WEBVTT - The 2023 All-Breakout Team (Ep. 625) 0:00:00.560 --> 0:00:16.919 This year's breakouts. Let's talk to the pros. Welcome in 0:00:16.960 --> 0:00:20.080 everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy Baseball Podcast. 0:00:20.160 --> 0:00:23.000 It is me Joey b joe Phisipia, and today we 0:00:23.079 --> 0:00:26.079 continue our week of all teams and today it's all 0:00:26.120 --> 0:00:28.320 about the breakouts. That's right. The guys are going to 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:30.600 take their game from here and bring it all the 0:00:30.640 --> 0:00:32.720 way up to Hia and to help me break these 0:00:32.720 --> 0:00:35.400 players down. Of course, is the Welsh Chris Welsh and 0:00:35.840 --> 0:00:38.040 one of the best baseball writers on the planet. He 0:00:38.159 --> 0:00:40.920 is the host of the Beat the Shift podcast. He 0:00:41.159 --> 0:00:43.960 also is pretty much like Fantasy Writer of the Year 0:00:43.960 --> 0:00:46.560 every single year. Not to mention, he does a little 0:00:46.560 --> 0:00:51.040 production system called ATC. It's arial and Ariel, did you 0:00:51.080 --> 0:00:53.280 project yourself being on this show here today? 0:00:54.600 --> 0:00:58.040 Absolutely? I projected it would be a fantastic show. And 0:00:58.120 --> 0:00:59.320 we know that's gonna happen, right. 0:00:59.760 --> 0:01:01.840 Get it, it's already in the bank. Well so really 0:01:02.160 --> 0:01:03.400 it's all on you if it fails. 0:01:03.840 --> 0:01:07.200 Well usually yeah, when it fails, it's like, hey, well 0:01:07.319 --> 0:01:09.840 what the hell are you doing? We've done that recently, Ariol. 0:01:09.920 --> 0:01:12.640 Are you in a who wants to be a millionaire? Background? 0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:14.240 What is your background you got going on? 0:01:14.280 --> 0:01:18.800 Here is a background? Yeah? Oh yeah, yeah yeah, who 0:01:18.880 --> 0:01:21.160 wants to be a millionaire? Of course, that's okay. 0:01:21.680 --> 0:01:23.480 We just phil Ben of course that that was a 0:01:23.520 --> 0:01:26.760 classic that started the whole revolution of game shows on TV, 0:01:26.959 --> 0:01:28.680 that you didn't have them for decades, then all of 0:01:28.680 --> 0:01:29.640 a sudden that started. 0:01:30.360 --> 0:01:32.319 I love it. I love when it popped on today. 0:01:32.319 --> 0:01:33.800 And this is why you watch on the YouTube channel 0:01:33.800 --> 0:01:36.520 because you can see Errow Cohen there is Uh right 0:01:36.600 --> 0:01:38.880 there ready for Reis to ask him a question. So 0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:40.240 does that mean I have to talk like this the 0:01:40.240 --> 0:01:40.880 rest of the show. 0:01:42.319 --> 0:01:44.759 These questions one thing to just throw out real quick. 0:01:44.800 --> 0:01:46.120 I don't we want to get into this quickly, but 0:01:46.280 --> 0:01:49.680 just want to give a shout out. ATC was voted 0:01:49.920 --> 0:01:53.560 as and there's always this debate because obviously ATC is 0:01:53.600 --> 0:01:56.080 an aggregate projection system, but there's also a lot of 0:01:56.080 --> 0:01:58.320 heart and soul put into it by ariol So there's 0:01:58.360 --> 0:02:02.360 this debate of like Ariols projections that are an aggregate 0:02:02.440 --> 0:02:05.360 versus the bad X, which was the highest individual projection 0:02:05.400 --> 0:02:08.720 system put up, but Ariols ATC was rated as the 0:02:08.720 --> 0:02:11.240 most accurate projection system. And I believe this has gone 0:02:11.280 --> 0:02:13.359 on for a couple of years here, and you've got 0:02:13.360 --> 0:02:16.160 some new stuff. I think you've aligned with a few 0:02:16.160 --> 0:02:19.639 new people. So I mean, ATC, I'm a big averages 0:02:19.720 --> 0:02:22.440 type of person. I'm not funny enough. I'm not like 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:26.880 the most hardcore projections type of person, but I like 0:02:26.919 --> 0:02:28.640 to take a look at the highs and lows of 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:30.480 things and kind of find the middle ground. And ATC 0:02:30.639 --> 0:02:32.480 does a good job about that. So I don't know 0:02:32.480 --> 0:02:34.520 if you have any thoughts about, just real quick, the 0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:37.600 accuracy that ATC has had over the last couple of years, 0:02:37.639 --> 0:02:39.880 and you know, just how the whole thing has been 0:02:39.919 --> 0:02:41.359 spitting out and what you're looking at this year. 0:02:42.160 --> 0:02:43.760 Yeah, I mean this is the fourth year in a 0:02:43.840 --> 0:02:46.600 row that Fantasy pros has dubbed me as the most 0:02:46.600 --> 0:02:50.120 accurate projection. So you know, we'll take that, and you know, 0:02:50.160 --> 0:02:53.000 it shows that we're getting into more places people are 0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:55.480 trusting it. It's a household name. I mean, you know, 0:02:55.560 --> 0:02:59.160 Derek Cardy actually uses ATC playing time within his own projection. 0:02:59.600 --> 0:03:03.400 He tries that now, so very excited, and uh hey, 0:03:03.600 --> 0:03:05.919 it's let's make it five in a row, right there. 0:03:05.919 --> 0:03:09.079 You go, just keep on going. The dynasty continues real quick, 0:03:09.080 --> 0:03:11.040 I want to ask the projection master, what do you 0:03:11.040 --> 0:03:12.519 think about stolen bases this year? I know you and 0:03:12.560 --> 0:03:14.799 I were kind of talking about, you know, the pitch clock, 0:03:14.960 --> 0:03:19.040 the ability to only throw over being limited by the pictures. 0:03:19.080 --> 0:03:21.240 Now what do you think kind of impact? Whyse you're 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:22.639 going to see in stonn bases? Are we going to 0:03:22.680 --> 0:03:25.400 see a major uptick here potentially in twenty twenty three. 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:28.639 Yeah, well the uptick was already starting this past year 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:31.000 where we had that really low two years ago and 0:03:31.440 --> 0:03:32.639 it already started going. 0:03:32.840 --> 0:03:33.960 Yeah, you're going to see more of that. 0:03:34.160 --> 0:03:35.600 The question though, is it going to be at the 0:03:35.600 --> 0:03:37.320 top of the curve it's going to be you know, 0:03:37.320 --> 0:03:40.640 the jorgemiteos and the Monday is going to sixty or 0:03:40.720 --> 0:03:42.160 is it just going to be a bunch of ten 0:03:42.200 --> 0:03:44.120 Stone based guys going to fifteen twenty. 0:03:44.360 --> 0:03:45.480 That remains to be seen. 0:03:45.600 --> 0:03:50.119 I think Stone bases is always a manager's call. It's opportunity. 0:03:50.160 --> 0:03:53.000 Are you stealing when you have the chance? So it 0:03:53.040 --> 0:03:55.280 remains to be seen. But yes, it's gonna be up 0:03:55.320 --> 0:03:58.560 all around. You're gonna see I'm not gonna say gigantic, 0:03:58.600 --> 0:04:00.720 but you're gonna see a very significant change, and it 0:04:00.800 --> 0:04:03.000 has to do mostly with a pickoff rule that pretty 0:04:03.080 --> 0:04:05.040 much it's with one pickloff and you're done. 0:04:05.240 --> 0:04:07.040 Well, we should have done this yesterday when Collett was 0:04:07.080 --> 0:04:08.840 on here, But Collet put out this really great tweet 0:04:08.840 --> 0:04:11.680 after the first week that was breaking down percentages and 0:04:11.720 --> 0:04:13.560 what it was was, and you probably saw it. It 0:04:13.640 --> 0:04:17.200 was what spring training stolen based numbers do compared to 0:04:17.279 --> 0:04:20.560 in season, and it was usually like a twenty percent 0:04:20.640 --> 0:04:23.840 decrease from what you see in spring training. Except the 0:04:23.920 --> 0:04:27.039 first week the numbers were the highest stolen base attempts 0:04:27.040 --> 0:04:29.200 in spring training since twenty twelve. I believe it was 0:04:29.240 --> 0:04:32.760 ten to eleven years, so that inherently was showing that 0:04:32.760 --> 0:04:34.480 we were going to see a massive increase over the 0:04:34.560 --> 0:04:36.560 last couple though I do feel like the last week 0:04:36.600 --> 0:04:38.280 and a half or so stolen bases have kind of 0:04:38.320 --> 0:04:40.240 tapered down. I don't believe there's a single player with 0:04:40.240 --> 0:04:42.480 over two stolen bases in spring training, so I've got 0:04:42.520 --> 0:04:44.760 that down a little bit. At the end of the day, 0:04:45.040 --> 0:04:47.320 the math that Collett put out was like a twenty 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:50.240 five percent increase. Do you believe we will see a 0:04:50.240 --> 0:04:53.240 twenty to twenty five percent stolen based increase across the 0:04:53.240 --> 0:04:55.200 whole league. You said, you don't know if it'll be 0:04:55.200 --> 0:04:56.640 the top guys of the middle guys. But do you 0:04:56.640 --> 0:04:58.680 think we'll see like an overall twenty to twenty five 0:04:58.680 --> 0:04:59.840 percent stolen base increase. 0:05:00.440 --> 0:05:02.400 No, I think that's way too high number. I think 0:05:02.400 --> 0:05:05.480 we're gonna get closer to ten, fifteen, maybe twenty. That's 0:05:05.800 --> 0:05:08.719 the kapper. You know, I don't really trust the spring 0:05:08.839 --> 0:05:10.880 training stats. So first of all, this first week they're 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:12.960 trying every which way to do everything new. 0:05:13.960 --> 0:05:15.600 I'm not gonna I'm not gonna rely on it. 0:05:15.640 --> 0:05:18.560 And by the way, because of the WBC, you have 0:05:18.640 --> 0:05:21.120 a lot of major league players not in spring training, 0:05:21.200 --> 0:05:23.440 so the spring training stats in general are gonna be 0:05:23.440 --> 0:05:26.560 pretty murky. I would not put any any emphasis on that. 0:05:26.680 --> 0:05:28.680 But yeah, the answer the question again, no, that that 0:05:28.720 --> 0:05:32.000 seems too high. I'd say closer to fifteen, maybe twenty. 0:05:32.440 --> 0:05:34.400 All right, let's get to the breakouts here. Let's start 0:05:34.400 --> 0:05:37.960 with Ketcher. The boys here put together, they're all breakout team. 0:05:37.960 --> 0:05:39.680 The guys are gonna take their game to the next level. 0:05:39.800 --> 0:05:43.159 So Ariel Coon a Ketcher who's taking the field for you? 0:05:43.960 --> 0:05:46.520 All right, we're gonna go with logan o'happy. Yes, it's 0:05:46.520 --> 0:05:48.080 pronounced like sloppy o'happy. 0:05:48.600 --> 0:05:48.720 Uh. 0:05:49.320 --> 0:05:52.240 He the breakout here, I always you always want to 0:05:52.279 --> 0:05:55.080 have a reason for the breakout, and this reason is 0:05:55.480 --> 0:05:59.040 playing time. Last year, Sean Murphy just completely came out 0:05:59.040 --> 0:06:01.720 to the field and burst onto value because he got 0:06:01.880 --> 0:06:04.680 so many more at bats than what everyone predicted. And 0:06:04.720 --> 0:06:07.680 I think that's the case with o'hapi here. He's got 0:06:07.680 --> 0:06:11.000 a nice base of power. His average two forty one 0:06:11.080 --> 0:06:13.520 I'm projecting, which is actually pretty good for what would 0:06:13.560 --> 0:06:19.000 be a second catcher. The ATC volatility metrics show low violativity, 0:06:19.040 --> 0:06:20.719 like we have a very good idea of what he 0:06:20.920 --> 0:06:24.760 is and who's in front of him. Max Stassy. Stassy 0:06:24.800 --> 0:06:28.000 had a one eighty average last year. I can't see 0:06:28.040 --> 0:06:29.560 him being a threat. I think you're going to see 0:06:29.560 --> 0:06:31.840 by the end of the year Ohapi being the main 0:06:31.920 --> 0:06:35.200 catcher and whatever people have projected for him, he's going 0:06:35.279 --> 0:06:37.160 to pass it. I can see him getting the line 0:06:37.200 --> 0:06:39.839 and share so ohappy because of the at bats is 0:06:39.880 --> 0:06:41.960 going to be a good fantasy buye. 0:06:42.440 --> 0:06:45.000 Well, at your bachelor party, didn't you have a sloppyo hoppy? 0:06:45.120 --> 0:06:45.479 I want to. 0:06:45.440 --> 0:06:47.599 Say, we don't talk about that. We don't talk about 0:06:47.640 --> 0:06:50.640 what happened at the bachelor parties. Sloppy o'happies are not shoe, 0:06:50.720 --> 0:06:51.360 thank you very much. 0:06:51.520 --> 0:06:53.360 Well, it's interesting because this is the same player. A 0:06:53.400 --> 0:06:55.279 few weeks back, we had Frank Stanfel on the show 0:06:55.279 --> 0:06:57.480 and he was very high on AHAPI as well. So 0:06:57.760 --> 0:06:59.760 when smart people are all talking about the same players 0:06:59.760 --> 0:07:02.760 every much, you take notice, Welsh, who is your catcher 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:04.279 for the all breakout team with twenty three? 0:07:04.640 --> 0:07:08.080 I would have picked Logan o'happy Sloppy o'happy had I've 0:07:08.120 --> 0:07:09.000 been given the opportunity. 0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:10.680 I'm never gonna not think of him with that name. 0:07:10.720 --> 0:07:14.680 Now, thanks very now, thanks you ruined it. The guy 0:07:14.720 --> 0:07:17.040 I picked was Tyler Stevenson with the Cincinnati Reds. It's 0:07:17.040 --> 0:07:18.920 actually a very similar situation you want to talk about, 0:07:18.920 --> 0:07:21.560 like you're looking at playing time. Give me a catcher 0:07:21.600 --> 0:07:23.320 that comes at a cheap cost. I think I said 0:07:23.320 --> 0:07:26.160 this yesterday. I don't want to catcher inside my top 0:07:26.160 --> 0:07:29.160 one hundred. No thanks, it's immediate bust territory for me, 0:07:29.200 --> 0:07:30.840 even if they produce well, I don't want to get 0:07:30.840 --> 0:07:32.760 that cost because I think there's a lot of good 0:07:32.800 --> 0:07:35.080 value later. But if you're talking about breakouts, I don't 0:07:35.080 --> 0:07:37.640 really think William Contreras fits the breakout. Who's someone I 0:07:37.680 --> 0:07:41.119 would want Sean Murphy, but Tyler Stevenson specifically does. Tyler 0:07:41.120 --> 0:07:43.720 Stevenson suffered from some injuries last year, was not able 0:07:43.720 --> 0:07:46.560 to get a full season, and they're also talking about 0:07:46.640 --> 0:07:48.720 him playing a significant amount of games at first base. 0:07:48.760 --> 0:07:50.840 You've got injuries with Joey Vado, so he's going to 0:07:50.920 --> 0:07:53.680 be playing kind of all across the board. Fun fact 0:07:53.760 --> 0:07:55.600 as well, did you know he is projected with the 0:07:55.640 --> 0:07:59.360 third best batting average in ATC projections. Give me a 0:07:59.400 --> 0:08:01.840 high batting aver on a catcher who makes really good 0:08:01.920 --> 0:08:05.800 contact skill sixteen homers on ATC projections that I think 0:08:05.840 --> 0:08:07.920 he can get twenty plus. He's going to hit closer 0:08:07.960 --> 0:08:10.560 to a middle of the lineup for the Reds, and 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:12.960 his cost is outside the top ten catchers. As a 0:08:13.000 --> 0:08:16.280 matter of fact, one sixty eight on the aggregate ADP 0:08:16.440 --> 0:08:19.360 on Fantasy pros. That's a pretty good volume, which is 0:08:19.400 --> 0:08:22.280 boosted up because of NFBC. NFBC screwing that up a 0:08:22.320 --> 0:08:25.000 little bit. It's probably closer to two hundred. So give 0:08:25.000 --> 0:08:26.840 me a closer that's going to hit inside the top 0:08:26.880 --> 0:08:29.720 five of a lineup with playing time move different positions, 0:08:29.760 --> 0:08:33.080 has twenty plus power and top five best batting average 0:08:33.120 --> 0:08:36.120 projections on ATC Huh, let's go. 0:08:36.280 --> 0:08:36.720 I like it. 0:08:36.760 --> 0:08:38.800 I don't know about you, guys, but I mean, certainly 0:08:38.800 --> 0:08:40.320 for the listeners here, I'm sure they would love to 0:08:40.360 --> 0:08:44.080 have the well scherero Cone inside the draft with them. 0:08:44.160 --> 0:08:46.720 They love to have all the experts with them, and 0:08:46.760 --> 0:08:48.680 we could do that for you at Fantasy Pros. So 0:08:48.840 --> 0:08:51.520 the Draft Assistant is the ultimate tool for dominating your 0:08:51.559 --> 0:08:55.000 Fantasy Baseball draft. And what it does is basically synks 0:08:55.080 --> 0:08:56.760 up to your draft and you could have the cheat sheets, 0:08:56.760 --> 0:08:58.400 which we've talked about before in the show. You could 0:08:58.400 --> 0:09:00.880 take your favorite experts put those in to the Draft 0:09:00.920 --> 0:09:03.400 Assistant with sink. But what's so great about the Draft Assistant. 0:09:03.440 --> 0:09:06.400 If you've seen our shows here at Fantasy Pros, when 0:09:06.400 --> 0:09:08.120 we do our mock draft shows, you'll see all the 0:09:08.120 --> 0:09:10.640 times where it gives you recommendations on players. It tells 0:09:10.679 --> 0:09:13.240 you who is picking after you and already has certain 0:09:13.280 --> 0:09:16.520 positions filled. And that's huge because that's the difference of 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:18.559 you making the right pick at the right time and 0:09:18.600 --> 0:09:20.920 not and making those right picks are everything when you're 0:09:20.920 --> 0:09:22.240 going into the draft. And if you want to go 0:09:22.240 --> 0:09:24.520 ahead and get a piece of this, you get that 0:09:24.679 --> 0:09:27.679 MVP or Hall of Fame subscriber situation over a Fantasy 0:09:27.679 --> 0:09:29.640 Pros because when you get that, then you have all 0:09:29.720 --> 0:09:32.520 the tools at your disposal. But I gotta tell you, 0:09:32.600 --> 0:09:34.800 if you go to Fantasypros dot Com slash Premium today, 0:09:35.000 --> 0:09:37.480 you sign up, you go MVP, or you go Hall 0:09:37.480 --> 0:09:39.480 of Fame, you get the whole kit and kaboodle. I'm 0:09:39.480 --> 0:09:41.880 telling you right now, that is the key to going 0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:43.640 in there and crushing all your drafts, especially if you 0:09:43.679 --> 0:09:47.439 have multiple drafts, because that software our team is so good. 0:09:47.679 --> 0:09:50.120 It puts together incredible expert advice. It gives you the 0:09:50.200 --> 0:09:52.800 right pick at the right time with the analysis after 0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:55.640 the drafts. Well Welsh always does that. Also on all 0:09:55.640 --> 0:09:57.760 the shows, they always plug in their teams afterwards. But 0:09:57.880 --> 0:09:59.280 you don't want to do that afterwards. You want to 0:09:59.320 --> 0:10:01.839 be there live with the tools. You can only get 0:10:01.880 --> 0:10:05.080 that again Fantasy Baseball Draft Wizard app. So go crush 0:10:05.120 --> 0:10:08.000 the competition. Download it and check out Fantasybros dot Com 0:10:08.080 --> 0:10:10.520 Slash Premium Go Premium today and don't forget you can 0:10:10.559 --> 0:10:12.679 manage all your lineups from Fantasy Pros. It's right. You 0:10:12.760 --> 0:10:14.480 got ten leagues. You could set all your lines in 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:16.719 one place. AyL Cone is like twenty leagues. I'm sure 0:10:16.800 --> 0:10:18.680 that's a very useful thing for him. He should be 0:10:18.720 --> 0:10:20.719 using the tools if he's not, especially since he's like 0:10:20.800 --> 0:10:22.920 number one guy at Fantasy Pros every year. So here 0:10:22.960 --> 0:10:24.920 we go, arial Cohen, Let's go for the first basement 0:10:24.920 --> 0:10:27.480 for the breakout twenty twenty three team. Who is it? 0:10:28.040 --> 0:10:28.320 All right? 0:10:28.360 --> 0:10:31.679 We'll go with Cleveland Guardians first baseman Josh Naylor, and 0:10:31.720 --> 0:10:33.840 there's plenty of room for him to play either first 0:10:33.920 --> 0:10:35.600 or even at DH. 0:10:35.720 --> 0:10:36.839 Last year he was. 0:10:36.800 --> 0:10:41.880 Amazing twenty homers, seventy nine RBIs even stole six bases. 0:10:41.920 --> 0:10:44.400 We know stolen base are going up, so it could 0:10:44.440 --> 0:10:47.400 even be eight ten, you never know. Decent average. I'm 0:10:47.440 --> 0:10:49.960 projecting him for two to sixty five batting average. The 0:10:50.040 --> 0:10:53.680 thing about picking some of these guys is that players 0:10:53.679 --> 0:10:55.920 who bat in the middle lineup, and the Guardians are 0:10:55.920 --> 0:10:59.640 gonna be a decent lineup. They've got Rosario in there, Menez, 0:10:59.720 --> 0:11:02.480 Josh Spell. Now you're gonna have a lot of runs 0:11:02.480 --> 0:11:06.120 in RBIs. That's forty percent of your rodo statistics or 0:11:06.160 --> 0:11:08.280 runs at RBIs and he's got the power in dustin 0:11:08.320 --> 0:11:10.480 speed and some average. So this is the guy with 0:11:10.920 --> 0:11:13.480 with that, and I think he's relatively safe. Look at 0:11:13.480 --> 0:11:17.600 a strikeout rate last year, sixteen percent strikeout rate, and 0:11:17.640 --> 0:11:19.800 that's been a long track. I mean, he's been under 0:11:19.840 --> 0:11:23.200 twenty every single year of his career pretty much. So 0:11:23.640 --> 0:11:26.679 we're talking about a safe guy who's gonna get a 0:11:26.720 --> 0:11:29.480 lot of stats, and nobody's paying for him. He's going 0:11:29.520 --> 0:11:32.600 like the sixteenth seventeenth round of drafts all day. 0:11:34.160 --> 0:11:36.520 Gil. It's amazing because we do so many drafts here 0:11:36.520 --> 0:11:38.760 in the MOCKX and this is a player that keeps 0:11:38.800 --> 0:11:41.560 falling and I keep stashing him as like an extra 0:11:41.679 --> 0:11:43.719 utility guy. I mean, I just I don't get it, Aro. 0:11:43.760 --> 0:11:45.480 I'm with you one hundred percent on Nailor, and I've 0:11:45.480 --> 0:11:46.920 been picking him up, and every time I do, the 0:11:47.000 --> 0:11:49.040 draft Wizard gives me that little a little clap, the 0:11:49.040 --> 0:11:51.600 little golf clop, which is, yeah, you know I need that. 0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:54.160 I need my self. Esteems very low Welsh. Let's go 0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:55.559 to your first baseman, who is and this is a 0:11:55.559 --> 0:11:57.320 player too that we talked about a little yesterday. 0:11:57.880 --> 0:11:59.600 Yeah. I try to talk about him pretty much wherever 0:11:59.600 --> 0:12:01.360 I can, and I actually slid him over to this 0:12:01.440 --> 0:12:03.440 spot because most places he is going to qualify at 0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:06.120 third basis Jose Miranda, who is one of my favorite 0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:09.319 late guys. You know, I use the term. I believe 0:12:09.320 --> 0:12:11.319 it was last year where ty France was kind of 0:12:11.320 --> 0:12:14.080 a glue piece. There's these players that maybe they're not 0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:16.200 exceptional in a lot of different areas, but I feel 0:12:16.200 --> 0:12:18.200 like everything that they do really work for the game, 0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:20.680 and I view Jose Miranda as a glue piece, but 0:12:20.679 --> 0:12:22.640 I also think there's just a ton of upside. One 0:12:22.640 --> 0:12:24.760 of my favorite things I've cided at gajillion times over, 0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:27.800 but if you're new listening, is his approach last year 0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:30.320 in two strike counts was better than most people in 0:12:30.360 --> 0:12:32.720 the league. It was two of the three two strike 0:12:32.760 --> 0:12:34.880 counts you can have, he hit over three hundred. The 0:12:34.880 --> 0:12:37.520 other was two forty, and that was better than Mooki 0:12:37.559 --> 0:12:39.960 Betts kind of across the board. It's a kind of 0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:43.280 ironically weird stat but it just showed the plate presence, 0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:45.120 which I love about him because he's a sub twenty 0:12:45.160 --> 0:12:47.520 percent k guy, which I think is huge for his 0:12:47.679 --> 0:12:50.959 game as he continues to grow. The Baseball Savant sheet 0:12:51.000 --> 0:12:53.440 doesn't necessarily jump out to you, but he had a 0:12:53.440 --> 0:12:55.920 forty two percent hard hit rate. I think the power 0:12:56.000 --> 0:12:58.280 is going to jump up. Max Ev was right around 0:12:58.320 --> 0:13:00.880 one ten this past year. XBA was a little bit 0:13:00.920 --> 0:13:03.199 lower than his actual batting average, but it was still 0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:05.480 in line. And this is a great lineup for him 0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:07.640 to put up run and RBI numbers. Plus he's going 0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:10.200 to qualify at third base. I think Cozy Miranda has 0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:14.080 a real, real chance to be twenty plus homers with 0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:16.840 eighty eighty on the run in RBI and hit two 0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:18.439 seventy to two eighty. He's not going to steal a 0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:20.640 whole lot of bases, but he's going to provide you 0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:23.520 pretty high end on the other four categories, homers being 0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:25.720 a little bit of question that. I think he's ready 0:13:25.720 --> 0:13:29.160 for a breakout regardless. And it's first and third that 0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:31.400 he qualifies at, So that's going to be my pick here. 0:13:31.640 --> 0:13:34.319 Love Miranda, another guy. I think it's just super undervalued 0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:36.680 and not getting enough press. Right now, let's go to 0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:39.440 the second base situation here. Back to you, Ariel, who's 0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:42.040 the second basement. That's a potential breakout in twenty twenty three. 0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:46.080 Right back to your twins there, Nick Gordon. Nick Gordon 0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:49.199 the brother of formerly Baijor League baseball player De Gordon. 0:13:50.040 --> 0:13:51.839 This guy has a lot of potential, and by the way, 0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:53.880 he also qualifies in the outfield, So if you have 0:13:54.040 --> 0:13:55.800 your team, you can move him and use him. As 0:13:55.840 --> 0:13:58.840 you speak, power speed combo. We're talking a guy who 0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:03.400 can put up ten to ten maybe even twenty twenty. 0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:06.320 I can see that happening even this year. And the 0:14:06.320 --> 0:14:09.080 batting average won't be thrilling, but it's not gonna be terrible. 0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.240 He's got a twenty three percent strike out rate, so 0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:14.040 not a leader or anything but major league average. The 0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:16.199 question is playing time. Will he play enough? Well, he 0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:18.280 played four undred at bats last year, and let's see 0:14:18.280 --> 0:14:20.800 who's on the team. Well, they shipped Luis Arayaz out 0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:23.240 to clear room of second base for him. That's good. 0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:25.920 Happened in the outfield, Well you got Byron Buckson. Sure 0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:28.280 Byron Buckston never gets hurt, so I'm sure. 0:14:28.120 --> 0:14:31.320 He right earmuffs Welsh ear muffs. 0:14:33.120 --> 0:14:35.640 Sorry about that, but it is true. Sorry, I just 0:14:35.640 --> 0:14:38.600 go by history. So we're talking about a high skilled player. 0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:40.480 I like to bet on high skilled players. You know 0:14:40.480 --> 0:14:43.440 who this reminds me of, or at least not exactly 0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.680 in profile, but in terms of the skills d J 0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:49.080 lamy who in terms of value. I always said, hey, 0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:51.560 or the Yank's gonna play him. Probably looks like we'll 0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:53.760 play him four days, three days. But you know what, 0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:56.800 high skilled players get to play, and he did. Nick 0:14:56.840 --> 0:14:58.600 Gordon is a high skilled player. I don't think that 0:14:58.640 --> 0:15:01.160 he's gonna be stopped so so he's gonna benefit from that, 0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:03.920 and he could really help your team down the stretch 0:15:03.960 --> 0:15:06.000 if you need to fill those extra homers and stolen 0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:08.920 bases at about pick three hundred, yeah. 0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:11.200 I mean gosh. In terms of the ADP too, he's 0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:13.840 talking about free players. He had four hundred at bats 0:15:13.880 --> 0:15:15.440 last year. As you were saying, is this another player 0:15:15.440 --> 0:15:18.760 to arrow that you know because of the athleticism, could 0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:20.640 be another guy where those six stolen bases and one 0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:23.880 hundred and thirty six games could double or maybe even triple. 0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:27.360 Totally, Absolutely, this is exactly the kind of player that's 0:15:27.360 --> 0:15:29.320 going to look to make his mark and use his 0:15:29.520 --> 0:15:33.040 fantasy use his real life baseball value wherever he can. 0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.640 And he has the ability to steal the rules are 0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:37.640 had that way. That's how he's going to force his 0:15:37.680 --> 0:15:39.880 way to even more value and more playing time for 0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:40.440 the Twins. 0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:45.760 Composite ADP on Fantasy Program four fifty Nick Gordon, So free, 0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:48.760 baby free, Let's go all right, Welsh back to you 0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:49.400 for the second base. 0:15:49.400 --> 0:15:51.960 Who you have actually mine is another one of those guys, 0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:53.880 just like Ariol said, we're going to talk about him 0:15:53.880 --> 0:15:56.000 in this position, but he qualifies with some others and 0:15:56.040 --> 0:15:58.080 he's actually going to play a different position, but at C. J. 0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:01.440 Abrams who should qualify at second and in shortstop for everybody, 0:16:01.560 --> 0:16:03.360 But I'm going to line him in here at second 0:16:03.360 --> 0:16:05.240 base because this actually might even be a better spot 0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:07.480 that you would want him in. I have loved from 0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:10.640 day one the sprint speed in the miners, even before 0:16:10.880 --> 0:16:14.360 really paying attention to Corbyn Carroll's fast speed numbers. There 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:18.480 was this Abrams type speed years years ago. It was 0:16:18.520 --> 0:16:20.800 the Buston speed and then it become kind of Abrams 0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:23.200 to me, and he flies around ninety first percentile as 0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:26.080 far as sprint speed goes, already has a stolen base 0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:27.720 in spring. He's had a pretty good spring as well, 0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:30.440 hitting two seventy eight five hits and eighteen at bats, 0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:32.040 and he looks like he's going to have the gig 0:16:32.080 --> 0:16:35.800 the entire time. He has put up little Kotel Marteus 0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:38.440 in him where he has like high hard hit numbers, 0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:41.560 but his average evs sit pretty low, which I just 0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:43.960 think shows like when he starts to tap in, it's 0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:46.680 going to get there. The stolen base numbers, I think 0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:49.280 is where every projection is just off on him right now, 0:16:49.320 --> 0:16:52.440 similar to Corbyn Carroll, I think they're wildly off atc 0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:55.840 is low on the homers at seven, but has seventeen 0:16:55.880 --> 0:16:59.400 stolen bases, which essentially is the highest, not counting like zips, 0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:01.280 which I think a really good starting point at one 0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:03.960 thirty six. He makes good contact, he doesn't strike out 0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:06.400 a bunch sixteen percent strikeout rate in the majors last year. 0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:09.720 He's just got to walk more. Here's a little upside 0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:12.879 is in that lineup right now, they have Corey Dickerson 0:17:13.040 --> 0:17:15.960 hitting two according to roster resource. If he continues to 0:17:16.040 --> 0:17:19.440 hit well, CJ. Abrams will lead off or hit two 0:17:19.440 --> 0:17:21.880 for this team, and he will run on a team. 0:17:21.920 --> 0:17:23.600