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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perolt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all socials ad sports talk.

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Speaker 2: Matt and I should say thank you for watching this,

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Speaker 2: because boy do I need to do something different?

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Speaker 1: All right?

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Speaker 2: So I'm wearing no sleeves. I'm doing something I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I gotta do something different because this is not fun.

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Speaker 2: I'm one for my last nine back to back, oh

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Speaker 2: to threes. Look, I hate betting baseball. This has been

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Speaker 2: the worst season, and I've had some bad ones. I

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Speaker 2: don't like betting baseball, but I just hate the sport

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Speaker 2: to bet on. I love watching the sport, I hate

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Speaker 2: betting on the sport. I would rather lose every bet

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Speaker 2: I make in college football for the entire season then

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Speaker 2: bet on baseball. I hate it, but it's my job,

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Speaker 2: so I have to do it. I try to find

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Speaker 2: all sorts of alternative things. But nights like last night,

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Speaker 2: there's literally nothing else. Like there's nothing else tonight, there's

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Speaker 2: literally nothing else. But I haven't get I haven't done

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Speaker 2: NFL futures yet, so I can do NFL futures. So

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Speaker 2: I'll give you my first two NFL futures. I gave

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Speaker 2: you four college bets. I'm gonna give you two NFL futures.

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Speaker 2: Here today, I have one two leg money line parlay,

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Speaker 2: because why the hell not. Can't get any worse. So

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Speaker 2: I can only go oh in one. If I get

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Speaker 2: one of the bets wrong, I go oh in one.

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Speaker 1: Fine. If I get them both right, I go one

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Speaker 1: and oh I'll win a unit back. Yay.

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Speaker 2: Not gonna make a debt in the insane hole. I

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Speaker 2: entered the month of July up like I think I

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Speaker 2: was up like fifteen units, twelve units, something like that. Like,

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Speaker 2: we enter the month of July doing really well when

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Speaker 2: I could bet on other things NBA basketball, NHL hockey,

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Speaker 2: things like that. Baseball comes around and I have literally

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Speaker 2: buried myself and destroyed my bank roll. Hopefully you guys

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Speaker 2: have been fading my bets, and I don't get angry

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Speaker 2: when that happens, because I don't know. I interess up

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Speaker 2: baseball handicapping. I might be one of the worst on

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Speaker 2: the entire internet. And I wouldn't be sad if someone

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Speaker 2: said you're the worst baseball handicapper ever.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know.

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Speaker 2: This podcast is whatever I want to bet on, but

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Speaker 2: I'm paid to bet every day. We have a lot

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Speaker 2: of fun in college football. We have a lot of

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Speaker 2: fun in the NFL. We have a lot of fun

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Speaker 2: in the NBA. We have a lot of fun in

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Speaker 2: the NHL. I have a lot of fun in combat

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Speaker 2: sports in boxing. But like, the summer sucks. Sorry, kids,

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Speaker 2: it just does. It's just a horrible So there's a

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Speaker 2: long way of saying yikes, just absolute yikes for where

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Speaker 2: I am today and what's going on. So, you know,

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Speaker 2: oh and three, oh and three we start. We lost

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Speaker 2: last week because of the O and three on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: We opened up a Monday oh and three, So I'll

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Speaker 2: see if I can climb out of this. We got

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Speaker 2: time and we got football coming up here, so let's

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Speaker 2: see how we go. You know, I'm pretty much flat

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Speaker 2: on preseason football. But you know, we started all hot.

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Speaker 2: We won our first think three bets in preseason, and

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Speaker 2: then we kind of cooled off a little bit, but

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Speaker 2: we got those games coming up here on Thursday and

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Speaker 2: on Friday and on Saturday and on Sunday. We're back

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Speaker 2: to week two of the of the NFL preseason so

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Speaker 2: we can get into that. And then we have college

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Speaker 2: football starting next week. So we are almost through this

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Speaker 2: nuclear summer of baseball betting. Because my gosh, the Divondbacks win,

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Speaker 2: they don't cover the run line.

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Speaker 1: Did see the steam on that game?

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Speaker 2: By the way, I got mins one to oh two

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Speaker 2: last night it closed at one fifty. Everybody was on

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Speaker 2: that bet. I can't stand that when everyone's on the

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Speaker 2: same bet. No bueno, no good, no, no, no, no good.

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Speaker 1: That lost.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what the heck was going on with

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Speaker 2: the Dodger game, but they won five to two. We

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Speaker 2: bet over eight browers couldn't score. And then we had

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Speaker 2: the Padres over four and a half team total, they

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Speaker 2: scored two, they won, they scored two. You know just

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Speaker 2: how it's going right now. You know, it's been a

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Speaker 2: bad summer. It only could mean one thing, a good fall.

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Speaker 2: So and by the way, quickly on the team totals

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Speaker 2: that we have for the win totals in baseball, like

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Speaker 2: we have over seventy seven and a half wins for

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Speaker 2: the Red Sox, they've got sixty two. That's pretty good here.

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Speaker 2: You know, we've got a whole month and a half

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Speaker 2: left of baseball. For the Red Sox just to win,

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Speaker 2: you know, sixteen more baseball games and we get the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox over correct, We've got a pretty good pace

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Speaker 2: going here on Well, the Cubs are.

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Speaker 1: Dead, that BET's dead.

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Speaker 2: They have fifty nine the Cubs bets to put the

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Speaker 2: Diamondbacks now with sixty seven wins, so that's looking really good.

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Speaker 2: The Marlins, we have under seventy seven and a half

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Speaker 2: wins for the Marlins.

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Speaker 1: That's great.

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Speaker 2: They've got forty four, so that's you know, trending really

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Speaker 2: well in the right direction for us on that.

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Speaker 1: And then the with.

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Speaker 2: Under on the Marlins, under on the Rockies. They have

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Speaker 2: forty four wins Rockies. That's gonna be somewhat close. We

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Speaker 2: played under sixty and a half wins for the Rockies,

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Speaker 2: so you know, same like with the Red Sox, they

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Speaker 2: have to win sixteen more games. The Rockies could only

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Speaker 2: win sixteen more games, so that's it could be a

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Speaker 2: little tough here. We might they could win sixty one

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Speaker 2: sixty two wins potentially, but you know, they've only won

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Speaker 2: four of their last ten. They have a negative one

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Speaker 2: hundred and eighty nine run differential, which is incredible, which

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Speaker 2: is by far the worst in Major League Baseball. Second

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Speaker 2: closest is the Marlins with one hundred and sixty one.

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Speaker 2: So if those trends continue with the Rockies or seventeen

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Speaker 2: and forty four on the road, they absolutely stink on

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Speaker 2: the road. So if that continues, we'll probably coming on

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Speaker 2: the Rockies as well, getting them under their win So

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Speaker 2: Marlin's under Rockies under, Red Sox over, Diamondbacks over. There's

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Speaker 2: one more that I'm forgetting that we bet as well.

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Speaker 2: For a team total perspective, it's going to be like

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Speaker 2: right on the number. But you know, we were we're

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Speaker 2: doing well, so that baseball might end with a decent

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Speaker 2: you know, three or four units being up to kind

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Speaker 2: of make a dent, but it won't make up for

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Speaker 2: how many I mean, I don't even I haven't.

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Speaker 1: Even looked in a while. I don't even want to.

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Speaker 2: Know how many units I'm down in baseball. It's got

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Speaker 2: to be twenty. I mean, it's got to be twenty.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's just it's been that bad of a season.

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Speaker 2: So let's talk NFL futures win totals for the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Two teams to tell you about one over, one under,

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Speaker 2: And I do have one baseball party that I'll give you, guys.

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Speaker 2: But let's start with the Miami Dolphins nine and a

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Speaker 2: half win total. Some books are at ten, most are

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Speaker 2: at nine and a half. DraftKings and Fandle have a

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Speaker 2: pretty big discrepancy in price mice one twenty two a

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Speaker 2: mice one thirty five to the over nine and a

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Speaker 2: half wins for the Miami Dolphins. I think the Dolphins

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Speaker 2: can win the A, the A, the AFC East. Let's

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Speaker 2: look at their schedule and all of this is contingent

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Speaker 2: upon to us staying hew, I get all of that.

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Speaker 2: Mike White's the backup. Okay, so that's not good. But

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Speaker 2: they have four they have five games before their bye week,

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Speaker 2: and their bye week is early, which is not great.

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Speaker 2: But they're five games before they're by home for Jacksonville,

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Speaker 2: home for Buffalo Thursday night, at home against Buffalo, the

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Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins have an unbelievable record. Now it's a night

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Speaker 2: game against Buffalo, which stinks because that normally what they

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Speaker 2: do is they stick the visiting team on the Sun's

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Speaker 2: side of that stadium and they bake. That's why Jacksonville,

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Speaker 2: but Jacksonville is used to it, but not Miami heat,

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Speaker 2: but they used to the heat. They shouldn't have that

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Speaker 2: big of a problem. I think Miami is just better

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Speaker 2: than Jacksonville. Buffalo will play in the heat, but Buffalo

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Speaker 2: will play at night, so they get a gigantic break

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Speaker 2: with that. But Seattle on the road, tough game, tough

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Speaker 2: game on the road, cross country, but I think they

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Speaker 2: can win it. They can beat Tennessee at home. They

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Speaker 2: should beat Tennessee at home. That's a Monday night game. Again,

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Speaker 2: kind of a bummer because of the heat, right but

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Speaker 2: still warm, still not cool. Titans are in Tennessee, so

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Speaker 2: it shouldn't be too bad, but it is Miami with

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Speaker 2: the humidity and whatnot. And more on the Titans here

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Speaker 2: in a second. I'm not big on the Titans. And

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Speaker 2: then they're on the road at New England in October

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Speaker 2: and that should be a game that they win. I mean,

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Speaker 2: it is realistic. They could open up four and one. Okay,

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Speaker 2: maybe even five and zero, but four and one, it's

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Speaker 2: very possible. For the Miami Dolphins. At their bye week,

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Speaker 2: they come out and they go on the road at Indy.

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Speaker 2: Tough game, Okay, tough game, but a winnable football game.

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Speaker 2: Let's just say they win that game off the buye right.

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Speaker 2: Five and one out of the bye, they have a

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Speaker 2: home game against Arizona. They should win that game. Now

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Speaker 2: they're six and one at Buffalo's a loss after Rams

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Speaker 2: is a loss. But they come home for the Raiders

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Speaker 2: and the Patriots. They win both those games are at

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Speaker 2: eight wins. They're eight and three at.

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Speaker 1: Green Bay on Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Tough game, Thanksgiving, tough game, loss home for the Jets.

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Speaker 1: They win that game, they beat the Jets. There's nine.

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Speaker 2: Houston on the road is a loss. They'll have three

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Speaker 2: games left here, okay where they can win. They have

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Speaker 2: San Frian at home, at Cleveland, and at New York.

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Speaker 2: I think they win ten games. I think to go

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Speaker 2: down the stretch. I mean San Francisco going to Miami,

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Speaker 2: across the country. Tough game, tough situation. They can win

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Speaker 2: at Houston, they can beat the they can beat the

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Speaker 2: Texans on the road. They could beat the Jets twice,

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Speaker 2: Jets at home and Jets on the road.

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Speaker 1: I get it. It's New York in January.

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Speaker 2: I understand that tough place to play, but who's to

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Speaker 2: say they're playing for anything. The Jets might be out

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Speaker 2: of it. Or the Jets may have clinched a playoff

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Speaker 2: spot and they don't care. Could come down to that game.

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Speaker 2: But I think the ceiling for the Miami Dolphins is

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Speaker 2: twelve wins. Like you start looking at the home games

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Speaker 2: and okay, how many of the home games they are

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Speaker 2: gonna win? Jacksonville, Buffalo, Tennessee, a, Arizona, the Raiders, the Patriots,

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Speaker 2: the Jets, the forty nine ers, Like, there's only like

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Speaker 2: one sure thing lost there, and that's if the San Francis.

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Speaker 2: Just if San fran is Sam Fran right, so, and

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Speaker 2: that game is in December, so I mean it should

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Speaker 2: be too hot down there, but we'll see what happens

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Speaker 2: with that game in December. So if Tua Stay's healthy,

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Speaker 2: they can win twelve games. The road games aren't easy,

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Speaker 2: but they should win. They could win, should win at Seattle,

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Speaker 2: they should win at Indianapols, at New England. They could

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Speaker 2: win at Indianapolis. They'll lose to Buffalo, they'll lose to

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Speaker 2: the Rams. On the road, they'll lose to Green Bay,

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Speaker 2: They'll probably lose to Houston. But then Cleveland and New York,

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Speaker 2: they can win those games. What's Cleveland going to be

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Speaker 2: this year? I mean, there's a big question mark about

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Speaker 2: Cleveland about what they're going to look like offensively, what

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Speaker 2: what does Saun Watson look like?

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Speaker 1: What is the defense?

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Speaker 2: Do they continue to play as well as they've played,

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Speaker 2: But it is Cleveland in December, it's Miami outside not great,

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Speaker 2: but they've won cold weather games before. Two is not

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Speaker 2: good winning cold weather. It's his records are pathetic on that.

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Speaker 2: But you know, you look at they've got two road

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Speaker 2: games in the cold weather. But green Bay in November.

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Speaker 2: Is it gonna be cold? Maybe? But if they take

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Speaker 2: care of their home games and they win the early

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Speaker 2: season road games, Look, the back end of the schedule

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Speaker 2: is not easy, but they could wind up with nine

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Speaker 2: wins by the time they get get to mid November,

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Speaker 2: so we get the Thanksgiving. They may have nine wins

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Speaker 2: and all we need is one more win for them.

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Speaker 2: Between green Bay, New York twice, Houston, San fran and Cleveland.

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Speaker 2: It is a bottom heavy, heavily weighted to the end

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Speaker 2: of the schedule, but the top end of that schedule

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Speaker 2: with the bye week in Week six. I look at

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Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins over nine and a half wins at minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty two DraftKings has a much higher price than

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Speaker 2: this Fanduels get the better price. Minus one twenty two

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Speaker 2: over nine and a half wins for the Miami Dolphins

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Speaker 2: here this season. Two is staying healthy, need to to

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Speaker 2: stay healthy. But I think the defense will be better

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Speaker 2: and the offense is going to be highly explosive, and

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Speaker 2: they are absolutely in contention to winning the AFC East.

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Speaker 2: I'm not very high on Buffalo, but I haven't been

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Speaker 2: high on Josh Allen his old career, So I'm much

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Speaker 2: higher on the on the Miami Dolphins to win the

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Speaker 2: AFC East this season and have a pretty good run

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Speaker 2: in the playoffs. I mean, I think twelve and five

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Speaker 2: is on a crazy record for the Miami Dolphins. Book

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Speaker 2: thinks nine and a half. I think it's going over

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Speaker 2: for the Miami Dolphins one point one two eight units

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Speaker 2: down Dolphins. I always bet more on futures, but officially

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Speaker 2: we do one unit to win a unit. Officially, Miami

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Speaker 2: Dolphins over nine and a half wins. Second bet in

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Speaker 2: the NFL. Why is everyone high on the Titans? Like

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Speaker 2: what am I missing on the Titans here that everyone

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Speaker 2: is like, Yep, this team's going to be good. I've

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Speaker 2: seen nine and eight. I've seen ten and seven. This

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Speaker 2: is still the Callahan crew, right. See, maybe I'm biased,

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Speaker 2: but I covered Nebraska when Bill Callahan showed up with

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Speaker 2: a quarterback named Zach Taylor juco transfer and decided to

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Speaker 2: take one of the most all time, most prolific, run

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Speaker 2: heavy offenses in the history of college football and made

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Speaker 2: them a passing offense. I remember I was there when

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Speaker 2: Bill Callahan came in. When Steve Peterson did what Steve

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Speaker 2: Peterson did, his son's doing the same thing. We're taking

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Speaker 2: a Derrick Henry heavy run first play defense, smash mouth

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Speaker 2: team and making them into a pass first, pass happy offense.

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Speaker 2: It's going to take a minute, in my mind for

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Speaker 2: Brian Callahan to get this thing right. To another kid

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Speaker 2: coach in the NFL. I haven't been big on the

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Speaker 2: kid coaches in the NFL. Not very high on Zach

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Speaker 2: Taylor Shore he went to a Super Bowl. Still not high.

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Speaker 2: And Zach Taylor, he's been proving me wrong, But I'm

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Speaker 2: still not very high on the guy. I'm not a

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Speaker 2: fan of all the disciples of Sean McVay. This is

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Speaker 2: not a Sean mcvay' sipples, so to speak. This is

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Speaker 2: a the Zach Taylor disciple, which is even crazier hired

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Speaker 2: his dad during the offensive line Excuse me, that's I

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Speaker 2: get it.

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Speaker 1: Bring Bill in. Let Bill. He's a good offensive line coach.

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Speaker 1: I get all that.

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Speaker 2: But we already have an injury to Deshaun to DeAndre

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Speaker 2: Hopkins that's gonna maybe keep him out the first couple

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Speaker 2: of weeks of the season.

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Speaker 1: Will Levis is the starter. Are we in love with

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Speaker 1: Will Levis?

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Speaker 2: Didn't they draft Malik Willis thinking that guy was going

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Speaker 2: to be something. They signed Mason Rudolph right, got him

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Speaker 2: out of the Steelers and picked him up trade.

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Speaker 1: Whatever have they got Mason Rudolph that's your quarterback room?

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Speaker 1: And we're going, yay, Yes, this is a good thing.

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Speaker 2: Okay, they signed Tony Pollard, who I liked a lot

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Speaker 2: with the Dolphin with the Cowboys rather but ah, okay,

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Speaker 2: Calan really signed this big off season deal. I don't

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Speaker 2: know really why, but he wanted to go play in Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I like the room. I don't like the quarterback. I

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Speaker 2: like the room. I don't like the coach.

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Speaker 1: The defense. Is the defense going to be good? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. Six and a half is the win? Total.

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Speaker 1: Let's do the schedule for the Titans at Chicago.

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Speaker 2: I think they lose that game opener loss home for

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Speaker 2: the New York Jets, loss home for green Bay, loss

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Speaker 2: at Miami loss. I have the Titans opening up OH

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Speaker 2: to four and their bye week is in week five.

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Speaker 2: Not good for a team. I don't like they have

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Speaker 2: to go through a bunch of weeks, twelve straight weeks

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Speaker 2: with wins.

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Speaker 1: They have Indy at home. Let's give it to them.

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Speaker 2: They win that game, Buffalo on the road, Detroit on

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Speaker 2: the road, loss, loss, Patriots at home.

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Speaker 1: Give them that win.

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Speaker 2: Now they have two at Los Angeles loss home for

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Speaker 2: the Vikings, loss at Houston at Washington. Let's say they

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Speaker 2: split Jacksonville at home. Eh maybe, I don't Maybe since

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Speaker 2: the at home loss at Indy loss, Jacksonville road loss,

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Speaker 2: Houston at home in week eighteen, if the Texans need

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Speaker 2: it loss, I don't know. I think this is a

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Speaker 2: four win football team. I don't see many wins on

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Speaker 2: this schedule for the Tennessee Titans. Look, you could say,

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Speaker 2: first ever start, did you watch Caleb Williams play? Have

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Speaker 2: you seen Will Levis? Which looks more comfortable to you?

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Speaker 2: Which quarterback do you want to back? Now, it's one game,

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Speaker 2: I get it, but I liked what Chicago's doing a lot,

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Speaker 2: and at home for the Bears with all that excitement.

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Speaker 2: I know it's early. I know it's September, it's not December,

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Speaker 2: but I don't know. I think the Bears win that game,

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Speaker 2: and then the Jets at home, come on, Green Bay

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Speaker 2: at home.

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Speaker 1: Come on.

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Speaker 2: You're dealing with two great quarterbacks coming in Miami on

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Speaker 2: the road in you know it's on Monday night, Prime time? Eh? No?

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Speaker 1: Good? Uh? Then the bye.

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Speaker 2: Your road games are Chicago, Miami, Buffalo, Detroit, the Chargers,

333
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Speaker 2: the Texans, the Commanders, the Colts, and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

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Speaker 2: They have three three three separate trips of back to

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Speaker 2: back road games in the NFL. That second game is

336
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Speaker 2: always death. That's one of the old adages. Second road

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Speaker 2: game in a row for the NFL team bet against them.

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Speaker 2: So that would be Detroit's a loss, Commanders are a loss,

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Speaker 2: and the Jacksonville Jaguars are a loss. But the games

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Speaker 2: before are Buffalo, Houston, and Indianapolis. All three games they

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Speaker 2: could go zero to six in that run. Again, Fandal's

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Speaker 2: got a better number than DraftKings does minus one twenty

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Speaker 2: eight on this. I'm going under six and a half

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Speaker 2: wins on the Titans. I'm not high on the Titans

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Speaker 2: at all. I think we're going under six and a

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Speaker 2: half wins on the Tennessee Titans minus one twenty eight

347
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Speaker 2: on that. Fandals got both these bets over nine and

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Speaker 2: a half wins for the Miami Dolphins and minus one

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Speaker 2: twenty two and under six and a half wins.

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Speaker 1: Mis won twenty eight.

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Speaker 2: Bet those both officially to win one unit, but I

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Speaker 2: tend to go a little bit differently on that only

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Speaker 2: because well, for me, I look to bet more than

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Speaker 2: just one unit on futures. So what do you guys

355
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Speaker 2: want for today?

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Speaker 1: All Right?

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna go with a really basic, boring money

358
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Speaker 2: line parlay of the Diamondbacks and the Yankees. The Yankees

359
00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:14,639
Speaker 2: lost eleven to two to the White Sox yesterday. If

360
00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:16,560
Speaker 2: they lose back to back games of the White Sox,

361
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Speaker 2: I know nest Quarte has not been good on the road,

362
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Speaker 2: I understand that, but Jonathan Cannon going for the White Sox,

363
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Speaker 2: Yankees can't lose two games in a row to the

364
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Speaker 2: White Sox. No, and then the Diamondbacks are just red hot,

365
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Speaker 2: I mean, and the Rockies are the worst team. Austin

366
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Speaker 2: Gohmer is going to the mound, he's horrible. E Rod

367
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Speaker 2: going for the Diamondbacks, He's not great. But to MIA's

368
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Speaker 2: one nineteen parlay, I'm gonna bet one point one nine

369
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Speaker 2: units down Diamond money Diamond Diamondbacks money line, Yankees money line.

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Speaker 2: Two baseball games you guys can watch if you want

371
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Speaker 2: to have one bet on it, because I'm not interested

372
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Speaker 2: in going and throwing much more money out the window

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Speaker 2: when it.

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Speaker 1: Comes to betting on baseball. Just my thing.

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Speaker 2: Sort of one of those white flag days where like, okay,

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Speaker 2: let's get to Thursday. Let's let's figure out a time

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Speaker 2: to get knocked to get ourselves to watching Week two

378
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Speaker 2: of the NFL preseason. And there are some actually decent

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Speaker 2: games coming up for Week two, starting on Thursday for

380
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Speaker 2: the NFL, which I'm really excited to get into. Philadelphia

381
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Speaker 2: is at at New England on Thursday, standalone game that'll

382
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Speaker 2: be fun. And then Saturday there's a litany of games,

383
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Speaker 2: two games on Sunday, so a bunch of stuff to

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Speaker 2: get into this weekend for NFL preseason football, but for

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Speaker 2: today two future bets Miami over nine and a half,

386
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Speaker 2: Titans under six and a half in a Monday line

387
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:35,359
Speaker 2: parlay of Diamondbacks, Yankees, Mina's Matt Parol Fund, because all

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Speaker 2: socials at sports talk Matt every single morning. The Dali

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Speaker 2: Juice Podcast being brought to you, as always by Bettingpros

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Speaker 2: dot com