WEBVTT - Rerun: The Artemis Program

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Tech Stuff, a production from iHeartRadio. Hey there,

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<v Speaker 1>and welcome to tech Stuff. I'm your host, Jonathan Strickland.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm an executive producer with iHeartRadio and a love of

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<v Speaker 1>all things tech. And for today's show, we're actually going

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<v Speaker 1>to listen to a podcast I recorded last year about

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<v Speaker 1>the Artemis Project, a NASA project to return American astronauts

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<v Speaker 1>to the Moon. Because the Office of the Inspector General,

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<v Speaker 1>a department within NASA, conducted an audit and discovered that

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<v Speaker 1>there is really no way NASA is going to have

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<v Speaker 1>space suits ready for a twenty twenty four return to

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon. That was the proposed deadline. We are not

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<v Speaker 1>going to make that. According to the audit, the earliest

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<v Speaker 1>those space suits would be ready with be sometime in

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<v Speaker 1>the spring of twenty twenty five. So according to that,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's just one piece, obviously, of a very complicated

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<v Speaker 1>series of pieces necessary for us to return to space,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not going to be back on the Moon by

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty four, which even at the you know, when

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<v Speaker 1>I recorded the episode last year, I thought was an

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<v Speaker 1>incredibly aggressive target in the first place. So I thought

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<v Speaker 1>it would be good to go back and listen to

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<v Speaker 1>that episode about the Artemis project and to understand what

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<v Speaker 1>the parameters are, what the purpose is, and then at

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<v Speaker 1>the end I'll talk a little bit more about space suits.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's get to it today. We're going to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about space and NASA's most recent program intended to put

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<v Speaker 1>American astronauts back on the Moon and eventually to go

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<v Speaker 1>beyond the Moon. But first let's do a wick look

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<v Speaker 1>back into the history of the space program. So back

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<v Speaker 1>in the early nineteen sixties, the United States was in

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<v Speaker 1>a fierce competition with the then Soviet Union. The Soviets

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<v Speaker 1>had shocked Americans upon the launch of the satellite Sputnik

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<v Speaker 1>that was the first man made object launched into orbit

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<v Speaker 1>around the Earth. Sputnik didn't really do a whole lot

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<v Speaker 1>other than send out a little beep of a radio

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<v Speaker 1>signal as it traveled miles above the Earth's surface, but

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<v Speaker 1>the implications of that launch were enormous. First, the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that the Soviets could launch an object into orbit suggested

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<v Speaker 1>that the USSR also had the capability of launching, say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a missile somewhere else, like across the world

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<v Speaker 1>at the United States. Coupled with a nuclear warhead. That

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<v Speaker 1>was a chilling thought. The US and the USSR held

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<v Speaker 1>a great deal of animal aimosity for each other, which

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<v Speaker 1>is putting it lightly, or at least the governments of

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<v Speaker 1>those countries did, and each government supported an awful lot

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<v Speaker 1>of propaganda aimed at vilifying the other side. As a

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<v Speaker 1>child of the eighties, I remember a lot of sort

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<v Speaker 1>of anti Soviet, anti Russian kind of messaging in pop

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<v Speaker 1>culture and beyond well. Anyway, the second part of this

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<v Speaker 1>is that the world is a stage, as Shakespeare once wrote,

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<v Speaker 1>and on that stage, the Soviets were poised to take

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<v Speaker 1>on the role of most technologically and scientifically advanced nation

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<v Speaker 1>on the planet. And that was something that the US

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<v Speaker 1>government wasn't too keen on either, and so there was

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<v Speaker 1>a very strong incentive to give the US space industry

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<v Speaker 1>its own shot in the arm to catch up and

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<v Speaker 1>then ultimately to pass the Soviet space program. The space

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<v Speaker 1>race would showcase the best and worst of human traits.

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<v Speaker 1>Among the best were ingenuity, problems, solving, collaboration, exploration, and curiosity.

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<v Speaker 1>Among the worst, you had pride, you had boasting not

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<v Speaker 1>to mention the fact that the finish line kept getting

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<v Speaker 1>pushed back whenever one side would achieve something notable, like

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<v Speaker 1>you might say, oh, well, really, the real test is

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<v Speaker 1>to put the first person up in space, And then

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<v Speaker 1>the Soviets did that, and the Americans said, well, really,

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<v Speaker 1>the real test is docking two spacecraft in space together.

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<v Speaker 1>And then the Americans did that, and the Soviets said, well,

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<v Speaker 1>really it's and so they kept pushing that back until

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<v Speaker 1>finally it got to the real goal isn't to put

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<v Speaker 1>something into orbit, but to get to the moon, and

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<v Speaker 1>that was viewed as the ultimate goal, the ultimate finish line. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, for reals, a lot of the space race

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<v Speaker 1>was really just about moving those goal posts so that

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<v Speaker 1>one side could not easily declare victory and superiority over

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<v Speaker 1>the other side. And yes, it is more than a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit childish. It might remind you of kids playing

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<v Speaker 1>a game where they keep changing the rules whenever it

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<v Speaker 1>seems like they're losing. However, that childish desire is also

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<v Speaker 1>what helped drive and perhaps more importantly, fund, the actual

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<v Speaker 1>engineering and science that would lead to some of the

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<v Speaker 1>greatest achievements in human history. These are achievements that would

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<v Speaker 1>spin off numerous beneficial technologies that we rely upon and

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<v Speaker 1>benefit from. Today anyway. In nineteen sixty three, the US

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<v Speaker 1>Space Agency NASA initiated a new program named Apollo, and

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<v Speaker 1>this was an official response to a promise that had

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<v Speaker 1>been made in nineteen sixty one by US President John F. Kennedy.

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<v Speaker 1>He announced a commitment to get astronauts to the Moon

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<v Speaker 1>by the end of that decade. Now, in Greek mythology,

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<v Speaker 1>Apollo is the son of Zeus. He's the god of

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<v Speaker 1>the arts, of poetry, and of the Sun. The Apollo

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<v Speaker 1>missions saw several successful moon landings, beginning with Apollo eleven

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<v Speaker 1>in July nineteen sixty nine, an ending with Apollo seventeen

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<v Speaker 1>in December nineteen seventy two. The program also had its

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<v Speaker 1>share of tragedy. In nineteen sixty seven, three astronauts died

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<v Speaker 1>in a pre flight test when a fire broke out

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<v Speaker 1>in the cockpit of the command module. NASA would later

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<v Speaker 1>designate this mission, originally known as Apollo two oh four,

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<v Speaker 1>Apollo one, in an effort to honor the three astronauts

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<v Speaker 1>who lost their lives in this accident. Apollo seventeen would

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<v Speaker 1>mark the last time a human would set foot on

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon, and that stands true up to the date

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<v Speaker 1>of this recording. No human has been back to the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon since December nineteen seventy two, and that's what brings

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<v Speaker 1>us to today's topic, because once again NASA and numerous

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<v Speaker 1>partnering companies and organizations are looking to send people back

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<v Speaker 1>to the Moon's surface. This time, the goal is to

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<v Speaker 1>include women astronauts in the project, something that just didn't

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<v Speaker 1>happen back in the sixty and seventies. The new program

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<v Speaker 1>is called Artemis. Now, like Apollo, the name Artemis comes

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<v Speaker 1>to us from Greek mythology. She's actually Apollo's twin sister,

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<v Speaker 1>which makes sense. This is sort of the twin Sister

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<v Speaker 1>project to Apollo. Now. Frankly, I would argue Artemis is

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<v Speaker 1>much better suited as a name for this project because

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<v Speaker 1>she's the goddess of the Moon. She's also the goddess

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<v Speaker 1>of the wilderness and hunting and other stuff. The Greek

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<v Speaker 1>gods were famous multitaskers. As goddess of the Moon, she

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<v Speaker 1>does have the perfect name for the NASA endeavor to

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<v Speaker 1>put people up there. She did not just spring into being,

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<v Speaker 1>either in mythology or in the space project. In space terms,

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<v Speaker 1>Artemis follows some earlier attempts to get astronauts back to

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon. She's sort of the evolution of some earlier

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<v Speaker 1>programs that have since been either canceled or just transformed.

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<v Speaker 1>So this means we need to look at a span

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<v Speaker 1>of time between the Apollo mission and the upcoming Artemis missions.

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<v Speaker 1>In the first decade of the twenty first century, NASA

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<v Speaker 1>announced a program called Constellation. The scope of Constellation was

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<v Speaker 1>pretty darn big. It laid out the many advances NASA

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<v Speaker 1>identified as being pivotal for the most extensive missions to

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon and beyond. It called for the retirement of

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<v Speaker 1>the Space Shuttle program. It was already on its way out,

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<v Speaker 1>and so the reason for that was that the Space

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<v Speaker 1>Shuttle program was limited in its ability. Really could only

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<v Speaker 1>go into orbit. It can't go to the Moon or beyond.

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<v Speaker 1>And also the Columbia disaster had brought up serious questions

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<v Speaker 1>about the viability of the Space Shuttle program in general,

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<v Speaker 1>it was an aging fleet of spacecraft. So this particular

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<v Speaker 1>Constellation program laid out requirements for a new type of

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<v Speaker 1>spacecraft called Orion, also known as the Crew Exploration Vehicle,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's similar to the old Apollo CAP but it's

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<v Speaker 1>actually larger and has a lot more features and could

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<v Speaker 1>support a crew of astronauts on a mission to the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon and back, or extended trips to the International Space Station.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll talk more about the Orion in detail a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit later. So the Constellation program, in turn, was a

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<v Speaker 1>response to a call from the US President, George W. Bush,

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<v Speaker 1>and he was asking NASA to really shoot for these goals.

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<v Speaker 1>He wanted something really aspirational and inspirational to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>get people excited about this. Presidents tend to do this,

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, when they need a kind of a

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<v Speaker 1>boost in their own popularity. It's great that we benefit

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<v Speaker 1>from it from a scientific perspective, but it does not

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<v Speaker 1>always come from a genuine desire to push science. Sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>that desire is more linked to the politics of the

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<v Speaker 1>situation than the actual scientific goal of the situation. And

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<v Speaker 1>in fact, there are plenty of people who argued that

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<v Speaker 1>this whole approach was not the right thing for NASA

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<v Speaker 1>to do, that putting people back on the Moon didn't

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<v Speaker 1>really solve any big issues or didn't open up any

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<v Speaker 1>other opportunities. We had already been to the Moon. People

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<v Speaker 1>were arguing that maybe we wouldn't be able to learn

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<v Speaker 1>anything new by going back to the Moon, that we

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<v Speaker 1>should instead dedicate our efforts toward other things. But the

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<v Speaker 1>Moon is one of those things that's easy to point

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<v Speaker 1>at and say that is a big challenge. How do

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<v Speaker 1>we get back there? And then you can worry about

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<v Speaker 1>the other stuff later on down the line. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that there is value going back to the Moon. By

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<v Speaker 1>the way, I don't want to dismiss it out of hand,

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<v Speaker 1>but I can see the validity of arguments that state

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<v Speaker 1>maybe we should look at other goals instead, goals that

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<v Speaker 1>might have a more obvious payout in either the benefits

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<v Speaker 1>we get from technological advancement or the directors of the

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<v Speaker 1>missions themselves. So I could see both sides of both arguments,

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<v Speaker 1>and so I haven't I guess I haven't really fully

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<v Speaker 1>made up my mind of which side I really subscribed to. Anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>So we get this deadline set for this idea of

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<v Speaker 1>going back to the moon. The vehicle, the Orion spacecraft,

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<v Speaker 1>was supposed to be ready by twenty fourteen, and then

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<v Speaker 1>you had the goal of actually getting people back on

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<v Speaker 1>the Moon by twenty twenty. It is twenty twenty, and

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<v Speaker 1>spoiler alert, that ain't gonna happen this year. NASA Administrator

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<v Speaker 1>Michael Griffin unveiled this plan in two thousand and five,

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<v Speaker 1>and that included a plan for two new rocket systems

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<v Speaker 1>that would provide the umph needed to get the Orion

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<v Speaker 1>spacecraft out into space on its way to the Moon

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<v Speaker 1>or the International Space Station. And those rockets were the

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<v Speaker 1>ARES one and the ARES five launch vehicles. No two

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<v Speaker 1>in three, just one in five, and they were or four,

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<v Speaker 1>i should say, but one in five were also meant

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of mirror the Saturn one and Saturn five

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<v Speaker 1>rockets that were used in previous NASA programs. ARES one

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<v Speaker 1>was the smaller of the two rockets. That one was

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<v Speaker 1>intended to launch payloads like the Orion spacecraft and its

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<v Speaker 1>crew into orbit. The ARES five would be a heavy

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<v Speaker 1>lifting rocket and it would be used to launch significance

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<v Speaker 1>amounts of a payload into space of cargo. So if

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<v Speaker 1>you wanted to create say a Moon station, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>to actually build a station on the Moon, you would

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<v Speaker 1>use a series of ARES five rockets to launch those

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<v Speaker 1>payloads into space, and then presumably you would find a

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<v Speaker 1>way of getting them to the Moon for construction. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's not that different from models like SpaceX, where they

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<v Speaker 1>have the Falcon nine rocket or launch vehicle that can

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<v Speaker 1>send a capsule into space, or the Falcon nine Heavy,

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<v Speaker 1>which is meant to push much heavier payloads into space.

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<v Speaker 1>Developing the rockets would be another really big task on

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<v Speaker 1>top of building this Orion spacecraft. But this was a

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<v Speaker 1>thing that Griffin thought was necessary. Lunar missions are going

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<v Speaker 1>to require a lot of support systems in order to

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<v Speaker 1>make sure the astronauts can get to the Moon, they

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<v Speaker 1>can land there, they can operate on the Moon, and

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<v Speaker 1>then they can return from the Moon safely back to Earth.

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<v Speaker 1>That requires a lot of work. So according to NASA estimates,

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<v Speaker 1>relying on older launch vehicles like the Delta or Atlas

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<v Speaker 1>rockets would require many more launches to get the required

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<v Speaker 1>equipment back into space. So that would drive up the

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<v Speaker 1>cost of the program. And Griffin was saying, well, it's

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<v Speaker 1>going to cost a huge amount of money to develop

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<v Speaker 1>new rockets, but it will cost another huge amount of

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<v Speaker 1>money if we rely on older rockets, because we we'll

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<v Speaker 1>have to use more of them. And so he was

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<v Speaker 1>weighing those two options and ultimately decided that it made

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<v Speaker 1>more sense to push for brand new launch systems. Now

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<v Speaker 1>spoiler alert, this whole plan that was laid out in

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand and five did not pan out, at least

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<v Speaker 1>not as Constellation had laid it all out. We didn't

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:16.960
<v Speaker 1>have a spacecraft ready in time, nor are we ready

0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:19.880
<v Speaker 1>to put anyone on the Moon this year. And one

0:14:19.880 --> 0:14:24.320
<v Speaker 1>of the main contributors to the shortfall was down to budget.

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:28.200
<v Speaker 1>The original Apollo program had a budget of twenty five

0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 1>point eight billion dollars from nineteen sixty to nineteen seventy three.

0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:37.520
<v Speaker 1>If we adjust that for inflation and look at it

0:14:37.560 --> 0:14:40.760
<v Speaker 1>in today's money, that would come out to about two

0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:46.720
<v Speaker 1>hundred sixty billion dollars, a truly princely sum. But that

0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:50.880
<v Speaker 1>was across the entire lifespan of the Apollo program, not

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:55.080
<v Speaker 1>just one particular year. In nineteen sixty six, the peak

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:58.960
<v Speaker 1>year the Apollo program. From a vedgetary perspective, the agency

0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 1>spent the equivalent of forty seven point eight billion dollars

0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:07.680
<v Speaker 1>in today's money, and that was just for the Apollo program.

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:11.040
<v Speaker 1>So the budget for all of NASA in two thousand

0:15:11.040 --> 0:15:13.960
<v Speaker 1>and five, not just Constellation, but all the programs that

0:15:14.080 --> 0:15:19.680
<v Speaker 1>NASA oversees was fifteen point six billion dollars. That's a

0:15:19.680 --> 0:15:21.840
<v Speaker 1>lot less than forty seven point eight billion. Trust me,

0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:25.520
<v Speaker 1>I ran the math. Even adjusted for inflation, that comes

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:28.880
<v Speaker 1>out to just under seventeen billion dollars. It is an

0:15:29.160 --> 0:15:34.600
<v Speaker 1>enormous amount less than what was spent in nineteen sixty six,

0:15:34.680 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>or the equivalent of what was spent in nineteen sixty six.

0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:42.520
<v Speaker 1>And yet Griffin was describing Constellation as Apollo on steroids.

0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:44.920
<v Speaker 1>So that got a lot of people asking, can you

0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:49.200
<v Speaker 1>really design Apollo on steroids if you're using a budget

0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:53.320
<v Speaker 1>that's less than half of what Apollos program spent in

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:58.360
<v Speaker 1>nineteen sixty six. So this was a question that a

0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of people were asking, and ultimately the answer appears

0:16:01.040 --> 0:16:04.720
<v Speaker 1>to be no, you can't really do it. So despite

0:16:04.800 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 1>having access to less money, NASA still really tackled this challenge.

0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, a lot of people poured a ton of

0:16:11.320 --> 0:16:14.200
<v Speaker 1>work and effort into trying to make this happen. In

0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:16.640
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and nine, the agency released a statement saying

0:16:16.640 --> 0:16:20.120
<v Speaker 1>the Orion would not be ready for a twenty fourteen launch.

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:22.720
<v Speaker 1>They were hoping that they could maybe make it a

0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:29.800
<v Speaker 1>twenty fifteen deadline. But here's the thing. While on the

0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:32.040
<v Speaker 1>surface that says, oh, it's a delay of just one year.

0:16:32.320 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 1>That's actually not that bad, especially when you consider the

0:16:34.360 --> 0:16:38.400
<v Speaker 1>budgetary restraints. It actually was three years later than what

0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 1>Griffin had been hoping for. He had hoped to have

0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:44.920
<v Speaker 1>the Orion ready for launch by twenty twelve, so now

0:16:44.960 --> 0:16:46.440
<v Speaker 1>they were sure it wasn't going to be ready till

0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:49.560
<v Speaker 1>at least twenty fifteen. The agency was really trying to

0:16:49.680 --> 0:16:52.280
<v Speaker 1>narrow a gap that was going to exist when the

0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:56.400
<v Speaker 1>space shuttles retired and the USA would no longer have

0:16:56.480 --> 0:17:01.240
<v Speaker 1>a spacecraft capable of launching and docking the newly finished

0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:05.320
<v Speaker 1>International Space Station, So the ISS gets finished around twenty

0:17:05.359 --> 0:17:08.480
<v Speaker 1>ten at the same time the space shuttle program retires.

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:13.520
<v Speaker 1>Now the USA is reliant on other countries and their

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:16.439
<v Speaker 1>space program in order to get astronauts to and from

0:17:16.600 --> 0:17:22.080
<v Speaker 1>the space station, typically Russia, so that's not ideal, and

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:26.840
<v Speaker 1>they were waiting on commercial space companies like SpaceX to

0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:31.080
<v Speaker 1>catch up, but that just hadn't happened yet. So the

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>real hope was that the Orion spacecraft could take over

0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:37.679
<v Speaker 1>those duties and make USA independent of other countries and

0:17:37.880 --> 0:17:43.000
<v Speaker 1>also of commercial spacecraft companies, where NASA would be owning

0:17:43.040 --> 0:17:46.840
<v Speaker 1>and operating these vehicles. But that just wasn't going to happen.

0:17:46.920 --> 0:17:49.760
<v Speaker 1>That gap was going to get wider and wider, not narrower.

0:17:50.560 --> 0:17:53.920
<v Speaker 1>NASA did have a cost overrun of three point one

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:57.560
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars, though again this was much less than what

0:17:57.640 --> 0:18:00.719
<v Speaker 1>the agency spent during the Apollo program years. But that

0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:04.560
<v Speaker 1>delay of the program and the twenty six percent overrun

0:18:04.680 --> 0:18:08.720
<v Speaker 1>in costs gave Constellation a really bad reputation. That was

0:18:08.720 --> 0:18:13.080
<v Speaker 1>a reputation that President Barack Obama actually referenced back in

0:18:13.080 --> 0:18:16.760
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and eight. NASA also predicted that the program

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:20.400
<v Speaker 1>would continue to cost more than had been originally projected,

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 1>with an increase of about one hundred and forty percent

0:18:23.760 --> 0:18:26.240
<v Speaker 1>of the original budget marked out for the years between

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:30.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty ten and twenty fourteen, not great news. On top

0:18:30.640 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 1>of that, the focus of NASA was almost entirely on

0:18:34.359 --> 0:18:39.119
<v Speaker 1>the Orion spacecraft and the Areas One launch vehicle. Again

0:18:39.160 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 1>no big surprise here. The idea of sending people to

0:18:41.800 --> 0:18:45.600
<v Speaker 1>the moon is generally one that people really get excited about,

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:52.840
<v Speaker 1>and excitement translates into governments approving bigger budgets because you know,

0:18:52.960 --> 0:18:56.959
<v Speaker 1>representatives want to support the things that their constituents are

0:18:56.960 --> 0:19:00.359
<v Speaker 1>really excited about. But that meant that the ARES five rocket,

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:04.760
<v Speaker 1>the heavy lifting rocket, had a much smaller development budget.

0:19:05.400 --> 0:19:09.240
<v Speaker 1>All the focus was on the crude stuff the Orion

0:19:09.520 --> 0:19:13.800
<v Speaker 1>crew doesn't see rewed the Orion spacecraft and the ARES

0:19:13.840 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 1>one launch vehicle, not the ARES five, but the AREAS

0:19:16.760 --> 0:19:18.200
<v Speaker 1>five was going to need a lot of money. I mean,

0:19:18.200 --> 0:19:22.160
<v Speaker 1>this was a heavy lifting rocket concept. But that meant

0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:24.880
<v Speaker 1>that because it didn't get that big budget, the development

0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:27.080
<v Speaker 1>was getting delayed over and over again, and that led

0:19:27.119 --> 0:19:29.960
<v Speaker 1>to a point where analysts believe that based on the

0:19:30.000 --> 0:19:34.960
<v Speaker 1>budgetary trajectory at NASA, the earliest the ARES five rocket

0:19:35.000 --> 0:19:38.320
<v Speaker 1>would be able to launch the lunar landing hardware that

0:19:38.359 --> 0:19:41.400
<v Speaker 1>would be necessary to actually land on the Moon would

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:45.399
<v Speaker 1>be sometime in the twenty thirties, if that were at

0:19:45.440 --> 0:19:50.280
<v Speaker 1>all possible even then, so that would delay that deadline

0:19:50.320 --> 0:19:52.800
<v Speaker 1>of landing on the Moon by more than a decade.

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:56.240
<v Speaker 1>The idea here was that the Space Agency would put

0:19:56.640 --> 0:20:00.639
<v Speaker 1>a lunar landing spacecraft into Earth orbit, and it was

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:04.200
<v Speaker 1>to be called the Lunar Surface Access Module or el SAM.

0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:08.679
<v Speaker 1>Later it was renamed the Altair, and an ARIS five

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:13.280
<v Speaker 1>would launch this Altair into Earth orbit. Because it was

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:15.840
<v Speaker 1>heavier than the Orion spacecraft, so you wouldn't want to

0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:18.000
<v Speaker 1>use like an ARES one rocket, you need the heavy

0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:22.640
<v Speaker 1>lifting rocket. There a separate areas. One rocket would launch

0:20:22.880 --> 0:20:26.719
<v Speaker 1>an Orion spacecraft into Earth orbit, and then the Orion

0:20:26.800 --> 0:20:31.119
<v Speaker 1>spacecraft would rendezvous with the orbiting Altair. The two would

0:20:31.160 --> 0:20:34.000
<v Speaker 1>dock and then together they would make the rest of

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:36.919
<v Speaker 1>the trip to the Moon. Upon entering lunar orbit, the

0:20:36.960 --> 0:20:40.520
<v Speaker 1>two spacecraft could separate. The entire crew of the Orion

0:20:40.560 --> 0:20:43.000
<v Speaker 1>could move over into the Altair because the Orion would

0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:45.160
<v Speaker 1>be automated and it would just remain in orbit around

0:20:45.160 --> 0:20:48.400
<v Speaker 1>the Moon. Then the Altair would land on the Moon.

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:51.920
<v Speaker 1>The astronauts would go out and you know, do moon stuff.

0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:55.119
<v Speaker 1>Then they would come back to the Altair, launch off

0:20:55.160 --> 0:20:59.160
<v Speaker 1>the Moon, back into orbit, dock with the Orion, transfer

0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:02.120
<v Speaker 1>back over to the R spacecraft, and then they could

0:21:02.119 --> 0:21:05.280
<v Speaker 1>make the trip back to Earth. But because of these

0:21:05.359 --> 0:21:08.760
<v Speaker 1>budget limitations, the focus on the Orion and the ARES

0:21:08.840 --> 0:21:11.919
<v Speaker 1>IE vehicles meant that all of this other stuff, the

0:21:11.960 --> 0:21:15.159
<v Speaker 1>ARES five and the lunar module, all of that just

0:21:15.240 --> 0:21:19.680
<v Speaker 1>remained hypothetical. It was a proposal, not an actual spacecraft.

0:21:20.280 --> 0:21:23.200
<v Speaker 1>So while the agency might have produced an Orion spacecraft,

0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:25.880
<v Speaker 1>in time to get into space. By twenty fifteen, there

0:21:25.960 --> 0:21:28.560
<v Speaker 1>was just no hope of making enough progress to land

0:21:28.600 --> 0:21:31.399
<v Speaker 1>on the Moon any earlier than the twenty thirties, and

0:21:31.520 --> 0:21:35.720
<v Speaker 1>some people thought that even that was too ambitious. Meanwhile, NASA,

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:39.399
<v Speaker 1>the agency was struggling with budget constraints in general, not

0:21:39.600 --> 0:21:43.439
<v Speaker 1>just for the Constellation program. Sometimes one project would have

0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:47.280
<v Speaker 1>to siphon funds intended for a totally different project. You

0:21:47.359 --> 0:21:50.199
<v Speaker 1>had a lot of internal battles in NASA as different

0:21:50.440 --> 0:21:55.240
<v Speaker 1>project leads would kind of squirrel budgetary money away that

0:21:55.320 --> 0:21:58.679
<v Speaker 1>was intended for some other project for their own. That

0:21:58.720 --> 0:22:01.240
<v Speaker 1>did not help morale in the game agency. And moreover,

0:22:01.280 --> 0:22:03.199
<v Speaker 1>it was never enough to cover all the costs that

0:22:03.240 --> 0:22:07.160
<v Speaker 1>were mounting up. In twenty ten, NASA received its new

0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:11.119
<v Speaker 1>budget from the US government, and that budget listed zero

0:22:11.760 --> 0:22:15.320
<v Speaker 1>for the Constellation project. I'll explain more in just a moment,

0:22:15.359 --> 0:22:24.720
<v Speaker 1>but we'll take a quick break. So why did the

0:22:24.800 --> 0:22:27.359
<v Speaker 1>US government pull the plug in twenty ten on the

0:22:27.400 --> 0:22:31.000
<v Speaker 1>Constellation project? Well, it's actually pretty complicated to answer that,

0:22:31.040 --> 0:22:34.400
<v Speaker 1>but it comes down to several factors. So, for one thing,

0:22:34.520 --> 0:22:37.480
<v Speaker 1>the design specs or the various components in the Constellation

0:22:37.600 --> 0:22:40.800
<v Speaker 1>project had changed over time, some of them had changed

0:22:40.960 --> 0:22:43.760
<v Speaker 1>a few times since two thousand and five. The team

0:22:43.800 --> 0:22:47.280
<v Speaker 1>made various determinations that then led them down different paths,

0:22:47.359 --> 0:22:50.800
<v Speaker 1>requiring NASA to invest more in new technologies and new

0:22:50.840 --> 0:22:54.159
<v Speaker 1>designs and launch craft. And the initial plan would have

0:22:54.160 --> 0:22:58.840
<v Speaker 1>seen using them using more components that already existed right,

0:22:58.880 --> 0:23:01.040
<v Speaker 1>that were already in production. But a lot of the

0:23:01.080 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 1>decisions they made meant, oh, no, we're going to have

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:06.080
<v Speaker 1>to actually make new stuff. So that meant that the

0:23:06.119 --> 0:23:09.280
<v Speaker 1>process was going to take longer and also cost more.

0:23:09.680 --> 0:23:13.439
<v Speaker 1>The prospects didn't look promising as far as achieving goals

0:23:13.520 --> 0:23:16.439
<v Speaker 1>on time, so that was another strike against it. And

0:23:16.600 --> 0:23:20.520
<v Speaker 1>you also had the case of a change in political administrations,

0:23:20.600 --> 0:23:25.080
<v Speaker 1>which frequently shakes things up with government funded projects. In fact,

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:29.080
<v Speaker 1>that's one of the biggest challenges NASA faces with space travel.

0:23:29.440 --> 0:23:33.600
<v Speaker 1>It's not just the incredibly difficult task of designing technology

0:23:33.640 --> 0:23:37.119
<v Speaker 1>capable of bringing people into space safely and back home again.

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:40.719
<v Speaker 1>It's dealing with a changing political climate that may have

0:23:40.880 --> 0:23:45.120
<v Speaker 1>vastly different priorities than the previous administration, which in turn

0:23:45.119 --> 0:23:48.359
<v Speaker 1>can mean that the funding you were counting on early

0:23:48.480 --> 0:23:53.320
<v Speaker 1>in the project disappears midway through the project, and that

0:23:54.680 --> 0:23:58.359
<v Speaker 1>just means it's the end of your whole process, not

0:23:58.440 --> 0:24:01.439
<v Speaker 1>a way to run a space railway. Right. So, in

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:06.000
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and eight, when Obama won the presidency, one

0:24:06.160 --> 0:24:09.639
<v Speaker 1>of the things that followed was a change in NASA administrators.

0:24:09.920 --> 0:24:12.200
<v Speaker 1>He and his advisors had a different set of priorities

0:24:12.240 --> 0:24:15.680
<v Speaker 1>than the previous administration, which included dedicating more money toward

0:24:15.720 --> 0:24:19.639
<v Speaker 1>commercial space companies like SpaceX rather than going down the

0:24:19.720 --> 0:24:23.160
<v Speaker 1>traditional path in which NASA would contract with big companies

0:24:23.200 --> 0:24:27.800
<v Speaker 1>like Boeing or Lockheed. Griffin resigned upon Obama taking office,

0:24:27.920 --> 0:24:30.200
<v Speaker 1>which in turn is not an unusual thing to happen

0:24:30.280 --> 0:24:34.840
<v Speaker 1>when you have a change in administrations. It's not out

0:24:34.880 --> 0:24:41.120
<v Speaker 1>of the realm of normal practice for administrators to resign.

0:24:41.760 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 1>In those cases, it often happens. His replacement would eventually

0:24:46.080 --> 0:24:50.360
<v Speaker 1>be Charles Bolden, himself a former astronaut, though it takes

0:24:50.400 --> 0:24:54.960
<v Speaker 1>several months before Bolden would be appointed that position and

0:24:55.000 --> 0:24:59.080
<v Speaker 1>confirmed as the new administrator of NASA. These challenges are

0:24:59.119 --> 0:25:02.000
<v Speaker 1>part of why the private space industry was able to

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:06.040
<v Speaker 1>get a foothold. Private companies aren't beholden to a government

0:25:06.080 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 1>for their budgets. Although a private company might find itself

0:25:08.880 --> 0:25:11.159
<v Speaker 1>burning through its startup cash before it can become a

0:25:11.240 --> 0:25:15.439
<v Speaker 1>viable business, and private space companies like SpaceX were becoming

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:18.400
<v Speaker 1>prominent right around the same time, which in turn created

0:25:18.440 --> 0:25:21.440
<v Speaker 1>a chance to rely on those companies for key components

0:25:21.560 --> 0:25:25.160
<v Speaker 1>rather than having them all be designed or contracted through NASA.

0:25:25.680 --> 0:25:29.679
<v Speaker 1>After a committee evaluated Constellation and determined that the program

0:25:29.800 --> 0:25:34.400
<v Speaker 1>simply could not succeed given its very ambitious goals coupled

0:25:34.440 --> 0:25:38.040
<v Speaker 1>with its very limited resources, the project got the axe.

0:25:38.440 --> 0:25:41.520
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't necessarily that the project was bad, just that

0:25:41.720 --> 0:25:45.600
<v Speaker 1>its reach was further than its grasp. NASA was to

0:25:45.640 --> 0:25:48.680
<v Speaker 1>shift money over to long range goals such as developing

0:25:48.760 --> 0:25:52.160
<v Speaker 1>new heavy lift rockets and propulsion systems to be used

0:25:52.200 --> 0:25:55.280
<v Speaker 1>in space, all with an eye toward powering missions to

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:58.480
<v Speaker 1>Mars in the future. The areas rockets and the Orion

0:25:58.760 --> 0:26:04.120
<v Speaker 1>were scrapped, at least temporarily. Congress reacted negatively to these

0:26:04.200 --> 0:26:08.960
<v Speaker 1>changes because, well mostly because they weren't included in the decisions.

0:26:09.480 --> 0:26:15.280
<v Speaker 1>Obama amended his decision after encountering intense opposition from certain

0:26:15.280 --> 0:26:18.600
<v Speaker 1>members of Congress, and he brought Oriyan back into the

0:26:18.600 --> 0:26:21.120
<v Speaker 1>picture so it no longer was scrapped, it was now

0:26:21.200 --> 0:26:24.480
<v Speaker 1>back on the docket, and he set a deadline for

0:26:24.520 --> 0:26:27.239
<v Speaker 1>a new launch system to be ready to go by

0:26:27.280 --> 0:26:30.959
<v Speaker 1>twenty fifteen. Congress then took that plan and tweaked it

0:26:31.400 --> 0:26:35.040
<v Speaker 1>by giving NASA the directive to repurpose the rocket designs

0:26:35.040 --> 0:26:38.600
<v Speaker 1>for the Constellation project and have that ready to go

0:26:38.680 --> 0:26:41.520
<v Speaker 1>by twenty sixteen. The new launch vehicle would be called

0:26:41.520 --> 0:26:46.359
<v Speaker 1>the Space Launch System or SLS. One of Obama's advisors

0:26:46.359 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 1>said it was it was pretty clear that members of

0:26:49.520 --> 0:26:52.480
<v Speaker 1>Congress were doing their best to keep contracts with big

0:26:52.520 --> 0:26:55.800
<v Speaker 1>companies that had been involved in Constellation, indicating that this

0:26:55.920 --> 0:26:58.880
<v Speaker 1>might have been some sort of you know, smokey filled

0:26:59.000 --> 0:27:04.840
<v Speaker 1>room politics going on here rather than technical discussions. One

0:27:04.880 --> 0:27:07.200
<v Speaker 1>other goal in this era was to develop a mission

0:27:07.200 --> 0:27:10.679
<v Speaker 1>in which NASA would send astronauts to an asteroid, again

0:27:10.760 --> 0:27:13.800
<v Speaker 1>as sort of a staging ground for an eventual mission

0:27:13.840 --> 0:27:19.480
<v Speaker 1>to Mars, and that's where things mostly stayed. During Obama's administration,

0:27:19.840 --> 0:27:23.119
<v Speaker 1>NASA was working on developing these initiatives, and the private

0:27:23.200 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 1>space industry began to grow at the same time. Now,

0:27:26.600 --> 0:27:29.920
<v Speaker 1>ultimately that asteroid mission would get scrapped, but it would

0:27:29.920 --> 0:27:32.720
<v Speaker 1>stick around for quite some time. Now, when Donald Trump

0:27:32.920 --> 0:27:36.760
<v Speaker 1>won the presidency, things would change again. So one thing

0:27:36.800 --> 0:27:39.679
<v Speaker 1>you do often see with these changes in administrations is

0:27:39.720 --> 0:27:44.040
<v Speaker 1>that a succeeding administration will attempt to set more ambitious

0:27:44.080 --> 0:27:47.400
<v Speaker 1>goals than the preceding one. It's a way for presidents

0:27:47.400 --> 0:27:50.280
<v Speaker 1>to kind of set themselves apart and to try and

0:27:50.840 --> 0:27:55.160
<v Speaker 1>get the nation excited about some particular initiative. So Obama's

0:27:55.160 --> 0:27:58.320
<v Speaker 1>administration was looking at the moon and asteroids, with a

0:27:58.359 --> 0:28:01.359
<v Speaker 1>further goal being Mars in the future. Trump's approach was

0:28:01.359 --> 0:28:03.879
<v Speaker 1>similar in that it was Moon and then straight on

0:28:04.000 --> 0:28:06.200
<v Speaker 1>to Mars. Now. I'm not going to go into all

0:28:06.240 --> 0:28:09.600
<v Speaker 1>the budget details here except to say, despite the fact

0:28:09.640 --> 0:28:12.439
<v Speaker 1>that you kept seeing these lofty goals in place, you

0:28:12.480 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 1>didn't necessarily see an enormous boost in budgets at NASA,

0:28:16.760 --> 0:28:19.280
<v Speaker 1>certainly nothing close to the peak that was spent back

0:28:19.280 --> 0:28:22.640
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen sixty six with the Apollo program. The budget

0:28:22.680 --> 0:28:26.440
<v Speaker 1>fluctuated year to year. In twenty sixteen it was nineteen

0:28:26.760 --> 0:28:30.480
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars, but a year later the budget had reduced

0:28:30.520 --> 0:28:34.439
<v Speaker 1>down to eighteen point eight billion dollars. In twenty eighteen,

0:28:34.480 --> 0:28:37.800
<v Speaker 1>it would bounce back to nineteen point five billion, but

0:28:37.880 --> 0:28:41.000
<v Speaker 1>it kind of hovered right around that area just under

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:45.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty billion dollars, and there's still political battles being fought

0:28:45.520 --> 0:28:48.880
<v Speaker 1>around the subject of relying on commercial space companies like

0:28:48.920 --> 0:28:54.040
<v Speaker 1>SpaceX versus going the traditional route where NASA lands contracts

0:28:54.040 --> 0:28:57.760
<v Speaker 1>with specific big companies like Boeing and Lockheed in order

0:28:57.800 --> 0:29:03.000
<v Speaker 1>to build spacecraft. Wells typically play out with congressional representatives

0:29:03.000 --> 0:29:06.640
<v Speaker 1>from states that rely on big manufacturing jobs, with those

0:29:06.640 --> 0:29:10.040
<v Speaker 1>companies like Boeing and Lockheed arguing that the key elements

0:29:10.080 --> 0:29:13.360
<v Speaker 1>of any mission should ultimately be owned and operated by NASA.

0:29:13.800 --> 0:29:17.520
<v Speaker 1>Then others say that the financially responsible thing to do

0:29:17.720 --> 0:29:21.360
<v Speaker 1>is to outsource this to commercial space companies, whom they

0:29:21.480 --> 0:29:24.200
<v Speaker 1>argue can do the same work but for less money.

0:29:24.680 --> 0:29:26.960
<v Speaker 1>And a lot of these arguments come down to financial

0:29:26.960 --> 0:29:30.680
<v Speaker 1>and political matters, again, not technological decisions, and it gets

0:29:30.840 --> 0:29:36.360
<v Speaker 1>really messy. Tech is way easier to explain. In April

0:29:36.360 --> 0:29:40.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty nineteen, NASA announced that the Artemis program and its

0:29:40.080 --> 0:29:42.560
<v Speaker 1>ambitious goal of putting a man and woman on the

0:29:42.560 --> 0:29:46.440
<v Speaker 1>Moon by twenty twenty four would become a reality. Of course,

0:29:46.600 --> 0:29:49.200
<v Speaker 1>we have to remember that elements of this plan had

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 1>been in development since two thousand and five, But because

0:29:52.520 --> 0:29:55.800
<v Speaker 1>the SLS is largely built upon the bones of the

0:29:55.880 --> 0:30:00.360
<v Speaker 1>proposed Ares five rocket design. Heck, the Orion spacecraft, which

0:30:00.600 --> 0:30:05.000
<v Speaker 1>will actually hold the crew of a NASA Artemis mission,

0:30:05.360 --> 0:30:08.120
<v Speaker 1>has been the one piece that's been most consistently in

0:30:08.160 --> 0:30:12.120
<v Speaker 1>development since George W. Bush was president. In February twenty twenty,

0:30:12.560 --> 0:30:17.560
<v Speaker 1>the document titled Moon twenty twenty four Mission Manifest made

0:30:17.560 --> 0:30:21.120
<v Speaker 1>the rounds now. NASA has since disputed the contents of

0:30:21.160 --> 0:30:24.000
<v Speaker 1>this document, saying that it does not accurately reflect the

0:30:24.040 --> 0:30:27.560
<v Speaker 1>current state of the Artemis program. However, as of the

0:30:27.600 --> 0:30:30.720
<v Speaker 1>time of this recording, it's the most recent version of

0:30:30.760 --> 0:30:33.719
<v Speaker 1>the plan I can find. Everything else is kind of

0:30:34.320 --> 0:30:39.440
<v Speaker 1>gone dark, So I'll explain the manifest version of the

0:30:39.440 --> 0:30:42.800
<v Speaker 1>mission here with the caveat that things have already changed.

0:30:43.080 --> 0:30:45.440
<v Speaker 1>But this plan kind of gives us a peek into

0:30:45.480 --> 0:30:50.640
<v Speaker 1>the ambition surrounding the Artemis program, even if the subsequent

0:30:50.720 --> 0:30:53.560
<v Speaker 1>plan that will get announced probably right around the time

0:30:53.640 --> 0:30:57.080
<v Speaker 1>this episode publishes, might have more details. So here we go.

0:30:57.480 --> 0:31:02.600
<v Speaker 1>In April twenty twenty one, according to this manifest, NASA

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:07.800
<v Speaker 1>would test a Block one SLS launch vehicle carrying an

0:31:07.960 --> 0:31:12.520
<v Speaker 1>unmanned Orion spacecraft in a mission dubbed Artemis one. So

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:17.040
<v Speaker 1>that raises a question, what's a Block one SLS. Well,

0:31:17.480 --> 0:31:20.120
<v Speaker 1>the SLS is designed in a way that will allow

0:31:20.200 --> 0:31:24.200
<v Speaker 1>NASA to swap out elements further down the line to

0:31:24.400 --> 0:31:29.400
<v Speaker 1>give it a boost in performance. Specifically, it will allow

0:31:29.480 --> 0:31:34.080
<v Speaker 1>NASA to include more powerful boosters and rockets that are

0:31:34.080 --> 0:31:37.320
<v Speaker 1>intended to get a crew to Mars. But those are

0:31:37.360 --> 0:31:41.600
<v Speaker 1>still being designed and constructed, and so we don't even

0:31:41.960 --> 0:31:45.800
<v Speaker 1>have an example to point at for the more advanced ones.

0:31:46.080 --> 0:31:48.120
<v Speaker 1>And rather than wait on all of that to finish

0:31:48.200 --> 0:31:52.240
<v Speaker 1>before making any other progress, NASA has placed a strategy

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:55.960
<v Speaker 1>in which an initial version of the Space Launch System

0:31:56.080 --> 0:31:59.400
<v Speaker 1>Block one will be used to get the Orion into orbit,

0:31:59.600 --> 0:32:01.640
<v Speaker 1>or to say, it to the Moon, and the future

0:32:01.640 --> 0:32:05.840
<v Speaker 1>will get a more powerful Block two SLS that would

0:32:05.880 --> 0:32:08.840
<v Speaker 1>be able to send the Orion and cargo to Mars.

0:32:09.360 --> 0:32:13.200
<v Speaker 1>So how does all this play out? Well, keep in

0:32:13.240 --> 0:32:16.560
<v Speaker 1>mind that the Block two doesn't really exist yet, so

0:32:16.800 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 1>things could change dramatically by the time we actually have

0:32:19.800 --> 0:32:23.640
<v Speaker 1>something built, if it even gets built. The Block one

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:29.080
<v Speaker 1>SLS is the version that's currently being finalized now, and

0:32:29.280 --> 0:32:32.560
<v Speaker 1>it will have two boosters similar to the Space Shuttle,

0:32:32.760 --> 0:32:35.080
<v Speaker 1>and it will also have a core stage like a

0:32:35.200 --> 0:32:41.120
<v Speaker 1>central rocket tank with four engines. The pair of solid

0:32:41.160 --> 0:32:44.880
<v Speaker 1>propellant rocket boosters are really similar to what the Space

0:32:44.920 --> 0:32:48.000
<v Speaker 1>Shuttle used. In fact, some of the early SLS launch

0:32:48.080 --> 0:32:54.160
<v Speaker 1>vehicles will be using unused Space Shuttle booster casings. Then

0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:57.040
<v Speaker 1>in the future new casings will have to be made

0:32:57.040 --> 0:32:59.600
<v Speaker 1>because we'll have run out of ones that weren't used

0:32:59.600 --> 0:33:02.640
<v Speaker 1>in the space program. But the old Space Shuttle boosters

0:33:02.920 --> 0:33:07.320
<v Speaker 1>had four segments of solid propellant rocket fuel. The Block

0:33:07.360 --> 0:33:12.760
<v Speaker 1>one SLS boosters will have five segments the core stage.

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:17.360
<v Speaker 1>That central rocket will have four engines, and it will

0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:21.640
<v Speaker 1>use liquid propellant. Once in space and the Orion spacecraft

0:33:21.640 --> 0:33:25.640
<v Speaker 1>separates from its launch vehicle, the Orion spacecraft will use

0:33:25.640 --> 0:33:29.800
<v Speaker 1>what is called the interim cryogenic propulsion stage to travel

0:33:29.800 --> 0:33:33.240
<v Speaker 1>to its destination, such as the Moon. This version of

0:33:33.280 --> 0:33:37.160
<v Speaker 1>the SLS will be able to send fifty seven thousand

0:33:37.440 --> 0:33:41.320
<v Speaker 1>pounds or twenty six metric tons of payload into space.

0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:44.400
<v Speaker 1>In fact, it'll be able to deliver payloads of that

0:33:44.640 --> 0:33:49.320
<v Speaker 1>size into orbits beyond the Moon now between Block one

0:33:49.560 --> 0:33:53.120
<v Speaker 1>and Block two. NASA also plans a version of the

0:33:53.240 --> 0:33:56.720
<v Speaker 1>SLS called Block one B. It will have a little

0:33:56.720 --> 0:34:00.680
<v Speaker 1>bit more oomph. The central core will have more fuel,

0:34:00.720 --> 0:34:04.040
<v Speaker 1>it'll be a bigger fuel tank, and it will be

0:34:04.040 --> 0:34:06.800
<v Speaker 1>able to put not just the Orion spacecraft into orbit,

0:34:07.320 --> 0:34:10.399
<v Speaker 1>but an orbiting habitat up into space. It can lift

0:34:10.440 --> 0:34:14.600
<v Speaker 1>a heavier payload up into space, creating opportunities for missions

0:34:15.200 --> 0:34:19.319
<v Speaker 1>and more ambitious goals. Block two's goal is to create

0:34:19.320 --> 0:34:22.239
<v Speaker 1>a launch vehicle capable of putting forty five tons of

0:34:22.280 --> 0:34:25.320
<v Speaker 1>payload into deep space and will be used for missions

0:34:25.360 --> 0:34:27.879
<v Speaker 1>that aim to go to Mars. All right, so let's

0:34:27.880 --> 0:34:31.320
<v Speaker 1>get back to this timeline that has since been disputed

0:34:31.320 --> 0:34:34.759
<v Speaker 1>by NASA. So, according to that original timeline, or at

0:34:34.800 --> 0:34:39.080
<v Speaker 1>least the manifest timeline, NASA planned for the first crude

0:34:39.719 --> 0:34:43.080
<v Speaker 1>Orion mission, The first mission to have astronauts aboard the

0:34:43.120 --> 0:34:47.080
<v Speaker 1>Orion spacecraft, which would be called the Artemis two mission,

0:34:47.360 --> 0:34:51.319
<v Speaker 1>would launch in January twenty twenty three. The mission will

0:34:51.400 --> 0:34:55.759
<v Speaker 1>use a Block one SLS as the launch vehicle, and

0:34:55.920 --> 0:34:58.480
<v Speaker 1>it would see the astronauts go on a path around

0:34:58.560 --> 0:35:01.439
<v Speaker 1>the Moon and back to Earth, not landing on the Moon,

0:35:01.760 --> 0:35:04.320
<v Speaker 1>but doing an orbit of the Moon and then returning

0:35:04.840 --> 0:35:06.399
<v Speaker 1>or maybe not even a full orbit. I think it's

0:35:06.440 --> 0:35:09.520
<v Speaker 1>just a flyby behind the Moon, similar to some of

0:35:09.520 --> 0:35:14.200
<v Speaker 1>the earlier Apollo missions. In August twenty twenty four, NASA

0:35:14.239 --> 0:35:18.160
<v Speaker 1>plans to launch the Artemis three mission. This mission's purpose

0:35:18.239 --> 0:35:20.520
<v Speaker 1>is to send a lunar lander to the Moon on

0:35:20.719 --> 0:35:25.400
<v Speaker 1>a Block one bsls. More on the whole lunar lander

0:35:25.400 --> 0:35:27.600
<v Speaker 1>thing in a bit, because that part of the plan

0:35:27.719 --> 0:35:32.040
<v Speaker 1>has definitely changed a couple of times. October twenty twenty

0:35:32.080 --> 0:35:35.280
<v Speaker 1>four is the big one. That would be a mission

0:35:35.320 --> 0:35:38.040
<v Speaker 1>called Artemis four, and the purpose would be to send

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:41.480
<v Speaker 1>astronauts to actually set foot on the Moon, including at

0:35:41.600 --> 0:35:45.520
<v Speaker 1>least one woman. This mission would use a Block one

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:51.200
<v Speaker 1>SLS to send the Orion to rendezvous with a thing

0:35:51.520 --> 0:35:54.480
<v Speaker 1>around the Moon's orbit. We'll get back to that because

0:35:54.520 --> 0:35:56.440
<v Speaker 1>it has changed. It originally was just going to be

0:35:56.440 --> 0:36:00.560
<v Speaker 1>a lunar lander. Now it's slightly different. And this does

0:36:00.600 --> 0:36:04.160
<v Speaker 1>not end the Artemis program right The landing on the

0:36:04.160 --> 0:36:08.360
<v Speaker 1>Moon is not the ultimate end of Artemis. NASA plans

0:36:08.400 --> 0:36:12.000
<v Speaker 1>a few other missions. One would happen in September twenty

0:36:12.080 --> 0:36:16.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty five. This one is not technically an Artemis mission,

0:36:17.320 --> 0:36:20.360
<v Speaker 1>but it will use the same spacecraft it'll use the

0:36:21.520 --> 0:36:26.919
<v Speaker 1>SLS Block one in order to launch a satellite called

0:36:26.960 --> 0:36:30.239
<v Speaker 1>the Europa Clipper, and this one would fly over to

0:36:30.360 --> 0:36:33.920
<v Speaker 1>Jupiter and get an orbit around Jupiter and do flybys

0:36:33.920 --> 0:36:37.040
<v Speaker 1>of Jupiter's moon Europa to get a closer look. And

0:36:37.080 --> 0:36:38.680
<v Speaker 1>part of the purpose of this mission is to see

0:36:38.680 --> 0:36:42.000
<v Speaker 1>if Europa has environments that could potentially support life, so

0:36:42.040 --> 0:36:46.240
<v Speaker 1>that's really exciting. Then in June twenty twenty six, NASA

0:36:46.280 --> 0:36:48.960
<v Speaker 1>plans to send another mission to the Moon, this one

0:36:49.000 --> 0:36:53.600
<v Speaker 1>designated Artemis five, with more astronauts visiting Old Luna, using

0:36:53.600 --> 0:36:57.279
<v Speaker 1>a Block one B SLS to get there, so this

0:36:57.320 --> 0:37:02.120
<v Speaker 1>is the slightly larger version of the SLS. The following June,

0:37:02.200 --> 0:37:05.160
<v Speaker 1>NASA would launch a lander to head to Europa, giving

0:37:05.239 --> 0:37:07.520
<v Speaker 1>us an even closer look at Jubiter's Moon because we'd

0:37:07.520 --> 0:37:13.280
<v Speaker 1>have a lander setting foot, a lander uncrewed lander setting

0:37:13.280 --> 0:37:17.160
<v Speaker 1>foot or landing on Europa. But that would be super cool.

0:37:17.800 --> 0:37:21.680
<v Speaker 1>In August twenty twenty eight, NASA, according to this manifest

0:37:21.719 --> 0:37:24.520
<v Speaker 1>would plan to launch the Artemis six mission, which would

0:37:24.560 --> 0:37:26.480
<v Speaker 1>once again take astronauts to the Moon, but this time

0:37:26.520 --> 0:37:30.360
<v Speaker 1>aboard a Block one B SLS, And in February twenty

0:37:30.400 --> 0:37:33.919
<v Speaker 1>twenty nine, Artemis seven would send cargo to the Moon

0:37:34.400 --> 0:37:36.319
<v Speaker 1>and would be the first mission to rely on a

0:37:36.360 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 1>Block two SLS. August twenty twenty nine also brings us

0:37:40.680 --> 0:37:45.959
<v Speaker 1>to Artemis eight, and that is also using a block

0:37:46.000 --> 0:37:49.840
<v Speaker 1>to SLS to send people astronauts aboard and orion mission.

0:37:50.160 --> 0:37:52.239
<v Speaker 1>I have no idea where that one's specifically going. It

0:37:52.320 --> 0:37:55.120
<v Speaker 1>might be a mission to test the block two for

0:37:55.719 --> 0:38:00.239
<v Speaker 1>a manned spaceflight mission in general, but maybe it's going

0:38:00.239 --> 0:38:02.640
<v Speaker 1>to the Moon. I don't know. The manifest was unclear,

0:38:03.160 --> 0:38:05.360
<v Speaker 1>and the final two Artemist missions that were in that

0:38:05.480 --> 0:38:10.080
<v Speaker 1>manifest included a twenty thirty one called Artomus nine that

0:38:10.120 --> 0:38:13.040
<v Speaker 1>would be a cargo mission using an SLS Block two

0:38:13.280 --> 0:38:16.239
<v Speaker 1>and an Artomis ten that would also use a astronaut

0:38:16.560 --> 0:38:21.200
<v Speaker 1>led mission on a block to SLS. So that's what

0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:25.000
<v Speaker 1>the manifest had laid out, which NASA again has disputed,

0:38:25.040 --> 0:38:28.759
<v Speaker 1>saying that there are numerous errors or discrepancies with their

0:38:28.800 --> 0:38:32.359
<v Speaker 1>current plan. But that's the most information I have as

0:38:32.400 --> 0:38:34.239
<v Speaker 1>of the recording of this podcast. It gives us a

0:38:34.280 --> 0:38:37.080
<v Speaker 1>general idea of what they were thinking. When we come back,

0:38:37.120 --> 0:38:40.000
<v Speaker 1>I'll talk about some other things that have complicated this

0:38:40.239 --> 0:38:50.279
<v Speaker 1>But first let's take a quick break. As I record this,

0:38:50.440 --> 0:38:53.680
<v Speaker 1>we're in a blackout on information about further details of

0:38:53.719 --> 0:38:57.640
<v Speaker 1>the Artimist program, largely because NASA is in contract negotiations

0:38:57.680 --> 0:39:01.200
<v Speaker 1>with multiple companies for different parts of this program. So

0:39:01.200 --> 0:39:03.879
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of details that haven't been nailed down.

0:39:04.080 --> 0:39:07.400
<v Speaker 1>There's nothing to share because they haven't decided which version

0:39:07.440 --> 0:39:10.360
<v Speaker 1>they're going with on some of these things. Meanwhile, the

0:39:10.440 --> 0:39:13.640
<v Speaker 1>clock is ticking. But while we don't have concrete facts

0:39:13.640 --> 0:39:15.359
<v Speaker 1>to talk about, we can at least go over what

0:39:15.480 --> 0:39:19.200
<v Speaker 1>NASA has in mind. Now, I've mentioned the Orion spacecraft

0:39:19.280 --> 0:39:22.920
<v Speaker 1>several times without really going into any real detail about it. Again,

0:39:23.000 --> 0:39:25.239
<v Speaker 1>out of all the pieces for the Artemis program, this

0:39:25.280 --> 0:39:27.960
<v Speaker 1>one has had the most consistent support behind it. Since

0:39:27.960 --> 0:39:31.200
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and five, the first Orion spacecraft has been

0:39:31.400 --> 0:39:35.800
<v Speaker 1>completed in manufacturing. So it's something that we can actually

0:39:35.800 --> 0:39:38.919
<v Speaker 1>talk about because there is one. It hasn't been used yet,

0:39:39.280 --> 0:39:42.279
<v Speaker 1>but it exists. It has changed a few times since

0:39:42.320 --> 0:39:45.920
<v Speaker 1>its original concept. The prime company responsible for building the

0:39:45.960 --> 0:39:50.160
<v Speaker 1>Orion spacecraft is Lockheed. Now lots of folks call Orion

0:39:50.360 --> 0:39:53.680
<v Speaker 1>a gum drop shaped spacecraft, and to me, it looks

0:39:53.719 --> 0:39:56.680
<v Speaker 1>really similar in design of the old Apollo capsules, but

0:39:56.719 --> 0:40:00.439
<v Speaker 1>it's larger and fancier than those old spacecraft. It could

0:40:00.440 --> 0:40:03.279
<v Speaker 1>carry more people. The Apollo spacecraft would carry a crew

0:40:03.320 --> 0:40:06.200
<v Speaker 1>of three, the Orion is designed to carry a crew

0:40:06.280 --> 0:40:10.520
<v Speaker 1>of four. A lot of the documentation says they could

0:40:10.640 --> 0:40:14.480
<v Speaker 1>carry a crew of up to six, but NASA consistently

0:40:14.520 --> 0:40:19.239
<v Speaker 1>describes it as being a four person spacecraft. It is

0:40:19.320 --> 0:40:23.719
<v Speaker 1>capable of traveling in space for twenty one days, or

0:40:23.840 --> 0:40:27.000
<v Speaker 1>it can exist out in space for up to six

0:40:27.080 --> 0:40:31.000
<v Speaker 1>months when docked with some other spacecraft like the International

0:40:31.000 --> 0:40:35.839
<v Speaker 1>Space Station. NASA's plan is to crew the Orion spacecraft

0:40:35.880 --> 0:40:38.959
<v Speaker 1>with four astronauts, though as I said before, it could

0:40:38.960 --> 0:40:41.279
<v Speaker 1>potentially hold as many a six at least according to

0:40:41.400 --> 0:40:45.880
<v Speaker 1>most documentation I've read. The crew module, which is the

0:40:45.880 --> 0:40:48.719
<v Speaker 1>bit that the astronauts will actually be in, is the

0:40:48.760 --> 0:40:51.080
<v Speaker 1>part that looks like an old Apollo capsule, but bigger.

0:40:51.120 --> 0:40:55.120
<v Speaker 1>It has three hundred and sixteen cubic feet of habitable volume.

0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:59.360
<v Speaker 1>The old Apollo spacecraft had numerous dials, switches, buttons, and

0:40:59.400 --> 0:41:03.319
<v Speaker 1>screens all over the place, but the Orion has just

0:41:03.400 --> 0:41:06.320
<v Speaker 1>three computer screens, and it distills all of those various

0:41:06.360 --> 0:41:09.279
<v Speaker 1>technologies that were represented by those buttons and dials and

0:41:09.360 --> 0:41:14.440
<v Speaker 1>switches into a computer controlled system accessible through on screen commands,

0:41:14.440 --> 0:41:17.880
<v Speaker 1>which in itself is a pretty big departure and a

0:41:17.880 --> 0:41:19.759
<v Speaker 1>big bet. It's one of those things that makes some

0:41:19.760 --> 0:41:23.920
<v Speaker 1>people nervous, the idea that you have these computerized systems

0:41:23.920 --> 0:41:26.360
<v Speaker 1>and you question, well, what happens if something goes wrong?

0:41:26.640 --> 0:41:29.680
<v Speaker 1>How do you take manual control of a spacecraft. I've

0:41:29.719 --> 0:41:32.919
<v Speaker 1>already talked about the SLS, but there's a third part

0:41:33.000 --> 0:41:35.480
<v Speaker 1>of that that we need to mention really quickly, which

0:41:35.520 --> 0:41:40.000
<v Speaker 1>is what NASA calls the Exploration Ground Systems or EGS.

0:41:41.040 --> 0:41:44.560
<v Speaker 1>I would call that a launch pad. The SLS will

0:41:44.600 --> 0:41:47.160
<v Speaker 1>use new ones constructed for that purpose, and the project

0:41:47.160 --> 0:41:50.759
<v Speaker 1>will also make use of two new spacesuit designs. But

0:41:51.560 --> 0:41:54.000
<v Speaker 1>rather than go into detail about those spacesuits, I'm going

0:41:54.040 --> 0:41:56.239
<v Speaker 1>to save that for its own podcast to talk about

0:41:56.280 --> 0:42:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the evolution of the spacesuit and how that has changed

0:42:00.800 --> 0:42:04.879
<v Speaker 1>over the past few decades. To actually visit the Moon.

0:42:05.320 --> 0:42:08.160
<v Speaker 1>NASA does have some other plans, and one of those

0:42:08.239 --> 0:42:11.239
<v Speaker 1>now is the Lunar Gateway. Before I was talking about

0:42:11.239 --> 0:42:16.200
<v Speaker 1>a lunar lander that the Orion would have presumably rendezvous

0:42:16.239 --> 0:42:18.960
<v Speaker 1>with around orbit in the Moon and then gone down

0:42:19.000 --> 0:42:22.719
<v Speaker 1>to the surface. But things have changed since then. So

0:42:23.040 --> 0:42:26.600
<v Speaker 1>here's how it's supposed to work. You have what is

0:42:26.719 --> 0:42:31.799
<v Speaker 1>essentially a lunar satellite or lunar space station. This not

0:42:31.800 --> 0:42:34.960
<v Speaker 1>as big as the International Space Station, but a station

0:42:35.120 --> 0:42:39.800
<v Speaker 1>in orbit around the Moon itself, and NASA would launch

0:42:39.960 --> 0:42:43.839
<v Speaker 1>this in parts in several launches and then construct it

0:42:43.960 --> 0:42:48.720
<v Speaker 1>in space around lunar orbit, and when finished, it should

0:42:48.760 --> 0:42:52.720
<v Speaker 1>be the size of a studio apartment, according to NASA,

0:42:53.080 --> 0:42:56.160
<v Speaker 1>capable of supporting astronauts for several months at a time

0:42:56.239 --> 0:43:02.440
<v Speaker 1>if necessary. Orion would be docking with this gateway satellite

0:43:02.560 --> 0:43:06.040
<v Speaker 1>or gateway station in order to go to Moon missions,

0:43:06.520 --> 0:43:09.960
<v Speaker 1>and astronauts would not stay aboard the Lunar Gateway all

0:43:10.080 --> 0:43:12.120
<v Speaker 1>year round. Instead, they would just be there for the

0:43:12.200 --> 0:43:15.240
<v Speaker 1>duration of a mission before departing in the Orion capsule

0:43:15.280 --> 0:43:18.799
<v Speaker 1>to come back home, and you would have to occasionally

0:43:19.080 --> 0:43:25.360
<v Speaker 1>or frequently send cargo up to replenish the Lunar Gateway.

0:43:26.719 --> 0:43:31.319
<v Speaker 1>From the gateway, astronauts would board a spacecraft that would

0:43:31.360 --> 0:43:35.200
<v Speaker 1>be a type of transfer module, so they would dock

0:43:35.600 --> 0:43:39.279
<v Speaker 1>their Orion capsule with the lunar Gateway, transfer over into

0:43:39.320 --> 0:43:42.880
<v Speaker 1>the Lunar Gateway, get stuff ready for their Moon adventures.

0:43:43.200 --> 0:43:46.200
<v Speaker 1>Then they would go over into this transfer module and

0:43:46.280 --> 0:43:51.239
<v Speaker 1>that would detach from the Lunar Gateway. It would make

0:43:51.280 --> 0:43:55.560
<v Speaker 1>its way to the descent point for the Moon's surface.

0:43:56.160 --> 0:43:58.000
<v Speaker 1>It would then separate so that you would have a

0:43:58.080 --> 0:44:03.200
<v Speaker 1>descent stage descent module that would go down and land

0:44:03.280 --> 0:44:06.239
<v Speaker 1>on the surface of the Moon. Astronauts would then do

0:44:06.320 --> 0:44:10.360
<v Speaker 1>their thing on the lunar surface, using the descent stage

0:44:10.400 --> 0:44:12.560
<v Speaker 1>as sort of a base of operations for up to

0:44:12.600 --> 0:44:15.960
<v Speaker 1>two weeks. Then they would board the part of that

0:44:16.120 --> 0:44:19.040
<v Speaker 1>module that would be the ascent module. So this is

0:44:19.040 --> 0:44:23.000
<v Speaker 1>the part that actually launches back off of the Moon's surface,

0:44:23.800 --> 0:44:27.799
<v Speaker 1>leaving part of it behind. Right, So everyone piles into

0:44:27.880 --> 0:44:31.480
<v Speaker 1>the ascent module, they launch, and then that puts them

0:44:31.520 --> 0:44:36.240
<v Speaker 1>into a trajectory where they can rendezvous with the Lunar Gateway,

0:44:36.400 --> 0:44:39.120
<v Speaker 1>dock with it, and come back to that studio apartment

0:44:39.160 --> 0:44:42.000
<v Speaker 1>floating around the surface of the Moon. They could then

0:44:42.040 --> 0:44:45.360
<v Speaker 1>continue work in the Lunar Gateway, or they could transfer

0:44:45.400 --> 0:44:48.640
<v Speaker 1>over to the Orion spacecraft for the journey home. Now

0:44:48.640 --> 0:44:51.600
<v Speaker 1>that part of the plan is largely being left to

0:44:51.680 --> 0:44:55.640
<v Speaker 1>commercial space programs. So this is really not a description

0:44:55.760 --> 0:44:58.600
<v Speaker 1>of a specific piece of technology. It's more of a

0:44:58.640 --> 0:45:02.680
<v Speaker 1>description of what NASA wants in order for them to

0:45:02.719 --> 0:45:05.319
<v Speaker 1>be able to have these missions work. So it's more like,

0:45:05.640 --> 0:45:08.239
<v Speaker 1>this is what the technology needs to be able to do,

0:45:08.640 --> 0:45:12.280
<v Speaker 1>but we're leaving it up to various companies to present

0:45:12.360 --> 0:45:16.040
<v Speaker 1>proposals on how they want to do that. So while

0:45:16.040 --> 0:45:20.919
<v Speaker 1>there's some concept art, it's all just a placeholder. These

0:45:20.960 --> 0:45:23.480
<v Speaker 1>companies could each come up with very different proposals on

0:45:23.520 --> 0:45:26.640
<v Speaker 1>how to achieve the same goal, and then ultimately NASA

0:45:26.680 --> 0:45:30.200
<v Speaker 1>will select whichever one the agency feels is the most

0:45:30.480 --> 0:45:33.880
<v Speaker 1>the perfect one for their mission. Hard to say the best,

0:45:34.080 --> 0:45:38.239
<v Speaker 1>because things like not just the technological capability, but also

0:45:38.320 --> 0:45:41.960
<v Speaker 1>the price factor into this sort of stuff. Anyway, honestly,

0:45:42.920 --> 0:45:46.480
<v Speaker 1>that's pretty much where Artemis shakes out today. It's a

0:45:46.520 --> 0:45:49.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of placeholders. Even to this day that still blows

0:45:49.000 --> 0:45:51.920
<v Speaker 1>my mind considering that the goal is to get boots

0:45:52.040 --> 0:45:55.839
<v Speaker 1>on the Moon by twenty twenty four. But then we've

0:45:55.880 --> 0:45:58.799
<v Speaker 1>moved pretty quickly in the past in the space race,

0:45:59.040 --> 0:46:01.719
<v Speaker 1>and honestly, this might be exactly what we need to

0:46:01.840 --> 0:46:05.360
<v Speaker 1>drive innovation. We'll be right back with more about the

0:46:05.480 --> 0:46:17.440
<v Speaker 1>Artemis program after these short messages. So there are generally

0:46:17.440 --> 0:46:19.839
<v Speaker 1>two paths you can take when you're making these sort

0:46:19.880 --> 0:46:23.080
<v Speaker 1>of big, big programs. One is you can work on

0:46:23.160 --> 0:46:26.400
<v Speaker 1>the technology that you're going to need for space exploration,

0:46:26.880 --> 0:46:29.480
<v Speaker 1>and then you can set a timeline based on your

0:46:29.520 --> 0:46:34.120
<v Speaker 1>progress as you produce these pieces of technology. But that

0:46:34.239 --> 0:46:36.680
<v Speaker 1>opens up the chance for projects to fall into an

0:46:36.800 --> 0:46:41.839
<v Speaker 1>observation called Parkinson's law that's named after Cyril Northcote Parkinson,

0:46:41.920 --> 0:46:46.040
<v Speaker 1>a British author, and Parkinson observed that work tends to

0:46:46.160 --> 0:46:50.200
<v Speaker 1>expand to fill the time available for it to be completed. So,

0:46:50.320 --> 0:46:54.120
<v Speaker 1>for example, let's say I'm researching a podcast and initially

0:46:54.480 --> 0:46:57.120
<v Speaker 1>I have a deadline of four hours to finish my

0:46:57.160 --> 0:46:59.560
<v Speaker 1>research before I have to go into the studio, and

0:47:00.040 --> 0:47:01.600
<v Speaker 1>that means it's going to take me four hours to

0:47:01.680 --> 0:47:03.839
<v Speaker 1>complete that research. I've got it all planned out, I'm

0:47:03.880 --> 0:47:06.560
<v Speaker 1>ready to go. I'm hitting the ground running. I'll be

0:47:06.640 --> 0:47:09.520
<v Speaker 1>done in four hours. But let's say that something happens.

0:47:09.719 --> 0:47:12.920
<v Speaker 1>Let's say that there's another podcast in the studio where

0:47:12.960 --> 0:47:16.080
<v Speaker 1>I was supposed to go in they're running late. Then

0:47:16.239 --> 0:47:18.879
<v Speaker 1>I'm told, hey, it's actually going to be two hours later.

0:47:18.960 --> 0:47:21.360
<v Speaker 1>Than what you thought. Now you have six hours to

0:47:21.440 --> 0:47:25.879
<v Speaker 1>finish that research. Well, according to Parkinson's law, the work

0:47:25.920 --> 0:47:29.400
<v Speaker 1>of that research will actually expand for that six hours.

0:47:29.719 --> 0:47:32.880
<v Speaker 1>That does not necessarily mean that the podcast I record

0:47:32.920 --> 0:47:35.040
<v Speaker 1>is going to be longer than it would have been

0:47:35.600 --> 0:47:38.800
<v Speaker 1>if it had stated its original studio time, or that'll

0:47:38.840 --> 0:47:41.600
<v Speaker 1>even be better than it would have been when I

0:47:41.719 --> 0:47:44.479
<v Speaker 1>was supposed to go in, rather than just the work

0:47:44.520 --> 0:47:48.480
<v Speaker 1>itself expanded to fill in those extra two hours. So

0:47:49.160 --> 0:47:51.719
<v Speaker 1>let's say we're working on a project and we're not

0:47:51.920 --> 0:47:54.240
<v Speaker 1>sure how long it's going to take us to complete

0:47:54.280 --> 0:47:57.200
<v Speaker 1>this project, but we're supposed to give an estimate. So

0:47:57.280 --> 0:48:00.760
<v Speaker 1>if we're conservative, then we'll give an estimate that's further

0:48:00.840 --> 0:48:03.920
<v Speaker 1>out than what we think we actually need, and the

0:48:04.000 --> 0:48:07.200
<v Speaker 1>idea being well, things are going to pop up, we're

0:48:07.239 --> 0:48:10.000
<v Speaker 1>gonna have to deal with them. So let's plan for

0:48:10.120 --> 0:48:13.040
<v Speaker 1>it to take twenty days, but we think it's really

0:48:13.040 --> 0:48:16.120
<v Speaker 1>going to only take ten. Well, according to Parkinson's law,

0:48:16.160 --> 0:48:18.040
<v Speaker 1>the work we're doing is actually going to expand to

0:48:18.040 --> 0:48:20.400
<v Speaker 1>fill up those extra ten days. So at the end

0:48:20.400 --> 0:48:22.359
<v Speaker 1>we're going to say, boy, aren't we glad we said

0:48:22.400 --> 0:48:24.720
<v Speaker 1>twenty days? Because it turned out that's how long we needed.

0:48:25.480 --> 0:48:29.840
<v Speaker 1>But there's also the possibility that you could have completed

0:48:29.880 --> 0:48:32.720
<v Speaker 1>it in ten days, and that you really just allowed

0:48:32.719 --> 0:48:36.000
<v Speaker 1>the work to expand to fill that space. That if

0:48:36.000 --> 0:48:38.040
<v Speaker 1>you had given a ten day deadline, you still have

0:48:38.080 --> 0:48:41.840
<v Speaker 1>gotten the work done. There is a diminishing return here, though.

0:48:41.960 --> 0:48:44.160
<v Speaker 1>There is a point where you might give a deadline

0:48:44.200 --> 0:48:46.560
<v Speaker 1>that's just too aggressive, right that maybe you say, oh,

0:48:46.640 --> 0:48:48.799
<v Speaker 1>it's going to take us five days when you really

0:48:48.840 --> 0:48:50.799
<v Speaker 1>think it's going to take you ten, and you're doing

0:48:50.840 --> 0:48:53.160
<v Speaker 1>it so that you motivate yourself, but it turns out

0:48:53.280 --> 0:48:56.040
<v Speaker 1>you've sabotaged the whole project because there's just no way

0:48:56.080 --> 0:48:58.279
<v Speaker 1>to get it all done in five days. That can

0:48:58.320 --> 0:49:02.600
<v Speaker 1>also happen. So it's a delicate line you have to walk, right. So,

0:49:02.880 --> 0:49:05.640
<v Speaker 1>Parkinson's law is really more about how we let time

0:49:05.680 --> 0:49:08.279
<v Speaker 1>get away from us, or how we allow bureaucracy to

0:49:08.280 --> 0:49:11.240
<v Speaker 1>play a large role in things, or otherwise bog ourselves

0:49:11.239 --> 0:49:13.200
<v Speaker 1>down in the stuff that keeps us from getting the

0:49:13.239 --> 0:49:16.480
<v Speaker 1>core work done. However, it does not mean we can

0:49:16.760 --> 0:49:20.560
<v Speaker 1>set these arbitrarily short deadlines and then magically get things

0:49:20.600 --> 0:49:23.800
<v Speaker 1>done faster. As I said, there is that tipping point

0:49:23.840 --> 0:49:26.920
<v Speaker 1>that you have to look at. NASA's approach is to

0:49:27.080 --> 0:49:32.320
<v Speaker 1>set aggressive but potentially achievable deadlines that in turn sets

0:49:32.360 --> 0:49:35.520
<v Speaker 1>expectations and the pace of work. It also gets people

0:49:35.560 --> 0:49:38.880
<v Speaker 1>into the habit of looking at practical approaches. If the

0:49:38.920 --> 0:49:41.279
<v Speaker 1>goal is to get people back on the Moon by

0:49:41.320 --> 0:49:44.960
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty four, what are the things that have to

0:49:45.080 --> 0:49:48.480
<v Speaker 1>happen in order to achieve that goal. If we're going

0:49:48.480 --> 0:49:51.239
<v Speaker 1>to send people to Mars in the following decade in

0:49:51.320 --> 0:49:55.280
<v Speaker 1>twenty thirties, what do we absolutely have to have nailed

0:49:55.280 --> 0:50:00.160
<v Speaker 1>down to make that happen, Rather than just having feature

0:50:00.360 --> 0:50:02.120
<v Speaker 1>come in where we say, oh, wouldn't it be nice

0:50:02.120 --> 0:50:05.680
<v Speaker 1>if we also added this. By saying these aggressive goals,

0:50:05.719 --> 0:50:08.400
<v Speaker 1>you kind of push feature creep to the side because

0:50:08.400 --> 0:50:12.239
<v Speaker 1>you say, listen, our main concern is getting this to

0:50:12.360 --> 0:50:16.800
<v Speaker 1>happen by this date. The things that would be nice

0:50:16.960 --> 0:50:20.759
<v Speaker 1>are out of the discussion because that doesn't contribute to

0:50:20.880 --> 0:50:25.480
<v Speaker 1>what we actually have as our goal. So that's kind

0:50:25.520 --> 0:50:29.680
<v Speaker 1>of what happened in the nineteen sixties to a large extent,

0:50:30.239 --> 0:50:34.279
<v Speaker 1>and it does work as a motivating factor to a

0:50:34.320 --> 0:50:38.640
<v Speaker 1>certain level. Now, besides, these timelines have to be aggressive anyway,

0:50:39.239 --> 0:50:42.640
<v Speaker 1>because NASA can't count on having a budget sufficient for

0:50:42.719 --> 0:50:46.719
<v Speaker 1>achieving its goals from one year to the next. Definitely

0:50:47.080 --> 0:50:51.200
<v Speaker 1>not between presidential administrations, and there's the potential for the

0:50:51.200 --> 0:50:54.960
<v Speaker 1>presidential administration to make a big change in twenty twenty,

0:50:55.440 --> 0:50:59.919
<v Speaker 1>so who knows what the next president might prioritize when

0:51:00.000 --> 0:51:03.600
<v Speaker 1>it comes to budgets. So if they set longer timelines,

0:51:03.600 --> 0:51:06.840
<v Speaker 1>if NASA said, OK, we're gonna give ourselves more space,

0:51:08.000 --> 0:51:11.640
<v Speaker 1>no pun intended, to get this stuff done, there'd be

0:51:11.719 --> 0:51:14.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot more chances for things like budget cutbacks which

0:51:14.600 --> 0:51:17.759
<v Speaker 1>would sabotage emission just as effectively as hitting some sort

0:51:17.800 --> 0:51:21.560
<v Speaker 1>of technical or design challenge that would become harder to

0:51:21.600 --> 0:51:25.080
<v Speaker 1>solve than you thought. NASA is moving forward with their

0:51:25.120 --> 0:51:26.799
<v Speaker 1>goals that we're going to have to wait and see

0:51:26.800 --> 0:51:29.880
<v Speaker 1>if they actually are achievable. But in the meantime, the

0:51:29.920 --> 0:51:33.000
<v Speaker 1>agency has opened up the application process for people who

0:51:33.040 --> 0:51:37.560
<v Speaker 1>are interested in becoming astronauts. Right now, the US Astronaut

0:51:37.640 --> 0:51:40.479
<v Speaker 1>program has about forty eight people in it. NASA needs

0:51:40.480 --> 0:51:44.320
<v Speaker 1>more for this program to be workable, so it's possible

0:51:44.400 --> 0:51:47.320
<v Speaker 1>someone listening to this podcast could be the first woman

0:51:47.560 --> 0:51:49.399
<v Speaker 1>or the next man to set foot on the moon.

0:51:49.960 --> 0:51:53.279
<v Speaker 1>To apply, you have to meet some pretty high standards,

0:51:53.320 --> 0:51:57.200
<v Speaker 1>which again is understandable. There are three general types of

0:51:57.200 --> 0:52:00.560
<v Speaker 1>folks that NASA is looking for during this application process.

0:52:01.080 --> 0:52:03.920
<v Speaker 1>They're looking for people who hold at least a master's

0:52:03.920 --> 0:52:07.840
<v Speaker 1>degree in a STEM related field, so like engineering or

0:52:07.920 --> 0:52:11.440
<v Speaker 1>astrophysics or something like that. They are also looking for

0:52:11.520 --> 0:52:15.239
<v Speaker 1>people who are medical doctors. It gets more specific than that,

0:52:15.440 --> 0:52:17.800
<v Speaker 1>but that's one of the three types, and the third

0:52:17.960 --> 0:52:22.080
<v Speaker 1>are people who are certified test pilots. Those are the

0:52:22.120 --> 0:52:25.000
<v Speaker 1>three types that NASA's looking for. So if you belong

0:52:25.080 --> 0:52:27.000
<v Speaker 1>to one of those three groups, you can look into

0:52:27.080 --> 0:52:29.279
<v Speaker 1>the requirements that NASA has in place to see if

0:52:29.280 --> 0:52:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you meet all the criteria. The application process includes an

0:52:33.080 --> 0:52:36.080
<v Speaker 1>online component for the very first time, which, as I

0:52:36.160 --> 0:52:39.000
<v Speaker 1>understand it takes a couple of hours to complete. I

0:52:39.040 --> 0:52:42.560
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't know because I don't meet the initial criteria, but

0:52:42.600 --> 0:52:45.080
<v Speaker 1>maybe one of you guys can find out. And we'll

0:52:45.120 --> 0:52:47.040
<v Speaker 1>have to wait and see if Artemis actually gets people

0:52:47.080 --> 0:52:49.200
<v Speaker 1>to the moon. We just don't know if it's going

0:52:49.239 --> 0:52:52.080
<v Speaker 1>to be possible yet. I have high hopes. I would

0:52:52.120 --> 0:52:55.520
<v Speaker 1>love to see it happen. I don't know how useful

0:52:55.560 --> 0:52:57.720
<v Speaker 1>it will be in the long term, unless we're actually

0:52:57.760 --> 0:52:59.759
<v Speaker 1>able to use the stuff we learn on the Moon

0:53:00.480 --> 0:53:04.520
<v Speaker 1>as a platform for learning how we can get to Mars.

0:53:05.239 --> 0:53:09.520
<v Speaker 1>But it's definitely something that is inspirational and that alone

0:53:09.640 --> 0:53:12.840
<v Speaker 1>has value. You just have to weigh that value against

0:53:12.920 --> 0:53:17.840
<v Speaker 1>other considerations, like risk and the other goals that you

0:53:17.960 --> 0:53:20.560
<v Speaker 1>have with the agency, because NASA is doing obviously a

0:53:20.560 --> 0:53:24.440
<v Speaker 1>lot more than just these programs, and you don't want

0:53:24.640 --> 0:53:30.000
<v Speaker 1>to have a big, high risk, high payoff project fail

0:53:30.280 --> 0:53:34.120
<v Speaker 1>like the Constellation project did and potentially set the agency backward.

0:53:34.320 --> 0:53:38.680
<v Speaker 1>So it's a complicated thing, all right. So that was

0:53:38.719 --> 0:53:43.520
<v Speaker 1>the Artemis Project. I hope you enjoyed that episode, and

0:53:43.560 --> 0:53:46.160
<v Speaker 1>I am working on an update to this where we're

0:53:46.200 --> 0:53:50.759
<v Speaker 1>going to talk more about space suits, their evolution, and

0:53:51.640 --> 0:53:55.720
<v Speaker 1>why things got out of control. According to the Office

0:53:55.719 --> 0:53:59.400
<v Speaker 1>of the Inspector General, the amount of money being spent

0:53:59.560 --> 0:54:04.480
<v Speaker 1>on new spacesuits so far just the development costs have

0:54:04.600 --> 0:54:08.200
<v Speaker 1>been around four hundred and twenty million dollars, and the

0:54:08.239 --> 0:54:11.560
<v Speaker 1>office expects that another six hundred million or so would

0:54:11.600 --> 0:54:16.799
<v Speaker 1>be spent before they were fully tested and ready to go,

0:54:17.160 --> 0:54:19.560
<v Speaker 1>which means that more than a billion dollars would be

0:54:19.560 --> 0:54:22.720
<v Speaker 1>spent on the development of these spacesuits, and that also

0:54:22.800 --> 0:54:26.520
<v Speaker 1>prompted some other folks to pipe up and suggest that

0:54:26.560 --> 0:54:29.719
<v Speaker 1>perhaps NASA's approach is not the best way, one of

0:54:29.719 --> 0:54:34.000
<v Speaker 1>those being Elon Musk. So I'm gonna do a follow

0:54:34.040 --> 0:54:37.480
<v Speaker 1>up episode to this one about spacesuits in general and

0:54:37.560 --> 0:54:40.680
<v Speaker 1>talk about what has been going on in more detail.

0:54:41.600 --> 0:54:44.239
<v Speaker 1>But for this one, I really wanted to revisit that

0:54:44.760 --> 0:54:48.640
<v Speaker 1>whole story about the Artemis program to really talk about,

0:54:49.400 --> 0:54:52.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, what are we trying to achieve in the

0:54:52.480 --> 0:54:56.560
<v Speaker 1>first place, and then kind of see what elements are

0:54:56.560 --> 0:54:59.440
<v Speaker 1>holding us back, because the space suits are just one

0:54:59.480 --> 0:55:03.480
<v Speaker 1>of them, but it is one that definitively states we

0:55:03.520 --> 0:55:07.840
<v Speaker 1>will not make that twenty twenty four goal. Barring some

0:55:09.360 --> 0:55:14.280
<v Speaker 1>Deos x Machina kind of solution. Perhaps Elon Musk will

0:55:14.640 --> 0:55:20.960
<v Speaker 1>produce spacesuits within the next three years that would be

0:55:21.040 --> 0:55:24.840
<v Speaker 1>fully tested and ready to go. I doubt it, but

0:55:24.960 --> 0:55:28.680
<v Speaker 1>who's to say. Anyway, If you have suggestions for future

0:55:28.680 --> 0:55:31.120
<v Speaker 1>topics of tech Stuff, let me know. You can reach

0:55:31.160 --> 0:55:33.160
<v Speaker 1>out to me on Twitter. The handle is text stuff

0:55:33.320 --> 0:55:42.640
<v Speaker 1>HSW and I'll talk to you again really soon. Tech

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<v Speaker 1>Stuff is an iHeartRadio production. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio,

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<v Speaker 1>visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you listen

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