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Speaker 1: Hey guys, before the podcast begins. I got a quick request.

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Speaker 1: So my wife turned forty and I forgot to say

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Speaker 1: this in the podcast, so I've got to do it

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Speaker 1: before the podcast begins. My wife turned forty years old

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Speaker 1: on the eighteenth, yesterday Sunday.

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Speaker 2: Can you do me a favor? She tracks all of

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Speaker 2: this data that.

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Speaker 1: Comes to her website, her new store that started two

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Speaker 1: months ago. She has this dream of owning her own boutique.

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Speaker 1: It's Madeligne Boutique dot store, mat Aligneboutique dot store. If

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Speaker 1: you go to my Twitter account at sports Talk Matt,

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Speaker 1: there's a link there if you guys could just go there.

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Speaker 2: I'm not asking to buy anything, just.

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Speaker 1: Help with the traffic to bump up the traffic on

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Speaker 1: her website. We did it on Twitter yesterday if you

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Speaker 1: missed it on Twitter. I thought it could be cool

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Speaker 1: that the Deucee audience kind of gave her a boost

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Speaker 1: there and just gave her some traffic. And it's a

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Speaker 1: cool looking little website. It's a boutique for kids. It's

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Speaker 1: really nice kids clothing. But it's her dream to start this.

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Speaker 1: So if you could do that for me, I would

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Speaker 1: be uber uber thankful. Sorry for doing this right here

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Speaker 1: time of the podcast. Hey guys, how are you welcome

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Speaker 1: into a Monday morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Paroltz. You can follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning we

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Speaker 1: are here on Bettingpros dot com, always being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by BETMGM. You can find this podcast anywhere where

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Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, YouTube as well, and we even.

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Speaker 2: Have a TikTok.

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Speaker 1: Now if you go start the Daily Juice you can

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Speaker 1: see what I'm doing on TikTok, which is not very much.

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Speaker 2: It's just like a one pick that you guys get

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Speaker 2: on the podcast because you listen to it anyway. So

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Speaker 2: but I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm doing on there, but I'll

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Speaker 1: figure it out eventually. We've had a couple of good days.

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Speaker 1: We did fairly well over the weekend thanks to the

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Speaker 1: Open Championship. We went three and oh on our Open

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Speaker 1: Championship wagers. We got JT over Rory in the second round.

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Speaker 1: We got Bryson Brooks over Bryson for the full four.

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Speaker 1: Brooks played great on Sunday and we had him over

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Speaker 1: Dustin Johnson on Sunday so three and oh there we

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Speaker 1: had some bad luck in NASCAR, and I still like

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Speaker 1: that Denny Hamlin bet a lot, but look, first, the

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Speaker 1: rain was awful and NASCAR never should have started that race.

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Speaker 1: And then two Toyota has spin out and crash and

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Speaker 1: Truex Junior and Kyle Busch pretty much done after what

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Speaker 1: the third or fourth lap, and then Denny Hamlin somehow

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Speaker 1: escaped any damage when he spun around and didn't clip

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Speaker 1: the wall or didn't get hit by anybody, but then

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Speaker 1: he had a wheel fall off late in the race.

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Speaker 1: So that was an unfortunate loss there. The Red Sox

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Speaker 1: was just a bad bet. Red Sox are not playing well.

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Speaker 1: Their offense is problematic, so we'll watch them against the

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Speaker 1: Blue Jays coming up. But I think the Red Sox

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Speaker 1: are going to have a rough couple.

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Speaker 2: Of weeks here.

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Speaker 1: They're playing a lot of teams in their division. They

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Speaker 1: need Chris Saale, they probably need to make a trade

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Speaker 1: for another bat, and you know they're asking their middle three, four,

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Speaker 1: five hitters to do a lot right now and it's

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Speaker 1: just not really working. That's why they brought up the

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Speaker 1: Duran kid to hopefully bet lead off at some point

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Speaker 1: in this season for Boston, but just a bad loss

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Speaker 1: to the Yankee So the Yankees take two of three

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Speaker 1: for the Red Sox. I had the Red Sox and

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Speaker 1: the under as a parlay the Yankees and the over hit,

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Speaker 1: so I was way off on that game. We had

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Speaker 1: the official play of the Red Sox and the money line,

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Speaker 1: so that didn't come out.

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Speaker 2: So two and two overall.

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Speaker 1: Yesterday with the four with the four round win with

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Speaker 1: Brooks over Bryson, and just a slight win for a Sunday,

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Speaker 1: So not a bad little run. Okay, it's we definitely

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Speaker 1: had better runs than this, but we're sure as hell

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Speaker 1: have had worse runs and when we've been all over

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Speaker 1: the last four days. So it's Monday today, all right,

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Speaker 1: and I'm just gonna tell you this. I'm going to

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Speaker 1: give you four bets for a bet we have not

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Speaker 1: made yet here on the Daily Juice. I have not

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Speaker 1: bet no for a run in the first inning yet,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna make four of them coming up today

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Speaker 1: here on a Monday. I hate betting on Monday because

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Speaker 1: you never know what you're going to get, and teams

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Speaker 1: are funky. It's the first game of a series, they're

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Speaker 1: traveling they've been. You know, this is the first time

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Speaker 1: they've played a couple of games since the All Star Break,

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Speaker 1: first time around in the rotation since the All Star Break.

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Speaker 2: So it's just kind of a wonky day.

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Speaker 1: So I've got four quarter unit bets, four of them

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Speaker 1: one unit in play, but broken up into four court unions,

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Speaker 1: and I'm looking for really either low juice or plus money.

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Speaker 1: All right, So I've taken where the books are kind

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Speaker 1: of shading towards the yes, and I'm coming in and

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Speaker 1: taking on the no. Now, maybe there's a ton of

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Speaker 1: offense throughout Major League Baseball and I lose a whole

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Speaker 1: unit by doing this today, but I think we could

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Speaker 1: probably go two and two, and if the right too

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Speaker 1: and two hit for us, we're betting plus money. So

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Speaker 1: then we wind up getting ourselves into a situation where

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Speaker 1: we're winning. We're up on the day, okay, And I'm

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Speaker 1: going to give you my favorite SEC win total bet

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Speaker 1: of the college football season. The SEC Media Days begin

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Speaker 1: today in Birmingham, Alabama. When I tell you how special

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Speaker 1: of a week this is in the South, you just

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Speaker 1: don't understand unless you've lived there. This is the start

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Speaker 1: of football season when you get to Birmingham and you

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Speaker 1: get to walk in that hotel that's attached to a mall.

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Speaker 1: I used to do my show there every year, and

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Speaker 1: it's just a really cool deal. You get all the

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Speaker 1: coaches all together, and you get all the players all together.

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Speaker 1: And for somebody who didn't grow up in the South,

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Speaker 1: SEC media days are legit. Man, it is so so fun.

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Speaker 1: And you get Alabama on Wednesday, you get Georgia and

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss on Tuesday. It's really a fun, fun week.

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Speaker 1: And if you're a college football nut, no crowds. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: they're not going to let the crowds in. That was

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Speaker 1: one of the biggest culture shocks for me when I

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Speaker 1: moved to Alabama for the first time and went down

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Speaker 1: to media days that there were hundreds of people waiting

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Speaker 1: outside to get At the time, whoever was coaching, Mike

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Speaker 1: do Bo was his autograph at the time for Alabama,

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Speaker 1: it didn't matter who it was.

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Speaker 2: They were just wide eyed.

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Speaker 1: And they couldn't believe that they were looking at their

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Speaker 1: college football players and their coaches. And I'm coming from

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Speaker 1: New England, I'm coming from Virginia, and I'm coming from

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Speaker 1: a background where professional sports are the only thing that

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Speaker 1: matters in college sports are kind of like, yeah, great,

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Speaker 1: you played college. Talk to me when you get to

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Speaker 1: the NFL. I couldn't figure it out in the beginning.

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Speaker 1: I was a twenty one, twenty two year old kid

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Speaker 1: who was just like, wait what.

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Speaker 2: I remember the first time I broadcasted.

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Speaker 1: I was doing a pregame and postgame show for Virginia

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Speaker 1: University of Virginia when I was the voice of UVA

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Speaker 1: Women's basketball, my first ever professional job in Charlottesville, Virginia,

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Speaker 1: and I was doing a broadcast first game of the

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Speaker 1: year outside of Virginia Stadium, and all the dudes going

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Speaker 1: to the game were wearing a suit and tach a

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Speaker 1: suit and jacket, and all the women were dressed up

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Speaker 1: in these beautiful sun dresses. And I looked to the

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Speaker 1: person I was working with and I was like, what

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Speaker 1: the hell is going on? And why is everyone dressed up?

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Speaker 1: I just couldn't figure it out. But that's what happened

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Speaker 1: in the South. So I had a pretty nice uh

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Speaker 1: breaking in for the Yankee in me when it came

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Speaker 1: to the Southern traditions around college football. And then I

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Speaker 1: got a big one with Alabama in Auburn when I

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Speaker 1: moved to Huntsville. So I've got a bet for you

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Speaker 1: for college football today that I really really like. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so I'll hold the college football bet until after we

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Speaker 1: get to the baseball. That's a one full unit bet.

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Speaker 1: But if you want to go ahead and use the

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Speaker 1: bet MGM offer on that, you can. You bet twenty

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Speaker 1: dollars on it. You win one hundred dollars on this.

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Speaker 1: The bet I'm going to give you is minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: This bet would give you a five to one return

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Speaker 1: if you use the bet MGM twenty bucks to win

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Speaker 1: one hundred dollars on any event win or lose with

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Speaker 1: the promo code Juice one hundred BETMGM dot com or

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Speaker 1: on the BETMGM app we're available, use the promo code

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred.

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Speaker 2: All right, so let's start with baseball.

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Speaker 1: Okay, four games, four games that I'm identifying today that

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Speaker 1: all I am betting the NO for a run in

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Speaker 1: the first inning. Okay, We're going to get out of

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Speaker 1: the way quick and swing quick and easy. First game

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Speaker 1: twins at Chicago. This number is juiced to the yes

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Speaker 1: at minus one twenty five to the Yes. The No

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Speaker 1: is plus one to zho five lance Lyn's on the

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Speaker 1: mound for Chicago. The guy that just got a contract extension,

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Speaker 1: a guy who's pitched extremely well this year for the

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Speaker 1: Chicago White Sox. His ERA is under two. He's got

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Speaker 1: a nine to three record. He's a guy who does

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Speaker 1: not give up many runs in the first inning or

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Speaker 1: just in general. And his last start against the Twins,

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Speaker 1: he gave up one run in totality.

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Speaker 2: That was in the fourth inning.

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Speaker 1: He's going up against the guy and this is why

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Speaker 1: I think the number is juiced to the yes. That

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Speaker 1: is basically a reliever Griffin Jacks for the Twins. Now,

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Speaker 1: the Twins are a really good team scoring early. They

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Speaker 1: score thirty five percent of the time they're scoring a

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Speaker 1: run in the first inning.

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Speaker 2: Chicago also is pretty.

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Speaker 1: Good at scoring early, but not nearly as good scoring

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Speaker 1: in the first inning. They're pretty much middle of the

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Speaker 1: pack when it comes to scoring. They are fourteen thirty

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Speaker 1: one percent of the time they're scoring a run in

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Speaker 1: the first inning. But they're not giving up many runs

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Speaker 1: in the first inning, which is.

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Speaker 2: What we're looking for. We're looking for the no here.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So in terms of where I'm going, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: kind of say Okay, I'm gonna hope that for one

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Speaker 1: inning that Griffin Jacks can hold it together for one inning.

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Speaker 1: Let his last start, he went five innings. He gave

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Speaker 1: up eight hits six earned runs to the Casey Royals,

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Speaker 1: but he didn't give up any runs in the first inning.

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Speaker 1: He actually was pretty good until the fourth inning when

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Speaker 1: he kind of fell apart. His start before that against Cleveland,

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Speaker 1: he did give up three runs in the first inning.

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Speaker 1: So the hope is he can hold it together here

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Speaker 1: against the White Sox, get three outs and get out

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Speaker 1: of here.

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Speaker 2: I don't think lance Lynn gives up any runs.

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Speaker 1: We're going no run in the first inning plus one

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Speaker 1: oh five for a quarter unit for the Twins and

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Speaker 1: the Tigers. First game of the day. It's a two

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Speaker 1: to oh five Pacific time start. It is a it

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Speaker 1: is a five to ten start on the East Coast.

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Speaker 1: Play number two Red Sox at Toronto Ross strippling up

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Speaker 1: against Nick Pavetta. Look, the Red Sox offense is hurting

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Speaker 1: right now. Nick Pavetta is not bad, Okay, Nick Pivetta.

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Speaker 1: In terms of on the road, he's been much better

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Speaker 1: on the road than he has been at home. He

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Speaker 1: is four and two with a two point eight to

219
00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,600
Speaker 1: nine ERA on the road. At home, he's three and

220
00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:34,680
Speaker 1: two with a five point six to two EER. Just

221
00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:36,880
Speaker 1: need him to go up there and get three outs

222
00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:40,040
Speaker 1: for the Blue Jays who are mashing the baseball right now.

223
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Speaker 1: Vlad Guerrero crushing the baseball. I understand all that. Just

224
00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,880
Speaker 1: don't give up a run, Nick Pivetta in the first inning. Now,

225
00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:50,520
Speaker 1: the Red Sox offense is completely anemic right now. They

226
00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,360
Speaker 1: were not scoring runs before the All Star Break. They're

227
00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:56,240
Speaker 1: not scoring runs now. One run in their last two

228
00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:58,520
Speaker 1: games or two runs and the last two games combined

229
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Speaker 1: a three to one loss to the Yankees than a

230
00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:01,720
Speaker 1: nine to one loss last night.

231
00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:02,440
Speaker 2: To the Yankees.

232
00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:05,880
Speaker 1: Ross strippling has not been great. Okay, I'm not saying

233
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Speaker 1: this guy is an All World pitcher. He gave up

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00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,600
Speaker 1: four earned runs in his last starts against tempay Rays,

235
00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:13,439
Speaker 1: but he didn't give up a run in the boy

236
00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:15,959
Speaker 1: he started. He gave up one run in the first

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00:11:15,960 --> 00:11:17,920
Speaker 1: inning in his last start. So we want to hopefully

238
00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:20,520
Speaker 1: he can hold things together here and hold this Red

239
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Speaker 1: Sox and Hemick offense down and they don't score runs early.

240
00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:26,480
Speaker 2: The start before that, he.

241
00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:28,720
Speaker 1: Was against Tampa Bay, and he didn't give any runs

242
00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:30,720
Speaker 1: to Tampa Bay, so one in one to a yes

243
00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:34,120
Speaker 1: in the first run inning for Ross stripling, I get it.

244
00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:36,280
Speaker 1: He's three and five with a four point three four

245
00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:39,080
Speaker 1: e RA. The hope is Red Sox are tired. They're

246
00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:42,040
Speaker 1: they're not feeling great. The bats aren't hot, and they're

247
00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:45,520
Speaker 1: just cold right now. So no solo home runs here

248
00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:49,240
Speaker 1: for the Red Sox. It's plus one twenty. Why the

249
00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:52,160
Speaker 1: offense for the Blue Jays, Okay, they score, and they

250
00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,520
Speaker 1: score a lot of runs. They're red hot right now.

251
00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:57,040
Speaker 1: They can go crazy in the second inning. On we

252
00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,600
Speaker 1: just need no runs in the first inning between the

253
00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:02,640
Speaker 1: Red Soze and the Blue Jays. That's a plus one

254
00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:06,560
Speaker 1: twenty bet at a quarter unit. Now, third bet, the

255
00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:09,200
Speaker 1: third bet, you might go, really, Matt, you're going here.

256
00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:12,720
Speaker 1: The Pirates have been a team that we have bet

257
00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:16,280
Speaker 1: a lot on for the yes, right, the yes to

258
00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:20,000
Speaker 1: have a run. I'm going the other way here with

259
00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:25,280
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh today on a Monday, Pittsburgh's at Arizona. Arizona does

260
00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:29,679
Speaker 1: not score. Their numbers are awful. They score eighteen percent

261
00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:32,240
Speaker 1: of the time in the first inning. Okay, so they're

262
00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:35,680
Speaker 1: not scoring. They don't have the offense, they don't score it.

263
00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:40,560
Speaker 1: But what's equally interesting is that they do give up

264
00:12:40,679 --> 00:12:43,760
Speaker 1: runs early. Their point, they give up point seven to

265
00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:47,040
Speaker 1: seven runs, which is second worst in Major League Baseball

266
00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:51,600
Speaker 1: to the yes. The Pirates are the second worst at

267
00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,440
Speaker 1: point eight two. Okay, so you look at the pitching

268
00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:59,480
Speaker 1: matchup here, Caleb Smith versus Chase Deyong. I'm gonna say,

269
00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:02,280
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go against what we all think here, right,

270
00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:05,199
Speaker 1: the obvious bet would be a yes. Okay, the obvious

271
00:13:05,280 --> 00:13:07,640
Speaker 1: bet would be like, yep, they're both giving up runs

272
00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:11,440
Speaker 1: a lot. I'm gonna go against to take the plus money.

273
00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:16,200
Speaker 1: It's plus one zh five on the no. This screams yes, right,

274
00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:19,960
Speaker 1: but it's Monday and it's funky, and a part of

275
00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:22,760
Speaker 1: me just says, while we're all thinking this should be yes,

276
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:25,920
Speaker 1: it was mine one thirty to the yes for both

277
00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:29,280
Speaker 1: these teams. I don't think the Diamondbacks will score. Okay,

278
00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:31,120
Speaker 1: I don't think they score. The question is will the

279
00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:35,160
Speaker 1: Pirates score on Caleb Smith, lefty has not been pitching

280
00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:38,200
Speaker 1: all that great, but he isn't home, so maybe he's

281
00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:41,400
Speaker 1: a bit more comfortable, you know, he hopefully he's pitched

282
00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:42,600
Speaker 1: a bunch of games at home.

283
00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:45,120
Speaker 2: He's been okay recently.

284
00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:48,160
Speaker 1: He hasn't been tremendous, but he's a guy who gets kind.

285
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:48,840
Speaker 2: Of spot starts.

286
00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:52,000
Speaker 1: He was pretty bad actually in his last start against

287
00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:55,760
Speaker 1: the Dodgers, started to give up nine earned runs in

288
00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:59,800
Speaker 1: the first inning. So yeah, hopefully he kind of writes

289
00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:01,920
Speaker 1: the shit here. And like I said, we're going against

290
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,640
Speaker 1: all the trends everyone say, if we were all talking about,

291
00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:06,840
Speaker 1: you know, not taking plus money like I've been saying,

292
00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:08,840
Speaker 1: I'm searching for plus money and going against what we

293
00:14:08,880 --> 00:14:12,000
Speaker 1: all say. Maybe gives up a ton of runs, but

294
00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:14,120
Speaker 1: hopefully does that. In the second thing, I'm gonna take

295
00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,120
Speaker 1: the plus money, the plus one oh five bet here

296
00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:19,800
Speaker 1: on the Pittsburgh Pirates up against the Arizona Diamondbacks. This

297
00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:22,200
Speaker 1: may be the scariest of all of them, just given

298
00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:25,680
Speaker 1: how profitable the Pirates have been, but we are going

299
00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:28,960
Speaker 1: with the plus one oh five on the no for

300
00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:31,160
Speaker 1: a run in the first inning for the Pirates and

301
00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:34,480
Speaker 1: the Diamondbacks. And I am paying juice on one game

302
00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:37,640
Speaker 1: because I'm pretty darn confident on one game that I

303
00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:39,680
Speaker 1: am going to pay the juice on. And that's the

304
00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:42,880
Speaker 1: Giants and the Dodgers. This is going to be a

305
00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:45,520
Speaker 1: playoff game. I'm staying up late to watch this game.

306
00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:47,720
Speaker 1: I'm not betting this game, but I'm fired up to

307
00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,480
Speaker 1: watch this. The Giants just lost two of three to

308
00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:55,080
Speaker 1: the Cardinals. The Dodgers are playing better, and this is

309
00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,000
Speaker 1: going to be the race. As I've told you, I

310
00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:59,800
Speaker 1: want to bet the Giants to win the division and

311
00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:02,120
Speaker 1: I'm just not there yet. But we have Tony Goslin

312
00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:04,480
Speaker 1: against Kevin Gosman. I mean, you couldn't ask for a

313
00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:07,000
Speaker 1: better pitching match up here. Between these two guys, we

314
00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:09,040
Speaker 1: have a one point seven three ERA and a two

315
00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:10,960
Speaker 1: point one to three e ER. I mean, these are

316
00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:14,480
Speaker 1: two extremely good pitchers. Gosman had the family emergency, so

317
00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:16,960
Speaker 1: he's back now, starting Game one of this series against

318
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,400
Speaker 1: the Dodgers on the road. Giants are twenty eight and

319
00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,560
Speaker 1: twenty one on the road. Dodgers are thirty and fourteen

320
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:26,240
Speaker 1: at home. I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere. I think

321
00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:29,120
Speaker 1: both these pitchers will be very, very sharp for this game.

322
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:33,240
Speaker 1: I'm expecting a really really good game. Low scoring game

323
00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:36,320
Speaker 1: total is only eight for this game. I'm gonna lay

324
00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:39,160
Speaker 1: the mis one to fifteen. Here the yes is one

325
00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:41,600
Speaker 1: mis one oh five, so it's kind of even. There's

326
00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:43,720
Speaker 1: no plus money on either side of this bet, but

327
00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:47,680
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go no runs Giants Dodgers at minus one

328
00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:51,560
Speaker 1: point fifteen for a quarter unit. All right, So four bets,

329
00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:55,680
Speaker 1: quarter unit all on, no for runs in the first

330
00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:59,080
Speaker 1: inning here on a Monday, hopefully some tired bats and

331
00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:02,320
Speaker 1: sleepy legs going into this with a quarter unit on

332
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:05,160
Speaker 1: all four for a one unit totality going in here

333
00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:09,040
Speaker 1: on a Monday. So we're going Twins, White Sox, no

334
00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:14,480
Speaker 1: Red Sox, Blue Jays, no Pirates, Diamondbacks, no Giants Dodgers,

335
00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:18,800
Speaker 1: no runs in the first inning. Four bets, one unit.

336
00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:23,960
Speaker 1: And now the college football play of the week month.

337
00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:26,360
Speaker 1: I don't know what it is, but let's talk about

338
00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:31,000
Speaker 1: the SEC. As I mentioned, SEC media days begin today

339
00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:34,440
Speaker 1: in Birmingham, Alabama. We're gonna hear from all the head coaches,

340
00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:38,640
Speaker 1: including Lane Kiffin. Lane Kiffen back in the SEC is

341
00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:40,480
Speaker 1: a chef's kiss, Lah.

342
00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:41,520
Speaker 2: It is beautiful.

343
00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:44,560
Speaker 1: It is perfect to have him be back, and he

344
00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:49,520
Speaker 1: brought an offense that is setting this conference not on fire,

345
00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:53,320
Speaker 1: but people are paying attention. Matt Corral last year.

346
00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:55,720
Speaker 2: Oh my, what a year for him.

347
00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:59,440
Speaker 1: Last year he was tremendous average over three hundred and

348
00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:02,600
Speaker 1: thirty passing yards per game, through for twenty nine touchdowns,

349
00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:05,840
Speaker 1: rushed for four more at over five hundred yards rushing.

350
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,560
Speaker 1: This Ole Miss football team on offense. Yes, they graduated

351
00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:11,160
Speaker 1: a couple of or they lost a couple of really

352
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:15,400
Speaker 1: good wide receivers. But Kiffin's got offense and he's got

353
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:19,840
Speaker 1: a scheme. This is modern day football. Forget about playing defense. Okay,

354
00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:23,800
Speaker 1: remember this Ole Miss football team hung forty eight points

355
00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,960
Speaker 1: on Alabama last year, forty eight on that defense. With

356
00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 1: the number of number one picks and NFL caliber players

357
00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:33,560
Speaker 1: on that defense. Kiffen threw up forty eight in that game.

358
00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:35,960
Speaker 1: Matt Carrall went twenty one of twenty eight for three

359
00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:40,879
Speaker 1: sixty five and two touchdowns. Oh boy, the defense is

360
00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,720
Speaker 1: a mess. I don't think it matters. They'll have another

361
00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 1: year or ano their belt, and I think they'll be

362
00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:49,480
Speaker 1: able to get themselves enough stops to get over the

363
00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:52,919
Speaker 1: win total. All missus projected win total is seven and

364
00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:56,280
Speaker 1: a half at minus one twenty at the Westgate here

365
00:17:56,320 --> 00:18:00,520
Speaker 1: in Vegas, seven and a half wins minus one twenty shop,

366
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:01,359
Speaker 1: but find this.

367
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:05,080
Speaker 2: This is what I play though. Ole Miss over seven

368
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,400
Speaker 2: and a half wins. Why their schedule?

369
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:12,560
Speaker 1: They play Louisville in Atlanta, neutral game, up and down.

370
00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,639
Speaker 2: They should win that game. Important to win that game.

371
00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,840
Speaker 1: They will win the next two. They'll beat Austin p

372
00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:21,439
Speaker 1: and they'll beat two Lane. They will be three and

373
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:24,280
Speaker 1: oh when they open. They have a bye, and then

374
00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:29,119
Speaker 1: they're at Tuscaloosa. Who knows, Lane Kiffin going back to Alabama?

375
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:29,800
Speaker 2: Are you kidding me?

376
00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:32,400
Speaker 1: Let's just chalk it up as a loss though, right,

377
00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:35,680
Speaker 1: but maybe a really high scoring fun game. We're gonna

378
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:37,440
Speaker 1: bet a lot of over ole Miss football this year.

379
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:42,920
Speaker 1: Arkansas at home, must win Tennessee. Lane Kiffin's supposed to

380
00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:45,440
Speaker 1: go back there, right and say, said, ole Miss Tennessee

381
00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:48,919
Speaker 1: must win. That's a five and one mark. They're five

382
00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:52,600
Speaker 1: and one when they go They come back home against LSU,

383
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:54,960
Speaker 1: most likely a loss, but maybe not.

384
00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:58,239
Speaker 2: I don't know. Is LSU gonna turn it around? What

385
00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:00,560
Speaker 2: are they gonna look like next year? Be a win?

386
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:03,440
Speaker 1: They could be six and one when they go to Auburn.

387
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,240
Speaker 1: They have Auburn on the road. Probably a loss, but

388
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:12,679
Speaker 1: maybe the upset. Somebody then they play Liberty W A

389
00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:16,120
Speaker 1: and M and home winnable football game. Then they play

390
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:20,240
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt that's a w and then they're at Mississippi State

391
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:23,879
Speaker 1: for the Egg Bowl seven and a half wins. I

392
00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,960
Speaker 1: got them winning nine games. I think Ole Miss wins

393
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:30,639
Speaker 1: nine football games this year. Bet the over ole Miss

394
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:34,199
Speaker 1: nine to three this year at minus one twenty for

395
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:37,440
Speaker 1: Lane Kiffin in company. It's my favorite bet in the SEC.

396
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:41,080
Speaker 1: I think this offense is gonna be outstanding. They've got to.

397
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,360
Speaker 1: They're gonna have tons of fans there. There's a lot

398
00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:45,520
Speaker 1: of hype. People are talking about the top twenty five

399
00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 1: potentially for ole Miss. This is a team that I

400
00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:51,240
Speaker 1: cannot wait to watch. And I'm really curious what Lane

401
00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:53,640
Speaker 1: Kiffin says about his team coming up in SEC media

402
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 1: day is how high is he? He's got the quarterback,

403
00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:59,240
Speaker 1: which in college football you have to have. If you're

404
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:01,240
Speaker 1: gonna wun a high fly offense, you got to have

405
00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:03,159
Speaker 1: the quarterback, and you gotta have a guy who's going

406
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,280
Speaker 1: to be talked about for the Heisman. He's gonna put

407
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:08,720
Speaker 1: up monster numbers. Can they stop anybody? That's going to

408
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,720
Speaker 1: be the question for this defense. If they can just

409
00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 1: be average on defense. Ole Miss is gonna be pretty

410
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:17,360
Speaker 1: good this year. They're gonna be a top twenty five team.

411
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,400
Speaker 1: They're gonna be in a pretty good bowl game coming

412
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 1: up this year. They're not beating Alabama, They're probably not

413
00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:25,520
Speaker 1: beating Auburn, but if they can take care of business,

414
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:29,520
Speaker 1: beating Louisville out of the gate is a huge, huge game,

415
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 1: huge scene setter. They win that game out of the

416
00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:35,320
Speaker 1: gates in Atlanta on a neutral field, and I think

417
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:37,479
Speaker 1: it's off to the races for Lane Kiffin and company

418
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,160
Speaker 1: with ole Miss here with a full twelve game schedule,

419
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,840
Speaker 1: over seven and a half wins for ole Miss at

420
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:45,919
Speaker 1: minus one twenty. All right, those are the plays for

421
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:50,040
Speaker 1: a Monday. We do have the Discord Bet conversation coming

422
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:53,560
Speaker 1: up today on our Discord channel. That will happen around

423
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,199
Speaker 1: four thirty or so Pacific time, seven to thirty Eastern

424
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:57,480
Speaker 1: somewhere in that range.

425
00:20:57,640 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 2: It'll be for the Discord Bet, which.

426
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,200
Speaker 1: I'm guessing is going to be heavy on Game number

427
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 1: six of the NBA Finals, but maybe we jump into

428
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 1: some other things you want to bet, the Gold Cup

429
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 1: or other things that may be happening on Tuesday, Tuesdays

430
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:10,280
Speaker 1: and a halfway bad sports day. So we got a

431
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,480
Speaker 1: bunch of things to get into for the Discord bet

432
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,480
Speaker 1: of the week, which did hit last week, by the way,

433
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:16,119
Speaker 1: So let's see if we're gonna go two weeks in

434
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,720
Speaker 1: a row for the Discord bet, so mark your calendars,

435
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,240
Speaker 1: sits an alarm on your phone to be in the

436
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 1: Discord channel at seven, seven thirty somewhere in that range.

437
00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 1: Coming up here today Eastern time for our weekly chat

438
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,480
Speaker 1: to make our crowdsourced bet of the week for the

439
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:33,920
Speaker 1: Daily Juice. All right, to recap it once again, no runs,

440
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 1: four first inning twins, White Sox, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Giants,

441
00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 1: Dodgers Pittsburgh and the Arizona Diamondbacks. We're going plus one

442
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:44,800
Speaker 1: oh five plus one twenty plus one oh five and

443
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: minus one fifteen for the odds at a quarter unit

444
00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:50,919
Speaker 1: and over seven and a half wins for ole Miss

445
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,680
Speaker 1: full unit by the way, that's a full unit bet

446
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,680
Speaker 1: for ole Miss over seven and a half wins at

447
00:21:56,720 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 1: minus one twenty for the Rebels to get them selves

448
00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,959
Speaker 1: eight or more wins. Coming up here for the college

449
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 1: football season. I'm very high on Lane Kiffening Company.

450
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parotz, follow me on Twitter at

451
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 2: sports Talk Matt.

452
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,199
Speaker 1: Each and every morning, it's the Daily Juice podcast right

453
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 1: here on bettingpros dot com, brought you by BEDAMGM