WEBVTT - Cliff Notes: Why The Stock Market Goes Down Every September 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:00.320 Hi. 0:00:00.520 --> 0:00:03.280 I'm Sherry Harris, owner of Life Source Water. As a 0:00:03.320 --> 0:00:06.480 new grandmother in lifelong Californian, I care about what's in 0:00:06.519 --> 0:00:10.000 the water my family uses every day. For over forty years, 0:00:10.080 --> 0:00:13.400 our whole house water system has protected Bay Area families 0:00:13.400 --> 0:00:16.560 with filtered water from every tap. Now we're offering a 0:00:16.680 --> 0:00:20.279 double dip in savings free basic installation plus an extra 0:00:20.360 --> 0:00:22.960 two hundred and fifty dollars off that's up to twelve 0:00:23.040 --> 0:00:25.680 hundred dollars in savings. Call our factory at one eight 0:00:25.800 --> 0:00:28.800 hundred Water ninety nine or visit Life sourcewater dot com. 0:00:28.880 --> 0:00:30.360 Hurry offer in September thirty. 0:00:30.440 --> 0:00:31.520 Warranty limitations apply. 0:00:31.680 --> 0:00:33.640 Shout out to my young boy Shams. 0:00:33.640 --> 0:00:35.640 He's just getting into the market, and so I had 0:00:35.640 --> 0:00:38.960 showed him what the profits you can make in investing, 0:00:39.400 --> 0:00:41.920 and he was like, man, that's incredible. But also I 0:00:41.920 --> 0:00:44.560 took a picture of the games today because they were negative. 0:00:44.600 --> 0:00:46.360 I told him like this, two sides of this point. 0:00:46.720 --> 0:00:50.000 Yeah, what when you trust your research and you trust 0:00:50.000 --> 0:00:52.280 what you've done, and you trust your investments, you don't flinch. 0:00:52.440 --> 0:00:55.320 You don't even feel it because you know how this works. 0:00:55.560 --> 0:00:57.639 We said this two weeks ago. I remember the date 0:00:57.680 --> 0:01:02.120 September second, twenty twenty, when we had a huge pull back, 0:01:02.160 --> 0:01:04.959 almost like nine percent. I'm like, Okay, this is a 0:01:05.000 --> 0:01:08.760 new feeling. This is a feeling. Can you sustain this? 0:01:09.360 --> 0:01:11.880 Can you walk away from this and not feel any 0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:15.679 different about investment? And the overall answer was yes, I can. 0:01:16.319 --> 0:01:19.199 So September comes around again and we spoke about witching. 0:01:19.440 --> 0:01:21.080 In fact, we told people were not even going to 0:01:21.120 --> 0:01:22.720 buy Conscious until after witching. 0:01:23.640 --> 0:01:24.280 This wasn't a. 0:01:24.240 --> 0:01:27.080 Surprise, it was just what would be the catalyst? Right, 0:01:27.120 --> 0:01:28.720 So it was like, what was going to be the catalyst? 0:01:28.720 --> 0:01:31.400 And so I ran some numbers, even real quick. So 0:01:31.560 --> 0:01:33.000 if you look at the history of the DOW for 0:01:33.040 --> 0:01:35.200 the past thirty years, right, this wouldn't even be a 0:01:35.200 --> 0:01:37.280 surprise to us. Because you look at the past thirty years, 0:01:38.240 --> 0:01:41.640 the dal Jones the week after quadruple witching or triple witching, 0:01:41.760 --> 0:01:44.479 this is the third quarter out of the past thirty years, 0:01:44.520 --> 0:01:47.080 it's been down twenty three out of thirty years, it's 0:01:47.120 --> 0:01:49.840 only been seven up years in past thirty In the 0:01:49.880 --> 0:01:53.040 past twenties, there's been fifteen down years and it's only 0:01:53.040 --> 0:01:56.680 been up five times. And so we said September and 0:01:56.920 --> 0:01:58.760 when we gave the months that we should be training. 0:01:58.880 --> 0:02:03.720 Obviously we said that April until October is. 0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:06.080 Rough, right, but you still got to keep money and 0:02:06.080 --> 0:02:08.720 but yeah, September, and. 0:02:08.240 --> 0:02:09.000 That's part of it too. 0:02:09.040 --> 0:02:11.080 It's like, all right, well, this is a good if 0:02:11.520 --> 0:02:14.200 we're positioning ourselves and we had money in a money 0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:17.320 marketing account, like Shoddy always says, while keeping in saving account, 0:02:17.320 --> 0:02:19.680 put in a money marketing account. If we're then we're 0:02:19.720 --> 0:02:22.840 looking at the entry points now because some of those 0:02:22.960 --> 0:02:25.120 entry points that we've been saying and we thought that 0:02:25.120 --> 0:02:26.639 they would never come back to that life. 0:02:27.000 --> 0:02:28.120 Listen, what y'all stop with that? 0:02:28.760 --> 0:02:31.920 Like I'm telling you where to get in where I 0:02:32.000 --> 0:02:33.480 want to get in where some of the people y'all 0:02:33.480 --> 0:02:36.200 look up to, or calling me for entries, just get 0:02:36.240 --> 0:02:40.960 them free for the culture I'm begging, Like we tried. 0:02:41.080 --> 0:02:45.120 We tried to do like Troy Killer research man the entries. 0:02:45.200 --> 0:02:50.720 If me trapped, Troy Bono and Josh Brown say it, 0:02:50.720 --> 0:02:51.680 it's going to happen. 0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:53.919 We're coming there now. 0:02:54.000 --> 0:02:57.399 Like even with the dow, September has been bad since 0:02:57.440 --> 0:03:02.799 the nineteen fifties historically, just research, even if you don't 0:03:02.800 --> 0:03:04.200 do the research we've done all. 0:03:04.120 --> 0:03:07.040 The research for you. Just looked at related. 0:03:08.240 --> 0:03:12.079 Laid it out for you, man, Enjoy, enjoy. September is 0:03:12.120 --> 0:03:14.120 a great month if you're looking to get into the market. 0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:16.519 And when you pst it's crazy to even say like 0:03:16.560 --> 0:03:18.079 two thirty nine to twenty eight is like a good 0:03:18.160 --> 0:03:19.080 entry for it. 0:03:19.120 --> 0:03:20.440 Smalls text me bro. 0:03:22.040 --> 0:03:23.240 So in that video. 0:03:23.240 --> 0:03:25.400 So when you saw a shotty posted video right when 0:03:25.400 --> 0:03:26.760 you like, we're in the lab, what time was that 0:03:26.840 --> 0:03:29.000 like twelve o'clock. No, we're really in the lab, Like 0:03:29.040 --> 0:03:31.959 I'm saying, so all right, ware, did these contracts open at? 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:34.200 How far they pulled back? Is it now time to 0:03:34.360 --> 0:03:37.960 enter straight up? Like you just video recorded because we were 0:03:37.880 --> 0:03:40.160 on clothes all the day. But that's the work. That's 0:03:40.240 --> 0:03:40.839 what we're doing. 0:03:40.880 --> 0:03:41.800 That goes into it. 0:03:41.880 --> 0:03:45.040 That goes into it. And so it's like, all right, well, nah. 0:03:45.080 --> 0:03:46.760 As Amazon hit the point where I like it to 0:03:46.880 --> 0:03:49.600 January twenty four, all right, let's see what happens tomorrow. 0:03:49.640 --> 0:03:51.520 But we already had money in a money market account 0:03:51.920 --> 0:03:55.280 ready to invest if it hits on. It's just about 0:03:55.320 --> 0:03:55.920 being patience in. 0:03:56.120 --> 0:03:58.280 Yeah, just quickly, I'm asking a question. 0:03:58.360 --> 0:04:01.000 But yeah, that's something that you know, even going into 0:04:01.160 --> 0:04:02.640 last week last. 0:04:02.400 --> 0:04:03.920 Tuesday, I think, or last Wednesday. 0:04:04.440 --> 0:04:06.240 You know, I just put a substantial amount of money 0:04:06.440 --> 0:04:09.560 into my brokera's account, just to have it cleared on 0:04:09.720 --> 0:04:13.520 time and to have it in a money market because 0:04:13.960 --> 0:04:17.440 we know that around this time the stock market usually drops, 0:04:17.839 --> 0:04:20.279 so we can kind of anticipate. We can never you know, 0:04:20.760 --> 0:04:22.680 know exactly what's going to happen, but we can make 0:04:22.680 --> 0:04:27.240 an educated guest on the past, and if you understand 0:04:27.279 --> 0:04:30.200 the past, you know that around this time usually the 0:04:30.240 --> 0:04:33.320 stock market always drops, so you got to be prepared. 0:04:33.640 --> 0:04:35.800 So I'm just prepared and I didn't I still don't 0:04:35.800 --> 0:04:38.560 even jump in today. I just didn't think. But the 0:04:38.600 --> 0:04:40.320 positions I was looking at, I just felt like it 0:04:40.560 --> 0:04:42.080 could drop a little bit lower. 0:04:43.279 --> 0:04:44.320 But now prepared. 0:04:44.560 --> 0:04:47.440 So it wasn't really a surprise when we saw that 0:04:47.520 --> 0:04:51.040 stock market drop right now, because it's actually supposed to drop, 0:04:51.080 --> 0:04:51.480 like this. 0:04:51.360 --> 0:04:54.000 Is something that you know historically happened so often. 0:04:54.120 --> 0:04:55.560 Yeah, yeah, it's great. 0:04:55.640 --> 0:04:58.080 Like and the people who've been listening to Market Mondays 0:04:58.120 --> 0:05:00.520 since we started, we went through the this last. 0:05:00.400 --> 0:05:02.760 September and it was like, oh my gosh, what are 0:05:02.800 --> 0:05:06.200 we going to do? And see that they look put 0:05:06.240 --> 0:05:06.839 your seatboot on. 0:05:07.560 --> 0:05:09.720 Trust the resins that you've done, trust the investments that 0:05:09.760 --> 0:05:13.280 you've made right, And we spoke about it two weeks ago. 0:05:13.320 --> 0:05:16.479 What would your account or your portfolio look like had 0:05:16.520 --> 0:05:18.400 you not moved at all? 0:05:18.520 --> 0:05:18.760 Right? 0:05:18.960 --> 0:05:21.760 If you pulled back in September nine percent, it was 0:05:22.000 --> 0:05:25.400 a little slight one in October. I recall November we 0:05:25.440 --> 0:05:28.039 started seeing some games, and December came and we saw 0:05:28.080 --> 0:05:28.560 some games. 0:05:28.960 --> 0:05:31.400 Had you not touched your portfolio, where would it be? 0:05:32.200 --> 0:05:35.000 And just because the stock market pulls back, it doesn't 0:05:35.000 --> 0:05:37.720 mean an individual positionally has pulled back to the point. 0:05:37.839 --> 0:05:41.719 So SMH stock market is down. ESMAH was down heavy today, 0:05:41.720 --> 0:05:44.840 but it's still only four percent off of this all 0:05:44.880 --> 0:05:47.279 time high. It's all time high with seventy six and 0:05:47.320 --> 0:05:50.280 it's had two sixty four right now. So like just 0:05:50.320 --> 0:05:52.040 to kind of give you some perspective, if it drops 0:05:52.080 --> 0:05:55.640 ten percent, that'll be two fifty, So it's still not 0:05:55.720 --> 0:06:01.080 really that far from its all time high. XLK all 0:06:01.160 --> 0:06:03.160 time high is at one sixty. It's at one fifty 0:06:03.160 --> 0:06:05.640 two right now, so that's only a five percent drop, 0:06:07.160 --> 0:06:10.479 very similar to SMH. You know, a twelve percent drop 0:06:10.520 --> 0:06:13.760 would be one forty Apple Apple was a little bit 0:06:13.800 --> 0:06:16.640 further dropped. Apples high was one fifty seven. It's at 0:06:16.680 --> 0:06:20.000 one two right now, but that's nine percent. We talked 0:06:20.040 --> 0:06:23.560 about that one thirty one thirty five range. So that's 0:06:23.600 --> 0:06:25.960 important too, just because the stock market. You got to 0:06:25.960 --> 0:06:29.080 look at your individual positions that you're looking at and saying, like, 0:06:29.120 --> 0:06:32.800 all right, well four percent still not it still probably 0:06:32.839 --> 0:06:37.680 has some more room to fall, just because the stock 0:06:37.720 --> 0:06:38.280 market was down. 0:06:38.320 --> 0:06:40.719 So yeah, I mean we got we got put in context, right, 0:06:40.720 --> 0:06:43.520 like that's that pull back. I mean I think we 0:06:43.680 --> 0:06:45.120 sit next to each other, we're like, Yo, this thing 0:06:45.160 --> 0:06:46.159 gonna drop five hundred. 0:06:46.640 --> 0:06:48.680 We're going to five hundred. But even now it was 0:06:48.760 --> 0:06:52.480 like three percent, it's not a lot, it's not even 0:06:52.560 --> 0:06:53.239 that even. 0:06:53.240 --> 0:06:56.280 Doesn't qualify as a correction, right, Like it has to 0:06:56.320 --> 0:06:58.960 at least be between six to twenty. 0:06:58.680 --> 0:07:01.800 Percent, like well half to a correction. So we just 0:07:01.839 --> 0:07:03.080 got to keep that in perspective. 0:07:04.120 --> 0:07:07.880 It happens every single year. The one of my favorite 0:07:07.920 --> 0:07:10.040 quotes the money Master of the Game is just like 0:07:10.200 --> 0:07:14.680 any other climate, you're gonna have summer, spring, fall, winter, 0:07:15.480 --> 0:07:19.280 September just happens to be when winter comes. Then Also 0:07:19.440 --> 0:07:21.760 like for those of you who were at investvest. If 0:07:21.760 --> 0:07:24.640 you love investments, please please drop fire and chat. But 0:07:25.440 --> 0:07:27.080 I told you one of the best targets for you 0:07:27.120 --> 0:07:29.360 to use for the Dallas five hundred and twenty three points. 0:07:29.960 --> 0:07:32.520 So if you use the example that invest has of 0:07:32.560 --> 0:07:35.320 thirty three contracts on the short today, you'd have been 0:07:35.360 --> 0:07:38.800 up eighty six thousand, two ninety five. Well, there is 0:07:38.840 --> 0:07:41.200 no such thing as a bad market. Only bad entries 0:07:41.200 --> 0:07:43.080 into it and you end up getting out too early. 0:07:43.640 --> 0:07:46.720 If this is your first time in the market, hold 0:07:47.280 --> 0:07:50.360 people gonna tell you everything else. Ask them this, Are 0:07:50.360 --> 0:07:55.760 they rich from investing or trading? Conversations will stop? Are 0:07:55.800 --> 0:08:01.360 they free financially? The conversations will stop. Every September or October. 0:08:01.400 --> 0:08:04.440 This happens in people panic. If you haven't got into 0:08:04.440 --> 0:08:06.440 the market, chet and enjoy September because it's going to 0:08:06.440 --> 0:08:07.400 be a great time for you to be able to 0:08:07.400 --> 0:08:09.960 get in and take advantage of it. In year and 0:08:10.000 --> 0:08:12.240 a half, you'll be happy if I've made you money. 0:08:12.280 --> 0:08:15.960 Please put yes in chat so you can Verify's rent 0:08:16.000 --> 0:08:16.480 and repeat. 0:08:17.760 --> 0:08:21.040 Sixty two hundred people on the check hit the life 0:08:21.040 --> 0:08:22.200 onnon Please. 0:08:22.080 --> 0:08:25.760 Red Panda family, please hit the like button. Tell you aunties, Uncles, Grandma, 0:08:25.920 --> 0:08:29.160 great aunties, hit the like button, and. 0:08:29.560 --> 0:08:33.640 How to take advantage of drops with futures market. 0:08:35.080 --> 0:08:36.720 I'm gonna just give you out of targets real quick. 0:08:37.000 --> 0:08:39.640 Down You should short if the market falls and only 0:08:39.640 --> 0:08:40.920 do this maybe three times a year. 0:08:41.040 --> 0:08:42.600 Five hundred and twenty three points. 0:08:43.559 --> 0:08:45.800 This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank. 0:08:46.200 --> 0:08:48.960 A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring, 0:08:49.160 --> 0:08:53.000 and sure they definitely can be, but understanding of professionals 0:08:53.120 --> 0:08:56.360 routine shows us how they achieve their success little by little, 0:08:56.720 --> 0:08:59.880 day after day. 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I want you to go for seven hundred points. 0:11:37.880 --> 0:11:41.600 The stop laws should be one hundred takes to one 0:11:41.679 --> 0:11:45.800 hundred points. Your risk will want to make seven. Those 0:11:45.840 --> 0:11:48.280 who will move faster. You don't really need to think 0:11:48.320 --> 0:11:50.840 about the es. But here's the thing that is great 0:11:50.880 --> 0:11:54.760 about the market. Too many people are so focused on puts. 0:11:55.600 --> 0:11:58.080 You shouldn't have any long term positions to the downside. 0:11:58.400 --> 0:12:00.400 Because ninety five percent of the move is going to 0:12:00.480 --> 0:12:03.800 be up up over a five year period, so you're 0:12:04.080 --> 0:12:06.000 traded in the wrong direction. But if we have a 0:12:06.040 --> 0:12:09.000 violent drop like we did today, you can clean up 0:12:09.000 --> 0:12:11.599 in an hour to offset any losses. Kudos to the 0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:13.680 snipers that hit. I mean, there's some snipers today that 0:12:13.760 --> 0:12:17.880 hit twenty and thirty grand. But the thing that I 0:12:17.880 --> 0:12:20.000 want to stress that I stress that invest fest. I 0:12:20.040 --> 0:12:22.880 only want you to take ten trades a year. Ten 0:12:24.080 --> 0:12:26.800 learn how to trade with size, know how to get 0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:28.760 the direction right one hundred percent of the time, and 0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:30.439 then the way I'm able to stay into the market 0:12:30.440 --> 0:12:33.760 when we have hard drops like this, if I'm able 0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:35.559 to short the market, I never look at my long 0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:39.760 term account to see what Apple, Microsoft, Vo, vug VTI. 0:12:39.880 --> 0:12:43.679 These are scholarships, so write these down AMD are doing 0:12:44.400 --> 0:12:46.800 so if I'm able to make money when them and 0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:48.959 I'm gonna be real man, I love when the. 0:12:48.880 --> 0:12:49.720 Market drops like this. 0:12:51.000 --> 0:12:53.800 It shakes all these scary ass investors out who haven't studied, 0:12:54.200 --> 0:12:57.400 because if the market is bloody and you're afraid, it 0:12:57.440 --> 0:12:58.800 means you haven't put enough time in. 0:12:59.840 --> 0:13:01.800 I don't want you to buy at a high. I 0:13:01.840 --> 0:13:03.319 want you to buy when things are at a low. 0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:06.480 We are at a proverbial loan, and in three months 0:13:06.640 --> 0:13:08.680 you will forget this even happen now. 0:13:08.760 --> 0:13:10.560 If you want to know a day that is identical 0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:14.960 to today, go to August twenty fourth and August twenty fifth, 0:13:15.080 --> 0:13:17.760 twenty first, So August twenty first and twenty fourth of 0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:18.480 twenty fifteen. 0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:20.640 See how that move played out. 0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:23.360 We are at some point going to get a dead 0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:26.520 cat bounce off the weekly chart, and we're going to 0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:29.200 bounce off of it and come back down. Mark off 0:13:29.240 --> 0:13:31.760 your areas in advance. A lot of people are panicking 0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:35.920 because what happens in September. You should be marking off 0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:37.680 the places you want to get in for October and 0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:39.760 in September, excuse me, in August you need to be 0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:42.840 prepare where you want to get in for September, always 0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.080 playing your entries a month in advance. But if you 0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:49.560 want to see a day that mirrors today, pull up 0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:51.680 the data on Thinker Swimming from August twenty or you 0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:54.000 can do it on Trading View August twenty fourth, twenty fifteen, 0:13:54.400 --> 0:13:57.040 and'll tell you exactly what could happen. Nobody in the 0:13:57.080 --> 0:14:00.239 next couple of weeks. 0:14:01.040 --> 0:14:04.719 Let me ask you this being that we know that. 0:14:06.559 --> 0:14:09.559 This time of the year and always the stock market 0:14:09.600 --> 0:14:10.720 usually always goes down. 0:14:11.600 --> 0:14:12.720 Your reference for next year? 0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:18.720 Is this something that people can play an inverted index 0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:19.240 play for. 0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:20.560 I wouldn't do it. 0:14:21.080 --> 0:14:22.600 I'm gonna be real because most people don't have to 0:14:22.640 --> 0:14:25.480 discipline to I know I've told you guys about uv 0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:30.280 XY before, but if you don't listen, like you shouldn't 0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:34.480 hold an inverted index longer than two days because you're 0:14:34.520 --> 0:14:36.440 betting against the market. The market is going to be 0:14:36.520 --> 0:14:38.240 up majority of the time. And what's going to happen? 0:14:38.520 --> 0:14:41.760 Man Rashad gotta holler at you, bro. You call Ian 0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:45.560 a goat and I'm getting slaughtered. How are you the goat? 0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:46.720 Yeah? 0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:50.240 Bro, all lost fifteen hundred. I'm like, I didn't tell 0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:52.720 you to hold it for that long to index to tech, 0:14:52.800 --> 0:14:57.160 no stress, listen to me. If someone else made you 0:14:57.160 --> 0:14:59.600 more money than listening to me, please log out a 0:14:59.600 --> 0:15:00.560 market mone watch. 0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:01.840 How these numbers don't change. 0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:06.520 I'm begging y'all please stop making this so complicated. Like 0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:08.800 if I'm giving you the Phil Jackson triangle and we 0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:09.560 got microL. 0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:12.000 And Kobe, we're good. So what Bill. 0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:13.760 Wanting to miss one shot? We got it on the 0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:16.880 next three pound baby, Like, it's not that complicated. The 0:15:16.920 --> 0:15:20.040 part that makes it tough as people alter a recipe. 0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:23.000 Like imagine if you went to Coca Cola. I was 0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:25.200 in Atlanta, like and you finally cracked, like went in 0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:26.840 and got the formula from the vault, and you like, 0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:31.280 I'm gonna add some pepper and chive to this because 0:15:31.320 --> 0:15:32.560 my grandmamaa love peppering. 0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:35.560 That's not the Coca Cola formula. Just stick with it. 0:15:36.400 --> 0:15:36.960 If you're gonna do it. 0:15:37.040 --> 0:15:38.760 Inverted index and you're gonna trade a great holder for 0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:41.000 two days max. But anything more than that you're gonna 0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:41.720 tear your account. 0:15:42.600 --> 0:15:44.920 And the inverted index is betting what the stock market 0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:48.760 is gonna go down. Yes, index that goes up when 0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:49.920 the stock market goes down. 0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:52.000 Right, So like the day like today, if you had 0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:54.480 a down, I think that at his peak in today 0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:58.120 was down nine hundred and seventy points mmm. Like if 0:15:58.120 --> 0:15:59.960 you had an invert index, then you would have made 0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:02.960 money because obviously you dropped one hundred and seventy But 0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:04.240 like I said, it closed that. 0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:07.080 Six six sixty down down. 0:16:07.120 --> 0:16:08.560 So that's it. 0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.080 And that's another thing is that we always preach about 0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:13.440 not fall a sleep at the wheel and so always 0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:15.040 stress to people some of those indicids. 0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:16.840 Right, Like we watched the vics, and so if we've 0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:17.360 were watching the. 0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:19.840 VIX, we've been solely seeing that VIX creep up out 0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:21.960 of the teens up into the twenties today I think 0:16:22.360 --> 0:16:24.600 twenty six, and so we keep an eye on that 0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:25.560 because we know that that. 0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:28.640 Means it's the volatility. It's very important for people. They 0:16:28.720 --> 0:16:30.360 might a lot of people just tune in for the 0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:30.840 first time. 0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:33.680 So what is the VIX social volatility index? And so 0:16:33.760 --> 0:16:36.240 it shows you how the market is moving. 0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:38.600 If the number gets high, markers reacting. 0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:39.520 Right, how the market is reacting. 0:16:39.640 --> 0:16:42.080 So if you see those numbers creeping higher, usually in 0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:46.160 that range of ten to twenty, well ten to fifteen, 0:16:46.160 --> 0:16:47.840 I don't want to say twenty because it's up there now, 0:16:48.560 --> 0:16:51.800 it means that this is pretty like some steady movement 0:16:51.840 --> 0:16:52.640 inside the market. 0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:54.560 We saw creeping up inside the twenties. 0:16:54.760 --> 0:16:58.240 You know, last September we had forty two, that's October 0:16:58.320 --> 0:16:59.160 hit forty seven. 0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:02.440 Marshall here eighty point eight five on the box statu yeah. 0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:06.600 Five right on the thirteenth, right when the world when 0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:08.760 the world closed, it was like, all right, well, this 0:17:08.880 --> 0:17:11.960 is going to be some extreme volatility we saw to 0:17:11.960 --> 0:17:13.960 shoot up. Another thing that we always talked about is 0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:15.160 the fair and greet in debts, and I know that's 0:17:15.160 --> 0:17:18.879 something you brought up. Always hit twenty one right now, right, 0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:22.520 And we know when we see fear, we feast, right, 0:17:22.560 --> 0:17:26.760 we don't. We're finding oppositions. We waited for these these moments. 0:17:26.800 --> 0:17:29.560 That's why I said it. Investment takes extreme discipline. And 0:17:29.600 --> 0:17:30.160 so yeah, you. 0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:31.680 Might have to wait five weeks, you might have to 0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:32.600 wait six months. 0:17:32.680 --> 0:17:33.520 What is the fear and. 0:17:35.119 --> 0:17:38.800 It measures the ratio of which people are fearful about 0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:41.280 the market versus super optimistic. 0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:44.080 Right, But it's very important because we can't we can't 0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:44.320 take it. 0:17:44.560 --> 0:17:46.520 We can't look over it for the first time. 0:17:46.640 --> 0:17:48.600 We can't take it that somebody just automatically knows. 0:17:48.880 --> 0:17:50.080 No, somebody said it for the first time. 0:17:50.160 --> 0:17:52.560 And so that index goes from zero to one hundred, right, 0:17:52.560 --> 0:17:55.080 And so the further you go to one hundred, that's 0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:55.760 extreme greed. 0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:55.919 Right. 0:17:55.960 --> 0:17:57.639 If it's extreme greed, usually it is going to be 0:17:57.680 --> 0:18:02.000 a pullback because people are over saturate the market, the overbying. 0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:04.480 When we see extreme fear that obviously the number gets know. 0:18:04.600 --> 0:18:06.840 If it gets a zero, please buy shout as to 0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:08.200 everybody was one and two. 0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:10.800 I was gonna say, if we go under twenty, this 0:18:10.880 --> 0:18:12.800 is this might be a point, like that might be 0:18:12.800 --> 0:18:13.400