1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:09,640 Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandel because They're 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: app is safe, secure and easy to use, and when 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:15,239 Speaker 1: I win, I get paid fast. So use promo code 6 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: Favorites and download the FanDuel app today to make every 7 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: moment more this football season. 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In Kansas call one 16 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one 17 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight hope and why or text hope 18 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: and why four seven three six nine. In York, Tennessee, 19 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 1: redline is one eight eight nine called one eight hundred 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,679 Speaker 1: five to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming, or 21 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 1: visit www dot one gambler dot net in West Virginia. 22 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:25,279 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 23 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:29,400 Speaker 1: I am Sad Moment, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 24 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: If you are listening live on AMP, thank you. I 25 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 1: am joined as I am in every episode of the 26 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:41,480 Speaker 1: Favorite Podcast by my bff, my companion, my compadre, Mr 27 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. Hello. Saw him in Fucking Reft Slink Kickers Chat. 28 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: Week nine, we joked like we nailed Foxhol. We nailed 29 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: Simon says, we nailed Exact Decision. We nailed the big 30 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 1: balls better than week we went four and one in 31 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: the contest. What did I say? I said, literally can 32 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:08,240 Speaker 1: only get worse. The only way you could get better 33 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:10,119 Speaker 1: is if we went five and oh in the contest. 34 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 1: I said, it can only get worse. This past week, 35 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: Week ten, we had the Packers plus five in the 36 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 1: Foxhol fantastic. Simon says Brown's plus four Exact Decision, Bears 37 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: minus two and a half Scooch Roulette, Denver plus two 38 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 1: and a half Steelers. Oh, I won that one Steelers 39 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 1: plus one and a half money Line Ron Robin. We 40 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 1: did have Minnesota, Pittsburgh and Green Bay Big Balls, Jacks 41 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 1: plus nine and a half and the Whole Kitten Camboodle. 42 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:43,680 Speaker 1: We went two and three in the contest. It's a 43 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 1: weird week, you say, kickers and refs. But let's take 44 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:51,359 Speaker 1: it back before we get into this week. Let's take 45 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 1: it back to very early Sunday morning. I'm at an 46 00:02:55,160 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: airport in Phoenix. I call you. We're going through our games. 47 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 1: What happens? Well, Chad was feeling good. He just had 48 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: a weekend with his closest childhood friends. And you're just 49 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 1: feeling good. You were happy, while me, the working man, 50 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:14,000 Speaker 1: had not slept. Probably I had slept and not well 51 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: in four nights. Um, I had just never ending feeling 52 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 1: of impending doom. Basically, when I talked to Chat, I 53 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: always have three games that I like, like this whole year, 54 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 1: I've had pretty much every week, I have three or 55 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: four games I really like, and this week I too. 56 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 1: And even then, even when I said them out loud, 57 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: you I felt gross where I was like, I don't 58 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: even have that much faith. Can we take the bye week? 59 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: And you're in this airport and you're like, no, no, no, 60 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: let's save it, and I said, can we just take 61 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: the bye week? And he said no. He kept fighting 62 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 1: me on it. He said, I really like my two too. Yeah, 63 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 1: as the person that puts their life into football and 64 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: does nothing all a week. To have the man that 65 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: you know, vacation for a whole weekend to say, you know, 66 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 1: let's let's let it ride. I said, you know what, 67 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: the vibes are good right now. I have to trust Chad. 68 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: Maybe I'm overthinking this. Not gonna lie buddy. When it 69 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,839 Speaker 1: was one in three, after the one PMS holy ship 70 00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 1: was on me, I was like, how did we not 71 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: do this? I had no faith in Green Bay, especially 72 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: Green Bay. You know, I thought it was gonna be 73 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: the week of the weekend of the public, right the 74 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 1: public wasn'ta haveing a nice weekend. But yeah, thank god 75 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: two and three Again, those weeks don't hurt like two 76 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 1: and three obviously hurts, but we're only still two back 77 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 1: of the leader. So it's just like one of those 78 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 1: weeks were luckily everyone kind of did bad um so 79 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:26,479 Speaker 1: we were able to stay afloat. But yeah, we still 80 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: have to use a bye week, and it's like it's 81 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 1: rare for me to you know me, it's rare so 82 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:32,599 Speaker 1: anymore and I don't feel good. Um, I think that's 83 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: a three you off for me being like instantly firstanced 84 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: to do was like, let's take the bye week. Um, 85 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: I think that threw you off a little. It totally 86 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:43,320 Speaker 1: threw me off. It was it just came out of 87 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 1: nowhere because we felt good about the games. I I 88 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 1: wasn't in a mental space. It was a little bit chemical. 89 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 1: I wasn't in a mental space to not have action, 90 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: do you know what I mean. I hadn't put myself. 91 00:04:58,000 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 1: We had talked about taking a bye later in the 92 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 1: or where there's gonna be six or seven teams I 93 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: think six teams that have a bye. And I said 94 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: that to you, and you made a really good point 95 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 1: that you know, there was there was uncertainty with Minnesota 96 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:16,080 Speaker 1: and Buffalo, there was uncertainty with Arizona and the Rams. 97 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: So in essence, like there were six teams on the 98 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,719 Speaker 1: by and we had four games we couldn't touch, and 99 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: then we had four four teams on a by, so 100 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:27,280 Speaker 1: it's exactly six games, and so it was I thought 101 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 1: it was a really good point. But then you're like, 102 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:31,840 Speaker 1: you know, by the way you come on the podcast 103 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 1: and You're always like, there's a little bit revisionist history. 104 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:38,719 Speaker 1: You act like you were so definitive. Was the first 105 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: you were so definitive. You're like, there's two games that 106 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,039 Speaker 1: I really like, and I'm like, well, there's two games 107 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: I really like. You love two games, and I love 108 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 1: two games. We felt strongly about four games. I think 109 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,360 Speaker 1: the only game we didn't feel strongly about was Denver. Yeah, 110 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: but but we only felt strongly about two games. So 111 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 1: you each of us like two games out of the five. Well, 112 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: I loved the Steelers, and I loved the Bears, yeah, 113 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: And I like the Jags and I liked Green Pickers. Yeah. 114 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:07,039 Speaker 1: But I know, I just had a bad feeling about 115 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 1: it because again, usually by by Sunday morning, I'll have 116 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: a lot of money bet, and I just didn't because they, 117 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: like I was just I had a bad feeling all week, 118 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: and I just kind of felt like we would do 119 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:19,359 Speaker 1: I mean again, nine straight winning weeks. It's just I 120 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: wish I could come here and put my balls on 121 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:22,560 Speaker 1: the tail, be like, yeah, this is how we do it. 122 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: But it's just not that you just don't win like that. 123 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 1: Football is a fucking grind. So I just had a 124 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 1: bad feeling. I'm glad we didn't take the buy honestly, 125 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 1: because two and three, yeah, that sucks. But it's like 126 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: I think it was last year, maybe the year before 127 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 1: you nailed it, had a week we want one of four, 128 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: and we took the bye That's what we're hoping on. 129 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 1: Like again, we know what's gonna happen. We're gonna go 130 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: four and one the bye week, but hopefully the spider 131 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 1: senses kick in again because I don't know, we kind 132 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 1: of saw it coming a little bit. But again, Jaguars 133 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:51,840 Speaker 1: kicker hits one of those field goals, we're sitting here 134 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 1: three and two, So it's just it's just brutal when 135 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:57,159 Speaker 1: those swings happened. Even Bears game right miss extra point. 136 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:03,839 Speaker 1: The Bears up ten with fifty seconds left in the 137 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 1: third quarter and they had the ball and you throw 138 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 1: a pick six, you missed an extra point. You've got 139 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: god knows how many penalties like the Jags, and it 140 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 1: should have been a four in one week. It should 141 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 1: have been a fourgn one. It should have been a 142 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 1: three and two week at the least, like the Bears 143 00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: were the better team on Sunday. It's fucking killing me 144 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: and don't you think that I Linkings ones where we 145 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: screwed up right, Like we were all over that Vikings 146 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 1: game and we didn't take it because it was only 147 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 1: four and a half in the contest where I was 148 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: sitting at six in the books, and it was just like, 149 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 1: we don't know what to do because again we didn't 150 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:38,239 Speaker 1: know what the hell is going on the quarterback position. 151 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 1: So that that was. That was one of those I 152 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 1: was a brutal missed by us because we love that game. 153 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:44,760 Speaker 1: Again we can have their money line. Obviously we both 154 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 1: had bet it, especially at the six six and a half, 155 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 1: So that was that was one of our bad misses. 156 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: Was watching the game Sunday afternoon and when the Packers 157 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: were down, I never once thought they weren't going to 158 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:02,120 Speaker 1: cover that game. It just that to me, like I 159 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 1: was so in on that team, it never occurred to 160 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 1: me that we would have ended up one and four. 161 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 1: I thought your dad is dirt until it went to 162 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:12,239 Speaker 1: overtime and I was like, okay, now when the coin toss, 163 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: lose the coin toss, and I was just like Jesus, 164 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 1: when will this game just end? It was one of 165 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: those days for me, But yeah, just a bad week again, 166 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:22,559 Speaker 1: the first time all season all three of our teams lost. 167 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 1: It was just overall a weekend. Like again, I'll talk 168 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: about it right now. That's it. I won't even think 169 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 1: about it ever again. So that's how I feel about 170 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 1: this past weekend. Moving on. It does put me in 171 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 1: a bad mood. It's weird, and it hits me at 172 00:08:34,200 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: weird times, you know. I was, I was on the 173 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: bike yesterday and I'm like, fuck, we went two and three, 174 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 1: And like, it hit me last night when I was 175 00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 1: watching the Washington Philly game. Even though I had the 176 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 1: Commanders move. The line moved last night to plus eleven 177 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:52,440 Speaker 1: and a half, so I bet the Commanders at eleven 178 00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 1: and a half. I had John Bates under seven and 179 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 1: a half receiving yards. That was like an A plus 180 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: grade with our pro tools and action labs. He had 181 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: zero receiving yards. So I ended the week, you know, 182 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:08,200 Speaker 1: pretty strong, in a pretty strong way. I won quite 183 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:10,320 Speaker 1: a bit. But the fans are all happy for you. Chat. 184 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: Don't be mean, don't don't be that way. I don't 185 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: say this stuff in your head, though you need this 186 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:18,680 Speaker 1: pep talk in your own head. No one wants to 187 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:20,679 Speaker 1: hear how you won. My egos lost. What do you 188 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 1: want me to clap for you? The Bears lost too, 189 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 1: But I fucking move on because I'm a professional, so 190 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: have you you know I moved on. I moved on? 191 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,960 Speaker 1: All right? Well, you know what all we can do 192 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 1: is put on a podcast and do better than we 193 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:39,679 Speaker 1: did last week. Yeah, it's already loved this week and 194 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 1: pared to last week. I love it, love it, already 195 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 1: made a couple of bets, a couple of reminders. Number one, 196 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 1: I say it at the end of every show. Feedback 197 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:49,960 Speaker 1: is a gift. Leave us a five star review. Say 198 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 1: whatever you want, but the reviews five stars helps us 199 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 1: stay in the top one hundred. We like being there. 200 00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:59,959 Speaker 1: It's all because of the listeners. Please, please, please leave 201 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 1: the five star reviews. We have three winners. Matt Mitchell 202 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: chose three winners of the people who gave five star 203 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:08,839 Speaker 1: reviews last week. I am going to read their names 204 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 1: out now. You will email podcasts at Action network dot com. 205 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:21,880 Speaker 1: Harry four seven eight seven, Cody from Middlebury, Eugene fart Face. 206 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:28,320 Speaker 1: Eugene fart Face has entered the chat next week. Also 207 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:32,560 Speaker 1: some housekeeping, we will do our normal episode that we 208 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:35,960 Speaker 1: record on Tuesday Live, we will not have an episode 209 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 1: on Thursday because of Thanksgiving. Nobody listens that day. We're given, 210 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 1: you know, Matt Mitchell a chance to be with his 211 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 1: family doing it. Convince me though, on the Thursday and 212 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:46,959 Speaker 1: Sunday we will have it. Convince me on Thursday, Convince 213 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 1: me on Thursday Me, Simon, raybon Kerner, Samantha Pavidi, Uh 214 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:55,719 Speaker 1: Dan Revel and on Sunday. So you can catch us 215 00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 1: uh on the interwebs in the Action Network Gap it's 216 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:02,679 Speaker 1: or etcetera, etcetera, watches at Extra Network HQ or in 217 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 1: the Actra Network Gap downloaded for free. Award winning go Simon, 218 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:08,680 Speaker 1: we gotta do a foxhold. We gotta do with Simon says, 219 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 1: we gotta do an exact decision. We both were regretful 220 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 1: that we didn't bet the Panthers last week. Yeah, yeah, 221 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 1: I mean again. We gave out the money line to 222 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 1: our loyal live listeners, which was nice. Lea stay cash 223 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 1: with us on that. But yeah, definitely another reason why 224 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 1: I want to take the BIE. I was already like, man, 225 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 1: we we nailed that game. We didn't have it in 226 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:31,640 Speaker 1: the contest. We should just skip this week. But this 227 00:11:31,679 --> 00:11:34,959 Speaker 1: week again, it's hard to take the favorite in a 228 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 1: position of both these teams seemed like equals Tennessee Packers. 229 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: It's just Rabel was a dog. I mean last week again, 230 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:47,320 Speaker 1: they had no right winning or covering that game. They 231 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 1: had four their top defenders out. Tannehill doesn't look right. Still, 232 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 1: they got no receving weapons. Even Derrick Henry did not 233 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: have a good game to plays. They made two plays 234 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: and they won seventeen ten. And that's rebel, Like he's 235 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:04,760 Speaker 1: just an incredible coach, gets his defense up for these 236 00:12:04,800 --> 00:12:08,240 Speaker 1: games and it's it's working. So a green Bay team 237 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:12,720 Speaker 1: that just had this incredible victory. Man, I want to 238 00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 1: take green Bay here because it's like this, this probably 239 00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:16,839 Speaker 1: is the right side. But if you're giving me three 240 00:12:16,920 --> 00:12:19,720 Speaker 1: or three and a half with Tennessee just a great defense, 241 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 1: I'm finally losing money on a team like this. Like again, 242 00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: you're getting a good number against a green Bay team 243 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:27,679 Speaker 1: that I just don't think they're that good. Even chat 244 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 1: today was like can they make the playoffs? And it's 245 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: like probably not right. It's like you want to think 246 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:34,920 Speaker 1: that after they had to turn around maybe against green Bay, 247 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 1: I mean against the Cowboys, but that was just a 248 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 1: flukey situation, right. It was just a perfect matchup for them, 249 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:45,400 Speaker 1: perfect spot for them. Again, we talked about them being undervalued. 250 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 1: Now this seems like the right value to me. Maybe 251 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:50,200 Speaker 1: a little bit overvalue to Green Bay. So I'm gonna 252 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 1: come back to their side. I'll take Tennessee here at 253 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 1: three or three and a half. Don't know if we'll 254 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 1: make it to our contest, but I definitely think we're 255 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:58,960 Speaker 1: getting a good number here. I feel like it's yucky 256 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 1: the Packers open two and a half. I think if 257 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 1: we were going to play it, it would have been 258 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 1: the two and a half um and I hate I 259 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:13,079 Speaker 1: hate betting against this Titans team, and this feels like 260 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: the exact right number, right like I wanted to day 261 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:19,000 Speaker 1: Green Bay. I just think this number is inflated too 262 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 1: much at this point. Eagles at the Colts. So now 263 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 1: the Eagles are without Dallas Goddard um. That was broken 264 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:28,440 Speaker 1: live on Green Dot Daily. Simon and I were on 265 00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:31,720 Speaker 1: the Action Network Betting Agenda show Green Dot Daily noon 266 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,320 Speaker 1: Eastern at Action Network HQ and the Action Network ap 267 00:13:34,760 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 1: Eagles off their first loss Colts the first win with 268 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:41,680 Speaker 1: Jeff Saturday getting up a really bad Raiders team. Yeah, 269 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 1: I would lean Eagles here under a touchdown. I know 270 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: it's an ugly, gross road favorite, but the Eagles are 271 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:54,199 Speaker 1: still a really good team. And the cults are inflated 272 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 1: here because last week they're terrible. They are the biggest 273 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 1: pause for me right now. I was we saw what 274 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:04,839 Speaker 1: the Eagles defense looks like without Jordan Davis. Again. You 275 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,599 Speaker 1: can talk about that until where you know sick in 276 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 1: the head about it, but it's just he's in your 277 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 1: He's gone. They're having to play Fletcher Fletcher Cox a 278 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 1: lot of snaps and that the tackle position. Last night 279 00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: he was getting single block right. That's not like Fletcher Cox, 280 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 1: the guy that people think of as being all pro talent. 281 00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 1: He is though he's old. Now he's just slow. He's different. 282 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: So maybe that's what people are betting here. The professionals 283 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 1: are coming in heavy because they think, Okay, the Colts 284 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 1: can do what they want to do in this again. 285 00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 1: They're gonna be able to run the ball on ball, 286 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:34,880 Speaker 1: control the clock. Again. That Ryan is clearly better than 287 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 1: the backup quarterback Sam. So I'm with you, chat, I 288 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 1: really want to take um the Eagles. I'm trying to 289 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,680 Speaker 1: be smart about I did touch um a little bit, 290 00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 1: put a little on it when it hit six and 291 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 1: a half, that I was gonna go back to seven. 292 00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:49,880 Speaker 1: It hasn't again, gives me a little more pause. Maybe 293 00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 1: that's the Godhart news, but it's just a good number 294 00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:54,680 Speaker 1: on the Eagles team that people are down on now 295 00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 1: right that they just got embarrassed in our primetime game, 296 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:00,040 Speaker 1: and the whole cult organization is taking a vict re 297 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: lap after beating the Raiders again, their owners tweeting out 298 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: like like he's the man right now. It's it's a 299 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: bizarre world. So I'm with Chad. The Raiders are are 300 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:12,640 Speaker 1: we the worst coach team of football right now? Might 301 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:15,800 Speaker 1: be the worst run organization of football right now. Eagles 302 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 1: they're the complete opposite side of the coin. They're the 303 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 1: best run organization probably in football, one of the best 304 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 1: coaching staffs from football. You expect them to get it 305 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: right after an embarrassing loss from prime time. So I'm 306 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: with you, Job, I'll get the six and a half. 307 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 1: It's just a little bit hesitant on why this number 308 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 1: has dropped so much. Again, it opened eight eight and 309 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 1: a half. Now it's a six and a half. That's 310 00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: a big movement. Well, it could be the goddard news, 311 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 1: but I do think. I do think that. Look, the 312 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 1: Commanders owned the line of scrimmage last night. I mean, 313 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 1: what do they have forty minutes of time of possession? 314 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 1: They Brian Robinson was going five yards before anybody touched him. 315 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 1: But that was the key, though, wasn't It wasn't big breaks, right, 316 00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 1: it was he was getting those five yards and all 317 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 1: of a sudden, I don't know what happened, but they 318 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 1: were going what was eleven for twelve or twelve for 319 00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: thirteen on third downs? Right was hitting his guys and shrides. 320 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:07,080 Speaker 1: It wasn't just the running. It there beating us in 321 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 1: the air too. So it's like there might be major 322 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,400 Speaker 1: issues on the Eagles team. That's the pause right now. 323 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,080 Speaker 1: That's interesting because I was really I thought about the 324 00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:15,760 Speaker 1: line of scrimmage, and what I was going to say 325 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 1: is that the Eagles have proven to be a really 326 00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 1: good coaching staff, and I felt like there are probably 327 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: some adjustments to be made week to week that they 328 00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: didn't make in game that would allow them to account 329 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 1: for the loss of Jordan Davis, which is why I 330 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 1: would feel comfortable. But at the end of the day, 331 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 1: I'm just getting a much better team at less than 332 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 1: a touchdown like that. To me, everything else goes away if, if, 333 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 1: and if I lose this bet. I'm not saying we 334 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 1: have to put in the contest, but it tells me 335 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 1: a lot more about where the Eagles are then where 336 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 1: we thought they were if they end up performing poorly 337 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 1: against the Colton. I do think if the Eagles don't 338 00:16:56,520 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 1: perform well, it changes sort of the scale and context 339 00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:04,159 Speaker 1: of the NFC against what we thought it might be. Yeah, 340 00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:06,159 Speaker 1: I would just say it's all about health and then 341 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 1: the injury bug where it's like I think the Tampa 342 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 1: is three and five whatever it was two exting. I 343 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 1: told you I still had them in my power because 344 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,239 Speaker 1: the number one team i'd fear in the playoffs not 345 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:19,560 Speaker 1: the Eagles, not the Vikings, not the Cowboys, at the Giants. 346 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 1: And it's a simple fact of when things get tight, 347 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 1: these young, inexperienced quarterbacks, they don't perform. And again that's 348 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 1: where I trust a guy like Tom Brady and those 349 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:32,120 Speaker 1: teams where yeah, it wasn't on all Hurts last night, 350 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:34,960 Speaker 1: but we saw Hurts needed to do a two minute 351 00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 1: drill to have his team win. He went three and out, 352 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 1: Like we can't complain all you want about them punting 353 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 1: and the BS called by the ref end of the game, 354 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:45,760 Speaker 1: but it's like Hurts had his chance, he went three 355 00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:47,879 Speaker 1: and out, they had to punt. It's it's kind of 356 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: these things where it's like, do I really think Bray 357 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 1: is gonna win the Super Bowl this year? No, but 358 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,679 Speaker 1: it's just I know the playoffs came, even though even 359 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 1: when they were three and five, it's like, that's the 360 00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:59,680 Speaker 1: scary moment of it's tom first, all these inexperienced quarterbacks 361 00:17:59,680 --> 00:18:02,120 Speaker 1: and the nf see where it's like wide open, even 362 00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:03,920 Speaker 1: you today, we're talking about you, like the fourty nine ers. 363 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 1: Jimmy g is not good. He is not a good 364 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:09,439 Speaker 1: quarterback right now. He's got major issues. But that's how 365 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 1: open the NFC is, where it's like, well, on paper, 366 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:15,439 Speaker 1: the fort Has are probably the best team all all around. 367 00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:18,760 Speaker 1: It's like if they're healthy, they'll be the they'll probably 368 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:21,199 Speaker 1: be the favorite. Where the Eagles right now, again it's 369 00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 1: not a big deal. They just they lost Jordan Davis. 370 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 1: They lost Maddox, which is our U cornerback. That's very 371 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:29,359 Speaker 1: for this team. And A. J. Brown wrote his ankle 372 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 1: so it's like, okay, if they might be down a J. 373 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 1: Brown as well as and got her even again, that 374 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:37,640 Speaker 1: might start pushing me more towards this Courts Colts team 375 00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:40,360 Speaker 1: where it's like that's major injuries on this Eagle's offense. 376 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:46,480 Speaker 1: The Cooper coupless Los Angeles Rams are visiting the New 377 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 1: Orleans Saints. The Saints are four point favorites right now. 378 00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 1: Saints are kind of crap too right now, and they've 379 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 1: got some quarterback issues that they're trying to work out. 380 00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 1: They're kind of becoming the team we thought they would 381 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 1: be kind of a middling, mediocre or no personality team. 382 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 1: It's kind of a past for me this game. I 383 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,200 Speaker 1: don't have strong feelings on it. Yeah, I would have 384 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 1: loved that still in New Orleans at three, that was 385 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 1: a great number. Um, it's growing because again Stafford's not back, 386 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 1: he's still in a concussion protocol. Cooper cups now done 387 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 1: for at least four weeks. I love the take New 388 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:21,640 Speaker 1: Orleans here, honestly, like this is a good matchup for them. 389 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: They can run the ball. The Rams offensive lines and 390 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:27,399 Speaker 1: tatters like they just have a bunch of injuries. That 391 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:30,440 Speaker 1: offensive line just a good matchup for a Saint team. 392 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:32,080 Speaker 1: But I feel like Chad just talked about, it's like 393 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:34,680 Speaker 1: just two really bad teams. It's it's it's hard to 394 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:36,159 Speaker 1: get behind it. But I feel like the Saints on 395 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 1: the right side here, and as much you'd love to 396 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 1: be like, well, maybe they'll just tank. Their first round 397 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,479 Speaker 1: pick is the Eagles. They traded that they traded up 398 00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: to get the receiver they took last year. So the 399 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 1: Eagles right now the fourth pick overall thanks to the Saints. 400 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 1: They're not trying to tank. This head coach is not 401 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:52,600 Speaker 1: gonna try to tank, the general managers not gonna try 402 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:54,840 Speaker 1: to tank. So you see them playing hard, playing in 403 00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:57,280 Speaker 1: this game against a Rams team that they just seem 404 00:19:57,359 --> 00:19:59,920 Speaker 1: lost as we sit here on Tuesday, Like everything I've read, 405 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 1: it's just bad and negative. And again Stafford still in 406 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:06,439 Speaker 1: concussion protocol on Tuesday. That's that's a big deal. Well, 407 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: you know what, I'm gonna put it on the list 408 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:11,160 Speaker 1: for now. Again, if this got to five or four 409 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,280 Speaker 1: and a half in the contest, I don't think i'd 410 00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 1: play it. But a four, three and a half, three, 411 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:18,440 Speaker 1: that's that's great value. Chicago Bears, who broke our hearts 412 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:23,320 Speaker 1: this weekend. Look Justin Fields again, just electric. When I 413 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 1: think about Justin Fields, I was thinking about it this weekend. 414 00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:31,680 Speaker 1: I think about Justin Altuh, Josh Allen and his career progression. 415 00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 1: He was all athletes. The first couple of years they 416 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 1: got Stefon Diggs, he became more accurate. I think Justin 417 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:44,439 Speaker 1: Fields next year like that is the path of progression 418 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:49,200 Speaker 1: he's on. Maybe I'm too excited about it. Maybe I'm 419 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:53,160 Speaker 1: just enthralled with the way he's been playing, the way 420 00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 1: he's being used. I will wash away the terrible pass 421 00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:00,199 Speaker 1: he made that cost the Bears the game. Chalk up 422 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 1: to again. Still learning, but wow, he looks like he 423 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:09,680 Speaker 1: could beat everybody up on the field again. The Onason, 424 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 1: I think there's a big difference is Um Fields has 425 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:16,400 Speaker 1: been that guy since he was probably sixteen, where Josh 426 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 1: Allens had to earn every little title you' put next 427 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: to his name. Again, he was sending tapes to every 428 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:24,520 Speaker 1: d one school. I believe why Owen is the only 429 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:27,600 Speaker 1: one that was replied to the kid. And even when 430 00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:28,879 Speaker 1: he was at y M, I think he ended up 431 00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:30,960 Speaker 1: staying right for senior Matt Mitchell, no better for me. 432 00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:32,840 Speaker 1: He didn't even do that well, right, it was just 433 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:36,920 Speaker 1: the body type, the athleticism. We're justin fields. He had 434 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:39,200 Speaker 1: the arm in college. I mean, hell, I remember watching 435 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 1: my high stand like this kid is the real deal. 436 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 1: You can go back and listen. Me and Chad couldn't 437 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 1: understand why he wasn't number two pick overall. We had 438 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,840 Speaker 1: him right behind Trevor Lawrence. Again, we didn't know Zack 439 00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:51,119 Speaker 1: Wilson was gonna be this bad, but it was just 440 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,040 Speaker 1: like the upside of fields and Trey Lance to me, 441 00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 1: was so much higher than Zack Wilson's. It just didn't 442 00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,320 Speaker 1: make sense to me. And I would love to back 443 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 1: him here, but it just can't keep happening. Like this 444 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:04,640 Speaker 1: is he's on a historical pace right now, Like he's 445 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:08,760 Speaker 1: had back to back weeks of just insane running. Like 446 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:10,640 Speaker 1: what do you get last week? I was a hundred 447 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:16,200 Speaker 1: sixty three and then like it's just a week before 448 00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,639 Speaker 1: so so again we can ballpark and say he's averaging 449 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:24,920 Speaker 1: over a hundred fifty yards per game last two weeks running. Um, 450 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,359 Speaker 1: there has to be some point of regression there. But 451 00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: I saw last week the Lions were doing a double 452 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:33,159 Speaker 1: spy on him. They had two different guys spying him 453 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:34,880 Speaker 1: on each side of the field, and it didn't matter 454 00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:38,320 Speaker 1: when plays broke down, he could find those alleys. He's 455 00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 1: so quick, like he goes through those holes so fast. 456 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: So I would love to sit here and say Bears 457 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 1: auto play a plus three and a half. But the 458 00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,439 Speaker 1: right play is to take at landing here against the 459 00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:52,960 Speaker 1: Bears team that, yeah, they're performing incredibly, but an Atlanta 460 00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 1: team that they do exactly what the Bears don't want 461 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 1: to do. This. There's gonna be some high flying, high 462 00:22:57,800 --> 00:22:59,919 Speaker 1: scoring kind of game. This is gonna be a slow, 463 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,119 Speaker 1: dragged out, muddy the waters kind of game, which is 464 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,119 Speaker 1: what Atlanta likes to play. And the fact that the 465 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:10,639 Speaker 1: last time anyone saw Atlanta play, what was the final score, fifteen, 466 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 1: they got absolutely blown out by Carolina. I just know 467 00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:15,960 Speaker 1: the Bears will be the most public side this week, 468 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,920 Speaker 1: So I understand it. I understand why people are gonna 469 00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 1: take the three, But to me, this is number is 470 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:23,120 Speaker 1: probably closer to a four four and a half than three. 471 00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:25,080 Speaker 1: So it kind of it sticks from the get go, 472 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:26,639 Speaker 1: like the books are kind of landing a little bit 473 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,760 Speaker 1: of a trap here, Um, let's see what the public 474 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,160 Speaker 1: does with it. But got instincts. Again, I haven't bet 475 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:32,879 Speaker 1: this yet. I would take Atlanta. This feels like a 476 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:39,480 Speaker 1: good number. It's so tricky because this Falcons team can 477 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 1: really run the ball and this Bears team cannot stop 478 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:47,359 Speaker 1: the run and not stop anybody. You just look in 479 00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,320 Speaker 1: the trenches like you're not trying to look at the 480 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 1: fields and the quarterback. It's literally the lines here like 481 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,880 Speaker 1: it's a big discrepancy in both lines. It is where 482 00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:59,040 Speaker 1: you get a little bit blinded by Justin fields because 483 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,720 Speaker 1: again my right away I was like, oh, justin fields 484 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 1: at a plus number, thank you, but it's a little fishy. Again, 485 00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,520 Speaker 1: this line was a pick um and they've moved it. 486 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 1: Awful lot of professional action commanders after a huge money 487 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 1: night game visiting the Texans, this line is three. Let 488 00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 1: me make sure I have it correct from FANDUL right now, 489 00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:27,200 Speaker 1: because it's bouncing all over the place plus three and 490 00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:30,320 Speaker 1: a half. We both got strong opinions on this game. Well, 491 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 1: I figure about to make your executive decision. I am 492 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,640 Speaker 1: gonna make my exact decision right now on the Houston 493 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:39,640 Speaker 1: Texas at plus three and a half. The choice between 494 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:47,560 Speaker 1: the unthinkable and the impossible. Executive decision this. This does 495 00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:50,040 Speaker 1: feel like a no brainer. Me and Chat and five 496 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:53,960 Speaker 1: other people will be on Houston kicking myself. We knew, 497 00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 1: we knew to be on the Colts last week. That's 498 00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 1: how me and Chad make our good money. It's like, 499 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,479 Speaker 1: you take these ugly dogs that everyone's shipping on all 500 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 1: week and everyone hates, and hell a might burn us 501 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 1: here with Houston, we have we have no choice here, 502 00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,159 Speaker 1: especially once they hit three and a half. I'll be 503 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 1: the sucker. Suck me in sports books. I will take 504 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:14,199 Speaker 1: the three and a half. I'll be that sucker. But 505 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: you have to take this number. A home dog here 506 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,680 Speaker 1: against a team that just won in prime time and 507 00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:22,439 Speaker 1: a divisional game. Chad just said they're a double digit 508 00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,520 Speaker 1: dog again. You'll see the trends that come out this week, 509 00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 1: teams that are double digit dogs that are going on 510 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:31,359 Speaker 1: the road as a favorite the following week. No boy, no, 511 00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:35,040 Speaker 1: So I'm I'm loving where Chad's heads at. Um. That's 512 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:37,240 Speaker 1: why he's offering up to me. But it's just a 513 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:40,399 Speaker 1: play that so as I saw the line game, I said, well, me, 514 00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:43,680 Speaker 1: chatter gonna look like idiots or really smart people in 515 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:45,520 Speaker 1: like the Green Bay game. It's just you're playing the 516 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: number here. You can't look at the teams. Gotta just 517 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,280 Speaker 1: look at the number and see that this is an 518 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 1: inflated line. She'd be closer to a pick. Three and 519 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 1: a half is a gift. I am so frustrated that 520 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,480 Speaker 1: I betted at three, because when we looked at the 521 00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 1: lines this morning, there were threes and there were two 522 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:08,240 Speaker 1: and a half, and it looked like it was trending 523 00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:11,840 Speaker 1: towards two and a half. Literally an hour later. I 524 00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 1: don't know what happened. I think people started waking up 525 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 1: on the West coast and after watching the Commanders last 526 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 1: night and just piling in on Washington, and this game 527 00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: went up to three and a half. UM. But as 528 00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,919 Speaker 1: you say, we're hooked by the half three and a half. 529 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:32,240 Speaker 1: Give it to me. This is the bylow cell high. 530 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,320 Speaker 1: This is the bet the perception. I can tell you 531 00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:38,640 Speaker 1: that according to our luck rankings last week, the Texans 532 00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:42,080 Speaker 1: were the most unlucky team in the NFL. And by 533 00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:44,399 Speaker 1: the way, you could argue that Washington one of the 534 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:52,040 Speaker 1: luckier teams between the refs, between the Eagles unlikely turnovers. Um. Really, 535 00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:56,160 Speaker 1: there were some plays where the Commanders could have easily 536 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,440 Speaker 1: lost that game and things went right for them. Texas 537 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,879 Speaker 1: had two red turnovers to red z own possessions that 538 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:06,679 Speaker 1: turned into field goals instead of touchdowns. Um, you know, 539 00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:10,280 Speaker 1: I got it. People are gonna be like, well, the 540 00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 1: technically just stink. We agree they're awful, but there's always 541 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 1: an overcorruption to these lines. They're not gonna not win 542 00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:19,320 Speaker 1: and cover every game. They're just the books aren't giving 543 00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 1: a free money here. So again we had to take 544 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:23,800 Speaker 1: a position when we think of lines inflated. This is 545 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,239 Speaker 1: one of those games. We didn't buy the Houston last week. Right, 546 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: A lot of professionals are on Houston. I got the Giants. 547 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,760 Speaker 1: I just thought it was a short number. This is inflated. 548 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,520 Speaker 1: This is a good number for Houston. Lad we love 549 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,400 Speaker 1: the Texans so much. The Jets on the road at 550 00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 1: the Patriots. Patriots are three point favorites. Simon on Green 551 00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 1: Dot Daily this morning, you made an incredible point about 552 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,359 Speaker 1: the Patriots in this line compared to what it was 553 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,080 Speaker 1: two weeks ago. I want you to do it here. 554 00:27:53,920 --> 00:28:00,680 Speaker 1: I want this to be our foxhold chat Foxhole. Let's 555 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 1: clide down into the foxhole. Last week it was uncomfortable. 556 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,560 Speaker 1: Oh now two weeks coming back. It was uncomfortable. It's 557 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,159 Speaker 1: not fun in the foxhole. This week should give you 558 00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:14,679 Speaker 1: a little more relief. It's not as gross, it's not 559 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,879 Speaker 1: as gross usually is, but the public is coming on 560 00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:19,159 Speaker 1: the Jets. That's why I feel like it needs to 561 00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,760 Speaker 1: be a foxhole game where it's like people are drinking 562 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:23,640 Speaker 1: the cool the they're coming in on the Jets, They're 563 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:27,640 Speaker 1: coming in on You know, Mac is broken, this Patriots 564 00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:31,400 Speaker 1: team is, offense is broken. The Jets team is ascending. 565 00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 1: But you just talked about it. We talked on Green 566 00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 1: Dot Daily. My my favorite thing about this game is 567 00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:39,000 Speaker 1: not even two or I guess it's coming up on 568 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:41,160 Speaker 1: three weeks, but it is two weeks pretty much. I'll go. 569 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,760 Speaker 1: The Patriots came here to New Jersey, they played the Jets, 570 00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 1: and the Jets huns state young. That line was minus three. 571 00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:52,760 Speaker 1: Patriots won that game. Okay, next week Buffalo comes to 572 00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:56,360 Speaker 1: New Jersey, they play the Jets. They lose. Right, everyone 573 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 1: in the world was all over the Bills. Professionals run 574 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:00,760 Speaker 1: the Jets. But the Jets in that game out right 575 00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:02,959 Speaker 1: against the Bills. Going to a bye week. Come out 576 00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 1: of the the bye week, now they're up, going up to 577 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:08,400 Speaker 1: New England and the line is only plus three. That's 578 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,040 Speaker 1: that doesn't make sense, right. Why would the line not 579 00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 1: change at all when one team was on the road, 580 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,960 Speaker 1: now at home. It's a simple fact that public likes 581 00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,200 Speaker 1: the Jets now and again, I'm looking at the app 582 00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:21,440 Speaker 1: right now, that's where the tickets are. All the people 583 00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,520 Speaker 1: are betting the Jets are taking them in their teasers. 584 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 1: This is the Patriots team that you wanted back against 585 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,560 Speaker 1: the Jets team. Historically they dominate and I'm gonna have 586 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 1: a bye week again. I love with the Jets of 587 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 1: Downe I love their defense and everything about it. The 588 00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:36,640 Speaker 1: Patriots aren't a high thrown team, and to me, that's 589 00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:39,200 Speaker 1: that's the Jets bread and butter teams. I need to 590 00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:42,440 Speaker 1: throw the ball against them again. They have arguably two 591 00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:45,200 Speaker 1: of the best corners of football right now. Sauce just 592 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,280 Speaker 1: a rookie, but he's a shutdown corner in this league 593 00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:49,720 Speaker 1: as we stand here. But I guess the run. You 594 00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 1: can't move the ball against the Jets team, and that's 595 00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:53,680 Speaker 1: how they beat them last time they played each other. 596 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 1: So to me, this line is probably more minus five 597 00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,800 Speaker 1: minus four and a half. But again, they upset the 598 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 1: Bills that was a big deal the last time people 599 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 1: saw this Jets team play. So they're looking at this saying, well, 600 00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:08,880 Speaker 1: plus three in a divisional game against a Patriot teams, 601 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:11,040 Speaker 1: it's not that good. I'll trust it. I'll just back 602 00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,120 Speaker 1: to defense here where I like it. The other way, 603 00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:15,840 Speaker 1: it's like, man, I'm getting three points here for a 604 00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,520 Speaker 1: Patriots team that knows exactly who they are. They don't 605 00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:20,320 Speaker 1: have an injury to their number one running back, their 606 00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:22,320 Speaker 1: number on running back is healthy, and he's coming out 607 00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:25,120 Speaker 1: of a bye. I just love this matchup and the 608 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:27,560 Speaker 1: perception of what people think of this Jets team right now. 609 00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:30,440 Speaker 1: So I think we're getting free value on this Patriots team. 610 00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:32,000 Speaker 1: Do we think this Linel moved to two and a 611 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,600 Speaker 1: half with all the tickets coming in on the Jets. No, 612 00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:36,280 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna go three and a half. Like 613 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,239 Speaker 1: I already know a really smart group that hit this 614 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 1: um and they had a book go up to three 615 00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:43,640 Speaker 1: and a half already, So to me, this one, this 616 00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 1: one will only go up. You know it could be wrong, 617 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:49,440 Speaker 1: you never know, UM, But now, as a professional, I 618 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,400 Speaker 1: just I just don't know why pros would come in 619 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,600 Speaker 1: and bet the Jets here unless they know something the 620 00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:55,800 Speaker 1: public doesn't know. But to me, this is just a 621 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 1: bad matchup for the Jets. I don't disagree, you know, 622 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,400 Speaker 1: it's a it's like such a short line. Your point 623 00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:06,000 Speaker 1: about the math and the spread is so good that 624 00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:08,760 Speaker 1: not not that none of has changed in the past 625 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:11,520 Speaker 1: two weeks. And then the Jets beating the Bills. That's 626 00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:16,280 Speaker 1: really it. Public perception, perception, Lions on the road at 627 00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: the Giants, Giants or three point favorites. This is an 628 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:24,480 Speaker 1: interesting one to me only because I don't trust the Giants. Yeah, 629 00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:26,800 Speaker 1: and I've lost a lot of faith in the Lions, 630 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:31,400 Speaker 1: So like I'm betwixt in between. I feel like I'm 631 00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:34,040 Speaker 1: getting sucked in the Lions. Guy couldn't believe the game 632 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 1: golf had against that barriers defense. But I had to 633 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,040 Speaker 1: pull myself back and be like, it is the Bears defense, right, 634 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 1: Like that's what I keep reminding myself for it feels 635 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,920 Speaker 1: like anyone really can move the ball against this barriers defense. 636 00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:51,440 Speaker 1: So yeah, I love the fade the Giants. Um, There's 637 00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:54,320 Speaker 1: just there's there's certain games they they're supposed to drop, right, 638 00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:56,960 Speaker 1: and this is one of those games. It's like, you know, 639 00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,600 Speaker 1: this is a lull in their season. They're begging Houston 640 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:01,479 Speaker 1: to steal the game in Houston just could simply not 641 00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 1: do it. This is like another game where I would 642 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:09,200 Speaker 1: love to fade Detroit here. I'll wait, hope that gets 643 00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:10,640 Speaker 1: back to three and a half. You can grab the 644 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:12,480 Speaker 1: three and a half. Grab Detroit, because again I don't 645 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:14,480 Speaker 1: have This won't be one of my bigger bets because 646 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,000 Speaker 1: I just I can't get it right with this giantstea eve. 647 00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:18,840 Speaker 1: Though I did get it right last week, it's I 648 00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:20,440 Speaker 1: don't think I feel like I didn't deserve to cover 649 00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:22,960 Speaker 1: last week, like I got got a little lucky there 650 00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:27,120 Speaker 1: where you know Detroit. This week we'll have to see 651 00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,720 Speaker 1: how's the luik goes along here. But if it stays 652 00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:32,280 Speaker 1: at three, I just won't touch it. But three and 653 00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:39,200 Speaker 1: a half I would take Detroit. They are a mercurial 654 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:42,800 Speaker 1: team against the mercurial team. I'd almost rather like to 655 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 1: watch Brian Dable and Dan Campbell try to out inspire 656 00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,680 Speaker 1: each other. They're gonna say fist fight. I would love 657 00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 1: to see a fist flight between those guys. I would 658 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:53,240 Speaker 1: like to see that too, but it really least like 659 00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:56,400 Speaker 1: see them try to rally their troops. Rabel will probably 660 00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 1: up there. I was thinking manly as coaches we got 661 00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 1: those two are up there though. Well, Campbell for sure 662 00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:05,040 Speaker 1: more manly than Brabel. Well, I don't think he said 663 00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:06,800 Speaker 1: he cut his dick off for Super Bowl, Chad, you 664 00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:09,640 Speaker 1: know that right? What's that Rabel? He said he'd cut 665 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:13,680 Speaker 1: his dick off to win a super Bowl? Number one? Okay, 666 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,320 Speaker 1: good question, though, it's a good question, like looking through 667 00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:22,200 Speaker 1: it like Titans, Packers, Rabel, Eagles, Colts, like Sirianni. He's 668 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:26,120 Speaker 1: not a tough guy, but he's a cool guy. Ram Saints, 669 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,440 Speaker 1: no Seriana. Seems like the kind of guy. His nose 670 00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 1: is always running in the winter, Like you know, you 671 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:32,160 Speaker 1: had that kid in class. You always had the running nose. 672 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 1: That's that's serial Bears, Falcons, no Commander's Texans. I don't know. 673 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:42,160 Speaker 1: Ron Rivera is kind of a badass. I think um Jets, Patriots, 674 00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:47,600 Speaker 1: come on, Lions, Giants. That's interesting, Dan Campbell, Panthers, Ravens, 675 00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:56,400 Speaker 1: no Brown's Bills, no Raiders, Broncos, no Bengal Steelers. Tomlin, True, 676 00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:58,560 Speaker 1: how did I forget about Tomlin? Yeah, he would just 677 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,520 Speaker 1: give you one stare. Try to keep it real. Simple, 678 00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:06,360 Speaker 1: football is a game. Business is winning. Yeah, I think 679 00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:10,239 Speaker 1: I think it's a Tomlin Vrabel Campbell. Yeah, that's what 680 00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:13,480 Speaker 1: I would think. Alright, getting back to it, your Panthers 681 00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:17,080 Speaker 1: on the road, Baker Mayfield plus twelve against the Ravens. 682 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,400 Speaker 1: That's too many points. Damn it, Chad. I'm not letting it. 683 00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:22,279 Speaker 1: I'm not letting you do it to us, all right. 684 00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:24,879 Speaker 1: I'm not putting in a Baker and the Panthers into 685 00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:27,799 Speaker 1: our contest, no matter what, putting the contest. But I 686 00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:31,560 Speaker 1: do think, Look, this is already a massive pros Joe's game. 687 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:33,560 Speaker 1: We got six percent of the tickets on the Ravens 688 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:38,000 Speaker 1: sent of the money on the Panthers, Like we are 689 00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:41,279 Speaker 1: betting the Panthers in this game. I probably won't join you. 690 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:44,680 Speaker 1: I got one too. I just Baker is so bad, 691 00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:48,680 Speaker 1: like I throwing on his tape even when he was 692 00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:50,600 Speaker 1: at the Browns. I blamed on injuries, so I gave 693 00:34:50,640 --> 00:34:52,239 Speaker 1: him a little bit of benefit of the doubt. He's 694 00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:55,600 Speaker 1: just bad. He cannot read defenses, like at least p 695 00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,839 Speaker 1: J could make simply two to three reads a game, 696 00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:01,680 Speaker 1: which doesn't sound like much, but that's a big deal. 697 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:03,800 Speaker 1: Like you can't always just go to your number one receiver. 698 00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,319 Speaker 1: So yeah, Chad's right, it's probably the right time to 699 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:09,040 Speaker 1: take them. But I'll just be a coward. I'll probably 700 00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:12,040 Speaker 1: up just doing Ravens first half or something. Um. I 701 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:15,760 Speaker 1: just I got no feel for the Panthers when it's Baker. Um, 702 00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:18,840 Speaker 1: but I would have loved it it was PJ. But Baker. No, 703 00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:24,640 Speaker 1: I'm out, Simon Hunter, professional coward? Are you so scared? 704 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:31,720 Speaker 1: Simon so scared? Pathetic? Sad? You know Mike Vrabel Rabel 705 00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:33,560 Speaker 1: would do it all right, Well, we're not gonna put 706 00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:37,600 Speaker 1: in the contest. I'm gonna bet it. 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The Buffalo 744 00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:44,560 Speaker 1: Bills eight and a half point favorites. I won't make 745 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:49,160 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell relive this past rate because that was like 746 00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:51,560 Speaker 1: to not only have it happened, but to everyone's still 747 00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:53,200 Speaker 1: be talking about it is the game of the year. 748 00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:56,319 Speaker 1: It was. You can't even turn on the television if 749 00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:58,880 Speaker 1: you're a sports fan and the Bills fan. Again, the 750 00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:00,640 Speaker 1: worst part of that Bills game, I think for those 751 00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:02,840 Speaker 1: fans was just the fact that they want to lost 752 00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 1: it like ten times, and those are the worst games 753 00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,080 Speaker 1: of experience. You keep winning games and losing It's the 754 00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:10,279 Speaker 1: same game over and over again. I don't know what's 755 00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:13,000 Speaker 1: wrong with Josh like that, that game kind of falls 756 00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 1: on his shoulders there. Those turnovers, they're a real problem 757 00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:17,960 Speaker 1: right now, Like he's on pace to add more turnovers 758 00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:20,239 Speaker 1: and he's ever had in his career. It's not like 759 00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:23,279 Speaker 1: Josh to be throwing these these just reckless interceptions. I 760 00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:25,800 Speaker 1: mean that final one, how do you shore? How do 761 00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,600 Speaker 1: you short on that one? Like again, your legs were working. 762 00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:31,200 Speaker 1: It's just Josh has these little moments, these decisions that's 763 00:38:31,239 --> 00:38:35,160 Speaker 1: just not like him. Where last year he just rarely 764 00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:37,560 Speaker 1: put himself in positions to turn the ball over where 765 00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:40,560 Speaker 1: it feels like this year's he's more confident his arm, 766 00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:42,960 Speaker 1: taking bigger risk and it's just not been working for him. 767 00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,560 Speaker 1: So in a game that we're expecting a ship ton 768 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,239 Speaker 1: of snow and bad weather, I'll take the running team 769 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,200 Speaker 1: and Nick Chubb. It's just what the hell am I 770 00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:52,040 Speaker 1: supposed to do here? I gotta take the plus eight. 771 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:54,720 Speaker 1: I hate it, like I want to back the Bills 772 00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:56,759 Speaker 1: after such a bad loss like this is usually when 773 00:38:56,800 --> 00:39:01,200 Speaker 1: they killed teams. But something, something seems all about Josh Allen. 774 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:04,120 Speaker 1: They've had three straight games now where they haven't scored 775 00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:07,560 Speaker 1: a touchdown the second half. That's not like Josh Allen, 776 00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:10,719 Speaker 1: this offense that usually make adjustments and they're more dominant 777 00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:12,799 Speaker 1: in the second half in his career. It's not been 778 00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:16,000 Speaker 1: that way this year. So eight and a half, eight points, 779 00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:17,759 Speaker 1: I'd grab it now just in case it really do 780 00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:20,400 Speaker 1: get five ft of snow up there and it's freezing cold, 781 00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:22,120 Speaker 1: and this is kind of the best game you can 782 00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:24,480 Speaker 1: imagine for a running team like the Cleveland Browns have. 783 00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:27,920 Speaker 1: But if its turns out to be alright weather, I 784 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,080 Speaker 1: will shift the other side because we just saw this 785 00:39:30,080 --> 00:39:33,399 Speaker 1: Cleveland team again some past happy team. They couldn't stop 786 00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:38,240 Speaker 1: anything on offense that the Miami team was running at them. So, UM, 787 00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:42,080 Speaker 1: I'm interested to see what the what the final info 788 00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:44,000 Speaker 1: is on what the weather system supposed to because again 789 00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:45,879 Speaker 1: it's what they're they're calling for, like fift of snow 790 00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:49,720 Speaker 1: like it, it's supposed to be insane, um this Sunday 791 00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:53,160 Speaker 1: for this game, So just get ahead of it. I 792 00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,279 Speaker 1: gotta know, is you're grabbing just like the Vikings last week. 793 00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:57,319 Speaker 1: I have no issue grabbing the number now. You want 794 00:39:57,320 --> 00:40:00,680 Speaker 1: to buy a position later on you can. I grabbed 795 00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:01,960 Speaker 1: the and I grabbed the eight and a half just 796 00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:03,719 Speaker 1: to be sick because they do see it coming down. 797 00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:05,480 Speaker 1: If it is what they're saying it's gonna be, which 798 00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:08,600 Speaker 1: is really bad weather. I'm not afraid of that. We 799 00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,440 Speaker 1: got suckered in on the Browns last week, but I 800 00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:16,400 Speaker 1: think the fundamentals still apply. Maybe we're miss judging the Dolphins, 801 00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:18,600 Speaker 1: maybe we're miss judging what it's like to play the 802 00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:22,440 Speaker 1: Dolphins in Florida. But this running game for the Browns 803 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,160 Speaker 1: is so attractive. No pressure from the Browns. I should 804 00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:27,040 Speaker 1: have said that the Browns had no pressure. Like Myles 805 00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:29,560 Speaker 1: Garrett if he's not getting home on toa again, you 806 00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:31,360 Speaker 1: can watch that game. There's just it's over like you 807 00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:33,759 Speaker 1: can't if you're not getting pressure, it's over right. So 808 00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:35,680 Speaker 1: that was the only thing I'd throw in where it's 809 00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,880 Speaker 1: like that Miami thing. I definitely got it wrong, but 810 00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 1: I thought I had a huge advantage where that Brown's 811 00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:45,520 Speaker 1: D line. They did not show up run blocking, pass rushing, 812 00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:50,080 Speaker 1: any of it. That that was truly embarrassing. The Raiders 813 00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:53,920 Speaker 1: are visiting the Denver Broncos and it looks like the 814 00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:57,760 Speaker 1: Broncos are very short home favorites about two and a half. 815 00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:02,239 Speaker 1: It's a great stat if the Bronco's offense. Ye could 816 00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:05,960 Speaker 1: have been scoring eighteen points again, eighteen points in every 817 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 1: one of their games this year. Eighteen points. They'd be 818 00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:16,160 Speaker 1: what is it? Yeah? I saw that too, I know. 819 00:41:16,920 --> 00:41:18,400 Speaker 1: I mean, I know a guy who picked them to 820 00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:20,720 Speaker 1: be the one seed this year. So I couldn't imagine 821 00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:25,000 Speaker 1: being that guy. It's it's it's tough. That wasn't me, 822 00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:29,640 Speaker 1: wasn't it was just looking at this raven I mean 823 00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:32,920 Speaker 1: not Ravens, this Raiders team. I want to fade him. 824 00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:35,799 Speaker 1: You got a QB crying at the podium. You got 825 00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:39,840 Speaker 1: a head coach that says he's heard nothing about in subordination, 826 00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:44,160 Speaker 1: and guys not wanting to be there. Um train wreck, 827 00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:48,319 Speaker 1: just an absolute train wreck. And I have to take 828 00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:51,160 Speaker 1: the Raiders here. No one's gonna join me. I completely 829 00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:53,319 Speaker 1: get it. I just have to do it in this 830 00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:55,919 Speaker 1: divisional game. Like I'm hoping it gets back to three. 831 00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:59,040 Speaker 1: That'd be amazing. I know the Raiders can score as 832 00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:02,000 Speaker 1: bad as they are. At least I know they'll be 833 00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:04,680 Speaker 1: able to score. I have no idea. What Like Denver 834 00:42:04,719 --> 00:42:06,960 Speaker 1: had a whole bye week to work it out. They 835 00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:09,239 Speaker 1: put up ten points. They looked so lost. I mean 836 00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:13,359 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson just bad sack after bad sack after bad 837 00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:15,759 Speaker 1: sack in that Tennessee game, And it was real to 838 00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:17,239 Speaker 1: where I just kept getting sucked in because I think 839 00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:21,359 Speaker 1: it was ten seven and a half and whatever, they 840 00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:23,680 Speaker 1: were down fourteen to ten. I'm like, Okay, they'll drive now, 841 00:42:23,760 --> 00:42:25,880 Speaker 1: they'll get down the field now, and it just never happened. 842 00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:28,440 Speaker 1: There's just something wrong with that coaching staff and Russell 843 00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:32,200 Speaker 1: Wilson just whatever is happening there. So yeah, I like 844 00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:34,799 Speaker 1: the Raiders. Would I put in our contest at two 845 00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:37,040 Speaker 1: and a half? Hell now? But if they're nice enough 846 00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:38,359 Speaker 1: to give us a three or three and a half, 847 00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:40,480 Speaker 1: I think might commenced chat because again, this is a 848 00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:43,520 Speaker 1: field goal game in a divisional game to bottom the 849 00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:47,640 Speaker 1: barrel teams, both very desperate teams. I love the dog 850 00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:49,440 Speaker 1: in these kind of games. So give me. Give me 851 00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:51,640 Speaker 1: that three and a half. Sports Books, that two and 852 00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:55,120 Speaker 1: a half is terrible. Yeah, that number Bengals this came 853 00:42:55,200 --> 00:43:01,359 Speaker 1: is so interesting to me. Really, Bengals five favorites on 854 00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:07,400 Speaker 1: the road at the Steelers. Look, Steelers, we nailed it 855 00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:09,840 Speaker 1: last week. We loved it. We put him in the 856 00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:12,719 Speaker 1: money line around Robin We loved it. It It three, We 857 00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:15,719 Speaker 1: loved it one and a half. T J Watt coming back, 858 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,760 Speaker 1: can you pick it? You know, two weeks to finally 859 00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:23,080 Speaker 1: play and finally practice with the first team. He's a gamer. 860 00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:27,400 Speaker 1: I love the kid. The stars aligned for the Steelers 861 00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:33,879 Speaker 1: as home underdogs. I'm less confident against the Bengals. Yeah, 862 00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:36,759 Speaker 1: and it's again it's people always like, oh, your professionals 863 00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:39,560 Speaker 1: were dead wrong about whatever was Denver last week, and 864 00:43:39,560 --> 00:43:41,560 Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, you got I mean, like, they lost 865 00:43:41,560 --> 00:43:43,560 Speaker 1: seven figures on that one, but they got it back 866 00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:45,839 Speaker 1: easily on that Pittsburgh game. They were all over that one. 867 00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:47,920 Speaker 1: They took that number from two two and a half 868 00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:51,000 Speaker 1: all the way to minus one, minus two by kickoff. Like, 869 00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:54,359 Speaker 1: no one's perfect here, but there's always a balance to this, 870 00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:58,480 Speaker 1: And I'm with you, chat. My gut instinct was, now 871 00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:00,799 Speaker 1: you take the Pittsburgh and this the visional game at 872 00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:04,920 Speaker 1: home Mike Tomblin's spot. But is it really is it 873 00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:07,960 Speaker 1: really a spot where it's like they're probably feeling pretty 874 00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:11,200 Speaker 1: good after really dominating that game against the Saints and 875 00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:14,520 Speaker 1: the Bengals. I don't know. I look at this team 876 00:44:14,560 --> 00:44:18,560 Speaker 1: as not desperate, but a little bit like looking at 877 00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:21,600 Speaker 1: the a f C. The landscape of things. The division 878 00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:23,319 Speaker 1: is getting away from a little bit, and so are 879 00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:25,480 Speaker 1: the other other seeds to get into the playoffs. So 880 00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:27,839 Speaker 1: it's a team that kind of has a fire letar 881 00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:29,520 Speaker 1: to their ass. I feel like the Bengals is gonna 882 00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:32,120 Speaker 1: be up there right now. So, um, I would love 883 00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:34,160 Speaker 1: a four, four and a half. It's sitting a five, 884 00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:37,160 Speaker 1: wouldn't wouldn't grab it yet again at worst, I worst, 885 00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:39,319 Speaker 1: I see getting up to a six. But if anything, 886 00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:40,799 Speaker 1: I see it coming down a little back. I could 887 00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:44,640 Speaker 1: see the public and some pros ben Pittsburgh here. Um again, 888 00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:47,160 Speaker 1: we'll be able to get better value. But wait, wait 889 00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:48,920 Speaker 1: on this one to get another in your report game, 890 00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:50,759 Speaker 1: we need to see how Cincinnati is coming out of 891 00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:53,560 Speaker 1: the bye week because they've had some major issues. Chase 892 00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:57,080 Speaker 1: is still out. I've read multiple beat writers he's out 893 00:44:57,080 --> 00:45:00,439 Speaker 1: for about four weeks at least, right so that would 894 00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:03,000 Speaker 1: be this would be in that window. Yeah, I think 895 00:45:03,000 --> 00:45:05,680 Speaker 1: this is number game number three frame or week number three, 896 00:45:05,760 --> 00:45:08,360 Speaker 1: so he won't be back. What we're waiting on his 897 00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:10,600 Speaker 1: defensive side. We want to see what defenders they're getting 898 00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:12,520 Speaker 1: back for since so wait and see on this one. 899 00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:16,240 Speaker 1: Don't bet the ship, alright, So we got a Pats 900 00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:20,080 Speaker 1: minus three as the foxhole. We got a Texans plus 901 00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:23,320 Speaker 1: three and a half is my executive decision. We still 902 00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:26,920 Speaker 1: owe a Simon says, and we are landing upon the 903 00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:33,839 Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys visiting the Minnesota Vikings as very short one 904 00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:39,959 Speaker 1: point road favorites. Simon, what say you, time says take 905 00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:49,879 Speaker 1: Dimon says, we do what says Cowboys, no brainer. When 906 00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:51,880 Speaker 1: the lines come out, there's just certain games you kneel 907 00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:54,239 Speaker 1: right away you're gonna probably end up being on. This 908 00:45:54,280 --> 00:45:56,279 Speaker 1: is one of those where, even like two weeks ago, 909 00:45:56,360 --> 00:45:59,200 Speaker 1: and I saw the line for this, not that I 910 00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:01,319 Speaker 1: knew that Dallas is gonna lose that game against Green Bay, 911 00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:03,160 Speaker 1: but I knew they weren't gonna cover. For the most part, 912 00:46:03,239 --> 00:46:05,480 Speaker 1: I was just thinking, Okay, I can wait. I'll be 913 00:46:05,520 --> 00:46:07,600 Speaker 1: able to get a better line on Dallas here. It 914 00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:09,680 Speaker 1: was a pick. I was wrong. They went up to 915 00:46:09,719 --> 00:46:12,239 Speaker 1: one and a half one um right after that game, 916 00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:13,680 Speaker 1: and it went up to two for a little bit. 917 00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:17,280 Speaker 1: Got that back down. People came back on the Vikings 918 00:46:17,880 --> 00:46:19,680 Speaker 1: sitting a lot of books that minus one minus one 919 00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:21,920 Speaker 1: and a half. This is shaping up people on my 920 00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:24,919 Speaker 1: bigger bets of the year just public perception bet where 921 00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:29,120 Speaker 1: it's a team in I don't know the Cowboys that 922 00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:32,920 Speaker 1: I feel like, not that people are talking about THEMBB 923 00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:35,120 Speaker 1: Super Bowl contenders last week, but they were right. They 924 00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:37,600 Speaker 1: were one of the teams putting the upper echelon. Now 925 00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:40,560 Speaker 1: after one bad loss to Green Bay, people are off 926 00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:42,399 Speaker 1: of it. People are like, no, the seams got issues, 927 00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:44,400 Speaker 1: they got holes. Is their defense really that good? They 928 00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:47,239 Speaker 1: just got torched by Aaron Rodgers who could barely throw 929 00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:51,440 Speaker 1: the ball downfield. Now they're getting Minnesota team that people 930 00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:54,520 Speaker 1: view them as being legit now right Like all every 931 00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:57,040 Speaker 1: week we kept questioning the Minnesota liking two have they beaten? 932 00:46:57,280 --> 00:47:00,000 Speaker 1: Who have they beaten? Who have they beaten? They get 933 00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:04,200 Speaker 1: a bumble at the goal line and get a win, 934 00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:06,560 Speaker 1: and now they are for real. That's how we're doing 935 00:47:06,560 --> 00:47:09,640 Speaker 1: the parameters now. So it's tough, Chad, Like what I do. 936 00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:11,920 Speaker 1: It is tough where it's like do I want to 937 00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:14,920 Speaker 1: shoot on Vikings team and they're fans right now? No, Like, 938 00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:18,680 Speaker 1: you guys are good? What are you you know? Well, 939 00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:21,120 Speaker 1: you guys think a top two, top three team in 940 00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:25,320 Speaker 1: football right now? Hell no, you guys have major problems, 941 00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:29,279 Speaker 1: major issues. Again, Josh Allen put up twenty four points 942 00:47:29,320 --> 00:47:31,400 Speaker 1: and you guys in that first half, not by himself, 943 00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:34,040 Speaker 1: they're running the ball all over you guys, like you 944 00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:38,120 Speaker 1: have major issues on this defensive side. So, um, the 945 00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:40,399 Speaker 1: big reason again this week that I'm gonna be on 946 00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:43,520 Speaker 1: this Dallas team not just because it's the bounceback spot, 947 00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:46,239 Speaker 1: but it's about in the matchup. There's different matchups that 948 00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:49,080 Speaker 1: they match up so well against his Vikings team. Again, 949 00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:50,799 Speaker 1: if you want to see a play out, you can 950 00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:53,480 Speaker 1: go to last year and watch the Cowboys played the 951 00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:56,279 Speaker 1: Minnesota Likings nack scenario. They went up to Minnesota, they 952 00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:59,239 Speaker 1: played them. The quarterback was Cooper Rush though, so if 953 00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:01,360 Speaker 1: you want to see how they scheme it up. The 954 00:48:01,440 --> 00:48:04,000 Speaker 1: defensive line has such a huge advantage here for the 955 00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:08,200 Speaker 1: Cowboys team, especially if the right now it's looking like 956 00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:11,040 Speaker 1: there might be three starting alignment out for the Vikings. 957 00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:14,600 Speaker 1: That's a big deal. So again, just going off that 958 00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:18,040 Speaker 1: already like the Cowboys, the fact that this has turned 959 00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:20,480 Speaker 1: into one of the bigger tickets the bigger public side 960 00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:24,959 Speaker 1: as well, Um not not surprising right that that people 961 00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:27,320 Speaker 1: are just like coming on Minnesota after what we just 962 00:48:27,360 --> 00:48:30,200 Speaker 1: saw them do well again win a huge game. Cowboys 963 00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:33,520 Speaker 1: in a in a big game, lost, so not surprising. 964 00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:36,800 Speaker 1: I am surprised though, that this number opened uh and 965 00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:39,600 Speaker 1: minus one minus one and a half. I thought the books, no, 966 00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:41,360 Speaker 1: they would just get the free money on the on 967 00:48:41,440 --> 00:48:44,040 Speaker 1: Minnesota and just hanging out of pick. They didn't. They 968 00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:45,879 Speaker 1: kind of let the public know that, you know, eight 969 00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:47,799 Speaker 1: and one doesn't mean ship to us, like this is 970 00:48:48,040 --> 00:48:51,520 Speaker 1: a coin flip game. Throw the records out. The Vikings 971 00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:57,040 Speaker 1: are getting the tickets, the Cowboys currently getting seventy one 972 00:48:57,880 --> 00:49:02,440 Speaker 1: of the money, so you gotta pick out of that pros. 973 00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:06,200 Speaker 1: Joe's right here. Yeah, it's just a spot. Like again, 974 00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:09,640 Speaker 1: there's nothing guaranteed. It's just one of these situations. You 975 00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:13,400 Speaker 1: just take this number every time. You're just playing the 976 00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:16,400 Speaker 1: stronger d line versus the weak offensive line, and a 977 00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:18,360 Speaker 1: team coming off the winner of the season versus a 978 00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:20,319 Speaker 1: team coming off the loss of the season. It's just 979 00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:23,279 Speaker 1: a simple spot like you don't have to think too 980 00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:26,000 Speaker 1: much into it. You just blindly take the Cowboys here. 981 00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:29,560 Speaker 1: I've blindly taken the Cowboys here, although it wasn't blind 982 00:49:29,600 --> 00:49:31,960 Speaker 1: I took him earlier this morning. I love the Cowboys. 983 00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:34,759 Speaker 1: Right now, we're we're developing a list of games we 984 00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:38,560 Speaker 1: feel pretty confident about. I feel good this week. Yeah, 985 00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:41,200 Speaker 1: Texans three and a half Pats minus three, Cowboys minus one, 986 00:49:41,640 --> 00:49:46,600 Speaker 1: Chiefs on the road at the Los Angeles Chargers. I 987 00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:51,319 Speaker 1: looked at this this morning, and look last week, I 988 00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:55,600 Speaker 1: love the Chargers at plus seven against the Niners at home. 989 00:49:56,280 --> 00:49:58,240 Speaker 1: The wise guys came in and they loved the Niners. 990 00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:00,799 Speaker 1: They moved the number up. It made no sense to me, 991 00:50:01,440 --> 00:50:05,680 Speaker 1: given the variants given justin Herbert, like too much in 992 00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:08,160 Speaker 1: play for that kind of number. I don't know if 993 00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:11,920 Speaker 1: I feel that same way about the Chiefs. Yeah, and 994 00:50:11,960 --> 00:50:14,279 Speaker 1: like I got caught. I tried playing both sides last week. 995 00:50:14,360 --> 00:50:17,360 Speaker 1: Tried playing the Charges for the game first half, and 996 00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:19,480 Speaker 1: it was just the Charges were the right side all 997 00:50:19,480 --> 00:50:21,200 Speaker 1: the way through. It's just this is when you play 998 00:50:21,239 --> 00:50:23,360 Speaker 1: the Charges. You don't play them as a three point favorite. 999 00:50:23,840 --> 00:50:25,760 Speaker 1: You don't play them when they are seven point favorite. 1000 00:50:26,040 --> 00:50:27,919 Speaker 1: You're playing when they're over a three and a half dog, 1001 00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:30,960 Speaker 1: when they're over seven point dog. They just they're always 1002 00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:33,120 Speaker 1: in it. And again I don't get what the hell 1003 00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:36,000 Speaker 1: is wrong with them, Like they held what was it? 1004 00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:37,719 Speaker 1: What was the what? They put up ten points and 1005 00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:41,520 Speaker 1: they held the four hours to sixteen points. Sixteen was 1006 00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:46,480 Speaker 1: the final score. So to me, the Herbert stuff right 1007 00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:49,640 Speaker 1: now is warranted. Right, he's not producing without his top weapons. 1008 00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:52,480 Speaker 1: But I would say to people, okay, two is out 1009 00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:54,200 Speaker 1: of the world right now. Right he's the second highest 1010 00:50:54,239 --> 00:50:58,680 Speaker 1: graded guy. Right, he's the second MVP voting take away waddle, 1011 00:50:58,840 --> 00:51:01,920 Speaker 1: take away tire kill. You don't got shipped there. So 1012 00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:05,080 Speaker 1: Keenan Allen, Mike Williams being out, I'm trying not to 1013 00:51:05,160 --> 00:51:07,000 Speaker 1: judge him right now, because that's a big deal. I 1014 00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:08,879 Speaker 1: am going to judge the coaching because I do think 1015 00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:11,480 Speaker 1: the coaching for the charge is atrocious. But what the 1016 00:51:11,520 --> 00:51:12,840 Speaker 1: hell are we gonna do here? Chat? I feel he 1017 00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:15,239 Speaker 1: just nailed. It's like as much I don't want to 1018 00:51:15,239 --> 00:51:17,200 Speaker 1: take the Chargers, I know I'm supposed to here, Like 1019 00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:19,680 Speaker 1: this is a big number against the Chiefs team they 1020 00:51:19,719 --> 00:51:22,560 Speaker 1: got lucky to cover last week. Like again, it's nothing 1021 00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:25,280 Speaker 1: they did the other team, miskicks, That's why they covered. 1022 00:51:26,040 --> 00:51:27,920 Speaker 1: I just I have to keep fading. My home is 1023 00:51:27,960 --> 00:51:30,160 Speaker 1: a big favorite usually does not cover that number. So 1024 00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:33,000 Speaker 1: I said it last week, just stuck to my guns. 1025 00:51:33,400 --> 00:51:35,320 Speaker 1: The Chargers are probably gonna be the right side again. 1026 00:51:35,560 --> 00:51:38,799 Speaker 1: I'll take it. I'll walk into it. Hopefully Key Allen's back, 1027 00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:40,719 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna grab the seven now just in case 1028 00:51:40,760 --> 00:51:42,480 Speaker 1: he does come back. I could see this number dropping 1029 00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:47,200 Speaker 1: a little bit. I took it. I felt good about it. 1030 00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:55,880 Speaker 1: South of the bottom down, Mexico away. That's where I 1031 00:51:55,920 --> 00:52:00,440 Speaker 1: feel in love. When the stars above can out to 1032 00:52:00,560 --> 00:52:09,239 Speaker 1: play South of the bottom down Mexico. Forty Niners, Cardinals 1033 00:52:09,520 --> 00:52:13,320 Speaker 1: playing in Mexico. I don't know what's going on, except 1034 00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:17,520 Speaker 1: I know this. I love Kyle Shanahan. We've talked about 1035 00:52:17,560 --> 00:52:20,800 Speaker 1: how much I love Kyle Shanahan. I hate Cliff Kingsberry. 1036 00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:23,840 Speaker 1: We've talked about how much we hate Cliff Kingsbury as coaches. 1037 00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:27,799 Speaker 1: Nothing personal. But I got a forty Niners team that 1038 00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:34,440 Speaker 1: is stacked at every single key position and service at quarterback, 1039 00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:43,759 Speaker 1: but defensive line, linebacker, defensive backfield stacked, wide receiver, running back, 1040 00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:49,080 Speaker 1: tight end, offensive line stacked. It is a roster without 1041 00:52:49,200 --> 00:52:53,759 Speaker 1: very many holes. And they're going against a Cardinals team 1042 00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:55,719 Speaker 1: that I just think isn't very good. I don't think 1043 00:52:55,800 --> 00:52:58,120 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray is very good. I think he's a great 1044 00:52:58,160 --> 00:53:02,280 Speaker 1: athlete who is not playing up to either his level 1045 00:53:03,160 --> 00:53:05,960 Speaker 1: as a skill position player or isn't being put in 1046 00:53:06,000 --> 00:53:08,160 Speaker 1: a position to succeed by his coaches who are making 1047 00:53:08,160 --> 00:53:10,560 Speaker 1: bad play calls. But all I know is that this 1048 00:53:10,640 --> 00:53:13,160 Speaker 1: is gonna be a one dimensional team on Sunday. And 1049 00:53:13,200 --> 00:53:15,600 Speaker 1: if it's one dimensional and it's Kyler Murray with the 1050 00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:18,600 Speaker 1: ball in his hand against a forty Niners team, that's 1051 00:53:18,600 --> 00:53:21,800 Speaker 1: gonna be able to rush the pasture with impunity. I 1052 00:53:21,840 --> 00:53:26,080 Speaker 1: don't mind the big number playing in Mexico. Now, I'm 1053 00:53:26,080 --> 00:53:28,239 Speaker 1: not gonna make this a bet off because I have 1054 00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:30,840 Speaker 1: that I don't have that much confidence in the Cardinals. 1055 00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:32,919 Speaker 1: But you know better. This is the This is where 1056 00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:35,880 Speaker 1: you take the Cardinals again. The books are not your friends. 1057 00:53:35,880 --> 00:53:38,440 Speaker 1: They're hanging in number without even knowing who the quarterback is, 1058 00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:41,920 Speaker 1: and they're accepting large amounts of money right now on 1059 00:53:41,960 --> 00:53:44,479 Speaker 1: this forty nine team. They are happily taking this money 1060 00:53:44,600 --> 00:53:47,520 Speaker 1: right now. So this game just stinks Holy hell to me. 1061 00:53:47,880 --> 00:53:49,319 Speaker 1: I would have been with you if it was if 1062 00:53:49,360 --> 00:53:51,560 Speaker 1: it was in Arizona, because they suck at home. This 1063 00:53:51,600 --> 00:53:53,640 Speaker 1: is where the books think they make their stand here. 1064 00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:56,080 Speaker 1: I honestly hope it's Colt McCoy. I felt like he 1065 00:53:56,160 --> 00:53:59,200 Speaker 1: ran the offense better. He got banged up, So I 1066 00:53:59,280 --> 00:54:01,520 Speaker 1: have no idea who the quarterback is gonna be for Arizona. 1067 00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:04,759 Speaker 1: Do not trust it. Do not trust this number. Don't 1068 00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:06,840 Speaker 1: fall for what Chad's saying right now. I feel like 1069 00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:09,360 Speaker 1: they're laying us a trap. Don't walk in there with Chad. 1070 00:54:09,840 --> 00:54:12,120 Speaker 1: Just wait and see or if anything, going to bet 1071 00:54:12,160 --> 00:54:14,319 Speaker 1: this game. But I agree with a lot of what 1072 00:54:14,360 --> 00:54:17,320 Speaker 1: you're saying. But my my biggest issue is Jimmy g 1073 00:54:17,640 --> 00:54:20,359 Speaker 1: I just don't like Jimmy. Don't like what I've seen 1074 00:54:20,360 --> 00:54:22,399 Speaker 1: from Jimmy this year. I don't think he recovered from 1075 00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:24,120 Speaker 1: that injury, which was like he was sitting on all 1076 00:54:24,160 --> 00:54:26,719 Speaker 1: off season. Doesn't look like he gets the ball down field. 1077 00:54:26,719 --> 00:54:28,839 Speaker 1: When he does go downfield, it's usually high and he's 1078 00:54:29,080 --> 00:54:32,959 Speaker 1: he's like receivers. I mean, Nick these incredible catches for him. Man, 1079 00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:35,759 Speaker 1: that's a big, big number in a divisional game like this. 1080 00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:37,920 Speaker 1: But I can't do it. I wish I could come 1081 00:54:37,920 --> 00:54:39,200 Speaker 1: out and be the man and be like, no, you 1082 00:54:39,280 --> 00:54:41,719 Speaker 1: take the Cardinals. I can't do it because I just 1083 00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:44,240 Speaker 1: I hate them. I'm with him like everything about this team. 1084 00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:46,600 Speaker 1: I'm trying to take away the faces and the names, 1085 00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:50,960 Speaker 1: but just such a poorly coached team of the Cardinals. 1086 00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:54,080 Speaker 1: But I will not take Kyle as a big favorite 1087 00:54:54,080 --> 00:54:56,160 Speaker 1: in a primetime game, and that served me well last 1088 00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:58,280 Speaker 1: week taking the Chargers, even though I had no damn 1089 00:54:58,840 --> 00:55:00,600 Speaker 1: idea why I was doing it. It's like you just said, 1090 00:55:00,640 --> 00:55:04,480 Speaker 1: on paper, are a healthier team. They're more complete team. 1091 00:55:04,480 --> 00:55:06,640 Speaker 1: They have all their weapons. It's the same thing here 1092 00:55:06,640 --> 00:55:09,120 Speaker 1: with the Cardinals. It's like they're the more complete team. 1093 00:55:09,160 --> 00:55:11,600 Speaker 1: They have the healthy team. Why isn't this number ten? 1094 00:55:11,880 --> 00:55:15,080 Speaker 1: Like this number should be closer to ten something something 1095 00:55:15,160 --> 00:55:19,120 Speaker 1: stinky here. So um, I'll stay away, won't won't have 1096 00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:21,080 Speaker 1: us in their contest. But me and Chatter split on 1097 00:55:21,080 --> 00:55:24,200 Speaker 1: this one. I'd go Cardinals. Cliff Kingsbury is the only 1098 00:55:24,200 --> 00:55:27,240 Speaker 1: coach in the Super Bowl era with a winning record 1099 00:55:27,280 --> 00:55:30,120 Speaker 1: as an underdog and a losing record is a favorite 1100 00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:38,080 Speaker 1: Kendall Baker's Axeo sports newsletter today, that's bizarre. I don't 1101 00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:41,680 Speaker 1: trust him. Yeah, well, look, we gave away a foxhold 1102 00:55:41,680 --> 00:55:43,799 Speaker 1: Pats minus three, we gave away a sign and says 1103 00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:47,480 Speaker 1: Cowboys minus one gave away an executive decision. Texas plus 1104 00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:50,279 Speaker 1: three and a half. On Thursday, we will do Scoochroolett, 1105 00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:52,719 Speaker 1: we will do Big Balls, We will do Moneyline Round 1106 00:55:52,840 --> 00:55:58,320 Speaker 1: Robin our Leans right now for the contest Strong Leans 1107 00:55:58,880 --> 00:56:01,919 Speaker 1: Texans three and a half, Pats minus three, Cowboys minus one, 1108 00:56:02,640 --> 00:56:05,840 Speaker 1: Thinking about It, Chargers plus seven, Saints minus four, atlant 1109 00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:10,120 Speaker 1: At minus three. I'm going to evaluate on Thursday, Browns 1110 00:56:10,120 --> 00:56:14,439 Speaker 1: plus eight and Bengals minus five. Yeah. This has been 1111 00:56:14,719 --> 00:56:18,759 Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am 1112 00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:23,680 Speaker 1: Chad Melman for producer Matt Mitchell for my bff, Simon Hunter. 1113 00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:26,719 Speaker 1: Download us an Apple podcast on Spotify wherever you get 1114 00:56:26,719 --> 00:56:29,600 Speaker 1: your podcast, rate review, subscribe meus five stars, say whatever 1115 00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:34,200 Speaker 1: you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time, Love you,