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Speaker 2: Welcome. In episode one seventy five, on the day the
Speaker 2: twenty twenty three NFL season begins, the day the Kansasity
Speaker 2: Chiefs start the defense of their title and their inevitable
Speaker 2: march to a repeat, and the day that Monse re
Speaker 2: joins the show. You know, he's in la And after
Speaker 2: the first year of the show, while you know, I
Speaker 2: tried to give Demonse a lot of credit, we had
Speaker 2: you know, one hundred thousand subscribers. He got the plaque.
Speaker 2: I'll be honest, I thought it was my doing. But
Speaker 2: when Demanse left the show five months ago, we had
Speaker 2: one hundred and like four thousand YouTube subscribers. We now
Speaker 2: nearly half a year later, are at one hundred and
Speaker 2: twenty two thousand, which means our growth slowed significantly without him.
Speaker 2: So if we have any opa get into one hundred
Speaker 2: and fifty or two hundred thousand, we had to bring
Speaker 2: him back. He's live from Los Angeles. He's locked in
Speaker 2: on the NFL. Are you ready for this pal glad
Speaker 2: to be back in? Very much? So? Ready? Let's do it.
Speaker 2: Let's do it all right. First, here's what missed. Caleb
Speaker 2: may stay at USC. I don't buy that Nick Bosa
Speaker 2: signs a record extension. Chris Jones unfortunately does not. And
Speaker 2: I saw this in the rundown. I didn't know why
Speaker 2: they put it in there. We are not a pop
Speaker 2: culture show. We are a sports, gambling and parenting show.
Speaker 2: The Timothy Shalomey and Kylie Jenner go public. I'm not
Speaker 2: I think maybe this was meant for a different Blue
Speaker 2: Duck podcast and he tried to fit it into ours.
Speaker 2: That's not what we're doing any day. It's certainly not
Speaker 2: what we're doing on the day the NFL season starts, Demansey.
Speaker 2: Before we get to our gambling picks, which are coming
Speaker 2: in segment two, a whole new, revamped gambling show. Let's
Speaker 2: get to the big stories in the NFL.
Speaker 3: Go right ahead, all right, So Travis Kelsey went down
Speaker 3: in practice with a hyper extended knee a few days.
Speaker 2: Ago or leg whichever.
Speaker 3: His brother Jason Kelsey, you got it, yea, His brother
Speaker 3: Jason Kelsey seems to think that he's gonna be fine,
Speaker 3: and we think they might play tonight, but we're not
Speaker 3: one hundred percent sure. So without Kelsey one d percent,
Speaker 3: it's not too late to take back your twenty to
Speaker 3: ozero Chiefs bet Are you feeling a little bit of
Speaker 3: a doubt right now?
Speaker 2: Okay, you guys are just trying to bait me into
Speaker 2: showing the never a Doubt tattoo, which I don't mind doing.
Speaker 2: I can do it, I don't know how to do
Speaker 2: it on this camera. Angle there it is. I'm feeling
Speaker 2: no doubt, Clark Hunt when on television the owner of
Speaker 2: the Chiefs today said he thought Travis might play. But
Speaker 2: here's the thing. I don't want Travis to play. And
Speaker 2: it's not even because of the potential for reinjury, because
Speaker 2: seems like all the sports doctors out there are saying
Speaker 2: because there was no structural damage. It's a bone bruise
Speaker 2: after the hyper extension, and because of that, it's more
Speaker 2: of a pain tolerance thing than a reinjury thing. So
Speaker 2: it's not that I don't want Travis to play because
Speaker 2: I'm worried he's gonna get hurt again. The guy has
Speaker 2: been pretty indestructible throughout his career. In the last nine years,
Speaker 2: he's missed three games, twice because the Chiefs were so
Speaker 2: good he didn't have to play the final week of
Speaker 2: the season, and once because of COVID protocols. He has
Speaker 2: not missed a game due to injuries since his rookie season,
Speaker 2: when he had knee surgery. The reason that I don't
Speaker 2: want Travis to play is because I want the Chiefs
Speaker 2: to send a message to the entire NFL. I want
Speaker 2: without the best defensive player in the sport, Chris Jones,
Speaker 2: without the best tight end ever who's also the biggest
Speaker 2: weapon in the sport, and against a trendy Super Bowl
Speaker 2: pick the frisky Detroit Lions, for the Chiefs to lay
Speaker 2: the SmackDown on him without two of their three best
Speaker 2: players throwing passes to Gadarius Tony and Justin Ross and
Speaker 2: Noah Gray and to leave no question whatsoever who the
Speaker 2: team to beat in the league this year is because
Speaker 2: a very curious thing demanse has happened, which is, I
Speaker 2: know you've been watching a lot of sports television, consuming
Speaker 2: a lot of it. You know what I've seen. I've
Speaker 2: seen a lot of people picking teams not named the
Speaker 2: Kansas City Chiefs to not only win the Super Bowl,
Speaker 2: but win the AFC. I saw the NFL dot Com
Speaker 2: twenty five of their thirty four picked someone on the
Speaker 2: Chiefs on what was it? Yes, no, it wasn't the ESPN,
Speaker 2: Fox Sports, our own company. Let me ask you this,
Speaker 2: to Monsey, we had fifteen experts on foxsports dot Com
Speaker 2: pick the Super Bowl. Of those fifteen, how many do
Speaker 2: you think had the Chiefs in the Super Bowl? And
Speaker 2: how many do you think had the Chiefs winning the
Speaker 2: Super Bowl? Give it a guess.
Speaker 3: Uh three maybe had him in the Super Bowl and
Speaker 3: one had him winning.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you almost got it. Exactly four had a minute,
Speaker 2: two had him winning. Eleven of our fifteen experts, then guy,
Speaker 2: they can't even win the AFC. Thirteen of the fifteen
Speaker 2: say they can't win the Super Bowl. I just saw
Speaker 2: a screenshot from Get Up ESPN's morning show. Their four
Speaker 2: experts all picked the Super Bowl the AFS. Three of
Speaker 2: the four picked the Niners to win it, one the
Speaker 2: Ravens to win it, and the three who so somebody
Speaker 2: had the Ravens winning the AFC, and the three who
Speaker 2: picked the Niners to win the NFC had them playing
Speaker 2: in the Super Bowl. The Jets, the Bills, the Bengals.
Speaker 2: You know what it feels like somehow coming off seventeen
Speaker 2: and three, a league MVP winning the Super Bowl on
Speaker 2: one leg, nobody believes in us. Again, Hey, everybody, everybody
Speaker 2: year bulletin We need the bulletin boards. So for all
Speaker 2: those reasons, I hope Kelseys chills out. I also do
Speaker 2: kind of hope Chris Jones, like runs out of the
Speaker 2: tunnel with a contract, get the crowd fired up, even
Speaker 2: though he can't play like an old school wrestling thing,
Speaker 2: like good god, that's Chris Jones' music. But yeah, I'm
Speaker 2: not I'm not concerned about Kelsey long term. He's gonna
Speaker 2: be fine, and it looks like they avoided massive injury.
Speaker 2: One other note on this before me move on. When
Speaker 2: I first got to Houston, JJ Watt was coming off
Speaker 2: his rookie year. In training camp, he hyper extended his
Speaker 2: elbow and people worried, oh my god, he could have
Speaker 2: torn ligaments. He ended up being very fortunate there was
Speaker 2: no structural damage. They're like, oh, we dodged a bullet.
Speaker 2: He was our first round pick last year, came on
Speaker 2: strong at the end of the year. He finished that
Speaker 2: year with twenty and a half sacks and one Defensive
Speaker 2: Player of the Year. So all I'm saying is all
Speaker 2: time legendary players. The hyper extension that could have gone terribly,
Speaker 2: but you avoid injury. Oh boy, Yiannis before the NBA Finals,
Speaker 2: remember hyper extended his knee. It looked like, oh my god,
Speaker 2: he might have torn all his ligaments. He then scored
Speaker 2: fifty to win the championship and averaged forty a game
Speaker 2: for the last five games. Great athlete. To avoid devastating injury,
Speaker 2: you know, they can sometimes become more dangerous.
Speaker 3: Go ahead, So we got a question from the chat
Speaker 3: from jose log. Wow, already, this is Nick. Do you
Speaker 3: believe in Jinxes? Now Kelsey injures the knee his knee
Speaker 3: the same day that you said that you don't believe
Speaker 3: in Jinx's.
Speaker 2: Can't be a coincidence? Can it? Do you believe in
Speaker 2: Jinx's demonse? Yes and no?
Speaker 3: And I don't know how to explain why yes and no,
Speaker 3: but but yes kind of I kind of believe in
Speaker 3: that does. And I kind of believe that. You jinks, Travis.
Speaker 2: Kelcey, Okay, I jinks. The idea that there is something
Speaker 2: I could say from half the country away and it
Speaker 2: impacts Ravis Kelsey's health of his knee is just nonsense.
Speaker 3: Vibes man, the vibe that it puts out into the atmosphere.
Speaker 2: This is I don't believe in Jinx's and I think
Speaker 2: I proved that by getting a Chiefs related tattoo saying
Speaker 2: they're gonna go twenty to oh and guaranteeing the Super Bowl.
Speaker 2: Let's talk about tonight's game, Demons, what's next? All right?
Speaker 3: So we talked about long term for the Chiefs, let's
Speaker 3: talk about short term. Got no pass rush from Chris
Speaker 3: Jones and no true number one target for Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 3: and Travis Kelcey. Should we hammer the Lions money line tonight?
Speaker 2: Okay? Stop it? Listen. Patrick Mahomes in week ones averages
Speaker 2: thirty eight points a game is eighteen touchdowns no picks
Speaker 2: is five and zero, has a nearly perfect passer rating.
Speaker 2: The Chiefs fewest points they've ever scored in a Week
Speaker 2: one game under Patrick Mahomes is thirty three points. Extrap
Speaker 2: take that out further. Wait, that's true. The lowest amounts. Yeah,
Speaker 2: they've scored thirty three, thirty four, thirty eight, forty and
Speaker 2: forty four. That's what they've done in his five Week
Speaker 2: one games. So let's go further. Patrick Mahomes in his
Speaker 2: career in weeks one through four is seventeen and three
Speaker 2: with sixty touchdowns and six interceptions. The Chiefs have won
Speaker 2: seven consecutive home or seven consecutive Week one games under
Speaker 2: Andy Reid. You, then, I remind everybody the one game
Speaker 2: Mahomes is played in his career without Kelsey, the COVID
Speaker 2: game December of twenty one against a playoff team, the
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh Steelers. They scored thirty six points and Mahomes played
Speaker 2: perfect football. Oh, Nick, but that team at Tyreek Hill.
Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill had two catches for nineteen yards in that game.
Speaker 2: Byron Pringle and Derek were the Chiefs leading receivers. One
Speaker 2: of those guys is a running back that the Detroit Lions,
Speaker 2: and I know Demons. Last year you thought I wasn't
Speaker 2: giving golf enough credit. He was awesome at home on
Speaker 2: the road, outside of the friendly confines, of the perfect
Speaker 2: weather and the dome and the perfect footing, all of
Speaker 2: that all year long on the road. Six touchdowns, four picks,
Speaker 2: eighty three passer rating was not great on the road.
Speaker 2: You keep talking about worry about the jinxes. I'm not
Speaker 2: worried about the jinks. Now. The Lions might be able
Speaker 2: to score some points now. I think the Chiefs defense
Speaker 2: could be very good this year, but obviously they need
Speaker 2: Chris Jones for that. I know the Chiefs offense is
Speaker 2: scoring a minimum of thirty tonight. I'd set the actual
Speaker 2: total at thirty eight. I think the Chiefs will score
Speaker 2: thirty eight tonight without Kelsey. Can they win the Super
Speaker 2: Bowl without Kelsey Jones? Of course not. Can they beat
Speaker 2: the Lions? Of course they can. At the home opener,
Speaker 2: dropping the banner and glass half full? Is this if
Speaker 2: Kelsey doesn't play? Kadarius Tony gets more involved, gets the
Speaker 2: season off from the start. Yeah, picking up where he
Speaker 2: left off touchdown in the Super Bowl. Sky Moore, who
Speaker 2: had a brutal, not a brutal but a disappointing rookie year,
Speaker 2: but then scored a touchdown in the Super Bowl. He
Speaker 2: gets the ball more and demonse a guy that you're
Speaker 2: not familiar with, but America is gonna become familiar with
Speaker 2: Blue Dog folks. Clip this please, and let's send it
Speaker 2: out sometime tonight right around the time. This guy makes
Speaker 2: a huge play. Justin Ross. So Justin Ross demanse as
Speaker 2: a freshman at Clemson in the National Championship Game with
Speaker 2: the Prince who was promised throwing him passes. Justin Ross
Speaker 2: actually in as a true freshman in the semi fin
Speaker 2: in the playoffs, had three hundred yards in two games
Speaker 2: as a guy who had just turned nineteen. He then
Speaker 2: found out he had some spinal cord congenital spinal cord thing,
Speaker 2: and he went from a no doubt first round pick
Speaker 2: to undrafted. He then, after the Chiefs drafted him, had
Speaker 2: to have foot surgery, I'm sorry, after the Chiefs signed
Speaker 2: him in undrafted free agency, had to have foot surgery
Speaker 2: and missed a whole year. But at camp this year,
Speaker 2: woo ooh, Justin Ross looking like that five star kid
Speaker 2: out of high school. Looking like the nineteen year old
Speaker 2: that lit the world on fire. Justin Ross. People are
Speaker 2: gonna be like, is that the kid from Clemson? Oh?
Speaker 2: It is the kid from Clemson, not worried about the
Speaker 2: Chiefs offense, just flatly not worried about it.
Speaker 3: Well, I hope this justin Ross thing works out for you.
Speaker 2: Who do you got tonight? Who do you got tonight?
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not gonna pick the Lions to win
Speaker 2: the game, but there you go, there you go. That's
Speaker 2: all I need it, That's all I needed everybody. There's
Speaker 2: the same thing Bruceard does to me on TV. He's like, oh,
Speaker 2: you're over the top. Oh this, oh that, And I'm like, okay,
Speaker 2: who you got? He's like, I'll take this exactly all right,
Speaker 2: new segment alert, go ahead.
Speaker 3: All right, to start off the football season, let's play
Speaker 3: a new game. I'm gonna call this one planting your flag.
Speaker 3: You make five takes each month, and we're actually gonna
Speaker 3: hold you accountable.
Speaker 2: Oh we love that.
Speaker 3: Uh, you have to you have to switch two takes
Speaker 3: every month. So if you have five great takes, you
Speaker 3: have to cut two good ones. So okay, plant your
Speaker 3: flag on five things you're sure will happen this year,
Speaker 3: and we'll revisit this in October.
Speaker 2: Okay, So at first I thought these were supposed to
Speaker 2: be five predictions just for the next month, but these
Speaker 2: are season long takes that and we're gonna adjust every month. Now,
Speaker 2: this is hard for me because, as you guys know,
Speaker 2: consistency for a reason so many great takes exactly right,
Speaker 2: it's and it's hard because they're gonna ask me to
Speaker 2: abandon two of these takes a month from now, I'm
Speaker 2: gonna say it. So I almost want to throw in
Speaker 2: some bad ones just so we don't have to abandon
Speaker 2: good ones. But we won't do that, all right. The
Speaker 2: first take in the obvious take is that everyone, over
Speaker 2: the course of the year is going to realize, oh,
Speaker 2: the Chiefs did win the Super Bowl in a rebuilding year,
Speaker 2: and now we have no answers for him that the
Speaker 2: Chiefs are going every The NFL commentariot is going to
Speaker 2: have to couch all of their takes with this premise. Well,
Speaker 2: obviously the Chiefs are the best team. But but if
Speaker 2: something happens to Mahomes but if you know what I mean,
Speaker 2: any given Sunday, but aside from them, every is just
Speaker 2: gonna be a given that the Chiefs are heading shoulders
Speaker 2: bet than everyone. That's the first one. Second one, the
Speaker 2: Jacksonville Jaguars are gonna have a top five offense, the
Speaker 2: Jacksonville Jaguars. And now I don't want to plant my
Speaker 2: flag fully on the Jags winning twelve or thirteen games.
Speaker 2: I believe that can happen, but I would like to
Speaker 2: see the defense first, because I but I know they're
Speaker 2: gonna have a top five offense.
Speaker 3: We get possibly the twenty well, the Chiefs going twenty
Speaker 3: and oh will that make it? Will we plan a
Speaker 3: flag on that one? Or are we not playing flags?
Speaker 2: I already did that. I mean, I'm not trying to
Speaker 2: you know, I'm trying to give unique things to this show. Yeah,
Speaker 2: I mean the go ahead and add the go ahead
Speaker 2: and add to the Chiefs flag slash twenty and zero.
Speaker 2: That's fine, Yeah, undefeated, that's gonna be one of the
Speaker 2: ones that you take out and like we three. No,
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna have to take that out. I'm not gonna. Okay,
Speaker 2: but you know what, that's a good call to them
Speaker 2: on say, in case something insane happens and they lose
Speaker 2: a game. Now, that's an easy one to remove, all right,
Speaker 2: the the Jets. The big story surrounding the Jets by Thanksgiving,
Speaker 2: if not sooner, is going not going to be can
Speaker 2: they win the super Bowl, but is going to be
Speaker 2: Robert Sala's job security. And my favorite see the future
Speaker 2: opinion I've had in years, and I know you're listening.
Speaker 2: You're like, Nick, you rank your favorite of your own opinions,
Speaker 2: And the answer to that is, of course I do.
Speaker 2: And this is maybe my favorite one is that Sala
Speaker 2: gets fired. And I like Robert Sala as a guy,
Speaker 2: so I'm not this is this is just like my prediction.
Speaker 2: Just wait, just wait for it. Sally gets fired. And
Speaker 2: then after the year, Rogers goes to Woody Johnson and
Speaker 2: it's like, you know, I'm you know, I'm thinking about
Speaker 2: going back in that darkness retreat and I don't know
Speaker 2: if I'm going to play next year. But I'll tell
Speaker 2: you what, I would really push me in the comeback
Speaker 2: direction if you make my old buddy Nat Hackett head coach.
Speaker 2: That in not Hackett, who everybody flamed, but he's the
Speaker 2: greatest man I've ever known, And go ahead and make
Speaker 2: him head coach. So that's prediction number three, that's plant
Speaker 2: My flag number three. Number four is that Kyle Shanahan's
Speaker 2: indecision and inability to identify a quarterback finally bites him
Speaker 2: when all of a sudden Sam Darnold is playing for
Speaker 2: the San Francisco forty nine ers, and that comes crumbling
Speaker 2: down so that the Niners. I still think. Listen, I
Speaker 2: still think the Niners playoff team. You like that one
Speaker 2: a lot, Yeah, And I listen. The Niners have so
Speaker 2: much talent, particularly well on both sides of the ball, really,
Speaker 2: and the NFC is so weak that I think even
Speaker 2: with a disastrous quarterback situation, they could make the playoffs.
Speaker 2: But a lot of people think of the Niners this
Speaker 2: year what I thought of them last year, which is
Speaker 2: that they could win the best team could win the conference.
Speaker 2: I think Purdy is a little smoking mirrors. And I
Speaker 2: don't know that any quarterback under Shanahan's system can stay healthy.
Speaker 2: Everybody kill Like if all your quarterbacks get hurt every
Speaker 2: year at some point, it might be a bit of
Speaker 2: the system. And so and if Darnold gets in there,
Speaker 2: who he compared to Steve Young, Like, give me a break, there,
Speaker 2: go ahead.
Speaker 3: They're getting hurt in some like wild kind of ways
Speaker 3: that I don't know if you can necessarily blame it
Speaker 3: on the system.
Speaker 2: I mean, well, brock Perdy got hurt because they left
Speaker 2: a son Reddick unblocked because they wanted to send someone
Speaker 2: out in a route like the if everyone if I
Speaker 2: ran door Dash competitor, and everyone's like, oh my god,
Speaker 2: Nick's company, it's amazing. They get me my food faster
Speaker 2: than door Dasher, Postmates or Grubhub. How does he do it?
Speaker 2: And the secret was thirteen drivers a week get hit
Speaker 2: by cars because I haven't disobeyed the traffic signals. At
Speaker 2: some point there would be like a push in a pull.
Speaker 2: Everyone's like, oh my god, Shanahan's system. It's so indefensible.
Speaker 2: Yet every year multiple quarterbacks getting under it, Like so
Speaker 2: I mean these things might be at least a little correlated. Uh,
Speaker 2: all right, and then so I need one more. So
Speaker 2: that was a you know what, I'm gonna go ahead.
Speaker 2: And I also have a running list in my head
Speaker 2: of on the fly analogies. That was one of my
Speaker 2: better ones, all right, last one. Bijon Robinson, as a rookie,
Speaker 2: is already considered the best running back in football. I'm
Speaker 2: not even gonna couch it on really really good every
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be really really good. But Bjeen
Speaker 2: Robinson is widely considered the best running back in the NFL.
Speaker 2: So we're planning my flag on twenty and zero and
Speaker 2: the Chiefs ruin all football commentary, uh Hackett hot seat,
Speaker 2: JAG's top five offense, Shanahan's quarterback stuff bites him, and
Speaker 2: Bijeon already being the best running back in the NFL.
Speaker 2: All right, the next thing we're doing here, Demansay is
Speaker 2: you were not here because it was your sister's final show.
Speaker 2: Our schedule for the people watching right now with the
Speaker 2: podcast audience, because we didn't do a show last Thursday,
Speaker 2: and I had promised that we would, we didn't do
Speaker 2: a show all of last week. Kind of screwed up
Speaker 2: our schedule. So I'd like to apologize for that. That's
Speaker 2: nobody's fault, just so everybody knows what happened Tuesday. Last Tuesday,
Speaker 2: we couldn't do a pod because there was I needed
Speaker 2: to host Collins TV show and my TV show, so
Speaker 2: that doesn't allow me to do the pod. And then
Speaker 2: Thursday we had there was an important there was essentially
Speaker 2: a meeting that we had to have for the TV
Speaker 2: show involving some folks who were in from LA and
Speaker 2: bruce Ard and Wilde. And the only time the La
Speaker 2: folks and bruce Ard and Wilds everybody could do it
Speaker 2: was at this time. I'm on Thursday, So I sacrificed
Speaker 2: the pod. But because of that, we then everything got
Speaker 2: pushed back. Demand was supposed to be here for our
Speaker 2: season preview show, but I didn't want Diora to not
Speaker 2: get a farewell show. So that's why we're all kind
Speaker 2: of condensed right now. I don't know if you guys
Speaker 2: care about that, but that is I don't want anybody
Speaker 2: who's watching right now we're listening to think that this
Speaker 2: is you know that I do these things haphazardly, just
Speaker 2: sometimes life jumps in. So in the season preview show,
Speaker 2: we had eight season win totals that we actually bet.
Speaker 2: If you want to hear listen back to that season
Speaker 2: preview show. You can hear our thoughts on all thirty
Speaker 2: two win totals, but we had eight that we actually bet.
Speaker 2: We bet the Bears under seven and a half wins
Speaker 2: the Cowboys instead of taking over ten and a half
Speaker 2: at minus money. We took them, I'm sorry, at over
Speaker 2: nine and a half at minus money. We took them
Speaker 2: over ten and a half at plus money. The Jags,
Speaker 2: we did the same thing instead of nine and a half,
Speaker 2: took them over ten and a half and plus a
Speaker 2: lot case obviously over eleven and a half because they
Speaker 2: win twelve every year. The Patriots over seven and a
Speaker 2: half because they won eight games last year with Mac
Speaker 2: playing worse than he could possibly play in terrible coaching situation.
Speaker 2: The Eagles under eleven and a half because their schedules
Speaker 2: not as soft, and I think they come back to
Speaker 2: the pack a bit. And it should be noted no
Speaker 2: team has won back to back NFC East titles in
Speaker 2: twenty years, yet everyone's penciling the Eagles in for it.
Speaker 2: The Niners at under ten and a half for the
Speaker 2: reasons I just mentioned, and the Seahawks at over eight
Speaker 2: and a half because I think they're gonna win the
Speaker 2: division of those win total bets demands anyone jump out
Speaker 2: to you that you love or that you really dislike anything.
Speaker 3: I think New England's gonna get more than seven wins.
Speaker 3: I think New England off the top is gonna get
Speaker 3: more than seven wins.
Speaker 2: Okay, so you're with me on that because I've got
Speaker 2: them over seven and a half. What else?
Speaker 3: Oh, you know, I honestly saw that as a US
Speaker 3: working out.
Speaker 2: No, that's okay. No, the unders that we have our Chicago, Philly,
Speaker 2: San Francisco.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I saw an opening on the top of it.
Speaker 3: Uh so, yeah, dude, it's uh that I don't.
Speaker 2: I don't.
Speaker 3: I don't find anything wrong with your win totals. Wait, actually,
Speaker 3: Chicago under seven and a half. I think they can
Speaker 3: win nine games this year.
Speaker 2: Okay, that demandse loves the running quarterback, loves them helas
Speaker 2: Justin Fields, Daniel Jones. We're gonna get to some Lamar
Speaker 2: Jackson stuff in a moment. I mean, just loves it is.
Speaker 2: Can't get enough of the running quarterback. So that actually
Speaker 2: what I say.
Speaker 3: I saw those couple of little screen passes that Justin
Speaker 3: Fields had over the preseason. I like what I'm seeing
Speaker 3: before they even get to the defenders. Go ahead, Sorry, no.
Speaker 2: You're fine. I I agree with you. In large part.
Speaker 2: Here's my feeling on Chicago. They could more than triple
Speaker 2: their win total from last year. They could increase their
Speaker 2: win total from last year by five wins and hit
Speaker 2: the under. They could have a great year and hit
Speaker 2: the under, so I'm going with the under. I think
Speaker 2: that their ceiling is seven to ten, all right, the
Speaker 2: division winner bets. So I kind of coupled these into
Speaker 2: two groups, which are three semi long shots. I only
Speaker 2: need to go one for three to break even, two
Speaker 2: for three and make a lot of money, and then
Speaker 2: two not long shots but not favorites. So the Dolphins
Speaker 2: to win their division at plus two ninety, Pittsburgh to
Speaker 2: win the AFC North at plus four seventy, and Green
Speaker 2: Bay to win the NFC North at plus three fifty.
Speaker 2: The Pittsburgh bet is the one I want to talk
Speaker 2: to you about because it's kind of in lockstep with
Speaker 2: the fact that I have Baltimore missing the playoffs. I
Speaker 2: know you're very high on the Ravens, your thoughts.
Speaker 3: Well a couple of things on there with Miami. I
Speaker 3: don't even see them winning that division. I honestly think
Speaker 3: the Jets could win that division. I think that the
Speaker 3: Jets mean everything that they've been saying. I think that
Speaker 3: they're going to surprise people. And obviously the Ravens, you
Speaker 3: got them missing the playoffs. Entirely, which is just pretty crazy.
Speaker 3: I think that if Odell Beckham says healthy the entire year,
Speaker 3: which is I don't know if that's a big ask,
Speaker 3: but sure there's no way that they're missing the playoffs entirely,
Speaker 3: like not enough to be a wild card and at
Speaker 3: least like sneaking. I just don't see that Steelers winning
Speaker 3: that division.
Speaker 2: To me is crazy. But so the argument for the
Speaker 2: Steelers is last year TJ. Watt missed seven games. He's
Speaker 2: their best player. Canny Pickett had a terrible rookie season.
Speaker 3: Yeah, they were like mixing and matching with the quarterbacks,
Speaker 3: I feel like, yeah.
Speaker 2: And they still won nine games. So with TJ. Watt healthy,
Speaker 2: with Pickett just taking a bit of a jump, can
Speaker 2: they win eleven? I think yes. And I think Cincinnati
Speaker 2: and Baltimore don't clear eleven.
Speaker 3: That's I mean, that's exactly what I was about to say.
Speaker 3: With Cincinnati and Baltimore in there, I don't think it'll matter.
Speaker 2: But uh no, that's most people agree with you. That's
Speaker 2: why they're plus four to seventy and then the other two.
Speaker 2: We don't have so much time on Atlanta plus two
Speaker 2: to ten to win the division. In Seattle plus two
Speaker 2: thirty to win the division Atlanta. That's Bjean Robinson Bett
Speaker 2: and kind of fading the Saints and Seattle. That is
Speaker 2: just fully fading the forty nine ers. Yeah.
Speaker 3: I was about to say, what's up with that? The
Speaker 3: Seattle winning a division that the forty nine ers are
Speaker 3: playing in. I get you just said everything that you
Speaker 3: said about Shanahan's offense and his quarterbacks getting but at
Speaker 3: the end of the day, I.
Speaker 2: Just don't believe in that's it. It's just flatley and
Speaker 2: I think Seattle. Seattle played more rookies last year than
Speaker 2: any team in the NFL, so now all of a sudden,
Speaker 2: I think those rookies have a little more experience, they're
Speaker 2: even better. So I like Seattle in that spot.
Speaker 3: And you don't think with Donald, with Donald being the
Speaker 3: quarterback in the forty nine ers defense, you don't think
Speaker 3: that they're capable of winning that division.
Speaker 2: Okay, Jets had good defenses with him, Carolina had good
Speaker 2: defenses with him. No, if Donald is the quarterback, I
Speaker 2: am certain the Niners aren't winning the division. And then
Speaker 2: a couple parlays demonse a Jags Chiefs win the division
Speaker 2: parlay you get plus one fifty on that. You gotta
Speaker 2: admit you love that. Bet the Jags and Chiefs just
Speaker 2: win the division and we get plus one fifty. And
Speaker 2: then my long shot one, which is why it's only
Speaker 2: a quarter unit. Bet Pittsburgh, Miami, and Green Bay all
Speaker 2: to win their divisions ninety nine to one. How about
Speaker 2: that ninety nine to one on that. See, Demond hated
Speaker 2: all three of those picks, but now he's gonna beat
Speaker 2: fight it to happen. Then Demonse might put fifteen bucks
Speaker 2: on ninety nine to one on the Eagles to win
Speaker 2: last year's Super Bowl, Like, yeah, it's ninety nine to one, Like,
Speaker 2: who knows, maybe they'll find out the game was rigged
Speaker 2: all right? Now, make miss playoffs bet?
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 2: The first one is similar to the Chiefs Jags division
Speaker 2: winning bets, but we added Dallas to just make a
Speaker 2: playoffs plus one sixty. Brown's Jets Detroit to miss the
Speaker 2: playoffs at plus even to fifty five for a quarter unit.
Speaker 2: That's just a cursed franchise missed the playoffs. And then
Speaker 2: one that I feel very strongly about, and you seem
Speaker 2: to really disagree. This will be good for the show
Speaker 2: all year, So you're buying into the Jets hype demonse.
Speaker 3: I'm buying in I don't really like Aaron Rodgers, so like,
Speaker 3: I feel like that's saying a lot. I just think
Speaker 3: that with Aaron Rodgers being in this new situation, the
Speaker 3: relationship has still got that new car smell, and like,
Speaker 3: I think that this is a good switch up for him,
Speaker 3: and I think that he's gonna be He's gonna be there,
Speaker 3: like mentally and physically. I don't think he's gonna be
Speaker 3: checked out. The Jets obviously have a good defense. They
Speaker 3: got Dalvin Cook. I think that, Hey, dude, but this
Speaker 3: is they do have. They defacy do have a tough schedule.
Speaker 3: Like their first six weeks is pretty tough.
Speaker 2: Well, the first six weeks are brutal. If they come
Speaker 2: out of the first six weeks three three, they can
Speaker 2: be dangerous. I just don't know that they can do that.
Speaker 2: But the other thing is this, this is the second
Speaker 2: opinion you've given here to Monsey where the vast majority
Speaker 2: of experts agree with you, not me, Like, this is
Speaker 2: what you're saying is I am way more out of
Speaker 2: step with mainstream on this than you are. So we'll see.
Speaker 2: And then my Super Bowl pick Kansas City Dallas at
Speaker 2: thirty to one and Kansas defeat Dallas at fifty to one.
Speaker 2: Would you like to give a Super Bowl pick here?
Speaker 3: So I think it's gonna be Ravens Dallas, And if
Speaker 3: it isn't Ravens Dallas, it's gonna be Kansas City Dallas.
Speaker 2: Super Bowl Wow. So she can say wow because Demons
Speaker 2: actually told me that last night. But he said it
Speaker 2: before he knew mine, So before Demanse even knew mine,
Speaker 2: so he's not like, you know, parroting me here. He
Speaker 2: said it independent. And it was a little disappointing that
Speaker 2: it was before he knew mine because I had given
Speaker 2: that on television on Friday and Demanse.
Speaker 1: Was unaware of it.
Speaker 2: So it was a little sad for me. But Uh,
Speaker 2: I tried. This is how much Demanse, though cares about
Speaker 2: I'm gonna expose you a little bit in a good way.
Speaker 2: I'm really exposing myself. This is how much Demanse cares
Speaker 2: about his integrity on this show. When he told me
Speaker 2: he liked uh Dallas in the NFC, I tried to
Speaker 2: cajole him into going with the Giants instead because he's
Speaker 2: a Daniel Jones guy, and he was like, no, I
Speaker 2: can't do it. He's like, I do like Daniel Jones,
Speaker 2: but I can't make him to win the Super Bowl.
Speaker 3: No, no, not that man. And honestly, have you.
Speaker 2: Seen what Greg Jennings has said about Daniel Jones at
Speaker 2: quarterback in the NFL. He's got a lot of faith
Speaker 2: in Daniel Jones. But go ahead, I'll let you finish. Hey, man.
Speaker 3: It seems like he does slowly start to stop making
Speaker 3: the same mistakes from the previous year. And if he's
Speaker 3: in that same trajectory, then I think he.
Speaker 2: Is going to be a top ten quarterback this year.
Speaker 2: I mean, he's listen. If he improves, that's correct. If
Speaker 2: he improves as much this between last year and this
Speaker 2: year as he did between the year prior to last
Speaker 2: year and last year, then he will be a top
Speaker 2: ten quarterback. My concern for him is not even that
Speaker 2: he flatlines, but that he goes in the other direction.
Speaker 2: All right, this was fun. We're right in the swing
Speaker 2: of things, even though it's early morning in LA and
Speaker 2: we're cross country. Our gambling picks now, just like last year,
Speaker 2: five picks from me every single week. Five of the
Speaker 2: last six years. I've been a documented winning gambler on
Speaker 2: either this show or the TV show would However, I've
Speaker 2: done it ever since I've been on TV. I've been
Speaker 2: giving out three or five picks every week, a documented
Speaker 2: winning record, and not just winning record, better than fifty
Speaker 2: two point four percent against the spread, which is the
Speaker 2: break even number with the vig Also, this year, Demons
Speaker 2: is going to give us a weekly teaser and we
Speaker 2: are going to have a season long competition. We'll talk
Speaker 2: about what that is next. Take a quick break, come back,
Speaker 2: what's right.
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Speaker 2: Welcome back in We'll drive You. Nick gread Episode one
Speaker 2: seventy five, our Week one NFL Gambling Show and just
Speaker 2: general football. We kind of recap preview, get you ready
Speaker 2: for Lions Chiefs, and now is time for our five
Speaker 2: picks of the week, My five picks of the week,
Speaker 2: plus Demonse's weekly teaser and some listen sometimes Demonse's teaser,
Speaker 2: depending on if he's doing a two, three, four, five
Speaker 2: team teaser. I have a feeling I don't know what
Speaker 2: this week's is. By the feeling, before we get to Halloween,
Speaker 2: we're gonna have debuted a few sixteen teasers, so his
Speaker 2: the teasers that aren't two two teamers are plus money.
Speaker 2: But whatever it is, we are going to keep track
Speaker 2: on a unit basis how profitable I am versus how
Speaker 2: profitable Demanse is and will be a season long contest.
Speaker 2: So and it has nothing to do with amount we bet,
Speaker 2: because Demanse and I are gonna obviously bet different unit sizes,
Speaker 2: so we're just gonna normalize it. We're gonna maybe we're
Speaker 2: gonna treat them all as one unit bets and go
Speaker 2: from there. But before we get to Demanse's teasers teaser,
Speaker 2: just like we did last year, my five picks every
Speaker 2: single week demonse, what's my first one? All right? So
Speaker 2: first off, you got Jags minus four and a half
Speaker 2: at Indy. Let's talk about that one, Okay, So I listen,
Speaker 2: do you just want to go ahead and give all
Speaker 2: the reasons that this is a terrible bet that the
Speaker 2: producers have given have put in.
Speaker 3: The notes bets do it? So you went one and
Speaker 3: see depending on the Jags last year? We all remember that, Okay.
Speaker 2: Okay, before yes, but that is only because the producers
Speaker 2: bullied me out of betting on them the moment they
Speaker 2: started their hot streak. I bet on the Jags basically
Speaker 2: every week. The producers made me stop, and then they
Speaker 2: immediately became the hottest team in the NFL. It was ridiculous.
Speaker 2: So that should be more like seven and seven, but
Speaker 2: they wouldn't let me do it.
Speaker 3: Go ahead, all right, Well, Trevor is four and fourteen
Speaker 3: on the road, straight up, it's pretty big.
Speaker 2: I don't care about that doesn't matter. That includes the
Speaker 2: Urban Meyer era. And lastly, go ahead.
Speaker 3: Last thing, the Jaguars haven't won an Indy since twenty seventeen,
Speaker 3: that is when I graduated high school.
Speaker 2: By the way, okay, I don't care about any of that.
Speaker 2: Here's what I know. We believe in the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Speaker 2: This is Anthony Richardson's first start. I understand this is
Speaker 2: a you know, I am taking a road dog as
Speaker 2: my first pick of the year. I'm sorry, road favorite,
Speaker 2: pardon me as my first pick of the year. That
Speaker 2: and it goes against all these trends. Don't care. The
Speaker 2: Jags are gonna score thirty one points and he's gonna
Speaker 2: be happy to get to seventeen. I love this bet.
Speaker 3: Go ahead, well, no fear in your heart that Anthony
Speaker 3: Richardson might be the next Daniel Jones, because like he
Speaker 3: might have a breakout game and destroy your jackson That's
Speaker 3: a pretty good question.
Speaker 2: I do think Anthony Richardson was a good pick and
Speaker 2: his upside is massive. I don't think he's gonna look
Speaker 2: good in his first NFL start, So I had that
Speaker 2: happened the way Yeah, so so Cam in his first
Speaker 2: ever NFL start, I think got four hundred yards, but
Speaker 2: Cam also was coming off a Heisman Trophy and undefeated season,
Speaker 2: being the consensus number one overall pick. Cam Is first
Speaker 2: NFL start ever four hundred and twenty two yards and
Speaker 2: three total touchdowns, there's a few. I know. It's unbelievable.
Speaker 2: He walked into the NFL after having arguably the single
Speaker 2: greatest college season anyone's ever had. He walked into the
Speaker 2: NFL and was just dominant on the flip side. Jamis
Speaker 2: Winston in his first ever NFL start, had two picks
Speaker 2: and two fumbles. Marcus Mariota, who was the number two
Speaker 2: pick of that draft, in his first ever NFL start,
Speaker 2: completed eighty seven percent of his passes with four touchdowns.
Speaker 2: So there are certain instances where guys have awesome first starts.
Speaker 2: I don't think Anthony Richardson's gonna do that. I think
Speaker 2: Trevor's gonna be awesome. I like the Jags. Next.
Speaker 3: All right, next, you've got New England at home plus
Speaker 3: four versus Philly.
Speaker 2: Okay, the entire gambling world is going to be on Philadelphia.
Speaker 2: Patriots offensive line is banged up. The Eagles have this
Speaker 2: amazing pass rush. The Patriots looked terrible last year. Why
Speaker 2: is this line not higher? Here's what I know Belichick.
Speaker 2: I don't want to say he's on the hot seat.
Speaker 2: What I will say is he really wants Don Shula's record,
Speaker 2: and he needs to have either two more good seasons
Speaker 2: or three more mediocre seasons to get there. I don't
Speaker 2: know if Kraft is gonna give him that time. If
Speaker 2: they're a disaster this year, Philly coming off the super
Speaker 2: Bowl hangover, I'm getting points at home with the better coach.
Speaker 2: The crowd is going to be insane because they are
Speaker 2: retiring Brady's jersey and putting him in the Ring of
Speaker 2: Honor all of that. So we I know the graphics
Speaker 2: right now, say Jacksonville, but in New England getting four points,
Speaker 2: I don't need them to win. I just need them
Speaker 2: to keep it close. New England getting four points against Philadelphia.
Speaker 2: What do the producers think of that one?
Speaker 3: Demonsey, Well, since two thousand teams that lost in the
Speaker 3: previous season super Bowl or four and nineteen against the
Speaker 3: spread in the week one following in the week I
Speaker 3: like the following.
Speaker 2: Season, that's good. What's the other note?
Speaker 3: The other note is Hurts is thirteen to five and
Speaker 3: one against the spread at home, but only six and
Speaker 3: thirteen against the spread on the road.
Speaker 2: Oh so I don't listen. I don't have access to
Speaker 2: these little factoids when I make my picks because I
Speaker 2: don't want to be swayed by the trends, but that
Speaker 2: it sounds like as much as the Sharps might not
Speaker 2: have liked my Jacksonville pick the New England pick, I
Speaker 2: could be on the right side of it. What's the
Speaker 2: next one? Right? Uh?
Speaker 3: We got greed. You've got Green Bay plus one and
Speaker 3: a half at Chicago.
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean they're the far better team. They have,
Speaker 2: the better coach they have for this game, potentially the
Speaker 2: better quarterback. This might be one of the only games
Speaker 2: all year green Bay. We'll see listen. I think Justin
Speaker 2: Fields might end up being really good, but he struggled
Speaker 2: massively throwing the football last year. Passing was the Packers.
Speaker 2: The Packers, and I think Jordan Love will be solid
Speaker 2: just from being able to sit for three years. The Packers,
Speaker 2: I think are super motivated. The Packers had their you know,
Speaker 2: their spouse of fifteen years leave them immediately, get in shape,
Speaker 2: start going to the gym, get out and get some
Speaker 2: things worked on, and start telling the whole world how
Speaker 2: much they love their new girlfriend. So they're motivated. The Packers.
Speaker 2: Devens is good, the running game is good, their weapons
Speaker 2: are good. I think Green Bay wins this game out right.
Speaker 2: I like the Packers a lot go ahead.
Speaker 3: Was Jordan Love sacked at any point this preseason?
Speaker 2: I don't know. Maybe I don't think he was. I
Speaker 2: don't think he was.
Speaker 3: I think the big thing for him this preseason is
Speaker 3: he got no pressures.
Speaker 2: Uh So, like what if? What if?
Speaker 3: What if the Chicago Bears come and sack him and
Speaker 3: rattle them like they did perty And no, that's fair,
Speaker 3: but the.
Speaker 2: I don't trust the Bears defense at all. The Bears
Speaker 2: defense was terrible last year. I know they invested some
Speaker 2: in it, but you can't remake your entire team in
Speaker 2: one offseason. They got DJ Moore the wide receiver, they
Speaker 2: invested in the offensive line. That demon's still gonna be spotty.
Speaker 2: I like Green Bay in that spot. And what was
Speaker 2: my record last year? To Monsey betting road dogs?
Speaker 3: You were twenty You were twenty five fourteen and one.
Speaker 2: Twenty So I was sixty two and a half percent
Speaker 2: against the spread betting road dogs. And actually a little
Speaker 2: higher if you include the tie as a half win.
Speaker 2: All right, next one.
Speaker 3: Uh so you've got Buffalo minus two and a half
Speaker 3: at the Jets.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I I was the first part.
Speaker 3: I was the only let's just be you've got faith
Speaker 3: in the Bills this year. Your hate for Rogers fueled
Speaker 3: some love for the Bills.
Speaker 2: I love it. So here's the thing. I knew that
Speaker 2: was gonna be the reaction. Let's just be totally honest here.
Speaker 2: I was the only person in America correct on the
Speaker 2: Bills last year, the only one while everybody was saying
Speaker 2: I was afraid of them. Josh Allen is at worst
Speaker 2: the second best quarterback in football, maybe the best. The
Speaker 2: Bills are the best team. They were the Vegas favorite
Speaker 2: all of it. All year long. I told you that
Speaker 2: was a paper tiger. And what happened come the playoffs
Speaker 2: they needed They survived Skyler Thompson by the skin of
Speaker 2: their teeth, and then they got their teeth kicked in
Speaker 2: by Cincinnati. I am now here to tell you the
Speaker 2: general public has gone too far in the other direction
Speaker 2: on the Bills. Now. You look around a lot of
Speaker 2: folks have the Bills missing the playoffs. That's not gonna happen. Now.
Speaker 2: I don't think they win the division. I think Miami does.
Speaker 2: I think the but the Bills. So you think yeah, yeah,
Speaker 2: and my playoff teams are division winners. Kansas in the AFC,
Speaker 2: Kansas City, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Miami, and my wild cards are Buffalo,
Speaker 2: Cincinnati and the Chargers. With the Jets and the Ravens
Speaker 2: Broncos missing the playoffs, the Patriots as well. Obviously, the
Speaker 2: Bills are better than the Jets. I understand that they're
Speaker 2: the Jets have home field here, but I am laying
Speaker 2: less than a field goal, so I just there's there's
Speaker 2: very It's gonna be very hard for the Bills to
Speaker 2: win and not cover. So while I don't love road
Speaker 2: favorites less than a field goal, I feel better about
Speaker 2: and the Bills are better and the Jets. I'm telling
Speaker 2: you right now, man on the Jets, Demonsey, here's what's
Speaker 2: gonna happen. The Jets are gonna lose on Monday Night Football.
Speaker 2: Six days later, they're gonna go to Dallas, and that
Speaker 2: Dallas defensive front is gonna sack Aaron Rodgers a half
Speaker 2: dozen times, and immediately panic will set in in New
Speaker 2: York because they will know in Week four they have
Speaker 2: the Chiefs and all of a sudden they will be
Speaker 2: facing a must win Week three game against the Patriots,
Speaker 2: which yes, obviously the Jets should win that game. But
Speaker 2: the Patriots have beaten the Jets fourteen consecutive games, and
Speaker 2: all of these good vibes, good feelings, all of that
Speaker 2: is gonna turn in six days between Monday Night and
Speaker 2: the following Sunday.
Speaker 3: Go ahead, something something important of note. He has won
Speaker 3: nine straight Monday Night football games. He's six one against
Speaker 3: the spread as a home dog.
Speaker 2: And also so that real quick, real quick, Rogers. What
Speaker 2: that means is Rogers has only been a home dog
Speaker 2: eight times, which is crazy. Think about that. How long
Speaker 2: he's been a quarterback and he has only been an
Speaker 2: underdog at home eight times. And that's not Monday one football.
Speaker 2: That's his whole career. No, no, no, no. I wonder how
Speaker 2: many of those were his first year as a starter.
Speaker 2: He's probably been a dog since that first year, maybe
Speaker 2: four or five times. That's unbelievab All right, go ahead.
Speaker 3: The Bills at fourteen and six are the most profitable
Speaker 3: team in Week one in the last twenty years.
Speaker 2: Okay, that's the type of stat I don't actually care about,
Speaker 2: but it helps me in this case. I'll take it,
Speaker 2: all right, last one?
Speaker 3: All right, So you've got Pittsburgh plus two and a
Speaker 3: half versus San fran.
Speaker 2: Okay, so this is the lock of the week, the
Speaker 2: right move. It is also something I'm gonna go ahead
Speaker 2: and tell you wait to bet. If it moves to two,
Speaker 2: it doesn't kill you, but it could, especially now that
Speaker 2: Nick Bosa has signed, if it becomes fully confirmed, he's
Speaker 2: one hundred percent playing. Maybe it moves to three and
Speaker 2: you get that super useful extra half point. But that
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh defense against what could be a gunshy Brock Purty
Speaker 2: and the Niners in Pittsburgh, Tomlin coaching. I like Pittsburgh.
Speaker 2: This is my favorite bet of the week. I think
Speaker 2: the line is wrong. I think Pittsburgh is as good
Speaker 2: as San Francisco this year, and they are at home
Speaker 2: and they're getting points. This is also I don't know
Speaker 2: if it's on your I'm not you've already submitted your
Speaker 2: teaser card. I don't know if this is on there.
Speaker 2: But this is as perfect of a teaser leg as
Speaker 2: there is because you would get them through all the
Speaker 2: key numbers through three, four, six, seven, and eight, and
Speaker 2: obviously the biggest numbers are three, six and seven before
Speaker 2: and eight are kind of nice. So I love Pittsburgh here.
Speaker 2: So Demonse, what do the stats say on.
Speaker 3: This Mike tomin is fourteen five and two against the
Speaker 3: spread in thirteen and eight outright as a home underdog.
Speaker 3: Uh with TJ with TJ Watt in the game, Steelers
Speaker 3: were eight and two against against and against.
Speaker 2: The straight up. Yeah.
Speaker 3: So in prov and the Right Move went six and
Speaker 3: eleven last year.
Speaker 2: I know, I almost thought about getting rid of it
Speaker 2: this year. I almost thought of just doing just just
Speaker 2: five picks. But we're gonna have to We're gonna have
Speaker 2: to redeem ourselves on the right move. All right, are
Speaker 2: you ready for this teaser? Because I'm ready to hear it,
Speaker 2: and I'm.
Speaker 3: Already I'm wait for you to hear Let me hear it. Yeah,
Speaker 3: all right, So this this week's teaser.
Speaker 2: I don't want to step place it down. I don't
Speaker 2: want to step on your segment. But before you tell
Speaker 2: us the teams, tell us how many team and how
Speaker 2: many points? So like a three teams six six point teaser?
Speaker 2: Oh it is, okay, that's great. So what is it?
Speaker 2: Plus one forty plus one? Does it say? Plus yeah,
Speaker 2: plus one forty? Okay, three team six point teaser plus
Speaker 2: one forty?
Speaker 3: Alright, go, we're teasing the Cincinnati bangles down from two
Speaker 3: and a half to plus three and a half.
Speaker 2: I guess up.
Speaker 3: And then we're teasing Tampa Bay plus six up to twelve,
Speaker 3: and then we're teasing the Raiders plus four up to
Speaker 3: ten versus the Broncos. Tampa Bay will be playing the
Speaker 3: Vikings by the way, sorry for not giving the full
Speaker 3: full layout, and Cincinnati will be playing the Cleveland Browns. Listen,
Speaker 3: I'm not here to tease through key numbers. I'm here
Speaker 3: to win the teaser. If this didn't follow your your
Speaker 3: teaser strategy, I apologize, but trail me on this one. Guys,
Speaker 3: we're getting money this at the end of the week.
Speaker 3: At some point, money will enter your fan Duel account
Speaker 3: if you place this teaser. Okay, all right, so what
Speaker 3: don't you like?
Speaker 2: Here's the thing, all right, I don't mind the Vegas one,
Speaker 2: and you are at least getting it through. I think
Speaker 2: Vegas might way they could win that game. Yep. And
Speaker 2: you're getting it all the way to ten. And just
Speaker 2: so everybody knows, if you do a three team teaser
Speaker 2: and a one leg pushes like let's say Vegas loses
Speaker 2: by ten, it just reduces your teaser to a two
Speaker 2: team teaser. So like, let's say you were to get
Speaker 2: Cincinnati and Tampa correct demanse and Vegas were to lose
Speaker 2: by ten, then instead of being a three teamer at
Speaker 2: plus one forty, it would turn into a two teamer
Speaker 2: at minus one thirty. But you still win, so that one.
Speaker 2: I don't mind Tampa. I actually like I don't know
Speaker 2: if it's you know, ideal value, but I actually like it.
Speaker 2: Since cinnatataty it gets shippy. I have a lot of trepidation.
Speaker 2: I have a lot of trepidation on it. You're teasing
Speaker 2: through the zero. You are only getting one key number.
Speaker 2: I guess my point is this demonse just real quick,
Speaker 2: let's just cause it feels to me like you added
Speaker 2: the Bengals because you needed another leg. Because here's what,
Speaker 2: here's here's my opinion on it. Right now, it's Cincinnati
Speaker 2: minus two and a half. You are paying, you are
Speaker 2: buying those six points. You think the only.
Speaker 3: Way I just think that Cincinnati is going to win
Speaker 3: the game, right.
Speaker 2: No, I understand that, But that my point would be,
Speaker 2: you are what you are. No if they win by anything,
Speaker 2: you win anyway. The the you think Cincinnati is gonna
Speaker 2: win and you're taking them from minus two and a
Speaker 2: half plus three and a half. The only way you
Speaker 2: got value there is if the game either ends with
Speaker 2: the Browns winning by one, two or three it being
Speaker 2: a tie, or Cincinnati winning by one or two. Otherwise
Speaker 2: you'd have been better off just betting Cincinnati minus two
Speaker 2: and a half. But again, it's your teaser.
Speaker 3: Hey, I was just about to say it definitely says
Speaker 3: Demons's teaser up there. We don't need to, but no,
Speaker 3: I value that. I will say that that was the
Speaker 3: one that I was the most like shoddy about. Uh,
Speaker 3: but it was the first one that I picked in
Speaker 3: the teaser though, Like, but it's.
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm good with it. You do know, and I'm
Speaker 2: not trying to encourage this.
Speaker 3: Wait wait, Joe Burrow is playing. He's playing Joe Burrows,
Speaker 3: He's playing.
Speaker 2: You do know that there are seven ten and thirteen
Speaker 2: point teasers as well, right, I know that you go up,
Speaker 2: but then you it's less money you exactly, no, no, no,
Speaker 2: And the the every ten point teaser that's ever been
Speaker 2: placed looks like how can it lose? Like, how is
Speaker 2: it possible that this possibly loses? Okay, I'm going to
Speaker 2: so Here's what we're going to do. As part of this.
Speaker 2: I'm going to give each of these teasers a sharp
Speaker 2: square grade. And then in addition to seeing how profitable
Speaker 2: you are at the end of the year, we're gonna
Speaker 2: see how much the wins and losses correlate with my grade. Okay,
Speaker 2: So I am going to give this a grade of
Speaker 2: a B minus. Vegas is solid, Tampa's not bad, and
Speaker 2: the fact that you are teasing the dog I like
Speaker 2: a lot. Cincinnati brings the grade down. If you're in
Speaker 2: place of Cincinnati, you had Pittsburgh plus eight and a half.
Speaker 2: This might be an a teaser, but you know what,
Speaker 2: I'm actually pretty proud of you. All right, what's the
Speaker 2: offer this week? All right? Return of the offer? Man.
Speaker 3: This is where I coick up a long shot bet
Speaker 3: and you decide if it's fun or not, or if
Speaker 3: you're a fun or not.
Speaker 2: Should I say the Chiefs to.
Speaker 3: Score two plus touchdowns in every single regular season game
Speaker 3: this year at plus five hundred?
Speaker 2: Do you accept? All right? So that is one of
Speaker 2: the yes. I accept. Then I accept it's a totally
Speaker 2: square bet, but I accept it's so Fan Duel has
Speaker 2: this version this type of bet for every team. The
Speaker 2: Chiefs to score one plus touchdown in every game this
Speaker 2: year is minus two hundred, which is there. They're saying,
Speaker 2: it's almost not a guarantee of close to it. What
Speaker 2: I find hilarious is this. The Chiefs to score at
Speaker 2: least two touchdowns in every game is five to one.
Speaker 2: The Cardinals to score at least one touchdown in every
Speaker 2: game is six and a half to one. So they're like,
Speaker 2: and they have this for every team. But yes, I
Speaker 2: actually like that offer. That's a smart offer. And last
Speaker 2: year that offer would have paid that wait, well you
Speaker 2: know what, No, wouldn't have because the Colts game. I
Speaker 2: think the Chiefs only scored one touchdown.
Speaker 3: Go ahead, funny stat. Did the offer hit more than
Speaker 3: the right move last year? I think that like might
Speaker 3: be a thing.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I'm pretty sure it did. It did? All right,
Speaker 2: quick break? We answer, Oh, I should have been telling
Speaker 2: you guys this, gosh darn it. Leave your bets in
Speaker 2: the chat and I'll tell you if I think they're
Speaker 2: sharper square. We're doing that. Next quick break right back?
Speaker 2: What's right? All right, sharper square time Now as you
Speaker 2: guys send in some bets. You've been making, and you know,
Speaker 2: I'll tell you, Oh, I look, that's a Funny's good,
Speaker 2: that's a good graphic. Our YouTube audience is really in
Speaker 2: for a treat today. We'll discuss whether or not they're
Speaker 2: sharper square. All right. The first one Chad Holland as
Speaker 2: the Texans plus ten. I mean, it's not a bet
Speaker 2: I would make, but it's you're obviously on the sharp side.
Speaker 2: You're it's almost never the sharp side to take a
Speaker 2: massive favorite. So you're on the sharp side, and it's
Speaker 2: pretty hard for any individual point spread bet to be
Speaker 2: super square. The square bets are the more convoluted parlays
Speaker 2: or certaintiasers things like that. What demonse, But you like
Speaker 2: the Ravens minus ten against Houston more than the Texans
Speaker 2: plus ten? Correct or you don't know?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I honestly think Yo minus minus ten minus ten.
Speaker 3: I'd go with the minus tan rookie quarterback Texan sucked
Speaker 3: last year.
Speaker 2: Yeah. So the reason I mean this is a stay
Speaker 2: away for me because every once in a while, new
Speaker 2: head coach, which Texas have Dmiico Ryans over from San Francisco,
Speaker 2: you know what I mean, they popped just to start
Speaker 2: the year and sometimes rookie quarterbacks pop early and then
Speaker 2: come down to earth bit. But I do like the
Speaker 2: so i'd stay away from it. But I think you're
Speaker 2: probably on the right side of it. Jay Romig says,
Speaker 2: the Bears money line. So here's the thing. Even though
Speaker 2: I like the Packers in that game, the reason that
Speaker 2: I would say that is a square bet is this,
Speaker 2: the Bears are I'm gonna get you the exact The
Speaker 2: Bears are minus one and a half at essentially minus
Speaker 2: one oh four or the money line is minus one twenty.
Speaker 2: So is it worth it to pay sixteen cents of
Speaker 2: juice to go from minus one oh four to minus
Speaker 2: one twenty just so you win if the Bears win
Speaker 2: by one point? Exactly? So I would say, if you
Speaker 2: like the Bears, bet a minus one and a half
Speaker 2: rather than just to win. That way you're getting you know,
Speaker 2: you're not paying minus one twenty on the juice, You're
Speaker 2: paying minus one oh four. Like that's to me the
Speaker 2: money line there doesn't make a ton of sense. Similarly,
Speaker 2: on the if you're betting the Packers rather than getting
Speaker 2: them plus one and a half at minus one twenty,
Speaker 2: I would just bet them on the money line and
Speaker 2: The only way that screws you is if the Packers
Speaker 2: lose by one point exactly. Zach Eisen says, the Chiefs
Speaker 2: minus four and a half parlayed with their team total
Speaker 2: over twenty nine and a half. I mean, technically that's
Speaker 2: a square bet, but I love it. I totally agree.
Speaker 2: I think that if the Chiefs are gonna cover, they're
Speaker 2: gonna do it by scoring a bunch of points. So
Speaker 2: I don't mind that bet bet at all. Tony and
Speaker 2: Pacheco anytime touchdown score. So Deman say, this is where
Speaker 2: I'm gonna just be kind of hypocritical. These are square
Speaker 2: bets that I love. They're like all fitting my agenda of.
Speaker 3: The getting a touchdown. Yeah, well, i'd say those are
Speaker 3: two of the most likely guys to get the ball
Speaker 3: in a touchdown situation.
Speaker 2: They don't really have much like I agree with you entirely.
Speaker 2: In fact, let me just see t Ross pay so,
Speaker 2: oh yeah, justin Ross, what is he to plus four seventy? Oh?
Speaker 2: All right, Pacheco and Tony parlayed, you get five to one.
Speaker 2: I mean it's a square bet, but I don't hate it.
Speaker 2: And then Dylan Demas says, my bet the over on
Speaker 2: points in every Lions game. Defense isn't stopping anyone Offen
Speaker 2: is gonna let it fly shootouts every week. So here's
Speaker 2: the thing at home that sounds like something our producers
Speaker 2: or demonse would have said last year, like they're awesome offense,
Speaker 2: bad defense. Obviously it's an over. Might be exactly something
Speaker 2: that I said last year, right as if that is
Speaker 2: inside information, Like guys, I figured it out. Vegas is
Speaker 2: late to the party on this. The Lions score a
Speaker 2: lot and they allow a lot, so let's bet the over, folks.
Speaker 2: The people setting the lines are aware of these things
Speaker 2: and set them accordingly. So that is the definition of
Speaker 2: a square gambling gamblers thinking. And then lastly, Holden Davis
Speaker 2: as what kind of impact do you think bost the
Speaker 2: contract round on the Chris Jones negotiations. I don't think
Speaker 2: it obviously won't help, but I don't think it hurts
Speaker 2: it much because in the NFL, you negotiate versus other
Speaker 2: guys of your position, and defensive ends have always made
Speaker 2: more than d tackles. But it probably doesn't help because
Speaker 2: Chris Jones sees Nick Bosa just got five years, one
Speaker 2: hundred and seventy million and he wants a two year,
Speaker 2: fully guaranteed, thirty four million dollar contract. The Chiefs have
Speaker 2: offered a two year, fully guaranteed fifty four point five
Speaker 2: million dollar contract, and now it's dragging into the season,
Speaker 2: which is total bummer. All right, that's episode one seventy five, Demanse.
Speaker 2: How'd this feel? I thought it went great. I thought
Speaker 2: it went very well. I felt great about it. I
Speaker 2: was a little nervous because we're by coastal that like
Speaker 2: there'd be too much talking over each other, delay or whatever.
Speaker 2: I if this is as clunky as it ever gets,
Speaker 2: we are rolling. Your background looks great, You look great.
Speaker 2: Things are going wonderfully. TV shows on fire, very happy,
Speaker 2: very excited for football. The Chiefs are gonna roll. We
Speaker 2: will see you guys on Tuesday as we recap week
Speaker 2: one of the NFL and be ready to Monsey. I
Speaker 2: don't know what your TV setup is like at home,
Speaker 2: but you might have to do some split screening because
Speaker 2: you know what's also happening Sunday during the late afternoon
Speaker 2: football Slade who Men's Final US Open and could have
Speaker 2: Djokovic al Karez, could have an American man in there? Oh,
Speaker 2: a tennis corner coming back on Tuesday. Talk to you guys. Then,
Speaker 2: what's right