1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,200 Speaker 1: All right, well, having a good what's been going on 2 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: with video? We've got certainly the quarterly revenue numbers that 3 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: just a horror show for them, missing projections by more 4 00:00:08,720 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 1: than one billion dollars. Let's get over too in King 5 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:16,119 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News u S Semiconductor Reporter, and this was a 6 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:19,600 Speaker 1: huge miss. Has been down to a fall in revenues 7 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: from gaming. Give us a sense of why this is 8 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: going on with this company, why nobody saw it coming? 9 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 1: I think the way to look at this race, I mean, 10 00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: you've got it right in terms of the extent of 11 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:34,599 Speaker 1: the miss was what surprised people and frightened them. There 12 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: was a widespread belief that anybody related to the PC industry, 13 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 1: which is video obviously is would would be in a 14 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:45,199 Speaker 1: difficult situation. Afterward, Intel said, what a MD said, and 15 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 1: what various other companies. But this, this magnitude, though, is 16 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: definitely you know, surprised people on the downside, and you know, 17 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 1: again raise the question of well, how much of this 18 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: was demand for gaming PCs? How much of it was 19 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: you know, the crypto backlash, Remember that some of their 20 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: chips are used for crypto mining. Something they said they'd 21 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: kind of gottom rid of but apparently there's still a 22 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 1: dependency there as well. Ian. Is there any sense that 23 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: the behavior of the dollar had an impact here when 24 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 1: you look at their offshore sales, and not particularly because 25 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 1: you've got to remember a company like in Video is 26 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 1: you know, has operations everywhere. It's got manufacturing going on 27 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:30,839 Speaker 1: in different places, so the the you know, the dollar situation, 28 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: and it's not like we're only making things in the US, 29 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:36,399 Speaker 1: only designing in the US and then taking it overseas. 30 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: You know, most of their chips are manufactured in Taiwan 31 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 1: and there would be assembled, so there's a lot of 32 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: hedging can go on within their business model and a 33 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 1: lot of flexibility within their price that wouldn't make the dollar, 34 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 1: you know, the biggest issue here for them, Jeremy and 35 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: the I mean, you know, it's really not about the 36 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: earnings because the rear view, but it's about what they 37 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 1: also say looking ahead, and what are they talking at 38 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: in terms of outlook and what they're likely to see 39 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: in terms of demands of their products. Yeah, now that's 40 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:11,359 Speaker 1: that's the key question. If you take the bright side view, 41 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: then in Video, Intel and all of the others have 42 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: basically given us the bottom the worst possible moments, and 43 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: that we're you know, we're now in a position to 44 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 1: reflect a reasonable and market demand. If you take it 45 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: the other way, people say, no, consumers just aren't going 46 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: to be spending their you know, their hard and money 47 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:34,919 Speaker 1: on discussion items like PCs for gaming. This myth at 48 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 1: the PC industry tried to create, Oh hey, we're going 49 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 1: to have three PCs in a house from now on. 50 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 1: It's just not going to come true because guess what, 51 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:45,519 Speaker 1: you know, few bills are going up because inflation is 52 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 1: sending their food bills up, and that it's going to 53 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:51,079 Speaker 1: be the issue going forward. So there's a real division 54 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 1: of opinion on whether this is the bottom and idea 55 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:56,079 Speaker 1: or whether this is a sign of things to come. Yeah, 56 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 1: many of the major gaming companies have already reported either 57 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: falling sales or outlooks that have been a little disappointing. 58 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:07,119 Speaker 1: I'm thinking of Sony and Microsoft in particular. But let's 59 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 1: take a step back. I mean, to what extent um 60 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 1: is the invidio problem something that the entire semiconductor industry 61 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 1: is struggling with right now. Yeah, again, that's a good question. 62 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 1: If you know, in Vidia, Intel, and a highly indexed 63 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 1: to the PC market. If you look at other companies 64 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 1: that aren't having as big an issue, um, if you know, 65 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:32,359 Speaker 1: the supplying chips and to say, the automotive industry into 66 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: the growing field of industrial use of semiconductors in factory 67 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 1: equipment and things like that, some of those companies have 68 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 1: been fairly mildly impacted by what we're seeing as as 69 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: a slowdown. And so really, you know, the way to 70 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: look at it is it depends who you talk to 71 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: and how heavily you are index to one of these 72 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: markets that's falling off rapidly, such as PCs or indeed smartphones. 73 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: Anything they had to say about actually supply chain constraints 74 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: and the like. Yeah, know, again, that's a very good question. 75 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 1: One of the big success stories for this company, you'll 76 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: remember over the last few years has been the ability 77 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 1: to get into a market, to take market share off 78 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: Intel and other companies and do really well there. And 79 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: they said, you know, they again, very good growth for 80 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:20,880 Speaker 1: that division, but not as good as some people had projected. 81 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 1: And they said, look, it's just because we can't get 82 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: other types of chips to go into these complex motherboards 83 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:28,719 Speaker 1: that go into servers with our graphics chips at the 84 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 1: center of them. So yeah, they're still lingering issues there. 85 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 1: So Ian, do we have to wonder about the potential 86 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:37,120 Speaker 1: for over capacity in this industry at a time when 87 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:39,159 Speaker 1: the US is kind of levering up a bit to 88 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:44,159 Speaker 1: spend some fifty billion dollars to help US chip makers. Again, 89 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:47,719 Speaker 1: that's a that's a fundamental question. I mean, as as 90 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 1: you know, up until now, for the fifty years at 91 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 1: the INSTI has been around, it's been just in time. 92 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 1: It's all about being about efficiency and costs because it's 93 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: so expensive and it's only getting more expensive. So no 94 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 1: in suspect capacity now because of the deal politics were saying, hey, 95 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 1: maybe we need plants around the world, Maybe we need redundancy, 96 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 1: maybe we need a supply chain that's more robust. If 97 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:11,159 Speaker 1: we do, then we're going to have to pay for 98 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: it because these plants are not cheap, and they are 99 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: really really not cheap when you're not running them flat out. 100 00:05:18,400 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 1: Good stuff and I always a pleasure. Thank you so 101 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 1: much for being with us and helping us understand the 102 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: videos story. Ian King is a Bloomberg reporter covering the 103 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:30,280 Speaker 1: semiconductor industry for US from our Bureau in San Francisco,