WEBVTT - Domino’s: This Is How A Pizza Chain Stock Did Just As Well As Google

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe Wisen'tal and I'm Tracy Allaway. Tracy, I have

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<v Speaker 1>a question about the lockdowns or I guess Hong Kong

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<v Speaker 1>never really had all lockdown, did it? Well? So we

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<v Speaker 1>had a lot of bars and restaurants that closed just

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<v Speaker 1>because people weren't going out, But I don't think we

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<v Speaker 1>ever ended up having a formal lockdown exactly like they've

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<v Speaker 1>had in the States, which is kind of weird because

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<v Speaker 1>if you think about it, you know, Hong Kong was

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<v Speaker 1>early to the coronavirus and people were really worried about

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<v Speaker 1>what would happen here. But I guess in the end

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<v Speaker 1>we've we've come out pretty good and we've had like

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<v Speaker 1>a decent experience of the lockdown, So you I guess

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<v Speaker 1>you guys have missed and maybe it would be different

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<v Speaker 1>in Hong Kong. Anyway, this phenomenon of like here in

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<v Speaker 1>the US, like people are ordering pizza like crazy, and

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<v Speaker 1>obviously pizza delivery is one of the big things. But

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<v Speaker 1>I guess I don't know if, like I guess, pizza

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<v Speaker 1>is probably not as big of a cuisine there, but

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<v Speaker 1>without the lockdown, You guys have probably missed this whole

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<v Speaker 1>phenomenon of people just eating tons and tons of pizza

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<v Speaker 1>during this whole crisis, the cultural phenomenon of people ordering

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<v Speaker 1>lots of pizza. You're gonna have to explain this to me,

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<v Speaker 1>because yeah, I've missed this. You don't know. I was thinking, Tracy,

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<v Speaker 1>I was thinking you should you should just move back

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<v Speaker 1>to the US. You can talk about that another time.

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<v Speaker 1>But anyway, it's wait, it's not fair to try to

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<v Speaker 1>leure me back to the US using pizza. That's not fair.

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<v Speaker 1>Come on, al right, Well we'll move on from that.

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<v Speaker 1>But anyway, pizza is booming. In fact, I just last

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<v Speaker 1>night I was on my bike and I biked buy

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<v Speaker 1>a Dominoes and they had this big sign. Maybe i'll

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<v Speaker 1>put it in the post where you post the podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>They had this big sign that's his business is booming.

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<v Speaker 1>We are hiring. People are ordering a lot of pizza

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<v Speaker 1>these days. One other question, have you read the novel

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<v Speaker 1>snow Crash by Neil Stevenson Snow Crash, No, I haven't.

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<v Speaker 1>That's that. It's a sci fi book. I want to say, right,

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<v Speaker 1>I haven't read it. Yeah, it's kind of like a

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<v Speaker 1>it's a cyberpunk novel, so to speak of. There's this

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<v Speaker 1>great line in they're talking about the description of society

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<v Speaker 1>and this future state. He says, there's only four things

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<v Speaker 1>we do better than anyone else. Music, movies, microcode, by

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<v Speaker 1>which you mean software, and high speed pizza delivery. Like

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<v Speaker 1>that is the essentially the U S economy of the future,

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<v Speaker 1>and this world of music, movies, software at high speed

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<v Speaker 1>pizza delivery. It's like I've been thinking a lot about

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<v Speaker 1>snow crash during this crisis. All right, So coronavirus is

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<v Speaker 1>proof of America's dystopian prowess for high speed pizza delivery.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that what you're saying? Yeah, because it's all about

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<v Speaker 1>how like all manufacturing has been outsourced to other countries. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>the US doesn't build anything. There's all these divisions between states,

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<v Speaker 1>and basically everyone is either a coder or eiza delivery

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<v Speaker 1>person in this book, so everyone I should read it anyway.

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<v Speaker 1>One other interesting fact, you know, I mentioned that Domino's

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<v Speaker 1>was booming, and one of my favorite facts is that

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<v Speaker 1>Domino's Pizza came public in two thousand four, about two

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<v Speaker 1>weeks before Google. Did you know that? Yeah, I've seen

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<v Speaker 1>the chart. By the way, can I just say, before

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<v Speaker 1>we go any further, I feel like I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>you could talk about pizza for like a good three

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<v Speaker 1>or four hours if let you like, you've already brought

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<v Speaker 1>in like cyberpunk sci fi fiction and now you're doing uh,

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<v Speaker 1>now you're doing the stock market stuff. Okay, well anyway, Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I have seen the chart. Anyone who spent any time

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter has probably seen it as well. It's pretty amazing.

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<v Speaker 1>The basic idea is that both Domino's Pizza and Google

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<v Speaker 1>went public around the same time. I think it was

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand four, and if you look at the chart,

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<v Speaker 1>they've basically had like a pretty similar trajectory. So everyone

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<v Speaker 1>thinks if you invested money in the early two thousands

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<v Speaker 1>in Google, then you haven't made your you know this

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<v Speaker 1>tech genius and you've made millions of dollars. No one

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<v Speaker 1>ever thinks, well, actually, if you put money into this

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<v Speaker 1>simple pizza company, you would have made the same amount. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>So Google went public August two thousand four, Dominoes went

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<v Speaker 1>Dominoes went public July or so, barely a month apart,

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<v Speaker 1>and both of them are up about twenty eight and

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<v Speaker 1>a half bold since then, Like it was truly incredible

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<v Speaker 1>that the lines are identical. Anyway, Okay, that is a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of set up. We're going to talk about pizza

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<v Speaker 1>today because I want to get the story of how

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<v Speaker 1>this one company did so well, how pizza company performed

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<v Speaker 1>so well on the market. And I thought, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with the coronavirus crisis getting everyone to eat pizza, I

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<v Speaker 1>thought this was a good time to sort of talk

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<v Speaker 1>about the incredible story of Domino's Pizza. I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>you've been waiting a long time for this. I feel

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<v Speaker 1>like you have a lot to get off your chest here,

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<v Speaker 1>so let's do it. It's actually done. Want to get

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<v Speaker 1>off my chest. There's just a bunch I want to

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<v Speaker 1>know because I've always been fascinated, but actually don't know

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<v Speaker 1>about the story. Everything I've said so far is the

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<v Speaker 1>extent of my knowledge. But we have a guest that

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<v Speaker 1>knows a lot about the restaurant industry, knows a lot

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<v Speaker 1>about the pizza business. There's a lot about Dominoes in particular.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to bring in Jonathan Mays. He is the

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<v Speaker 1>editor in chief at Restaurant Business Magazine. Jonathan, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>very much for joining us. Thank you. I'm still trying

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<v Speaker 1>to process connecting cyberpunk with pizza delivery. It's still I'm

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<v Speaker 1>trying to register that, so you'll have to excuse me

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<v Speaker 1>for a minute. But it's true, right that people are

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<v Speaker 1>ordering a crazy amount of pizza these days. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh, it doesn't really matter like all three the

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<v Speaker 1>well probably the fourth, but that the fourth one, Little Caesar's,

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<v Speaker 1>is in public. But if you look at the big

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<v Speaker 1>pizza chains are all doing double digit same store sales

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<v Speaker 1>right now, and um, people are just sitting at home

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<v Speaker 1>and they have all sorts of cash, and where else

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<v Speaker 1>are they going to spend it? Might as well order

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<v Speaker 1>a pizza. Wait, I have a dumb question, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>forgive me, but I haven't been in the States for

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<v Speaker 1>this crisis, so you know, indulge me. But why pizza

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<v Speaker 1>versus other food delivery? Like, I get that pizza is delicious,

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<v Speaker 1>but it seems like you are both talking about a

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<v Speaker 1>genuine pizza phenomenon here. So why is it so popular

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<v Speaker 1>this time around? Well, all delivery is doing well. So um,

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at whether it's a fast food chain

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<v Speaker 1>or if it's a casual binding, if they do delivery, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know their delivery sales are way up. Everybody's delivery

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<v Speaker 1>sales are way up. And and the thing about pizzas

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<v Speaker 1>that we just they we can break it out. We

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<v Speaker 1>have the best numbers, we have comparison numbers for for

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<v Speaker 1>pizza chains, and of course they do it better than

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<v Speaker 1>anybody else for the most part. Um, it's a big value.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's kind of the story. Is not necessarily that

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<v Speaker 1>everyone had this crazy craving for pizza. Uh But if

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<v Speaker 1>there's one food in America that long before grub Hub

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<v Speaker 1>or long before seamless or whatever, people have always ordered delivery,

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<v Speaker 1>it's probably a Chinese food is the other one. But

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<v Speaker 1>pizza it's just always been the sort of classic delivery state. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and they've they have the best. They have really good

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<v Speaker 1>uh um set up, They control their delivery drivers, they

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<v Speaker 1>you know, so you know, when it's from a value standpoint,

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<v Speaker 1>it's still you can feed your family for like twenty bucks.

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<v Speaker 1>It's it's uh you know, it's it's a it's all

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<v Speaker 1>really easy to do and and that sort of thing,

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<v Speaker 1>and people are really just accustomed to it. So so

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned they have a pretty good setup. Can you

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<v Speaker 1>walk us through what makes the pizza delivery industry special,

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<v Speaker 1>how do the economics of that platform or the way

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<v Speaker 1>it actually operates again, how did they differ from other

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<v Speaker 1>food delivery services versus third party delivery or I guess

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<v Speaker 1>even like a Chinese food restaurant that does delivery, Like

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<v Speaker 1>what differentiates the Domino's business model from other food chains

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<v Speaker 1>that might do delivery. Yeah, that's a really good question.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think that there are some other issues

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<v Speaker 1>with you know, Chinese restaurants that have prevented that sector

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<v Speaker 1>from you know, being as sort of as big as

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<v Speaker 1>a pizza chains. And I think a lot of it

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<v Speaker 1>has to do with the process of cooking Chinese food

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<v Speaker 1>and that sort of thing. Everybody eats pizza. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>fundamental value. So you know, you get a pizza from

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<v Speaker 1>from Dominoes, and you know, you it might cost you,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, depending on whether you use a coupon, it's

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<v Speaker 1>going to cost you eight, ten, ten, twelve dollars or whatever,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're going to feed a couple of people at

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<v Speaker 1>the very least, And you know, it's a really hard

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<v Speaker 1>to beat that value. That value is a big deal.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's also from a food cost and point. It's

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<v Speaker 1>it's also fairly inexpensive, and um, that enables these companies

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<v Speaker 1>to do these price deals which help them to do

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<v Speaker 1>these values and uh and and that sort of thing.

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<v Speaker 1>So um, it's enabled these large change to build up

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<v Speaker 1>and build these these fairly sophisticated delivery networks, um all

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<v Speaker 1>across the country, whereas they can't necessarily do it with

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<v Speaker 1>with with Chinese food to the same degree. So I

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<v Speaker 1>want to talk a little bit about, you know, how

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<v Speaker 1>the why the model works so well for pizza, but

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<v Speaker 1>it hasn't worked as well for the third party delivery

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<v Speaker 1>companies that still don't make money and the restaurants seem

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<v Speaker 1>to dislike them. But before we get to that, I

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<v Speaker 1>want to just talk about the pizza change themselves. And

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<v Speaker 1>so you mentioned there's three or were big chains that Domino's,

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<v Speaker 1>Pizza Hut, Papa John's, than Little Caesar's. Tell Us, first,

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<v Speaker 1>just think about the history of this. How did we

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<v Speaker 1>sort of get this, uh, this industry in which all

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<v Speaker 1>around the country pizza became this thing that became a chain,

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<v Speaker 1>which we don't really see the same way again with

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<v Speaker 1>Chinese food or other cuisines, but pizza very much became

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<v Speaker 1>chained and franchised and there's a few dominant players. What

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<v Speaker 1>is like, what is the history of that? And then

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<v Speaker 1>I want to you know, then maybe we can get

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit into what Dominoes did h in particular

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<v Speaker 1>that has stood up. It's it's actually more fragmented than

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<v Speaker 1>say fast fast food. Burger is very very consolidated. Their

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<v Speaker 1>only really just a handful of chains or very I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you just don't go and see like a drive through

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<v Speaker 1>burger counts an independent drive through burger concept for instance.

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<v Speaker 1>Now lately that's changed because all of these burger restaurants

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<v Speaker 1>have popped up, and that's a thing, but you know,

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<v Speaker 1>pieces still a lot more fragmented um. But the the

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<v Speaker 1>history goes back to what if you recall, it started

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<v Speaker 1>out as these restaurants were dying in concepts, So Pizza Hut,

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<v Speaker 1>for instance, was dying in restaurant um. In the sixties,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Domino's emerged with this idea that you could

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<v Speaker 1>deliver these pizzas directly to people's homes and they would

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<v Speaker 1>call and then you know, so Dominoes really grew a

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<v Speaker 1>lot in the seventies and in the nineteen eighties, and

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<v Speaker 1>then they had this deal where they would deliver the

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<v Speaker 1>pizza within thirty minutes or it was free, and that

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<v Speaker 1>enabled that company to just you know, that enfranchising, which

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<v Speaker 1>it enables companies to grow very quick, really enabled it

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<v Speaker 1>to grow very fast. And then you had competitors such

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<v Speaker 1>as Little Caesar's which is also based in Michigan, like

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<v Speaker 1>like Dominoes and and um, and then later Papa John's

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<v Speaker 1>sort of emerged. Pizza Hut throughout this process sort of

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<v Speaker 1>started converting its entire business model from that wait staff

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<v Speaker 1>din in concept to a delivery model, you know, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's just sort of became commoditized a little bit from

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<v Speaker 1>a chain perspective. So I mean, you know, you might

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<v Speaker 1>have a favorite between Little Caesar's, Pizza Hut, and Dominoes

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<v Speaker 1>or Papa John's, but you know, unbalanced there not terribly

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<v Speaker 1>different from one another. So it's becomes more of a

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<v Speaker 1>price deal, speed, convenience type factors. So these chains have

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<v Speaker 1>been competing. I mean, they've competed for you know, for

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<v Speaker 1>quality and things like that, but on balance, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there really isn't a whole lot different between them, so

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<v Speaker 1>they've competed based on price. Price. Competition is very fierce

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<v Speaker 1>in that particular market. They have also been more than

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<v Speaker 1>any other industry. They've been pioneers in adding technology to

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<v Speaker 1>their to their restaurants. So they were very early adopters

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<v Speaker 1>of ordering on the web and then of course mobile

0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:06.160
<v Speaker 1>ordering to you know, to eliminate the pain point of

0:13:06.240 --> 0:13:10.640
<v Speaker 1>having to call your pizza delivery restaurant and wait on

0:13:10.720 --> 0:13:14.040
<v Speaker 1>hold for like ten minutes or whatever. That pain point

0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:16.880
<v Speaker 1>is something that they've been able to to reduce over

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:20.600
<v Speaker 1>the years and compete then on sort of service and

0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:23.319
<v Speaker 1>speed and things of that nature. That's kind of how

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:26.360
<v Speaker 1>that works. So I have to say, when I was

0:13:26.400 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 1>growing up, I'm pretty sure I was a Pizza Hut

0:13:29.960 --> 0:13:35.040
<v Speaker 1>to vote. I distinctly remember, yeah, having birthday parties at

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:37.679
<v Speaker 1>Pizza Hut, and I remember some of the commercials as well.

0:13:37.679 --> 0:13:39.680
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna have to get our producer to insert some

0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:43.000
<v Speaker 1>old like early nine Pizza Hut commercials into this for

0:13:43.679 --> 0:13:48.720
<v Speaker 1>Nostalgiastic again. Hit Pizza Hut for Spring Pizza loaded with

0:13:48.760 --> 0:13:52.520
<v Speaker 1>six delicious topics like mouth watering pepperonis, mushrooms, and green peppers.

0:13:52.640 --> 0:13:54.959
<v Speaker 1>Right now, get a medium spring for seven and any

0:13:55.000 --> 0:13:58.920
<v Speaker 1>other medium for just more bucks more. Yeah, I gotta

0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 1>think there's almost nothing Tracy that makes me more nostalgia

0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:05.240
<v Speaker 1>than thinking about like going to pizza hut with my

0:14:05.320 --> 0:14:08.760
<v Speaker 1>family and like those I remember the I think you know,

0:14:08.840 --> 0:14:11.720
<v Speaker 1>the table clause and anyone and everything go on. But

0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:14.040
<v Speaker 1>that is I think we both have a very nostalgic

0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:18.079
<v Speaker 1>experience about pizza huts as a kid, for sure. Um

0:14:18.280 --> 0:14:21.080
<v Speaker 1>oh gosh, really, I'm getting flashbacks to didn't they have

0:14:21.160 --> 0:14:26.120
<v Speaker 1>like a Land Before Time dinosaur puppet promotion at some point? Okay,

0:14:26.120 --> 0:14:30.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm getting really specific. Um, Jonathan, you mentioned the idea

0:14:30.240 --> 0:14:34.880
<v Speaker 1>of um tech fitting neatly into the pizza delivery business model.

0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Can you explain how that worked out for Domino's specifically?

0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:43.480
<v Speaker 1>Like what was Domino's edge? Was it the way they

0:14:43.520 --> 0:14:46.960
<v Speaker 1>did business, the way they used technology, or was it,

0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, God forbid the pizza itself. Um, well, that's

0:14:52.200 --> 0:14:55.760
<v Speaker 1>a that's a really interesting question because you know, the

0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:59.920
<v Speaker 1>entire sector is actually fairly good at us use of technology.

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:03.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, Papa John's has had you know, roughly the

0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:07.400
<v Speaker 1>same digital ordering percentages as Dominoes for years. What what

0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:12.680
<v Speaker 1>Domino's does differently, first off is, and this probably does

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:16.800
<v Speaker 1>does as much to explain why they have succeeded to

0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the extent that they have is they roughly around the

0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:25.720
<v Speaker 1>time they went public, they Dominoes required their franchisees to

0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:29.440
<v Speaker 1>adopt the company's own point of sales system. Uh and

0:15:29.480 --> 0:15:33.000
<v Speaker 1>it was actually a controversial step at the time because

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 1>franchise in a franchise world, the franchise ease a lot

0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:39.760
<v Speaker 1>of times when it comes to a technology or some

0:15:39.800 --> 0:15:44.360
<v Speaker 1>construction requirement that they have to spend, they will want

0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:49.720
<v Speaker 1>the company to give them the requirements and then they

0:15:49.760 --> 0:15:52.560
<v Speaker 1>go shop around for a point of sales system. And

0:15:52.600 --> 0:15:56.040
<v Speaker 1>there was there was, in fact, a very large lawsuit

0:15:56.160 --> 0:16:00.400
<v Speaker 1>from some franchise ease against Dominoes over this poss them

0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:05.040
<v Speaker 1>domino Is ultimately one, and then the franchise started converting

0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:08.720
<v Speaker 1>their POLS system to two Domino system. So what what

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:12.880
<v Speaker 1>that's given the company is the ability to control the

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 1>entire ordering process without having to actually go to another company.

0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:21.480
<v Speaker 1>So if they want to add functionality to their mobile

0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:26.400
<v Speaker 1>or online ordering, they simply can simply do it and

0:16:26.520 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 1>do it very easy, relatively easily or more easily than

0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:32.600
<v Speaker 1>most companies. So that's enabled them to do things such

0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:37.120
<v Speaker 1>as add ordering on a watch or ordering your pizza

0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:40.120
<v Speaker 1>on a car, or instance, if you want to order

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:43.200
<v Speaker 1>from a from an Amazon Echo or something like that.

0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 1>So that's the probably the biggest thing that they did.

0:16:46.840 --> 0:16:49.840
<v Speaker 1>The other thing is that they marketed it by adding

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:52.800
<v Speaker 1>all of these cool things such as ordering on a

0:16:52.800 --> 0:16:57.240
<v Speaker 1>car or whatever. They marketed the idea that you know

0:16:57.280 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 1>that they're ordering process was easy. So one of the

0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:04.920
<v Speaker 1>biggest things they probably did was convinced customers that they

0:17:04.920 --> 0:17:07.880
<v Speaker 1>are more tech savvy than anybody else. They were doing

0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:11.119
<v Speaker 1>double digit comps year upon year. It was kind of

0:17:11.160 --> 0:17:14.159
<v Speaker 1>amazing to see for a while. So Dominoes took a

0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:19.560
<v Speaker 1>risk of potentially alienating or antagonizing some of its franchisees

0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:22.920
<v Speaker 1>by insisting that they all get on this unified point

0:17:22.920 --> 0:17:25.960
<v Speaker 1>of sale platform. When did they do this, When was

0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:30.280
<v Speaker 1>that decision made? And how strategic? Like, you know, obviously

0:17:30.320 --> 0:17:34.080
<v Speaker 1>at the time years ago, they may not have anticipated, uh,

0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:36.879
<v Speaker 1>the existence of an Amazon Echo or ordering on an

0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:40.320
<v Speaker 1>Amazon to Echo, But what what was their strategic thinking

0:17:40.600 --> 0:17:43.159
<v Speaker 1>at the time in terms of what that will what

0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:46.240
<v Speaker 1>that would enable them to do? Well? I think they

0:17:46.280 --> 0:17:49.440
<v Speaker 1>saw the like when they did this, everybody sort of

0:17:49.520 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 1>knew that the Internet was gonna we were all going

0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:53.879
<v Speaker 1>to be ordering on the Internet. Now, we didn't see

0:17:53.960 --> 0:17:57.399
<v Speaker 1>the idea of of the echo or or anything like that,

0:17:57.480 --> 0:17:59.760
<v Speaker 1>we're ordering on TV or ordering on your car, but

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:01.760
<v Speaker 1>people had a pretty good idea that we were going

0:18:01.800 --> 0:18:04.000
<v Speaker 1>to be doing a lot more ordering on the internet,

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:07.720
<v Speaker 1>and that's sort of where they wanted to go, and

0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:12.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, they you know, wanted to to control that process.

0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:14.639
<v Speaker 1>But it was definitely a really big risk and it

0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:17.680
<v Speaker 1>did anger a lot of franchisees at it. It went

0:18:17.800 --> 0:18:20.200
<v Speaker 1>was Dominoes founded, and then when did they sort of

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 1>make this leap? You know, that was I'm not sure

0:18:24.440 --> 0:18:26.600
<v Speaker 1>that the exact year of when they did it, but

0:18:26.720 --> 0:18:30.040
<v Speaker 1>goes back many years and it dates back before there

0:18:30.720 --> 0:18:34.360
<v Speaker 1>before their IPL So this is now many year process

0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:37.960
<v Speaker 1>that it took franchise ease to do. Interesting do you sorry,

0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:39.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if you were covering the food industry

0:18:39.960 --> 0:18:41.600
<v Speaker 1>around the time of the I p O, But do

0:18:41.680 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 1>you remember what the like, what the business narrative or

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:49.679
<v Speaker 1>the investment story actually was around that time? What was

0:18:49.760 --> 0:18:54.160
<v Speaker 1>Domino's telling investors was the growth story back in two

0:18:54.160 --> 0:18:57.159
<v Speaker 1>thousand four? Well, I mean at the time it was

0:18:57.240 --> 0:19:00.720
<v Speaker 1>sort of you know, between two thousand four and roughly

0:19:00.880 --> 0:19:05.680
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and eight. They were sort of this you know,

0:19:05.720 --> 0:19:10.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean they were just this well established franchise model. Um.

0:19:10.160 --> 0:19:13.520
<v Speaker 1>I think they're most of their growth was in international markets,

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 1>not in the United States. It was largely considered you know,

0:19:17.160 --> 0:19:20.159
<v Speaker 1>an established legacy brand by the time they went public

0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:23.720
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand four, so it's it's not your classic

0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:26.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean, they've been around for decades by the time

0:19:26.240 --> 0:19:30.119
<v Speaker 1>they went public, you know, so they were probably something

0:19:30.240 --> 0:19:33.919
<v Speaker 1>more akin to a Wendy's for instance, where you know,

0:19:34.240 --> 0:19:39.160
<v Speaker 1>Wendy's has a well established international market, but that's where

0:19:39.160 --> 0:19:40.920
<v Speaker 1>it's growth is going to be in the future years,

0:19:40.960 --> 0:19:43.480
<v Speaker 1>but it's in the United States. It's you know, it's

0:19:43.520 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 1>it's growth is basically was basically behind them. Nobody and

0:19:47.640 --> 0:19:50.560
<v Speaker 1>I would argue Dominoes, nobody saw what what was coming,

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 1>So that that raised an interesting question. So, okay, they

0:19:55.760 --> 0:19:59.280
<v Speaker 1>had made the strategic decision prior to having gone public

0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:01.639
<v Speaker 1>they were going to sort of really build in the

0:20:01.680 --> 0:20:04.640
<v Speaker 1>potential for the use of tech. But at the time

0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:07.480
<v Speaker 1>they went public still they were not being thought of

0:20:07.520 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>really like that. They were just like, you know, sort

0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:13.920
<v Speaker 1>of mature company like a Wendy where it's like, okay,

0:20:13.920 --> 0:20:16.159
<v Speaker 1>it's a business. It makes money, but it's mature and

0:20:16.200 --> 0:20:18.000
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of boring. And so this sort of gets

0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:20.840
<v Speaker 1>us to the crux of what we were talking about earlier,

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:24.159
<v Speaker 1>which is that yet, despite this perception of them being boring,

0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:27.200
<v Speaker 1>the stock is up about twenty eight fold since the

0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:30.520
<v Speaker 1>type po and really it's almost like matched Google since then,

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:34.480
<v Speaker 1>tick for tick. When did perceptions of the company start

0:20:34.560 --> 0:20:37.679
<v Speaker 1>to change? When did people start to realize like, Okay,

0:20:37.680 --> 0:20:42.800
<v Speaker 1>there's like they're really executing extremely well, they're growing really well,

0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:46.119
<v Speaker 1>They're just this is an exciting company and not just

0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:50.520
<v Speaker 1>an old line food Jim. Yeah, the big turning point

0:20:50.560 --> 0:20:53.760
<v Speaker 1>for them from a public perception standpoint was when they

0:20:53.800 --> 0:20:57.440
<v Speaker 1>advertised that their old pizza was carible. All right, I

0:20:57.520 --> 0:21:00.320
<v Speaker 1>remember that, Yeah, that is this is one of the

0:21:00.359 --> 0:21:03.640
<v Speaker 1>few restaurant companies where we could really say that there

0:21:03.760 --> 0:21:07.800
<v Speaker 1>was this absolute moment when everything sort of turned for them,

0:21:07.840 --> 0:21:11.200
<v Speaker 1>for them in the public, in the public's eye. And

0:21:11.320 --> 0:21:13.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, that was around the two thousand, two thousand

0:21:13.640 --> 0:21:16.520
<v Speaker 1>and eight, two thousand nine time frame. Going into that

0:21:17.200 --> 0:21:20.439
<v Speaker 1>um and I remember writing at one point wondering whether

0:21:20.640 --> 0:21:23.200
<v Speaker 1>people were getting tired of pizza because all the pizza

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:28.240
<v Speaker 1>chains were sort of struggling at and including Dominoes. In fact, Domino's,

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:32.240
<v Speaker 1>uh you know, Domino's had done a securitization around the time,

0:21:32.760 --> 0:21:35.320
<v Speaker 1>and uh you know, so they were heavily in debt

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:38.639
<v Speaker 1>around at the time of the Layman Brothers collapse, and

0:21:38.680 --> 0:21:41.040
<v Speaker 1>so you know, they were one of those companies that

0:21:41.119 --> 0:21:45.600
<v Speaker 1>you actively wondered would survive over during the recession. But

0:21:45.720 --> 0:21:49.960
<v Speaker 1>what they did was they decided to reformulate their pizza recipe.

0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:56.920
<v Speaker 1>They then advertised that their old pizza was junk then

0:21:57.040 --> 0:22:01.320
<v Speaker 1>and actually had comments from customers on their advertisements that

0:22:01.359 --> 0:22:04.480
<v Speaker 1>their whole pizza was terrible. And then they told people

0:22:04.560 --> 0:22:07.400
<v Speaker 1>that we've got we've got this new recipe, you should

0:22:07.440 --> 0:22:10.280
<v Speaker 1>come and try it to them. That is sort of

0:22:10.320 --> 0:22:15.640
<v Speaker 1>the base of their comeback. That fixing the food and

0:22:15.720 --> 0:22:19.040
<v Speaker 1>making it better and more palatable to the customer base

0:22:19.840 --> 0:22:23.960
<v Speaker 1>was the first step towards towards their actual comeback. So

0:22:24.000 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 1>that that was sort of the turning point in the

0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:31.480
<v Speaker 1>public's perception. When did they start doing the delivery insurance

0:22:31.560 --> 0:22:34.360
<v Speaker 1>or pizza insurance, Well, I think that was they did

0:22:34.400 --> 0:22:39.600
<v Speaker 1>that last year. Wait, what is that I did pizza? Well,

0:22:39.640 --> 0:22:44.560
<v Speaker 1>they started, they started they offered started offering last year

0:22:45.400 --> 0:22:50.320
<v Speaker 1>where if they if something happens with your delivery delivery order, um,

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:54.040
<v Speaker 1>you could get you know, something for you could get

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 1>it for free. Um. And then they extended it to

0:22:57.359 --> 0:23:00.159
<v Speaker 1>carry out because that's where they see their growth in

0:23:00.160 --> 0:23:02.680
<v Speaker 1>the future years is with carry out orders. But it's

0:23:02.760 --> 0:23:05.440
<v Speaker 1>a lot of that is just to sort of establish

0:23:05.560 --> 0:23:09.480
<v Speaker 1>their their delivery bona fides against their party delivery. So

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:12.320
<v Speaker 1>they had that marketing campaign and I remember that now

0:23:12.359 --> 0:23:14.600
<v Speaker 1>that you mentioned it. To take our old pizza is bad,

0:23:14.640 --> 0:23:17.960
<v Speaker 1>the new pizza is good? Is it a lot better? Like?

0:23:18.440 --> 0:23:21.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't I ordered Dominos a couple of weeks ago,

0:23:21.160 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 1>though it is pretty good, but I remember it being bad.

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:25.560
<v Speaker 1>But I don't remember. Was there like an agreed upon

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:28.520
<v Speaker 1>like what did they do differently? How did they actually

0:23:28.560 --> 0:23:30.399
<v Speaker 1>make the pizza better from the old recipe in the

0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:33.800
<v Speaker 1>new recipe? Oh, they their crust is better. I think

0:23:33.840 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 1>it's it's the crust is a lot more flavorful, if

0:23:37.080 --> 0:23:42.159
<v Speaker 1>I recall correctly. The sauce was also changed. Yeah, you know,

0:23:42.200 --> 0:23:44.520
<v Speaker 1>I do don't remember exactly, but their pizza used to

0:23:44.520 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 1>be just awful. I mean it, without question, it was

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:49.679
<v Speaker 1>it was it was just a terrible product that absolutely

0:23:49.680 --> 0:23:53.440
<v Speaker 1>earned the cardboard reputation, and it's definitely a better product,

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:55.800
<v Speaker 1>and it's it's just a little bit spici. But yeah,

0:23:55.840 --> 0:23:57.840
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and ten, I'm looking, I'm looking at

0:23:57.840 --> 0:24:00.919
<v Speaker 1>the numbers, and they did fourteen point three percent comps

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:05.320
<v Speaker 1>in the first quarter of two thou after that was introduced.

0:24:05.600 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 1>So if we fast forward to now, clearly pizza pizza

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:15.399
<v Speaker 1>delivery is enjoying a resurgence during the coronavirus shutdown, but

0:24:15.520 --> 0:24:20.680
<v Speaker 1>we've also seen a surge in just food delivery in general.

0:24:21.160 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 1>How does pizza compete against the third party food delivery

0:24:25.920 --> 0:24:32.000
<v Speaker 1>companies in this environment? Well, first off, on price. So

0:24:32.280 --> 0:24:35.240
<v Speaker 1>one of the challenges I think the long term challenges

0:24:35.320 --> 0:24:38.520
<v Speaker 1>the third party delivery is that it costs you a

0:24:38.560 --> 0:24:41.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of money to get that order. Pizza chains do

0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:47.760
<v Speaker 1>that much more efficiently and they control the process then

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:52.080
<v Speaker 1>than in a third party situation. So for instance, if

0:24:52.160 --> 0:24:55.560
<v Speaker 1>you order chicken wings, for instance, and you order through

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:59.600
<v Speaker 1>a third party delivery app, you're probably gonna pay fifty

0:24:59.680 --> 0:25:02.719
<v Speaker 1>six more than if you were to go pick it up.

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:05.879
<v Speaker 1>For instance, that price is a big deal. Pizza tends

0:25:05.920 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 1>to you're you're still paying more if you order domino

0:25:09.400 --> 0:25:12.080
<v Speaker 1>is delivered then if you order carry out, but the

0:25:12.880 --> 0:25:17.000
<v Speaker 1>value is still a major, major, major selling point. It's

0:25:17.480 --> 0:25:20.600
<v Speaker 1>one of the quietly one of the biggest reasons why

0:25:20.920 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 1>pizzas historically so popular. Is it again, it's just fundamentally

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:27.920
<v Speaker 1>cheap to to to feed your family with it, so

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:30.880
<v Speaker 1>because they control the process. Like if you think about

0:25:31.000 --> 0:25:35.879
<v Speaker 1>the delivery system in pizza restaurants or Chinese for that matter,

0:25:35.960 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>anybody that does self delivery, or like Jimmy John's, you know,

0:25:39.200 --> 0:25:41.760
<v Speaker 1>you do it from a hubb in spoke model. You

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:46.400
<v Speaker 1>have your delivery drivers at the restaurant, the people order

0:25:46.680 --> 0:25:50.440
<v Speaker 1>from the restaurant, and then the delivery drivers go out

0:25:50.480 --> 0:25:53.440
<v Speaker 1>to the homes to deliver the food. In a third

0:25:53.480 --> 0:25:57.160
<v Speaker 1>party system, it's just a lot more jumble. You're going

0:25:57.320 --> 0:26:00.520
<v Speaker 1>your people are ordering either from the restaurant on order

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:04.240
<v Speaker 1>or from the third party delivery app, and then those

0:26:04.359 --> 0:26:08.359
<v Speaker 1>orders go to independent contractors that may be close to

0:26:08.400 --> 0:26:11.080
<v Speaker 1>the restaurant or they may be a couple of miles away,

0:26:11.320 --> 0:26:14.040
<v Speaker 1>and then they're going, so they're all these points they're going.

0:26:14.760 --> 0:26:17.520
<v Speaker 1>It's just a much more jumbled mess, and it's much

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:21.840
<v Speaker 1>more difficult to do that efficiently, and that's probably a

0:26:21.840 --> 0:26:24.320
<v Speaker 1>bigger reason why third party delivery doesn't make the money

0:26:24.359 --> 0:26:28.560
<v Speaker 1>that say domino stuff. So it's really, in your view,

0:26:28.640 --> 0:26:32.280
<v Speaker 1>it's about that having the people there, having them go

0:26:32.359 --> 0:26:35.280
<v Speaker 1>out the job of pizza come right back, and a

0:26:35.400 --> 0:26:39.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of consistency and the efficiency that you can get

0:26:39.160 --> 0:26:42.720
<v Speaker 1>from having that entire infrastructure just devoted to your restaurant,

0:26:43.080 --> 0:26:47.360
<v Speaker 1>to your product. And the third party entities, the delivery

0:26:47.400 --> 0:26:51.679
<v Speaker 1>companies and you know, rub hubs and door dashes and

0:26:51.760 --> 0:26:54.800
<v Speaker 1>all these other ones, they just can't compete with that

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 1>efficiency in your view. No, so they really can't compete

0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:02.520
<v Speaker 1>from from an efficiency standpoint. And then the other thing

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:07.159
<v Speaker 1>is that you you know, Domino's controls all of that process.

0:27:07.359 --> 0:27:11.520
<v Speaker 1>So and it's a simple explanation if you order from

0:27:11.520 --> 0:27:15.320
<v Speaker 1>Dominoes and go back to that delivery insurance situation, If

0:27:15.480 --> 0:27:19.040
<v Speaker 1>you order from Dominos or Pizza Hut or Papa John's

0:27:19.080 --> 0:27:22.920
<v Speaker 1>for that matter, and something is wrong with your pizza,

0:27:23.240 --> 0:27:26.840
<v Speaker 1>you can contact Dominoes or Pizza Hut or whatever, and

0:27:27.000 --> 0:27:29.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, Dominoes will get that pizza to

0:27:29.280 --> 0:27:32.040
<v Speaker 1>you for free. You'll get your pizza I ordered. I

0:27:32.040 --> 0:27:35.320
<v Speaker 1>remember I ordered. I wanted pie delivered to my house.

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:40.000
<v Speaker 1>I was craving pie. It was terrible. And I ordered

0:27:40.200 --> 0:27:43.800
<v Speaker 1>from a family dining restaurant and and we ordered dinner

0:27:44.280 --> 0:27:47.480
<v Speaker 1>and a couple of pies. And we got the order

0:27:47.840 --> 0:27:51.639
<v Speaker 1>and the food came, the pie wasn't there, and so

0:27:52.040 --> 0:27:54.840
<v Speaker 1>I contacted the delivery provider and all I got was

0:27:54.880 --> 0:27:56.560
<v Speaker 1>my money back. I didn't want the money. I want

0:27:56.600 --> 0:28:01.400
<v Speaker 1>to pie. And so I mean, it's so the problem

0:28:01.480 --> 0:28:04.840
<v Speaker 1>to me is that Dominoes can just control that quality

0:28:04.880 --> 0:28:07.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot better than third party delivery can and eventually,

0:28:08.320 --> 0:28:10.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, right now, you have a captive audience sort

0:28:10.440 --> 0:28:13.000
<v Speaker 1>of spee. People are at home and they really want food,

0:28:13.040 --> 0:28:15.680
<v Speaker 1>and delivery is still a fairly safe way to get

0:28:15.720 --> 0:28:20.040
<v Speaker 1>your food in a pandemic. But eventually quality really will

0:28:20.080 --> 0:28:21.919
<v Speaker 1>take over and consumers aren't going to give them a

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:24.920
<v Speaker 1>break to the extent. And and you know, that's one

0:28:25.040 --> 0:28:29.560
<v Speaker 1>area where third party delivery companies have to fix is

0:28:30.160 --> 0:28:47.920
<v Speaker 1>get that quality down a lot better. Okay, So, given

0:28:47.960 --> 0:28:51.920
<v Speaker 1>that Domino's has this very competitive delivery business where they

0:28:51.920 --> 0:28:54.520
<v Speaker 1>have a lot of efficiencies built into it that allows

0:28:54.560 --> 0:28:59.240
<v Speaker 1>them to compete quite effectively with third party food delivery services.

0:29:00.080 --> 0:29:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Why are they looking at carry out as a potential

0:29:04.080 --> 0:29:07.360
<v Speaker 1>growth area, as you mentioned, because a certain percentage of

0:29:07.400 --> 0:29:12.520
<v Speaker 1>customers hate delivery. M that's basically it. So um, they

0:29:12.600 --> 0:29:15.960
<v Speaker 1>explain it as there is a you know, I mean,

0:29:16.040 --> 0:29:18.720
<v Speaker 1>like I think it's roughly two thirds of consumers are

0:29:18.880 --> 0:29:23.840
<v Speaker 1>perfectly fine having food delivered to to umu to their home.

0:29:24.680 --> 0:29:29.120
<v Speaker 1>But then there's like thirty dish some some substantial percentage

0:29:29.480 --> 0:29:35.200
<v Speaker 1>of consumers that don't like delivery. I'm actually one of

0:29:35.200 --> 0:29:37.240
<v Speaker 1>those consumers. I really don't like having food delivered to

0:29:37.280 --> 0:29:38.960
<v Speaker 1>my home. I would much rather go and control the

0:29:39.000 --> 0:29:42.840
<v Speaker 1>process and go pick it up. Um. Is that is that?

0:29:43.040 --> 0:29:45.480
<v Speaker 1>Is that just like a sense of control thing? Or

0:29:45.560 --> 0:29:47.480
<v Speaker 1>is it you worry that the food is going to

0:29:47.600 --> 0:29:50.560
<v Speaker 1>come in for you're not going to get what you want?

0:29:50.640 --> 0:29:53.720
<v Speaker 1>Or yeah I'm a control freak. Yeah, I'm an admitted

0:29:53.760 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 1>control I don't like Um, you know, I I can

0:29:57.560 --> 0:30:00.280
<v Speaker 1>go pick it up when I know it's ready, get

0:30:00.280 --> 0:30:02.000
<v Speaker 1>it as hot as I can. I don't have to

0:30:02.000 --> 0:30:04.880
<v Speaker 1>wait for somebody who may or may not get to

0:30:04.960 --> 0:30:08.960
<v Speaker 1>my house is quickly as as they should. And uh.

0:30:09.000 --> 0:30:11.240
<v Speaker 1>And also the fact that like I know I'll get

0:30:11.320 --> 0:30:13.160
<v Speaker 1>I could at least check my bag to see if

0:30:13.160 --> 0:30:17.760
<v Speaker 1>my pies are there. I'm sensing pie is important to

0:30:17.800 --> 0:30:21.360
<v Speaker 1>you if I well, I mean, well, when you want pie, man,

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:26.000
<v Speaker 1>you have to have pies. And I think the Dominos

0:30:26.040 --> 0:30:28.720
<v Speaker 1>has seen that, you know they, I mean, they're they're

0:30:28.840 --> 0:30:33.400
<v Speaker 1>very data heavy company. They use data for every single

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:35.720
<v Speaker 1>decision that they have, and so they know that there

0:30:35.760 --> 0:30:39.040
<v Speaker 1>is this percentage of consumers that just do not like delivery,

0:30:39.200 --> 0:30:43.120
<v Speaker 1>and that's the consumer that historically they've never really targeted.

0:30:43.560 --> 0:30:47.840
<v Speaker 1>And in recent years they've just really been pushing for

0:30:47.880 --> 0:30:52.000
<v Speaker 1>that particular group quite a bit, which is sort of

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:55.800
<v Speaker 1>sustained um. That's helped them sustained growth in the past

0:30:55.800 --> 0:30:59.760
<v Speaker 1>couple of years, as as their delivery businesses offtened while

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:04.520
<v Speaker 1>all these third party delivery companies started to emerge. Do

0:31:04.560 --> 0:31:06.920
<v Speaker 1>you see any hope for those third party companies? Like

0:31:07.080 --> 0:31:10.440
<v Speaker 1>is there a path in your view to sustainable profitability

0:31:10.600 --> 0:31:12.760
<v Speaker 1>or is there just like do they really need to

0:31:12.880 --> 0:31:18.000
<v Speaker 1>potentially rethink things? I mean, I was on TV talking

0:31:18.000 --> 0:31:21.240
<v Speaker 1>to Jim Chaino's who was very skeptical these companies, like, look,

0:31:21.320 --> 0:31:25.160
<v Speaker 1>they didn't make money during the boom times. Now businesses

0:31:25.240 --> 0:31:27.080
<v Speaker 1>up a lot but they're still not making money. He

0:31:27.120 --> 0:31:30.360
<v Speaker 1>was talking about grubhub in particular. Is there a path here,

0:31:30.560 --> 0:31:35.800
<v Speaker 1>in your view, for that third party model to work well?

0:31:35.840 --> 0:31:39.800
<v Speaker 1>I think people want food. I mean a certain percentage

0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:42.680
<v Speaker 1>of consumers want food delivered to their home and are

0:31:42.680 --> 0:31:46.240
<v Speaker 1>willing to pay for it. And as long as that

0:31:46.400 --> 0:31:51.480
<v Speaker 1>market exists, they'll figure out a way to make it work. Now,

0:31:51.520 --> 0:31:54.280
<v Speaker 1>how that looks remains to be seen. I know that

0:31:54.320 --> 0:31:56.600
<v Speaker 1>there's still a lot of people out there looking at

0:31:56.720 --> 0:32:00.000
<v Speaker 1>delivery and trying to figure out how to make it work,

0:32:00.880 --> 0:32:05.480
<v Speaker 1>whether it's an entirely different model of some sort, whether

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:08.760
<v Speaker 1>it's a lot of consolidation, and then maybe like rubhub,

0:32:08.800 --> 0:32:11.360
<v Speaker 1>they use it as a loss leader to sort of

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:15.760
<v Speaker 1>established their overall business. To me, I you know, that's

0:32:15.760 --> 0:32:18.360
<v Speaker 1>that's a really really good question to me. As long

0:32:18.400 --> 0:32:20.600
<v Speaker 1>as that market exists, somebody is going to figure out

0:32:20.640 --> 0:32:22.320
<v Speaker 1>how to do it. You know, there are a lot

0:32:22.360 --> 0:32:25.520
<v Speaker 1>of markets where you can actually get efficiency, you get

0:32:25.600 --> 0:32:27.960
<v Speaker 1>enough efficiency in that market to where it can work.

0:32:28.560 --> 0:32:32.239
<v Speaker 1>New York City is a perfect example because everybody is

0:32:32.400 --> 0:32:34.880
<v Speaker 1>packed in so tightly. That's why it works so well.

0:32:34.920 --> 0:32:37.080
<v Speaker 1>In China, for instance, everybody is packed in so tightly,

0:32:37.360 --> 0:32:39.920
<v Speaker 1>you can do a lot of deliveries and short radius.

0:32:40.240 --> 0:32:42.520
<v Speaker 1>I live in a suburb and it's very difficult to

0:32:42.560 --> 0:32:46.760
<v Speaker 1>do delivery efficiently there. So I think eventually they figure

0:32:46.760 --> 0:32:50.080
<v Speaker 1>it out. It remains to be seen. Could it be

0:32:50.240 --> 0:32:55.760
<v Speaker 1>plausible that more companies, beyond just pizza companies adopt our

0:32:55.800 --> 0:32:59.719
<v Speaker 1>own hub and spoke model, maybe with some infrastructure help

0:32:59.760 --> 0:33:04.480
<v Speaker 1>from a third party company, but have more dedicated drivers,

0:33:04.640 --> 0:33:08.800
<v Speaker 1>dedicated systems on their own. Is data path or does

0:33:08.840 --> 0:33:12.680
<v Speaker 1>that not work for most kinds of a company. I

0:33:12.720 --> 0:33:15.440
<v Speaker 1>think that's that is one route they absolutely could go.

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:17.920
<v Speaker 1>And then you could see some companies that sort of

0:33:17.920 --> 0:33:21.080
<v Speaker 1>help along along those lines, and that maybe third party

0:33:21.080 --> 0:33:24.520
<v Speaker 1>in delivery players as well. I mean, I think long term,

0:33:24.600 --> 0:33:26.960
<v Speaker 1>ultimately a lot of companies bring this stuff in house.

0:33:27.200 --> 0:33:29.560
<v Speaker 1>You know, we we have seen it with with some

0:33:29.560 --> 0:33:33.200
<v Speaker 1>some chains that have in house delivery in some form

0:33:33.280 --> 0:33:35.840
<v Speaker 1>or fashion. Again, as long as that market is there

0:33:35.840 --> 0:33:38.800
<v Speaker 1>and people wanted, I think that customers, you know, companies

0:33:38.800 --> 0:33:40.080
<v Speaker 1>are going to figure out a way to do it,

0:33:40.120 --> 0:33:42.760
<v Speaker 1>and that very well could be the restaurants themselves. Yeah.

0:33:42.960 --> 0:33:46.440
<v Speaker 1>I think the things that have prevented restaurants from doing

0:33:46.480 --> 0:33:50.600
<v Speaker 1>it is things like insurance and um labor. Labor has

0:33:50.640 --> 0:33:54.920
<v Speaker 1>been a massive barrier towards companies doing their own delivery.

0:33:55.000 --> 0:33:58.400
<v Speaker 1>That's one of the biggest reasons why they haven't done

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:02.040
<v Speaker 1>that more aggressively, uh than you might have expected, given

0:34:02.080 --> 0:34:05.080
<v Speaker 1>all of the questions with third party delivery and the

0:34:05.080 --> 0:34:07.680
<v Speaker 1>the existence of that market is like companies that have

0:34:07.760 --> 0:34:10.640
<v Speaker 1>tried it, like Burger King and others, really struggled when

0:34:10.640 --> 0:34:14.120
<v Speaker 1>they did it. Um though Panera Bread has their own

0:34:14.160 --> 0:34:18.640
<v Speaker 1>delivery and some others. But I think ultimately, because that

0:34:18.680 --> 0:34:21.120
<v Speaker 1>market is the way it is, I think ultimately you're

0:34:21.239 --> 0:34:23.760
<v Speaker 1>probably going to see a lot more companies doing self delivery.

0:34:25.239 --> 0:34:27.640
<v Speaker 1>So you know, when Joe and I started this episode,

0:34:27.760 --> 0:34:32.239
<v Speaker 1>we mentioned the chart of Google versus Dominoes and how

0:34:32.320 --> 0:34:36.560
<v Speaker 1>they've both performed very similarly since they actually went public.

0:34:37.200 --> 0:34:39.440
<v Speaker 1>When you look at that chart, do you think that

0:34:39.560 --> 0:34:43.080
<v Speaker 1>performance is justified? Do you think Domino's is as good

0:34:43.120 --> 0:34:46.160
<v Speaker 1>a company or as much of a tech company as

0:34:46.280 --> 0:34:49.400
<v Speaker 1>something like Google. Well, I don't think there's much of

0:34:49.400 --> 0:34:51.800
<v Speaker 1>a tech as much of a tech company as Google

0:34:51.840 --> 0:34:53.839
<v Speaker 1>at all. No. I mean, they are definitely a tech

0:34:53.880 --> 0:34:57.719
<v Speaker 1>company without question. Um. They are very technology heavy, but

0:34:57.760 --> 0:35:01.080
<v Speaker 1>their main product is still that pizza, whereas Google their

0:35:01.160 --> 0:35:05.600
<v Speaker 1>main product is you is search and advertising and whatever

0:35:05.680 --> 0:35:07.160
<v Speaker 1>else they they do that I can't think of off

0:35:07.200 --> 0:35:09.959
<v Speaker 1>the top of my head. So no, I mean they're

0:35:09.960 --> 0:35:12.279
<v Speaker 1>not as much of a tech company, but I mean

0:35:12.320 --> 0:35:15.120
<v Speaker 1>they're you know that. You know, the stock movement is

0:35:15.160 --> 0:35:17.960
<v Speaker 1>as justified as as anything else. And it's not like

0:35:18.480 --> 0:35:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Dominoes is going to go away. You know, they were doing.

0:35:21.560 --> 0:35:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Some of the sales growth that they had in the

0:35:24.080 --> 0:35:28.239
<v Speaker 1>last few years have been really incredible, and I mean

0:35:28.520 --> 0:35:32.040
<v Speaker 1>no other company can even come close to what they've done,

0:35:32.600 --> 0:35:36.759
<v Speaker 1>except maybe Chipotle. So you know, their unit volumes are

0:35:36.960 --> 0:35:41.760
<v Speaker 1>much much bigger than their competitors. Um, they rocketed past

0:35:41.800 --> 0:35:44.360
<v Speaker 1>Pizza Hut to be the largest pizza chain in the

0:35:44.160 --> 0:35:47.319
<v Speaker 1>in the country and in the world. Um they still

0:35:47.400 --> 0:35:51.000
<v Speaker 1>have plenty of growth in international markets. They have a

0:35:51.239 --> 0:35:54.400
<v Speaker 1>very high profit franchise model. I mean yeah, I mean,

0:35:54.440 --> 0:35:57.040
<v Speaker 1>there's no real reason why they shouldn't have been they

0:35:57.040 --> 0:35:59.279
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't have gone up as much as it has. It's

0:35:59.280 --> 0:36:01.880
<v Speaker 1>just been sort of incredible to watch, especially given the

0:36:01.920 --> 0:36:04.839
<v Speaker 1>fact that somewhere and then two thousand eight timeframe, we

0:36:04.840 --> 0:36:07.720
<v Speaker 1>were wondering if they were going to go bankrupt. So

0:36:08.000 --> 0:36:11.359
<v Speaker 1>before we go, I mean, put on your future hat

0:36:11.600 --> 0:36:14.360
<v Speaker 1>for futurist hat for a second. We talked about maybe

0:36:14.400 --> 0:36:19.000
<v Speaker 1>different ways that the third party delivery industry could work.

0:36:19.040 --> 0:36:22.120
<v Speaker 1>But from a pizza specific standpoint, or for a Domino's

0:36:22.480 --> 0:36:25.800
<v Speaker 1>specific standpoint, what's the next thing we should be watching

0:36:25.880 --> 0:36:30.960
<v Speaker 1>for in terms of the strategic future of pizza itself.

0:36:31.800 --> 0:36:35.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, it's hard to see, you know,

0:36:35.160 --> 0:36:38.440
<v Speaker 1>what they can do from a technology standpoint. There's the

0:36:38.480 --> 0:36:40.399
<v Speaker 1>thing that's gonna work is that you're no longer when

0:36:40.400 --> 0:36:43.920
<v Speaker 1>you call a pizza restaurant, you're no longer going to

0:36:44.000 --> 0:36:48.320
<v Speaker 1>talk to a human being. So that's probably the biggest

0:36:48.960 --> 0:36:51.520
<v Speaker 1>change that you'll see down the line. And what about

0:36:51.600 --> 0:36:54.160
<v Speaker 1>driverless card delivery? Is that going to be a big thing?

0:36:57.080 --> 0:37:00.319
<v Speaker 1>I mean as soon as I think they definitely want

0:37:00.360 --> 0:37:02.719
<v Speaker 1>to do it. I mean, Domino's has been working on

0:37:02.760 --> 0:37:06.319
<v Speaker 1>this for for years. You know, they still absolutely play

0:37:06.360 --> 0:37:10.200
<v Speaker 1>around with it. They have robots at their company headquarters

0:37:10.239 --> 0:37:12.680
<v Speaker 1>and things like that. So I mean I think kind

0:37:12.680 --> 0:37:15.080
<v Speaker 1>of like if they're working on a driverless car technology,

0:37:15.120 --> 0:37:18.720
<v Speaker 1>they're kind of more like Google than you let up. Yeah,

0:37:18.800 --> 0:37:22.839
<v Speaker 1>well they work well, maybe they are a little bit

0:37:22.840 --> 0:37:24.800
<v Speaker 1>more like Google than I really went on. But I

0:37:24.840 --> 0:37:27.279
<v Speaker 1>mean they do have but they're working now with uh,

0:37:27.680 --> 0:37:31.280
<v Speaker 1>with a robotics company on on that they've been testing

0:37:31.320 --> 0:37:35.920
<v Speaker 1>these really more robotic driverless cars and um, so you

0:37:35.920 --> 0:37:38.120
<v Speaker 1>could definitely see that. But you're gonna see you know,

0:37:38.520 --> 0:37:41.280
<v Speaker 1>the the you know in the next couple of years,

0:37:41.760 --> 0:37:46.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, these automated voice ordering where the digital orders

0:37:46.080 --> 0:37:49.439
<v Speaker 1>are taken even from from people who old fashioned people

0:37:49.440 --> 0:37:53.040
<v Speaker 1>who call on the phone. Right. Uh, Jonathan may Is,

0:37:53.239 --> 0:37:55.759
<v Speaker 1>that was fantastic. Really enjoyed it. I learned a ton

0:37:55.800 --> 0:37:59.600
<v Speaker 1>about pizza and food and I gotta want your answers

0:37:59.640 --> 0:38:01.440
<v Speaker 1>to question and I've had for a long time, so

0:38:01.480 --> 0:38:04.880
<v Speaker 1>I really appreciate you, Johnny. All right, thank you, Thanks Jonathan,

0:38:04.920 --> 0:38:18.200
<v Speaker 1>Thanks Jonathan Tracy. I've been eating a lot of pizza

0:38:18.520 --> 0:38:20.799
<v Speaker 1>like everyone else during this crisis, and I think I'm

0:38:20.800 --> 0:38:24.040
<v Speaker 1>going to order another pizza because I'm gonna order a

0:38:24.080 --> 0:38:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Domino's too. Nothing like talking about the efficiencies of a

0:38:26.719 --> 0:38:30.640
<v Speaker 1>business model to get the cravings going. But yeah, hubband

0:38:30.680 --> 0:38:34.120
<v Speaker 1>spoke model. Nothing nothing makes me again to be hungrier

0:38:34.160 --> 0:38:37.319
<v Speaker 1>than hearing about the hubband spoke moddle delivery. But you

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:40.000
<v Speaker 1>know what, I was thinking while we were talking about that,

0:38:40.040 --> 0:38:43.080
<v Speaker 1>I was actually thinking what would happen if Google went

0:38:43.120 --> 0:38:45.959
<v Speaker 1>into the pizza delivery business, Like what if they just said, well,

0:38:46.160 --> 0:38:48.400
<v Speaker 1>we have as much data as anyone, and we do

0:38:48.480 --> 0:38:51.080
<v Speaker 1>tech as good as anyone else, and the pizza is

0:38:51.160 --> 0:38:54.040
<v Speaker 1>kind of an afterthought in this business model. It feels like,

0:38:54.800 --> 0:38:57.879
<v Speaker 1>well except as you pointed out that domino has really

0:38:57.880 --> 0:39:00.360
<v Speaker 1>turned it around when they made the pizza itself better,

0:39:00.400 --> 0:39:03.040
<v Speaker 1>so at least Google would have to execute on the product. True,

0:39:03.400 --> 0:39:06.320
<v Speaker 1>or they came up with a very good marketing campaign

0:39:06.440 --> 0:39:09.680
<v Speaker 1>that worked for them. It's crazy, by the way, Tracy,

0:39:09.760 --> 0:39:11.800
<v Speaker 1>you should come back just because, like I ordered Dominoes

0:39:11.840 --> 0:39:13.800
<v Speaker 1>the other day, and I guess I should ask Jonathan

0:39:13.800 --> 0:39:15.680
<v Speaker 1>about this, But like what they do with crust, like

0:39:15.719 --> 0:39:22.200
<v Speaker 1>they're in order like Brooklyn thin crust, thin crust, Like

0:39:22.400 --> 0:39:25.080
<v Speaker 1>there's like there's literally like twelve different crush they have.

0:39:25.239 --> 0:39:27.880
<v Speaker 1>Like if pizza is getting so advanced, that sounds amazing.

0:39:27.920 --> 0:39:30.920
<v Speaker 1>I think the last time I ordered pizza from Dominoes,

0:39:30.960 --> 0:39:34.520
<v Speaker 1>there were still only two options, which were thin and

0:39:34.600 --> 0:39:37.279
<v Speaker 1>thick crust. That was pretty much it. I miss it.

0:39:37.400 --> 0:39:41.600
<v Speaker 1>I would come back. You gotta come back, just for this. Yeah, wait,

0:39:41.960 --> 0:39:47.320
<v Speaker 1>do you order Dominoes when you're in New York? I'm

0:39:47.320 --> 0:39:50.200
<v Speaker 1>going to, but I might start I feel if when

0:39:50.239 --> 0:39:53.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm in the city, I do feel bad about ordering dominos,

0:39:53.320 --> 0:39:55.440
<v Speaker 1>But maybe I'll start. It's really good. Maybe you'll be

0:39:55.520 --> 0:39:57.960
<v Speaker 1>so attempted by the efficiencies of the Hubb and Spoke

0:39:58.000 --> 0:40:02.160
<v Speaker 1>model that you'll have to. But yeah, a fascinating conversation,

0:40:02.480 --> 0:40:07.920
<v Speaker 1>something that really like brings a current business trend into focus,

0:40:08.120 --> 0:40:11.320
<v Speaker 1>I think. And I wasn't aware that pizza had become

0:40:11.960 --> 0:40:15.040
<v Speaker 1>such a massive thing during the coronavirus shutdown. But Jonathan

0:40:15.080 --> 0:40:16.960
<v Speaker 1>did a really good did a really good job of

0:40:17.000 --> 0:40:19.799
<v Speaker 1>explaining why he's great. All right, should we leave it there? Yep,

0:40:20.080 --> 0:40:22.880
<v Speaker 1>let's do it. This has been another episode of the

0:40:22.920 --> 0:40:25.799
<v Speaker 1>All Thoughts podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me

0:40:25.960 --> 0:40:29.480
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at Tracy Alloway, and I'm Joe Wisenthal. You

0:40:29.480 --> 0:40:32.360
<v Speaker 1>can follow me at The Stalwart. And you should follow

0:40:32.360 --> 0:40:36.240
<v Speaker 1>our guest on Twitter, Jonathan May's He's at Jonathan Mays.

0:40:36.600 --> 0:40:39.720
<v Speaker 1>Be sure to follow our producer Laura Carlson at Laura

0:40:39.800 --> 0:40:43.359
<v Speaker 1>and Carlson. Follow the Bloomberg head of podcast, Francesca Levi

0:40:43.560 --> 0:40:47.480
<v Speaker 1>at Francesco Today and check out all of the Bloomberg

0:40:47.520 --> 0:41:07.640
<v Speaker 1>podcasts under the handle at podcasts. Thanks for listening to