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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Wednesday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daly Juice Podcast with me

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across

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Speaker 1: all socials. Thanks for all the hate messages. I appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: I deserve it. Not good. This has been a rough

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Speaker 1: run here, one in three yesterday. No more parlays. I

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Speaker 1: am done. I'm gonna live by my own advice here.

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Speaker 1: Parlays are stupid and dumb and not good. Dallas hit

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Speaker 1: again twenty three of twenty four second period overs for Dallas,

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Speaker 1: but Ottowe and Pittsburgh Nope. Should have just laid the juice.

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Speaker 1: It was minus one sixty six. I should have just

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Speaker 1: laid it, but I was afraid to do it because

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Speaker 1: I've been so cold scared money that doesn't make money

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Speaker 1: as they call it, as they say, And that's exactly

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Speaker 1: what happened yesterday because that shit on. I'm been a

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Speaker 1: parlay tried to get the plus one fifty one. And

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Speaker 1: that's why the books love parlays, because you handicap it

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Speaker 1: right and then you make it doubly hard for yourself

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Speaker 1: and you lose. We got the win, the craziest win, yesterday.

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Speaker 1: The craziest win yesterday with Stonybrook. Did you see that

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Speaker 1: line move? I took seven, game closed ten, everyone was

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Speaker 1: on Charleston. Game went to overtime. I'm like, oh, yeah,

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Speaker 1: here we go. We're gonna go over four in the day.

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Speaker 1: Got it in overtime. They lost by three. Not bad there. Cincinnati, well,

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Speaker 1: I took them plus four in game, so I made

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Speaker 1: up a little bit. And this is one of those

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Speaker 1: things where I don't want to promote my other stuff,

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Speaker 1: but like if you're watching my other show, The Bostonian

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Speaker 1: Versus the Book, when these games are going on live,

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Speaker 1: you get in game bets. Like if you are curious,

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Speaker 1: you can come over and you can watch that show,

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Speaker 1: and then we're doing it live. And when the games

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Speaker 1: are going going on during this week, it's not a

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Speaker 1: horrible time to hop in if you want to see

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Speaker 1: what I'm gonna bet. You know, I got out of

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Speaker 1: that bet for Cincinnati, so I made up for it

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Speaker 1: because I took plus four. They won the game. They

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Speaker 1: came all the way back. I didn't take money line

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Speaker 1: and took plus four when they were down I think

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Speaker 1: they were around like thirteen in second half. They rallied

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Speaker 1: big time against West Virginia won the game, didn't cover

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Speaker 1: the ten, but I made up for that. So you know,

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Speaker 1: people often say, like, we don't believe you, Well go

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Speaker 1: back and watch BVB yesterday and you can see it.

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Speaker 1: I said, take sincey plus four. So but you know,

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Speaker 1: I made up. So I went two and three on

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Speaker 1: the day, obviously down, but not as down as big

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Speaker 1: as the official because I made up for it with

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Speaker 1: the live wagering merrimack man bummer on merrimack. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I thought, at home, Wagner, this has been the day

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Speaker 1: in the so far, it's all about dogs. Saint Mary's

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Speaker 1: was the biggest contrarian play of anyone. I I didn't

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Speaker 1: bet it. I should have. I told you I was

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Speaker 1: bet I told people I did contrarian play. I love

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Speaker 1: contrarion plays. Saint Mary's Wagner, I mean stony Brook covering

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Speaker 1: I think, I think the other crazy runs we've seen

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Speaker 1: here so far, with some of these mid to smaller

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Speaker 1: level tournaments. I mean, Drake right, it's just been dog dog,

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Speaker 1: dog dog. It's been a dog run here. Big time.

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Speaker 1: Be careful laying points right now. This is not the time.

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Speaker 1: These numbers are super sharp the books are crushing the

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Speaker 1: gamblers right now, I mean the public and the pros,

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Speaker 1: everyone I'm talking to. I mean, I'm not the only

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Speaker 1: one getting housed here. Okay. Yes, I'm in a unique

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Speaker 1: spot because I'm getting housed a lot. But it's interesting.

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Speaker 1: This is really hard, Okay. And I got two college

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Speaker 1: basketball bets. I have one NBA play for US here today,

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Speaker 1: Shooters shoot, we keep firing. If you want to fade

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Speaker 1: every one of these bets, you would have gone three

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Speaker 1: and one yesterday and you would have felt really good

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Speaker 1: about yourself. I didn't do the player props yesterday. I'll

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Speaker 1: do it on Friday. I didn't do it yesterday because

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Speaker 1: I've been doing this phase two of the hard seventy

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Speaker 1: five and yesterday was the last day. And essentially I

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Speaker 1: decided to kill myself yesterday, and so for the last

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Speaker 1: day I did. I have this twenty five pound weighted

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Speaker 1: vest that I wear when I was called rucksacking. If

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Speaker 1: you're in the military, you know what that is. So

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Speaker 1: I mean rocksacking. Most guys are doing rocksacks at fifty

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Speaker 1: seventy five pounds. I do twenty five. So I'm not

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Speaker 1: even close to what the real guys are doing in

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Speaker 1: the military, but it just makes you work way harder

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Speaker 1: when you're walking. So I did two point three miles.

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Speaker 1: I walked to the gym two point three miles wearing

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Speaker 1: the vest. Then I lifted for forty five minutes. Then

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Speaker 1: I went in the sauna for twenty minutes, and then

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Speaker 1: I walked two point three miles home. Took me about

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Speaker 1: two and a half hours. I came home and just

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Speaker 1: passed out. I was absolutely exhausted. Still, they burned a

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Speaker 1: thousand calories in about two hours to kind of put

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Speaker 1: a fishing touch on my hard thirty Phase two. That's

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Speaker 1: over now, Okay, so Friday back to NBA player props.

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Speaker 1: I won't be doing two workouts a day now, so

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Speaker 1: I'll have some more time to guarantee when I say

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna get the player props in, I'll get them

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Speaker 1: in from here on out. So I do apologize for

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Speaker 1: saying I was gonna do something and then not doing it.

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Speaker 1: That's on me. That's bad form, that's bad hosting. Okay, sorry,

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Speaker 1: my bad on that. I will try because you probably

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Speaker 1: wanted to fade the bets and that wouldn't have been

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Speaker 1: angry with you if you did so, still a plenty

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Speaker 1: of time and turn the week around Monday Tuesday, losing

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Speaker 1: Wednesday on. Let's see what we can do here as

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Speaker 1: we head into conference tournament weekend. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by Omaha Steaks dot com. The URLs olmahs

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Speaker 1: steaks dot com slash juice. You guys will go there.

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Speaker 1: olmah steaks dot com slash juice. Okay, let's start in

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Speaker 1: the Big twelve. Let's start with Central Florida against BYU.

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Speaker 1: This is gonna be an awesome game. Opened up at

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Speaker 1: five and a half, was bet to six. Central Florida

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Speaker 1: nineteen and twelve on the year ats thirteen and six

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Speaker 1: in the Big twelve. We've been doubting Central Florida for

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Speaker 1: the whole year. Everyone's been doubting them. These are two

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Speaker 1: brand new teams who are in the Big twelve. Central

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Speaker 1: Florida yesterday beat Oklahoma State by fifteen points. That's the

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Speaker 1: same team that BYU beat in their last regular season game.

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Speaker 1: They won that game by fourteen. In the games against UCF,

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Speaker 1: it was a two point win at home for BYU,

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Speaker 1: and on the road they won by five. This number

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Speaker 1: is now six. Three straight covers for Central Florida, four

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Speaker 1: straight covers for BYU, seven and three over their last

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Speaker 1: ten ats for Central Florida BYU, five and five, seven

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Speaker 1: and six away from home for UCF, six and seven

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Speaker 1: for by you. This number being six, Look, I think

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Speaker 1: it really helps for Central Florida to play here. And

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Speaker 1: I'm looking for dogs, and I'm looking for two possession

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Speaker 1: or higher type numbers, and I think there are. This

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Speaker 1: is one of those games where I think Central Florida

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Speaker 1: can make a run. I know a lot of people

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Speaker 1: like BYU, and I could be dead wrong. If BYU

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Speaker 1: hits their threes, forget it, the game's over and it's

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Speaker 1: a bad bet. Okay, straight up. I mean BYU gets

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Speaker 1: forty one percent of their their points from behind the

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Speaker 1: three point line. That's number two in the country. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's more than the Creton Blue Jays. However, Central Florida

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Speaker 1: is not horrible at three point defense. They're one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fourteenth thirty two point seven percent. They're twenty fourth

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Speaker 1: in two point percentage. And we know that BYU doesn't

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Speaker 1: go and do a ton with two point shots. They

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Speaker 1: only get forty four percent of their points with two

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Speaker 1: point shots. But this is a neutral site in Kansas City,

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Speaker 1: and Central Florida's played on this court. BYU has not.

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Speaker 1: This is a make or miss game. Look, I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the six. I will look to bet this in game. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is an early start. It's an eleven thirty Central

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Speaker 1: time start in Kansas City, twelve thirty. This is early. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you're going to play early in the morning. Jump Shots

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Speaker 1: sometimes don't fall for a jump shot shooting team. Okay,

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Speaker 1: maybe you get out there Central Florida. Defensively, look offensively,

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Speaker 1: they're not great. Okay, the under is in play in

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Speaker 1: this game one hundred percent, but I'm afraid to bet

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Speaker 1: the under because it BYU is red hot. You're it's dead, like,

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Speaker 1: forget it and they'll blast through the total and we'll

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Speaker 1: be going, man, how did we know? Why did we

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Speaker 1: bet the under in this game? It's an early game.

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Speaker 1: But if they blast it, I mean forget it. On

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Speaker 1: the road. BYU five and eight to the r eight

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Speaker 1: and five to the under, but Central Florida eight four

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Speaker 1: and one to the over. Away from home. The first

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Speaker 1: game between these two teams was ninety to eighty eight

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Speaker 1: one forty three and a half. Sorry I was the

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Speaker 1: second game. First game was one forty six, went under

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Speaker 1: by twenty five points. Second game was one forty three

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Speaker 1: and a half. They adjusted it went over by thirty

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Speaker 1: four and a half points. So they've played two different styles,

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Speaker 1: one game when threes did not fall and one games

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Speaker 1: when threes did fall, but UCF kept up pace at both.

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Speaker 1: In both games they kept pace. So I leaned towards

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Speaker 1: the under because of the start time, but the three

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Speaker 1: point shooting scares the heck out of me. I'm just well,

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Speaker 1: I'm more likely to take the dog here. I like

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Speaker 1: the dog. I like Central Florida at plus six. They've

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Speaker 1: played yesterday BYU again make or miss. They were nineteen

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Speaker 1: and twelve overall this year, but they were eight and

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Speaker 1: ten in the Big twelve at They have been there

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Speaker 1: four and one though over their last five games on

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Speaker 1: the road, they covered against Iowa State on the road,

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Speaker 1: they beat Kansas by eight catching as plus eight point dogs.

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Speaker 1: Everybody was like, Wow, that was the game where they

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Speaker 1: came from behind down at the break. They snapped the

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Speaker 1: home win streak for Kansas BYU is good. There's no

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Speaker 1: debating it. But I think UCF defensively in tournament settings

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Speaker 1: early game, I'm gonna take the defensive team versus the

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Speaker 1: jump shooting team, Central Florida plus six for one point

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Speaker 1: one units. Once again, I am ice cold. Okay, if

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Speaker 1: you want to fade these bets, I'm not gonna hate

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Speaker 1: you at all on this, but I'm taking plus six

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Speaker 1: for Central Florida. Bet number two Missouri and Georgia night

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Speaker 1: game in the SEC. It is an eight point thirty sorry,

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Speaker 1: nine to thirty Eastern time tip eight thirty tip in

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Speaker 1: Nashville from Bridgestone Arena. Missouri is the dog. Georgia is

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Speaker 1: laying three. These two teams straight up away from home suck.

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Speaker 1: Missouri was two and twelve straight up away from home.

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Speaker 1: Georgia was four and nine. The difference is how these

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Speaker 1: teams fared against the number. Georgia was sixteen, fourteen and one. Overall.

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Speaker 1: They were eleven and seven ats on the year in

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Speaker 1: the SEC. On the year, Missouri was nine and twenty

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Speaker 1: two ATS. In five and thirteen five and thirteen ats

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Speaker 1: in the SEC. These teams played once, but it was

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Speaker 1: a while ago. Was back on the sixth of January,

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Speaker 1: a seven point win for Georgia on the road, they

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Speaker 1: beat Missouri. Missouri at home was three and fourteen ats

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Speaker 1: this year at home that it was horrific. On the

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Speaker 1: road they were better. They were six and eight on

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Speaker 1: the road. But this team hasn't won a basketball game

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Speaker 1: since they beat Central Georgia Central Arkansas, excuse me, by

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Speaker 1: thirty three points on the thirtieth of December. They didn't

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Speaker 1: win a single SEC game. They were winless in the SEC.

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Speaker 1: Now we're going to a tournament game and Missouri's gonna win.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is this is an absolute test for

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Speaker 1: how cold I am. If Georgia can't cover this three

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Speaker 1: point line, you know how ice cold I am. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is just ridiculous. Georgia absolutely should cover this number,

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Speaker 1: should cover this LSU. They lost by four on their

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Speaker 1: last game on the road, they caught seven. But I mean,

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Speaker 1: you just go through this entire stretch. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: lost every single game. The closest game they lost was

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Speaker 1: three points on the road to Ole, miss That was

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Speaker 1: back on the seventeenth of February. That was the lowest,

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Speaker 1: lost by two at home to South Carolina. Okay, there

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Speaker 1: you go, so they did lose by two, but every

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Speaker 1: other game was twenty seven to Auburn, six to Ole,

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Speaker 1: miss nine to Florida, fifteen to Arkansas, five to Tennessee three,

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Speaker 1: minut Ole miss twenty four to Missisi State, nineteen to

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Speaker 1: text A and M seven to Vanderbilt seven, Arkansas eight,

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Speaker 1: South Carolina six A and M twelve Florida eighteen, Alabama

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Speaker 1: thirteen Kentucky. If I'm wrong here, if Georgia can't cover

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Speaker 1: the three point number and Missouri wins this game, or

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Speaker 1: they when they lose by two or one, I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is an absolute test as to how cold I

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Speaker 1: actually am taking a team hasn't won a single game

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Speaker 1: in the SEC this year. You can go money line

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Speaker 1: if you want. I mean, if you want to say, Matt,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to touch the spread. I want to

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Speaker 1: go and lay money line. I don't mean I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna hate on it. I don't love it, but I

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Speaker 1: don't hate it either. For a price, you can get

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Speaker 1: a most books are gonna give you MICEE one fifty

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Speaker 1: somewhere with that range. So you can lay one fifty

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Speaker 1: if you want to say, I'm taking Georgia to win,

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Speaker 1: and I don't want to play around with three points, don't.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate that, but I'll just lay. The three

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Speaker 1: number is creeping up at certain books, Circus at three

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Speaker 1: and a half, DRAFTKNS, at three and a half, three

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Speaker 1: at the Super Book, three at South point three at Caesars.

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Speaker 1: I got it at three Georgia minus three for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. Okay, two college plays Central Florida early

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Speaker 1: plus six Georgia minus three late. If I add anything,

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you about it. I'll oh, there's one play

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Speaker 1: if you want it. How in the world Rutgers in

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Speaker 1: Maryland is? Their total is one twenty five, one twenty five.

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Speaker 1: I know these are complete under teams. I know both

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Speaker 1: times they played and went under. I get all of that.

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Speaker 1: Ken Palm has it as a one to twenty total.

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Speaker 1: I get that, But like just a straight principal play

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Speaker 1: in college basketball, I mean, it's a three point thirty

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Speaker 1: start time in Minneapolis. Uh over, one twenty five. That

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Speaker 1: number is too low for any give for college sports.

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Speaker 1: That's too low. One twenty five college basketball. Oh my,

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Speaker 1: that's crazy. That's just a straight principal play. It's not official,

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Speaker 1: but if you looking for something else, Rutgers in Maryland

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Speaker 1: over at one twenty five, it's going to be a sweat.

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Speaker 1: You be pulling your hair out. But I don't under

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Speaker 1: stand that total is so low. Open to one twenty

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Speaker 1: six and bet down to one twenty five. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I think the over is to play in that game,

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Speaker 1: but not official. Okay. One NBA play two thirty seven

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Speaker 1: Golden State in Dallas two thirty seven, So Golden State

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Speaker 1: Warriors on the year thirty two and thirty two flat,

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Speaker 1: same with Dallas thirty two and thirty two against the West.

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Speaker 1: Golden State is twenty one and eighteen to the over,

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Speaker 1: Dallas twenty eighteen and one to the under. Last ten

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Speaker 1: games for the Golden State Warriors eight and two to

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Speaker 1: the under, last ten for Dallas five and five. Golden

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Speaker 1: State is eighteen and twelve to the under. On the road,

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Speaker 1: Dallas is nineteen and fifteen to the under at home.

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Speaker 1: Both teams went under in their last game. But get this.

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Speaker 1: On the road for the Golden State Warriors San Antonio

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Speaker 1: under by eleven and a half, Boston under by three,

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Speaker 1: Toronto under by twelve and half, New York under by

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half, Washington under by ten and a half.

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Speaker 1: Those are five games on the road. The last five

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Speaker 1: games for the Warriors have all gone under and under

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Speaker 1: by a ways. Sure, the Boston total went under by

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Speaker 1: three points, bit of a sweat, that's the game. They

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Speaker 1: gave up one hundred and forty points to Boston and

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Speaker 1: the game still went under on the flip side. At home,

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Speaker 1: last home game against Miami went under by nine points

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Speaker 1: for Dallas. The Indiana game did go over, but we're

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Speaker 1: not betting unders involving Indiana ever again. At home against

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia went under by two points at two thirty eight,

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Speaker 1: similar total to where we have here. It was a

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Speaker 1: one to twenty one sixteen total. One twenty one sixteen

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Speaker 1: final under by two points, against Phoenix under by eight

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Speaker 1: and a half points, San Antonio under by thirty five

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Speaker 1: and thirty four and a half points, and against Washington

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Speaker 1: under by thirty one and a half points. So the

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Speaker 1: last one, two, three, four, five, six six, So six

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Speaker 1: home games, last six home games, it's five and one

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Speaker 1: to the under for Dallas and the only home game

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Speaker 1: that went over was Indiana went over by nine points.

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Speaker 1: But that's Indiana, and we know how Indiana place right

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Speaker 1: up tempo flast, two teams, two guys, two teams that

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Speaker 1: could will want to run. So you get that that

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Speaker 1: total was two forty eight and it went over. This

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Speaker 1: total is two thirty seven, which is right in line

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Speaker 1: with what we've seen for games, you know, at home

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Speaker 1: here for the Dallas Mavericks and on the road for

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Speaker 1: the For the most part, this is actually a little

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Speaker 1: high from a total perspective involving the Warriors. Like the

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Speaker 1: last time it was two thirty seven and a half

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Speaker 1: went under by twelve and a half points on the

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Speaker 1: road against Toronto. Now against San Antonio was two twenty

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Speaker 1: five and a half game went under by eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half points. I'm betting the under. Whether who's playing

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Speaker 1: who's not, it doesn't matter to me a ton in

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Speaker 1: terms of who's available and who is not available. Steph

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Speaker 1: Curry is out. He will not play in this game.

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Speaker 1: So that's big for obviously the fence for the Warriors here. Uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, he he'll be out for a while, so

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Speaker 1: he won't play on Wednesday. So no Steph Curry that

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Speaker 1: helps the under under two thirty seven one point one

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Speaker 1: units Dallas and Golden State full card Central Florida plus

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Speaker 1: six Georgia minus three in the NBA Under two thirty

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Speaker 1: seven Golden State in Dallas. Yes, it's been cold. We

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Speaker 1: keep firing. Fadeaway if you want minus. Matt Peolt followed

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Speaker 1: me up. Well, that's all socials at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning, the Dili Jucee podcast was being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by Omaha stakes dot Com