1 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Monday morning 2 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: edition of the Day Juice Podcast. My name is Matt 3 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,639 Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talking Matt on Twitter. Every morning We're 4 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,119 Speaker 1: here on Bettingpros dot Com, always being brought to you 5 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:25,080 Speaker 1: by bet MGM and always found on YouTube for video 6 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: or always found wherever you get your audio podcasts. Okay, 7 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: so I don't suggoat. I come in and tell you 8 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:34,599 Speaker 1: guys the truth and let Yesterday was a disaster. Saturday 9 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: was my number two Saturday of the college football season, 10 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,160 Speaker 1: and I gave it all back on Sunday, which kind 11 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: of is par for the course. I had three out 12 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:47,159 Speaker 1: of four really nice winning days and then I just 13 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 1: collapsed and I hated the slate and I should have 14 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 1: been I should not have gotten involved as much as 15 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 1: I did. Oh and three on the one unit teasers 16 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: wong teaser misses because the cards were a disaster and 17 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury is a bad head coach man just gave 18 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: he never gave his chance to seem a chance to 19 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: win that game, just kept on putting him behind the 20 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:13,959 Speaker 1: eight ball. Just really poor decisions going forward on fourth 21 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 1: down early in that game really set the tone. They 22 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:18,960 Speaker 1: were down fourteen nothing like you know, in the first 23 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 1: seven minutes of that game, and it was pretty much over. 24 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: Cam Newton was great for the Panthers. I hate the Panthers. 25 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: I just I hate that team. I can't get that 26 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: team right. I need to stay away from betting on 27 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: Panthers games because I'm just not good at them. I'm 28 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,479 Speaker 1: bad at them and I lose consistently with when I'm 29 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: picking them. So they are them and the Lions. The 30 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: Lions covered and tie, didn't lose, but they tied, and 31 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 1: everyone was on them. Everybody was teasing them, and I 32 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:46,039 Speaker 1: just know I couldn't. I couldn't do it. So you know, 33 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: it is what it is. If you tease the Steelers 34 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: from six to a pick, I'm guessing it pushed for you, 35 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: but you got to check your house. 36 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 2: Rules on that. 37 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: I used to acted to do what exactly or if 38 00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: it was a half a point you lost on that 39 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: teaser with the Steelers. So with with a to of 40 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:05,280 Speaker 1: all things, but the props go too and two basketball goes. 41 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 2: One in one. 42 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 1: But the zero to three mark really sets us back 43 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,359 Speaker 1: three units, you know, really three plus units on the day, 44 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: So just a disaster so not good. We were inclementarily 45 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 1: kind of putting some you know, good good week the 46 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: week together, and we just kind of destroyed. So here's 47 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: what I'm telling you. I have often said this, and 48 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: I haven't really done this. I have been bad in 49 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:28,679 Speaker 1: the primetime games and I don't know why, and I 50 00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 1: think it's because I've done a lot of primetime teasers. 51 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 1: But I said to myself last night during the Raider game, 52 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: I'm going to do a same game teaser. If I hit, 53 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: I will turn that. I'll turn that profit, roll it 54 00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: over into the game here for the Rams and the 55 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 1: forty nine Ers. If I miss, I'm not betting anything 56 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 1: on the Rams and the forty nine ers. I have 57 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 1: two circa picks on the Rams minus four. 58 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:50,919 Speaker 2: That's all. 59 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:53,919 Speaker 1: I'm going to be committed because I missed that teaser. 60 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 1: Another same game teaser. You know, the Chiefs destroy the Raiders, 61 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:00,600 Speaker 1: so the same game teaser doesn't hit. The over was 62 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: the play in that game, you know, lay in two 63 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 1: and a half points on the Chiefs. 64 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 2: That was that game. But I'm clearly not seeing the 65 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:07,080 Speaker 2: board well. 66 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 1: And when that happens, in particular in primetime games, you 67 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 1: just have to walk away. And you've got to know 68 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 1: when to say when. So I'm passing on this entire game. 69 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 1: I've got nothing on this game. 70 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 2: Okay, As I. 71 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 1: Said, I'm gonna be watching with the Rams minus four 72 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: that is super public if you want to bet money 73 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: on this, I would take the plus three and a 74 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: half with the forty nine ers, Okay, just pros versus 75 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 1: Joe's what the weekend has looked like. I would take 76 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: the points and take the home dog here in the 77 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 1: forty nine ers against the Rams, but I'm not doing it. 78 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 1: I've got the two picks from the circle. Like I mentioned, 79 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: uh so not great. Both circuit teams were not good again, 80 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 1: and it's been it's been a tough. It's been a 81 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 1: tough start to the football season. I'm not in love 82 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 1: with the prop bets have been kind of at fifty percent, 83 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: and the you know, the the teasers was pretty good. 84 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 1: I mean, the long teacher was seven and two. Now 85 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: it's seven and three, so that's still profitable. But overall 86 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: things have been kind of up and down for us. 87 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 1: So here's where I am going, and I'm going very 88 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: light today. I've got an NBA play for a half 89 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 1: a unit and I've got a college basketball play for 90 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 1: a half a unit, and that's all I'm doing today. Okay, 91 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:19,839 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a little breather. I'm gonna take a break, 92 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: I'm gonna recalibrate, come back on Tuesday, Wednesday, do some 93 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 1: other things. 94 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 2: But I don't want to be committed all that much. 95 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 1: I just want to have a couple things in play 96 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: because I have to give you guys bets in place 97 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:29,600 Speaker 1: every day. 98 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 2: It's my job. 99 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 1: So this is again one of these days where I 100 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:35,080 Speaker 1: would not bet. If it wasn't for my for my job, 101 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 1: I would walk away and just say, okay, let's just 102 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 1: get our feedback underneath us. 103 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 2: Let's figure out where I am here. 104 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:45,279 Speaker 1: And even though it didn't do tremendous damage to my 105 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:48,720 Speaker 1: bank roll, it did do tremendous damage to my confidence. 106 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 2: So for that reason, I'm gonna take. 107 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: A little bit of a breather here, and I'm gonna 108 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: I'm gonna punt on the day if you will on 109 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 1: a Monday. So again, rammis four is the circle play 110 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 1: for bull teams. If I was gonna bet money, my 111 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: lean is forty nine ers plus three and a half. 112 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: But I've got nothing on this game. What I do 113 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: have are a couple of old standby plays that I'm 114 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 1: gonna jump into, and let's start with what happens. What's 115 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:16,280 Speaker 1: happening right now with the Atlanta Hawks. They're at home 116 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 1: against the Orlando Magic. The number is ten. Total is 117 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 1: two thirteen. The Atlanta Hawks have been awful on the 118 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 1: road this year against the number. The Atlanta Hawks are 119 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:31,840 Speaker 1: oh and nine against the spread oh and nine. They 120 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: just went on a hillatious road trip and we talked 121 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: about it. We bet against them on a lot of 122 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 1: these games. They played road games at Brooklyn, Phoenix, Golden State, Utah, 123 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: and Denver. They lost them all and they didn't cover 124 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: in any of them. 125 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 2: It was bad, really bad. 126 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:54,159 Speaker 1: But they just came back and they were favored against 127 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 1: Milwaukee by two and they won by twenty. In that game, 128 00:05:57,480 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: Trey Young went off and John Collins went off. Trey 129 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 1: Young scored forty two points. John's Collins scored nineteen points. 130 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:09,720 Speaker 1: Gallinario off the bench, had ten points. They beat Milwaukee 131 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:13,480 Speaker 1: one twenty to one hundred. Here comes the Orlando Magic 132 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:17,360 Speaker 1: in tonight to Atlanta. Orlando on the road right now 133 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 1: is three and three to the number. That's better than 134 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,919 Speaker 1: their one in six mark to the number at home, 135 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: but they're one in four against the spread over their 136 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 1: last five games in the three and seven against the 137 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 1: spread over their last ten games. Atlanta is in desperation mode. 138 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 1: This team right now is in trouble. They are five 139 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 1: and nine, but they're four and one at home. This 140 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:42,600 Speaker 1: is where they like to be. This is where Trey 141 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: Young likes to cook. I think Atlanta continues the bounce 142 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:48,560 Speaker 1: back here on this home stand. 143 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:50,279 Speaker 2: I think they blow out Orlando. 144 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the ten points Atlanta minus ten four 145 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 1: a half a unit. Let's get another big game in 146 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 1: a Trey Young. That a big game of John Collins. 147 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:01,480 Speaker 1: I don't hate going back to a John Collins prop 148 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: on his over for points. The Clint Cappella assist, which 149 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: last game did hit? 150 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 2: He had two? 151 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: He had two Clint Capella, by the way. The assist prop, 152 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: the over half an assist prop, which I've told you 153 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: guys just gonna like blindly bet let's see it has 154 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 1: hit four out of the last five games, and so far 155 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 1: this season, that prop of him having assists in a 156 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 1: game has hit every game but one, two, three, four, 157 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: and in the month of November it's hit every game 158 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 1: except one where he's had an over half an assist. 159 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 1: So we find that prop out there. It's not a 160 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: bad prop to get into. Okay, over half, it's probably 161 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 1: pretty juicy, but it's Clint Capella is being a part 162 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 1: of the offense right now. He's passing the basketball and 163 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 1: he's getting one or two assists a night here. If 164 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 1: it ever goes to one and a half, I bet 165 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 1: the under. But if it's still half an assist, go 166 00:07:56,920 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 1: ahead and bet over Clint Capella for an assist. Play 167 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:03,560 Speaker 1: half a unit Atlanta Hawks minus ten at home against 168 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: the Orlando Magic here tonight to keep this bounce back 169 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 1: spot going for the Atlanta Hawks. For the other half 170 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 1: a unit, I am going to go and take a 171 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 1: college game. Marquette at home against Illinois. Now Kovie Coburn 172 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: is not playing in this game for Illinois. Their big 173 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: men is out for a third game due to a 174 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 1: suspension he's suffering. He's serving three games for selling memorabilia 175 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: no gear illegally. 176 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 2: So he's back after this game. 177 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 1: But in the first two games for Marquette, they were 178 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:36,679 Speaker 1: favored by and this is kind of crazy, but Marquette 179 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: was favored hold on. 180 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 2: They were favored by. 181 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: Twenty and a half against SIU Edwardsville and they won 182 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: by eleven. They were favored by twelve and a half 183 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:52,680 Speaker 1: against New Hampshire and they won by five. Okay, they're 184 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 1: at home again here, part of the Gavitt Tipoff games, 185 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:59,960 Speaker 1: and they've got an Illinois team that just beat Arkansas 186 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 1: State by thirty nine, and they beat Jackson State by 187 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 1: twenty four. This number is eight and a half. And 188 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 1: I just think this Marquette team is really, really good. 189 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: Andre Corbello is a stud. Trent Fraser is an absolute stud. 190 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 1: Corbello is on the Wooden watch List, the Natesmith watch List, 191 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 1: the Loot Olsen Award watch List, the Bob Cousy Award 192 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:28,240 Speaker 1: watch list, First Team All American, thirteen Preseason All American. 193 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 1: I mean, the accolades are all there for him. He's 194 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 1: gonna be a big problem for Marquette. 195 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 2: Here in this game. And I don't care that it's 196 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:37,960 Speaker 2: on the road. 197 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 1: It's the first real game for Illinois and they know it. 198 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 2: I think they pin their ears back. 199 00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 1: I just think this team for Marquette is gonna be 200 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 1: I mean, they don't have the horses here. Okay, I'm 201 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 1: surprised his numbers under double digits. It might wind up 202 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:57,320 Speaker 1: being ten by the time it goes off. But I 203 00:09:57,520 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 1: like a big win here. I like Illinois and away 204 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:04,079 Speaker 1: here on the road to beat up on Marquette, I 205 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:05,839 Speaker 1: just don't see it. I'm gonna lay the eight and 206 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 1: a half points Illinois minus eight and a half at 207 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 1: Marquette for a half a unit. Okay, So that's it. 208 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 1: That's the card. I'm taking a little bit of a 209 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 1: breather today. If you want to fade those two picks, 210 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 1: I don't blame you at all. Okay, it's been it's 211 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 1: been a weekend, and I'll watch the game and maybe 212 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 1: i'll have something live. If I something jumps out at me. 213 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 1: I love it, but I'm gonna stay off of it 214 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:28,319 Speaker 1: except for the two circu plays. Again, if you want 215 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: to bet it, I would take three and a half 216 00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 1: points for San Francisco, but I'm taking Lanta minus ten 217 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 1: for half a unit at home, Illinois mis eight and 218 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:36,160 Speaker 1: a half on the road at Marquette for a half 219 00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 1: of units for one unit for the only two plays 220 00:10:38,559 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 1: for the Daily Juice podcast minus map Paroltz. Follow me 221 00:10:41,559 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports doc Matt each Every morning, it's 222 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast right here on Betting pros dot com.