WEBVTT - Wednesday Best Bets | My Favorite MLB Picks for July 29

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<v Speaker 1>What's up, guys?

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<v Speaker 2>How are you welcome to a Wednesday morning episode of

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<v Speaker 2>the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perutz. You guys

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<v Speaker 2>can follow me across all of my socials at Sports

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<v Speaker 2>Talk Matt. And it's just been one of those like

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<v Speaker 2>paper cut type of weeks. One in two, one and two.

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<v Speaker 2>We are normally two in one. We got to find

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<v Speaker 2>a way to flip that over. The player props have

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<v Speaker 2>not been good this week, so I'm gonna get away

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<v Speaker 2>from them coming up here today. We started off on

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<v Speaker 2>Monday and Tuesday using those but that experiment of going

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<v Speaker 2>two bets and a player prop did not work. One

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<v Speaker 2>in two, one and two Yankees have won both days

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<v Speaker 2>for us. The Phillies have lost both days for us,

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<v Speaker 2>So let's get away from the Phillies kind of look

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<v Speaker 2>at the Yankees here for a second. Things might be

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<v Speaker 2>going a little bit south in Philadelphia here towards the

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<v Speaker 2>end of July and Jordan Walker in the Cardinals offense

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<v Speaker 2>got smoked by the Cubs yesterday, so let's get away

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<v Speaker 2>from that. Series went to two on the player props

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<v Speaker 2>for the Cubs and the Cardinals. Button that takes us

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<v Speaker 2>to a Wednesday. There is a hard rock bet of

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<v Speaker 2>the day. So there's four bets. I'm giving you four

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<v Speaker 2>sides and totals coming up here for today. So maybe

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<v Speaker 2>that's going to change the mojo here and get us

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<v Speaker 2>rolling towards a profitable week. Still plenty of time to

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<v Speaker 2>do that here for the podcast now tomorrow, there is

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<v Speaker 2>no morning podcast. Okay, no morning podcast, no morning podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>Please do not DM me at me on the Discord channel.

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<v Speaker 2>Where's the podcast, Matt? There will be no morning podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>It'll be a one pm live show Eastern time. One

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<v Speaker 2>pm Eastern time live show, Okay, that is happening tomorrow

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<v Speaker 2>for us, and we will be on at ten am

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<v Speaker 2>Pacific time, one am Eastern time. Myself and Mike Mayer

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<v Speaker 2>will walk you through and build a card for a

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<v Speaker 2>home run prop day. We've never done that. We've never

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<v Speaker 2>gone live on top of that, so this is going

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<v Speaker 2>to be a unique thing for us to give you

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<v Speaker 2>a live version of the Daily Juice podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm excited.

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<v Speaker 2>If it works, we'll do it again for football and

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<v Speaker 2>we'll bring it back every couple of weeks or so.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, who knows. So this is a new twist.

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<v Speaker 2>It's one of the things we were talking about when

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<v Speaker 2>I moved to the East Coast that we could do

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<v Speaker 2>now that there's more time in the day per se

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<v Speaker 2>before games starts, and we're on the same time zone

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<v Speaker 2>as so many people who work for Betting Pros. I

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<v Speaker 2>was kind of one of the loan guys on the

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<v Speaker 2>West Coast. Now we have producers and other people who

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<v Speaker 2>are on the East Coast and we can sync up

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<v Speaker 2>schedules and make it happen. So tomorrow one pm, no

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<v Speaker 2>morning podcast, but we will have a live afternoon version

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<v Speaker 2>of the Daily Juice for our new home run tool.

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<v Speaker 2>Mike Mayer will walk us through all of it on

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<v Speaker 2>how to use it coming up later on today. Also,

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<v Speaker 2>if you guys would like a fifty dollars score store

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<v Speaker 2>store credit excuse me, and a Betting Pros Premium subscription

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<v Speaker 2>for a year, just leave a comment and be a

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<v Speaker 2>subscriber to the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

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<v Speaker 1>If you do that, we could pick you for the

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<v Speaker 1>month of July.

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<v Speaker 2>We're running out of time, final days for this before

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<v Speaker 2>we will announce who gets a fifty dollars store credit.

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<v Speaker 2>That's bettingpros dot com slash shop if you want to

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<v Speaker 2>check it out, and a year of betting Pros Premium,

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<v Speaker 2>which gives you access to the home run prop which

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<v Speaker 2>we'll be talked about tomorrow. So looking forward to seeing

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<v Speaker 2>who wins that coming up towards the end of the month.

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<v Speaker 2>In the beginning of August. For us here in July,

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<v Speaker 2>all right, let's start with baseball. Let's start with Jared

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<v Speaker 2>Jones and the Pirates. Jared Jones and the Pirates. This

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<v Speaker 2>guy in the month of July has a one point

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<v Speaker 2>twenty nine e ER. He's been great last time out

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<v Speaker 2>six innings, one earned run time before that, five innings,

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<v Speaker 2>one earned run time before that, six innings, no earned

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<v Speaker 2>runs against the Cup Guardians and the Braves. He also

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<v Speaker 2>went four innings and gave up two gifts. I give

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<v Speaker 2>it one earned run in a start against the Phillies

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<v Speaker 2>on the road. The Pirates have split the first two

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<v Speaker 2>games with the Diamondbacks eight seven, sorry, three to two

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<v Speaker 2>and eight to seven. We have the third game going

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<v Speaker 2>on here of the series today and it's e Rod

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<v Speaker 2>for the Diamondbacks. E Rod six innings, two earned runs

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<v Speaker 2>in his last road start. His last home start after

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<v Speaker 2>the All Star Break didn't go well two and two

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<v Speaker 2>thirds five earned runs, but maybe that's Russ after the

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<v Speaker 2>All Star break. His road start before that was a

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<v Speaker 2>sixth inning, two earned runs performance for him against the Dodgers.

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<v Speaker 2>He in the month of July has a four point

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<v Speaker 2>seventy nine ERA. He was an All Star for the Diamondbacks,

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<v Speaker 2>a nine to three record in a two point six

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<v Speaker 2>four er. I'm gonna go ahead and bank on some

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<v Speaker 2>lack of offense coming up here today between these two teams.

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<v Speaker 2>The e Rod's gonna and get back to being sharp

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<v Speaker 2>here and that yesterday eight to seven, a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>offense yesterday. We're on a quick turnaround here for these

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<v Speaker 2>guys with a day game in Pittsburgh, a getaway day

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<v Speaker 2>game here between these two teams, and I am going

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<v Speaker 2>to take the under here in this The hope is

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<v Speaker 2>we don't go to extra innings, Like, let's avoid going

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<v Speaker 2>to extra innings, Let's avoid seeing the offense getting scored.

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<v Speaker 2>Extra inning games have been sort of a buggaboo here,

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<v Speaker 2>but let's avoid to do that. Let's get ourselves a

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<v Speaker 2>final here in nine innings. If we do that, I.

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<v Speaker 1>Think we're gonna be good and we're gonna be able

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<v Speaker 1>to go in and take the under.

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<v Speaker 2>Pirates Diamondbacks under eight and a half at minus one

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<v Speaker 2>point fifteen for one point one five units. We need

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<v Speaker 2>both starting pitchers to be good because the bullpens can

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<v Speaker 2>be a little bit leaky at times for either team.

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<v Speaker 1>Number two we.

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<v Speaker 2>Go to Camlighter Slider, last name no one can say

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<v Speaker 2>and I can't say it either.

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<v Speaker 1>However, he's been very good in the month of July.

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<v Speaker 2>He is a two point zero five twenty six and

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<v Speaker 2>a third innings worth of work for the Yankee starter

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<v Speaker 2>six earned runs, only just two home runs given up

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<v Speaker 2>in the entire month. Last time out a one nothing

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<v Speaker 2>victory on the road against the Phillies seven and a

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<v Speaker 2>third zero earned runs. Last home start in eight to

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<v Speaker 2>two loss to the Dodgers, but he went four and

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<v Speaker 2>a third just gave up three earned runs. The road

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<v Speaker 2>start before that was a four to two win over

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<v Speaker 2>the Washington Nationals and a five to one win over

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<v Speaker 2>the Tampa Bay Rays. Three road starts, three road wins

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<v Speaker 2>for the Yankees. With Cam on the mound, the Boston,

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<v Speaker 2>Massachusetts Weymouth native has had all sorts of comments going

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<v Speaker 2>back and forth right with Yankee fans Red Sox fans.

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<v Speaker 1>He's pitching very well.

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<v Speaker 2>He's up against Davis Martin for the White Sox, who

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<v Speaker 2>in games started by Davis Martin, the team has lost

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<v Speaker 2>six of the last seven starts, including every game he

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<v Speaker 2>has started in the month of July. He has an

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<v Speaker 2>ERA of six, eighteen innings pitched, twelve earned runs so far.

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<v Speaker 2>I've lost to Houston, one nothing lost in Toronto, five

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<v Speaker 2>nothing lost to Boston, and a six y five loss

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<v Speaker 2>to the Cleveland Guardians. It doesn't really matter if it's

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<v Speaker 2>home or if it's road. His home starts, he is

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<v Speaker 2>five to one at home with a two point three

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<v Speaker 2>to four ERA and a two to twenty eight opposing

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<v Speaker 2>batting average thirteen earned in fifty innings worth of work.

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<v Speaker 2>He's not been horrible, but the team doesn't give him

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<v Speaker 2>run support and his team, the White Sox, are facing

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<v Speaker 2>a very good young pitcher for the Yankees, and the

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<v Speaker 2>bullpen's coming to play, and then it's bad news for

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<v Speaker 2>the Chicago White Sox. This is a four game series

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<v Speaker 2>between these two teams. First two games have gone to

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<v Speaker 2>the Yankees. We bet the Yankees in the first two games.

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<v Speaker 2>This game is on Prime Video, so we have a

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<v Speaker 2>nationally televised game coming up here with the Yankees and

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<v Speaker 2>the White Sox, and frankly, it goes right back to

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<v Speaker 2>the same handicap that we've been having for a while.

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<v Speaker 2>The White Sox have been great at home, the Yankees

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<v Speaker 2>have been very good on the road.

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<v Speaker 1>But the Yankees need to.

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<v Speaker 2>Keep on winning here in the American League to keep

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<v Speaker 2>pace with Tampa and also keep the Red Sox who

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<v Speaker 2>lost yesterday. Yankees won, Red Sox lost. To keep the

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<v Speaker 2>Red Sox from running them down here. I'll take I'll

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<v Speaker 2>bet the streak here. I'll come in here and take

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<v Speaker 2>the Yankees against the White Sox to go up three

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<v Speaker 2>games to none on this series and win the series.

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<v Speaker 2>Yankees on the money line at minus one forty for

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<v Speaker 2>one point four units. We go to the Rangers and

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<v Speaker 2>Mackenzie Gore, who starts for Texas today against Tampa Bay.

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<v Speaker 2>Gore has won and the team has won three consecutive

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<v Speaker 2>starts six' five over The, astros seven to six over The,

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<v Speaker 2>braves and five to four Over.

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<v Speaker 1>Seattle pretty.

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<v Speaker 2>Impressive he has a pretty HIGH era because of what

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<v Speaker 2>happened in one start highra in the month Of. July

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<v Speaker 2>because a one start in which he gave up seven

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<v Speaker 2>earned runs in five innings at home against The La

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<v Speaker 2>angels in a thirteen to one. Loss but since then

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<v Speaker 2>he's turned it. Around they've won three games in a

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<v Speaker 2>row four, innings pitch just one earned run against The

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<v Speaker 2>astros that he won his last road. Start even though

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<v Speaker 2>he gave up five earned in five and two thirds

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<v Speaker 2>of a seven to six, win he got the offensive.

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<v Speaker 2>ROLLING i don't mind the over in this game, too

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<v Speaker 2>by the, way Between texas And, tampa but it is pretty.

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<v Speaker 2>Low i'll look At Mackenzie gore on the. Road he

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<v Speaker 2>is three and six with a two point with an

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<v Speaker 2>era that's lofty over. Six but he's been good late

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<v Speaker 2>And i'll take The rangers here to get a w

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<v Speaker 2>As texas goes and tries to get a third consecutive.

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<v Speaker 2>Win they've won four of the last five. Games rays

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<v Speaker 2>are thirty eight and sixteen at, home but The rangers

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<v Speaker 2>won last. Night like The rangers with some plus money

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<v Speaker 2>here up against a bullpen game for The. Rays they're

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<v Speaker 2>gonna Start. Legomina i'm not SORRY i Say casey's, name

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<v Speaker 2>but he's a. Dude they're just gonna. Start he's gonna

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<v Speaker 2>throw one inning and then we go into the. Bullpen

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<v Speaker 2>so kind of an all hands on deck bullpen game

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<v Speaker 2>here up against a hot pitcher For texas for one

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<v Speaker 2>win yesterday For. Texas i'll come back and take The

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<v Speaker 2>rangers with a plus money play at plus one nineteen

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<v Speaker 2>for The range with a bullpen game for The. RAYS

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<v Speaker 2>i like The rangers on the money line at plus one.

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<v Speaker 2>Nineteen The Daily juice podcast is being brought to you

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<v Speaker 2>by Hard Rock. Bet it is, summer It's. July it's

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<v Speaker 2>talk about the Hard Rock bet play of the, day

0:11:01.400 --> 0:11:05.520
<v Speaker 2>and It's schooble time for The. Tigers tigers have won

0:11:05.600 --> 0:11:08.560
<v Speaker 2>three of the four games started By schoolble here during

0:11:08.559 --> 0:11:11.319
<v Speaker 2>the month Of. July he has a one point four

0:11:11.360 --> 0:11:14.199
<v Speaker 2>to EIGHT era and he is very much on the

0:11:14.240 --> 0:11:17.480
<v Speaker 2>trading block for The tigers to ship him. Out where

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<v Speaker 2>will he? Go who, Knows but he's been very good

0:11:20.880 --> 0:11:24.320
<v Speaker 2>since coming back after the arm injury here and now

0:11:24.400 --> 0:11:26.800
<v Speaker 2>The tigers get to see what he looks like with

0:11:26.920 --> 0:11:30.480
<v Speaker 2>a two point zero FIVE era on the, road four

0:11:30.480 --> 0:11:32.400
<v Speaker 2>and three. Mark at home it's a three point four

0:11:32.480 --> 0:11:36.520
<v Speaker 2>to SIX, era a three and two. Record opposing batting

0:11:36.520 --> 0:11:40.040
<v Speaker 2>average is really really. Low orioles are going to Throw

0:11:40.080 --> 0:11:43.480
<v Speaker 2>Trevor rodgers. Though on the other, Side Trevor, rodgers he

0:11:44.320 --> 0:11:47.720
<v Speaker 2>the team has won five of the last six starts

0:11:47.880 --> 0:11:50.400
<v Speaker 2>For Trevor. Rodgers last time out against The, braves he went,

0:11:50.520 --> 0:11:53.480
<v Speaker 2>seven gave up two earned. Runs games should have gone,

0:11:53.600 --> 0:11:55.960
<v Speaker 2>under but the extra innings kicked. In it was a

0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:58.200
<v Speaker 2>seven to six loss to The Atlanta. Braves that was

0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:01.040
<v Speaker 2>Not Trevor rodgers'. Fault you're facing one of the best

0:12:01.040 --> 0:12:03.839
<v Speaker 2>pitchers in school. Ball rodgers has a one point four

0:12:03.880 --> 0:12:08.120
<v Speaker 2>to EIGHT era schooble on the other. Side this screams

0:12:08.320 --> 0:12:12.319
<v Speaker 2>a dead under pitching battle on A wednesday Between baltimore

0:12:12.480 --> 0:12:15.880
<v Speaker 2>and The. Tigers this game is a one o'clock start

0:12:16.120 --> 0:12:19.440
<v Speaker 2>day game Between rogers and school Bul hopefully that means

0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:23.280
<v Speaker 2>great pitching performances eight to five and fourteen nothing in

0:12:23.320 --> 0:12:24.200
<v Speaker 2>the two games we've.

0:12:24.240 --> 0:12:25.200
<v Speaker 1>Seen it's the rubber.

0:12:25.280 --> 0:12:28.199
<v Speaker 2>Game hopefully that means all the offense got let out

0:12:28.240 --> 0:12:31.000
<v Speaker 2>the last two games and a great pitching duel is

0:12:31.040 --> 0:12:34.000
<v Speaker 2>on deck here for today Hard rock bet of The,

0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:36.680
<v Speaker 2>Day we're going with the under seven and a half

0:12:36.800 --> 0:12:40.760
<v Speaker 2>at minus one fourteen for The tigers and The orioles for.

0:12:40.800 --> 0:12:42.040
<v Speaker 1>One point one four.

0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:45.079
<v Speaker 2>Units so Hard Rock bet of The Day tigers and

0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:48.520
<v Speaker 2>The orioles under seven and a, Half rangers on the money,

0:12:48.559 --> 0:12:51.240
<v Speaker 2>Line yankees on the money, line and The pirates and

0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:54.040
<v Speaker 2>The diamondbacks were going under eight and a. Half let's

0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:57.920
<v Speaker 2>hope for A, wednesday low scoring getaway day here for

0:12:58.200 --> 0:13:00.719
<v Speaker 2>us and get a w here on the. Board we're

0:13:00.760 --> 0:13:03.440
<v Speaker 2>zeroing to so far for the. Week let's get one

0:13:03.480 --> 0:13:06.640
<v Speaker 2>here today a wedding day on A. Wednesday my name

0:13:06.679 --> 0:13:08.360
<v Speaker 2>Is Matt. Parol you guys can follow me across all

0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:11.200
<v Speaker 2>my socials At Sports Talk matt every morning wherever you

0:13:11.200 --> 0:13:11.680
<v Speaker 2>guys get your.

0:13:11.720 --> 0:13:25.040
<v Speaker 1>Podcasts it is The Daily. Juice