WEBVTT - Domino Effect: How Tesla Is Winning the Charging War

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<v Speaker 1>This is Dana Perkins and you're listening to Switched on

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<v Speaker 1>the BNEF podcast. When it comes to public electric vehicle chargers,

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<v Speaker 1>the US has nearly one hundred and fifty eight thousand

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<v Speaker 1>in the whole country. Now, this might seem like a

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<v Speaker 1>big figure, but when you set it against Europe's six

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and ninety three thousand and China's colossal two point

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<v Speaker 1>one million, well then you start to realize the scale

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<v Speaker 1>of the task that lies ahead as the US readies

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<v Speaker 1>itself for the upcoming electric vehicle era of transport. So

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<v Speaker 1>looking back, in twenty twenty one, the Biden administration announced

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<v Speaker 1>the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Formula Program or NEV for short.

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<v Speaker 1>They had the intention of aiding the installation of charging infrastructure,

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<v Speaker 1>which would be required for the mass rollout of electric

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<v Speaker 1>vehicles across the States. However, complicating matters in the US

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<v Speaker 1>included the charging network itself. It's a patchwork quilt of

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<v Speaker 1>different entities competing against one another, and at the heart

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<v Speaker 1>of the battle has been an issue around whether your

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<v Speaker 1>vehicle is compatible either with the Combined Charging System or

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<v Speaker 1>CCS can not, or Tesla's own North American Charging Standard

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<v Speaker 1>equivalent now. Tesla was early in its national role out

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<v Speaker 1>of charging stations in ultrafast chargers, so it became a

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<v Speaker 1>dominant player. But with other electric vehicle brands now gaining

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<v Speaker 1>in popularity, this begs the question can anyone compete with

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<v Speaker 1>Tesla's charging network or will they have to join them?

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<v Speaker 1>To find out more, on today's episode, I speak with

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<v Speaker 1>beanuf's head of electric vehicle charging, Ryan Fisher, as well

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<v Speaker 1>as a senior associate on our EV team, Corey Kanter.

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<v Speaker 1>The topics that we discuss include the number of fast

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<v Speaker 1>and slow chargers across a variety of different US charging networks,

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<v Speaker 1>who owns them, their failings and also their successes, and

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<v Speaker 1>the subsidies on offer at the federal level as a

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<v Speaker 1>part of the Nevy scheme. And lastly, Tesla's competitors and

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<v Speaker 1>whether anyone can actually really challenge them or will their

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<v Speaker 1>rivals need to accept the North American charging standard as

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<v Speaker 1>the national standard. As always, if you like this podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>if you subscribe, you're going to receive updates on future episodes,

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<v Speaker 1>and if you give us a review, it'll make us

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<v Speaker 1>more discoverable by others. But right now, let's jump into

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<v Speaker 1>our conversation with Ryan and Corey. Corey thank you for joining.

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<v Speaker 2>The show today, Thanks Dana, happy to be.

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<v Speaker 1>Here, and Ryan, thank you for being here.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanks Diana.

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<v Speaker 1>So we're going to talk about charging networks, specifically in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States, where there's a lot of activity going

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<v Speaker 1>on at the moment. So can you first explain what

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<v Speaker 1>the NEVY is and then let's get into what that

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<v Speaker 1>means for charging in the US.

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<v Speaker 3>So, yeah, it's seven point five billion of funds from

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<v Speaker 3>the government, split into two main funds, five billion for

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<v Speaker 3>highway largely highways fast charging, and then another two point

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<v Speaker 3>five billion for initiatives in other areas called the Discretionary Grant.

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<v Speaker 3>Some more details on that to come.

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<v Speaker 2>And to add to Ryan's point, the NEVY funding in

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<v Speaker 2>the kind of five billion dollar pot is controlled a

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<v Speaker 2>lot by the state, and so they've already begun setting

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<v Speaker 2>out their plans and we're beginning to see the early

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<v Speaker 2>stages of charging companies actually be selected by state, so

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<v Speaker 2>Ohio and May and there are two examples. And so

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<v Speaker 2>even though the infrastructure law that began the funding of

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<v Speaker 2>the NEVY program passed almost two years ago, as of

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<v Speaker 2>this November, we haven't really seen any chargers built out

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<v Speaker 2>yet so there's still a lot of work to do.

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<v Speaker 1>So before we get into any source of details about

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<v Speaker 1>what we think will have in for the future of

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<v Speaker 1>charging networks in the US, because there is so much

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<v Speaker 1>focus on this at the moment, let's talk about the

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<v Speaker 1>current state of play. So what does the existing charging

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<v Speaker 1>infrastructure look like in the US, and you know what

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<v Speaker 1>companies dominate it?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So the infrastructure in the US, I think there's

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<v Speaker 3>around one hundred and fifty hundred and sixty thousand connections. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>if you think about this kind of fast versus slow charging,

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<v Speaker 3>I want to take an hours, am I taking minutes

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<v Speaker 3>to charge? Something like one hundred and twenty five thousands

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<v Speaker 3>or thirty five thousand split. California maybe unsurprisingly dominate in

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<v Speaker 3>terms of the total states. I think New York is second,

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<v Speaker 3>but quite far behind. In terms of the company, Teslar

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<v Speaker 3>is kind of the key one out there installing, spending

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<v Speaker 3>the money putting in that fast infrastructure. And obviously we've

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<v Speaker 3>heard a lot about the deals with the other auto

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<v Speaker 3>makers and I'm sure we'll talk about that later today.

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<v Speaker 3>And then you've got others EVgo also putting in charges.

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<v Speaker 3>Electrify America, who's funded by VW and then Chardpoint, who

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<v Speaker 3>is kind of this weird mix in that they're selling

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<v Speaker 3>the hardware and the software but they're not ultimately the

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<v Speaker 3>operators of that infrastructure. But many other examples, but they're

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<v Speaker 3>the big ones.

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<v Speaker 1>So Corey, maybe you could shed some light on what

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<v Speaker 1>the current state of play is in California from a

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<v Speaker 1>charging standpoint.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, in terms of California specifically, what's interesting

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<v Speaker 2>is the fact that it's a fairly robust EV ecosystem.

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<v Speaker 2>For listeners of the show, to give you a sense,

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<v Speaker 2>California in the first half of this year saw about

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<v Speaker 2>a twenty five percent nearly one in four vehicles sold

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<v Speaker 2>as electric, and so at BNF when we talk about

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<v Speaker 2>electric vehicles, we're talking battery, electric and plug and how

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<v Speaker 2>productric vehicles. California has about one third of all of

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<v Speaker 2>the electric vehicle chargers public charging connectors built as of

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<v Speaker 2>the end of twenty twenty two. I've been working recently

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<v Speaker 2>on a piece that folks should expect to see sometime

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<v Speaker 2>this month around different EV state markets, and California actually

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<v Speaker 2>looks quite good in terms of EV's per charging connector,

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<v Speaker 2>around twenty seven to twenty eight or so and so

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<v Speaker 2>it's not perfect. California has its own challenges to deal

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<v Speaker 2>with in terms of the grid and in terms of

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<v Speaker 2>ensuring that higher level of EV adoption can coexist with

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<v Speaker 2>a grid that's fairly reliable on renewable energy. But they

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<v Speaker 2>have a robust charging build out, including a state sponsor

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<v Speaker 2>of charging infrastructure, and they're even thinking ahead about what

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<v Speaker 2>the NEV program means for them. So one thing that

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<v Speaker 2>California does that's interesting with NEV is at the kind

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<v Speaker 2>of national level. NEV has a minimum requirement of one

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<v Speaker 2>hundred and fifty kilowatts for many of their highway fast chargers.

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<v Speaker 2>California is even looking at some sites where they're going

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<v Speaker 2>to require three hundred and fifty kilowatts for high volume

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<v Speaker 2>EV charging sites. So California, just like any country, has

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<v Speaker 2>its challenges, but they've been fairly robuts with their EV

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<v Speaker 2>charging build out.

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<v Speaker 3>The other thing about California we dicussed this when I

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<v Speaker 3>was on the podcast with Jay last time, but is

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<v Speaker 3>the Low Carbon Fuel Standard. The LCFS basically credits deficits

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<v Speaker 3>built by the kind of oil and gas majors having

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<v Speaker 3>to then buy them off people who saw low carbon fuels.

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<v Speaker 3>So if you're producing or selling electricity for charging, you

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<v Speaker 3>basically can generate these credits and they are about ten

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<v Speaker 3>percent of revenues for some of these charging companies, which

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<v Speaker 3>kind of is cyclical, and then people were more likely

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<v Speaker 3>to build infrastructure, so kind of plays into why California

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<v Speaker 3>house more charges.

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<v Speaker 1>So when we think about these chargers, are the new

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<v Speaker 1>ones going in, are they largely superchargers or is there

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<v Speaker 1>an even split between these slower versus much quicker charging stations.

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<v Speaker 3>When you look most of the markets, you really see

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<v Speaker 3>percentage wise, it's kind of eighty percent the slower chargers

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<v Speaker 3>on a total number basis. If you then start to

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<v Speaker 3>look at investment or the number of electrons that are

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<v Speaker 3>being delivered from the chargers, it's really these fast and

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<v Speaker 3>more powerful ones that are taking the line share of

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<v Speaker 3>money and just cotributing electricity.

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<v Speaker 1>And we're talking specifically about public chargers at the slow range,

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<v Speaker 1>not in people's homes as they're setting them up directly

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<v Speaker 1>in their home after they've bought an electric vehicle.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's right, So they could be anywhere. Golf courses

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<v Speaker 3>might have slow charges, hotels, these kind of destinations. But

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<v Speaker 3>more so when you think shopping centers were competing for

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<v Speaker 3>slow chargers. Now actually people are realizing, well, fast chargers

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<v Speaker 3>are also suitable there. We're seeing more competition. Walmart is

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<v Speaker 3>now getting in the game themselves, so.

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<v Speaker 1>They've recognized that essentially, if you're staying at a hotel,

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<v Speaker 1>you're more than likely to stay overnight and you have

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<v Speaker 1>enough time to get a charge, whereas if you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to Walmart, you may not be spending your entire day there.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, exactly, and you kind of want to come out

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<v Speaker 3>and have your car full. So even though there was

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<v Speaker 3>this thing of oh, we'll have slow so people stay

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<v Speaker 3>in the store forever, like, there's a limit to how

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<v Speaker 3>long people probably want to stay in the in the store.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think that forty five minutes. With the battery

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<v Speaker 3>sizes we've got today on one hundred and fifty kilo,

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<v Speaker 3>what charge, which is kind of in that fast range,

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<v Speaker 3>would go from zero to eighteen ninety percent.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, Corey and I both have these recent EXPERI

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<v Speaker 1>variances where we've rented Tesla's actually in different states. So Corey,

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<v Speaker 1>where were you when you rented your Tesla?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, my girlfriend and I were at a wedding in California,

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<v Speaker 2>and it felt like the perfect opportunity to rent an

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<v Speaker 2>EV given how many chargers again are in California. So

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<v Speaker 2>we rented the Tesla Model three and when we're staying

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<v Speaker 2>at a hotel that advertised free charging. Unfortunately, Dana, that charger,

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<v Speaker 2>while offered and advertised, was so good that other people

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<v Speaker 2>were using it for pretty much the entire time that

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<v Speaker 2>we were there, So we ended up useeing fast charging

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<v Speaker 2>as a part of Tesla's supercharging network. But again, it

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<v Speaker 2>is a nice perk. I wish the hotel had more chargers.

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<v Speaker 1>So I rented Tesla why in Massachusetts and ended up

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<v Speaker 1>using it for three weeks across Massachusetts, New York State,

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<v Speaker 1>and Rhode Island and did a bit of a road

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<v Speaker 1>trip around there. And was definitely the stereotypical supercharger. Well

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<v Speaker 1>the person that they're looking for, which essentially pulls into

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<v Speaker 1>the parking lot, charges the car, and probably goes into

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<v Speaker 1>every store that's in that particular parking lot they were at.

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<v Speaker 1>But the more important thing was that we exclusively use

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<v Speaker 1>Tesla superchargers, and I am very interested to learn that

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<v Speaker 1>those superchargers are actually now open to a number of

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<v Speaker 1>other different types of car owners. Let's delve into that

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit. What other companies now have access to

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<v Speaker 1>Tesla superchargers in the US.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh, there's quite a few signed up, and it almost

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<v Speaker 3>makes it seem like a landslide win that everybody's going

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<v Speaker 3>to Tesla. So gm Ford were the first two, Mercedes

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<v Speaker 3>Is on their Rivian, Fiska, Volvo. The list goes on.

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<v Speaker 3>I think what's important is who's not on there, so Stalantis, Toyota, BMW,

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<v Speaker 3>High on Ikea. There's still some big hitters who have

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<v Speaker 3>not quite signed up yet, and they, whilst accounting for

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<v Speaker 3>maybe a small percent of EV sales, account for a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of car sales. So let's say some of their

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<v Speaker 3>strategy about how many evs they're going to sell comes true.

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<v Speaker 3>Then they're still splitting from Tesla and maybe being a

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<v Speaker 3>bit aware of the dominance and the strategic win that

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<v Speaker 3>they may hand by signing up with them.

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<v Speaker 2>Connect Okay, at one point, Ryan, and to just about

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<v Speaker 2>the Tesla dominance. So Tesla has rebranded its supercharging connector

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<v Speaker 2>as next the North American Charging Standard as an effort

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<v Speaker 2>to sort of broad in the reach of the network

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<v Speaker 2>and position themselves really as the leading charging connector type

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<v Speaker 2>here in the US and Canada. There's one stat you

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<v Speaker 2>use in a lot of your presentations that I really

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<v Speaker 2>appreciate because I think it really illustrates how much dominance

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<v Speaker 2>Tesla actually has. It was the installation of new superchargers

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<v Speaker 2>last year, which I believe was around like three thousand

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<v Speaker 2>or so, and these other networks are more, I think

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<v Speaker 2>in the five hundred or so range in terms of

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<v Speaker 2>new installations. And so there's a reason why these automakers

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<v Speaker 2>have been unhappy with some of the charging build out

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<v Speaker 2>to date, and I think that the numbers show it.

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<v Speaker 2>But also all of these announcements you just highlighted Ryan

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<v Speaker 2>really drive the point that it's not necessarily that everyone

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<v Speaker 2>wants to kind of jump on board with Tesla. It's

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<v Speaker 2>just they're so far out ahead of the competition over

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<v Speaker 2>here in the US that really the ev charging story

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<v Speaker 2>in the US is Tesla and then there's everyone else.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And like anecdotal stories are sometimes the best. And

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<v Speaker 3>I was kind of sat on my sofa and I

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<v Speaker 3>don't usually have Twitter, but a Twitter spaces pops up

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<v Speaker 3>and it's Mary Barrow and it's Elon Musk, and I'm thinking, like,

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<v Speaker 3>what is this, it's got to be some kind of

0:11:12.120 --> 0:11:14.400
<v Speaker 3>big announcement. And this comes on the back of Tesla

0:11:14.400 --> 0:11:17.080
<v Speaker 3>buying Twitter, GM not going on Twitter at all for

0:11:17.200 --> 0:11:19.360
<v Speaker 3>like seven eight months as the first time. They've never

0:11:19.400 --> 0:11:22.200
<v Speaker 3>posted anything in the whole time. And GM is maybe

0:11:22.200 --> 0:11:26.480
<v Speaker 3>the typical corporate car manufacturer, very organized, very explicit about

0:11:26.480 --> 0:11:28.440
<v Speaker 3>what they're doing. I'm pretty sure Elon Musk was in

0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:30.560
<v Speaker 3>his car. You could almost sound like you could hear

0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:32.880
<v Speaker 3>a child in the back seat muffling around, and it

0:11:32.920 --> 0:11:36.320
<v Speaker 3>was just so casual. So this massive strategic shift for GM.

0:11:36.480 --> 0:11:38.160
<v Speaker 3>It just showed that they were almost having to bow

0:11:38.240 --> 0:11:40.520
<v Speaker 3>down to Tesla, and surely they didn't want to do it,

0:11:40.559 --> 0:11:42.840
<v Speaker 3>but they just noticed all of the importance that was

0:11:42.880 --> 0:11:45.400
<v Speaker 3>in it, and that setting did show that they really

0:11:45.440 --> 0:11:47.679
<v Speaker 3>needed it. And Musk maybe was lauding it up a

0:11:47.720 --> 0:11:48.200
<v Speaker 3>little bit.

0:11:48.240 --> 0:11:52.160
<v Speaker 1>And then Ford actually followed the very similar trajectories GM.

0:11:52.400 --> 0:11:55.959
<v Speaker 1>I guess they predated it. So when did Ford sign

0:11:56.000 --> 0:11:57.240
<v Speaker 1>on for this charging network?

0:11:57.400 --> 0:11:59.480
<v Speaker 3>I think Ford was a little bit earlier, maybe two

0:11:59.520 --> 0:12:02.360
<v Speaker 3>three weeks earlier, and you could almost a bit of

0:12:02.360 --> 0:12:04.920
<v Speaker 3>a scramble really for GM to sign up. And I

0:12:04.920 --> 0:12:07.240
<v Speaker 3>think that falls through when you think about some of

0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:09.640
<v Speaker 3>the things the issues that may be caused by this.

0:12:09.720 --> 0:12:12.000
<v Speaker 3>You've got multiple connectors now in the US, some people

0:12:12.120 --> 0:12:15.360
<v Speaker 3>using CCS, some people using Tesla's. If I'm buying a car,

0:12:15.440 --> 0:12:16.960
<v Speaker 3>do i want to buy a car knowing that I'm

0:12:16.960 --> 0:12:18.520
<v Speaker 3>going to have an adapter when I go to a

0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:21.480
<v Speaker 3>different network. There's a reason why you don't want to

0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:23.640
<v Speaker 3>have these because they could be unsafe. Like you clip

0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:26.760
<v Speaker 3>it in and you can largely if it's the automaker

0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:28.959
<v Speaker 3>manufactured one not on clip it while you're charging. You're

0:12:28.960 --> 0:12:30.320
<v Speaker 3>not going to get an electric shot. But if you

0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:32.240
<v Speaker 3>buy one of the cheap ones online, it doesn't have

0:12:32.280 --> 0:12:34.760
<v Speaker 3>the safety catch and somebody might get electrocuted. So there's

0:12:34.760 --> 0:12:37.000
<v Speaker 3>all of these things coming out of it that are

0:12:37.040 --> 0:12:39.360
<v Speaker 3>just not not exactly ideal. So it isn't like a

0:12:39.400 --> 0:12:41.320
<v Speaker 3>straight switch. Some of these are saying we're going to

0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:44.200
<v Speaker 3>adopt this in two years on our vehicles, So it

0:12:44.240 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 3>doesn't give the best gloss for the OEMs.

0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:49.760
<v Speaker 1>Now you mentioned CCS, No, Ryan, this just shows me

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 1>that you have been working in the electric Vehicle team

0:12:52.040 --> 0:12:55.600
<v Speaker 1>for a very very long time because CCS means something

0:12:55.679 --> 0:12:58.400
<v Speaker 1>a little different to many of us at BNEF. What

0:12:58.440 --> 0:13:00.520
<v Speaker 1>does CCS mean to you in this car text?

0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:03.640
<v Speaker 3>So I think the acronym is combined charging system. But

0:13:03.840 --> 0:13:05.680
<v Speaker 3>essentially you can think of it if you go from

0:13:05.880 --> 0:13:08.400
<v Speaker 3>a europe or to the US, or US to Europe.

0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:10.720
<v Speaker 3>It's just a slightly different connector standard in terms of

0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:12.880
<v Speaker 3>how the pins look and then maybe some of the

0:13:12.920 --> 0:13:16.640
<v Speaker 3>actual software and communications behind it. So moving over to Tesla,

0:13:16.679 --> 0:13:18.920
<v Speaker 3>once it works perfectly today you plug a Tesla into

0:13:18.920 --> 0:13:21.120
<v Speaker 3>a Tesla supercharger. If you actually with one of these

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:23.600
<v Speaker 3>other OEMs, there isn't any real guarantee that it's going

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:25.120
<v Speaker 3>to fully work. Are they going to be able to

0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:26.720
<v Speaker 3>implement it the same? Are they going to want to

0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:28.679
<v Speaker 3>implement it the same? So the problem for the other

0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:31.600
<v Speaker 3>OEMs is you buy a Volkswagon and you go and

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 3>charge somewhere it doesn't work. It's because everybody's using the

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.319
<v Speaker 3>same thing. They maybe not implemented the standard correctly, or

0:13:36.320 --> 0:13:39.040
<v Speaker 3>they've all implemented it slightly different. And whilst the gloss

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:40.760
<v Speaker 3>of what Tesla is doing is there and like this

0:13:40.880 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 3>ultimate oh, it's going to be the same pinnacle, the

0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:44.720
<v Speaker 3>same experience. I have to admit there's a bit of

0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:46.920
<v Speaker 3>pessimism from me as to whether that will actually be

0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:50.360
<v Speaker 3>the case when these other charge manufacturers go And Corey

0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:52.120
<v Speaker 3>was maybe more in the detail on this, but there's

0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:54.439
<v Speaker 3>a series on Charge TV, which is like a magazine.

0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:57.000
<v Speaker 3>Somebody's gone out and they're discussing four part series on

0:13:57.280 --> 0:13:59.440
<v Speaker 3>this experience. They've gone out and they've interviewed a lot

0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:02.160
<v Speaker 3>of people, and when you look in some of those details,

0:14:02.160 --> 0:14:05.160
<v Speaker 3>it almost seemed like top down they decided at exec level,

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:07.000
<v Speaker 3>we're going to move to the Tesla charging connector, and

0:14:07.000 --> 0:14:09.600
<v Speaker 3>some of the engineers maybe didn't quite know. And nobody's

0:14:09.600 --> 0:14:11.280
<v Speaker 3>going to come out and say that full well, but

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 3>that there was like a little bit of that appearing

0:14:13.600 --> 0:14:15.880
<v Speaker 3>in the text and the sentiment of those articles.

0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:18.240
<v Speaker 1>Well, because this is why I keep harping on about

0:14:18.520 --> 0:14:21.360
<v Speaker 1>when the dates were that these agreements were made, and

0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:24.840
<v Speaker 1>GM and Ford were fairly recent, but perhaps the other

0:14:24.880 --> 0:14:27.720
<v Speaker 1>companies were quite a bit before that. And then I mean,

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 1>maybe you can answer that question for me, because the

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:32.200
<v Speaker 1>reason I am fixated on is the fact that I

0:14:32.240 --> 0:14:34.680
<v Speaker 1>did not see anything other than a Tesla on a

0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 1>Tesla supercharger, and trust me, I went to quite a

0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:38.960
<v Speaker 1>few of them over the course of three weeks and

0:14:39.000 --> 0:14:41.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking maybe the owners of these other cars just

0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:44.240
<v Speaker 1>don't know, or as you're inferring, maybe the experience isn't

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 1>as seamless as we might think it will be.

0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:49.880
<v Speaker 3>Oh, so it was Ford was first. I must have

0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:51.880
<v Speaker 3>been May, mid May, back end of May. That then

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 3>GM in the June, I think, and then all of

0:14:54.320 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 3>these other ones then followed over the preceding weeks.

0:14:56.960 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 1>So this is really extremely recent.

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:01.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, extremely recent. So none of these are the cars.

0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:04.000
<v Speaker 3>They've all still got the CCS connector. There's probably no

0:15:04.040 --> 0:15:06.480
<v Speaker 3>adapters that you can buy yet, so they physically probably

0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:09.520
<v Speaker 3>can't many of them go Some of the charger manufacturers

0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:11.760
<v Speaker 3>have put Tesla's connector on the thing, so you went

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:14.120
<v Speaker 3>to a charge point one, it might now have the

0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:16.160
<v Speaker 3>Tesla or Next connector as it's called.

0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:18.760
<v Speaker 1>So now when I go home next summer, it might

0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:20.840
<v Speaker 1>be a very different experience, and I might be waiting

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 1>in the queue for other cars to get off of

0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:26.400
<v Speaker 1>these chargers, because that does happen when they get completely flooded.

0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:27.920
<v Speaker 1>You have to kind of sit there and wait five

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:29.640
<v Speaker 1>minutes for somebody else to vacate the charger.

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:31.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and one of the things of this deal that

0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 3>didn't get well highlighted was that they only actually access

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:36.800
<v Speaker 3>twelve thousand of the superchargers and there's nineteen thousand in

0:15:36.840 --> 0:15:39.320
<v Speaker 3>the system. So they're actually doing a little bit of

0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:42.720
<v Speaker 3>probably analysis to say which ones have low utilization and

0:15:42.800 --> 0:15:45.720
<v Speaker 3>can take other people, which one of the premium locations

0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:48.720
<v Speaker 3>for Tesla drivers that we want to keep, So they're

0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:50.320
<v Speaker 3>not giving access to everything. Now.

0:15:50.360 --> 0:15:52.680
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about this in terms of profitability

0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:56.720
<v Speaker 1>because when I thought about chargers a couple of years

0:15:56.720 --> 0:16:00.520
<v Speaker 1>ago was when Tesla was initially launching this exclusive network.

0:16:00.680 --> 0:16:02.480
<v Speaker 1>In many respects, I think a lot of this were

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:05.400
<v Speaker 1>thinking about the chargers as a way to facilitate Tesla

0:16:05.480 --> 0:16:09.320
<v Speaker 1>ownership and that they themselves were not the business. But clearly,

0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:13.280
<v Speaker 1>if Tesla's out there now selling the superchargers, it's not

0:16:13.360 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 1>an exclusive use situation anymore. And this begs the question

0:16:17.880 --> 0:16:20.840
<v Speaker 1>what are the margins like for these chargers and are

0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:23.520
<v Speaker 1>these themselves a business in their own right? And is

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:27.000
<v Speaker 1>the game really very much changed to being about cars

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:31.200
<v Speaker 1>and charging rather than focus specifically on selling the vehicles.

0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:33.920
<v Speaker 3>I mean, in one of the tweets Musk did, he

0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:35.560
<v Speaker 3>said it was about we're not looking to make much

0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:38.400
<v Speaker 3>profitabilities about ten percent margin we're looking for. Some of

0:16:38.400 --> 0:16:40.480
<v Speaker 3>the companies are now if you look across Europe or

0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:43.760
<v Speaker 3>Lego is one that is on the stock exchanges, and

0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:46.160
<v Speaker 3>they do fast charging, and that's one of the main

0:16:46.200 --> 0:16:47.920
<v Speaker 3>things they're now aiming at. They're saying, we can pay

0:16:47.960 --> 0:16:50.280
<v Speaker 3>back these chargers in four years and the IRR can

0:16:50.360 --> 0:16:53.160
<v Speaker 3>be twenty five percent. So certainly there's glimpses of it.

0:16:53.200 --> 0:16:57.480
<v Speaker 3>In BP's investor presentation recently, maybe three weeks ago, Bernard

0:16:57.560 --> 0:17:01.280
<v Speaker 3>Loney was saying that a bit DA positive for Germany

0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:04.840
<v Speaker 3>and China. So there's certainly signs that this is going

0:17:04.880 --> 0:17:06.600
<v Speaker 3>in the right direction. If you look at some of

0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:08.920
<v Speaker 3>the charge point operators though, so eve Goo is one

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:11.880
<v Speaker 3>in the US, they're selling electricity. They have made their

0:17:11.880 --> 0:17:14.399
<v Speaker 3>revenues have grown quite a lot, but if you look

0:17:14.400 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 3>at the percentage of revenues, they've had to move into

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 3>the game instead of selling electricity, building the chargers for

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:21.720
<v Speaker 3>other people, So sixty six percent of their total revenues

0:17:21.720 --> 0:17:23.960
<v Speaker 3>were actually instead of their original business model, we're going

0:17:24.000 --> 0:17:26.400
<v Speaker 3>to sell electricity, they're now making most of their revenue

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:28.520
<v Speaker 3>from building chargers for other networks.

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:33.359
<v Speaker 1>Oh well, okay, so now, Corey, you have this experience

0:17:33.440 --> 0:17:37.199
<v Speaker 1>recently in California using the Tesla network in where it

0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:41.000
<v Speaker 1>is actually most prevalent. Did you go to any other chargers?

0:17:41.480 --> 0:17:44.320
<v Speaker 2>No? And you know what, it's more so because it's

0:17:44.320 --> 0:17:47.639
<v Speaker 2>so integrated into the car experience and knowing what you

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:49.960
<v Speaker 2>do as a US driver. I mean the number of

0:17:49.960 --> 0:17:52.920
<v Speaker 2>newspaper articles that pop up on a monthly or quarterly

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:57.320
<v Speaker 2>basis saying Electrify America charger down or four out of

0:17:57.359 --> 0:17:59.720
<v Speaker 2>five down. It just makes you now want to even

0:17:59.720 --> 0:18:02.560
<v Speaker 2>con h those options. And Tesla makes it really easy

0:18:02.600 --> 0:18:04.800
<v Speaker 2>with the app integration, so much so that when we

0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:07.520
<v Speaker 2>were talking about the NEV program before, part of NEV

0:18:07.640 --> 0:18:10.640
<v Speaker 2>requires all of the other charging operators, the charge Point,

0:18:10.720 --> 0:18:13.320
<v Speaker 2>ev GO, Electrifi America to kind of come together to

0:18:13.720 --> 0:18:17.199
<v Speaker 2>have a common app experience. Tesla was exempt from that

0:18:17.240 --> 0:18:20.439
<v Speaker 2>requirement because when the Biden administration struck a deal with

0:18:20.520 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 2>Musk to get those superchargers open that Ryan was talking about,

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:26.200
<v Speaker 2>they basically said, Tesla, you can kind of keep your

0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:28.520
<v Speaker 2>own app and keep your own data to yourself. So no,

0:18:28.680 --> 0:18:32.280
<v Speaker 2>it wasn't a consideration, and frankly, without being confident in

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:34.600
<v Speaker 2>the uptime, it's hard to make that decision. My dad

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:37.480
<v Speaker 2>also drives or drives a Tesla for his day to

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:40.320
<v Speaker 2>day life, and it was hard to even direct him

0:18:40.320 --> 0:18:41.800
<v Speaker 2>when he was in a bit of a charging desert

0:18:41.880 --> 0:18:44.680
<v Speaker 2>towards one of those other charging companies, just because if

0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:46.680
<v Speaker 2>they were down, he would be so far away from

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:48.960
<v Speaker 2>the supercharger that was likely to be up that he

0:18:49.040 --> 0:18:52.679
<v Speaker 2>could be in some real ev related i'd say range danger.

0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:55.879
<v Speaker 2>So no data, it's really sticking with the Tesla network

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:58.159
<v Speaker 2>has worked out quite well here and so yeah, from

0:18:58.200 --> 0:19:00.399
<v Speaker 2>my experience, I wasn't even looking at so use a

0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:01.320
<v Speaker 2>kind of other adapter.

0:19:01.720 --> 0:19:04.760
<v Speaker 1>So we certainly expect to see some real enhancements to

0:19:05.240 --> 0:19:08.639
<v Speaker 1>the I guess guiding one two a charger and actual

0:19:08.720 --> 0:19:12.040
<v Speaker 1>real time information regarding what's available, what's working, and what's

0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:14.639
<v Speaker 1>not in the near term in order to facilitate I

0:19:14.640 --> 0:19:17.560
<v Speaker 1>guess the wider rollout. Does that then mean that that's

0:19:17.600 --> 0:19:21.680
<v Speaker 1>going to provide an advantage to some of these other networks,

0:19:21.720 --> 0:19:24.080
<v Speaker 1>or do we think that because Tesla's so far ahead,

0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:27.399
<v Speaker 1>and now you're indicating that so many companies are actually

0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:32.240
<v Speaker 1>jumping on to this particular existing network, that really that's

0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 1>the one most poised to expand.

0:19:34.840 --> 0:19:38.080
<v Speaker 2>It's not like Tesla's. It's a integration with these vehicles

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 2>moving forward is going to be seamless. I mean, when

0:19:40.760 --> 0:19:43.640
<v Speaker 2>you're operating the supercharger network to date, there's been four

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:45.840
<v Speaker 2>different vehicle models that they've had to work on, and

0:19:45.920 --> 0:19:47.640
<v Speaker 2>you know, we're all still waiting for the cyber truck

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 2>to see if that's able to work seamlessly. Now, when

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:54.040
<v Speaker 2>you're talking about dozens of different models from different automakers

0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:56.400
<v Speaker 2>before you're even getting to be adapter that Ryan mentioned,

0:19:56.480 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 2>let's say we're you know, a year and a half,

0:19:57.760 --> 0:19:59.720
<v Speaker 2>two years from now, that's still a lot for an

0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:02.480
<v Speaker 2>opt or to manage. On the other hand, when it

0:20:02.520 --> 0:20:05.119
<v Speaker 2>comes to the competitors, and we could jump into the

0:20:05.280 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 2>joint venture that was announced the joint Consortium of seven

0:20:08.040 --> 0:20:10.480
<v Speaker 2>auto makers, at some point there just isn't kind of

0:20:10.480 --> 0:20:13.199
<v Speaker 2>a clear game plan for how these guys are going

0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:15.880
<v Speaker 2>to even kind of claim the number two spot in America.

0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:17.840
<v Speaker 2>At least on my end, I could say there's definitely

0:20:17.920 --> 0:20:20.720
<v Speaker 2>a lot of charging need here. So while Tesla's probably

0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:23.399
<v Speaker 2>growing stronger with a lot of these announcements, it's not

0:20:23.640 --> 0:20:25.920
<v Speaker 2>a done deal that they'll be the only large charging

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:28.399
<v Speaker 2>network provider here. But on the other hand, at this

0:20:28.480 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 2>early point, it's hard to say that you can jump

0:20:31.280 --> 0:20:34.679
<v Speaker 2>on bandwagon of another charging infratructure operator to say that

0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:36.960
<v Speaker 2>they will learn from the early stage and be able

0:20:36.960 --> 0:20:39.040
<v Speaker 2>to take advantage of the market as it grows here.

0:20:39.240 --> 0:20:42.679
<v Speaker 3>So the US manufacturers have formed a consortium recently, so

0:20:43.040 --> 0:20:45.640
<v Speaker 3>they're saying we're going to build thirty thousand charges, which

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:47.880
<v Speaker 3>is the biggest announcement we've seen. That will put them

0:20:48.280 --> 0:20:51.320
<v Speaker 3>in a strong position. But then the question comes can

0:20:51.359 --> 0:20:53.359
<v Speaker 3>they deliver that? Can they deliver what they've got? Can

0:20:53.400 --> 0:20:56.040
<v Speaker 3>you go from a standing start to being something producing

0:20:56.240 --> 0:20:58.920
<v Speaker 3>tas been doing this for probably I don't know what

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 3>it was, twenty twelve, something like that, So delivering it

0:21:02.359 --> 0:21:05.520
<v Speaker 3>is difficult. Having the sites is difficult, getting the grid connections.

0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:07.480
<v Speaker 3>As a kind of high level point, we don't know

0:21:07.520 --> 0:21:10.240
<v Speaker 3>whether we're going from a position of this really reducing

0:21:10.280 --> 0:21:12.879
<v Speaker 3>in costs significantly over time, because the key pieces of

0:21:12.960 --> 0:21:15.479
<v Speaker 3>land might go, the good grid connections may go. What

0:21:15.520 --> 0:21:18.400
<v Speaker 3>Tesla has that we've not discussed. There's low costs of hardware,

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:19.840
<v Speaker 3>and we've seen that come out in some of the

0:21:19.880 --> 0:21:22.400
<v Speaker 3>Nevy grants. So that five states I think have been awarded.

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:24.720
<v Speaker 3>We'd already analyzed this last year in our kind of

0:21:24.840 --> 0:21:27.480
<v Speaker 3>charger survey. Most people are somewhere between one hundred and

0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:29.760
<v Speaker 3>twenty and two hundred thousand dollars per connector on kind

0:21:29.800 --> 0:21:31.919
<v Speaker 3>of a project level, and Tesla seemed down at like

0:21:31.960 --> 0:21:34.360
<v Speaker 3>forty thousand. I was reading one today that said seventeen

0:21:34.400 --> 0:21:37.840
<v Speaker 3>thousand per connector. So they're able to do this much cheaper.

0:21:38.000 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 3>Some of that is, I think the hardware production scale,

0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:41.560
<v Speaker 3>and some of it I think is things like they're

0:21:41.600 --> 0:21:44.000
<v Speaker 3>prefabricating the chargers, they're putting it like a big block

0:21:44.040 --> 0:21:44.679
<v Speaker 3>of them in one go.

0:21:45.119 --> 0:21:48.400
<v Speaker 1>What are the companies that are essentially trying to pose

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:50.560
<v Speaker 1>competition for the incumbent?

0:21:50.920 --> 0:21:53.240
<v Speaker 3>So that deal and Corey, you might be able to

0:21:53.240 --> 0:21:55.680
<v Speaker 3>correct me if I'm wrong, basically includes most of those

0:21:55.680 --> 0:22:00.199
<v Speaker 3>in Ionity, so being able to be HYONDI Mercedes, Stalantis GM.

0:22:01.000 --> 0:22:02.960
<v Speaker 3>It's maybe interesting in a way of who's not in

0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:05.479
<v Speaker 3>it because Ford and Volkswagen are not in it, so

0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:09.200
<v Speaker 3>Ford is not so obvious. Volkswagen have Electrify America, so

0:22:09.680 --> 0:22:11.960
<v Speaker 3>maybe they're saying we don't want to fund the like

0:22:12.040 --> 0:22:13.439
<v Speaker 3>another network we've already got on.

0:22:13.440 --> 0:22:16.280
<v Speaker 1>Network, so there's a third network. So essentially you would

0:22:16.320 --> 0:22:19.720
<v Speaker 1>need to in some way well be allowed to use

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:22.280
<v Speaker 1>each of these three networks if you wanted to have

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:26.600
<v Speaker 1>one complete network that would enable you to avoid charging deserts.

0:22:26.600 --> 0:22:28.000
<v Speaker 1>And I think this is one of the things that

0:22:28.080 --> 0:22:31.760
<v Speaker 1>really differs from when you think about petrol stations, where essentially,

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:34.280
<v Speaker 1>not only are they everywhere, but more importantly, you can

0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:36.720
<v Speaker 1>go to anyone and anyone will take your money. Do

0:22:36.800 --> 0:22:39.520
<v Speaker 1>we foresee a future in the US where these different networks,

0:22:39.520 --> 0:22:41.399
<v Speaker 1>at least on a page you go basis, will be

0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:44.800
<v Speaker 1>available to anybody with an electric vehicle or is it

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:47.680
<v Speaker 1>going to still continue to be quite restricted by brand

0:22:47.880 --> 0:22:48.800
<v Speaker 1>to charger type.

0:22:48.920 --> 0:22:51.159
<v Speaker 2>That's what the Biden administration hopes, right. A lot of

0:22:51.160 --> 0:22:55.399
<v Speaker 2>these heavy grant requirements is aiming for interoperability, and Ryan,

0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:57.960
<v Speaker 2>to your point, we're only talking about two to three

0:22:58.280 --> 0:23:01.000
<v Speaker 2>different charger types, right. We've talked to at CCS, and

0:23:01.119 --> 0:23:04.359
<v Speaker 2>next there's an older version here called Chadmo, which is

0:23:04.400 --> 0:23:07.240
<v Speaker 2>really only used by Nissan. So the networks are kind

0:23:07.240 --> 0:23:09.480
<v Speaker 2>of I like to think of them as maybe gas

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 2>station companies or petrol station companies. It doesn't mean that

0:23:12.280 --> 0:23:14.000
<v Speaker 2>the same EV can't work if they have a NAX

0:23:14.080 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 2>connector available. But I think the bigger question around kind

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:20.040
<v Speaker 2>of these competitors that Ryan just got to is, is

0:23:20.080 --> 0:23:22.560
<v Speaker 2>this new kind of joint consort SIAM going to be

0:23:22.880 --> 0:23:25.200
<v Speaker 2>on the level of getting that land because right announce

0:23:25.200 --> 0:23:28.120
<v Speaker 2>spencer nice, but building EV chargers is more difficult. And

0:23:28.160 --> 0:23:31.040
<v Speaker 2>now when you're seeing these really low Tesla bids, even

0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:34.000
<v Speaker 2>if you're a state using nev funding attempting to kind

0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 2>of have a diversity of chargers, if Tesla is able

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:38.280
<v Speaker 2>to do, it's so much cheaper and they keep on

0:23:38.320 --> 0:23:40.800
<v Speaker 2>winning these grants, they're going to only continue to gain

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:42.760
<v Speaker 2>more of that market power. But at least from a

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 2>conceptual standpoint, if there's two or three or four big

0:23:45.600 --> 0:23:47.639
<v Speaker 2>charging networks here in the US, that'd probably be a

0:23:47.640 --> 0:23:49.960
<v Speaker 2>good thing for consumers. It's less of a tech problem

0:23:50.000 --> 0:23:52.000
<v Speaker 2>and more of a you know, making a profit and

0:23:52.080 --> 0:23:53.520
<v Speaker 2>competitive advantage issue.

0:23:55.160 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>So you mentioned Electrify America, which is one of the

0:23:58.880 --> 0:24:02.640
<v Speaker 1>larger US electric vehicle charging companies, but there has been

0:24:02.640 --> 0:24:06.480
<v Speaker 1>some scrutiny recently over some of these failings. You referenced

0:24:06.600 --> 0:24:09.239
<v Speaker 1>broken chargers showing up and things not quite working. So

0:24:09.320 --> 0:24:12.080
<v Speaker 1>paint a picture in my mind of what exactly is

0:24:12.160 --> 0:24:12.920
<v Speaker 1>going on there.

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:16.000
<v Speaker 3>So I think there's two dynamics, one that is maybe

0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:17.280
<v Speaker 3>less talked about and one that is a bit more

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:19.520
<v Speaker 3>of it. So one of them is that you've got

0:24:19.600 --> 0:24:21.800
<v Speaker 3>all of these different vehicle manufacturers trying to work with

0:24:21.840 --> 0:24:25.320
<v Speaker 3>one charger network rolling out. Then the technical standards are

0:24:25.359 --> 0:24:27.240
<v Speaker 3>not working, some of them are turning off. Maybe you

0:24:27.280 --> 0:24:29.680
<v Speaker 3>could argue this is like a separate side business of

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 3>VW and they're not so interested in it. Fundamentally, this

0:24:32.640 --> 0:24:35.240
<v Speaker 3>was legislated that because of diesel Gate, they had to

0:24:35.280 --> 0:24:37.320
<v Speaker 3>own this business. Even from there you could say, well,

0:24:37.359 --> 0:24:39.680
<v Speaker 3>why wasn't the money given to other people? Why did

0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:41.880
<v Speaker 3>it VW get to spend it themselves. They then had

0:24:41.880 --> 0:24:44.600
<v Speaker 3>this kind of arguably strategic advantage. Then you've got the

0:24:44.680 --> 0:24:47.320
<v Speaker 3>like press versus reality side of it. So if you

0:24:47.359 --> 0:24:49.679
<v Speaker 3>look at the statistics, in twenty twenty one, they delivered

0:24:49.720 --> 0:24:51.960
<v Speaker 3>forty one gig what hours of energy and in twenty

0:24:52.000 --> 0:24:54.080
<v Speaker 3>twenty two they'd delivered one hundred and seventy three gig

0:24:54.160 --> 0:24:56.760
<v Speaker 3>what hours of energy, So there are actually delivering much

0:24:56.760 --> 0:24:59.440
<v Speaker 3>more energy people are whilst they're all we hear about

0:24:59.480 --> 0:25:02.239
<v Speaker 3>is failures they're delivering a lot of stuff, but no

0:25:02.320 --> 0:25:04.800
<v Speaker 3>doubt there is a lot of talk about how bad

0:25:04.840 --> 0:25:06.840
<v Speaker 3>the situation is and that it never works. And I

0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:08.800
<v Speaker 3>think that's led to a lot of the car manufacturers

0:25:08.800 --> 0:25:11.520
<v Speaker 3>basically saying we're kind of annoyed behind the scenes at

0:25:11.560 --> 0:25:14.160
<v Speaker 3>VW and maybe fed into this other network that they've

0:25:14.240 --> 0:25:15.679
<v Speaker 3>the joint venture that's come together.

0:25:15.800 --> 0:25:19.240
<v Speaker 1>And you said, VW has this network because of diesel Gate,

0:25:19.320 --> 0:25:21.359
<v Speaker 1>And first of all, explain what diesel gate is for

0:25:21.359 --> 0:25:24.240
<v Speaker 1>those of us who have a short corporate memory. And secondly,

0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:26.320
<v Speaker 1>why because of diesel Gate.

0:25:26.680 --> 0:25:29.120
<v Speaker 3>I'll give a short answer, and I'm sure Corey knows

0:25:29.160 --> 0:25:33.400
<v Speaker 3>all of the details. But basically, diesel gate, they put

0:25:33.520 --> 0:25:36.359
<v Speaker 3>devices on the cars that would perform in the test

0:25:36.440 --> 0:25:38.720
<v Speaker 3>runs when you go out to see what emissions the

0:25:38.720 --> 0:25:40.679
<v Speaker 3>car were giving, and they give a low score, and

0:25:40.720 --> 0:25:42.520
<v Speaker 3>it was actually found in the wild that they were

0:25:42.600 --> 0:25:45.600
<v Speaker 3>giving much more higher emissions. And therefore governments realized this

0:25:45.640 --> 0:25:47.640
<v Speaker 3>and they said, well that's not correct, and they find

0:25:47.680 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 3>them a lot of money.

0:25:48.640 --> 0:25:51.000
<v Speaker 2>So in the US there's a lot of guessoline over

0:25:51.000 --> 0:25:52.679
<v Speaker 2>a diesel. But there was a part of the I

0:25:52.720 --> 0:25:56.920
<v Speaker 2>think global Volkswagen issues with emissions testing in the Environmental

0:25:56.960 --> 0:25:59.720
<v Speaker 2>Protection Agency back in about twenty fifteen called them out

0:25:59.760 --> 0:26:03.320
<v Speaker 2>on them and successfully negotiate the settlement. So, in terms

0:26:03.359 --> 0:26:05.359
<v Speaker 2>of context of why this was happening and why not

0:26:05.400 --> 0:26:07.840
<v Speaker 2>giving it to a bunch of charging companies, Tesla was

0:26:07.840 --> 0:26:09.919
<v Speaker 2>an existing company at that point, But going back to

0:26:09.960 --> 0:26:13.080
<v Speaker 2>twenty fifteen, evs were just a trickle in the bucket,

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:15.679
<v Speaker 2>and so what the EPA at the time was thinking

0:26:15.840 --> 0:26:18.040
<v Speaker 2>is they did something bad, We're going to have them

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:21.480
<v Speaker 2>put the money towards funding things like charging infrastructure, maybe

0:26:21.480 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 2>some school buses or buses to do something good right,

0:26:24.520 --> 0:26:26.159
<v Speaker 2>to kind of build out the network of the future.

0:26:26.280 --> 0:26:28.400
<v Speaker 2>What's interesting is we've been talking a lot about NEV.

0:26:28.640 --> 0:26:31.040
<v Speaker 2>Two billion dollars is one third of the NEV program

0:26:31.160 --> 0:26:33.359
<v Speaker 2>just about and you could see maybe money doesn't go

0:26:33.400 --> 0:26:36.000
<v Speaker 2>as far as it should. Volts Wagon I think Ryan,

0:26:36.000 --> 0:26:39.240
<v Speaker 2>you're right that there is definitely a partier maybe reality

0:26:39.320 --> 0:26:41.880
<v Speaker 2>than the statistics show. And in that charge that EV

0:26:42.000 --> 0:26:44.320
<v Speaker 2>magazine piece, which is by John Volker, a lot of

0:26:44.359 --> 0:26:47.840
<v Speaker 2>the conversation in his piece is around the frustration they

0:26:47.840 --> 0:26:50.159
<v Speaker 2>had there with electric fire a market in particular, just

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:52.040
<v Speaker 2>because they had such a long lead up time and

0:26:52.080 --> 0:26:54.040
<v Speaker 2>it's even rubbed off to some extent on the other

0:26:54.080 --> 0:26:56.800
<v Speaker 2>EV charging companies, even if it's not necessarily their fault.

0:26:57.080 --> 0:26:59.199
<v Speaker 2>What I'd say from an analyst perspective, and I think

0:26:59.240 --> 0:27:01.200
<v Speaker 2>it'd be great for where both my team and Ryans

0:27:01.200 --> 0:27:03.360
<v Speaker 2>seem to have more of this information, is just more

0:27:03.359 --> 0:27:06.280
<v Speaker 2>transparent data on uptime. I think that's been a frustration

0:27:06.400 --> 0:27:08.800
<v Speaker 2>for a lot of researchers in the US to get

0:27:08.800 --> 0:27:10.880
<v Speaker 2>a sense of are things really as bad as news

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:14.840
<v Speaker 2>reports say. Unfortunately, Electrified America in particular has been pretty

0:27:14.840 --> 0:27:17.480
<v Speaker 2>protective of their data, you know, understandable in some ways

0:27:17.480 --> 0:27:20.199
<v Speaker 2>because it's their customers, but to combat that narrative, and

0:27:20.280 --> 0:27:23.600
<v Speaker 2>so when these Tesla announcements have been happening around automaker

0:27:23.600 --> 0:27:25.960
<v Speaker 2>switching to next, there hasn't even been much of a

0:27:26.000 --> 0:27:29.240
<v Speaker 2>pushback from some of the CCS companies. If anything, they've said, okay,

0:27:29.240 --> 0:27:31.360
<v Speaker 2>we'll just add a connector, as opposed to saying, well,

0:27:31.359 --> 0:27:34.399
<v Speaker 2>the reality is CCS does provide some good benefits, in

0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:37.840
<v Speaker 2>particular around vehicle to grid. Tesla says their chargers can

0:27:37.880 --> 0:27:39.560
<v Speaker 2>do it, but we haven't really seen it to date.

0:27:39.640 --> 0:27:41.479
<v Speaker 2>And in some of that three hundred and fifty kW

0:27:41.680 --> 0:27:45.080
<v Speaker 2>charging that for example, the high end Dionic five uses

0:27:45.280 --> 0:27:47.920
<v Speaker 2>Tesla says their V four of their supercharger, we'll be

0:27:47.960 --> 0:27:49.520
<v Speaker 2>able to do that. But again, a lot of this

0:27:49.640 --> 0:27:52.000
<v Speaker 2>is depending on Tesla, and so you haven't even seen

0:27:52.040 --> 0:27:54.679
<v Speaker 2>the CCS. Folks make the arguments that many of the

0:27:54.760 --> 0:27:58.880
<v Speaker 2>cool ev technologies are built around ccs or CCS two

0:27:58.880 --> 0:28:00.879
<v Speaker 2>in Europe PR battle.

0:28:01.080 --> 0:28:03.440
<v Speaker 3>It's almost like Tesla obviously wants you to think it's

0:28:03.440 --> 0:28:05.120
<v Speaker 3>the best connector. It's this, that and the other. They've

0:28:05.119 --> 0:28:07.680
<v Speaker 3>literally got Mary Barr saying it's a lighter connector, it's

0:28:07.680 --> 0:28:10.440
<v Speaker 3>even better. After what was it five maybe what six

0:28:10.520 --> 0:28:13.439
<v Speaker 3>years of them saying they're using ccs, they're just like

0:28:13.560 --> 0:28:15.879
<v Speaker 3>totally bowing to Tesla. Yet you then look at the

0:28:15.960 --> 0:28:17.800
<v Speaker 3>other side of the story and you think, well, why

0:28:17.920 --> 0:28:20.160
<v Speaker 3>was elected fire America not out there with four times

0:28:20.160 --> 0:28:22.760
<v Speaker 3>more energy distributed in one year and that all of

0:28:22.800 --> 0:28:24.800
<v Speaker 3>these good things. And I think there is a little

0:28:24.840 --> 0:28:27.720
<v Speaker 3>bit of like the PR play and that obviously for Tesla.

0:28:27.760 --> 0:28:30.320
<v Speaker 3>Now they've got all these automakers on their system, that

0:28:30.480 --> 0:28:32.960
<v Speaker 3>system goes through standards that they want. They're going to

0:28:33.000 --> 0:28:34.919
<v Speaker 3>their chargers. What if they said, oh, well, to use

0:28:34.960 --> 0:28:37.080
<v Speaker 3>those twelve thousand chargers. Now you've got to pay a

0:28:37.080 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 3>bigger deal in five years time. Like, we don't know

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:41.920
<v Speaker 3>the terms of those deals, but certainly seems quite quite

0:28:41.920 --> 0:28:44.120
<v Speaker 3>strong for them. And it's not just the automakers that

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:46.560
<v Speaker 3>are slightly worried about that. If you're a charging operator

0:28:46.800 --> 0:28:49.080
<v Speaker 3>and you've decided to put the Tesla connector in what

0:28:49.200 --> 0:28:51.440
<v Speaker 3>Tesla then say, oh, to use our connector. Now you

0:28:51.520 --> 0:28:53.680
<v Speaker 3>have to pay some more money as well. So people

0:28:53.680 --> 0:28:55.720
<v Speaker 3>are a bit unsure. But for Tesla, that was it

0:28:55.800 --> 0:28:58.240
<v Speaker 3>was like a month or two months of just like

0:28:58.360 --> 0:29:00.800
<v Speaker 3>positive news on everybody bow and all of a sudden

0:29:00.840 --> 0:29:03.240
<v Speaker 3>they're in this dominant position. But there's a reason why

0:29:03.280 --> 0:29:06.600
<v Speaker 3>the Toyota's Dealantis's high ond ikeas have not gone to

0:29:06.640 --> 0:29:08.480
<v Speaker 3>that way. Although when you read the news you might

0:29:08.520 --> 0:29:10.760
<v Speaker 3>think everybody has the realities, they haven't.

0:29:11.400 --> 0:29:13.760
<v Speaker 2>One thing. I'll just say to give Tesla a little

0:29:13.760 --> 0:29:15.680
<v Speaker 2>bit of credit and not just say that they're completely,

0:29:17.040 --> 0:29:20.000
<v Speaker 2>not completely just pushing this on everyone. They have been

0:29:20.040 --> 0:29:23.640
<v Speaker 2>working with the US Department of Energy and Transportation's Joint

0:29:23.720 --> 0:29:28.040
<v Speaker 2>Office to basically work on sandradization through an organization known

0:29:28.080 --> 0:29:31.760
<v Speaker 2>as SAE International. So they're charging Department of Engineers at

0:29:31.760 --> 0:29:34.720
<v Speaker 2>TESLA are doing a lot of the right things. This

0:29:34.920 --> 0:29:38.280
<v Speaker 2>standardization process is expected to take through the rest of

0:29:38.320 --> 0:29:40.720
<v Speaker 2>this year, which is on the expedited process that began

0:29:40.760 --> 0:29:43.200
<v Speaker 2>in June. So assuming they dot the i's and cross

0:29:43.240 --> 0:29:46.080
<v Speaker 2>the t's correctly, there is a lot of smart maneuvering

0:29:46.080 --> 0:29:48.040
<v Speaker 2>the Tesla's doing. And want to at least say this

0:29:48.120 --> 0:29:50.760
<v Speaker 2>isn't just completely at the you know, Elon tweeted it

0:29:50.760 --> 0:29:53.320
<v Speaker 2>out and it's it's only happening via tweet. We don't

0:29:53.320 --> 0:29:55.720
<v Speaker 2>know what the contracts look like. And to Ryan's point,

0:29:55.720 --> 0:29:58.200
<v Speaker 2>there is a lot of uncertainty in the space, but

0:29:58.280 --> 0:30:00.760
<v Speaker 2>there is a really good charging in for structured division

0:30:00.760 --> 0:30:03.040
<v Speaker 2>at TESLA, and they are going through the motions on

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:05.880
<v Speaker 2>a lot of the correct standards. Assuming that these processes

0:30:05.920 --> 0:30:08.760
<v Speaker 2>are complete, I think to your point, Ryan, there's been

0:30:08.800 --> 0:30:10.680
<v Speaker 2>almost too many news reports that says this is going

0:30:10.760 --> 0:30:12.680
<v Speaker 2>to be super easy, this is only going to be

0:30:12.680 --> 0:30:15.400
<v Speaker 2>a plus for the US consumer immediately, and I think

0:30:15.400 --> 0:30:17.760
<v Speaker 2>the reality is kind of somewhere in between. It has

0:30:17.800 --> 0:30:19.720
<v Speaker 2>a lot of upside to make the US have a

0:30:19.720 --> 0:30:22.880
<v Speaker 2>better charging network, but it's not a simple light switch

0:30:22.960 --> 0:30:25.040
<v Speaker 2>that all the automakers are going to flip and that

0:30:25.120 --> 0:30:27.560
<v Speaker 2>Tesla's going to necessarily play ball on everything. So I

0:30:27.600 --> 0:30:29.400
<v Speaker 2>think you never want to give an answer where it's

0:30:29.440 --> 0:30:31.560
<v Speaker 2>really uncertain. But I think the next six months are

0:30:31.600 --> 0:30:34.040
<v Speaker 2>going to determine how smoothly this goes. And then really

0:30:34.040 --> 0:30:35.920
<v Speaker 2>it might take a full year until you're getting the

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:39.160
<v Speaker 2>model year twenty twenty five cars to even see really

0:30:39.400 --> 0:30:42.040
<v Speaker 2>how successful is this rollout. And one last thing, I'll

0:30:42.040 --> 0:30:44.479
<v Speaker 2>say that Ryan, maybe you've heard differently, but a lot

0:30:44.520 --> 0:30:46.760
<v Speaker 2>of automakers when you ask them over here, are you

0:30:46.880 --> 0:30:49.480
<v Speaker 2>just going to have a NAXT connector on your model

0:30:49.520 --> 0:30:52.000
<v Speaker 2>twenty five cars or if you're going to have both

0:30:52.080 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 2>CCS and next and they won't give a straight answer.

0:30:54.520 --> 0:30:56.680
<v Speaker 2>So even the automakers who have made the Tesla switch

0:30:56.680 --> 0:30:59.000
<v Speaker 2>announcement having come out and said, you know, are we

0:30:59.160 --> 0:31:01.479
<v Speaker 2>fully moving away from from ccs or are we going

0:31:01.520 --> 0:31:04.440
<v Speaker 2>to kind of straddle a middle line? And so again,

0:31:04.560 --> 0:31:07.040
<v Speaker 2>if I'm a consumer, you want to be patient. If

0:31:07.080 --> 0:31:08.800
<v Speaker 2>you're buying a non Tesla car.

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:11.640
<v Speaker 1>Wow, six months is not that long, but certainly you

0:31:11.720 --> 0:31:15.360
<v Speaker 1>have So we've got automakers banding together trying to solve

0:31:15.360 --> 0:31:18.840
<v Speaker 1>the solution by making let's say alliances with one another,

0:31:19.080 --> 0:31:22.120
<v Speaker 1>and then the NEVY to stimulate some of the growth

0:31:22.160 --> 0:31:26.200
<v Speaker 1>here in the federal government then looking to essentially see

0:31:26.240 --> 0:31:29.480
<v Speaker 1>this through, to see this network become more robust, and

0:31:29.480 --> 0:31:33.080
<v Speaker 1>to really facilitate that change to electric vehicles. What then,

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:35.480
<v Speaker 1>is the role of state governments and have they been

0:31:35.560 --> 0:31:39.400
<v Speaker 1>more of a facilitator or hindrance into some of this

0:31:39.560 --> 0:31:41.760
<v Speaker 1>roll out across different parts of the US.

0:31:42.320 --> 0:31:45.840
<v Speaker 2>I think the state governments outside of California, they're very

0:31:45.840 --> 0:31:49.040
<v Speaker 2>early on the EV trajectory. I mentioned the state EV

0:31:49.160 --> 0:31:51.160
<v Speaker 2>market note that I've been working on, and you do

0:31:51.280 --> 0:31:53.640
<v Speaker 2>have some states that are beginning to break through with

0:31:53.720 --> 0:31:56.440
<v Speaker 2>their electric vehicle share of new car sales, which is

0:31:56.600 --> 0:32:00.200
<v Speaker 2>an early indicator of how EV markets are changing. So

0:32:00.320 --> 0:32:03.720
<v Speaker 2>places like Colorado, Nevada, I got to plug, my home

0:32:03.760 --> 0:32:06.760
<v Speaker 2>state of New Jersey are all doing quite well. And again,

0:32:06.800 --> 0:32:10.120
<v Speaker 2>each state can be as large as some European countries,

0:32:10.240 --> 0:32:12.080
<v Speaker 2>so it's not necessarily easy to do this for the

0:32:12.080 --> 0:32:15.080
<v Speaker 2>first time. They've all submitted their plans for NEVY as

0:32:15.080 --> 0:32:18.120
<v Speaker 2>of last year, and to Ryan's point, they're working on

0:32:18.360 --> 0:32:21.600
<v Speaker 2>proposals now to get the charging companies that will eventually

0:32:21.600 --> 0:32:23.880
<v Speaker 2>put up the chargers at their sites. I think ultimately

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:26.120
<v Speaker 2>the state governments are going to be helpful, but right

0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:28.960
<v Speaker 2>now things are moving slower than I'm sure a lot

0:32:28.960 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 2>of EV consumers would want. I think the most important

0:32:32.200 --> 0:32:34.640
<v Speaker 2>thing is less speed and more making sure that they've

0:32:34.640 --> 0:32:37.280
<v Speaker 2>done it right. And frankly, the CCS and NACT kind

0:32:37.320 --> 0:32:40.240
<v Speaker 2>of conundrum here has added another layer of complexity for

0:32:40.320 --> 0:32:42.920
<v Speaker 2>these state governments to have to grapple with. I'll give

0:32:42.920 --> 0:32:45.760
<v Speaker 2>you an example. So some states like Texas are now

0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:49.280
<v Speaker 2>requiring Tesla's NAXT connector to be built on every NEVY

0:32:49.360 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 2>funded charging site in the state of Texas. There are

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:54.240
<v Speaker 2>some other states that are doing that as well. And

0:32:54.280 --> 0:32:56.480
<v Speaker 2>so what that means is, if you're a charging infrastructure

0:32:56.520 --> 0:32:58.800
<v Speaker 2>operator and you want to build in Texas, you have

0:32:58.880 --> 0:33:01.480
<v Speaker 2>an additional requirement on top of all of the national

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:07.440
<v Speaker 2>requirements to boost Tesla's standing. Not necessarily because Texas houses Tesla.

0:33:07.480 --> 0:33:09.560
<v Speaker 2>There might be a part of it the Austin factories there.

0:33:09.600 --> 0:33:11.840
<v Speaker 2>But states don't have an easy job figuring out how

0:33:11.880 --> 0:33:13.880
<v Speaker 2>to navigate this. They do have a lot of federal

0:33:13.920 --> 0:33:15.800
<v Speaker 2>resources and there's a ton of money, but they have

0:33:15.840 --> 0:33:18.080
<v Speaker 2>to really make sure that this isn't a boondoggle. So

0:33:18.120 --> 0:33:20.240
<v Speaker 2>I think the way they're going about this is taking

0:33:20.280 --> 0:33:22.760
<v Speaker 2>their time to do this right as opposed to maybe speed.

0:33:22.920 --> 0:33:24.840
<v Speaker 2>The law passed almost two years ago now, and we

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:27.120
<v Speaker 2>haven't seen really any chargers built, and.

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:29.480
<v Speaker 1>You're saying that you expect to see things. Really I

0:33:29.480 --> 0:33:31.680
<v Speaker 1>guess the dust is settle over the next six miths

0:33:31.720 --> 0:33:34.520
<v Speaker 1>a twelve months. But what are the longer term Biden

0:33:34.560 --> 0:33:39.920
<v Speaker 1>administration goals that are expected to outlive his administration? Perhaps

0:33:40.040 --> 0:33:42.440
<v Speaker 1>you know what is it that they're actually shooting for

0:33:42.800 --> 0:33:45.560
<v Speaker 1>with some of the different stimulus that they're looking at

0:33:45.560 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 1>in this space.

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 2>By the administration for a long time has had a

0:33:48.680 --> 0:33:51.440
<v Speaker 2>target of five hundred thousand V charging connectors by the

0:33:51.520 --> 0:33:54.040
<v Speaker 2>end of the decade. Whether that's the stations themselves or

0:33:54.080 --> 0:33:56.600
<v Speaker 2>the connectors. I've heard more on the connector's side, but

0:33:56.640 --> 0:33:58.880
<v Speaker 2>that's a bit of a vageity there. In terms of

0:33:58.920 --> 0:34:01.920
<v Speaker 2>the actual EV ship of sales, they had an executive

0:34:02.000 --> 0:34:04.680
<v Speaker 2>order aiming for about fifty percent EV share of sale

0:34:04.760 --> 0:34:07.160
<v Speaker 2>by twenty thirty and here at BNEF when we have

0:34:07.240 --> 0:34:09.080
<v Speaker 2>our long term outlook, we expect they'll be able to

0:34:09.120 --> 0:34:11.760
<v Speaker 2>meet that target. And again they've put billions of dollars

0:34:11.800 --> 0:34:15.120
<v Speaker 2>towards this electric vehicle transition from not just the charging

0:34:15.160 --> 0:34:17.560
<v Speaker 2>side we've been talking a lot about, but also billions

0:34:17.560 --> 0:34:20.359
<v Speaker 2>of dollars in electric vehicle tax credits. Just a couple

0:34:20.360 --> 0:34:22.920
<v Speaker 2>of weeks ago, there was an announcement about fifteen billion

0:34:22.960 --> 0:34:27.920
<v Speaker 2>dollars in EV manufacturing and retooling grants. So even outside

0:34:27.920 --> 0:34:29.640
<v Speaker 2>of charging world that we spent a lot of time

0:34:29.680 --> 0:34:32.120
<v Speaker 2>on today, the Biden administration is all in on kind

0:34:32.120 --> 0:34:35.000
<v Speaker 2>of fostering this EV growth. But again, when we're talking

0:34:35.040 --> 0:34:38.160
<v Speaker 2>to not just auto companies and other stakeholders, but consumers,

0:34:38.320 --> 0:34:41.399
<v Speaker 2>charging anxiety remains one of the main obstacles here. It's

0:34:41.400 --> 0:34:44.120
<v Speaker 2>no longer the models themselves, or even the prices of

0:34:44.120 --> 0:34:46.319
<v Speaker 2>some of these models, while still high, is more in

0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:49.720
<v Speaker 2>line with the average car press for new vehicles. Charging

0:34:49.800 --> 0:34:51.120
<v Speaker 2>is a pretty big hurdle.

0:34:51.360 --> 0:34:53.520
<v Speaker 3>I think that the if you think about our research,

0:34:53.520 --> 0:34:55.000
<v Speaker 3>so the five hundred K target, I think is a

0:34:55.040 --> 0:34:58.040
<v Speaker 3>great example of a politician setting something that they're easily

0:34:58.040 --> 0:35:00.440
<v Speaker 3>going to meet. We think somewhere more like two million

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:03.280
<v Speaker 3>charges by the twenty thirty deadline that they're talking about.

0:35:03.320 --> 0:35:05.480
<v Speaker 3>If you reflect that back to some of the conversation

0:35:05.560 --> 0:35:07.920
<v Speaker 3>that we've had so far, we're saying there's thirty thousand today,

0:35:07.960 --> 0:35:10.239
<v Speaker 3>So whils we're saying Tesla is doing amazing. There is

0:35:10.280 --> 0:35:12.560
<v Speaker 3>actually a big gap for other people in this next

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:15.279
<v Speaker 3>eight years which can be filled by those automakers and

0:35:15.360 --> 0:35:17.960
<v Speaker 3>other people in Europe. We just see so many players

0:35:17.960 --> 0:35:19.919
<v Speaker 3>and they're not quite in the US yet. So BP

0:35:20.000 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 3>saying they're going to spend a billion in the US.

0:35:22.280 --> 0:35:25.200
<v Speaker 3>SHELL have acquired a couple of companies and we'd expect

0:35:25.280 --> 0:35:27.280
<v Speaker 3>them to come in as well. A little bit different

0:35:27.320 --> 0:35:30.520
<v Speaker 3>where in EU you get a lot of utilities involved.

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:33.480
<v Speaker 3>Not necessarily as easy for the utilities due to the

0:35:33.480 --> 0:35:36.240
<v Speaker 3>structure of them in the US to be quite as involved.

0:35:36.320 --> 0:35:38.480
<v Speaker 3>But overall, what I'd say is you've gone from a

0:35:38.520 --> 0:35:40.839
<v Speaker 3>position in the US with limited momentum. There's not been

0:35:40.840 --> 0:35:43.359
<v Speaker 3>the right regulation. The IRA has come in, and then

0:35:43.480 --> 0:35:45.680
<v Speaker 3>these other people have decided, do you know what, Actually

0:35:45.719 --> 0:35:47.560
<v Speaker 3>there's going to be a market for evs. We didn't

0:35:47.560 --> 0:35:49.279
<v Speaker 3>really believe it before, but now we believe it. It's

0:35:49.320 --> 0:35:52.000
<v Speaker 3>like the Trump administration to the Biden, the IRA money

0:35:52.040 --> 0:35:54.120
<v Speaker 3>then coming in, and nothing really shows it more than

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:57.440
<v Speaker 3>those automakers coming together six years after they realized they're

0:35:57.440 --> 0:35:59.080
<v Speaker 3>going to have to do this in Europe. They've then

0:35:59.120 --> 0:36:01.880
<v Speaker 3>done it in America. Like, really, they'd come to this

0:36:01.920 --> 0:36:04.359
<v Speaker 3>conclusion in Europe six years ago and it's taken them

0:36:04.360 --> 0:36:06.440
<v Speaker 3>that long to go Okay, well, really is real. The

0:36:06.520 --> 0:36:08.840
<v Speaker 3>US market is kind of evolving. Whether we're going to

0:36:08.840 --> 0:36:11.239
<v Speaker 3>meet these targets has many dependencies, and one of the

0:36:11.280 --> 0:36:13.600
<v Speaker 3>biggest ones you hear across the world is the grids.

0:36:13.719 --> 0:36:15.799
<v Speaker 3>Can you build the grid to do so? And some

0:36:15.840 --> 0:36:18.440
<v Speaker 3>of the regulators and energy commissions will have to focus

0:36:18.480 --> 0:36:19.839
<v Speaker 3>on that area to get this going.

0:36:20.040 --> 0:36:23.360
<v Speaker 1>And certainly the necessity for a robust grid is something

0:36:23.400 --> 0:36:25.719
<v Speaker 1>that we addressed in a show just a couple of

0:36:25.760 --> 0:36:28.920
<v Speaker 1>weeks back. So it does underpin so much of the

0:36:28.920 --> 0:36:32.560
<v Speaker 1>transition in the energy industry. And then you're in electric vehicles,

0:36:32.840 --> 0:36:35.000
<v Speaker 1>so I think that actually, Corey, when you were talking

0:36:35.000 --> 0:36:38.000
<v Speaker 1>a second ago, you referred to it as a potential boondoggle.

0:36:38.040 --> 0:36:40.239
<v Speaker 1>And here's to hoping that when the dust settles, this

0:36:40.280 --> 0:36:43.480
<v Speaker 1>will be a much more robust charging network. For anybody

0:36:43.600 --> 0:36:46.719
<v Speaker 1>out there who really wants to understand why people are

0:36:46.800 --> 0:36:50.000
<v Speaker 1>so excited about superchargers and why they are such a

0:36:50.040 --> 0:36:52.480
<v Speaker 1>point of reference, I will say that my personal experience

0:36:52.480 --> 0:36:54.680
<v Speaker 1>of you know, spending nearly a month renting a car

0:36:54.680 --> 0:36:56.440
<v Speaker 1>and then doing a road trip and trying to make

0:36:56.480 --> 0:37:00.360
<v Speaker 1>it happen will certainly bring to light why thing that

0:37:00.600 --> 0:37:03.040
<v Speaker 1>so many of us who are looking at this transition

0:37:03.400 --> 0:37:07.200
<v Speaker 1>and actively engaged in it, see these solutions as something

0:37:07.280 --> 0:37:10.680
<v Speaker 1>that they're certainly interested in watching very closely because it

0:37:10.800 --> 0:37:14.359
<v Speaker 1>facilitates how you build your Saturday, or build your road

0:37:14.360 --> 0:37:16.840
<v Speaker 1>trip and live your life. So it's really interesting to

0:37:16.840 --> 0:37:19.319
<v Speaker 1>see from your research that you think that there's a

0:37:19.320 --> 0:37:21.120
<v Speaker 1>lot to gain and that there's a gap between these

0:37:21.160 --> 0:37:23.920
<v Speaker 1>targets and where it is will actually end up. And

0:37:23.960 --> 0:37:26.120
<v Speaker 1>so I would say I've got maybe the one thing

0:37:26.280 --> 0:37:29.239
<v Speaker 1>that each of you are watching most closely. So I'm

0:37:29.280 --> 0:37:32.440
<v Speaker 1>watching which percentage of these chargers are actually going to

0:37:32.520 --> 0:37:34.680
<v Speaker 1>end up being superchargers. What will be the one thing

0:37:34.800 --> 0:37:37.560
<v Speaker 1>that you're most intrigued by at this point in time

0:37:37.760 --> 0:37:39.600
<v Speaker 1>and kind of keeping your ear to the ground where

0:37:39.640 --> 0:37:42.000
<v Speaker 1>you don't know if there is an answer yet.

0:37:42.040 --> 0:37:44.160
<v Speaker 3>How many charges actually go in from each of these

0:37:44.200 --> 0:37:45.880
<v Speaker 3>companies saying they going to put charges in?

0:37:46.000 --> 0:37:48.720
<v Speaker 2>Oh right, And I think for me, I'm most curious

0:37:48.760 --> 0:37:53.000
<v Speaker 2>to see if Tesla successfully finishes that certification process without

0:37:53.000 --> 0:37:56.800
<v Speaker 2>any hiccups. And if automakers fully switch with only a

0:37:56.880 --> 0:37:59.759
<v Speaker 2>NAX connector and once they're moving away from adapters, or

0:37:59.760 --> 0:38:02.440
<v Speaker 2>if they choose to both live in CCS world and

0:38:02.520 --> 0:38:04.960
<v Speaker 2>knocks at the same time by even having two adapters

0:38:05.000 --> 0:38:07.879
<v Speaker 2>on each vehicle, both are potential pathways for them to take.

0:38:07.960 --> 0:38:09.680
<v Speaker 2>But I'm curious to see if they're really all in

0:38:09.719 --> 0:38:10.200
<v Speaker 2>on TESLA.

0:38:10.320 --> 0:38:11.799
<v Speaker 1>All right, well, let's keep an eye on all of

0:38:11.800 --> 0:38:22.240
<v Speaker 1>the above. Thanks for joining today, Thanks Dana, Thanks Tana.

0:38:23.640 --> 0:38:26.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg NEF is a service provided by Bloomberg Finance LP

0:38:27.160 --> 0:38:30.560
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0:38:30.560 --> 0:38:34.600
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0:38:34.640 --> 0:38:38.200
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0:38:38.239 --> 0:38:41.719
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0:38:45.480 --> 0:38:48.960
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0:39:08.600 --> 0:39:08.640
<v Speaker 3>H