Speaker 1: He gets you out of it before your company's in it. 687 00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:03,680 Speaker 1: Brady got this team out of a lot of trouble. 688 00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:07,799 Speaker 4: But it gets back to Tom also worked basically as 689 00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:10,520 Speaker 4: like his second job was also a coach. I mean 690 00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:12,440 Speaker 4: you talked to Edelman and Gronk and all these guys. 691 00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:15,680 Speaker 4: What was tolerated in practice. It wasn't just Bill setting 692 00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:17,880 Speaker 4: the tone, it was Tom setting the tone, so they 693 00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:20,600 Speaker 4: the screw ups didn't happen in practice. What's Mac gonna 694 00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:23,400 Speaker 4: do yell at you for running the wrong route on Thursday. 695 00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,680 Speaker 4: So it kind of unravels from within because Tom set 696 00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:30,520 Speaker 4: the tone. From a leadership standpoint, it's unreplaceable and it 697 00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:33,600 Speaker 4: shows now their talent, I mean, their margin Ferrer was 698 00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:35,720 Speaker 4: already so slim. They were gonna have to win games 699 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,800 Speaker 4: what like seventeen to fifteen, and if Max's gonna play, 700 00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 4: you know, like a bottom five quarterback, they don't have 701 00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:45,320 Speaker 4: a snowballs chance in hell at this rate. San Francisco 702 00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:49,960 Speaker 4: Christian McCaffrey. I think I can't imagine there's ever been 703 00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,040 Speaker 4: a better mid season NFL trade in the history of 704 00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:55,280 Speaker 4: the league. Last week he broke Jerry Rice's record twelve 705 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:59,200 Speaker 4: straight tds. This week he tied Emmitt Smith's record thirteen 706 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:02,399 Speaker 4: straight touchdowns four team. Next week he has a chance 707 00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:05,359 Speaker 4: to break it longest since nineteen ninety. So you're talking 708 00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:07,640 Speaker 4: about a guy that and I thought it was kind 709 00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:11,040 Speaker 4: of crazy too. Running Backs twenty twenty two, he had 710 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 4: been banged up. I'm like, wait, you're gonna give a second, 711 00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 4: a third, and a fourth. He would have been worth 712 00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:19,160 Speaker 4: three seconds thirds and force for his impact on the 713 00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:22,120 Speaker 4: forty nine ers, Yeah, he is easily. I think Josh 714 00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:23,960 Speaker 4: Allen threw his hat back in the ring. You know, 715 00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:27,279 Speaker 4: Lamar's having a pretty awesome season, but he's right there. 716 00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:29,920 Speaker 4: If it ended the day, he would be have every 717 00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:31,360 Speaker 4: bit as good of a chance as anyone to be 718 00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:33,439 Speaker 4: the NFL MVP. And he's clearly one of the best 719 00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:35,799 Speaker 4: players in the league. And he's taken a team that 720 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,240 Speaker 4: was pretty damn good, right they were in the conference 721 00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:39,640 Speaker 4: title a couple of years ago, they were in the 722 00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:43,800 Speaker 4: Super Bowl, and Purty's an upgrade over over Jimmy clearly. 723 00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:47,200 Speaker 4: But Christian has become like a superstar. I remember being 724 00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:49,640 Speaker 4: a kid when they signed Dean Sanders. Niners never looked 725 00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:53,040 Speaker 4: back and they dominated. It's different because he's an offensive player, 726 00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:55,160 Speaker 4: but it's similar in terms of the impact. It's like 727 00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:58,799 Speaker 4: it's impossible, despite his production, which is freaking elite, to 728 00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:01,120 Speaker 4: quantify how good this guy is. 729 00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:04,719 Speaker 1: Well, listen, deebo is a Hall of Fame talent and 730 00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:08,240 Speaker 1: Kittle probably makes the Hall of Fame. They almost shrink 731 00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:11,200 Speaker 1: when they're on the field with Christian McCaffrey. I mean 732 00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:15,359 Speaker 1: they're I mean like Kittle two years ago, pre McCaffrey, 733 00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:17,600 Speaker 1: that was your third down target. You couldn't wait to 734 00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:20,560 Speaker 1: watch Kittle play. He's still remarkable when he's on the 735 00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:23,359 Speaker 1: field with Christian McCaffrey on a big third down, it's 736 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:26,440 Speaker 1: like Deebo and Kittle become second tier players and their 737 00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:28,680 Speaker 1: Hall of Fame. Kittle's gonna make the Hall of Fame. 738 00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:32,480 Speaker 1: So it's like McCaffrey is that rare athlete that among 739 00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:35,759 Speaker 1: other great athletes, it doesn't even it doesn't. I mean, 740 00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,080 Speaker 1: it's like this kid for the Rams, Puka Nakua. I 741 00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:42,400 Speaker 1: keep waiting and it's like this is insane. He's physical, 742 00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:46,560 Speaker 1: he gets open, he reads corners like a twelve year veteran. 743 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:50,360 Speaker 1: He manipulates him. It's like, oh, that's just different, I 744 00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:54,600 Speaker 1: mean among other elite players. So, and the thing about McCaffrey, 745 00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:58,520 Speaker 1: despite his size, he's one of the most physical running 746 00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:02,200 Speaker 1: backs I've ever seen. I mean seriously, he plays three 747 00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:04,600 Speaker 1: inches taller and thirty pounds heavier. 748 00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:06,640 Speaker 4: Well, David Shaw have pounded the table when he was 749 00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:07,040 Speaker 4: coming out. 750 00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:07,560 Speaker 2: I was wrong. 751 00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:10,799 Speaker 4: I thought, you know, I bet he turns into more 752 00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:13,520 Speaker 4: of like an Edelman Whelker, and he's more receiver than 753 00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:17,080 Speaker 4: he ever is true down running back he is. I mean, 754 00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:19,640 Speaker 4: it's gonna sound like a Walter Payton Emmitt Smith. I 755 00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:22,120 Speaker 4: mean he's a true I mean Kyle's giving it to 756 00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:24,560 Speaker 4: him twenty twenty five times a game, and it's not 757 00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,040 Speaker 4: at the corners. It is right up the gut, yeah, 758 00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:30,680 Speaker 4: and breaking tackles. He lowered his shoulder. He's really more 759 00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:33,360 Speaker 4: of like a throwback foot to his dad's era of 760 00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:35,319 Speaker 4: a guy that would have thrived in the nineties. And 761 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:37,520 Speaker 4: now I think, you know, to me, the Cowboys a 762 00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:39,480 Speaker 4: little bit of a front running team. When they get 763 00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:40,920 Speaker 4: a lead on you, which they've done three out of 764 00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,440 Speaker 4: the four games, run you out the building as they did, 765 00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:47,000 Speaker 4: and they're celebrating. It's awesome. Their defense pins their ears back. 766 00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:49,439 Speaker 4: They got into one kind of dogfight when they were 767 00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:52,440 Speaker 4: down and they crumbled. And now they're playing the Niner Sunday. 768 00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:54,560 Speaker 4: The Eagles. I give them some credit. They have not 769 00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:57,720 Speaker 4: played their best football, but their talent, like the Niners, 770 00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:00,279 Speaker 4: they've been through, you know, the ups and downs they've 771 00:41:00,320 --> 00:41:02,759 Speaker 4: handled like today was not an easy win, right, And 772 00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:05,440 Speaker 4: I think when you look at the Niners and the Eagles, 773 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,359 Speaker 4: the amount of high end. I mean both teams could 774 00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:10,880 Speaker 4: have ten Pro Bowlers. I mean like ten, you know, 775 00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:14,520 Speaker 4: all pro guys when those two teams shake out. But 776 00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:17,719 Speaker 4: the Cowboys, you know, I just don't think they're quite 777 00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:19,320 Speaker 4: on their level. I think those two teams in the 778 00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:21,239 Speaker 4: top tier of the NFC, and then the next tier 779 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:23,600 Speaker 4: is the Cowboys and probably than the Lions. 780 00:41:23,880 --> 00:41:26,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think there's a way Dallas has to play. 781 00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:30,440 Speaker 1: And I think again, Buffalo, I think is more talented, 782 00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:33,279 Speaker 1: but is similar. They're an avalanche. When Buffalo gets a 783 00:41:33,400 --> 00:41:36,759 Speaker 1: lead on you and you're struggling with Josh Allen and 784 00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:39,560 Speaker 1: he's in a groove and Davis is getting open with 785 00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:42,200 Speaker 1: Diggs and now Ken Kate and Knox, it's like, shit, 786 00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:45,839 Speaker 1: this is just too much. They play down. 787 00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:48,960 Speaker 4: Hill and he turns into John Elway basically like he 788 00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:49,440 Speaker 4: did today. 789 00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:52,359 Speaker 1: You know. It's like I think, whereas I think Stan 790 00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:55,600 Speaker 1: Francisco and Philadelphia can win multiple ways, I tend to 791 00:41:55,640 --> 00:41:59,640 Speaker 1: think certain teams. Buffalo is this way, I think Dallas 792 00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:03,040 Speaker 1: is this. They're momentum teams and when they're headed downhill, 793 00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:07,000 Speaker 1: watch out. They're even more lethal than a San Francisco 794 00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,359 Speaker 1: or Philadelphia because they can score so quickly, and they're 795 00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:13,680 Speaker 1: so aggressive, so hyper aggressive. And now for a new 796 00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:16,640 Speaker 1: segment called making It Look Easy, brought to you by 797 00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:22,040 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan, America's largest injury law firm. Well this week, 798 00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:25,200 Speaker 1: Josh Allen made it look easy. Twenty one of twenty 799 00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:30,280 Speaker 1: five four touchdowns against Miami. Took a lead, never looked back, running, 800 00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:34,319 Speaker 1: throwing big plays underneath. Josh Allen did it all like 801 00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,440 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan. He made it look so easy. 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