1
00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:02,800
Speaker 1: If your football team had one option in their playbook,

2
00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:05,800
Speaker 1: the results probably wouldn't be great. The same could be

3
00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:09,440
Speaker 1: said for your investments. Cibo index options like SPX and

4
00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:12,920
Speaker 1: xsp can help expand your investing strategies with cash settlement

5
00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,840
Speaker 1: and potential tax advantages. If you're ready for a more

6
00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:19,160
Speaker 1: dynamic game plan, head to Better with Options dot Com.

7
00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,880
Speaker 1: Cebo life is better with options, Your investments.

8
00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:23,119
Speaker 2: Could be too.

9
00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:26,159
Speaker 1: There are risks associated with Cibo company products. Review the

10
00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:41,760
Speaker 1: disclosures and disclaimers at cbo dot com. Slash us underscore disclaimers.

11
00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:46,519
Speaker 2: Welcome. In episode one seventy five, on the day the

12
00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:50,960
Speaker 2: twenty twenty three NFL season begins, the day the Kansasity

13
00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:55,840
Speaker 2: Chiefs start the defense of their title and their inevitable

14
00:00:55,920 --> 00:01:00,880
Speaker 2: march to a repeat, and the day that Monse re

15
00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:07,160
Speaker 2: joins the show. You know, he's in la And after

16
00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:10,399
Speaker 2: the first year of the show, while you know, I

17
00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:13,560
Speaker 2: tried to give Demonse a lot of credit, we had

18
00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:17,080
Speaker 2: you know, one hundred thousand subscribers. He got the plaque.

19
00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:21,200
Speaker 2: I'll be honest, I thought it was my doing. But

20
00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:25,520
Speaker 2: when Demanse left the show five months ago, we had

21
00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:30,320
Speaker 2: one hundred and like four thousand YouTube subscribers. We now

22
00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:34,360
Speaker 2: nearly half a year later, are at one hundred and

23
00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:40,880
Speaker 2: twenty two thousand, which means our growth slowed significantly without him.

24
00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:43,199
Speaker 2: So if we have any opa get into one hundred

25
00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:45,440
Speaker 2: and fifty or two hundred thousand, we had to bring

26
00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:48,280
Speaker 2: him back. He's live from Los Angeles. He's locked in

27
00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:51,280
Speaker 2: on the NFL. Are you ready for this pal glad

28
00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:54,480
Speaker 2: to be back in? Very much? So? Ready? Let's do it.

29
00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:59,040
Speaker 2: Let's do it all right. First, here's what missed. Caleb

30
00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:03,440
Speaker 2: may stay at USC. I don't buy that Nick Bosa

31
00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:08,160
Speaker 2: signs a record extension. Chris Jones unfortunately does not. And

32
00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:10,959
Speaker 2: I saw this in the rundown. I didn't know why

33
00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:13,040
Speaker 2: they put it in there. We are not a pop

34
00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:17,360
Speaker 2: culture show. We are a sports, gambling and parenting show.

35
00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:23,400
Speaker 2: The Timothy Shalomey and Kylie Jenner go public. I'm not

36
00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,400
Speaker 2: I think maybe this was meant for a different Blue

37
00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:30,280
Speaker 2: Duck podcast and he tried to fit it into ours.

38
00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:33,280
Speaker 2: That's not what we're doing any day. It's certainly not

39
00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:37,120
Speaker 2: what we're doing on the day the NFL season starts, Demansey.

40
00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:40,280
Speaker 2: Before we get to our gambling picks, which are coming

41
00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:44,360
Speaker 2: in segment two, a whole new, revamped gambling show. Let's

42
00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:46,160
Speaker 2: get to the big stories in the NFL.

43
00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:49,480
Speaker 3: Go right ahead, all right, So Travis Kelsey went down

44
00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:52,080
Speaker 3: in practice with a hyper extended knee a few days.

45
00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:53,639
Speaker 2: Ago or leg whichever.

46
00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:57,040
Speaker 3: His brother Jason Kelsey, you got it, yea, His brother

47
00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,519
Speaker 3: Jason Kelsey seems to think that he's gonna be fine,

48
00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:02,960
Speaker 3: and we think they might play tonight, but we're not

49
00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:06,360
Speaker 3: one hundred percent sure. So without Kelsey one d percent,

50
00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:08,400
Speaker 3: it's not too late to take back your twenty to

51
00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:11,200
Speaker 3: ozero Chiefs bet Are you feeling a little bit of

52
00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:12,040
Speaker 3: a doubt right now?

53
00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:15,160
Speaker 2: Okay, you guys are just trying to bait me into

54
00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:17,839
Speaker 2: showing the never a Doubt tattoo, which I don't mind doing.

55
00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:19,240
Speaker 2: I can do it, I don't know how to do

56
00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:22,360
Speaker 2: it on this camera. Angle there it is. I'm feeling

57
00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,560
Speaker 2: no doubt, Clark Hunt when on television the owner of

58
00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:29,000
Speaker 2: the Chiefs today said he thought Travis might play. But

59
00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:33,920
Speaker 2: here's the thing. I don't want Travis to play. And

60
00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:40,440
Speaker 2: it's not even because of the potential for reinjury, because

61
00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:44,360
Speaker 2: seems like all the sports doctors out there are saying

62
00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:49,000
Speaker 2: because there was no structural damage. It's a bone bruise

63
00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:53,080
Speaker 2: after the hyper extension, and because of that, it's more

64
00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:57,680
Speaker 2: of a pain tolerance thing than a reinjury thing. So

65
00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,480
Speaker 2: it's not that I don't want Travis to play because

66
00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:02,720
Speaker 2: I'm worried he's gonna get hurt again. The guy has

67
00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:07,400
Speaker 2: been pretty indestructible throughout his career. In the last nine years,

68
00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:11,560
Speaker 2: he's missed three games, twice because the Chiefs were so

69
00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:13,680
Speaker 2: good he didn't have to play the final week of

70
00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:17,040
Speaker 2: the season, and once because of COVID protocols. He has

71
00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:20,040
Speaker 2: not missed a game due to injuries since his rookie season,

72
00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:24,360
Speaker 2: when he had knee surgery. The reason that I don't

73
00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:28,560
Speaker 2: want Travis to play is because I want the Chiefs

74
00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:33,480
Speaker 2: to send a message to the entire NFL. I want

75
00:04:33,520 --> 00:04:36,600
Speaker 2: without the best defensive player in the sport, Chris Jones,

76
00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,520
Speaker 2: without the best tight end ever who's also the biggest

77
00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:43,479
Speaker 2: weapon in the sport, and against a trendy Super Bowl

78
00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:47,760
Speaker 2: pick the frisky Detroit Lions, for the Chiefs to lay

79
00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:51,279
Speaker 2: the SmackDown on him without two of their three best

80
00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:56,840
Speaker 2: players throwing passes to Gadarius Tony and Justin Ross and

81
00:04:56,960 --> 00:05:01,960
Speaker 2: Noah Gray and to leave no question whatsoever who the

82
00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:03,960
Speaker 2: team to beat in the league this year is because

83
00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:07,840
Speaker 2: a very curious thing demanse has happened, which is, I

84
00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:11,440
Speaker 2: know you've been watching a lot of sports television, consuming

85
00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:14,120
Speaker 2: a lot of it. You know what I've seen. I've

86
00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:18,279
Speaker 2: seen a lot of people picking teams not named the

87
00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,640
Speaker 2: Kansas City Chiefs to not only win the Super Bowl,

88
00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:27,320
Speaker 2: but win the AFC. I saw the NFL dot Com

89
00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:30,480
Speaker 2: twenty five of their thirty four picked someone on the

90
00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:34,480
Speaker 2: Chiefs on what was it? Yes, no, it wasn't the ESPN,

91
00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,800
Speaker 2: Fox Sports, our own company. Let me ask you this,

92
00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:41,679
Speaker 2: to Monsey, we had fifteen experts on foxsports dot Com

93
00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:45,599
Speaker 2: pick the Super Bowl. Of those fifteen, how many do

94
00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:48,320
Speaker 2: you think had the Chiefs in the Super Bowl? And

95
00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:50,240
Speaker 2: how many do you think had the Chiefs winning the

96
00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:52,640
Speaker 2: Super Bowl? Give it a guess.

97
00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:56,920
Speaker 3: Uh three maybe had him in the Super Bowl and

98
00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:58,000
Speaker 3: one had him winning.

99
00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, you almost got it. Exactly four had a minute,

100
00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:06,360
Speaker 2: two had him winning. Eleven of our fifteen experts, then guy,

101
00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:09,360
Speaker 2: they can't even win the AFC. Thirteen of the fifteen

102
00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:12,039
Speaker 2: say they can't win the Super Bowl. I just saw

103
00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:17,800
Speaker 2: a screenshot from Get Up ESPN's morning show. Their four

104
00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:21,400
Speaker 2: experts all picked the Super Bowl the AFS. Three of

105
00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:24,680
Speaker 2: the four picked the Niners to win it, one the

106
00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:30,400
Speaker 2: Ravens to win it, and the three who so somebody

107
00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:33,080
Speaker 2: had the Ravens winning the AFC, and the three who

108
00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,080
Speaker 2: picked the Niners to win the NFC had them playing

109
00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:40,560
Speaker 2: in the Super Bowl. The Jets, the Bills, the Bengals.

110
00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:44,719
Speaker 2: You know what it feels like somehow coming off seventeen

111
00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:47,760
Speaker 2: and three, a league MVP winning the Super Bowl on

112
00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:52,320
Speaker 2: one leg, nobody believes in us. Again, Hey, everybody, everybody

113
00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:57,160
Speaker 2: year bulletin We need the bulletin boards. So for all

114
00:06:57,200 --> 00:07:02,920
Speaker 2: those reasons, I hope Kelseys chills out. I also do

115
00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:05,240
Speaker 2: kind of hope Chris Jones, like runs out of the

116
00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,280
Speaker 2: tunnel with a contract, get the crowd fired up, even

117
00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:10,920
Speaker 2: though he can't play like an old school wrestling thing,

118
00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:15,240
Speaker 2: like good god, that's Chris Jones' music. But yeah, I'm

119
00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:20,040
Speaker 2: not I'm not concerned about Kelsey long term. He's gonna

120
00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:23,240
Speaker 2: be fine, and it looks like they avoided massive injury.

121
00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:26,320
Speaker 2: One other note on this before me move on. When

122
00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,600
Speaker 2: I first got to Houston, JJ Watt was coming off

123
00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:33,600
Speaker 2: his rookie year. In training camp, he hyper extended his

124
00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:36,440
Speaker 2: elbow and people worried, oh my god, he could have

125
00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:39,480
Speaker 2: torn ligaments. He ended up being very fortunate there was

126
00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:42,280
Speaker 2: no structural damage. They're like, oh, we dodged a bullet.

127
00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:44,280
Speaker 2: He was our first round pick last year, came on

128
00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:46,400
Speaker 2: strong at the end of the year. He finished that

129
00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:48,400
Speaker 2: year with twenty and a half sacks and one Defensive

130
00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:50,520
Speaker 2: Player of the Year. So all I'm saying is all

131
00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:55,200
Speaker 2: time legendary players. The hyper extension that could have gone terribly,

132
00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:59,920
Speaker 2: but you avoid injury. Oh boy, Yiannis before the NBA Finals,

133
00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:03,000
Speaker 2: remember hyper extended his knee. It looked like, oh my god,

134
00:08:03,080 --> 00:08:06,280
Speaker 2: he might have torn all his ligaments. He then scored

135
00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:08,960
Speaker 2: fifty to win the championship and averaged forty a game

136
00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:13,160
Speaker 2: for the last five games. Great athlete. To avoid devastating injury,

137
00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:16,320
Speaker 2: you know, they can sometimes become more dangerous.

138
00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,800
Speaker 3: Go ahead, So we got a question from the chat

139
00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:23,400
Speaker 3: from jose log. Wow, already, this is Nick. Do you

140
00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:26,920
Speaker 3: believe in Jinxes? Now Kelsey injures the knee his knee

141
00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:28,720
Speaker 3: the same day that you said that you don't believe

142
00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:29,440
Speaker 3: in Jinx's.

143
00:08:29,840 --> 00:08:33,199
Speaker 2: Can't be a coincidence? Can it? Do you believe in

144
00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:37,920
Speaker 2: Jinx's demonse? Yes and no?

145
00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:41,200
Speaker 3: And I don't know how to explain why yes and no,

146
00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:45,000
Speaker 3: but but yes kind of I kind of believe in

147
00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:48,679
Speaker 3: that does. And I kind of believe that. You jinks, Travis.

148
00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:54,600
Speaker 2: Kelcey, Okay, I jinks. The idea that there is something

149
00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:59,280
Speaker 2: I could say from half the country away and it

150
00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:03,280
Speaker 2: impacts Ravis Kelsey's health of his knee is just nonsense.

151
00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:09,120
Speaker 3: Vibes man, the vibe that it puts out into the atmosphere.

152
00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:13,080
Speaker 2: This is I don't believe in Jinx's and I think

153
00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:17,480
Speaker 2: I proved that by getting a Chiefs related tattoo saying

154
00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:20,440
Speaker 2: they're gonna go twenty to oh and guaranteeing the Super Bowl.

155
00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:23,960
Speaker 2: Let's talk about tonight's game, Demons, what's next? All right?

156
00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,400
Speaker 3: So we talked about long term for the Chiefs, let's

157
00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:29,760
Speaker 3: talk about short term. Got no pass rush from Chris

158
00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,720
Speaker 3: Jones and no true number one target for Patrick Mahomes

159
00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:36,240
Speaker 3: and Travis Kelcey. Should we hammer the Lions money line tonight?

160
00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:42,880
Speaker 2: Okay? Stop it? Listen. Patrick Mahomes in week ones averages

161
00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:45,680
Speaker 2: thirty eight points a game is eighteen touchdowns no picks

162
00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:49,240
Speaker 2: is five and zero, has a nearly perfect passer rating.

163
00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:53,480
Speaker 2: The Chiefs fewest points they've ever scored in a Week

164
00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:57,840
Speaker 2: one game under Patrick Mahomes is thirty three points. Extrap

165
00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:02,520
Speaker 2: take that out further. Wait, that's true. The lowest amounts. Yeah,

166
00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:07,040
Speaker 2: they've scored thirty three, thirty four, thirty eight, forty and

167
00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:10,959
Speaker 2: forty four. That's what they've done in his five Week

168
00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:15,160
Speaker 2: one games. So let's go further. Patrick Mahomes in his

169
00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:19,960
Speaker 2: career in weeks one through four is seventeen and three

170
00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:26,120
Speaker 2: with sixty touchdowns and six interceptions. The Chiefs have won

171
00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:30,520
Speaker 2: seven consecutive home or seven consecutive Week one games under

172
00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:37,079
Speaker 2: Andy Reid. You, then, I remind everybody the one game

173
00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:41,160
Speaker 2: Mahomes is played in his career without Kelsey, the COVID

174
00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:46,600
Speaker 2: game December of twenty one against a playoff team, the

175
00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:50,840
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh Steelers. They scored thirty six points and Mahomes played

176
00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:54,080
Speaker 2: perfect football. Oh, Nick, but that team at Tyreek Hill.

177
00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:57,199
Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill had two catches for nineteen yards in that game.

178
00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:02,600
Speaker 2: Byron Pringle and Derek were the Chiefs leading receivers. One

179
00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:06,559
Speaker 2: of those guys is a running back that the Detroit Lions,

180
00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:10,520
Speaker 2: and I know Demons. Last year you thought I wasn't

181
00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:16,280
Speaker 2: giving golf enough credit. He was awesome at home on

182
00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:20,319
Speaker 2: the road, outside of the friendly confines, of the perfect

183
00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:22,920
Speaker 2: weather and the dome and the perfect footing, all of

184
00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:26,400
Speaker 2: that all year long on the road. Six touchdowns, four picks,

185
00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:29,960
Speaker 2: eighty three passer rating was not great on the road.

186
00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:34,800
Speaker 2: You keep talking about worry about the jinxes. I'm not

187
00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:37,640
Speaker 2: worried about the jinks. Now. The Lions might be able

188
00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:40,160
Speaker 2: to score some points now. I think the Chiefs defense

189
00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:43,240
Speaker 2: could be very good this year, but obviously they need

190
00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:48,160
Speaker 2: Chris Jones for that. I know the Chiefs offense is

191
00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:52,440
Speaker 2: scoring a minimum of thirty tonight. I'd set the actual

192
00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:55,079
Speaker 2: total at thirty eight. I think the Chiefs will score

193
00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:58,600
Speaker 2: thirty eight tonight without Kelsey. Can they win the Super

194
00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:02,280
Speaker 2: Bowl without Kelsey Jones? Of course not. Can they beat

195
00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:05,800
Speaker 2: the Lions? Of course they can. At the home opener,

196
00:12:05,880 --> 00:12:10,480
Speaker 2: dropping the banner and glass half full? Is this if

197
00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:16,080
Speaker 2: Kelsey doesn't play? Kadarius Tony gets more involved, gets the

198
00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:19,199
Speaker 2: season off from the start. Yeah, picking up where he

199
00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:22,720
Speaker 2: left off touchdown in the Super Bowl. Sky Moore, who

200
00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:25,840
Speaker 2: had a brutal, not a brutal but a disappointing rookie year,

201
00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:28,600
Speaker 2: but then scored a touchdown in the Super Bowl. He

202
00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:32,720
Speaker 2: gets the ball more and demonse a guy that you're

203
00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:35,800
Speaker 2: not familiar with, but America is gonna become familiar with

204
00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:39,280
Speaker 2: Blue Dog folks. Clip this please, and let's send it

205
00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:42,760
Speaker 2: out sometime tonight right around the time. This guy makes

206
00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:48,720
Speaker 2: a huge play. Justin Ross. So Justin Ross demanse as

207
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:56,000
Speaker 2: a freshman at Clemson in the National Championship Game with

208
00:12:56,240 --> 00:13:00,000
Speaker 2: the Prince who was promised throwing him passes. Justin Ross

209
00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:04,160
Speaker 2: actually in as a true freshman in the semi fin

210
00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:08,480
Speaker 2: in the playoffs, had three hundred yards in two games

211
00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:12,520
Speaker 2: as a guy who had just turned nineteen. He then

212
00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:18,040
Speaker 2: found out he had some spinal cord congenital spinal cord thing,

213
00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:23,640
Speaker 2: and he went from a no doubt first round pick

214
00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:28,920
Speaker 2: to undrafted. He then, after the Chiefs drafted him, had

215
00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:32,000
Speaker 2: to have foot surgery, I'm sorry, after the Chiefs signed

216
00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:34,640
Speaker 2: him in undrafted free agency, had to have foot surgery

217
00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:38,839
Speaker 2: and missed a whole year. But at camp this year,

218
00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:43,760
Speaker 2: woo ooh, Justin Ross looking like that five star kid

219
00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:46,360
Speaker 2: out of high school. Looking like the nineteen year old

220
00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:49,240
Speaker 2: that lit the world on fire. Justin Ross. People are

221
00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:51,480
Speaker 2: gonna be like, is that the kid from Clemson? Oh?

222
00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:54,120
Speaker 2: It is the kid from Clemson, not worried about the

223
00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:56,280
Speaker 2: Chiefs offense, just flatly not worried about it.

224
00:13:56,920 --> 00:14:01,160
Speaker 3: Well, I hope this justin Ross thing works out for you.

225
00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:03,760
Speaker 2: Who do you got tonight? Who do you got tonight?

226
00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:06,719
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not gonna pick the Lions to win

227
00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,240
Speaker 2: the game, but there you go, there you go. That's

228
00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:12,280
Speaker 2: all I need it, That's all I needed everybody. There's

229
00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:15,760
Speaker 2: the same thing Bruceard does to me on TV. He's like, oh,

230
00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:18,160
Speaker 2: you're over the top. Oh this, oh that, And I'm like, okay,

231
00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:22,360
Speaker 2: who you got? He's like, I'll take this exactly all right,

232
00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:24,560
Speaker 2: new segment alert, go ahead.

233
00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:27,080
Speaker 3: All right, to start off the football season, let's play

234
00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:30,160
Speaker 3: a new game. I'm gonna call this one planting your flag.

235
00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:33,920
Speaker 3: You make five takes each month, and we're actually gonna

236
00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:34,880
Speaker 3: hold you accountable.

237
00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:35,560
Speaker 2: Oh we love that.

238
00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:38,680
Speaker 3: Uh, you have to you have to switch two takes

239
00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:41,120
Speaker 3: every month. So if you have five great takes, you

240
00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:44,440
Speaker 3: have to cut two good ones. So okay, plant your

241
00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:47,440
Speaker 3: flag on five things you're sure will happen this year,

242
00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:49,080
Speaker 3: and we'll revisit this in October.

243
00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:53,600
Speaker 2: Okay, So at first I thought these were supposed to

244
00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:57,000
Speaker 2: be five predictions just for the next month, but these

245
00:14:57,040 --> 00:15:01,920
Speaker 2: are season long takes that and we're gonna adjust every month. Now,

246
00:15:01,960 --> 00:15:05,160
Speaker 2: this is hard for me because, as you guys know,

247
00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:09,760
Speaker 2: consistency for a reason so many great takes exactly right,

248
00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,240
Speaker 2: it's and it's hard because they're gonna ask me to

249
00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:16,280
Speaker 2: abandon two of these takes a month from now, I'm

250
00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:19,560
Speaker 2: gonna say it. So I almost want to throw in

251
00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:23,800
Speaker 2: some bad ones just so we don't have to abandon

252
00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:27,720
Speaker 2: good ones. But we won't do that, all right. The

253
00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:32,320
Speaker 2: first take in the obvious take is that everyone, over

254
00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:36,760
Speaker 2: the course of the year is going to realize, oh,

255
00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:41,080
Speaker 2: the Chiefs did win the Super Bowl in a rebuilding year,

256
00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,280
Speaker 2: and now we have no answers for him that the

257
00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:51,440
Speaker 2: Chiefs are going every The NFL commentariot is going to

258
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:56,160
Speaker 2: have to couch all of their takes with this premise. Well,

259
00:15:56,240 --> 00:16:00,800
Speaker 2: obviously the Chiefs are the best team. But but if

260
00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:04,040
Speaker 2: something happens to Mahomes but if you know what I mean,

261
00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:08,000
Speaker 2: any given Sunday, but aside from them, every is just

262
00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:10,800
Speaker 2: gonna be a given that the Chiefs are heading shoulders

263
00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:14,520
Speaker 2: bet than everyone. That's the first one. Second one, the

264
00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 2: Jacksonville Jaguars are gonna have a top five offense, the

265
00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:21,720
Speaker 2: Jacksonville Jaguars. And now I don't want to plant my

266
00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:25,920
Speaker 2: flag fully on the Jags winning twelve or thirteen games.

267
00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:28,720
Speaker 2: I believe that can happen, but I would like to

268
00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:32,960
Speaker 2: see the defense first, because I but I know they're

269
00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:34,320
Speaker 2: gonna have a top five offense.

270
00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:39,520
Speaker 3: We get possibly the twenty well, the Chiefs going twenty

271
00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:41,040
Speaker 3: and oh will that make it? Will we plan a

272
00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:43,240
Speaker 3: flag on that one? Or are we not playing flags?

273
00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,280
Speaker 2: I already did that. I mean, I'm not trying to

274
00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:49,320
Speaker 2: you know, I'm trying to give unique things to this show. Yeah,

275
00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:52,960
Speaker 2: I mean the go ahead and add the go ahead

276
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,440
Speaker 2: and add to the Chiefs flag slash twenty and zero.

277
00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:58,600
Speaker 2: That's fine, Yeah, undefeated, that's gonna be one of the

278
00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:01,120
Speaker 2: ones that you take out and like we three. No,

279
00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:04,359
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna have to take that out. I'm not gonna. Okay,

280
00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:05,640
Speaker 2: but you know what, that's a good call to them

281
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,240
Speaker 2: on say, in case something insane happens and they lose

282
00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:15,440
Speaker 2: a game. Now, that's an easy one to remove, all right,

283
00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:26,520
Speaker 2: the the Jets. The big story surrounding the Jets by Thanksgiving,

284
00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:31,400
Speaker 2: if not sooner, is going not going to be can

285
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,120
Speaker 2: they win the super Bowl, but is going to be

286
00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:43,440
Speaker 2: Robert Sala's job security. And my favorite see the future

287
00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:47,320
Speaker 2: opinion I've had in years, and I know you're listening.

288
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,639
Speaker 2: You're like, Nick, you rank your favorite of your own opinions,

289
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:52,200
Speaker 2: And the answer to that is, of course I do.

290
00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:56,320
Speaker 2: And this is maybe my favorite one is that Sala

291
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,640
Speaker 2: gets fired. And I like Robert Sala as a guy,

292
00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:03,760
Speaker 2: so I'm not this is this is just like my prediction.

293
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:07,399
Speaker 2: Just wait, just wait for it. Sally gets fired. And

294
00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:12,040
Speaker 2: then after the year, Rogers goes to Woody Johnson and

295
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:16,080
Speaker 2: it's like, you know, I'm you know, I'm thinking about

296
00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:19,639
Speaker 2: going back in that darkness retreat and I don't know

297
00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:23,520
Speaker 2: if I'm going to play next year. But I'll tell

298
00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:29,000
Speaker 2: you what, I would really push me in the comeback

299
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:34,320
Speaker 2: direction if you make my old buddy Nat Hackett head coach.

300
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:39,639
Speaker 2: That in not Hackett, who everybody flamed, but he's the

301
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 2: greatest man I've ever known, And go ahead and make

302
00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:47,080
Speaker 2: him head coach. So that's prediction number three, that's plant

303
00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:54,000
Speaker 2: My flag number three. Number four is that Kyle Shanahan's

304
00:18:54,760 --> 00:19:01,400
Speaker 2: indecision and inability to identify a quarterback finally bites him

305
00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:05,639
Speaker 2: when all of a sudden Sam Darnold is playing for

306
00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 2: the San Francisco forty nine ers, and that comes crumbling

307
00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:13,600
Speaker 2: down so that the Niners. I still think. Listen, I

308
00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:17,320
Speaker 2: still think the Niners playoff team. You like that one

309
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,879
Speaker 2: a lot, Yeah, And I listen. The Niners have so

310
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 2: much talent, particularly well on both sides of the ball, really,

311
00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:27,200
Speaker 2: and the NFC is so weak that I think even

312
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:31,000
Speaker 2: with a disastrous quarterback situation, they could make the playoffs.

313
00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:34,000
Speaker 2: But a lot of people think of the Niners this

314
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:36,840
Speaker 2: year what I thought of them last year, which is

315
00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:41,560
Speaker 2: that they could win the best team could win the conference.

316
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 2: I think Purdy is a little smoking mirrors. And I

317
00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:51,560
Speaker 2: don't know that any quarterback under Shanahan's system can stay healthy.

318
00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:55,480
Speaker 2: Everybody kill Like if all your quarterbacks get hurt every

319
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:57,800
Speaker 2: year at some point, it might be a bit of

320
00:19:57,840 --> 00:20:01,360
Speaker 2: the system. And so and if Darnold gets in there,

321
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:04,440
Speaker 2: who he compared to Steve Young, Like, give me a break, there,

322
00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:05,360
Speaker 2: go ahead.

323
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,480
Speaker 3: They're getting hurt in some like wild kind of ways

324
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:09,760
Speaker 3: that I don't know if you can necessarily blame it

325
00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:11,080
Speaker 3: on the system.

326
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:14,680
Speaker 2: I mean, well, brock Perdy got hurt because they left

327
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 2: a son Reddick unblocked because they wanted to send someone

328
00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:22,400
Speaker 2: out in a route like the if everyone if I

329
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:28,399
Speaker 2: ran door Dash competitor, and everyone's like, oh my god,

330
00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:36,440
Speaker 2: Nick's company, it's amazing. They get me my food faster

331
00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:40,040
Speaker 2: than door Dasher, Postmates or Grubhub. How does he do it?

332
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:44,880
Speaker 2: And the secret was thirteen drivers a week get hit

333
00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:48,720
Speaker 2: by cars because I haven't disobeyed the traffic signals. At

334
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:50,880
Speaker 2: some point there would be like a push in a pull.

335
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:56,920
Speaker 2: Everyone's like, oh my god, Shanahan's system. It's so indefensible.

336
00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 2: Yet every year multiple quarterbacks getting under it, Like so

337
00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 2: I mean these things might be at least a little correlated. Uh,

338
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,680
Speaker 2: all right, and then so I need one more. So

339
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 2: that was a you know what, I'm gonna go ahead.

340
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:14,880
Speaker 2: And I also have a running list in my head

341
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:16,840
Speaker 2: of on the fly analogies. That was one of my

342
00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:24,800
Speaker 2: better ones, all right, last one. Bijon Robinson, as a rookie,

343
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 2: is already considered the best running back in football. I'm

344
00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 2: not even gonna couch it on really really good every

345
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:36,840
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be really really good. But Bjeen

346
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:43,560
Speaker 2: Robinson is widely considered the best running back in the NFL.

347
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:47,159
Speaker 2: So we're planning my flag on twenty and zero and

348
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:52,440
Speaker 2: the Chiefs ruin all football commentary, uh Hackett hot seat,

349
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 2: JAG's top five offense, Shanahan's quarterback stuff bites him, and

350
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:00,920
Speaker 2: Bijeon already being the best running back in the NFL.

351
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:05,199
Speaker 2: All right, the next thing we're doing here, Demansay is

352
00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:08,639
Speaker 2: you were not here because it was your sister's final show.

353
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,720
Speaker 2: Our schedule for the people watching right now with the

354
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 2: podcast audience, because we didn't do a show last Thursday,

355
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 2: and I had promised that we would, we didn't do

356
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 2: a show all of last week. Kind of screwed up

357
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,080
Speaker 2: our schedule. So I'd like to apologize for that. That's

358
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 2: nobody's fault, just so everybody knows what happened Tuesday. Last Tuesday,

359
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:32,600
Speaker 2: we couldn't do a pod because there was I needed

360
00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:36,480
Speaker 2: to host Collins TV show and my TV show, so

361
00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:39,240
Speaker 2: that doesn't allow me to do the pod. And then

362
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:45,359
Speaker 2: Thursday we had there was an important there was essentially

363
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:48,639
Speaker 2: a meeting that we had to have for the TV

364
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:52,360
Speaker 2: show involving some folks who were in from LA and

365
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 2: bruce Ard and Wilde. And the only time the La

366
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,760
Speaker 2: folks and bruce Ard and Wilds everybody could do it

367
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:02,399
Speaker 2: was at this time. I'm on Thursday, So I sacrificed

368
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 2: the pod. But because of that, we then everything got

369
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 2: pushed back. Demand was supposed to be here for our

370
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 2: season preview show, but I didn't want Diora to not

371
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,880
Speaker 2: get a farewell show. So that's why we're all kind

372
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 2: of condensed right now. I don't know if you guys

373
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,360
Speaker 2: care about that, but that is I don't want anybody

374
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 2: who's watching right now we're listening to think that this

375
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 2: is you know that I do these things haphazardly, just

376
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:29,439
Speaker 2: sometimes life jumps in. So in the season preview show,

377
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:34,879
Speaker 2: we had eight season win totals that we actually bet.

378
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,359
Speaker 2: If you want to hear listen back to that season

379
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,439
Speaker 2: preview show. You can hear our thoughts on all thirty

380
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 2: two win totals, but we had eight that we actually bet.

381
00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,920
Speaker 2: We bet the Bears under seven and a half wins

382
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:50,320
Speaker 2: the Cowboys instead of taking over ten and a half

383
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 2: at minus money. We took them, I'm sorry, at over

384
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:55,400
Speaker 2: nine and a half at minus money. We took them

385
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 2: over ten and a half at plus money. The Jags,

386
00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 2: we did the same thing instead of nine and a half,

387
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 2: took them over ten and a half and plus a

388
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 2: lot case obviously over eleven and a half because they

389
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:08,359
Speaker 2: win twelve every year. The Patriots over seven and a

390
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:11,720
Speaker 2: half because they won eight games last year with Mac

391
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 2: playing worse than he could possibly play in terrible coaching situation.

392
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 2: The Eagles under eleven and a half because their schedules

393
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 2: not as soft, and I think they come back to

394
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 2: the pack a bit. And it should be noted no

395
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 2: team has won back to back NFC East titles in

396
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,679
Speaker 2: twenty years, yet everyone's penciling the Eagles in for it.

397
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:31,760
Speaker 2: The Niners at under ten and a half for the

398
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 2: reasons I just mentioned, and the Seahawks at over eight

399
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:35,639
Speaker 2: and a half because I think they're gonna win the

400
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 2: division of those win total bets demands anyone jump out

401
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 2: to you that you love or that you really dislike anything.

402
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,879
Speaker 3: I think New England's gonna get more than seven wins.

403
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 3: I think New England off the top is gonna get

404
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:49,439
Speaker 3: more than seven wins.

405
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 2: Okay, so you're with me on that because I've got

406
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:54,640
Speaker 2: them over seven and a half. What else?

407
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 3: Oh, you know, I honestly saw that as a US

408
00:24:58,359 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 3: working out.

409
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 2: No, that's okay. No, the unders that we have our Chicago, Philly,

410
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:04,400
Speaker 2: San Francisco.

411
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:08,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I saw an opening on the top of it.

412
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 3: Uh so, yeah, dude, it's uh that I don't.

413
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 2: I don't.

414
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:17,200
Speaker 3: I don't find anything wrong with your win totals. Wait, actually,

415
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 3: Chicago under seven and a half. I think they can

416
00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 3: win nine games this year.

417
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:29,480
Speaker 2: Okay, that demandse loves the running quarterback, loves them helas

418
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 2: Justin Fields, Daniel Jones. We're gonna get to some Lamar

419
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:38,440
Speaker 2: Jackson stuff in a moment. I mean, just loves it is.

420
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:41,879
Speaker 2: Can't get enough of the running quarterback. So that actually

421
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 2: what I say.

422
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,080
Speaker 3: I saw those couple of little screen passes that Justin

423
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 3: Fields had over the preseason. I like what I'm seeing

424
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,920
Speaker 3: before they even get to the defenders. Go ahead, Sorry, no.

425
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:58,400
Speaker 2: You're fine. I I agree with you. In large part.

426
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:03,639
Speaker 2: Here's my feeling on Chicago. They could more than triple

427
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:07,840
Speaker 2: their win total from last year. They could increase their

428
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:11,880
Speaker 2: win total from last year by five wins and hit

429
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:15,280
Speaker 2: the under. They could have a great year and hit

430
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 2: the under, so I'm going with the under. I think

431
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:20,159
Speaker 2: that their ceiling is seven to ten, all right, the

432
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:25,119
Speaker 2: division winner bets. So I kind of coupled these into

433
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 2: two groups, which are three semi long shots. I only

434
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 2: need to go one for three to break even, two

435
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,440
Speaker 2: for three and make a lot of money, and then

436
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 2: two not long shots but not favorites. So the Dolphins

437
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 2: to win their division at plus two ninety, Pittsburgh to

438
00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 2: win the AFC North at plus four seventy, and Green

439
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 2: Bay to win the NFC North at plus three fifty.

440
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:53,440
Speaker 2: The Pittsburgh bet is the one I want to talk

441
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,679
Speaker 2: to you about because it's kind of in lockstep with

442
00:26:56,720 --> 00:27:00,199
Speaker 2: the fact that I have Baltimore missing the playoffs. I

443
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:03,159
Speaker 2: know you're very high on the Ravens, your thoughts.

444
00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:08,399
Speaker 3: Well a couple of things on there with Miami. I

445
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,440
Speaker 3: don't even see them winning that division. I honestly think

446
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 3: the Jets could win that division. I think that the

447
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,919
Speaker 3: Jets mean everything that they've been saying. I think that

448
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:21,879
Speaker 3: they're going to surprise people. And obviously the Ravens, you

449
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:25,439
Speaker 3: got them missing the playoffs. Entirely, which is just pretty crazy.

450
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:28,480
Speaker 3: I think that if Odell Beckham says healthy the entire year,

451
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 3: which is I don't know if that's a big ask,

452
00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 3: but sure there's no way that they're missing the playoffs entirely,

453
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:36,919
Speaker 3: like not enough to be a wild card and at

454
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:42,200
Speaker 3: least like sneaking. I just don't see that Steelers winning

455
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:42,679
Speaker 3: that division.

456
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:46,239
Speaker 2: To me is crazy. But so the argument for the

457
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 2: Steelers is last year TJ. Watt missed seven games. He's

458
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 2: their best player. Canny Pickett had a terrible rookie season.

459
00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, they were like mixing and matching with the quarterbacks,

460
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 3: I feel like, yeah.

461
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 2: And they still won nine games. So with TJ. Watt healthy,

462
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 2: with Pickett just taking a bit of a jump, can

463
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:11,160
Speaker 2: they win eleven? I think yes. And I think Cincinnati

464
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:13,160
Speaker 2: and Baltimore don't clear eleven.

465
00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 3: That's I mean, that's exactly what I was about to say.

466
00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:18,480
Speaker 3: With Cincinnati and Baltimore in there, I don't think it'll matter.

467
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 2: But uh no, that's most people agree with you. That's

468
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 2: why they're plus four to seventy and then the other two.

469
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 2: We don't have so much time on Atlanta plus two

470
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:30,639
Speaker 2: to ten to win the division. In Seattle plus two

471
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 2: thirty to win the division Atlanta. That's Bjean Robinson Bett

472
00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 2: and kind of fading the Saints and Seattle. That is

473
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 2: just fully fading the forty nine ers. Yeah.

474
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:42,960
Speaker 3: I was about to say, what's up with that? The

475
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 3: Seattle winning a division that the forty nine ers are

476
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:46,800
Speaker 3: playing in. I get you just said everything that you

477
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:50,440
Speaker 3: said about Shanahan's offense and his quarterbacks getting but at

478
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: the end of the day, I.

479
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 2: Just don't believe in that's it. It's just flatley and

480
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,800
Speaker 2: I think Seattle. Seattle played more rookies last year than

481
00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:02,240
Speaker 2: any team in the NFL, so now all of a sudden,

482
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 2: I think those rookies have a little more experience, they're

483
00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 2: even better. So I like Seattle in that spot.

484
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 3: And you don't think with Donald, with Donald being the

485
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 3: quarterback in the forty nine ers defense, you don't think

486
00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 3: that they're capable of winning that division.

487
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 2: Okay, Jets had good defenses with him, Carolina had good

488
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 2: defenses with him. No, if Donald is the quarterback, I

489
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:26,719
Speaker 2: am certain the Niners aren't winning the division. And then

490
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 2: a couple parlays demonse a Jags Chiefs win the division

491
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,760
Speaker 2: parlay you get plus one fifty on that. You gotta

492
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,920
Speaker 2: admit you love that. Bet the Jags and Chiefs just

493
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 2: win the division and we get plus one fifty. And

494
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:43,720
Speaker 2: then my long shot one, which is why it's only

495
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:47,280
Speaker 2: a quarter unit. Bet Pittsburgh, Miami, and Green Bay all

496
00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 2: to win their divisions ninety nine to one. How about

497
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:54,520
Speaker 2: that ninety nine to one on that. See, Demond hated

498
00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 2: all three of those picks, but now he's gonna beat

499
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 2: fight it to happen. Then Demonse might put fifteen bucks

500
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 2: on ninety nine to one on the Eagles to win

501
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 2: last year's Super Bowl, Like, yeah, it's ninety nine to one, Like,

502
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 2: who knows, maybe they'll find out the game was rigged

503
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 2: all right? Now, make miss playoffs bet?

504
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:15,920
Speaker 3: Uh.

505
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:21,400
Speaker 2: The first one is similar to the Chiefs Jags division

506
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 2: winning bets, but we added Dallas to just make a

507
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 2: playoffs plus one sixty. Brown's Jets Detroit to miss the

508
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 2: playoffs at plus even to fifty five for a quarter unit.

509
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 2: That's just a cursed franchise missed the playoffs. And then

510
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:38,560
Speaker 2: one that I feel very strongly about, and you seem

511
00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 2: to really disagree. This will be good for the show

512
00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:43,920
Speaker 2: all year, So you're buying into the Jets hype demonse.

513
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 3: I'm buying in I don't really like Aaron Rodgers, so like,

514
00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 3: I feel like that's saying a lot. I just think

515
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 3: that with Aaron Rodgers being in this new situation, the

516
00:30:56,880 --> 00:31:00,320
Speaker 3: relationship has still got that new car smell, and like,

517
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 3: I think that this is a good switch up for him,

518
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 3: and I think that he's gonna be He's gonna be there,

519
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 3: like mentally and physically. I don't think he's gonna be

520
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:12,719
Speaker 3: checked out. The Jets obviously have a good defense. They

521
00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:17,200
Speaker 3: got Dalvin Cook. I think that, Hey, dude, but this

522
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:20,680
Speaker 3: is they do have. They defacy do have a tough schedule.

523
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 3: Like their first six weeks is pretty tough.

524
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 2: Well, the first six weeks are brutal. If they come

525
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 2: out of the first six weeks three three, they can

526
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 2: be dangerous. I just don't know that they can do that.

527
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,040
Speaker 2: But the other thing is this, this is the second

528
00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 2: opinion you've given here to Monsey where the vast majority

529
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,560
Speaker 2: of experts agree with you, not me, Like, this is

530
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 2: what you're saying is I am way more out of

531
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 2: step with mainstream on this than you are. So we'll see.

532
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 2: And then my Super Bowl pick Kansas City Dallas at

533
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:55,680
Speaker 2: thirty to one and Kansas defeat Dallas at fifty to one.

534
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 2: Would you like to give a Super Bowl pick here?

535
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:03,600
Speaker 3: So I think it's gonna be Ravens Dallas, And if

536
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,719
Speaker 3: it isn't Ravens Dallas, it's gonna be Kansas City Dallas.

537
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 2: Super Bowl Wow. So she can say wow because Demons

538
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 2: actually told me that last night. But he said it

539
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:17,960
Speaker 2: before he knew mine, So before Demanse even knew mine,

540
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 2: so he's not like, you know, parroting me here. He

541
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 2: said it independent. And it was a little disappointing that

542
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 2: it was before he knew mine because I had given

543
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 2: that on television on Friday and Demanse.

544
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 1: Was unaware of it.

545
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 2: So it was a little sad for me. But Uh,

546
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 2: I tried. This is how much Demanse, though cares about

547
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:41,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna expose you a little bit in a good way.

548
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 2: I'm really exposing myself. This is how much Demanse cares

549
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 2: about his integrity on this show. When he told me

550
00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 2: he liked uh Dallas in the NFC, I tried to

551
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 2: cajole him into going with the Giants instead because he's

552
00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 2: a Daniel Jones guy, and he was like, no, I

553
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 2: can't do it. He's like, I do like Daniel Jones,

554
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 2: but I can't make him to win the Super Bowl.

555
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:08,480
Speaker 3: No, no, not that man. And honestly, have you.

556
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 2: Seen what Greg Jennings has said about Daniel Jones at

557
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,520
Speaker 2: quarterback in the NFL. He's got a lot of faith

558
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 2: in Daniel Jones. But go ahead, I'll let you finish. Hey, man.

559
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:24,080
Speaker 3: It seems like he does slowly start to stop making

560
00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 3: the same mistakes from the previous year. And if he's

561
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:30,280
Speaker 3: in that same trajectory, then I think he.

562
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:32,120
Speaker 2: Is going to be a top ten quarterback this year.

563
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 2: I mean, he's listen. If he improves, that's correct. If

564
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 2: he improves as much this between last year and this

565
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 2: year as he did between the year prior to last

566
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 2: year and last year, then he will be a top

567
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 2: ten quarterback. My concern for him is not even that

568
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 2: he flatlines, but that he goes in the other direction.

569
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 2: All right, this was fun. We're right in the swing

570
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 2: of things, even though it's early morning in LA and

571
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 2: we're cross country. Our gambling picks now, just like last year,

572
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:08,759
Speaker 2: five picks from me every single week. Five of the

573
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:14,640
Speaker 2: last six years. I've been a documented winning gambler on

574
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 2: either this show or the TV show would However, I've

575
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:19,640
Speaker 2: done it ever since I've been on TV. I've been

576
00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:23,399
Speaker 2: giving out three or five picks every week, a documented

577
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:26,600
Speaker 2: winning record, and not just winning record, better than fifty

578
00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 2: two point four percent against the spread, which is the

579
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:35,319
Speaker 2: break even number with the vig Also, this year, Demons

580
00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 2: is going to give us a weekly teaser and we

581
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 2: are going to have a season long competition. We'll talk

582
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 2: about what that is next. Take a quick break, come back,

583
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 2: what's right.

584
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 4: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

585
00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 4: inspiring true story about Anthony Robles, who defined every expectation

586
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 4: to become an national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new

587
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 4: original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg.

588
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:09,440
Speaker 4: Evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and

589
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,880
Speaker 4: thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast

590
00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 4: including Jarrel Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Panya, and

591
00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:20,720
Speaker 4: Bobby Canavali. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video.

592
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 2: Welcome back in We'll drive You. Nick gread Episode one

593
00:35:24,520 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 2: seventy five, our Week one NFL Gambling Show and just

594
00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:31,840
Speaker 2: general football. We kind of recap preview, get you ready

595
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:35,520
Speaker 2: for Lions Chiefs, and now is time for our five

596
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 2: picks of the week, My five picks of the week,

597
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:43,320
Speaker 2: plus Demonse's weekly teaser and some listen sometimes Demonse's teaser,

598
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 2: depending on if he's doing a two, three, four, five

599
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:48,600
Speaker 2: team teaser. I have a feeling I don't know what

600
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 2: this week's is. By the feeling, before we get to Halloween,

601
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 2: we're gonna have debuted a few sixteen teasers, so his

602
00:35:56,880 --> 00:36:02,960
Speaker 2: the teasers that aren't two two teamers are plus money.

603
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 2: But whatever it is, we are going to keep track

604
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 2: on a unit basis how profitable I am versus how

605
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:17,080
Speaker 2: profitable Demanse is and will be a season long contest.

606
00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:21,439
Speaker 2: So and it has nothing to do with amount we bet,

607
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:24,640
Speaker 2: because Demanse and I are gonna obviously bet different unit sizes,

608
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:28,439
Speaker 2: so we're just gonna normalize it. We're gonna maybe we're

609
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:32,520
Speaker 2: gonna treat them all as one unit bets and go

610
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:35,800
Speaker 2: from there. But before we get to Demanse's teasers teaser,

611
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 2: just like we did last year, my five picks every

612
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 2: single week demonse, what's my first one? All right? So

613
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 2: first off, you got Jags minus four and a half

614
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 2: at Indy. Let's talk about that one, Okay, So I listen,

615
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,359
Speaker 2: do you just want to go ahead and give all

616
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:55,120
Speaker 2: the reasons that this is a terrible bet that the

617
00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:56,879
Speaker 2: producers have given have put in.

618
00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,759
Speaker 3: The notes bets do it? So you went one and

619
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 3: see depending on the Jags last year? We all remember that, Okay.

620
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:08,279
Speaker 2: Okay, before yes, but that is only because the producers

621
00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 2: bullied me out of betting on them the moment they

622
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:16,480
Speaker 2: started their hot streak. I bet on the Jags basically

623
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 2: every week. The producers made me stop, and then they

624
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 2: immediately became the hottest team in the NFL. It was ridiculous.

625
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 2: So that should be more like seven and seven, but

626
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:28,560
Speaker 2: they wouldn't let me do it.

627
00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:32,160
Speaker 3: Go ahead, all right, Well, Trevor is four and fourteen

628
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:34,239
Speaker 3: on the road, straight up, it's pretty big.

629
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:36,480
Speaker 2: I don't care about that doesn't matter. That includes the

630
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 2: Urban Meyer era. And lastly, go ahead.

631
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 3: Last thing, the Jaguars haven't won an Indy since twenty seventeen,

632
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:45,400
Speaker 3: that is when I graduated high school.

633
00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:48,279
Speaker 2: By the way, okay, I don't care about any of that.

634
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 2: Here's what I know. We believe in the Jacksonville Jaguars.

635
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:57,239
Speaker 2: This is Anthony Richardson's first start. I understand this is

636
00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:01,480
Speaker 2: a you know, I am taking a road dog as

637
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 2: my first pick of the year. I'm sorry, road favorite,

638
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 2: pardon me as my first pick of the year. That

639
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 2: and it goes against all these trends. Don't care. The

640
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:16,319
Speaker 2: Jags are gonna score thirty one points and he's gonna

641
00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:19,200
Speaker 2: be happy to get to seventeen. I love this bet.

642
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 3: Go ahead, well, no fear in your heart that Anthony

643
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:25,920
Speaker 3: Richardson might be the next Daniel Jones, because like he

644
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:29,120
Speaker 3: might have a breakout game and destroy your jackson That's

645
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:29,840
Speaker 3: a pretty good question.

646
00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:33,719
Speaker 2: I do think Anthony Richardson was a good pick and

647
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:37,680
Speaker 2: his upside is massive. I don't think he's gonna look

648
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:40,440
Speaker 2: good in his first NFL start, So I had that

649
00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:46,240
Speaker 2: happened the way Yeah, so so Cam in his first

650
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 2: ever NFL start, I think got four hundred yards, but

651
00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:54,400
Speaker 2: Cam also was coming off a Heisman Trophy and undefeated season,

652
00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 2: being the consensus number one overall pick. Cam Is first

653
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:02,520
Speaker 2: NFL start ever four hundred and twenty two yards and

654
00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:08,319
Speaker 2: three total touchdowns, there's a few. I know. It's unbelievable.

655
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 2: He walked into the NFL after having arguably the single

656
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:15,279
Speaker 2: greatest college season anyone's ever had. He walked into the

657
00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:19,840
Speaker 2: NFL and was just dominant on the flip side. Jamis

658
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:24,000
Speaker 2: Winston in his first ever NFL start, had two picks

659
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:28,359
Speaker 2: and two fumbles. Marcus Mariota, who was the number two

660
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:31,720
Speaker 2: pick of that draft, in his first ever NFL start,

661
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:35,839
Speaker 2: completed eighty seven percent of his passes with four touchdowns.

662
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:40,520
Speaker 2: So there are certain instances where guys have awesome first starts.

663
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,279
Speaker 2: I don't think Anthony Richardson's gonna do that. I think

664
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,319
Speaker 2: Trevor's gonna be awesome. I like the Jags. Next.

665
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:49,320
Speaker 3: All right, next, you've got New England at home plus

666
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 3: four versus Philly.

667
00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:59,960
Speaker 2: Okay, the entire gambling world is going to be on Philadelphia.

668
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 2: Patriots offensive line is banged up. The Eagles have this

669
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:09,959
Speaker 2: amazing pass rush. The Patriots looked terrible last year. Why

670
00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:14,480
Speaker 2: is this line not higher? Here's what I know Belichick.

671
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:19,759
Speaker 2: I don't want to say he's on the hot seat.

672
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:24,320
Speaker 2: What I will say is he really wants Don Shula's record,

673
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 2: and he needs to have either two more good seasons

674
00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:35,759
Speaker 2: or three more mediocre seasons to get there. I don't

675
00:40:35,760 --> 00:40:37,799
Speaker 2: know if Kraft is gonna give him that time. If

676
00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:41,320
Speaker 2: they're a disaster this year, Philly coming off the super

677
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:45,960
Speaker 2: Bowl hangover, I'm getting points at home with the better coach.

678
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:49,799
Speaker 2: The crowd is going to be insane because they are

679
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:52,920
Speaker 2: retiring Brady's jersey and putting him in the Ring of

680
00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:56,200
Speaker 2: Honor all of that. So we I know the graphics

681
00:40:56,239 --> 00:41:00,440
Speaker 2: right now, say Jacksonville, but in New England getting four points,

682
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:03,200
Speaker 2: I don't need them to win. I just need them

683
00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 2: to keep it close. New England getting four points against Philadelphia.

684
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:08,120
Speaker 2: What do the producers think of that one?

685
00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:12,200
Speaker 3: Demonsey, Well, since two thousand teams that lost in the

686
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:15,160
Speaker 3: previous season super Bowl or four and nineteen against the

687
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:17,840
Speaker 3: spread in the week one following in the week I

688
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 3: like the following.

689
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 2: Season, that's good. What's the other note?

690
00:41:22,160 --> 00:41:25,840
Speaker 3: The other note is Hurts is thirteen to five and

691
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:28,719
Speaker 3: one against the spread at home, but only six and

692
00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:30,399
Speaker 3: thirteen against the spread on the road.

693
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:34,279
Speaker 2: Oh so I don't listen. I don't have access to

694
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:37,320
Speaker 2: these little factoids when I make my picks because I

695
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:40,440
Speaker 2: don't want to be swayed by the trends, but that

696
00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:44,400
Speaker 2: it sounds like as much as the Sharps might not

697
00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:47,560
Speaker 2: have liked my Jacksonville pick the New England pick, I

698
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:49,120
Speaker 2: could be on the right side of it. What's the

699
00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:51,520
Speaker 2: next one? Right? Uh?

700
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 3: We got greed. You've got Green Bay plus one and

701
00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 3: a half at Chicago.

702
00:41:56,680 --> 00:41:59,680
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean they're the far better team. They have,

703
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:03,719
Speaker 2: the better coach they have for this game, potentially the

704
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:06,120
Speaker 2: better quarterback. This might be one of the only games

705
00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:08,839
Speaker 2: all year green Bay. We'll see listen. I think Justin

706
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 2: Fields might end up being really good, but he struggled

707
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:19,120
Speaker 2: massively throwing the football last year. Passing was the Packers.

708
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 2: The Packers, and I think Jordan Love will be solid

709
00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:27,280
Speaker 2: just from being able to sit for three years. The Packers,

710
00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 2: I think are super motivated. The Packers had their you know,

711
00:42:31,560 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 2: their spouse of fifteen years leave them immediately, get in shape,

712
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:38,359
Speaker 2: start going to the gym, get out and get some

713
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:40,520
Speaker 2: things worked on, and start telling the whole world how

714
00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:44,520
Speaker 2: much they love their new girlfriend. So they're motivated. The Packers.

715
00:42:44,560 --> 00:42:47,200
Speaker 2: Devens is good, the running game is good, their weapons

716
00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:49,960
Speaker 2: are good. I think Green Bay wins this game out right.

717
00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 2: I like the Packers a lot go ahead.

718
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:54,440
Speaker 3: Was Jordan Love sacked at any point this preseason?

719
00:42:56,600 --> 00:42:59,120
Speaker 2: I don't know. Maybe I don't think he was. I

720
00:42:59,120 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 2: don't think he was.

721
00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 3: I think the big thing for him this preseason is

722
00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 3: he got no pressures.

723
00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 2: Uh So, like what if? What if?

724
00:43:06,600 --> 00:43:08,719
Speaker 3: What if the Chicago Bears come and sack him and

725
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:10,960
Speaker 3: rattle them like they did perty And no, that's fair,

726
00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:11,440
Speaker 3: but the.

727
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:14,120
Speaker 2: I don't trust the Bears defense at all. The Bears

728
00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 2: defense was terrible last year. I know they invested some

729
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,560
Speaker 2: in it, but you can't remake your entire team in

730
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:22,759
Speaker 2: one offseason. They got DJ Moore the wide receiver, they

731
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:25,760
Speaker 2: invested in the offensive line. That demon's still gonna be spotty.

732
00:43:26,080 --> 00:43:28,960
Speaker 2: I like Green Bay in that spot. And what was

733
00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:31,720
Speaker 2: my record last year? To Monsey betting road dogs?

734
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 3: You were twenty You were twenty five fourteen and one.

735
00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:40,400
Speaker 2: Twenty So I was sixty two and a half percent

736
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:44,719
Speaker 2: against the spread betting road dogs. And actually a little

737
00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:46,879
Speaker 2: higher if you include the tie as a half win.

738
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:48,960
Speaker 2: All right, next one.

739
00:43:49,400 --> 00:43:51,840
Speaker 3: Uh so you've got Buffalo minus two and a half

740
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 3: at the Jets.

741
00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:58,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, I I was the first part.

742
00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:00,600
Speaker 3: I was the only let's just be you've got faith

743
00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:04,040
Speaker 3: in the Bills this year. Your hate for Rogers fueled

744
00:44:04,040 --> 00:44:05,120
Speaker 3: some love for the Bills.

745
00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:07,520
Speaker 2: I love it. So here's the thing. I knew that

746
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 2: was gonna be the reaction. Let's just be totally honest here.

747
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:15,520
Speaker 2: I was the only person in America correct on the

748
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 2: Bills last year, the only one while everybody was saying

749
00:44:20,719 --> 00:44:24,000
Speaker 2: I was afraid of them. Josh Allen is at worst

750
00:44:24,040 --> 00:44:26,600
Speaker 2: the second best quarterback in football, maybe the best. The

751
00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:29,080
Speaker 2: Bills are the best team. They were the Vegas favorite

752
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:34,080
Speaker 2: all of it. All year long. I told you that

753
00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:37,600
Speaker 2: was a paper tiger. And what happened come the playoffs

754
00:44:37,880 --> 00:44:41,440
Speaker 2: they needed They survived Skyler Thompson by the skin of

755
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 2: their teeth, and then they got their teeth kicked in

756
00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:49,520
Speaker 2: by Cincinnati. I am now here to tell you the

757
00:44:49,640 --> 00:44:54,280
Speaker 2: general public has gone too far in the other direction

758
00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:58,000
Speaker 2: on the Bills. Now. You look around a lot of

759
00:44:58,040 --> 00:45:04,080
Speaker 2: folks have the Bills missing the playoffs. That's not gonna happen. Now.

760
00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:06,839
Speaker 2: I don't think they win the division. I think Miami does.

761
00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:13,480
Speaker 2: I think the but the Bills. So you think yeah, yeah,

762
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:19,080
Speaker 2: and my playoff teams are division winners. Kansas in the AFC,

763
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:25,360
Speaker 2: Kansas City, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Miami, and my wild cards are Buffalo,

764
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:31,040
Speaker 2: Cincinnati and the Chargers. With the Jets and the Ravens

765
00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:39,200
Speaker 2: Broncos missing the playoffs, the Patriots as well. Obviously, the

766
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 2: Bills are better than the Jets. I understand that they're

767
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 2: the Jets have home field here, but I am laying

768
00:45:48,680 --> 00:45:51,640
Speaker 2: less than a field goal, so I just there's there's

769
00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:55,360
Speaker 2: very It's gonna be very hard for the Bills to

770
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:59,080
Speaker 2: win and not cover. So while I don't love road

771
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 2: favorites less than a field goal, I feel better about

772
00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:05,439
Speaker 2: and the Bills are better and the Jets. I'm telling

773
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:08,319
Speaker 2: you right now, man on the Jets, Demonsey, here's what's

774
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:11,840
Speaker 2: gonna happen. The Jets are gonna lose on Monday Night Football.

775
00:46:12,840 --> 00:46:17,319
Speaker 2: Six days later, they're gonna go to Dallas, and that

776
00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:21,439
Speaker 2: Dallas defensive front is gonna sack Aaron Rodgers a half

777
00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:26,799
Speaker 2: dozen times, and immediately panic will set in in New

778
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 2: York because they will know in Week four they have

779
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:35,200
Speaker 2: the Chiefs and all of a sudden they will be

780
00:46:35,280 --> 00:46:39,839
Speaker 2: facing a must win Week three game against the Patriots,

781
00:46:40,120 --> 00:46:42,880
Speaker 2: which yes, obviously the Jets should win that game. But

782
00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:47,920
Speaker 2: the Patriots have beaten the Jets fourteen consecutive games, and

783
00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:51,239
Speaker 2: all of these good vibes, good feelings, all of that

784
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:55,640
Speaker 2: is gonna turn in six days between Monday Night and

785
00:46:55,719 --> 00:46:56,720
Speaker 2: the following Sunday.

786
00:46:56,719 --> 00:47:00,480
Speaker 3: Go ahead, something something important of note. He has won

787
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:04,240
Speaker 3: nine straight Monday Night football games. He's six one against

788
00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:05,640
Speaker 3: the spread as a home dog.

789
00:47:06,239 --> 00:47:12,960
Speaker 2: And also so that real quick, real quick, Rogers. What

790
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:17,080
Speaker 2: that means is Rogers has only been a home dog

791
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:22,480
Speaker 2: eight times, which is crazy. Think about that. How long

792
00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:24,799
Speaker 2: he's been a quarterback and he has only been an

793
00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:30,600
Speaker 2: underdog at home eight times. And that's not Monday one football.

794
00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:36,239
Speaker 2: That's his whole career. No, no, no, no. I wonder how

795
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:39,280
Speaker 2: many of those were his first year as a starter.

796
00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:44,640
Speaker 2: He's probably been a dog since that first year, maybe

797
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:47,360
Speaker 2: four or five times. That's unbelievab All right, go ahead.

798
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:50,759
Speaker 3: The Bills at fourteen and six are the most profitable

799
00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:53,120
Speaker 3: team in Week one in the last twenty years.

800
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:56,720
Speaker 2: Okay, that's the type of stat I don't actually care about,

801
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:58,759
Speaker 2: but it helps me in this case. I'll take it,

802
00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:00,160
Speaker 2: all right, last one?

803
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:02,800
Speaker 3: All right, So you've got Pittsburgh plus two and a

804
00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:04,120
Speaker 3: half versus San fran.

805
00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:08,799
Speaker 2: Okay, so this is the lock of the week, the

806
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,360
Speaker 2: right move. It is also something I'm gonna go ahead

807
00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:18,239
Speaker 2: and tell you wait to bet. If it moves to two,

808
00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 2: it doesn't kill you, but it could, especially now that

809
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:28,319
Speaker 2: Nick Bosa has signed, if it becomes fully confirmed, he's

810
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:32,680
Speaker 2: one hundred percent playing. Maybe it moves to three and

811
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:37,000
Speaker 2: you get that super useful extra half point. But that

812
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh defense against what could be a gunshy Brock Purty

813
00:48:44,120 --> 00:48:51,240
Speaker 2: and the Niners in Pittsburgh, Tomlin coaching. I like Pittsburgh.

814
00:48:51,560 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 2: This is my favorite bet of the week. I think

815
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:57,279
Speaker 2: the line is wrong. I think Pittsburgh is as good

816
00:48:57,280 --> 00:49:01,480
Speaker 2: as San Francisco this year, and they are at home

817
00:49:01,600 --> 00:49:04,400
Speaker 2: and they're getting points. This is also I don't know

818
00:49:04,440 --> 00:49:07,480
Speaker 2: if it's on your I'm not you've already submitted your

819
00:49:07,520 --> 00:49:09,959
Speaker 2: teaser card. I don't know if this is on there.

820
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:14,799
Speaker 2: But this is as perfect of a teaser leg as

821
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:18,279
Speaker 2: there is because you would get them through all the

822
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:25,200
Speaker 2: key numbers through three, four, six, seven, and eight, and

823
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:27,880
Speaker 2: obviously the biggest numbers are three, six and seven before

824
00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:32,040
Speaker 2: and eight are kind of nice. So I love Pittsburgh here.

825
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:34,799
Speaker 2: So Demonse, what do the stats say on.

826
00:49:34,760 --> 00:49:37,920
Speaker 3: This Mike tomin is fourteen five and two against the

827
00:49:37,960 --> 00:49:41,200
Speaker 3: spread in thirteen and eight outright as a home underdog.

828
00:49:41,840 --> 00:49:45,080
Speaker 3: Uh with TJ with TJ Watt in the game, Steelers

829
00:49:45,080 --> 00:49:49,239
Speaker 3: were eight and two against against and against.

830
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:49,879
Speaker 2: The straight up. Yeah.

831
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:53,680
Speaker 3: So in prov and the Right Move went six and

832
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:54,520
Speaker 3: eleven last year.

833
00:49:55,040 --> 00:49:56,960
Speaker 2: I know, I almost thought about getting rid of it

834
00:49:57,000 --> 00:49:59,840
Speaker 2: this year. I almost thought of just doing just just

835
00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:03,000
Speaker 2: five picks. But we're gonna have to We're gonna have

836
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:05,239
Speaker 2: to redeem ourselves on the right move. All right, are

837
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 2: you ready for this teaser? Because I'm ready to hear it,

838
00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:09,000
Speaker 2: and I'm.

839
00:50:08,840 --> 00:50:14,120
Speaker 3: Already I'm wait for you to hear Let me hear it. Yeah,

840
00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:17,640
Speaker 3: all right, So this this week's teaser.

841
00:50:19,040 --> 00:50:21,759
Speaker 2: I don't want to step place it down. I don't

842
00:50:21,760 --> 00:50:24,000
Speaker 2: want to step on your segment. But before you tell

843
00:50:24,080 --> 00:50:28,120
Speaker 2: us the teams, tell us how many team and how

844
00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:33,400
Speaker 2: many points? So like a three teams six six point teaser?

845
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:36,759
Speaker 2: Oh it is, okay, that's great. So what is it?

846
00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:40,640
Speaker 2: Plus one forty plus one? Does it say? Plus yeah,

847
00:50:40,640 --> 00:50:45,920
Speaker 2: plus one forty? Okay, three team six point teaser plus

848
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:46,800
Speaker 2: one forty?

849
00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:51,960
Speaker 3: Alright, go, we're teasing the Cincinnati bangles down from two

850
00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:53,920
Speaker 3: and a half to plus three and a half.

851
00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:54,719
Speaker 2: I guess up.

852
00:50:56,400 --> 00:51:00,920
Speaker 3: And then we're teasing Tampa Bay plus six up to twelve,

853
00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:04,160
Speaker 3: and then we're teasing the Raiders plus four up to

854
00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:07,520
Speaker 3: ten versus the Broncos. Tampa Bay will be playing the

855
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:09,960
Speaker 3: Vikings by the way, sorry for not giving the full

856
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:14,440
Speaker 3: full layout, and Cincinnati will be playing the Cleveland Browns. Listen,

857
00:51:14,760 --> 00:51:18,239
Speaker 3: I'm not here to tease through key numbers. I'm here

858
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:21,720
Speaker 3: to win the teaser. If this didn't follow your your

859
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:26,200
Speaker 3: teaser strategy, I apologize, but trail me on this one. Guys,

860
00:51:26,280 --> 00:51:28,400
Speaker 3: we're getting money this at the end of the week.

861
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:31,800
Speaker 3: At some point, money will enter your fan Duel account

862
00:51:31,840 --> 00:51:36,200
Speaker 3: if you place this teaser. Okay, all right, so what

863
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:36,759
Speaker 3: don't you like?

864
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:40,640
Speaker 2: Here's the thing, all right, I don't mind the Vegas one,

865
00:51:41,480 --> 00:51:43,879
Speaker 2: and you are at least getting it through. I think

866
00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:47,000
Speaker 2: Vegas might way they could win that game. Yep. And

867
00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:50,319
Speaker 2: you're getting it all the way to ten. And just

868
00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:53,920
Speaker 2: so everybody knows, if you do a three team teaser

869
00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:58,800
Speaker 2: and a one leg pushes like let's say Vegas loses

870
00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:02,600
Speaker 2: by ten, it just reduces your teaser to a two

871
00:52:02,719 --> 00:52:05,600
Speaker 2: team teaser. So like, let's say you were to get

872
00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:09,319
Speaker 2: Cincinnati and Tampa correct demanse and Vegas were to lose

873
00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:12,600
Speaker 2: by ten, then instead of being a three teamer at

874
00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:16,280
Speaker 2: plus one forty, it would turn into a two teamer

875
00:52:16,600 --> 00:52:20,000
Speaker 2: at minus one thirty. But you still win, so that one.

876
00:52:20,040 --> 00:52:24,960
Speaker 2: I don't mind Tampa. I actually like I don't know

877
00:52:25,040 --> 00:52:29,160
Speaker 2: if it's you know, ideal value, but I actually like it.

878
00:52:30,200 --> 00:52:34,600
Speaker 2: Since cinnatataty it gets shippy. I have a lot of trepidation.

879
00:52:35,760 --> 00:52:38,200
Speaker 2: I have a lot of trepidation on it. You're teasing

880
00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:43,800
Speaker 2: through the zero. You are only getting one key number.

881
00:52:44,120 --> 00:52:46,839
Speaker 2: I guess my point is this demonse just real quick,

882
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 2: let's just cause it feels to me like you added

883
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 2: the Bengals because you needed another leg. Because here's what,

884
00:52:53,960 --> 00:52:57,640
Speaker 2: here's here's my opinion on it. Right now, it's Cincinnati

885
00:52:57,760 --> 00:53:01,279
Speaker 2: minus two and a half. You are paying, you are

886
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:06,319
Speaker 2: buying those six points. You think the only.

887
00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:08,879
Speaker 3: Way I just think that Cincinnati is going to win

888
00:53:08,920 --> 00:53:11,799
Speaker 3: the game, right.

889
00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:15,040
Speaker 2: No, I understand that, But that my point would be,

890
00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:19,720
Speaker 2: you are what you are. No if they win by anything,

891
00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:27,479
Speaker 2: you win anyway. The the you think Cincinnati is gonna

892
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,759
Speaker 2: win and you're taking them from minus two and a

893
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,520
Speaker 2: half plus three and a half. The only way you

894
00:53:32,680 --> 00:53:37,759
Speaker 2: got value there is if the game either ends with

895
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:41,839
Speaker 2: the Browns winning by one, two or three it being

896
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:46,319
Speaker 2: a tie, or Cincinnati winning by one or two. Otherwise

897
00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:49,719
Speaker 2: you'd have been better off just betting Cincinnati minus two

898
00:53:49,719 --> 00:53:51,600
Speaker 2: and a half. But again, it's your teaser.

899
00:53:51,840 --> 00:53:54,000
Speaker 3: Hey, I was just about to say it definitely says

900
00:53:54,080 --> 00:53:58,839
Speaker 3: Demons's teaser up there. We don't need to, but no,

901
00:53:58,920 --> 00:54:02,560
Speaker 3: I value that. I will say that that was the

902
00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 3: one that I was the most like shoddy about. Uh,

903
00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:07,799
Speaker 3: but it was the first one that I picked in

904
00:54:07,840 --> 00:54:09,720
Speaker 3: the teaser though, Like, but it's.

905
00:54:09,640 --> 00:54:14,080
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm good with it. You do know, and I'm

906
00:54:14,080 --> 00:54:15,200
Speaker 2: not trying to encourage this.

907
00:54:15,360 --> 00:54:20,520
Speaker 3: Wait wait, Joe Burrow is playing. He's playing Joe Burrows,

908
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:21,520
Speaker 3: He's playing.

909
00:54:22,000 --> 00:54:27,880
Speaker 2: You do know that there are seven ten and thirteen

910
00:54:28,000 --> 00:54:31,160
Speaker 2: point teasers as well, right, I know that you go up,

911
00:54:31,160 --> 00:54:34,759
Speaker 2: but then you it's less money you exactly, no, no, no,

912
00:54:34,840 --> 00:54:38,359
Speaker 2: And the the every ten point teaser that's ever been

913
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:42,000
Speaker 2: placed looks like how can it lose? Like, how is

914
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:45,600
Speaker 2: it possible that this possibly loses? Okay, I'm going to

915
00:54:46,600 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 2: so Here's what we're going to do. As part of this.

916
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:54,680
Speaker 2: I'm going to give each of these teasers a sharp

917
00:54:54,800 --> 00:54:59,279
Speaker 2: square grade. And then in addition to seeing how profitable

918
00:55:00,160 --> 00:55:02,200
Speaker 2: you are at the end of the year, we're gonna

919
00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:06,000
Speaker 2: see how much the wins and losses correlate with my grade. Okay,

920
00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:10,160
Speaker 2: So I am going to give this a grade of

921
00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:15,839
Speaker 2: a B minus. Vegas is solid, Tampa's not bad, and

922
00:55:15,880 --> 00:55:18,600
Speaker 2: the fact that you are teasing the dog I like

923
00:55:18,680 --> 00:55:22,200
Speaker 2: a lot. Cincinnati brings the grade down. If you're in

924
00:55:22,320 --> 00:55:24,839
Speaker 2: place of Cincinnati, you had Pittsburgh plus eight and a half.

925
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:27,560
Speaker 2: This might be an a teaser, but you know what,

926
00:55:27,680 --> 00:55:29,920
Speaker 2: I'm actually pretty proud of you. All right, what's the

927
00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:34,000
Speaker 2: offer this week? All right? Return of the offer? Man.

928
00:55:34,520 --> 00:55:36,919
Speaker 3: This is where I coick up a long shot bet

929
00:55:36,960 --> 00:55:40,040
Speaker 3: and you decide if it's fun or not, or if

930
00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:40,719
Speaker 3: you're a fun or not.

931
00:55:40,719 --> 00:55:43,319
Speaker 2: Should I say the Chiefs to.

932
00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:46,319
Speaker 3: Score two plus touchdowns in every single regular season game

933
00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:47,880
Speaker 3: this year at plus five hundred?

934
00:55:48,360 --> 00:55:51,640
Speaker 2: Do you accept? All right? So that is one of

935
00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:54,920
Speaker 2: the yes. I accept. Then I accept it's a totally

936
00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:58,800
Speaker 2: square bet, but I accept it's so Fan Duel has

937
00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:03,560
Speaker 2: this version this type of bet for every team. The

938
00:56:03,680 --> 00:56:07,600
Speaker 2: Chiefs to score one plus touchdown in every game this

939
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:12,879
Speaker 2: year is minus two hundred, which is there. They're saying,

940
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:15,840
Speaker 2: it's almost not a guarantee of close to it. What

941
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:19,960
Speaker 2: I find hilarious is this. The Chiefs to score at

942
00:56:20,040 --> 00:56:23,080
Speaker 2: least two touchdowns in every game is five to one.

943
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:27,839
Speaker 2: The Cardinals to score at least one touchdown in every

944
00:56:27,880 --> 00:56:31,719
Speaker 2: game is six and a half to one. So they're like,

945
00:56:32,360 --> 00:56:35,920
Speaker 2: and they have this for every team. But yes, I

946
00:56:35,960 --> 00:56:40,760
Speaker 2: actually like that offer. That's a smart offer. And last

947
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:45,560
Speaker 2: year that offer would have paid that wait, well you

948
00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:48,520
Speaker 2: know what, No, wouldn't have because the Colts game. I

949
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:51,080
Speaker 2: think the Chiefs only scored one touchdown.

950
00:56:50,680 --> 00:56:54,439
Speaker 3: Go ahead, funny stat. Did the offer hit more than

951
00:56:54,680 --> 00:57:00,520
Speaker 3: the right move last year? I think that like might

952
00:57:00,640 --> 00:57:01,200
Speaker 3: be a thing.

953
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:07,960
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I'm pretty sure it did. It did? All right,

954
00:57:08,040 --> 00:57:10,399
Speaker 2: quick break? We answer, Oh, I should have been telling

955
00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:13,680
Speaker 2: you guys this, gosh darn it. Leave your bets in

956
00:57:13,719 --> 00:57:16,000
Speaker 2: the chat and I'll tell you if I think they're

957
00:57:16,080 --> 00:57:19,560
Speaker 2: sharper square. We're doing that. Next quick break right back?

958
00:57:19,600 --> 00:57:28,440
Speaker 2: What's right? All right, sharper square time Now as you

959
00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:32,480
Speaker 2: guys send in some bets. You've been making, and you know,

960
00:57:32,600 --> 00:57:36,360
Speaker 2: I'll tell you, Oh, I look, that's a Funny's good,

961
00:57:38,480 --> 00:57:43,560
Speaker 2: that's a good graphic. Our YouTube audience is really in

962
00:57:43,680 --> 00:57:47,080
Speaker 2: for a treat today. We'll discuss whether or not they're

963
00:57:47,080 --> 00:57:50,080
Speaker 2: sharper square. All right. The first one Chad Holland as

964
00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:53,840
Speaker 2: the Texans plus ten. I mean, it's not a bet

965
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:56,400
Speaker 2: I would make, but it's you're obviously on the sharp side.

966
00:57:56,800 --> 00:58:00,520
Speaker 2: You're it's almost never the sharp side to take a

967
00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:04,120
Speaker 2: massive favorite. So you're on the sharp side, and it's

968
00:58:04,160 --> 00:58:10,040
Speaker 2: pretty hard for any individual point spread bet to be

969
00:58:10,240 --> 00:58:16,360
Speaker 2: super square. The square bets are the more convoluted parlays

970
00:58:16,520 --> 00:58:21,720
Speaker 2: or certaintiasers things like that. What demonse, But you like

971
00:58:21,840 --> 00:58:25,160
Speaker 2: the Ravens minus ten against Houston more than the Texans

972
00:58:25,200 --> 00:58:30,280
Speaker 2: plus ten? Correct or you don't know?

973
00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:37,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I honestly think Yo minus minus ten minus ten.

974
00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:39,760
Speaker 3: I'd go with the minus tan rookie quarterback Texan sucked

975
00:58:39,800 --> 00:58:40,280
Speaker 3: last year.

976
00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:43,960
Speaker 2: Yeah. So the reason I mean this is a stay

977
00:58:43,960 --> 00:58:48,000
Speaker 2: away for me because every once in a while, new

978
00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:51,560
Speaker 2: head coach, which Texas have Dmiico Ryans over from San Francisco,

979
00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:54,520
Speaker 2: you know what I mean, they popped just to start

980
00:58:54,560 --> 00:58:58,919
Speaker 2: the year and sometimes rookie quarterbacks pop early and then

981
00:58:59,040 --> 00:59:01,640
Speaker 2: come down to earth bit. But I do like the

982
00:59:01,920 --> 00:59:03,600
Speaker 2: so i'd stay away from it. But I think you're

983
00:59:03,600 --> 00:59:06,840
Speaker 2: probably on the right side of it. Jay Romig says,

984
00:59:06,880 --> 00:59:10,840
Speaker 2: the Bears money line. So here's the thing. Even though

985
00:59:10,920 --> 00:59:14,760
Speaker 2: I like the Packers in that game, the reason that

986
00:59:14,960 --> 00:59:17,680
Speaker 2: I would say that is a square bet is this,

987
00:59:18,560 --> 00:59:21,960
Speaker 2: the Bears are I'm gonna get you the exact The

988
00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:26,920
Speaker 2: Bears are minus one and a half at essentially minus

989
00:59:27,000 --> 00:59:30,880
Speaker 2: one oh four or the money line is minus one twenty.

990
00:59:31,560 --> 00:59:36,280
Speaker 2: So is it worth it to pay sixteen cents of

991
00:59:36,400 --> 00:59:39,440
Speaker 2: juice to go from minus one oh four to minus

992
00:59:39,520 --> 00:59:43,840
Speaker 2: one twenty just so you win if the Bears win

993
00:59:44,000 --> 00:59:47,480
Speaker 2: by one point? Exactly? So I would say, if you

994
00:59:47,680 --> 00:59:50,960
Speaker 2: like the Bears, bet a minus one and a half

995
00:59:51,360 --> 00:59:54,920
Speaker 2: rather than just to win. That way you're getting you know,

996
00:59:54,960 --> 00:59:57,120
Speaker 2: you're not paying minus one twenty on the juice, You're

997
00:59:57,120 --> 01:00:00,040
Speaker 2: paying minus one oh four. Like that's to me the

998
01:00:00,080 --> 01:00:04,360
Speaker 2: money line there doesn't make a ton of sense. Similarly,

999
01:00:05,280 --> 01:00:08,480
Speaker 2: on the if you're betting the Packers rather than getting

1000
01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:11,720
Speaker 2: them plus one and a half at minus one twenty,

1001
01:00:12,240 --> 01:00:14,960
Speaker 2: I would just bet them on the money line and

1002
01:00:15,040 --> 01:00:17,440
Speaker 2: The only way that screws you is if the Packers

1003
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:23,680
Speaker 2: lose by one point exactly. Zach Eisen says, the Chiefs

1004
01:00:23,680 --> 01:00:26,720
Speaker 2: minus four and a half parlayed with their team total

1005
01:00:26,920 --> 01:00:30,360
Speaker 2: over twenty nine and a half. I mean, technically that's

1006
01:00:30,400 --> 01:00:33,080
Speaker 2: a square bet, but I love it. I totally agree.

1007
01:00:33,320 --> 01:00:35,360
Speaker 2: I think that if the Chiefs are gonna cover, they're

1008
01:00:35,360 --> 01:00:37,920
Speaker 2: gonna do it by scoring a bunch of points. So

1009
01:00:38,080 --> 01:00:42,840
Speaker 2: I don't mind that bet bet at all. Tony and

1010
01:00:42,960 --> 01:00:46,680
Speaker 2: Pacheco anytime touchdown score. So Deman say, this is where

1011
01:00:46,720 --> 01:00:50,840
Speaker 2: I'm gonna just be kind of hypocritical. These are square

1012
01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:55,000
Speaker 2: bets that I love. They're like all fitting my agenda of.

1013
01:00:54,920 --> 01:01:00,440
Speaker 3: The getting a touchdown. Yeah, well, i'd say those are

1014
01:01:00,480 --> 01:01:03,880
Speaker 3: two of the most likely guys to get the ball

1015
01:01:04,000 --> 01:01:05,240
Speaker 3: in a touchdown situation.

1016
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:09,920
Speaker 2: They don't really have much like I agree with you entirely.

1017
01:01:09,960 --> 01:01:14,040
Speaker 2: In fact, let me just see t Ross pay so,

1018
01:01:14,840 --> 01:01:19,320
Speaker 2: oh yeah, justin Ross, what is he to plus four seventy? Oh?

1019
01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:25,120
Speaker 2: All right, Pacheco and Tony parlayed, you get five to one.

1020
01:01:26,120 --> 01:01:28,160
Speaker 2: I mean it's a square bet, but I don't hate it.

1021
01:01:29,920 --> 01:01:35,400
Speaker 2: And then Dylan Demas says, my bet the over on

1022
01:01:35,520 --> 01:01:39,760
Speaker 2: points in every Lions game. Defense isn't stopping anyone Offen

1023
01:01:39,840 --> 01:01:42,240
Speaker 2: is gonna let it fly shootouts every week. So here's

1024
01:01:42,240 --> 01:01:48,320
Speaker 2: the thing at home that sounds like something our producers

1025
01:01:49,600 --> 01:01:54,360
Speaker 2: or demonse would have said last year, like they're awesome offense,

1026
01:01:54,680 --> 01:01:58,560
Speaker 2: bad defense. Obviously it's an over. Might be exactly something

1027
01:01:58,600 --> 01:02:02,120
Speaker 2: that I said last year, right as if that is

1028
01:02:02,600 --> 01:02:06,760
Speaker 2: inside information, Like guys, I figured it out. Vegas is

1029
01:02:06,840 --> 01:02:10,000
Speaker 2: late to the party on this. The Lions score a

1030
01:02:10,040 --> 01:02:14,080
Speaker 2: lot and they allow a lot, so let's bet the over, folks.

1031
01:02:15,200 --> 01:02:19,760
Speaker 2: The people setting the lines are aware of these things

1032
01:02:20,120 --> 01:02:24,520
Speaker 2: and set them accordingly. So that is the definition of

1033
01:02:24,760 --> 01:02:30,280
Speaker 2: a square gambling gamblers thinking. And then lastly, Holden Davis

1034
01:02:30,760 --> 01:02:32,600
Speaker 2: as what kind of impact do you think bost the

1035
01:02:32,600 --> 01:02:35,520
Speaker 2: contract round on the Chris Jones negotiations. I don't think

1036
01:02:35,560 --> 01:02:38,040
Speaker 2: it obviously won't help, but I don't think it hurts

1037
01:02:38,040 --> 01:02:42,200
Speaker 2: it much because in the NFL, you negotiate versus other

1038
01:02:42,280 --> 01:02:46,560
Speaker 2: guys of your position, and defensive ends have always made

1039
01:02:46,560 --> 01:02:49,480
Speaker 2: more than d tackles. But it probably doesn't help because

1040
01:02:50,000 --> 01:02:52,960
Speaker 2: Chris Jones sees Nick Bosa just got five years, one

1041
01:02:53,040 --> 01:02:56,040
Speaker 2: hundred and seventy million and he wants a two year,

1042
01:02:56,120 --> 01:02:59,600
Speaker 2: fully guaranteed, thirty four million dollar contract. The Chiefs have

1043
01:02:59,640 --> 01:03:02,720
Speaker 2: offered a two year, fully guaranteed fifty four point five

1044
01:03:02,720 --> 01:03:05,880
Speaker 2: million dollar contract, and now it's dragging into the season,

1045
01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:10,240
Speaker 2: which is total bummer. All right, that's episode one seventy five, Demanse.

1046
01:03:10,560 --> 01:03:13,480
Speaker 2: How'd this feel? I thought it went great. I thought

1047
01:03:13,480 --> 01:03:16,680
Speaker 2: it went very well. I felt great about it. I

1048
01:03:16,720 --> 01:03:20,880
Speaker 2: was a little nervous because we're by coastal that like

1049
01:03:20,960 --> 01:03:23,760
Speaker 2: there'd be too much talking over each other, delay or whatever.

1050
01:03:24,200 --> 01:03:27,280
Speaker 2: I if this is as clunky as it ever gets,

1051
01:03:27,680 --> 01:03:31,400
Speaker 2: we are rolling. Your background looks great, You look great.

1052
01:03:31,800 --> 01:03:36,040
Speaker 2: Things are going wonderfully. TV shows on fire, very happy,

1053
01:03:36,160 --> 01:03:38,960
Speaker 2: very excited for football. The Chiefs are gonna roll. We

1054
01:03:39,040 --> 01:03:43,160
Speaker 2: will see you guys on Tuesday as we recap week

1055
01:03:43,200 --> 01:03:46,520
Speaker 2: one of the NFL and be ready to Monsey. I

1056
01:03:46,520 --> 01:03:48,640
Speaker 2: don't know what your TV setup is like at home,

1057
01:03:49,280 --> 01:03:51,520
Speaker 2: but you might have to do some split screening because

1058
01:03:51,520 --> 01:03:55,320
Speaker 2: you know what's also happening Sunday during the late afternoon

1059
01:03:55,880 --> 01:04:00,640
Speaker 2: football Slade who Men's Final US Open and could have

1060
01:04:00,680 --> 01:04:04,439
Speaker 2: Djokovic al Karez, could have an American man in there? Oh,

1061
01:04:04,880 --> 01:04:08,680
Speaker 2: a tennis corner coming back on Tuesday. Talk to you guys. Then,

1062
01:04:08,800 --> 01:04:09,280
Speaker 2: what's right