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Speaker 1: All right, welcome to him tonight here at the volume.

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Speaker 1: Happy Friday, everybody, hope all if you guys have had

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Speaker 1: a great week so far. Gonna get into the two

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Speaker 1: games from last night. Took the off last night. I

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Speaker 1: just hung out with my wife, got to relax for

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Speaker 1: a little bit before we get back into the grind.

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Speaker 1: Gonna hit just Celtics Calves in this video, just for

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Speaker 1: times sake. As soon as I'm done recording this, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna turn around and record or start watching MAVs Thunder

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Speaker 1: and do the analysis for it. But this one had

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Speaker 1: taken me a little while. I wanted to get it

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Speaker 1: out before I started covering the next game. So just

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Speaker 1: hitting Calves Celtics in this game is the or in

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Speaker 1: this video, as the Calves tie the series, dominating the

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Speaker 1: Celtics after falling down to an early nine point deficit,

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Speaker 1: pretty much blowing them out the rest of the way,

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Speaker 1: and now we're headed back to Cleveland with the series

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Speaker 1: tied at one. You guys are the job before we

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Speaker 1: get started. Subscribe to the brand new YouTube channels. You

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Speaker 1: don't miss any more of our videos. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at underscore JSNLTS. You guys, don't miss you announcements.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget about a podcast feed where we get your

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Speaker 1: podcasts under Hoops tonight and then keep dropping mail bag

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Speaker 1: questions and those YouTube comments. We can keep hitting them

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Speaker 1: throughout the rest of the postseason. So let's talk some basketball.

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Speaker 1: Tell me if you've heard this before. Boston had a

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Speaker 1: cold jump shooting night and then their offense completely fell

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Speaker 1: apart because they don't really have another way to consistently

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Speaker 1: consistently score unless they're making jump shots, so they lost.

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Speaker 1: Boston got zero points seven to three points per jump shot.

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Speaker 1: In the game obviously really bad. They did shoot well

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Speaker 1: when they were open. They were five for twelve and

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Speaker 1: wide open threes, it's forty two percent. Cleveland just did

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Speaker 1: a good job of chasing them off the line and

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Speaker 1: contesting jumpers and playing them into their worst tendencies. They

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Speaker 1: took twenty one pull up jump shots in the game,

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Speaker 1: only made five of them. That was zero point five

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Speaker 1: to seven points per shot. A lot of the same

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Speaker 1: stuff that you're accustomed to seeing from Boston. As we

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Speaker 1: talked about all season, their success pretty much is determined

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Speaker 1: by jump shot variants on a night in, night out basis.

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Speaker 1: They were twenty seventh in points in the paint per

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Speaker 1: game in the regular season. That is dead last among

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Speaker 1: the remaining playoff teams in this field. I was kind

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Speaker 1: of doing some digging through the data and just go

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Speaker 1: into NBA dot com, go to the little miscellaneous tab

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Speaker 1: and click and sort all the playoff teams by points

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Speaker 1: by points in the paint, and you will see there's

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Speaker 1: a pretty solid connection between the teams that are remaining

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Speaker 1: in this field and the teams have been eliminated. The teams.

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Speaker 1: Most of the teams that are remaining are high in

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Speaker 1: the in the upper echelon in points in the paint

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Speaker 1: among playoff teams. It's been just a consistent theme, especially

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Speaker 1: in this super physical playoff environment. It's just harder to

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Speaker 1: make jump shots when teams are allowed to foul more

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Speaker 1: and the games are just more physical, more intense, and

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Speaker 1: Boston has tied a lot of their success to those results,

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Speaker 1: and they just don't have a counter when shots are

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Speaker 1: aren't falling other than to just take more of them

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Speaker 1: and hope they go in. Now, the upside is real.

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Speaker 1: I want to be clear. They're one point one to

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Speaker 1: three points per jump shot. Was their efficiency with those

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Speaker 1: in the regular season that was number one in the NBA, right,

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Speaker 1: So they are the best jump shooting team in the NBA.

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Speaker 1: They just lean into it so heavily that the variance

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Speaker 1: can be a problem. They can get hot too, and

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Speaker 1: they can blow you out in a matter of minutes.

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Speaker 1: And like, no matter who they play, if they win

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Speaker 1: this series and they continue to move on, even if

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Speaker 1: they end up in a series where they lose at

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Speaker 1: some point in the future. Again, let's say they lose

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Speaker 1: to Minnesota. Wouldn't be surprised if there's two or three

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Speaker 1: games in that series. Where Boston just gets super in

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Speaker 1: insanely hot from three in wins. That's always a big

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Speaker 1: part of their upside. It just also has a downside

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Speaker 1: that comes with it. And again, these are teams that

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Speaker 1: they're way better than, Like, they're way more talented than Cleveland,

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Speaker 1: and they are like just there's a chasm in talent

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Speaker 1: difference between them and that Miami Heat team. And even

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Speaker 1: in those matchups, the variants can be an issue. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna get more into Boston and just kind of their

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Speaker 1: brand of basketball later on, but again that was the primary,

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Speaker 1: you know, kind of variance in this game. Boston couldn't

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Speaker 1: make a jump shot, couldn't score outside of that, and Cleveland,

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Speaker 1: you know, just kind of leaned into that momentum, got

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Speaker 1: a bunch of big shot shot making nights from some

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Speaker 1: key guys. We'll go into that here in just a minute.

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Speaker 1: So the flow of the game, Celtics got out to

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Speaker 1: an early nine point lead, kind of started to chip

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Speaker 1: away in the late first quarter. Big thing I was

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Speaker 1: noticing on film Karis Lavert and Evan Mobley, We're really

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Speaker 1: picking on Sam Hauser and Luke Cordnett. Now the houser

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Speaker 1: Cornett lineups throughout the postseason up until last night were

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Speaker 1: mostly good defensively, And I do think that those guys

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Speaker 1: do their jobs, but it's less about like how good

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Speaker 1: they are within the game plan of doing their jobs,

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Speaker 1: and more about do stars feel comfortable against them? And

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Speaker 1: the reality is is even though Howser slides his feet

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Speaker 1: and he gets good contests, like when Karis Lavert saw him,

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Speaker 1: he felt comfortable dribbling against him. When Donovan Mitchell saw him,

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Speaker 1: he felt comfortable dribbling against him. It was a different

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Speaker 1: level of comfort and ability to get to their spots

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Speaker 1: than it was when they face a Derek White or

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Speaker 1: a Tatum or a Brown or a Drew Holliday. So

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Speaker 1: like that, the Calves were just going way out of

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Speaker 1: their way to attack those two in action in that

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Speaker 1: late first quarter run. It immediately stood out to me

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Speaker 1: and it became a trend later on in the game,

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Speaker 1: which we'll get to as we talked about the Celtics

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Speaker 1: started missing shots. You know, they were hitting early. Al

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Speaker 1: Horford did a couple threes. They were hitting early when

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Speaker 1: they went up fourteen to five. But the Calves go

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Speaker 1: on a big run, riding that two man game with

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Speaker 1: Lavert and Mobley, who by the way, had his best

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Speaker 1: games scoring in as a role man of this postseason.

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Speaker 1: We'll get more into that in a minute. But the

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Speaker 1: Calves going a big run. They go up thirty to

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Speaker 1: twenty one. Then the celt come back in, their main

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Speaker 1: guys come back in and they reassert control. We basically

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Speaker 1: go into halftime tied, but in that early third quarter,

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Speaker 1: Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland catch a little heater. They

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Speaker 1: make five threes in the first seven minutes. They build

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Speaker 1: that first little bit of margin. Obviously Boston still missing

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Speaker 1: the Garland threes in particular felt huge because he didn't

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Speaker 1: do much scoring elsewhere in the game. Calves go up

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Speaker 1: by eleven points. Then we go into that late third

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Speaker 1: quarter stretch and exactly like what happened at the end

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Speaker 1: of the first quarter, incomes Cornett and Hauser. The Cavs

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Speaker 1: go right back to attacking them, and a big part

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Speaker 1: of that was Donovan Mitchell did not come out of

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Speaker 1: the game. He stayed in the game during that portion

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Speaker 1: and he was going right at Sam Hauser. He ended

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Speaker 1: up drawing a foul in a three point shot against

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Speaker 1: Derek White. He had to pull up three in Sam

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Speaker 1: Hawser's face. He had that bomb, that buzzer beater like

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Speaker 1: step back three that he hit on Jason Tatum to

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Speaker 1: send it into the fourth quarter. And then early in

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter he hit that banking shot kind of

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Speaker 1: coming off of that screening action towards the top of

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Speaker 1: the key that he made, and then the game was

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Speaker 1: basically over. They were up by sixteen with like, you know,

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Speaker 1: nine minutes left and it was over, and they went

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Speaker 1: on to blow it open from there. But really it

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Speaker 1: came down to a critical hot streak from Darius Garland

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Speaker 1: and Donovan Mitchell in the early third quarter, some really

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Speaker 1: good matchup attacking from Karris Lavert in that late first

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Speaker 1: quarter against that Howser Cornett duo, and then Mitchell kind

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Speaker 1: of stepping into that Lavert as well, but Mitchell stepping

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Speaker 1: into that in the in the second half, and then

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Speaker 1: as long as Boston wasn't able to kind of keep

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Speaker 1: up with them with their three point shooting, they kind

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Speaker 1: of lost control of the rope and the game was over.

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Speaker 1: I can't say enough about Donovan Mitchell. He's been the

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Speaker 1: best player in this series so far. That's gonna be

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Speaker 1: the biggest thing that that kaz fans are going to

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Speaker 1: be leaning on for optimism. Like Jason Tatum, We're gonna

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Speaker 1: get to him in more detail in a minute. Just

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Speaker 1: not having a good playoffs, He's playing limited competition, just

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Speaker 1: not having a good playoffs. And Donovan Mitchell has been

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Speaker 1: one of the best players in the league in this

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Speaker 1: postseason run and consistently has just had his foot down

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Speaker 1: on gas doing everything he can to generate offense for

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Speaker 1: a team that has struggled to generate offense in this

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Speaker 1: postseason run. He just smelled blood in the water in

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Speaker 1: that second half, and he went after it and got

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Speaker 1: a big win for the Cavs on the road. I

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Speaker 1: don't even know. I think we all kind of have

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Speaker 1: to reevaluate Donovan Mitchell as a playoff player after this

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Speaker 1: playoff run because he's shown a resiliency against against really

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Speaker 1: heavy defensive coverages that has been super, super impressive. Evan

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Speaker 1: Mobley playoff career high twenty one points great on the

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Speaker 1: role against Sam Houser. He scored six points on the

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Speaker 1: role in this game, most he's had in a game

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Speaker 1: in this postseason run. I hited three at the top

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Speaker 1: of the key in that first quarter run that kind

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Speaker 1: of helped them spark and most importantly, he was incredible defensively.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna show you guys some examples when we get

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Speaker 1: to the film, but like he does a really good

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Speaker 1: job when he has to leave his band to help

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Speaker 1: of being super active with his hands to get deflections.

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Speaker 1: And again, like when you double team and you don't

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Speaker 1: get a deflection and you allow an easy kickout pass,

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Speaker 1: that's when you end up in the problematic four on threes.

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Speaker 1: When you're actually really active when you're with your hand

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Speaker 1: and you can either one force a turnover or two

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Speaker 1: get a deflection that slows down the pass that gives

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Speaker 1: your team a better chance to rotate on the back end.

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Speaker 1: It's one of the most important parts of help and

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Speaker 1: recover defense is you've got to pressure the ball and

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Speaker 1: make those kickout passes difficult. Mobley was just unbelievable in

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Speaker 1: this game. Darius Garland, like I said, that little three

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Speaker 1: point shooting Runnie had early in the third quarter vital

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Speaker 1: to the Cavs getting this one. And then Karris Lavert

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Speaker 1: just you know, he's one of those guys that he

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Speaker 1: kind of has a little bit of that like Dejonte Murray,

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Speaker 1: like high hesitation, ability to beat people off the dribble

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Speaker 1: and get to spots closer towards the rim. Has that

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Speaker 1: good chemistry with Mobley in the ball screen. Hit a

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Speaker 1: couple of big mid range pull up jump shots as well,

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Speaker 1: big time game from Karis Lavert. Moving on to Boston,

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Speaker 1: they got smacked. The guy outscored one thirteen to eighty

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Speaker 1: after going up fourteen to five. That's getting thirty pieced

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Speaker 1: on your home floor by a team that, in terms

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Speaker 1: of the talent differentially, you should have swept. So this

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Speaker 1: is obviously an ugly look. Now, is Boston gonna lose

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Speaker 1: the series? I don't think so. Cleveland might go home

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Speaker 1: and kind of ride the energy and the belief that

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Speaker 1: they have from this game and they might get another one.

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Speaker 1: But I think Boston's gonna win this series in five

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Speaker 1: or six games. But it's just a bizarre brand of basketball.

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Speaker 1: Their shot selection is flat out dump Al Horford ninety

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Speaker 1: seconds into the game, takes like a trailing twenty five

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Speaker 1: foot or off the move, hadn't made a shot yet,

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Speaker 1: just decided I'm shooting this drifting, you know, like quick

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Speaker 1: stop in Pop three in transition early in the shot

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Speaker 1: clock made absolutely no sense. There's a random possession in

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Speaker 1: the first half for Jalen Brown just early in the

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Speaker 1: shot clock, shoots a contested step back three at the

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Speaker 1: top of the key. There's a random Drew Holiday post

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Speaker 1: up where he takes a left shoulder fade along the

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Speaker 1: baseline early in the shot clock. Jason Tatum settling for

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Speaker 1: super difficult pull up jump shots in ISO, even though

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Speaker 1: he continues to not be able to make them at

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Speaker 1: a high clip. Then every time he gets into traffic,

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Speaker 1: instead of going up and taking bassketball shots, he just

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Speaker 1: sticks his arm out and just throws throw him up

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Speaker 1: like that and throw some bizarre shot up at the

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Speaker 1: rim that has a small chance of going in. It

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Speaker 1: is unbelievably bizarre and like there's no real hierarchy, you

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Speaker 1: know how in Cleveland it's like we're running everything through

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Speaker 1: Donovan Mitchell. Tatum doesn't have that luxury. If he misses

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Speaker 1: one or two shots, they just go in a different

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Speaker 1: direction and another guy goes it's my turn. Now. Like

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Speaker 1: Donovan Mitchell, he misses one or two shots in a row,

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Speaker 1: he's just gonna go down and take the third one

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Speaker 1: until he gets into a rhythm. There's a clear hierarchy

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Speaker 1: and order of operations offensively for Cleveland and really for

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Speaker 1: most teams in the league. For Boston, it's like just

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Speaker 1: it's just vibes, man, It's just do whatever the hell

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Speaker 1: you want on the offensive end of the floor. And

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Speaker 1: most importantly, they are not consistently engaged on the defensive end.

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Speaker 1: They have a great defensive fastball. They do, but they

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Speaker 1: don't throw it until they feel some sort of desperation

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Speaker 1: or like if they drop a game, but it's not

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Speaker 1: programmed into their basketball character. Derek White is really the

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Speaker 1: only I see that like on a night in and

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Speaker 1: night out. Basis really brings it on the defensive end

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Speaker 1: of the floor. And like that's a fundamental difference between

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Speaker 1: what they were under emy Udoka. Like under emay Udoka,

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Speaker 1: they were way less dependent on three point shooting. They

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Speaker 1: were ninth in three point attempts per game that year.

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Speaker 1: They were taking about two and a half year or

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Speaker 1: threes per game. In the postseason, they were seventeenth in

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Speaker 1: points in the paint. This team is twenty seventh in

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Speaker 1: points in the paint, so substantially higher percentage of their

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Speaker 1: offense in the paint, substantially lower percentage of their offense

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Speaker 1: from the three point line, much better balance in that

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two season, But by far the biggest difference

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Speaker 1: emy Udoka baked into them a toughness and a commitment

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Speaker 1: to the defensive end that they just have not had

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Speaker 1: since then. That twenty twenty two team, when they beat Brooklyn,

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Speaker 1: that was one of the best defensive efforts I've seen

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Speaker 1: from a playoff team in this era. That is a

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Speaker 1: ceiling that they just have not been able to get to.

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Speaker 1: And yes, I get it, they don't have chrisops Zingis

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Speaker 1: right now, and they don't have the Robert Williams kind

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Speaker 1: of rim protection they had in that season. But even

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Speaker 1: on the perimeter, Tatum and Brown, all those guys were

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Speaker 1: so much more engaged consistently on the perimeter defensively. That team, Like, literally,

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Speaker 1: if you gave me this roster with the identity of

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Speaker 1: that team, better balance in their shot selection, a more

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Speaker 1: clear hierarchy running through Jason Tatum, in a much better

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Speaker 1: commitment to the defensive end of the floor, I think

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Speaker 1: they would be guaranteed to win the title. They have

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Speaker 1: the most talent. I would feel so much more confident

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Speaker 1: in their abilities to do this. If that was the

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Speaker 1: breakdown of their basketball approach. But that's not it. There's

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Speaker 1: no hierarchy. They lean heavily into spamming three point shots

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Speaker 1: and difficult pull up jump shots, and they defend when

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Speaker 1: they feel like it. And you know the crazy thing

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Speaker 1: is they might just win the damn championship anyway, because

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Speaker 1: that's how talented they are. I actually think they match

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Speaker 1: up pretty well with Minnesota, certainly better than the Western

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Speaker 1: Conference teams, because they have so much shooting that they

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Speaker 1: can space them out and kind of mitigate some of

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Speaker 1: the size advantages that Minnesota brings to the table. They

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Speaker 1: also have so much ball handling that if you're pressuring

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Speaker 1: the hell out of the basketball with Jaden McDaniels and

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Speaker 1: Anthony Edwards and even with your centers, you can just

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Speaker 1: find one of your guards to bring the ball out

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Speaker 1: the floor against the Mike Conley or one of the

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Speaker 1: Jay's is gonna have to be guarded by a Karl

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Speaker 1: Anthony Towns, you can bring the ball up the floor

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Speaker 1: against him. Like Boston has real advantages because they have

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Speaker 1: incredible personnel, and they very well might hoist the Larry

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Speaker 1: O'Brien Trophy in June. Playing this garbage ass brand of basketball.

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Speaker 1: It's crazy. Like a lot of people think I hate

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Speaker 1: the Celtics because I am a Lakers fan, but I'm

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Speaker 1: not really a Lakers fan. I root for the Lakers

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Speaker 1: because I'm a Lebron James fan. I have nothing against

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Speaker 1: the Celtics. I really liked that twenty twenty two Boston

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Speaker 1: Celtics team. This is this specific brand of basketball under

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Speaker 1: Joe Missoula is so unlikable to me, and it's just

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Speaker 1: every time I'm watching them, I just am completely blown

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Speaker 1: away at the complete lack of regard for the value

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Speaker 1: of every possession on either end of the floor. And

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Speaker 1: if there's anything to be said about the talent advantage,

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Speaker 1: it is a curse in the sense that I think,

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Speaker 1: especially in that Eastern Conference where it's so weak, especially

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Speaker 1: after you get past the top few teams, that you

339
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Speaker 1: could win sixty sixty five games with this roster while

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Speaker 1: playing an iffy brand of basketball, Like I believe if

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Speaker 1: Boston played in the West, they probably would have more

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Speaker 1: commitment to the defensive end of the floor and a

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Speaker 1: little bit more value on each possession. But they've been

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Speaker 1: allowed to kind of play this brand because of that

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Speaker 1: week's schedule out East, and like, again, it just might

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Speaker 1: not even matter. They might just win the damn thing anyway.

347
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Speaker 1: But like I can just say personally as someone who

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Speaker 1: has covered this team all year, like every time I

349
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Speaker 1: watch them play, I'm like, are what are what are

350
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Speaker 1: we doing here? Like what I'm watching game one and

351
00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:58,960
Speaker 1: it's like Jason Tatum is the best player on the

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Speaker 1: team right and a top ten player in the NBA,

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Speaker 1: and he's basically standing around watching Jalen Brown go to work,

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Speaker 1: And like I get it, Like all of these guys

355
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Speaker 1: are capable. Derek White is capable of running the offense

356
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Speaker 1: for an entire game, so is Tatum, so is Jalen Brown.

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Speaker 1: Drew Holliday is capable of doing it as a secondary

358
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Speaker 1: shot creator. But it would make way more sense to

359
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Speaker 1: bake this down into a simpler hierarchy and have guys

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Speaker 1: play smaller roles. It's so equal opportunity, it's so just

361
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Speaker 1: based on vibes that everyone kind of feels the leeway

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Speaker 1: to hijack a possession. And when everyone has the leeway

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Speaker 1: to hijack a possession, nobody's in rhythm. And that's probably

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Speaker 1: the last that's the last thing I'm gonna say about

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Speaker 1: this and then we'll move on to the film. Like,

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Speaker 1: when you have hierarchy, it is much easier to stay

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Speaker 1: in a rhythm when everyone can hijack a possession. There

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00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,919
Speaker 1: is no consistency in where you're getting your touches, what

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00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:52,440
Speaker 1: you're doing with your touches, where you're getting your off

370
00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,480
Speaker 1: ball catches, what you're doing with your off ball catches.

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Speaker 1: There's no consistency there, and so no one can really

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Speaker 1: get into a groove when each game just fundamentally looks different.

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Speaker 1: When you watch Cleveland, they play the same damn way

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Speaker 1: every game. On offense, Here comes Donovan Mitchell. He's gonna

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00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:12,359
Speaker 1: run twenty five pick and rolls tonight, you know, Like

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Speaker 1: Darius Garland's gonna be aggressive when Mitchell's off the floor,

377
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Speaker 1: and when Mitchell's tired, they'll they'll run some thing Garland.

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Speaker 1: But you know what you're getting, Okay, Karris Lavert came

379
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Speaker 1: into the game. He's gonna spam ball screens, Like you understand,

380
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Speaker 1: a very clear hierarchy with Cleveland and with Denver, and

381
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Speaker 1: with Minnesota and with all of these guys that Boston

382
00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:36,800
Speaker 1: just doesn't have. Every Boston game looks different and when

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Speaker 1: it cooks, it cooks like when there's there's an upside

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Speaker 1: to that too. I want to be clear, when you

385
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Speaker 1: play equal opportunity, there is an upside where like when

386
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Speaker 1: all the pieces kind of click in simultaneously, it's like,

387
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Speaker 1: holy shit, all five guys are in rhythm. Now they

388
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Speaker 1: can't guard us, and we just put up one hundred

389
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Speaker 1: and forty two points. Right. But the flip side is

390
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:00,720
Speaker 1: sometimes none of the pieces fit and then it just

391
00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:05,120
Speaker 1: completely falls apart. And like I again, I'm not concerned

392
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Speaker 1: about Boston. I feel the exact same way about them

393
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Speaker 1: that I did before the postseason, Like am I gonna pick?

394
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Speaker 1: If if Minnesota or Denver gets out of the West

395
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Speaker 1: and lines up with Boston, I will probably pick them

396
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Speaker 1: over Boston simply because they have such a clear basketball

397
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Speaker 1: identity that they're more likely to reach their ceiling than

398
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Speaker 1: Boston is Consistently. That said, I would still give Boston

399
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Speaker 1: a very good chance to win that series against both

400
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Speaker 1: of them, and it wouldn't be the least bit surprised.

401
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 1: I absolutely think this team can hoist the trophy, but

402
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Speaker 1: even in that context, it feels like they're underachieving on

403
00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 1: a night in a night out basis it feels like

404
00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:42,000
Speaker 1: they're leaving meat on the bone with this bizarre ass

405
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,840
Speaker 1: brand of basketball. Again, I give Cleveland a good chance

406
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Speaker 1: to get one in Cleveland, just simply because winning this

407
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Speaker 1: game gives you a certain amount of belief and the

408
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 1: crowd will have a certain energy that might not have

409
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:54,520
Speaker 1: been there if you were down two coming home. And

410
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Speaker 1: so I do think Cleveland has a chance to get

411
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Speaker 1: one at home. But I still think Boston is gonna

412
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Speaker 1: win the series in five or six games. All I

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Speaker 1: have for this particular video, I'll be back in a

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Speaker 1: few hours with MAVs Thunder. I will see you guys.

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Speaker 1: Then the volume