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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris,

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Speaker 1: joined as always by mister Bo mcbrair. Scotti Scheffler is

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Speaker 1: another Green Jackets. The number one player in the world

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Speaker 1: crushed the field at Augusta National. We will do a

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Speaker 1: quick recap of the Masters, and then we will give

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Speaker 1: you a thorough betting preview of the RBC Heritage. It's

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Speaker 1: an elevated event, so we're going to get a very

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Speaker 1: good field for the RBC this year. We'll also give

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Speaker 1: you a couple of best bets for the other event

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Speaker 1: on the PGA Tour calendar this week, the Corrales Puntakanta

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Speaker 1: Championship in the Dominican Republic, and of course we'll give

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Speaker 1: you our one and doune picks at the end of

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Speaker 1: the show. The Betting pros PGA Podcast is sponsored by

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Speaker 1: Underdog Fantasy. Underdog is the place to go for best

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Speaker 1: ball fantasy football contests, but you might not have known

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Speaker 1: that Underdog has golf contest too. Sign up for Underdog

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Speaker 1: if you haven't already with the promo code BP Golf

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Speaker 1: to get your first deposit matched up to one hundred dollars.

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Speaker 1: Plus there's a special pick available for you in the lobby.

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Speaker 1: More on Underdog and its golf contests a little later, bo,

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure we have an adequate supply of superlatives

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Speaker 1: for Scotti Scheffler. The Masters is supposed to be decided

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Speaker 1: Sunday on the back nine, and for a while it

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Speaker 1: looked like it would be that way. I think we

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Speaker 1: had a four way tie for the lead between Scheffler,

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Speaker 1: Colin Morikawa, Ludwig Oberg, and Max Homa as the final

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Speaker 1: groups approached the turn. Then Scotty birdied holes eight, nine, ten,

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Speaker 1: Morikawa double bogie the ninth and the eleventh, Oberg double

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Speaker 1: Bert bogeyed the eleventh, and Homa double bogie the twelfth,

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Speaker 1: And if there was any hope at all for any

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Speaker 1: of those guys to play catch up, Scotty just squeezed

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Speaker 1: the life out of those guys with birdies on thirteen, fourteen,

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Speaker 1: and sixteen. He finished eleven under par. Oberg took second place,

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Speaker 1: four shots back at minus seven. No one else finished

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Speaker 1: better than minus four in a week where we saw

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Speaker 1: some very tough scoring conditions at Augusta. The course was

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Speaker 1: playing firm and fast throughout and on Thursday and Friday,

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Speaker 1: we got wind added to the equation sand blowing out

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Speaker 1: of bunkers into players' faces. It was wild. So for

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Speaker 1: Scotty to finish eleven under par was pretty remarkable. But

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Speaker 1: let's save some bouquets for Oberg. I mean, this was

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Speaker 1: his very first major for the twenty four year old

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Speaker 1: suite and he turned in a very impressive performance and

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Speaker 1: of course where first timers usually struggle, and I love

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Speaker 1: this guy's demeanor. Bow it seemed like he was having

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Speaker 1: fun out there. Young stars a bright future. Not a

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Speaker 1: great week for the live guys. Bryce and d Chambeau

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Speaker 1: led after round one, but then finished over part in

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Speaker 1: each of his next three rounds. Really struggled with the potter.

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Speaker 1: On the weekend, Cam Smith and Tyrollhatton were both top

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Speaker 1: ten but never seriously contended. Brooks Kopkak didn't get it going.

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Speaker 1: Dustin Johnson was a complete train wreck and missed the cuts.

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Speaker 1: What else? Tiger Woods played well Thursday and Friday, but

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Speaker 1: then went belly up on the weekend. Fell apart had

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Speaker 1: an eighty two and a seventy seven. He appeared to

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Speaker 1: be less than fully healthy, which kind of stinks. Interesting

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Speaker 1: scene with Zach Johnson on Friday, the most recent Ryder

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Speaker 1: Cup Captain triple bogie the twelfth hole. There seemed to

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Speaker 1: be some sarcastic applause from someone in the gallery, and

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Speaker 1: as Johnson tapped in, he appeared to direct an F

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Speaker 1: bomb toward the patrons, but then denied having done so afterward.

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Speaker 1: Not a great look for a guy who has cultivated

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Speaker 1: a very wholesome image over the years. But what were

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Speaker 1: some of your takeaways from the twenty twenty four Masters.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it was vintage Aguessta National. Even when the

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Speaker 2: weather was very difficult, the conditions were for scoring were

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Speaker 2: insanely difficult. It was there was wind affecting putts, which

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Speaker 2: even when the wind isn't affecting putts at a gust to National,

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Speaker 2: it's extremely difficult. Scotty Scheffler is a robot. I'm pretty

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Speaker 2: sure he's a robot. He's twenty seven years old. That's

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Speaker 2: his second green jacket in three years. And it looked

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Speaker 2: like he was in cruise control even when everybody around

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Speaker 2: him was just dropping off. And that's what happens is

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Speaker 2: you get the guy who doesn't make mistakes, Scotty Scheffler.

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Speaker 2: When he makes mistakes, he mitigates how much damage it

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Speaker 2: causes his scorecard. He does that better to anybody in

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Speaker 2: the world. That's why he's number one in the world.

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Speaker 2: His putting was immaculate. Despite having a struggle earlier in

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Speaker 2: the season. This guy was making nails knee buckling putts

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Speaker 2: for par even if he was saving bogie. He made

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Speaker 2: all of those, and I think Ludwig Oberg would have

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Speaker 2: been closer in contention if he didn't overhook that one

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Speaker 2: approach shot on eleven where he made the double. He

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Speaker 2: was within two shots of lead at that moment, and

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Speaker 2: when he made that double, he was two. He went

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Speaker 2: to four back and that was curtains. But lou Vig

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Speaker 2: Oberg is what twenty three, twenty four years old, twenty

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Speaker 2: four He's He's the future of this game. I've been

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Speaker 2: talking about him on my other show for a couple

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Speaker 2: of years already, because he's that special.

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Speaker 3: He's got the it factor, he's got the swag.

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Speaker 2: And if you noticed when he hit that overhook into

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Speaker 2: the pond on eleven, he was smiling, like, what a

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Speaker 2: stupid shot. All I had to do is hit it

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Speaker 2: forty feet right of the pin and let the wind

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Speaker 2: carry it. Towards the pin and I'm safe and I

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Speaker 2: two putt par move on and he overhooked it. He

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Speaker 2: knew it as soon as he hit it, and he

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Speaker 2: was smiling at himself. That tells you that this guy's

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Speaker 2: got so much swag that even the shot that ruins

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Speaker 2: his chances to win a green jacket in his major

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Speaker 2: debut didn't really FaZe him. He's that good. He's a

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Speaker 2: future Robots, He's Scottie Scheffler in a couple of years.

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Speaker 3: I truly believe that.

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Speaker 2: He's got all the game in the world and the

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Speaker 2: right mindset to be a champion. For him to do

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Speaker 2: that in his first major period in conditions that difficult.

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Speaker 2: Give all the flowers to Ludwig Olberg because that was

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Speaker 2: as impressive as it gets. As far as the live guys,

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Speaker 2: they just didn't. They never really got it going. There

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Speaker 2: was a couple guys that finished high. Camp Smith didn't

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Speaker 2: really couldn't make any birdies. That was his problem. He

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Speaker 2: made an eagle hole out on the final round and

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Speaker 2: then finished up with all pars and one bogie, so

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Speaker 2: he had no birdies and shot under par. So that

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Speaker 2: it's pretty amazing that that course just kind of sifted

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Speaker 2: through everybody, and everybody who challenged Scotty at one point

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Speaker 2: all faltered. Scotty held true, there's no more deserving champion

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Speaker 2: than that guy. Unbelievable, my guy Brooks Koepka. Out of

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Speaker 2: sixty players who made the cut, he was sixtieth. Then

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Speaker 2: strokes game, putting on the field not good, his ball

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Speaker 2: striking fine. He just couldn't buy a bucket.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he wound up tying fifty eight year old Jose

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Speaker 1: Maria Fabbo. Yeah, so not not an ideal week for Koepka. Boy,

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Speaker 1: It's funny that we used to wonder about Scotty's putting.

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Speaker 1: I mean, like Scotty getting that mallet putter was like

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Speaker 1: happy Gilmour getting the hockey stick putter was. It's just

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Speaker 1: like now, I mean, he's like seems like he's one

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Speaker 1: of the better putters on tour all of a sudden.

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Speaker 1: And when you hit the ball like that his approach

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Speaker 1: shot to number fourteen on Sunday with that tough pin

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Speaker 1: position in the back, yep and you know, just hitting

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Speaker 1: it just left of the pin knowing it would spin

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Speaker 1: right back to the hall. I mean it just high

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Speaker 1: art the way Scotty is.

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Speaker 2: Doing and ultimate irony is on Sunday, his approach game

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Speaker 2: wasn't as sharp as it it usually is, but he

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Speaker 2: is so dialed in around the greens, which is another

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Speaker 2: huge factor at Augusta Nationals. Being able to chip it

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Speaker 2: close enough to save your par on these, staying below

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Speaker 2: the hole, staying in a makeable range for those those.

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Speaker 3: Knee buckling pars.

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Speaker 2: Scotty did all of that when he missed greens or

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Speaker 2: if he missed his mark. He did that plenty on

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Speaker 2: Sunday where he just chipped it to three feet, tapped

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Speaker 2: in for par, moved on. And that's in conditions like that,

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Speaker 2: it can't stress enough. That was the most impressive part

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Speaker 2: is he didn't ever shoot himself in the foot. Even

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Speaker 2: when he had a bad shot, you just knew he

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Speaker 2: was going to recover.

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Speaker 1: Truly amazing performance and now he is back in the

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Speaker 1: field this week so FARBC Heritage. Yes, our friends at

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Speaker 1: You can also make rivals picks, choosing, for instance, which

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Speaker 1: of two golfers will shoot a better score in a round.

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Speaker 1: Golf picks can be combined with player stats from other

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Speaker 1: sports too. Go sign up at Underdog Fantasy with the

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Speaker 1: promo code BP Golf to get your first deposit match

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Speaker 1: up two one hundred dollars plus that special pick available

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Speaker 1: for you in the lobby well. The Masters is traditionally

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Speaker 1: followed by the RBC Heritage. Last week everyone was playing

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Speaker 1: for the green jacket. This week they're playing for the

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Speaker 1: Tartan jacket that goes to the winner of this event.

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Speaker 1: The host course is Harbortown on Hiltonhead Island. It's a

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Speaker 1: short trip from Augusta and with the PGA Tour designating

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Speaker 1: the RBC Heritage and Elevated event, it's going to be

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Speaker 1: a small but star studded field, only sixty five players

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Speaker 1: I believe. Harbortown is a par seventy one covering seven

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Speaker 1: two hundred and thirteen yards. It's a Pete die design,

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Speaker 1: so target golf is the name of the game this week.

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Speaker 1: Not a very long course, but it demands precise ball striking.

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Speaker 1: Are on the narrow side and there are some spots

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Speaker 1: on the course where there's a canopy of trees overhanging

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Speaker 1: the fairway, it's a precise ball. Placement off the tea

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Speaker 1: is important. The rough is definitely shaggier than it was

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Speaker 1: at Augusta National, and another reason why accuracy off the

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Speaker 1: tea is so imperative. The Bermuda greens at Harbortown are

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Speaker 1: smaller than average. There's a lot of sand on the course,

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Speaker 1: and because Harbortown is on hilton Head Island, the players

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Speaker 1: are gonna have to reckon with the sea breeze. Weather

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Speaker 1: should be pretty nice on hilton Head this week, temperatures

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Speaker 1: in the low eighties for most of the tournament, wins

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Speaker 1: of ten to fifteen miles an hour, and so breezy,

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Speaker 1: not gusty like we saw in the first two days

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Speaker 1: at the Masters. The only chance of rain is Sunday morning,

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Speaker 1: I believe, or no Sunday afternoon, so maybe they'll move

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Speaker 1: up the Sunday tea times a bit if the forecast holds.

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Speaker 1: Recent winners at RBC Heritage Matthew Fitzpatrick b Jordan Speith

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Speaker 1: in a playoff last year. They were both at seventeen

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Speaker 1: hunder Park after seventy two holes, one shot ahead of

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Speaker 1: Patrick can't Lay, two shots ahead e Xander Schoffley. It

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Speaker 1: was the second straight RBC Heritage playoff for Speith, he

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Speaker 1: beat can't Lay in a playoff here in twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 1: They both finished at minus thirteen. Stuart Sink won at

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Speaker 1: Harbortown in twenty twenty one, finishing nineteen under party beat

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Speaker 1: Emiliano Grio and Harold Varner the third by four shots.

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Speaker 1: Web Simpson won in twenty twenty, CT PAN one in

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Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. But when you look even further down the

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Speaker 1: list of champions, you see a lot of players who

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Speaker 1: weren't big hitters but were extremely accurate off the tee.

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Speaker 1: Jim Furick, Matt Kocher, Brendan Grace, Brian Gay, Justin, Leonard,

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Speaker 1: Nick Price, Luke Donald Ever won here, but he perennially

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Speaker 1: contended the big hitters have advantages on a lot of

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Speaker 1: the tour courses, but bunters get their fair shake at Harbortown.

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Speaker 1: Your thoughts on Harbortown and the kind of players who

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Speaker 1: might do well here, mister McBrier.

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Speaker 2: Well, if Scotti Scheffler is keen on staying in this field,

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Speaker 2: which I'm very doubtful of this course again sets up

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Speaker 2: well for him because from tee to green, who's better,

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Speaker 2: And from tee to around the green, who's better. The

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Speaker 2: sky's unflappable. The putting doesn't really differentiate from the best here,

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Speaker 2: So this is another Scotti Scheffler special, which it's hard

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Speaker 2: to find a golf course that wouldn't be really with

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Speaker 2: the way he's playing, it's going to be an accurate

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Speaker 2: player off the tee. Not necessarily long, because it's a

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Speaker 2: peat dye target golf type of Planner's course, but long

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Speaker 2: hitters do well here if they're able to find the

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Speaker 2: fairways and if they can put themselves in position to

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Speaker 2: be close to the hole on these tiny, tiny greens.

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Speaker 2: That's another peat die special, as these greens are tiny complexes,

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Speaker 2: and so you're gonna miss some greens and you have

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Speaker 2: to be able to scramble and get the ball up

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Speaker 2: and down. Bogie avoidance is huge. So I don't know

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Speaker 2: if it favors a particular type of golfer more than

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Speaker 2: another other than recent form telling us who's striking the

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Speaker 2: ball the best, who's scoring the best, And of course

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Speaker 2: it always helps to have a guy who can find

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Speaker 2: the fair way. The short grass and the correct angle

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Speaker 2: to set themselves up for such opportunities.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not a favorite or not a surprise that

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Speaker 1: Scotti Scheffler is the favorites at plus four hundred. Other

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Speaker 1: players with short odds Xander Schaffley at plus one thousand,

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Speaker 1: Rory McElroy at plus eleven hundred, Ludwig Oberg at plus

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Speaker 1: twelve hundred, Patrick Cantley at plus sixteen hundred, Tommy Fleetwood

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Speaker 1: and Colin Morikawa at plus eighteen hundred, Max Homer and

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Speaker 1: Matthew Fitzpatrick at plus twenty two hundred, Will Zelatoris and

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Speaker 1: Jordan Spieth at plus twenty five hundred, and Wyndham Clark

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Speaker 1: and Cameron Young plus twenty eight hundred BO. Last week,

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Speaker 1: I said I couldn't bring myself to bet Scotty Scheffler

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Speaker 1: at either plus four hundred and plus four fifty at

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Speaker 1: the Masters against such a great field take by me,

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Speaker 1: Maya Kalpa there. I have a different reason why I'm

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Speaker 1: reluctant to bet Scotti this week, and I think you

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Speaker 1: just kind of hinted at it. Scheffler's wife is pregnant

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Speaker 1: with our first child, he said during the weekend at

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Speaker 1: Augusta when he was leading, that he would leave and

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Speaker 1: withdrawal from the tournament if his wife went into labor.

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Speaker 1: He already has his green jacket, or had his first

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Speaker 1: green jacket, and you know, did not want to miss

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Speaker 1: the birth of his first child. So that is the

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Speaker 1: variable scaring me away from Scotty this week. Bo. He

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Speaker 1: could be winning her. In contention, all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: his wife goes into labor and he withdraws. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's just I don't know. That is discouraging me. What

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Speaker 1: about you?

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Speaker 2: I would be surprised if he didn't withdraw before action started,

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Speaker 2: just to take the week off. This This could be

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Speaker 2: his one signature event that he skips this year. That's

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Speaker 2: the one thing about this tournament is it's the sixty

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Speaker 2: nine golfers. It's a limited field, elevated money all that.

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Speaker 2: So this is the strongest field this tournament's ever seen.

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Speaker 2: Scotti Scheffler already in his post tournament interview said he

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Speaker 2: was going to take some time off, and so I

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Speaker 2: think that, being this is early in the week when

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Speaker 2: this is going to be published, I wouldn't be surprised

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Speaker 2: in the slightest if he withdrew before this even hit

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Speaker 2: the air. So yeah, if he's still in the field

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Speaker 2: when you hear this message, brace yourself because at any moment,

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Speaker 2: the odds on favorite and the probably the easiest four

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Speaker 2: to one bet you're ever going to make, is not

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Speaker 2: likely to finish this tournament. So yeah, take that for

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Speaker 2: what it's worth. You can throw some money on him.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna throw out have to throw a lot of

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Speaker 2: money on a favorite, this this short to get your

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Speaker 2: investment return, that that's gonna work for you. So I mean,

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Speaker 2: it's obviously if he does somehow stay through to four rounds,

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Speaker 2: I think his odds should be even shorter. I was

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Speaker 2: expecting a plus two fifty if there wasn't this dynamic

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Speaker 2: of childbirth. That's a huge, huge factor in this number.

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Speaker 2: As it is, I don't know that I like anybody

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Speaker 2: else's odds in this top tier without Scotty, So I'm

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Speaker 2: kind of tilted here because I want to bet Scotty,

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Speaker 2: but I also don't know. I don't believe Scotty's going

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Speaker 2: to finish this tournament or even start it, and I

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Speaker 2: go down quite a ways before I find the next

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Speaker 2: guy that I really like a number on.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I know what you mean, I'm not loving the

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Speaker 1: odds for some of the I don't know some of

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Speaker 1: the guys who would be among the favorites if Scotty

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Speaker 1: with thraws. And by the way, I think Scotty did

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Speaker 1: fly back to Dallas after the tournament. I saw pictures

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Speaker 1: of him in a Dallas bar celebrating. So yeah, considering

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Speaker 1: that I believe Harbortown is only about one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty miles away from Augusta National, seems pretty unlikely he

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Speaker 1: would go back. Hopefully he withdraws beforehand, because I would

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Speaker 1: imagine if anyone put money on him and he withdraws

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Speaker 1: before he teas it up, you would get refunded that money.

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Speaker 1: But you know, if he started and withdraws, obviously different story.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, of these guys, Patrick Cantley has finished outside

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Speaker 1: the top twenty in his last three events, hasn't really

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Speaker 1: had a good tournament since he finished fourth at the

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Speaker 1: Genesis back in mid February, butts He's finished either second

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00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:37,720
Speaker 1: or third in four of his six career appearances at Harbortown,

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Speaker 1: so obviously the course suits him. Matt Fitzpatrick has been

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Speaker 1: in pretty good for him. Fifth at the Players Championship,

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Speaker 1: tenth at the Valero Texas Open, a respectable twenty second

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Speaker 1: at the Masters. He won the RBC Heritage last year,

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Speaker 1: finished fourth in twenty twenty one, finished top fifteen and

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty and twenty eighteen. Then there's Jordan Speith, who's

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Speaker 1: made it to two straight playoffs.

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Speaker 4: Here.

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Speaker 1: Of course Oberg making his debut, but he's played seven

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Speaker 1: events this year. He's finished top twenty five in all

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Speaker 1: of them, with four top tens and two second place finishes,

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Speaker 1: including last week at Augusta. And how about Tommy Fleetwood

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Speaker 1: third at the Masters, seventh the week before at the

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Speaker 1: Valero Texas Open, and he's finished top fifteen at Harbor

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Speaker 1: Town each of the last two years. So those are

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Speaker 1: guys worth considering bo, but none of them really capture

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Speaker 1: fancy enough for you to actually bet them.

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Speaker 2: I thought I was going to have better odds on

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Speaker 2: Xander Schoffley, who's, apart from Scotty, easily the best in

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Speaker 2: my modeling. But at ten to one, I'm hesitant to

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Speaker 2: bet on Xander, especially when he's had trouble finding fairways,

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Speaker 2: which is pretty important here. He's sixtieth out of sixty

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Speaker 2: nine and fairways gained here, so other than that, he's

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Speaker 2: pretty sterling as far across the board in stats. He

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Speaker 2: looked really good at Augusta National, just didn't have enough

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Speaker 2: to chase Scotty, but he had very solid finished last week.

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Speaker 2: His form has been good, just not winning for him.

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Speaker 2: I just think that if Scotty does with draw Xanders

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Speaker 2: the class of this field, especially in recent recent what

336
00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:22,080
Speaker 2: they're doing. I like Ludwig, but I don't love him.

337
00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:24,640
Speaker 2: I definitely don't like him that much. At twelve to one,

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00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:28,040
Speaker 2: that's way too short for him, especially on a course

339
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 2: that's going to put a lot of demand on his

340
00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:34,000
Speaker 2: off the tee game. Just the top of this board

341
00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:37,880
Speaker 2: is pretty rough for me. And it's just I love

342
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Speaker 2: Colin Morikawa, but eighteen to one again is a little

343
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,920
Speaker 2: short for what we've seen from him. This course does

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Speaker 2: set up pretty spectacular for him, though, from off the

345
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:51,600
Speaker 2: tee and on approach, this guy's absolutely nails.

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Speaker 1: It sounds I sort of like can't lay ball, just

347
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Speaker 1: because we know what he's capable of, and he has

348
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Speaker 1: the really strong track record here poor form lately, and

349
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Speaker 1: I think that's where why we're getting what I consider

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Speaker 1: to be value on him at sixteen to one, which

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Speaker 1: would no doubt be shorter most of the time. Maybe

352
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Speaker 1: he's just not playing enough, only three tournaments since that

353
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Speaker 1: strong finish of the Genesis, so I'm considering him more

354
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Speaker 1: odds in just a moment. But first, if you want

355
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 1: a chance to win a free one year premium Betting

356
00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:25,680
Speaker 1: Pro subscription, you need to subscribe to the Betting Pros

357
00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:28,760
Speaker 1: YouTube channel right now, comment below on this video and

358
00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 1: that's it. We'll be announcing a winner right here on

359
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,600
Speaker 1: the channel, so make sure to turn on those notifications

360
00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:36,160
Speaker 1: so you can be alerted when new episodes are up

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00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:38,840
Speaker 1: and to claim your prize. All right, let's look at

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00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 1: the mid range options. Seewu Kim, Justin Thomas and Sahith

363
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 1: Degala are plus thirty five hundred, Tony Finow, Sam Burns,

364
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Speaker 1: Russell Henley and Brian Harmon plus four thousand, Tom Kim,

365
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 1: Corey Connor's, Shane Lowry plus forty five hundred, Jason Days

366
00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:58,280
Speaker 1: plus five thousand, and hopefully he won't be wearing that

367
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Speaker 1: garish sweater vest at Harbortown this week that the officials

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00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 1: of Augusta National actually asked him to remove Cameron Davis

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Speaker 1: and Akshay Battia are plus fifty five hundred and we

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Speaker 1: have a big group at plus six thousand with Sepstraca, JT.

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Speaker 1: Post In, Harris English, Danny McCarthy, Chris Kirk and ben

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Speaker 1: On anyone from this group.

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Speaker 2: This group's loaded with guys. I love number right off

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Speaker 2: the bat. We kind of did you say Justin Thomas

375
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Speaker 2: because he's he's in this Yeah, he's a fifty to one.

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Speaker 2: Justin Thomas number three in my model, and then Russell

377
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Speaker 2: Henley number four and Sahiti Gala number seven. I think

378
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,439
Speaker 2: I like ben On more than anybody. Ben On's been

379
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 2: on a heater, really been on a heater, number six

380
00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,199
Speaker 2: in my model, number two and Birdie's are better gained.

381
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:54,040
Speaker 2: He's number six on the one seventy five to two

382
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,760
Speaker 2: hundred yard approach proximity and a very important stat here

383
00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:00,879
Speaker 2: at Harbortown is Strokes again on part four and he

384
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Speaker 2: is number five.

385
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:02,399
Speaker 3: In this field.

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Speaker 2: So I like Henley. I think ben On's going to

387
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:07,560
Speaker 2: get the most attention for me on my betting slip.

388
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 2: But this, this group of guys is the best value

389
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:16,160
Speaker 2: for my money on the betting card, so I'll probably

390
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 2: sprinkle a little bit on those three guys, Thomas, Henley

391
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:23,400
Speaker 2: and On. And I'm thinking about the GALA and DFS,

392
00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:24,800
Speaker 2: but I don't know if I want to bet. I'm

393
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Speaker 2: on a course that demands so much.

394
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Speaker 3: Off the tee.

395
00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:34,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, Henley, the Bermuda specialist, of course, that's appealing. Ben On.

396
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 1: I suppose theoretically with the h for a guy who's putting,

397
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:46,360
Speaker 1: sometimes we question better to have him beyond smaller greens. Yeah.

398
00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 1: So Shane Lowry is interesting. He's finished top ten here

399
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 1: in three of the last five years, including a pair

400
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:56,720
Speaker 1: of third place finishes, and he also ranks number one

401
00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:59,639
Speaker 1: on tour right now and driving accuracy. Plus if we

402
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 1: do get a little bit of a sea breeze, well

403
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 1: you know, he's a guy who's used to playing in

404
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:08,200
Speaker 1: windy conditions. Brian Harmon has three career top tens at

405
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 1: Harbor Town. His game seems to fit the course, and

406
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:13,919
Speaker 1: while he's been sort of hit or missed this season,

407
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 1: he's finished top twenty five and three of his last

408
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:21,200
Speaker 1: five events JT Post and bow Ill Postino three top

409
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:24,960
Speaker 1: tens here in the last five years. Although also paramis

410
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:29,760
Speaker 1: cuts top ten and driving accuracy, so maybe his game

411
00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:33,960
Speaker 1: fits the course, and Cameron Davis kind of quietly finished

412
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 1: twelfth in the Masters, which I believe gets him in

413
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 1: automatic invitation back next year. And in three previous appearances

414
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 1: at the RBC Heritage, he's finished twenty fifth, third and seventh.

415
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 1: So those are some guys I'm mildly intrigued by. At

416
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:54,600
Speaker 1: least we don't have as many long shot options to

417
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:58,719
Speaker 1: choose from this week, simply because of the smaller field.

418
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 1: That's not to say say there aren't long shots we like, Paul,

419
00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 1: what about you? Anyone at longer than sixty to one?

420
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:08,920
Speaker 2: Quite a few, quite a few, Actually I'll be I'll

421
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,639
Speaker 2: be throwing because that's a limited field. You mentioned the

422
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 2: the darth of actual bodies here in such a small,

423
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,639
Speaker 2: condensed field. But we're getting some really soft odds on

424
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,280
Speaker 2: great golfers that are playing great golf this year, and

425
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 2: their odds just don't reflect it because of how strong

426
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,400
Speaker 2: this field is. Let me start right off the bat

427
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 2: with our guy, Matthew Pavon, the Frenchman. Look how good

428
00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 2: he looked. He looked really solid at the Masters. It's

429
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 2: another accuracy laden course and Pavon has really played well

430
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:46,119
Speaker 2: all season, dating back to his win in San Diego. Uh,

431
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:48,919
Speaker 2: I just think that if you're if you're gonna put

432
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:52,520
Speaker 2: demands off the tee accuracy and an approach, and he's

433
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,679
Speaker 2: got a really solid short game. Seventy five to one

434
00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:56,960
Speaker 2: is way too long for a guy that's having such

435
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 2: a great season. And then you can go all the

436
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 2: way to on Kurt kitty Yama ninety to one for

437
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,600
Speaker 2: a guy who's in the top fifty in the world rankings.

438
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 2: It doesn't make any sense. He's got enough power to

439
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 2: where he'll be hitting iron off some of these teas

440
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 2: and still have short irons in his around the green

441
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,000
Speaker 2: game is spectacular and he's as good of a grinder

442
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,879
Speaker 2: as it gets. So where this course isn't the easiest,

443
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:23,719
Speaker 2: it's also not it's more average difficulty. If that breeze

444
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 2: picks up, Kurt Kittyama is going to be the right

445
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 2: up in the forefront. Nick Taylor very accurate Canadian one

446
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 2: hundred and ten to one. Love him, justin Rose one

447
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty to one doesn't make any sense. I

448
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:42,400
Speaker 2: actually will have quite a bit on Chandler Phillips three

449
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:46,200
Speaker 2: hundred to one for a guy who is very, very

450
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:50,440
Speaker 2: accurate off the tee a very creative short game. He's

451
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 2: playing great golf this year too, So Chandler Phillips three

452
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:54,880
Speaker 2: hundred and one doesn't make any sense to me at all,

453
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:58,359
Speaker 2: And I'll have some on Grayson Murray three hundred and

454
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:00,199
Speaker 2: fifty to one, Eric Barnes three hundred fifth. Do you

455
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:02,520
Speaker 2: want the guys at the bottom here? Do not belong

456
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:05,199
Speaker 2: at the bottom? This is a strong feel, I get it,

457
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:08,480
Speaker 2: But there's guys above these at shorter odds that I

458
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:11,840
Speaker 2: want no part of at any number, So it's just

459
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,359
Speaker 2: free value laying there for the taking.

460
00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, Chandler Phillips, interesting, You've been money with your truly

461
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:24,639
Speaker 1: long long shots this year, so I'm gonna have to

462
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 1: give him a look. One guy I kind of like

463
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,880
Speaker 1: is Eric van Royan at one hundred and ten to one.

464
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 1: He missed the cut here last year, but in his

465
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 1: other two RBC Heritage appearances he finished twenty first and tenth,

466
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 1: and he's got four top twenty fives and two top

467
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:41,399
Speaker 1: tens this year, So it seems like one hundred and

468
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:45,640
Speaker 1: ten to one is a pretty good price, all right, bo,

469
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:47,960
Speaker 1: who's on your betting card as of right now?

470
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:52,240
Speaker 2: So I am going to take the bait on Xander

471
00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 2: Shaftley at the top. I'm gonna sprinkle some on Henley

472
00:26:56,680 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 2: and on and I'm gonna go down to you. I

473
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:05,880
Speaker 2: still haven't I haven't solidified these picks, but gonna throw

474
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 2: Nick Taylor and Chandler Phillips. So so far, those those

475
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:15,440
Speaker 2: five guys, and then I'll probably have some some placement

476
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 2: bets on a few others just to just to get

477
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 2: some action on guys that I feel will do really

478
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:21,440
Speaker 2: well here.

479
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:27,199
Speaker 1: I'm betting Patrick Cantley at plus sixteen hundred. As I

480
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:29,440
Speaker 1: said before, he's fared well at Harvardtown, and I think

481
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:30,920
Speaker 1: we get a little bit of value on him just

482
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:34,840
Speaker 1: because of the poorer recent showings. I'm betting Seawoo Kim

483
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 1: at plus thirty five hundred like he's been in pretty

484
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:42,640
Speaker 1: decent form this year, and straight off the tee, I'm

485
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 1: going back to the well on Shane Lowry baw plus

486
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:49,879
Speaker 1: forty five hundred to win and plus well ten to

487
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 1: one to finish top five. And let's see Cam Davis

488
00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 1: outright at plus fifty five hundred and a little something

489
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 1: on Air Van Royan at one hundred and ten to

490
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:06,800
Speaker 1: one and top twenty at three to one, So all right,

491
00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:11,919
Speaker 1: bo let's quickly touch on the Corals Puntakana Championship in

492
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 1: the Dominican Republic. It's played on the Kerals Golf Course

493
00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:18,480
Speaker 1: at the Puntakana Resort and Club. It's a par seventy

494
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 1: two that checks in at seven six hundred and seventy yards.

495
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 1: It's a long course unlike Harbor Town, but if you

496
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 1: look at past winners, there aren't that many bombers on

497
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:31,880
Speaker 1: the list. This course has those sticky pass pollam greens.

498
00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:34,080
Speaker 1: It's gonna be warm and breezy with a chance for

499
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:38,320
Speaker 1: rain on Sunday morning. Matt Walla Wallace won here last

500
00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:40,800
Speaker 1: year with a score of minus nineteen, one shot better

501
00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 1: than Nikolai Hoguard. Wallace not in the field this week.

502
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 1: Chad Raimi one here in twenty twenty two. Hudson Swafford

503
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:53,040
Speaker 1: won in twenty twenty one. Alex Norin and Nikolai Hoigard

504
00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 1: are the favorites this week. Norn has finished top twenty

505
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: in his last four events. He's plus twelve hundred. Hoyguard

506
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: had a couple of ugly holes at the Masters but

507
00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:06,560
Speaker 1: still finished sixteenth. He had some nice finishes back in January.

508
00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:10,040
Speaker 1: He finished second here last year. I'm betting Hoyguard because

509
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 1: he's the best player in the field in my opinion,

510
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 1: and I think there's value on him at plus fourteen hundred.

511
00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:19,200
Speaker 1: Let's see, I'm betting Nate Lastly at thirty to one

512
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,240
Speaker 1: and Ben Martin at thirty five to one. Lashly won

513
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 1: here in twenty seventeen, and it's some other decent finishes here,

514
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 1: I guess, and his recent form's been okay. Ben Martin

515
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 1: has three straight top ten finishes here, including a second

516
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two. What about you, bo? Are you

517
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 1: dabbling at all? At the carross Puntakana? Oh? One more,

518
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 1: I'm throwing two dollars on Austin Cook at one hundred

519
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 1: and fifty to one. He was thirteenth here last year

520
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 1: in his recent form. Not bad.

521
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 2: So I got to ask you, do you think that

522
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 2: that one hundred and fifty to one bet is deeper

523
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 2: than the guy I'm.

524
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 3: Going to throw out there?

525
00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 2: No, you're right, So I'm starting my betting card at

526
00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 2: Kevin You twenty eight to one. Not just a bomber,

527
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 2: He's a great ball striker in general. I'm also gonna

528
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 2: go with a bomber at forty five to one, Joseph Bramlett,

529
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 2: and another bomber at seventy to one Peter Quest, who's

530
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 2: a guy I've mentioned on this show before.

531
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 3: Excellent, excellent tee to green player.

532
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,240
Speaker 2: That's That's really what I'm looking for is ball strikers

533
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 2: in general, not necessarily bombers, but all three of these

534
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:27,719
Speaker 2: guys can really lash it out there. They just are

535
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 2: great iron players to boot. And of course at one

536
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 2: hundred and eighty to one, how about the red hot, blazing,

537
00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 2: scorching Pearson Coody.

538
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 1: It's funny. Pearson Cooty was a train wreck early in

539
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 1: the season.

540
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:42,880
Speaker 3: He's hot.

541
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 1: He was bad.

542
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 3: He's hot.

543
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 1: No, I know he has gotten hot, so yeah, that's interesting.

544
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 1: Really he was terrible earlier in the season, like send

545
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 1: this guy back to the corn faery to ur bad.

546
00:30:57,000 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 1: But lately, yeah, he has caught fire. That's interesting. Before

547
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 1: we get to our one and done picks for the week,

548
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 1: if you're playing in a one and done pool yourself,

549
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 1: or if you are playing in any sort of tears

550
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:13,840
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551
00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:16,520
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552
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553
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554
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555
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556
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557
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,600
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558
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559
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560
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561
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562
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563
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 1: that's poolgenius dot Com slash Fantasy Pros. Now, let's get

564
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:01,360
Speaker 1: to our one and done picks. Bow. We're only going

565
00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 1: to do him for the RBC Heritage. But first, a

566
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 1: quick recap of last week. Not a banner week for

567
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 1: either of us. You had Brooks Kopka Brooks. He finished

568
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 1: tied for forty fifth. Yeah, so he earned you fifty

569
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 1: seven two hundred dollars Idauaqui Neeman, who finished tied for

570
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 1: twenty second, good for one hundred and seventy five thousand,

571
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 1: five hundred. I make up one hundred thousand dollars on

572
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 1: you Bow, but remain about three million behind. I'm up

573
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:33,200
Speaker 1: first this week. I'm gonna take Patrick Cantley. I'm kind

574
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 1: of all in on him this week. What about you?

575
00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not gonna dabble in the cant lay. And

576
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 2: as much as I'd love to play Scotty Scheffler here,

577
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 2: it's not gonna be a very smart bet because considering

578
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:49,520
Speaker 2: I don't know he'll if he'll even play, and I

579
00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 2: also would love to play lud vig Olberg here, but

580
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 2: I'm gonna skip him and play him at a different tournament,

581
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 2: hopefully without Scotty anywhere near it.

582
00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go down a little bit on my board.

583
00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 2: Here still above, Patrick can't lay on my board. Ironically,

584
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 2: with Tommy Fleetwood, I don't know if he'll win because

585
00:33:09,120 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 2: he never wins anything, but he comes in really solid

586
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,720
Speaker 2: across the board and all the accuracy metrics and short

587
00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:19,840
Speaker 2: game it's immaculate here. So I think Tommy Fleetwood will

588
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:24,320
Speaker 2: earn me a respectable living in this elevated tournament and

589
00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 2: hopefully increase my sizable lead on you.

590
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 1: Yes, Fleetwood does not lay many eggs, so yeah, but

591
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 1: big purse this week, so you know there could be

592
00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 1: a haymaker thrown by one of us and.

593
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 2: This is a big waiting to happen.

594
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm probably catching the business end of that haymaker

595
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 1: based on the way things have gone so far, and

596
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 1: that's going to do it. For this week's show, I

597
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: want to thank our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy, So I'm up

598
00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 1: at Underdog with the promo code BP Golf to get

599
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:01,600
Speaker 1: your first as it matched up to one hundred dollars

600
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:04,320
Speaker 1: plus that special pick available for you in the lobby,

601
00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 1: and please come join Bow and I again next week

602
00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 1: when we will be previewing the Wild and Wacky Zurich

603
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 1: Classic of New Orleans. That's the two man team event,

604
00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:17,200
Speaker 1: so yeah, it's gonna be an interesting breakdown for sure.

605
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:19,600
Speaker 1: We'll try to sort it all out and settle on

606
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:25,160
Speaker 1: some plus ev bets, so join us for that. Until then, solong, everyone.

607
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:27,800
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

608
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

609
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

610
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,560
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611
00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:38,520
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612
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:40,000
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613
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:54,279
Speaker 4: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com Slash Betting Pros