WEBVTT - Mistrust at the Supreme Court Amid Historic Backlog

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Long with June Brusso from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Another repercussion from the leak of a draft Supreme Court

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<v Speaker 1>opinion overturning Roe v. Wade last month, Justice Clarence Thomas

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<v Speaker 1>said the leak has undermined trust among the justices and

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<v Speaker 1>deeply damaged the court. And look where we are where

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<v Speaker 1>now that trust or that belief is gone forever um

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<v Speaker 1>the And when you lose that trust, especially in the

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<v Speaker 1>institution that I'm in, Uh, it changes the institution fundamentally.

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<v Speaker 1>You begin to look over your shoulder. It's like kind

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<v Speaker 1>of an infidelity on that you can explain it, but

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<v Speaker 1>you can't undo it. Is that mistrust and internal discord

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<v Speaker 1>behind the Justice is waiting until the bitter end of

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<v Speaker 1>the term to issue decisions in more than half of

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<v Speaker 1>their cases, including blockbuster rulings could make abortion illegal and

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<v Speaker 1>half the country and mean more handguns on the streets.

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<v Speaker 1>Here to help us sort out why and what's coming

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<v Speaker 1>up is Kimberly Strawbridge Robinson, Bloomberg Law Supreme Court reporter Kimberly.

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<v Speaker 1>At this point, the justices have thirty three decisions outstanding.

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<v Speaker 1>That's more than they've issued this whole term. Is this unusual, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it is and it isn't. So it's not unusual for

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<v Speaker 1>the Court to kind of backload. It's worked with opinions.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, that makes a lot of sense. In

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<v Speaker 1>the beginning of the term, the justices are also hearing

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<v Speaker 1>oral arguments in cases. There's a lot of prep for

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<v Speaker 1>those arguments to happen, and then they stopped doing that

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<v Speaker 1>around April and focused totally on opinions. So we do

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<v Speaker 1>tend to get a lot of the opinions in June,

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<v Speaker 1>specifically as the Court tries to hit this kind of

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<v Speaker 1>informal deadline at the end of June to knock out

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<v Speaker 1>all of its opinions. But it's unusual in the sense

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<v Speaker 1>to have so many. We could see the Suspreme Court

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<v Speaker 1>was already working pretty slowly before we got that unprecedented

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<v Speaker 1>leak of an abortion ruling, but since then it's been

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<v Speaker 1>going even more slowly. So it is unusual to have

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<v Speaker 1>thirty three cases left for the justices to get out,

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<v Speaker 1>and it is a pretty heavy list. Maybe we won't

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<v Speaker 1>be hitting that informal deadline this here. We've been expecting

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<v Speaker 1>the decision in the New York gun case for some time.

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<v Speaker 1>Explain why, you know how reporters time out when cases

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<v Speaker 1>are argued and when they should be coming down. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it takes the justices a long time to

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<v Speaker 1>really issue any opinion. It's not as if they usually

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<v Speaker 1>just pure case and then the next day we get

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<v Speaker 1>this long, ridden, reasoned out opinion. That takes time, But

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<v Speaker 1>as cases are more divisive, it's going to take even

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<v Speaker 1>more time, not only because you're working with the majority opinion,

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<v Speaker 1>but also with any descents that might be coming in

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<v Speaker 1>and those kind of go back and forth sometime for editing.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, we can kind of gain out the

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<v Speaker 1>system based on when arguments happened. Did they happen right

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<v Speaker 1>at the beginning of term in October or you might

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<v Speaker 1>expect to see those happen before cases that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we don't hear until the middle of April. That makes

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of sense with regard to this gun case,

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<v Speaker 1>though it is right now the oldest outstanding case that

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<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court still has pending, and why we could

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<v Speaker 1>see it at the end of June, it is also

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<v Speaker 1>one that the Justices might have ready, but we haven't

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<v Speaker 1>seen it in the last couple of weeks and some

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<v Speaker 1>people are speculating that it has to do with the

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<v Speaker 1>recent news out of Texas and that shooting there, that

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<v Speaker 1>the justices seem prime and oral argument to expand gun rights,

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<v Speaker 1>and that now just really isn't the time for the

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<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court to issue that ruling. I confess that I've

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<v Speaker 1>been one of those speculating. So that case and of

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<v Speaker 1>course the abortion case are the blockbuster decisions that people

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<v Speaker 1>have been focusing on. But there are other cases which

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<v Speaker 1>should make headlines. Let's just go through some of them quickly.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a pending environmental dispute there is. This is a

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<v Speaker 1>big dispute out of West Virginia, but it really goes

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<v Speaker 1>to the heart of whether it's e p A can

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<v Speaker 1>tackle climate change and how robustly they can tackle climate change,

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<v Speaker 1>which of itself is a really important issue for the country,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's also really important in what it means for

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<v Speaker 1>administrative law. Now, people might have fallen asleep while an

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<v Speaker 1>administrative law, but the administrative law touches on almost every

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<v Speaker 1>aspect of American life, and you know, when the Court

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<v Speaker 1>makes even small changes to administrative law, I can really

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<v Speaker 1>have big effects. And this is one of those cases

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<v Speaker 1>where what the Supreme Court says, could make the ruling

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<v Speaker 1>mean even more beyond environmental law, beyond climate change. There's

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<v Speaker 1>the immigration case over Trump's Remain in Mexico policy, which

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<v Speaker 1>would force immigrants to stay in Mexico while their cases

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<v Speaker 1>are being reviewed. And are there two religious rights cases?

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<v Speaker 1>There are two religious rights cases still pending. The Court

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<v Speaker 1>recently issued religious rights case fighting with a group who

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to fly their flag over Boston. But both of

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<v Speaker 1>these other cases are a little bit more robust, kind

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<v Speaker 1>of to more of the heart of some of our

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<v Speaker 1>religious freedom and what states can do to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>stay out of religion. You know, those cases are really interesting,

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<v Speaker 1>and that if we looked at the Robert's Court when

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<v Speaker 1>it first got started in two thousand and five, when

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<v Speaker 1>Chief Justice Robert took over, the Court's really been making

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<v Speaker 1>these very small moves and the religious space to where

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<v Speaker 1>we get to where we are now and the questions

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<v Speaker 1>we're considering are kind of astonishing how far we come

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<v Speaker 1>just taking these little baby steps. And so I expect

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<v Speaker 1>the Court to continue kind of taking those baby steps

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<v Speaker 1>and of walking towards protecting religious freedom and protecting the

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<v Speaker 1>right to practice. But again, those are ones that we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to see in the deluge of cases that I'm

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<v Speaker 1>expecting in the next couple of weeks. Since the majority

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<v Speaker 1>opinions are sort of spread out evenly among the justices,

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<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court watchers watch which justice has written opinions and

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<v Speaker 1>how many to determine who's left. So what have you

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<v Speaker 1>found out? Right? This is one of those things that

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<v Speaker 1>we're forced to do because the Court is, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>such a secretive institutions, the League notwithstanding, but yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>typically we see justices trying to even out the opinions,

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<v Speaker 1>bread them across each of the argument sittings, and so

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<v Speaker 1>we can kind of get an idea of who we're

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<v Speaker 1>expecting the most opinions from. Right now to Justice Roberts

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<v Speaker 1>and Kagan have written the most opinions. They've written the

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<v Speaker 1>four of the six or seven that we expect to see.

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<v Speaker 1>But some of the other justices have a lot more

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<v Speaker 1>work to do. Thomas Alito, Kavanaugh, you know, they've only

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<v Speaker 1>written too so they're not even halfway done with their work.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, we know Justice Alito from that league is

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<v Speaker 1>probably writing scheme majority opinion in that big abortion case.

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<v Speaker 1>But who's writing what else? We'll get a better clue

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<v Speaker 1>as more opinions kind of trickle in and we can

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<v Speaker 1>play this process of elimination. The fact that three of

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<v Speaker 1>the conservative justices have more majority opinions to come may

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<v Speaker 1>give some liberals pause. Now, when you hear Supreme Court

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<v Speaker 1>justice talk, they usually point out how many of their

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<v Speaker 1>opinions are unanimous to try to show it's not a

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<v Speaker 1>political body. I fun that those are usually in cases

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<v Speaker 1>that people don't care that much about attention to. What

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<v Speaker 1>are the numbers so far this term, Well, you're right,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, unanimous cases typically make up about half of

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<v Speaker 1>the cases. And it's the stat that all of justices

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<v Speaker 1>on the right and the left point you just say,

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<v Speaker 1>we agree on over half of these really tough legal

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<v Speaker 1>questions that have divided lower court judges. But this year

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<v Speaker 1>they're actually going to struggle to get to that fifty percent.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, if you think about the timing considerations

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<v Speaker 1>that we've talked about, divided opinions take a lot longer

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<v Speaker 1>to than unanimous opinions. So we tend to have a

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<v Speaker 1>frontload of these unanimous rulings. But so far and really

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<v Speaker 1>haven't been that many. There have been about as many

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<v Speaker 1>unanimous opinions as we've seen six three opinions, which of

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<v Speaker 1>course is the ideological lineup of this conservative majority court now,

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<v Speaker 1>so that doesn't bode well for these really high profile

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<v Speaker 1>and very divisive cases that we still have yet to

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<v Speaker 1>get out, and they don't really have those base of

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<v Speaker 1>unanimous rulings to build upon. I will say though, that

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<v Speaker 1>one problem with kind of keeping stats with regard to

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<v Speaker 1>unanimous opinions or five four six three rulings is that

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<v Speaker 1>they often don't tell you a lot about the underlying reasoning.

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<v Speaker 1>So one case that I consider to be an eight

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<v Speaker 1>to one ruling is that Texas abortion case. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think if you talk to a lot of the people,

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<v Speaker 1>they would tend to think of it as a five

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<v Speaker 1>four ruling just because of the political implications of it. So,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we should look to this data. It does

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<v Speaker 1>tell us something, but it certainly can't tell everything about

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on at the court. It seems like an

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<v Speaker 1>age ago that Chief Justice Roberts was the justice in

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<v Speaker 1>the center of the court, the swing vote. Who's at

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<v Speaker 1>the center now? Well, actually, right now, both Roberts and

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<v Speaker 1>Justice Brett Kavanaugh are the only justices to be in

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<v Speaker 1>the majority in all one cases. Again though, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>people who are forfalling that Texas abortion case may be

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<v Speaker 1>scratching their heads because I think many people would see

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<v Speaker 1>Chief Justice Roberts concurrence in that opinion as really a dissent.

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<v Speaker 1>And so you know, again that highlights the information that

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<v Speaker 1>we can glean from this. But I think that these

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<v Speaker 1>kind of numbers that we're looking at now are going

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<v Speaker 1>to radically change by the end of the term and

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<v Speaker 1>just this couple of months span, because we are getting

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<v Speaker 1>so many divisive cases, and I suspect that the numbers

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<v Speaker 1>will probably prove you right June to show that Chief

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<v Speaker 1>Justice Roberts is no longer in the middle of the

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<v Speaker 1>court and that the Court has really tilted towards his

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<v Speaker 1>more conservative colleagues. There isn't really a swing vote anymore

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<v Speaker 1>like Justice Kennedy was, is there. I think it depends

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<v Speaker 1>on the issue. With Justice Kennedy, you know, you really

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<v Speaker 1>didn't know all the time which side of the issue

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<v Speaker 1>in any particular case he was going to be on.

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<v Speaker 1>With this court, I think that there are a few

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<v Speaker 1>really precise issues that you can see a swing justice.

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<v Speaker 1>And so it may surprise listeners that Justice course such

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<v Speaker 1>is often a vote with his more liberal colleagues on

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<v Speaker 1>things like tribal rights or even right for you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Puerto Ricans and other U. S territories. But we're not

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<v Speaker 1>going to see Justice course such a the swing vote

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<v Speaker 1>in these big divisive cases like guns and abortions. I

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<v Speaker 1>think you're right, June, that that just doesn't really exist

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<v Speaker 1>on the current Supreme Court anymore. Kimberly, Justice Stephen Briar's

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<v Speaker 1>retiring after nearly thirty years on the bench. Did you

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<v Speaker 1>see anything different from him this term? And are you

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<v Speaker 1>expecting any last minute fireworks from him? That is a

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<v Speaker 1>really good question, June. I don't think we saw anything

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<v Speaker 1>really different from Justice brier this term. I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>just listening to him talk before he had announced his retirement,

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<v Speaker 1>it seemed like he had really hoped to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>use his long time and relationship on the bench to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to sway the Court away from some of

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<v Speaker 1>these bigger, more divisive rulings. But you know, if the

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<v Speaker 1>draft opinion tells us anything, it doesn't seem like he

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<v Speaker 1>was successful, at least with regard to abortion, which is

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<v Speaker 1>kind of the marquee issue this term. So as far

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<v Speaker 1>as the fireworks we can get from him, I think

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<v Speaker 1>it will be more along the lines of kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a sharp descent or pointing out long term projects, kind

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<v Speaker 1>of making a last effort for it. You know, we

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<v Speaker 1>saw him recently do this with the death penalty, calling

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<v Speaker 1>on the justices to reconsider the constitutionality of that. But

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<v Speaker 1>there's just not some votes on the Court, so there's

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<v Speaker 1>very limited amounts that Justice Briar can do. As he's

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<v Speaker 1>kind of making his farewell to her, It's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be a very busy month, that's for sure. Before I

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<v Speaker 1>let you go, I want to talk a little about

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<v Speaker 1>the leak. What's the latest on the investigation by the

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<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court Marshall's Office. Well, you know, we have heard

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<v Speaker 1>some more leaking from the leak that the Marshall's Office

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<v Speaker 1>is taking particular steps to get personal phone records from

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<v Speaker 1>the clerks, and we have Bloomberg haven't been able to

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<v Speaker 1>independently verify that, but that's definitely something that signals kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a unique and start change from the atmosphere at

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<v Speaker 1>the Court before. You know, typically this is a very

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<v Speaker 1>friendly institution and to see the Marshall's Office requesting the

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<v Speaker 1>personal information of their clerk is something pretty jarring for

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<v Speaker 1>someone like me, it's been watching the court for ten years. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I do question, though, I've seen a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of criticism that the Marshal's Office is an equipped to

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<v Speaker 1>handle this kind of investigation to really fair at out

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:10.680
<v Speaker 1>the person who leaked and to punish them. But you know,

0:12:10.800 --> 0:12:13.160
<v Speaker 1>I've been wondering if that's really the goal of the

0:12:13.240 --> 0:12:16.640
<v Speaker 1>justices within the courthouse. Of course they want to find

0:12:16.679 --> 0:12:19.960
<v Speaker 1>out who did this and why, um, but punishing, you know,

0:12:20.040 --> 0:12:23.040
<v Speaker 1>their their law clerks, these young reason law school graduates.

0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:25.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure is their top priority. But we'll just

0:12:25.800 --> 0:12:28.679
<v Speaker 1>have to wait and see where this investigation leads and

0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:31.880
<v Speaker 1>see if they the court actually tells us how how

0:12:31.880 --> 0:12:34.240
<v Speaker 1>it's going or how it's concluded. I still don't even

0:12:34.559 --> 0:12:36.480
<v Speaker 1>know if that's going to happen. Do you know how

0:12:36.480 --> 0:12:39.320
<v Speaker 1>many people have access to these draft rulings? Is it

0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:42.560
<v Speaker 1>more than the justices and their clerks. It is a

0:12:42.559 --> 0:12:44.880
<v Speaker 1>little bit more than the justices and their clerks, you know.

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:47.040
<v Speaker 1>I think the best guests that I that I have

0:12:47.160 --> 0:12:50.960
<v Speaker 1>now is somewhere around eight people, because they're just some

0:12:51.120 --> 0:12:53.920
<v Speaker 1>people around the buildings who have to you know, have

0:12:54.000 --> 0:12:57.960
<v Speaker 1>access to emails, have access to printing, um, you know,

0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 1>and there there of course will be of some people

0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:05.160
<v Speaker 1>um doing some administrative things with the opinion. So it

0:13:05.320 --> 0:13:08.760
<v Speaker 1>is a bit broader than the clerks and the justices.

0:13:09.320 --> 0:13:11.560
<v Speaker 1>But if the news that we're hearing out of the

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:14.400
<v Speaker 1>investigation is true, it really does seem like the Marshall's

0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:17.000
<v Speaker 1>office is focused on the clerks, so maybe they know

0:13:17.120 --> 0:13:20.600
<v Speaker 1>something we don't. It seems odd because most people, most

0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:24.000
<v Speaker 1>legal experts say, well, you know, it wouldn't be the clerks,

0:13:24.120 --> 0:13:27.760
<v Speaker 1>because if it were revealed that a clerk was the leak,

0:13:28.440 --> 0:13:32.080
<v Speaker 1>that would ruin the clerk's career, Well, that certainly is

0:13:32.080 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>a good argument for why it wouldn't be a clerk.

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:37.560
<v Speaker 1>And we don't have leaks very often. We do have,

0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:40.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, one situation that we can look back to,

0:13:40.720 --> 0:13:44.960
<v Speaker 1>after the plan Parenthood versus casey abortion rulling, one of

0:13:44.960 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 1>the clerks at that time, after the opinion had been announced,

0:13:48.160 --> 0:13:51.240
<v Speaker 1>then wrote sort of a telltale book and was sort

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:55.839
<v Speaker 1>of shunned from at least the litigation aspect of um,

0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:59.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, the legal field. But beyond that, this is

0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:02.960
<v Speaker 1>really unprecedented situation that we're in and so you know,

0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:05.880
<v Speaker 1>really no telling where this is going to lead us.

0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:10.040
<v Speaker 1>And just finally a new House Republican bill is appropriately

0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:14.720
<v Speaker 1>called the Leaker Accountability Act of two. Just tell us

0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:19.640
<v Speaker 1>what that it's. You know, it's obviously designed around this league,

0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:22.760
<v Speaker 1>but tell us what that would do. Right. It certainly

0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:25.400
<v Speaker 1>is promptly by this league, but it's not retroactive. It

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:28.120
<v Speaker 1>would not apply to this leaker. What it does is,

0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:31.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, it says that if any person you know,

0:14:31.320 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 1>clerk or personnel at the staff leaks what the Chief

0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:39.280
<v Speaker 1>Justice considers to be confidential information, then there it makes

0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:42.720
<v Speaker 1>it a criminal violation subject up to five years in jail.

0:14:43.080 --> 0:14:45.160
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, the most interesting thing about that

0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:49.360
<v Speaker 1>laws really highlights that there is no criminal provision and

0:14:49.560 --> 0:14:52.280
<v Speaker 1>here that I think most people can see at least

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:55.240
<v Speaker 1>not obviously that the leaker would have violated. And so

0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:58.200
<v Speaker 1>it's really looking forward to if these leaks are going

0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:00.840
<v Speaker 1>to happen, how are we going to try to dissuade

0:15:00.840 --> 0:15:03.920
<v Speaker 1>people from doing it? What you know possible federal resources

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 1>can we bring to bear. But you know, it was

0:15:05.760 --> 0:15:09.080
<v Speaker 1>just to introduce recently hasn't gotten a hearing. We don't

0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:12.960
<v Speaker 1>know where people stand and Congress's efforts to legislate for

0:15:13.040 --> 0:15:15.880
<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court have not been very successful lately, so

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:18.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't have high hopes for the still But again,

0:15:18.880 --> 0:15:21.280
<v Speaker 1>I think the important thing is that highlights kind of

0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:25.000
<v Speaker 1>the limitations UM with dealing with this current laker. Thanks

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:28.800
<v Speaker 1>so much, Kimberly. That's Bloomberg Law. Supreme Court reporter Kimberly

0:15:28.880 --> 0:15:34.960
<v Speaker 1>Strawbridge Robinson. The mass shooting in Tulsa, Oklahoma, on Wednesday

0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:39.320
<v Speaker 1>left four people dead. That follows a massacre of nineteen

0:15:39.440 --> 0:15:44.360
<v Speaker 1>elementary school students and two teachers at a school in Uvaldi, Texas,

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:47.760
<v Speaker 1>and a mass shooting at a grocery store in Buffalo,

0:15:47.840 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 1>New York that left ten people dead. President Biden has

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 1>asked Congress to pass gun control legislation as a bipartisan

0:15:55.960 --> 0:16:00.280
<v Speaker 1>group of lawmakers negotiates a possible agreement. But we been

0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:03.880
<v Speaker 1>here before. Joining me a second amendment expert Adam Winkler,

0:16:04.160 --> 0:16:06.920
<v Speaker 1>a professor at u c l A Law School, The

0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:10.640
<v Speaker 1>last time Congress came close to passing substantial gun reform

0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:13.880
<v Speaker 1>was in the wake of the Sandy Hook massacre. Se in,

0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:18.080
<v Speaker 1>is there a feeling that this might be it, that

0:16:18.600 --> 0:16:21.800
<v Speaker 1>maybe Congress will do it this time. There does seem

0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 1>to be some momentum for reform, perhaps more than we've

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:29.080
<v Speaker 1>seen in some of the other mass shooting wake, but

0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 1>I think it really remains to be seen. We see

0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:35.840
<v Speaker 1>that the Democrats are very eager to get gun reform passed,

0:16:35.960 --> 0:16:39.400
<v Speaker 1>and the House seems certain to pass legislation. Whether there's

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:43.040
<v Speaker 1>enough Republican support to overcome the hurdles of the Senate

0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:45.760
<v Speaker 1>and the filibuster, I think just remains to be seen.

0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:48.000
<v Speaker 1>In some ways, it's hard to imagine there'll be enough

0:16:48.040 --> 0:16:51.040
<v Speaker 1>Republican support, but I don't want to let pessimism get

0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:54.080
<v Speaker 1>in the way of possibility. Members of the House Judiciary

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:58.400
<v Speaker 1>Committee held a special hearing today on legislation that would

0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:01.240
<v Speaker 1>raise the age limit for pro just saying semi automatic

0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:04.640
<v Speaker 1>rifles from eighteen to twenty one, and they get illegal

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:08.920
<v Speaker 1>to manufacturer possess large capacity magazines. It said that it

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 1>will never pass the Senate because there's nearly unanimous Republican opposition.

0:17:14.000 --> 0:17:15.439
<v Speaker 1>If they're not going to pass that, I don't know

0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:18.359
<v Speaker 1>what they're going to pass. Yeah, it's not really clear.

0:17:18.800 --> 0:17:22.760
<v Speaker 1>One possibility is there could be a federal red flag law.

0:17:23.119 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Red flag law also known as an Extreme Risk Protection

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:32.320
<v Speaker 1>Order law that provides families and law enforcement the ability

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:35.040
<v Speaker 1>to go to court if someone is going through some

0:17:35.160 --> 0:17:39.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of crisis and temporarily take away their guns. There

0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 1>is at least some Republican support in the Senate for

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:45.960
<v Speaker 1>a bill that would provide funding for states to adopt

0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:49.840
<v Speaker 1>red flag laws. Lindsey Graham is one of the co sponsors.

0:17:49.880 --> 0:17:51.840
<v Speaker 1>That might be the kind of thing that would appeal

0:17:52.080 --> 0:17:55.639
<v Speaker 1>to even strong pro gun advocates in line of the

0:17:55.680 --> 0:18:01.399
<v Speaker 1>fact that it targets dangerous individuals and doesn't target firearms

0:18:01.440 --> 0:18:05.320
<v Speaker 1>that would be owned by ordinary law abiding people. What

0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:09.720
<v Speaker 1>about an assault weapons ban which was passed before and

0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:13.800
<v Speaker 1>then expired. Is that a possibility. I think there's very

0:18:13.800 --> 0:18:17.840
<v Speaker 1>little chance that we could see a military style assault

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:21.959
<v Speaker 1>weapons ban adopted by Congress, especially getting through the Senate.

0:18:22.280 --> 0:18:25.920
<v Speaker 1>These guns are the most favorite guns of many many

0:18:25.960 --> 0:18:30.240
<v Speaker 1>gun enthusiasts. They are viewed by gun enthusiasts as weapons

0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:34.960
<v Speaker 1>that are improperly targeted by gun reform advocates. Although these

0:18:34.960 --> 0:18:38.000
<v Speaker 1>firearms have been used in some high profile mass shootings,

0:18:38.440 --> 0:18:41.679
<v Speaker 1>they certainly aren't necessary to commit a mass shooting, and

0:18:41.720 --> 0:18:45.720
<v Speaker 1>many mass shootings are committed with handguns. And the overall

0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 1>number of people who die as a result of rifle

0:18:48.920 --> 0:18:53.720
<v Speaker 1>wounds is actually relatively small compared to handguns, are or

0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:57.120
<v Speaker 1>other types of firearms. So I think that a ban

0:18:57.240 --> 0:19:01.080
<v Speaker 1>on military style assault rifles would be tough to through Congress,

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>and even if it did get through Congress, might be

0:19:03.800 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 1>even tougher to get through the United States Supreme Court.

0:19:07.320 --> 0:19:09.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't know much about guns, as I've told you before,

0:19:10.280 --> 0:19:14.720
<v Speaker 1>assault weapons. Are those the ones that were used in Uvaldi? Yes,

0:19:14.960 --> 0:19:18.400
<v Speaker 1>the shooter and Nuvaldi went out and purchased a military

0:19:18.440 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>style assault rifle. I think two of them in fact, Yeah, so,

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:26.479
<v Speaker 1>and some of the children were unrecognizable because of the

0:19:26.560 --> 0:19:30.160
<v Speaker 1>damage that does. And it's also been said that perhaps

0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:34.440
<v Speaker 1>that's one of the reasons why the police didn't enter

0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:38.000
<v Speaker 1>and waited in the hallway for forty minutes or fifty minutes,

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:40.920
<v Speaker 1>whatever it was. Yeah, that is possible. And certainly these

0:19:40.920 --> 0:19:45.119
<v Speaker 1>firearms are powerful firearms. And if you shoot someone at

0:19:45.119 --> 0:19:48.080
<v Speaker 1>close range with a rifle, really any kind of rifle,

0:19:48.119 --> 0:19:51.919
<v Speaker 1>whether it's a military style rifle or a rifle that

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:54.320
<v Speaker 1>would not be banned by the assault weapons ban, it

0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:57.840
<v Speaker 1>will be pretty horrific. But I do think that it's

0:19:57.920 --> 0:20:03.200
<v Speaker 1>unlikely that metalities would diminish if the shooters only had

0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:07.280
<v Speaker 1>access to handgun. Now, high capacity magazines present an interesting

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:10.120
<v Speaker 1>issue because high capacity magazines, that is the same magazines

0:20:10.160 --> 0:20:13.639
<v Speaker 1>that can hold more than ten rounds of ammunition. That

0:20:13.840 --> 0:20:15.960
<v Speaker 1>is a feature of a firearm that very much is

0:20:16.000 --> 0:20:19.520
<v Speaker 1>associated with lethality. If you can fire off more than

0:20:19.600 --> 0:20:23.479
<v Speaker 1>ten rounds of ammunition in rapid succession, you can do

0:20:23.520 --> 0:20:26.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot of damage, much more damage then if you

0:20:26.200 --> 0:20:30.720
<v Speaker 1>have a firearm that can only hold many fewer rounds

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:33.719
<v Speaker 1>of ammunition. I think it would be very difficult to

0:20:33.800 --> 0:20:38.359
<v Speaker 1>get a ban on high capacity magazines through Congress, but

0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:41.359
<v Speaker 1>it might also be a problem getting such a band

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:45.760
<v Speaker 1>through the Supreme Court. The Supreme Court it seems prepared

0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:49.120
<v Speaker 1>to expand Second Amendment right this term, and I think

0:20:49.200 --> 0:20:51.399
<v Speaker 1>one of the kinds of laws that the Court is

0:20:51.440 --> 0:20:54.199
<v Speaker 1>going to call in the question in coming years is

0:20:54.600 --> 0:20:58.520
<v Speaker 1>bans on high capacity magazines. We have such laws in

0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 1>California and a full other states. They've already been challenged,

0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:04.240
<v Speaker 1>and those challenges are working their way up to the

0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Supreme Court as we speak. Adam, what do you think

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:10.960
<v Speaker 1>the outer limit is of what the Supreme Court will

0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 1>rule about Second Amendment rights. Well, I think it really

0:21:14.000 --> 0:21:16.520
<v Speaker 1>depends on what the Court says in this coming case.

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 1>Most people suspect that the Supreme Court is going to

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 1>strike down New York's can feel carry law in the

0:21:21.760 --> 0:21:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Bruin case that's going to be decided any day now.

0:21:24.960 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 1>But many Supreme Court watchers are going to be looking

0:21:27.600 --> 0:21:30.000
<v Speaker 1>to see what the Court says about other types of

0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:33.760
<v Speaker 1>gun control laws and other kinds of challenges under the

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:37.280
<v Speaker 1>Second Amendment. And it does seem like the Court is

0:21:37.320 --> 0:21:41.040
<v Speaker 1>likely to insist that firearms that are in common use,

0:21:41.200 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 1>that are commonplace firearms, cannot be banned, that they are

0:21:44.840 --> 0:21:48.280
<v Speaker 1>protected by the Second Amendment. High capacity magazines are found

0:21:48.400 --> 0:21:51.920
<v Speaker 1>in upwards of forty to fifty million guns in America,

0:21:52.080 --> 0:21:55.000
<v Speaker 1>maybe more. We don't have precise data, but they would

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:58.440
<v Speaker 1>seem to qualify as being in common use. What about

0:21:58.480 --> 0:22:03.680
<v Speaker 1>the possibility of expanding background checks? There is a possibility

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:07.120
<v Speaker 1>that we can expand the background checks. There is some

0:22:07.160 --> 0:22:11.360
<v Speaker 1>discussion currently in the Senate about expanding the current background

0:22:11.440 --> 0:22:15.320
<v Speaker 1>check system. Our current law only requires background checks on

0:22:15.480 --> 0:22:19.439
<v Speaker 1>sales by federally licensed gun dealers, but you don't have

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:21.920
<v Speaker 1>to be a federally licensed gun dealer to sell a gun,

0:22:22.160 --> 0:22:24.920
<v Speaker 1>and if you're not a federally licensed dealer, you don't

0:22:24.960 --> 0:22:27.959
<v Speaker 1>have to conduct a background check under federal law. And

0:22:28.000 --> 0:22:31.439
<v Speaker 1>so closing that loophole and requiring every gun sale to

0:22:31.520 --> 0:22:34.600
<v Speaker 1>go through a background check would be an important step

0:22:34.680 --> 0:22:38.720
<v Speaker 1>forward in gun safety reform. Whether there's enough political will

0:22:38.800 --> 0:22:41.440
<v Speaker 1>to support it or not, we'll have to see. After

0:22:41.480 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Newtown there was a push for universal background checks, but

0:22:44.880 --> 0:22:48.200
<v Speaker 1>Republicans came out against it, claiming that it would lead

0:22:48.240 --> 0:22:52.320
<v Speaker 1>inevitably to a national gun registry that in turn would

0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:56.000
<v Speaker 1>be eventually used to confiscate people's weapons. Is there anything

0:22:56.040 --> 0:23:01.120
<v Speaker 1>more the president can do as far as executive orders?

0:23:01.520 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 1>You know, there are some things that President Joe Biden

0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:09.800
<v Speaker 1>can do with regards to gun violence prevention, but not

0:23:09.920 --> 0:23:13.280
<v Speaker 1>a lot, and not a lot. That's very significant. Part

0:23:13.280 --> 0:23:16.600
<v Speaker 1>of the problem here is that the president's power only

0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:21.560
<v Speaker 1>is to offer new interpretations of existing laws that have

0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:25.600
<v Speaker 1>been passed by Congress. He can't, for instance, beside unilaterally

0:23:25.680 --> 0:23:29.359
<v Speaker 1>that he's going to ban military style assault rifles because

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:33.240
<v Speaker 1>Congress hasn't provided any basis for the president to make

0:23:33.400 --> 0:23:37.840
<v Speaker 1>such a decision. The Biden administration has articulated a wish

0:23:37.880 --> 0:23:41.680
<v Speaker 1>list of gun reforms, but almost all of them require

0:23:42.040 --> 0:23:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Congress to pass legislation. But there are things that the

0:23:45.320 --> 0:23:48.959
<v Speaker 1>president can do through executive action. He can tighten import

0:23:49.080 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 1>restrictions on military style assault rifles. He can expand background

0:23:53.880 --> 0:23:57.800
<v Speaker 1>checks at the margins by redefining who is required to

0:23:57.840 --> 0:24:00.520
<v Speaker 1>have a license to sell gun. Congress has said you

0:24:00.600 --> 0:24:03.800
<v Speaker 1>have to get a federal license if you're regularly in

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:07.120
<v Speaker 1>the business of selling guns, and the current rules require

0:24:07.359 --> 0:24:10.920
<v Speaker 1>someone who repetitively buys and sells guns with the principal

0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:14.159
<v Speaker 1>motive of making a profit to obtain a license. The

0:24:14.200 --> 0:24:18.800
<v Speaker 1>Biden administration could slightly change that definition of who counts

0:24:18.840 --> 0:24:21.280
<v Speaker 1>as being in the business of selling guns and thus

0:24:21.320 --> 0:24:25.680
<v Speaker 1>require more background checks. The administration has already pushed to

0:24:25.840 --> 0:24:29.720
<v Speaker 1>crack down on ghost guns, homemade weapons that typically lack

0:24:29.880 --> 0:24:34.520
<v Speaker 1>serial numbers, by requiring purchasers to undergo background check. So

0:24:34.560 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 1>there are some things that Biden administration can do, but

0:24:38.400 --> 0:24:41.520
<v Speaker 1>most of them are really at the margins. What about states,

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:44.439
<v Speaker 1>Because there's been a flurry of gun legislation, and I

0:24:44.560 --> 0:24:48.400
<v Speaker 1>was surprised to read that in two thousand three, Vermont

0:24:48.760 --> 0:24:51.919
<v Speaker 1>was the only state that allowed residents to carry handguns

0:24:51.960 --> 0:24:55.760
<v Speaker 1>in public without a permit. Since then, legislatures in half

0:24:55.760 --> 0:25:01.879
<v Speaker 1>the states have removed permitting requirements, mostly in evolving concealed firearms.

0:25:01.960 --> 0:25:05.680
<v Speaker 1>So is the battleground in the states. Well, the battleground

0:25:05.920 --> 0:25:09.080
<v Speaker 1>over gun reform has been in the states for the

0:25:09.160 --> 0:25:12.240
<v Speaker 1>last ten years or so. Ever, since the federal government

0:25:12.359 --> 0:25:15.840
<v Speaker 1>failed to act after New Town gun safety reform, advocates

0:25:15.840 --> 0:25:18.560
<v Speaker 1>have turned their attention to the states to try to

0:25:18.600 --> 0:25:21.520
<v Speaker 1>get legislation to close up some of the loopholes in

0:25:21.600 --> 0:25:25.160
<v Speaker 1>federal law at the state level. So states like California

0:25:25.240 --> 0:25:28.280
<v Speaker 1>and New York, for instance, have passed legislation over the

0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:32.080
<v Speaker 1>last ten years, doing things like making universal background checks

0:25:32.320 --> 0:25:36.439
<v Speaker 1>the norm in those states, restricting high capacity magazines, or

0:25:36.440 --> 0:25:40.680
<v Speaker 1>restricting military style rifles. We have seen states take up

0:25:40.760 --> 0:25:44.600
<v Speaker 1>the mantle of gun reform, and I think we're likely

0:25:44.640 --> 0:25:48.320
<v Speaker 1>to see that continue. I know that California lawmakers are

0:25:48.840 --> 0:25:52.120
<v Speaker 1>pondering a set of new pieces of gun legislation, new

0:25:52.119 --> 0:25:56.000
<v Speaker 1>gun reforms that would make it easier, for instance, to

0:25:56.080 --> 0:26:00.600
<v Speaker 1>sue gunmakers when their firearms are used to commit now murder.

0:26:00.880 --> 0:26:03.600
<v Speaker 1>And we will see some states, I think, seek to

0:26:04.000 --> 0:26:06.840
<v Speaker 1>strengthen their gun laws in the wake of this mass shooting.

0:26:07.200 --> 0:26:09.679
<v Speaker 1>The difficult thing at the state level is that you

0:26:09.760 --> 0:26:12.919
<v Speaker 1>have a large number of states that are very strongly

0:26:13.000 --> 0:26:17.159
<v Speaker 1>pro gun and if anything, they're likely to loosen their laws,

0:26:17.560 --> 0:26:21.160
<v Speaker 1>as we've seen happen in state after state. I want

0:26:21.160 --> 0:26:23.520
<v Speaker 1>to go back for a moment to the idea of

0:26:23.640 --> 0:26:27.280
<v Speaker 1>raising the age to buy a gun from eighteen to

0:26:27.440 --> 0:26:33.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty one. Republican Congressman Jim Jordan's has said that that's unconstitutional.

0:26:33.960 --> 0:26:36.800
<v Speaker 1>It's not clear that it would be unconstitutional to raise

0:26:36.840 --> 0:26:39.040
<v Speaker 1>the gun age. Of course, the Supreme Court hasn't said

0:26:39.080 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 1>anything about that. There was recently a case out of

0:26:42.280 --> 0:26:45.840
<v Speaker 1>the Ninth Circuit that did say that California's effort to

0:26:46.000 --> 0:26:50.119
<v Speaker 1>raise the gun age for purchasing various kinds of semi

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:54.920
<v Speaker 1>automatic center fire rifles was unconstitutional, and the Ninth Circuit

0:26:55.000 --> 0:26:59.840
<v Speaker 1>judge argued that this was unconstitutional because the founders relied

0:27:00.000 --> 0:27:03.000
<v Speaker 1>on eighteen year olds to be members of the militia

0:27:03.119 --> 0:27:06.240
<v Speaker 1>and so trusted them with firearms. And nonetheless think there

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:09.160
<v Speaker 1>are good reasons to raise the gun age, and I've

0:27:09.240 --> 0:27:12.639
<v Speaker 1>argued for doing so in the past. Part of the

0:27:12.720 --> 0:27:15.480
<v Speaker 1>problem with arming people who are between the ages of

0:27:15.520 --> 0:27:19.680
<v Speaker 1>eighteen and twenty is that brain development is not that

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:24.000
<v Speaker 1>advance when it comes to issues like understanding long term

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:28.199
<v Speaker 1>consequences of behavior, resisting impulsive behavior, and that part of

0:27:28.200 --> 0:27:31.280
<v Speaker 1>the brain, scientists of popos isn't fully developed until about

0:27:31.320 --> 0:27:33.280
<v Speaker 1>the age of twenty five. The mere fact that we

0:27:33.320 --> 0:27:36.120
<v Speaker 1>allow young people to have firearms in the military, which

0:27:36.160 --> 0:27:39.160
<v Speaker 1>is a very strict command and control structure in which

0:27:39.640 --> 0:27:43.320
<v Speaker 1>eighteen to twenty year olds have virtually no independent discretion

0:27:43.400 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 1>over whether to use firearms or not, is not a

0:27:46.320 --> 0:27:50.440
<v Speaker 1>particularly relevant example or analogy for how we should think

0:27:50.440 --> 0:27:54.200
<v Speaker 1>about public policy more generally. Finally, um, do you think

0:27:54.200 --> 0:27:57.240
<v Speaker 1>that this would be an easier road to, how you know,

0:27:57.280 --> 0:28:01.240
<v Speaker 1>getting any kind of gun control legislation if not for

0:28:01.320 --> 0:28:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the n r A. Certainly, the n r A is

0:28:05.320 --> 0:28:09.919
<v Speaker 1>an important voice in styming gun reform, but even without

0:28:10.040 --> 0:28:13.199
<v Speaker 1>the n r A, we would likely still have a

0:28:13.280 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 1>lot of single issue pro gun voters that would be

0:28:17.760 --> 0:28:22.159
<v Speaker 1>sure to vote against any elected official who votes in

0:28:22.200 --> 0:28:25.280
<v Speaker 1>favor of gun safety reform. We have to understand that

0:28:25.520 --> 0:28:28.600
<v Speaker 1>the problem with getting gun safety reform adopted is not

0:28:28.800 --> 0:28:32.359
<v Speaker 1>merely the n r A being a super powerful and

0:28:32.440 --> 0:28:36.040
<v Speaker 1>influential organization, but also that there's a lot of voters

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:40.200
<v Speaker 1>out there who care about this issue, and elected officials,

0:28:40.280 --> 0:28:43.880
<v Speaker 1>especially among Republicans, have really come to be scared of

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:47.440
<v Speaker 1>gun owners and the wrath they might take on any

0:28:47.560 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>public official who supports gun safety reform. Thanks as always, Adam.

0:28:51.840 --> 0:28:54.760
<v Speaker 1>That's Professor Adam Winkler of u c. L A Law School,

0:28:55.080 --> 0:28:57.360
<v Speaker 1>And that's it for this edition of The Bloomberg Law Show.

0:28:57.720 --> 0:29:00.240
<v Speaker 1>Remember you can always get the latest legal news honor

0:29:00.280 --> 0:29:04.360
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0:29:04.600 --> 0:29:09.600
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0:29:10.040 --> 0:29:12.640
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0:29:12.680 --> 0:29:16.080
<v Speaker 1>week night at ten pm Wall Street Time. I'm June

0:29:16.120 --> 0:29:18.320
<v Speaker 1>Grosso and you're listening to Bloomberg