WEBVTT - Nvidia Touts Energy Efficiency of Chips at Washington Summit

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Wait inside from the reporters and editors who bring you

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<v Speaker 1>America's most trusted business magazine, plus global business, finance and

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<v Speaker 1>tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer

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<v Speaker 1>and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Jess pulling up shairs of Nvidia on the terminal because

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<v Speaker 2>we want to talk about It's up about four percent. Listen.

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<v Speaker 2>We talk about a Hi every Day, came up at

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<v Speaker 2>a conversation that a Lisa Bramo It's had with JP

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<v Speaker 2>Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimond. You can find that by

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<v Speaker 2>the way on the Bloomberg and at Bloomberg dot Com.

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<v Speaker 2>We'll hear more too from Jamie Diamond in our next segment.

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<v Speaker 2>But when it comes to AI, there have been a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of concerns about it, when it comes to the

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<v Speaker 2>electricity demands of artificial intelligence commute computing. On that, Nvidia

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<v Speaker 2>is out today tauting the energy efficiency of its latest

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<v Speaker 2>chips and that is why you're seeing some support in

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<v Speaker 2>in video shares. As I said, Tim up about four percent.

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<v Speaker 3>Here with more on that. Bloomberg News US semiconductor and

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<v Speaker 3>networking reporter Ian King. He joins us from our San

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<v Speaker 3>Francisco bureau in we have this AI summit in Washington,

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<v Speaker 3>d C. Tell us about the event and what news

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<v Speaker 3>we got out of Nvidia, and I just want to

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<v Speaker 3>contextualize this a little bit. Torston slock over it, Apollo

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<v Speaker 3>sunds out notes all the time. He sent one today

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<v Speaker 3>that talked about data centers use twenty six percent of

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<v Speaker 3>Virginia's total power consumption. So just a little idea of

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<v Speaker 3>what we're talking about when it comes to demand of

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<v Speaker 3>these things.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, in general, Invidio in Washington trying to

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<v Speaker 4>make a pitch to government and various industries. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>if the rest of the industry is kind of trying

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<v Speaker 4>to chase them in terms of hardware and make hardware

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<v Speaker 4>as good as I kind they're already basically forging food

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<v Speaker 4>and saying, hey, no, we're going to make it possible

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<v Speaker 4>for everybody to use AI. And you know if you

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<v Speaker 4>like that, trying to shift the whole industry forward, and

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<v Speaker 4>that's why they're in Washington. But as you say, the

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<v Speaker 4>power of is a continuing kind of concern that everybody

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<v Speaker 4>has about the overall adoption of this technology, and therefore,

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<v Speaker 4>in video is trying to position themselves and their technology

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<v Speaker 4>as kind of the answer rather than the problem.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, so tell us about exactly what we got.

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<v Speaker 2>I read in your story in Blackwell chips using three

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<v Speaker 2>gigawatts of power to develop open ais GBT for software.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's a pretty big reduction from what it has used.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, this is that for their sort of illustration purposes.

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<v Speaker 4>This is they're arguing that this is more efficient. And

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<v Speaker 4>the reason they're doing that is because the previous generation

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<v Speaker 4>of Hopper chips they drew about seven hundred watts. The

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<v Speaker 4>new version that's coming to the market right now, called

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<v Speaker 4>Blackwell will draw one point three killer watts, and that's

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<v Speaker 4>obviously a lot more. So everybody's like, oh dear, is

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<v Speaker 4>this going to like cause the earth to go dark?

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<v Speaker 4>And the answer is maybe maybe not. I mean, the

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<v Speaker 4>problem Their argument is, look, it works so much faster,

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<v Speaker 4>therefore it's more efficient. And that is true in one way.

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<v Speaker 4>But if you deploy more black Wells then you deployed Hoppers,

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<v Speaker 4>then maybe we've got more overall power being drawn. So

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<v Speaker 4>there's a very nuanced argument being made here for how

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<v Speaker 4>these things should be deployed.

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<v Speaker 3>Maybe it will cause the world to go dark unless

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<v Speaker 3>we put nuclear reactors and nuclear power plants back online

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<v Speaker 3>like Microsoft Constellation are trying to do when it comes

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<v Speaker 3>to Through Mile Island.

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<v Speaker 5>Maybe.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, there are a lot of solutions, a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of to this problem, and nuclear is one of

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<v Speaker 4>the power source problems building these data centers in where

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<v Speaker 4>there's more renewable energy available. Jensen Wang, he talks to

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<v Speaker 4>about it on like a micro level, where a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of the power and is wasted in cooling these things

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<v Speaker 4>down because they get so hot. So his latest generation

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<v Speaker 4>is going to be actually water cooled, which is kind

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<v Speaker 4>of a back to the future sort of approach towards

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<v Speaker 4>this thing, and that will reduce the overall energy. So

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<v Speaker 4>there are lots and lots of solutions being offered, but

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<v Speaker 4>there's no doubt that they are absolutely needed because of

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<v Speaker 4>the path that we're on in terms of data manipulation

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<v Speaker 4>and what that means for the amount of computing that's

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<v Speaker 4>being deployed.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>There's another story today right about Google working with utilities

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<v Speaker 2>in the US and other countries to assess nuclear power

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<v Speaker 2>as a possible energy source for them. Okay, all right,

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<v Speaker 2>So it just feels like yay innovation, yay, possibly other

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<v Speaker 2>big problem. Having said that, in video, Ian also talked

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<v Speaker 2>about agent blueprints some software news. What's that all about?

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<v Speaker 2>Help us understand, help us become smarter? When it comes

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<v Speaker 2>to what end Video is up.

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<v Speaker 4>To, Yeah, I mean they're basically trying to do it

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<v Speaker 4>all for everybody. Anything that they see as an obstacle

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<v Speaker 4>towards the adoption of AI, they're coming up with a

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<v Speaker 4>solution for. It's a remarkably dynamic effort, and whether it'll

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<v Speaker 4>be successful or not, we'll see, but it's very hard

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<v Speaker 4>to fault the effort levels that are going on. What

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<v Speaker 4>an agent is. It's that kind of last mile, that

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<v Speaker 4>last piece of software where you've trained your big model.

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<v Speaker 4>You're a company, you've trained your big model, you have

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<v Speaker 4>all of the intelligence built in, but then you have

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<v Speaker 4>to have something that deals with the customer open AIS

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<v Speaker 4>general solution isn't good enough, right, You need something specific,

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<v Speaker 4>something that either will help you design a new vehicle,

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<v Speaker 4>or it'll deal with your customer service problems, or it'll

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<v Speaker 4>help you solve a drug discovery issue. And so what

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<v Speaker 4>in video is saying is, hey, we'll give you the

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<v Speaker 4>blueprints to do these so you can go even faster,

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<v Speaker 4>no obstacles towards deployment. Companies get out there and do it.

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<v Speaker 4>That's what they're doing, and hard to argue that they're

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<v Speaker 4>not foreseeing all of the problems and trying to solve

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<v Speaker 4>them right now.

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<v Speaker 2>Again, it's like, buy all our stuff and we'll make

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<v Speaker 2>AI create everything for you. I don't mean to be cynical.

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<v Speaker 2>I just feel like we're trying to find our way

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<v Speaker 2>through this.

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<v Speaker 4>No, it's not being cynical. It's absolutely on point. That's

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<v Speaker 4>what they're doing.

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<v Speaker 3>It's time for the periodic question about invidious competitors and

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<v Speaker 3>just how they're doing it.

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<v Speaker 2>We have music for that.

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<v Speaker 3>We haven't got to check in with you in a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit, but help us understand how the competitors are

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<v Speaker 3>doing and if they're even on the tracks of video yet.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, we'll find out a little bit more about that

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<v Speaker 4>this week. Where you know, the purported closest competitor, AMD,

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<v Speaker 4>they're having a conference later this week, so perhaps we'll

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<v Speaker 4>see some new hardware there, perhaps we'll see some new software.

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<v Speaker 4>We won't know, but that should give us a nice

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<v Speaker 4>update coming later in the week. But in general, terms

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<v Speaker 4>in video is generally perceived as being sort of still

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<v Speaker 4>over the horizon that everybody else is really chasing hard

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<v Speaker 4>and not really making much of a dent anytime soon.

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<v Speaker 2>If we weren't talking about Nvidea all the time, if

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<v Speaker 2>we weren't talking about intelling its woes all the time,

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<v Speaker 2>what would be the chip company that would be front

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<v Speaker 2>and center for you.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, we've just seen some song the world's kind of

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<v Speaker 4>second largest largest chip maker, depending upon what day it

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<v Speaker 4>is and how you slice it, coming out and saying hey,

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<v Speaker 4>we're really sorry, we're not good enough. We should be

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<v Speaker 4>better than this. Companies like Micron, companies like SKA Hennicks

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<v Speaker 4>have really struggled in some song's wake over the years,

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<v Speaker 4>and some songs kind of dominance has never really been

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<v Speaker 4>doubted in that kind of memoryship area. Sometimes they're admitting

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<v Speaker 4>weakness here. Admittedly Intel would like to have the kind

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<v Speaker 4>of weakness that Samsung has, which is less profits rather

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<v Speaker 4>than no profits. But that's kind of, you know, looks

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<v Speaker 4>like a change of the guard for an industry that's

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<v Speaker 4>really been set in stone for a very long time.

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<v Speaker 2>On Intel, anything that you know you're expecting any kind

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<v Speaker 2>of news on them anytime soon.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, you know, we're coming into earning season again, and

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<v Speaker 4>really this is a company that cannot afford any more

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<v Speaker 4>unforeseen disasters. I think people will be sort of pleasantly,

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<v Speaker 4>sort of reassured if they can manage to do what

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<v Speaker 4>they said they were going to do. You remember last

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<v Speaker 4>time we were significantly below forecasts. Intel really needs a

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<v Speaker 4>quarter where it does what it said it was going

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<v Speaker 4>to do to kind of help restore stability.

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<v Speaker 2>Unbelievable stuff, all right, bottom line back to Nvidia, because

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<v Speaker 2>I'm just going all around.

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<v Speaker 3>It's going to be where you're gainers.

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<v Speaker 2>It is one of my gainers. Okay, on a scale

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<v Speaker 2>of one to ten, the News in terms of importance

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<v Speaker 2>to the company's business, growth, trajectory and valuation.

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<v Speaker 4>Growth is everything, right now? Can they keep this growth going?

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<v Speaker 4>That's all anybody wants to see.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, that's all we need to know. All right, Hey, Ian,

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<v Speaker 2>thank you so much. Bloomberg News US semi conductor and

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<v Speaker 2>networking reporter Ian King. He is out there in our

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<v Speaker 2>San Francisco bure. Be sure to check out his story.

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<v Speaker 2>All of his reporting really so informed on the semi space.

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<v Speaker 2>You can find it at Bloomberg dot Com meantime and

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<v Speaker 2>video shares still.

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<v Speaker 3>Up, Yeah, three point nine percent as we speak. If

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<v Speaker 3>you check out on the Bloomberg Terminal, it's the highest

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<v Speaker 3>going back all the way to July tenth, where it

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<v Speaker 3>was out one hundred and thirty four dollars and ninety cents.

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<v Speaker 2>Anian mentioned Samsung, and you know one of the things

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<v Speaker 2>that we love to do, because they were kind of

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<v Speaker 2>a little like sorry that it was so weak or

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<v Speaker 2>some problems. But I look at the supply chain function.

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<v Speaker 2>Apples their number one customer, Best buys their second, Dell

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<v Speaker 2>is their third, so Apple about six point seven percent

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<v Speaker 2>of their revenues for Samsung. So it just makes you

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<v Speaker 2>think about be going on or whatever.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah brings us to today's at Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 5>A big take.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a story that our editorial team deems is a

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<v Speaker 3>must read. Also a must read on the Bloomberg termin all.

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<v Speaker 3>The story I most read on the Bloomberg Terminal, The

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<v Speaker 3>story takes us to.

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<v Speaker 6>Two US towns.

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<v Speaker 3>They sit on opposite sides of a year's long tariff

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<v Speaker 3>battle over a mundane product. The global economy needs to

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<v Speaker 3>keep moving, Carol, we're talking about shipping container trailers.

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<v Speaker 2>I love these stories and they're often done by our

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<v Speaker 2>Sean Donnan because it takes us across the country, tells

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<v Speaker 2>us a story, It helps explain so much. Let's head

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<v Speaker 2>to our Washington DC bureau for more. That's where we

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<v Speaker 2>do find Sean Donnan. He's Bloomberg New senior economics writer.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Sean. You do you take us across America? Tell stories,

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<v Speaker 2>explain our economy. Tell us about Pittsview, Alabama, and Poria, Virginia.

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<v Speaker 2>Why you are writing about these two areas.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, thanks so much, Carol.

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<v Speaker 7>Look it often when we talk about tariffs, we think

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<v Speaker 7>about who pays for them, or we get into a

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<v Speaker 7>debate about whether or not they're good economic policy for

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<v Speaker 7>a country. And one of the reasons economists actually hate

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<v Speaker 7>tariffs generally is that they create these kind of messy

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<v Speaker 7>fights between interest groups oftentimes, and that's really what we want.

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<v Speaker 7>We set out to kind of look at here, and

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<v Speaker 7>there is this mundane product it's incredibly important. It's the

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<v Speaker 7>thing that carries those shipping containers that has zipping by

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<v Speaker 7>you on I ninety five or other interstates, and those chassis.

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<v Speaker 7>At one point during the pandemic, when we had all

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<v Speaker 7>that supply chain logjams, they were actually in short supply.

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<v Speaker 5>There was actually a shortage of them.

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<v Speaker 7>And part of the reason for that, and a lot

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<v Speaker 7>of the ports were arguing, was these tariffs that had

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<v Speaker 7>gone into place that suddenly had stopped the imports of

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<v Speaker 7>these trailer shafts seeds that were predominantly made in China

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<v Speaker 7>at the time and by a company called CIMC. And

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<v Speaker 7>so these tariffs went into place in twenty twenty one

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<v Speaker 7>after they were lobbied for in twenty twenty by US producers,

0:11:12.080 --> 0:11:14.360
<v Speaker 7>and we look at what came next, and really what

0:11:14.520 --> 0:11:19.319
<v Speaker 7>happened there is that CIMC, this big Chinese company, tried

0:11:19.320 --> 0:11:22.400
<v Speaker 7>to set up production in the US in California and

0:11:22.440 --> 0:11:25.120
<v Speaker 7>in the tiny town in Poria, Virginia, just near the

0:11:25.120 --> 0:11:27.959
<v Speaker 7>North Carolina border in the southern part of the state,

0:11:29.000 --> 0:11:33.080
<v Speaker 7>and wanted to start doing what Donald Trump and other

0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:36.280
<v Speaker 7>advocates of tariffs would argue they'd like to see foreign

0:11:36.320 --> 0:11:38.960
<v Speaker 7>investors do, and that has created some factory jobs in

0:11:39.000 --> 0:11:42.960
<v Speaker 7>the United States. We've also, at the same time, you

0:11:43.040 --> 0:11:47.040
<v Speaker 7>had in Pitts U, Alabama, an outfit called Pitt's Enterprises,

0:11:47.080 --> 0:11:49.360
<v Speaker 7>which was one of the US companies that had lobbied

0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:50.679
<v Speaker 7>for these tariffs to.

0:11:50.679 --> 0:11:52.959
<v Speaker 5>Go into place on CIMC.

0:11:53.559 --> 0:11:58.720
<v Speaker 7>It spotted an opportunity in the shortage of trailer chassis

0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:00.360
<v Speaker 7>at the time and decided it was going to import

0:12:00.400 --> 0:12:03.440
<v Speaker 7>some from Vietnam. Well, those chassis actually turned out to

0:12:03.440 --> 0:12:07.000
<v Speaker 7>be largely Chinese customs imposed the tariffs on these Pits

0:12:07.120 --> 0:12:11.040
<v Speaker 7>Enterprise trailers that Pitts Enterprise had lobbied for in.

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:14.600
<v Speaker 5>The first place. Wait a second, keep out imports. It's

0:12:14.640 --> 0:12:15.559
<v Speaker 5>this messy fight.

0:12:15.640 --> 0:12:18.120
<v Speaker 7>And that's the whole point really here, is that when

0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:21.840
<v Speaker 7>you get these tariffs in place, you get these messy

0:12:21.880 --> 0:12:25.199
<v Speaker 7>fights that come out of them. You get these unintended consequences.

0:12:26.200 --> 0:12:29.280
<v Speaker 7>What I didn't tell you is that CIMC was then

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:33.600
<v Speaker 7>hit with its own investigation about its shassis and.

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:34.880
<v Speaker 5>Where they were coming from.

0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:36.960
<v Speaker 7>That shut down production there for more than a year

0:12:37.000 --> 0:12:39.000
<v Speaker 7>and led to a couple hundred people losing their jobs.

0:12:39.280 --> 0:12:42.240
<v Speaker 7>US workers losing their jobs. So you know, it's a

0:12:42.280 --> 0:12:45.320
<v Speaker 7>messy fights all about undintended consequences and where kind of

0:12:45.720 --> 0:12:49.240
<v Speaker 7>tariffs get you. It's complicated, but that's kind of the point.

0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:52.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm just going to say, the global supply chain, it's messy,

0:12:52.160 --> 0:12:54.880
<v Speaker 2>it's complicated. Like that's one of the big takeaways too.

0:12:54.920 --> 0:12:58.040
<v Speaker 3>And just a reminder, so net net shawan in the end,

0:12:58.280 --> 0:13:02.080
<v Speaker 3>are these towns better off now than they were pre tariff?

0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 3>Or these companies better off now? Is this company better

0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:07.280
<v Speaker 3>off now than it was pre tariff? Or if the

0:13:07.320 --> 0:13:09.520
<v Speaker 3>executives could go back in time, would they not have

0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:10.280
<v Speaker 3>lobbied for it?

0:13:11.480 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 7>So look, I think the net result potentially for the

0:13:16.240 --> 0:13:20.200
<v Speaker 7>United States when all the dust clears, is some more

0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:23.160
<v Speaker 7>manufacturing jobs in the United States. But we're talking about

0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:28.240
<v Speaker 7>a couple hundred, maybe a few thousand manufacturing jobs. And

0:13:28.400 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 7>we're also talking about higher prices for trailer chassis. And

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:34.360
<v Speaker 7>this is going to get us back into who pays

0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:36.920
<v Speaker 7>the cost of tariffs that you know, those higher cost

0:13:36.960 --> 0:13:41.120
<v Speaker 7>schassis mean that it's more expensive to transport goods around

0:13:41.160 --> 0:13:44.200
<v Speaker 7>the United States, which means higher prices for consumers. It

0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:48.079
<v Speaker 7>should be said that right now in Emporia, Virginia, they're

0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:52.280
<v Speaker 7>just starting to get back to work. CIMC was eventually

0:13:52.360 --> 0:13:57.000
<v Speaker 7>cleared and they're ramping up production in Pittsview, Alabama. They're

0:13:57.120 --> 0:14:01.960
<v Speaker 7>still facing a terror bill in the tens of millions

0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:05.920
<v Speaker 7>for these trailers that they imported, and they've lost something

0:14:05.920 --> 0:14:08.400
<v Speaker 7>like two hundred and fifty million dollars in revenues and

0:14:08.440 --> 0:14:10.959
<v Speaker 7>they're still fighting this in federal court.

0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:13.240
<v Speaker 5>And if they lose that fight.

0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:15.400
<v Speaker 7>That's not going to be good for the company or

0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:17.000
<v Speaker 7>the people of Pittsview, Alabama.

0:14:17.120 --> 0:14:18.839
<v Speaker 3>One thing that we've also seen sean in the wake

0:14:18.880 --> 0:14:21.280
<v Speaker 3>of tariffs being slapped on Chinese companies during the Trump

0:14:21.280 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 3>administration those tariffs largely being kept in place by the

0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 3>Biden administration is the surgeon manufacturing over the border in Mexico.

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 3>So not necessarily bringing jobs to the US is it

0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:36.920
<v Speaker 3>was intended, but Chinese companies setting up shop just over

0:14:36.960 --> 0:14:41.160
<v Speaker 3>the border and then importing certain goods across the border

0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:42.280
<v Speaker 3>to get around those tariffs.

0:14:43.080 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, and look that is we're seeing that in all

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:48.040
<v Speaker 7>sorts of different sectors. That's one of the big concerns

0:14:48.040 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 7>that Donald Trump talks about when he talks about Chinese evs,

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:54.640
<v Speaker 7>that they will start producing them in Mexico and avoid

0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:59.160
<v Speaker 7>tariffs and coming into the US that way. In the

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.680
<v Speaker 7>case of trailer sh sassis, there has been some production

0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:05.320
<v Speaker 7>that's ramped up in Mexico apparently, and some of the

0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 7>US producers are taking advantage of cheaper production in Mexico.

0:15:11.160 --> 0:15:13.800
<v Speaker 7>It's you know, it's a complicated picture, and I hate

0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:15.920
<v Speaker 7>to keep saying that, but part you know, one of

0:15:15.960 --> 0:15:18.120
<v Speaker 7>the reasons it's complicated as well is that we've seen

0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:20.360
<v Speaker 7>a bit of a trucking recession here in the United States,

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:23.800
<v Speaker 7>and things have slowed down a bit in terms of

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:28.520
<v Speaker 7>the movement of goods. There may be too many chassis

0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:31.520
<v Speaker 7>that were produced or brought in at one point, so

0:15:31.560 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 7>that may be a bit of a glut of chassis,

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:35.960
<v Speaker 7>but that can all turn around very quickly. One of

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 7>the things we heard in the lead up to this

0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:40.920
<v Speaker 7>port strike, for example recently, is that people were again

0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:43.440
<v Speaker 7>worried that there might be a shortage of chassis because

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:46.200
<v Speaker 7>when shipping containers sit around, they usually have to sit

0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:49.080
<v Speaker 7>on some wheels, and that means that those chassis can't

0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 7>be used to move other shipping containers, and that means

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:55.760
<v Speaker 7>all of a sudden you get a shortage and more logjam.

0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:58.520
<v Speaker 2>You know, one of the things you reference to the

0:15:58.640 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 2>idea of you know, being a as a manufacturer here

0:16:01.800 --> 0:16:04.800
<v Speaker 2>in the United States or US based manufacturer, you know,

0:16:04.800 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 2>who do tap into the global supply change on is

0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:10.560
<v Speaker 2>that being able to say made in America and the

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:13.520
<v Speaker 2>rules around that. I guess what I want to pose

0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:16.120
<v Speaker 2>to you, and I'm not sure forgive me if you've

0:16:16.120 --> 0:16:18.240
<v Speaker 2>got an answer, But I mean, does it matter to

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.920
<v Speaker 2>the American public? I will say increasingly, I am looking

0:16:21.920 --> 0:16:25.520
<v Speaker 2>at where things are made. But I just wonder for

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 2>most Americans doesn't matter? Do they care? You know, they

0:16:30.080 --> 0:16:32.880
<v Speaker 2>might say, if you were asked, you know, would you

0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:35.920
<v Speaker 2>rather support American jobs versus non American jobs? And people

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:37.760
<v Speaker 2>might say yes. But would you rather pay for cheaper

0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 2>goods that are made outside of America than others? They

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:42.200
<v Speaker 2>probably would say yes to that too. So I'm just

0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:44.960
<v Speaker 2>curious if this issue matters.

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:45.840
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:48.000
<v Speaker 7>Look, I think the answer is all over the place

0:16:48.400 --> 0:16:50.280
<v Speaker 7>on this, and I think surveys are all over the

0:16:50.320 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 7>place on this. You'll often see consumer surveys. Let's say,

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:56.400
<v Speaker 7>people are willing to spend more if a product is

0:16:56.440 --> 0:17:00.240
<v Speaker 7>American made, But then you know, people go to Best Buy,

0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:03.920
<v Speaker 7>go to Walmart buy a new TV, and that TV

0:17:04.119 --> 0:17:06.640
<v Speaker 7>typically is not made in the United States. It's typically

0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:10.440
<v Speaker 7>made in China or somewhere in Asia. And it is

0:17:10.640 --> 0:17:14.080
<v Speaker 7>that cheap, and it is that big for that cheap

0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:16.919
<v Speaker 7>because it was made overseas. So I think on a Sunday,

0:17:16.920 --> 0:17:20.399
<v Speaker 7>when people sit down to watch the NFL, they don't

0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:24.520
<v Speaker 7>necessarily care about how where that TV was made. They

0:17:24.520 --> 0:17:27.240
<v Speaker 7>care about what a bargain they got and how big

0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:29.320
<v Speaker 7>that TV is and how big those players look on

0:17:29.359 --> 0:17:30.520
<v Speaker 7>their living room wall.

0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:33.200
<v Speaker 3>Just thirty seconds. The workers though, they.

0:17:33.040 --> 0:17:38.120
<v Speaker 7>Care, Yeah, the workers, the workers absolutely care. But look

0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:41.760
<v Speaker 7>one of the stories of and it's totally true that

0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:46.919
<v Speaker 7>we saw a real de industrialization in parts of America

0:17:47.200 --> 0:17:49.640
<v Speaker 7>in the early two thousands as a result of these

0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:54.600
<v Speaker 7>jobs going overseas. But the reality, unfortunately, is that the

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:58.440
<v Speaker 7>number of workers who lost their jobs is much smaller

0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:01.800
<v Speaker 7>than the number of consumers who have benefited from.

0:18:03.480 --> 0:18:05.240
<v Speaker 5>Broader, cheaper prices.

0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:08.600
<v Speaker 7>We are having a huge political debate about this because

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:10.120
<v Speaker 7>the question is where the balance sits.

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:12.600
<v Speaker 2>Well, another story from you with a snapshot of America

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:14.679
<v Speaker 2>to tell a larger story that is certainly part of

0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:17.960
<v Speaker 2>our political narrative. Shawandan and Bloomberg New Senior Economics writer

0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:19.400
<v Speaker 2>on Today's Bloomberg Big Take.

0:18:21.440 --> 0:18:25.320
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. Listen live

0:18:25.400 --> 0:18:28.199
<v Speaker 1>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Apple car

0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:31.280
<v Speaker 1>Play and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business Ad. You

0:18:31.320 --> 0:18:34.600
<v Speaker 1>can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship

0:18:34.640 --> 0:18:38.440
<v Speaker 1>New York station, Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:18:40.480 --> 0:18:42.720
<v Speaker 3>It is time for another edition of Bloomberg Plugged In.

0:18:42.760 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 3>It's your weekly look at EV's Carol. You'll remember on Friday. Yes,

0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 3>Rivian was one of my decliners during simulcast. Shares taw

0:18:49.560 --> 0:18:51.359
<v Speaker 3>close to nine percent. The company said it had to

0:18:51.480 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 3>drastically cut its twenty twenty four production targets over yet

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:59.200
<v Speaker 3>another supply chain hiccup. Analysts Ed Ludlow and Kyle porter

0:18:59.280 --> 0:19:02.160
<v Speaker 3>Wright were puzzled as to why Rivian had to do

0:19:02.200 --> 0:19:04.960
<v Speaker 3>such a thing. Ed love thoughs co host of Bloomberg

0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:06.879
<v Speaker 3>Technology on Bloomberg TV. He joins us from our San

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.480
<v Speaker 3>Francisco bureau. You and Kyle got to the bottom of

0:19:09.480 --> 0:19:11.959
<v Speaker 3>this d What happened here with the supply chain hiccup?

0:19:12.600 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 8>Something's been going on at Rivian for a little while,

0:19:15.040 --> 0:19:18.800
<v Speaker 8>and we've been kind of drip fed information, and by

0:19:18.960 --> 0:19:21.119
<v Speaker 8>Friday we knew it was something to do with the

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:25.359
<v Speaker 8>electric vehicle motor electric motor that they make. It was

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:30.360
<v Speaker 8>a specific single part for a single supplier, and we

0:19:30.480 --> 0:19:33.040
<v Speaker 8>just got to the bottom of it. The single part

0:19:33.240 --> 0:19:36.520
<v Speaker 8>is copper windings, and we can talk about what copper

0:19:36.560 --> 0:19:41.720
<v Speaker 8>windings are. The single supplier, according to sources, is Essex

0:19:41.760 --> 0:19:45.480
<v Speaker 8>for Akawa, and the backstory to how they ended up

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:48.959
<v Speaker 8>in this pickle is quite a backstory indeed.

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:52.160
<v Speaker 2>All right, so how did they get here?

0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:55.879
<v Speaker 8>Okay, let's do this as simply as we can. Okay,

0:19:56.320 --> 0:20:00.760
<v Speaker 8>Earlier this year, Rivian made a mistake. They did a

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:07.320
<v Speaker 8>booboo and they miscalculated how much copper they would need

0:20:07.680 --> 0:20:11.199
<v Speaker 8>for the electric motors that they made in house. So

0:20:12.200 --> 0:20:16.919
<v Speaker 8>it was an error. They phoned up their supplier, for

0:20:17.000 --> 0:20:20.240
<v Speaker 8>want of a better explanation, Essex, and were like, this

0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:23.280
<v Speaker 8>is how much we need and they got it wrong.

0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:26.919
<v Speaker 8>So Essex has other customers. They sell copper wire to

0:20:27.520 --> 0:20:30.400
<v Speaker 8>all kinds of ev makers, and so they just got

0:20:30.440 --> 0:20:33.200
<v Speaker 8>on with their business. They assigned their machines that make

0:20:33.400 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 8>the copper windings to other people. So when Rivian realized

0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:40.040
<v Speaker 8>its mistake. It went back to Essex was like, yeah,

0:20:40.080 --> 0:20:42.919
<v Speaker 8>we got it wrong. We need lots more. Can you

0:20:43.040 --> 0:20:45.480
<v Speaker 8>do that? And they were like no, no, we can't.

0:20:46.040 --> 0:20:49.520
<v Speaker 8>And so Rivian literally just learned the hard way that

0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:52.720
<v Speaker 8>you can't do that, and now it's left unable to

0:20:52.800 --> 0:20:55.920
<v Speaker 8>make its motors, and without its motors, it can't build

0:20:55.960 --> 0:20:56.439
<v Speaker 8>its cars.

0:20:56.840 --> 0:21:00.879
<v Speaker 3>Copper windings ed, are these found in all electric motors?

0:21:01.000 --> 0:21:02.840
<v Speaker 3>Are we familiar with some of we've taken apart, like

0:21:02.880 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 3>we had electric electric cars when we were kids, like

0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:07.320
<v Speaker 3>remote control cars exactly.

0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:10.040
<v Speaker 8>The very serious part of this story is that it's

0:21:10.080 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 8>the absolute crucial part of the electric motor. In simple terms,

0:21:14.520 --> 0:21:18.119
<v Speaker 8>the copper windings go on to the rotor around the

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:21.080
<v Speaker 8>metal core of a motor. You run an electric current

0:21:21.119 --> 0:21:25.400
<v Speaker 8>through it. It makes an electro mechanical field and that's

0:21:25.440 --> 0:21:28.760
<v Speaker 8>what spins the motor. And if you were to tear

0:21:28.760 --> 0:21:31.240
<v Speaker 8>a motor apart, you would be familiar with the image.

0:21:31.280 --> 0:21:33.760
<v Speaker 8>You just basically see lots of copper wire wound round

0:21:33.800 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 8>and round around around. Every ev has a motor in

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:40.119
<v Speaker 8>it that has that kind of copper And so you know,

0:21:40.200 --> 0:21:42.359
<v Speaker 8>a lot of people ask me a lot of questions

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:44.760
<v Speaker 8>along the way, even after we broke the story, like,

0:21:45.080 --> 0:21:48.040
<v Speaker 8>how could this possibly have happened? Because this is the

0:21:48.119 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 8>absolute integral part of an EV motor that Rivian makes itself,

0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 8>and a part of it, of course, is the risk

0:21:55.119 --> 0:21:57.600
<v Speaker 8>of only having one supplier in that domain.

0:21:58.280 --> 0:22:01.199
<v Speaker 2>It's yes, so well, I guess it says to me.

0:22:01.359 --> 0:22:04.639
<v Speaker 2>Though then internally the company has to make sure it

0:22:04.640 --> 0:22:06.560
<v Speaker 2>gets it right right, Like there are people who are

0:22:06.560 --> 0:22:10.359
<v Speaker 2>in charge of figuring out, okay, what's our production demands?

0:22:10.480 --> 0:22:13.080
<v Speaker 2>Our needs to make sure that there is no next

0:22:13.119 --> 0:22:15.520
<v Speaker 2>And we know companies are lean and mean and just

0:22:15.600 --> 0:22:17.520
<v Speaker 2>in time inventory, we talk about it all the time

0:22:17.560 --> 0:22:19.199
<v Speaker 2>and so on and so forth. But if it's so

0:22:19.320 --> 0:22:21.439
<v Speaker 2>crucial and there's only one place they can get it,

0:22:21.560 --> 0:22:23.440
<v Speaker 2>they've got to get it right. So does this say

0:22:23.480 --> 0:22:28.200
<v Speaker 2>something about Rivian's internal management of the company?

0:22:28.359 --> 0:22:31.399
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, and something really? Does you know? Rivian made a

0:22:31.440 --> 0:22:35.000
<v Speaker 8>mistake right, And they've been a really sexy company to

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:38.360
<v Speaker 8>read about to cover people so interested, But they are

0:22:38.480 --> 0:22:42.960
<v Speaker 8>a startup right in experience, most OEMs or sorry automakers

0:22:43.080 --> 0:22:45.879
<v Speaker 8>would have several suppliers, but if you're only building a

0:22:45.880 --> 0:22:48.399
<v Speaker 8>few cars a year, you don't need them, So they

0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:50.960
<v Speaker 8>just had one, and yeah, they learned the hard way.

0:22:51.640 --> 0:22:53.720
<v Speaker 3>Are their companies affected by this shortage?

0:22:54.520 --> 0:22:56.960
<v Speaker 8>But this is the thing, this isn't an industry problem.

0:22:57.000 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 8>This is a Rivian problem calculated right right, And you

0:23:02.119 --> 0:23:06.320
<v Speaker 8>know again, with time and volume and experience, you know

0:23:06.480 --> 0:23:09.640
<v Speaker 8>Rivian will learn its lesson. And they did actually try

0:23:09.680 --> 0:23:13.120
<v Speaker 8>to sort of triage this. They went and found backup

0:23:13.160 --> 0:23:16.000
<v Speaker 8>supplier that could have provided the copper. But of course

0:23:16.240 --> 0:23:19.000
<v Speaker 8>what did the supplier say, Oh, sure you can have

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:21.399
<v Speaker 8>the copper, but we'll charge you this amount for it.

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:23.480
<v Speaker 8>And it's just not economical for Rivian.

0:23:24.320 --> 0:23:26.520
<v Speaker 2>So when do they get back on track? When does

0:23:26.600 --> 0:23:28.720
<v Speaker 2>this kind of well figure its way out here?

0:23:29.040 --> 0:23:31.359
<v Speaker 8>Unfortunately, I don't have an answer for you. What the

0:23:31.359 --> 0:23:33.840
<v Speaker 8>official line from Rivian is is that the problem is

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:36.479
<v Speaker 8>more acute than it was earlier in the quarter, and

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:40.000
<v Speaker 8>it's ongoing. So there isn't an answer. They're just going

0:23:40.080 --> 0:23:42.520
<v Speaker 8>to have to wait until Essex is able to provide them.

0:23:42.520 --> 0:23:45.359
<v Speaker 8>But what we know is the original production target was

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:48.240
<v Speaker 8>fifty seven thousand EV's this year, it's now a range

0:23:48.280 --> 0:23:51.080
<v Speaker 8>of forty seven to forty nine thousand. In other words,

0:23:51.119 --> 0:23:53.720
<v Speaker 8>they're cutting the target by ten thousand vehicles.

0:23:53.840 --> 0:23:57.240
<v Speaker 3>Where's what's being cut? Is it the Amazon vans? Is

0:23:57.280 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 3>it the r one good question?

0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:00.639
<v Speaker 5>The suv? Is it the pick up? What is it?

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:01.680
<v Speaker 1>Here?

0:24:01.800 --> 0:24:05.119
<v Speaker 8>Is why it's such a pickle. The enduro motor is

0:24:05.200 --> 0:24:09.040
<v Speaker 8>common to all three lines, so they're shutting down the whole.

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:13.320
<v Speaker 3>Place, which which you know, ostensibly is an advantage to

0:24:13.400 --> 0:24:16.040
<v Speaker 3>the company that it would have, you know, the same parts,

0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:19.800
<v Speaker 3>the same technology in all of its products. But in

0:24:19.800 --> 0:24:22.160
<v Speaker 3>this case enough so much ed Yes.

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:25.120
<v Speaker 8>In this case, the commonality means that if they can't

0:24:25.119 --> 0:24:28.199
<v Speaker 8>build any enduro motors, they won't have enough. I guess

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:31.080
<v Speaker 8>it's also like they have They probably have some copper,

0:24:31.359 --> 0:24:33.160
<v Speaker 8>but they don't have it at the volume that they

0:24:33.200 --> 0:24:36.879
<v Speaker 8>need to meet their original targets. They could be selective,

0:24:36.920 --> 0:24:40.880
<v Speaker 8>I suppose, and I guess, you know, give preferential treatment

0:24:40.880 --> 0:24:43.040
<v Speaker 8>to the consumer cars rather than the van that they

0:24:43.040 --> 0:24:46.240
<v Speaker 8>make for Amazon. But again, it's kind of like either

0:24:46.320 --> 0:24:49.919
<v Speaker 8>you call it teething problems inexperience, or you call it

0:24:49.960 --> 0:24:52.480
<v Speaker 8>embarrassing and a blunder. But it's not good.

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:55.360
<v Speaker 2>Can they recover? Do we have any good guess yet

0:24:55.440 --> 0:24:55.760
<v Speaker 2>on that?

0:24:56.200 --> 0:24:58.600
<v Speaker 8>You know that the cell side worry is that this

0:24:58.600 --> 0:25:01.720
<v Speaker 8>this bleeds into next year. You know, there's no guarantee

0:25:01.720 --> 0:25:03.719
<v Speaker 8>that Essex can kind of turn around and fix the

0:25:03.720 --> 0:25:08.600
<v Speaker 8>issue in any stated or given timeframe. What the outstanding

0:25:08.640 --> 0:25:11.560
<v Speaker 8>question is is Rivian had self declared that they were

0:25:11.600 --> 0:25:14.399
<v Speaker 8>going to achieve this milestone of a gross profit in

0:25:14.440 --> 0:25:17.280
<v Speaker 8>the final three months of this year, and psychologically that

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:20.159
<v Speaker 8>probably would have been great, particularly for the stock, and

0:25:20.200 --> 0:25:22.399
<v Speaker 8>there is a lot of doubt now that that will happen.

0:25:23.640 --> 0:25:26.359
<v Speaker 2>Sounds pretty rough. I feel like it's been a little

0:25:26.400 --> 0:25:29.160
<v Speaker 2>bit rough too for Elon when it comes to the Robotaxi.

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:33.840
<v Speaker 2>But he's got a big wish. I see anybody who

0:25:33.840 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 2>can say pickle I can be a little spicy. So

0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:38.280
<v Speaker 2>having said that, this is supposed to be a big

0:25:38.320 --> 0:25:41.119
<v Speaker 2>week or what are we expecting when it comes to

0:25:41.119 --> 0:25:43.160
<v Speaker 2>the robotaxi.

0:25:42.560 --> 0:25:45.000
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean similar to what we discussed the other week.

0:25:45.000 --> 0:25:46.159
<v Speaker 8>I think this is going to be one of the

0:25:46.200 --> 0:25:50.359
<v Speaker 8>bigger weeks in my career covering technology. Either Tesla is

0:25:50.400 --> 0:25:53.159
<v Speaker 8>going to deliver something or they're not and not deliver

0:25:53.520 --> 0:25:58.200
<v Speaker 8>in terms of handover to someone deliver to the market's expectations.

0:25:58.760 --> 0:26:02.280
<v Speaker 8>Elon has been talking about a vehicle that can drive

0:26:02.320 --> 0:26:06.120
<v Speaker 8>itself for many years and the event on Thursday night,

0:26:07.200 --> 0:26:11.320
<v Speaker 8>Build we Robot is what it's being called. You know

0:26:11.960 --> 0:26:14.520
<v Speaker 8>what the minimum expectation is is that we see a

0:26:14.560 --> 0:26:20.000
<v Speaker 8>purpose designed ROBOTAXI called Cybercab that is somehow unique and

0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:23.280
<v Speaker 8>evidence that they're moving toward a world where Tesla doesn't

0:26:23.280 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 8>sell cars to consumers. Tesla operates a proprietary ride hailing

0:26:27.880 --> 0:26:31.760
<v Speaker 8>app app where there are a fleet of robotaxis on there.

0:26:32.080 --> 0:26:34.280
<v Speaker 8>And it's really hard still to see the jump.

0:26:36.280 --> 0:26:40.359
<v Speaker 3>What happens on Thursday, ed I are you going to

0:26:40.440 --> 0:26:40.720
<v Speaker 3>be there?

0:26:40.880 --> 0:26:41.200
<v Speaker 8>Okay?

0:26:41.280 --> 0:26:42.119
<v Speaker 3>So do and other things.

0:26:42.160 --> 0:26:44.720
<v Speaker 8>You're pretty busy, so I am going to be in

0:26:44.760 --> 0:26:48.880
<v Speaker 8>the greater Los Angeles area. I'll say that our colleagues

0:26:48.880 --> 0:26:51.560
<v Speaker 8>at Bloomberg an EF Andrew Grant really like him. He's

0:26:51.640 --> 0:26:54.440
<v Speaker 8>just such a smart analyst, has put out his preview.

0:26:54.960 --> 0:26:56.960
<v Speaker 8>All I'll say is that Dana Hole and I will

0:26:56.960 --> 0:27:00.080
<v Speaker 8>put out some thoughts and some reporting ahead of the

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:03.359
<v Speaker 8>then soon and you guys, maybe we can check in

0:27:03.359 --> 0:27:04.160
<v Speaker 8>after we put that out.

0:27:04.200 --> 0:27:06.760
<v Speaker 5>Are we going to see you this?

0:27:07.119 --> 0:27:10.080
<v Speaker 8>You can see me where I'll be standing and coming

0:27:10.119 --> 0:27:12.399
<v Speaker 8>to you live from. I think very much remains up

0:27:12.400 --> 0:27:12.680
<v Speaker 8>in the.

0:27:12.640 --> 0:27:17.200
<v Speaker 3>Air, all right, Yeah, it's just h enough hints, I think.

0:27:18.560 --> 0:27:20.000
<v Speaker 3>But you know the reason I ask is we'll be

0:27:20.040 --> 0:27:21.920
<v Speaker 3>in the greater Los Angeles area as well.

0:27:21.960 --> 0:27:23.639
<v Speaker 5>You will, so I don't know.

0:27:23.800 --> 0:27:25.600
<v Speaker 3>So we'll see if we'll see if we see ed.

0:27:26.280 --> 0:27:27.960
<v Speaker 2>Are we going to hear anything else? Are we going

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:30.119
<v Speaker 2>to hear anything though, on anything else within the Tesla

0:27:30.240 --> 0:27:32.960
<v Speaker 2>universe chargers for example? Like is there other stuff that much?

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:33.119
<v Speaker 4>You know?

0:27:34.080 --> 0:27:36.800
<v Speaker 8>My feeling is that Elon's going to try and tell

0:27:36.800 --> 0:27:39.320
<v Speaker 8>a story that ties all of the arms of the

0:27:39.359 --> 0:27:42.399
<v Speaker 8>business together. So I wouldn't be surprised if we hear

0:27:42.440 --> 0:27:46.600
<v Speaker 8>about the Optimus robot program, their work on artificial intelligence

0:27:46.680 --> 0:27:49.920
<v Speaker 8>generally speaking, and then how all of that feeds into

0:27:49.960 --> 0:27:53.720
<v Speaker 8>a future where they're building robotaxis in service of this

0:27:53.880 --> 0:27:56.920
<v Speaker 8>ride hailing service. That's going to be really interesting because

0:27:57.119 --> 0:27:59.119
<v Speaker 8>now investors are going to have to say, Okay, how

0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:00.639
<v Speaker 8>long are we going to be waited on this for

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:04.280
<v Speaker 8>and what's the funding of that dream going to look like?

0:28:06.240 --> 0:28:08.560
<v Speaker 2>Or if there's a tim robot in his future?

0:28:08.720 --> 0:28:10.280
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I wish can it do dishes?

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:11.000
<v Speaker 3>That's all I want?

0:28:11.480 --> 0:28:13.480
<v Speaker 2>All right, Listen, We're gonna look forward to your reporting,

0:28:13.520 --> 0:28:16.440
<v Speaker 2>no doubt about that. Fun stuff. Wherever you may be

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:19.439
<v Speaker 2>or whatever you may be doing, we will certainly be

0:28:19.520 --> 0:28:21.919
<v Speaker 2>checking out all right, ed, Thank you so much, Be

0:28:22.000 --> 0:28:25.080
<v Speaker 2>well ed. Ludlow Safe Travels, co host of Bloomberg Technology

0:28:25.080 --> 0:28:28.320
<v Speaker 2>on Bloomberg Television, joining us from San Francisco. Catch him

0:28:28.800 --> 0:28:32.000
<v Speaker 2>and Caroline Hide every day at eleven am Wall Street

0:28:32.040 --> 0:28:34.639
<v Speaker 2>Time on Bloomberg Television. The latest and greatest when it

0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:41.040
<v Speaker 2>comes to all things technology. M brother Marc a journal

0:28:42.080 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 2>How about you let me drive?

0:28:43.560 --> 0:28:45.320
<v Speaker 5>No, no, no, no, who's going to drive?

0:28:45.640 --> 0:28:48.920
<v Speaker 1>Honey? Please do gravels.

0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 6>Let's wat I want to drive. It's a good question.

0:28:57.560 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 6>This is the drive to the clone long to music well.

0:29:02.760 --> 0:29:04.000
<v Speaker 1>On Bluebirg Radio.

0:29:05.560 --> 0:29:09.040
<v Speaker 3>TikTok everyone, it is that time. It is look at

0:29:09.040 --> 0:29:11.760
<v Speaker 3>that less than twenty minutes ago to the close of

0:29:11.800 --> 0:29:15.240
<v Speaker 3>trading here in New York City. Let's get to it.

0:29:15.360 --> 0:29:18.320
<v Speaker 3>We got Larry Patowski with US, managing partner and portfolio

0:29:18.360 --> 0:29:22.000
<v Speaker 3>manager over at Goodhaven Capital Management, joining us from Millbourne,

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:22.560
<v Speaker 3>New Jersey.

0:29:22.640 --> 0:29:23.360
<v Speaker 5>Larry, how are you?

0:29:24.320 --> 0:29:24.920
<v Speaker 6>I am well?

0:29:25.040 --> 0:29:25.719
<v Speaker 5>Tim? How are you?

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 3>We're doing pretty well? A little bit of a sell

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:31.840
<v Speaker 3>off yesterday and a little bit of a recovery today.

0:29:32.160 --> 0:29:32.560
<v Speaker 5>Rates.

0:29:32.960 --> 0:29:36.600
<v Speaker 3>We talked about him earlier today with Michael McKenzie tenure

0:29:37.200 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 3>back up that four percent important milestone, important marker. How

0:29:42.040 --> 0:29:43.680
<v Speaker 3>are you thinking about the environment right now?

0:29:45.480 --> 0:29:50.040
<v Speaker 9>You know, hey, Carol Tim, it seems to me that

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:53.640
<v Speaker 9>we've got an environment where inflation has come down dramatically,

0:29:54.280 --> 0:29:57.960
<v Speaker 9>that has reduced interest rates and seems to be considering

0:29:58.000 --> 0:29:59.040
<v Speaker 9>reducing them further.

0:29:59.160 --> 0:30:02.800
<v Speaker 6>The economy scene, Okay. You know, in early twenty twenty.

0:30:02.560 --> 0:30:06.000
<v Speaker 9>Three of Bloomberg Apollo survey, seventy percent of the respondent

0:30:06.040 --> 0:30:09.640
<v Speaker 9>said they expected a recession within twelve months. And that's

0:30:09.680 --> 0:30:12.600
<v Speaker 9>not to say that I predicted differently. It's just to

0:30:12.600 --> 0:30:16.280
<v Speaker 9>be a reminded about hard it is to make accurate

0:30:16.600 --> 0:30:20.320
<v Speaker 9>macro calls with some level of frequency. So if we

0:30:20.440 --> 0:30:24.600
<v Speaker 9>seem to be in a reasonably functioning economy, we will

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:27.520
<v Speaker 9>continue here at good Haven and just turn over rocks

0:30:27.560 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 9>and look for individual situations that we think we have

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:31.719
<v Speaker 9>an agent understanding.

0:30:31.840 --> 0:30:32.000
<v Speaker 8>Yeah.

0:30:32.040 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 2>You know who also seems to be turning over lots

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:36.400
<v Speaker 2>of rocks or husband for a while is JP Morgan's CEO,

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:38.680
<v Speaker 2>Jamie Dimon. And I'm kind of obsessed with this because

0:30:38.680 --> 0:30:41.240
<v Speaker 2>I think a lot about when it comes larry to inflation,

0:30:41.920 --> 0:30:46.600
<v Speaker 2>some of the macro factors that are impacting our environment

0:30:47.120 --> 0:30:48.680
<v Speaker 2>and have been for a while, and whether it's the

0:30:48.680 --> 0:30:53.120
<v Speaker 2>pushback on globalization. He talked specifically about longer term trends

0:30:53.480 --> 0:30:56.960
<v Speaker 2>fiscal deficits in the US and around the world. He said,

0:30:57.000 --> 0:31:01.000
<v Speaker 2>the green economy is inflationary, demographics are inary, and so

0:31:01.120 --> 0:31:03.680
<v Speaker 2>this plays into what he thinks that you know, we'll

0:31:03.680 --> 0:31:08.680
<v Speaker 2>see higher interest rates maybe being with us for a while,

0:31:08.960 --> 0:31:11.280
<v Speaker 2>and I do wonder if there are some things that

0:31:11.320 --> 0:31:15.840
<v Speaker 2>are going on that change the rate environment again, you know,

0:31:15.880 --> 0:31:18.760
<v Speaker 2>it goes back to that new normal. Is that Does

0:31:18.800 --> 0:31:22.080
<v Speaker 2>that factor in for you at all?

0:31:22.120 --> 0:31:22.880
<v Speaker 6>Not terribly.

0:31:23.000 --> 0:31:25.960
<v Speaker 9>I mean, I certainly pay attention to anything mister Diamond

0:31:26.000 --> 0:31:26.480
<v Speaker 9>has to say.

0:31:26.480 --> 0:31:28.680
<v Speaker 6>Look, we're at ten four percent.

0:31:28.880 --> 0:31:32.960
<v Speaker 9>I mean, that may be a dramatically higher level than

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:35.320
<v Speaker 9>we've been used to over the last seven eight nine

0:31:35.400 --> 0:31:39.400
<v Speaker 9>years up until recently, but it's it's hardly a dramatically

0:31:39.680 --> 0:31:42.440
<v Speaker 9>higher than normal rate if you go back a bunch

0:31:42.480 --> 0:31:43.200
<v Speaker 9>of decades.

0:31:43.360 --> 0:31:45.880
<v Speaker 6>So maybe we all got a little bit.

0:31:45.840 --> 0:31:50.360
<v Speaker 9>Used to rates being fictitiously low and maybe expecting them

0:31:50.400 --> 0:31:52.160
<v Speaker 9>to go dramatically lower as not.

0:31:52.120 --> 0:31:52.920
<v Speaker 6>The right call.

0:31:53.440 --> 0:31:56.040
<v Speaker 9>But for us here, you know, we don't think we

0:31:56.120 --> 0:31:59.480
<v Speaker 9>have a great edge in trying to make those predictions.

0:31:59.520 --> 0:32:02.320
<v Speaker 9>But I don't think there's anything wrong, you know, with

0:32:02.800 --> 0:32:05.960
<v Speaker 9>assuming that what we're looking at as far as a

0:32:06.280 --> 0:32:09.640
<v Speaker 9>interest rate outlook and you know, inflation a bit above

0:32:09.680 --> 0:32:11.800
<v Speaker 9>two percent maybe where we are for a while. And

0:32:11.840 --> 0:32:15.280
<v Speaker 9>I don't think that is a dysfunctional place to be.

0:32:15.560 --> 0:32:18.560
<v Speaker 9>And we'll just again keep turning over rocks with that

0:32:18.680 --> 0:32:20.240
<v Speaker 9>is what seems like the backdrop.

0:32:20.840 --> 0:32:23.120
<v Speaker 3>Okay, we want to get to a stock pick that

0:32:23.160 --> 0:32:27.760
<v Speaker 3>you have. We love talking names. Uh xor e XO

0:32:28.520 --> 0:32:30.880
<v Speaker 3>is the ticker? Why do you love it?

0:32:30.920 --> 0:32:33.840
<v Speaker 2>Based in Amsterdam? Right, it's it doesn't. I couldn't find

0:32:33.960 --> 0:32:37.800
<v Speaker 2>am I wrong. I couldn't find an A dr no.

0:32:37.440 --> 0:32:38.400
<v Speaker 6>No a DRSKA.

0:32:38.720 --> 0:32:40.800
<v Speaker 9>I mean there is a five letter symbol which is

0:32:40.920 --> 0:32:43.960
<v Speaker 9>you know Nasdeka has created. But you know, Tim, I

0:32:44.000 --> 0:32:45.920
<v Speaker 9>got the hint from Carol that I better show up

0:32:45.920 --> 0:32:48.440
<v Speaker 9>with a cheap stock that is enough.

0:32:48.240 --> 0:32:50.080
<v Speaker 6>A lot for the year and has a good story.

0:32:50.200 --> 0:32:51.040
<v Speaker 6>So the pressure's on.

0:32:51.200 --> 0:32:54.840
<v Speaker 9>It's it's kind of stressful, but I'll do my best.

0:32:55.120 --> 0:32:57.440
<v Speaker 2>We will see, we will see continued.

0:32:57.480 --> 0:32:58.800
<v Speaker 3>Please, you got a tough crowd there.

0:32:59.160 --> 0:33:02.280
<v Speaker 6>We'll see that even the preamble wasn't even good enough,

0:33:02.280 --> 0:33:02.760
<v Speaker 6>all right.

0:33:03.080 --> 0:33:06.360
<v Speaker 9>Well, look, XOR is the holding company controlled by the

0:33:06.360 --> 0:33:11.280
<v Speaker 9>Agnelly family run by John Elkin, which owns a huge

0:33:11.280 --> 0:33:16.440
<v Speaker 9>amount of Ferrari Stalantish and also Phillips. The track record

0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:20.120
<v Speaker 9>they're going by the numbers they have put out recently,

0:33:20.440 --> 0:33:24.360
<v Speaker 9>is dramatically better than the MSCI over the period they

0:33:24.520 --> 0:33:27.240
<v Speaker 9>just announced from you know nine through the middle of

0:33:27.320 --> 0:33:31.760
<v Speaker 9>twenty four. It is a holding company the trades that

0:33:32.040 --> 0:33:34.200
<v Speaker 9>you know, let's call it an excess of a forty

0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:38.640
<v Speaker 9>percent discount NAV And most importantly, the NAV has dramatically

0:33:38.720 --> 0:33:42.880
<v Speaker 9>outperformed the benchmark they think is an appropriate benchmark over

0:33:42.920 --> 0:33:46.280
<v Speaker 9>the you know since nine, So what's not to like?

0:33:46.360 --> 0:33:49.560
<v Speaker 9>And they have been repurchasing shares recently. And the fact

0:33:49.600 --> 0:33:51.760
<v Speaker 9>that you know, Carol had a little trouble finding an

0:33:51.760 --> 0:33:54.720
<v Speaker 9>ADR means maybe it's not even though it's a twenty

0:33:54.720 --> 0:33:57.960
<v Speaker 9>one billion euro market cat, maybe it's not quite as

0:33:58.520 --> 0:34:00.240
<v Speaker 9>discovered as it should be.

0:34:01.480 --> 0:34:03.480
<v Speaker 2>And is it forgive me, it's not new to market

0:34:03.560 --> 0:34:05.880
<v Speaker 2>or it is new to market. It is not new

0:34:05.920 --> 0:34:07.400
<v Speaker 2>to okay, all right, so maybe this has just.

0:34:07.560 --> 0:34:08.480
<v Speaker 6>Been around for a while.

0:34:08.680 --> 0:34:11.719
<v Speaker 9>I think last year's shareholder letter by mister Elkin was

0:34:11.760 --> 0:34:14.720
<v Speaker 9>particularly clear. And I think they've articulated the game plan,

0:34:14.760 --> 0:34:17.720
<v Speaker 9>which is too over time, you know, do a little

0:34:17.719 --> 0:34:22.960
<v Speaker 9>bit more. You know, in areas such as healthcare, as luxury,

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:24.120
<v Speaker 9>and as such as luxury.

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:25.919
<v Speaker 6>Ferrari is the biggest holding by far.

0:34:26.440 --> 0:34:29.160
<v Speaker 9>The interesting thing about Ferrari is you saw over the

0:34:29.200 --> 0:34:31.920
<v Speaker 9>recent couple of months a lot of kind of luxury

0:34:31.960 --> 0:34:33.399
<v Speaker 9>companies run into a tough time.

0:34:33.440 --> 0:34:35.240
<v Speaker 6>But no, no tough times at Ferrari.

0:34:36.400 --> 0:34:39.759
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, tough times for people who don't have Ferraris.

0:34:41.160 --> 0:34:41.839
<v Speaker 4>That's a good point.

0:34:42.000 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:34:42.800 --> 0:34:44.040
<v Speaker 6>I don't have one either, Tam.

0:34:44.040 --> 0:34:44.880
<v Speaker 5>I'm with you, all right.

0:34:45.200 --> 0:34:46.880
<v Speaker 6>I mean I don't admire the brand.

0:34:47.400 --> 0:34:48.000
<v Speaker 5>I don't have that.

0:34:49.520 --> 0:34:51.680
<v Speaker 6>I'd be too nervous. I'd be too nervous looking for

0:34:51.680 --> 0:34:52.480
<v Speaker 6>a parking spot.

0:34:52.600 --> 0:34:52.799
<v Speaker 5>You know.

0:34:53.160 --> 0:34:55.799
<v Speaker 2>I do wonder too that. You know, we've had a

0:34:55.800 --> 0:34:57.520
<v Speaker 2>lot of guests I feel like over the last six

0:34:57.600 --> 0:35:01.560
<v Speaker 2>to twelve months talking more about opportunity these overseas. Are

0:35:01.600 --> 0:35:05.560
<v Speaker 2>you finding interesting opportunities overseas at this point or is

0:35:05.600 --> 0:35:10.359
<v Speaker 2>it still you know us because there's a little bit

0:35:10.400 --> 0:35:12.759
<v Speaker 2>more maybe clarity about the outlook here.

0:35:14.360 --> 0:35:17.160
<v Speaker 6>Well, it's an interesting question, Carol. You know, the good

0:35:17.160 --> 0:35:17.919
<v Speaker 6>Haven Fun.

0:35:18.120 --> 0:35:21.719
<v Speaker 9>We do have some non US holdings, you know, we

0:35:21.760 --> 0:35:24.720
<v Speaker 9>have Xor, We have an amazing Canadian company called Terra Vest,

0:35:25.239 --> 0:35:26.960
<v Speaker 9>and we do cast a wide net.

0:35:27.000 --> 0:35:28.320
<v Speaker 6>We have a lot of flexibility.

0:35:28.800 --> 0:35:31.239
<v Speaker 9>We do when we look outside of the US want

0:35:31.239 --> 0:35:33.920
<v Speaker 9>to ask ourselves, wait, do we really understand the brand?

0:35:33.920 --> 0:35:36.520
<v Speaker 9>Do we really understand how it resonates in the local market.

0:35:36.560 --> 0:35:40.320
<v Speaker 9>But with Xor, though it's it's really the heritage is Italian,

0:35:40.400 --> 0:35:43.279
<v Speaker 9>it's based in Amsterdam. Now it's traded you know in

0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:46.600
<v Speaker 9>the urinext you know, Ferrari is the biggest holding, then Stilantis,

0:35:46.640 --> 0:35:49.279
<v Speaker 9>which was the combination of Jeep.

0:35:49.040 --> 0:35:50.719
<v Speaker 6>And Pougeot, and then Phillips.

0:35:50.760 --> 0:35:55.399
<v Speaker 9>You know, I don't think it necessarily requires understanding some

0:35:55.480 --> 0:35:57.800
<v Speaker 9>particular local habit or local market.

0:35:57.840 --> 0:36:00.360
<v Speaker 6>These are these are mostly global fans.

0:36:00.440 --> 0:36:03.040
<v Speaker 9>And you know, at our Canadian company, Travist, it's a

0:36:03.320 --> 0:36:07.480
<v Speaker 9>you know, Canadian and North American, uh, you know marketplace

0:36:07.520 --> 0:36:09.480
<v Speaker 9>and products We believe we understand.

0:36:09.520 --> 0:36:10.400
<v Speaker 6>But it is interesting.

0:36:10.440 --> 0:36:13.360
<v Speaker 9>I think it's fair to say that non US markets

0:36:14.239 --> 0:36:18.480
<v Speaker 9>in aggregate may provide more opportunities. But you know, we

0:36:18.560 --> 0:36:21.120
<v Speaker 9>take it very carefully when we go outside of our

0:36:21.400 --> 0:36:23.799
<v Speaker 9>own turf. But we you know, we're happy with what

0:36:23.840 --> 0:36:26.040
<v Speaker 9>we found in some of these markets.

0:36:26.120 --> 0:36:28.120
<v Speaker 2>All right, good stuff. Sorry, I'm so tough.

0:36:28.680 --> 0:36:29.880
<v Speaker 3>She's tough, tough crowd.

0:36:30.960 --> 0:36:32.759
<v Speaker 6>Okay, well, how'd I do? Cal You did?

0:36:32.800 --> 0:36:33.120
<v Speaker 5>Okay?

0:36:33.200 --> 0:36:33.480
<v Speaker 6>You did?

0:36:33.600 --> 0:36:34.440
<v Speaker 2>Okay, Larry, you.

0:36:34.440 --> 0:36:35.320
<v Speaker 3>Can come back okay.

0:36:35.440 --> 0:36:35.880
<v Speaker 5>I mean if you.

0:36:35.920 --> 0:36:37.359
<v Speaker 2>Come back, that usually means you did.

0:36:37.400 --> 0:36:39.520
<v Speaker 3>Okay, You're welcome back.

0:36:39.680 --> 0:36:43.720
<v Speaker 2>All right, Be well, stay safe. Lara Pitkowski, Managing director,

0:36:43.880 --> 0:36:46.560
<v Speaker 2>Imagining Partner I should say, and portfolio manager good Haven

0:36:46.640 --> 0:36:49.120
<v Speaker 2>Capital Manage It joining us from Millburgh, New Jersey. I

0:36:49.160 --> 0:36:51.560
<v Speaker 2>hear that a lot that I'm tough. It's not about

0:36:51.640 --> 0:36:53.640
<v Speaker 2>I have a big heart, but I'm a little tough.

0:36:55.480 --> 0:36:56.560
<v Speaker 2>All right, everybody's still.

0:36:56.440 --> 0:36:58.239
<v Speaker 3>Go to I'm not saying anything, you know.

0:36:59.600 --> 0:36:59.880
<v Speaker 5>Please.

0:37:00.120 --> 0:37:04.319
<v Speaker 1>Is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:37:04.440 --> 0:37:08.160
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0:37:08.200 --> 0:37:11.800
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0:37:11.840 --> 0:37:15.160
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