1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 2: This is the Blueberg Day Bakut podcast. Good morning, It's Tuesday, 3 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 2: the twenty sixth of August. I'm Caroline Hepkeat in London and. 4 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 3: I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today. 5 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:21,240 Speaker 1: Donald Trump says he's firing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, 6 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 1: but she insists he has no power to do so 7 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:25,279 Speaker 1: and refuses to quit. 8 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,880 Speaker 2: French assets sell off as the country's prime minister calls 9 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 2: a confidence vote that may topple the government. 10 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 1: Plus the grass Isn't Always Greener? Why an artificial turf 11 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 1: producer encapsulates the US tariff pressures squeezing European firms. 12 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:42,599 Speaker 2: Let's start with the roundup of our top stories. 13 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: US President Donald Trump says he's firing Federal Reserve Governor 14 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: Lisa Cook. In a letter posted on truth Social he 15 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 1: said he had sufficient cause to remove her, citing allegations 16 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: she made false statements on mortgage loans. Cook has pushed back, 17 00:00:57,480 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: saying Trump has no authority to fire her and that 18 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 1: she will not step down. Her lawyers say the president's 19 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: move is illegal and vowed to take whatever actions are 20 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 1: needed to prevent it. Danielle di Martino Booth is a 21 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: former advisors the Dallas Fed. 22 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 3: Twelve months ago. 23 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 4: I would have never thought that I would have seen 24 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 4: this happen, much less see the head of the Bureau 25 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:19,479 Speaker 4: of Labor Statistics be called down from her post as well. 26 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 4: Everything right now makes us very nervous, including whether or 27 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 4: not there's a next person who mar or may not 28 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 4: be in the crosshairs. 29 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:31,039 Speaker 1: Danielle de Bertino Booth there who's now CEO of QI Research. 30 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 1: If he were to succeed, the move could give Trump 31 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: a chance to name someone to the FED board and 32 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: secure a four person majority on the Fed's seven member 33 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 1: Board of Governors. While a president has never removed a 34 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: FED governor from office, one can do so for cause. However, 35 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: according to Bloomberg Intelligence, the mere allegations of fraud are 36 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: likely insufficient to meet the four cause removal standard. 37 00:01:56,360 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 2: US President Donald Trump has threatened substantial new tari and 38 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 2: export controls on countries that impose a digital services tax 39 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 2: on American tech companies. In a social media post, Trump 40 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:14,080 Speaker 2: said that he would introduce export restrictions on highly protected 41 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 2: technology and chips unless the quote discriminatory measures are removed. 42 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 2: Polka Mishra, partner at Javelin Wealth Management, says the eventual 43 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 2: impact of the threat still isn't clear, so the thing. 44 00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:31,799 Speaker 5: It's still again about dealmaking. Canada did give in on 45 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 5: the digital tax, but Europe is holding firm. So we 46 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 5: feel that you can't make long term predictions based on 47 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:44,519 Speaker 5: a terror being announced or threatened now and then being 48 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 5: taken off again or some deal being struck. So I 49 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 5: still think that it's probably going to be again a negotiation, 50 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 5: some deals. 51 00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:54,519 Speaker 3: Being struck, but it's not going to. 52 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 5: Impact the EI rally or the EI story significantly. 53 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 2: Commissioner partner a Javelin Wealth Management, speaking there, JOHMP has 54 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 2: long argued that digital services taxes discriminate against US tech 55 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 2: jants but to European countries including France, Italy and the 56 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 2: UK have maintained their levees as international talks over how 57 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:21,920 Speaker 2: to more effectively tax multinational giants and a digital age continue. 58 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: French Prime Minister of France Barberoux has called a confidence 59 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: vote for the eighth of September that could topple the 60 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 1: country's government. The news prompted to sell off in French assets, 61 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,519 Speaker 1: with stocks falling and bond deal's rising speaking to reporters 62 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:37,279 Speaker 1: in Paris, Bayrou says the action was necessary. 63 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 6: This is why I asked the President to reconvene Parliament 64 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 6: in an extraordinary session on Monday, September eighth. I will 65 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 6: engage the government's responsibility on that day with the General 66 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 6: Policy Statement, in accordance with our constitution. This General Policy 67 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 6: Speech will pose the central question whether the danger to 68 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 6: the nation is serious, whether there is an emergent here not, 69 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 6: in order to choose a path to regain control of 70 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 6: our public finances. 71 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: Fantobarru they are speaking through a translator. France's far right 72 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: National Rally party, the leftist France Unbowed and the Greens 73 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 1: also they would vote against the motion, while the Socialists 74 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:16,720 Speaker 1: said they. 75 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 3: Wouldn't back the government. 76 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: If a majority of lawmakers fail to support Bayeru, he'll 77 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:23,159 Speaker 1: be forced to submit as government's resignation. 78 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 2: Here in the UK, grocery prices are accelerating as retailers 79 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 2: contend with poor harvests and higher operating costs. The rate 80 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 2: of food inflation hit four point two percent this month, 81 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 2: the highest level since February twenty twenty four, according to 82 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 2: the British Retail Consortium. Retailers have worn the price rises 83 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 2: could hit six percent by the end of the year 84 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:48,679 Speaker 2: as they contend with increase paywell taxes and a higher 85 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:52,679 Speaker 2: minimum wage. They are arguing and urging rather the government 86 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: not to raise taxes on retailers in the autumn budget. 87 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: Young people in the UK are facing the worst jobs 88 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:04,160 Speaker 1: markets the pandemic. Youth unemployment reached fourteen point one percent 89 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: in the three months to June, a two point rise 90 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 1: from pre COVID levels. Bloombergs James Walcock has more. 91 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:13,279 Speaker 7: First time job seekers are often the most vulnerable to 92 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 7: hiring freezes. After labour upped payroll taxes, employers are pausing 93 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 7: hiring to cope. That's according to job search website Adzuna, 94 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:24,719 Speaker 7: who say entry level roles now account for just a 95 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:28,480 Speaker 7: fifth of all vacancies. That's the lowest share since October 96 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:31,919 Speaker 7: twenty twenty and well below the post COVID average of 97 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 7: twenty seven percent. The drop comes as experts say AI 98 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 7: is starting to distort the jobs market, with entry level 99 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 7: roles being less sought after. 100 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 3: In London. James Wilcock Bloomberg Radio. 101 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 2: Elon Musk is suing Apple and Open AI, arguing that 102 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 2: the companies are harming consumers. The billionaire founder says that 103 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 2: Apple's decision to integrate to open Ai across iPhones is 104 00:05:55,480 --> 00:06:01,039 Speaker 2: thwarting competition from others like Musks, X and XAI. Bloomberg's 105 00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 2: Mark German says, the question is if Apple actually breached 106 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 2: antitrust rules. 107 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 8: Elon is right, they do give pretty hot promotion to 108 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 8: some of the other AI companies in the app store. 109 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:15,119 Speaker 8: They haven't done a lot of that promotion for Grock, 110 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 8: and so maybe we'll see more of that from Apple. 111 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,920 Speaker 8: But all in all, I find this lawsuit to be frivolous. 112 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 8: I don't personally consider it an anti trust situation, but 113 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 8: it's obviously not up to me to decide, and it 114 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 8: is a little surprising that Elon Musk actually went through 115 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 8: with this. 116 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 2: For Mark German, the case sets up a high stakes 117 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 2: legal battle between the richest person on the planet and 118 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 2: one of the world's most valuable companies. A spokesperson for 119 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 2: Open Ai told Bloomberg this latest filing is consistent with 120 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 2: mister Musk's ongoing pattern of harassment. 121 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 1: Those are your top stories on the markets. The Bloomberg 122 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 1: Dollar Spot Index a tenth of one percent weaker. The 123 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:56,479 Speaker 1: tenure Treasury yield up three basis points in trading this morning. 124 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,559 Speaker 1: Looking at the European session, we're going to be watching 125 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:01,919 Speaker 1: the euro currently a tenth of one percent stronger against 126 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 1: the dollar one sixteen thirty two, one sixteen thirty two. 127 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 3: This morning. 128 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 1: The catcrant in power has finished down one point six 129 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 1: percent yesterday, and European stock futures are pointing half a 130 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 1: percent lower for the Eurostox fifty today. 131 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 2: In a moment, we'll bring you details on President Trump's 132 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 2: escalating attack on the Federal Reserve and a special report 133 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 2: on the fallout of US tariffs on EU exporters. But 134 00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 2: another story is caught my eye this morning. This is 135 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 2: the new craze, what it's been going on for a 136 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 2: few months, but it's really crazier than ever. This is 137 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:39,239 Speaker 2: Le Boo Boo's pop marks, plush toys that are sold 138 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 2: in these mystery boxes. They're kind of blind boxes. They 139 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 2: are being bought, sold, resold for astronomic sums. 140 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 3: Yeah. 141 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: I mean, look, if you've managed to escape this trend 142 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: so far, I congratulate you for hiding on a corner 143 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: of the Internet that I certainly haven't found. 144 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 3: But look what I'm really interested. 145 00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 1: In the piece of that our collegues are written about this 146 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:01,040 Speaker 1: this morning is how it can pas too because there's 147 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: a lot of people join the comparison to beanie babies, 148 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: remember them? 149 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 3: Yes, is this the same as beanie babies? 150 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 1: Apparently a much faster and much more dramatic increases in 151 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: sales because that's the way the internet cycle works now. 152 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: But a lot of people who are buying and selling 153 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 1: them now. Because the story is a lot about the retail. 154 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: The resale is going on as well, and the secondary 155 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 1: market for lebubus. I don't think there's a ticker for 156 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 1: that yet, but we may have one a couple of weeks. 157 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: But the idea that people realize is something that's not 158 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,440 Speaker 1: going to last. This is not the buy keep for 159 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 1: twenty years and then buy a house sort of fantasies 160 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: that people had about beanie babies. 161 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:38,199 Speaker 3: No, but it's also. 162 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 2: About intellectual property, and it's interesting that this is a 163 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 2: Chinese cultural phenomenon that has actually broken through into Europe 164 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 2: and into the US. You know, is it a rival 165 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 2: to Disney. Look on the way back to London. I've 166 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 2: got on the plane with my kids and of course 167 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 2: the person in front of us in the queue had 168 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 2: a beautiful Louis Vuton bag with dangled Yeah. 169 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: Was it at a boobo or was it at aufu 170 00:09:04,280 --> 00:09:05,400 Speaker 1: which is a faker boo boo? 171 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 3: She even more of it anyway. 172 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 1: There's also some very interesting thoughts about how this isn't 173 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 1: necessarily a very deep trend. There isn't a huge market 174 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: behind it if you compar it to the likes of 175 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:17,040 Speaker 1: Nintendo's Pokemon as well. So that's a whole other question 176 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:19,720 Speaker 1: of kind of how you actually developed this into a market. 177 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:22,120 Speaker 1: A great deep dive into the business behind pop Martin 178 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:24,079 Speaker 1: the Boo Boos. You find it on Bloomberg dot com 179 00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 1: and we'll put a link to the article in our 180 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 1: podcast show notes as well. 181 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 2: Now, President Trump says that he has sufficient cause to 182 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 2: fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. In a statement, Cook 183 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 2: says Trump has no authority to do so and she 184 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:39,839 Speaker 2: won't quit. Joining us now to discuss is Blomboogs Chief 185 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,559 Speaker 2: Asia correspondent Roslyn matheson to talk about the story dominating 186 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:46,439 Speaker 2: this morning. Ros I think we should start just by 187 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 2: talking a bit about who Lisa Cook is and what 188 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 2: President Trump's allegations against her are. 189 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 9: As You're saying she serves on the seven member Board 190 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 9: of Governors, and they, alongside some of the Reserve Bank presidents, 191 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,959 Speaker 9: make up the FOMC, which is the committee that sets 192 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 9: interest rates, and obviously interest rates are very much in 193 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 9: the crosshairs for the US administration led by Donald Trump. 194 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 9: She had a short term that ended in twenty twenty four, 195 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 9: and she's been nominated for a new term, which is 196 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 9: not due to expire until twenty thirty eight. She came 197 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 9: in at a time when rates we're being height We 198 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 9: know that she's held concerns around inflation, although we don't 199 00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:29,319 Speaker 9: know what her intentions might be for the next rate 200 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 9: setting meeting in September. But obviously she is someone who's 201 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:37,679 Speaker 9: drawn Donald Trump's eire. I mean, she did serve on 202 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:41,680 Speaker 9: Barack Obama, the former President's Council of Economic Advisors. She 203 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:44,080 Speaker 9: has also worked at the Treasury Department, and she has 204 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:47,200 Speaker 9: a doctorate degree in economics, so she does have the 205 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 9: credentials there obviously for her position. Donald Trump's accusation is 206 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 9: that she essentially took out mortgages on more than one 207 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:59,559 Speaker 9: property at the same time, declaring those to be her 208 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 9: primary residents, so she had double mortgages on alleged primary residences, 209 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 9: and that's the accusation that is being leveled against her. 210 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:10,960 Speaker 9: She obviously has denied that. She said she'll bring out 211 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 9: her evidence against her. She's obviously also refuting Donald Trump's 212 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:16,719 Speaker 9: efforts to fire her. 213 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 1: In terms of the legal machinations here ras what exactly 214 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 1: can Lisa Cook do to protect her job or what 215 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 1: standard does Donald Trump have to prove to be able 216 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:33,319 Speaker 1: to have the sufficient cause to fire Lisa Cook? 217 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:39,959 Speaker 9: Well, right now there is the possible doj investigation against her, 218 00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 9: but she's not been charged with anything. So what she 219 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 9: could do is immediately look for an injunction to reinstate 220 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:50,680 Speaker 9: her while court action goes on, and court action could 221 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 9: take quite some time. As you said that, the question 222 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 9: is can Donald Trump fire her for cause? And there 223 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:01,960 Speaker 9: are various things that make up that description for cause, 224 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 9: including inefficiency, neglect of duty, and wrongdoing in office. And 225 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:09,200 Speaker 9: the question is in any of that you know, does 226 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 9: she meet does she meet the bar with these accusations. 227 00:12:12,559 --> 00:12:15,080 Speaker 9: But really what she can do is draw this out 228 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,520 Speaker 9: quite extensively to a litigation and all the way up 229 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:20,439 Speaker 9: to the Supreme Court. And the question is what does 230 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:23,880 Speaker 9: the Supreme Court see as the issue of full cause. 231 00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 9: So this could become a protracted legal issue either way. 232 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:30,320 Speaker 9: And as I said, no charges have actually been laid 233 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 9: against her. 234 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 3: No, indeed. 235 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:37,319 Speaker 2: But this is also a present Trump pursuing a goal 236 00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 2: that we know he has in terms of wanting lower 237 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 2: interest rates. What does this mean for FED independence and 238 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:46,680 Speaker 2: for the rate path? 239 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 9: Well, that's right, so obviously you know this is a 240 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 9: key part of Donald Trump's efforts to reshape the FED 241 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:58,080 Speaker 9: and especially the Board of Governors and have a majority 242 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:02,120 Speaker 9: of people on that board actually who share his points 243 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 9: of view about interest rates. I mean Aaron Klein who's 244 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:08,280 Speaker 9: from the Brookings Institution describes this as a kill shot 245 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:12,840 Speaker 9: quote at FED independence, and basically he's trying to reshape 246 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:17,640 Speaker 9: the FED into his liking and the markets obviously do 247 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 9: not like that. You can see the reaction so far 248 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 9: in financial markets in the aftermath of Trump's announcement in 249 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:27,560 Speaker 9: terms of the dollar and treasuries, and really this could 250 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:31,960 Speaker 9: raise further fundamental questions about the independence of the FED. 251 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:36,560 Speaker 9: You even had SMP Global Ratings recently warning that you know, 252 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 9: this could be a factor for the US sovereign credit 253 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:42,080 Speaker 9: rating if you have the idea of the perception of 254 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 9: the erosion of an independence of American institutions. The question 255 00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 9: is would it have any impact on the next interest 256 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 9: rate decision? Unlikely, especially if she's still in place, And 257 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 9: as I said, we don't know how she intended to 258 00:13:56,800 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 9: vote or would intend to vote in that meeting, but 259 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 9: certainly in the longer term there are fresh questions about 260 00:14:03,280 --> 00:14:05,080 Speaker 9: the independence of the FED as a result. 261 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,440 Speaker 1: Okay Rasler Maths and our chief Asia correspondent, thank you 262 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:08,960 Speaker 1: very much. 263 00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 3: Stay with us. 264 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:16,040 Speaker 1: More from Bloomberg Daybreak Europe coming up after this now. 265 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 2: The European Union agreed a tariff deal with the US 266 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 2: in late July. It has meant some predictability for businesses, 267 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 2: but also hard choices and lingering doubts about whether the 268 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 2: US will stick to this tariff rate of fifteen percent. 269 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 2: Joining US now is Bloomberg's report in Amsterdam, Charlotte Hughes Morgan, 270 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 2: who's been doing some deep dive reporting on this. Charlotte, 271 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 2: welcome to the program again. What have businesses been telling 272 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:43,960 Speaker 2: you about this fifteen percent tariff being imposed on most 273 00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:45,520 Speaker 2: European products? 274 00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 10: Thank you for having me. Well, yes, I mean it's 275 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 10: safe to say that there is a lot of gloom 276 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 10: amongst European business leaders at the moment. There's this kind 277 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 10: of gloomy resignation and the sense of frustration that obviously, 278 00:14:58,080 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 10: you know, these trade tarift are outside of their control, 279 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 10: but they have a huge impact. 280 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:04,720 Speaker 8: On their businesses. 281 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 10: I mean for a lot of these European companies. And 282 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 10: we talked to companies kind of outside of the major 283 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 10: sectors that you tend to think about when we read 284 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 10: about trade tariffs, you know, we tend to think about 285 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 10: s we conductor's farmer. We spoke to really wide range 286 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 10: of companies that are still really important for the European economy, 287 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 10: and so many of them have really complex supply chains 288 00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 10: and the US is a really significant market for a 289 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 10: lot of them. So this is a real headache and 290 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 10: I think what we wanted to do with this reporting 291 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 10: is really dies a deep dive into the day to 292 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 10: day decisions that these business leaders are having to make, 293 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 10: and it's really tough. I mean, for some this is 294 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 10: kind of yet another headache after the supply chain disruptions 295 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 10: of the COVID years and then you had inflation, and 296 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 10: now these tariffs are kind of muddying the waters again. 297 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 10: And making it really hard to make those long term 298 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:57,520 Speaker 10: decisions that are crucial for for kind of any well 299 00:15:57,600 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 10: run business. I think another thing to add is obvious 300 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 10: the macro uncertainty this kind of caught and that's crept 301 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 10: in to the market. I mean, some people we spoke 302 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 10: to said that's almost more painful than the tariff rate itself. 303 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 10: You know, so many customers are holding back on investment, 304 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 10: and that is really kind of having an impact on 305 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 10: these European companies. 306 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 1: Charlotts among the companies that you spoke to for this 307 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 1: story as well are makers of artificial turf underlay and 308 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 1: grass used in the United States and other places as well. 309 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: I mean, talk to us about how these businesses are 310 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 1: adapting to these changing tariff rules. 311 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:36,120 Speaker 10: Yeah, I mean that was a really interesting business. Again, 312 00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 10: as I said, not something that always springs to mind 313 00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:41,840 Speaker 10: immediately when you think about the tariff conversation. But yeah, 314 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 10: this turf business that manufactures your artificial turf the stadiums 315 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 10: around the world, but particularly in the US. Seventy five 316 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 10: percent of its revenues come out of the US, and 317 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 10: so they're having to do some really kind of hard thinking. 318 00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 10: When we spoke to them, I mean they said they 319 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:01,800 Speaker 10: have a laser focus on pricing, constantly thinking about, you know, 320 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:05,440 Speaker 10: how much of the of the kind of tariff cost 321 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:08,359 Speaker 10: can they reasonably pass on to their customers in the US. 322 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:12,920 Speaker 10: How much can they absorb you know, they have factories 323 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 10: in the US, or they're shielded from the kind of 324 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 10: tariff impact to some extent that they are a vital products. 325 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 10: I mean these are really complex, you know, complex products 326 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:24,639 Speaker 10: to make, and some and some elements just can't be 327 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:26,840 Speaker 10: made outside the US, So they're having to think about 328 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,120 Speaker 10: how they kind of pass on those costs to customers. 329 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 10: They're also having to think about their investment decisions. You know, 330 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 10: where where are they going to invest? Are they going 331 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,399 Speaker 10: to relocate some production to the US. I think that 332 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:42,679 Speaker 10: company in particular said, you know, that's not feasible for 333 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:46,320 Speaker 10: us in the cost of relocating our factories, the difficulty 334 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,360 Speaker 10: finding the very specific expertise that we need to make 335 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 10: this complex product over in another country. I mean, so 336 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 10: they are kind of doubling down on their European operations. 337 00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 10: But others we spoke to a German medical equipment maker, 338 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:03,160 Speaker 10: for example, who are actually going to, you know, focus 339 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:06,240 Speaker 10: on building up their US operations. But again that's a 340 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 10: really long term project. I mean, these businesses have really 341 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 10: long timelines, and the cost of doing so means that 342 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,200 Speaker 10: they will have to divert some some money that would 343 00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:18,679 Speaker 10: have otherwise been spent on innovation and research. So that 344 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,400 Speaker 10: is again another kind of knock on effect is that 345 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 10: that a lot of the time and the money that 346 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:25,919 Speaker 10: could have been used for growth and for building up 347 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:29,400 Speaker 10: these businesses is being spent trying to mitigate tariff impact 348 00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 10: and trying to work out, you know, the logistics of 349 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 10: kind of still exporting to the US. 350 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 2: When you add all of this up, what are the 351 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,360 Speaker 2: macro implications and the impact of. 352 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 10: This well, I mean, if you ask the European business 353 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 10: le's you know, it's negative. I mean, I think, as 354 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 10: I said, even just that point, you know, the money 355 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 10: that's going that's being spent on these tariff decisions, the 356 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 10: logistics and the time that if that is moving away 357 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:03,320 Speaker 10: from from innovation and kind of dampening grace. If you think, 358 00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 10: you know, say say lots of companies in Germany's industrial 359 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 10: heartland start doing the same thing to try and grapple 360 00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 10: with the with the tariff impact that obviously would e 361 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 10: road Europe's you know, some of Europe's industrial centers. You've 362 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 10: also got the pricing conversation. You know, if you're having 363 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 10: to pass on some of this cost to US customers, 364 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:29,359 Speaker 10: I mean that eventually passes on to the consumer. Do 365 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:33,080 Speaker 10: you have that kind of uptick in prices for the 366 00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:35,119 Speaker 10: end consumer in the US, which obviously could have this 367 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 10: kind of knock on effect on inflation. So if you 368 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,080 Speaker 10: look at the mood music overall, you know it is 369 00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:45,399 Speaker 10: negative and that broader caution. I mean even today we 370 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:51,480 Speaker 10: saw Trump Trump saying he might impose, you know, impose 371 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 10: tariffs in retaliation for the digital services attacks. You know. 372 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 10: So you think you have this certainty with the deal 373 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 10: that was agreed in July fifteen percent paraphrate for Europe, 374 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:05,639 Speaker 10: But I think there's still concern among European business leaders 375 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:07,159 Speaker 10: that this might not be the end of it. And 376 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:11,399 Speaker 10: actually that certainty, that long term visibility is really key 377 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:14,240 Speaker 10: for their businesses. And if that, you know, starts coming 378 00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 10: under threat at scale, well then that that could be 379 00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 10: a huge problem for Europe. 380 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:21,240 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 381 00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:24,360 Speaker 1: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 382 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:28,640 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 383 00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:30,680 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 384 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,760 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 385 00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 386 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 387 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 388 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:45,600 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepka. 389 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 3: And I'm Stephen Carroll. 390 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,720 Speaker 1: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 391 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 1: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak 392 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: Europe