1 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg to Washington, d C. 2 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 1: Bloomber to Boston, Bloomberg twelve to San Francisco, Bloomberg nine 3 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:19,600 Speaker 1: to the country and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio 4 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 1: plus a Bloomberg Got Gone. This is taking stock. Oil 5 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: prices are down nearly three percent today, down a dollar 6 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: twenty two a barrel, the forty one fifty four. This 7 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: comes after US inventory data shows that domestic inventories of 8 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:39,919 Speaker 1: crude oil and petroleum products rose last week to a record. 9 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:43,239 Speaker 1: We're gonna try to find some value looking at the 10 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 1: energy industry right now. Let's get value from Charlie Pellock. 11 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 1: He's in the Bloomberg newsroom with the Bloomberg Business Flash, 12 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 1: and I think pim Fox. Let's begin with those energy stocks. 13 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 1: We've got trans Ocean and Excel Mobile falling at least 14 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 1: one percent. They're leading energy company's lower crude as PIM mentioned, 15 00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 1: down now buy about two point nine percent. Stocks are falling. 16 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: Sm P five hundred index down by the most in 17 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 1: more than a week. Energy producers tumbling along with the 18 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:12,680 Speaker 1: price of crude oil. We're brought to you by national 19 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: realty Providers of one hundred percent satisfaction guaranteed New York 20 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 1: City realty investments. See them at n r I A 21 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:25,479 Speaker 1: dot net SMP five hundred index down six to drop 22 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 1: there of three tents of one percent to seventy five down, 23 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 1: Industrials down thirty four, a drop of two tents of 24 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 1: one percent to eighteen thousand four d az stackdown eighteen 25 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 1: to fifty two oh six, a drop there of four 26 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:43,680 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. To Bracco Lacos is head of 27 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:47,559 Speaker 1: Equity Strategy and Global quad Research at JP Morgan Chase Bank, 28 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: and he talked about what it would take to keep 29 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: markets moving higher. We do need to see I would say, one, 30 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: still a relatively stabilizing dollar trend, and we need to 31 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: see oil prices that continue to stabilize and not the 32 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 1: goal let's say the forties um. And we would hope 33 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: for interest rates to stay a little because if you 34 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: look at this broader profits cycles has two thousand and seven, 35 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: the biggest contributor to earning his growth, in my opinion, 36 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: has been one factor interest expensed savings that has basically 37 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,639 Speaker 1: end up resulting in record high margins about ten point 38 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:18,839 Speaker 1: seven percent for SMB that was saw in the last 39 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:20,920 Speaker 1: year and right now we've got the ten year up 40 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 1: ten thirty seconds, Zeal there one point five one and 41 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: Gold up by thirteen seven game narrow four tenths of 42 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 1: one percent. So again recapping a move law for stocks 43 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:35,640 Speaker 1: twenty eight minutes to go ahead of the close SMP 44 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,640 Speaker 1: down six a drop of three tenths of one percent, 45 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 1: and the three thirty two on Wall Street. Now, let's 46 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: take a look at other news from around the world. 47 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 1: Thank you, Charlie from the Bloomberg News room. I'm Rainey 48 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 1: in Essensio. This news update is brought to you by 49 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: Blue Jeans Enterprise Video Club. See Faces, Emotions, Energy, See 50 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 1: the People your team's video from any device. Start a 51 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:59,360 Speaker 1: free thirty day trial at blue jeans dot com and 52 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 1: click the ray you Mike. Blue Jeans Work Smarter, Connect Better. 53 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 1: Liberal groups want Hillary Clinton to reject appointments from Wall Street. 54 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Bob Moon has the story. It is a page 55 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 1: right out of the campaign playbook of Bernie Sanders. There's 56 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 1: a promise if elected president Goldman Socks is not going 57 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: to have a Secretary of Treasury for a sad administration. 58 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 1: An alliance of fifteen progressive groups several of which backed Sanders, 59 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 1: is pressuring the Democratic presidential nominee to keep people connected 60 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: to Wall Street out of her transition team in the 61 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: White House if she wins the November election. Move on 62 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 1: dot Org, Democracy for America and other groups say rejecting 63 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: people with Wall Street connections would demonstrate Clinton is serious 64 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 1: about her promises, such as further tightening regulations on the 65 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 1: financial industry. Bob Moon Bloomberg Radio in Turkey, president ar 66 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 1: receipt type of air Towan is turning of the heat 67 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 1: on the nation's banks. He says if they do not 68 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 1: lower mortgage rates, he'll consider it an act of treason. 69 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: The market average is close to fourteen percent. Air one 70 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: says rates should be cut to about nine. ESPN says 71 00:03:56,280 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 1: veteran sportscaster John Saunders has died. No cause was given then. 72 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: John Saunders was sixty one years old, and the city's 73 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 1: Department of Health and Mental Hygiene is expanding the guidelines 74 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 1: on who should be tested for ZEKA. It will include 75 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: anyone with the most common symptoms fever, a widespread skin rash, 76 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:17,039 Speaker 1: joint pain, or conjunctive vitus. Officials earlier said only those 77 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: who had traveled to an affected region or their sexual 78 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:23,160 Speaker 1: partners should be tested. Global News twenty four hours a day, 79 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: powered by more than twenty undred journalists and analysts in 80 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 1: more than one twenty countries. I'm Rainy in Essensio. This 81 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg, Charlie, and we thank you. What again recapping 82 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 1: Stock's law SMP five hundred index down six so drop 83 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 1: there are three tenths of one percent to twenty one 84 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:43,679 Speaker 1: seventy five. I'm Charlie Palatine. That's a bloom Bread business flash. 85 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 1: You're assuming to taking stock with pim Box and Katholeen 86 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: Hays on Bloomberg Radio. For more than two years, strong 87 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: oil production from the Organization of petroleum exporting countries and 88 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 1: those outside the blocks such as the United States and Russia, 89 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 1: have created a supply overhang that has dragged the price 90 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 1: of oil down. Oil today down nearly three percent. Down 91 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 1: A dollar and a quarter forty one dollars fifty three 92 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 1: cents will buy you that barrel of West Texas intermediate crude. 93 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:17,599 Speaker 1: So what prices low? Are there bargains? Is there a 94 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:21,359 Speaker 1: value play? Let's find out from Bob Robodi. He is 95 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: the founder and the president of Roboti and Company, and 96 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: he joins me in the studio. Bob, thanks for coming in. 97 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 1: Always great to see you. Great great tell people a 98 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 1: little bit about your background. How long have you been 99 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:36,720 Speaker 1: doing this looking for value and energy and maybe tell 100 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 1: us have you seen this kind of market before? I 101 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: guess my first energy stock and that one of my 102 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,480 Speaker 1: first investments was forty years ago, so I've got forty 103 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: years of history. And of course a lot of things 104 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 1: have transpired in the oil business since then, so we've 105 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,040 Speaker 1: seen many things like this, you know, as they say, 106 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,839 Speaker 1: history does rhyme, and we've seen things a lot worse 107 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 1: than this, and we've seen things that are pretty much 108 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:01,720 Speaker 1: analogous to this. In the meantime, it's a great opportunity 109 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: to be able to buy things if you're a long 110 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 1: term investor, long term investor and focused on deep value. 111 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: Uh right, the deep value, and that is predicated on 112 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: what we think the earnings power the business is. So 113 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 1: that's what you know. It is not an asset that 114 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 1: is cheap and below book, but as an asset that 115 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:21,080 Speaker 1: will generate cash flows that is significantly greater than the 116 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:23,480 Speaker 1: current implied value of the company. Is all right, let's 117 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: talk about one just maybe as an example, you were 118 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 1: taking a look at one of the oil drilling stocks 119 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 1: at Wood Oceanics. Tell us about how that exemplifies your strategies. Sure, Actually, 120 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:36,280 Speaker 1: at what is the first stock I did buy in 121 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: the energy business? In V six, I first bought the company, 122 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:41,400 Speaker 1: so I have a very long history with the company 123 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:43,240 Speaker 1: in the business. The one thing I will tell you 124 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 1: that's negative about the business is UH, it is uh 125 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:48,599 Speaker 1: there are no barriers to entry in the business. And 126 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 1: you know, one of the large players in businesses seed Drill, 127 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 1: wasn't in business ten years ago, so that's one thing 128 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: you have to bear in mind. Uh. And a number 129 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:58,719 Speaker 1: of years ago we realized that this was going to 130 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 1: be a problem and sold down our interest. But more recently, 131 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: what we think is the valuations today, Uh, we think 132 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 1: the earnings power of the business is six dollars a share. 133 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 1: We think we understand the fleet having invested in it 134 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 1: for all that time, and really think fleet dynamics are 135 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 1: supply is declining because the old vessels are not competitive, 136 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 1: are going away, and we think the demand will be 137 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:22,679 Speaker 1: there because we think deep water exploration development is still 138 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 1: something that is part of the major's UH. Combination of 139 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 1: how they produce well, so that just under ten dollars 140 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 1: a share nine dollars in eighties six cents, you say 141 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: that the company is gonna earn six dollars a share. Right, 142 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:38,920 Speaker 1: the the fleet is a relatively small fleet, but it's 143 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 1: all new equipment and so therefore it has thirty year 144 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 1: life to it. And that's what it is if you've 145 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:45,920 Speaker 1: got supply demand balance of the fleet, and we think 146 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: that that happens sometime over the next few years. When 147 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: that happens, exactly, we're out exactly sure, uh, And but 148 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 1: we also believe the balance sheet is such that they 149 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 1: have the staying power that they're gonna be there when 150 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 1: those earnings do come to play. All right, Now they're 151 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 1: based in Houston. Now I'm gonna take you across the ocean, 152 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: and i want you to focus on a company. It's 153 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: based in London, uh, Subsea seven, but it's a Norwegian company. 154 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 1: What drew you to Subsea seven, what drew is to 155 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 1: Subsea seven was that with Oceanics so understanding the all 156 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: shore drilling business and how all shore development works, and 157 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 1: there is no barrier to entry in that business. Subsea 158 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: seven we can trust as a business that has a 159 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: barrier to entry and people don't perceive that, uh, and 160 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 1: so we think that's a very significant part of it. 161 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 1: We also think, of course today there's a number of 162 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 1: positive attributes. Subsea seven has a very strong balance sheet 163 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:38,400 Speaker 1: four five hundred six hundred million in net cash on 164 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 1: the balance sheet. It's competitors over the last few years, 165 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 1: A couple of them have gone out of business, a 166 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: couple others of badly damaged. So the competitive landscape is 167 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 1: significantly improved for the company. The capital intensity of the 168 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: business has gone down because there's plenty of vessels, but 169 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 1: it's not a vessel based businesses and engineering uh expertise 170 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,319 Speaker 1: business and there are very few people there are only 171 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:00,440 Speaker 1: three people in the top tier. So those are all 172 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:02,559 Speaker 1: attributes that kind of come together that we could make 173 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: it extremely low valuation, strong balance sheet, uh inside our 174 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: ownership of stock, so a very compelling investment today. All right, 175 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:14,679 Speaker 1: So a sub side is seven uh so far this 176 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,680 Speaker 1: year still room to run. Uh sure if stocks down 177 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 1: from twenty seven dollars to you know, it's up at 178 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 1: eleven today. So and that's what we think. The earnings 179 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 1: power of the business has improved in the downturn. The 180 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 1: competitive landscape. Its further differentiated them from their competitors. The 181 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: nature of fields and getting costs down and being more 182 00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 1: engineering oriented and focused means they have a higher value contribution. 183 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:39,560 Speaker 1: They partnered with UH with slumberget in the downturn too, 184 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 1: so very strong relationships and very differentiated UH proposition to 185 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: their customers. Tell us a little bit about master limited partnerships. 186 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 1: What should people be wary of? Give you about seconds 187 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 1: or so, sure you know. Master limited partnerships are, of 188 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 1: course a formula for a disaster. You have capital allocators 189 00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 1: who are incented. They get fifty of the upside of 190 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 1: the osmins they make. You have investment bankers who are 191 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:05,079 Speaker 1: great at raising capital UH. And of course, a year 192 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: or two ago in this space, it was very low 193 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 1: costs because people wore starved for yield. People didn't understand 194 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 1: the investment risks, so it's a you know, and of 195 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 1: course you had investors who were dying for risk. So 196 00:10:15,679 --> 00:10:18,679 Speaker 1: all those things came together and then they told the 197 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 1: story where you could have your cake you needed to. 198 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 1: We could distribute out all of these earnings and yet 199 00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: grow the business. You can't do both things Capitals Limited. 200 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 1: Thank you very much, Bob, Robody, founder and President of 201 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 1: Robody and Company, talking about deep value in looking for 202 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:38,719 Speaker 1: oil in deep places sub Sea seven as well as 203 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: Atwood Oceanics. You're listening to taking Stock. I'm pim Fox. 204 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:47,560 Speaker 1: Coming up, we'll tell you about hunting for stocks in 205 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:50,960 Speaker 1: the stock market, rather than looking for which way the 206 00:10:51,040 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: market will go. This is Bloomberg. Bloomberg. Taking Stock has 207 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:04,319 Speaker 1: brought you by your Mercedes Benz Triestate Dealer. The all 208 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:07,240 Speaker 1: new twenty seventeen Mercedes Benz E Class has arrived. 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