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Speaker 1: What's up, guys. It's time for the Tuesday morning Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroleta. How are you.

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Speaker 1: We're on Bettingpros dot Com. We're always being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. Now I am watching the Vegas

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Speaker 1: Golden Knights. It's nine thirty here on the West Coast.

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Speaker 1: I need to tape this podcast and get it out,

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Speaker 1: so I can't wait till this game is over. It's

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Speaker 1: two to two right now with the Coyotes in the

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Speaker 1: Vegas Golden Knights with about thirteen minutes to play in

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Speaker 1: the third period. We bet the under six in that game.

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Speaker 1: So hopefully Leonard and Kemper can keep the doors closed

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Speaker 1: here and just one more goal to be given up.

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Speaker 1: I'll be happy to go to overtime here and see

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Speaker 1: these two teams go to a to a three to

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Speaker 1: two win for one of these two teams. But I

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Speaker 1: don't know, maybe a while we're watching here, a goal

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Speaker 1: is gonna get scored. So it's been a highly high

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Speaker 1: tempo third period. So with Vegas, you got to be

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Speaker 1: careful with the under. So hopefully we can't get this

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Speaker 1: and if it happens, it's a two and two night

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Speaker 1: for us. We got it was a bad night in

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Speaker 1: college basketball, good night in hockey. We got the money

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Speaker 1: line right for the Carolina Hurricanes at minus one fifteen.

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Speaker 1: That was good. And then we had man Vegas the

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Speaker 1: Golden Knights. You know, we bet them, and we bet

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Speaker 1: the UNLV game and I'm telling you, gosh, at the

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Speaker 1: end of that game, free throws and we teased it

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Speaker 1: down to eight and a half and they win by seven.

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Speaker 1: That's just like ugh brutal. And then we had Baylor

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Speaker 1: at five and a half, so we didn't get the

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Speaker 1: horrible beat, although I did bet Baylor minus eight on

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Speaker 1: my own and they got a push out of that.

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Speaker 1: If you had it at you know, minus eight and

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Speaker 1: a half or minus nine, that was just a horrific

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Speaker 1: bank in three. That doesn't matter. Baylor was trying to

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Speaker 1: run the clock out with the shock like violation. It

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Speaker 1: was just an awful beat for the ages there. I

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Speaker 1: got a push out of it personally, but we would

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Speaker 1: have gun woulden fine teasing it down to five and

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Speaker 1: a half if UNLV had just woke up earlier or

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Speaker 1: played better. I mean, they were horrific in the first half.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what that was. It was one of

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Speaker 1: the worst college basketball games I've ever watched. It was awful,

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Speaker 1: and we almost got a miracle at the end, but

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Speaker 1: we just didn't get enough action. It was so frustrating

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Speaker 1: to watch that game because they thought man U and

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Speaker 1: he is favored by twelve and a half. I was

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Speaker 1: right to tease it down. I was right for that,

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Speaker 1: but the teaser the other way would have been better

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Speaker 1: to tease up New Mexico. But we will fade New

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Speaker 1: Mexico quite a bit. They are absolutely one of the

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Speaker 1: worst college basketball teams in the entire three hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventy plus teams. New Mexico's up there, and they're on

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Speaker 1: the road the entire year this year due to COVID

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Speaker 1: nineteen problems. So we'll watch New Mexico. We'll look to

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Speaker 1: fade them for sure. They got a game against Sinnes State,

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Speaker 1: a couple of games coming up with them that we'll watch.

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Speaker 1: So just a brutal you know, that's a loser. And

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Speaker 1: then U come was a bad bet, bottom line, bad bet.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's just they had a big lead early

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Speaker 1: that I lead in the second half, and then they

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Speaker 1: just it was brutal. I saw some sharp people that

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Speaker 1: I like that I follow taking Saint John's and I

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Speaker 1: was like, uh oh, that's not going to be a

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Speaker 1: good bet. But so that was a loss, so oing

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Speaker 1: to in college basketball. Want to know in the NHL.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to come back here today with two bets

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Speaker 1: in college basketball and come back with two bets on

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Speaker 1: in the NHL. So kind of do the same thing

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Speaker 1: I did last night. We're going to come back here

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Speaker 1: and do it again. I'm just not going to bet

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Speaker 1: the NBA. I know some of you guys are getting

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Speaker 1: frustrated with me. I just don't have a good read

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Speaker 1: and a good feel for the NBA and prop bets.

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Speaker 1: For me in Vegas, I can't really bet prop bets.

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Speaker 1: And it's just a crazy time. Home favorites in the

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Speaker 1: NBA are the kiss of death. It's insane. It's like

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Speaker 1: sixty percent just bet dogs. And there's going to be

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Speaker 1: a day when there's a short, a limited number of

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Speaker 1: games in the NBA. I'm looking for like a four

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Speaker 1: or five game slate. I'm gonna bet the road dogs

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Speaker 1: in all of them, just blindly, just to see how

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Speaker 1: I do in the NBA. Because that's how crazy it

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Speaker 1: is right now for the NBA favorites at home with

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Speaker 1: no crowd. It's just really hard. And you know they

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Speaker 1: pay their players too, as we say, right, so like

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Speaker 1: big leads go away. We saw the Lakers up with

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Speaker 1: a big lead. You know, they're up by fifteen points

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Speaker 1: on the Golden State Warriors. Golden State Warriors come roaring

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Speaker 1: back with about three minutes to play. As a time

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Speaker 1: of taping, it's a three point game here with the

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Speaker 1: Lakers up by three over Golden State. That's just ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: Like this game was a blowout. And now, if you

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Speaker 1: were on the Lakers anything, it was eight and a

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Speaker 1: half nine point line here, you thought you were going

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Speaker 1: to cast that Laker bet. I don't know if you're

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Speaker 1: gonna cast a Laker bet. Shoot, the Warriors might win

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Speaker 1: the game outright right now. So it's just really hard

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Speaker 1: to bet on the NBA. So I apologize if you're

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Speaker 1: looking for NBA plays, I'm just not there yet. I'm

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Speaker 1: just not comfortable going ahead and giving you NBA picks

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Speaker 1: because the league is crazy and college basketball is hard enough.

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Speaker 1: You know, NHL has been tough, but then it has

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Speaker 1: been good to me. I'm grinding right now. It's later

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Speaker 1: than normal. Normally I get the podcast produced and put

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Speaker 1: out by midnight Eastern, but I got to grind. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is hard. This is I'm grinding as hard as

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Speaker 1: I have ever grinded in terms of finding winners, trying

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Speaker 1: to find angles, talking to as many people as I

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Speaker 1: can talk to about what they think, what they're playing,

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Speaker 1: what they're seeing. It's just hard. I mean, this is

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Speaker 1: a really hard time right now. And you know, the

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Speaker 1: NFL games are hard enough to break down, and now

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Speaker 1: we got games every single night. So this has been, Uh,

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Speaker 1: this is turning into quite a bit of research and

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Speaker 1: work and you know, really going after it and trying

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Speaker 1: to figure out picks and plays to make. So you know,

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Speaker 1: I appreciate you guys listening. I appreciate you guys in

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Speaker 1: the discord chat. I appreciate we're sharing picks and plays.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna make some in game wagers tonight. I'm watching

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Speaker 1: Tennessee at Florida closely. In game wagering is difficult in

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Speaker 1: this podcast. You know situation because I tape overnight, I

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Speaker 1: bet overnight, but there's different plays. I'm watching Tennessee. If

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Speaker 1: I can get an in game line on Tennessee at

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Speaker 1: Florida tonight. If I can get a line that's under five,

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Speaker 1: if I can get a four and a half or

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Speaker 1: a four, I'll take Tennessee. I think they win that game,

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Speaker 1: but I think it's close. I think this is like

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Speaker 1: a six point win. I think the line is right,

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Speaker 1: so I want it below that. Volunteers have been very

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Speaker 1: good against the number this season. They play great defense.

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Speaker 1: Florida's had some issues, some injuries. They're at home, though,

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Speaker 1: so I don't want to lay the six and a

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Speaker 1: half on a road favorite. I want a little bit

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Speaker 1: less than that. So that's a game for instance. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to watch closely here tonight. But we got two

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Speaker 1: plays in the in college basketball and two plays here

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Speaker 1: in the NBA in the NHL to get to. But first,

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Speaker 1: let me tell you about the big fight coming up

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Speaker 1: UFC two point fifty seven. He's back. Guess who's back.

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Speaker 1: The notorious Conne McGregor makes his long way to return

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Speaker 1: to the octagon. Coming up this Saturday night, January the

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Speaker 1: twenty third for Fight Island, the rematch with Dustin Poorier

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Speaker 1: com slash the Daily Juice for more details. That's ESPN

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Speaker 1: plus dot com. Slash the Daily Juice for more details.

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Speaker 1: I don't think I ever thought we would have our

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Speaker 1: own website combined with the UFC, ESPN and the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: That's freaking cool, by the way, So for more details

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Speaker 1: ESPN plus dot com Slash the Daily Juice for more

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Speaker 1: details on Connor McGregor versus Dustin Poirier. And you know,

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Speaker 1: we'll have a lot of action going for the UFC

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Speaker 1: pay per view coming up on Saturday nights. Looking forward

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Speaker 1: to that huge fight having Connor back, Very very cool.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's start with college basketball and then we

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Speaker 1: will move into the NHL next. So I've been kind

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Speaker 1: of cold in college basketball and hopefully turn it around

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Speaker 1: here tonight. Let's talk about Illinois hosting Penn State. So

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Speaker 1: Illinois is favored by eight and a half or nine

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Speaker 1: and I was looking at this. I found it at

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Speaker 1: FanDuel at nine and at nine and a half, Illinois

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Speaker 1: was nine and a half. I found it at Circus

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Speaker 1: Sports in Vegas at eight. I smelled a skunk there.

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Speaker 1: I went, Okay, hold on a second, how live is

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Speaker 1: Penn State here to cover this? And I came very

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Speaker 1: close to taking Penn State plus nine and a half

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Speaker 1: at FanDuel, but I didn't because Illinois has the potential

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Speaker 1: to blow teams out. They have the firepower to do it.

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Speaker 1: And they just crushed. You know, they did just beat

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Speaker 1: Ohio State, you know, eighty seven eighty one. You know,

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Speaker 1: they whipped that Northwestern team in the second half. They exploded.

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Speaker 1: So it's a little scary to take the points there

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Speaker 1: with Penn State. So what I did is I turned

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Speaker 1: around and I looked at the total. Okay, the total

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Speaker 1: is one fifty one. The number no, sorry to the

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Speaker 1: total Illinois is nine to five games going over. Now,

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Speaker 1: they were a machine in the month of December where

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Speaker 1: they had seven games straight all go over. Baylor, Dude, Missouri, Minnesota, Rutgers,

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Speaker 1: Penn State all over the last time they played Penn

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Speaker 1: State ninety eight eighty one. That's one reason why I'm

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Speaker 1: scared to go ahead and take the ten points because

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Speaker 1: or nine and a half points, because Penn State got

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Speaker 1: blown out the last time. Big but the total was

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Speaker 1: one forty nine and a half last time and it

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Speaker 1: went over by twenty nine and a half points. Now

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Speaker 1: for four games consecutively before the Ohio State game, the

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Speaker 1: under came in and the unders were one forty eight,

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Speaker 1: one forty eight, one forty eight, one forty six all under.

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Speaker 1: Then one forty five and a half against Ohio State

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Speaker 1: and the over came in by twenty two and a

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Speaker 1: half points. Blew way through it against Ohio State. The

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Speaker 1: last three games for Penn State, they've also gone over

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Speaker 1: for them with one forty one, one one and one

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Speaker 1: forty nine and a half last time out against Illinois.

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Speaker 1: Oh here we go Penn State on the road at

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Speaker 1: Illinois totals one fifty one. I'm betting over. Okay, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the over here. I'm gonna expect offense if

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Speaker 1: you go to Ken Palm. Both these offenses are for

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Speaker 1: adjusted adjusted offensive efficiency points scored per one hundred possessions.

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Speaker 1: Illinois currently is ranked seventh in the country for one

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Speaker 1: sixteen point six, but Penn State is ranked twenty ninth

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Speaker 1: in the country at one twelve point three. So from

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Speaker 1: an offensive standpoint, we just have to hit shots. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we hit shots overs coming in. Okay. We don't want

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Speaker 1: a great defensive battle. We want offense, offense, offense. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna play over Illinois one p fifty one over Illinois

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Speaker 1: and Penn State here tonight, half a unit taking the

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Speaker 1: other half a unit. And this is the game. I

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Speaker 1: don't understand. I don't get what I'm looking. What I'm

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Speaker 1: missing here? Okay? Alabama at LSU. Alabama is catching one

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Speaker 1: and a half points from the Tigers. Ken Palm has

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Speaker 1: it at one. LSU favored. LSU is five and seven

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Speaker 1: to the number. Alabama is ten and four to the number. Okay.

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Speaker 1: Alabama has covered seven consecutive games. They have covered by

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Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half, twenty three, by half a point,

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Speaker 1: by thirteen, eighteen, fifteen, and two. Okay, Bama just beat

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Speaker 1: Arkansas by thirty one points at home as two and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites. Bama beat Kentucky on the road

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Speaker 1: as three point dogs by twenty What am I missing?

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Speaker 1: This is a skunk. If you want to fade this.

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Speaker 1: I don't blame you, okay, And there's you know, there

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Speaker 1: might be select injury concerns. I am completely and totally

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Speaker 1: confused by all of this. Brunner being out, okay, I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's that's a maybe that hurts them. Jordan Brunner is

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Speaker 1: a really good player for Alabama. He got hurt this week,

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Speaker 1: so he's out. Maybe that's why. But I don't like

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Speaker 1: what what am I missing here? Okay, it's an injury

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Speaker 1: in basketball, one player is a big deal. But Alabama,

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Speaker 1: I just I am confused. I'm really confused. I'm catching

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Speaker 1: one and a half points. I'm taking Alabama here plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half points Alabama. I know ls you

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Speaker 1: can score. Okay, Maybe that's why, but I mean, okay,

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Speaker 1: I hope Bama hits their threes. As long as the

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Speaker 1: three point shots are going down, I think we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be okay here. I mean you could say, well, s

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Speaker 1: You is shooting threes as well, and maybe they're coming along.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, okay. I mean I just look at

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Speaker 1: where we are here at this point in the season,

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Speaker 1: and LSU has been playing really well, but their level

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Speaker 1: of competition has been Okay, I mean, they lost to

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Speaker 1: Florida by four points. That was the last time they lost.

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Speaker 1: They beat Georgia, they beat Mississippi, they beat Arkansas, they

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Speaker 1: beat South Carolina. It's gonna be a really good game.

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Speaker 1: I just think Bama's more talented, and I'm catching points

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Speaker 1: with Alabama with how hot they are. I think Bama's

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Speaker 1: got the potential to make a really deep run in

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Speaker 1: the dance. They're experienced, they got senior leadership. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to Alabama plus one and a half taking the Crimson tied. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I know Alice use ten and two. This is the

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Speaker 1: game of the night for me. This game'sould be awesome.

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Speaker 1: I cannot wait to watch this game. Alabama plus one

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Speaker 1: and a half on the road. We're taking the Tide

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit. Okay, let's go to the

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Speaker 1: NHL where hopefully we wind up keeping this hot streak

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Speaker 1: going for the NHL and hopefully we can keep our

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Speaker 1: you know, seeing it properly. And there's a bunch of

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Speaker 1: games I've been eyeballing. I think one thing we have

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Speaker 1: to look at and acknowledge is I think we could

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Speaker 1: wind up getting some tired legs. That's why I bet

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Speaker 1: the under every game was coming in most every game

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Speaker 1: was coming in on the under, simply because I think

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Speaker 1: there's some some teams that are just really tired. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Vegas just scored. So now we're at three to two,

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Speaker 1: and okay, so we got to survive the next seven

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Speaker 1: minutes here Mark Stone just scored. He is his fifth

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Speaker 1: goal of the year. So the whole here here is

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Speaker 1: that we don't get an empty net or we do

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Speaker 1: get an empty netter. So if the Coyotes score here,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna lose because we're gonna go to overtime and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna get a loss here. So that's that's gonna

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Speaker 1: stink in night Arona power play now too, So okay,

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Speaker 1: that might be that might be a bad situation for

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Speaker 1: us here. We may when I'm going one in three

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Speaker 1: on the night, which will stink. But okay, let's talk.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with the Panthers up against the Blackhawks. Okay, look,

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Speaker 1: we're just gonna fade the Blackhawks every game for a while.

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Speaker 1: They've allowed fifteen goals in their first three games. They're horrible. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they're getting no goaltending whatsoever. Malcolm Suban, you know it

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter. But BROVX. He's gonna start tonight for Florida,

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Speaker 1: and Florida has been pretty good. I mean, Florida went

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Speaker 1: won in the first matchup Florida one, five to two.

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Speaker 1: And if you're looking at just really bad teams, fifteen

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Speaker 1: goals given up to five goals scored for the Blackhawks. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they lost five to one to the Lightning, five to

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Speaker 1: two in the second game to the Lightning in five

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Speaker 1: to two to the Panthers in the first matchup here

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Speaker 1: of this doubleheader. We're just gonna go back on the

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Speaker 1: puck line here with the Panthers and get plus one

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Speaker 1: fifty five. I'm just not gonna overthink it. I get

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Speaker 1: it that you might be like, well, Matt, you know,

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Speaker 1: if you look at this and say, you know, aren't

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Speaker 1: they due to kind of turn things around? Aren't they

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Speaker 1: due to have you know, they're zero and three, they've

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Speaker 1: been killed in all three of their games. Aren't theydue

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Speaker 1: to keep a game close? Very possible? But we're just

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Speaker 1: not gonna I mean, I don't want to overthink it.

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Speaker 1: Let's just ride it until you know what happens. Let's

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Speaker 1: just see what ends up going down. And I mean

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Speaker 1: I am I just in Chicago is horrible. Just like

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Speaker 1: they don't get scoring opportunities, they don't look comfortable, they

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Speaker 1: don't get good goaltending. I'm miss I'm taking I got

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Speaker 1: plus one fifty five on the puck line, getting plus

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Speaker 1: money here. At some point the books are gonna have

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Speaker 1: to adjust this and say, Okay, we're gonna start to,

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Speaker 1: you know, drop down the juice and give you the bonus.

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Speaker 1: But one fifty five Panthers, Florida. We're giving it to

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Speaker 1: them here for half a unit. Plus one fifty five

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Speaker 1: for the Panthers on the puck line. And then I

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Speaker 1: don't another line that I'm kind of confused about to take.

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Speaker 1: The other half a unit is Washington the Capitals, who

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Speaker 1: I like a lot. I like the Capitals. I like

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Speaker 1: the way they've been playing a lot. The Capitals are

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Speaker 1: on the road at Pittsburgh. This game is on NBC

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Speaker 1: Sports Network, so we can watch this. The Capitals are

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half, sorry, plus one ten underdogs

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Speaker 1: to the Penguins. Have you guys been watching Pittsburgh. We

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Speaker 1: bet Pittsburgh early. Pittsburgh, Well, they beat the Capitals four

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Speaker 1: to three. In their last game. They lost to the

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Speaker 1: Flyers six to three and then five to two, and

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Speaker 1: then they come back and they beat the Capitals. This

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Speaker 1: is that zigzag theory. Okay, first team wins a close game,

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Speaker 1: you come back and you bet the other team. You

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Speaker 1: get plus money on Washington and plus one ten on

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Speaker 1: the money line. Just have to win this game. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna fade the Penguins here. I don't think they're that good.

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Speaker 1: I think Washington's and to get a little anger here,

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Speaker 1: they're you know, they're two and zero, uh two Oho

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Speaker 1: and one. I should say it was an overtime loss

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Speaker 1: that first game, two Oho to one, so they haven't

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Speaker 1: had a regulation loss yet, but two to OHO to one.

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Speaker 1: So I'm going Washington here, money line at plus one

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Speaker 1: ten here. So two plays in college basketball, two plays

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Speaker 1: in the NHL, both for half of unit, and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna hopefully keep our hot streak going, hopefully in hockey,

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Speaker 1: and hopefully we see us getting some You know, these

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Speaker 1: games are stressful and fun. You probably can tell that

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Speaker 1: I'm a bit distracted because I'm watching this game. There's

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Speaker 1: four minutes to go in this game, and we're sweating

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Speaker 1: this thing out. So you're getting like live play by

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Speaker 1: play here for me watching this under six goals. It's

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Speaker 1: currently with a three to two lead for and we

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Speaker 1: can't get the Coyotes to score. If they score the

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Speaker 1: next goal, we're done. So it's sort of a pressure

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Speaker 1: pack like this is not what we want type of situation.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully Robin Leonard can keep the door closed here for

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Speaker 1: the next four and a half minutes for us to

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Speaker 1: cash this. But uh so, the plays coming up here

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Speaker 1: for a Tuesday over one fifty one Illinois penn State

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Speaker 1: half a unit Alabama plus one and a half on

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Speaker 1: the road at LSU for a half a unit, Panthers

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Speaker 1: puckline plus one fifty five for a half a unit

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Speaker 1: on the puckline. Panthers miss one and a half goals

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Speaker 1: in Washington moneyline at plus one ten against the Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: Penguins coming up here tonight. My name is Matt Perolt.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning,

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Speaker 1: we are here. We are here everyday. Daily Juice podcast

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