WEBVTT - Travis Kelce Questionable, TNF Preview & Gambling Picks

0:00:00.440 --> 0:00:02.800
<v Speaker 1>If your football team had one option in their playbook,

0:00:03.000 --> 0:00:05.800
<v Speaker 1>the results probably wouldn't be great. The same could be

0:00:05.840 --> 0:00:09.440
<v Speaker 1>said for your investments. Cibo index options like SPX and

0:00:09.600 --> 0:00:12.920
<v Speaker 1>xsp can help expand your investing strategies with cash settlement

0:00:13.080 --> 0:00:15.840
<v Speaker 1>and potential tax advantages. If you're ready for a more

0:00:15.920 --> 0:00:19.160
<v Speaker 1>dynamic game plan, head to Better with Options dot Com.

0:00:19.280 --> 0:00:22.880
<v Speaker 1>Cebo life is better with options, Your investments.

0:00:22.440 --> 0:00:23.119
<v Speaker 2>Could be too.

0:00:23.520 --> 0:00:26.159
<v Speaker 1>There are risks associated with Cibo company products. Review the

0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:41.760
<v Speaker 1>disclosures and disclaimers at cbo dot com. Slash us underscore disclaimers.

0:00:42.360 --> 0:00:46.519
<v Speaker 2>Welcome. In episode one seventy five, on the day the

0:00:46.640 --> 0:00:50.960
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty three NFL season begins, the day the Kansasity

0:00:51.080 --> 0:00:55.840
<v Speaker 2>Chiefs start the defense of their title and their inevitable

0:00:55.920 --> 0:01:00.880
<v Speaker 2>march to a repeat, and the day that Monse re

0:01:01.800 --> 0:01:07.160
<v Speaker 2>joins the show. You know, he's in la And after

0:01:07.160 --> 0:01:10.399
<v Speaker 2>the first year of the show, while you know, I

0:01:10.560 --> 0:01:13.560
<v Speaker 2>tried to give Demonse a lot of credit, we had

0:01:13.720 --> 0:01:17.080
<v Speaker 2>you know, one hundred thousand subscribers. He got the plaque.

0:01:17.720 --> 0:01:21.200
<v Speaker 2>I'll be honest, I thought it was my doing. But

0:01:21.240 --> 0:01:25.520
<v Speaker 2>when Demanse left the show five months ago, we had

0:01:25.560 --> 0:01:30.320
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and like four thousand YouTube subscribers. We now

0:01:31.280 --> 0:01:34.360
<v Speaker 2>nearly half a year later, are at one hundred and

0:01:34.440 --> 0:01:40.880
<v Speaker 2>twenty two thousand, which means our growth slowed significantly without him.

0:01:41.280 --> 0:01:43.199
<v Speaker 2>So if we have any opa get into one hundred

0:01:43.240 --> 0:01:45.440
<v Speaker 2>and fifty or two hundred thousand, we had to bring

0:01:45.520 --> 0:01:48.280
<v Speaker 2>him back. He's live from Los Angeles. He's locked in

0:01:48.360 --> 0:01:51.280
<v Speaker 2>on the NFL. Are you ready for this pal glad

0:01:51.280 --> 0:01:54.480
<v Speaker 2>to be back in? Very much? So? Ready? Let's do it.

0:01:55.640 --> 0:01:59.040
<v Speaker 2>Let's do it all right. First, here's what missed. Caleb

0:01:59.760 --> 0:02:03.440
<v Speaker 2>may stay at USC. I don't buy that Nick Bosa

0:02:03.800 --> 0:02:08.160
<v Speaker 2>signs a record extension. Chris Jones unfortunately does not. And

0:02:08.320 --> 0:02:10.959
<v Speaker 2>I saw this in the rundown. I didn't know why

0:02:10.960 --> 0:02:13.040
<v Speaker 2>they put it in there. We are not a pop

0:02:13.080 --> 0:02:17.360
<v Speaker 2>culture show. We are a sports, gambling and parenting show.

0:02:17.880 --> 0:02:23.400
<v Speaker 2>The Timothy Shalomey and Kylie Jenner go public. I'm not

0:02:23.639 --> 0:02:26.400
<v Speaker 2>I think maybe this was meant for a different Blue

0:02:26.480 --> 0:02:30.280
<v Speaker 2>Duck podcast and he tried to fit it into ours.

0:02:30.560 --> 0:02:33.280
<v Speaker 2>That's not what we're doing any day. It's certainly not

0:02:33.400 --> 0:02:37.120
<v Speaker 2>what we're doing on the day the NFL season starts, Demansey.

0:02:37.480 --> 0:02:40.280
<v Speaker 2>Before we get to our gambling picks, which are coming

0:02:40.320 --> 0:02:44.360
<v Speaker 2>in segment two, a whole new, revamped gambling show. Let's

0:02:44.400 --> 0:02:46.160
<v Speaker 2>get to the big stories in the NFL.

0:02:46.240 --> 0:02:49.480
<v Speaker 3>Go right ahead, all right, So Travis Kelsey went down

0:02:49.480 --> 0:02:52.080
<v Speaker 3>in practice with a hyper extended knee a few days.

0:02:51.880 --> 0:02:53.639
<v Speaker 2>Ago or leg whichever.

0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:57.040
<v Speaker 3>His brother Jason Kelsey, you got it, yea, His brother

0:02:57.120 --> 0:02:59.519
<v Speaker 3>Jason Kelsey seems to think that he's gonna be fine,

0:03:00.040 --> 0:03:02.960
<v Speaker 3>and we think they might play tonight, but we're not

0:03:02.960 --> 0:03:06.360
<v Speaker 3>one hundred percent sure. So without Kelsey one d percent,

0:03:06.639 --> 0:03:08.400
<v Speaker 3>it's not too late to take back your twenty to

0:03:08.480 --> 0:03:11.200
<v Speaker 3>ozero Chiefs bet Are you feeling a little bit of

0:03:11.200 --> 0:03:12.040
<v Speaker 3>a doubt right now?

0:03:13.160 --> 0:03:15.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay, you guys are just trying to bait me into

0:03:15.200 --> 0:03:17.839
<v Speaker 2>showing the never a Doubt tattoo, which I don't mind doing.

0:03:17.880 --> 0:03:19.240
<v Speaker 2>I can do it, I don't know how to do

0:03:19.280 --> 0:03:22.360
<v Speaker 2>it on this camera. Angle there it is. I'm feeling

0:03:22.360 --> 0:03:25.560
<v Speaker 2>no doubt, Clark Hunt when on television the owner of

0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:29.000
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs today said he thought Travis might play. But

0:03:29.360 --> 0:03:33.920
<v Speaker 2>here's the thing. I don't want Travis to play. And

0:03:33.960 --> 0:03:40.440
<v Speaker 2>it's not even because of the potential for reinjury, because

0:03:40.920 --> 0:03:44.360
<v Speaker 2>seems like all the sports doctors out there are saying

0:03:44.840 --> 0:03:49.000
<v Speaker 2>because there was no structural damage. It's a bone bruise

0:03:49.080 --> 0:03:53.080
<v Speaker 2>after the hyper extension, and because of that, it's more

0:03:53.120 --> 0:03:57.680
<v Speaker 2>of a pain tolerance thing than a reinjury thing. So

0:03:57.720 --> 0:04:00.480
<v Speaker 2>it's not that I don't want Travis to play because

0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:02.720
<v Speaker 2>I'm worried he's gonna get hurt again. The guy has

0:04:02.760 --> 0:04:07.400
<v Speaker 2>been pretty indestructible throughout his career. In the last nine years,

0:04:07.760 --> 0:04:11.560
<v Speaker 2>he's missed three games, twice because the Chiefs were so

0:04:11.720 --> 0:04:13.680
<v Speaker 2>good he didn't have to play the final week of

0:04:13.720 --> 0:04:17.040
<v Speaker 2>the season, and once because of COVID protocols. He has

0:04:17.080 --> 0:04:20.040
<v Speaker 2>not missed a game due to injuries since his rookie season,

0:04:20.360 --> 0:04:24.360
<v Speaker 2>when he had knee surgery. The reason that I don't

0:04:24.440 --> 0:04:28.560
<v Speaker 2>want Travis to play is because I want the Chiefs

0:04:29.000 --> 0:04:33.480
<v Speaker 2>to send a message to the entire NFL. I want

0:04:33.520 --> 0:04:36.600
<v Speaker 2>without the best defensive player in the sport, Chris Jones,

0:04:36.839 --> 0:04:39.520
<v Speaker 2>without the best tight end ever who's also the biggest

0:04:39.520 --> 0:04:43.479
<v Speaker 2>weapon in the sport, and against a trendy Super Bowl

0:04:43.520 --> 0:04:47.760
<v Speaker 2>pick the frisky Detroit Lions, for the Chiefs to lay

0:04:47.800 --> 0:04:51.279
<v Speaker 2>the SmackDown on him without two of their three best

0:04:51.279 --> 0:04:56.840
<v Speaker 2>players throwing passes to Gadarius Tony and Justin Ross and

0:04:56.960 --> 0:05:01.960
<v Speaker 2>Noah Gray and to leave no question whatsoever who the

0:05:02.000 --> 0:05:03.960
<v Speaker 2>team to beat in the league this year is because

0:05:04.600 --> 0:05:07.840
<v Speaker 2>a very curious thing demanse has happened, which is, I

0:05:07.880 --> 0:05:11.440
<v Speaker 2>know you've been watching a lot of sports television, consuming

0:05:11.480 --> 0:05:14.120
<v Speaker 2>a lot of it. You know what I've seen. I've

0:05:14.120 --> 0:05:18.279
<v Speaker 2>seen a lot of people picking teams not named the

0:05:18.360 --> 0:05:21.640
<v Speaker 2>Kansas City Chiefs to not only win the Super Bowl,

0:05:21.920 --> 0:05:27.320
<v Speaker 2>but win the AFC. I saw the NFL dot Com

0:05:27.839 --> 0:05:30.480
<v Speaker 2>twenty five of their thirty four picked someone on the

0:05:30.560 --> 0:05:34.480
<v Speaker 2>Chiefs on what was it? Yes, no, it wasn't the ESPN,

0:05:34.560 --> 0:05:37.800
<v Speaker 2>Fox Sports, our own company. Let me ask you this,

0:05:37.839 --> 0:05:41.679
<v Speaker 2>to Monsey, we had fifteen experts on foxsports dot Com

0:05:41.880 --> 0:05:45.599
<v Speaker 2>pick the Super Bowl. Of those fifteen, how many do

0:05:45.720 --> 0:05:48.320
<v Speaker 2>you think had the Chiefs in the Super Bowl? And

0:05:48.360 --> 0:05:50.240
<v Speaker 2>how many do you think had the Chiefs winning the

0:05:50.240 --> 0:05:52.640
<v Speaker 2>Super Bowl? Give it a guess.

0:05:53.120 --> 0:05:56.920
<v Speaker 3>Uh three maybe had him in the Super Bowl and

0:05:57.000 --> 0:05:58.000
<v Speaker 3>one had him winning.

0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:02.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you almost got it. Exactly four had a minute,

0:06:02.640 --> 0:06:06.360
<v Speaker 2>two had him winning. Eleven of our fifteen experts, then guy,

0:06:06.440 --> 0:06:09.360
<v Speaker 2>they can't even win the AFC. Thirteen of the fifteen

0:06:09.680 --> 0:06:12.039
<v Speaker 2>say they can't win the Super Bowl. I just saw

0:06:12.080 --> 0:06:17.800
<v Speaker 2>a screenshot from Get Up ESPN's morning show. Their four

0:06:17.880 --> 0:06:21.400
<v Speaker 2>experts all picked the Super Bowl the AFS. Three of

0:06:21.440 --> 0:06:24.680
<v Speaker 2>the four picked the Niners to win it, one the

0:06:24.800 --> 0:06:30.400
<v Speaker 2>Ravens to win it, and the three who so somebody

0:06:30.400 --> 0:06:33.080
<v Speaker 2>had the Ravens winning the AFC, and the three who

0:06:33.080 --> 0:06:36.080
<v Speaker 2>picked the Niners to win the NFC had them playing

0:06:36.200 --> 0:06:40.560
<v Speaker 2>in the Super Bowl. The Jets, the Bills, the Bengals.

0:06:40.920 --> 0:06:44.719
<v Speaker 2>You know what it feels like somehow coming off seventeen

0:06:44.760 --> 0:06:47.760
<v Speaker 2>and three, a league MVP winning the Super Bowl on

0:06:47.760 --> 0:06:52.320
<v Speaker 2>one leg, nobody believes in us. Again, Hey, everybody, everybody

0:06:52.920 --> 0:06:57.160
<v Speaker 2>year bulletin We need the bulletin boards. So for all

0:06:57.200 --> 0:07:02.920
<v Speaker 2>those reasons, I hope Kelseys chills out. I also do

0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:05.240
<v Speaker 2>kind of hope Chris Jones, like runs out of the

0:07:05.240 --> 0:07:08.280
<v Speaker 2>tunnel with a contract, get the crowd fired up, even

0:07:08.279 --> 0:07:10.920
<v Speaker 2>though he can't play like an old school wrestling thing,

0:07:11.000 --> 0:07:15.240
<v Speaker 2>like good god, that's Chris Jones' music. But yeah, I'm

0:07:15.280 --> 0:07:20.040
<v Speaker 2>not I'm not concerned about Kelsey long term. He's gonna

0:07:20.080 --> 0:07:23.240
<v Speaker 2>be fine, and it looks like they avoided massive injury.

0:07:23.480 --> 0:07:26.320
<v Speaker 2>One other note on this before me move on. When

0:07:26.360 --> 0:07:29.600
<v Speaker 2>I first got to Houston, JJ Watt was coming off

0:07:29.600 --> 0:07:33.600
<v Speaker 2>his rookie year. In training camp, he hyper extended his

0:07:33.640 --> 0:07:36.440
<v Speaker 2>elbow and people worried, oh my god, he could have

0:07:36.520 --> 0:07:39.480
<v Speaker 2>torn ligaments. He ended up being very fortunate there was

0:07:39.520 --> 0:07:42.280
<v Speaker 2>no structural damage. They're like, oh, we dodged a bullet.

0:07:42.520 --> 0:07:44.280
<v Speaker 2>He was our first round pick last year, came on

0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:46.400
<v Speaker 2>strong at the end of the year. He finished that

0:07:46.480 --> 0:07:48.400
<v Speaker 2>year with twenty and a half sacks and one Defensive

0:07:48.400 --> 0:07:50.520
<v Speaker 2>Player of the Year. So all I'm saying is all

0:07:50.560 --> 0:07:55.200
<v Speaker 2>time legendary players. The hyper extension that could have gone terribly,

0:07:55.280 --> 0:07:59.920
<v Speaker 2>but you avoid injury. Oh boy, Yiannis before the NBA Finals,

0:08:00.240 --> 0:08:03.000
<v Speaker 2>remember hyper extended his knee. It looked like, oh my god,

0:08:03.080 --> 0:08:06.280
<v Speaker 2>he might have torn all his ligaments. He then scored

0:08:06.320 --> 0:08:08.960
<v Speaker 2>fifty to win the championship and averaged forty a game

0:08:09.040 --> 0:08:13.160
<v Speaker 2>for the last five games. Great athlete. To avoid devastating injury,

0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:16.320
<v Speaker 2>you know, they can sometimes become more dangerous.

0:08:16.320 --> 0:08:19.800
<v Speaker 3>Go ahead, So we got a question from the chat

0:08:20.160 --> 0:08:23.400
<v Speaker 3>from jose log. Wow, already, this is Nick. Do you

0:08:23.440 --> 0:08:26.920
<v Speaker 3>believe in Jinxes? Now Kelsey injures the knee his knee

0:08:26.960 --> 0:08:28.720
<v Speaker 3>the same day that you said that you don't believe

0:08:28.720 --> 0:08:29.440
<v Speaker 3>in Jinx's.

0:08:29.840 --> 0:08:33.199
<v Speaker 2>Can't be a coincidence? Can it? Do you believe in

0:08:33.320 --> 0:08:37.920
<v Speaker 2>Jinx's demonse? Yes and no?

0:08:38.440 --> 0:08:41.200
<v Speaker 3>And I don't know how to explain why yes and no,

0:08:41.920 --> 0:08:45.000
<v Speaker 3>but but yes kind of I kind of believe in

0:08:45.000 --> 0:08:48.679
<v Speaker 3>that does. And I kind of believe that. You jinks, Travis.

0:08:48.440 --> 0:08:54.600
<v Speaker 2>Kelcey, Okay, I jinks. The idea that there is something

0:08:54.880 --> 0:08:59.280
<v Speaker 2>I could say from half the country away and it

0:08:59.360 --> 0:09:03.280
<v Speaker 2>impacts Ravis Kelsey's health of his knee is just nonsense.

0:09:04.240 --> 0:09:09.120
<v Speaker 3>Vibes man, the vibe that it puts out into the atmosphere.

0:09:10.000 --> 0:09:13.080
<v Speaker 2>This is I don't believe in Jinx's and I think

0:09:13.120 --> 0:09:17.480
<v Speaker 2>I proved that by getting a Chiefs related tattoo saying

0:09:17.520 --> 0:09:20.440
<v Speaker 2>they're gonna go twenty to oh and guaranteeing the Super Bowl.

0:09:20.520 --> 0:09:23.960
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about tonight's game, Demons, what's next? All right?

0:09:24.040 --> 0:09:26.400
<v Speaker 3>So we talked about long term for the Chiefs, let's

0:09:26.440 --> 0:09:29.760
<v Speaker 3>talk about short term. Got no pass rush from Chris

0:09:29.840 --> 0:09:32.720
<v Speaker 3>Jones and no true number one target for Patrick Mahomes

0:09:32.720 --> 0:09:36.240
<v Speaker 3>and Travis Kelcey. Should we hammer the Lions money line tonight?

0:09:36.679 --> 0:09:42.880
<v Speaker 2>Okay? Stop it? Listen. Patrick Mahomes in week ones averages

0:09:42.920 --> 0:09:45.680
<v Speaker 2>thirty eight points a game is eighteen touchdowns no picks

0:09:45.920 --> 0:09:49.240
<v Speaker 2>is five and zero, has a nearly perfect passer rating.

0:09:49.559 --> 0:09:53.480
<v Speaker 2>The Chiefs fewest points they've ever scored in a Week

0:09:53.600 --> 0:09:57.840
<v Speaker 2>one game under Patrick Mahomes is thirty three points. Extrap

0:09:58.080 --> 0:10:02.520
<v Speaker 2>take that out further. Wait, that's true. The lowest amounts. Yeah,

0:10:02.520 --> 0:10:07.040
<v Speaker 2>they've scored thirty three, thirty four, thirty eight, forty and

0:10:07.200 --> 0:10:10.959
<v Speaker 2>forty four. That's what they've done in his five Week

0:10:11.080 --> 0:10:15.160
<v Speaker 2>one games. So let's go further. Patrick Mahomes in his

0:10:15.280 --> 0:10:19.960
<v Speaker 2>career in weeks one through four is seventeen and three

0:10:20.480 --> 0:10:26.120
<v Speaker 2>with sixty touchdowns and six interceptions. The Chiefs have won

0:10:26.320 --> 0:10:30.520
<v Speaker 2>seven consecutive home or seven consecutive Week one games under

0:10:30.559 --> 0:10:37.079
<v Speaker 2>Andy Reid. You, then, I remind everybody the one game

0:10:37.160 --> 0:10:41.160
<v Speaker 2>Mahomes is played in his career without Kelsey, the COVID

0:10:41.240 --> 0:10:46.600
<v Speaker 2>game December of twenty one against a playoff team, the

0:10:46.640 --> 0:10:50.840
<v Speaker 2>Pittsburgh Steelers. They scored thirty six points and Mahomes played

0:10:50.920 --> 0:10:54.080
<v Speaker 2>perfect football. Oh, Nick, but that team at Tyreek Hill.

0:10:54.320 --> 0:10:57.199
<v Speaker 2>Tyreek Hill had two catches for nineteen yards in that game.

0:10:57.480 --> 0:11:02.600
<v Speaker 2>Byron Pringle and Derek were the Chiefs leading receivers. One

0:11:02.640 --> 0:11:06.559
<v Speaker 2>of those guys is a running back that the Detroit Lions,

0:11:08.080 --> 0:11:10.520
<v Speaker 2>and I know Demons. Last year you thought I wasn't

0:11:10.559 --> 0:11:16.280
<v Speaker 2>giving golf enough credit. He was awesome at home on

0:11:16.320 --> 0:11:20.319
<v Speaker 2>the road, outside of the friendly confines, of the perfect

0:11:20.360 --> 0:11:22.920
<v Speaker 2>weather and the dome and the perfect footing, all of

0:11:22.960 --> 0:11:26.400
<v Speaker 2>that all year long on the road. Six touchdowns, four picks,

0:11:26.880 --> 0:11:29.960
<v Speaker 2>eighty three passer rating was not great on the road.

0:11:31.800 --> 0:11:34.800
<v Speaker 2>You keep talking about worry about the jinxes. I'm not

0:11:34.840 --> 0:11:37.640
<v Speaker 2>worried about the jinks. Now. The Lions might be able

0:11:37.679 --> 0:11:40.160
<v Speaker 2>to score some points now. I think the Chiefs defense

0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:43.240
<v Speaker 2>could be very good this year, but obviously they need

0:11:43.320 --> 0:11:48.160
<v Speaker 2>Chris Jones for that. I know the Chiefs offense is

0:11:48.200 --> 0:11:52.440
<v Speaker 2>scoring a minimum of thirty tonight. I'd set the actual

0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:55.079
<v Speaker 2>total at thirty eight. I think the Chiefs will score

0:11:55.240 --> 0:11:58.600
<v Speaker 2>thirty eight tonight without Kelsey. Can they win the Super

0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:02.280
<v Speaker 2>Bowl without Kelsey Jones? Of course not. Can they beat

0:12:02.360 --> 0:12:05.800
<v Speaker 2>the Lions? Of course they can. At the home opener,

0:12:05.880 --> 0:12:10.480
<v Speaker 2>dropping the banner and glass half full? Is this if

0:12:10.559 --> 0:12:16.080
<v Speaker 2>Kelsey doesn't play? Kadarius Tony gets more involved, gets the

0:12:16.120 --> 0:12:19.199
<v Speaker 2>season off from the start. Yeah, picking up where he

0:12:19.320 --> 0:12:22.720
<v Speaker 2>left off touchdown in the Super Bowl. Sky Moore, who

0:12:22.760 --> 0:12:25.840
<v Speaker 2>had a brutal, not a brutal but a disappointing rookie year,

0:12:26.160 --> 0:12:28.600
<v Speaker 2>but then scored a touchdown in the Super Bowl. He

0:12:28.679 --> 0:12:32.720
<v Speaker 2>gets the ball more and demonse a guy that you're

0:12:32.720 --> 0:12:35.800
<v Speaker 2>not familiar with, but America is gonna become familiar with

0:12:35.840 --> 0:12:39.280
<v Speaker 2>Blue Dog folks. Clip this please, and let's send it

0:12:39.320 --> 0:12:42.760
<v Speaker 2>out sometime tonight right around the time. This guy makes

0:12:42.760 --> 0:12:48.720
<v Speaker 2>a huge play. Justin Ross. So Justin Ross demanse as

0:12:48.760 --> 0:12:56.000
<v Speaker 2>a freshman at Clemson in the National Championship Game with

0:12:56.240 --> 0:13:00.000
<v Speaker 2>the Prince who was promised throwing him passes. Justin Ross

0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:04.160
<v Speaker 2>actually in as a true freshman in the semi fin

0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:08.480
<v Speaker 2>in the playoffs, had three hundred yards in two games

0:13:08.920 --> 0:13:12.520
<v Speaker 2>as a guy who had just turned nineteen. He then

0:13:12.760 --> 0:13:18.040
<v Speaker 2>found out he had some spinal cord congenital spinal cord thing,

0:13:18.880 --> 0:13:23.640
<v Speaker 2>and he went from a no doubt first round pick

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:28.920
<v Speaker 2>to undrafted. He then, after the Chiefs drafted him, had

0:13:28.960 --> 0:13:32.000
<v Speaker 2>to have foot surgery, I'm sorry, after the Chiefs signed

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:34.640
<v Speaker 2>him in undrafted free agency, had to have foot surgery

0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:38.839
<v Speaker 2>and missed a whole year. But at camp this year,

0:13:39.160 --> 0:13:43.760
<v Speaker 2>woo ooh, Justin Ross looking like that five star kid

0:13:43.760 --> 0:13:46.360
<v Speaker 2>out of high school. Looking like the nineteen year old

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:49.240
<v Speaker 2>that lit the world on fire. Justin Ross. People are

0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:51.480
<v Speaker 2>gonna be like, is that the kid from Clemson? Oh?

0:13:51.520 --> 0:13:54.120
<v Speaker 2>It is the kid from Clemson, not worried about the

0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:56.280
<v Speaker 2>Chiefs offense, just flatly not worried about it.

0:13:56.920 --> 0:14:01.160
<v Speaker 3>Well, I hope this justin Ross thing works out for you.

0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:03.760
<v Speaker 2>Who do you got tonight? Who do you got tonight?

0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:06.719
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I'm not gonna pick the Lions to win

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:09.240
<v Speaker 2>the game, but there you go, there you go. That's

0:14:09.280 --> 0:14:12.280
<v Speaker 2>all I need it, That's all I needed everybody. There's

0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:15.760
<v Speaker 2>the same thing Bruceard does to me on TV. He's like, oh,

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:18.160
<v Speaker 2>you're over the top. Oh this, oh that, And I'm like, okay,

0:14:18.160 --> 0:14:22.360
<v Speaker 2>who you got? He's like, I'll take this exactly all right,

0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:24.560
<v Speaker 2>new segment alert, go ahead.

0:14:25.040 --> 0:14:27.080
<v Speaker 3>All right, to start off the football season, let's play

0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:30.160
<v Speaker 3>a new game. I'm gonna call this one planting your flag.

0:14:30.800 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 3>You make five takes each month, and we're actually gonna

0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:34.880
<v Speaker 3>hold you accountable.

0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:35.560
<v Speaker 2>Oh we love that.

0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 3>Uh, you have to you have to switch two takes

0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:41.120
<v Speaker 3>every month. So if you have five great takes, you

0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:44.440
<v Speaker 3>have to cut two good ones. So okay, plant your

0:14:44.440 --> 0:14:47.440
<v Speaker 3>flag on five things you're sure will happen this year,

0:14:47.480 --> 0:14:49.080
<v Speaker 3>and we'll revisit this in October.

0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:53.600
<v Speaker 2>Okay, So at first I thought these were supposed to

0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:57.000
<v Speaker 2>be five predictions just for the next month, but these

0:14:57.040 --> 0:15:01.920
<v Speaker 2>are season long takes that and we're gonna adjust every month. Now,

0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:05.160
<v Speaker 2>this is hard for me because, as you guys know,

0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:09.760
<v Speaker 2>consistency for a reason so many great takes exactly right,

0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:12.240
<v Speaker 2>it's and it's hard because they're gonna ask me to

0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:16.280
<v Speaker 2>abandon two of these takes a month from now, I'm

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:19.560
<v Speaker 2>gonna say it. So I almost want to throw in

0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:23.800
<v Speaker 2>some bad ones just so we don't have to abandon

0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 2>good ones. But we won't do that, all right. The

0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:32.320
<v Speaker 2>first take in the obvious take is that everyone, over

0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:36.760
<v Speaker 2>the course of the year is going to realize, oh,

0:15:37.200 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs did win the Super Bowl in a rebuilding year,

0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:45.280
<v Speaker 2>and now we have no answers for him that the

0:15:45.400 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 2>Chiefs are going every The NFL commentariot is going to

0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 2>have to couch all of their takes with this premise. Well,

0:15:56.240 --> 0:16:00.800
<v Speaker 2>obviously the Chiefs are the best team. But but if

0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:04.040
<v Speaker 2>something happens to Mahomes but if you know what I mean,

0:16:04.080 --> 0:16:08.000
<v Speaker 2>any given Sunday, but aside from them, every is just

0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:10.800
<v Speaker 2>gonna be a given that the Chiefs are heading shoulders

0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:14.520
<v Speaker 2>bet than everyone. That's the first one. Second one, the

0:16:14.640 --> 0:16:18.320
<v Speaker 2>Jacksonville Jaguars are gonna have a top five offense, the

0:16:18.400 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 2>Jacksonville Jaguars. And now I don't want to plant my

0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:25.920
<v Speaker 2>flag fully on the Jags winning twelve or thirteen games.

0:16:26.040 --> 0:16:28.720
<v Speaker 2>I believe that can happen, but I would like to

0:16:28.720 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 2>see the defense first, because I but I know they're

0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 2>gonna have a top five offense.

0:16:35.280 --> 0:16:39.520
<v Speaker 3>We get possibly the twenty well, the Chiefs going twenty

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 3>and oh will that make it? Will we plan a

0:16:41.040 --> 0:16:43.240
<v Speaker 3>flag on that one? Or are we not playing flags?

0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:45.280
<v Speaker 2>I already did that. I mean, I'm not trying to

0:16:45.360 --> 0:16:49.320
<v Speaker 2>you know, I'm trying to give unique things to this show. Yeah,

0:16:49.400 --> 0:16:52.960
<v Speaker 2>I mean the go ahead and add the go ahead

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:55.440
<v Speaker 2>and add to the Chiefs flag slash twenty and zero.

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 2>That's fine, Yeah, undefeated, that's gonna be one of the

0:16:58.640 --> 0:17:01.120
<v Speaker 2>ones that you take out and like we three. No,

0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:04.359
<v Speaker 2>I'm not gonna have to take that out. I'm not gonna. Okay,

0:17:04.359 --> 0:17:05.640
<v Speaker 2>but you know what, that's a good call to them

0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:08.240
<v Speaker 2>on say, in case something insane happens and they lose

0:17:08.280 --> 0:17:15.440
<v Speaker 2>a game. Now, that's an easy one to remove, all right,

0:17:15.520 --> 0:17:26.520
<v Speaker 2>the the Jets. The big story surrounding the Jets by Thanksgiving,

0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:31.400
<v Speaker 2>if not sooner, is going not going to be can

0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:34.120
<v Speaker 2>they win the super Bowl, but is going to be

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:43.440
<v Speaker 2>Robert Sala's job security. And my favorite see the future

0:17:43.520 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 2>opinion I've had in years, and I know you're listening.

0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:50.639
<v Speaker 2>You're like, Nick, you rank your favorite of your own opinions,

0:17:50.680 --> 0:17:52.200
<v Speaker 2>And the answer to that is, of course I do.

0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:56.320
<v Speaker 2>And this is maybe my favorite one is that Sala

0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:59.640
<v Speaker 2>gets fired. And I like Robert Sala as a guy,

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:03.760
<v Speaker 2>so I'm not this is this is just like my prediction.

0:18:03.920 --> 0:18:07.399
<v Speaker 2>Just wait, just wait for it. Sally gets fired. And

0:18:07.440 --> 0:18:12.040
<v Speaker 2>then after the year, Rogers goes to Woody Johnson and

0:18:12.160 --> 0:18:16.080
<v Speaker 2>it's like, you know, I'm you know, I'm thinking about

0:18:16.119 --> 0:18:19.639
<v Speaker 2>going back in that darkness retreat and I don't know

0:18:19.680 --> 0:18:23.520
<v Speaker 2>if I'm going to play next year. But I'll tell

0:18:23.560 --> 0:18:29.000
<v Speaker 2>you what, I would really push me in the comeback

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 2>direction if you make my old buddy Nat Hackett head coach.

0:18:35.359 --> 0:18:39.639
<v Speaker 2>That in not Hackett, who everybody flamed, but he's the

0:18:39.680 --> 0:18:42.960
<v Speaker 2>greatest man I've ever known, And go ahead and make

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:47.080
<v Speaker 2>him head coach. So that's prediction number three, that's plant

0:18:47.080 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 2>My flag number three. Number four is that Kyle Shanahan's

0:18:54.760 --> 0:19:01.400
<v Speaker 2>indecision and inability to identify a quarterback finally bites him

0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:05.639
<v Speaker 2>when all of a sudden Sam Darnold is playing for

0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:09.480
<v Speaker 2>the San Francisco forty nine ers, and that comes crumbling

0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:13.600
<v Speaker 2>down so that the Niners. I still think. Listen, I

0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:17.320
<v Speaker 2>still think the Niners playoff team. You like that one

0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:20.879
<v Speaker 2>a lot, Yeah, And I listen. The Niners have so

0:19:21.000 --> 0:19:23.960
<v Speaker 2>much talent, particularly well on both sides of the ball, really,

0:19:24.280 --> 0:19:27.200
<v Speaker 2>and the NFC is so weak that I think even

0:19:27.240 --> 0:19:31.000
<v Speaker 2>with a disastrous quarterback situation, they could make the playoffs.

0:19:31.320 --> 0:19:34.000
<v Speaker 2>But a lot of people think of the Niners this

0:19:34.119 --> 0:19:36.840
<v Speaker 2>year what I thought of them last year, which is

0:19:36.880 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 2>that they could win the best team could win the conference.

0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:47.040
<v Speaker 2>I think Purdy is a little smoking mirrors. And I

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 2>don't know that any quarterback under Shanahan's system can stay healthy.

0:19:52.040 --> 0:19:55.480
<v Speaker 2>Everybody kill Like if all your quarterbacks get hurt every

0:19:55.560 --> 0:19:57.800
<v Speaker 2>year at some point, it might be a bit of

0:19:57.840 --> 0:20:01.360
<v Speaker 2>the system. And so and if Darnold gets in there,

0:20:01.400 --> 0:20:04.440
<v Speaker 2>who he compared to Steve Young, Like, give me a break, there,

0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:05.360
<v Speaker 2>go ahead.

0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:07.480
<v Speaker 3>They're getting hurt in some like wild kind of ways

0:20:07.480 --> 0:20:09.760
<v Speaker 3>that I don't know if you can necessarily blame it

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:11.080
<v Speaker 3>on the system.

0:20:11.480 --> 0:20:14.680
<v Speaker 2>I mean, well, brock Perdy got hurt because they left

0:20:14.680 --> 0:20:18.520
<v Speaker 2>a son Reddick unblocked because they wanted to send someone

0:20:18.560 --> 0:20:22.400
<v Speaker 2>out in a route like the if everyone if I

0:20:22.520 --> 0:20:28.399
<v Speaker 2>ran door Dash competitor, and everyone's like, oh my god,

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:36.440
<v Speaker 2>Nick's company, it's amazing. They get me my food faster

0:20:36.600 --> 0:20:40.040
<v Speaker 2>than door Dasher, Postmates or Grubhub. How does he do it?

0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:44.880
<v Speaker 2>And the secret was thirteen drivers a week get hit

0:20:44.920 --> 0:20:48.720
<v Speaker 2>by cars because I haven't disobeyed the traffic signals. At

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:50.880
<v Speaker 2>some point there would be like a push in a pull.

0:20:51.200 --> 0:20:56.920
<v Speaker 2>Everyone's like, oh my god, Shanahan's system. It's so indefensible.

0:20:57.240 --> 0:21:02.520
<v Speaker 2>Yet every year multiple quarterbacks getting under it, Like so

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:07.280
<v Speaker 2>I mean these things might be at least a little correlated. Uh,

0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:10.680
<v Speaker 2>all right, and then so I need one more. So

0:21:10.840 --> 0:21:13.000
<v Speaker 2>that was a you know what, I'm gonna go ahead.

0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:14.880
<v Speaker 2>And I also have a running list in my head

0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:16.840
<v Speaker 2>of on the fly analogies. That was one of my

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:24.800
<v Speaker 2>better ones, all right, last one. Bijon Robinson, as a rookie,

0:21:25.400 --> 0:21:31.760
<v Speaker 2>is already considered the best running back in football. I'm

0:21:31.800 --> 0:21:34.240
<v Speaker 2>not even gonna couch it on really really good every

0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:36.840
<v Speaker 2>I think it's gonna be really really good. But Bjeen

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:43.560
<v Speaker 2>Robinson is widely considered the best running back in the NFL.

0:21:44.200 --> 0:21:47.159
<v Speaker 2>So we're planning my flag on twenty and zero and

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:52.440
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs ruin all football commentary, uh Hackett hot seat,

0:21:52.880 --> 0:21:58.000
<v Speaker 2>JAG's top five offense, Shanahan's quarterback stuff bites him, and

0:21:58.040 --> 0:22:00.920
<v Speaker 2>Bijeon already being the best running back in the NFL.

0:22:01.240 --> 0:22:05.199
<v Speaker 2>All right, the next thing we're doing here, Demansay is

0:22:05.280 --> 0:22:08.639
<v Speaker 2>you were not here because it was your sister's final show.

0:22:09.000 --> 0:22:11.720
<v Speaker 2>Our schedule for the people watching right now with the

0:22:11.720 --> 0:22:14.760
<v Speaker 2>podcast audience, because we didn't do a show last Thursday,

0:22:15.320 --> 0:22:17.720
<v Speaker 2>and I had promised that we would, we didn't do

0:22:17.760 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 2>a show all of last week. Kind of screwed up

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:22.080
<v Speaker 2>our schedule. So I'd like to apologize for that. That's

0:22:22.160 --> 0:22:28.240
<v Speaker 2>nobody's fault, just so everybody knows what happened Tuesday. Last Tuesday,

0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:32.600
<v Speaker 2>we couldn't do a pod because there was I needed

0:22:32.640 --> 0:22:36.480
<v Speaker 2>to host Collins TV show and my TV show, so

0:22:36.520 --> 0:22:39.240
<v Speaker 2>that doesn't allow me to do the pod. And then

0:22:39.400 --> 0:22:45.359
<v Speaker 2>Thursday we had there was an important there was essentially

0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:48.639
<v Speaker 2>a meeting that we had to have for the TV

0:22:48.760 --> 0:22:52.360
<v Speaker 2>show involving some folks who were in from LA and

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:55.080
<v Speaker 2>bruce Ard and Wilde. And the only time the La

0:22:55.200 --> 0:22:58.760
<v Speaker 2>folks and bruce Ard and Wilds everybody could do it

0:22:58.960 --> 0:23:02.399
<v Speaker 2>was at this time. I'm on Thursday, So I sacrificed

0:23:02.400 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 2>the pod. But because of that, we then everything got

0:23:05.800 --> 0:23:08.800
<v Speaker 2>pushed back. Demand was supposed to be here for our

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 2>season preview show, but I didn't want Diora to not

0:23:12.119 --> 0:23:14.880
<v Speaker 2>get a farewell show. So that's why we're all kind

0:23:14.920 --> 0:23:16.680
<v Speaker 2>of condensed right now. I don't know if you guys

0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:19.360
<v Speaker 2>care about that, but that is I don't want anybody

0:23:19.359 --> 0:23:21.960
<v Speaker 2>who's watching right now we're listening to think that this

0:23:22.160 --> 0:23:24.840
<v Speaker 2>is you know that I do these things haphazardly, just

0:23:24.920 --> 0:23:29.439
<v Speaker 2>sometimes life jumps in. So in the season preview show,

0:23:30.160 --> 0:23:34.879
<v Speaker 2>we had eight season win totals that we actually bet.

0:23:35.240 --> 0:23:37.359
<v Speaker 2>If you want to hear listen back to that season

0:23:37.760 --> 0:23:40.439
<v Speaker 2>preview show. You can hear our thoughts on all thirty

0:23:40.480 --> 0:23:43.800
<v Speaker 2>two win totals, but we had eight that we actually bet.

0:23:44.119 --> 0:23:46.920
<v Speaker 2>We bet the Bears under seven and a half wins

0:23:47.280 --> 0:23:50.320
<v Speaker 2>the Cowboys instead of taking over ten and a half

0:23:50.600 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 2>at minus money. We took them, I'm sorry, at over

0:23:53.400 --> 0:23:55.400
<v Speaker 2>nine and a half at minus money. We took them

0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:58.280
<v Speaker 2>over ten and a half at plus money. The Jags,

0:23:58.320 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 2>we did the same thing instead of nine and a half,

0:24:00.080 --> 0:24:01.560
<v Speaker 2>took them over ten and a half and plus a

0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:04.520
<v Speaker 2>lot case obviously over eleven and a half because they

0:24:04.560 --> 0:24:08.359
<v Speaker 2>win twelve every year. The Patriots over seven and a

0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:11.720
<v Speaker 2>half because they won eight games last year with Mac

0:24:11.840 --> 0:24:15.080
<v Speaker 2>playing worse than he could possibly play in terrible coaching situation.

0:24:15.560 --> 0:24:19.000
<v Speaker 2>The Eagles under eleven and a half because their schedules

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 2>not as soft, and I think they come back to

0:24:20.600 --> 0:24:22.879
<v Speaker 2>the pack a bit. And it should be noted no

0:24:23.040 --> 0:24:26.480
<v Speaker 2>team has won back to back NFC East titles in

0:24:26.640 --> 0:24:29.679
<v Speaker 2>twenty years, yet everyone's penciling the Eagles in for it.

0:24:29.960 --> 0:24:31.760
<v Speaker 2>The Niners at under ten and a half for the

0:24:31.800 --> 0:24:34.240
<v Speaker 2>reasons I just mentioned, and the Seahawks at over eight

0:24:34.280 --> 0:24:35.639
<v Speaker 2>and a half because I think they're gonna win the

0:24:35.640 --> 0:24:40.200
<v Speaker 2>division of those win total bets demands anyone jump out

0:24:40.240 --> 0:24:43.320
<v Speaker 2>to you that you love or that you really dislike anything.

0:24:43.400 --> 0:24:45.879
<v Speaker 3>I think New England's gonna get more than seven wins.

0:24:46.720 --> 0:24:48.560
<v Speaker 3>I think New England off the top is gonna get

0:24:48.560 --> 0:24:49.439
<v Speaker 3>more than seven wins.

0:24:50.880 --> 0:24:52.800
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so you're with me on that because I've got

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:54.640
<v Speaker 2>them over seven and a half. What else?

0:24:55.080 --> 0:24:58.280
<v Speaker 3>Oh, you know, I honestly saw that as a US

0:24:58.359 --> 0:24:58.800
<v Speaker 3>working out.

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:03.600
<v Speaker 2>No, that's okay. No, the unders that we have our Chicago, Philly,

0:25:03.720 --> 0:25:04.400
<v Speaker 2>San Francisco.

0:25:04.480 --> 0:25:08.120
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I saw an opening on the top of it.

0:25:08.520 --> 0:25:14.240
<v Speaker 3>Uh so, yeah, dude, it's uh that I don't.

0:25:14.280 --> 0:25:14.520
<v Speaker 2>I don't.

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:17.200
<v Speaker 3>I don't find anything wrong with your win totals. Wait, actually,

0:25:17.400 --> 0:25:19.720
<v Speaker 3>Chicago under seven and a half. I think they can

0:25:19.760 --> 0:25:20.760
<v Speaker 3>win nine games this year.

0:25:22.359 --> 0:25:29.480
<v Speaker 2>Okay, that demandse loves the running quarterback, loves them helas

0:25:30.600 --> 0:25:34.760
<v Speaker 2>Justin Fields, Daniel Jones. We're gonna get to some Lamar

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:38.440
<v Speaker 2>Jackson stuff in a moment. I mean, just loves it is.

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:41.879
<v Speaker 2>Can't get enough of the running quarterback. So that actually

0:25:42.359 --> 0:25:42.800
<v Speaker 2>what I say.

0:25:43.640 --> 0:25:46.080
<v Speaker 3>I saw those couple of little screen passes that Justin

0:25:46.119 --> 0:25:52.040
<v Speaker 3>Fields had over the preseason. I like what I'm seeing

0:25:52.359 --> 0:25:55.920
<v Speaker 3>before they even get to the defenders. Go ahead, Sorry, no.

0:25:55.920 --> 0:25:58.400
<v Speaker 2>You're fine. I I agree with you. In large part.

0:25:58.480 --> 0:26:03.639
<v Speaker 2>Here's my feeling on Chicago. They could more than triple

0:26:03.760 --> 0:26:07.840
<v Speaker 2>their win total from last year. They could increase their

0:26:07.880 --> 0:26:11.880
<v Speaker 2>win total from last year by five wins and hit

0:26:11.920 --> 0:26:15.280
<v Speaker 2>the under. They could have a great year and hit

0:26:15.320 --> 0:26:17.600
<v Speaker 2>the under, so I'm going with the under. I think

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:20.159
<v Speaker 2>that their ceiling is seven to ten, all right, the

0:26:20.240 --> 0:26:25.119
<v Speaker 2>division winner bets. So I kind of coupled these into

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:30.560
<v Speaker 2>two groups, which are three semi long shots. I only

0:26:30.600 --> 0:26:32.920
<v Speaker 2>need to go one for three to break even, two

0:26:32.920 --> 0:26:35.440
<v Speaker 2>for three and make a lot of money, and then

0:26:35.520 --> 0:26:39.280
<v Speaker 2>two not long shots but not favorites. So the Dolphins

0:26:39.320 --> 0:26:42.760
<v Speaker 2>to win their division at plus two ninety, Pittsburgh to

0:26:42.800 --> 0:26:47.080
<v Speaker 2>win the AFC North at plus four seventy, and Green

0:26:47.200 --> 0:26:51.280
<v Speaker 2>Bay to win the NFC North at plus three fifty.

0:26:51.400 --> 0:26:53.440
<v Speaker 2>The Pittsburgh bet is the one I want to talk

0:26:53.440 --> 0:26:56.679
<v Speaker 2>to you about because it's kind of in lockstep with

0:26:56.720 --> 0:27:00.199
<v Speaker 2>the fact that I have Baltimore missing the playoffs. I

0:27:00.240 --> 0:27:03.159
<v Speaker 2>know you're very high on the Ravens, your thoughts.

0:27:04.560 --> 0:27:08.399
<v Speaker 3>Well a couple of things on there with Miami. I

0:27:08.400 --> 0:27:11.440
<v Speaker 3>don't even see them winning that division. I honestly think

0:27:11.480 --> 0:27:13.720
<v Speaker 3>the Jets could win that division. I think that the

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:16.919
<v Speaker 3>Jets mean everything that they've been saying. I think that

0:27:16.920 --> 0:27:21.879
<v Speaker 3>they're going to surprise people. And obviously the Ravens, you

0:27:22.000 --> 0:27:25.439
<v Speaker 3>got them missing the playoffs. Entirely, which is just pretty crazy.

0:27:25.560 --> 0:27:28.480
<v Speaker 3>I think that if Odell Beckham says healthy the entire year,

0:27:29.359 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 3>which is I don't know if that's a big ask,

0:27:31.520 --> 0:27:34.600
<v Speaker 3>but sure there's no way that they're missing the playoffs entirely,

0:27:35.080 --> 0:27:36.919
<v Speaker 3>like not enough to be a wild card and at

0:27:36.960 --> 0:27:42.200
<v Speaker 3>least like sneaking. I just don't see that Steelers winning

0:27:42.200 --> 0:27:42.679
<v Speaker 3>that division.

0:27:42.680 --> 0:27:46.239
<v Speaker 2>To me is crazy. But so the argument for the

0:27:46.240 --> 0:27:51.080
<v Speaker 2>Steelers is last year TJ. Watt missed seven games. He's

0:27:51.119 --> 0:27:55.800
<v Speaker 2>their best player. Canny Pickett had a terrible rookie season.

0:27:56.560 --> 0:27:58.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they were like mixing and matching with the quarterbacks,

0:27:58.680 --> 0:28:00.840
<v Speaker 3>I feel like, yeah.

0:28:00.119 --> 0:28:04.080
<v Speaker 2>And they still won nine games. So with TJ. Watt healthy,

0:28:04.400 --> 0:28:07.280
<v Speaker 2>with Pickett just taking a bit of a jump, can

0:28:07.320 --> 0:28:11.160
<v Speaker 2>they win eleven? I think yes. And I think Cincinnati

0:28:11.240 --> 0:28:13.160
<v Speaker 2>and Baltimore don't clear eleven.

0:28:13.840 --> 0:28:15.800
<v Speaker 3>That's I mean, that's exactly what I was about to say.

0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:18.480
<v Speaker 3>With Cincinnati and Baltimore in there, I don't think it'll matter.

0:28:18.560 --> 0:28:22.240
<v Speaker 2>But uh no, that's most people agree with you. That's

0:28:22.240 --> 0:28:25.920
<v Speaker 2>why they're plus four to seventy and then the other two.

0:28:25.960 --> 0:28:28.480
<v Speaker 2>We don't have so much time on Atlanta plus two

0:28:28.520 --> 0:28:30.639
<v Speaker 2>to ten to win the division. In Seattle plus two

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:34.680
<v Speaker 2>thirty to win the division Atlanta. That's Bjean Robinson Bett

0:28:34.760 --> 0:28:38.000
<v Speaker 2>and kind of fading the Saints and Seattle. That is

0:28:38.080 --> 0:28:40.720
<v Speaker 2>just fully fading the forty nine ers. Yeah.

0:28:40.760 --> 0:28:42.960
<v Speaker 3>I was about to say, what's up with that? The

0:28:43.040 --> 0:28:45.120
<v Speaker 3>Seattle winning a division that the forty nine ers are

0:28:45.120 --> 0:28:46.800
<v Speaker 3>playing in. I get you just said everything that you

0:28:46.840 --> 0:28:50.440
<v Speaker 3>said about Shanahan's offense and his quarterbacks getting but at

0:28:50.440 --> 0:28:51.400
<v Speaker 3>the end of the day, I.

0:28:51.360 --> 0:28:55.080
<v Speaker 2>Just don't believe in that's it. It's just flatley and

0:28:55.160 --> 0:28:58.800
<v Speaker 2>I think Seattle. Seattle played more rookies last year than

0:28:58.840 --> 0:29:02.240
<v Speaker 2>any team in the NFL, so now all of a sudden,

0:29:02.240 --> 0:29:04.600
<v Speaker 2>I think those rookies have a little more experience, they're

0:29:04.680 --> 0:29:07.320
<v Speaker 2>even better. So I like Seattle in that spot.

0:29:07.560 --> 0:29:10.240
<v Speaker 3>And you don't think with Donald, with Donald being the

0:29:10.320 --> 0:29:12.760
<v Speaker 3>quarterback in the forty nine ers defense, you don't think

0:29:12.800 --> 0:29:15.880
<v Speaker 3>that they're capable of winning that division.

0:29:16.960 --> 0:29:20.000
<v Speaker 2>Okay, Jets had good defenses with him, Carolina had good

0:29:20.040 --> 0:29:23.200
<v Speaker 2>defenses with him. No, if Donald is the quarterback, I

0:29:23.280 --> 0:29:26.719
<v Speaker 2>am certain the Niners aren't winning the division. And then

0:29:26.760 --> 0:29:31.680
<v Speaker 2>a couple parlays demonse a Jags Chiefs win the division

0:29:31.720 --> 0:29:34.760
<v Speaker 2>parlay you get plus one fifty on that. You gotta

0:29:34.840 --> 0:29:37.920
<v Speaker 2>admit you love that. Bet the Jags and Chiefs just

0:29:38.000 --> 0:29:40.520
<v Speaker 2>win the division and we get plus one fifty. And

0:29:40.560 --> 0:29:43.720
<v Speaker 2>then my long shot one, which is why it's only

0:29:43.800 --> 0:29:47.280
<v Speaker 2>a quarter unit. Bet Pittsburgh, Miami, and Green Bay all

0:29:47.280 --> 0:29:50.680
<v Speaker 2>to win their divisions ninety nine to one. How about

0:29:50.720 --> 0:29:54.520
<v Speaker 2>that ninety nine to one on that. See, Demond hated

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 2>all three of those picks, but now he's gonna beat

0:29:57.800 --> 0:30:03.640
<v Speaker 2>fight it to happen. Then Demonse might put fifteen bucks

0:30:03.680 --> 0:30:06.280
<v Speaker 2>on ninety nine to one on the Eagles to win

0:30:06.400 --> 0:30:09.600
<v Speaker 2>last year's Super Bowl, Like, yeah, it's ninety nine to one, Like,

0:30:09.640 --> 0:30:11.800
<v Speaker 2>who knows, maybe they'll find out the game was rigged

0:30:12.440 --> 0:30:15.200
<v Speaker 2>all right? Now, make miss playoffs bet?

0:30:15.800 --> 0:30:15.920
<v Speaker 3>Uh.

0:30:16.160 --> 0:30:21.400
<v Speaker 2>The first one is similar to the Chiefs Jags division

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:23.920
<v Speaker 2>winning bets, but we added Dallas to just make a

0:30:23.960 --> 0:30:28.360
<v Speaker 2>playoffs plus one sixty. Brown's Jets Detroit to miss the

0:30:28.400 --> 0:30:31.280
<v Speaker 2>playoffs at plus even to fifty five for a quarter unit.

0:30:31.360 --> 0:30:34.240
<v Speaker 2>That's just a cursed franchise missed the playoffs. And then

0:30:34.960 --> 0:30:38.560
<v Speaker 2>one that I feel very strongly about, and you seem

0:30:38.600 --> 0:30:40.560
<v Speaker 2>to really disagree. This will be good for the show

0:30:40.600 --> 0:30:43.920
<v Speaker 2>all year, So you're buying into the Jets hype demonse.

0:30:44.800 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 3>I'm buying in I don't really like Aaron Rodgers, so like,

0:30:49.280 --> 0:30:53.760
<v Speaker 3>I feel like that's saying a lot. I just think

0:30:53.840 --> 0:30:56.720
<v Speaker 3>that with Aaron Rodgers being in this new situation, the

0:30:56.880 --> 0:31:00.320
<v Speaker 3>relationship has still got that new car smell, and like,

0:31:00.440 --> 0:31:03.160
<v Speaker 3>I think that this is a good switch up for him,

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:06.480
<v Speaker 3>and I think that he's gonna be He's gonna be there,

0:31:06.640 --> 0:31:09.320
<v Speaker 3>like mentally and physically. I don't think he's gonna be

0:31:09.400 --> 0:31:12.719
<v Speaker 3>checked out. The Jets obviously have a good defense. They

0:31:12.760 --> 0:31:17.200
<v Speaker 3>got Dalvin Cook. I think that, Hey, dude, but this

0:31:17.240 --> 0:31:20.680
<v Speaker 3>is they do have. They defacy do have a tough schedule.

0:31:20.760 --> 0:31:22.280
<v Speaker 3>Like their first six weeks is pretty tough.

0:31:22.400 --> 0:31:24.640
<v Speaker 2>Well, the first six weeks are brutal. If they come

0:31:24.640 --> 0:31:27.520
<v Speaker 2>out of the first six weeks three three, they can

0:31:27.640 --> 0:31:31.160
<v Speaker 2>be dangerous. I just don't know that they can do that.

0:31:31.640 --> 0:31:34.040
<v Speaker 2>But the other thing is this, this is the second

0:31:34.080 --> 0:31:39.200
<v Speaker 2>opinion you've given here to Monsey where the vast majority

0:31:39.240 --> 0:31:42.560
<v Speaker 2>of experts agree with you, not me, Like, this is

0:31:42.600 --> 0:31:45.160
<v Speaker 2>what you're saying is I am way more out of

0:31:45.280 --> 0:31:48.840
<v Speaker 2>step with mainstream on this than you are. So we'll see.

0:31:49.200 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 2>And then my Super Bowl pick Kansas City Dallas at

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:55.680
<v Speaker 2>thirty to one and Kansas defeat Dallas at fifty to one.

0:31:56.160 --> 0:31:59.600
<v Speaker 2>Would you like to give a Super Bowl pick here?

0:32:00.560 --> 0:32:03.600
<v Speaker 3>So I think it's gonna be Ravens Dallas, And if

0:32:03.600 --> 0:32:06.719
<v Speaker 3>it isn't Ravens Dallas, it's gonna be Kansas City Dallas.

0:32:06.760 --> 0:32:11.800
<v Speaker 2>Super Bowl Wow. So she can say wow because Demons

0:32:11.960 --> 0:32:13.920
<v Speaker 2>actually told me that last night. But he said it

0:32:14.000 --> 0:32:17.960
<v Speaker 2>before he knew mine, So before Demanse even knew mine,

0:32:18.000 --> 0:32:20.760
<v Speaker 2>so he's not like, you know, parroting me here. He

0:32:20.920 --> 0:32:24.120
<v Speaker 2>said it independent. And it was a little disappointing that

0:32:24.160 --> 0:32:26.560
<v Speaker 2>it was before he knew mine because I had given

0:32:26.600 --> 0:32:29.640
<v Speaker 2>that on television on Friday and Demanse.

0:32:29.440 --> 0:32:30.240
<v Speaker 1>Was unaware of it.

0:32:30.480 --> 0:32:34.040
<v Speaker 2>So it was a little sad for me. But Uh,

0:32:34.480 --> 0:32:38.640
<v Speaker 2>I tried. This is how much Demanse, though cares about

0:32:38.720 --> 0:32:41.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna expose you a little bit in a good way.

0:32:41.240 --> 0:32:44.160
<v Speaker 2>I'm really exposing myself. This is how much Demanse cares

0:32:44.200 --> 0:32:48.520
<v Speaker 2>about his integrity on this show. When he told me

0:32:49.120 --> 0:32:53.880
<v Speaker 2>he liked uh Dallas in the NFC, I tried to

0:32:54.000 --> 0:32:58.280
<v Speaker 2>cajole him into going with the Giants instead because he's

0:32:58.280 --> 0:33:00.920
<v Speaker 2>a Daniel Jones guy, and he was like, no, I

0:33:00.960 --> 0:33:03.040
<v Speaker 2>can't do it. He's like, I do like Daniel Jones,

0:33:03.080 --> 0:33:04.920
<v Speaker 2>but I can't make him to win the Super Bowl.

0:33:05.000 --> 0:33:08.480
<v Speaker 3>No, no, not that man. And honestly, have you.

0:33:08.520 --> 0:33:13.640
<v Speaker 2>Seen what Greg Jennings has said about Daniel Jones at

0:33:13.680 --> 0:33:16.520
<v Speaker 2>quarterback in the NFL. He's got a lot of faith

0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:20.240
<v Speaker 2>in Daniel Jones. But go ahead, I'll let you finish. Hey, man.

0:33:20.480 --> 0:33:24.080
<v Speaker 3>It seems like he does slowly start to stop making

0:33:24.120 --> 0:33:27.560
<v Speaker 3>the same mistakes from the previous year. And if he's

0:33:27.600 --> 0:33:30.280
<v Speaker 3>in that same trajectory, then I think he.

0:33:30.480 --> 0:33:32.120
<v Speaker 2>Is going to be a top ten quarterback this year.

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:35.520
<v Speaker 2>I mean, he's listen. If he improves, that's correct. If

0:33:35.560 --> 0:33:39.600
<v Speaker 2>he improves as much this between last year and this

0:33:39.720 --> 0:33:43.120
<v Speaker 2>year as he did between the year prior to last

0:33:43.200 --> 0:33:45.560
<v Speaker 2>year and last year, then he will be a top

0:33:45.600 --> 0:33:48.960
<v Speaker 2>ten quarterback. My concern for him is not even that

0:33:49.040 --> 0:33:51.840
<v Speaker 2>he flatlines, but that he goes in the other direction.

0:33:52.000 --> 0:33:55.040
<v Speaker 2>All right, this was fun. We're right in the swing

0:33:55.120 --> 0:33:58.400
<v Speaker 2>of things, even though it's early morning in LA and

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:04.080
<v Speaker 2>we're cross country. Our gambling picks now, just like last year,

0:34:05.200 --> 0:34:08.759
<v Speaker 2>five picks from me every single week. Five of the

0:34:08.840 --> 0:34:14.640
<v Speaker 2>last six years. I've been a documented winning gambler on

0:34:14.800 --> 0:34:17.440
<v Speaker 2>either this show or the TV show would However, I've

0:34:17.480 --> 0:34:19.640
<v Speaker 2>done it ever since I've been on TV. I've been

0:34:19.640 --> 0:34:23.399
<v Speaker 2>giving out three or five picks every week, a documented

0:34:23.440 --> 0:34:26.600
<v Speaker 2>winning record, and not just winning record, better than fifty

0:34:26.680 --> 0:34:29.880
<v Speaker 2>two point four percent against the spread, which is the

0:34:29.960 --> 0:34:35.319
<v Speaker 2>break even number with the vig Also, this year, Demons

0:34:36.239 --> 0:34:39.640
<v Speaker 2>is going to give us a weekly teaser and we

0:34:39.680 --> 0:34:43.040
<v Speaker 2>are going to have a season long competition. We'll talk

0:34:43.080 --> 0:34:45.960
<v Speaker 2>about what that is next. Take a quick break, come back,

0:34:46.000 --> 0:34:46.440
<v Speaker 2>what's right.

0:34:53.400 --> 0:34:56.200
<v Speaker 4>This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

0:34:56.239 --> 0:34:59.560
<v Speaker 4>inspiring true story about Anthony Robles, who defined every expectation

0:34:59.600 --> 0:35:02.560
<v Speaker 4>to become an national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new

0:35:02.600 --> 0:35:06.160
<v Speaker 4>original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg.

0:35:06.280 --> 0:35:09.440
<v Speaker 4>Evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and

0:35:09.440 --> 0:35:12.880
<v Speaker 4>thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast

0:35:12.960 --> 0:35:16.480
<v Speaker 4>including Jarrel Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Panya, and

0:35:16.480 --> 0:35:20.720
<v Speaker 4>Bobby Canavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video.

0:35:22.320 --> 0:35:24.400
<v Speaker 2>Welcome back in We'll drive You. Nick gread Episode one

0:35:24.520 --> 0:35:28.440
<v Speaker 2>seventy five, our Week one NFL Gambling Show and just

0:35:28.560 --> 0:35:31.840
<v Speaker 2>general football. We kind of recap preview, get you ready

0:35:31.880 --> 0:35:35.520
<v Speaker 2>for Lions Chiefs, and now is time for our five

0:35:35.600 --> 0:35:38.080
<v Speaker 2>picks of the week, My five picks of the week,

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:43.320
<v Speaker 2>plus Demonse's weekly teaser and some listen sometimes Demonse's teaser,

0:35:43.360 --> 0:35:46.160
<v Speaker 2>depending on if he's doing a two, three, four, five

0:35:46.239 --> 0:35:48.600
<v Speaker 2>team teaser. I have a feeling I don't know what

0:35:48.680 --> 0:35:52.120
<v Speaker 2>this week's is. By the feeling, before we get to Halloween,

0:35:52.239 --> 0:35:55.640
<v Speaker 2>we're gonna have debuted a few sixteen teasers, so his

0:35:56.880 --> 0:36:02.960
<v Speaker 2>the teasers that aren't two two teamers are plus money.

0:36:03.280 --> 0:36:06.560
<v Speaker 2>But whatever it is, we are going to keep track

0:36:07.160 --> 0:36:12.640
<v Speaker 2>on a unit basis how profitable I am versus how

0:36:12.719 --> 0:36:17.080
<v Speaker 2>profitable Demanse is and will be a season long contest.

0:36:17.560 --> 0:36:21.439
<v Speaker 2>So and it has nothing to do with amount we bet,

0:36:21.440 --> 0:36:24.640
<v Speaker 2>because Demanse and I are gonna obviously bet different unit sizes,

0:36:24.920 --> 0:36:28.439
<v Speaker 2>so we're just gonna normalize it. We're gonna maybe we're

0:36:28.440 --> 0:36:32.520
<v Speaker 2>gonna treat them all as one unit bets and go

0:36:32.600 --> 0:36:35.800
<v Speaker 2>from there. But before we get to Demanse's teasers teaser,

0:36:35.960 --> 0:36:39.040
<v Speaker 2>just like we did last year, my five picks every

0:36:39.040 --> 0:36:42.640
<v Speaker 2>single week demonse, what's my first one? All right? So

0:36:42.719 --> 0:36:45.120
<v Speaker 2>first off, you got Jags minus four and a half

0:36:45.160 --> 0:36:49.000
<v Speaker 2>at Indy. Let's talk about that one, Okay, So I listen,

0:36:49.000 --> 0:36:51.359
<v Speaker 2>do you just want to go ahead and give all

0:36:51.440 --> 0:36:55.120
<v Speaker 2>the reasons that this is a terrible bet that the

0:36:55.160 --> 0:36:56.879
<v Speaker 2>producers have given have put in.

0:36:56.840 --> 0:36:59.759
<v Speaker 3>The notes bets do it? So you went one and

0:36:59.800 --> 0:37:03.520
<v Speaker 3>see depending on the Jags last year? We all remember that, Okay.

0:37:03.520 --> 0:37:08.279
<v Speaker 2>Okay, before yes, but that is only because the producers

0:37:08.880 --> 0:37:13.040
<v Speaker 2>bullied me out of betting on them the moment they

0:37:13.120 --> 0:37:16.480
<v Speaker 2>started their hot streak. I bet on the Jags basically

0:37:16.520 --> 0:37:20.239
<v Speaker 2>every week. The producers made me stop, and then they

0:37:20.280 --> 0:37:24.680
<v Speaker 2>immediately became the hottest team in the NFL. It was ridiculous.

0:37:24.880 --> 0:37:27.560
<v Speaker 2>So that should be more like seven and seven, but

0:37:27.600 --> 0:37:28.560
<v Speaker 2>they wouldn't let me do it.

0:37:28.600 --> 0:37:32.160
<v Speaker 3>Go ahead, all right, Well, Trevor is four and fourteen

0:37:32.239 --> 0:37:34.239
<v Speaker 3>on the road, straight up, it's pretty big.

0:37:34.239 --> 0:37:36.480
<v Speaker 2>I don't care about that doesn't matter. That includes the

0:37:36.560 --> 0:37:38.840
<v Speaker 2>Urban Meyer era. And lastly, go ahead.

0:37:39.200 --> 0:37:43.480
<v Speaker 3>Last thing, the Jaguars haven't won an Indy since twenty seventeen,

0:37:43.640 --> 0:37:45.400
<v Speaker 3>that is when I graduated high school.

0:37:45.680 --> 0:37:48.279
<v Speaker 2>By the way, okay, I don't care about any of that.

0:37:48.920 --> 0:37:52.600
<v Speaker 2>Here's what I know. We believe in the Jacksonville Jaguars.

0:37:52.880 --> 0:37:57.239
<v Speaker 2>This is Anthony Richardson's first start. I understand this is

0:37:58.040 --> 0:38:01.480
<v Speaker 2>a you know, I am taking a road dog as

0:38:01.520 --> 0:38:05.960
<v Speaker 2>my first pick of the year. I'm sorry, road favorite,

0:38:05.960 --> 0:38:08.960
<v Speaker 2>pardon me as my first pick of the year. That

0:38:09.080 --> 0:38:12.600
<v Speaker 2>and it goes against all these trends. Don't care. The

0:38:12.719 --> 0:38:16.319
<v Speaker 2>Jags are gonna score thirty one points and he's gonna

0:38:16.320 --> 0:38:19.200
<v Speaker 2>be happy to get to seventeen. I love this bet.

0:38:19.280 --> 0:38:22.480
<v Speaker 3>Go ahead, well, no fear in your heart that Anthony

0:38:22.560 --> 0:38:25.920
<v Speaker 3>Richardson might be the next Daniel Jones, because like he

0:38:26.000 --> 0:38:29.120
<v Speaker 3>might have a breakout game and destroy your jackson That's

0:38:29.120 --> 0:38:29.840
<v Speaker 3>a pretty good question.

0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:33.719
<v Speaker 2>I do think Anthony Richardson was a good pick and

0:38:33.840 --> 0:38:37.680
<v Speaker 2>his upside is massive. I don't think he's gonna look

0:38:37.719 --> 0:38:40.440
<v Speaker 2>good in his first NFL start, So I had that

0:38:40.680 --> 0:38:46.240
<v Speaker 2>happened the way Yeah, so so Cam in his first

0:38:46.239 --> 0:38:49.480
<v Speaker 2>ever NFL start, I think got four hundred yards, but

0:38:49.640 --> 0:38:54.400
<v Speaker 2>Cam also was coming off a Heisman Trophy and undefeated season,

0:38:54.719 --> 0:38:58.799
<v Speaker 2>being the consensus number one overall pick. Cam Is first

0:38:58.960 --> 0:39:02.520
<v Speaker 2>NFL start ever four hundred and twenty two yards and

0:39:02.600 --> 0:39:08.319
<v Speaker 2>three total touchdowns, there's a few. I know. It's unbelievable.

0:39:08.360 --> 0:39:11.880
<v Speaker 2>He walked into the NFL after having arguably the single

0:39:11.880 --> 0:39:15.279
<v Speaker 2>greatest college season anyone's ever had. He walked into the

0:39:15.400 --> 0:39:19.840
<v Speaker 2>NFL and was just dominant on the flip side. Jamis

0:39:19.880 --> 0:39:24.000
<v Speaker 2>Winston in his first ever NFL start, had two picks

0:39:24.040 --> 0:39:28.359
<v Speaker 2>and two fumbles. Marcus Mariota, who was the number two

0:39:28.480 --> 0:39:31.720
<v Speaker 2>pick of that draft, in his first ever NFL start,

0:39:32.239 --> 0:39:35.839
<v Speaker 2>completed eighty seven percent of his passes with four touchdowns.

0:39:36.080 --> 0:39:40.520
<v Speaker 2>So there are certain instances where guys have awesome first starts.

0:39:40.880 --> 0:39:43.279
<v Speaker 2>I don't think Anthony Richardson's gonna do that. I think

0:39:43.280 --> 0:39:46.319
<v Speaker 2>Trevor's gonna be awesome. I like the Jags. Next.

0:39:46.960 --> 0:39:49.320
<v Speaker 3>All right, next, you've got New England at home plus

0:39:49.360 --> 0:39:50.560
<v Speaker 3>four versus Philly.

0:39:51.880 --> 0:39:59.960
<v Speaker 2>Okay, the entire gambling world is going to be on Philadelphia.

0:40:00.040 --> 0:40:04.120
<v Speaker 2>Patriots offensive line is banged up. The Eagles have this

0:40:04.360 --> 0:40:09.959
<v Speaker 2>amazing pass rush. The Patriots looked terrible last year. Why

0:40:10.120 --> 0:40:14.480
<v Speaker 2>is this line not higher? Here's what I know Belichick.

0:40:17.680 --> 0:40:19.759
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to say he's on the hot seat.

0:40:20.800 --> 0:40:24.320
<v Speaker 2>What I will say is he really wants Don Shula's record,

0:40:25.239 --> 0:40:30.200
<v Speaker 2>and he needs to have either two more good seasons

0:40:31.080 --> 0:40:35.759
<v Speaker 2>or three more mediocre seasons to get there. I don't

0:40:35.760 --> 0:40:37.799
<v Speaker 2>know if Kraft is gonna give him that time. If

0:40:37.800 --> 0:40:41.320
<v Speaker 2>they're a disaster this year, Philly coming off the super

0:40:41.320 --> 0:40:45.960
<v Speaker 2>Bowl hangover, I'm getting points at home with the better coach.

0:40:46.400 --> 0:40:49.799
<v Speaker 2>The crowd is going to be insane because they are

0:40:49.880 --> 0:40:52.920
<v Speaker 2>retiring Brady's jersey and putting him in the Ring of

0:40:52.960 --> 0:40:56.200
<v Speaker 2>Honor all of that. So we I know the graphics

0:40:56.239 --> 0:41:00.440
<v Speaker 2>right now, say Jacksonville, but in New England getting four points,

0:41:01.200 --> 0:41:03.200
<v Speaker 2>I don't need them to win. I just need them

0:41:03.200 --> 0:41:06.799
<v Speaker 2>to keep it close. New England getting four points against Philadelphia.

0:41:06.840 --> 0:41:08.120
<v Speaker 2>What do the producers think of that one?

0:41:08.160 --> 0:41:12.200
<v Speaker 3>Demonsey, Well, since two thousand teams that lost in the

0:41:12.200 --> 0:41:15.160
<v Speaker 3>previous season super Bowl or four and nineteen against the

0:41:15.239 --> 0:41:17.840
<v Speaker 3>spread in the week one following in the week I

0:41:17.960 --> 0:41:19.200
<v Speaker 3>like the following.

0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:21.560
<v Speaker 2>Season, that's good. What's the other note?

0:41:22.160 --> 0:41:25.840
<v Speaker 3>The other note is Hurts is thirteen to five and

0:41:26.000 --> 0:41:28.719
<v Speaker 3>one against the spread at home, but only six and

0:41:28.840 --> 0:41:30.399
<v Speaker 3>thirteen against the spread on the road.

0:41:30.560 --> 0:41:34.279
<v Speaker 2>Oh so I don't listen. I don't have access to

0:41:34.320 --> 0:41:37.320
<v Speaker 2>these little factoids when I make my picks because I

0:41:37.320 --> 0:41:40.440
<v Speaker 2>don't want to be swayed by the trends, but that

0:41:41.440 --> 0:41:44.400
<v Speaker 2>it sounds like as much as the Sharps might not

0:41:44.480 --> 0:41:47.560
<v Speaker 2>have liked my Jacksonville pick the New England pick, I

0:41:47.640 --> 0:41:49.120
<v Speaker 2>could be on the right side of it. What's the

0:41:49.160 --> 0:41:51.520
<v Speaker 2>next one? Right? Uh?

0:41:51.520 --> 0:41:54.080
<v Speaker 3>We got greed. You've got Green Bay plus one and

0:41:54.080 --> 0:41:55.080
<v Speaker 3>a half at Chicago.

0:41:56.680 --> 0:41:59.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. I mean they're the far better team. They have,

0:41:59.840 --> 0:42:03.719
<v Speaker 2>the better coach they have for this game, potentially the

0:42:03.719 --> 0:42:06.120
<v Speaker 2>better quarterback. This might be one of the only games

0:42:06.160 --> 0:42:08.839
<v Speaker 2>all year green Bay. We'll see listen. I think Justin

0:42:08.880 --> 0:42:15.239
<v Speaker 2>Fields might end up being really good, but he struggled

0:42:15.280 --> 0:42:19.120
<v Speaker 2>massively throwing the football last year. Passing was the Packers.

0:42:19.840 --> 0:42:23.560
<v Speaker 2>The Packers, and I think Jordan Love will be solid

0:42:24.080 --> 0:42:27.280
<v Speaker 2>just from being able to sit for three years. The Packers,

0:42:27.320 --> 0:42:31.040
<v Speaker 2>I think are super motivated. The Packers had their you know,

0:42:31.560 --> 0:42:35.960
<v Speaker 2>their spouse of fifteen years leave them immediately, get in shape,

0:42:36.160 --> 0:42:38.359
<v Speaker 2>start going to the gym, get out and get some

0:42:38.400 --> 0:42:40.520
<v Speaker 2>things worked on, and start telling the whole world how

0:42:40.600 --> 0:42:44.520
<v Speaker 2>much they love their new girlfriend. So they're motivated. The Packers.

0:42:44.560 --> 0:42:47.200
<v Speaker 2>Devens is good, the running game is good, their weapons

0:42:47.239 --> 0:42:49.960
<v Speaker 2>are good. I think Green Bay wins this game out right.

0:42:50.000 --> 0:42:51.600
<v Speaker 2>I like the Packers a lot go ahead.

0:42:51.960 --> 0:42:54.440
<v Speaker 3>Was Jordan Love sacked at any point this preseason?

0:42:56.600 --> 0:42:59.120
<v Speaker 2>I don't know. Maybe I don't think he was. I

0:42:59.120 --> 0:42:59.759
<v Speaker 2>don't think he was.

0:43:00.120 --> 0:43:02.200
<v Speaker 3>I think the big thing for him this preseason is

0:43:02.520 --> 0:43:03.600
<v Speaker 3>he got no pressures.

0:43:04.120 --> 0:43:06.480
<v Speaker 2>Uh So, like what if? What if?

0:43:06.600 --> 0:43:08.719
<v Speaker 3>What if the Chicago Bears come and sack him and

0:43:08.760 --> 0:43:10.960
<v Speaker 3>rattle them like they did perty And no, that's fair,

0:43:11.120 --> 0:43:11.440
<v Speaker 3>but the.

0:43:11.480 --> 0:43:14.120
<v Speaker 2>I don't trust the Bears defense at all. The Bears

0:43:14.120 --> 0:43:16.640
<v Speaker 2>defense was terrible last year. I know they invested some

0:43:16.800 --> 0:43:19.560
<v Speaker 2>in it, but you can't remake your entire team in

0:43:19.600 --> 0:43:22.759
<v Speaker 2>one offseason. They got DJ Moore the wide receiver, they

0:43:22.840 --> 0:43:25.760
<v Speaker 2>invested in the offensive line. That demon's still gonna be spotty.

0:43:26.080 --> 0:43:28.960
<v Speaker 2>I like Green Bay in that spot. And what was

0:43:29.000 --> 0:43:31.720
<v Speaker 2>my record last year? To Monsey betting road dogs?

0:43:32.880 --> 0:43:37.120
<v Speaker 3>You were twenty You were twenty five fourteen and one.

0:43:37.920 --> 0:43:40.400
<v Speaker 2>Twenty So I was sixty two and a half percent

0:43:40.560 --> 0:43:44.719
<v Speaker 2>against the spread betting road dogs. And actually a little

0:43:44.800 --> 0:43:46.879
<v Speaker 2>higher if you include the tie as a half win.

0:43:47.239 --> 0:43:48.960
<v Speaker 2>All right, next one.

0:43:49.400 --> 0:43:51.840
<v Speaker 3>Uh so you've got Buffalo minus two and a half

0:43:52.000 --> 0:43:53.120
<v Speaker 3>at the Jets.

0:43:54.080 --> 0:43:58.879
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I I was the first part.

0:43:59.000 --> 0:44:00.600
<v Speaker 3>I was the only let's just be you've got faith

0:44:00.640 --> 0:44:04.040
<v Speaker 3>in the Bills this year. Your hate for Rogers fueled

0:44:04.040 --> 0:44:05.120
<v Speaker 3>some love for the Bills.

0:44:05.440 --> 0:44:07.520
<v Speaker 2>I love it. So here's the thing. I knew that

0:44:07.600 --> 0:44:12.600
<v Speaker 2>was gonna be the reaction. Let's just be totally honest here.

0:44:13.280 --> 0:44:15.520
<v Speaker 2>I was the only person in America correct on the

0:44:15.520 --> 0:44:20.680
<v Speaker 2>Bills last year, the only one while everybody was saying

0:44:20.719 --> 0:44:24.000
<v Speaker 2>I was afraid of them. Josh Allen is at worst

0:44:24.040 --> 0:44:26.600
<v Speaker 2>the second best quarterback in football, maybe the best. The

0:44:26.640 --> 0:44:29.080
<v Speaker 2>Bills are the best team. They were the Vegas favorite

0:44:29.320 --> 0:44:34.080
<v Speaker 2>all of it. All year long. I told you that

0:44:34.200 --> 0:44:37.600
<v Speaker 2>was a paper tiger. And what happened come the playoffs

0:44:37.880 --> 0:44:41.440
<v Speaker 2>they needed They survived Skyler Thompson by the skin of

0:44:41.480 --> 0:44:44.040
<v Speaker 2>their teeth, and then they got their teeth kicked in

0:44:44.120 --> 0:44:49.520
<v Speaker 2>by Cincinnati. I am now here to tell you the

0:44:49.640 --> 0:44:54.280
<v Speaker 2>general public has gone too far in the other direction

0:44:54.440 --> 0:44:58.000
<v Speaker 2>on the Bills. Now. You look around a lot of

0:44:58.040 --> 0:45:04.080
<v Speaker 2>folks have the Bills missing the playoffs. That's not gonna happen. Now.

0:45:04.440 --> 0:45:06.839
<v Speaker 2>I don't think they win the division. I think Miami does.

0:45:07.360 --> 0:45:13.480
<v Speaker 2>I think the but the Bills. So you think yeah, yeah,

0:45:13.760 --> 0:45:19.080
<v Speaker 2>and my playoff teams are division winners. Kansas in the AFC,

0:45:19.280 --> 0:45:25.360
<v Speaker 2>Kansas City, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Miami, and my wild cards are Buffalo,

0:45:26.400 --> 0:45:31.040
<v Speaker 2>Cincinnati and the Chargers. With the Jets and the Ravens

0:45:32.200 --> 0:45:39.200
<v Speaker 2>Broncos missing the playoffs, the Patriots as well. Obviously, the

0:45:39.320 --> 0:45:45.640
<v Speaker 2>Bills are better than the Jets. I understand that they're

0:45:45.719 --> 0:45:48.560
<v Speaker 2>the Jets have home field here, but I am laying

0:45:48.680 --> 0:45:51.640
<v Speaker 2>less than a field goal, so I just there's there's

0:45:51.960 --> 0:45:55.360
<v Speaker 2>very It's gonna be very hard for the Bills to

0:45:55.480 --> 0:45:59.080
<v Speaker 2>win and not cover. So while I don't love road

0:45:59.239 --> 0:46:02.520
<v Speaker 2>favorites less than a field goal, I feel better about

0:46:02.800 --> 0:46:05.439
<v Speaker 2>and the Bills are better and the Jets. I'm telling

0:46:05.440 --> 0:46:08.319
<v Speaker 2>you right now, man on the Jets, Demonsey, here's what's

0:46:08.360 --> 0:46:11.840
<v Speaker 2>gonna happen. The Jets are gonna lose on Monday Night Football.

0:46:12.840 --> 0:46:17.319
<v Speaker 2>Six days later, they're gonna go to Dallas, and that

0:46:17.480 --> 0:46:21.439
<v Speaker 2>Dallas defensive front is gonna sack Aaron Rodgers a half

0:46:21.520 --> 0:46:26.799
<v Speaker 2>dozen times, and immediately panic will set in in New

0:46:26.880 --> 0:46:31.600
<v Speaker 2>York because they will know in Week four they have

0:46:31.800 --> 0:46:35.200
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs and all of a sudden they will be

0:46:35.280 --> 0:46:39.839
<v Speaker 2>facing a must win Week three game against the Patriots,

0:46:40.120 --> 0:46:42.880
<v Speaker 2>which yes, obviously the Jets should win that game. But

0:46:42.960 --> 0:46:47.920
<v Speaker 2>the Patriots have beaten the Jets fourteen consecutive games, and

0:46:48.160 --> 0:46:51.239
<v Speaker 2>all of these good vibes, good feelings, all of that

0:46:51.960 --> 0:46:55.640
<v Speaker 2>is gonna turn in six days between Monday Night and

0:46:55.719 --> 0:46:56.720
<v Speaker 2>the following Sunday.

0:46:56.719 --> 0:47:00.480
<v Speaker 3>Go ahead, something something important of note. He has won

0:47:00.600 --> 0:47:04.240
<v Speaker 3>nine straight Monday Night football games. He's six one against

0:47:04.280 --> 0:47:05.640
<v Speaker 3>the spread as a home dog.

0:47:06.239 --> 0:47:12.960
<v Speaker 2>And also so that real quick, real quick, Rogers. What

0:47:13.000 --> 0:47:17.080
<v Speaker 2>that means is Rogers has only been a home dog

0:47:17.239 --> 0:47:22.480
<v Speaker 2>eight times, which is crazy. Think about that. How long

0:47:22.520 --> 0:47:24.799
<v Speaker 2>he's been a quarterback and he has only been an

0:47:24.880 --> 0:47:30.600
<v Speaker 2>underdog at home eight times. And that's not Monday one football.

0:47:30.640 --> 0:47:36.239
<v Speaker 2>That's his whole career. No, no, no, no. I wonder how

0:47:36.239 --> 0:47:39.280
<v Speaker 2>many of those were his first year as a starter.

0:47:40.040 --> 0:47:44.640
<v Speaker 2>He's probably been a dog since that first year, maybe

0:47:44.680 --> 0:47:47.360
<v Speaker 2>four or five times. That's unbelievab All right, go ahead.

0:47:48.000 --> 0:47:50.759
<v Speaker 3>The Bills at fourteen and six are the most profitable

0:47:50.760 --> 0:47:53.120
<v Speaker 3>team in Week one in the last twenty years.

0:47:53.800 --> 0:47:56.720
<v Speaker 2>Okay, that's the type of stat I don't actually care about,

0:47:56.800 --> 0:47:58.759
<v Speaker 2>but it helps me in this case. I'll take it,

0:47:58.920 --> 0:48:00.160
<v Speaker 2>all right, last one?

0:48:00.800 --> 0:48:02.800
<v Speaker 3>All right, So you've got Pittsburgh plus two and a

0:48:02.840 --> 0:48:04.120
<v Speaker 3>half versus San fran.

0:48:05.239 --> 0:48:08.799
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so this is the lock of the week, the

0:48:08.880 --> 0:48:12.360
<v Speaker 2>right move. It is also something I'm gonna go ahead

0:48:12.360 --> 0:48:18.239
<v Speaker 2>and tell you wait to bet. If it moves to two,

0:48:19.160 --> 0:48:23.880
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't kill you, but it could, especially now that

0:48:24.000 --> 0:48:28.319
<v Speaker 2>Nick Bosa has signed, if it becomes fully confirmed, he's

0:48:28.320 --> 0:48:32.680
<v Speaker 2>one hundred percent playing. Maybe it moves to three and

0:48:32.760 --> 0:48:37.000
<v Speaker 2>you get that super useful extra half point. But that

0:48:37.120 --> 0:48:42.880
<v Speaker 2>Pittsburgh defense against what could be a gunshy Brock Purty

0:48:44.120 --> 0:48:51.240
<v Speaker 2>and the Niners in Pittsburgh, Tomlin coaching. I like Pittsburgh.

0:48:51.560 --> 0:48:53.680
<v Speaker 2>This is my favorite bet of the week. I think

0:48:53.680 --> 0:48:57.279
<v Speaker 2>the line is wrong. I think Pittsburgh is as good

0:48:57.280 --> 0:49:01.480
<v Speaker 2>as San Francisco this year, and they are at home

0:49:01.600 --> 0:49:04.400
<v Speaker 2>and they're getting points. This is also I don't know

0:49:04.440 --> 0:49:07.480
<v Speaker 2>if it's on your I'm not you've already submitted your

0:49:07.520 --> 0:49:09.959
<v Speaker 2>teaser card. I don't know if this is on there.

0:49:10.440 --> 0:49:14.799
<v Speaker 2>But this is as perfect of a teaser leg as

0:49:14.840 --> 0:49:18.279
<v Speaker 2>there is because you would get them through all the

0:49:18.360 --> 0:49:25.200
<v Speaker 2>key numbers through three, four, six, seven, and eight, and

0:49:25.280 --> 0:49:27.880
<v Speaker 2>obviously the biggest numbers are three, six and seven before

0:49:27.920 --> 0:49:32.040
<v Speaker 2>and eight are kind of nice. So I love Pittsburgh here.

0:49:32.880 --> 0:49:34.799
<v Speaker 2>So Demonse, what do the stats say on.

0:49:34.760 --> 0:49:37.920
<v Speaker 3>This Mike tomin is fourteen five and two against the

0:49:37.960 --> 0:49:41.200
<v Speaker 3>spread in thirteen and eight outright as a home underdog.

0:49:41.840 --> 0:49:45.080
<v Speaker 3>Uh with TJ with TJ Watt in the game, Steelers

0:49:45.080 --> 0:49:49.239
<v Speaker 3>were eight and two against against and against.

0:49:49.000 --> 0:49:49.879
<v Speaker 2>The straight up. Yeah.

0:49:50.000 --> 0:49:53.680
<v Speaker 3>So in prov and the Right Move went six and

0:49:53.719 --> 0:49:54.520
<v Speaker 3>eleven last year.

0:49:55.040 --> 0:49:56.960
<v Speaker 2>I know, I almost thought about getting rid of it

0:49:57.000 --> 0:49:59.840
<v Speaker 2>this year. I almost thought of just doing just just

0:50:00.080 --> 0:50:03.000
<v Speaker 2>five picks. But we're gonna have to We're gonna have

0:50:03.000 --> 0:50:05.239
<v Speaker 2>to redeem ourselves on the right move. All right, are

0:50:05.280 --> 0:50:08.160
<v Speaker 2>you ready for this teaser? Because I'm ready to hear it,

0:50:08.560 --> 0:50:09.000
<v Speaker 2>and I'm.

0:50:08.840 --> 0:50:14.120
<v Speaker 3>Already I'm wait for you to hear Let me hear it. Yeah,

0:50:14.160 --> 0:50:17.640
<v Speaker 3>all right, So this this week's teaser.

0:50:19.040 --> 0:50:21.759
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to step place it down. I don't

0:50:21.760 --> 0:50:24.000
<v Speaker 2>want to step on your segment. But before you tell

0:50:24.080 --> 0:50:28.120
<v Speaker 2>us the teams, tell us how many team and how

0:50:28.160 --> 0:50:33.400
<v Speaker 2>many points? So like a three teams six six point teaser?

0:50:34.200 --> 0:50:36.759
<v Speaker 2>Oh it is, okay, that's great. So what is it?

0:50:36.800 --> 0:50:40.640
<v Speaker 2>Plus one forty plus one? Does it say? Plus yeah,

0:50:40.640 --> 0:50:45.920
<v Speaker 2>plus one forty? Okay, three team six point teaser plus

0:50:46.000 --> 0:50:46.800
<v Speaker 2>one forty?

0:50:47.200 --> 0:50:51.960
<v Speaker 3>Alright, go, we're teasing the Cincinnati bangles down from two

0:50:52.040 --> 0:50:53.920
<v Speaker 3>and a half to plus three and a half.

0:50:54.120 --> 0:50:54.719
<v Speaker 2>I guess up.

0:50:56.400 --> 0:51:00.920
<v Speaker 3>And then we're teasing Tampa Bay plus six up to twelve,

0:51:01.640 --> 0:51:04.160
<v Speaker 3>and then we're teasing the Raiders plus four up to

0:51:04.239 --> 0:51:07.520
<v Speaker 3>ten versus the Broncos. Tampa Bay will be playing the

0:51:07.560 --> 0:51:09.960
<v Speaker 3>Vikings by the way, sorry for not giving the full

0:51:10.400 --> 0:51:14.440
<v Speaker 3>full layout, and Cincinnati will be playing the Cleveland Browns. Listen,

0:51:14.760 --> 0:51:18.239
<v Speaker 3>I'm not here to tease through key numbers. I'm here

0:51:18.280 --> 0:51:21.720
<v Speaker 3>to win the teaser. If this didn't follow your your

0:51:21.880 --> 0:51:26.200
<v Speaker 3>teaser strategy, I apologize, but trail me on this one. Guys,

0:51:26.280 --> 0:51:28.400
<v Speaker 3>we're getting money this at the end of the week.

0:51:29.080 --> 0:51:31.800
<v Speaker 3>At some point, money will enter your fan Duel account

0:51:31.840 --> 0:51:36.200
<v Speaker 3>if you place this teaser. Okay, all right, so what

0:51:36.320 --> 0:51:36.759
<v Speaker 3>don't you like?

0:51:36.920 --> 0:51:40.640
<v Speaker 2>Here's the thing, all right, I don't mind the Vegas one,

0:51:41.480 --> 0:51:43.879
<v Speaker 2>and you are at least getting it through. I think

0:51:43.960 --> 0:51:47.000
<v Speaker 2>Vegas might way they could win that game. Yep. And

0:51:47.080 --> 0:51:50.319
<v Speaker 2>you're getting it all the way to ten. And just

0:51:50.400 --> 0:51:53.920
<v Speaker 2>so everybody knows, if you do a three team teaser

0:51:54.680 --> 0:51:58.800
<v Speaker 2>and a one leg pushes like let's say Vegas loses

0:51:58.880 --> 0:52:02.600
<v Speaker 2>by ten, it just reduces your teaser to a two

0:52:02.719 --> 0:52:05.600
<v Speaker 2>team teaser. So like, let's say you were to get

0:52:05.600 --> 0:52:09.319
<v Speaker 2>Cincinnati and Tampa correct demanse and Vegas were to lose

0:52:09.320 --> 0:52:12.600
<v Speaker 2>by ten, then instead of being a three teamer at

0:52:12.640 --> 0:52:16.280
<v Speaker 2>plus one forty, it would turn into a two teamer

0:52:16.600 --> 0:52:20.000
<v Speaker 2>at minus one thirty. But you still win, so that one.

0:52:20.040 --> 0:52:24.960
<v Speaker 2>I don't mind Tampa. I actually like I don't know

0:52:25.040 --> 0:52:29.160
<v Speaker 2>if it's you know, ideal value, but I actually like it.

0:52:30.200 --> 0:52:34.600
<v Speaker 2>Since cinnatataty it gets shippy. I have a lot of trepidation.

0:52:35.760 --> 0:52:38.200
<v Speaker 2>I have a lot of trepidation on it. You're teasing

0:52:38.280 --> 0:52:43.800
<v Speaker 2>through the zero. You are only getting one key number.

0:52:44.120 --> 0:52:46.839
<v Speaker 2>I guess my point is this demonse just real quick,

0:52:46.880 --> 0:52:50.120
<v Speaker 2>let's just cause it feels to me like you added

0:52:50.160 --> 0:52:53.719
<v Speaker 2>the Bengals because you needed another leg. Because here's what,

0:52:53.960 --> 0:52:57.640
<v Speaker 2>here's here's my opinion on it. Right now, it's Cincinnati

0:52:57.760 --> 0:53:01.279
<v Speaker 2>minus two and a half. You are paying, you are

0:53:01.360 --> 0:53:06.319
<v Speaker 2>buying those six points. You think the only.

0:53:06.080 --> 0:53:08.879
<v Speaker 3>Way I just think that Cincinnati is going to win

0:53:08.920 --> 0:53:11.799
<v Speaker 3>the game, right.

0:53:11.640 --> 0:53:15.040
<v Speaker 2>No, I understand that, But that my point would be,

0:53:16.000 --> 0:53:19.720
<v Speaker 2>you are what you are. No if they win by anything,

0:53:19.800 --> 0:53:27.479
<v Speaker 2>you win anyway. The the you think Cincinnati is gonna

0:53:27.480 --> 0:53:29.759
<v Speaker 2>win and you're taking them from minus two and a

0:53:29.760 --> 0:53:32.520
<v Speaker 2>half plus three and a half. The only way you

0:53:32.680 --> 0:53:37.759
<v Speaker 2>got value there is if the game either ends with

0:53:37.920 --> 0:53:41.839
<v Speaker 2>the Browns winning by one, two or three it being

0:53:41.920 --> 0:53:46.319
<v Speaker 2>a tie, or Cincinnati winning by one or two. Otherwise

0:53:46.600 --> 0:53:49.719
<v Speaker 2>you'd have been better off just betting Cincinnati minus two

0:53:49.719 --> 0:53:51.600
<v Speaker 2>and a half. But again, it's your teaser.

0:53:51.840 --> 0:53:54.000
<v Speaker 3>Hey, I was just about to say it definitely says

0:53:54.080 --> 0:53:58.839
<v Speaker 3>Demons's teaser up there. We don't need to, but no,

0:53:58.920 --> 0:54:02.560
<v Speaker 3>I value that. I will say that that was the

0:54:02.600 --> 0:54:05.640
<v Speaker 3>one that I was the most like shoddy about. Uh,

0:54:06.000 --> 0:54:07.799
<v Speaker 3>but it was the first one that I picked in

0:54:07.840 --> 0:54:09.720
<v Speaker 3>the teaser though, Like, but it's.

0:54:09.640 --> 0:54:14.080
<v Speaker 2>Okay, I'm good with it. You do know, and I'm

0:54:14.080 --> 0:54:15.200
<v Speaker 2>not trying to encourage this.

0:54:15.360 --> 0:54:20.520
<v Speaker 3>Wait wait, Joe Burrow is playing. He's playing Joe Burrows,

0:54:20.960 --> 0:54:21.520
<v Speaker 3>He's playing.

0:54:22.000 --> 0:54:27.880
<v Speaker 2>You do know that there are seven ten and thirteen

0:54:28.000 --> 0:54:31.160
<v Speaker 2>point teasers as well, right, I know that you go up,

0:54:31.160 --> 0:54:34.759
<v Speaker 2>but then you it's less money you exactly, no, no, no,

0:54:34.840 --> 0:54:38.359
<v Speaker 2>And the the every ten point teaser that's ever been

0:54:38.400 --> 0:54:42.000
<v Speaker 2>placed looks like how can it lose? Like, how is

0:54:42.000 --> 0:54:45.600
<v Speaker 2>it possible that this possibly loses? Okay, I'm going to

0:54:46.600 --> 0:54:48.680
<v Speaker 2>so Here's what we're going to do. As part of this.

0:54:49.320 --> 0:54:54.680
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to give each of these teasers a sharp

0:54:54.800 --> 0:54:59.279
<v Speaker 2>square grade. And then in addition to seeing how profitable

0:55:00.160 --> 0:55:02.200
<v Speaker 2>you are at the end of the year, we're gonna

0:55:02.239 --> 0:55:06.000
<v Speaker 2>see how much the wins and losses correlate with my grade. Okay,

0:55:06.480 --> 0:55:10.160
<v Speaker 2>So I am going to give this a grade of

0:55:10.200 --> 0:55:15.839
<v Speaker 2>a B minus. Vegas is solid, Tampa's not bad, and

0:55:15.880 --> 0:55:18.600
<v Speaker 2>the fact that you are teasing the dog I like

0:55:18.680 --> 0:55:22.200
<v Speaker 2>a lot. Cincinnati brings the grade down. If you're in

0:55:22.320 --> 0:55:24.839
<v Speaker 2>place of Cincinnati, you had Pittsburgh plus eight and a half.

0:55:24.840 --> 0:55:27.560
<v Speaker 2>This might be an a teaser, but you know what,

0:55:27.680 --> 0:55:29.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm actually pretty proud of you. All right, what's the

0:55:29.960 --> 0:55:34.000
<v Speaker 2>offer this week? All right? Return of the offer? Man.

0:55:34.520 --> 0:55:36.919
<v Speaker 3>This is where I coick up a long shot bet

0:55:36.960 --> 0:55:40.040
<v Speaker 3>and you decide if it's fun or not, or if

0:55:40.040 --> 0:55:40.719
<v Speaker 3>you're a fun or not.

0:55:40.719 --> 0:55:43.319
<v Speaker 2>Should I say the Chiefs to.

0:55:43.280 --> 0:55:46.319
<v Speaker 3>Score two plus touchdowns in every single regular season game

0:55:46.360 --> 0:55:47.880
<v Speaker 3>this year at plus five hundred?

0:55:48.360 --> 0:55:51.640
<v Speaker 2>Do you accept? All right? So that is one of

0:55:51.680 --> 0:55:54.920
<v Speaker 2>the yes. I accept. Then I accept it's a totally

0:55:55.000 --> 0:55:58.800
<v Speaker 2>square bet, but I accept it's so Fan Duel has

0:55:59.800 --> 0:56:03.560
<v Speaker 2>this version this type of bet for every team. The

0:56:03.680 --> 0:56:07.600
<v Speaker 2>Chiefs to score one plus touchdown in every game this

0:56:07.760 --> 0:56:12.879
<v Speaker 2>year is minus two hundred, which is there. They're saying,

0:56:12.920 --> 0:56:15.840
<v Speaker 2>it's almost not a guarantee of close to it. What

0:56:16.000 --> 0:56:19.960
<v Speaker 2>I find hilarious is this. The Chiefs to score at

0:56:20.040 --> 0:56:23.080
<v Speaker 2>least two touchdowns in every game is five to one.

0:56:23.800 --> 0:56:27.839
<v Speaker 2>The Cardinals to score at least one touchdown in every

0:56:27.880 --> 0:56:31.719
<v Speaker 2>game is six and a half to one. So they're like,

0:56:32.360 --> 0:56:35.920
<v Speaker 2>and they have this for every team. But yes, I

0:56:35.960 --> 0:56:40.760
<v Speaker 2>actually like that offer. That's a smart offer. And last

0:56:40.840 --> 0:56:45.560
<v Speaker 2>year that offer would have paid that wait, well you

0:56:45.600 --> 0:56:48.520
<v Speaker 2>know what, No, wouldn't have because the Colts game. I

0:56:48.560 --> 0:56:51.080
<v Speaker 2>think the Chiefs only scored one touchdown.

0:56:50.680 --> 0:56:54.439
<v Speaker 3>Go ahead, funny stat. Did the offer hit more than

0:56:54.680 --> 0:57:00.520
<v Speaker 3>the right move last year? I think that like might

0:57:00.640 --> 0:57:01.200
<v Speaker 3>be a thing.

0:57:02.760 --> 0:57:07.960
<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, I'm pretty sure it did. It did? All right,

0:57:08.040 --> 0:57:10.399
<v Speaker 2>quick break? We answer, Oh, I should have been telling

0:57:10.440 --> 0:57:13.680
<v Speaker 2>you guys this, gosh darn it. Leave your bets in

0:57:13.719 --> 0:57:16.000
<v Speaker 2>the chat and I'll tell you if I think they're

0:57:16.080 --> 0:57:19.560
<v Speaker 2>sharper square. We're doing that. Next quick break right back?

0:57:19.600 --> 0:57:28.440
<v Speaker 2>What's right? All right, sharper square time Now as you

0:57:28.480 --> 0:57:32.480
<v Speaker 2>guys send in some bets. You've been making, and you know,

0:57:32.600 --> 0:57:36.360
<v Speaker 2>I'll tell you, Oh, I look, that's a Funny's good,

0:57:38.480 --> 0:57:43.560
<v Speaker 2>that's a good graphic. Our YouTube audience is really in

0:57:43.680 --> 0:57:47.080
<v Speaker 2>for a treat today. We'll discuss whether or not they're

0:57:47.080 --> 0:57:50.080
<v Speaker 2>sharper square. All right. The first one Chad Holland as

0:57:50.120 --> 0:57:53.840
<v Speaker 2>the Texans plus ten. I mean, it's not a bet

0:57:53.880 --> 0:57:56.400
<v Speaker 2>I would make, but it's you're obviously on the sharp side.

0:57:56.800 --> 0:58:00.520
<v Speaker 2>You're it's almost never the sharp side to take a

0:58:00.680 --> 0:58:04.120
<v Speaker 2>massive favorite. So you're on the sharp side, and it's

0:58:04.160 --> 0:58:10.040
<v Speaker 2>pretty hard for any individual point spread bet to be

0:58:10.240 --> 0:58:16.360
<v Speaker 2>super square. The square bets are the more convoluted parlays

0:58:16.520 --> 0:58:21.720
<v Speaker 2>or certaintiasers things like that. What demonse, But you like

0:58:21.840 --> 0:58:25.160
<v Speaker 2>the Ravens minus ten against Houston more than the Texans

0:58:25.200 --> 0:58:30.280
<v Speaker 2>plus ten? Correct or you don't know?

0:58:32.400 --> 0:58:37.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I honestly think Yo minus minus ten minus ten.

0:58:37.320 --> 0:58:39.760
<v Speaker 3>I'd go with the minus tan rookie quarterback Texan sucked

0:58:39.800 --> 0:58:40.280
<v Speaker 3>last year.

0:58:40.400 --> 0:58:43.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. So the reason I mean this is a stay

0:58:43.960 --> 0:58:48.000
<v Speaker 2>away for me because every once in a while, new

0:58:48.040 --> 0:58:51.560
<v Speaker 2>head coach, which Texas have Dmiico Ryans over from San Francisco,

0:58:52.200 --> 0:58:54.520
<v Speaker 2>you know what I mean, they popped just to start

0:58:54.560 --> 0:58:58.919
<v Speaker 2>the year and sometimes rookie quarterbacks pop early and then

0:58:59.040 --> 0:59:01.640
<v Speaker 2>come down to earth bit. But I do like the

0:59:01.920 --> 0:59:03.600
<v Speaker 2>so i'd stay away from it. But I think you're

0:59:03.600 --> 0:59:06.840
<v Speaker 2>probably on the right side of it. Jay Romig says,

0:59:06.880 --> 0:59:10.840
<v Speaker 2>the Bears money line. So here's the thing. Even though

0:59:10.920 --> 0:59:14.760
<v Speaker 2>I like the Packers in that game, the reason that

0:59:14.960 --> 0:59:17.680
<v Speaker 2>I would say that is a square bet is this,

0:59:18.560 --> 0:59:21.960
<v Speaker 2>the Bears are I'm gonna get you the exact The

0:59:22.000 --> 0:59:26.920
<v Speaker 2>Bears are minus one and a half at essentially minus

0:59:27.000 --> 0:59:30.880
<v Speaker 2>one oh four or the money line is minus one twenty.

0:59:31.560 --> 0:59:36.280
<v Speaker 2>So is it worth it to pay sixteen cents of

0:59:36.400 --> 0:59:39.440
<v Speaker 2>juice to go from minus one oh four to minus

0:59:39.520 --> 0:59:43.840
<v Speaker 2>one twenty just so you win if the Bears win

0:59:44.000 --> 0:59:47.480
<v Speaker 2>by one point? Exactly? So I would say, if you

0:59:47.680 --> 0:59:50.960
<v Speaker 2>like the Bears, bet a minus one and a half

0:59:51.360 --> 0:59:54.920
<v Speaker 2>rather than just to win. That way you're getting you know,

0:59:54.960 --> 0:59:57.120
<v Speaker 2>you're not paying minus one twenty on the juice, You're

0:59:57.120 --> 1:00:00.040
<v Speaker 2>paying minus one oh four. Like that's to me the

1:00:00.080 --> 1:00:04.360
<v Speaker 2>money line there doesn't make a ton of sense. Similarly,

1:00:05.280 --> 1:00:08.480
<v Speaker 2>on the if you're betting the Packers rather than getting

1:00:08.480 --> 1:00:11.720
<v Speaker 2>them plus one and a half at minus one twenty,

1:00:12.240 --> 1:00:14.960
<v Speaker 2>I would just bet them on the money line and

1:00:15.040 --> 1:00:17.440
<v Speaker 2>The only way that screws you is if the Packers

1:00:17.480 --> 1:00:23.680
<v Speaker 2>lose by one point exactly. Zach Eisen says, the Chiefs

1:00:23.680 --> 1:00:26.720
<v Speaker 2>minus four and a half parlayed with their team total

1:00:26.920 --> 1:00:30.360
<v Speaker 2>over twenty nine and a half. I mean, technically that's

1:00:30.400 --> 1:00:33.080
<v Speaker 2>a square bet, but I love it. I totally agree.

1:00:33.320 --> 1:00:35.360
<v Speaker 2>I think that if the Chiefs are gonna cover, they're

1:00:35.360 --> 1:00:37.920
<v Speaker 2>gonna do it by scoring a bunch of points. So

1:00:38.080 --> 1:00:42.840
<v Speaker 2>I don't mind that bet bet at all. Tony and

1:00:42.960 --> 1:00:46.680
<v Speaker 2>Pacheco anytime touchdown score. So Deman say, this is where

1:00:46.720 --> 1:00:50.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna just be kind of hypocritical. These are square

1:00:50.880 --> 1:00:55.000
<v Speaker 2>bets that I love. They're like all fitting my agenda of.

1:00:54.920 --> 1:01:00.440
<v Speaker 3>The getting a touchdown. Yeah, well, i'd say those are

1:01:00.480 --> 1:01:03.880
<v Speaker 3>two of the most likely guys to get the ball

1:01:04.000 --> 1:01:05.240
<v Speaker 3>in a touchdown situation.

1:01:06.000 --> 1:01:09.920
<v Speaker 2>They don't really have much like I agree with you entirely.

1:01:09.960 --> 1:01:14.040
<v Speaker 2>In fact, let me just see t Ross pay so,

1:01:14.840 --> 1:01:19.320
<v Speaker 2>oh yeah, justin Ross, what is he to plus four seventy? Oh?

1:01:20.960 --> 1:01:25.120
<v Speaker 2>All right, Pacheco and Tony parlayed, you get five to one.

1:01:26.120 --> 1:01:28.160
<v Speaker 2>I mean it's a square bet, but I don't hate it.

1:01:29.920 --> 1:01:35.400
<v Speaker 2>And then Dylan Demas says, my bet the over on

1:01:35.520 --> 1:01:39.760
<v Speaker 2>points in every Lions game. Defense isn't stopping anyone Offen

1:01:39.840 --> 1:01:42.240
<v Speaker 2>is gonna let it fly shootouts every week. So here's

1:01:42.240 --> 1:01:48.320
<v Speaker 2>the thing at home that sounds like something our producers

1:01:49.600 --> 1:01:54.360
<v Speaker 2>or demonse would have said last year, like they're awesome offense,

1:01:54.680 --> 1:01:58.560
<v Speaker 2>bad defense. Obviously it's an over. Might be exactly something

1:01:58.600 --> 1:02:02.120
<v Speaker 2>that I said last year, right as if that is

1:02:02.600 --> 1:02:06.760
<v Speaker 2>inside information, Like guys, I figured it out. Vegas is

1:02:06.840 --> 1:02:10.000
<v Speaker 2>late to the party on this. The Lions score a

1:02:10.040 --> 1:02:14.080
<v Speaker 2>lot and they allow a lot, so let's bet the over, folks.

1:02:15.200 --> 1:02:19.760
<v Speaker 2>The people setting the lines are aware of these things

1:02:20.120 --> 1:02:24.520
<v Speaker 2>and set them accordingly. So that is the definition of

1:02:24.760 --> 1:02:30.280
<v Speaker 2>a square gambling gamblers thinking. And then lastly, Holden Davis

1:02:30.760 --> 1:02:32.600
<v Speaker 2>as what kind of impact do you think bost the

1:02:32.600 --> 1:02:35.520
<v Speaker 2>contract round on the Chris Jones negotiations. I don't think

1:02:35.560 --> 1:02:38.040
<v Speaker 2>it obviously won't help, but I don't think it hurts

1:02:38.040 --> 1:02:42.200
<v Speaker 2>it much because in the NFL, you negotiate versus other

1:02:42.280 --> 1:02:46.560
<v Speaker 2>guys of your position, and defensive ends have always made

1:02:46.560 --> 1:02:49.480
<v Speaker 2>more than d tackles. But it probably doesn't help because

1:02:50.000 --> 1:02:52.960
<v Speaker 2>Chris Jones sees Nick Bosa just got five years, one

1:02:53.040 --> 1:02:56.040
<v Speaker 2>hundred and seventy million and he wants a two year,

1:02:56.120 --> 1:02:59.600
<v Speaker 2>fully guaranteed, thirty four million dollar contract. The Chiefs have

1:02:59.640 --> 1:03:02.720
<v Speaker 2>offered a two year, fully guaranteed fifty four point five

1:03:02.720 --> 1:03:05.880
<v Speaker 2>million dollar contract, and now it's dragging into the season,

1:03:05.880 --> 1:03:10.240
<v Speaker 2>which is total bummer. All right, that's episode one seventy five, Demanse.

1:03:10.560 --> 1:03:13.480
<v Speaker 2>How'd this feel? I thought it went great. I thought

1:03:13.480 --> 1:03:16.680
<v Speaker 2>it went very well. I felt great about it. I

1:03:16.720 --> 1:03:20.880
<v Speaker 2>was a little nervous because we're by coastal that like

1:03:20.960 --> 1:03:23.760
<v Speaker 2>there'd be too much talking over each other, delay or whatever.

1:03:24.200 --> 1:03:27.280
<v Speaker 2>I if this is as clunky as it ever gets,

1:03:27.680 --> 1:03:31.400
<v Speaker 2>we are rolling. Your background looks great, You look great.

1:03:31.800 --> 1:03:36.040
<v Speaker 2>Things are going wonderfully. TV shows on fire, very happy,

1:03:36.160 --> 1:03:38.960
<v Speaker 2>very excited for football. The Chiefs are gonna roll. We

1:03:39.040 --> 1:03:43.160
<v Speaker 2>will see you guys on Tuesday as we recap week

1:03:43.200 --> 1:03:46.520
<v Speaker 2>one of the NFL and be ready to Monsey. I

1:03:46.520 --> 1:03:48.640
<v Speaker 2>don't know what your TV setup is like at home,

1:03:49.280 --> 1:03:51.520
<v Speaker 2>but you might have to do some split screening because

1:03:51.520 --> 1:03:55.320
<v Speaker 2>you know what's also happening Sunday during the late afternoon

1:03:55.880 --> 1:04:00.640
<v Speaker 2>football Slade who Men's Final US Open and could have

1:04:00.680 --> 1:04:04.439
<v Speaker 2>Djokovic al Karez, could have an American man in there? Oh,

1:04:04.880 --> 1:04:08.680
<v Speaker 2>a tennis corner coming back on Tuesday. Talk to you guys. Then,

1:04:08.800 --> 1:04:09.280
<v Speaker 2>what's right