WEBVTT - FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried Pleads Not Guilty. Now What?

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Crypto, a daily Bloomberg I Heard podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm Stacy Marie Ishmael, Managing editor of Crypto for

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News. It's Friday, January six. Welcome to the first

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<v Speaker 1>segment of this Week in Crypto for three. We're kicking

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<v Speaker 1>off the year with can You Guess? I'm sure you

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<v Speaker 1>can guess. Sam Bankman Freed, the former FTX CEO, had

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<v Speaker 1>quite the wild holiday season. His company's filed for bankruptcy,

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<v Speaker 1>and November he was arrested in the Bahamas. In December,

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<v Speaker 1>Bankman Freed faces multiple criminal charges, and at least two

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<v Speaker 1>of his closest colleagues and confidence are providing evidence against him. SBF,

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<v Speaker 1>as he's commonly known, flew back to New York this

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<v Speaker 1>week after spending the holidays in California on bail. At

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<v Speaker 1>that hearing in New York on Tuesday, he pleaded not guilty,

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<v Speaker 1>as was widely expected to those charges wild times indeed.

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<v Speaker 1>Here to help me break down the top crypto developments

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<v Speaker 1>of the week and the year so far is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Senior Editor Philip Logger Coranzo. Everything from when f TX

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<v Speaker 1>started unraveling in that first week of November, it felt

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<v Speaker 1>like it went on hyper drive speed. Philip, I feel

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<v Speaker 1>like I ask you this question every single time, but like,

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<v Speaker 1>what is going on just in general? What is going

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<v Speaker 1>on in general? Yeah, I mean we have to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about SPF, don't we. It's coming to a head now,

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<v Speaker 1>dam Bankman Free's trial on those fraud charges in the

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<v Speaker 1>New York City Court room are set to begin in

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<v Speaker 1>October two quite sometimes not unexpectedly, we had the not

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<v Speaker 1>guilty ply trial set for early October, and as we

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<v Speaker 1>point out in our story, it is looking like one

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<v Speaker 1>of the most high profile white collar trials in recent memory.

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<v Speaker 1>It's exciting, it is exciting, but I'm I'm just wondering

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<v Speaker 1>about this October twenty three dates. It fields both very

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<v Speaker 1>far away in that we're recording this episode, it's the

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<v Speaker 1>first week of January, and like what, who knows what's

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<v Speaker 1>going to happen between now in October, like ten more

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<v Speaker 1>people can file for bankruptcy. But also, as my colleagues

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<v Speaker 1>on legal, our colleagues on legal have been reporting, this

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<v Speaker 1>is moving at a pretty fast clip by the standards

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<v Speaker 1>of you know, criminal prosecutions. Have you noticed this sort

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<v Speaker 1>of tension in Krypto where we spent a good chunk

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<v Speaker 1>of the end of last year hearing people say over

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<v Speaker 1>and over, oh, nobody's ever going to be prosecuted for anything.

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<v Speaker 1>Investigators are slow rolling, we don't understand why anything is

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<v Speaker 1>not why nothing is happening, and then bam, you know

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<v Speaker 1>bank when free, it's arrested. Multiple of his colleagues are

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<v Speaker 1>facing similar charges, some of them have agreed to cooperate

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<v Speaker 1>with investigators, and now we're staring down and October date.

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<v Speaker 1>Just as an editor, like, how do you sort of

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<v Speaker 1>balance these competing timelines. Everything from when f t X

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<v Speaker 1>started unraveling in that first week of November, it felt

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<v Speaker 1>like it went on hyperdrive speed. And I mean the

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<v Speaker 1>the sort of the sense you got working on these

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<v Speaker 1>stories and watching these developments when it comes to the

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<v Speaker 1>speed at which the prosecution and the s s SEC

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<v Speaker 1>and the c s C, c FTC moved um, was

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<v Speaker 1>that A they felt obviously that there was a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of evidence here. B that after the year that we've

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<v Speaker 1>had and so much going wrong, and as you said,

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<v Speaker 1>the growing spare or questions about whether or not somebody

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<v Speaker 1>would end up paying the price for everything, all the

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<v Speaker 1>billions of dollars lost hundreds of billions of dollars lost.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't I don't know what the final tally is.

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<v Speaker 1>You get the sense that there was really a sense

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<v Speaker 1>of pressure to to move quickly and make sure that

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<v Speaker 1>there was no doubt left that you know, we are

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<v Speaker 1>taking this extraordinarily seriously and you know this will not stand.

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<v Speaker 1>And then yeah, I mean, as it comes to the

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<v Speaker 1>actual trial date ten months out from now almost nine

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<v Speaker 1>and change, I don't know. That is a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more outside my my regular purview, but based on his

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<v Speaker 1>not guilty plea, um, it looks like the trial will

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<v Speaker 1>also take a little bit longer than it otherwise had,

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<v Speaker 1>even though we have some legal experts seemed to leave

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<v Speaker 1>room for the fact that he might change course during

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<v Speaker 1>this process. I have felt for the past year and

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<v Speaker 1>a bits of this as the class in this podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>that it's like running a marathon at sprint pace, which

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<v Speaker 1>people who run marathons are like, yeah, that's how fast

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<v Speaker 1>people run marathons, like they're very very fast. Actually, you're

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<v Speaker 1>just a normal person and not an Olympic athlete. Um. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so as a normal person and not an Olympic athletes,

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<v Speaker 1>it's definitely been fairly brutal, just in terms of the

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<v Speaker 1>perception that things are taking very long, but the reality

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<v Speaker 1>that actually things are moving quite quickly, because even October

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<v Speaker 1>would still be less than a year from when all

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<v Speaker 1>of those FTX companies were placed into bankruptcy protection. So that's,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, that is a pretty accelerated timeline. I want

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<v Speaker 1>to also just mention one of the to me weirder

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<v Speaker 1>slash more interesting elements of how this trial has been

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<v Speaker 1>playing out so far, and that has to do with

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<v Speaker 1>the desire for secrecy. Our colleague Jeremy Hill on the

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<v Speaker 1>Credits and Distress team has talked a lot about how

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things that bankruptcy is supposed to do

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<v Speaker 1>is provide clarity and transparency, including for things like the

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<v Speaker 1>lists of creditors. And you know, f t X has

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<v Speaker 1>taken the position that publishing the names of it's a

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<v Speaker 1>top fifty creditors could expose those folks to some kind

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<v Speaker 1>of of risk. And now bank Man Freed's lawyers, and

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<v Speaker 1>again in bank Win Freed no longer represents or speaks

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<v Speaker 1>for f t X in any capacity, but bank Win

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<v Speaker 1>Freed's own personal lawyers have sought to hide or redact

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<v Speaker 1>to use the formal phrase the names of two people

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<v Speaker 1>who have to co sign his very large bond package. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>He's he was able to be out on bail with

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<v Speaker 1>his parents in California because he has agreed to a

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred and fifty million dollar bail package, which does

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<v Speaker 1>not mean that he personally has to put up two

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<v Speaker 1>million dollars. And you know, there's we we have some

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<v Speaker 1>stories on this that we can we linked to in

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<v Speaker 1>the show notes that folks can find out how that works.

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<v Speaker 1>But it does mean that as part of it, he's

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<v Speaker 1>got to find two people who are not his family

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<v Speaker 1>who will sign on as guaranteurs. Which is that like

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<v Speaker 1>if for some reason he like tries to top on

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<v Speaker 1>a private jet to Dubai, say, then those two people

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<v Speaker 1>are actually going to be on the hook for a

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<v Speaker 1>large chunk of that change. And under ordinary circumstances, the

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<v Speaker 1>names of those two people would be public, but his

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<v Speaker 1>lawyers want the judge to hide that information from everybody else,

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<v Speaker 1>saying that they're worried that those folks might also face

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<v Speaker 1>some kind of threat or potential harm. How does this

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<v Speaker 1>square with cryptos wanted transparency. There's a lot, there's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot lately that hasn't really squared with transparency. Um. Transparency

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<v Speaker 1>was a bye word, a keyword, a buzzword for for

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<v Speaker 1>a while, until you know that the winds kind of turned. Huh.

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<v Speaker 1>I do think that. I mean it does look from

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<v Speaker 1>reading our own coverage, like and the case of his

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<v Speaker 1>Lane Maxwell there there seems to have been president for

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<v Speaker 1>keeping the identities of people back in bail bonds secret

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<v Speaker 1>in the sense where you can expect that they would

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<v Speaker 1>be subject to harassment, to threats or otherwise. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that that was the argument that SPF lawyer made

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<v Speaker 1>as well. I don't know if they referred explicitly to

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<v Speaker 1>that case, but I do know that we have mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>it in our coverage. And you know, to be fair,

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen other fallen crypto figures like the three A

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<v Speaker 1>C founders um. We also the terror USD do Quan

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<v Speaker 1>have made references to their own personal safety and and

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<v Speaker 1>threat to it um um. So it's a it's a

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<v Speaker 1>delicate balancing act, certainly, you have and in industry that

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<v Speaker 1>has always built itself as big on transparency and information

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<v Speaker 1>for all, and now you're seeing things play out very differently.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the things that happened this week was a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty robust statement from various major regulators around the risks

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<v Speaker 1>that crypto might pose two banks. And we've said on

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<v Speaker 1>the show a couple of times that robust regulatory speak

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<v Speaker 1>sounds like very mild to to normal people. It's things

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<v Speaker 1>like we have concerns, and you're like, WHOA, that's that's huge.

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<v Speaker 1>They're practically shouting um. But certainly one of the things

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<v Speaker 1>that we heard that was practically shouting this week is

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<v Speaker 1>this idea of you know, two really demonstrated the risks

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<v Speaker 1>of crypto andree you know, folks are not just going

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<v Speaker 1>to sit back and watch while other things collapse. And

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<v Speaker 1>it made me think of what you said about this

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<v Speaker 1>idea of people wanting to be seen as taken this

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<v Speaker 1>taking this very seriously, because perhaps the most vocal and

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<v Speaker 1>not unjustified criticism of policymakers last year is they didn't

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<v Speaker 1>really protect people from being burned by crypto. And it's

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<v Speaker 1>this statement, which came out from a combination of the

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<v Speaker 1>US Federal Reserve, the Office of the Control of the Currency,

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<v Speaker 1>and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corps or fd I c

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<v Speaker 1>essentially said we know we are watching and we are

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<v Speaker 1>going to be paying a lot of attention to this,

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<v Speaker 1>but it didn't come with any action, right, It just

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<v Speaker 1>said we're paying attention, here are expectations, but there isn't

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily any action attached to this specific thing. Where there

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<v Speaker 1>was action was as often happens in New York, where

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<v Speaker 1>the big finale so regulator there, which has not proven

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<v Speaker 1>to be a fan of crypto in any way, came

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<v Speaker 1>after coin base. And so for me, one of the

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<v Speaker 1>themes that's already shaping up in three is this idea

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<v Speaker 1>of what's sometimes called jaw boning, which is like a

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of people saying a bunch of stuff but not

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily doing anything, coupled with pretty strident action from states

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<v Speaker 1>regulators in the US, right, Like, this is not the

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<v Speaker 1>first time that New York has said, you know what, Feds,

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<v Speaker 1>you are taking too long, or you're not you're not

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<v Speaker 1>doing the things that we needed to do. We're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>go after this ourselves. Is there any kind of equivalent

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<v Speaker 1>tension in Europe where you're based, where like either countries

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<v Speaker 1>or certain individual regulators in certain countries are looking at

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<v Speaker 1>the relative and action of the EU and saying, actually,

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to take this into our own hands. I

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<v Speaker 1>think the main discrepancy we've seen here is between the

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<v Speaker 1>EU appears to be standing fairly firm behind MICA right now,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the market thing Crypto Assets Act, which will

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<v Speaker 1>take effect well a year from now actually, and so

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<v Speaker 1>we haven't seen to the same extent certain countries regulators

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<v Speaker 1>springing ahead. What we do see is the UK, obviously

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<v Speaker 1>post Brexit, charting its own path here, and we had,

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<v Speaker 1>for instance, members of Parliament putting some questions to finance

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<v Speaker 1>in the aftermath of the FTX fall, but it's not

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<v Speaker 1>been accentuated. I guess you call it as in the

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<v Speaker 1>States where New York regulators have you know, we're making

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<v Speaker 1>targeted moves like this one with coin base. It could

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<v Speaker 1>still happen during this year in the run up to

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<v Speaker 1>MICA taking effect, and that's actually something that I think

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<v Speaker 1>will be paying a lot of attention to. As the

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<v Speaker 1>final print gets written on MICA ahead of its launch,

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<v Speaker 1>you might see regulators. It wouldn't be completely wild for

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<v Speaker 1>some regulators to take matters into their own hands. I

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<v Speaker 1>guess it all depends on what what what happens now,

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<v Speaker 1>what happens with firms that are for instance based here.

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<v Speaker 1>But the main thing that I've seen so far is

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<v Speaker 1>the UK kind of trying to chat its own path

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<v Speaker 1>on crypto right well, now that they have a government,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see how that goes for them exactly. We'll be

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<v Speaker 1>right back with more of the week's top stories with

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<v Speaker 1>Philip Lagerkranza. There are certainly a lot of folks who

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<v Speaker 1>are hoping that bitcoin isn't going to be down another

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<v Speaker 1>six But at least so far this week in January,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not seeing a lot of trading volumes were nowhere near,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, like the highs of liquidity that we were

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<v Speaker 1>seeing around this time last year. And that's certainly an

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<v Speaker 1>indicator that a lot of folks are going to be

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<v Speaker 1>paying attention to in terms of his sentiment coming back

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<v Speaker 1>for crypto. And there's this interesting problem and it's a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit chicken and egg e here for you know,

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<v Speaker 1>folks who are enthusiasts of this asset class, which is

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<v Speaker 1>because liquidity is so thin, any price declines tend to

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<v Speaker 1>be fairly dramatic, and so you actually need a lot

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<v Speaker 1>more people coming back into the market and being willing

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<v Speaker 1>to trade to you know, get some momentum back. That

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<v Speaker 1>will mean one there's more potential for sustained upside and

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<v Speaker 1>to you, you limit your downside risk a little bit,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're not seeing that yet. But the other thing

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<v Speaker 1>is one of the reasons people aren't necessarily coming back

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<v Speaker 1>into the markets is because they spent a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>time being like there's nothing interesting to do right now,

0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:45.080
<v Speaker 1>that there's nothing, I can't take any interesting speculative positions,

0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:48.040
<v Speaker 1>like I don't know, I'm not super optimistic about what

0:14:48.160 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 1>might happen with with regulation, or you know, there's not

0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:52.560
<v Speaker 1>enough going on for me to take a position in this.

0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:56.080
<v Speaker 1>And you're hearing that from institutional investors certainly who love

0:14:56.080 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 1>an arbitrage opportunity, but also retail ones and so I

0:14:59.680 --> 0:15:01.480
<v Speaker 1>guess you know. One thing we're gonna be looking at

0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:04.400
<v Speaker 1>in our coverage is where is their activity? And certainly

0:15:04.400 --> 0:15:08.800
<v Speaker 1>a theme that we're starting to see isn't what's sometimes

0:15:08.800 --> 0:15:12.480
<v Speaker 1>known as old coins, right like the Solanas of the world,

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:17.520
<v Speaker 1>or in the case of the inevitable meme coins, there's

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:22.040
<v Speaker 1>something called bunk, which we will talk about on a

0:15:22.240 --> 0:15:25.120
<v Speaker 1>future episode. Are there any unusual coins, Philip that you're

0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:29.320
<v Speaker 1>paying attention to? Three you mentioned Solana already, it's up,

0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 1>it's a thirty. I believe UM this year alone, it's

0:15:33.560 --> 0:15:35.920
<v Speaker 1>it's by far the biggest gainer, and it was also

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:39.680
<v Speaker 1>the one that got the most pummeled by all the

0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:43.320
<v Speaker 1>top old coins in December, So in a sense that's

0:15:43.400 --> 0:15:46.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of you can you can assign that to being

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:51.040
<v Speaker 1>a bounce back from extreme pessimism embarrassness. But you do

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:55.000
<v Speaker 1>also have other coins like um light coin um that

0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:57.880
<v Speaker 1>I've done well and we we we are actually seeing

0:15:57.920 --> 0:16:00.720
<v Speaker 1>now and it's interesting to see what can we make

0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:03.920
<v Speaker 1>of this? What can we make of is it is

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 1>it just a function of when the market moves up,

0:16:07.680 --> 0:16:11.160
<v Speaker 1>al coin moves up, move up more or is there

0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:15.960
<v Speaker 1>more risk willingness creeping back into the markets, And you

0:16:16.000 --> 0:16:19.040
<v Speaker 1>know that al coins would be the first barometer or

0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the first sign that we are seeing more risk appetite

0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:29.120
<v Speaker 1>creeping back. From that perspective, it's quite interesting too to

0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 1>follow um Salona does. As you say, it is it

0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 1>is a little bit of a special case at this point.

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:37.360
<v Speaker 1>But I think if if other alt coins start catching

0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:40.960
<v Speaker 1>up to Salona's performance UM so far this year, then

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:43.840
<v Speaker 1>you know that that is something to really pay attention to.

0:16:44.240 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 1>And as you mentioned, you know you you don't want

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:51.120
<v Speaker 1>to be making too much of price advances and ald

0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:57.080
<v Speaker 1>coins without the benefit of also having ideally volumes picking up.

0:16:57.640 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 1>For Salona, volumes are definitely picking up a litt little bit,

0:17:00.840 --> 0:17:04.080
<v Speaker 1>but I think we'll want to see whether or not

0:17:04.240 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 1>that remains in the next few few days a few

0:17:07.800 --> 0:17:11.720
<v Speaker 1>weeks um, and it could be quite an important interesting

0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 1>at least it may be storyline. You've given me the

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:18.520
<v Speaker 1>opportunity to wheel out one of my favorite journalistic cliches.

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.960
<v Speaker 1>Too early to tell. Thank you, Philip, Talk to you

0:17:22.040 --> 0:17:25.120
<v Speaker 1>again soon. Thank you. You can find more of phillips

0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:33.520
<v Speaker 1>work on the Bloomberg terminal and on Bloomberg dot com.

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:36.679
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0:17:36.720 --> 0:17:39.680
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0:17:53.000 --> 0:17:56.959
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