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Speaker 1: I've seen people take some shots at the FPI, not

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Speaker 1: the BI, the FPI, ESPN's FPI. I've even been known

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Speaker 1: to take a shot or two in my day. Of course,

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Speaker 1: now we're partnering with ESPN, which means I'm told they

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Speaker 1: tell you what to say, and which means we can't

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Speaker 1: criticize the FPI. But I bring this up because the

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Speaker 1: criticism that the FPI takes is a day on the

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Speaker 1: Amalfi Coast compared to what the JP pole is going

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Speaker 1: to encounter tonight. There will be some people who just

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Speaker 1: don't get it, and there are others of you who

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Speaker 1: full well know what I'm doing. You just want to

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Speaker 1: take shots anyway, and if that is the show that

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Speaker 1: you seek, then you have come to the right place.

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Speaker 1: And if I have any friends out there left, I'm

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Speaker 1: badly counting on you to defend me. Tonight. We are

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Speaker 1: jam packed hyatap a love temperate downtown Nashville, Tennessee, on

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Speaker 1: this Tuesday evening, September second, the Year of Our Lord,

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. You know, Bill Belichick's a college football coach. Now,

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Speaker 1: I'm told things didn't go well for him last night. Candidly,

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Speaker 1: I've never understood a lot of the hooplah as me

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Speaker 1: Mal would say, but I do have some thoughts on

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Speaker 1: that game. Not to lead the show, my goodness, not

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Speaker 1: to lead the show. No, we do have an AP

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Speaker 1: pole that dropped today. We have a JP pole, as

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Speaker 1: I mentioned, that dropped today. I will react to one

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Speaker 1: and share the other. We have several games that are

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Speaker 1: taking place this week. Tuesday night is prediction night around here,

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Speaker 1: after all, so we will discuss that. We got a

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Speaker 1: big announcement. We got new merch dropping. Not in the show,

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Speaker 1: it's just it's happening. So we got a lot to do.

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Speaker 1: We get a jampack show. They're watching us in Little Rock, Arkansas, Tupelo, Mississippi, Stockbridge, Michigan,

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Speaker 1: and all the way up in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

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Speaker 1: Do you ever have those places where you've never been

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Speaker 1: there but say, boy, it's beautiful there. British Columbia is

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Speaker 1: one of those. College football rarely takes me there, and

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Speaker 1: I don't travel if it's not for work, except for

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Speaker 1: my honeymoon, even though I do recommend it. But British

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Speaker 1: Columbia is one of those places. It sounds great. I

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Speaker 1: want to go guys need to get a team up there.

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Speaker 1: Maybe once we bring back the PAC ten once I'm commissioner,

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Speaker 1: might that be an effort that I make to expand

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Speaker 1: college football, not to Ireland but into Canada. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Balls are kind of in their court at the moment.

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Speaker 1: We want to do something to lead the show off,

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Speaker 1: something that I'm told that I don't do enough, and

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Speaker 1: so we want to do it tonight. I was wrong

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Speaker 1: about some things. Did you hear me all the way

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Speaker 1: in the back, Yes, even me, I was wrong about

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Speaker 1: some things. Now, we do have a long standing belief

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Speaker 1: on this show that we've never actually been wrong. I've

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Speaker 1: never been wrong. It's either I've been right or kids, coaches,

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Speaker 1: or officials just screwed up. It's my belief I shouldn't

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Speaker 1: be held accountable for their screw ups, should just get

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Speaker 1: the credit when I'm right. However, in a much more

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Speaker 1: real and logical sense, I was wrong about some things.

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Speaker 1: To what degrees have I been wrong so far? Well,

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Speaker 1: we talked for six months. You talked, I talked, We

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Speaker 1: all talked. Mine just happened to be in a microphone,

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Speaker 1: So there's a record of it about what we thought

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Speaker 1: about the upcoming season, which is really fun to me.

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Speaker 1: I've never been a guy who says that you shouldn't

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Speaker 1: have preseason rankings, have them just be willing to adjust,

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Speaker 1: and that you should never have preseason thoughts and beliefs,

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Speaker 1: like some people really think you should spend all of May, June,

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Speaker 1: and July with your family not paying attention to college

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Speaker 1: football whatsoever, and you just wait for the results to

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Speaker 1: happen on the field. What a terrible way to live,

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Speaker 1: horrible idea, horrifically bad strategy in life. So I've got

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Speaker 1: beliefs just like you guys do. What's fun is to

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Speaker 1: make sure that you write them in pencil figuratively so

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Speaker 1: that you can pivot once you realize that what you

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Speaker 1: believed was a lie. So some of the things that

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Speaker 1: I saw in Week one, then I may have been

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Speaker 1: wrong on. LSU is one team that I may have

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Speaker 1: been wrong on. I say may because we've only got

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Speaker 1: one week so far. But that offensive line played way way,

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Speaker 1: way better than I thought they would on the road

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Speaker 1: against Clemson, And the reason why I'm pretty confident that

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Speaker 1: I was just underestimating them is because that they could

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Speaker 1: get it done in Week one in that environment, I'm

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Speaker 1: pretty sure they're gonna be okay, by the way, in

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Speaker 1: that environment, against that level of competition, because you can

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Speaker 1: say whatever you want to about Clemson offensively than I

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Speaker 1: will in a second, but defensively, they're the real deal.

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Speaker 1: That Clemson defensive profile is every bit as strong as

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Speaker 1: some of the best that LSU will face the rest

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Speaker 1: of the way. So I think if we have that,

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Speaker 1: then we've got offensive balance. And look, they only ran

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Speaker 1: it for three point five yards per carry the other night.

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Speaker 1: That's enough. That's enough. Got one oh eight on the ground,

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Speaker 1: that's enough. Because also every defense you face is not

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Speaker 1: gonna be LSU. And you know good and well, once

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Speaker 1: enough starts slinging the ball and that wide receiver corps

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Speaker 1: does what they can do, I have confidence above and

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Speaker 1: beyond what I had in the preseason that LSU's offense

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Speaker 1: will be balanced enough. And if they have that, like

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Speaker 1: I said when I predicted them to go eight and four,

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Speaker 1: that's my biggest exposure team because if they show those elements,

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Speaker 1: and we're going to find out early on against Clemson,

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Speaker 1: I said that all summer. Well, if they have those elements,

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Speaker 1: then that's the kind of team that even though I'm

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Speaker 1: predicting them to win eight games. They could quite literally

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Speaker 1: win a national title. They could be that caliber of

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Speaker 1: team because those one or two things. If you turn

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Speaker 1: the gear this way and you turn the knob that way,

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Speaker 1: you know what kind of players they have done there, like,

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Speaker 1: you know what kind of athletes they have. So may

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Speaker 1: very well have been wrong about LSU. I don't think

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Speaker 1: I was wrong about Notre Dame. So Notre Dame lost

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Speaker 1: the other night. I actually predicted them to lose Week one,

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Speaker 1: so the result was not a surprise to me. The

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Speaker 1: question is already any of you and most of us

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Speaker 1: did who had Notre Dame ranked or power rated near

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Speaker 1: the top of the country. Were we wrong? I don't

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Speaker 1: think so. In the I was actually a little encouraged

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Speaker 1: the other night because they didn't run the ball all

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Speaker 1: that effectively at all, and CJ. Carr still had them

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Speaker 1: in the game. That's a minus two turnover game, that

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Speaker 1: they're still right there in one possession game they lost

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Speaker 1: by three on the road with a new quarterback. That

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Speaker 1: is encouraging to me because I think I know their

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Speaker 1: wide receiver corpse good. I think I know that I

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Speaker 1: know I know Jeremiah Love can run the ball, and

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Speaker 1: Price can run the ball. I know they've got talent there.

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Speaker 1: I will blindly trust Notre Dame's offensive line play forever

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Speaker 1: after what they showed me last year. So no, not

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Speaker 1: that anyone accused me of this, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: anyone was wrong about Notre Dame for having them power

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Speaker 1: rated or ranked really high. Now what they do have

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Speaker 1: is a lot lower margin for error. So they play

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M in a couple of weeks, going

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Speaker 1: to be a war. That's September thirteenth, slate, kids, make

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Speaker 1: sure you don't plan any picnics that day. Some of

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Speaker 1: you already suckered into weddings. I don't know what I

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Speaker 1: can do for you at this point, fake sick. I

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Speaker 1: don't know. That's your fault, not mine. And then they

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Speaker 1: got a game on the road at Arkansas a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks after that, who knows, Boise after that, who knows.

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Speaker 1: But just a little lower margin for error, that's all

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Speaker 1: the problem there is with Notre Dame. Texas had him

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Speaker 1: number one, JP Pull had him number one. They went

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Speaker 1: and they lost to Ohio State. Still not ready to

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Speaker 1: say I'm wrong on them, expected more so, I guess

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Speaker 1: to expect more offensively out of them. I was wrong there.

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Speaker 1: I guess to expect a little more out of arch Manning.

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Speaker 1: I was wrong there. But I feel like I'm vindicated

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Speaker 1: on Arch because I never said Heisman and arch Manning

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Speaker 1: in the same breath, except to say I don't think

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Speaker 1: he's the Heisman favorite. So I was more reasonable, I

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Speaker 1: think on the expectation. Also, have you noticed this sort

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Speaker 1: of reactive bubble that keeps inflating. It's like everyone is

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Speaker 1: yelling for the Arch hype to stop, and the outrage

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Speaker 1: over the Arch hype has now dwarfed the Arch hype.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I've seen this happen before. I don't

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Speaker 1: exactly know what we call this phenomenon, but I've seen

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Speaker 1: it happen before in sports and in general society, where

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Speaker 1: the outrage over a thing greatly outweighs that of the thing,

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Speaker 1: which feels like an immunity opportunity. But it's not now.

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Speaker 1: I will admit to you, I don't watch much traditional programming.

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Speaker 1: I told Jesse this the other day. I said, everyone

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Speaker 1: keeps talking about the Arch hype. Is there really a

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Speaker 1: ton of Arch hype? And he says, oh, dude, it's everywhere,

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Speaker 1: which it may be, Okay, I just I don't consume

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Speaker 1: a lot of other shows. I don't consume a lot

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Speaker 1: of mainstream sports media throughout my day. So maybe it

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Speaker 1: was plastered everywhere, and you know what, I just may

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Speaker 1: be out of touch. I'm in a different lane over here,

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Speaker 1: and I didn't see it, but we didn't participate in

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Speaker 1: it proudly on this show. That's not to say we're

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Speaker 1: down on him. I think we are exactly right on

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Speaker 1: arch Manning. The wide receiver separation alarmed me a little

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Speaker 1: bit the other day when they played at Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, that's something with Texas that I'm a little

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Speaker 1: concerned about, probably should have been more concerned about. So

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Speaker 1: maybe a little bit wrong there. Florida State one hundred

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Speaker 1: percent wrong. Florida State just completely totally whiffed on my

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Speaker 1: expectation of them. And I could sit here, a less

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Speaker 1: ethical man would say, what about everyone else? Everyone else

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Speaker 1: was low on him as well? No, no, no, we

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Speaker 1: lead here. Okay, we steer the ship here. We fancy

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Speaker 1: ourselves other shows show prep And if that's the case,

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Speaker 1: that's a very doucebaggy thing to say. But if that's

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Speaker 1: the case, then we should have been ahead of the curve.

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Speaker 1: We should have believed in Florida State before everyone else did,

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Speaker 1: and we didn't at least enough. My thought on them was,

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Speaker 1: even if Mike got all the moves, even if he

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Speaker 1: hired right, even if he portled right, surely it's not

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Speaker 1: all going to take root and blossom in week one.

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Speaker 1: Surely it'll take to the quarter pole of the season

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Speaker 1: at least. Nope, they were ready in week one. That

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Speaker 1: game against Alabama, think's the biggest win of his career.

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Speaker 1: I even think it's bigger than the ACC Championship game win,

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Speaker 1: only because he wasn't in desperation must win mode to

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Speaker 1: save his job then and he was the other day.

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Speaker 1: Not that that outcome singularly would have cost him his job,

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Speaker 1: but that could have gone off the rails in the season,

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Speaker 1: could have gone off the rails, and you don't get

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Speaker 1: to have two seasons in a row off the rails

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Speaker 1: at Florida State. So we saw what happened. He ended

200
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Speaker 1: up winning, They ended up winning. The context that that

201
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Speaker 1: game's going to provide down the road. Think about it

202
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Speaker 1: both ways, so it's like a four way go potential

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Speaker 1: here It's like betting two team seven point NFL teasers

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Speaker 1: back in the day before the books banned them. Alabama

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Speaker 1: could be terrible, and we look back and we say,

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Speaker 1: Florida State win. That wasn't all that was cracked up

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Speaker 1: to be. Alabama could be really good, and we say, boy,

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Speaker 1: Florida State got that win and we didn't even know

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Speaker 1: how impressive it was. Alabama think about them, they could

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Speaker 1: end up being really good, and in retrospect find out, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: they lost by a couple of possessions on the road,

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Speaker 1: but Florida State's sitting here ten and oh midway through November.

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Speaker 1: But it turns out that that was just perfect storm

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Speaker 1: situation that Alabama found themselves in that game is going

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Speaker 1: to provide a lot more context down the road. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent wrong on FSU to start the season,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty percent wrong on Alabama to start

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Speaker 1: the season. And it hurt because out of the two

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Speaker 1: opponents in that matchup, the team's in that matchup, one

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Speaker 1: of them was predicted to win the national championship by

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Speaker 1: someone on this set. And I don't want to narrow

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Speaker 1: it down to hoopst exactly, but someone on this show. Oh,

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Speaker 1: probably the dude whose name's behind me here predicted Alabama

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Speaker 1: to win it all. Mathematically, I'm happy to report tonight

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Speaker 1: Alabama is still alive in the SEC Championship race and

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Speaker 1: the College Football playoff race. What are you going to do?

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Speaker 1: Argue with math? You can't argue with math. Arguing with

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Speaker 1: math is a fool's Errand so Alabama's mathematically still alive.

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Speaker 1: So my prediction has not gone up in smoke yet. Now,

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Speaker 1: as far as the eyeballs go, it's not looking good.

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Speaker 1: Not looking good, and it didn't look like anything I expected.

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Speaker 1: So I don't want to go down a laundry list here.

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Speaker 1: We're going to talk about this later in the show.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna answer a viewer question about Alabama. It would

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Speaker 1: be a lot quicker for me to talk about what

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Speaker 1: I was right about when it comes to Alabama expectation

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Speaker 1: and what I was wrong about. Does it hurt? Yes?

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Speaker 1: Am I fully ready to own it? Nope? So are

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Speaker 1: we gonna skip merrily along and save this for later

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Speaker 1: in the show? Absolutely, Clemson. Curious case here. Clemson, on

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Speaker 1: one hand, I expected them to beat LSU. They didn't,

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Speaker 1: so I was wrong there. On the other hand, unless

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Speaker 1: you was a good team, that one could have gone

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Speaker 1: either way. I didn't better die on it. That one

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Speaker 1: could have gone either way. Of more concern to me

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Speaker 1: is through one game, how much of the LSU twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty four profile the Clemson twenty twenty five team may

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Speaker 1: have because they ran it for I don't know, less

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Speaker 1: than three yards per carry, less than two yards per

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Speaker 1: carrey the other night. And if it won't always be

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Speaker 1: that bad, but if they can't run the ball, which

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Speaker 1: maybe I underestimated as a problem. I knew they didn't

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Speaker 1: have MafA anymore, but I didn't know it was going

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Speaker 1: to be that bad. So if it really is that

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Speaker 1: bad or anywhere remotely close to that bad, they're gonna

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Speaker 1: ask kid Clubnick to do too much. And I will

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Speaker 1: maintain the same stance I have maintained with him and

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Speaker 1: a couple of these other dudes who are high a

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Speaker 1: board or high atop these draft boards and whatnot. They

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Speaker 1: are who they are. They may just be who they are,

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Speaker 1: and if you ask them to do something within their

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Speaker 1: ability range, good, they'll do it, probably. But if you

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Speaker 1: ask them to exceed that of their ability range, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna disappoint you. And then you're gonna call them a

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Speaker 1: bust instead of blaming yourself for having outsized expectations. And

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Speaker 1: if anyone thinks kid Clubnik can overcome a poor ground

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Speaker 1: game and lead clums into any kind of national championship hunt,

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Speaker 1: I think you're wrong, and I didn't. It's not like

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Speaker 1: I picked him to win the national title. But if anything,

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Speaker 1: if I was wrong about Clemson, it could be even

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Speaker 1: I slightly missed how much they may struggle running the

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Speaker 1: ball this year. I knew they may struggle. I think

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Speaker 1: I may have underestimated to struggle a little bit. Tennessee

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Speaker 1: is the last one. Tennessee. I think I may be

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Speaker 1: off on them. I think I looked at that game

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Speaker 1: against Syracuse, and they had some turnovers early, they pulled

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Speaker 1: out to a big lead. Five sacks, seven tackles for

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Speaker 1: loss they recorded, And that wasn't even what stood out

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Speaker 1: to me the most. What stood out to me the

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Speaker 1: most is when I finally got to watch the game Sunday,

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Speaker 1: offensive line looked incredible, to the point where you almost

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Speaker 1: find yourself having to pump the brakes. You find yourself

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Speaker 1: having to say, Josh, it's just Syracuse. Don't get carried away,

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Speaker 1: and then you watch another play and they drive block

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Speaker 1: a guys seven yards downfield, and you're like, oh, and

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Speaker 1: then you start fanning yourself a little bit, and you

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Speaker 1: start saying, though this defense looks familiar, that offensive line

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Speaker 1: is not the offensive line I feared they'd have. Boy,

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Speaker 1: this quarterback looks like he's been playing for Hypel for

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Speaker 1: seven years. Just things I didn't think I would say.

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Speaker 1: I didn't think they'd lose to Syracuse. I didn't think

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Speaker 1: they'd clicked that way against Syrahcuse. So be careful. I

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Speaker 1: have to tell myself this multiple times at this time

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Speaker 1: of year. Be careful. It's one game. It is one

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Speaker 1: out of twelve samples that we're gonna get to these teams. However,

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Speaker 1: if that offensive line really is remotely that good, if

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Speaker 1: Joey Agilar really does that seamlessly fit into Josh Hypel's system,

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Speaker 1: and if that defense really didn't take that much of

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Speaker 1: a step back, that's the biggest potential mover That fundamentally

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Speaker 1: changes the SEC picture. Because see Tennessee's got a workable schedule.

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Speaker 1: They got Georgia coming to them in two weeks, by

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Speaker 1: the way, that is a fundamental game changer. In the

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Speaker 1: SEC because if those elements of Tennessee are there, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to whisper this because it's only one week. Tennessee's

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Speaker 1: an SEC championship contending type team instead of one that

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Speaker 1: is in a cycling year, like a reload year. We'll

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Speaker 1: get them in twenty twenty six, which is how I

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Speaker 1: viewed them preseason. Them in Michigan. I kind of viewed

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Speaker 1: the same way, not falling off a cliff. Twenty twenty five,

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Speaker 1: kind of a reset, get ready for twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they will be that. But oh, they looked impressive,

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Speaker 1: more impressive at least than I thought. Now, if you're

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Speaker 1: a detractor of Tennessee, I get that you're armed with

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Speaker 1: the whole. Yeah, but it was Syracuse bullet in your chamber.

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Speaker 1: Fire it. That's fine, And I don't think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: knock anyone on their ear this week. But they got

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Speaker 1: Georgia coming in there in two weeks, and they hadn't

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Speaker 1: beaten them in a long time. They hadn't sit consistently

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Speaker 1: beating them in a long time, at least I don't

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Speaker 1: know what the last time they beat him was. But

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Speaker 1: that is their shot. That's their shot at everyone circle

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Speaker 1: in Georgia. It's almost like I should have picked Georgia

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Speaker 1: to win the sec Paper Pop because we got something really,

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Speaker 1: really substantial that's about to happen on the show. So

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Speaker 1: as you know Quick Trip Fuels there, there are Quick

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Speaker 1: Trip Fuels the fault don't lie tour well, if you're

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Speaker 1: new around here, maybe you don't know that. So we

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Speaker 1: go on a tour every Saturday in the fall and

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Speaker 1: Quick Trip fuels it. Thank you. Quick Trip also has

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Speaker 1: cold brew on tap, great delicious snacks inside, the best gasoline,

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Speaker 1: I would say, in America, if not the world outside.

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Speaker 1: And we announced the other night, as we do every Sunday,

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Speaker 1: the destination for this week's tour stop. And as you

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Speaker 1: may have heard, we're going back to the great state

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Speaker 1: of Oklahoma, one of my favorite towns to visit, Norman, Oklahoma.

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Speaker 1: We love the people there. As soon as I announced it,

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Speaker 1: Jokistiglione hit me up. Then let me know what you need,

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Speaker 1: and I said, a spare bedroom breakfast. I didn't. I

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Speaker 1: don't ask him those things because he will say yes,

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Speaker 1: so I cannot ask him to do those things for me. Anyway,

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Speaker 1: We are going to Michigan against Oklahoma. But then I

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Speaker 1: was sitting there the other night, to you, when you

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Speaker 1: go to bed, you actually go to sleep. I went

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Speaker 1: to bed, and I stared at the ceiling and had

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Speaker 1: a full blown crisis of conscience. And I thought to myself,

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Speaker 1: as the voices started started getting louder in my head,

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Speaker 1: is that the best we can do? That game's at

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Speaker 1: seven thirty Eastern time, six thirty Central time, and we're

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Speaker 1: going to be sitting there all day with nothing to

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Speaker 1: do except tailgate. Could we put our time to better use?

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Speaker 1: You know, we've always had a dream around here. If

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Speaker 1: you've watched the show for a long time, I've had

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Speaker 1: a long standing dream that if we ever got the

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Speaker 1: opportunity to have access to certain things, that we would

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Speaker 1: take full advantage of it. Well, we have access to

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Speaker 1: certain things now, and so you better believe I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take full advantage of it. So that game's kicking off

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Speaker 1: at six thirty, I'm just telling you that's not the

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Speaker 1: only game we're going to Saturday. So as of tonight,

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Speaker 1: I'm confirming that for the first time ever, The Fall

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Speaker 1: Don't Lie to Her will make two stops Saturday, and

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Speaker 1: we will begin the day in ames, Iowa, for Iowa

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Speaker 1: at Iowa State. That's an eleven am kickoff. I have

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Speaker 1: been to this game once. It was me and Ashton

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Speaker 1: Kutcher standing next to each other on the sideline. What

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Speaker 1: a sentence to come out of one's mouth. We're doing

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Speaker 1: that game early. Then we'll head down to Norman and

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Speaker 1: we'll do Michigan Oklahoma later in the day again. I

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Speaker 1: will wear the same clothes every day. I don't care.

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Speaker 1: I will eat the same lunch every day. I don't care.

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Speaker 1: We don't really waste resources around here, but I always

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Speaker 1: told you if we ever get the opportunity, if we

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Speaker 1: ever get our hands on the right keys, we're using them.

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Speaker 1: So we're using them for the betterment of college football.

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Speaker 1: We're using them two games Saturday. Who's to the fund

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Speaker 1: it right? Thank you, quick trip. Let's continue in the

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Speaker 1: interest of talking about one of the games that we

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Speaker 1: will be at. Oh, I need to press send on something.

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Speaker 1: Hold on just a second, h there we go. Okay,

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Speaker 1: who would a big game Saturday? Michigan at Oklahoma seven

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Speaker 1: thirty Eastern kickoff a b C. Let me set the

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Speaker 1: table for you here. Michigan has won thirteen straight night games.

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Speaker 1: Why do we even continue with the preview, John Mattire.

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Speaker 1: That's why we continue with the preview. We may look

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Speaker 1: back on this when you know this quarterback matchup. I'm

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Speaker 1: not big on doing the matchups of guys that won't

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Speaker 1: be on the field at the same time, except that

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Speaker 1: that's the marquee, you know. That's how that's like the headliner.

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Speaker 1: We got John Mattier, We got Bryce Underwood here, and

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Speaker 1: Underwood looked pretty good last week. He looked better than

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Speaker 1: I thought he'd look, and I have high expectations for him. Now. Yes, yes,

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Speaker 1: I hear you in the back. You said what it

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Speaker 1: was who it was New Mexico. Okay, I got you,

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Speaker 1: Thank you. I didn't know who they played. I appreciate

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Speaker 1: that though, yes it was New Mexico. He looked good.

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Speaker 1: So what does this game look like three or four

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Speaker 1: years from now when we look back on it. We

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Speaker 1: got John Mattire and we got Bryce Underwood. I think

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Speaker 1: it will be very notable. It's already notable to me.

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Speaker 1: But I think just the general casual fan will even

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Speaker 1: look back and say, man, you look at the history books,

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Speaker 1: whoa these guys were on the field at the same time. Well,

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Speaker 1: they played in the same game. Yes, we have a

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Speaker 1: theory around here number one that this is a huge

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Speaker 1: pressure spot for Brent Vinnables. That's not a theory, that's fact.

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Speaker 1: But let me tell you about a theory we have.

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Speaker 1: It is crowbar theory. We have several different theories and

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Speaker 1: philosophies we teach at Peyton State, and one of them

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Speaker 1: is the crowbar theory. The crowbar theory goes something like this,

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Speaker 1: there is a certain caliber of defense that when it

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Speaker 1: faces a one dimensional offense, i e. An offense that

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Speaker 1: is having real, real trouble running the ball, but it's

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Speaker 1: okay cause their quarterbacks a gunslinger. So if they can

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Speaker 1: rush it for fifty six yards, but he'll throw it

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Speaker 1: for four to ten. When a good to great defense

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Speaker 1: faces that kind of offense, they have the ability to

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Speaker 1: put a crowbar in the bicycle spokes. If you've ever

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Speaker 1: ridden a bicycle, you know that you can do one

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Speaker 1: of two things to stop. It can hit the brakes,

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Speaker 1: at which point it slows down gradually, or you can

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Speaker 1: throw something in the spokes and it stops immediately. You

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Speaker 1: go flying over the handlebars. Face street pizza looks terrible.

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Speaker 1: It takes weeks to heal point being if you can't

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Speaker 1: run the ball and you face a high level defense,

425
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 1: they can shut you down. So you're sitting there thinking

426
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 1: to yourself, Oh, let's say we're averaging thirty five points

427
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 1: per game. Well, even if we face that defense and

428
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:30,560
Speaker 1: they really get a handle on us O, we'll still

429
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,359
Speaker 1: score twenty eight. Nope. No. Crowbar theory is you go

430
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:35,879
Speaker 1: from scoring thirty five a game to here we go

431
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,160
Speaker 1: into the fourth quarter, We've got nine on the board.

432
00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:41,479
Speaker 1: How has this happened? Crowbar theory is how it's happened.

433
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 1: My question is, can Michigan crowbar Oklahoma? Last week? I

434
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:51,959
Speaker 1: was very unimpressed with how effectively Oklahoma ran the ball. Now,

435
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:54,160
Speaker 1: I will grant you it was Illinois State these We're

436
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,480
Speaker 1: still early in the season, so a lot of teams

437
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:59,160
Speaker 1: played a lot of inferior competition last week. Jadan Ott

438
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 1: didn't play last week tailbag for Oklahoma. I don't know

439
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 1: how many snaps I'm gonna get out of him this week.

440
00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:07,800
Speaker 1: Could be one, could be twenty five. I have no idea,

441
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 1: nor do my Oklahoma buddies. They are guessing anything and

442
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:14,040
Speaker 1: everything in between. But it's a prove it week for

443
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 1: this offensive line. And this is about as good a

444
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,560
Speaker 1: test as you'll get all year a Michigan. The names

445
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 1: continue to churn, but the defensive profile, the identity remains

446
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:25,679
Speaker 1: the same. And if you can't get balanced, if you

447
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,639
Speaker 1: can at least keep them convinced that you're committed to

448
00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:30,439
Speaker 1: running the ball, even if you don't run it for

449
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 1: two twenty and six yards per carry. No one is

450
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 1: even under the illusion you're gonna do that. But if

451
00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 1: you can't maintain that, I'm as high as John I'm

452
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,359
Speaker 1: as high on Jometier as anyone in the country. I

453
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 1: may be higher on him than his parents are. I

454
00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:44,720
Speaker 1: picked him to win the Heisman. It is foolish to

455
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 1: think he's just gonna sling it all over Michigan. That's foolish.

456
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:50,520
Speaker 1: And if he does it, wonderful, and I'll take credit

457
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:52,440
Speaker 1: because I do have a Heisman ticket. But I don't

458
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:55,920
Speaker 1: expect that. So crowbar theory is in play here. Please

459
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,800
Speaker 1: don't let it happen. This is a baptism in the

460
00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 1: deep end for Bryce Underwood. Bryce Underwood has I don't

461
00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: want to use the word transcendent, I don't want to

462
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 1: use the word generational. He has a ton of talent,

463
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:11,199
Speaker 1: but he is a true freshman quarterback starting on the

464
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 1: road in Norman, Oklahoma against Brenton Venables. That recipe doesn't

465
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: sound good, and for ninety nine percent of quarterbacks it

466
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 1: wouldn't be good. Is he a one percenter? He actually

467
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,679
Speaker 1: he may be. So he's got a shot to just

468
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,440
Speaker 1: do some stuff that is not supposed to be done

469
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,199
Speaker 1: every now and then every five years or so. You

470
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,359
Speaker 1: get a talent like that through the sport where you

471
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:35,639
Speaker 1: look at it and you say, Leonora Sellers does that

472
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 1: kind of stuff. He does stuff where you say, what

473
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:40,199
Speaker 1: do you even do? You just got to tip your

474
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 1: cap to him. Now, Justice Haines could be very instrumental here.

475
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:48,880
Speaker 1: Obviously tailback transfer from Alabama for those uninitiated, he could

476
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:52,160
Speaker 1: be a big player here. But look, I actually don't

477
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 1: think rushing yardage is the most important aspect of this

478
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:58,040
Speaker 1: game for Michigan because there's a world where they could

479
00:24:58,080 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 1: run it for two hundred yards and lose the game.

480
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,880
Speaker 1: Penn State Ohio State vibes in other words, it's great

481
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 1: if you do run it for two hundred I strongly

482
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:07,920
Speaker 1: advise it if you can do it. But their wide

483
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 1: receivers are going to have to step up, because there's

484
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:14,439
Speaker 1: a world where Michigan just runs the ball, not at will,

485
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:17,080
Speaker 1: but they run it at a pretty good clip between

486
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:19,439
Speaker 1: the twenties. And then the field gets compressed down in

487
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,040
Speaker 1: the red area where Brent Venables shines anyway, and you

488
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,199
Speaker 1: have to settle for threes or he gets you in

489
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 1: third and along and then you make ill advised throws

490
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,119
Speaker 1: and he turns you over and you're looking at the

491
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 1: box score saying, boy, we've outgained him. Man, we're running

492
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:36,719
Speaker 1: the ball five point two yards per carry. What's happening, Well,

493
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 1: what's happening is you're doing that in a wide open field,

494
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 1: and when the field's not wide open anymore, they're stoning you.

495
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 1: The total in this game's fascinating because of that. There's

496
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:51,720
Speaker 1: crowbar theory two ways in this So the running game

497
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,600
Speaker 1: I think will be there to some extent from Michigan,

498
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 1: But tight ends are their best threat catching the ball

499
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 1: as far as I thought pre season, and it's well

500
00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:03,760
Speaker 1: within their right to prove me wrong. But I think

501
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: because of the two dynamics that I just talked about,

502
00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 1: I think quarterback mistakes are going to go a long

503
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 1: way into siding this game. I think it could. It

504
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,639
Speaker 1: could honestly be the padlock stat. Quarterback mistakes could be

505
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 1: the padlock stat in this game because there is a

506
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 1: chance that neither run game finds a ton of consistency.

507
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 1: Michigan was under three yards per carry last week absent

508
00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:31,240
Speaker 1: two explosive runs. Now those explosive runs count, and if

509
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 1: you got him against New Mexico, maybe you can get

510
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 1: him against Oklahoma. But if they limit the explosive run,

511
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 1: Michigan didn't light the world on fire yards per carry

512
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 1: on the ground last week, nor did Oklahoma. Both of

513
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 1: them are facing way better run defenses this week than

514
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 1: they did last week, which means, what if both ground

515
00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 1: games get stifled and we got one guy and John

516
00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,879
Speaker 1: mattiir facing a way higher caliber competition than he's ever faced,

517
00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:59,199
Speaker 1: biggest game of his life, and we got Bryce obviously

518
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 1: a true freshman on the road against Brent Venable's biggest

519
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:05,159
Speaker 1: game of his career by ten miles. That is a

520
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:09,359
Speaker 1: situation right for quarterback mistakes to decide a game wide.

521
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 1: Receiver rooms I think have a decided edge to Oklahoma

522
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 1: here is just can Michigan profile the game in such

523
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 1: a way where they look and say, hey, Remember all

524
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 1: those years Ohio State had the wide receiver edge. Remember

525
00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:22,359
Speaker 1: all those years it didn't matter. They could profile the

526
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 1: game that way. So let's take a look at what

527
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:29,280
Speaker 1: the model thinks right now. FanDuel has Oklahoma minus five

528
00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:35,880
Speaker 1: and a half. Model completely agrees we've got Oklahoma minus five. Man,

529
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 1: I could paint this thing either way. I think it's

530
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 1: going to be a very very tight game, and in

531
00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:46,159
Speaker 1: that kind of game, I lean Oklahoma. I have liked

532
00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 1: Oklahoma in the game for a while. The more I

533
00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 1: look at it, though, and how much newness and how

534
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 1: much uncertainty there is, I think it's going to be really,

535
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 1: really tough to peg this one. So I'm going Oklahoma

536
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:59,640
Speaker 1: to win. But anything over three I am taking Michigan

537
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,359
Speaker 1: and the I'm not betting on this game, at least

538
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 1: I'm not betting the side. I do have a little

539
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 1: feel about the total, which we'll talk about in the

540
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,239
Speaker 1: Roman Nodile Express a little bit later. They're watching us

541
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:15,440
Speaker 1: in Bainbridge, Georgia, Reno, Nevada, Lubbock, Texas. I also want

542
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:19,359
Speaker 1: to quickly say thank you to everyone watching live. You know,

543
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 1: we had our most watched show ever the other day,

544
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 1: So I appreciate that a lot of you subscribe. You

545
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 1: had like two thousand subs per day. Keep that rolling.

546
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:32,719
Speaker 1: It's a free show. I ask you to do that

547
00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 1: before this next segment. There are some segments that I

548
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:39,440
Speaker 1: wish we could skip on certain nights. This is one

549
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:41,720
Speaker 1: of them, but that would be unethical. Plus people have

550
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:46,400
Speaker 1: paid for it. So here we go, Bradley, you can

551
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:51,960
Speaker 1: go ahead and start the VOD here for post production purposes.

552
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:57,160
Speaker 1: Week two edition of the JP Pole is here. I'm

553
00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 1: gonna remind you once more, and I've got to take

554
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:01,240
Speaker 1: on a very series tone here because we're about to

555
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:04,480
Speaker 1: do some controversial things. Some say the most controversial ratings

556
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 1: of the modern era about to drop. Rankings are great.

557
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 1: The AP has rankings, the Coaches Poll has rankings. A

558
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 1: million different writers release their own rankings. That's wonderful. I

559
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 1: choose not to because there's already plenty of them out there,

560
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 1: and most of them look the same. What I've always

561
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 1: been fascinated by is the more predictive model, which means

562
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 1: I really love what odds makers think on a game,

563
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 1: and not to say that that's merit based, it's not.

564
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 1: You're going to see many instances one very notable instance

565
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 1: in tonight's numbers of a team that's lost to another

566
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:42,240
Speaker 1: team and is still power rated above that team. Well,

567
00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 1: in rankings world, that makes no sense. In rankings world,

568
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 1: the results on the field have to matter first and foremost.

569
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:51,480
Speaker 1: They have to matter. So in rankings world, my numbers

570
00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 1: would look a lot different than Power ratings World. Power

571
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:56,280
Speaker 1: ratings World couldn't care less about any of It doesn't

572
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 1: care about the comferenu're in, doesn't care about the color

573
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 1: of your jersey. All it cares about is out of

574
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:04,360
Speaker 1: the two of you, who would be favored on a

575
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 1: neutral field tomorrow according to our own numbers. And that's

576
00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 1: the order that we put the teams in. If you

577
00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:14,520
Speaker 1: ask me, well, why would you do it that way?

578
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,760
Speaker 1: Why even play the games to determine a winner? But yeah,

579
00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 1: but you're not honoring the team that won by placing

580
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 1: them above the other team. Well, friend, would that other

581
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: team be favored if they played Saturday? Well? No, but no,

582
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 1: there's no butt, that's it. Well, why would you value that?

583
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 1: Because I happen to care about it. If you don't

584
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,960
Speaker 1: value it, maybe it's just not for you. It's just

585
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 1: a tool. Immunity it's just a fun tool that we

586
00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:42,720
Speaker 1: use to kind of give another angle on teams. Okay,

587
00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 1: so with that in mind, I'm gonna go randomized. But

588
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 1: for those of you who do require the visual, for

589
00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 1: those of you who are visual learners, right right there,

590
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: these are not rankings. If there's nothing you take away

591
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 1: from this tonight other than that, these are not rankings,

592
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 1: all right, here we go USC. We've got at number sixteen.

593
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:09,920
Speaker 1: USC has not changed all that much. USC is not

594
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 1: ranked in the top twenty five of the A people.

595
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 1: So we continue to have the jpeopole much higher on

596
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 1: USC than the apeopole, although one is merit based and

597
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 1: the other one is not. Let's go with Florida, Florida.

598
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 1: We have gotten number eight. They played who Long Island

599
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 1: in week one. Not a lot to take from that one.

600
00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:32,680
Speaker 1: Florida remains virtually unchanged. Okay, here we go Rubber Meat Road,

601
00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 1: Ohio State. Jppole has Ohio State at number two. Still

602
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:42,520
Speaker 1: so not a lot changed there. Again, this is neutral

603
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 1: field favorability. Utah is the biggest mover that we have

604
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:51,720
Speaker 1: this week. Utah is up eight spots. Utah we have

605
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 1: number fourteen in the jpopole, So we have them not

606
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 1: only as the top rated team in the Big twelve,

607
00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:03,479
Speaker 1: will separate couple of points separation between them and the

608
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,600
Speaker 1: next highest team. They're the only Big twelve team I

609
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:08,320
Speaker 1: think in the top twenty. We'll check that as we

610
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 1: go on. Next up LSU. LSU's a big mover. LSU

611
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 1: goes to number five. That's up seven spots. They were

612
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,840
Speaker 1: twelve coming in. I told you I thought I may

613
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 1: be in retrospect wrong about LSU. Well, the JP pole

614
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 1: looked and said, hold my ZBA JP poll number five

615
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: with LSU, let's continue Clemson. Did they drop? Did they drop? No?

616
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:35,880
Speaker 1: They did not. Clemson is still at number nine. Again people, again,

617
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:37,840
Speaker 1: I don't even know what the AP had Clemson at.

618
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,960
Speaker 1: But again power ratings world. Before we talk about who

619
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:45,120
Speaker 1: should drop, remember, are there more than nine teams that

620
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 1: Clemson would be a dog against on a neutral field?

621
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:49,960
Speaker 1: I don't think so. They've played one team. That team

622
00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 1: right there, LSU. So LSU's ahead of them. It makes

623
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 1: a lot of sense. Actually, even in a merit based

624
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:59,520
Speaker 1: like AP rating, Uh, Michigan, where's Michigan at? They've got

625
00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 1: to be in the top twenty nineteen. So Michigan's right there,

626
00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 1: and they're going on the road to play Oklahoma. We

627
00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 1: don't know where Oklahoma is yet, but I have a

628
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 1: sneaking suspicion they may be Power rating. Ole Miss got

629
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 1: a sleepy start to the season, played Georgia State the

630
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 1: other night. Not a lot to go on with them.

631
00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:19,720
Speaker 1: Ole Miss is number seventeen. Here's Penn State. I think

632
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:22,280
Speaker 1: there were number two in the AP today Penn State

633
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 1: is number four. There's not a lot of movement here

634
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:28,480
Speaker 1: at the very top aside from one team, which we'll

635
00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 1: get to. Penn State is still number four. Okay, this

636
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 1: may be controversial. Put Texas up. So JP poll has

637
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 1: Texas still at number one. We hit up, we hit

638
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,360
Speaker 1: up our sources to make sure that this is true.

639
00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:46,080
Speaker 1: Texas would be favored neutral fielding its Ohio State right now.

640
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 1: You would be free to go bet Ohio State. I'm

641
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 1: not sitting here telling you which side I would take. Candidly,

642
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 1: I think I take Ohio State. I would absolutely rank

643
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:57,160
Speaker 1: Ohio State number one in the country right now. Power

644
00:33:57,240 --> 00:34:00,240
Speaker 1: ratings wise model still gives a slight edge netral Field

645
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: to Texas. Think of that what you will personally, I

646
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:05,800
Speaker 1: don't have to agree with the model. We all know

647
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 1: the model's been in the tank for Texas for years.

648
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 1: That is well established on this show, so it's no surprise.

649
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:17,160
Speaker 1: Here's the one folks are waiting on. Alabama is number twelve.

650
00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:24,080
Speaker 1: Alabama dropped seven spots, and I'm going to get to

651
00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:27,040
Speaker 1: something in just a second. I'm oh, sorry, sorry about that, Tyler.

652
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:30,439
Speaker 1: Georgia number three. So Georgia's number three. That's unchanged, all right.

653
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 1: Bama dropped to number twelve, so they dropped seven spots.

654
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:39,600
Speaker 1: I feel the need to explain this, but I want

655
00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:41,560
Speaker 1: to wait for just a second because I want to

656
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:44,799
Speaker 1: give you a little comparative analysis. So hold on on

657
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:50,600
Speaker 1: the Alabama part. South Carolina is number eighteen, pretty much

658
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,319
Speaker 1: where they were last week. I think, look, I'm not

659
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 1: low on South Carolina. We need to hold on just

660
00:34:57,040 --> 00:35:00,319
Speaker 1: a second. Okay, they needed special team scores to pull

661
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:04,319
Speaker 1: away from Virginia Tech. So that's good. They won the game.

662
00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:06,920
Speaker 1: They didn't light the world on fire, so just be

663
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 1: careful overly inflating them right now. Tennessee is up number fifteen,

664
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 1: and I gotta be honest with you, Tennessee may still

665
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:16,960
Speaker 1: be a little low to me. I still think the

666
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:18,759
Speaker 1: model may need to come around a little bit more

667
00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:21,800
Speaker 1: on Tennessee. But the model does know it was just Syracuse.

668
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 1: See you hear that model trash talking Tennessee, not me.

669
00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:29,560
Speaker 1: Oregon is number six and a four touchdown favorite against

670
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:33,600
Speaker 1: suddenly poverty stricken Mike Gundy this week. That could be

671
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:37,640
Speaker 1: a bloodbath here we go. I didn't think I would

672
00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:41,239
Speaker 1: say this, but as of week two, Florida State has

673
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 1: entered the JP pole at number twenty. This is where

674
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,279
Speaker 1: we really find out who our rider dies are. We

675
00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 1: really find out who understands what we're doing around here.

676
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:53,319
Speaker 1: Canal has been a lost cause for years. I don't

677
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:57,360
Speaker 1: care what he tweets about this. Knowing the premise of

678
00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:01,799
Speaker 1: this neutral field favorability Labama's at twelve, FSU is at

679
00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 1: twenty before I give you the information I have here,

680
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 1: how many of you have a problem with that? Not

681
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:11,319
Speaker 1: from a rankings perspective, there's no prayer I would rank

682
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:14,200
Speaker 1: Alabama above Florida State if I had an AP poll today,

683
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:18,799
Speaker 1: But in power rating in neutral field favorability terms, how

684
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:22,280
Speaker 1: many of you think even that's flawed? Even having Bama

685
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:27,640
Speaker 1: above Florida State by eight spots in power ratings is flawed. Now,

686
00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:30,040
Speaker 1: as you say that, I want you to know something.

687
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:34,520
Speaker 1: I hit up our friends at FanDuel because we have

688
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:37,239
Speaker 1: access to this from them, and I said, Hey, I'm

689
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 1: gonna take some heat tonight. I need to come loaded

690
00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 1: for bear. I need you to tell me if that

691
00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 1: game happens again in Atlanta tomorrow, neutral field, Alabama Florida State,

692
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,920
Speaker 1: what is the number? What is the line? What do

693
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 1: you think it would be? You're running the sports book

694
00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:57,799
Speaker 1: right now, what do you think it would be? What

695
00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 1: would you hang as the number? Alabama would be an

696
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 1: eight and a half point favorite against Florida State, neutral

697
00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:08,319
Speaker 1: field tomorrow. So this is correct. There's no arguing it.

698
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:12,839
Speaker 1: It's correct. It's either whether you understand the methodology or not.

699
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 1: Now again, you'd be free to bet Florida State once

700
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 1: they hung the number. Many of you probably would. I

701
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:21,600
Speaker 1: may be there in line with you, but it is

702
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:24,000
Speaker 1: a one hundred percent stone cold fact. Not only would

703
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,320
Speaker 1: Bama be favored there, that'd probably be a slight favorite

704
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 1: in Tallahassee if they played again. I actually don't know

705
00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 1: that people fully understand how big an adjustment that that

706
00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:36,920
Speaker 1: is making to these teams off of a one game result,

707
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,839
Speaker 1: albeit a head to head result. So we got Bama there,

708
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 1: we got South Carolina, Tennessee, Oregon, FSU. Where's Notre Dame?

709
00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 1: Got Notre Dame at number seven? They didn't drop, really

710
00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:50,759
Speaker 1: they We still got them ahead of the team they

711
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:54,040
Speaker 1: played the other day. I'll explain it in just second. Oklahoma,

712
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 1: where do we have them? Number ten? All right, so

713
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 1: we got Oklahoma number ten hosting number nineteen Michigan this Saturday.

714
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:05,839
Speaker 1: Now that means model has Oklahoma favored by five over

715
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 1: Michigan if you account for let's say roughly three points

716
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:14,720
Speaker 1: for home field. That's the model indicating Ou is about

717
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:17,400
Speaker 1: two points better than Michigan, which just lets you know

718
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:20,319
Speaker 1: how compressed these numbers are. That implies a two point

719
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:22,800
Speaker 1: gap between number ten and number nineteen. That is accurate.

720
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:24,839
Speaker 1: So a lot of these teams are compressed. Right now,

721
00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:30,279
Speaker 1: let us continue Texas A and m number thirteen, and

722
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 1: we got Miami at number eleven. For the record, model

723
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: would favor Notre Dame over Miami on a neutral field

724
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 1: if they played today. Model looks at that result the

725
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:43,160
Speaker 1: other night. And while you may say, oh, that's cause

726
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:47,800
Speaker 1: to rank Miami above Notre dame, I would too. Model

727
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 1: looks at it and says, the team that was starting

728
00:38:50,719 --> 00:38:54,520
Speaker 1: a new quarterback on the road finished minus two turnovers

729
00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:58,839
Speaker 1: and lost by three. If you value turnovers, I think,

730
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 1: what do we have, like like two and three quarter

731
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 1: points per turnover something like that. I can't remember what

732
00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:06,319
Speaker 1: the number is, anyway, it implies an even turnover game.

733
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 1: Notre name slight favorite. It's boring math stuff. Point being

734
00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 1: takes more than one result like that head to head

735
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:18,719
Speaker 1: to invert power ratings. So Nebraska is not here. Nebraska's

736
00:39:18,760 --> 00:39:22,360
Speaker 1: twenty one, Auburn's twenty two. And as I said, you

737
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:24,000
Speaker 1: know I could run these numbers for a lot of teams.

738
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:25,560
Speaker 1: I knew we were gonna get a lot of pushback

739
00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:28,200
Speaker 1: on the whole Alabama Florida state thing, just like I

740
00:39:28,200 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 1: saw when ESPN released the FPI the other day. Some

741
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,160
Speaker 1: people just don't know what it is. Like some people

742
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:36,319
Speaker 1: will see this graphic, they won't know what it is,

743
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:38,920
Speaker 1: and they'll think it's rankings, and they'll think it's clickbait.

744
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:41,200
Speaker 1: I don't know what I want them to click on,

745
00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:44,120
Speaker 1: but they'll think it's clickbait. There will be other people

746
00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:49,400
Speaker 1: who know what this is and they are intentionally dishonest

747
00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 1: about it. And those are the ones you gotta watch

748
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:53,560
Speaker 1: out for. You gotta watch out for them. So there

749
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:56,080
Speaker 1: you go. That's the JP pole right now, immunity. All right,

750
00:39:56,080 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors, you can get out fitted for fall.

751
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 1: Because I'm looking at my eye, josh In it is

752
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,960
Speaker 1: September second, which means fall is like nineteen days away.

753
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:12,000
Speaker 1: Be ready, be ready for tailgating season. You already got

754
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:14,520
Speaker 1: one weekend down. Did you look to your left and right?

755
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:17,760
Speaker 1: You saw those Academy tents and canopies and chairs. Don't

756
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 1: be left without. Don't tailgate without. Go to Academy or

757
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,640
Speaker 1: Academy dot com if you can't get there in person.

758
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:26,719
Speaker 1: They got all of your fall needs, all of your

759
00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:31,239
Speaker 1: recreational needs, Hunting season right around the corner. You want

760
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 1: a nice kayak, how about that? A nice sweater? How

761
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,600
Speaker 1: about that? Just a good old fashioned bucket of balls?

762
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:44,680
Speaker 1: How about that? Academy's got you covered. We appreciate them,

763
00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:47,080
Speaker 1: all right, Let's give me that. Give me that question,

764
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 1: since I know a lot of people are going to

765
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:53,560
Speaker 1: be talking about this anyway. Kyle Perdue, not Kyle from Purdue.

766
00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:55,719
Speaker 1: Hit me up from Norman Oklahoma. He said, why are

767
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:59,160
Speaker 1: so many people so surprised about Alabama? Wasn't this what

768
00:40:59,200 --> 00:41:03,800
Speaker 1: we saw from them against Oklahoma last year? No, you

769
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,520
Speaker 1: talking about the Florida State game. No, that's not what

770
00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:10,279
Speaker 1: you saw against Oklahoma last year. Those examples could not

771
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 1: be any more different against Oklahoma. To remind everyone, BAMA

772
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,560
Speaker 1: went in there and got blown out on the scoreboard

773
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:21,359
Speaker 1: against Oklahoma, and BAMA got smoked again the other day

774
00:41:21,560 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 1: on the road against Florida State. That's about where the

775
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 1: similarities end in those games. I'm not sure Kyle, that

776
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:30,800
Speaker 1: we watched the same Oklahoma game. That was just Jaln

777
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:33,520
Speaker 1: Milroe given the ball to the other team. It was turnovers.

778
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:36,520
Speaker 1: There was zero point at any time during the Alabama

779
00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 1: Oklahoma game last year where I said, oh, man, I

780
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 1: questioned the effort, man, I just I questioned the passion

781
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 1: of some of those guys. There was no point where

782
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,400
Speaker 1: I said that, I said, boy, turnovers will kill you.

783
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:52,080
Speaker 1: That was it. That's not the first time, nor is

784
00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:54,319
Speaker 1: it last time you'll see turnovers by the team that's

785
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:57,680
Speaker 1: playing hard. It wasn't turnovers that were the issue the

786
00:41:57,680 --> 00:41:59,480
Speaker 1: other day against Florida State. It was some stuff that's

787
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:03,839
Speaker 1: far more true bubbling. So we had a lot of questions, obviously,

788
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 1: like thousands of them in the inbox, a few of

789
00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 1: them about Alabama. The most common is can they get

790
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:14,919
Speaker 1: it corrected? I'm very conflicted on this. Can they get

791
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:20,480
Speaker 1: it corrected? Well? By my vantage point, when you say

792
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,799
Speaker 1: can Bama get it corrected, I'm hearing you say, can

793
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,160
Speaker 1: they still compete for the SEC championship? Can they still

794
00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:29,399
Speaker 1: compete for a national championship. I've got serious doubts about that,

795
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:32,439
Speaker 1: but I will grant you there is a non zero

796
00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:34,800
Speaker 1: chance that, yeah, they can get it all corrected. Because

797
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:38,200
Speaker 1: there's a non zero chance, non zero meaning the percentage

798
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 1: is small to me, but it's not zero, So you

799
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:43,359
Speaker 1: have to acknowledge that it's real. There is a chance

800
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:45,839
Speaker 1: that those injuries just mattered a whole lot more. Tim

801
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,919
Speaker 1: Keenan missing off the interior of the defensive line, Jam

802
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:53,360
Speaker 1: Miller missing from a ground game that they once again abandoned,

803
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:55,520
Speaker 1: which was all too familiar a theme last year. Yeah,

804
00:42:55,560 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 1: there's a chance that those injuries just really mattered a

805
00:42:58,160 --> 00:43:00,880
Speaker 1: lot more. There's a chance Florida State's great team and

806
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 1: no one knew it yet. That's why I keep talking

807
00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:07,120
Speaker 1: about the future providing way more context for this game

808
00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:10,239
Speaker 1: than we have right now, because if we get to

809
00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:13,120
Speaker 1: if we get to November and FSU's heading towards an

810
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:16,280
Speaker 1: eight and four season, it's a lot different than man

811
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:18,960
Speaker 1: FSU's heading towards an eleven in one season. They're going

812
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:22,239
Speaker 1: to Charlotte playing for the ACC title. In retrospect, it

813
00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 1: wasn't the worst thing in the world to get beat

814
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:25,919
Speaker 1: by him in Week one on the road ambush style

815
00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 1: before anyone knew what they had. Don't know what the

816
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:32,040
Speaker 1: context is going to be, but I saw our buddies'

817
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:36,120
Speaker 1: college football nerds say this, and this is once again,

818
00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:38,440
Speaker 1: if you're a Bama fan out there looking for hope,

819
00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 1: you know you're looking for stuff that's correctable. Frankly, some

820
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:43,920
Speaker 1: of the stuff I saw, I don't know that it's correctable,

821
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:46,960
Speaker 1: but maybe I'm wrong. They said it's hard to look

822
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:49,399
Speaker 1: physical and when you're not in the right hole. Well

823
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:53,319
Speaker 1: that's true, that's true, and for their sake, I kind

824
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 1: of hope that's the reality. Just misalignment, poor fundamentals. Now,

825
00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 1: these are not good things, but it's far more preferable

826
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:05,320
Speaker 1: to fundamental like terminal issues like guys don't care enough,

827
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 1: guys loaf too much energy, buy in effort, you know,

828
00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:13,360
Speaker 1: these sorts of things. I'd much rather you just be

829
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:15,840
Speaker 1: in the wrong hole, because I can coach you there

830
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,360
Speaker 1: in one frame. I can't coach you in the other frame,

831
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:22,000
Speaker 1: at least during the season, I can't. What could they

832
00:44:22,040 --> 00:44:25,480
Speaker 1: show Saturday? Someone else asked, what could they show us?

833
00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:27,200
Speaker 1: What could they show me as a thirty seven and

834
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:30,239
Speaker 1: a half point favorite against Uell Monroe? Not nothing. They

835
00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:32,600
Speaker 1: couldn't show me anything to change my mind on that.

836
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:37,800
Speaker 1: In fact, the kind of team whose heart I question

837
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:41,319
Speaker 1: and whose heart gets exposed against Florida State is the

838
00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 1: same kind of team that really flexes on inferior opponents.

839
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:50,640
Speaker 1: So even if I'm right about my reasons to doubt Alabama, oh,

840
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 1: I think they'll go crazy against Uel Monroe, because that's

841
00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:55,880
Speaker 1: the kind of team you can do that against. So

842
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 1: there's nothing they can show me Saturday. Certainly it could

843
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 1: go bad, but there's nothing, you know, redeemable that I

844
00:45:03,600 --> 00:45:06,120
Speaker 1: would look at from that result and say, oh, everything's fixed.

845
00:45:06,400 --> 00:45:12,400
Speaker 1: That's impossible to draw from Saturday. But yeah, there is

846
00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:15,600
Speaker 1: a chance, there's absolutely a chance. I know the folks

847
00:45:15,640 --> 00:45:18,359
Speaker 1: in that building. It's not that they don't care. It's

848
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:21,959
Speaker 1: not that they don't work hard. I keep on going

849
00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 1: back to having seen this team practice, and one of

850
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:27,840
Speaker 1: the other questions that has been asked the most, what

851
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:30,040
Speaker 1: about what you said you saw at practice. Well I

852
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:31,560
Speaker 1: didn't tell you a lot of what I saw. I

853
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,799
Speaker 1: spoke generically, but I did say that's about as hard

854
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 1: a hitting practice as I've ever been at. That defense

855
00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:41,000
Speaker 1: flew around at that practice. Well I didn't imagine that.

856
00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 1: And I'm not standing there alone watching that. I got

857
00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:48,680
Speaker 1: other very very veteran football minded people. They're watching it

858
00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 1: with me, echoing the same cinema. Well, they're not watching ghosts.

859
00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:57,000
Speaker 1: It's just that the consistency in performance has to be there. So,

860
00:45:57,920 --> 00:46:01,759
Speaker 1: you know, I hate what their sideline felt like the

861
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:05,919
Speaker 1: other day. I hated how shell shocked they look consistently

862
00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:08,680
Speaker 1: outside the LSU game last year. How this team is

863
00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:11,359
Speaker 1: performed on the road the last two years is disappointing.

864
00:46:11,920 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 1: But is there a world where it's corrected. Absolutely, it's

865
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:19,080
Speaker 1: a really talented team. Yeah, absolutely, there's a world where

866
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:21,640
Speaker 1: it's corrected. That's still a really high caliber coaching staff.

867
00:46:21,680 --> 00:46:24,319
Speaker 1: I think sure, there's a world where it's corrected. Is

868
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:27,680
Speaker 1: there a world where I can fully trust them? No,

869
00:46:27,760 --> 00:46:30,560
Speaker 1: I don't think so. I don't think so. So I'll

870
00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:32,000
Speaker 1: have that in the back of my mind for the

871
00:46:32,080 --> 00:46:35,799
Speaker 1: rest of this year. I'll be hesitant for the rest

872
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:37,920
Speaker 1: of this year. I'm sure i'll pick Bama to win games.

873
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:42,600
Speaker 1: They'll win some. I'll be hesitant because I'll always know,

874
00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:45,239
Speaker 1: especially when they go on the road, I'll always know

875
00:46:45,320 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 1: in the back of my mind that Florida State result

876
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:51,920
Speaker 1: was not fake. It really happened, And if someone was

877
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:56,919
Speaker 1: guilty of exhibiting that on tape one time, could happen again.

878
00:46:58,000 --> 00:47:00,360
Speaker 1: So yeah, I could get corrected though the end of

879
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 1: the world. It's not the end of the season. They

880
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:04,279
Speaker 1: could absolutely rebound. And let me tell you something, it's

881
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:07,719
Speaker 1: not just Bama. There are some teams out there that

882
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:11,760
Speaker 1: are going to get pantsed like that. You just don't

883
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:14,000
Speaker 1: know it yet because they didn't play good competition in

884
00:47:14,040 --> 00:47:17,719
Speaker 1: Week one. So there's some posers out there that are

885
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:20,960
Speaker 1: masquerading as contenders because they were favored by forty in

886
00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:25,520
Speaker 1: week one. So in some ways, if you're gonna get exposed,

887
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:28,359
Speaker 1: you want to do it in Week one. If you're

888
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:31,480
Speaker 1: gonna get it corrected. Now, there's no guarantee it gets corrected,

889
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,080
Speaker 1: is my point. Everyone wants to believe. Once you've seen

890
00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:36,640
Speaker 1: a poor result, oh that's the bottom. Okay, so that's

891
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:40,560
Speaker 1: the floor. Now let's see how quickly we can climb up.

892
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:43,120
Speaker 1: How do you know you need to even stand to climb?

893
00:47:43,200 --> 00:47:45,439
Speaker 1: How do you know that Florida State thought that last year?

894
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:47,759
Speaker 1: Florida State came home from that Georgia Tech game and said,

895
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:50,239
Speaker 1: all right, let's regroup, let's get it fixed, let's get

896
00:47:50,280 --> 00:47:52,719
Speaker 1: to work. There was no fixing it. I don't think

897
00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:55,320
Speaker 1: Alabama's going to suffer that same fate to that degree.

898
00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:59,319
Speaker 1: But there's no guarantee. You know, for all the optimism

899
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:01,640
Speaker 1: and hope that you have on one side of the coin,

900
00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:05,640
Speaker 1: you do have to acknowledge the darker underbelly the other

901
00:48:05,680 --> 00:48:07,960
Speaker 1: side of that coin. That's also a possibility. And that

902
00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 1: possibility is that the result you saw against fs US

903
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:14,280
Speaker 1: not the last time you'll see that. That's the trust

904
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:19,040
Speaker 1: factor that I'm struggling with right now. There was another

905
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:24,440
Speaker 1: game last night, you know, Labor Day, Labor Day weekend

906
00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:29,280
Speaker 1: we have when we have Thursday games, Friday game Saturday, Sunday, Monday,

907
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:31,680
Speaker 1: just college football. I don't know why we don't do

908
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:34,640
Speaker 1: it every week. The NFL insists on existing, though, and

909
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:38,440
Speaker 1: I'm told they do pretty good numbers, so whatever. All right,

910
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:43,360
Speaker 1: So Bill Belichick makes his debut last night and North

911
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 1: Carolina takes the field. What a spectacle, What a circus

912
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:49,799
Speaker 1: that was. It looked beautiful right at sunset and all

913
00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:55,320
Speaker 1: the fireworks and everything. It looked great. As is sometimes

914
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 1: the case in this sport, there's great build up to

915
00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:04,600
Speaker 1: the game, great pageantry and pomp and circumstance. Words I

916
00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:08,760
Speaker 1: never understood going together, even though I just said them. Unfortunately,

917
00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:11,319
Speaker 1: kickoff had to happen, and what we got dropped in

918
00:49:11,360 --> 00:49:15,640
Speaker 1: our laps is a good old fashioned TVMA special. Because

919
00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 1: North Carolina got out gained by three twenty. They allowed

920
00:49:19,520 --> 00:49:24,200
Speaker 1: twenty nine first downs in September. No, in this game,

921
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:26,759
Speaker 1: they were one of ten on third down themselves. They

922
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:30,040
Speaker 1: got outrushed two fifty eight to fifty. They also gave

923
00:49:30,120 --> 00:49:34,160
Speaker 1: up two defensive touchdowns. And the best compliment I can

924
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:36,560
Speaker 1: give is they kept TCU under fifty because I think

925
00:49:36,680 --> 00:49:39,400
Speaker 1: any of us who watched the thing throughout the duration, no,

926
00:49:39,560 --> 00:49:41,759
Speaker 1: it could have gotten a whole lot worse. And there

927
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:46,080
Speaker 1: was I can't remember who said it. There was a

928
00:49:46,160 --> 00:49:50,320
Speaker 1: quote I saw last night about some of the anonymous quotes.

929
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 1: It may have been Marcelo, it usually is. I think

930
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 1: Marcelo quoted an anonymous coach talking about their goal for

931
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:04,640
Speaker 1: not so gently welcoming Bill Belichick into the acc Everybody

932
00:50:04,680 --> 00:50:06,640
Speaker 1: wants to run it up. TCU is not even in

933
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:08,880
Speaker 1: the conference, and they wanted to run it up. You

934
00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:13,880
Speaker 1: think you're sick of watching the hype bubble build around

935
00:50:13,880 --> 00:50:16,799
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick. You're not close to us sick of it

936
00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 1: as coaches in college football who kept getting told for

937
00:50:20,160 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 1: four or five months, well Belichick's here now. Many guys

938
00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:26,080
Speaker 1: won Super Bowls. Imagine what he can do in college.

939
00:50:26,440 --> 00:50:30,200
Speaker 1: They look at it and say, great, okay, you could

940
00:50:30,200 --> 00:50:34,080
Speaker 1: be You could have the most expansive English language imaginable.

941
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:40,240
Speaker 1: This is Portugal. Can you speak Portuguese? One game sample size?

942
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:43,160
Speaker 1: They're struggling. They need Muzzy, they need hooked on Phonics

943
00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:48,239
Speaker 1: Portuguese edition. Yeah. TVMA specials we hate to do it

944
00:50:48,280 --> 00:50:50,399
Speaker 1: around here. We hate to do it's a kid friendly show.

945
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:52,839
Speaker 1: We hate to do the TVMA special Sometimes we got

946
00:50:52,840 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 1: to do it all right back to normal. The circus

947
00:50:55,000 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 1: fascinated me around this, the circus around Bill Belichick's arrival

948
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:02,480
Speaker 1: in college football kind of fascinated me. I don't know

949
00:51:02,520 --> 00:51:05,600
Speaker 1: if you experienced this sometimes where there's this big hype

950
00:51:05,600 --> 00:51:08,600
Speaker 1: bubble around something and it doesn't make sense to you.

951
00:51:09,040 --> 00:51:11,839
Speaker 1: I know why Bill Belichick's a big deal. I've watched

952
00:51:11,840 --> 00:51:14,080
Speaker 1: football all my life, just like you guys have. He

953
00:51:14,160 --> 00:51:18,240
Speaker 1: has been a presence in my sporting life, my entire life.

954
00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:21,160
Speaker 1: He's been around as long as I've been alive. I

955
00:51:21,200 --> 00:51:23,440
Speaker 1: got immense amounts of respect for what the guy's done

956
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 1: in the NFL. But when he came and took the

957
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:30,880
Speaker 1: North Carolina job, it was just fascinating to so many people.

958
00:51:31,200 --> 00:51:34,280
Speaker 1: And I looked at it as another hire, and maybe

959
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 1: I'm way off base here. I got it. When Dion

960
00:51:37,280 --> 00:51:40,440
Speaker 1: Sanders got hired a Colorado, I got it. I was

961
00:51:40,480 --> 00:51:42,839
Speaker 1: all in on it. That was a circus, a good

962
00:51:42,920 --> 00:51:47,680
Speaker 1: kind of circus. That was helicopters coming from all directions

963
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:53,520
Speaker 1: and Marquee spotlight. It is Dion Sanders coaching in major

964
00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:56,480
Speaker 1: college football and his son's going to be his quarterback,

965
00:51:56,640 --> 00:51:59,399
Speaker 1: and what Travis Hunter's coming with him, and you got

966
00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:04,400
Speaker 1: celet Is all over the place and everybody's fixated on Boulder, Colorado.

967
00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:08,000
Speaker 1: All of a sudden, I understood that I didn't understand

968
00:52:08,080 --> 00:52:11,399
Speaker 1: the chapel Bill stuff. I still don't, and maybe I'm

969
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:14,200
Speaker 1: just missing the boat on it. But then they had

970
00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:18,440
Speaker 1: such build up to the game, full game day treatment.

971
00:52:19,120 --> 00:52:22,399
Speaker 1: We had Herbstreet and his dog, Anne Rhys Davis three

972
00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:25,920
Speaker 1: man booth last night, and it's just a blowout, and

973
00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:27,920
Speaker 1: so I get I don't know. It just never gripped me.

974
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:30,520
Speaker 1: I watched it because it was a college football game,

975
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:34,319
Speaker 1: but the spectacle around the Bill Belichick thing, it never

976
00:52:34,400 --> 00:52:37,440
Speaker 1: gripped me. And I don't think it's gonna work. But

977
00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:41,200
Speaker 1: I will say this to try and maintain intellectual honesty.

978
00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:44,520
Speaker 1: We could have taken the time on the show tonight

979
00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 1: and say, see, I told you so well. Last night

980
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:50,239
Speaker 1: doesn't prove anything other than it's really hard to put

981
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:52,240
Speaker 1: a team together and get ready to play major college

982
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:54,480
Speaker 1: football in one year. I don't think it's gonna work

983
00:52:54,480 --> 00:52:56,879
Speaker 1: out for Belichick in North Carolina. Last night's not proof

984
00:52:56,880 --> 00:52:59,040
Speaker 1: of that. Because even if I did think it was

985
00:52:59,080 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 1: gonna work out for you're one whatn't gonna be when

986
00:53:02,160 --> 00:53:04,759
Speaker 1: it works out. My stance on this, and I don't

987
00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:06,480
Speaker 1: want to get lost in the smoke. There's a lot

988
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:09,240
Speaker 1: of it. Everyone's got a take on this. My stance

989
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:13,480
Speaker 1: on Belichick is very, very consistent. You've got to define

990
00:53:13,480 --> 00:53:17,920
Speaker 1: your expectations. You got to define your expectations before you

991
00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:20,600
Speaker 1: ask me, do you think it's gonna work out. I've

992
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:23,560
Speaker 1: done several radio interviews on this. People have asked me,

993
00:53:24,080 --> 00:53:25,719
Speaker 1: is it gonna work out? Is Belichick gonna work out

994
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:28,320
Speaker 1: North Carolina? And people keep getting mad because I'm asking

995
00:53:28,440 --> 00:53:32,239
Speaker 1: questions during my own appearances. But I gotta know, what

996
00:53:32,280 --> 00:53:36,560
Speaker 1: do you mean workout? Wipe all the smoke out of

997
00:53:36,600 --> 00:53:40,080
Speaker 1: the room. Just stick to logic here for a second.

998
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:44,359
Speaker 1: Belichick gets hired at North Carolina. Perennially, this has been

999
00:53:44,400 --> 00:53:48,280
Speaker 1: somewhere like a seven seven and a half win maybe

1000
00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:52,279
Speaker 1: eight win on average program, even when it's going right.

1001
00:53:52,360 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 1: That's kind of what they've been. What do you expect

1002
00:53:55,920 --> 00:53:59,239
Speaker 1: from him? If your expectation, as you pay him eight

1003
00:53:59,280 --> 00:54:03,319
Speaker 1: figures per year, is to do that, Yeah, it'll work out.

1004
00:54:03,440 --> 00:54:07,600
Speaker 1: I do think it'll work out by my estimation, when

1005
00:54:07,680 --> 00:54:10,840
Speaker 1: you're paying him what you're paying him and he's getting

1006
00:54:10,880 --> 00:54:13,759
Speaker 1: the attention he's getting. He's getting that attention because the

1007
00:54:13,800 --> 00:54:17,560
Speaker 1: expectation is he'll do more at North Carolina than his

1008
00:54:17,680 --> 00:54:23,960
Speaker 1: predecessors that I don't believe will be a reality last night, notwithstanding, Okay,

1009
00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:26,600
Speaker 1: they could have taken TCU to the wire last night,

1010
00:54:27,120 --> 00:54:29,600
Speaker 1: they could have beaten them by three. It would have

1011
00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:31,759
Speaker 1: been fascinating, but the line on the game was three

1012
00:54:31,760 --> 00:54:34,360
Speaker 1: and a half, so it wouldn't be this monumental upset

1013
00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:37,520
Speaker 1: or anything like that. But I'd maintain the same stance tonight.

1014
00:54:38,360 --> 00:54:40,839
Speaker 1: If anything, they may have their best shot in year one,

1015
00:54:41,200 --> 00:54:44,879
Speaker 1: because yeah, while the roster talent should get better next year,

1016
00:54:45,239 --> 00:54:47,960
Speaker 1: they'll never have a schedule that's workable, so there is

1017
00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:51,160
Speaker 1: a little trade off there. But what's the expectation. That's

1018
00:54:51,200 --> 00:54:55,319
Speaker 1: all I want to know. If your expectation is he's

1019
00:54:55,360 --> 00:54:58,759
Speaker 1: going to compete and be a fringe playoff contender, I

1020
00:54:58,800 --> 00:55:01,880
Speaker 1: think you're wrong. I don't think he will ever reach

1021
00:55:01,960 --> 00:55:04,680
Speaker 1: that status at North Carolina because I think there's a

1022
00:55:04,719 --> 00:55:09,480
Speaker 1: fundamental misunderstanding still of how different college football is to

1023
00:55:09,480 --> 00:55:13,480
Speaker 1: the NFL, and a lot of what succeeded and what

1024
00:55:13,520 --> 00:55:15,640
Speaker 1: you were able to do in the NFL that can't

1025
00:55:15,680 --> 00:55:18,640
Speaker 1: translate to college football. You can't lock guys in the

1026
00:55:18,680 --> 00:55:21,680
Speaker 1: building all day, you can't draft them. They've got to

1027
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:23,560
Speaker 1: choose you. And that means if you're going to be

1028
00:55:23,600 --> 00:55:25,960
Speaker 1: a playoff caliber program, by the way, not seven or

1029
00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:29,319
Speaker 1: eight wins, You can't be taking everyone's backup options. You

1030
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:31,880
Speaker 1: got to go head to head and recruiting with Clemson.

1031
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:34,440
Speaker 1: You've got to beat Florida for a kid. You got

1032
00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:36,600
Speaker 1: to beat Miami for a kid every now and then.

1033
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:40,360
Speaker 1: Can you do that? Oh yeah, we can spend, so

1034
00:55:40,480 --> 00:55:42,960
Speaker 1: can they, And they got results to back it up.

1035
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:46,880
Speaker 1: And you can talk about how you have won Super Bowls.

1036
00:55:47,160 --> 00:55:50,399
Speaker 1: Have you ever developed college football players to go play

1037
00:55:50,440 --> 00:55:54,560
Speaker 1: in the NFL? No, you haven't, and you're doing it

1038
00:55:54,600 --> 00:55:56,880
Speaker 1: for the first time in your seventies. The stat we

1039
00:55:56,960 --> 00:55:59,440
Speaker 1: threw around the other day Belichick's older than any three

1040
00:55:59,440 --> 00:56:02,400
Speaker 1: of his players combined. That's not agism, that's not me

1041
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:04,560
Speaker 1: taking a shot at him. I'm not smiling. It is

1042
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:09,360
Speaker 1: quite literally a fact that he is trying something new

1043
00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:13,960
Speaker 1: in his seventies. Saban checked out at this age, and

1044
00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:16,279
Speaker 1: Saban had been doing it his whole life, and he

1045
00:56:16,320 --> 00:56:18,400
Speaker 1: looked at it and said, I don't know about this anymore.

1046
00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:21,319
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick's just trying to figure it out now. And

1047
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:25,160
Speaker 1: so if you're going to be better than they've been,

1048
00:56:25,600 --> 00:56:27,759
Speaker 1: that means you've got to do more in talent acquisition

1049
00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:30,400
Speaker 1: than what they've done. I don't know that they'll be

1050
00:56:30,440 --> 00:56:32,640
Speaker 1: able to do that. That's my only hang up. They

1051
00:56:32,640 --> 00:56:35,320
Speaker 1: get the players, they'll be fine. If they get the players,

1052
00:56:35,560 --> 00:56:38,440
Speaker 1: they'll be fine. Will they get the players to the

1053
00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:41,320
Speaker 1: degree they need to to be a playoff contender? I

1054
00:56:41,360 --> 00:56:45,040
Speaker 1: don't know that. Here's what I do know. The show

1055
00:56:45,120 --> 00:56:48,719
Speaker 1: started at seven Central tonight at six point fifty two

1056
00:56:48,840 --> 00:56:54,120
Speaker 1: pm Central. Alex who is a wizard with peatestatematerial dot com.

1057
00:56:54,160 --> 00:56:57,000
Speaker 1: The merch store is blowing up. She hit me with

1058
00:56:57,080 --> 00:56:59,560
Speaker 1: three new designs. I didn't even have time to get

1059
00:56:59,560 --> 00:57:03,400
Speaker 1: it on the board. Ward the ram Noodle Express collection,

1060
00:57:04,360 --> 00:57:07,000
Speaker 1: which by the way, won US money in Week one.

1061
00:57:07,239 --> 00:57:09,680
Speaker 1: I want it to be known after a bad Week

1062
00:57:09,719 --> 00:57:11,919
Speaker 1: one last year, the ram Noodle Express won US money

1063
00:57:11,920 --> 00:57:15,400
Speaker 1: in week one. We have new ramen Noodle Express shirts,

1064
00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:17,560
Speaker 1: I'm told in the store right now as of this

1065
00:57:17,600 --> 00:57:22,000
Speaker 1: hour at peytstatemterial dot com, I am buying some. I'm

1066
00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:24,040
Speaker 1: not even having her send them to me. I am

1067
00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:26,400
Speaker 1: buying some. That's how much I love them, Not to

1068
00:57:26,400 --> 00:57:28,640
Speaker 1: mention the Fall don't Lie collection. So here's the way

1069
00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:31,960
Speaker 1: it works now. Now that we overhauled the store, we

1070
00:57:32,080 --> 00:57:34,440
Speaker 1: just add stuff to it like every day. It's really amazing.

1071
00:57:34,760 --> 00:57:37,360
Speaker 1: It's really amazing. We got really good designers. We got

1072
00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:39,080
Speaker 1: folks who know how to run that thing, so I

1073
00:57:39,120 --> 00:57:43,280
Speaker 1: don't have to touch it. Unbelievable, and our numbers have

1074
00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:44,920
Speaker 1: been through the roof and I'm going to figure out

1075
00:57:44,920 --> 00:57:47,120
Speaker 1: in due time how to give stuff away from that store.

1076
00:57:47,240 --> 00:57:49,240
Speaker 1: So that's coming, Yes, for those of you who have asked,

1077
00:57:49,320 --> 00:57:52,320
Speaker 1: that's coming. But peytstatematerial dot com you might want to

1078
00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:54,080
Speaker 1: head over there because there's some new selections that weren't

1079
00:57:54,080 --> 00:57:57,200
Speaker 1: available this morning. All right, this is the easy part

1080
00:57:57,200 --> 00:58:00,120
Speaker 1: of the show. Appreciate you guys watching live. By the way, subscribe.

1081
00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:04,560
Speaker 1: That's the sound when you subscribe, it's free and it

1082
00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:06,960
Speaker 1: makes that sound and you don't get signed up for anything,

1083
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:10,080
Speaker 1: but it does help us. The ap pole dropped today,

1084
00:58:10,160 --> 00:58:12,200
Speaker 1: you know, the week two edition. They have to delay

1085
00:58:12,200 --> 00:58:13,800
Speaker 1: it a little bit because they got the Monday night game.

1086
00:58:14,160 --> 00:58:16,040
Speaker 1: So here we go. Let's take a look at what

1087
00:58:16,120 --> 00:58:18,480
Speaker 1: our friends in the AP decided to drop on us.

1088
00:58:18,760 --> 00:58:23,080
Speaker 1: Ohio State is number one and Penn State's number two.

1089
00:58:23,080 --> 00:58:25,000
Speaker 1: So there was some talk out there on the streets

1090
00:58:25,040 --> 00:58:28,280
Speaker 1: about LSU potentially being number one. Well, LUs, you shouldn't

1091
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:31,160
Speaker 1: be number one. Ohio State just won a national title.

1092
00:58:31,200 --> 00:58:33,840
Speaker 1: Now you know, I don't participate in rankings world, but

1093
00:58:33,960 --> 00:58:37,560
Speaker 1: if I did, of course, Ohio State's number one. Stop

1094
00:58:37,600 --> 00:58:40,880
Speaker 1: trying to overthink the room on this. LSU was ultra impressive.

1095
00:58:41,080 --> 00:58:43,320
Speaker 1: That's why they're right there at number three. If you

1096
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:45,160
Speaker 1: want to put them at number two, okay, that'd be

1097
00:58:45,200 --> 00:58:48,280
Speaker 1: fine with me. Ohio State's one. There's not even a

1098
00:58:48,280 --> 00:58:52,640
Speaker 1: serious discussion to be had. LSU three, Georgia four, Miami

1099
00:58:52,760 --> 00:58:58,120
Speaker 1: is five. Now Here come the expectations with Miami because

1100
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:01,920
Speaker 1: they are they are are legit. I don't doubt that.

1101
00:59:02,080 --> 00:59:04,320
Speaker 1: I didn't doubt that in the preseason. There were just

1102
00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:07,680
Speaker 1: a few things I wanted to see about him. Consistency

1103
00:59:07,880 --> 00:59:10,080
Speaker 1: in performance is going to be the key to their

1104
00:59:10,120 --> 00:59:13,320
Speaker 1: whole season, which it kind of is for everyone. But

1105
00:59:13,520 --> 00:59:15,560
Speaker 1: remember last year they were so up and down, up

1106
00:59:15,560 --> 00:59:18,680
Speaker 1: and down. I'm fascinated to see if that team can

1107
00:59:18,720 --> 00:59:21,880
Speaker 1: get this many flowers this early in the season and

1108
00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:24,640
Speaker 1: maintain consistency in performance. And you know who else is

1109
00:59:24,640 --> 00:59:28,880
Speaker 1: fascinated to see that, Mario Christobauld Oregon six, Texas seven,

1110
00:59:29,000 --> 00:59:32,400
Speaker 1: Clemson eight. Texas dropped to seven. Huh, I guess it

1111
00:59:32,440 --> 00:59:39,919
Speaker 1: makes sense. Okay, whatever, Clemson's eight. Um hm, either I'd

1112
00:59:39,920 --> 00:59:43,120
Speaker 1: have Texas higher or Clemson lower. I think notre Name's nine.

1113
00:59:43,280 --> 00:59:45,120
Speaker 1: No problem with that. They shouldn't drop a whole lot.

1114
00:59:45,240 --> 00:59:48,000
Speaker 1: And South Carolina, South Carolina is they're at ten. Okay.

1115
00:59:48,200 --> 00:59:50,680
Speaker 1: I gotta remember this is not power ratings world. These

1116
00:59:50,680 --> 00:59:56,000
Speaker 1: are rankings. Okay, South Carolina at ten. There better be

1117
00:59:56,040 --> 00:59:58,480
Speaker 1: some upward mobility, is all I'm saying. Got to get

1118
00:59:58,480 --> 01:00:00,760
Speaker 1: that wide receiver room still figured out. We got to

1119
01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:03,360
Speaker 1: be more dynamic pass catching. We got to help the

1120
01:00:03,400 --> 01:00:07,280
Speaker 1: Norse sellers out. Illinois is at eleven. Do you know

1121
01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:08,960
Speaker 1: what Illinois does this week? They go on the road

1122
01:00:08,960 --> 01:00:11,440
Speaker 1: to Duke. That's a very underrated game. They're a two

1123
01:00:11,480 --> 01:00:13,880
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite at Duke. But I got

1124
01:00:13,960 --> 01:00:15,680
Speaker 1: no problem with the ranking. I don't have a problem

1125
01:00:15,720 --> 01:00:19,000
Speaker 1: with Arizona State at twelve, Florida is at thirteen, and

1126
01:00:19,200 --> 01:00:24,440
Speaker 1: look at FSU at fourteen. I may have them higher.

1127
01:00:25,000 --> 01:00:27,400
Speaker 1: I think if I were ranking, I may have them higher.

1128
01:00:27,880 --> 01:00:30,200
Speaker 1: This goes back to the whole logic of rankings, which

1129
01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 1: I'll get to in a second. Let's get to it now. Okay,

1130
01:00:34,200 --> 01:00:35,760
Speaker 1: you know what. No, I'll get to in a second

1131
01:00:35,760 --> 01:00:38,200
Speaker 1: because I want to get through this right quick. Michigan's fifteen.

1132
01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:43,080
Speaker 1: This note is fascinating. Listen to this. This is important.

1133
01:00:43,480 --> 01:00:47,480
Speaker 1: This is very important. I think this is from Chris Filika. Florida,

1134
01:00:47,600 --> 01:00:50,160
Speaker 1: Florida State, and Miami are all ranked in the top

1135
01:00:50,200 --> 01:00:54,160
Speaker 1: fifteen for the first time since two thousand and six.

1136
01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:59,120
Speaker 1: Preseason inexplicable. Stat inexplicable. But you know what, you can't

1137
01:00:59,120 --> 01:01:02,040
Speaker 1: do anything about the past. The state of Florida, as

1138
01:01:02,080 --> 01:01:05,400
Speaker 1: I've told you a million times, is the key storyline

1139
01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:09,360
Speaker 1: in college football because if those programs collectively have their

1140
01:01:09,360 --> 01:01:12,320
Speaker 1: act together, therefore they keep more of their in state

1141
01:01:12,360 --> 01:01:15,440
Speaker 1: talent home. Not only does it help them, but it

1142
01:01:15,480 --> 01:01:19,640
Speaker 1: impacts Ohio State and Clemson and Bama and Georgia and

1143
01:01:19,720 --> 01:01:22,400
Speaker 1: everyone else that's gone into South Florida and raided the

1144
01:01:22,440 --> 01:01:25,400
Speaker 1: talent pool. You'll never totally cut it off, but you

1145
01:01:25,480 --> 01:01:28,960
Speaker 1: can severely limit the flow of in state talent out

1146
01:01:29,000 --> 01:01:34,640
Speaker 1: of state through one week, things look promising. Got we

1147
01:01:34,680 --> 01:01:38,080
Speaker 1: got Iowa State sixteen, SMU seventeen. All right, there's this

1148
01:01:38,240 --> 01:01:41,560
Speaker 1: glob of SEC teams that I promise you owe you

1149
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:44,760
Speaker 1: A and m ole, Miss Bama, Tennessee. Any of your

1150
01:01:44,800 --> 01:01:46,600
Speaker 1: power ratings out there are going to have that entire

1151
01:01:46,600 --> 01:01:49,120
Speaker 1: group of teams higher because the power ratings world is

1152
01:01:49,120 --> 01:01:53,040
Speaker 1: going to be disproportionately reliant on talent ratings, recruiting rankings,

1153
01:01:53,080 --> 01:01:56,840
Speaker 1: portal ratings. You can decide what you think about that,

1154
01:01:57,200 --> 01:01:59,080
Speaker 1: but all of those teams would be a little higher

1155
01:02:00,000 --> 01:02:03,479
Speaker 1: in Indiana, Texas Tech. Utah's too low at twenty five.

1156
01:02:03,600 --> 01:02:05,520
Speaker 1: I don't think people watched them. I don't think a

1157
01:02:05,520 --> 01:02:07,480
Speaker 1: lot of people watch them. There's no way even if

1158
01:02:07,520 --> 01:02:10,280
Speaker 1: you're just ranking teams that you watched. Utah the other

1159
01:02:10,360 --> 01:02:12,320
Speaker 1: night said yeah, I think they're twenty four teams better

1160
01:02:12,360 --> 01:02:14,080
Speaker 1: than them. All right, I want to talk to you

1161
01:02:14,120 --> 01:02:15,880
Speaker 1: about the logic here right quick. This is one of

1162
01:02:16,000 --> 01:02:20,360
Speaker 1: many reasons I don't participate in this. So you either

1163
01:02:20,400 --> 01:02:22,320
Speaker 1: think of rankings one of two ways. If you're an

1164
01:02:22,360 --> 01:02:27,720
Speaker 1: AP voter, you either do what some people do and

1165
01:02:27,800 --> 01:02:33,240
Speaker 1: you just rank based on body of work. Or you

1166
01:02:33,360 --> 01:02:36,600
Speaker 1: set your preseason rankings and use that as your default. Okay,

1167
01:02:36,600 --> 01:02:39,480
Speaker 1: here's what that means. Florida State. No one had them

1168
01:02:39,560 --> 01:02:43,040
Speaker 1: ranked in their preseason ranking. Well, we just watched Florida

1169
01:02:43,120 --> 01:02:47,160
Speaker 1: State play a game and they dominated Alabama. Now, if

1170
01:02:47,200 --> 01:02:49,920
Speaker 1: you're just going off the body of work and you

1171
01:02:50,000 --> 01:02:53,840
Speaker 1: didn't even acknowledge that rankings existed before you got results

1172
01:02:53,840 --> 01:02:56,520
Speaker 1: on the field, Florida State should be way higher than fourteen.

1173
01:02:57,920 --> 01:03:01,880
Speaker 1: There aren't thirteen results more impressive than that. So if

1174
01:03:01,880 --> 01:03:04,640
Speaker 1: you're going strictly off body of work, then they should

1175
01:03:04,640 --> 01:03:06,240
Speaker 1: be up there. Well, if you're going off the fact

1176
01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:09,920
Speaker 1: that you had them unranked, then you're thinking to yourself, oh, man,

1177
01:03:09,680 --> 01:03:11,600
Speaker 1: I can't bump them all the way up into the

1178
01:03:11,600 --> 01:03:14,040
Speaker 1: top ten. What am I going to do go from

1179
01:03:14,200 --> 01:03:16,600
Speaker 1: unranked to top ten? Well, that's no way to think

1180
01:03:16,600 --> 01:03:19,120
Speaker 1: about this. If you want to think that way, you

1181
01:03:19,200 --> 01:03:21,240
Speaker 1: might as well do power ratings like I do. So

1182
01:03:21,280 --> 01:03:23,760
Speaker 1: it's always been stupid to me that people who do

1183
01:03:23,960 --> 01:03:29,280
Speaker 1: rankings adhere to their preseason predictions. Who cares about your predictions?

1184
01:03:29,320 --> 01:03:32,240
Speaker 1: I don't even care about mine once the season starts.

1185
01:03:32,440 --> 01:03:34,560
Speaker 1: If you're ranking teams, you ought to go off the

1186
01:03:34,560 --> 01:03:37,760
Speaker 1: body of work. Let me ask you this. Georgia Tech's unranked?

1187
01:03:37,920 --> 01:03:45,320
Speaker 1: Why Auburn's unranked? Why USC is unranked? Louisville TCU is unranked,

1188
01:03:45,440 --> 01:03:49,640
Speaker 1: Missouri is unranked? South Florida beat Boise? Why are they unranked?

1189
01:03:49,640 --> 01:03:54,320
Speaker 1: Why is Nebraska unranked? But Alabama is? Alabama looked atrocious

1190
01:03:54,360 --> 01:03:57,200
Speaker 1: in week one? Well they're still ranked, Josh, because they

1191
01:03:57,200 --> 01:04:01,280
Speaker 1: were preseason top ten. If you're ranking teams, doesn't matter. Hey,

1192
01:04:01,320 --> 01:04:04,480
Speaker 1: I got empower rated twelve. But that's only because there

1193
01:04:04,520 --> 01:04:07,280
Speaker 1: aren't many teams still that would be favored against them

1194
01:04:07,320 --> 01:04:09,920
Speaker 1: on a neutral field, which is what power ratings are. Rankings.

1195
01:04:10,280 --> 01:04:13,920
Speaker 1: Bama shouldn't be ranked right now, and conversely, Auburn should,

1196
01:04:14,080 --> 01:04:17,120
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech should. So this stuff's never made sense to

1197
01:04:17,160 --> 01:04:19,640
Speaker 1: me because I've never thought that people can make up

1198
01:04:19,640 --> 01:04:22,960
Speaker 1: their minds on what rankings really are. A couple of

1199
01:04:23,000 --> 01:04:26,200
Speaker 1: game breakdowns, right quick? We will be at this game?

1200
01:04:26,360 --> 01:04:30,120
Speaker 1: How about this? All right? Big game coming up Saturday,

1201
01:04:30,200 --> 01:04:33,280
Speaker 1: high noon, Eastern time, Iowa at Iowa State. We will

1202
01:04:33,320 --> 01:04:36,720
Speaker 1: be there. The fall On Live Tour will roll into Ames, Iowa,

1203
01:04:37,000 --> 01:04:39,000
Speaker 1: and we'll be there on the sideline for this game.

1204
01:04:39,080 --> 01:04:41,080
Speaker 1: You know, eleven of the last thirteen of these games

1205
01:04:41,080 --> 01:04:43,520
Speaker 1: have been decided by ten points or less. Five of

1206
01:04:43,560 --> 01:04:47,600
Speaker 1: the last seven have been one possession games. And might

1207
01:04:47,640 --> 01:04:51,960
Speaker 1: I offer you a pre padlock stat here? Iowa is

1208
01:04:52,040 --> 01:04:55,280
Speaker 1: thirty three and one when scoring twenty one plus points

1209
01:04:55,360 --> 01:04:59,400
Speaker 1: since twenty twenty. It seems like the padlock number in

1210
01:04:59,440 --> 01:05:02,200
Speaker 1: this game is two twenty one. Who knows rocke'beck may

1211
01:05:02,240 --> 01:05:03,880
Speaker 1: go off they win twenty seven to twenty four, but

1212
01:05:04,120 --> 01:05:06,360
Speaker 1: Iowa usually is in a pretty good position if they

1213
01:05:06,400 --> 01:05:11,200
Speaker 1: can score twenty one. What am I supposed to think

1214
01:05:11,200 --> 01:05:14,400
Speaker 1: about Iowa? That's the question. That's the whole preview to me.

1215
01:05:14,920 --> 01:05:17,720
Speaker 1: Not to disrespect Iowa state, obviously I'd never do that.

1216
01:05:18,280 --> 01:05:22,920
Speaker 1: But Mark Gronowski transfers there and everyone's confident that it's

1217
01:05:22,960 --> 01:05:25,760
Speaker 1: really about to overhaul the Iowa offense. He was eight

1218
01:05:25,800 --> 01:05:29,120
Speaker 1: to fifteen for forty four yards passing in week one.

1219
01:05:29,840 --> 01:05:32,480
Speaker 1: Now they did run it fifty three times for three

1220
01:05:32,600 --> 01:05:35,320
Speaker 1: hundred and ten, so they just did whatever it took

1221
01:05:35,360 --> 01:05:38,560
Speaker 1: to win the game. Wonderful classic Kirk ference model there,

1222
01:05:39,000 --> 01:05:42,920
Speaker 1: very straightforward. Not sure they're running it for three ten Saturday,

1223
01:05:43,320 --> 01:05:45,400
Speaker 1: So what do they have in the passing game? Do

1224
01:05:45,440 --> 01:05:48,360
Speaker 1: they know something we don't. Surely that balances out a

1225
01:05:48,360 --> 01:05:51,240
Speaker 1: little bit because Kansas State hit two explosive plays for

1226
01:05:51,320 --> 01:05:54,600
Speaker 1: touchdowns through the air against Iowa State, so it may

1227
01:05:54,720 --> 01:05:58,160
Speaker 1: be there if Iowa can take advantage of it. They

1228
01:05:58,160 --> 01:06:02,200
Speaker 1: were one of sixteen to not have an explosive pass

1229
01:06:02,240 --> 01:06:04,720
Speaker 1: in Week one. There are one hundred and thirty six

1230
01:06:04,760 --> 01:06:07,640
Speaker 1: of them. Only six of them failed to record an

1231
01:06:07,640 --> 01:06:10,600
Speaker 1: explosive pass play. Iowa was one of them. They were

1232
01:06:10,600 --> 01:06:13,400
Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty six in that category last year.

1233
01:06:13,760 --> 01:06:16,400
Speaker 1: So it could be more of the same situation, or

1234
01:06:16,440 --> 01:06:19,200
Speaker 1: who knows, maybe that transfer quarterback's got a little more

1235
01:06:19,280 --> 01:06:23,160
Speaker 1: than they showed in Week one. Iowa State is going

1236
01:06:23,200 --> 01:06:26,520
Speaker 1: to score. I have a little bit of confidence in

1237
01:06:26,600 --> 01:06:29,680
Speaker 1: saying that it's been two games. Remember they've played two games.

1238
01:06:29,680 --> 01:06:32,640
Speaker 1: Everyone else's played one highest points per game through two games.

1239
01:06:32,680 --> 01:06:36,600
Speaker 1: It's twenty seventeen though, and these haven't been cupcakes. One

1240
01:06:36,600 --> 01:06:40,240
Speaker 1: of them was a conference opponent in Kansas State. I

1241
01:06:40,360 --> 01:06:43,480
Speaker 1: need wide receiver. I need it. Yeah, I know you

1242
01:06:43,560 --> 01:06:45,680
Speaker 1: just lost two of them in the NFL Draft. Need

1243
01:06:45,760 --> 01:06:49,000
Speaker 1: some wide receivers to emerge. The East Carolina transfer soul

1244
01:06:49,000 --> 01:06:51,160
Speaker 1: Will I believe is his name, needs to emerge three

1245
01:06:51,160 --> 01:06:53,520
Speaker 1: other top five pass catchers or tight ends. Right now,

1246
01:06:53,800 --> 01:06:57,120
Speaker 1: hidden yardage is always key in this game. You want

1247
01:06:57,120 --> 01:06:59,080
Speaker 1: to gain as many yards as you can. It has

1248
01:06:59,160 --> 01:07:02,080
Speaker 1: not always mattered a whole lot here. Frequently the team

1249
01:07:02,120 --> 01:07:04,840
Speaker 1: that gets out gained ends up winning turnovers, hidden yardage,

1250
01:07:04,880 --> 01:07:08,640
Speaker 1: field position, missed field goals, that sort of thing. Until

1251
01:07:08,680 --> 01:07:12,400
Speaker 1: further notice, though, rock obect is the difference for me.

1252
01:07:12,800 --> 01:07:15,120
Speaker 1: Rock obect over the Iowa run game. Let's take a

1253
01:07:15,120 --> 01:07:17,840
Speaker 1: look at what the model thinks FanDuel right now. Current

1254
01:07:17,880 --> 01:07:20,440
Speaker 1: line Iowa State minus two and a half. The model

1255
01:07:20,480 --> 01:07:25,920
Speaker 1: has Iowa State minus two. Have I have well a

1256
01:07:25,960 --> 01:07:29,280
Speaker 1: complete inability to be unbiased here, So I am going

1257
01:07:29,360 --> 01:07:32,040
Speaker 1: to go Iowa State to win and cover three point game,

1258
01:07:32,360 --> 01:07:35,480
Speaker 1: four point game, something like that. This one was a

1259
01:07:35,480 --> 01:07:39,000
Speaker 1: classic last year, and I think it'll be really competitive again.

1260
01:07:39,040 --> 01:07:40,920
Speaker 1: You're over under is forty one and a half on

1261
01:07:40,960 --> 01:07:43,240
Speaker 1: this game, by the way, going to be that kind

1262
01:07:43,240 --> 01:07:46,080
Speaker 1: of day. Game could be over in two hours thirty minutes,

1263
01:07:46,480 --> 01:07:48,800
Speaker 1: like a Greg maddox special there. But in ames Iowa

1264
01:07:48,880 --> 01:07:51,520
Speaker 1: on a football field. Another game we need to break

1265
01:07:51,560 --> 01:07:58,960
Speaker 1: down right quick. Rivalry back Kansas Missouri beautiful, they played

1266
01:07:58,960 --> 01:08:01,560
Speaker 1: this thing from nineteen team thirteen, I think until like

1267
01:08:01,600 --> 01:08:05,440
Speaker 1: twenty eleven, and then because college football does stupid stuff sometimes,

1268
01:08:05,920 --> 01:08:10,320
Speaker 1: it ceased that it's back two teams with answers at quarterback.

1269
01:08:10,480 --> 01:08:13,440
Speaker 1: That's kind of how I see this. Jalen Daniels look good,

1270
01:08:13,760 --> 01:08:18,599
Speaker 1: looked healthy so far. That's refreshing. And Bopribulah twenty three

1271
01:08:18,680 --> 01:08:20,920
Speaker 1: of twenty eight two hundred and eighty three yards, another

1272
01:08:20,960 --> 01:08:23,799
Speaker 1: sixty five on the ground. Now they play Central Arkansas

1273
01:08:23,800 --> 01:08:26,920
Speaker 1: Week one, but that look good. So huge rivalry game here.

1274
01:08:27,240 --> 01:08:32,160
Speaker 1: I think quarterback run ends up being a huge edge here.

1275
01:08:32,800 --> 01:08:36,400
Speaker 1: Maybe not for Kansas, though Jalen Daniels will get his

1276
01:08:36,560 --> 01:08:40,160
Speaker 1: okay to Kansas quarterback, he's very very good. He's very

1277
01:08:40,200 --> 01:08:42,960
Speaker 1: good at designed runs, but he's very good at improvisation too,

1278
01:08:43,280 --> 01:08:46,000
Speaker 1: so he will He will first down you on a

1279
01:08:46,040 --> 01:08:48,439
Speaker 1: broken play about as well as anyone will in the country.

1280
01:08:48,720 --> 01:08:52,320
Speaker 1: But I'll tell you that Kansas linebacker room is banged

1281
01:08:52,400 --> 01:08:56,519
Speaker 1: up right now, and their defensive front's good enough. But

1282
01:08:56,920 --> 01:09:01,640
Speaker 1: on third down especially, I just think about Bo Prabulah's

1283
01:09:01,680 --> 01:09:06,559
Speaker 1: opportunity that he has with his legs. Kansas, they got

1284
01:09:06,560 --> 01:09:09,559
Speaker 1: a limit explosive runs here, and I think he may

1285
01:09:09,600 --> 01:09:11,880
Speaker 1: have a few of them, and if Missouri wins, it

1286
01:09:11,880 --> 01:09:14,040
Speaker 1: wouldn't shot me it off. That's the difference in this game.

1287
01:09:14,280 --> 01:09:17,040
Speaker 1: I wonder, on the other side, how much does Jalen

1288
01:09:17,120 --> 01:09:19,880
Speaker 1: Daniels have to do because that offensive line's going on

1289
01:09:19,920 --> 01:09:23,000
Speaker 1: the road. That Kansas offensive line is green. I think

1290
01:09:23,040 --> 01:09:26,519
Speaker 1: Missouri's defensive line has a decided edge there. Now, if

1291
01:09:26,560 --> 01:09:28,960
Speaker 1: I'm wrong, that fundamentally changes this game. But I don't

1292
01:09:28,960 --> 01:09:31,160
Speaker 1: think I am, or obviously I wouldn't say it. And

1293
01:09:31,240 --> 01:09:35,840
Speaker 1: Missouri's defense has plenty enough speed, much more speed than

1294
01:09:36,640 --> 01:09:40,960
Speaker 1: they Kansas have seen through the early early early portion

1295
01:09:41,040 --> 01:09:45,240
Speaker 1: of this season. So Fresno and Wagner I believe they've played.

1296
01:09:45,640 --> 01:09:48,519
Speaker 1: That's one thing. Missouri's got a little different caliber of

1297
01:09:48,520 --> 01:09:52,400
Speaker 1: speed and athlete defensively, and so I worry that. You know,

1298
01:09:52,400 --> 01:09:55,080
Speaker 1: if Jaylen Daniels has to shoulder the load, it's not

1299
01:09:55,160 --> 01:09:57,920
Speaker 1: quite enough. And it's a big week for the Big Twelve,

1300
01:09:57,960 --> 01:10:00,320
Speaker 1: by the way. You know, if you're thinking about out

1301
01:10:00,680 --> 01:10:03,080
Speaker 1: the opportunities that you get in out of conference games,

1302
01:10:03,160 --> 01:10:06,439
Speaker 1: this will be huge for them because Colorado didn't get

1303
01:10:06,479 --> 01:10:08,519
Speaker 1: it done against Georgia Tech. Since he didn't get it

1304
01:10:08,520 --> 01:10:10,960
Speaker 1: done against Nebraska. Baylor didn't get it done against Iowa,

1305
01:10:11,600 --> 01:10:15,840
Speaker 1: Utah did come through against UCLA. But this weekend, you

1306
01:10:15,960 --> 01:10:18,599
Speaker 1: got this game, or you got Oklahoma State a four

1307
01:10:18,680 --> 01:10:21,840
Speaker 1: touchdown dog against Oregon. Got Iowa Iowa State, you got

1308
01:10:21,840 --> 01:10:26,200
Speaker 1: Arizona State at Mississippi State, where apparently there's a casino

1309
01:10:26,280 --> 01:10:29,000
Speaker 1: on every corner in Startville. I didn't know that Baylor

1310
01:10:29,120 --> 01:10:31,360
Speaker 1: SMU is this weekend. So it's a big weekend for

1311
01:10:31,439 --> 01:10:32,880
Speaker 1: the Big twelve. Let's take a look at what the

1312
01:10:32,880 --> 01:10:36,600
Speaker 1: model thinks. Model sniffing something here that I'm not so.

1313
01:10:36,720 --> 01:10:38,840
Speaker 1: Missouri is a six and a half point favorite at

1314
01:10:38,880 --> 01:10:43,160
Speaker 1: FanDuel right now. The model that kind of likes Kansas

1315
01:10:43,200 --> 01:10:46,519
Speaker 1: to cover. I disagree. I don't like the linebacker injury

1316
01:10:46,520 --> 01:10:48,360
Speaker 1: situation right now, and I don't like the line of

1317
01:10:48,360 --> 01:10:52,880
Speaker 1: scrimmage mismatch that there may be Kuo line Missouri d line.

1318
01:10:53,320 --> 01:10:55,880
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go against the model. Anything up to seven,

1319
01:10:55,920 --> 01:10:58,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Missouri to win, and I'm gonna take

1320
01:10:58,000 --> 01:11:02,240
Speaker 1: Missouri to cover. That number is available right now at FanDuel.

1321
01:11:02,520 --> 01:11:06,200
Speaker 1: All the numbers are available at FanDuel. Why well, because

1322
01:11:06,240 --> 01:11:09,479
Speaker 1: they are the official betting provider and odds provider of

1323
01:11:09,520 --> 01:11:11,800
Speaker 1: PAYT State, and we appreciate them like I had to

1324
01:11:11,840 --> 01:11:14,360
Speaker 1: hit them in a pinch earlier. Today. You know, everyone

1325
01:11:14,360 --> 01:11:17,439
Speaker 1: out there has got a partner, but not every betting partner.

1326
01:11:18,240 --> 01:11:21,599
Speaker 1: An odds provider really provides odds. I hit them up,

1327
01:11:21,640 --> 01:11:25,040
Speaker 1: I said, JP Pole coming out tonight, Hey, I need

1328
01:11:25,040 --> 01:11:28,200
Speaker 1: some numbers. They gave us numbers. That's how we found

1329
01:11:28,200 --> 01:11:29,920
Speaker 1: out that Bama would still be an eight and a

1330
01:11:29,960 --> 01:11:34,400
Speaker 1: half point favorite neutral field against Florida State. Don't shoot

1331
01:11:34,400 --> 01:11:36,439
Speaker 1: the messenger. You can't. You're not in the room with me.

1332
01:11:36,920 --> 01:11:40,200
Speaker 1: Remember you can use that QR code you can get

1333
01:11:40,160 --> 01:11:42,680
Speaker 1: to FanDuel dot com forward slash Josh Pate. If you're

1334
01:11:42,680 --> 01:11:45,479
Speaker 1: a new customer, you sign up. You bet five bucks

1335
01:11:45,479 --> 01:11:48,559
Speaker 1: on anything and win, I mean betted on the surest

1336
01:11:48,600 --> 01:11:50,800
Speaker 1: thing you can find on there. Betted on the money

1337
01:11:50,880 --> 01:11:53,000
Speaker 1: line for Oregon for all I here. You win, You

1338
01:11:53,000 --> 01:11:56,400
Speaker 1: get three hundred dollars in bonus bets. So not quite

1339
01:11:56,479 --> 01:11:59,639
Speaker 1: free money, but very close to it. If you're smart.

1340
01:12:00,080 --> 01:12:02,360
Speaker 2: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states

1341
01:12:02,360 --> 01:12:05,439
Speaker 2: for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen

1342
01:12:05,439 --> 01:12:08,400
Speaker 2: plus and present in DC. First online Real money wager

1343
01:12:08,479 --> 01:12:11,760
Speaker 2: only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non

1344
01:12:11,800 --> 01:12:15,519
Speaker 2: withthrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions apply.

1345
01:12:15,760 --> 01:12:19,479
Speaker 2: See terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling problem

1346
01:12:19,520 --> 01:12:22,200
Speaker 2: Call one eight hundred gambler, or visit FanDuel dot com

1347
01:12:22,200 --> 01:12:24,679
Speaker 2: slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine

1348
01:12:24,680 --> 01:12:27,920
Speaker 2: seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash

1349
01:12:27,960 --> 01:12:31,839
Speaker 2: chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.

1350
01:12:31,960 --> 01:12:35,679
Speaker 2: Hope is here. Visit Gambling Helplinema dot org or call

1351
01:12:35,760 --> 01:12:38,200
Speaker 2: eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four

1352
01:12:38,280 --> 01:12:41,120
Speaker 2: seven support in Massachusetts, or call one eight seven seven

1353
01:12:41,200 --> 01:12:43,360
Speaker 2: eight Hope, n y or text Hope and Why in

1354
01:12:43,439 --> 01:12:43,880
Speaker 2: New York.

1355
01:12:44,520 --> 01:12:46,519
Speaker 1: I'm going to end the show tonight with the Rominddle Express.

1356
01:12:46,720 --> 01:12:49,600
Speaker 1: I have four, count them, four best bets that we

1357
01:12:49,640 --> 01:12:52,519
Speaker 1: are going to offer tonight. I'm gonna just rattle them

1358
01:12:52,560 --> 01:12:55,880
Speaker 1: off to you right here. Northern Illinois plus seventeen and

1359
01:12:55,880 --> 01:12:58,599
Speaker 1: a half. They're on the road at Maryland. We are

1360
01:12:58,600 --> 01:13:00,640
Speaker 1: playing Northern Illinois plus seven teen and a half. That

1361
01:13:00,720 --> 01:13:04,360
Speaker 1: number available at FanDuel right now. James Madison plus fourteen

1362
01:13:04,439 --> 01:13:08,240
Speaker 1: and a half is at Louisville. That number currently available

1363
01:13:08,439 --> 01:13:12,640
Speaker 1: at FanDuel. Illinois on the road against Duke. I like

1364
01:13:12,720 --> 01:13:15,240
Speaker 1: coach Brett to win and cover Illinois minus two and

1365
01:13:15,280 --> 01:13:18,400
Speaker 1: a half that is available at FanDuel right now, And

1366
01:13:18,640 --> 01:13:21,600
Speaker 1: we're going to first total of the year. Michigan Oklahoma

1367
01:13:21,760 --> 01:13:24,519
Speaker 1: is going over forty five and a half. I actually

1368
01:13:24,560 --> 01:13:26,759
Speaker 1: think it's going to be over fifty. So I really

1369
01:13:26,840 --> 01:13:30,120
Speaker 1: like the number over forty five and a half Michigan

1370
01:13:30,160 --> 01:13:34,599
Speaker 1: and Oklahoma. Remember, you got to be tuned in and

1371
01:13:34,640 --> 01:13:36,880
Speaker 1: you got to be following on the socials at Josh

1372
01:13:36,960 --> 01:13:41,639
Speaker 1: pat CFB, especially Friday night because Friday Night Lines airs

1373
01:13:41,680 --> 01:13:45,639
Speaker 1: exclusively on my Instagram channel in the Instagram live feed,

1374
01:13:46,080 --> 01:13:48,280
Speaker 1: and that's where we finalize the best bets. Like that's

1375
01:13:48,320 --> 01:13:51,080
Speaker 1: the maybe the best thing we do all week. Actually

1376
01:13:51,280 --> 01:13:54,160
Speaker 1: appreciate you guys. Let's get home, let's get some supper

1377
01:13:54,160 --> 01:13:57,040
Speaker 1: in US, and let's get back here Thursday. Ready to

1378
01:13:57,080 --> 01:14:01,120
Speaker 1: go for director Bradley, for producer Jesse, I'm joh. Take care,

1379
01:14:01,320 --> 01:14:17,600
Speaker 1: have a great rest of your evening, and God bless.

1380
01:14:15,760 --> 01:14:18,080
Speaker 2: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states

1381
01:14:18,120 --> 01:14:21,200
Speaker 2: for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or eighteen

1382
01:14:21,200 --> 01:14:24,160
Speaker 2: plus and present in DC. First online real money wager

1383
01:14:24,240 --> 01:14:27,519
Speaker 2: only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non

1384
01:14:27,560 --> 01:14:31,000
Speaker 2: withdrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions

1385
01:14:31,000 --> 01:14:34,799
Speaker 2: apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling

1386
01:14:34,840 --> 01:14:37,679
Speaker 2: problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visit FanDuel dot

1387
01:14:37,720 --> 01:14:40,160
Speaker 2: com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight

1388
01:14:40,240 --> 01:14:43,320
Speaker 2: nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org

1389
01:14:43,360 --> 01:14:47,000
Speaker 2: slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd Gamblinghelp dot org

1390
01:14:47,040 --> 01:14:51,000
Speaker 2: in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit Gambling Helplinema dot org

1391
01:14:51,080 --> 01:14:53,519
Speaker 2: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for

1392
01:14:53,560 --> 01:14:56,320
Speaker 2: twenty four seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight

1393
01:14:56,360 --> 01:14:59,000
Speaker 2: seven seven eight Hope n Y. Or text Hope n Y.

1394
01:14:59,080 --> 01:14:59,639
Speaker 2: In New York