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Speaker 1: Happy Friday, guys, what's up? Welcome into another episode of

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast, being brought to you by Omaha

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Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com. I'm your host, Matt Perult, with you

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Speaker 1: every single morning. You guys can follow me on socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt and Omaha Steaks underway right now

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Speaker 1: Olmaha stakes dot Com. All right, a lot of action,

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Speaker 1: small profit point three. I'll take it. It's better than

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Speaker 1: losing money. But we didn't really win a lot of

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Speaker 1: money there. The over bet was the killer for the

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Speaker 1: football game in college. Never wasn't over. That was always

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Speaker 1: going to be an under, big win. And we told

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Speaker 1: you about the eleven and oh road record for Georgia

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Speaker 1: State ats that holds now twelve and oh. Mark on

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Speaker 1: that Georgia State on the road. Mark that little thing down.

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Speaker 1: They're twelve and oh ats their last twelve games on

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Speaker 1: the road till the next time Georgia State plays at home.

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Speaker 1: May want to be betting on Georgia State to cover

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Speaker 1: the spread. So lost there, same game teaser comes in.

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Speaker 1: That's good and we get baseball, right, that was good.

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Speaker 1: We split on the props, not great, but because we

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Speaker 1: bet a plus one fourteen on Daniel Jones, it was

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Speaker 1: a zero loss because we got Deebo Samuel over fifty

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Speaker 1: three and a half yards receiving. So to give you

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Speaker 1: a little bit of an accounting as to where we

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Speaker 1: are right now in Major League Baseball, this is insane.

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Speaker 1: I am one nineteen and one to eleven. That is up.

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Speaker 1: I'm up eight games, eight wins, I'm up over five hundred,

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Speaker 1: but I'm down because of the juice. I'm down point

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Speaker 1: five to nine units, basically point six through the whole season.

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Speaker 1: That is a grind. As I mentioned, though, if I

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Speaker 1: get to the end of Major League Baseball and I

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Speaker 1: haven't lost money, I don't care what the profit is.

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Speaker 1: It's a monumental success if we get to the end

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Speaker 1: of baseball and we're almost there without losing any money.

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Speaker 1: So got one baseball play today. I got two college

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Speaker 1: football bets for using. College football is now seventeen and eleven,

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Speaker 1: so it's not bad there. We are eight and eleven

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Speaker 1: on the NFL. Not great. It's always that way. It's

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Speaker 1: so frustrating. You're either winning a lot in college or

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Speaker 1: losing a lot in college, or winning a lot in

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Speaker 1: the NFL or losing a lot in the NFL. It

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Speaker 1: is so hard to be good in both at the

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Speaker 1: same time. It's a weird thing with betting. It's just

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Speaker 1: you see one better than the other for whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: and then it flips. Then you know, we'll get to

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Speaker 1: week whatever, seven, eight, nine to ten of the NFL

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Speaker 1: and college will be super difficult and will be cashing

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Speaker 1: with the NFL. It's just it's very interesting how that

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Speaker 1: whole thing works out. But right now we're up in

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Speaker 1: college down in the NFL. Kind of a wash there,

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Speaker 1: and we're literally a wash with props. We're seven and

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Speaker 1: seven flat for prop betting here for us in the

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Speaker 1: NFL to start the twenty twenty three season on this week,

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Speaker 1: we are down one unit flat one unit. We've won

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Speaker 1: two point three, we've lost three point three. Friday, Saturday Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Obviously we start to open up a little bit, start

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Speaker 1: betting more, start betting more things. We got a lot

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Speaker 1: coming up on Saturday, another monster card we're already in

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Speaker 1: with Notre Dame plus three against Ohio State at home.

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Speaker 1: Sprinkle money line. Okay, whenever we are talking about taking dogs,

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Speaker 1: we're taking a sprinkle on the money line, not a lot.

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Speaker 1: Normally it's ten percent of the overall bet so we

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Speaker 1: bet one hundred dollars. You're taking ten bucks and putting

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Speaker 1: it on the money line just because, Okay, whatever your

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Speaker 1: one unit. If it's a ten dollars bet, it's a

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Speaker 1: one dollar unit bet on if your book will take

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Speaker 1: it on the money line. Here is a tweet from

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Speaker 1: Chris Filika, the Bear now at Fox Sports. This is

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Speaker 1: the eighth time in the last ten years Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: has been a home underdog. The Fighting Irish have won

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Speaker 1: six of the previous seven, including two wins over top

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Speaker 1: five Clemson teams. This is the first time under Ryan Day,

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Speaker 1: Ohio State will play a regular He's in game with

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Speaker 1: a spread of six points or fewer. Think about that.

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Speaker 1: This is uncharted territory for Ohio State. Irish plus three

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Speaker 1: already met that. We bet that yesterday in Keise. You

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Speaker 1: missed the podcast yesterday. That's a play for Saturday. What

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Speaker 1: are the plays for tonight? Well, let's talk baseball. First

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Speaker 1: and foremost. Orioles at Cleveland. Total is eight open at

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Speaker 1: seven and a half, went to eight very quickly, one

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Speaker 1: point one units down. We're betting the over. Why Well,

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Speaker 1: it's Shane Biever's first start for the Cleveland Guardians since

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Speaker 1: the ninth of July. He's been hurt. Who knows what

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Speaker 1: he'll look like? Okay, this oriol team is not exactly

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Speaker 1: an easy team to come back against. The Orioles are

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Speaker 1: forty four twenty nine to five to the over on

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Speaker 1: the road. That is the fifth best record to an

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Speaker 1: over in Major League Baseball. Cleveland is dead last at

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Speaker 1: home two overs. I get the reason why the line

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Speaker 1: is eight Okay, but there's a push potential there with

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Speaker 1: eight over seven and a half. Kramer's going Dean Kramer's

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Speaker 1: going for the Orioles. He's got a three point five

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Speaker 1: to one earned run average on the road, two sixty

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Speaker 1: six opposing batting average. But seven straight games, sorry, nine

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Speaker 1: straight games started by Dean Kremer have had seven or

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Speaker 1: more totals in them. Okay, totals eight, But if we

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Speaker 1: get to eight, we keep the streak alive, we'll at

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Speaker 1: least push and maybe we'll wind up winning this. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna fade somebody who hasn't pitched in a

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Speaker 1: long time. And the Orioles need this. Okay. The Orioles

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Speaker 1: are trying to win the American League East, and the

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Speaker 1: Orioles have a chance to do it because the Rays

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Speaker 1: have to play the Blue Jays for a three game series.

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Speaker 1: Not easy, because the Blue Jays need it. They're chasing

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Speaker 1: the Orioles, not really the Orioles, but the Rays for

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Speaker 1: that final wildcard spot. Okay, the wildcard standings are really

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Speaker 1: interesting in both leagues. But I think we have a

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Speaker 1: chance to jump on this offense here. I like the

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Speaker 1: Orioles to win the game as well, if you don't

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Speaker 1: want to screw around with the total and just take

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Speaker 1: and say, okay, we're going to go with a W

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Speaker 1: and take the Orioles to win the game. I don't

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Speaker 1: mind that. But Dean Kremer's not been great. That's a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a fear factor I've got for him

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Speaker 1: with the games he's pitched. Well, that's not true, that's

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Speaker 1: a lie. Sorry, he's won five straight starts. That's not bad.

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Speaker 1: You can bet that too. I'll just bet the over.

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Speaker 1: The price on this is not exactly where I love

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Speaker 1: it for this game, to be quite honest, so I

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Speaker 1: think it's expensive. I'd rather just lay the mice one

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Speaker 1: ten than come up with the line and say, okay,

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Speaker 1: I want to lay sixty five, seventy five whatever this

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Speaker 1: line winds up closing it. Let's see where that line

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Speaker 1: is at the moment. I believe there's a reason why

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Speaker 1: I didn't like it and I took the over instead.

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Speaker 1: But now that I'm looking at this and I'm taping it,

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Speaker 1: I want to see where, uh where the number is

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Speaker 1: for this for the Orioles. Orioles are a okay, there

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Speaker 1: might is one to fifteen. I don't mind that you

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Speaker 1: can take that. I'm still taking the over, but I

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Speaker 1: don't mind that you can take the Orioles to win

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Speaker 1: the game. Again, I don't know what Shane Bieber's will

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Speaker 1: look like, you know, to be quite honest, So that

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Speaker 1: price is a little surprising though. I mean at one fifteen,

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Speaker 1: that's that's low. I'll just go ahead and bet the

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Speaker 1: over and just maybe we get into a into a

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Speaker 1: mash fest and it's a five to four game type

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Speaker 1: of situation. One of the teams win and rather just

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Speaker 1: have offense anything else, I've already bet it, so I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna run with it. Over eight one point one units

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Speaker 1: over eight Cleveland and the Orioles here and just the

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Speaker 1: bullpens and whatever else not get in who's gonna win.

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Speaker 1: Let's just get with offense here over eight Orioles at Cleveland. Okay,

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Speaker 1: bet number two. Let's go to college football. Air Force, Man.

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Speaker 1: I like air Force. We faded them against Utah State

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Speaker 1: last week and I watched the game and I was like,

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Speaker 1: this air Force team can maul people. I really like

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Speaker 1: what air Force looks like on offense and on defense.

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Speaker 1: So air Force as a team that covered for the

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Speaker 1: first time this season, last week, air Force is face

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Speaker 1: facing San Jose State, who got run over by you

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Speaker 1: by Oregon State. If remember we took San Jose State

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Speaker 1: up against Oregon State. We watched that game. They couldn't

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Speaker 1: stop them. Oregon State ran the ball straight down their throat.

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Speaker 1: This is a big problem. Four point eight yards per

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Speaker 1: rush for the Air Force. For the Eagles, right, Air

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Speaker 1: Force Eagles, right, they are top fifty in the country.

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Speaker 1: Rush offense up against a rush defense that's giving up

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Speaker 1: five point eight yards per game. That's outside of the

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Speaker 1: top one hundred in college football. That is no Boyne

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Speaker 1: against an Air Force team that just wants to roll

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Speaker 1: and run you down. And the other new thing for

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Speaker 1: both Air Force, Army and Navy this year they throw

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Speaker 1: right now. Average pass play yards per completion number one

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Speaker 1: of the country. Air Force fourteen yards per pass play

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Speaker 1: high air Force defense because well, the never on the field,

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Speaker 1: because air Force keeps track of the football. It's all

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Speaker 1: ball control. The other team's offense never really gets it.

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Speaker 1: They are twelve sorry, they've given up twelve points per game,

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Speaker 1: that's number and only three point four yards per play.

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Speaker 1: Three point four yards per play is number one in

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Speaker 1: the country. They're always fresh, They're always running around. This

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Speaker 1: air Force team is really difficult to deal with. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the six points here air Force minus six

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Speaker 1: up against San Jose State. I think we see a

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Speaker 1: win in a cover. This game might get out of hand.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this could be a double digit win easy.

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Speaker 1: I know it's on the road here for air Force,

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Speaker 1: but I like Air Force a lot. I like the

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Speaker 1: way this team looks a lot. I think they run

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Speaker 1: the ball. They cover the six points air Force minus

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Speaker 1: six for one point one units and the third bet

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Speaker 1: of the night, Boise is traveling to San Diego to

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Speaker 1: take on San Diego State. It's the Mountain West Conference

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Speaker 1: opener for both teams. Oh boy, this is gonna be fun.

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Speaker 1: One late night, seven thirty Pacific times start. Actually, the

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Speaker 1: air Force and s Jose both are late night. Both

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Speaker 1: of them are ten thirty Eastern times starts. So go

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Speaker 1: to the bar, have fun, come home, watch your games.

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Speaker 1: The San Diego State Aztex catching six and a half

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Speaker 1: points opened at seven down six and a half at home.

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Speaker 1: San Jose State is a difficult opponent at home, in

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Speaker 1: particular when they play Boise. This is a cool stat

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Speaker 1: San Jose State, Sorry, sorry, San Diego State. San Diego

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Speaker 1: State is the only group of five team with a

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Speaker 1: winning record over Boise State with a minimum of eight

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Speaker 1: games played. Brady hop does a really good job of

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Speaker 1: coaching these guys up. A couple of things to notice

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Speaker 1: in this game that could lead to a victory outright

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Speaker 1: for San Diego State. They are forty eight and three

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Speaker 1: under Brady Hoak when they win the turnover battle seventeen straight.

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Speaker 1: When they win the turnover battle they had won before

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Speaker 1: last week when they lost to Oregon State, they won

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Speaker 1: the turnover battle if they lost the game to Oregon State.

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Speaker 1: San Diego State is number two in the country in

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Speaker 1: interceptions so far this year, they have eight picks. That

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Speaker 1: is not good for Boise who typically wants to throw

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Speaker 1: the football. You've got an opportunity to back a team

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Speaker 1: with better special teams this Jake Browning kid the kicker

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Speaker 1: and the punter, the Mountain West preseason Special Teams Player

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Speaker 1: of the Year. Fifty yard plus range, which is great.

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Speaker 1: Taking a dog at home with a chance to kick

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Speaker 1: fifty yard field goals is great for keeping a game close.

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Speaker 1: He can booty. He's already hit one this year from

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Speaker 1: beyond fifty. The kicker is a legit weapon and a

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Speaker 1: punter two for that matter. He can pin the posing

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Speaker 1: offenses deep in their own ends. Love this hook for

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Speaker 1: San Diego State to have this kid out there to

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Speaker 1: really come in. Last year was the thirty five to

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Speaker 1: twenty two loss for San Diego State at Boise, But

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Speaker 1: they shut out Boise in the first half and then

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Speaker 1: completely collapsed leave up thirty five points in the second half,

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Speaker 1: lost the game thirty five to twenty two. They were

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Speaker 1: up twenty two nothing at half time and they lost

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Speaker 1: thirty five to twenty two. It' wow, like, what is that? Okay?

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Speaker 1: So just lack of execution fell apart on the road.

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Speaker 1: Tough place to play in Idaho, but this is now

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Speaker 1: at their place. They were picked second by most in

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Speaker 1: the Mountain West. Some people have them third to one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fourth, but pretty much the San Diego Aztecs

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Speaker 1: were expected to be a very competitive team in the

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Speaker 1: Mountain West Conference this season. That means you protect your

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Speaker 1: home field. I like the home dog here. San Diego

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Speaker 1: State plus six and a half totally these games forty

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Speaker 1: six and forty five and a half for Air Force

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Speaker 1: Sannesday State and Boise San Diego State, not many, not

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Speaker 1: much offense, but a goo opportunity to take a running

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Speaker 1: team like air Force to lay just win by a touchdown,

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Speaker 1: and to take six and a half for San Diego

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Speaker 1: State at home up against Boise State. Okay, so three

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Speaker 1: bets for us here on a Friday, three point three

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Speaker 1: units play here. Heading towards the weekend, we already have

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Speaker 1: a bet in for Saturday. We'll have a lot more

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Speaker 1: coming on Saturday, four or five wagers coming. On Friday.

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Speaker 1: We're going over eight Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians at

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Speaker 1: one point one units. We're going Air Force minus six

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Speaker 1: on the road at San Jose State for one point

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Speaker 1: one units, and we're taking San Diego State at home

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Speaker 1: catching six and a half up against Boise States. All right,

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Speaker 1: I like where we are right now. I like the rhythm.

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Speaker 1: I like what's going on. I like the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: Remember to get your picks in for our daily Juice

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Speaker 1: Splash Sports pick contest. Too Wrong is the most so

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Speaker 1: far through two weeks twelve and two. That's the leader leaders.

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Speaker 1: Seven of you, I believe are at twelve and two.

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Speaker 1: Keep that rolling. We'll watch and see how you guys,

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Speaker 1: do who winds up winning the money? Right now, seven

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Speaker 1: people would split over one thousand dollars. Not bad for

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Speaker 1: our fifty bucks investment picking games straight up against the spread.

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Speaker 1: So we'll watch that, get your picks in, enjoy it,

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Speaker 1: have some fun. I'll talk to you in the discord channel.

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com. Slash chat is our discord channel. Be

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Speaker 1: a part of it. Come on in watch games with

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Speaker 1: us here on a Friday night. Three bets going. If

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Speaker 1: I add anything, I'll let you know. Probably not on

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Speaker 1: a Friday, but big Saturday and Sunday to come. My

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Speaker 1: n's Matt Paroletz following me on all socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt each and every morning. The Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by Omaha Steakes dot com